July 2023 CRE Research Breaking Down Multifamily Property Operating Expenses Across the U.S. | Part 2 – Real Estate Taxes In a recent report, the Trepp team discussed the trends in year-over-year (YoY) net operating income growth (NOI) for multifamily properties across various geographies. In this series, Trepp examines YoY trends for specific operating expense line items that contribute to the overall NOI of multifamily properties. Property tax is one of the largest contributors to the operating expenses of a commercial real estate property, and with multifamily property values soaring in particular metro areas in the years following the pandemic, property tax has expectedly followed suit. With interest rates at historic lows in 2020, investors that sought higher yields turned to real estate, particularly multifamily properties. The favorable financing conditions stimulated increased transaction activity and contributed to the upward pressure on property values. Multifamily properties, with their potential for steady rental income and relatively lower risk compared to other commercial property types, became particularly attractive to investors during economic uncertainty. However, with the supply of available multifamily properties remaining limited as the market got hotter with investor demand for these properties skyrocketing, the supplydemand imbalance contributed to increased competition among investors, bidding up prices and driving property values higher. COMPARING YOY CHANGES IN REAL ESTATE TAXES ACROSS MULTIFAMILY MARKETS In this part of the series, the Trepp team ranks the multifamily markets based on the largest average YoY increase in property taxes from 2021 to 2022, utilizing the multifamily property data set laid out in the Data Set Description section in Part 1 of the series. www.trepp.com FIGURE 1: TOP 15 MULTIFAMILY MARKETS FOR LARGEST YOY INCREASE IN REAL ESTATE TAXES (2021-2022) MSA AVG YOY REAL ESTATE TAXES PER UNIT CHANGE 1 Richmond, VA 15.3% 2 Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 12.2% 3 Salt Lake City, UT 11.9% 4 Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 10.9% 5 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI 9.9% 6 Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 9.3% 7 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 8.7% 8 Jacksonville, FL 8.6% 9 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL 8.4% 10 Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT 7.8% 11 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 7.3% RANK 12 Birmingham-Hoover, AL 7.2% 13 Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV 6.7% 14 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 6.3% 15 New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA 6.1% Sources: Trepp Inc. A DEEPER DIVE INTO SPECIFIC MARKETS Richmond, Virginia The Richmond metro saw population growth take off since the pandemic in 2020, adding almost 28,000 people between 2020 and July 2022. The Richmond MSA includes the suburban counties of Henrico and Chesterfield, as well as the more rural counties of New Kent, Powhatan, and Goochland, all of which have seen significant population growth – even more than Richmond city proper itself. 1 July 2023 CRE Research New Kent County was the fastest growing county in Virginia, seeing a 7.5% population growth since 2020, and Chesterfield was the county that added the largest number of residents – over 17,000 – since 2020. Altogether, these counties make the Richmond metro the fastest growing region in Virginia from 2020 to 2022. A large portion of these new Richmond residents have flocked from the Northern Virginia region, many of them being couples with young children looking to settle down in the suburbs of Richmond. Residents have been relocating due to the increased cost of living in Northern Virginia as well as the need to commute by train between Richmond and the D.C area. These contributors led to the 36% jump in residents moving from Northern Virginia to the Richmond area in 2020 and 2021, compared to 2012-2019. The recent surge in population growth seen across the Richmond area was also met with limited housing supply. As a result, the assessed property values and thus the property tax assessments in the city of Richmond grew remarkably, with overall real estate property tax assessments rising by an average of 13% in 2022. In Trepp’s analysis on the multifamily property dataset in the Richmond, VA-MSA, real estate taxes per unit grew 15.3% on average from 2021 to 2022. For the time being, it seems that the Richmond market outlook continues to be positive going into 2023, as broader market uncertainties due to higher interest rates and inflation have yet to show up in the metro. Many development projects will stimulate further economic growth in the Richmond area. Some examples are the $1 billion construction of the new LEGO carbon-neutral factory, which is set to open in 2025 in Chesterfield County, the $2.3 billion