lOMoARcPSD|10593153 Summary - Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Finance (Đại học Kinh tế Quốc dân) Studocu is not sponsored or endorsed by any college or university Downloaded by Thu Trang Nguy?n (ngthutrang59@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|10593153 Topic 1: Overview of Financial Management Corporate finance answers 3 main questions: -What long-term investments (Capital Budgeting) -Where to get long-term financing (Capital Stru cture) -How to manage everyday financial activities: collecting and paying (Working Capital Management) Financial leverage: degree to which a firm is utilizing borrowed money. Higher FL higher risk of bankruptcy. Goal of FIN mgmt is to maximize the current market value per share of existing stock, i.e. maximize firm’s value (shareholder wealth maximization). Agency problem: Conflict of interest between principal & agent. Results in direct & indirect agency costs. Indirect: Lost opportunities that would ↑ firm’s value in LR if accepted | Direct: Corporate expenditures that benefit management (e.g. large offices, high pay), Monitoring cost (e.g. audits) Whether managers act in shareholders’ best interest depends on 1) compensation plans tied to share value, 2) direct intervention by shareholders, 3) threat of firing, 4) threat of takeover, 5) awareness of good corp governance. Roles in Organizations Treasurer: cash mgmt, credit mgmt, capital expenditures (budgeting), financial planning, |Controller: taxes, cost acct’g, financial acct’g & data processing. Acct’g, Tax Dept. Financial Markets Primary: original sale of securities by govts & corporations (market for new issues) | Secondary: securities bought & sold after original sale (means of transferring ownership) Topic 2: Financial Statement Analysis Mkt value of shareholders’ equity (mkt capitalization) = share price x no. of o/s shares = MV of firm – MV of debt Enterprise value = Market value of equity + debt - cash Operating cash flow = EBIT + depreciation – taxes Net capital spending = Ending net fixed assets – beginning net fixed assets + depreciation Net working capital = CA – CL Cash flow to creditors = interest paid – net new borrowing (∆ in long-term debt) Cash flow to stockholders = dividends paid – net new equity raised (∆ in common stock and paid-in surplus) CFFA (Free cash flows) refer to the cash flow in excess of that required to fund profitable capital projects. CFFA (Free cash flows) = OCF – net capital spending – ∆NWC = Cashflow to creditors + cashflow to stockholders Common-size balance sheets (income statements): compute all accounts as a % of total assets (% of sales). Liquidity ratios measure firm’s ability to pay SR bills. Current ratio = CA/CL Quick ratio = (CA-inventory)/CL Cash ratio = Cash/CL NWC to total assets = NWC/TA Interval measure = CA/average daily operating costs Solvency ratios show how heavily a company is in debt. Debt ratio = Total liabilities/TA Debt-equity ratio = Total liabilities/TE = (TA-TE)/TE Equity multiplier = TA/TE = 1 + debt-equity ratio Long-term debt ratio = LT debt/(LT debt + total equity) Times interest earned ratio = EBIT/interest expense Cash coverage ratio = (EBIT + depreciation)/interest exp Asset management ratios measure how productively a firm is using its assets. Inventory turnover = COGS/average inventory Days’ sales in inventory = 365/inventory turnover Receivables turnover = Credit sales/receivables balance Days’ sales outstanding = Accounts receivable/average daily sales = 365/receivables turnover FA turnover = Sales/net fixed assets TA turnover = Sales/total assets Profitability ratios measure how successfully a business earns a return on its investment. Profit margin = Net income/sales Basic earning power (BEP) = EBIT/total assets ROA = Net income/total assets ROE = Net income/total equity ROE doesn’t consider risk, nor amt of capital invested. Focuses only on return. Might encourage managers to make investment decisions that don’t benefit shareholders. Market value ratios provide indications on firm’s prospects and how the market values the firm. Price-earnings ratio = Market price per share/EPS EPS = Net income/no. of outstanding shares Market to book Ratio = Mkt value per share/Book value per share = Mkt value of equity/Book value of equity The Du Pont Identity Difference between ROA and ROE is a reflection of the use of debt financing/financial leverage ROE = Profit Margin x Total Asset turnover x Equity Multiplier = ROA x Equity Multiplier PM measures firm’s operating efficiency and cost control (How much net profit is a firm generating per dollar of sales? ) | TATO measures firm’s asset use efficiency (How many sales dollars has the firm generated per each dollar of assets?) | Equity multiplier measures