Financial Management 244 CHAPTER 3 Week 1 Please listen to the voice narrations to refresh your memory regarding the ratios’ equations. During the synchronous lectures we will focus on the application (calculation and interpretation) of ratios. Economic and Management Sciences | EyeNzululwazi ngoQoqosho noLawulo | Ekonomiese en Bestuurswetenskappe Ratios Introduction Why do we do ratio analysis? • Provide more information in format that is comparable over time and between companies and/or industries • Ratios are more understandable than the financial figures in financial statements • Meaningful relationships between items from the financial statements are investigated Requirements for financial ratios • Primary objective: Simplify the evaluation of the financial performance and position • Requirements: 1. Meaningful Logical comparison between items from financial statements 2. Relevant True indication of financial performance 3. Comparable Across industries and over time Ratio calculated in a consistent manner Norms of comparison Ratios should not be interpreted in isolation • Conventions Norms developed over time (e.g. Current ratio 2:1) May differ between firms/industries • Comparison over time • Comparison between similar companies Determine the competitive position of the company relative to its competitors Types of ratios 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Profitability ratios Profit margins Turnover ratios Liquidity ratios Solvency ratios Cash flow ratios Investment ratios Profitability ratios • Evaluates efficiency of a company utilising its capital to generate turnover/revenue • Possible to calculate the profitability of different capital items • The higher the return on a capital item, the more efficiently it has been used Profitability ratios Return on assets (%) • Measures how efficiently total assets are utilised to generate turnover Compares profit after tax with total assets Profit after tax ROA = x 100 Average total assets How can we improve ROA? Profitability ratios Return on assets (%) • • Higher ROA = using assets more efficiently Careful not to reduce assets too much – negative effect on activities in the future • ROA steadily declines for 5 years • Profit margin stayed more or less the same, but investment in assets increased. • What might it imply? Profitability ratios Return on equity (%) • Indicates return generated on total equity • Total equity includes ordinary shareholders’ equity, preference share capital and minority / non-controlling interest Profit after tax ROE= x 100 Average equity Profitability ratios Return on equity (%) • The higher the ratio the better for equity providers/investors • Increase in equity could lead to a decrease in ROE if profit after tax remains the same • Compare to other firms in the same industry Profitability ratios Return on shareholders equity (%) • Shareholders equity includes ordinary shareholders’ equity and preference share capital Profit after tax −non−controlling interest ROSE= x 100 Average shareholders′ equity Note that non-controlling interest is withdrawn from profit after tax, as we now only consider a part of equity (namely average shareholders’ equity) Profitability ratios Return on ordinary shareholders’ equity (%) • Ordinary shareholders’ equity includes ordinary share capital and reserves ROSHE= Profit after tax −non−controlling interest −preference dividends x 100 ′ Average ordinary shareholders equity Profit margins • Indication of the percentage of turnover that reflects as profit after deductions are made • Profit margins could influence profitability ratios Higher profit margins should increase profitability levels Profit margins Gross profit margin (%) • Portion of revenue that is realised as gross profit after cost of sales has been subtracted Gross profit GP = x 100 Turnover Please note: Turnover and revenue are synonyms • Higher = better • GP>industry = could hold a competitive advantage • GP could decrease should competition increase Mark-up NB to distinguish between mark-up % and gross profit % Gross profit Mark-up = x 100 Cost of sales Note that gross profit margin is determined as a % of revenue while mark-up is determined as a % of cost of sales Profit margins Operating profit margin (%) • Portion of revenue that is realised as operating profit after operating expenses have been subtracted OP = Operating profit x 100 Revenue • Increasing OP margin = positive sign • Investors should be looking for strong, consistent OP margins Profit margins Earnings before interest and tax margin (%) • Profit made by a company’s operating and investment activities excluding finance cost EBIT = Operating profit + Investment income x 100 Revenue OR Probit before tax + Finance cost EBIT = x 100 Revenue Profit margins Net profit margin (%) • Portion of turnover available after tax is paid • Important to the equity providers Indication of portion of the turnover that belongs to non-controlling interest holders, which can be paid out as ordinary or preference dividends or can be reinvested as part of the company’s reserves Profit after tax NP = x 100 