BUSINESS ENGLISH 2 RESOURCE BANK Version B 2021/22 Compiled by: The Department of Business Foreign Languages 1 COURSE CONTENTS TOPIC INTRODUCTION BUSINESS PRESENTATIONS REPORT WRITING DESCRIBING GRAPHS AND CHARTS TRADE THE EUROPEAN UNION BANKING INSURANCE FINANCE THE CREDIT CRISIS TEXT SOURCE Course Contents RB Contents Business English II: Information for Students Business presentations RB* Report writing Describing graphs RB RB Retail trade: Distribution channels New trends in retail E- commerce: Clicks and Bricks International trade Visible and invisible trade Protectionism and barriers to trade RB The European Union: Current challenges and future prospects A brief history of the EU enlargement RB RB RB + MK 27 Banking The role of banks The banking crisis: Northern Rock The Business Cycle Central banking functions Monetary and Fiscal Policy Exchange rates Insurance RB MK UNIT 14 RB RB MK UNIT 23 RB RB MK UNIT 26 RB Accounting and financial statements The financing of corporate activity Stocks and shares Bonds Derivatives Takeovers The credit crisis Final Revision: Capitalist Fools MK UNIT 19 + RB RB MK UNIT 17 + RB MK UNIT 16 + RB MK UNIT 18 MK UNIT 21 RB RB RB - Resource Bank compiled by the Department of Business Foreign Languages MK - Coursebook English for Business Studies (MacKenzie, I. (2010) Third Edition, CUP), with the number indicating the unit related to the specific topic 2 RESOURCE BANK CONTENTS TEXT TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION 2 PRESENTATIONS Course Contents RB Contents Introduction - Business English II: Information for Students Introduction Structure of presentations Signposting and useful language Talking slides 3 REPORT WRITING Introduction Structure The language of reports Report writing tasks 4 DESCRIBING GRAPHS AND CHARTS Types of graphs and charts Verbs Nouns Adverbs and adjectives Prepositions Saying numbers and the language of approximation Describing graphs in a paragraph Practice Retail trade: Distribution channels New trends in retail E- commerce: Clicks and Bricks International trade Visible and invisible trade Protectionism and barriers to trade The European Union: Current Challenges and Future Prospects A brief history of the EU enlargement Revision 1 5 TRADE 6 THE EU REVISION 1 7 BANKING REVISION 2 8 INSURANCE 9 FINANCE 10 THE CREDIT CRISIS REVISION 3 PAGE 2 3 4-5 6-7 8 9-14 15-16 17-18 19-20 21-24 25-27 28-29 30-32 32-33 33-34 34-35 35-36 37-38 39-40 41-43 44-48 49-50 51-52 53 54-56 57-61 62-63 64-65 The role of banks Practice The banking crisis: Northern Rock Central banking functions Monetary policy Fiscal policy Monetary policy: Case studies Revision 2 66-69 70-71 72-73 74 75-77 77 78-79 80-81 Insurance 82-85 Introduction to business finance Accounting and financial statements The financing of corporate activity Bonds and shares compared Practice Derivatives The credit crisis 86 87-97 98-99 100 101-103 104-105 106-108 Revision 3 The final revision: Capitalist fools 109-110 111-114 3 1 INTRODUCTION Business English 2 Information for Students COURSE AIMS This course aims to: ☐ develop students’ business communication skills (written and oral) ☐ help students acquire specialist vocabulary (on selected business topics) ☐ strengthen students’ academic skills ☐ help students understand the difference between written/spoken language and formal/informal language ☐ develop students’ critical thinking skills (analysis, synthesis, foreseeing, deducing, selecting…) ☐ help students learn how to use dictionaries and other reference material COURSE REQUIREMENTS 1 Regular attendance and class participation 2 Passing one oral progress test (a presentation) 3 Passing two written progress tests or one comprehensive written test at the end of the term 4 Passing the final oral exam A The written tests will examine: ☐ reading skills: understanding texts concerned with contemporary business issues and academic content ☐ writing skills: ability to write reports using the appropriate style (register, layout, coherence, clarity, concision, visual appeal) B The presentation should demonstrate: □ □ □ □ Successful team work Thorough research A clear structure The effective use of the language of presentations C At the final oral exam you are expected to: ☐ demonstrate your ability to clearly and coherently present business topics covered by the course ☐ express a viewpoint on a topical issue (advantages, disadvantages, agreeing, disagreeing…) and ask relevant questions. 4 REQUIRED LITERATURE 1 2 MacKenzie, I. (2010) English for Business Studies, Third Edition, CUP Business English Resource Bank 2, 2020/21 RECOMMENDED LITERATURE 1 2 3 Longman Business English Dictionary (most recent edition) Špiljak, V. ed. (2000) Englesko-hrvatski poslovni rječnik, Masmedia Englesko-hrvatski poslovni rječnik, Školska knjiga, 2006 SUGGESTED ADDITIONAL SOURCES ☐ Business Week, The Financial Times, The Economist… ☐ CNBC, Bloomberg, business programmes on BBC and CNN ☐ web sites: bized.com, investopedia.com, quickmba.com, startup.wsj.com, dictionary.com, harvardbusinessonline.hbsp.harvard.edu, encarta.msn.com, acronymfinder.com, uefap.com, cusd.com/calonline/econ 5 2 PRESENTATIONS 1 2 3 4 5 Introduction The structure of presentations Signposting and useful language Talking slides Types of visuals and graphics 1 INTRODUCTION I Discuss the following questions. 1 2 3 4 5 What is a presentation? For what purposes are presentations made in business? What makes a presentation effective? What is the worst presentation you have ever experienced? Even experienced presenters can make mistakes during a presentation. Can you give any examples from firsthand knowledge? II Read the text below and finish the notes that follow: Presentations are also referred to as "talks" in English. You can give talks on different subjects in all kinds of circumstances or situations. The most obvious type is the sales presentation, but you can also give presentations/ talks at conferences, lectures, board meetings, forums, etc. THE ART OF GIVING PRESENTATIONS Good presenters know how to attract their audience's attention. They show enthusiasm and make what they say as if it really matters. They are well-prepared about what they want to say and know how to best present their subject. They are in control of their body language, the aids (visual aids, audio aids), time and voice. The art of giving presentations is an important and complex business skill that can be mastered by gradually building up your competence and confidence through lots of practice. Everyone needs to be an effective presenter, and everyone can become an effective presenter. The way to do that is to observe the rules of good presentations. PREPARING YOUR PRESENTATION The preparation of a presentation is the most important step towards success. It includes external and internal factors. One of the external factors is audience. You need to know as much as you can who your audience is, how many people you can expect in your audience, what their level of knowledge on the subject is, what mood they are in, and how much time they have at their disposal. The other external factor is the location (venue) and its opportunities or limitations. These refer to the size, the design, and the technical equipment. The most important internal factor in preparing your presentation is to decide on the purpose which can be to inform, to persuade, to train, or to amuse your audience. Once you have done that you can set your objectives and the type of content you will gather. However, not all information you have gathered will be appropriate for your effective presentation. It is very important to select only the relevant points and eliminate the unnecessary information. The next step is to organize the points you want to talk about into a structure and decide on suitable visual aids to support your talk. The structure should always have the beginning, the body and the end. DELIVERING THE PRESENTATION During the presentation keep eye contact with your audience. Do not read. You may use notes and prompts to help you follow the prepared structure. This way you will use the natural spoken language and thus make it easier for your audience to listen. Fluency is important and can be achieved by practicing before delivery. Use simple and transparent language and don't hesitate to repeat, rephrase or give examples as long as you give the right signals. Your audience has to know at any point where you've come from, where you are, where you are going. Source: Špiljak, Liszt, Krnajski Hršak, Gjukic. English for Business 1, Zagreb, Mikrorad d.o.o., 2000. 6 NOTES ON THE TEXT PARAGRAPH 1: A good presenter should: o attract the audience’s ...................... o show ...................... o be convincing. o be ...................... o know how to ...................... o be in control of ...................... and ...................... o build ......................and ...................... through ...................... PARAGRAPHS 2 AND 3: In preparing your presentation consider the following: The audience: The venue: o ...................... ○ ...................... o ...................... ○ ...................... o ...................... ○ ...................... o ...................... o ...................... The purpose: to ...................... Information: ○ ...................... to ...................... ○ ...................... to ...................... to ...................... The structure: ○ beginning ○ ...................... ○ ...................... and ...................... to support your talk. PARAGRAPH 4: While delivering your presentation: 1. keep eye contact 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 7 2 THE STRUCTURE OF PRESENTATIONS I Study the three main parts of presentations. 1 INTRODUCTION 2 BODY Questions 3 CONCLUSION Questions First you say what you’re going to say. Then you say it. Finally, tell them what you’ve said. II Study how the main parts of presentations are organised. A well-organised presentation with a clear structure is easier for the audience to follow. It is therefore more effective. You should organise the points you wish to make in a logical order. Most presentations are organised in three parts, followed by questions: BEGINNING Short introduction • welcome/greet your audience • introduce yourself and your subject • explain the structure of your presentation (outline the presentation) • explain rules for questions MIDDLE Body of presentation • present the subject itself END Short conclusion • summarise your presentation • thank your audience • invite questions Questions and Answers 8 4 SIGNPOSTING AND USEFUL LANGUAGE I Study the text below and find out what signposting is. If you want your audience to understand your message, your language must be simple and clear. Use short words and short sentences. Do not use jargon, unless you are certain that your audience understands it. In general, talk about concrete facts rather than abstract ideas. Use active verbs instead of passive verbs. Active verbs are much easier to understand. They are much more powerful. When you drive on the roads, you know where you are on those roads. Each road has a name or number. Each town has a name. And each house has a number. You can look at your atlas for the structure of the roads in detail. In other words, it is easy to navigate the roads. But when you give a presentation, how can your audience know where they are? How can they know the structure of your presentation? How can they know what is coming next? They know because you tell them, because you put up signposts for them, at the beginning and all along the route. This technique is called ‘signposting' (or 'signalling'). During your introduction, you should tell your audience what the structure of your presentation will be. You might say something like this: “I'll start by describing the current position in Europe. Then I'll move on to some of the achievements we've made in Asia. After that I'll consider the opportunities we see for further expansion in Africa. Lastly, I'll quickly recap before concluding with some... ” A member of the audience can now visualize your presentation like this: Introduction Body Conclusion • Welcome • Explanation of structure • • Europe • • Africa Summing up • Recommendations Asia He will keep this image in his head during the presentation. He may even write it down. And throughout your presentation, you will put up signposts telling him which point you have reached and where you are going now. When you finish Europe and want to start Asia, you might say: "That's all I have to say about Europe. Let's turn now to Asia." When you have finished Africa and want to sum up, you might say: "Well, we've looked at the three continents Europe, Asia and Africa. I’d like to…” And when you finish summing up and want to give your recommendations, you might say: "What does all this mean for us? Well, firstly I recommend..." 9 II Study the phrases used for performing different language functions in different parts of presentations. 1) INTRODUCTION The introduction is a very important - perhaps the most important part of your presentation. This is the first impression that your audience has of you so you should concentrate on getting your introduction right. The following table shows language phrases which are useful in the introduction. FUNCTION 1 Welcoming your audience POSSIBLE LANGUAGE Ok, let’s get started… Good morning, ladies and gentlemen… Good afternoon, everybody… Thanks for coming … My name’s … For those who don’t know me… 2 Introducing your subject PURPOSE What I want to do today is… I am going to talk about… The purpose of my presentation is to introduce our new range of products… In my talk, I’d like to discuss/highlight/show… My purpose today is to talk about/report/ present… TOPIC The topic of my presentation is … The subject of my talk is… I’m going to talk about… I’m going to be reporting on… 3 Outlining your structure I’d like to give you a brief overview of my presentation. My presentation is divided in three parts… First, I’ll talk about /deal with… Then/Next/Secondly, I’ll consider… Thirdly/Finally, I’ll... EXAMPLE: To start with I'll describe the progress made this year. Then I'll mention some of the problems we've encountered and how we overcame them. After that I'll consider the possibilities for further growth next year. Finally, I'll summarize my presentation before concluding with some recommendations. 4 Giving instructions about questions Do feel free to interrupt me if you have any questions. I'll try to answer all of your questions after the presentation. I plan to keep some time for questions after the presentation. 10 2) BODY The body is the 'real' presentation. If the introduction was well prepared and delivered, you will now be 'in control'. You will be relaxed and confident. The body should be well structured, divided up logically, with plenty of carefully spaced visuals. Remember these key points while delivering the body of your presentation: • • • • • • • • • • do not hurry be enthusiastic give time on visuals maintain eye contact modulate your voice look friendly keep to your structure use your notes signpost throughout remain polite when dealing with difficult questions FUNCTION 1 Signal the start of each part 2 Summarize at the end of each part POSSIBLE LANGUAGE Let me begin with… Now, if we turn to… Let’s deal next with… This brings me to… I would like to go on to… …to move on to… Moving on to my next point… Let me expand/elaborate on that a little before we go on. To summarise/conclude.. In conclusion,… I’d like to conclude by reporting… I’d like to recap… 3) CONCLUSION In the last part of the presentation, you sum up the main points and give your main conclusion. Sometimes, it is possible to make a recommendation as well. FUNCTION 1 Repeat your main points 2 Give your main conclusion 3 Signal an end 4 Handle questions POSSIBLE LANGUAGE To summarise, I’d like to repeat… To conclude,… In conclusion,… Let me recap… Well, that’s all I have to say… Thank you for your attention… GOOD QUESTIONS I’m glad you asked about… Good point,… DIFFICULT QUESTIONS I’m afraid I don’t have that information with me… I don’t know that off the top of my hat. UNNECESSARY QUESTIONS I think I answered that earlier… Well, as I mentioned earlier… I’m afraid I don’t see the connection. IRRELEVANT QUESTIONS To be honest, I think that raises a different issue. 11 EXERCISES I Underline the words/expressions /sentences in the presentation below that can generally be used in most presentations. “Good morning everyone, thanks for coming to my presentation. I know you're all very busy, so I'll be as brief as possible. OK then, I’m going to talk about the new chocolate bar we’re putting on the market, the St Tropez premium bar. I'll tell you about the test launch we carried out in the south west of England a few weeks ago. My presentation is divided into three parts. First I’ll give you some background about the launch. After that, I’ll tell you how we got on and assess the effectiveness. Finally, I’ll outline the future plans for the product. If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to ask. Right, let’s start with the background to the launch. As you know, St Tropez is a mint and nut bar with a distinctive taste. It’s been thoroughly tested in focus groups and special attention was paid to packaging. It’s wrapped in a metallic foil. The colours are rich, strong, to give high quality visual impact. OK everyone? Yes, John, you have a question… So, that’s the background. Right, let’s now move on to the test launch. How successful was it? Well, in two words, very successful. If you look at the graph, you’ll see the bar’s actual sales compared to forecast sales. Quite a difference, isn’t there? The sales were over 20% higher than we predicted. In other words, a really good result. Well above our expectations. The sales show that the pricing of the product was correct. And they show that as a premium line, the St Tropez bar should be successful nationwide. To sum up, a very promising test launch. I believe the bar has the great potential in the market. Right, where do we go from here? Obviously, we’ll move on to stage two and have a national advertising and marketing campaign. In a few months, you’ll be visiting our sales outlets and taking orders, I hope for the new product. Thanks very much. Any questions?” Source: D. Cotton, D. Farley, S. Kent: Market Leader, Longman, 2000. II Practise reading aloud the presentation above as if speaking to an audience. Try making eye contact with them as much as possible. 12 III Complete the following presentation excerpts with suitable words from the boxes. 1-14 finally after that outline to start with specifically concluding purpose thank interrupt pointed out draw your attention recommend expand move on priority then in conclusion sum up tell you 15-28 talked you will notice bring you up to date illustrate indicated options referring on balance describe Good afternoon, everybody. I’d like to 1) _______________ you all for being here. My 2) _______________ today is to 3) _______________ about our corporate strategy for the next decade, and, more 4) _______________, to 5) _______________ with our plans for Europe. 6) _______________ I’d like to 7) _______________ briefly our current marketing policy in the UK. 8) _______________ I’ll 9) _______________ some of the problems we’re having over market share. 10) ______________ I’ll 11) ______________ the opportunities we see for further progress in the 21st century. 12) _______________, I’ll quickly 13) _______________ before 14) _______________ with some recommendations. Please feel free to 15) _______________ me if you have any questions at any time. Now I’d like to 16) _______________ to Chart B showing our sales revenue and pre-tax profits over the last ten years. 