4/18/2023 Profile International Trade Policy Nguyen Ha Lien Chi, MA. Email: nguyenhalienchi.cs2@ftu.edu.vn Office: Department of International Business and Trade, FTU2 Instructor: Nguyen Ha Lien Chi, MA. 2 Text book & materials Learning outcomes By the end of the module students should be able to: ▸ Critically evaluate the various arguments for and against trade policy (in general as well as specific measures) in terms of their welfare implications; ▸ Use different trad itiona l an d advanced theoretical mod els to demonstrate the welfare effects of trade and integration policies motivated by both strict economic and political economy factors; ▸ Use ITC tools for market access: find and compare trade facts, figures, regulations and barriers ▸ Paul R. Krugman, Maurice Obstfeld (2010), International Economics: Theory and Policy, 9th edition, Pearson Addison Wesley ▸ Bui Xuan Luu, Nguyen Huu Khai (2007), International Trade Policy, Labor Publisher (Vietnamese) 3 Schedule Text book & materials ▸ 4 Lecture Some websites: https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/VNM https://www.wto.org/ https://unctad.org/en/Pages/Home.aspx https://www.trademap.org/Index.aspx https://www.macmap.org/ https://findrulesoforigin.org/home/index https://congthuong.vn/ http://trungtamwto.vn/ https://www.facebook.com/itrade4.0/ (iTrade page created and managed by iTrade team - FTU students) 5 Topic 1 Introduction/Group assignment 2 Theories of trade 3 Theories of trade (continued) 4 World Trade Overview 5 World Trade Overview 6 WTO 7 WTO 8 Tariff 9 Tariff 10 Non–tariff measures 11 Non–tariff measures 12 Non–tariff measures 13 Report Presentation 14 Report Presentation 15 Review and Discussion Note register the topic for report (mid-term) approve the topic submit reports and slides 6 1 4/18/2023 Course Assessment Midterm – Export Potential Report ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ Formation: 6 groups ▸ Topic: Choose 1 product from 1 company to prepare the export potential report Attendance in class: 10% Mid-term: Report & presentation: 30% Final test: 60% (Multiple-choice and essay questions) Discussion & exercises: plus ½ - 1 Any score below 4: fail to join final test ▸ Register: 2rd lecture (approved by lecturer) ▸ Submit on the 9th lecture (hard copy and soft copy in pdf file) ▸ Presentation time: max 15 minutes for presenting, 10 minutes for Q&A. 7 1.1. Overview of the world trade 8 Merchandise trade volume by region (2014 – Q3/2020) 1.1.1. Who trades with whom? (source: WTO-UNCTAD) The key trading partners Using the gravity model Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Merchandise trade volume by region (2014 – Q3/2020) Merchandise trade volume by region (2019 – Q4/2022) (source: WTO-UNCTAD) Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-10 (source: WTO-UNCTAD) 2-11 Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-12 2 4/18/2023 Key trading partners in the world Key trading partners in the world Biggest merchandise importers 2021 (Source: Statista, 2023) Biggest merchandise exporters 2021 (Source: Statista, 2023) 2-13 Key trading partners in the world Key trading partners in the world Top 10 service exporter in Q3 – 2020 (Source: UNCTAD) Ranking:1 Top 10 service importer in Q3 – 2020 (Source: UNCTAD) Ranking: 3 Japan Value: $43B Ranking: 4 Ranking: 9 Ranking: 9 Netherlands Value: $61B Singapore Value: $42B Ranking: 5 Ranking: 8 Germany Value: $74B India Value: $49B China Value: $70B United Kingdom Value: $47B Ranking: 3 Ranking: 8 Ranking: 4 Ranking: 7 China Value: $98B Ireland Value: $63B Germany Value: $74B France Value: $65B Ranking: 2 Ranking: 7 United Kingdom Value: $86B Ireland Value: $56B United States of America Value: $108B Netherlands Value: $65B Ranking: 2 Ranking: 6 Ranking:1 Ranking: 6 United States of America Value: $163B 2-14 Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Ranking: 5 Ranking: 10 France Value: $60B Japan Value: $35B Singapore Value: $39B Ranking: 10 India Value: $35B Vietnam’s partners Vietnam’s partners 2-17 2-18 3 4/18/2023 Using the gravity model Using the gravity model ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ First introduced by Jan Tinbergen (1962) The model is inspired by Newton's law of gravitation in physics. Gravity models have long been used to explain bilateral trade. They explain trade flows between countries i and j by their sizes (GDPs) and a variety of variables capturing the geographic and historical proximity between the two counties (distance, culture, border, and other factors that affect trade barriers). The gravity model’s equation: Where: Tij: the value of trade between country i and country j A: the constant Yi: the GDP of the country i Yj: the GDP of the country j Dij: the distance between country i and j § 2 of the top 10 trading partners with the US in 2019 were also the 2 largest European economies: Germany and the United Kingdom Using the Gravity model: Size matters § These countries have the largest gross domestic product (GDP) in Europe. The size of an economy is directly related to the volume of imports and exports: § Larger economies produce more goods and services, so they have more to sell in the export market § Larger economies generate more income from the goods and services sold, so people can buy more imports. § GD P m e as u re s t he v a l u e of goods and services produced in an economy. § Why does the US trade most with these European countries and not other European countries? Figure 7: The size of European economies and the value of their trade with the US Source: US Department of Commerce, European Commission Using the Gravity model: Distance § § § The United States does markedly more trade with its neighbors than it does with European economies of the same size Distance between market influences transportation costs => cost of imports and exports Distance may also influence personal contact and communication, which may influence trade Estimates of the effect of distance of the gravity model predict that a 1% increase in the distance between countries is associated with a decrease in the volume of trade of 0.7% to 1% Figure 5: Economic Size and Trade with the US Source: US Department of Commerce, European Commission 4 4/18/2023 Using gravity model: Cultural affinity Vietnam Top 5 Merchandise Export Partners in 2019 Using the Gravity model: Other matter Cultural affinity: if two countries have cultural ties, it is likely that § they also have strong economic ties. Geography: ocean harbors and a lack of mountain barriers make § transportation and trade easier. Partner share (%) 61404 23.2 China 41434 15.7 Japan 20427 7.7 Korea 19729 7.5 7162 2.7 Vietnam Top 5 Merchandise Import Partners in 2019 Market nations import and export many goods between their divisions. Borders: crossing borders involves formalities that take time and § Trade (US$ Million) United Stated Hong Kong Multinational corporations: corporations spread across different § Market perhaps monetary costs like tariffs. Trade (US$ million) Partner share (%) China 75586 29.8 Korea 46941 18.5 Japan 19532 Taipei, Chinese 15180 6.0 United States of America 14376 5.7 7.7 Source: UNCTAD 2-25 Using gravity model: MNCs Using gravity model: Geography ▸ ▸ Geography: ocean harbors and a lack of mountain barriers make transportation and trade easier For example, Netherlands and Belgium have traditionally been the point of entry to much of northwestern Europe; Rotterdam in the Netherlands is the most im portant port in Eur ope, as measured by the tonnage handled Antwerp in Belgium ranks second. ▸ § § ▸ ▸ ▸ Multinational corporations (MNCs) spread across different nations import and export many goods between their divisions Foreign affiliates of MNCs account for over one-third of the world exports More than 40% of total exports of China is done by MNCs (UNCTAD 2017) Surprisingly, Ireland plays a special role as host to many U.S-based corporations Over a third of the world trade happens inside MNCs Netherlands, Belgium and Germany are all big trading partners of the US Using gravity model: Borders • ü ü Using gravity model: Borders Borders: borders increase the cost and time needed to trade. • The US has signed a free trade agreement with Mexico and Canada in 1994, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Trade agreements between countries are intended to reduce the formalities and tariffs needed to cross borders, and therefore to increase trade. • Because of NAFTA and because Mexico and Canada are close to the US, the amount of trade between the US and its northern and southern neighbors as a fraction of GDP is larger than between the US and European countries. The gravity model can assess the effect of trade agreements on trade: does a trade agreement lead to significantly more trade among its partners than one would otherwise predict given their GDPs and distances from one another? 2-29 2-30 5 4/18/2023 Using gravity model: Borders • Yet even with a free trade agreement between the US and Canada, which use a common language, the border between these countries still seems to be associated with a reduction in trade. 2-31 2-32 1.1.2. Changing composition of trade Volume and growth rate of international trade What do we trade: changes in trade structure 2-33 Changing Composition of Trade World trade is expected to fall by between 13% and 32% in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic disrupts normal economic activity and life around the world Changing Composition of Trade 2-35 2-36 6 4/18/2023 Changing Composition of Trade • • Changing Composition of Trade • In the past, a large fraction of the volume of trade came What kinds of products do nations currently trade, and how does this composition compare to trade in the past? from agricultural and mineral products. Today, most of the volume of trade is in manufactured products such as automobiles, computers, clothing and machinery. ¨ Services such as shipping, insurance, legal fees and spending by tourists account for 20% of ¨ Mineral products (e.g., petroleum, coal, copper) and agricultural products are a relatively small ¨ the volume of trade. ¨ part of trade. ¨ In 1910, Britain mainly imported agricultural and mineral products, although manufactured products still represented most of the volume of exports. In 1910, the US mainly imported and exported agricultural products and mineral products. In 2002, manufactured products made up most of the volume of imports and exports for both countries. 2-38 Changing Composition of Trade (cont.) Changing Composition of Trade (cont.) 2-39 2-40 Changing Composition of Trade (cont.) Changing Composition of Trade (cont.) • Developing countries, or low and middle-income countries, have also changed the composition of their trade. ¨ In 2001, about 65% of exports from developing countries were manufactured products, and only 10% of exports were agricultural products. ¨ In 1960, about 58% of exports from developing countries were agricultural products and only 12% of exports were manufactured products. 2-41 2-42 7 4/18/2023 1.1.3. International trade situation and prospects Multinational Corporations and Outsourcing ▸ Some tendencies of the world development § Multicultural corporations § Outsourcing ▸ Impacts of those tendencies on the world trade § Before 1945, multinational corporations played a small role world trade. § But today about one third of all US exports and 42% of all US imports are sales from one division of a multinational corporation to another. 2-44 Multinational Corporations and Outsourcing (cont.) Outstanding international trade issues ▸ Important FTAs with Vietnam as a member have been signed • Outsourcing occurs when a firm moves business operations out of the § domestic country. ¨ ¨ The operations could be run by a subsidiary of a multinational corporation. § Or they could be subcontracted to a foreign firm. • Outsourcing of either type increases the amount of trade. § and come into effect European Union & Vietnam (EVFTA) • • signed: 30/6/2019 • • signed: 29/12/2020 • • signed: 15/11/2020 in force: 1/8/2020 United Kingdom – Vietnam (UKVFTA) in force: 1/1/2021 Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) 15 members: Australia, Brunei, Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam 2-45 Outstanding international trade issues § On 31 December 2020, United Kingdom completed its separation from the European Union § On 1 February 2021, the UK government formally applied to join CPTPP, a trade pact between 11 countries (including Vietnam) 2-46 Outstanding international trade issues A trade dispute ramped up between China and Australia § The relationship between the two countries has deteriorated since Australia supported a call for an international inquiry into China’s handling of the coronavirus § China has taken several measures this year that impede Australian imports, ranging from levying tariffs to imposing bans and restrictions. Several Australian export sectors being affected § barley (anti-dumping and anti-subsidy duties of 80.5%) § wine (preliminary anti-dumping duties ranging from around 107% to 212%) * CPTPP: Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership 2-47 2-48 8 4/18/2023 “ “ DISCUSSION What does WTO stand for? 49 “ When did Vietnam become the official member of WTO? 50 “ Which countries are the biggest exporter and importer in the world in 2018-2019? 51 Biggest exporters in 2018-2019 52 Biggest importer in 2018-2019 53 54 9 4/18/2023 “ “ What is the sector that Vietnam export the most in 2019? How is the trade balance of Vietnam in 2019? 55 56 Trade openness: exports plus imports as percent of GDP “ What is international trade policy? See more about Trade openness rankings at https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/rankings/trade_openness/ 57 What are the gains from trade? What determines a distribution of gains? ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ 58 International trade policy International trade policy is a system of appropriate principles, tools and measures that countries apply to regulate international trade activities in order to achieve national goals. v Tariff v Non-tariff measures (NTM) Expansion in Production; Increase in Welfare; Rise in National Income; Vent for Surplus; Technological Development; Increased Competition; Widening of Market; Increase in Investment; Efficient Use of Resources; Stimulus to Growth. 