AE 106 – Management Science Second Semester, SY 2022-2023 Chapter 6 – Quiz – Answer Key Problem 1: A1 (Large Plant) A2 (Small Plant) A3 (Nothing) S1 (Favorable) 200,000 100,000 0 S2 (Unfavorable) -180,000 -20,000 0 Min. Payoff -180,000 -20,000 0 Max. Payoff 200,000 100,000 0 Maximin: Choice is A3, do nothing, since it has the highest minimum payoff of zero among the three alternatives. Maximax: Choice is A1, construct a large plant, since it has the highest maximum payoff of 200,000 among the three alternatives. Regret Criterion: A1 (Large Plant) A2 (Small Plant) A3 (Nothing) S1 (Favorable) 0 100,000 200,000 S2 (Unfavorable) 180,000 20,000 0 Max. Regret 180,000 100,000 200,00 Choice is A2, construct a small plant, since it has the lowest maximum regret of 100,000 among the three alternatives. Hurwicz Criterion: A1 (Large Plant) A2 (Small Plant) A3 (Nothing) S1 (Favorable) 60% 200,000 100,000 0 S2 (Unfavorable) 40% -180,000 -20,000 0 Weighted Average (200,000 x .60) + (-180,000 x .40) = 48,000 (100,000 x .60) + (-20,000 x .40) = 52,000 (0 x .60) + (0 x .40) = 0 Choice is A2, construct a small plant, since it has the highest weighted average of 52,000 among the three alternatives. Accredited: Accrediting Agency of Chartered Colleges and Universities of the Philippines (AACCUP) Member: Philippine Association of State Universities and Colleges (PASUC) Agricultural Colleges Association of the Philippines (ACAP) Problem 2: Expected Monetary Value A1 (Outdoor Venue) A2 (Indoor Venue) S1 (BW) 30% -5,000 8,000 S2 (GW) 70% 15,000 7,000 Weighted Average (-5,000 x .30) + (15,000 x .70) = 9,000 (8,000 x .30) + (7,000 x .70) = 7,300 Choice is A1, outdoor venue, since it has the highest weighted average of 9,000 among the two alternatives. Accredited: Accrediting Agency of Chartered Colleges and Universities of the Philippines (AACCUP) Member: Philippine Association of State Universities and Colleges (PASUC) Agricultural Colleges Association of the Philippines (ACAP)