17) _______________ that although turnover has risen, our profits have not increased at the same rate. I’ve 18) _______________ about our current position in the UK and I’ve 19) _______________ some of the problems we are facing. Well, what 20) _______________ are open to us now? Where do we go from here? As I have already 21) _______________, I think our first 22) _______________ must be to build on the excellent results we have achieved in certain European markets. I’m 23) _____________, of course, to Italy and Spain. Let me quickly 2 4 ) _______________ on those successes before we 25) _______________. We should not forget the French market. Admittedly our results there have been poor so far, but there are signs the market is changing and we can learn a lot from our mistakes. 26) _______________, though, I think we stand to gain most from concentrating on southern Europe and I strongly 27) _______________ we put all our efforts into further expansion in Italy, Spain and possibly Greece. 28) _______________, may I thank you all for being such an attentive and responsive audience. Thank you also for your pertinent questions. Are there any final questions? Source: D. Cotton, S. Robbins: Business Class, 1993 13 IV Think of a topic you are familiar with (e.g. tourism in Croatia, traffic problems in your home town etc.). Use this framework to practice structuring an ad-hoc presentation to deliver to your group in class. o Good morning everyone, thank you for coming to my presentation. o My name is ____________________ and I'd like to talk about _____________________. o I hope this will not last too long, maybe ____________________ minutes. o If you have any questions please ask me at the end of my presentation. o I have divided my talk into three parts. First, I'll talk about _____________________, then I'll say something about ____________________ and finally, I’ll ____________________ _. o Ok, let’s start with my first point: _ _. o Let me now move on to my second point: _. o My last point is: _ _. o To conclude, I’d like to repeat that _ _. o Well, that’s all I have to say about _____________________, so if you have any questions, I’ll try to answer them now. 14 TALKING SLIDES I Compare the speaker's introduction on the left and the slide which accompanies the talk on the right. WHAT YOU SAY: WHAT YOU SHOW: Good afternoon everybody. My name is Adrian Brown and I’d like to thank you all first of all for giving up your time to come here today and listen to me. I hope that by the end of the day you’ll think that your time has been well spent. I’m going to talk today about a new product, a new range of mobile phones, and I’m not only going to tell you about the product but how, by selling it, we can make profit by doing just that. And that I suppose is the most important effect of this talk – how we can make profit in the coming year. So, roughly I’ve divided my presentation into three parts: firstly, I’ll present the new product, then I’ll outline some sales techniques and finally I’ll present the profit projections for this line of mobile phones. UPDATE FOR SALES STAFF • Novelia xyz 007 • Sales techniques • Profit projections for 2011 Well, now, let me turn to my first point… II Try to organize the first slide for the presentation on page 86: III Study these additional hints on how to avoid death by PPT. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Use no more than 3 slides per minute. Minimize the reading-out-loud of each slide. Ban all font lower than 24. Avoid turning your back to the audience. Keep the lights on. Use a powerful projector. Use the right graph type. Tell your audience what’s coming, what is and what has been said. You – not your slides – are the centre of your presentation! 15 TYPES OF VISUALS AND GRAPHICS I Match the type of chart with its name. ______ a flow chart ______ a line chart ______ a diagram ______ a bar chart ______ a pie chart ______ a drawing or illustration ______ a pie chart ______ a plan 1 2 3 7 4 8 II Practice referring to visuals using these phrases. • • • • • • • • • • • • • Have/take a look at this chart/diagram/graph here. As you can see in this … The vertical/horizontal axis shows… The solid line (_____) shows...The broken line (_ _) shows …The dotted line (…) shows … I’d like you to take a look at one or two interesting details… I’d like to draw your attention to… I’m sure the message here is… I’d like you to think about the significance of this figure here. If you look at this graph more closely, you’ll notice… Whatever the reason for this, the underlying trend is obvious… Whichever way you look at it, these are some of our best results. I’m sure the lesson to be learned from this is clear to us all. I’m sure the implications of this are… 16 3 REPORT WRITING 1 Introduction 2 Structure 3 Useful phrases 4 Report writing tasks 1 INTRODUCTION WHAT IS A REPORT? ☐ A report is a piece of factual writing, usually based on some kind of research or real-life experience. ☐ It usually focuses on factual information about the past, but may also include recommendations. PURPOSE ☐ You may be asked to give information, evaluate something or make suggestions or recommendations. TARGET READER ☐ Usually the person who is asking for the report. ☐ This may be an official group of people in authority, your employer or a group of colleagues you study or work with. A FEW QUESTIONS TO THINK ABOUT BEFORE WRITING A REPORT ☐ What have I been asked to do? ☐ Who is this report for? What kind of information do you think the target reader will be interested in? What will they expect to achieve by reading the report? ☐ What specific areas do I need to cover? ☐ What factual information do I need to present? ☐ What will I discover? ☐ What are my general opinions on the result? ☐ What particular recommendations do I wish to make? (Am I in the position to make any?) CONTENT- WHAT INFORMATION SHOULD I INCLUDE? ☐ ☐ ☐ ☐ ☐ ☐ Ensure that you fully understand the purpose of the report. Make a number of points in answer to the question. Use section headings for clarity. Include facts or results of a survey or research. Give description and explanation in support of each argument. Summarise your conclusions in the final part and conclude with a personal recommendation. 17 REGISTER ☐ It depends on the target reader, but the report will almost always be FORMAL ☐ Do not use colloquial phrases (e.g. ‘masses of’). Replace them with formal ones (e.g. ‘ a large amount of’) ☐ Do not use contractions (e.g. ‘don't’, ‘haven't’, 'cos, etc.). Replace them with their full forms instead (e.g. ‘do not’, ‘have not’, ‘because’, etc.) ☐ Avoid phrasal verbs (e.g. pick up, set up, etc.). Replace them with one-word verbs (e.g. 'take a look at' with 'investigate') ☐ Replace general verbs with the specific ones (e.g. 'got' with 'received') ☐ Replace extreme adjectives with less extreme ones (e.g. 'huge' with 'large') Adapted from: http://elc.polyu.edu.hk/cill/eiw/reportformality.aspx CONTENT ☐ Include true facts, precise wording, supporting data and reference to sources. CLARITY ☐ Organise the text clearly by using sections, subsections, headings, subheadings, paragraphing, numbering and bulleting. CONCISION ☐ Avoid any unnecessary detail and sentences that are too long. ☐ Avoid repetitions. ☐ Give essential information, your evaluation and recommendation. OBJECTIVITY ☐ Include all the relevant information, do not be biased. ☐ Use an impersonal tone (avoid the overuse of the pronoun 'I', use passive and reporting structures instead, e.g. It was decided...; Most employees agreed that...; A lot of people expressed their dissatisfaction with... It was generally felt that...). ACCURACY ☐ Use precise and correct language (grammar, spelling and punctuation). LAYOUT ☐ Start with a TITLE. ☐ Use CLEAR HEADINGS to organize your thoughts and to help the reader see how the report is organised. Make sure there is a line space between headings. ☐ Give each SECTION in the report its own PARAGRAPH. Where appropriate divide sections into paragraphs. ☐ Use NUMBERS (1) or BULLETS (•) to make important items stand out, especially if you want to single them out. ☐ Companies often have their own format of standard reports and do not completely follow the structure presented below. 18 2 STRUCTURE TITLE (e.g. REPORT ON THE COMPANY IMAGE) TERMS OF REFERENCE (or INTRODUCTION or BACKGROUND) It states the purpose and the subject of the report and outlines the essential information – Who asked for it? What is to be investigated? What kind of information is required? When should it be submitted? PROCEDURE (or METHOD) It outlines the steps taken to make an investigation. It explains how the data were collected, listing sources consulted. FINDINGS It sets out the information itself, with appropriate headings and subheadings, if the report covers more than one topic. CONCLUSION(S) This section summarizes the main findings and assessments, and draws conclusions. RECOMMENDATION(S) (if required) The writer may suggest the solution to the problem investigated, so that the recipient will be able to make a decision if necessary. I Decide if the statements about REPORTS below are TRUE (T) or FALSE (F). 1 Reports should include the same opening and closing as formal letters. 2 They are informal in register. 3 Reports are based on facts and personal opinions. 4 Impersonal tone is achieved by using passive and reporting structures. 5 It is advisable to use detailed descriptions and long sentences. 6 They are divided into sections with clear headings. 7 They may contain numbers and bullet points. 8 It is not necessary to use a line space between different sections. 9 The sources used in your research are mentioned in the introduction. □ □ □ □ 10 The findings of the research are presented in the conclusion. □ □ □ □ □ □ 19 II Copy the following headings above the corresponding paragraphs below. Then, put the sections in the right order to get the STRUCTURE OF THE REPORT. ☐ ☐ ☐ ☐ ☐ ☐ RECOMMENDATION(S) (if required) TITLE CONCLUSION(S) PROCEDURE (or METHOD) FINDINGS TERMS OF REFERENCE (or INTRODUCTION or BACKGROUND) ☐ ______________________ The information for this report was gathered from different sources: • Extensive research conducted among consumers of our products • Detailed analysis of our competitive position on the market • The company's annual reports • Materials available on the company’s website ☐ ______________________ The following points summarize our key findings: • Our products are perceived as old-fashioned and expensive. • We have enough funds to start with modifying the established range of products and introducing the new ones which are trendier and more affordable. • Competition is fierce in Croatia, but there are expansion prospects on some untapped markets. ☐ ______________________ Report on the possibilities of launching a new range of products ☐ ______________________ It is clear that our company needs to focus on launching a new range of products which would meet the market expectations more adequately, thus being more competitive. Design and style should be given equal consideration as production costs. ☐ ______________________ We strongly recommend, therefore, that: • We should hire an internationally acclaimed designer to design our new range of products and revamp our company's image. • The company should consider outsourcing production abroad to reduce the production costs. ☐ ______________________ The aim of this report is to consider the possibilities of launching a new range of products. The report was requested by Hillary Swift, the CEO and it was to be submitted by 26 May 2013. Mathew Sloane Brand Manager 20 May 2019 20 3 THE LANGUAGE OF REPORTS: USEFUL PHRASES I Read the useful phrases and fill in the missing letters. Terms of reference: Stating purpose 1 This report AI__S to…/sets out to… 2 The aim/P__RP__S__ of this report is to… 3 The aim of this report is to recommend/ __N__LYS__/give feedback on... 4 The purpose of this report is to analyse the results of... 5 This report will consider/__X__M__N__/ compare/comment on/explain... 6 The report is intended to assess/evaluate/ outline ... 7 This report is based upon… Terms of reference: Introducing information 1 The report was commissioned/ R__Q__ __ST__D by XY. 2 The report was to be S__BM__TT__D by 9 January 2014. Procedures: Describing procedure 1 The data were C__LL__CT__D/gathered from the following sources: 2 The findings are B__S__D on a questionnaire that was sent to... Findings: Presenting findings 1 It was found that… 2 The following points S__MM__R__Z__ our key findings: 3 The key findings are __ __TL__N__D below: Findings / Conclusion: Introducing other people's opinion 1 It was felt/assumed that... 2 Some participants CL__ __M__D/argued/ believed... 3 It was unanimously agreed that... 4 They were universally criticized as... 5 There was general __GR__ __M__NT that... 6 Most employees were in favour of... 7 Most employees expressed their dissatisfaction with... Findings / Conclusion: Signalling 1 The following areas of concern have been highlighted. 2 There are a number of R__ __S__NS for… 3 There are several factors which affect… 4 This R__ __S__S a number of issues. 5 As might have been expected,… 6 Contrary to expectations,… Conclusion: Summarizing and concluding 1 It was decided/agreed that… 2 It is CL__ __R that… 3 No conclusions were R__ __CH__D regarding… 4 In general/In short/In conclusion,... 5 To S__M up/All in all... 6 Taking everything into account/All things considered,... Recommendation(s): Making suggestions and recommendations 1 It is S__GG__ST__D/proposed/recommended that… 2 We (strongly) recommend that… 3 It is __SS__NT__ __L to… 4 It would be advisable to... 5 In view of this, I (would) R__C__MM__ND/ suggest (that)... 6 It could be recommended for the F__LL__W__NG reasons... 7 Both... and... would be most valuable/of utmost importance for... 8 Neither of the previously mentioned S__L__T__ __NS are recommendable /advisable. 21 III Complete the missing parts of the Report on Improving Project Team Communication with the phrases from the box below. • results in situations outlined in Point 1 • should • The aim of this report is • key issues • Although • submitted • found • The key findings are outlined below: • on • recommend • it is essential • interviews • by • Furthermore • 40% of the respondents said • It was also found that • questionnaire • It is recommended • It is clear • suggested REPORT (1) __________________ IMPROVING PROJECT TEAM COMMUNICATION Introduction (2) _______________________ to identify communication problems within the new project team and (3) _______________________ ways of improving this communication. The report was to be (4) _______________________ to Ian Woods, Human Resources Manager (5) _______________________ 15 April 2012. Procedure Individual (6) _______________________were held with all eight team members. Each team member also completed a (7) _______________________, which was designed to highlight the effectiveness of communication within the team. Several (8) _______________________ arose from this feedback. Findings (9) _______________________ 1 2 3 (10) _______________________ individual team members meet fairly frequently to discuss the project, the outcome of these discussions is not shared amongst other team members. (11) _______________________, these individual meetings are creating mini-teams within the team. This damages team spirit. (12) _______________________ eight team members are located in different parts of the Building. This does not encourage contact and (13) _______________________. (14) _______________________ that team members do not make enough effort to share information by email. Messages are sent to one person only and not copied to colleagues. Conclusion No evidence of personnel problems was (15) _______________________ amongst team members. (16) _______________________ that the lack of communication is due to difficulty with procedures and location, both of which should be easy to solve. Recommendations (17) _______________________ that the whole team meet on a weekly basis to share information and time together. Team members (18) _______________________ remember to copy colleagues in on emails relating to the project. This may require some training with the email software, therefore (19) _______________________ that the firm provides this training to those who need it. It is (20) _______________________ that the team attend a team-building seminar or adventure weekend. 22 THE LANGUAGE OF REPORTS: FORMAL LANGUAGE I Edit the text below by replacing the INFORMAL WORDS and phrases with FORMAL ONES. Here are some formal words you could use. You might need to change the tenses, parts of speech or turn an active sentence into passive. reliable, very disappointing, conduct, currently, discuss decline, investigate, design, no, little distribute, large-scale To take a look at the problem of declining numbers of visitors to Hong Kong, we decided to do a really big survey. We made a questionnaire and handed it out to 2,000 people. We did this because right now we don't have any hard data on why tourist numbers are declining. There's not much information available either on what might bring them back to Hong Kong. The return rate for the questionnaire was really bad at only 13% but this figure should provide a firm enough basis for talking about why tourist numbers are going down. Source:http://elc.polyu.edu.hk/cill/eiw/reportformality.aspx II Make these sentences more formal by rewriting them in the PASSIVE FORM. 1) We enclose payment together with our order. Payment ______________________________________________________________________. 2) The customer should receive the delivery by Friday. The delivery ___________________________________________________________________. 3) According to a recent report the group is making similar investments in other parts of the world. Similar investments ______________________________________________________________. 4) We will produce the components at our Sao Paolo factory. The components ________________________________________________________________. 5) We would reduce costs if we used less paper. _____________________________________________________________________________. 6) They should enlarge the premises to fit more offices. ______________________________________________________________________________. 23 III Complete the second sentence to make recommendations in a more formal way. 1. We should organize a team-building event. Perhaps we could consider ________________________________________. 2. We should hold a meeting on this. I would recommend ________________________________________. 3. We should prepare questions for the interview. It would be advisable ________________________________________. 4. We should hire an HR professional to hold the interview. Perhaps we could consider ________________________________________. THE LANGUAGE OF REPORTS: DESCRIBING AMOUNTS Conclusion: The language of approximation When you are writing your Conclusions most often you don't have to use accurate numbers. Your text will be easier to read if you use approximations instead. I Match the numbers to the words. A) 19.98% B) 101,997 C) 26% D) 10% E) 33.3333% F) 248,112 G) 1,695,193 H) 48.873% I) 97 J) 7 K) 74.25% L) 23.5% M) 3% II 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 almost one in four just under a hundred about 1.7 million just over a quarter of about a fifth of several one in ten nearly three-quarters about 100,000 a quarter of a million a small fraction a third of almost a half of Fill in the gaps with the help of the information in the table. Use approximations. How do people travel to work in Cambridge? car 34% bicycle 30% train 9% bus 19% taxi 2% on foot 6% 1. Approximately a ____________________ of people drive themselves to work. 2. Nearly a ____________________ of the population decide to take the bus when they commute. 3. Only a small ____________________ of people use a taxi to get to work. 4. Slightly ____________________ 5% of people walk to work in Cambridge. 5. Around a ____________________ of commuters travel by train. 