59 60 10 4/18/2023 1.3. INTRODUCTION OF WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION 1.3.1. History of WTO ▸ Created only on 1 January, 1995 by the Marrakesh Declaration ▸ The youngest international organization ▸ Successor to the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade 1.3.1. History 1.3.2. Principles 1.3.3. Structure 1.3.4. Agreement ▸ At end of World War II, internationalism was pursued to support peace ▸ To avoid conflicts based on nationalism ▸ Succeeded in creating: ▸ United Nations ▸ Bretton Woods Institutions ■ International Monetary Fund (IMF) ■ World Bank Background Cont ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ Third institution was to be International Trade Organization (ITO) Objective: avoid conflicts over trade and protectionism Havana Charter to create ITO concluded in March, 1948 Was never ratified because of US Congress Background Cont ▸ While negotiations underway, 23 participants negotiated to reduce and bind tariffs starting in 1946 ▸ To give early boost to liberalizing trade and end protectionism of the 1930’s ▸ Was agreed to liberalize one fifth (1/5th) of world trade and adopt some trade rules in draft ITO Charter 11 4/18/2023 Background Cont ▸ Package called the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) ▸ Entered into effect “provisionally” on 1 January, 1948 ▸ “Provisionally” because Havana Charter was still being negotiated. Those applying GATT became known as Contracting Parties ▸ Remained in force until WTO created Background Cont ▸ GATT continues to exist today as a part of the WTO ▸ Basic principles of GATT also form basis for WTO Background Cont ▸ When Havana Charter failed, GATT became only multilateral instrument governing international trade ▸ Numerous negotiations were conducted under GATT to liberalize trade ▸ Eight in total up to Uruguay Round which created WTO The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) ▸ Multilateral trading system created under GATT is over 50 years old ▸ GATT’s basic pursuit of trade liberalization achieved through “rounds” of trade negotiations ▸ Early “rounds” dealt mainly with tariff reductions ▸ Later rounds added areas such as non-tariff measures, antidumping, etc. Results of GATT ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ Exceptional growth of world trade Merchandize exports grew on average 6% annually. Total trade in 1997 was 14 times that of 1950. Last round (Uruguay Round) added new areas of services and intellectual property and created the WTO. Results Of GATT Cont ▸ Tariffs were reduced to such low levels that in recessions, countries turned to other forms of protectionism. ▸ Market-sharing agreements (voluntary export restraint agreements) were used. ▸ Subsidies were used to encourage exports (particularly with agriculture exports). ▸ Technical barriers were used for trade protection. 12 4/18/2023 Results of GATT Cont Result of GATT Cont ▸ Realities of world trade also were changing. ▸ Trade was more complex and important. ▸ Services trade and international investment had expanded greatly. ▸ Vastly increased membership with new and different interest. ▸ Led to agreement to create a new expanded agreement to encompass all these matters. Multilateral and Regional Approaches ▸ In recent years a variety of bilateral and regional trading arrangements have emerged in addition to multilateral efforts at trade liberalization. ▸ The GATT provides specific rules regarding such arrangements. Similar rules exist for services. ▸ But in practice these have not constrained the growth of preferential arrangements. Membership and Decision-making in the WTO ▸ Some 150 member countries, accounting for over 97% of world trade ▸ Some 30 other countries are negotiating membership. ▸ Decisions are made by entire membership. ▸ While a majority vote is possible, decisions are usually by consensus. ▸ Uruguay Round concluded at Marrakesh brought WTO into existence ▸ Also created General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) ▸ Created Trade Related Intellectual Property Agreement (TRIPs) ▸ And much more Functions of the WTO ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ Administers trade agreements Acts as a forum for negotiations Works to settle trade disputes Reviews national trade policies Assists developing countries with trade policy Cooperates on subjects of mutual interest with other organizations WTO Mission Statement ▸ The World Trade Organization is the only international organization dealing with the global rules of trade between nations. Its main function is to ensure that trade flows as smoothly, predictably and freely as possible. 13 4/18/2023 1.3. 2. WTO’s Fundamental Principles ▸ Complicated legal agreement guiding the international trading system ▸ Based on five, easy to understand, principles: ▸ Trade without discrimination ▸ Freer trade, gradually, through negotiation ▸ Predictability, through binding and transparency Trade without discrimination ▸ This means treating all member countries equally. ▸ It is formally known as the Most-Favoured-nation (MFN) Principle. ▸ For example, if a WTO member lowers its customs duty for a product imported from one country, it must also give the same concession to all other members. ▸ Promoting fair competition ▸ Encouraging development and economic reform Trade without discrimination ▸ Members must also not discriminate between domestic and foreign goods, services or nationals once they have entered the market. ▸ This is known as National Treatment. Trade without Discrimination ▸ A few exceptions are permitted: ▸ For partners in a free trade agreement ▸ For extending better access to developing countries ▸ General waivers ▸ To protect morals, human and animal health and National Security ▸ To counteract unfairly traded products Vietnam’s anti-dumping tax on Chinese steel ▸ After an anti-dumping investigation that started in September 2019, Vietnam’s ministry of industry and trade (MOIT) concluded that Chinese steel producers are dumping their products ▸ Consequently, an anti-dumping tax ranging from 4.43% to 25.22% has been imposed on some coil or sheet cold-rolled steel products from China for five years, starting Dec. 28 Free Trade Gradually, through negotiation ▸ The WTO encourages fair trade by disciplining barriers related to: ▸ Tariffs ▸ Import bans or quotas ▸ Other issues ▸ Now into 9th round of liberalizing negotiations (8 under GATT) 14 4/18/2023 Predictability through Binding and Transparency ▸ “Binding” means setting a fixed upper limit on tariffs and other commitments ▸ Provides stability and predictability ▸ Can be changed only after negotiations with trading partners Binding and Transparency ▸ The WTO discourages the use of less visible and less predictable barriers (e.g. Quotas) ▸ It encourages transparency through requirements to disclose policies and practices and notify WTO of changes. ▸ Conducts trade policy reviews ▸ NOTE: 100% of agriculture products of developed countries have bound tariff rates. Promoting Fair Competition ▸ Rules to establish what is considered fair and unfair competition (e.g. Dumping and subsidies are considered unfair competition.) ▸ Rules to establish how governments can respond to trade disputes. ▸ Specific agreements, such as that on agriculture, aim to support fair competition. Encourage Development and Economic Reform ▸ Fully three quarters of WTO members are developing or transition economies. ▸ WTO rules and mechanisms provide ▸ more time for developing countries to implement undertakings. ▸ special assistance (training, legal advice). ▸ trade concessions (generalized system of tariff preferences). ▸ extend Special and Differential Treatment. Case: Spain – Tariff treatment of unroasted coffee – BISD 28S/102 (1982) More readings on WTO principles: https://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/fact2_e.htm Prior to 1975, imports of unroasted coffee to Spain were subject to a customs duty of 22.5%. In 1975, Spain exempted import of, inter alia, unroasted coffee under its state-trading system from customs duties. In 1979, Spanish authorities enacted Royal Decree No.1764/79 which subdivided imports of unroasted coffee into the categories “Columbian mild” and “other mild” on which no tariff was levied, and the categories “unwashed Arabica”, “Robusta” and “other” which were liable to a 7% of tariff 15 4/18/2023 Organs of the WTO 1.3.3. Structure of the WTO ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ A Ministerial Conference meets every two years. General Council meets regularly at level of Ambassadors. Goods Council administers GATT (including agriculture). Services Council administers GATS. Intellectual Property Council administers TRIPS. Secretariat of the WTO ▸ Director General and Deputy positions selected by members (usually political and term limited) ▸ Staff of over 500; all in Geneva ▸ Secretariat has no decision-making powers. ▸ Provides technical and legal support to councils, committees, working parties and to developing countries 1.3.4. WTO Agreements ▸ Cover goods, services and intellectual property ▸ Include individual countries’ commitments to lower customs tariffs and other trade barriers, and to open and keep open services markets ▸ Set procedures for settling disputes ▸ prescribe special treatment for developing countries ▸ Require governments to make their trade policies transparent by notifying the WTO (Secretariat of the WTO) General Director of WTO Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala A Nigerian-American economist and international development expert • The seventh Director-General of the WTO • Her term starts on 1 March 2021 • • The first woman and the first African to hold the office ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ ▸ WTO Agreements General Agreement on Trade and tariff (GATT) General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) Trade Related Intellectual Property Agreement (TRIPs) Agreement on Trade related investment measures (TRIMs) Agreement on Subsidy and countervailing measures (SCM) Agreement on Agriculture (AoA) Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC) Agreement on Anti-dumping (AAD) Agreement on Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) Agreement on Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures (SPS) Agreement on Custom Valuation (ACV) Agreement on Rules of Origin (ROO) More readings: https://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/agrm1_e.htm http://trungtamwto.vn/chuyen-de/192-van-kien-co-ban-cua-wto 16 4/18/2023 Key Learning Objectives Trade as an Engine of Growth – From Ricardo to 21st Century 1. Understand the concept of comparative advantage, and the way in which it can drive mutually beneficial exchange between countries. 2. Look at trade through the lens of technological differences (Ricardo) and resource endowments (Heckscher-Ohlin). 3. Use Diamond Model to explain competitive advantage of nations. 4. Use these new concepts to better understand the operation of Global Value Chains , and the potential economic gains they can offer. Theories of trade: role of trade policy 2 Outline 1. 2. 3. “ Why do countries trade? – traditional views: exploiting advantages of “single country production” Why does a country can lead and sustain in certain industry? – modern view: Diamond model Why do countries trade – more m odern views: ex ploiting advantages of Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks 1. Why do countries trade? 3 1. Why do countries trade? a. Different concepts of “advantage”. a. Different concepts of advantage b. Productivity differences as a driver of trade (Ricardo). Absolute advantage: One country manufactures goods at a lower (absolute) cost than another. Ø Swiss watches cost $100, Chinese watches cost $20 Ø Swiss t-shirts costs $10, Chinese t-shirts costs $1 => China has an absolute advantage in watch production AND in tshirt production Ø Ø c. Resource endowments as a driver of trade (Heckscher-Ohlin). d. Scale economies as a driver of trade (Krugman/Melitz). 4 5 6 1 4/18/2023 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? a. Different concepts of advantage a. Different concepts of advantage Ø Comparative advantage: One country manufactures goods at a lower cost in terms of Ø foregone resources than another. Ø Switzerland: production of 1 watch = non-production of 10 t-shirts Ø China: production of 1 watch = non-production of 20 tshirts => Switzerland has a comparative advantage in watch production => China has a comparative advantage in t-shirt production Ø Ø Ø 7 Competitive advantage: Firm level: One firm creates and/or maintains a strategic edge over others competing in the same market. Nation level: One nation has advantage over other nations in specific industries when competing globally The popular press often focuses on absolute and competitive advantage in discussing trade relations, but economists believe comparative advantage is in fact more important as an explanation for trade. 8 1. Why do countries trade? b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) Ø 1. Why do countries trade? Basic ideas: Ø Comparative advantage is driven by differences in labour productivity (=“technology”) Ø In the absence of trade, these differences can lead to differences in the prices of inputs as well as outputs and these in turn create incentives to trade. Ø Opening to trade leads to: Ø Ø Ø b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) Ø 1. Why do countries trade? b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) Step One: The Production Side Ø Ø Ø 10 1. Why do countries trade? b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) Ø Equalisation of world relative prices Specialisation by comparative advantage Separation of production and consumption possibilities in each country Increased consumption possibilities for both countries Each country produces the same two goods (watches and tshirts). Producing a certain amount of one product implies not producing a certain amount of another product (opportunity cost). The tradeoff between producing one product rather than the other provides a simple representation of a country’s production technology. 11 12 2 4/18/2023 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) 13 14 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) Ø Step Two: The Consumption Side Ø Ø Ø 15 1. Why do countries trade? In this economy, people consume watches and t-shirts. Consuming more of either good gives them a higher level of utility, but their income limits how much they can consume. It is possible to identify combinations of t-shirts and watches at each income level that represent equal utility for consumers (indifference curves). 16 1. Why do countries trade? b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) 17 18 3 4/18/2023 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) Ø Step Three: Autarky Equilibrium Ø Ø Autarky means that there is no trade, so countries are completely self-sufficient in t-shirts and watches. Equilibrium results from combining the production and consumption sides of the model in each country: producers produce the most they can with the available labor and technological tradeoff, and consumers consume as much as they can given their income. 19 1. Why do countries trade? 20 1. Why do countries trade? b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) 21 1. Why do countries trade? 22 1. Why do countries trade? b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) 23 24 4 Black point: autarky equilibrium (means that no trade - only consume what they consume) 4/18/2023 When countries trade, they focus on their comparatively advantageous product --> move from the black to the red --> they only pro Consumption: consumers produces watches + T-shirt for China --> makes the indifferent trade move higher. 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) Step Four: Equilibrium With Trade Ø Ø Ø Ø Countries open their borders, and so can exchange watches for t-shirts with the other country. There is now one integrated “world market”, with a single production and consumption tradeoff between watches and t-shirts. The new tradeoff lies somewhere between the two original points. Consumers in both countries are able to consume at a higher level of utility than under autarky. 