CHAPTER T W O 2 The Law of Comparative Advantage Dominick Salvatore John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Salvatore: International Economics, 11th Edition © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Terms in Vietnamses Mercantilism Zero-Sum Game Absolute Advantage Invisible Hands Wealth of Nations Comparative Advantage Labor Theory of Value Opportunity Cost Basic for Trade Pattern of Trade Gains from Trade Complete Specialization Mutually beneficial trade Chủ nghĩa Trọng thương Trò chơi tổng bằng không Lợi thế tuyệt đối Bàn tay vô hình Sự thịnh vượng quốc gia Lợi thế so sánh Chi phí cơ hội Lý thuyết Giá trị - Lao động Cơ sở thương mại Mô hình thương mại Lợi ích thương mại Chuyên môn hóa hoàn toàn Thương mại cùng có lợi Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH In this chapter: Introduction The Mercantilists’ Views on Trade Trade Based on Absolute Advantage: Adam Smith Trade Based on Comparative Advantage: David Ricardo Comparative Advantage and Opportunity Costs The Basis for and the Gains from Trade under Constant Costs Empirical Tests of the Ricardian Model Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 4 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH The purpose of all these theories: Why do nations trade? Why do nations trade different products/services? Why are nations good at different products/services in trade? By knowing the answers to these questions, businesses and governments should be able to compete in the global market more effectively. 5 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Introduction Three basic questions: What is the basis for trade? What are gains from trade? What is the pattern of trade? Assume two-nation, two-good world Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH The Mercantilists 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH The Mercantilists’ Views on Trade Mercantilism Economic philosophy in 17th and 18th centuries, in England, Spain, France, Portugal and the Netherlands. Belief that nation could become rich and powerful only by exporting more than it imported. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Mercantilism - A belief, popular in the 16th century, that national prosperity results from maximising exports and minimising imports. - The economic doctrine in which government intervention of foreign trade is of paramount importance for ensuring the prosperity and security of the state. 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu HUU Lộc, UEH NGUYEN LOC UEH The Mercantilists’ Views on Trade Mercantilism Export surpluses brought inflow of gold and silver. Trade policy was to encourage exports and restrict imports. One nation gained only at the expense of another. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 11 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH The Mercantilists’ Views on Trade Mercantilists measured wealth of a nation by stock of precious metals it possessed. Today, we measure wealth of a nation by its stock of human, man-made and natural resources available for producing goods and services. The greater the stock of resources, the greater the flow of goods and services to satisfy human wants, and the higher the standard of living. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 13 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH The Mercantilists’ Views on Trade Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Exclusive Trade 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH S. Korea v.s N. Korea GDP 2011 GDP GDP per capita (PPP) S. Korea N. Korea 1,014 bil USD ; 13th 40 bil USD; 103th 28,800 USD 1,800 USD (Source: Yonhap, Ria Novosti, 19/3/2013 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 16 Mercantilism demands a positive balance of trade an economic philosophy advocating that countries should simultaneously encourage exports and discourage imports Trade surplus > trade deficit “…to sell more to strangers yearly than we consume of theirs in value” (Mun, 1630) Mercantilist policies have included: High tariffs, especially on manufactured goods Export subsidies Promoting manufacturing with research or direct subsidies Exclusive trade with colonies Forbidding trade to be carried in foreign ships Banning all export of gold and silver Maximizing the use of domestic resources Restricting domestic consumption with non-tariff barriers to trade Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 17 Neomercantilism • Today, some argue for neomercantilism—the idea that a nation should run a trade surplus. • Supporters of neomercantilism include: Labor unions (want to protect domestic jobs) Farmers (want to keep crop prices high) Some manufacturers (rely on exports) But is neomercantilism best for all? Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 18 Foreign Exchange Reserve 2010 Rank Country Billion USD (end of month) 1 People's Republic of China $ 2447,1 (March 2010) 2 Japan $ 1019 (Jun 2009) Eurozone $ 716 (Oct 2009) 3 Russia $ 456 (Apr 2010) 4 Republic of China (Taiwan) $ 357.56 (Apr 2010) 5 India $ 277.0 (Mar 26, 2010) 6 South Korea $ 270.9 (Nov 2009) 7 Brazil $ 250 (May 2010) 8 Hong Kong $ 240 (Nov 2009) 9 Germany $ 184 (Sep 2009) 10 Singapore $ 182 (Sep 2009) 56 New Zealand $18 (Mar 2011) 19 Source: Wikipedia Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Foreign Exchange Reserve 2016 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH But, can you see the problem? Trade-surplus country and trade-deficit country co-exist http://www.chinapost.com.tw/business/asia/bchina/2010/05/18/256963/Chinas-one-off.htm Trade should NOT be a zero-sum game “The approach of individual negotiating countries, both industrialised and developing, has been to press for trade liberalisation in areas where their own comparative advantages are the strongest, and to resist liberalisation in areas where they are less competitive and fear that imports would replace domestic production.” (Finnish Ministry of Finance) file:///D:/How%20International%20Trade%20Works%201951%20%20YouTube.html 21 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Trade should be a positive-sum game (Mutually beneficial trade) Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Absolute advantage (Adam Smith) “a country has an absolute advantage in the production of a product when it is more efficient than any other country at producing it” 23 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Absolute Advantage Principle A country should produce only those products in which it has absolute advantage or those it can produce using fewer resources than another country. (Factors of Production in units required for One Ton) Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Advocating Free Trade The absence of restrictions to the flow of goods and services among nations Free trade is usually best because it leads to: More and better choices for consumers and firms Lower prices of goods for consumers and firms Higher profits and better worker wages (because imported input goods are usually cheaper) Higher living standards for consumers (because their costs are lower) Greater prosperity in poor countries Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 25 Trade Based on Absolute Advantage: Adam Smith A nation has absolute advantage over another nation if it can produce a commodity more efficiently. When one nation has absolute advantage in production of a commodity, but an absolute disadvantage with respect to the other nation in a second commodity, both nations can gain by specializing in their absolute advantage good and exchanging part of the output for the commodity of its absolute disadvantage. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Trade Based on Absolute Advantage: Adam Smith Example: Canada is efficient in growing wheat, inefficient in growing bananas. Nicaragua is efficient in growing bananas, inefficient in growing wheat. Canada has absolute advantage in wheat, Nicaragua has absolute advantage in bananas. Mutually beneficial trade can take place if both countries specialize in their absolute advantage. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Trade Based on Absolute Advantage: Adam Smith Specialization and trade advantage both countries. Adam Smith and other classical economists advocated policy of laissez-faire, or minimal government interference with economic activity. Free trade would cause world resources to be utilized most efficiently, maximizing world welfare. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Trade Based on Absolute Advantage: Adam Smith Wheat (bushels/labor hour) Cloth (yards/labor hour) U.S. 6 4 U.K. 1 5 U.S. has absolute advantage over U.K. in wheat. U.K. has absolute advantage over U.S. in cloth. Both nations can gain from specialization in production and trade. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Trade Pattern US exports wheat UK exports cloth 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH A country should never produce goods at home that it can buy at a lower cost from other countries. Trade is then a positive-sum game The gain from Trade Cloth US UK +2C + 24 C 31 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Trade Based on Absolute Advantage: Adam Smith No Trade Specialization Trade Trade Gain U.S. U.K. U.S. U.K. U.S. U.K. U.S. U.K. Wheat 6 1 12 0 6 5 - 5-1=4 Cloth 4 5 0 10 6 5 6-4=2 - Assuming each country has 2 unit labor hours and specialize on the product that has Absolute Advantage US Specialize on Wheat then gain 2 additional Cloth UK Specialize on Cloth then gain 4 additional Wheat Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Trade Based on Comparative Advantage: David Ricardo Assumptions: Only two nations and two commodities Free trade Perfect mobility of labor within each nation but immobility between the two nations Constant costs of production, No transportation costs No technical change, and The labor theory of value. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Trade Based on Comparative Advantage: David Ricardo Law of Comparative Advantage Even if one nation is less efficient than (has absolute disadvantage with respect to) the other nation in production of both commodities, there is still a basis for mutually beneficial trade. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Trade Based on Comparative Advantage: David Ricardo U.S. U.K. Wheat (bushels/labor hour) 6 1 Cloth (yards/labor hour) 4 2 U.K. has absolute disadvantage in both goods. Since U.K. labor is half as productive in cloth but six times less productive in wheat compared to U.S., the U.K. has a comparative advantage in cloth. U.S. has comparative advantage in wheat. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH An International Economics case study: Trade and Economic Development Ghana vs. South Korea Ghana Differences in government policy, and especially trade policy, has seen very different outcomes for these two countries South Korea has grown and developed economically, while Ghana has not South Korea Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Ghana • 1970 South Korea • 1970 GNP per capita GNP per capita • $250 • $260 So, what were the differences in trade policy in these countries? Miracle Korea! 