6. Exactly ____________________ in ten people cycle to work. 24 4 REPORT WRITING TASKS TASK 1: Complete this report on the choice of the most popular types of holiday accommodation in the UK. 60 Self-catering 50 40 Caravan 30 Camping 20 10 Hotel 0 England Scotland Wales Northern Ireland A Report on ______________________________ Terms of Reference: The aim of this report is to ____________________________________________________ The report was requested by _________________________________ and it was to be submitted by __________________________. Procedure: The data __________________________________________________ • ____________________________ • ____________________________ Findings: In all four countries approximately half the people chose to stay in __________. This figure was highest in England at around 55%, almost twice the number of people who ___________ (27% of the sample) and far greater than the number who stayed in __________ (12%) and ___________ (6%). A similar pattern was repeated for _________ and ___________. In each case … The country that shows a different pattern is __________________. Here … Conclusion: 1. Hotels were the ___________ common form of accommodation at around half of the population preferring it to other forms of accommodation. 2. England, Scotland and Wales follow a broadly ___________ pattern: a) Self-catering was the ___________ most popular, with around one in three people choosing it. b) Caravan and camping holidays were typically the ___________ popular in Britain. Only around the tenth of those asked stated that they would stay in a caravan while on holiday. 3. Northern Ireland follows a different pattern: there the popularity of ___________ comes second only to staying at ___________, while ___________ and ___________ are each chosen only by about one in ten holidaymaker. 25 TASK 2: Read the following text and use it to write a report. Do not forget about giving it a title. Last month we sent a team of three members of staff to assess the town of Camford as a potential location for a new English language college for speakers of other languages. There are a number of basic geographical reasons why Camford would appear to be an attractive location for a language college. Firstly, it is situated at a distance of only fifty miles from London and there are good rail and bus connections with the capital. Secondly, although Camford is mainly known for its ancient university, it also has a number of other further education colleges so that there are substantial groups of young people in the city in term-times. Moreover, links between local industry, much of which is based on modern technology, and the educational institutions are growing so that the economy of the area is relatively healthy. Due to the strong economy of the town and the young population, there are a lot of entertainment facilities in town. These include a sports complex with, among other things, a skating rink and a swimming pool. There are also five cinemas and a large concert hall in town. Despite its many fine points, Camford has, nevertheless, a couple of significant disadvantages. First of all, there is a lack of appropriate rented accommodation available. In addition, public transport within the city is extremely poor. The best solution for us would be to find a location in Camford within walking distance of the town centre. We could also think about the possibility of providing residential accommodation for our students. TASK 3 Your Managing Director has asked you to write a report on the proposed merger with Unibank, together with your recommendations. This was requested in his memo of 15 January, and you were asked to submit the report by 28 February. You have collected information from different sources, including Unibank’s publicity materials, financial publications, annual reports, and materials on its official website. Organise and expand the following notes to write a report. • • • • • • • • • Unibank - well-established and highly respected bank, over forty branches important corporate clients, profitable investment department and modern communication system + covers areas where we are not represented cutting costs by closing down unprofitable branches and thus reducing staffing costs possibility of recession → the prospects for growth not good different management styles: Unibank is cautious and conservative the Chairman of Unibank might not be willing to play a secondary role unions strongly oppose staff cuts suggestions: an in-depth study of Unibank’s financial situation + a meeting between the chairmen of both banks to discuss the advantages of the merger mergers with other banks should also be considered Adapted from: Cotton D., Kent S. (2002): Practice File, Market Leader, Longman 26 TASK 4 Fowlers is a company making electrical appliances. One of their best-selling products used to be their coffee maker. However, in recent years sales have fallen dramatically. Due to losses the firm has made, the old management team has resigned and the new team asked you, a management consultant, to carry out a study to establish the reasons behind this problem. a) Decide what information you would put into each section. What kind of research would you carry out? b) Read the following sentences and decide which section of the report they belong to. c) Write a report. Incorporate the sentences from Task 3b) and invent any necessary details. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Fowlers coffee makers are perceived as old-fashioned and expensive by 75% of women between 25-40. Clearly, immediate action must be taken to guarantee short-term survival. Fowlers has long been a household name for its high-quality coffee-makers, but more recently the majority of the market perceives it as old-fashioned. Fowlers should immediately hire a world-class designer to produce a new range of products. Following the resignation of the old management team, we were invited to evaluate the company’s position. Between 1999 and 2005 Fowlers introduced a new product per year. Since 2005, however, Fowlers has not launched a new product or redesigned its coffee-maker. Once an innovative and pioneering company, Fowlers has relied too heavily on its established range of products. We conducted research among a wide range of consumers. Adapted from: Jon Naunton, Head for Business: Upper-Intermediate Students' Book. OUP. p. 81-82 TASK 5 You are the Site Manager of Texan Chicken, a fast-food business. Your General Manager, Edward Thomas, has asked you to write a report on two possible locations in your area for a new restaurant. He telephoned you with his instructions on 10 April, saying: “Let me know the advantages and disadvantages of each site, and give me a firm confirmation please, with your reasons. Can you let me have the report by 30 April as I have a board meeting on the following day?” Floor space in sq. metres Parking Location Building Rent per week Security of area Estimated customer numbers Site A 330 Car park (Maximum 20 cars) High street. Residential area nearby. Ground floor of historic building. A lot of renovation needed. £520 High crime rate. Shops broken into and vandalised. Now: 1,000 In 5 years: 5,000 Site B 180 Unrestricted street parking. No car park. On corner in the city centre. New building in excellent condition. £350 Low crime rate because near the police station. Now: 2,000 In 5 years: 3,000 Source: Cotton D., Kent S. (2002): Practice File, Market Leader, Longman 27 4 DESCRIBING GRAPHS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Types of graphs and charts Verbs Nouns Adverbs and adjectives Prepositions Saying numbers and the language of approximation Describing graphs in a paragraph Practice 1 TYPES OF GRAPHS AND CHARTS I Label each chart. flow chart line graph bar chart diagram table _______________________ _______________________ _______________________ _______________________ pie chart 28 _______________________ _______________________ II Answer these questions about charts and graphs. 1 2 Which type of chart is useful for describing a process? Which type of chart is useful when we want to show the sizes of components that make up some whole? What is an explanatory drawing that shows how some parts are arranged? Which type of chart is used when we want to show how the size of something varies through time? Which chart helps in comparing two or more values? What can be used to present different categories of data organized into rows and columns? 3 4 5 6 III Label the parts of this line graph with the right word from the box. vertical axis horizontal axis legend dotted line values peak trough solid line broken line 100 90 80 70 60 East 50 West 40 North 30 20 10 0 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr 29 2 VERBS I Read the verbs in the box and decide where they belong in the table. grow decline rise fluctuate slash level out plummet boost jump rally slump soar bring down fall plunge rocket decrease increase drop vary raise stagnate GO UP STAY THE SAME GO DOWN CHANGE II Read through the list of verbs again, and choose the ones that mean a sudden movement. 1 2 3 4 5 6 ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ 30 III Look at the line graph representing the sales figures of a company and write a sentence to describe each year. 80 60 40 20 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 ______________________________________________________ in 2003. ______________________________________________________ in 2004. ______________________________________________________ in 2005. ______________________________________________________ in 2006 and 2007. ______________________________________________________ in 2008. IV TRANSITIVE AND INTRANSITIVE VERBS In English some verbs cannot be followed by an object, these are called intransitive verbs. The verbs that have to be followed by an object are called transitive verbs. Some verbs can be both. Sort out the verbs from Exercise I. TRANSITIVE ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ INTRANSITIVE ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ ______________________ BOTH ______________________ ______________________ V Now use these verbs to fill in the gaps in these sentences. Use the grammatically correct form. 1 2 The government _____________ the price of fuel by 2%, it now costs $1.02, instead of $1. Prices _____________ all year. It was very difficult to make plans in a situation when we couldn’t know what to expect. 31 3 4 5 6 7 8 The government's decision to decrease sales taxes _____________ the economy. The new expansionary fiscal policy _____________ unemployment figures in the country. Due to the efficient management of the company, we _____________ sales by 25% this year. Unemployment _____________ from 200,000 to 600,000 in 3 months due to the closure of several factories in the country. The higher income that resulted from the suddenly increased sales _____________ the company's deficit by half. The economy _____________ for five years. The GDP growth was around 1% and there was a high unemployment. VI Complete the table with the missing forms of these verbs. INFINITIVE to rise to raise to arise PAST SIMPLE PAST PARTICIPLE VII Now fill in the gaps in these sentences with the correct form of the verbs from above. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 The Sun ____________ every morning. ____________ your hand if you agree. The problem ____________ from the lack of quality control. Last year we ____________$2 m in capital. The cash flow crisis ____________ because the company did not receive payment from its debtors. Retail prices ____________by 7% last year. The Fed will probably ____________interest rates by 0.5%. The mistakes that have ____________ this week are due to a lack of communication between the staff and the management. 3 NOUNS I Turn these verbs into nouns. VERB NOUN VERB grow fall rise decline increase slump boost plunge jump decrease improve drop stagnate fluctuate peak bottom out NOUN 32 II Write a sentence about each year represented on the graph using a verb. Then rewrite the sentence so that you are using a noun instead of a verb. Use the prompts provided. 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 EXAMPLE: Rice production decreased in 2002. → There was a decrease in rice production in 2002. 1 _____________________________________________________________________________. The chart shows a(n) _____________________________________________________________. 2 _____________________________________________________________________________. We see a(n) ____________________________________________________________________. 3 _____________________________________________________________________________. There was a(n) __________________________________________________________________. 4 _____________________________________________________________________________. 2006 brought a(n) _______________________________________________________________. 4 ADVERBS AND ADJECTIVES Adverbs and adjectives can be used to describe changes in more detail. I Finish the sentences. Adverbs go after _________________. Adjectives go before _________________. II Change these adjectives into adverbs. SIZE ADJECTIVES ADVERBS SPEED ADJECTIVES big quick significant sharp substantial dramatic massive sudden small slow slight steady insignificant moderate ADVERBS 33 III Underline the correct word in each sentence. 1 2 3 4 5 6 There was a CONSIDERABLE / CONSIDERABLY fall in oil prices last week. The demand for the older model of the phone decreased SLIGHT / SLIGHTLY when the newer model was launched. There was a SUBSTANTIAL / SUBSTANTIALLY upturn in exchange rates. The government decreased taxes MODERATE/ MODERATELY. They reported a DRAMATIC / DRAMATICALLY downturn in the price of shares last year when the CEO was fired. We managed to raise our profits RAPID / RAPIDLY when we increased our advertising budget. IV Now rewrite your sentences from section 3, exercise II by adding an adverb or an adjective. EXAMPLE: Rice production decreased moderately in 2002. → There was a moderate decrease in rice production in 2002. 1 _______________________________________________________________________________. _______________________________________________________________________________. 2 _______________________________________________________________________________. _______________________________________________________________________________. 3 _______________________________________________________________________________. _______________________________________________________________________________. 4 _______________________________________________________________________________. _______________________________________________________________________________. 5 PREPOSITIONS I Study the sentences and circle the prepositions in them. Then, complete the rules with the missing prepositions. 1 A growth of 20% in sales. N + __________ + (%, number) + __________+ (topic of the graph) 2 Sales grew by 20%. V + __________+ (%, number) 3 Sales grew from $8m to $15m. (Sales are now $15m.) V + __________+ (number) + __________ + (number) 4 Sales are currently standing at 15m. Sales peaked at 25m. Sales bottomed out at 4m. Current position on a graph: __________ 34 II Fill in the gaps with prepositions from the box below. from 1 2 3 4 5 6 between to in by at of Last year sales fell ______ $3m ______ $1.5m. This year in our town there was a growth ______ 20% ______ marriages. The employment ratio in the country reached a trough ______ 30% last year. The competition’s advertising spending has fluctuated ______ €5m and €5.75m this year. Our market share plummeted ______ 20% when a new company broke into the market. Currently we control 15% of the market and we are making enormous losses. Our market share plummeted ______ 20% from 45%, which is a 25% drop. III Write a sentence about each year represented on this chart using the data provided. 80 73 70 66 60 55 50 55 40 30 20 13 10 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1 __________________________________________________________________________. 2 __________________________________________________________________________. 3 __________________________________________________________________________. 4 __________________________________________________________________________. 5 __________________________________________________________________________. 6 SAYING NUMBERS AND THE LANGUAGE OF APPROXIMATION I Saying numbers. Choose the best answer. 1 seventeen point three eight percent a) 70.38% 2 b) 17.38% c) 17,38% b) 6/3 c) 6 1/3 six cubed a) 6³ 3 eight to the power of six a) 86 4 b) √8 c) 8/6 eighteen forty-five a) 1,845 b) 1845 c) 18.45 35 5 x cubed minus y squared is z a) x² - y³=z b) x - y²=z³ c) x³ - y² = z 6 four point 6 billion euros a) €4.6bn b) 4.6bn€ c) €4,6bn 7 nine hundred and ninety-one thousand, eight hundred a) 919,800 b) 991,800 c) 991.800 8 three point eighty four pounds a) $3.84 9 b) £3.84 c) €3.8 two and two thirds a) 2 ⅔ 10 b) 2.23 c) 2 3/2 ten divided by six equals one point six recurring a) 10 : 6 = 1.666 b) 10 – 6 = 1.666 c) 10 : 6 = 666 11 two and three quarters a) 2.34 b) 2 4/3 c) 2 ¾ 12 nought point one eight five a) 0.185 b) 0,185 c) 1085 13 The number 3000 is read as: a) three thousands b) three thousand 14 Which is correct? a) half of the books in the library b) half of the book in the library 15 The number 2/3 is read as: a) two-third b) two-thirds 16 The number 2,568 is read as: a) two thousand five hundred and sixty eight b) two point five six eight 17 The number 3.479 is read as: a) three thousand four hundred and seventy nine b) three point four seven nine II The language of approximation. Match the numbers with the words. A. 65% just under a half of B. 749,982 approximately 40 degrees Celsius C. 100,005 most of D. 40.5°C just about a fifth of E. £502.02 about two-thirds of F. 49% G. 58.4 seconds H. 21% about one hundred thousand I. 92% slightly less than a minute around five hundred pounds about three-quarters of a million 36 7 DESCRIBING GRAPHS IN A PARAGRAPH I Read the text and fill in the gaps with the words from the box below. at fluctuated decline peak by leveled off moderate doubled substantially dramatic Market share of Mintel and Orefon Mintel 100 Orefon 90 80 70 70 60 60 55 50 50 40 40 40 40 40 33 30 20 10 60 55 50 20 10 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 The graph shows the changes in the market share of two telecommunications companies, Mintel and Orefon, between 2002 and 2008. As it can be seen, the overall trend shows a decreasing of the difference between the market shares of the two companies. Mintel, represented by the solid line, lost a considerable portion of its market share during this period. Mintel was the market leader in 2002, however, with Orefon’s entry into the market it saw a steady (1) ___________ in the next five years. By 2006 its market share fell (2) ___________ 37%, reaching a trough (3) ___________ 33%. This period was followed by a (4) ___________ growth of 7%. At the end of the examined time period Mintel’s market share (5) ___________ at 40%. Orefon’s market share grew dramatically during the examined years. It entered the market in 2001 and by 2002 it owned 10% of the market. In the next two years this company’s market share (6) ___________ each year, reaching 40% in 2004. In 2006 it reached a (7) ___________ at 60%. Between 2006 and 2008 the market share (8) ___________ between 60% and 55%. To sum up, the years between 2002 and 2008 is the period when Orefon surpassed Mintel. During the 6 years represented on the graph, Mintel saw a (9) ___________ decline while Orefon’s market share increased (10) ___________. In 2008 the competition between the two companies was much more even than in 2002. II Read the text again and decide what function the following sections have. ☐ ☐ ☐ ☐ The first sentence. The second sentence. The sentences in italics. The final paragraph. 