25 26 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) b. Productivity differences (Ricardo) Ø Basic ideas: Comparative advantage is driven by differences in relative resource endowments Ø In the absence of trade, relative shortage or abundance of some resources (inputs) can lead to differences in the prices of inputs as well as outputs and these in turn create incentives to trade [idea of labour-rich country producing labour-intensive goods at a lesser cost]. Ø Opening to trade leads to: Ø Equalisation of world relative prices Ø Partial specialisation in each country according to its comparative advantage q IE, each country specialises in the product that is relatively intensive in the factor in which the country is relatively abundant Ø Separation of production and consumption possibilities in each country Ø Increased consumption possibilities for both countries Ø Ø Summary of the basic Ricardian model: Comparative advantage is driven by differences in labour productivity (=“technology”) Ø Opening to trade leads to: Ø Equalisation of world relative prices Ø Specialisation by comparative advantage Ø Separation of production and consumption possibilities in each country Ø Increased consumption possibilities for both countries Ø 27 28 So sánh tỉ lệ L/K: - Nếu lớn hơn --> labor abundant - Nếu nhỏ hơn --> capital abundant So sánh tỉ lệ P_L/P_K - Nếu lớn hơn --> labor intensive - Nếu nhỏ hơn --> capital intensive 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) Ø c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) In this model, trade has effects on factor incomes (labour and capital): Ø The relative price of the relatively abundant factor increases, while that of the relatively scarce factor decreases. Ø Explains why there are “winners and losers” from trade within a country: depends on the pattern of comparative advantage, and industry links. Ø Basic components: Ø Ø Ø Ø We need to model: Ø Ø Ø 29 2 factors (labour and capital) 2 goods (t-shirts and watches) 2 countries (China, Switzerland) The production side (optimal use of inputs to produce outputs) The consumption side (optimal consumption balance between watches and t-shirts) Market equilibria under autarky and with trade 30 5 4/18/2023 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) Step One: The Production Side Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Labor and capital can be combined to produce either watches or tshirts, but in different ratios. By looking at the amount of labor and capital required to produce one unit of each product, we can identify one product as relatively labor intensive and the other as relatively capital intensive. The two countries differ in resource endowments: China has relatively more labor than capital, and the opposite is true in Switzerland. As a result of different resource endowments, feasible production bundles also differ, with efficient combinations defined by a production possibility frontier. 31 1. Why do countries trade? 32 1. Why do countries trade? c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) 33 1. Why do countries trade? 34 1. Why do countries trade? c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) 35 36 6 4/18/2023 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) Ø c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) Step Two: The Consumption Side Ø Ø As for the Ricardian model, consumers want to consume as much as possible given their income. Indifference curves define combinations of the two products that give equal utility to consumers. 37 38 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) Ø Step Three: Autarky Equilibrium Ø Ø Ø As in the Ricardian model, equilibrium is where consumers consume efficiently and producers produce efficiently. The point on the diagram is the tangent betwee n an indifference curve and the production possibility frontier. The differently shaped curves in the two countries give different levels of autarkic consumption and production. 39 1. Why do countries trade? 40 1. Why do countries trade? c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) 41 42 7 4/18/2023 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) Ø Step Four: Equilibrium With Trade. As in the Ricardian model, opening to trade results in an integrated “world” market, with a single relative price. At the new relative price, consumers in both countries move to a higher indifference curve, so they are experiencing greater utility. Production continues along the frontier. The difference between consumption and production is made up by imports Ø Ø Ø and exports. 43 44 Nhu cầu tăng --> tăng giá thuê Giàu về lao động, k cần nhiều vốn --> giá giảm 1. Why do countries trade? 1. Why do countries trade? c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) Ø c. Resource differences (Heckscher-Ohlin) Summary of the basic Heckscher-Ohlin model: Ø Comparative advantage is driven by differences in resource endowments Opening to trade leads to: Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Equalisation of world relative prices Partial specialisation in each country according to its comparative advantage q Ø IE, each country specialises in the product that is relatively intensive in the factor in which the country is relatively abundant Separation of production and consumption possibilities in each country Increased consumption possibilities for both countries 46 1. Why do countries trade? Ø 1. Why do countries trade? d. Scale economies (Krugman/Melitz) Ricardo and Heckscher-Ohlin concentrate on modelling two (perfectly) different homogeneous goods. What about a single (imperfectly) differentiated good? Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Imagine that consumers “love variety” Imagine there is a “fixed cost” for each producer in differentiating her goods from those of other producers The size of the market determines the number of product varieties available, because each producer has to sell enough to cover her fixed costs Hence, increasing the size of the market - e.g., by opening to trade increases the number of varieties available in equilibrium… Which increases consumption possibilities The relative price of the relatively abundant factor increases, while that of the relatively scarce factor decreases. Explains why there are “winners and losers” from trade within a country: depends on the pattern of comparative advantage, and industry links. 45 d. Scale economies (Krugman/Melitz) Ø Trade has effects on factor incomes (labour and capital) in this model: Ø More recent theories emphasize productivity differences across firms: opening to trade leads to a “shake out” in which the least productive firms exit the market, and the most productive grow. Ø 47 Trade increases sectoral productivity, which can drive growth. 48 8 4/18/2023 1. Why do countries trade? Ø 1. Why do countries trade?- Are there any costs? Consolidation: Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø The key concept in explaining the gains from trade is com p ar ativ e ad v a nt ag e ( no t a bs o lu t e ad v a nt a g e o r competitive advantage). Countries can have different comparative advantages due to technological differences, or different resource endowments. Models like Ricardo and Heckscher-Ohlin use differences as a way of explaining the gains from trade, i.e. inter-industry trade. More recent models like Krugman and Melitz look at similar products within an industry. Scale economies can drive consumer gains through intra-industry trade. Although trade can bring important economic benefits, the adjustment from a protected economy to a more open one can be painful for particular groups: Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø 49 Unemployment and/or lower incomes as industries contract. Higher prices for some goods as distortions are removed. In addition, there are concerns about the extent to which vulnerable and historically marginalized groups, including women, can benefit from the opportunities offered by trade. Economists accept that there is a strong case for using complementary policies (i.e., policies in areas other than trade) to mitigate these losses. Examples include adjustment assistance for displaced workers, or antidiscrimination laws. From an economic standpoint, the gains of the “winners” from trade liberalization are typically sufficient to more than compensate the “losers”, but redistribution rarely takes place in reality—which makes it difficult to sustain the political momentum behind liberalization. 50 Diamond Model 2. Competitive Advantage of Nations, by Michael Porter • Research: • 4 years • 10 countries: Denmark, Germany, • Italy, United States, Switzerland, Sweden, United Kingdom, Japan, Singapore, Korea. More than 30 researchers 51 Purpose: - analyze a specific factor to see it have a competitive advantage of not. VD: Vietnam with rice, electrical components Vietnam's automobile sector Factor Conditions Hierarchies among Factors Two particular distinctions stand out: ü ü ü ü ü ü Climate, location, debt capital, labor skills highway system, supply of debt capital 52 ü ü ü ü educated personnel, university research, advanced technology narrowly specialized trained personnel 53 Factor Endowment Categories 1. Human Resources: quantity, skills, cost of personnel 2. Physical Resources: abundance, accessibility, quality, location of physical resources 3. Knowledge Resources: stock of trained people, university and market knowledge. 4. Capital Resources: amount and cost of capital available to finance industry. 5. Infrastructure: type, quality and user cost of inf. available that affects competition (i.e. transportation system, health care, etc.) 54 9 4/18/2023 Demand Conditions Related and Supporting Industries Home Demand Composition Competitive Advantages in Supplier Industries • provide efficient and cost effective access to inputs • on-going coordination and the process of innovation and upgrading close to home Segment Structure of Demand Sophisticated and Demanding Buyers Anticipatory Buyer Needs Demand Size and Pattern of Growth 1. Size of Home Demand 2. Number of independent buyers 3. Rate of Growth of Home Demand 4. Early Home Demand 5. Early Saturation Competitive Advantage in Related Industries 1. Related industries involve industries which can share (computers and application software) or those in which firms can coordinate activities in the value chain when competing. 2. National success in an industry is likely if the nation has competitive adv. in a number of related industries Internationalization of Domestic Demand 1. Mobile or Multinational Local Buyers 2. Influences on Foreign Needs: by visiting trainees, demonstration effects, cultural dissemination via media and political alliances/historical ties 55 Firm Strategy, Structure, and Rivalry Strategy and Structure of Domestic Firms Nations will succeed in industries where management practices and modes of organization favored by the national environment are well suited to the industries' sources of competitive advantage. Goals Nations will succeed in industries where goals and motivations are aligned with the sources of competitive advantage Domestic Rivalry Having strong competition at home drives firms to pursue upgrading and innovation, enter foreign markets to increase market of fill capacity, and even creates stronger survivors for the global market. 56 The Role of Chance - Chance events are related to acts of pure invention, technological discontinuities, discontinued input costs, shifts in financial markets or exchange rates, surges of regional or world demand, politics, wars. - allows for shifts in competitive positions: Can nullify advantages of previous leaders and open the way for new firms/nations to take a local or global lead. - have asymmetric impacts on different nations. The Role of Government - influencing the 4 determinants: Its positive or negative influence can have a significant impact in the success of an industry or a firm in the nation. - Government policy can be in turn influenced by the 4 determinants. 57 58 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks Ø GVCs are complex, interlinked networks of economic activity. Trade in goods. Ø Trade in services. Ø Investment. Ø Movement of ideas. Ø Movement of people A typical GVC consists of a lead firm, and a potentially large number of suppliers at various levels. Trade in intermediate inputs is intense, and goods can travel across borders multiple times during the production process (more than half of world Ø Ø Ø manufactured imports are intermediate goods, and more than 70% of world services imports are intermediate services) Ø 59 The lead firm is responsible for creating and maintaining the network, and typically also supplies intellectual property (like designs) and marketing. Suppliers take care of component sourcing and manufacture, as well as assembly. 60 10 4/18/2023 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks Ø Ø Ø Ø The concept of comparative advantage is not new; Ricardo first wrote about it in 1817. Ø Do these basic ideas about the gains from trade still apply in a new trade landscape, where Global Value Chains (GVCs) are becoming increasingly important? Ø To examine this question, we first look at what GVCs are and how they work, then we consider how they fit with standard trade paradigms. Ø The key concept behind GVCs is “trading in tasks”. Instead of specializing in production of a complete product like a watch or a t-shirt, firms (and countries) can specialize in much narrower activities, like production of a particular component, or assembly, or a service like research and development, design, or marketing. Comparative advantage can still drive trade within GVCs, with similar economic gains to the ones already seen. But how do we deal with the fact that GVC logic leads some countries to specialize in high value added tasks (like design), while others specialize in low value added tasks (like assembly)? Ø 61 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks Ø But in fact, specialization with different levels of value addition is already there in our simple models. Under a basic comparative advantage framework, a country can still benefit from trade even though it is less productive absolutely than another country in all sectors. Ø Ø 63 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks Ø Ø The reason is that comparative advantage is a relative concept focusing on opportunity costs, not an absolute one. In our models, countries have different productivity levels, and one specializes in a “high tech” sector (watches), and the other in a “low tech” sector (t-shirts)… but both still gain from trade. 64 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks Concretely, what kinds of economic benefits can low value added tasks supply in a poor country? Ø 62 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks Ø Ø Value added follows a “smile” pattern in many GVCs: high at the two extremes of the production process, lowest in the middle. A Smaller Slice… Of a Larger Pie. Emplo yment in the f ormal sect or f or a w age, co mpa re d wi th t he counterfactual of the informal sector (lower wages and typically worse conditions) or agriculture (perhaps no wage, but subsistence only). Low value added activities like assembly typically require foreign inputs, but there is evidence that domestic and foreign value added are complements: opening to trade allows faster sectoral growth than otherwise. But of course, moving up to higher value added activities is an important medium term goal. Ø Ø Activities like research and development have economic spillovers that can support faster long-run growth. Market-based processes can support moving up when labor markets tighten, assuming that there is a sufficient human capital base—so education is a more vital investment than ever for developing countries. 