THE MONEY MARKET (THE FINANCIAL MARKET) ■ Households purchase stocks and bonds from firms. ■ Households supply funds to this market in the expectation of earning income in the form of dividends on stocks and interest on bonds. ■ Households also demand (borrow) funds from this market to finance various purchases. ■ Firms borrow to build new facilities in the hope of earning more in the future. ■ The government borrows by issuing bonds. ■ The rest of the world borrows from and lends to the money market. Ways in which firms borrow or raise money to finance their investments ■ One way to do this is to borrow from a bank. The bank loans the money to the firm, the firms uses the money to buy the factory or machine, and the firm pays back the loan (with interest) to the bank over time. ■ Another possible way for a firm to borrow money is for the firm to issue a bond. If you buy a bond from a firm, you are making a loan to the firm. ■ A third way for a firm to finance an investment is for it to issue additional shares of stock. Bonds and stocks ■ A bond is a contract between a borrower and a lender, in which the borrower agrees to pay the loan at some time in the future, along with interest payments along the way. ■ A share of stock is an ownership claim on a firm, entitling its owner to a profit share. When profits are paid directly to shareholders, the payment is called a dividend. Bonds ■ A bond is a contract between a borrower and a lender, in which the borrower agrees to pay the loan at some time in the future, along with interest payments along the way. The bond also specifies the flow of interest to be paid in the meantime. ■ Bonds are issued with a face value (abbrev. O) ■ Bonds come with a maturity date (which is the date the borrower agrees to pay the lender the face value of the bond). ■ Third, there is a fixed payment of a specified amount that is paid to the bondholder each year (known as a coupon – abbrev. C). The current yield ■ Current yield is an investment's annual income divided by the current price of the security. This measure examines the current price of a bond, rather than looking at its face value. ■ Current yield represents the return an investor would expect to earn, if the owner purchased the bond and held it for a year. ■ However, current yield is not the actual return an investor receives if he holds a bond until maturity. 𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐶 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑 = = 𝑏𝑜𝑛𝑑 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑃 Current yield - stocks ■ Current yield may also be calculated for stocks by taking the dividends received for a stock and dividing that amount by the stock’s current market price. Current yield (stock) = 𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 = 𝐷 𝑃 Yield to Maturity ■ Yield to maturity is the total return anticipated on a bond if the bond is held until it matures. Yield to maturity is considered a long-term bond yield but is expressed as an annual rate. 𝐶 P= 1+𝑒 + 𝐶 (1+𝑒)2 + ⋯+ Where: P = the price O= the face value of the bond n = the number of years to maturity e = the yield to maturity 𝐶+𝑂 (1+𝑒)𝑛 The coupon rate ■ The coupon rate, or coupon payment, is the yield the bond paid on its issue date. The coupon rate is the interest rate paid on a bond by its issuer for the term of the security. annual coupon payment Coupon rate = bond face value Example: if a bond has a face value of $1,000 and made interest or coupon payment of $100 per year, its coupon rate 100 is = 10%. 1 000 Bond value and interest rate ■ Once the bonds are sold in the market, their value depends on the evolution of the interest rate. Bond value = Coupon Interest rate Example: A bond brings a coupon of 10 000 lei, when the interest rate is 20%. Which is the bond value in the market? Bond value = Coupon Interest rate = 10 000 20% = 50 000 lei STOCK MARKET SPECULATORS ■ The prices of securities rise and fall continuously during trading. Thus, the appearance of speculators. ■ The speculators attempt to make money in both rising and falling markets. ■ Speculators buy and sell stocks, attempting to anticipate price movements in order to profit. ■ Speculators are not genuine investors, they buy securities with a hope to sell them in future at a profit. ■ They are not interested in holding the securities for longer period. ■ They are interested only in price differentials. Types of speculators (I) ■ Bull: A bull is an optimistic speculator. He expects a rise in the price of securities in which he deals. Therefore, he enters into purchase transactions with view to sell them at a profit in the future. If his expectation becomes a reality, he shall get the price difference without actually taking delivery of the securities. ■ Bear: A bear is the pessimistic speculator who expects a sharp fall in the prices of certain securities. He enters into selling contracts in certain securities on a future date. If the price of the security falls as he shall get the price difference. Types of speculators (II) ■ Stag: A stag is considered as a cautious investor when compared to the bulls or bears. He is a speculator who simply applies for fresh shares in new companies with the sole object of selling them at a premium or profit as soon as he gets the shares allotted. ■ Lame Duck: When a bear is unable to meet his commitment immediately, he is said to be struggling like a lame duck. Examples ■ An investor buys 500 stocks of a company at 200 lei each, based on a contract with a maturity of 6 months. At the maturity date, the stocks value 250 lei each. Which is the result of this operation? Does the investor win or lose and how much? ■ An investor sells 700 stocks of a company at 500 lei each, based on a contract with a maturity of 6 months. At the maturity date, the stocks value 400 lei each. Which is the result of this operation? Does the investor win or lose and how much? References ■ Case, K., Fair, R., Oster, S., Principles of Macroeconomics, 11th ed., Pearson, 2014. ■ Raja Krishnan, M., Speculators - Meaning, Types, Speculative Transactions, Advantages and Limitations, March 2019, available from https://www.slideshare.net/RajaKrishnanM/speculatorsmeaning-types-speculative-transactions-advantages-and-limitations ■ https://www.investopedia.com