Interest Rate FINA 3702C Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management Arkodipta Sarkar 1 Special Multiple Cash Flows: Perpetuities and Annuities • Perpetuity is a constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever • Growing perpetuity is a stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate forever • Annuity is a stream of constant cash flows that lasts for a fixed number of periods (Annuity due) • Growing annuity is a stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate for a fixed number of periods 2 Formula Refresher • Present Value: ππ0 = σππ‘=1 • Perpetuity: ππ0 = πΆ π • Growing Perpetuity: ππ0 = • Annuity: ππ0 = πΆ πΆπ‘ 1+π π‘ 1 π πΆ π−π 1 − π 1+π π‘ • Growing Annuity: ππ0 = πΆ π−π 1− 1+π π‘ 1+π 3 Topics • Define annual percentage rate (APR) and effective annual rate (EAR) • Learn how to convert APR and EAR • Find period interest rates for non-annual cash flows from APR/EAR • Compute loan payments and balances based on quoted rates 4 Topics • Define annual percentage rate (APR) and effective annual rate (EAR) • Learn how to convert APR and EAR • Find period interest rates for non-annual cash flows from APR/EAR • Compute loan payments and balances based on quoted rates 5 Effective Annual Rate (EAR) • EAR (effective annual rate) is the rate that is actually earned/paid at the end of one year, including compounding. • For example, suppose that you deposited $100 in your bank two years ago. The deposit pays out interest once a year. After two years, you have $104.04 in your bank account. What's the EAR? • Answer: 6 Effective Annual Rate (EAR) • EAR (effective annual rate) is the rate that is actually earned/paid at the end of one year, including compounding • For example, suppose that you deposited $100 in your bank two years ago. The deposit pays out interest once a year. After two years, you have $104.04 in your bank account. What's the EAR? • Answer: The EAR is the annual rate of return that we obtain on our investment, and it solves $100 × 1 + πΈπ΄π 2 = 104.04 πΈπ΄π = 2% 7 Effective Annual Rate (EAR) • Suppose that you deposited $100 in your bank. The deposit pays out a 2% interest every three months. What is the EAR? That is, earning a 2% interest rate every three months is equal to earning how much interest for a year? • Answer: 8 Effective Annual Rate (EAR) • Suppose that you deposited $100 in your bank. The deposit pays out a 2% interest every three months. What is the EAR? That is, earning a 2% interest rate every three months is equal to earning how much interest for a year? • Answer: If compounding is quarterly, it means that $100 × 1 + 2% 4 = $100 × 1 + πΈπ΄π same as compounding every year for 4 years • Solving for EAR we get, πΈπ΄π = 1.024 = 1 ≈ 8.24% 9 Effective Annual Rate (EAR) • Suppose that you deposited $100 in your bank. The banker tells you that you are earning interest every three months, and that the EAR is 10%? How much interest are you earning every three months (call it ππ )? • Answer: 10 Effective Annual Rate (EAR) • Suppose that you deposited $100 in your bank. The banker tells you that you are earning interest every three months, and that the EAR is 10%? How much interest are you earning every three months (call it ππ )? • Answer: If compounding is quarterly, it means that $100 × 1 + ππ 4 = $100 × (1 + πΈπ΄π ) Solving, ππ = 1 + πΈπ΄π 1 4 −1= 1 1.14 − 1 = 2.41% 11 Effective Annual Rate (EAR): General Formula • EAR is the annual interest rate that solves 1 + πΈπ΄π = 1 + πππππππ π • Where πππππππ is the interest rate that is earned every period, and n is the number of periods (measured as fractions/ multiples of a year) that the interest rate is earned • If n>1 it means that πππππππ is earned more than once every year – E.g., n=12 is monthly compounding – E.g., n=52 is daily compounding weekly • If n < 1, it means that πππππππ is earned at higher frequencies than a year – E.g., n=1/2 means that πππππππ is earned once every two years 12 Annual Percentage Rate (APR): Definition • APR (annualized percentage rate) is a rate that ignores compounding – It is given by APR = πππππππ × π • E.g., If you earn interest of 3% every two months, then π΄ππ = 3% × 6 = 18%. • Why do we need this? – Used in contracts and quoted by banks • Other definitions (we are not going to use them, but you might see them around) – APR = Nominal rate – APR = Quoted rate – APR = Stated Annual Interest Rate 13 How do we know if we have an APR? • As noted on the prior slide, if it’s a financial product there’s a good chance it is an APR. • Look for key tells: – “This CD has an 8% APR with monthly compounding.” – “This credit card charges 12% interest with quarterly compounding.” – “This semi-annual bond has a yield of 8%.” • In almost all cases, if its an APR it will tell you. The only real exception is bonds, but it’s easy enough to remember that bonds are quoted in APRs. Page 14 EAR and APR: Example 1 • Suppose that you can either earn 3% per quarter in Bank A, or 1% per month in Bank B. What is the APR for each bank? • Answer • What is the EAR for each bank? Which bank should you put your money in? • Answer 15 EAR and APR: Example 1 • Suppose that you can either earn 3% per quarter in Bank A, or 1% per month in Bank B. What is the APR for each bank? • Answer: 1 + πΈπ΄π = 1 + πππππππ π = 1 + 3% 4 = 1.1255; πΈπ΄π = 12.56% • What is the EAR for each bank? Which bank should you put your money in? • Answer: 1 + πΈπ΄π = 1 + πππππππ π = 1 + 1% 12 = 1.1268; πΈπ΄π = 12.68% 16 Topics • Define annual percentage rate (APR) and effective annual rate (EAR) • Learn how to convert APR and EAR • Find period interest rates for non-annual cash flows from APR/EAR • Compute loan payments and balances based on quoted rates 17 Translating APR into EAR • A stated rate of 12% with monthly compounding means you pay 1% a month for twelve months! 