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 4-4 • • • • • • 4/24/2023 1st British African colony to win independence (1957). Nkrumah espoused pan African socialism. High tariffs (Import Substituting policy) Self-sufficiency Returns to growers decreased export volume Shift to subsistence agriculture Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH • Kept lowering tariffs on manufactured goods. • Created incentives to export and for the development of certain i ndustries: steel (POSCO), telecomunication (SK TELECOM, Sa msung)…(Case study Video) • Reduced quotas. • Reduced subsidies. • Used foreign investment to gain technology. • 1950s: 77% of employment in agriculture. Fell to 20%. Now 2. 9% • Manufacturing GNP went from 10% to over 30%. Now 39.4% 4-3 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Ghana 1992 GNP per capita 1.5% Shift from productive uses 4/24/2023 1992 GNP per capita $450 GNP Growth/year South Korea (cocoa) to unproductive uses (subsistence agriculture). 2005 GNP pc $452 2009 GDP pc $695 2008 GDP pc (PPP) $1,500 agriculture: 56% industry: 15% services: 29% $6790 GNP Growth/year 9% Shift from non-comparative advantage uses (agriculture) to productive uses (labor-intensive manufacturing). 2008 GDP pc (PPP) $27,100 agriculture: 2.9% industry: 39.4% services: 57.7% Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Samsung 2017 . 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Class Discussion Key questions for discussion 1. Should a national government intervene to protect the country’s domestic firms by: taxing foreign goods entering the domestic market? constructing other barriers against imports? 2. Should a national government directly help the country’s domestic firms to increase their foreign sales through: 4/24/2023 export subsidies? government-to-government negotiations? guaranteed loan programs? Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Class Exercise 1. In groups of 3-4 design a political manifesto (aka action plan for government) to drive economic growth and development in your home country. 2. How will your policies encourage investment by multinational enterprises, development of local firms while ensuring that the benefits are widely distributed in the economy? Consider: trade, investment policies government spending industry policy 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH The gains from trade, Why 6W 6C What is the range for mutually advantageous trade? The gains from trade Exchange Ratio 6W – 4C 6W – 5C 6W – 6C 6W – 7C 6W – 8C 6W – 9C 6W – 10C 6W – 11C 6W – 12C 4/24/2023 US UK The World 0C 1C 2C 3C 4C 5C 6C 7C 8C 8C 7C 6C 5C 4C 3C 2C 1C 0C Non-trading Win-win 8C 8C Fifty-fifty 8C 8C Win-win Non-trading Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Comparative Advantage with Money Country 4/24/2023 the wage rate Norway 39 USD (2007) Germany 27,69 USD (2004) The United State 15,78 USD (2004) Thailand 1,29 USD (2004) China 0,76 USD (2004) Indonesia 0,55 USD (2004) Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Comparative Advantage with Money Assumption: the wage rate in the United States is 6 USD, in England is 1 GBP Price of one bushel of wheat Pw Price of one yard of cloth Pc 4/24/2023 US UK $1.0 $1.5 1.0 GBP 0.5 GBP Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Comparative Advantage = f (exchange rate) R$/£ R1 = 2 Pw Pc 4/24/2023 R2 = 3 R3 = 1 USD devaluation USD appreciation US UK USø UK US UK 1$ 1,5 $ Ø 2 $ 1 $ 1$ 1,5 $ 3$ 1,5 $ 1$ 1,5 $ 1$ 0,5 $ Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Predicted top five economies by GDP per capita in 2050 In light of these trends which do you think will be the top 5 economies in 2050? • • • • • 2012 by GDP per capita Singapore 56,532 $ Norway 51,226 $ US 45,511 $ Hong Kong 45,301 $ Switzerland 42,470 $ Predicted 2050 Singapore Hong Kong Taiwan S Korea US 137,710 $ 116,639 $ 114,093 $ 107,752 $ 100,802 $ (Source :Wealth 2012) 4/24/2023 •http://www.alliancetrusts.com/ Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Class-Excercise Labor Productivity of South Africa and Japan (Products per hour of labor time) South Africa Japan Bags of Wheat 55 W 18 W DVD’s 11 D 72 D 550 ZAR 7200 JPY Labor cost (per hour) Determine: The Basic for Trade and the Pattern of Trade The range for mutually advantageous trade The exchange rate for South African Rand to Japanese Yen for mutually advantageous trade Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Video: Review of Absolute advantage and Comparative Advantage Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Ricardo’s theory seems to make sense, however, The reality is far more complicated than a simple theoretical model based on two countries. More than 2 countries; Transportation costs Trade barriers: government intervention by protectionism Different resources of countries, i.e. factor endowment Too many products, and the unique features of services Exchange rate and pricing Globalisation of Production These are the limitations of early trade theories 52 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Globalisation of Production A qualitative shift in the world economy has seen the emergence of an integrated international production system (IIP) or a ‘global factory’ (Buckley & Ghauri, 2004) Eg. Ford ‘Global Car’ -Parts/components sourced worldwide -Assembly in three strategic locations -Sales worldwide Video Clip: The Globalization of the Automobile Industry http://jp.youtube.com/watch?v=7v_LLkEIYc0 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Example: Global Factory 4/24/2023 Global factory NOT limited to manufacturing Eg. Software development and distribution for global banking firms Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Example: Global Factory 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH A Case: Globalization of production: Boeing in Vietnam Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (nhà cung cấp của Boeing) có công ty con MHI Aerospace Vietnam Co., Ltd. (MHIVA), chuyên sản xuất linh kiện máy, khánh thành nhà máy tại Hà Nội, 9/2009. 