Revenue Turnover ratios • Indicates speed with which an investment in assets is converted into turnover Higher more times per year turnover higher total profit • Factors influencing turnover ratios: Type of products Nature of industry Turnover ratios Total asset turnover ratio (times) • Indicates efficiency with which total assets are utilised to generate turnover Turnover TA = Average total assets • If a company improves the TA ratio while maintaining the same profit margins, its return on assets should increase Turnover ratios Property, plant and equipment turnover ratio (times) • Evaluates the utilisation of a company’s investment in PPE Turnover PPE turnover = Average PPE @ carrying value Carrying Value = Cost price – Accumulated depreciation Turnover ratios Current asset turnover ratio (times) • Number of times per year that the investment in the current assets is converted into turnover Turnover CA turnover = Average current assets Turnover ratios Trade receivables turnover ratio (times) • Number of times per year that investment in trade receivables is converted into turnover Turnover Trade receivables turnover = Average trade receivables A decrease = TR are being used less efficiently, which could also lead to a decrease in the CA turnover ratio. Turnover ratios Inventory turnover ratio (times) • Cost of sales is determined by the amount of inventory that is sold Cost of sales Inventory turnover = Average inventory • • High = less resources are tied up in inventory Very industry specific (e.g. flower shop vs jewellery store) How could efficiency be improved? Recap: Cost of sales calculation Recap that you can use the following equation to determine the cost of sales: Opening balance of inventory + purchases – closing balance of inventory = cost of sales You can hence use the inventory turnover ratio to work back to cost of sales Turnover ratios Trade payables turnover ratio (times) • Evaluates efficiency with which company utilises trade payables to finance its purchases Purchases Trade payables turnover = Average trade payables Purchases = (CB of inventory + COS) – OB of inventory Liquidity ratios • Liquidity refers to ability to honour short-term obligations Adequate liquidity: sufficient current assets to cover current liabilities If liquidity is consistently at insufficient levels = solvency problems could occur Liquidity ratios Current ratio • Compares all current assets and current liabilities Conventional norm of comparison 2:1 Value less than one: less than R1 of current assets to cover R1 of current liabilities – this could indicate insufficient liquidity Current ratio = Current assets Current liabilites • NB: keep in mind the nature and type of business Liquidity ratios Quick (acid-test) ratio • Not all current assets are included (remove “less liquid” CA) Takes time to sell inventory Prepayments cannot be reclaimed • Value of quick ratio more conservative estimate of current assets available to cover current liabilities Quick ratio = Cash + short−term investments + trade receivables Current liabilities OR Current assets − inventory − prepayments Quick ratio = Current liabilites Liquidity ratios Cash ratio • Focus is solely placed on cash and cash equivalents available Cash ratio indicates if sufficient cash is available to cover current liabilities Cash Cash ratio = Current liabilites • • Most conservative liquidity ratio Cash and marketable securities = most liquid Turnover times • Also provide an indication of the liquidity of a firm • Turnover times of current assets provide indication of time (days) it takes to convert investment into turnover • Longer turnover times: weaker liquidity • More efficient management of working capital components could result in improved liquidity • 360 days Turnover times Trade receivables turnover time (days) • Average time it takes to convert investment in TR into turnover Average collection period of trade receivables Average trade receivables Trade receivables turnover time = x 360 Turnover • Increase in the value of ratio over time could be: A sign of decreased liquidity; An indication that credit terms are too lenient Turnover times Inventory turnover time (days) • Average time it takes to convert inventory into turnover Average inventory Inventory turnover time = x 360 Cost of sales • Increase in inventory turnover time = negative effect on liquidity Danger of long inventory turnover time period? Turnover times Trade payables turnover time (days) • Average payment period of trade payables Prefer longer or shorter period? Average trade payables Trade payables turnover time = x 360 Purchases • Trade payables turnover time decreases: trade payables are repaid earlier = negative effect on liquidity Turnover times Cash conversion cycle (CCC) • Indication of the time it takes from when cash is spent on purchase of inventory until it is received back again CCC = Trade receivables turnover time + Inventory turnover time – Trade payables turnover time Inverse relationship between CCC and profitability; could improve profitability by reducing CCC Solvency ratios • Company’s ability to