0 1% 1 2 3 12 • From the stated rate (APR), the only thing useful is the periodic rate: rPeriodic rAPR .12 = = = .01 m 12 # of compounding periods/year Page 18 Does 12% really mean 12%? • If we deposit $1 today in a bank account that has a stated rate of 12% with monthly compounding, what will we have at the end of the year? • FV = 1(1.01)12 = $1.1268 => 12.68% (effective rate) • So what’s the rule? Page 19 EAR and APR: Conversions • From APR to EAR • where m is the number of compounding periods per year – For example, m = 4 for quarterly compounding, m = 12 for monthly compounding • From EAR to APR Page 20 10% APR Compounding m Formula Annual 1 Semiannual 2 Monthly 12 ο¦ 0.10 οΆ ο§1 + ο· −1 1 ο¨ οΈ 2 ο¦ 0.10 οΆ ο§1 + ο· −1 2 οΈ ο¨ 12 ο¦ 0.10 οΆ ο§1 + ο· −1 12 ο¨ οΈ Daily 365 1 ο¦ 0.10 οΆ ο§1 + ο· 365 οΈ ο¨ 365 −1 EAR 10.00% 10.25% 10.47% 10.52% • These are different EARs for the same APR of 10% – The only thing that changes is the compounding frequency m • Note for m > 1, EAR > APR. This is the effect of compounding Page 21 Topics • Define annual percentage rate (APR) and effective annual rate (EAR) • Learn how to convert APR and EAR • Find period interest rates for non-annual cash flows from APR/EAR • Compute loan payments and balances based on quoted rates 22 Finding Period Interest Rates • Watch out for the frequency of cash flows • How do we adjust to find the period interest rate? – By definition, APR is the number of compounding periods m times the interest rate earned in each period – Interest rate per compounding period πππππππ is then: – πππππππ = π΄ππ π – Note that if m = 1, then πππππππ = π΄ππ • Wrapping up: 23 Topics • Define annual percentage rate (APR) and effective annual rate (EAR) • Learn how to convert APR and EAR • Find period interest rates for non-annual cash flows from APR/EAR • Compute loan payments and balances based on quoted rates 24 Problem Setup • You just graduated from NUS and you are considering buying a house. The house you are looking at costs $1mln. To finance this purchase, DBS offers you a 20-year mortgage with an APR of 12% and bi-monthly payments (i.e. you will pay a fixed amount every two months). • What is the value of the bi-monthly payments? • In 10 years from now, you might want to have a kid and move out of the house. How much mortgage outstanding will you have then? 25 Solution Setup • First, we need to find the bi-monthly interest rate πππππππ (for simplicity, I will just call this π ) associated with an APR of 12% • Then, we will use this r and the annuity formula to compute the value of the biis an annuity as you are paying the same amount (a constant) for a fixed period of monthly payments today ittime • Finally, we will use r and the monthly payments in the annuity formula to calculate the value of the residual mortgage in ten years 26 Step 1: Finding r • This is easy, since π΄ππ π= π 0.12 = = 2% 6 • The only wrinkle is that these are bi-monthly payments, so there are six of them each year 27 Step 2: Finding the Payment Value • Recall the annuity formula • Here, the number T of bi-monthly payments is π = 20 × 6 = 120, and we just found that r = 2%. Moreover, we are borrowing $1mln, so that the present value of the mortgage is equal to $1mln. We need to find C that solves • Which yields C ≈ $22,048. Therefore, the mortgage will require 120 payments of $22,048 every two months. 28 Step 3: Finding the Mortgage Value in Ten Years • Recall the annuity formula • In ten years, the mortgage will only have 60 payments of $22,048 left. Therefore in ten years, T = 60, r = 2%, C = $22,048. We need to find ππ10 (the present value in ten years). • Therefore, in ten years we will have $766,408 left to pay in mortgage. 29 Step 3: Finding the Mortgage Value in Ten Years • Why do we still owe $766,411 after 10 years? The answer is interest • The first bi-monthly payment of $22,048 is comprised of $1,000,000 × 0.02 = 20,000 interest payment. The residual $2,048 goes to repay the principal. The payment outstanding is $1,000,000 − $2,048 = $997,952 • The second payment is comprised of $997,952 × 0.02 = 19,959.04 interest payment. The residual $2089 goes to repay the principal, and so on • At the beginning, we are borrowing more and most of our payments are comprised of interest payments • As time goes by and we start paying off the principal, we will pay less and less in interest until the last payment is only comprised of principal repayments 30 Amortization Table 31 Outstanding Balance of a Mortgage 32 Proportion of Payments in a Mortgage 33 Summary • Annual percentage rate (APR) is conventionally used by banks • Effective annual rate (EAR) can be used to compare investments with different compounding horizons • The main difference between APR and EAR is that APR is based on simple interest, while EAR takes compound interest into account: • Conversion between APR and EAR 34