37 WRITING TIPS FOR DESCRIBING GRAPHS ☐ Start with saying what the topic and the time frame of the graph is. ☐ Check what the labels and the numbers represent. (a percentage, a currency, are they in thousands or millions?) ☐ Describe the overall situation, find the most important trends. ☐ Do not describe every change, do not go into too much detail. ☐ Try not to repeat the same language and sentence structures. ☐ Conclude by summarising what we learn from the chart. III Describe this graph in no more than 300 words. Units sold in millions (2013) 100 80 60 airconditioners 40 heaters 20 0 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr 38 8 PRACTICE I Read this article and rewrite the sentences in bold with the help of the prompts. Do not use the same words as in the original sentences. Croatia's economy: Finnish lessons for Croatia The Economist Jun 17th 2013, 16:27 by L.O. “AT FIRST glance Croatia and Finland share a great many common features,” said Esko Aho (pictured), a former prime minister of Finland, when visiting Zagreb a few weeks ago. Mr Aho visited Croatia to talk about the reforms he introduced during his years in power to a small crowd hopeful that the Finish experience might offer some answers to the problem of Croatia’s protracted recession. Besides an (1) approximately corresponding population size, Finland and Croatia seem to share other similarities when comparing Finland’s crisis in the early 1990s and Croatia’s current recession. (2) Croatia’s exports fell by 25% in 2009 partly thanks to the general recession in the European Union just as Finland’s exports dropped a quarter after the dissolution of the Soviet Union. In both cases the fall in exports would not have hit them so hard had they been otherwise economically sound. A housing bubble played a big role in Finland’s and Croatia’s respective pre-crisis growth and subsequent decline. A large and costly bureaucracy in both countries, a high tax burden, restrictive monetary policy and faltering consumer confidence led to soaring unemployment and a drop in GDP. (34) Croatia’s unemployment rose from 7% to just below 20% while GDP plunged by 6.9% in 2009. Finland’s unemployment rose from 2.1% to 19.9% while GDP slumped by 13% between 1991 and 1994. Finland emerged from the crisis by 1995, with international trade growing to a third of its GDP today. (5) Croatia’s economy continues to shrink this year. While Finland struggled for recovery with a comprehensive tax reform, deep cuts in federal and municipal spending as well as export-focused currency devaluations, the Croatian government shied away from structural reforms. The best example of Croatia’s and Finland’s diametrically opposite solutions to almost identical problems is tax reform. Aiming to bolster both consumption and private-sector development, Finland reduced taxes while maintaining tax revenue by reducing deductibility. (6) The personal income-tax rate was reduced from 51% to 39% and the corporate tax rate was cut from 33% to 19%. Jelena Lovric, a Croatian political analyst, summarised the Finish tax cuts in a recent newspaper column: “(7) Finland literally halved its high taxes, increasing budget revenue from taxes by an incredible 350% [by 2000]” with corporate income tax revenue in 2000 seven times higher than in 1994. Meanwhile in Croatia personal consumption has been in free fall over the past four years, bar a month or two during the tourist season. (8) Last year, value-added tax was raised from 23% to 25% while income tax is the third highest globally, after Belgium and Greece. The corporate tax burden was reduced by a modest 2% in statutory healthcare insurance contributions. Ms Lovric argues that (9) Croatia “has increased the tax burden while state budget tax revenues are dwindling”. The Croatian government recently caved in to the threat of a national labor union strike and committed to retracting the 3% public sector wage cut instituted in February as soon as GDP growth returns for three consecutive quarters. An analysis by Bisnode, a business-intelligence company, estimates average Croatian public sector wages to be 73% higher than average wages in the private sector. Many Croatian economists have called for currency depreciation to support the fledgling export sector, yet both central bank and political leadership discard this possibility. Exports are key to recovery of smaller countries: if not helped by currency depreciation, the fiscal system must favour exporters. Finland is also an excellent example of bold bets on new sectors. With substantial investments in the ICT and education sectors, the country fueled its growth over the past two decades. (10) The World Bank recently revised its forecasts for the Croatian economy, predicting it would grow at a weak 1.5% in 2014. However, to sustain more robust growth politically costly moves are necessary—a lesson Mr. Aho learnt when he lost his re-election. It remains to be seen if Croatia’s leadership will rise to the task at hand. 39 (1) The number of inhabitants in both countries is _______________________________. (2) Both countries’ exports _______________________________. (3) In both countries the number of people out of work _____________, in Croatia this was _______________________________, while Finland saw a _______________________________. (4) The GDP in both countries _________________, in Finland _______________________________, in Croatia _______________________________. (5) Croatia’s GDP ________________ this year. (6) Personal income tax was _________________ by ___________________, the corporate tax rate was _________________ by __________________ in Finland. (7) Finland ________________ its taxes by _____________%. (8) Last year there was a _________________ in value-added tax in Croatia. (9) In Croatia taxes _______________, while income from taxes is ________________. (10) The World Bank forecasted a (Adj + N + preposition) ________________________________ 1.5% in 2014. II Read The Guardian’s stock market report and match the numbered phrases in the text with those in the box below. A) B) C) D) E) F) G) H) plummeted was losing the energy to do something made losses suddenly take away support from the recovery of the stock market to cause something to fail was removed continued the same way as the day before did something to cause trouble among people World stock markets fall after Ben Bernanke hints at easing stimulus trading, adding to Wednesday's 206-point decline as the global sell-off turned full circle. Graeme Wearden and Nick Fletcher The Guardian, 20 June 2013 Government sovereign debt also (5) suffered losses, driving up the yield on Britain's 10-year gilts to 2.29%, a level last seen in March 2012. FTSE 100 falls nearly 3%, wiping more than £48bn off the value of Britain's biggest companies More than £48bn (1) was wiped off the value of Britain's biggest companies as world stock markets fell sharply on Thursday and UK government borrowing costs hit a 15-month high. The blue-chip FTSE 100 index (2) tumbled by 189 points, or nearly 3%, in its biggest percentage fall since September 2011, after the chair of the Federal Reserve gave the clearest signal yet that America's huge stimulus package will be slowed this year. Fears that China's economy (3) was running out of steam were also blamed for heavy losses across all major markets. On Wall Street, shares (4) picked up where they left off on Wednesday night with the Dow Jones index falling 200 points in early New York Commodity prices also joined in the rout, with the gold price falling below the $1,300 an ounce mark for the first time since September 2010. Traders blamed the sell-off on Ben Bernanke's prediction on Wednesday night that the Fed will start to ease its bond-buying programme later this year, having seen evidence that the US economy is recovering. "Ben Bernanke has (6) put the cat well and truly among the pigeons with his statement that asset purchases would begin slowing by the end of this year," said Yusuf Heusen, sales trader at IG. "It does feel as if the Fed chairman has (7) pulled the rug from underneath the stock market rally, and he certainly seems to have (8) dealt a killer blow to gold." 40 5 TRADE RETAIL TRADE: DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS Types of distribution channels I Read the text and match these headings to paragraphs. 1 2 3 4 indirect channels definition of a distribution channel direct channels retail outlets The distribution channel, or the chain of distribution, is the chain of businesses or intermediaries through which a good or service passes until it reaches the end consumer. This channel can be very long, so that many intermediaries stand between the manufacturer and consumer, or it can be very short. Although many producers and intermediaries try to find different channels to reach their customers in order to increase sales, sometimes distribution chains become so complex that distribution management is very difficult. In addition, the longer the distribution channel, the less profit a product manufacturer might get from the sale. Distribution channels are divided into direct and indirect forms. In the direct channel, the consumer can buy the good directly from the manufacturer. However, very few producers today sell their goods directly to the consumer or business user. Direct channels are considered shorter than indirect ones. In an indirect channel, the consumer buys goods from an intermediary or a middleman, e.g. a wholesaler, distributor, agent, broker or retailer. Channels with a single intermediary are quite common, e.g. a sales agent or broker for industrial goods, or a retailer for consumer goods, an authorized dealer in the automobile industry, or a franchise in car-hire and fast-food businesses. There are also longer channels where further intermediaries are added, for example in the exports of goods. Long channels often raise the price of the product because each intermediary wants to make a profit. Products and services reach end consumers in different types of retail outlets, such as kiosks, department stores, chain stores, etc. There have always been types of retail outlets that are more popular than others. Recent trends in retailing show that a growing number of people today prefer to buy online or use mail-order firms rather than go to a shop. This has encouraged some brick-andmortar businesses, which only exist in the physical form, to turn into click-and-mortar shops, which combine traditional sales in the shop with online sales. II Answer these questions. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 What is the distribution channel? What does it mean if we say the distribution chain is long? How can a long distribution channel affect the price of a product? What are direct channels? What intermediaries are there in an indirect distribution chain? What types of retail outlets are there? What is the difference between brick-and-mortar and click-and-mortar businesses? 41 III Find the terms in the text for these definitions. distribution channel, brick-and-mortar shop, mail-order firms, direct channel, click-and mortar shop 1 2 3 4 5 A distribution channel with no intermediary. A business which exists only in the physical form. A business which combines online sales with traditional sales in physical shops. Companies which offer their products through catalogues or websites so consumers can buy them by telephone or order them by mail or on the internet. The chain of businesses or intermediaries through which a good or service passes until it reaches the end consumer. DIFFERENT INTERMEDIARIES IN THE DISTRIBUTION CHAIN I Match the descriptions of people involved in trade to their names. 1. a consumer 2. a wholesaler 3. an intermediary 4. a manufacturer 5. a retailer The end user of goods or services, whose needs are satisfied by producers. The general term for agents, brokers, dealers, merchants, wholesalers and retailers who stand between the producer and consumer. A merchant such as a shopkeeper who sells to the final customer. A person or organization that produces a good. An intermediary who stocks goods in big quantities from various suppliers and delivers them to retailers when ordered. II Put these intermediaries in order to create three different distribution channels. consumer wholesaler agent retailer manufacturer direct selling 42 III Read the following definitions and decide which is retail and which is wholesale. Fill in the gaps with these words. retail trade retailer wholesale trade wholesaler 1 In _______________ goods are bought in bulk from various manufacturers. This bulk is then broken down into smaller quantities which are then passed on to the retailer. A _______________ is an intermediary distributor. 2 In _______________ goods are bought in small quantities from the wholesaler or another intermediary. A _______________ is also an intermediary distributor, who sells goods in even smaller quantities to the final consumer. IV Read the following statements and decide which refer to wholesalers and which to retailers. Copy them into the table below. 1 are closer to end consumers. 5 2 buy/store small quantities. 3 provide a cost-saving charge higher prices. 7 charge lower prices. delivery service for retailers. 4 6 sometimes finish goods by packing and branding. buy/store large quantities. 8 buy in bulk. 9 offer a variety of goods from different producers. RETAILERS … WHOLESALERS … 43 NEW TRENDS IN RETAIL I Do you know what the following expressions mean? the American Dream high end downturn II Read the text and underline the keywords. Low sales even in healthy economy signal 'complete shift in shopping' Neither consumers nor brands are getting much of what they want, and the unpredictability has caused chaos for retailers whose power has slipped away Monday is Memorial Day, the official start of summer and another celebration traditionally marked by sales and a shopping bonanza. But the sun isn’t shining for US retailers. On the face of it, the economic superpower that is the American consumer should be having a party. Low interest rates and unemployment rates, low oil prices, a high stock market, healthy property prices – nothing it would seem, to put off doing what comes most naturally to them – shopping. Yet they’re stubbornly refusing to do it – or at least refusing to do it in predictable ways – leaving consumer experts to wonder, as fashion bible Women’s Wear Daily recently did, if the consumer psyche, “bombarded by digital messages, stressed financially and overwrought emotionally”, has “finally exploded”. Certainly, there’s conflicted evidence to suggest it has. Retail stocks for Macy’s, Nordstrom and Gap have all fallen sharply this year, with some reporting their worst comparable sales results since the Great Recession the 2008 financial crisis. Last week jeweler Tiffany’s reported its sharpest drop in quarterly sales since the global financial crisis pushed the world to the brink in 2008. It’s an international trend. In the UK, analysts are reporting 10% declines in the number of shopper visits to high streets and shopping centres around the country over the past year. In part, the shopping slump can still be blamed on the financial crisis. Consumers’ incomes have not kept pace with household spending, and they are less confident about long-term economic stability. According to a recent Pew Charitable Trust survey, American household incomes fell between 2010 and 2013. Adults in the survey questioned “whether the American Dream is within reach, and many doubt that their children will fare any better than they have”. Earnings for those at the top of the economic food chain have soared. Analysis by the AFL-CIO union found that chief executive officers of the top 500 companies took home $12.4m on average – or 355 times what an average worker makes. Yet statistics show that even high earners are less likely to spend on material things. … Beneath the economics, something else has changed. A contract has been broken. Researchers say neither consumers nor brands are getting much of what they want: consumers don’t want to put their money with brands that don’t speak to their values, while brands aren’t seeing any loyalty from consumers they are trying to cultivate. The apparent contradiction between a healthy economy and unpredictable consumer spending leads some market analysts to the conclusion that consumption as an activity was fundamentally altered by the 2008 recession. The abrupt downturn in 2008 shocked consumers but it also gave them power when it came to making consumer choices. When you couple this with the power that technology has afforded them to research, learn and compare about their potential purchases, it is little wonder that consumer behavior is changing, analysts say. “We’ve had to start looking at the consumer in a completely different way,” says Kit Yarrow, a consumer psychologist at Golden State University. “We can’t evaluate their confidence and willingness to 44 spend in the ways we used to,” says Yarrow. “Consumers just don’t react the way they did even five years ago. Technology has taken over and they feel more empowered.” “The recession was the first step toward the complete shift in shopping,” says Yarrow. “Consumers are more wary and self-protective about finances, and they’ve never dominated the market the way they do today. They’re informed and wary, and determined to be in control.” The unpredictability has caused chaos for retailers, which have seen their power over consumers begin to slip away. “Technology means they can shop however and whenever they want, or they can shop all over the world, and that’s why we see retailers collapsing and relying completely on price reductions,” Yarrow said. “It’s taking retailers forever to realise that when people go shopping they want to see new things all the time. This is what technology has done to our brains. We want a lot more excitement and product turnover in our lives. If we don’t see new product, we won’t go there any more.” It’s a trend being observed across the consumer market. The same conscientiousness that exists in the middle market has taken hold at the top end where luxury retailers could once count on careless spending to pump up the books. Yarrow’s research suggests that even the richest have adopted middle-class values. They feel guilty when they spend too much money, and quickly reject efforts to seduce them. “It’s a demographic that’s always been a little more demanding so patterns we’re seeing in the middle of the market are more pronounced: if I don’t get it how I want, when I want it, for the price I want it, I won’t have it at all,” she says. But there are other factors feeding into consumers’ shattered psyches. For many consumers buying “stuff” just isn’t what it used to be. People are looking toward more “experiential” spending – holidays, concerts, plays – experiences that they can then share on social media. Laurent Vernhes, co-founder and CEO of Tablethotels, a consumer website that specialises in highend travel, told the Guardian “the more jaded no longer enthusiastic or excited about things you are the more you will seek experiential travel beyond what you know.” And it’s not just holidaymakers – business people, too, want experiences. Instead of heading to the mall on Monday, post-recession consumers are more likely to start planning their next vacation or trying to bag tickets for Hamilton a musical. The hangover from hard times and a technological shift in power have reordered consumer priorities. Consumers’ psyches may be shattered but they don’t want them put back together. “This is a much more conscious consumer,” Yarrow says. “They don’t want to go back to pre-2008. They want the power, and they want control.” Adapted from: Helmore, E. (2016). Low sales even in healthy economy signal 'complete shift in shopping', The Guardian 28 May 2016 Retrieved from: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/may/28/memorial-day-sales-online-shopping-summer-us-economy III Find word partnerships that go together with CONSUMER. CONSUMER SP__ND__NG CH__ __C__S B__H__V__OR C__NF__D__NC__ M__RK__T 45 IV Complete these key terms from the text: 1 C__MP__R__BL__ 2 N__MB__R OF 3 H__ __S__H__LD SP__ND__NG S__ __ __S R__S__LTS SH__ __ __ __R V__S__STS 4 __ __RN__NGS 5 BR__ __ __S 6 brand L__ __ __ __TY 7 F__N__NC__ __L CR__S__S 8 GR__ __T 9 T__CHN__L__GY R__C__SS__ __N 10 PR__C__ 11 PR__D__CT R__D__CT__ __NS T__RN__V__R 12 __XP__R__ __NT__ __L SP__ND__NG 13 S__C__ __L M__D__ __ 14 H__ __S__H__LD 15 C__NS__MPT__ __N __NC__M__ V Find synonyms for these terms in tasks III and IV consumer choices: ____________________________ consumer expectations:_________________________ the financial crisis of 2008: __________________________ sales: ___________________________ income: ___________________________ spending: ___________________________ VI Find terms in the text for these definitions. 