65 Transport Equipment Industry in Thailand; Source: Shepherd (Forthcoming) based on OECD-WTO data. 66 11 4/18/2023 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks - Changing Pattern of Regional Trade Trade in Value Added and Global Value Chains, by country • • Source: Yamano, Meng, Fukasaku (2011) https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/miwi_e/countryprofiles_e.htm https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/miwi_e/miwi_e.htm 67 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks – Sector level 68 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks Ø Ø Ø Comparative advantage reasoning is still powerful in explaining the spread and operation of GVCs. Even though the nature of trade is changing, there is still potential for countries at all income levels to reap significant economic gains. GVCs also pose issues of social and environmental sustainability. 69 3. Global Value Chains and Trading in Tasks Factors affecting competitiveness in GVCs Ø Ø Ø Ø Conclusion on why countries trade 1. Natural factors Ø Country’s geographic location Endowment of natural resources Size of the economy 2. Other factors might be changed by the right policy mix. Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Infrastructure, Skills of workforce, Trade and investment barriers Border procedures Macroeconomic stability, access to finance, and the overall ease of doing business. Technology absorptive capacity 70 3. 71 The key concept for understanding why countries trade is comparative advantage. It can drive mutually beneficial exchange between countries. Traditional trade theory focuses on technological differences (Ricardo) and resource endowments (Heckscher-Ohlin) as drivers of comparative advantage. GVCs present the new paradigm of trading in tasks, but comparative advantage reasoning is still relevant—and suggests why even low value added activities can have economic benefits for developing countries. 72 12 Content 3.1. The purpose and role of imports 3.2. Basic principles and import policies of Vietnam Chapter 3: Import policy 3.3. Measures for import management 3.1. The purpose and role of imports o Additional imports: Importing goods that cannot be produced domestically or produced but cannot meet demand o Substituted Import: Importing goods that are domestically produced would not be as profitable as imports. Promote the process of industrialization and modernization “Industrialization and modernization is the process of fundamental a nd com preh ensive tra nsf orm ation of pr o d uc ti o n, b us i n es s , s e r vi ce a nd so ci o - ec o n o m ic management activities, from mainly using manual labor to using labor power with advanced and modern technology, means and methods, based on the development of industry and scientific and technological progress, creating high social labor productivity. Facilities: Modern technology, devices Import 3.1. The purpose and role of imports o Speeding up the process of building material and technical foundations, and transforming the economic structure in the direction of industrialization and modernization of the country o Timely supplementing imbalanced aspects of the economy, ensuring balanced and stable economic development o Contributing to the improvement and raising of people's living standards o Actively promote exports Timely supplementing imbalanced aspects of the economy The world plastic industry value chain Purpose: high social labor productivity 6 1 Timely supplementing imbalanced aspects of the economy Timely supplementing imbalanced aspects of the economy The value chain of the downstream segment 8 7 Timely supplementing imbalanced aspects of the economy Supply - Demand Timely supplementing imbalanced aspects of the economy Supply - Demand 9 Timely supplementing imbalanced aspects of the economy Supply - Demand 10 Timely supplementing imbalanced aspects of the economy 11 Supply - Demand of Vietnam 12 2 Timely supplementing imbalanced aspects of the economy Contributing to the improvement and raising of people's living standards v v v Import of means of production to serve the production of consumer goods Satisfying people's direct needs for consumer goods Ensuring inputs for production to create stable jobs for workers 13 14 Importing raw materials and plastic products Actively imports promote exports Ø Ø Import creates a driving force to promote export Import nurtures export 15 16 17 18 3 The share of import and export in the textile and garment industry in the period 2012-2014 Nguồn: Viet Capital 20 19 3.2. Basic principles and import policies of Vietnam The relationship between inport and export About turnover: 3.2.1. Import principles Balance of trade The main means of import is export Ø U sin g imp or t c ap i ta l s p ari n gl y - r a tio n ally effectively Ø Importing modern and advanced technical equipment suitable to Vietnam's conditions Ø Protect and promote the development of domestic production and increase exports About the product: Good export structure --> Reasonable import structure Reasonable import structure --> good export structure (high processing content, high value of goods, good quality), large foreign currency revenue Through the method of barter 21 Using import capital sparingly rationally - effectively ICOR Index of Vietnam 2011-2017 Reasons: Ø Inevitability Ø Import capital is too little, demand is high Ø Level of management and use of capital 24 4 I m p o r t i ng m o d e r n a n d ad va n ce d t ec h n i ca l equipment suitable to Vietnam's conditions Requirement: Using capital effectively, spending foreign currency to import materials for production and life, encouraging domestic production to replace imported goods Reasons Increase production efficiency Take shortcuts to catch up with other countries in the region Ø Avoid environmental pollution Ø Determine the structure of imported goods in a reasonable way Ø General standards for imported technical equipment Must produce high quality productivity Material saving Ø Machinery and equipment must meet quality and specifications Ø Ensure ecological problems Ø Ø Thoroughly research the market to import good products at the right price 26 25 I m p or t i n g m o de rn an d a d v an c e d t e ch n i c al equipment suitable to Vietnam's conditions Basis for determining equipment and machinery suitable to Vietnam's conditions: Ø Import capital Ø Objectives and tasks of economic development in each period (industrialization and modernization) Ø Resources and ability to exploit in the country Ø Level of management and use of technology Ø Weather conditions, climate in Vietnam Protect and promote the development of domestic production and increase exports Reasons to protect domestic production Ø The goal of political and social stability Ø Enhancing the competitiveness of domestic ma n uf a ct u ri ng in d u s t ri es , g ra d ua l ly re d u ci n g dependence on outsiders 27 28 Imports increase exports rapidly Importing promotes the development of domestic production, creating a diversified source of goods for export. 3.2. Basic principles and import policies of Vietnam 3.2.2. Import Policy Content: Prioritize the import of machinery and equipment with new technology to serve the implementation of the goals of the country's industrialization and modernization, and for export growth. Save foreign currency, only import materials for export production and consumer goods production to minimize import demand. For example: cotton yarn (textiles), fertilizer, iron and steel... Legitimate protection of domestic production. The relationship between import and export: Turnover Product Market 29 5 3.3. Measures for import manegement Bound Tariffs v Maximum level of customs tariffs to which a WTO Member is committed toward other Members. 3.3.1. Import tariff Concept o Types of customs tariffs under the WTO Tariff – tax levied on a good when it crosses a national border • import tariff/tax – much more common • export tariff/tax – less common Types of customs tariffs under the WTO v Bound tariffs are set on a product-by-product basis and classified based on Harmonized System (HS). v Bound tariffs are not partnerspecific (same commitment toward all WTO members) Applied Tariffs v Tariff actually imposed by a country on goods imported into their markets. v Published and administered by national customs authorities. v Sometimes lower than the Bound tariffs. v Cannot be raised above the bound rates without compensation (among WTO countries). v Include: § Most Favoured Nation (MFN) tariffs § Non-MFN tariffs § Preferential tariffs Types of customs tariffs Applied tariffs in Market Access Map MFN Tariff Non-MFN Tariff Preferential Tariffs Ad Valorem Tariff Types of customs tariffs Australia applies MFN tariff of 5% on imported wine (2204.21.20) French wine Price without tariff AUD 8 New Zealand wine Price without tariff AUD 6 Tariff paid = Price × Rate Tariff paid AUD 0.40 Price including tariff: AUD 8.40 Tariff paid AUD 0.30 Price including tariff: AUD 6.30 6 Specific Tariffs and their Effects on Price Compound Tariffs Switzerland imports beef (0201.30.99) from Argentina Tariff = CHF 2,212 100 kg gross Before Border CHF 32 / kg CHF 22 / kg CHF 10 / kg Low quality beef imported from Sri Lanka into Germany 0.127 EUR/1 kg CHF 62 / kg Tariff = 5.1% × 80 EUR + 0.127 EUR/kg × 10 kg = 5.35 EUR CHF40 / kg CHF 10 / kg Low quality Prime quality beef beef Prime quality beef Price with tariff = 85.35 EUR (package of 10 kg) The prime beef is now only ≈ 2 times the price of the low-quality beef The prime beef is 4 times the price of the low-quality beef Mixed Tariffs Leather shoes (6405.10.119) imported from Viet Nam to Japan Branded shoes JPY 1,000/ pair Final Price: 5,300 yen / pair Technical Tariffs MFN Tariff = 30% or 4,300 yen/pair, whichever is the greater Tariffs that include product-specific technicalities. Examples: Importing country Option 1 30% ×1,000 yen/pair = 300 yen/pair Option 2 4,300 yen/pair Tariff = 4,300 yen/pair Russian Federation 8703.32.90.9 3 New Zealand 9508.10.00 United States 9109.10.10 30% ×300 yen/pair JPY 300 / pair = 90 yen/pair Final Price: 4,600 yen / pair Option 2 4,300 yen/pair Tariff = 4,300 yen/pair Non-Ad Valorem Tariffs The share of national tariff lines (NTL) with non-ad valorem tariffs varies depending on the importing country. Examples: Switzerland Product Description NTLC Option 1 Unbranded shoes MFN Tariff 5.1% + 12.7 EUR/100 kg Price w/o tariff = 80 EUR (package of 10 kg) CHF 22 / kg CHF40 / kg After Border CHF 22 / kg tariff Roasted coffee substitutes (NTLC 2101.30.19.00) 80.8% of tariff lines Russia 14.6% of tariff lines EU 11.1% of tariff lines USA 8.5% of tariff lines Thailand 7.5% of tariff lines South Africa 3.8% of tariff lines Motor cars and other motor vehicles principally designed for the transport of persons (other than those of heading 8702), including station wagons and racing cars: Other vehicles, with compression-ignite Roundabouts, swings, shooting galleries and other fairground amusements; travelling circuses and travelling menageries; travelling theatres: Travelling circuses and travelling menageries Alarm clock movements, complete and assembled, electrically operated, with opto-electronic display only Customs duty as reported 2.2 euro per cm³ of engine volume The rates applicable to the separate components 3.9% on the movement + 5.3% on the battery Tariff Rate Quota (TRQ) A two-tiered tariff: § The first level of tariff, inside-quota tariff rate (IQTR), applies up to a specified quantity of import (contingent). § A higher customs tariff, outside-quota tariff (OQTR), is levied on the imported goods outside of the contingent . Quantity imported OQTR Contingent IQTR 0 7 Tariff Rate Quota (TRQ) Tariff Rate Quota (TRQ) The United States applies TRQ on imports of (5201.00.18) Cotton originating from Burkina Faso Quantity imported OQTR $314 / Ton Contingent 326 metric IQTR $0 / Ton tons 0 Tariff Rate Quota (TRQ) Inside-quota NTLC: •National Tariff Line Code (NTLC) used to define the product for claiming the inside-quota tariff. •Generally the same as the outside-quota NTLC •Some countries apply different NTLCs for the same product depending on whether it is imported inside the contingent or outside of it. Product coverage: The list of products covered by the TRQ. Country coverage: The list of countries that can claim an allocation or a portion of the TRQ. Administration method: The method used to manage the TRQ allocation. Tariff Rate Quota (TRQ) Categories of principal TRQ administration methods Applied tariffs: No shares are allocated to importers. Imports of the products concerned are allowed into the territory of the Member in unlimited quantities at the in-quota tariff rate or below. Auctioning: Importers' shares are allocated, or licenses issued, largely on the basis of an auctioning or competitive bid system. First-come, first-served (at the border): No shares are allocated to importers. Imports are permitted entry at the in-quota tariff rates until such a time as the tariff quota is filled; then the higher tariff automatically applies. The physical importation of the good determines the order and hence the applicable tariff. Licenses on demand: Importers' shares are generally allocated, or licenses issued, in relation to quantities demanded and often prior to the commencement of the period during which the physical importation is to take place. This includes methods involving licenses issued on a first-come, firstserved basis and those systems where license requests are reduced pro rata where they exceed available quantities. Historical importers: Importers' shares are allocated, or licenses issued, principally in relation to past imports of the product concerned. Imports undertaken by state trading entities: Import shares are allocated entirely or mainly to a state trading entity which imports (or has direct control of imports undertaken by intermediaries) the product concerned. Producer groups or associations: Import shares are allocated entirely or mainly to a producer group or association which imports (or has direct control of imports undertaken by the relevant Member) the product concerned. Other: Administration methods which do not clearly fall within any of the above categories. Mixed allocation methods: Administration methods involving a combination of the methods as set out above with no one method being dominant. Ad valorem equivalents (AVEs) Non-ad valorem tariff presented as a % of the value of goods cleared through customs o Measure the effect of different types of tariff on product prices, as if they were ad valorem o Allow for comparison of tariffs across different countries and products o Measure the effect of different types of tariff on product prices, as if they were ad valorem o Allows calculation of average tariffs for a product group, e.g. agricultural products Ad valorem equivalents (AVEs): calculation • AVEs express specific tariffs in percentages • AVE depends on the unit value, i.e. value of 1 unit of the product