GreenCity “eco-district” development that broke ground in early 2023 in Henrico County. Another example is Meta, which is expanding its data center campus in Henrico County. The future trend of property taxes in Richmond will be heavily dependent on the housing supply-and-demand dynamics in the metro, as we see how hot and for how long the Richmond multifamily market will continue to grow. www.trepp.com Salt Lake City, Utah Home prices in Utah have surged in 2022, with the Salt Lake City region seeing a 28.7% jump from 2021 to 2022 in median residential property value. Coming out of the pandemic, as home values grew rapidly, commercial property values grew at a more modest pace – 11.8% from 2021 to 2022 in Salt Lake City. As these two types of properties grew at separate paces, the taxation burden naturally has fallen more on the property category that is witnessing the higher property valuations. However, multifamily properties seem to be the standout among the commercial property types. Salt Lake City has a large population of young renters and has also recently seen an inflow of residents relocating from more expensive West Coast cities. And in this case, the rental market has been even hotter than the residential housing market, as homebuyers are getting priced out of the expensive single-family market, driving up apartment demand. In the state of Utah, 76% of homebuyers were priced out of homeownership in 2022 and were left to turn to the rental market. Therefore, opposite from the rest of the commercial real estate property types, due to increased property valuations, the multifamily property sector has shared the increased tax burden alongside residential properties. In addition, the Salt Lake City Council approved a 4.9% property tax increase, which was included in the city’s budget for the fiscal year starting July 2022. This was the first property tax increase in Salt Lake City since 2014 and was intended to cater towards the increase in demand for the city’s services. With the city experiencing a growing population and recovery from the pandemic at the same time as inflation, increased labor costs for increased usage of city services prompted this new property tax. For multifamily properties, the increased property taxes will undoubtedly flow into increased rent payment for renters. Salt Lake City is seeing dense volumes of new multifamily construction and deliveries to keep up with burgeoning rental demand, with most of the new development located 2 July 2023 CRE Research in the downtown submarket. The delivery of a large amount of new multifamily supply could help soften the rental market, which would alleviate the tax burden on multifamily properties. However, how property taxes ultimately fare will up to the local governing authorities as they set the budget in the coming fiscal years. WHAT’S AHEAD FOR PROPERTY TAXES greater profits and thus higher valuations. And lastly, as population fluctuations affect a city’s need of public services, local governments correspondingly seek out more financial resources through methods such as property taxes. It will be interesting to see how each of these elements will flow through to each multifamily market and how the indicator of property taxes will reflect the extent of the impact on each metro. The factors of supply and demand dynamics, relative growth in property value across property types, and local government budgets, are all key determiners for multifamily property taxes in each geography. Rental demand adjusts as consumer behavior reflects macroeconomic fluctuations in interest rate and inflation, and whether this demand is met with a dearth of inventory or overflowing volumes of new construction deliveries will affect apartment property tax valuations. Additionally, as some categories of properties grow at a more accelerated pace compared to others in the same geography, the tax burden will shift onto the sector with For more information about Trepp’s commercial real estate data, contact info@trepp.com. For inquiries about the data analysis conducted in this research, contact press@trepp.com or 212-754-1010. About Trepp Trepp, founded in 1979, is the leading provider of data, insights, and technology solutions to the structured finance, commercial real estate, and banking markets. Trepp provides primary and secondary market participants with the solutions and analytics they need to increase operational efficiencies, information transparency, and investment performance. From its offices in New York, Dallas, and London, Trepp serves its clients with products and services to support trading, research, risk management, surveillance, and portfolio management. Trepp subsidiary, Commercial Real Estate Direct, is a daily news source covering the commercial real estate capital markets. Trepp is wholly owned by Daily Mail and General Trust (DMGT). The information provided is based on information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable. 3