firm’s financial leverage (How many dollars of assets has a firm acquired per each dollar in shareholders' equity?) Topic 3: Time value of money Future Value: amount of money an investment will grow to over a period of time given interest rate Compounding: accumulative interest on an investment over time to earn more interest FV = PV x (1+r)^t In future value problems, the compound (interest) rate is adjusted upward to reflect higher risk and to increase the future cash flows. Present Value (discounted cash flow valuation): current value of future cash flows discounted at discount rate PV = FV/(1+r)^t For a given amt to be received at a given time period in the future, higher interest rate lower PV of amt. For a given amt to be received in the future at a given interest rate, longer time period lower PV of amt. Multiple cash flow receipts in the future: Find PV of each individual cash flow and sum them. Annuity PV = PMT x (1/r) x (1-[1/(1+r)^t]) PV Annuity due = Annuity PV x (1+r) [Set calc to BGN mode] Perpetuity PV = Periodic payment amt/r Implied discount rate i = (FV/PV)^(1/n) – 1 EAR and APR APR = Stated/quoted interest rate = Period rate x no. of periods per year. EAR is the interest rate expressed as if it were compounded once per year To find EAR: 1) Find FV of principal sum = PV x (1+i)^n 2) EAR = (FV – principal)/Principal i.e. EAR = [1 + (APR/n)]^n – 1 Capital gain yield = Capital gain/initial price = (P1-P0)/P0 = g (constant dividend growth) Approx. real rate of return = nom rate - inflation rate Exact (1+ real rate) = (1+nom return)/(1+inflation rate) Probability scenarios Expected return = sum of (possible returns in each scenario x probability of scenario occurring) n i.e.: where wi= fraction of portfolio’s dollar value invested in stock i, and ri= possible return from stock i r^ p =∑ wi r^ i i =1 Variance = sum of (return in each scenario – expected return)^2 times probability of scenario occurring Standard deviation = square root of variance Historical data scenarios Expected return = arithmetic average return (what is earned in a typical year) Estimated variance using historical data = [sum of (actual return in each historical year – arithmetic average return)^2]/(n-1) T ∑ rt r̄ = t=1 T Arithmetic average return √ n ∑ ( r̄ t −r̄ Avg )2 t=1 Average annual return (arithmetic mean) n−1 Estimated variance Coefficient of variation measures risk per unit of return. CV = standard deviation/mean Topic 5: Risk and Return II Risk premium: additional return over and above risk-free rate earned for taking on risk. Expected portfolio return: compute by relative weights of assets in the portfolio. (weights always add up to 1) m i.e.: r^ p = ∑ w j r^ j j=1 Investment risk: diversifiable + non-diversifiable risk. Diversifiable risk = nonsystematic risk = firm-specific risk Non-diversifiable risk = systematic risk = market risk = β A well-diversified portfolio (negatively correlated assets) can eliminate diversifiable risk. β = Cov(Ri , RM)/market variance β(market) = 1 and β of a risk-free asset = 0. But converse is not true; a β of 0 doesn’t always mean an asset is risk-free. β = 0 simply means ROA equals Rf. N = 60, I/Y = 5/12, PV = 24,000, FV = 0 PMT = -452.91 Monthly payment of $452.91 will yield an EAR of 5.12% (e.g. Housing loans, biz term loans) N = 60, PMT = -500, PV = 24,000, FV = 0 I/Y = 0.7629 EAR = (1+0.7629%)12 -1 = 9.55% (e.g. Hire purchase, car loans) N = 60, PMT = -400, PV = 18,000, FV = 0 I/Y = 0.9963 EAR = (1+0.9963%)12 -1 = 12.63% (e.g. Mortgage loans) Ex a mp l e4 :5y e a r l o a no f $ 2 4 , 0 0 0a t 5 %a n n u a l r a t ewi t hfi x e d mo n t h l yp a y me n t . Wh a t i st h el o a np r i n c i p a l o u t s t a n d i n g n d i mme d i a t e l ya f t e r ma k i n gt h e3 2p a y me n t ? 1. Find the monthly PMT 2. Now n = 28 (60-32) & find new PV (loan amt o/s) 3. To find proportion of principal and interest of 33rd payment, PV32 x (5%/12) = interest portion. Principal portion = original PMT – interest portion. Topic 4: Risk and Return I Intrinsic value: estimate of an asset’s worth based on PV of expected future cash flows discounted at required ROR. Market price: based on perceived information as seen by the marginal investor (can be theoretically incorrect). Total Percentage return = dividend yield + cap gain yield Dividend yield = Dividend/initial share price = D1/P0 Downloaded by Thu Trang Nguy?n (ngthutrang59@gmail.com) β < 1 means asset has less systematic risk than market (return < Rf diversification instrument) and vice versa. Higher β higher systematic risk Higher S.D higher TOTAL risk Risk premium on an asset is proportional to its β, i.e. higher β means higher risk premium and thus higher required returns on investment. Impact of inflation on β: increase