Specific tariff ($) AVE (%) = X 100 Unit value ($)* Value imported Quantity imported (need to use same measurement unit) 8 Exercise: Ad valorem equivalents (AVEs) For a particular specific tariff, the lower is the unit value, the higher will be the ad valorem equivalent. Let’s check. Imagine Switzerland applies a tariff of $50 per ton to imported fish fillets 1. If one ton of South Africa’s exported fish fillets cost $200, what is the equivalent ad valorem tariff? Welfare effects 2. If one ton of Ghana’s exported fish fillets cost $100, what is the equivalent ad valorem tariff? quốc gia nhỏ: kim ngạch nhỏ, không đủ ảnh hưởng đến kim ngạch quốc tế --> thay đổi giá trong quốc gia nhỏ không đủ làm thay đổi giá thế giới --> khi mở cửa, quốc gia nhỏ phải chấp nhận bán giá quốc tế. Consumer & Producer Surplus 1) Consumer surplus – additional benefit obtained by the buyer of a good • difference between the maximum that the buyer is willing to pay and the actual price • area below demand and above price 2) Producer surplus – additional benefit obtained by the seller of a good • difference between the minimum that the seller is willing to accept and the actual price • area above supply and below price Consumer & Producer Surplus (cont.) When combined, the areas of consumer surplus and producer surplus represent the total welfare to the nation resulting from the sale of this good. Trong trường hợp nhập khẩu, giá nhập khẩu phải nhỏ hơn giá trong nước Tariff Welfare Effects – Small Nation Before Trade: Consumer surplus is area in red. Producer surplus is area in green. Tariff Welfare Effects – Small Nation With Free Trade: Consumer surplus increases by areas a,b,c,d,e,f and g. Producer surplus decreases by areas a and e. world price The overall increase in welfare is b,c,d and f. 9 Tariff Welfare Effects – Small Nation With Tariff: c = revenue effect = lost consumer surplus now government rev. a = redistributive effect = shift from consumer to producer surplus b + d = deadweight loss = benefits lost to all parties b = protective effect d = consumption effect Tariff Welfare Effects – Large Nation With Free Trade: Consumer surplus increases substantially. Producer surplus decreases but to a lesser degree. The overall increase in welfare is b,c,d and the triangle above. Tariff Welfare Effects – Large Nation Revenue Effect: In this case there are two separate portions: c = domestic revenue effect = prior U.S. consumer surplus e = terms-of-trade effect = redistribution of income from foreign nation area e > (b+d) leads to more domestic welfare Tariff Welfare Effects – Large Nation Before Trade: U.S. consumer surplus is area in red U.S. producer surplus is area in green. Tariff Welfare Effects – Large Nation With Tariff: c + e = revenue effect = consumer surplus now government rev. a = redistributive effect = shift from consumer to producer surplus b + d = deadweight loss = benefits lost to all parties b = protective effect d = consumption effect above. Effective versus Nominal Rates of Protection The amount of protection given to any one product depends not only on the tariff rate but also on tariffs on the inputs used to produce the good Nominal rate of protection: tariff rate levied on a given product mức bảo hộ danh nghĩa Effective rate of protection: nominal rate + tariffs on intermediate inputs mức bảo hộ hiệu quả Value added: price of a good minus the costs of intermediate goods used to produce it (the contributions of labour and capital at a given stage of production) 6-60 10 Effective versus Nominal Rates of Protection (cont.) In sum, effective rate of protection = (VA* - VA) / VA VA = amount of domestic value added under free trade; VA* = domestic value added after taking into account all tariffs (on both final goods and intermediate inputs) 6-61 4/18/2 023 62 Effective versus Nominal Rates of Protection (cont.) Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 6-63 11 Discussion question: What are non-tariff measures? Reminder: Market access 1) Definition? 2) Any examples? Click to add text 3) Who applies them? Market access for goods refers to the conditions, customs tariffs and non-tariff measures, applied by countries to goods imported into their markets. Related terms Definition Non-tariff measures (NTMs) Official policy measures on export and import, other than ordinary customs tariffs, than can potentially have an effect on international trade in goods, changing quantities traded, or prices or both. Non-tariff barriers (NTBs) Mandatory requirements, rules or regulations legally set by the government of the exporting, importing or transit country (in contrast to private standards which are not legally set) Different definitions: “NTMs with a discriminatory intent” / “NTMs that negatively affect international trade” in ITC’s work, the first definition is used Can affect both export and import 5 NTM Classification • Logic linked to WTO agreements • Correspondence with the EU Helpdesk taxonomy QUIZ: Which of these NTMs are real? 1. A country bans imports of a popular chocolate eggshaped candy. Importers who violate the ban are fined $2500 per chocolate egg. 2. A country requires imported skis to adhere to rigorous product design standards, because of the “unique” snow in that specific country. 3. Imported oranges are allowed to be green, but only if the green does not cover more than 1/5th of the fruit’s surface area. 4. A country only clears imported lobsters if the lobsters are alive. The country begins inspecting all lobsters, which causes them to die while waiting for inspection. The lobsters do not clear customs. The necessity of non-tariff protection globalization Why do governments impose NTMs? • NTMs can be introduced for legitimate reasons, for example protection of human, animal and plant health • But can also be misused as an instrument of protection Some points of view: • Non-tariff protection is necessary in the period of international economic integration • Non-tariff protection is necessary considering national competition and resource allocation Why do countries use NTMs? Importing Country • • • • Health and safety of consumers Environmental factors Infant industry protection Achieve political goals Why do countries use NTMs? Exporting Country • • • Ensure adequate supply for the domestic market Maintain quality Ensure best value for their exports NTMs are not necessarily a trade barrier They play an important role in enabling trade The necessity of non-tariff protection globalization -->Protect domestic manufacturing industries, develop production, encourage exports and create growth momentum under the pressure of globalization. Should not giving protection uncontrollably--> must follow a few basic principles: • Only protect goods that are domestically produced to meet the needs of economic growth, have potential for future development, generate budget revenue and solve labor problems. Purpose of non-tariff protection For Vietnam: Ø Subjective perspective: the economy is backward, undergoing transformation, the elements of the market economy have not been created synchronously and there are many shortcomings --> poor competitiveness Ø Objective perspective: • The protection is uniform for all economic sectors, including foreign-invested enterprises. ü Without protection, the economy will develop unbalanced, heavily dependent on external factors • The protection policy is specified in each case, from time to time and does not provide permanent protection for any goods. ü Vietnam needs to improve its competitiveness in terms of micro and macro • Protection of the domestic market must be consistent with the process of trade liberalization and international agreements that the Government of Vietnam has signed. ü Protection is a tool by which we can “bargain” in exchange for certain political favors. How do exporters and importers experience non-tariff measures? Exporters of agricultural products report more problems than those in manufacturing Share of exporters who encounter burdensome NTMs, by sector Source: ITC (2015);The Invisible Barriers to Trade – How Businesses Experience Non-Tariff Measures; www.intracen.org/publications/ntm The trade-hampering measures lie much closer to home than one might expect The challenge? SPS & TBT measures for agriculture, rules of origin for manufacturing Technical requirements Distribution of reported NTM cases, by country applying the measure Regulations on product characteristics, quality, poduction process. etc. Conformity assessment Home (exporting) country Technical inspections, testing, certification etc to prove compliance with technical regulations OECD countries Inspections and other entry formalities Customs clearance and border control Charges and taxes Service charges, customs surcharges, etc. Quantity control measures Agriculture Quotas, licences, prohibitions Manufacturing Rules of origin and related certificate Other developing countries Criteria & related certificate to determine the country of origin of a product. Other import-related measures Finance measures, anti-competitive measures, trade remedies, etc. Regional trade agreeement partners Source: ITC business surveys on NTMs; www.ntmsurvey.org Most regulations pose a problem because of procedural obstacles What types of home country procedural obstacles are reported? Share of NTM cases, by type of difficulty High cost 24% Exporting Admin burden 15% Delays 42% Exporting country Lack of facilities 7% Other 12% Source: ITC (2015);The Invisible Barriers to Trade – How Businesses Experience Non-Tariff Measures; www.intracen.org/publications/ntm Source: ITC (2015);The Invisible Barriers to Trade – How Businesses Experience Non-Tariff Measures; www.intracen.org/publications/ntm Where should we look to find the solutions? Source: ITC (2015);The Invisible Barriers to Trade – How Businesses Experience Non-Tariff Measures; www.intracen.org/publications/ntm Other Lack of recognition/ accreditation Discriminatory behaviour of officials Information/ transparency issues Lack of sector-specific facilities Location of the procedural obstacles Customs authority Ministry in charge of international trade Ministry in charge of agriculture Ministry in charge of public health Public/private organization for standard and quality Chamber of commerce and trade support institution Public/private organizations for certification Ministry in charge of environmental affairs Public/private organizations for inspection Products testing and analysis laboratory Port authority Airport Ministry in charge of finance Other ministries/agencies Other private companies/banks Not specified Administrative burdens related to regulation procedural obstacles Time constraints Type of Informal or unusually high payment Distribution of procedural obstacles, by agency How do we know this? ITC’s business surveys ... document the experiences of companies that are involved in international trade and identify at product, sector and partner country level the predominant regulatory and procedural trade obstacles. • NTMs imposed by importing countries • NTMs imposed by exporting countries • Identification of existing national procedures and facilities that could use strengthening • Coverage of gaps in understanding of specific measures resulting form a lack of access to relevant information NTM series of more than 40 publications & survey results available at www.ntmsurvey.org 20 List of goods banned from import (negative list) Ø It is a measure decided by a competent state agency not to bring goods from a separate customs area into the country or from abroad into the territory of Vietnam. Groups of non-tariff measures and tools Decree 187/2013/ND-CP dated November 20, 2013 Circular 04/2014/TT-BCT Article 8-10 Law on Foreign Trade Management 2017 Quantitative Restrictive Measures 21 List of goods banned from import (negative list) 22 Import quota List of goods banned from import: a) Regarding national defense and security, which has not yet been permitted to be imported by a competent state agency; b) Causing harm to the health and safety of consumers; c) Causing bad influence on social order and safety, social morality, fine customs and traditions; d) Causing harm to the environment and biodiversity, having a high risk of carrying harmful organisms, threatening food security, production and export of Vietnam, and infringing upon intellectual property rights; e) According to international treaties to which Vietnam is a contracting party. Ø Import quota is a measure decided by a competent state agency to be applied to limit the quantity, volume and value of goods imported into the territory of a country. Ø Classification: + Export quota + Import quota 23 Import quota Ø The effect of Import quota: 24 Import quota Ø The impact of quotas: Ø Changes taking place in the economy: • Increase product price • Declining consumer demand • Domestic production increases • Imports decrease Ø The consumers, producers surplus and the government revenue will change as follows: • Producer: +A • Government: 0 • Importers: +C • Consumers : - A - B - C - D • Social welfare : -B - D 25 26 Import quota Import quota WTO’s view on quotas: Not supported because: Vietnam's commitment to join WTO: Ø Doesn't show transparency Ø Quota: Not apply to protect domestic production Ø Easy to go to the wrong direction Use only in the following cases: Then member countries, including the United States, remove import quotas for textiles Ø Protection of national interests Ø The developing countries Conditions to apply: Ø Commitment not to affect the interests of other member countries Ø Announce specific time and changes if any 27 Tariff Quota 28 Tariff Quota Ø Definition: An import tariff quota is a measure applied by a competent state agency to decide on the quantity, volume and value of imported goods at a tariff rate more preferential than out-of-quota tariff rate (article 20 of the law on foreign trade management) Ø Vietnam's commitment to join WTO on tariff quotas: reservation with 4 items (sugar, poultry eggs, raw tobacco and salt) Compare Quota & Tariff quota: Similarities: Ø Measures to control the quantity of imported goods Ø Increase the price of imported goods Ø Causing losses and waste to society Ø Create inequality 29 Tariff Quota 30 Import License Compare Quota & Tariff quota: Differences: Quota Tariff quota Import quantitive fixed More flexible, allow to go beyond quota Government revenue None, or very little Yes, due to combination with tariffs WTO’s view Not support Encourage usage rather than quota Level of price increasing Higher because of limited import Less price increase ü Concept: A permit granted by a competent state agency in charge of import and export management to an importer before bringing goods across the border into the market of that country. ü License types: • Auto license (general license) • Non-automatic license (specific license) 31 Voluntary Export Restraints - VERs ü Concept: An export restriction measure in which an importing country requires the exporting country to voluntarily limit the amount of goods exported to its country. ü Impact of VERs ü Pros and cons: Groups of non-tariff measures and tools Para-tariff measures 33 Customs valuation ü Concept: Customs value is the value of import and export goods determined for the purpose of customs management, which is one of the basic bases for calculating customs duties and other