lOMoARcPSD|16790850 Formula sheet of the gods - APCB Asset Pricing and Capital Budgeting (Rijksuniversiteit Groningen) Studeersnel wordt niet gesponsord of ondersteund door een hogeschool of universiteit Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 Chapter 2: Introduction to Financial Statement Net Working Capital=Current Assets-Current Liabilities Book Value of Equity=the difference between assets and liabilities Market Capitalisation (also the total market value of equity)=market price per share*the number of shares outstanding Market-to-Book Ratio= ππππππ‘ ππππ’π ππ πππ’ππ‘π¦ π΅πππ π£πππ’π ππ πππ’ππ‘π¦ Enterprise Value=Market Value of Equity+Debt-Cash πππ‘ πΌπππππ Earnings Per Share= πβππππ ππ’π‘π π‘ππππππ Retained Earnings=Net Income-Dividends π·ππ£ππππππ Payout Ratio= πππ‘ πΌπππππ Change in StockholderΕ Equity= Retained Earnings+Net Sales of Stock=Net Income-Dividends+Sales of Stock-Repurchases of Stock Gross Margin=Gross Profit/Sales Operating Margin=Operating Income/Sales Net Profit Margin=Net Income/Salese Current Ratio=Current Assets/Current Liabilities Quick Ratio= (Current Assets-Inventory)/Current Liabilities Cash Ratio=Cash/Current Liabilities Asset Turnover=Sales/Total Assets Fixed Asset Turnover=Sales/Fixed Assets Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 Accounts Receivable Days=Accounts Receivable/Average Daily Sales πΆππ π‘ ππ πΊππππ πΌππ£πππ‘πππ¦ Inventory Turnover= Leverage ratios: (debt as source of financing) Debt-Equity Ratio=Total Debt/Total Equity Debt-To-Capital Ratio=Total Debt/ (Total Equity+Total Debt) Net Debt=Total Debt-(Excess Cash and Short-Term Investments) Debt-to-enterprise Value Ratio=Net Debt/(Market Value of Equity+Net Debt) =(Net Debt/Enterprise Value) Valuation ratios: P/E Ratio=Market Capitalisation/Net Income=Share Price/Earnings Per Share Return on Equity=Net Income/Book Value of Equity πΈπ΅πΌπ(1−πππ₯ π ππ‘π Return on Invested Capital= π΅πππ ππππ’π ππ πΈππ’ππ‘π¦+πππ‘ π·πππ‘ DuPont Identity π ππΈ = πππ‘ πΌπππππ πππππ πππππ πππ‘ππ πΈππ’ππ‘π¦ * * πππ‘ππ π΄π π ππ‘π πππ‘ππ πΈππ’ππ‘π¦ Chapter 3 and 4: Time Value of Money π ππ = πΆ ÷ (1 + π) π πΉπ = πΆ * (1 + π) ππππππ‘π’ππ‘π¦ ππ = πΆ π Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 1 π π΄πππ’ππ‘π¦ ππ = πΆ * (1 − 1 ) π (1+π) ππ (πΊπππ€πππ ππππππ‘π’ππ‘π¦) = πΆ π−π ππ£(ππππ€πππ ππππ’ππ‘π¦) = πΆ * 1 π−π Cash Flow in an Annuity (Loan Payment) πΆ= 1 π π (1− P = principal 1 (1+π) π 1+π π (1 − ( 1+π ) ) ) Chapter 5 and Chapter 6 1 + πΈπ΄π = (1 + π πππ π ππ‘π = π΄ππ π ) π (m=number of compounding periods per year) πππππππ π ππ‘π−πΌπππππ‘πππ π ππ‘π 1+πΌπππππ‘πππ π ππ‘π ≈ πππππππ π ππ‘π − πΌπππππ‘πππ π ππ‘π 1+πππππππ π ππ‘π Growth in Purchasing Power=1+Real= 1+πΌπππππ‘πππ π ππ‘π ππ = ππ = πΆπ π (1+ππ) πΆ1 1+π1 + πΆ2 (1+π2) +... + πΆπ (1+π π ) π Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 BONDS πΆππ = πΆππ’πππ π ππ‘π*πΉπππ ππππ’π ππ’ππππ ππ πΆππ’πππ πππ¦ππππ‘π πππ ππππ Yield to Maturity of an n-Year Zero-Coupon Bond 1 + ππππ = ( πΉπππ ππππ’π πππππ ) 1 π Yield to Maturity of a Coupon Bond (PV of coupon payments + repayment) & (x = coupon rate * face value) π = πΆππ * 1 