in inflation rate increases required rate of return for a given value of β, upward shift of entire security market line. Impact of risk aversion: increase in inflation rate increases required rate of return for a given value of β, inward skew of security market line (pivot left from Rf y-intercept) CAPM: Ri = Rf + βi(RM – Rf) where Ri = required return on investment, Rf = risk-free rate, (RM – Rf) = market risk premium CAPM is an equation describing the SML. It depends on 1) pure time value of money, 2) reward for bearing systematic risk, and 3) amount of systematic risk. SML plots return against risk. For underpriced asset, expected return would be above the SML (req rr)j; for overpriced asset, expected return would be below the SML. Reward-to-risk ratio: Expected return on asset−risk free rat Beta of asset At equilibrium, if all securities are correctly priced, they will have the same reward-to-risk ratio, and NPV = 0. Topic 6: Bond Valuation Coupon: a bond’s periodic interest payment. Coupon amt = (Coupon rate x par value)/no. of payments per year. Coupon rate: annual coupon divided by par value of bond Coupon rate of debenture > secured debt, subordinated debenture > senior debt, bond w/o sinking fund > bond with sinking fund, noncallable bond > callable bond. Par: face value of the bond (or principal amt) assigned by the issuer, this amt will be repaid at the end of the term (it is generally $1,000 unless otherwise stated) Maturity: specific date on when the principal amt is paid Term: the time remaining until the payment date lOMoARcPSD|10593153 Callability: a feature whereby the issuer can redeem the bond before it matures. From the corporate perspective, callable bonds may have value over non-callable bonds as corporation has the option to call the bond if the I/R falls. Seniority: preference in position over other lenders, and debts are sometimes labeled as senior or junior to indicate seniority some debts are subordinated Debenture: a bond backed by issuer’s general credit and ability to repay and not by an asset or collateral Basis points: a measure of differences between yields or I/R (1% = 100 basis points) Convertibility: Option of exchanging a bond for a specific amt of stock. Must occur at specific times, specific price under specified conditions (detailed in bond indenture) Protective covenants: the part of the indenture that limits certain actions a company might otherwise wish to take during the loan term (protect lender’s interests) Sinking fund: provision to pay off a loan over its life rather than all at maturity (similar to amortization) bonds: disaster bonds, income bonds, convertible bonds, put bonds (opposite of callable bonds). | Taxable Bonds: Valuation of Bond Bond value = PV of coupons + PV of par = PV annuity + PV lump sum PV of par value Constant dividend (zero growth dividend; g=0) Firm will pay a constant dividend forever perpetuity. Bond Value = C PV annuity factor [ ] 1 1(1+k d )N kd Interest rate risk The longer the bonds and the lower the coupon rates, the more sensitive to i/r changes (higher interest rate risk) Bond ratings Bond ratings are an assessment of the creditworthiness of the corporate issuer. They do not address I/R risk. Investment-grade bonds are rated at least BBB or Baa. Grade below BBB or Baa are low-grade or “junk” bonds. Interest rate risk The longer the bonds and the lower the coupon rates, the more sensitive to i/r changes (higher interest rate risk) Topic 7: Stock Valuation Price of stock is the PV of all expected future dividends. ^ = ¿ t D F (1+k d ) N F = face value, kd = Req rate of return on debt PV of the coupons Valuation of Bond at t=0 FV = par value (usu 1,000) | PMT = periodic coupon payment | I/YR = discount rate | N = no. of periods Valuation of Bond (finding price x years later) same as above, except N = no. of periods left to maturity Overall ROR = (Annual coupon + Bond price ∆)/Beg. price Yield to Maturity (YTM) The rate earned if bond is held to maturity. It is the I/R required in the market on a bond (the rate which discounts all future cash flows to their present value). YTM includes not only the interest payments you will receive all the way to maturity, but also takes into acct any difference between the current par value of the bond and the actual trading price of the bond at that time. D P ¿ P0 = + D t+2 t+3 D∞ t +1 + + +. . .+ ( 1+ r )∞ ( 1+r )t + 1 ( 1+r )t +2 ( 1+r )t + 3 s s s s D1 re where re= cost of equity-required return of stockholders (usually estimated using CAPM) Constant dividend growth (stable growth) Firm will increase the dividend by a constant percent every period (firm assumed to grow at the rate equal to economy’s LT nominal growth rate (inflation + real growth in GDP). D1 = D0 (1+g)1 D (1+g ) D1 D2 = D1(1+g)1= D0(1+g)2 P0 = 0 = 1 t r e -g r e -g Dt=Dt-1(1+g) =D0(1+g) Requires re > g If re < g negative stock price If rs = g stock price is infinite Supernormal growth Dividend growth is not consistent initially, but settles down to constant growth eventually. 