taxes. ü Impact: Số thuế nhập khẩu phải nộp = = Số lượng hàng hóa nhập khẩu x Đơn giá tính thuế Trị giá tính thuế x x Thuế suất thuế nhập khẩu Thuế suất thuế nhập khẩu Technical (SPS/ TBT) versus non-technical NTMs o What is a technical regulation? • Refer to product-specific properties. • Product characteristics, technical specifications, and the production process. • They also include conformity assessment methods which confirm that products fulfill the requirements laid down in regulations include measures that are applied in order to protect food safety and animal and plant health (Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures – SPS) Key concept: SPS and TBT measures “A document which lays down product characteristics or their related processes and production methods, including administrative provisions, with which compliance is mandatory.” (Annex 1, WTO TBT Agreement) as well as other technical measures for national security reasons, consumer safety reasons (also known as “Technical Barriers to Trade – TBT”) o Non-technical requirements: • do not refer to product specific properties but to trade requirements • shipping requirements, customs formalities, trade rules, taxation policies, etc. • all other NTM measures, which are not technical requirements Who prepares technical regulations and SPS measures? Technical regulations SPS measures - Ministry of Trade - Ministry of Health - Ministry of Industry - Food and Drug Administration - Ministry of Agriculture - Plant Protection Authorities - Ministry of Health - Veterinary Services - Consumer Protection Unit - Ministry of Fisheries and Livestock - Environment Protection Unit - … - … Examples of products subject to TR • Machinery and equipment which could endanger human life, e.g. boilers, electricity-driven tools, metal and wood – working equipment • Potentially dangerous consumer articles, e.g. synthetic detergents and cleaning agents, household electrical appliances, video and TV sets, motor vehicles • Hazardous raw materials and agricultural inputs, e.g., fertilizers, pesticides, and specified chemicals. Technical regulations compared to standards Technical Regulations Standards • Compliance is MANDATORY and form part of legislation • Compliance is VOLUNTARY • Responsibility of the government • Consensus not necessary • Encompass product characteristics and administrative provisions • Can be developed by a variety of bodies in the public or private sector • Developed by consensus • Contain only product characteristics, or technical requirements • Goods cannot enter the country • Goods can enter the country Example of a TBT measure TBT in international trade Product characteristics requirements on oranges C U S Country B Technical regulations Standards Testing, Calibration Inspection Certification Packaging Labelling Other requirements Oranges with light green colour are allowed, theby colour does not Size isprovided determined the maximum diameter thefifth equatorial of the fruit. exceedofone of the section total surface Oranges: 53 mm of the fruit T Technical regulations Standards Testing, Calibration Inspection Certification Packaging Labelling Other requirements Country A O M S Example: Canada labeling requirement on a box of fish product Labels on fish products exported to Canada must include: A. Brand name B. Nutrient Content Claim C. Storage Instructions D. Country of Origin E. Composition Claim F. Net Quantity G. Canada Inspected Logo H. Common Name I. Nutrition Facts Table J. "Contains" Statement Example of technical NTMs 43 Main challenges reported by businesses for SPS / TBT Ø Lack of information on foreign market standards 44 Main challenges reported by businesses for SPS / TBT Example: Inefficient testing and certification procedures Ø Lengthy procedures Ø Frequent renewal Ø High certification cost Ø Burdensome certification and inspection procedures Ø Duplication of control among different regulatory bodies Ø Excessive paperwork and numerous administrative windows Ø Inaccessible or absent infrastructure Ø Lack of testing facilities Ø Lack of recognition in destination market of local labs Ø Stringent requirements (difficult to comply with) The testing process takes 1 - 2 months while the validity of the product itself is just a year. Another issue is that it is very expensive to undertake this test which hinders us from exporting. Source: ITC Businesses Surveys on NTMs in 66 countries, www.ntmsurvey.org Technical Regulations and WTO TBT Agreement rules • Technical regulations should not create unnecessary obstacles to trade, therefore, should − Not be more trade-restrictive than necessary − Serve legitimate objective − Take into account risks that non-fulfilment would create − Be based on scientific and technical information • Foreign and domestic products treated equally • Be based on international standards (except when not appropriate / not sufficient to fulfil legitimate interests) The problem? It’s the quantity of papers to submit! There are too many documents needed to prepare the dossier. More than 20 different documents are required for the conformity assessment process. Source: ITC Businesses Surveys on NTMs in 66 countries, www.ntmsurvey.org Objective Prevent creation of unnecessary technical barriers to trade • Establish rules for development, adoption and application of Technical Requirements (technical regulations, standards, and conformity assessment) • Technical requirements for trade to be based on international standards, guides or recommendations as far as possible • Transparency of requirements 46 Rights Salient features Agreement acknowledges countries’ rights to regulate for legitimate purposes: Quality of their exports Protection of environment Protection of human life or health Prevention of deceptive practices Protection of animal or plant life or health Protection of security interests • Base technical requirements for trade on international standards, guidelines or recommendations as far as possible • Make requirements transparent ü Publish notifications of the proposed technical regulations and conformity assessment procedures ü Provide reasonable opportunity to other interested parties to comment on the proposed technical regulations and conformity assessment procedures ü Take into account these comments in finalizing the drafts ü Justify the requirements of the technical regulations, should they be requested to do so Salient features TBT - Main principles Nondiscriminatio n Technical regulations, standards, conformity assessment procedures should be Harmonizatio n Mutual recognition • Not more trade restrictive than necessary (based on performance requirements than product descriptors) • Not applied arbitrarily, or • Not discriminatory against imports (national treatment) • Not maintained if no longer necessary, (changed circumstances or can be addressed in a less trade restrictive manner) Avoidance of unnecessa ry obstacles to trade Transparency 49 Equivalence What is a sanitary or phytosanitaryvmeasure? To protect … Sanitary and phytosanitary measures Human or animal life or health from Additives, contaminants, toxins or disease –causing organisms in foods, drink, feedstuffs Human life or health from Diseases carried by animals, plants or their products, or from pests Animal or plant life or health from Entry, establishment or spread of pests, diseases, disease-causing organisms, etc. from Other damage caused by entry, establishment or spread of pests PROTECTING HUMAN, ANIMAL, PLANTS, ENVIRONMENT A country (Annex A WTO Agreement on SPS) Some examples of SPS measures (1/4) SPS measures comprise of To protect… Human or animal life or health Laws, decrees, regulations Testing, inspection, certification, approval procedures End product criteria Quarantine treatments Risk assessment methods Processes and production methods Packaging and labelling related to food safety Residue limits in seafood From Additives, contaminants, toxins or disease organisms in foods, drink, feedstuffs Aflatoxin limits in nuts Some examples of SPS measures (2/4) To protect… To protect… Human life or health From Requirement for rabies vaccination Diseases carried by animals, plants or their products, or from pests From Foot- and mouth disease To protect… From Animal or plant life or health Avian influenza Some examples of SPS measures (4/4) A country Some examples of SPS measures (3/4) Other damage caused by entry, establishment or spread of pests Entry, establishment or spread of pests, diseases, disease-causing organisms, etc. Prevent the spread of fruit fly Rights Members have the right to take sanitary and phytosanitary measures necessary for the protection of human, animal or plant life or health, provided that such measures are not inconsistent with the provisions of this Agreement. Prevent entry of Zebra mussels via Ballast water Regulate seeds to avoid entry of weeds Obligations Key Provisions of the SPS Agreement Only to extent necessary Based on scientific principles Non discriminatory / national treatment Not maintained without sufficient scientific evidence (unless provisional ) No disguised protectionism • Non-discrimination • Scientific justification • harmonization • risk assessment • consistency • least trade-restrictiveness • Equivalence • Regionalization • Transparency • Technical assistance/special treatment • Control, inspection and approval procedures What is conformity assessment ‘Any procedure used, directly or indirectly, to determine that relevant requirements in Te c h n i c a l R e g u l a t i o n s o r standards are fulfilled’. Conformity Assessment Procedures DETERMINING IF REQUIREMENTS ARE FULFILLED Annex 1 WTO/TBT Agreement Tackling the transparency challenge: NTM data collection coverage Components of Conformity Assessment Testing Inspection Product certification Supplier’s Declaration of Conformity (SDoC) System certification Accreditation So back to our information tools…. Data types k Where do I find all this information for products and markets of my interest? Market Access Map Market Access Map Let’s focus on this first www.macmap.org Sanitary and Phyto-Sanitary measures (SPS) and Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) notification alert system: www.epingalert.org Rules of Origin Facilitator Find and compare rules of origin, related provisions and certification requirements http://findrulesoforigin.org/ Other market access conditions Tariffs Applied and bound tariffs MFN and preferenc es Tariff Rate Quotas Ad Trade valorem agreeequi- ments valents Rules of Origin Trade remedies Sanitary and Phytosanit ary Measures Technical Barriers to Trade Inspection Other Nonrequiretariff measures ments 68 Key concept: Rules of Origin Rules of Origin Or: About the “nationality” of fish caught in international waters What they are The “economic nationality” of goods in international trade (“customs origin”) What they are not A good source of information for consumers What they will never do What they do - They define one (and only one) origin to each and every product; Accept something as “made in the world” - They make FTAs possible 69 70 Origin in practice Rules of Origin – Why? Toothed-wheels of cast iron and steel (HS code 8483.90.81.90) imported into the EU http://findrulesoforigin.org/home/compare?reporter=276&partner=410,484,842&product=8483908190 Non-preferential ROOs Cost of goods: - Trade statistics - Trade policy measures: e.g. anti-dumping / tariff rate quotas - Government procurement - Etc. $500 No trade agreement in place = MFN rate $500 Preferential ROOs - MFN tariff: 2.7% Trade agreements: determining eligibility for preferences Each trade agreement has its own sets of rules of origin! “Except as otherwise provided in this Agreement, each Party shall eliminate its customs duties on originating goods of the other Party” $500 + 2.7% $500 + 0% Meet the rule of origin under the EUMexico agreement = preferential rate $500 Do not meet the rule of origin under the EU-South Korea agreement = MFN rate $500 + 2.7% 71 Origin qualifying process In order for a product to be traded under preferential origin (tariff), the exporter needs to answer ‘YES’ to each of the five questions. IF the answer to any of the questions is ‘NO’, the product has got to be traded under the MFN rate 1. Agreement • Is there a trade agreement between the country of export and import? 2. Product • Is there a preferential tariff rate for the product under the agreement? 3. Rule • Does the product comply with the rule of origin under the agreement? 4. Proof • Can the exporter prove the origin of the product? 5. Compliance • Can the exporter comply with other origin provisions and conditions? xuất xứ thuần túy: chỉ xuất xứ từ 1 quốc gia change of tariff heading: khi thay đổi --> thay value addition: Origin criteria: basic principles Substantial / sufficient transformation of goods - Change of tariff heading: all non- Wholly obtained goods originating materials used in the production of the product have undergone a change in tariff classification - Value addition: HS4 08.05 HS4 20.09 E.g. production in which the value of all non-originating materials used does not exceed 50 % of the transaction value of the product. - Technical requirements: E.g. pasteurization of milk 73 14 basic types of rules of origin Occurrence 6% Rule 5% NC WO 7% CC 43% CTH 6% CTSH 0% CTI 10% ALW 10% ECT 13% SP 61% 0.1% RVC RQC 3% RVP 0% RQP 2% Other 74 Example of rules of origin classification Definition Good is entirely (i.e. wholly) obtained or manufactured in one country without using any non-originating materials. The non-originating inputs are not required to be classified in a different HS code than the final good to confer originating status. The originating status is conferred to a good that is classified in a different HS chapter than the non-originating inputs. The originating status is conferred to a good that is classified in a different HS heading than the non-originating inputs. The originating status is conferred to a good that is classified in a different HS subheading than the non-originating inputs. The originating status is conferred to a good that is classified in a different HS tariff item than the non-originating inputs. The originating status is allowed to be conferred from non-originating inputs of specific HS codes. The originating status cannot be conferred to a good if the non-originating inputs are from HS codes listed under exception. A good originates in the country where a defined technical requirement, i.e. a specific working or processing, has taken place. A good obtains originating status if a defined regional value content percentage has been reached. A good obtains originating status if a defined regional quantity content percentage has been reached. A good obtains originating status if a defined regional value content percentage on a part or parts has been reached. A good obtains originating status if a defined regional quantity content percentage on a part or parts has been reached. Origin criteria other than related to wholly obtained, CTC, value (quantity) content, or specified process. Note: “Occurrence” means % of presence of the rule among all 500,000 FTA x HS6 combinations (as of Oct 12, 2018) Good: Sports car - HS 8703.24 Trade agreement Rule of origin Criterion (ITC) FTA, China-Peru A change from any other heading, provided there is a regional value content of not less than 50 