2010, MHIVA sản xuất cánh tà cho 2 - 4 máy bay/tháng, từ 2011 sản xuất cho 10 máy bay/tháng với linh kiện được cung cấp từ nước ngoài, và MHIVA sẽ mở rộng việc mua sắm tại VN. Boeing thành lập các nhà máy sản xuất linh kiện máy bay tại VN; giúp VN đào tạo kỹ sư, chuyên viên hàng không. 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Comparative Advantage and Opportunity Costs The original idea of comparative advantage was based on the labor theory of value: The value or price of a commodity depends exclusively on the amount of labor used to produce it. Can use the opportunity cost theory to explain comparative advantage: The cost of a commodity is the amount of a second commodity that must be given up to release just enough resources to produce one additional unit of the first commodity. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Using the opportunity cost theory to explain comparative advantage U.S. U.K. Wheat (bushels/labor hour) 6 1 Cloth (yards/labor hour) 4 2 U.S. U.K. Wheat UK has higher opportunity cost than US in Wheat production Cloth US has higher opportunity cost than UK in Cloth production the U.K. has a comparative advantage in cloth. U.S. has comparative advantage in wheat. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Comparative Advantage and Opportunity Costs Production Possibilities Frontier A curve that shows alternative combinations of the two commodities a nation can produce by fully using all resources with best available technology. Constant opportunity costs arise when: 1. Resources are either perfect substitutes for each other or used in fixed proportion in production of both commodities, and 2. All units of the same factor are homogeneous. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH The Production Possibility Frontiers of the United State Wheat Cloth 180 150 120 90 60 30 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH The Production Possibility Frontiers of the United Kingdom Wheat Cloth 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Opportunity costs and Relative Commodity Prices 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH The Basis for and the Gains from Trade under Constant Costs In the absence of trade, a nation’s production possibilities frontier also represents its consumption frontier. Increased output resulting from specialization and trade represents nations’ gains from trade, allowing nations to consume outside production possibilities frontier. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH FIGURE 2-2 The Gains from Trade. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH The Basis for and the Gains from Trade under Constant Costs Under constant cost conditions, nations will completely specialize in their comparative advantage . With complete specialization in both nations, the equilibrium-relative commodity price of each commodity lies between the pretrade relative commodity price in each nation. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH FIGURE 2-3 Equilibrium-Relative Commodity Prices with Demand and Supply. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Empirical Tests of the Ricardian Model McDougall (1951 and 1952) Argued that costs of production would be lower in the U.S. in industries where U.S. labor was more than twice as productive as U.K. labor. Found positive relationship between labor productivity and exports; industries with relatively productive labor in U.S. have higher ratios of U.S. to U.K. exports, supporting Ricardian theory of comparative advantage. Results supported by Balassa, Stern and Golub in later studies. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH FIGURE 2-4 Relative Labor Productivities and Comparative Advantage–United States and United Kingdom. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Empirical Tests of the Ricardian Model 2.8 Output per JPN Worker/ Output per KOR Worker 2.6 Precision Machinery. 2.4 2.2 Transport Machinery Metal 2.0 General Machinery Paper 1.8 Chemical Electric Machinery 1.6 y = 0.2129x + 1.3368 2 R = 0.4598 Wood 1.4 Food 1.2 Textiles Fuel 1.0 0.0 Basic Iron Office Machinery 1.0 Non-metal 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 JPN Exports/KOR Exports FIGURE 2-4-K Relative Labor Productivities and Comparative Advantage– Korea and Japan. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH Case Study: Relative Exports and Relative Unit labor Costs– United States and Japan. FIGURE 2-5 Relative Exports and Relative Unit Costs– United States and Japan. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH حظ سعيد Good Luck! सौभाग्य Viel Glück Lycka till! buona fortuna 祝您好运 행운을 빕니다 Bonne Chance! 頑張って onnea удачи Thanks for being a great class in UEH! 4/24/2023 Nguyễn Hữu Lộc, UEH