1) Compute dividends for each year until growth levels off. 2) Find expected future price when growth levels off. 3) Find PV of expected future cash flows. To find YTM: Key in FV, PMT, N and PV (opposite sign!) YTM = I/Y x no. of annual payments (e.g. quarterly = I/Y x4) I/R increase PV decrease, and vice versa. So as YTM increase, bond prices decrease, and vice versa. Bonds of similar risk (and maturity) will be priced to yield about the same return (YTM), regardless of coupon rate. Current yield Annual interest paid by a bond, expressed as a percentage of its current market price. (-) does not take into account any capital gain or loss associated with the principal to be paid at maturity. e.g. a $1,000 bond selling for $850 & paying an 8% coupon rate has a current yield of $80/$850 = 9.41% Discount/Premium If discount rate rises above coupon rate, bond’s value falls below par bond sells at a discount. If discount rate falls below coupon rate, bond’s value rises above par bond sells at a premium. Bond selling at… satisfies this condition Discount: coupon rate < current yield<YTM Premium: coupon rate>current yield>YTM Par value: coupon rate=current yield=YTM e.g. if YTM < coupon rate, a bond will sell at a premium, & increase in the market I/R will decrease this premium. Other bond types T-Bills: pure discount bonds with original maturity of 1 year or less | T-Notes: coupon debt with original maturity between 1 and 10 years | T-Bonds: coupon debt with original maturity greater than 10 years | Zero-Coupon Bonds: make no periodic interest payments (coupon rate = 0%). Entire YTM comes from the difference between the purchase price & par value [1+YTMn= (Face Value/Price)^(1/n)]| | Floating Rate Bonds (Floaters): Coupon rate floats depending on some index value e.g. adjustable rate mortgages and inflation-linked treasuries. Less price risk. Coupons cannot go above a specified “ceiling” or below a specified “floor”. | Other types of Market equilibrium Stock prices stable, no tendency to buy or sell. Expected returns must equal required returns. i.e. rE = (D1/P0) + g = Rf + βi(RM – Rf) If expected return (calculated from dividends and price) is greater than required return (from CAPM) then P0 is low and people will buy. Thus P0 will go up and expected return will fall until it equals req. return Corporate Value Model (free cash flow method) Find the market value (MV) of the firm, by finding the PV of the firm’s future CFFAs. Subtract MV of firm’s debt and preferred stock [Vp=D/rp] to get MV of common stock Divide market value of common stock by the number of shares outstanding to get intrinsic stock price (value) per share. Topic 8: Capital Budgeting I Capital budgeting refers to the process of deciding how to allocate the firm’s scarce capital resources (land, labor, capital) to its various investment alternatives. A capital budget outlines the planned expenditure on fixed assets. Good decision criteria takes into account TVM, adjusts for risk and provides information whether we are creating value for the firm. NPV: The difference between the intrinsic value of a project and its cost. If NPV > 0, means PV of cash inflows > PV of cash outflows, project is expected to add value to the firm and will therefore increase shareholders’ wealth. Use NPV if there is a conflict between NPV and any other rule. May have to estimate required return from CAPM. n ∑ NPV = t =1 ¿ CF t ( 1+ k ) t −CF 0 Accept project if NPV > 0. ¿ Payback period: The number of years to recover the initial (nominal cost). Estimate future cash flows, add cash flows to the initial investment until recovered. Divide the remaining value of the investment by the last cash flow to get fraction. Accept project if payback period < cutoff. (+) Quick and easy to calculate and understand, adjusts for uncertainty of later cash flows. (-) Biased towards liquidity, ignores TVM, requires arbitrary cutoff, ignores cash flows beyond cutoff, biased against long-term projects e.g. R&D. Discounted payback period: How long it takes to recover the initial cost on a discounted basis. Divide the remaining value of the investment by the last discounted cash flow to get fraction. Accept project if discounted payback period < cutoff. (+) Includes TVM, easy to understand, does not accept estimated negative NPV investments. (-) Same as payback period. Average Acct’g Return: Average net income/Average book value. Average book value depends on how asset is depreciated. Accept project if AAR > preset rate. (+) Easy to calculate, needed information usually available. (-) Not a true rate of return, ignores TVM, uses an arbitrary benchmark cutoff rate, based on accounting net income & book values, not cash flows and intrinsic/market values. Internal rate of return (IRR): The discount rate that makes NPV = 0. Accept project if IRR > required return. (+) Best alternative to NPV, intuitively appealing, based entirely on estimated cash flows and independent of interest rates found elsewhere. (-) More than 1 IRR solution for nonconventional cash flows, may not evaluate mutually exclusive projects correctly. IRR assumes CFs are reinvested as IRR, which is not as realistic as being reinvested at company’s WACC. NPV vs IRR generally lead to identical decisions if 1) project cash flows are conventional (i.e. first CF –ve, subsequent CFs +ve), & 2) projects are not mutually excl. (i.e. CF of one is impacted by the acceptance of the other.) I/YR = 0 CF0 = -165,000 CF1 = 63,120 CF2 = 70,800 CF3 = 91,080 <CPT><IRR> Modified IRR (MIRR): The discount rate that causes the PV of a project’s terminal value to equal the PV of costs. TV is found by compounding inflows at WACC. Used when there are non-conventional cash flows. Accept project if MIRR > required return. (+) Correctly assumes reinvestment at opportunity cost = WACC, avoids the problem of multiple IRRs. (-) Not truly an internal rate of return, no real need to consider reinvestment of CFs. Profitability Index: Total PV of future CFs/Initial investment. Measures benefit per unit cost based on TVM. Accept project if PI > 1. (+) Useful when limited capital, closely related to NPV and easy to understand. (-) May lead to incorrect decisions in comparing mutually Downloaded by Thu Trang Nguy?n (ngthutrang59@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|10593153 exclusive projects. (Total PV of future CFs = NPV of project, rem to add back initial investment amount!) equity generally don’t vary with sales as they are conscious capital structure decisions by management. Topic 9: Capital Budgeting II Costs and benefits associated with a capital budgeting project are measured in terms of cash flow rather than earnings. CF must be incremental (firm’s CF with project firm’s CF without project), measured on an after-tax basis. Stand-alone principle: Analyze each accepted project in isolation from the other activities of the firm; “mini-firms” with own assets, revenues and cost (firm = portfolio). Determining if additional fixed assets are needed: Calculate Capacity Sales (max. sales that can be supported by current level of assets) = Current Sales/Current % Operating Capacity. If Planned sales < Capacity sales, no additional FA is required. Types of CF Sunk cost – costs that have been accrued in the past (SHOULD BE EXCLUDED). Opportunity cost – costs of lost options (RELEVANT) Side effects – Externalities eg cannibalization (RELEVANT) Changes in NWC – Year on year basis, ADD BACK NWC AT PROJECT END. (RELEVANT) AFN/EFN Equation method AFN = (A*/S0)∆S – (L*/S0)∆S – M(S1)(RR) Financial statement method: ∆N/P + ∆LT-Debt (no interest exp, diff dividend payout, diff capital structure) FA Requirement: Target ratio (%) = FA/Capacity sales ∆FA = Target ratio*∆Sales (additional sales) Assumptions of AFN equation: Firm operating at full capacity Constant profit margin Constant dividend payout ratio/RR Recovery of NWC assumptions: Proj NOT sold at end of life, cash portion of CA is retrieved, AR fully collected, all AP paid, remaining inventory sold at cost. Financing costs – Dividends, interest expense (IGNORE) Taxes – depreciation reduces taxes (RELEVANT) R&D/Marketing costs – extensive R&D effort results in a new product (SHOULD BE EXCLUDED) WACC = req. rate of return on debt * (1-Tax rate) * (TL/TA) + (req. rate of return on equity)*(TE/TA) TA = TL + TE; Tax rate = Marginal corporate tax rate; rE (from CAPM) If excess capacity, sales will not change but assets will be lower, turnovers better, less new debt, lower interest, higher profits, EPS, ROE, improved TIE and debt ratio. Since no FA is needed, AFN – projected increase in FA. Pro forma Statements and CF Recall: OCF = EBIT + depreciation – taxes If there’s no interest expense, then Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) = EBIT – taxes, thus OCF = NOPAT + depreciation Additional capital spending and changes in WC = Net CF = OCF - NCS - changes in NWC = CFFA DETAILED EXAMPLE: UNEQUAL LIFE PROJECTS & EAA Depreciation and Net Salvage Value (SV) Depreciation tax shield = D x T (Deprec exp x Tax rate) Computing straight line depreciation: D = (initial cost – SV)/no. of yrs (take SV into acct) D = initial cost/no. of yrs (straight line FULL depreciation) Internal growth rate: how much the firm