1. The comparison of sales revenue generated in a certain period to revenue generated in a similar period in the past. 2. Three months of a fiscal year. 3. The primary business street of towns or cities, especially in the UK 4. A specially built area containing a lot of different shops; usually includes restaurants and a convenient parking area. 5. A period of substantial decline. 6. The amount of final consumption expenditure made by resident households to meet their everyday needs, such as: food, clothing, housing (rent), energy, transport, durable goods (notably, cars), health costs, leisure, and other services. 7. A person who purchases goods and services for personal use. 8. The use of goods and services by households. 9. The measurement for the speed a company sells the products or inventory it has on hand. VII Answer these questions. Use the terms from the tasks above (III – VI) in your answers. 1 How do retailers measure success? 2 What financial reason is mentioned for middle class consumers not spending more? 3 Other than the financial crisis, what are the reasons for consumers’ changed behavior? 4 How are retailers trying to survive? Is this a good way? 5 Why are brands suffering? 46 VIII You work for Marks and Spencer, a struggling retailer. They have hired you to help them improve their business. Create a presentation about the new trends in the retail business. Background: the economic situation The retail industry’s situation The reason why the retail industry is not doing well The reasons behind changing consumer behavior The reasons behind changing consumer behavior 47 IX What do these graphs show? Could you use them in your presentation? Where? X Now give some advice to M&S on what they should do to improve sales. Use some of the following phrases: I (don't) think you should You should ..., no doubt about it. You ought (not) to… You had better... I suggest (+ that you (should) ) The sooner you ... the better. Your only option is to ... You have no choice but to ... ... is worth a try. I can't recommend ... strongly enough. 48 E-COMMERCE I What are some of the advantages of online shopping over buying in bricks-and-mortar shops? II Take a look at the list of large retailers mentioned in the text as examples. Find them in the text and explain why they are mentioned. 1 2 3 4 United Retail Group Walmart Target Amazon 5 6 7 8 Apple Disney Macy's Borders Retailers and the internet Clicks and bricks: Many retailers are being too slow in reinventing themselves for the age of online shopping and is only now building its own e-business. Both Walmart and Target still have a puny online presence relative to their size. “WE TEND to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run,” observed Roy Amara, an American futurologist. This is certainly proving true of retailers and their attitude to the internet. After a panic at the turn of the millennium about the impact on their industry of online shopping, bricks-and-mortar stores settled into making only modest alterations to their business model or, ostrich-like, trying to ignore it. Few have so far made the radical changes needed to meet the threats from, and tap the enormous potential of, e-commerce. Retailers also need to be ruthless in chucking out products that do not gain from being sold in a physical store: not just things like CDs and DVDs, which can be replaced by digital goods, but bulky stuff like nappies (Amazon has become a big seller of Pampers). Their shops must focus on those things, such as expensive clothes and gadgets that customers will want to try before they buy, and for which they will pay extra, such as advice from competent sales assistants. Such inaction threatens retailers' survival. Online sales are now approaching $200 billion a year in America. Their share of total retail sales is creeping up relentlessly, from 5% five years ago to 9% now. People in their 20s and 30s do about a quarter of their shopping online. True, few ladies who lunch will buy their Christian Dior dresses online; and bargainhunters will still enjoy rummaging in discount stores like Dollar General. But to attract everyone in between, retailers will have to build a strong online offering while making their shops nicer, more conveniently located and, in the case of many bigbox retailers, smaller. Otherwise they are likely to go under, as United Retail Group, an American clothing chain, did this month. To build a profitable online business retailers must integrate it seamlessly with their bricks-andmortar operations. Many keep them separate, increasing the risk that they fail to communicate or work together properly. Walmart's online operations are in Silicon Valley, far from its Arkansas headquarters. Target, another supermarket giant, until recently outsourced its ecommerce to Amazon, the biggest online retailer, Are you being served? Stores have to become more fun to visit, so shoppers feel it is worth the trip to the mall or high street. Apple's shops thrive not only because they contain cool products; they are beautifully designed, with helpful staff. Disney stores may be an ordeal for parents but they often succeed in giving their pint-sized clients “the best 30 minutes of a child's day”. But too many retailers think only of getting a quick sale, neglecting to build relationships with customers. They are the most at risk from “showrooming”: shoppers trying products in physical stores before sneaking off to buy them more cheaply online. To survive in the new world of retail shopkeepers will need large amounts of imagination—and money. Macy's is investing $400m in the renovation of its flagship store in New York. The losers will include those (like Borders, an extinct chain of bookshops) that keep selling things people are happy to buy online. The biggest winners will be consumers. They can look forward not only to ever-greater convenience thanks to the internet. They will also find a growing number of physical stores that compete to make shopping a pleasure. Source: The Economist, 25 February 2012 49 IV Answer these questions. 1 2 3 4 What kind of future changes in retailing is predicted in the first 2 paragraphs? What did most retailers do so far to benefit from the growth of e-commerce? How has e-commerce grown in the past few years? Who will be the winners of the changes in the retail landscape? Why? V What does the article suggest retailers should do to get the custom of people who shop online? Use the prompts to write suggestions. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Retailers' physical stores should be ___________________________________________________. Oversized stores ought to be ________________________________________________________. The online and offline branches of a retailer should be ____________________________________. Only goods that are ________________________________________________ should be sold in bricks-and-mortar stores. The experience of shopping in a bricks-and-mortar store ought to be ________________, where there is a _________________ between retailers and customers. ____________________________________________________ have to be invested into traditional stores. VI Summarize the sections of this article in a sentence. Paragraph 1: ________________________________________________________________________. Paragraph 2: ________________________________________________________________________. Paragraphs 2-6: _____________________________________________________________________. Paragraph 6: ________________________________________________________________________. VII What do these expressions mean? Choose the correct explanation. 1 Ladies who lunch a. Women in managerial positions who eat lunch at work. b. Well-off, well-dressed non-working women who meet each other for lunch during the working week. 2 Bargain-hunter a. Someone who tries to find goods at discounted prices. b. Someone who tries to negotiate the price of a product. 3 Big-box retailer a. A retailer set up in a big box-like building with a large amount of floor-space, selling a wide range of products at low prices. b. A retailer selling large, high-value items at discounted prices in suburban areas. 4 To go under a. To go bankrupt. b. To downsize. 50 INTERNATIONAL TRADE Is free trade good or bad? Free trade is something of a sacred cow in the economics profession. Moving towards it, rather slowly, has also been one of the dominant features of the post-World War Two global economy. Now there are new challenges to that development. The UK is leaving the European Union and the single market - though in her speech this week, British Prime Minister Theresa May promised to push for the "freest possible trade" with European countries and to sign new deals with others around the world. Most recently Donald Trump has raised the possibility of quitting various trade agreements, notably Nafta, the North American Free Trade Agreement with Mexico and Canada. Even the World Trade Organization (WTO) has proposed new barriers to imports. In Europe, trade negotiations with the United States and Canada have run into difficulty, reflecting public concerns about the impact on jobs, the environment and consumer protection. The WTO's Doha Round of global trade liberalisation talks has run aground. Comparative advantage The case for trade without government imposed barriers has a long history in economics. Adam Smith, the 18th Century Scottish economist who many see as the founding father of the subject, was in favour of it. But it was a later British writer, David Ricardo in the 19th Century, who set out the idea known as comparative advantage that underpins much of the argument for freer trade. It is not about countries being able to produce more cheaply or efficiently than others (i.e., absolute advantage). You can have a comparative advantage in making something even if you are less efficient than your trade partner. When a country allocates resources to produce more of one good there is what economists call an "opportunity cost" in terms of how much less of something else you can make. You have a comparative advantage in making a product if the opportunity cost is less than it is in another country. If two countries trade on this basis, concentrating on goods where they have a comparative advantage they can both end up better off. Avoiding protectionism Another reason that economists tend to disapprove of trade restrictions comes from an analysis of the impact if governments put up barriers on imports - in particular tariffs or taxes. There are gains of course. The firms and workers who are protected can sell more of their goods in the home market. But consumers lose out by paying a higher price and consumers in this case can mean businesses, if they buy the protected goods as components or raw materials. The textbook analysis says that the losses resulting from protectionism add up to more than the total gains. So you get the textbook conclusion that it's best to avoid protection. And this conclusion is regardless of what other countries do. The 19th Century French economist Frederic Bastiat set it out like this: "It makes no more sense to be protectionist because other countries have tariffs than it would to block up our harbours because other countries have rocky coasts." The implication is that unilateral trade liberalisation makes perfect sense. A more recent theory of what drives international trade looks at economies of scale - where the more a firm produces of some good, the lower cost of each unit. The resulting specialisation can make it beneficial for economies that are otherwise very similar to trade with one another. This area is known as new trade theory and the Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman was an important figure in developing it. Post-war trade Decades of international co-operation on trade policy since World War Two was based on the basic idea that it's good to have freer trade. The period since 1945 has been characterised by a gradual lowering of trade barriers. It happened in the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), which began life in 1948 as a forum for governments to negotiate lower tariffs. Its membership was initially small, but by the time it was replaced by the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995, most countries had signed up. The motivation was to end or reduce the protectionism or barriers to trade that went up in the 1930s. The process of post-war trade liberalisation was driven largely by a desire for reciprocal concessions - better access to others' markets in return for opening your own. What is the case against free (or at least freer) trade? First and foremost is the argument that it creates losers as well as winners. What Ricardo's theory suggested was that all countries engaging in trade could be better off. But his idea could not address the question of whether trade could create losers as well as winners within countries. Work by two Swedish Nobel Prize winners, Eli Hecksher and Bertil Ohlin, subsequently built on by the American Paul Samuelson developed the basic idea of comparative advantage in a way that showed that trade could lead to some groups losing out. Putting it very briefly, if a country has a relatively abundant supply of, for example, low-skilled labour, those workers will gain while low-skilled workers in countries where it is less abundant will lose. There has been a debate about whether this approach fits the facts, but some do see it as a useful explanation of how American industrial workers (for example) have been negatively affected by the rise of competition from countries such as China. Compensating losers 51 Still if you accept that overall countries gain, then the winners could in principle fully compensate the losers and the country would still be better off. Such programmes do exist. Countries that have unemployment benefits provide assistance to people who have lost their jobs. Some of those people will have been affected by competition from abroad. The United States has a programme that is specially targeted for people who lose their jobs as a result of imports, called Trade Adjustment Assistance. But is it enough? Lawrence Mishel of the Economic Policy Institute, a think-tank in Washington writes: "The winners have never tried to fully compensate the losers, so let's stop claiming that trade benefits us all." In any case, it is not clear that compensation would do the trick. As Mark Carney, the Bank of England governor noted, they may lose their jobs and also "the dignity of work". He is keen on maintaining open markets for trade, but recognises the need to do something about what you might call the side effects. To return to recent political developments - Donald Trump clearly did get support from many of those people in areas of the US where industry has declined. We don't yet know how he will address those issues when he takes his place in the White House. Perhaps his threats to introduce new tariffs are just that - threats. But the post-war trend towards more liberalised international trade looks more uncertain than it has for many years. Adapted from: Walker, A. “Is free trade good or bad?” BBC News, 18 January 2017. Retrieved from: http://www.bbc.com/news/business-38209407 I. Complete the notes on the text Free trade 1) Current ch_____________ : e.g., • UK l_____________ the EU • USA may q_____________ various trade a_____________ (e.g., NAFTA) • WTO: proposed new trade b_____________ to imports 2) Economic t_____________ supporting free trade • c_____________ advantage: production of a good at lower o_____________ cost than another country all countries could b_____________ • n__________ trade theory: economies of s_____________ → lower c_____________ of production → s_____________ → trade is b_____________ 3) The impact of p_____________ • g_____________: domestic p_____________ sell more on the h_____________ market • l_____________: c_____________, b_____________ pay more for goods Losses resulting from p_____________ add up to more than the total gains 4) Trade p_____________ after WW2 gradual l_____________ of trade barriers = liberalization of trade r_____________ 1948 – 1995: _____________; 1995 – present: _____________ 5) The case a_____________ free trade: losers w_____________ countries → c_____________: e.g., u_____________ benefit for those who lost jobs → insufficient → people losing the d_____________ of work Conclusion: The future of further trade l_____________ looks uncertain. II. Use your notes to retell the article to your partner. III. Match the terms with the same meaning. plentiful, a market without trade barriers, trade restrictions, home market, domestic market – open market– abundant – trade barriers – relaxing of rules liberalisation of rules – 52 VISIBLE AND INVISIBLE TRADE I Study the chart below and explain the difference between: ☐ Primary / secondary products ☐ Visible / invisible trade ☐ Balance of trade / balance of payments Foods and Produce Manufactured Goods Specialist Goods Imports + VISIBLE TRADE → BALANCE OF Raw Materials Exports TRADE Electrical Appliances Machine Tools BALANCE OF PAYMENTS Government Payments Shipping Specialist Aviation Travel Imports + INVISIBLE TRADE Exports Banking Other Services II Look at the chart again and answer the following questions: 1 Can you add to the list of invisible exports and imports? 2 If you go abroad and buy music, clothes, books, or eat in a restaurant, is it recorded as imports or exports for Croatia? 3 When foreign tourists come to Croatia and spend money in night clubs, shops, restaurants, buy food, or pay for hotel rooms, is it imports or exports for Croatia? 4 If our transport companies ship foreign goods through Croatia, is it recorded as our exports or imports in the balance of payments? 53 III Match these words and expressions from the box with the definitions below. autarky import substitution barter or counter-trade balance of payments trade sanction invisible imports and exports deficit protectionism balance of trade subsidy dumping quotas surplus tariffs visible trade (GB) or merchandise trade (US) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. Trade in goods Trade in services (banking, insurance, tourism, and so on) Direct exchange of goods, without the use of money The difference between what a country receives and pays for its exports and imports of goods The difference between a country's total earnings from exports and its total expenditure on imports The (impossible) situation in which a country is completely self-sufficient and has no foreign trade A positive balance of trade or payments A negative balance of trade or payments Selling goods abroad at (or below) cost price Imposing trade barriers in order to restrict imports Taxes charged on imports. They raise the price to customers and make them less attractive. Quantitative limits on the import of particular products or commodities Benefit given by the government to producers usually as cash payments or tax reduction to help them sell at a lower price. A trade penalty imposed by one nation on one or more other nations usually for political reasons. When a country produces and protects goods that cost more than those made abroad. PROTECTIONISM AND BARRIERS TO TRADE I Find 5 trade barriers (a government’s policies to restrict international trade) in the task above. ____________________________________________________________________________________ II Fill in the missing vowels to complete the notes on the reasons for protectionism. Why do countries practice protectionism? 