cover its obligations when it closes down its operating activities • Comparison between total assets and total debt capital Assets > Liabilities = solvency is sufficient If this is not the case: long-term survival of the company may be at risk Solvency ratios Debt to assets ratio • Provides an indication of the portion of the total capital requirement that is financed by means of debt capital The higher the value of this ratio, the weaker the solvency position Total debt Debt : assets ratio = Total assets Solvency ratios Debt to equity ratio • Compares amount of debt capital with equity capital • Higher ratio? Total debt Debt : equity ratio = Total equity • DE = 1? Solvency ratios Financial leverage ratio • Average amount of total assets is compared with the average equity capital included in the company’s capital structure Higher ratio? Average total assets Financial leverage ratio = Average total equity • Increase in the ratio reflects an increase in the use of debt capital Coverage ratios Finance cost coverage (times) • Finance cost payable on debt capital = legally enforceable obligation If finance cost is not paid debt capital providers can take legal action to collect it FCC ratio indicates if sufficient profits are available to pay finance cost EBIT Finance cost coverage = Finance cost Coverage ratios Fixed payments coverage ratio (times) • Fixed payments: obligations that company always needs to honour • Usually consist of finance cost and lease payments Profit before tax + finance costs + lease payments FP coverage = Finance costs + lease payments • Less than 1: insufficient profits, solution? Coverage ratios Preference dividend coverage ratio (times) • Indicates if sufficient profits are available to pay preference dividends Preference dividends can only be paid after provision has been made for all other obligations Preference dividend coverage = • Lower or higher ratio? Profit after tax − non−controlling interest Preference dividends Investment ratios • Of importance to existing and potential shareholders potential benefits if the investment in the shares of the company is expected to increase or decrease in value over time Investment ratios Earnings per share (EPS) ratio • Indication of the attributable earnings that was earned per ordinary share during the year (cents) Profit after tax −Non−controlling interest −Preference dividends EPS = Average number of ordinary shares issued Attributable earnings EPS = Average number of ordinary shares issued Possible manipulation? Investment ratios Dividends per share ratio • Indicates the amount that investors receive per share in the form of ordinary dividends (cents) Only a portion of the EPS is declared as an ordinary dividend Portion not paid out reinvested as retained earnings Ordinary share dividend DPS = Average number of ordinary shares Investment ratios Price earnings ratio (P:E) • Indication of how many Rands investors are prepared to pay for each R1 EPS that is earned If P:E ratio is greater than one, it is usually an indication that investors expect company to continue to grow in future Price per share P:E ratio = Earnings per share Investment ratios Dividend payout ratio • Represents portion of attributable earnings that is paid to investors • Remaining portion is reinvested as part of retained earnings Ordinary dividends declared Dividend payout ratio = Attributable earnings • Low dividend payout ratio = more reinvestment which could lead to value creation Investment ratios Ordinary dividend coverage ratio • Ordinary shareholders have last claim on profits Attributable earnings Ordinary dividend coverage = Ordinary dividends declared • Focus is placed on attributable earnings Dividends usually only declared if sufficient profits are available If ODC < 1, reserves from previous years used or additional debt capital obtained Investment ratios Market-to-book-value ratio • Compares market capitalisation of shares with book value of shareholders’ equity Market capitalisation of ordinary shares Market-to-book value = Book value of ordinary shares • • Market capitalisation = MP per share x number of ordinary shares Indication of the price investors are willing to pay in relation to the book value Financial gearing • Effect that the use of debt capital has on ROSE • Two important factors to consider when evaluating financial gearing: ROA Cost associated with debt capital (RD) Financial gearing • If company is able to generate ROA in excess of RD: Return on capital will be higher than its cost; Surplus profit will be transferred to shareholders increasing ROSE Company experience positive financial gearing Financial gearing summary • Positive: ROA>RD and ROSE>ROA • Negative ROA<RD and ROSE<ROA • No financial gearing ROA=RD and ROSE=ROA DuPont analysis ROE: Profit after tax Average equity ROA: Leverage: Profit after tax Average total assets Average total assets Average equity Net profit margin: Total asset turnover: Profit after tax Turnover Turnover Average total assets Tax burden: Interest burden: EBIT Margin: Profit after tax Profit before tax Profit before tax EBIT EBIT Turnover