can grow assets using RE/ internally generated funds as the only source of financing. Accum. Depreciation = D x no. of years in use Book value (B) = initial cost – accum. Depreciation Internal Growth Rate = If salvage value (S) ≠ book value (B) tax effect. After-tax salvage value = S – T(S - B) if S>B (Gain on sale) = S + T|S-B| if S<B (Loss on sale) Net capital spending = Ending net fixed assets – beginning net fixed assets + depreciation Methods to Computing OCF 1. Bottom-Up Approach oWorks only when there is no interest expense oOCF = NI + depreciation oWhere NI = sales – costs – depreciation – taxes oTaxes = Tax rate x (sales – costs – depreciation) 2. Top-Down Approach oSame result as bottom-up approach if no interest exp oOCF = Sales – costs – taxes oDon’t subtract non-cash deductions/interest expense 3. Tax Shield Approach oOCF = (Sales –Costs)(1-T) + Depreciation*T oCosts here don’t include depreciation Mutually Exclusive Projects with Unequal Lives (EAA) PV = NPV of project, I/YR = required return, N = project life, FV = 0. <CPT><PMT> to find an equivalent annuity (replacement chains) to the lump-sum NPV. Rule: Select highest EAA (lowest if comparing costs) Impact of inflation (Downward bias on PV) Need to adjust revenues (e.g. 10% annually) and costs (60% of revenue), but NOT depreciation. DETAILED EXAMPLE: REPLACEMENT PROBLEM If TA < TL + OE then it can be resolved by repaying ST debt (decrease notes payable), repaying LT debt, buying back stock (decrease owner’s equity), paying more in dividends (reduce addition to RE) + or increasing cash account. (Plug variables determine where the extra funds will go or the loss in funds will be raised. TA = TL + OE) ROA×b 1-ROA×b where b = retention ratio Sustainable growth rate: how much the firm can grow by using internally generated funds and issuing debt (AFN) to maintain a constant debt-equity ratio. (>internal growth) OCF Machine A Initial cost Operating cost after tax Depreciation tax shield ∆ in NWC Salvage value, S – T(S-B) Net Cash Flow T=0 -5m T = 1-4 0 -500k(1-0.4) = -300k 920k(0.4) = 368k 0 -5m 68k T=5 -300k 368k 0 400k 468k NPVA = -4,475,531.16, NPVB = -5,676,367.70 EAAA = $1,150,625.30, EAAB = $1,025,574 Choose Machine B, as it incurs lower costs Topic 10: Financial Planning and Forecasting Purpose: Assess if firm’s anticipated performance is in line with general targets/investor’s expectations, estimate effects of proposed operating changes, anticipate future financing needs, estimate future CFFA, set appropriate targets for compensation plans. Elements of Financial Planning Capital budgeting decisions: investment in new assets Capital structure decisions: degree of financial leverage NWC management decisions: liquidity requirements Dividend policy decisions: cash paid to shareholders Financial Statements TA = TL + TE Balance Sheet NI = Rev – COGS – Exp – Taxes Income Statement NI = Addition to RE + Dividends Dividend payout ratio = Dividends/NI Retention ratio = (NI-Dividends)/NI = RE/NI Dividend payout ratio + Retention ratio = 1 Percentage of Sales approach Pro Forma Income Statement: If profit margin (NI/Sales) is assumed to be constant, costs will vary directly with sales. Dividends do not vary directly with sales. Pro Forma Balance Sheet: Initially assume all assets (including fixed assets if firm is operating at full capacity) and A/P vary directly with sales. Notes payable, LT debt & Downloaded by Thu Trang Nguy?n (ngthutrang59@gmail.com) Sustainable Growth Rate = ROE×b 1-ROE×b where b = retention ratio AFN = (A*/S0)∆S – M(S1)(RR) (L*=0; non-spontaneous) If >sustainable growth rate, projected D/E ratio increases. If current D/E ratio > projected, not sustainable. Determinants of growth Using Dupont Identity ROE = PM * TATO * EM Profit margin: operating efficiency Total asset turnover: asset use efficiency Financial leverage: choice of debt ratio Dividend policy: choice of how much to pay to shareholders vs. reinvesting in the firm Topic 11: Working Capital Management Gross working capital = total current assets Net working capital = CA – CL NOWC = CA – non-interest bearing CL = Operating CA – Operating CL = (Cash + Inv. + A/R) – (Accruals + A/P) Sources and Uses of Cash Sources: Increasing LT debt, equity or CL, Decreasing CA other than cash or FA. | Uses: Decreasing LT debt, equity or CL, Increasing CA other than cash or FA Operating Cycle The operating cycle is the time period from inventory purchase until the receipt of cash. Operating Cycle = Inventory period + A/R period Inventory period is the time required to purchase and sell inventory. A/R period (days’ sales outstanding) is the time taken to collect on credit sales. Inventory period = (Average inventory*365)/COGS = 365/inventory turnover A/R period = Average