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 To protect __NF__NT industries • so they can grow, develop __C__N__M__ __ S of scale and become globally C__MP__T__T__V__. To protect D__CL__N__NG industries • so their decline is slower to protect J__BS in those sectors. To protect STR__T__G__C industries • because they are __SS__NT__ __L to the country, e.g., __GR__C__LT__R__ – food security. To protect non-renewable R__S__ __RC__S • e.g., Middle Eastern countries limit __ __ L output. To deter __NF__ __R competition • e.g., to stop other countries using D__MP__NG prices in the home market. To help the __NV__R__M__NT by not letting harmful products enter the country. For P__L__T__C__L reasons. 54 III Discuss the following questions. 1 2 3 What are subsidies? How do sugar producers profit from receiving subsidies? What do you know about the European Union's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP)? Oh, sweet reason A report counts the cost of Europe's sugar subsidies on poor countries AS THE Doha round of trade negotiations slowly revives at the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in Geneva, agricultural subsidies and tariffs have been taking centre stage. A new report from Oxfam, a campaigning group for poor countries, highlights the absurdities of agricultural subsidies, by focusing on those for sugar, a product that developing countries are especially good at producing. In particular, the report explains exactly how the European Union's common agricultural policy (CAP) enriches a few European farmers and sugar refiners at the expense of the world's poorest. Oddly, the EU is the world's second-biggest sugar exporter. Though it does not have the right climate for growing cane sugar, since Napoleon's time Europeans have grown sugar beet instead. They do not, however, do this efficiently: the cost of producing a pound of sugar in the EU is more than six-times higher than in Brazil, says Oxfam (see chart). It argues that the EU subsidy is much bigger than the €1.3 billion ($1.5 billion) it owns up to publicly. Oxfam says there are €833m of “hidden subsidies”, too. such as Algeria, Ghana, Congo and Indonesia, displacing sugar produced in countries such as South Africa and India. Brazil and Thailand are the hardest hit, Oxfam reckons. On its analysis, Brazil loses around $500m a year, and Thailand about $151m, even though these two countries are the most efficient sugar producers in the world. Even less efficient, and poorer, African countries lose out. Mozambique will lose $38m in 2004—as much as it spends on agriculture and rural development. The costs to Ethiopia equal the sums it spends on HIV/AIDS programmes. The biggest winners, says Oxfam, are large European sugar refiners. France's Beghin Say, it claims, benefits by €236m a year, Germany's Sudzucker by €201m, and Britain's Tate & Lyle by €158m. Further progress at the WTO may depend in part on whether such firms will accept the loss of such subsidies. That fact should leave a very sour taste in the mouth. Subsidising sugar producers is not just economically stupid, it is morally indefensible, too. For Europe's subsidies are not merely a quaint way to keep a few farmers in business. They cause so much sugar to be produced that the stuff is exported to poor countries, hurting farmers who might otherwise earn a living by growing it themselves—and perhaps even exporting it to Europe. At most, only 1.5m tonnes of sugar a year is bought in Europe from preferred trading relationships with African, Caribbean and Pacific countries. Worse, the sugar provisions of the CAP set poor countries against each other. European subsidies mean that its excess sugar ends up in places Source: The Economist, 15 April 2004 55 II Read the article Oh, Sweet Reason and decide if the following statements are True (T) or False (F). □ 1 Developing countries are better at producing sugar than European countries. 2 The EU is the world's second-biggest sugar exporter because it has the best climatic conditions for growing cane sugar. 3 □ The European Union's agricultural subsidies help poor farmers to reduce the cost of producing sugar and thus becoming more competitive exporters of sugar. 4 □ Subsidizing European sugar producers is absurd because the cost of producing sugar in the EU is more than six-times higher than in Brazil, for example. □ □ 5 African countries are the most efficient sugar producers in the world. 6 Hundreds of millions of dollars are lost globally due to the European Union's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). 7 Ethiopia is particularly affected because the sums of money lost equal the sums it spends on HIV/AIDS programmes. 8 □ □ France, Spain and Italy are among the most influential European sugar refiners. □ III Answer the following questions. 1 2 3 4 5 What does the EU do when it subsidizes sugar? What are the main arguments against subsidies? How are sugar subsidies a barrier to trade? What do you think the WTO should do in the situation outlined in the article? Which products does Croatia subsidize? IV Use the following notes and write a SUMMARY of the article Oh, Sweet Reason. 1 ABSURDITIES OF AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDIES ● The EU’s Common Agricultural Policy enriches a few farmers and refiners at the expense of the world’s poorest ● The world’s 2nd exporter with the wrong climate ● cost of production: EU = 6 X Brazil! 2 GLOBAL IMPACTS ● subsidies – too much sugar – exports hurting other exporters hurting foreign farmers 3 LOSERS Brazil $ 500m → the most efficient producers Thailand $151m → in the world Mozambique $38m Ethiopia $ = AIDS programmes! WINNERS France $ 236m (Berghin Say) Germany $201m (Sudzucker) Britain $158m (Tate & Lyle) ● Doha negotiations depend also on large EU companies 56 6 THE EUROPEAN UNION I How much do you know about the EU? 1 How many members does it have? 2 When did it begin? 3 Why? 4 How was it built? 5 How is it governed? 6 What characterizes trade inside it? 7 What is the currency called? 8 Where is it used? 9 How can one travel in the Schengen area? II Read the text and underline the keywords. Introduction to the European Union The European Union (EU) is a unique economic and political union of 27 sovereign European countries. The predecessor of the EU was created in the aftermath of the Second World War. The first steps were to foster economic cooperation: the idea being that countries that trade with one another become economically interdependent and so more likely to avoid conflict. In 1951, the European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC) was created to establish a common market for coal and steel under a single independent authority. The original members of the ECSC were France, West Germany, Italy, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Luxembourg. In 1958, the European Economic Community (EEC) was formed by the same six countries with the initial aim of increasing economic cooperation among them. The original members and others joining them later formed a huge single market (also known as the ‘internal’ market). What began as a purely economic union has evolved into an organisation spanning many different policy areas, from climate, environment and health to external relations and security, justice and migration. A name change from the European Economic Community to the European Union in 1993 reflected this evolution. First the EEC and then the EU grew through consecutive waves of enlargement: 22 more countries joined the organisation. Croatia became a member on 1st of July 2013. The EU’s evolution is not complete, there are still candidate countries waiting to join, while in 2020 the United Kingdom left the organisation in the process called Brexit. The EU’s powers are founded on treaties, which are voluntarily and democratically agreed by its member countries. Over the years, Member States have sought to harmonize laws and adopt common policies on an increasing number of issues. Candidate states have to accept the acquis communautaire (the whole body of EU rights and obligations) before they can join the EU and make EU law part of their own national legislation. The EU is governed by the principle of representative democracy, with citizens directly represented at EU level in the European Parliament and Member States represented in the European Council and the Council of the EU. The EU is governed by a system that has characteristics of both a supranational entity (in specified areas, EU institutions hold authority above governments of the Member States) and an intergovernmental organization (in other areas, cooperation is achieved by consensus of governments). 57 III Complete the notes on the text Introduction to the EU What is it? e______________ and p____________ union of 27 s_____________ countries. How did it develop? Date Organisation’s name Purpose 1951 1958 1993 Enlargement and withdrawal: ___________ countries joined the original 6. Croatia joined in ________________ _______________ withdrew from the EU in _______ How is it governed? The EU’s powers are based on t______________. Member states h____________ their laws and adopt c______________ policies. New members accept the a__________ c_______________ when joining. It is a _____________________ democracy. • citizens are directly represented by ___________________________ • Member States are represented by ___________________________ and ___________________________ System of government: • s____________________ entity • i____________________ organization IV Read the text and underline the achievements of the EU The achievements of the EU The EU has delivered more than half a century of peace, stability and prosperity, and helped raise living standards. It has become much easier to live and work in another country in Europe. All EU citizens have the right and freedom to choose in which EU country they want to study, work or retire. Every EU country must treat EU citizens in exactly the same way as its own citizens when it comes to matters of employment, social security and tax. Thanks to the abolition of border controls between EU countries in the Schengen area, people can travel freely throughout most of the continent. The EU’s main economic engine is the single market and customs union. It enables most goods, services, money and people to move freely. The EU aims to develop this huge resource to other areas like energy, knowledge and capital markets to ensure that Europeans can draw the maximum benefit from it. The euro, in circulation since 2002 and used by more than 340 million people in 19 Member States, is the world’s second most important currency after the US dollar. The single currency is practical for citizens and good for business, and represents a major achievement of European integration. Countries which are part of the Eurozone are also part of a monetary union which unites and integrates these economies through coordinated economic and fiscal policies and a common monetary policy. On the international stage, the EU represents an important political and economic bloc comparable to other major powers such as the US or China. Individual states benefit from their membership in such an influential bloc instead of entering international negotiations on their own. 58 V List the achievements of the EU. Explain how Member States benefit from these achievements. VI Look at the boxes below. Which achievements of the EU are the causes of these benefits? Source: “The EU in brief” https://europa.eu/european-union/about-eu/eu-in-brief_en Price transparency is a situation where both the seller and the buyer know the price of a good or service without any intermediary. Someone in Madrid looking to buy a guitar can easily compare prices in 18 other countries and find the cheapest one available. Businesses can do the same with supplies or raw materials. Trade agreements serve to make trade between countries quicker and cheaper. The EU has around 40 trade deals with more than 70 countries globally (as of 2019). Each EU member benefits from these deals. It is unlikely that Member States alone would be able to negotiate so many deals on their own. A business can hire the most suitable employees from all over the EU without additional bureaucratic difficulties and paperwork. You can travel to 22 EU countries and 4 additional European countries without having to go through passport checks on borders. VII Read the text and underline the key points. Challenges facing the EU Despite the advances brought about by the EU, there are several challenges it needs to face. Some people feel that Member States have lost too much of their sovereignty in the integration process, this causes a rise in popularity of nationalist, populist and anti-establishment parties. The euro and the monetary union carry their own risk. To be part of the monetary union, all countries have to adjust their monetary and fiscal policies to each other. As a result, member countries – especially smaller economies – can lose some of their economic independence,. Migration from poorer countries of the EU to richer ones allows consumers to be able to buy cheaper goods or access services at a lower cost, but newcomers are also seen as putting a pressure on job markets by increasing unemployment figures and lowering wage rates, as well as on public services such 59 as schools, healthcare services, etc. Immigration from other areas of the world seems to make this problem even worse. The issue of the “democratic deficit” has long worried EU citizens. Decision-making in an organization where the interests and priorities of 27 Member States need to be taken into account is a slow and complex process. Therefore, ordinary citizens might feel that they have too little say in the decision-making processes in Brussels and that these processes are non-transparent. Brexit will also pose a challenge to the EU. This is the first time in the EU’s history that it shrinks in size. While the EU still remains a formidable power on the global stage, Britain is an important political and military power and the EU will certainly feel its loss in its foreign and security position in the world. Economically, the EU will also be affected by Britain’s exit: Great Britain was a net contributor to the EU budget (i.e., it put more into the EU budget than it took out of it) and now other countries will have to contribute more to make up for the loss. The EU’s population is aging. This means that the proportion of working age population is shrinking, people live longer and there is a growing number of people receiving pensions, while fewer babies are born. These demographic changes will put a strain on the labour market, health care systems, etc. Climate change is an issue that the EU needs to tackle to avoid the dramatic consequences of higher average temperatures, which could make certain areas of the globe uninhabitable and hinder food production, access to water, as well as cause other problems. Among other goals, the European Green Deal aims to make Europe the world’s first climate-neutral continent by 2050, cut pollution and support clean industries. These changes are unavoidable, but will also be costly: 25% of the EU’s total budget is planned for spending on climate action and the environment across multiple programmes. Texts in this section are adapted from: Directorate-General for Communication (European Commission) (2020) The European Union: What it is and what it does European Union Retrieved from: https://op.europa.eu/webpub/com/eu-what-it-is/en/ Additional sources: Archick, K. (2016) “The European Union: Current Challenges and Future Prospects.” Congressional Research Service Report. Retrieved from: https://fas.org/sgp/crs/row/R44249.pdf “European Coal and Steel Community” Encyclopaedia Britannica. Retrieved from: https://www.britannica.com/topic/European-Coal-and-SteelCommunity Hempson, D. A. (2013) "European Disunion: The Rise and Fall of a Post-War Dream?" Origins: Current Events in Historical Perspective 6(12), Ohio State University and Miami University. Retrieved from: http://origins.osu.edu/article/european-disunion-rise-and-fall-post-war-dream n.a., (2020) “The European Green Deal Investment Plan and Just Transition Mechanism explained” Retrieved from: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_20_24 Valášek, T. (2019) “What Are Europe’s Top Three Challenges? Not Brexit, Not Migration, Not Populism” Carnegie: Europe. Retrieved from: https://carnegieeurope.eu/2019/05/07/what-are-europe-s-top-three-challenges-not-brexit-not-migration-not-populism-pub-79070. VIII Make a list of all the challenges that the EU has to face. Explain each in a sentence. IX Find terms you need to talk about the EU. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 an independent country: s______________ state the power of a country to control its own government: s_______________ the joining together of several countries: i_______________ a formal agreement between states: t_________________ the basic principles by which a government or company is guided: p_______________ a group of countries where trade barriers are eliminated (also called common market): s_______________ m______________ a currency used by more than one country, single currency: c_______________ currency the growth of the EU when new members join: e_______________ 60 9 cooperation between governments to make laws more uniform and coherent: h_____________ laws 10 arrangements among countries in which the parties : (1) agree to allow free trade on products within the area, and (2) agree to a common external tariff on imports from the rest of the world: c______________ u______________ 11 a person who is opposed to closer links with the European Union: e______________ 12 the body of common rights and obligations that is binding on all the EU member states: a_______ c____________ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 X Complete the sentences with the terms above. A common market and a _____________ currency have made of Europe a world-competitive economic zone. He is a Eurosceptic and is strongly critical of European _____________ because he doesn’t believe that countries should give up some of their independence to be part of a union. International _____________are usually negotiated by diplomats and then signed by national politicians. Some views occasionally seen as _____________ include perceptions of the EU being undemocratic or too bureaucratic. The European Economic Community eliminates trade barriers and creates a European _____________ market. The European Union _____________ is gradually opening labour markets and offering extended opportunities to recruit from abroad. The European Union is a _____________ _____________ and therefore sets a common external tariff. When talking about international relations, the word “nation” can refer to a country or _____________ state. XI What are the advantages and disadvantages of the EU? Advantages People support the EU because … Disadvantages People are against the EU because … XII Case study - Work in groups. Oscania is a small island country off the coast of Europe. Its government is considering the idea of joining the EU, but before they begin accession negotiations, they would like to know if their country would benefit from becoming a member. What would your answer be? Give reasons. • Relatively strong economy: GDP per capita: $33000 (In 2016, the EU’s was $37800, Croatia’s $ 22400.) • Industry: growing banking sector, new but quickly growing automotive industry • Population: 110,000 • Unemployment: 5% (In 2016, the EU’s was 8,3%, Croatia’s 11,4%.) • Only 20% of the country’s population (age 25 -65) has obtained a tertiary degree. There is only one university in the country. Summarize your answer in a short paragraph. Start with a statement: “We think that Oscania should / should not join the EU.” Then give a reason (1) and an explanation (2) of that reason. For example: “(1) Oscania could reap economic gains from being part of the EU. (2) Its growing banking sector would benefit from being part of the European common