percent. CTH and RVC 50% NAFTA A change to subheading 8703.21 through 8703.90 from any other heading, provided there is a regional value content of not less than 62.5 percent under the net cost method. CTH and RVC 62.5% EPA, JapanMexico A change to subheading 8703.21 through 8703.90 from any other heading, provided there is a regional value content of not less than 65 percent. CTH and RVC 65% 75 76 Change in tariff classification – Tomato juice Value added calculations - example Good: Tomato juice - HS 2009.50 Process: Tomato juice is made from tomato paste, which in turn is made from fresh tomatoes. Parts Tomato juice and tomato paste are classified in the same Ch. 20 (Prepared fruits,vegs,nuts), but in different headings. Tomatoes are in Ch. 07. Motor cars and other motor vehicles Various HS codes Tomatoes Tomato paste Tomato juice HS 0702.00 HS 2002.90 HS 2009.50 HS Heading 87.03 Rule of origin: production in which the value of all nonoriginating materials used does not exceed 50 % of the ex-works price or transaction value of the product. Change in tariff heading (CTH) Change in chapter (CC) 77 78 Change in tariff classification – Tomato juice Change in tariff classification – Tomato juice Good: Tomato juice - HS 2009.50 Good: Tomato juice - HS 2009.50 Example 1: LDC of Switzerland: “The good obtained should be classified under a HS tariff heading other than that covering each of the non-originating products used” Example 2: NAFTA: “A change to subheading 2009.50 through 2009.80 from any other chapter.” Criterion (ITC): CC Criterion (ITC): CTH Tomatoes Tomato paste Tomato juice Tomatoes Tomato paste Tomato juice ? HS 0702.00 HS 2002.90 HS 2009.50 Change in tariff heading (CTH) Change in chapter (CC) ? HS 0702.00 HS 2002.90 HS 2009.50 Change in tariff heading (CTH) Change in chapter (CC) 79 80 Change in tariff classification – Tomato juice Change in tariff classification – Tomato juice Good: Tomato juice - HS 2009.50 Good: Tomato juice - HS 2009.50 Example 3: EPA, Japan-Mexico: “A change to subheading 2009.50 from any other chapter, except from heading 07.02.” Example 4: AGADIR: “Manufacture from materials of any heading, except that of the product, and in which the value of all the materials of Chapter 17 used does not exceed 30% of the ex-works price of the product.” Criterion (ITC): CC + ECT Tomatoes Criterion (ITC): CTH + ECT 30% Tomato juice Tomato paste Tomatoes Tomato juice Tomato paste ? HS 0702.00 HS 2002.90 HS 2009.50 Change in chapter (CC) EPA, Japan381010 Mexico Sugar HS 2002.90 HS 2009.50 Change in tariff heading (CTH) Change in chapter (CC) Complicated ROO: Example 1 hs6 HS 0702.00 30% Change in tariff heading (CTH) Preference ? So what about me? rule criterion Example EU-Algeria agreement Me My boat A change to subheading 3810.10 through 3810.90 from any other chapter, except from chapter 28 through 38; or A change to subheading 3810.10 through 3810.90 from any CC + ECT or CTSH + RVC 50 % other subheading within chapter 28 through 38, whether or not there is also a change from any other chapter, provided there is a regional value content of not less than 50 percent. My work My fish Anything else? So what’s the problem? My boat? + + + Preferential market access: the cost Main challenges reported: Rules of Origin The cost of preferential market access • Cost of obtaining the certificate of origin 1 • Getting the certificate of origin 1 • De jure versus de facto preferential treatment Up to two weeks only for issuance 2 • Strict origin requirements / mutually exclusive requirements between agreements 3 2 to 3 months to prepare the dossier. It’s a waste of time. In addition, it’s repetitive. 10 different documents, every time! Ø Inefficiencies in issuing the certificate of origin Sometimes it is more costly to prove product origin than to pay MFN 3-4 additional days just because I have to come to the capital Source: ITC business surveys on NTMs in 30 countries, 2010-2016, www.ntmsurvey.org 3-4 days 2 weeks to prepare the documents to be submitted, 5 days to receive the certificate Source: ITC business surveys on NTMs in 66 countries, 20102016, www.ntmsurvey.org 87 2 The majority of difficulties linked to the certificate of origin are encountered at home (in the exporting country) • Exporter testimonies (continued) Share of procedural obstacles*, by location Ø Language issues Ø De jure versus de facto preferential treatment When exporting to any Arab country and issuing GAFTA certificate of origin, the certificate must be written 100% in Arabic. There are some technical wordings, letters and numbers that cannot be translated. The customs officials do not understand this point and usually reject the certificate. The partner country doesn't apply both existing agreements although the product satisfies the rules of origin. The situation forces us to pay tariffs […] and for some products it becomes non-profitable to export. Rules of Origin Other types of NTMs 94% 59% 41% 6% In the home country In the partner country In the home country In the partner country *Note: Only cases reported by exporters Source: ITC business surveys on NTMs in 30 developing countries, 2010-2016 www.ntmsurvey.org Source: ITC business surveys on NTMs in 66 countries, 2010-2016, www.ntmsurvey.org 89 Quiz Time So back to our information tools…. k Where do I find all this information for products and markets of my interest? • A container of toys is shipped from Kuantan Port (Malaysia) to Port of Los Angeles (U.S.). Can we say that the origin of these items is Malaysia? No. Port of departure does not tell us anything about the origin of the items. Market Access Map www.macmap.org If MFN tariff on your product is 0%, can you still need a certificate of origin? Yes. You might steel need a non-preferential certificate of origin in certain cases. You might also need a preferential certificate of origin if the buyer keeps insisting, or to be exempt from certain additional fees (i.e. merchandise processing fee in the case of some U.S. agreements) Sanitary and Phyto-Sanitary measures (SPS) and Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) notification alert system: www.epingalert.org Rules of Origin Facilitator Find and compare rules of origin, related provisions and certification requirements http://findrulesoforigin.org/ 92 91 Rules of Origin Facilitator What does the tool offer? • Product-specific rules of origin. The tool currently covers nearly 114 agreements (growing by the minute ) • Includes bilateral and multilateral agreements as well as non-preferential regimes of certain countries (EU, United States, Switzerland) • Provides comprehensive information on all origin provisions: covers rules of origin as well as general origin requirements (e.g. certification) • Allows to access original documentation. Provides links to text of the agreement, certificate templates and designated local customs authorities • Includes a range of other supporting materials and articles • Constantly updated with new agreements, materials and functionality 93 94 1. Agreement Remember the origin qualifying process Regularly updated ITC database of trade agreements http://findrulesoforigin.org/home/agreements In order for a product to be traded under preferential origin (tariff), the exporter needs to answer ‘YES’ to each of the five questions. IF the answer to any of the questions is ‘NO’, the product has got to be traded under the MFN rate 1. Agreement • Is there a trade agreement between the country of export and import? 2. Product • Is there a preferential tariff rate for the product under the agreement? 3. Rule • Does the product comply with the rule of origin under the agreement? 4. Proof • Can the exporter prove the origin of the product? 5. Compliance • Can the exporter comply with other origin provisions and conditions? 95 2. Product Connection to Market Access Map tariff database 96 3. Rule Key principles and definitions Based on the Kyoto Convention, there are two main methods for determining the origin of a product: 1. Where only one country is involved, the good is considered wholly obtained in that country (originating in this country). Examples include live animals born and raised there, mineral products extracted from the ground, food products grown and harvested in the territory of the party (e.g. fruits, grains). 2. Where more than one country is involved in the production process, the origin of the good is determined based on the country where the last substantial transformation took place. There are three methods for determining substantial transformation: 1) Change of tariff classification (based on HS code) 2) Value added calculations, or 3) Specified manufacturing or processing operations Rules of origin can also consist of a combination of the above methods http://findrulesoforigin.org/home/compare?reporter=757&partner=170,804,704&product=61091000 98 3. Rule What to do if I don’t understand the rule? Rules of Origin Example: NAFTA: “A change to subheading 2009.40 through 2009.80 from any other chapter.” Wholly obtained Substantial transformation (WO) obtained from the earth or sea, or grown on land basic standard describing what confers to the good its ‘essential character’ 1. Click on “Criterion (ITC)” Help: What is wholly obtained? http://findrulesoforigin.org/glossary/wo Specified process Change in tariff classification (SP) 2. Click on ‘Find Out More’ and read general (introductory) notes to the rules (CTC) Ch. 01 Ch. 02 Help: What is CTC? http://findrulesoforigin.org/glossary/ctc Value added content In the case of NAFTA, print out the following words in front of the rule: (RVC) “All non-originating materials used to produce the good must undergo…” Help: What is RVC? http://findrulesoforigin.org/glossary/rvcformula + any combination 99 100 Exercise: Ketchup from Jordan Solution: Ketchup from Jordan qualifies! Good: Ketchup - HS 2103.20 Good: Ketchup - HS 2103.20 Task: Using findrulesoforigin.org, find applicable rule of origin for ketchup under Canada-Jordan FTA and work out whether this ketchup made in Jordan qualifies for preference. Key: The ketchup rule of origin under Canada-Jordan FTA is “A change from any other subheading.” (CTSH). This means every non-originating material has to be classified in a subheading (6-digit code) other than 2103.20. Bill of Materials* Bill of Materials* http://findrulesoforigin.org/home/compare?reporter=124&partner=400&product=21032010 Watch how ketchup is made: https://youtu.be/pzKdUYtlXSQ Watch how ketchup is made: https://youtu.be/pzKdUYtlXSQ Ingredient HS code Origin Cost Ingredient HS code Origin Cost Passes CTSH shift? Tomato paste 2002.90 China $1 2002.90 China $1 Yes Sugar 17 Turkey ¢30 Final price (EXW): Tomato paste Sugar 17 Turkey ¢30 Yes Salt 2501.00 Pakistan ¢10 $3 Salt 2501.00 Pakistan ¢10 Yes Cloves 0907.20 unknown ¢10 Cloves 0907.20 unknown ¢10 Yes Vinegar 2209.00 Turkey ¢10 Vinegar 2209.00 Turkey ¢10 Yes Onion powder 0712.20 China ¢10 Onion powder 0712.20 China ¢10 Yes Glass bottle 7010.90 China ¢30 Glass bottle 7010.90 China ¢30 Disregarded (see Packaging) * all other materials not on the list are of Jordanian origin 5. Compliance In addition to fulfilling the rule of origin, products exported under preference need to comply with a number of other origin requirements and conditions. These requirements are sometimes referred to as general origin rules and cover a number of issues. 102 Other origin requirements - examples q Origin calculation and application: How to calculate value added? How to treat inputs used during the production process originating in partner countries? How to treat spare parts? (e.g. Cumulation, Value added calculation, Wholly obtained products, Sets, Accessories, Spare Parts and Tools) q Flexibility: Are there any rules that allow for additional flexibility? (e.g. De Minimis) Exporters and importers often find that these additional requirements are less transparent, difficult to navigate and comply with than rules of origin themselves. They can be the reason exporters of goods eligible for preferential treatment decide to export under the MFN tariffs. $3 * all other materials not listed are of Jordanian origin 101 Other origin requirements Final price (EXW): q Certification and proof of origin: What type of document is required? Can the exporter self-certify origin or does the proof need to be issued by an authorised body? How long is the proof valid for? (e.g. Certification, Approved exporter, Period of validity, Exemption of certification) q Shipping and handling: Does the good need to be shipped directly from the country of export to the country of import? Can it be repackaged on the way? (e.g. Principle of Territoriality, Direct transport) q Accounting: How long do the documents relating to originating goods need to be stored? (e.g. Retention period, Supporting documents, Verifications) Let’s go live Time for exercises So back to our information tools…. Where do I find all this information for products and markets of my interest? What is e-Ping? Market Access Map Les pays modifient leurs réglementations SPS et OTC (prescriptions relatives aux produits) assez régulièrement. k Alert system for SPS and TBTrester notifications Comment à jour? www.macmap.org Sanitary and Phyto-Sanitary measures (SPS) and Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) notification alert system: www.epingalert.org Rules of Origin Facilitator Find and compare rules of origin, related provisions and certification requirements http://findrulesoforigin.org/ SPS/TBT notifications on the rise More than 4,000 notifications in 2017! Enables the private (and public) sector to keep track of SPS / TBT notifications of interest 1. Published by export markets 2. And also by products 4/18/2023 The role of export Export principles and policies of Vietnam Export incentives 1 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 2 1. Export creates the main source of capital for imports to serve the country's industrialization 1. Export creates the main source of capital for imports to serve the country's industrialization 2. Export contributes to economic promotes production development 3. Export has a positive impact on creating jobs and people's lives 4. Export is the basis for expanding and promoting Vietnam's external economic relations with foreign countries Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi restructuring and 3 Capital for import is formed from the following sources: Foreign currency earned from exporting goods Foreign investment Borrowing, aid Foreign currency earned from service exports Remittances Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 4 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 6 Sources of foreign investment capital registered in Vietnam Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 5 1 4/18/2023 Borrowing, aid (ODA) Relatively large but subject to constraints; must ensure safety norms on foreign debt; payable when due. still modest, not stable Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 7 Borrowing, aid (ODA) Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 8 Public debt per capita in Vietnam 9 1. Export creates the main source of capital for imports to serve the country's industrialization Capital provided by exports is the most important source: Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 10 2. Export contributes to economic restructuring and promotes production development Decide national balance of payments The trend of economic restructuring Decide the disbursement issues in ODA and FDI: Exports economic restructuring towards increasing the proportion of industry and services • Export growth, export turnover ↑ ability to pay debts ↑ increase capital from borrowing • Export ↑, investors will find many opportunities to invest in the country, foreign investment capital ↑ Exporting ↑ makes the country's status ↑, promoting exchanges and understanding the country's economy and culture tourism activities ↑. Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 11 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 12 2 4/18/2023 2. Export contributes to economic restructuring and promotes production development Export and manufacture: The first point of view: considers export as just the consumption of surplus products due to excess production of domestic demand. The second point of view: considers the world as an important direction in which to organize production. This view has great implications for both production and export, helping to shift the economic structure towards industrialization. Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 13 Export and production as in the second point of view: Promoting other industries to develop Creating a large output market, making production develop stably. Create a means of providing economic, technical, and input materials and equipment for production Promoting competition leads to reorganization of domestic production structure Learn management experience from abroad Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 14 3. Export has a positive impact on creating jobs and people's lives Exporting expands the scale of the industry, attracting labor The income of workers in export-producing industries is usually higher Export creates capital to import, expand people's consumption ability Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 15 4. Export is the basis for expanding and promoting Vietnam's external economic relations with foreign countries Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 16 Export duty The goal of exporting In export activities, the firms’ goal may be different from the common goal of the whole society. The most common and important goal of exports is to import to meet the needs of the economy. Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 17 a) Make every effort to effectively exploit all resources of the country b) Improve export production capacity to rapidly increase export volume and turnover c) Creating key export products (groups) to meet the requirements of the world market and customers in terms of quality, quantity, attractiveness and high competitiveness. Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 18 3 4/18/2023 4.3.1. Measures to improve the export structure 4.3.1. Measures to improve the export structure Policy on formation and development of export production regions 4.3.2. Trade credit and financial measures 4.3.3. Group of institutional measures and export promotion Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 19 a) Red River Delta and key economic regions b) Southeast region and key economic region c) North Central Coast, Central Coast and Central Key Economic Region d) Northern Midlands and Mountains (Northwest and Northeast) e) Highlands f) Mekong Delta Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 20 Industry Requirement: Developing labor-intensive industries Creating a breakthrough in the processing industry Focus on investment and in-depth industrial development Strengthen industrial links Purpose: Supply of input materials for production Creating initiative for industries Increase the value of export goods, increase net foreign currency revenue Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 21 Increase the competitiveness of industrial products, reduce the proportion of intermediate costs Encourage and develop efficient raw material industries Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 22 Agriculture Requirement: Solutions: Accelerate the industrialization and modernization of agriculture and rural areas Reasonable construction of agricultural production structure Strengthening scientific and technological potential in agriculture Continue to develop and basically improve the irrigation system Strongly develop industry and services in rural areas Improve the quality of crops towards providing enough raw materials Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 23 Focusing on investing in industries with strengths, creating products with comparative advantages and exporting capabilities The restructuring of the industry must first give priority to the goal of national food security, increasing the source of agricultural products for export processing. Improve quality, build brands for agricultural products Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 24 4 4/18/2023 Benefits for the country: Services Increasingly important role: Bringing many benefits to the economy: For consumers: to be fully satisfied with different needs at lower prices. For service providers: promote competition, increase efficiency of infrastructure service markets, reduce production and business costs, speed up capital turnover... Nation Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 25 Promote competition transparency, improve government Encourage technology transfer Increase capital for growth and development by importing cheaper services to replace inefficient domestic services Promote import and export activities of tangible goods Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 26 Construction of key export products The service also brings many economic costs to countries: a) Concept: Key export goods: are goods that occupy a decisive position in export turnover due to the presence of foreign markets and favorable domestic production conditions. Increasing current account deficit, at least in the short term. The competitiveness of many domestic enterprises decreased due to brain drain. Important goods: are goods that do not account for a large proportion of export turnover, but for each market, each locality has an important position. Many businesses may go bankrupt due to inefficient operations Secondary goods: not falling into the above two categories will be secondary exports, their turnover is usually small. The unemployment rate increased… Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 27 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 28 Perspectives in Vietnam Perspectives on key export goods in the world Perspective 1: Key export products are simply exports with large turnover, accounting for over 25% of total export turnover. Perspective 2: The key export product is an export product that is mostly produced for export The key export products are those that are domestically produced with higher efficiency than other goods; has a relatively stable consumption market, accounting for a high proportion of a country's total export turnover. Perspective 3: Key export products are those with large turnover due to favorable conditions of supply and demand. Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 29 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 30 5 4/18/2023 b. Conditions of a key export product c. How are key export products formed? Demand conditions: There is a relatively stable and competitive consumption market in that market. Supply conditions: Having resources to organize production and production at low cost to gain profit in trade. Penetration Competition Surviving Transformation of production Increase profits The volume of turnover is large in the total export turnover of the country. Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 31 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 32 Orientation to form key export product in the coming time? d. Impact of forming key export product For the Vietnamese economy: Expanding the scale of domestic production, shifting the economic structure towards industrialization, expanding and enriching the domestic market. Rapid increase in export turnover: the growth rate of key export products is always higher than the general rate of export turnover. Existing key export product: invest in processing to increase export value. Focus on searching and discovering new potential domestic key export products: wood products, computer software invest in developing Create conditions to maintain and stabilize export and import markets. Create infrastructure to expand economic, scientific and technical cooperation with foreign countries. Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 33 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 34 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 35 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 36 6 4/18/2023 Invest in production a) Meaning b) Investment capital for export production Solving the shortage of capital for production and processing of export goods Accelerating the process of technology transfer Improve management, production and business. Expanding and promoting activities of external economic forms, using domestic resources more effectively Solving social difficulties, create a favorable environment for export business, etc. 37 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi Vicious circle of poverty: Domestic investment capital • State budget PRIMARILY • Private Foreign investment capital • FDI IMPORTANT • FPI • ODA Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 38 c) Orientation of investment policy FOREIGN INVESTMENT Prioritize investment for export production LOW INVESTMENT LOW LEVEL OF SAVING For agricultural products, invest in renewing plant varieties and processing technology Service development: harbors, warehouses, overseas trade centers Create a favorable environment to strongly attract FDI LOW PRODUCTIVITY LOW INCOME Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 39 4.3.2. Trade credit and financial measures Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi State guarantees and provides credit State guarantees and provides credit a) State guarantee for export credit Export subsidies b) State implements export credit Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 41 40 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 42 7 4/18/2023 a) State guarantee for export credit b) The State implements export credit Definition: State guarantee is a commitment to repay a debt on behalf of the guaranteed in case they fail to fulfill certain obligations to the beneficiary of the guarantee. Types of guarantee: The State directly lends money to foreign countries • Definition: The state directly lends money to a foreign country at a preferential interest rate so that the borrower can use that money to buy goods from the lending country. Loan guarantee Contract performance guarantee Note:Consider protecting domestic production, not because buying goods with borrowed capital leads to sabotage of domestic production and unfavorable political constraints. Deposit guarantee Payment guarantee Function: Exporters are more secure than selling goods Export more Increase the price of export goods because the selling price on credit includes both the immediate selling price and the cost of guaranteeing profit Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 43 b) The State implements export credit 44 The State grants credit to domestic export enterprises The State grants credit to domestic export enterprises "Export credit": is a loan from a bank to an exporter for the purpose of supplementing working capital for the enterprise so that they can perform the signed foreign trade contract and help the enterprise to continuously operating, with no shortage of capital while waiting for payment from foreign partners. Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 45 EXPORT SUBSIDIES Types of credit: Financing capital in preparation for export Discount on export documents Advance payment for export goods Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 46 EXPORT SUBSIDIES Subsidies Countervailing Measures (SCM) Agreement: “Subsidies are government grants to businesses that are not available under normal conditions.” The concept of export subsidies: • Government (or public agency) subsidies for revenues or prices that directly or indirectly increase the export of a product. Pros Coins • are financial incentives for export producers or exporters when they sell goods to foreign markets. Is an incentive that the Government of a country gives businesses to promote export activities Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 47 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 48 8 4/18/2023 Subsidy classification: According to WTO: Non-agricutural subsidies: • Red light • Yellow light • Green light Agricultural support • Export subsidies • Domestic support Amber box Blue box Green box 49 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 50 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi Impact of export subsidies Impact of export subsidies (+) Producers P($) 4 3.5 3 (-) Consumers Export after subsidies S (-) Consumers 1 2 3 3.5 3 (+) Producers E 20 25 30 35 40 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi Export after subsidies 1 2 3 Producers: +1+2+3 Consumers: -1 – 2 Government : -2 -3 -4 4 Social welfare: - 2 – 4 E (-) government Export before subsidies (+) Producers D S 4 (-) government 4 Export before subsidies 0 P (+) Producers (-) government Q (thousand) 0 51 The effect of export subsidies: D 20 25 30 35 40 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi Q 52 The downside of export subsidies: Contribute to the development of domestic production and export promotion. Subsidies distort natural competition in a free trade environment Contribute to the adjustment of industry structure and economic region structure. The opportunity costs of subsidies are very large and in the long run they can impede the development of the subsidized industry itself. Export subsidies are also used as a "bargaining" tool in international negotiations. Subsidies are not financially effective The probability of choosing the wrong beneficiary is quite high Subsidies may lead to retaliation Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 53 Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 54 9 4/18/2023 4.3.3. Group of institutional measures and export promotion Implementing export promotion Institutional measures: Concept: Trade institutions are the rules, forms, institutions and sanctions that regulate the rules and ways of operating for the participants in the market. Institutional measures are measures through which the Government creates a favorable regulatory environment for the export of goods and services. Purpose: + Create a legal environment in the country + Negotiating and signing bilateral and multilateral trade agreements... protecting the interests of exporters, creating favorable conditions for export + Join and sign international treaties that facilitate the promotion of free trade Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 55 Definition: are tools that directly or indirectly promote export activities at the enterprise, industry or national level. Export promotion activities Enterprise level National level The role of export promotion Bộ Môn Nghiệp Vụ --Ths.Nguyễn Hạ Liên Chi 56 10