receivables/(Credit Sales/365) = AR/average daily sales = 365/receivables turnover Cash Cycle The cash cycle is the time period from when cash is paid out for purchases to when cash is received from sales. Cash Cycle = Operating cycle – A/P period = Inventory period + A/R period – A/P period lOMoARcPSD|10593153 A/P period is the time between purchase of inventory and payment for the inventory. A/P period: Payables turnover = Total purchases from suppliers/Average payable = (COGS + End inventory – Beg. inventory)/Average payable AP Period = 365/payables turnover = Average payable/ (COGS/365) Minimizing the cash cycle minimizes the amt of external financing the firm has to raise to fund current operations. Carrying vs. Shortage Costs Managing short-term assets involves trade-off between carrying cost and shortage cost. Carrying cost is the cost to store and finance the assets. It increases with increased levels of CA. Shortage cost is the cost to replenish assets (e.g. trading and order costs, costs related to safety reserves, i.e. lost sales and customers and production shortages). It decreases with increased levels of CA. Motives for carrying cash Txns | Precaution | Compensating balances | Speculation Ways to minimize cash holdings Lockbox | Insist on wire transfers from customers | Use a remote disbursement acct | Increase forecast accuracy | Hold marketable securities | Negotiate a line of credit 365/20 = 18.25 periods per year EAR = (1.01010)18.25 – 1 = 20.13% Bo l t Coma d ec r e d i t s a l e so f $ 1 5 , 0 0 0 . Cu s t . p a y s6 0d a y sl a t e r . I f o p p . c o s t o f f u n d si s9 %, h o wmu c hi st h ep a y me n t wo r t ht o d a y ? N=60/365, I/Y=9%, FV=15,000 find PV. Reducing DSO without reducing sales will increase SR cash holdings. In LR, company invests cash in productive assets or pays shareholders, increasing firm’s value. Evaluating a Credit Policy NPV of credit policy = PV of cash inflow – PV of cost of switching (incremental) PV of cash inflow = (P – V)(Q1 – Q0)/r perpetuity Cost of switching = cash given up now + cost of producing extra units = P(Q0) + V(Q1 – Q0) where P = sales price, V = variable cost, Q1 = new sales qty upon switching, Qo = current sales qty, r = req monthly return (in d.p.) DETAILED EXAMPLE: EVALUATING A CREDIT POLICY DETAILED EXAMPLE: LOCKBOX Float The difference between cash as shown on firm’s books and on its bank books. Disbursement float (always +ve) Generated when a firm writes checks. = Available balance at bank - book bal. after disbursement Collection float (always -ve) Checks received increase book balance before bank credits the account. = Available balance at bank - book bal. after receiving Net float = Disbursement float + Collection float = Available bank balance – Book balance Measuring Float Size of float = Dollar amt x Time delay Delay= mailing time + processing delay + availability delay Goal of Float Management is to reduce collection delay. To increase overall float, stretch out A/P as long as possible (negotiate longer terms with suppliers). Turn A/R as quickly as possible (make it easy for customers to pay e.g. lockbox, prepaid envelopes, discounts). DETAILED EXAMPLE: MEASURING FLOAT Cash Surplus and Deficit Cash surplus: exists when seasonal demand for assets is low buy marketable securities with seasonal surpluses Cash deficit: exists when seasonal demand for assets is high convert marketable securities back to cash and/or borrow from banks when deficits occur Temporary vs. Permanent Assets Temp current assets: Additional CA carried during peak periods (seasonal). Level of CA decreases as sales occur. Perm current assets: Minimum level of CA carried by firm at all times. Considered perm because level is constant. Choosing the Best Policy (1) Cash reserves. (+) Firm less likely to face financial distress & better able to handle emergencies. (-) cash & marketable securities earn a lower return. | (2) Maturity hedging: Try to match financing maturities with asset maturities. Finance temp assets with ST debt, perm assets & fixed assets with LT debt & equity | (3) Interest rates. When ST rates < LT rates, it may be cheaper to finance with ST debt. However, rates can increase quickly may become unable to refinance ST loans. Characteristics of ST securities Maturity | Default risk | Marketability | Taxability ST Borrowing 1) Bank loans: Promissory note, line/letter of credit, 2) Commercial Paper, 3) Trade credit & Accruals Cost of float is the opportunity cost of not being able to use the money, i.e. cost of float = daily receipt x delay. Credit Management Trade-off between increased sales and cost of credit. A/R = credit sales per day x length of collection period Cash Budget Purpose: Forecast cash inflows, outflows and