market.” Make at least 3 points (reason + explanation) 61 A BRIEF SUMMARY OF THE HISTORY OF EUROPEAN UNION ENLARGEMENT (2010) I a) Read the gapped text and think about what words and expressions might be missing. Then, fill in the gaps as you watch the video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE6QgoykLZU. The story of the European Union begins in 1951, with the (1) ______________ of the European Coal and Steel Community. France, Italy, West Germany and the three Benelux countries agreed to (2) ______________ their coal and steel markets. The idea being that economic (3) ______________ would make a return to war […] materially impossible. The GDP of the six members (4) ______________ steadily as the effects of the community rules on industrial production and trade began to kick in. Six years later, in 1957, the six countries (5) ______________ the Treaty of Rome creating the European Economic Community. In 1961, the UK along with Ireland and Denmark (6) ______________ to join, but France's President, Charles de Gaulle vetoed Britain's application. It wasn't until 1973 that the EEC enlarged to take in the three countries. […] The single European currency, the Euro, was (7) ______________ in 1999 with notes and coins entering (8) ______________ in 2002. […] In the twelve countries that joined in 2004 and 2007, the (9) ______________ process has brought real benefits. According to the European Commission, between 2000 and 2008 the process contributed an average 1.75 percentage points to annual GDP (10) ______________ in these countries. The Commission also says that (11) _______________ has brought economic benefit to existing EU members as new (12) ________________ markets opened up. Today's EU (13) _______________ 27 member states, ranging in size from Germany down to Malta. Under current rules, in the European (14) ________________, where heads of government meet to take decisions, voting (15) _______________ are awarded roughly in proportion to a country's (16) ________________, although smaller countries tend to do better, proportionately, than larger ones. The future of the EU enlargement is uncertain. Three countries: Croatia, Macedonia and Turkey have had their (17) ________________ to join the Union officially accepted. Yet, many argue that the EU needs more time to digest its recent eastward extensions before it embarks on further serious enlargements. Of the three official (18) _______________, only Croatia looks likely to join in the near future … (19) _______________ with Macedonia are being blocked by Greece, which has (20) ______________ about the former Yugoslav republic’s name. Turkey’s movement towards (21) _______________ has stalled owing to concerns among senior European leaders over whether it belongs in the EU at all. 62 b) Make a list of the other countries that would like to join the EU in the future. ☐ _____________ ☐ Countries of the Western Balkans: • ______________ • ______________ ● applied for membership ● some way off yet • ______________ • ______________ • ______________ ☐ _____________: a large, poor country wrecked by instability and _____________. ☐ _____________: aspires to EU membership but there is no real prospect of this in the short- or even medium term. II Answer the questions. 1 What was the non-economic reason for establishing the European Coal and Steel Community? 2 Did the enlargement have a positive outcome for the countries that joined in 2004 and 2007? 3 How about the countries that were already members? 4 What is the purpose of the European Council? 5 Explain this sentence: “In the European Council … voting rights are awarded roughly in proportion to a country's population, although smaller countries tend to do better, proportionately, than large ones.” 6 What is the official term for countries that want to join the EU? III Match the phrases with the same meaning. 1 unify their coal and steel markets a) to make larger 2 war would be materially impossible b) the yearly increase in a country’s income 3 applied to join c) economically unviable 4 vetoed Britain's application d) create a single market 5 annual GDP growth e) expressed a wish to enter the EU 6 to enlarge f) banned Britain from joining IV Match the word partnerships. launch benefit economic process accession rights voting a currency Based on: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE6QgoykLZU 63 REVISION 1 UNITS Retail trade: Distribution channels, New trends in retail, E-commerce, International trade, Visible and invisible trade, Protectionism and barriers to trade, The European Union I Read through this list of terms and decide which terms belongs to which unit. Some might fit in more than one place. distribution channel, treaty, declining industries, the dignity of work, trade restrictions, protectionism, e-commerce, household spending, new trade theory, enlargement, trade liberalization, non-renewable resources, end consumer, harmonize laws, economies of scale, opportunity cost, middleman, wholesaler, product turnover, economies of scale, trade barriers, retailer, eurosceptic, consumer expectations, customs union, distributor, authorized dealer, franchise, absolute advantage, department store, single market, tariff, free movement, consumer behaviour, free trade, integration, unemployment benefits, trade negotiations, sovereign state, import substitution, WTO, acquis communautaire Retail trade: Distribution channels New trends in retail, Ecommerce International trade: Free trade v. Protectionism Protectionism and barriers to trade Visible and invisible trade The European Union II Look at the words in task I again and … a) explain their meaning in your own words. b) use each in a sentence. 64 III Explain the difference between the following concepts: 1 direct distribution channel / indirect distribution channel 2 wholesaler / retailer 3 department store / shopping mall 4 click-and-mortar shop / brick-and-mortar shop 5 physical shop / e-tailer 6 free trade / protectionism 7 absolute advantage / comparative advantage 8 tariff / quota 9 trade liberalization / imposing trade barriers 10 GATT / WTO 11 visible trade / invisible trade 12 balance of trade / balance of payments 13 imports / exports 14 surplus / deficit 15 government subsidy / tariff 16 infant industries / strategic industries 17 supranational entity / intergovernmental organization 18 single market / national market 19 common currency / single currency / national currency 20 the EU / the Eurozone 21 the EU / the Schengen Area 22 accession process (to the EU) / enlargement of the EU 65 7 BANKING I Match the bank type with the definition: Commercial bank Investment bank Universal bank II A. A type of bank that combines investment banking with commercial banking, thus allowing these banks to offer a much wider variety of financial options to their customers. This type of banking is common in some European countries. In the United States, however, banks are required to separate their commercial and investment banking services. B. A financial institution that grants loans, accepts deposits and offers basic financial products like savings accounts and checking accounts to individuals and businesses. It makes money by providing different types of loans to customers and charging a specific interest rate on loans. C. A financial institution that provides a variety of services for clients. Among its services are underwriting, facilitating transactions, assisting in mergers and acquisitions, and brokering. In general, such a bank's clients are institutional investors, but rich individuals also use them. Read up on the other types of banks and financial institutions on p. 73 in MK. Read the following text and say which type of bank it is about? Why do you think so? The role of banks Everyone needs banks, but not everyone understands how banks work, or the role they play in the world’s economy. Here are three questions and answers to help explain. III Match the correct question to the answer: How does a bank make money? What do banks do? Why and how does using a bank minimise risk for customers? 1. _____________________ Banks play an important role as an intermediary, or go-between, in the financial system. They have three main functions: Firstly, banks are where people can safely deposit their savings, which banks then pay interest on. If there were no banks, people would have to store and protect their savings themselves, which would involve major risks. Secondly, banks are largely responsible for the payments system. Electronic payments are becoming more important as people use less cash. This means that banks are processing more card payments, transfers, direct debits, etc. every day. Thirdly, banks issue loans to both people and companies. Without banks, it would be very hard for people to buy a home or start a business, or for companies to make investments, for example. Banks also do a variety of other things, such as helping corporations with their, often more complex, financial needs. This can range from the various ways to gain access to capital for growth and investments, to assisting in mergers and acquisitions, to converting currencies. 2. ____________________ Managing and monitoring risks are at the heart of banking, and most banks have strict policies in place at various levels to handle both financial and non-financial risk, including social and environmental risk. But more generally speaking, banks make transactions possible that otherwise wouldn’t have been possible, or that only would’ve been possible with huge risks. One reason why banks can handle such transactions, and private individuals and companies can’t, is scale. Even though savers can generally withdraw their savings at any time, the total amount of money held by a bank doesn’t fluctuate much because they have many customers. This scale helps banks cover risks. 66 Other risks, such as a borrower not being able to repay, are reduced through diversification, meaning that banks can spread risks over various countries and industries. This doesn’t mean that risks are non-existent, but they’re spread over the bank's portfolio and initially absorbed by the bank’s profit margins, with “equity capital” there to cushion unexpectedly high losses. 3. _____________________ A bank can make money in a variety of ways. Most of a bank's revenue comes from the interest they receive on the money they lend. Interest is, however, also a major cost for a bank, as savers receive interest on their savings. Very basically, banks earn money by charging more interest on loans than that they pay on savings. Interest income is used to cover the costs involved in keeping interest-rate risk under control, to cover losses on loans that are not repaid or not repaid in full, and to pay the bank's overhead, such as wages. Besides interest income, banks also make money from other transactions and services, such as providing financial advice and products to large corporations. Adapted from: The role of banks http://internationalnetherlandsgroups.com/About-us/Profile-Fast-facts/The-role-of-banks.htm 1 Feb 2018 IV Answer these questions: What do banks do? Why can banks manage risks better than individuals? How do banks make money? V Find 5 types of payment methods in the text: ________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________ VOCABULARY I Complete the word partnerships from the text. 1 F__ __ __ N __ __ __L system 2 PAY__ __ __T system 3 DE__ __ __ __T savings 4 W__ __ __ __ __ __W savings 5 pay IN__ __ __ __ __T 6 ELE__ __ __ __ __ __C payments 7 DI__ __ __T debit 8 issue a L__ __N 9 mergers and __CQ__ __S__T__ __NS 10 C__NV__RT currencies 11 M__ __ __ a transaction 12 C__V__R losses 13 R__C__ __V__ interest 14 CH__RG__ interest on a loan 15 pay interest on S__ __ __ __ __S II Complete the word partnerships with RISK V + a risk Adj + risk m____________ a risk f_____________ risk c_____________ a risk s_____________ risk m_____________ a risk non-f_____________ risk s_____________ a risk e_____________ risk 67 III Here is the definition of direct debit. Provide the missing letters. Type of P__YM__NT when an __CC__ __NT holder gives instruction to a bank to pay a F__X__D amount (such as mortgage payment or rent) or V__R__ __BL__ amounts (such as utility bills or invoices) directly to a landlord, supplier, utility company, etc. at R__G__L__R (usually monthly) intervals. IV Explain the meaning of these words. Can you find any that are connected? cash credit card currency borrow debit card deposit electronic payments account environmental risk interest withdraw lend V Fill in the missing letters to complete the text. C__ MM __RC__ __ L B__ __ __ ING Clients of banks put D__P__S__TS into their bank A__ __OU__ __S to keep their C__ __H safe. There are two main types of bank accounts: C__RR__NT accounts, which allow regular access to our money; and S__V__NGS accounts which pay a larger I__ __ __ __ __ __T, but from which money cannot be W__THDR__WN as easily as from the other type of account. Before Internet banking became popular, banks used to send bank ST__ __ __ __ __ NTS in letters to their clients. These days, electronic statements are more common. People can also check their B__L__NC__ electronically to see how much money they have on their account. Through the use of C__ __ __ __T and D__ __ __T cards people can access their bank accounts conveniently, making it less necessary to carry cash with themselves. Banks offer many different types of L__ __ __S to people who need more money than what they have in their bank accounts. __V__RDR__FT is usually a short T__ __ __ loan that allows a person to W__ __ __ __ __ __W more money than what his/her account holds by going below Z__ __ __ on the balance. A M__RTG__G__ is an example for a long term loan. This type of loan is usually taken out if someone is planning to buy real __ST__T__. The loan is secured by a C__LL__T__R__L, usually the real estate being bought. This means that if the B__ __ __ __ __ER D__F__ __LTS on the loan (i.e., doesn't pay the loan back), the bank will become the owner of the real estate and can sell it to recover the C__ __ __TAL lent. 68 VI Banking – crosswords puzzle Across 3. Another word for “cash machine” or “cash point” 4. Money put into a bank account OR putting money into a bank account 7. Assets promised by a borrower to a lender if the borrower cannot repay the loan 8. A fee paid for the use of another party's money. 9. … on investment: The amount of profit on an investment. 11. A card issued by a financial company giving the holder an option to borrow funds, usually at point of sale. These cards charge interest. Down 1. Borrowing money by spending more than you have in your bank account. 2. The amount of funds in a bank account at a given time. 4. Being unable to repay a loan. 5. An electronic card issued by a bank which allows bank clients access to their account to withdraw cash or pay for goods and services. 6. Someone who takes a loan 10. Take money out of an account 69 PRACTICE Banking - The bare essentials I Use the words below to fill in the gaps. goes bust deposits loans interest in depositors cash borrow interest rates shortages bank account central bank What banks are for In developed economies, nearly everyone has a (1) __________________, because keeping (2) __________________ under a mattress is neither safe nor convenient. Banks are an essential feature of national life, like buses, post offices and hospitals. Any money that is not floating around as cash, in the form of notes or coins, is either sitting (3) __________________ a bank account, or is in transit in a payment system between banks. Banks operate by taking (4) __________________ from private people, on which they pay low (5) __________________ or none at all, and using the money to make longer-term (6) __________________ to other customers, charging them higher (7) __________________. Banking is based on trust, but banks sometimes misuse depositors' money or make losses on their loans, and (8) __________________ do not usually have the time, the inclination or the capacity to monitor their banks. They are happy to leave that task to the governments. Governments also help banks cope with temporary cash (9) __________________ by providing access to the "discount window" so they can (10) __________________ money from the (11) __________________. The bank deposits are often insured in a pool of arrangement or by the government itself, in case the bank (12) __________________. cartels credit payments debit payment system securities transaction investments financial services foreign currency regulators Banks are also needed to make (13) __________________, sending money from one bank account to another, whether in the same bank or in any other one the world over. Even a payment by (14) __________________ or (15) __________________ card or a mobile-phone billing account, ends up as part of a (16) __________________ with a bank. These days most banks do a lot more besides, offering a wide range of (17) __________________. For example, they give financial advice, exchange (18) __________________, deal in (19) __________________ and derivatives, and manage (20) __________________ on behalf of clients. Regulators have an interest in making sure that these businesses are run properly; but their chief concern remains that banks are sound, that those deposits are safe and that the (21) __________________ runs smoothly. Regulating banking systems is an uncertain business. Banks have to be discouraged from forming protectionist (22) __________________ and encouraged to compete with each other, but not so fiercely that they cut each other's throats. It is a delicate balance for (23) __________________ to strike. Source: The Economist, May 19th 2005 70 II Follow the text and find verbs that collocate with the words below. 1 t__________________ deposit 2 p__________________ interest 3 m__________________ loans 4 c__________________ interest 5 m__________________ depositors' money 6 m__________________ losses 7 b__________________ money 8 g__________________ bust 9 m__________________ payments 10 o__________________ financial services 11 g__________________ financial advice 12 e__________________ foreign currency 13 d__________________ in securities and 14 m__________________ investments derivatives III Use the words from the box below to translate the words in brackets into English. debited ATM bank statement credits red accountant balance black standing order current account Vesna Bakić is an __________________ (računovođa). When she started working she opened a __________________ (tekući račun) with her bank. Her company __________________ (uplaćuje sredstva na) her account every month. She can withdraw money from her account in the bank during office hours or from an __________________ (bankomat) any time she wants. She has arranged with her bank to pay electricity and other bills by __________________ (trajni nalog). Every month on a certain day the bank sends her a __________________ (bankovni izvod) which tells her the __________________ (stanje), the exact amount on her account, i.e. whether she is in the __________________ (minus) or in the __________________ (plus). Vesna is happy to have a credit card for paying goods and services, but she is not happy when her account is __________________ (terećen) too much. 71 THE BANKING CRISIS I Before reading about the first run on a British bank for generations match up the words and definitions below. the Treasury 1 2 3 4 5 6 bank run solvent the Chancellor credit squeeze shakeout the concerted action of depositors who try to withdraw their money from a bank because they think it will fail an elimination of some competing businesses, products, etc., as a result of intense competition in a market of declining sales or rising standards of quality. the department of government that has control over the collection, management, and disbursement of the public revenue. a restraint or limitation of credit; restricted bank lending that is accompanied by rising short-term interest rates and a decline in economic growth the British cabinet minister responsible for finance having enough money to pay your debts at the time they must be paid II Read the introductory paragraph and find out what happened and how it happened. Can you predict what came next? Northern Rock Banking Crisis The Times, Friday September 21th, 2007 The shake-out from the global credit squeeze led to the first run on a British bank for generations. Northern Rock's customers rushed to withdraw their savings after the Bank of England offered the mortgage lender emergency funding. The run continued despite assurances that North Rock was solvent. It was only halted after the government (eventually) guaranteed all its deposits. III Scan the rest of the text and match the questions to the corresponding paragraphs. 