π¦ (1 − 1 π (1+π¦) )+ πΉπ π (1+π¦) πΆππππ πππππ = πΆππ β (π·πππ‘π¦ πππππ) − π΄ππππ’ππ πΌππ‘ππππ π‘ π΄ππππ’ππ πΌππ‘ππππ π‘ = πΆππ’πππ π΄πππ’ππ‘ * π·ππ¦π π ππππ πΏππ π‘ πΆππ’πππ πππ¦ππππ‘ π·ππ¦π ππ πΆπ’πππππ‘ πΆππ’πππ ππππππ Chapter 8 and 9 πππ‘ ππππ πππ‘ ππππ’π πππ = ππ(π΅ππππππ‘π ) − ππ(πΆππ π‘π ) IRR=the interest rates that sets the net present value of the cash flows equal to zero πππ Profitability Index= π ππ ππ’πππ πΆπππ π’πππ (πΈπ΅πΌπ) = πΌππππππππ‘ππ π ππ£πππ’π − πΌππππππππ‘ππ πΆππ π‘π − π·ππππππππ‘πππ Net working capital=Current Assets-Current Liabilities =Cash+Inventory+Receivables-Payables πΉπππ πΆππ β πΉπππ€ = (π ππ£πππ’ππ − πΆππ π‘π − π·ππππππππ‘ππ) * (1 − πππ₯ π ππ‘π) + π·ππππππππ‘πππ − πΆππ πΈπ Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 Capital Expenditure (Gain)=Sale Price-Book Value Book Value=Purchase Price-Accumulated Depreciation After-Tax Cash Flow from Asset Sale=Sale Price-(Tax Rate*Capital Gain) Chapter 7 and Chapter 10 π0 = π·ππ£1+π1 1+ππ ππ = π·ππ£1+π1 π0 ππ = π·ππ£1 1+ππ − 1= Dividend Discount Model + π·ππ£2 2 (1+ππ ) π·ππ£1 π0 +... + + π1−ππ π0 π·ππ£π π (1+ππ) + ππ π (1+ππ) Constant Dividend Growth Model π0 = π·ππ£1 ππ−π π·ππ£π‘ = πΈπππππππ π‘ πβππππ ππ’π‘π π‘ππππππ ππ = π·ππ£1 π0 +π * π·ππ£πππππ πππ¦ππ’π‘ π ππ‘π Change in Earnings=New Investment*Return on New Investment New Investment=Earnings*Retention Rate Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 Earnings Growth Rate= πΆβππππ ππ πΈπππππππ πΈπππππππ = π ππ‘πππ‘πππ π ππ‘π * π ππ‘π’ππ ππ πππ€ πΌππ£ππ π‘ππππ‘ π = π ππ‘πππ‘πππ π ππ‘π * π ππ‘π’ππ ππ πππ€ πΌππ£ππ π‘ππππ‘ Retention Rate=1-Payout If early growth is variable followed by constant growth ππ = ππ = ππ(πΉπ’π‘π’ππ πππ‘ππ π·ππ£ππππππ πππ πππ‘ π πππ’ππβππ ππ ) πβππππ ππ’π π‘ππππππ + π·ππ£2 π·ππ£π π·ππ£1 1+ππ +... + 2 (1+ππ ) ( π (1+ππ) 1 π (1+ππ) )( π·ππ£π+1 ππ−π ) Enterprise Value=Market value of Equity+Debt-Cash ππ(enterprise value)=PV(Future Cash Flow of Firm) ππ = π0+πΆππ β0−π·πππ‘0 πβππππ ππ’π π‘ππππππ0 πΈππ‘ππππππ π π£πππ’π, ππ = ππ = πΉπΆπΉπ+1 ππ€πππ−ππΉπΆπΉ = (π πΉπππ€πππ π/πΈ = (1+πππππ) 1+ππΉπΆπΉ −ππΉπΆπΉ π€πππ ππ πΉπΆπΉ1 πΈππ1 = + πΉπΆπΉ2 ) * πΉπΆπΉπ π·ππ£1/πΈππ1 ππ−π 2 (1+ππ€πππ) = ..... πΉπΆπΉπ π·ππ£πππππ πππ¦ππ’π‘ π ππ‘π ππ−π Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) π (1+ππ€πππ) + ππ π (1+ππ€πππ) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 π0 πΈπ΅πΌππ·π΄1 = πΉπΆπΉ1 π π€πππ−πΊπππ πΈπ΅πΌππ·π΄1 = πΉπΆπΉ1/πΈπ΅πΌππ·π΄1 π π€πππ−πΊπππ Chapter 11 and Chapter 12 Realized return = Dividend yield + Capital gain yield Realized return: Annual realized return = Average annual returns (Arithmetic): = Geometric Average = ((1+R1) (1+R2) (1+R3) … (1+Rn)) Standard deviation = Prediction interval: 1/π (π ) Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 Portfolio weights (w): Return of Portfolio: *Return is a % (Expected) return of Portfolio: 6 Variance of two-stock portfolio: Market capitalization = (No. of shares outstanding) x (Price per share) Expected Return = Risk-Free Rate + Risk Premium for Systematic Risk Expected return of a stock/investment : Capital asset Pricing model: CAPM(Security market line): Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 = expected Rate of return = Rf + β(Rmarketportflio - Rf) = Risk-Free Rate + BETA * Risk Premium per Unit of Systematic Risk Beta of a portfolio with securities weight w: βπ = π€1β1 + π€2β2 + ... + π€πβπ Constant dividend growth model: P= ( Chapter 13 π·ππ£πππππ π−π ) CAPM model = cost of equity = expected return Market value of equity + Market value of debt = Market value of assets Rwacc = (Fraction of firm value financed by equity) (Equity cost of capital) + (Fraction of firm value financed by debt) (Debt cost of capital) = Asset cost of capital Effective after-tax borrowing rate: rd (1- Tc) Cost of Preferred stock Capital = (Preferred dividend / Preferred stock price) =π·ππ£ πππ / π πππ Cost of Equity = (Dividend (in one year) / Current Price) + Dividend Growth rate = π·ππ£1 ππ + π Rwacc = ReE% + RpfdP% + Rd (1-Tc) D% Rwacc = ReE% + Rd (1-Tc)D% Net Debt = Debt - Cash and Risk-Free Securities πΏ V 0= FCF 0+ πΉπΆπΉ1 (1+π π€πππ) + πΉπΆπΉ2 (1+π π€πππ) 2 +... Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 STOCKS Tradeoff between dividends and growth - Increasing growth requires investment yet money spent on investments cannot be paid out as dividends. This means that to increase growth a firm must retain Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl) lOMoARcPSD|16790850 more of its earnings at the expense of dividend payouts. Nevertheless, retaining more earnings is not necessarily a guarantee of increased growth. The reason for this is that for a cut in dividends to increase the firm’s value by raising the stock price, the investments in which the retained earnings will be used for MUST generate a return that exceeds the firm’s cost of capital. Drawbacks of the CDGM - - Certain firms pay no dividends. Specifically younger firms in their early growth stages must retain their earnings and reinvest them. Once they mature and their growth rate lessens, their earnings will usually exceed their investment needs and then start paying dividends. Certain firms do not have a steady growth rate until they mature. Drawbacks of the DDM - Reliance on uncertain dividend forecasts = the DDM values a stock based on a forecast of the future dividends. However, such cash flows are uncertain. The slightest change in the assumed dividend growth rate will lead to large changes in the stock price estimation, especially at higher growth rates. Moreover, it is hard to confidently estimate the appropriate dividend growth rate. Essentially forecasting dividends implies that we must also forecast the firm’s earnings which heavily depend on the firm’s financing practices and therefore its interest expenses. Furthermore, we must also forecast the dividend payout rate and the future number of shares outstanding which both depend on whether the firm decides to embark on a share repurchase program. Given how this decision is at the management’s discretion, it is hard to reach a reliable forecast of the future dividends. - Not all stocks pay dividends Share repurchases and the Total Payout Method Gedownload door Paul Bulten (paul.bulten@hotmail.nl)