ending cash balances. Used to plan loans needed/funds available to invest. Components: Start with Cash inflows (collections from sales, FA disposal, interest earned, other income). Less: cash paid for purchases, other expenses (e.g. wages, rent). Bad debt expenses reduce collections from sales. TOS: If TOS are A/B, net C A% discount if pay in B days. From operations DETAILED EXAMPLE: CASH DISCOUNT Y o up l a c ea no r d e r f o r4 0 0u n i t so f i n v e n t o r ya t au n i t p r i c eo f 1 2 5 . T h es u p p l i e r o ff e r st e r mso f 1 / 1 0 , n e t 3 0 . I f y o ud o n ’ t t a k e t h ed i s c o u n t , h o wmu c hi n t e r e s t a r ey o up a y i n gi mp l i c i t l y ?Ho w ma n yd a y s ’ c r e d i t a r ey o ur e c e i v i n g ? Period rate = 1/99 = 1.01010% Period = 30 – 10 = 20 days of credit received DETAILED EXAMPLE: COMPENSATING BALANCE Effective Interest Rate of a compensating balance Amt that needs to be borrowed = Required amt/(1 – compensating balance requirement %) Interest paid = Amt borrowed x (1 + quoted interest rate) Effective interest rate = Interest paid/Required amt Downloaded by Thu Trang Nguy?n (ngthutrang59@gmail.com) Topic 12: Options A call option is one that confers the right (but not the obligation) to BUY a given asset on (or before) a given date for a predetermined price (known as the exercise or strike price). A put option is one that confers the right (but not the obligation) to SELL a given asset on (or before) a given date at a predetermined price (known as the exercise or strike price). American: Exercise any time European: Exercise at expiration General strategy: Buy call option if expect asset price to increase. Buy put option if expect asset price to decrease. Exercise (strike) price: price at which the option holder can purchase or sell the stock (or other underlying asset) Expiration/maturity date: the final date at which the option can be used. Prices are higher for options with the same strike price but longer expiration. Intrinsic value: difference between exercise price of option and spot price of the asset (Call: S – E, Put: E – S). It is the value of the option if it were to expire today. Time value: option price - intrinsic value Comparison: Calls vs. Puts Call option with strikes less than the current price are worth more than the corresponding puts. Call options with strikes greater than the current price are worth less than the corresponding puts. Call options have unlimited profit potential, while put options have limited profit potential since the underlying asset’s price cannot be less than zero. Exercise Price vs. Spot Price Call option In-the-Money: E<S At-the-Money: E=S Out-of-the-Money: E>S Put option In-the-Money: S<E At-the-Money: S=E Out-of-the-Money: S>E Comparing the Strategies Stock + Put oIf S<E, exercise put and receive E oIf S≥E, let put expire and have S Call + Treasury bills with PV = E oPV(E) will be worth E at expiration of the option oIf S<E, let call expire and have investment E oIf S≥E, exercise call using the investment and have S Put-Call Parity Payoff from 1st Strategy = Payoff from 2nd Strategy Thus, they must cost the same, i.e. Price of underlying stock + Price of Put = Price of Call + PV of Exercise Price (zero coupon bond) If prices are not equal, arbitrage will be possible. Call Option Value Bounds Upper bound: Call price must be ≤ stock price. Lower bound: Call price must be ≥ (S – E) or 0, whichever is greater. If either bound is violated arbitrage opportunity. Value of call sure to finish in the money = S – PV(E) Determinants of option values 1. Stock price Stock price ↑, call price ↑, put price ↓ 2. Exercise price Exercise price ↑, call price ↓, put price ↑ 3. Time to expiration Time to expiration ↑, both call and put prices ↑ 4. Risk-free rate Risk free rate ↑, call price ↑ and put price ↓ 5. Volatility Higher TOTAL variance in underlying asset returns, both call and put prices ↑ APPENDIX: NPV CROSSOVER RATES (Mutually Exclusive) Why NPV cross: (1) Size (scale) diff: NPV different at discount rate = and (2) Timing diff: project with faster payback has more CF in early years for reinvestment. IRR(A) > IRR(B) but which investment has a higher NPV depends on required rate of return. Year Investment A Investment B 0 -$400 -$500 1 $250 $320 2 $280 $340 lOMoARcPSD|10593153 (B has larger cash flows in the later years.) 1) Find NPV of switching from A to B: NPV(B-A) = -100 + 70/(1+IRR) + 60/(1+IRR)2 2) Calculate return on this investment by setting NPV = 0 & solving for IRR: = -100 + 70/(1+IRR) + 60/(1+IRR)2 = 0. CF0 = -100, CF1 = 70, CF2 = 60 <CPT><IRR> SPACE FOR EXTRA NOTES e.g 15 year bond mature in 10 years – N=10 To find discount rate, P/V negative* Downloaded by Thu Trang Nguy?n (ngthutrang59@gmail.com)