1 Who is to blame for the Northern Rock crisis? 2 Why did the Bank of England not act earlier? 3 Why did the Treasury get involved? 4 Are critics convinced by the Bank's response? 5 What does the Chancellor's guarantee for Northern Rock cover? 6 What about investors who lent money to Northern Rock? 7 How much is the guarantee worth and how long will it last? A If the bank goes bust, the Treasury will repay investors who made unsecured loans but will not cover those who bought the bank's covered bonds, securities issued by Northern Rock's structured investment vehicle or subordinated debt. B Questions remain about why the Governor retreated. Some believe he came under pressure from the Chancellor, Alistair Darling, and the Treasury. Others feel the Bank made the move to cover up some other, as yet unknown, banking losses. Paragraph ______ Paragraph ______ Paragraph ______ Paragraph ______ Paragraph ______ Paragraph ______ Paragraph ______ C The Treasury said yesterday that the guarantee would last "during current instability in the financial markets." D Most people point the finger at management, who borrowed over their heads in the money markets to provide mortgages on the cheap. Others blame the Financial Services Authority, the banking regulator, and the Bank of England for not spotting trouble early enough. 72 E The Treasury has promised to protect all retail and commercial accounts opened by midnight on September 19. The guarantee covers interest payments, the movement of money between accounts and deposits into existing accounts. The Treasury will also protect accounts opened at the bank by customers who closed their accounts between September 13 and September 19. F Because the Bank's guarantee to Northern Rock was not enough, the only way to stem the panic was for the Government to step in and guarantee 100 per cent of all deposits. G The Governor said the Bank was hampered by the interaction of four pieces of legislation. The first was the Market Abuse Directive, which prevented it from following its preferred course of action – a covert bailout of Northern Rock. The Directive, introduced in 2005, meant that any such action had to be carried out in a overt, transparent manner. IV Match the following words from the text to the corresponding explanations: 1 unsecured debt a. at a low cost 2 bailout b. to prevent, hinder 3 on the cheap c. issued with a guarantee (an asset) 4 to stem d. to notice that something is going wrong 5 to hamper e. to stop 6 covered bonds f. 7 run on a bank 8 to spot trouble 9 to come under pressure 10 subordinated debt a borrower g. providing money to get somebody out of financial trouble h. an organization that makes loans for buying 11 (to borrow) over their heads 12 mortgage lender debt that is not supported by any assets of property with the property as security i. when many depositors try to withdraw their money because they think a bank will fail j. more than would be reasonable, intelligent k. to feel pushed to act l. debt that will only be repaid after all the other debts have been paid V Read the text again and underline: a) words that appear in Subprime Meltdown (MK, p. 75) or The Crisis of Credit (to be found on YouTube or Vimeo: http://vimeo.com/3261363) b) any unknown words 73 CENTRAL BANKING: FUNCTIONS I What are central banks responsible for? Does Croatia have a central bank? Do you know the meaning of the following acronyms and abbreviations: ECB (S), the Fed, CNB (HNB)? II Gabriel Mangano is an economics research student, specializing in monetary policy. You will hear him outlining the functions of a central bank. Listen to the interview with him, and fill in the gaps. The first one is actually to implement monetary policy. There are roughly three* ways to do it. First (1a) _____________________________________, which means limiting, upwards or downwards, the fluctuations of the interest rate. The second way to implement monetary policy is simply (1b) ___________________________ - coins, banknotes. The third one, which is a bit more modern, is those (1c) ______________________________, which are simply buying and selling government bonds to and from commercial banks. So that was the first main task of a central bank. The second one is (2) ___________________, I would say. (...) Third main task, yes, (3) _______________________________________, I would say - make sure that the commercial banks have enough liquidities, for instance, to avoid any bank run. (...) The fourth main task of the central bank would be to (4) ___________________________, in case, actually, one of these commercial banks goes bankrupt and the investors, the people putting money in the bank, have to get back their money. * Mangano doesn’t mention the fourth way of implementing monetary policy: changing reserve requirements. II Read the six sentences below, which also summarize central banking functions, but slightly differently, and match them up with the six expressions you have written in the first task. A controlling the amount of banknotes in circulation B establishing maximum and minimum lending rates, thereby controlling the credit system C ensuring that banks have a sufficient liquidity ratio to allow customers to withdraw their deposits when they want D intervening on foreign exchange markets, buying or selling large amounts of the national currency, to prevent major fluctuations E lending money to a commercial bank in danger of going bankrupt F selling government bonds to commercial banks or buying them back, in order to alter the amount of credit the banks can offer (and thereby alter the money supply) Source: Ian MacKenzie, English for Business Studies, 2nd Ed, p. 133 74 CENTRAL BANKING: HOW CAN MONETARY POLICY HELP THE ECONOMY? I Do you understand the words below? Which of them did you mention in your economics classes? Are they related to monetary policy issues? full employment reserve requirement money supply discount rate lending capacity income redistribution output aggregate demand loan availability market participants investment bonds loan approval scarce goods consumption borrow inflation open market II Which of the terms above are defined here? 1 3 The total level of demand for desired goods and services that makes up the GDP. A situation in which all available labor resources are being used in the most economically efficient way. It is the highest amount of skilled and unskilled labor that could be employed within an economy at any given time. An amount produced or manufactured during a certain time 4 An economic system with no barriers to free market activity. 5 Minimum amount of cash or cash-equivalents (a percentage of deposits) that banks and other depository institutions are required by law to keep on hand, and which may not be used for lending or investing. The interest rate charged to commercial banks and other depository institutions for loans received from a central bank’s discount window. A bank’s ability to fund loans 2 6 7 8 Securities representing the debt of the company or government issuing it. 9 The amount of liquid assets (usually cash) circulating in the economy. III How can monetary policy help the economy? Read the extract from Schiller, B.R. (1996). Essentials of Economics. McGraw-Hill and explain. The ultimate goal of all macro policy is to stabilize the economy at its full-employment potential. Monetary policy contributes to the goal by increasing or decreasing the money supply as economic conditions require. Expansionary policy When the economy is in recession, it produces less than its full-employment potential. Monetary policy may then be used to stimulate the economy to increase the rate of output and aggregate demand. If the Fed lowers reserve requirements, drops the discount rate, prints more money or buys more bonds, it will increase bank lending capacity. The banks in turn will try to use that expanded capacity and make more loans. By offering lower interest rates or easier approvals, the banks can encourage people to borrow and spend more money. 75 Restrictive policy Monetary policy may also be used to cool an overheating economy. Excessive aggregate demand may put too much pressure on the economy's production capacities. As market participants bid against each other for increasingly scarce goods, prices will start rising. The resulting inflation will redistribute real incomes (perhaps unfairly) and may disrupt investment and consumption plans. The goal of monetary policy in this situation is to reduce aggregate demand. To do this, the Fed can reduce the money supply by (1) raising reserve requirements, (2) increasing the discount rate, or (3) selling bonds in the open market. All of these actions will reduce bank lending capacity. The competition for this reduced pool of funds will drive up interest rates. The combination of higher interest rates and lessened loan availability will curtail investment consumption and even government spending. This was the intent of the Fed's money restraint in 1994. The Fed was worried that the US economy was growing so fast that it would overshoot the full-employment goal. To avert those inflationary pressures, it reduced money-supply growth and raised interest rates. Source: Schiller, B.R. (1996). Essentials of Economics. McGraw-Hill Schiller IV What does monetary policy control? __________________________________________________________________________ V List the 4 tools of monetary policy. ___________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________ VI Read the text again and fill in the table. MONETARY POLICY PROBLEM What has gone wrong? GOAL What should be done? MEASURES How should it be done? EXPANSIONARY (LOOSE) RESTRICTIVE (TIGHT) 76 VII Work in pairs. Present one type of monetary policy (expansionary or restrictive) to your colleague using the framework below. If the economy ............................................, the central bank should................................................... This can be done by ........................................................ the reserve requirement, ....................................... the discount rate, or by....................................................... bonds on the open market. THE GOVERNMENT’S POLICY: FISCAL POLICY I Fill in the gaps with the correct form of the words in the box. wish spending reduce demand unemployment hire greater inflation make expansionary restrictive Fiscal policy Reducing taxes and increasing government ______________ have the same effect – ______________ spending in the economy. The difference is that when you ______________ taxes, the extra spending is done by individuals. Governments will do this if they want to reduce ______________ – the extra spending will increase ______________ for products which firms will meet by ______________ more workers. This is called a(n) ______________ fiscal policy. A problem is that ______________ might increase as a result. If the government ______________ to reduce inflation it might increase taxes or reduce spending – a(n) ______________ fiscal policy. There will be less spending, and firms will ______________ less profit. PROJECT - ECONOMY AROUND US Find business headlines, international or local, talking about the impact of central banking on the economy (e.g. the Fed and the Great Recession of 2008, Croatian news dealing with the CNB etc.). Prepare a talk in English on each piece of news (no more than 3-4 short sentences). 77 MONETARY POLICY – CASE STUDIES Case 1: Blueland is a small island nation in the Pacific Ocean. Until recently, Blueland's economy didn't experience many changes: its GDP stayed steady and its 6000 inhabitants lived mainly off subsistence farming, fishing and exporting handmade coconut carpets. In 2010, however, a large rhodium reserve was discovered on the island. Rhodium is a rare and expensive metal that is used in engineering, medicine and jewellery. Mining began in 2011. Look at the graphs and say what kinds of changes happened from 2011 on. GDP (in thousands $) population (in thousands) 300 25 250 200 20 150 15 100 10 50 5 0 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 CPI (2009=100%) CPI or Consumer price index reflects changes in the cost to the average consumer of buying goods and services that are representative of what a typical consumer purchases in a month. 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 Why do you think prices rose in Blueland? 40 20 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1) Identify the problem. Think about what happened to the following economic indicators: GDP, population, aggregate demand, prices. 2) Give reasons for the problem. Use expressions, such as: due to (the fact), as a result of (the fact) 3) How could the problem be solved using monetary policy? List the tools of monetary policy or find them in your notes. Describe the steps the central bank needs to take. 4) Imagine that you are the governor of Blueland’s central bank. Prepare a short talk where you explain the actions you are going to take to solve the country’s problem. Follow the pattern below: The government's main aim should be to … First we need to … because … Then … Use signposts: First(ly), second(ly), third(ly), then, next, etc. Use linking words: because, due to (the fact that), so that, so as to 78 Case 2: Redland is a small island nation in the Pacific Ocean. It is a relatively undeveloped country. The climate is warm and there are some spectacular sandy beaches on the island. The country’s infrastructure is mostly undeveloped: there is one hotel and a small airport. The economy is largely based on agriculture. The country's main product was coconut but, because of changing weather conditions caused by global warming, the country has not been able to produce the crop successfully for the past 3 years. . Look at the graphs and say what kinds of changes happened from 2013 on. GDP (in thousands $) employment % 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Identify the problem. Use expression, such as: GDP, unemployment, strategic industry. Give reasons for the problem. Use expressions, such as: due to (the fact), as a result of (the fact) Solve the problem using monetary policy tools. Describe the steps: Use expressions, such as reserve requirements, discount rate, bonds, open market, lending capacity, loans, interest rates, investment Use signposts: First(ly), second(ly), third(ly), then, next, etc. Use linking words: because, due to (the fact that), so that, so as to Say: The government's main aim should be to … First we need to … because … Then … 79 REVISION 2 UNITS: Banking, The role of banks, The business cycle, Central banking functions, Monetary and Fiscal Policy, Exchange rates I Read through this list of terms and decide which terms belongs to which unit. Some might fit in more than one place. commercial bank, IMF, monetary policy, investment bank, aggregate demand, foreign currency reserves, universal bank, open market, minimise risk, money supply, supply, financial system, interest, deposit, payment system, issue loans, converting currencies, speculation, spread risks, diversification, direct debit, bank statement, demand, overdraft, collateral, reserve requirements, ATM, hedge funds, discount rate, slump, private banks, purchasing power parity (PPP), stimulate the economy, Islamic banks, non-bank financial intermediaries, downturn, lending capacity, microfinance, fiscal policy, gold convertibility, GDP, foreign exchange markets, currency fluctuation Banking The role of banks The business cycle Central banking functions Monetary and fiscal policy Exchange rates II Look at the words in task I again and … a) explain their meaning in your own words. b) use each in a sentence. 80 III Explain the difference between the following concepts: 1 deposit savings / withdraw money 2 borrow / lend 3 debit card / credit card 4 current account / savings account 5 overdraft / mortgage 6 default on a loan / pay back a loan 7 downturn / upturn 8 recession / depression 9 internal (endogenous) theory of the business cycle / external (exogenous) theories of the business cycle 10 fiscal policy / monetary policy 11 expansionary (monetary/fiscal) policy / restrictive (monetary/fiscal) policy 12 Classical economic theory / Keynesianism / Monetarism 13 revalue / devalue 14 appreciate / depreciate 15 fixed exchange rate / floating exchange rate 16 managed floating exchange rate / freely floating exchange rate 81 8 INSURANCE I Do you know the answers to the following questions: 1 2 3 4 5 What is insurance? Why do people and businesses purchase insurance cover? What does a person or a business have to do if they want to purchase insurance? Do you know how the insurance business works? What happens if you suffer a loss? II Read the text and find the answers to those questions. How Insurance Works People and businesses attempt to avoid the financial consequences of replacing personal loss or damaged property resulting from their exposure to risks of fire, theft, earthquake, or other accidents by purchasing insurance cover. Insurance is actually a type of risk management where the risk is shifted to the insurance company in exchange for payments or premiums. If a person or a business wants to purchase insurance, he/she contacts an insurance broker who advises on the best type of insurance policy for him/her. This is a legally binding contract that describes all the rights, responsibilities and obligations of both interested parties – the insured and the insurance company. If the insured suffers losses covered in the policy, he/she files a claim describing what is lost or damaged and its value, and asking to be reimbursed up to the amount of the policy – the insured sum. If the policy is for $5,000 that is the maximum amount the insured person can get. When individuals or businesses take out insurance policies, all the premiums are combined into the insurance pool. Insurance companies assess their exposure to risk trying to predict the amounts of claims for losses or damages they will have to compensate. Based on this statistics they will determine the amount of the premium for each particular case. This is called underwriting. As the vast majority of insured do not suffer the losses or damages their insurance policies cover, the insurance companies make huge profits. However, in order to be able to pay out the occasional huge compensations insurance companies increase their pool of premiums by acting as institutional investors, i.e. by trading in securities together with pension funds, hedge funds and the likes. In order to protect themselves most insurance companies minimise their underwritten risks by reinsuring risk with larger insurers. Adapted from: http://www.ehow.com/how-does_4675265_insurance-work.html III Find the words in the text which match the following explanations. 1 an application for payment under an insurance policy ______________________ 2 a payment for an insurance policy (usually monthly, yearly etc.) ______________________ 3 an act of lowering risk exposure ______________________ 4 a contract on insurance cover between the insurer and the insured (who is also called the policy holder) ______________________ 5 the person or business taking out the insurance ______________________ 6 to evaluate the risks of insuring a particular person or asset ______________________ 7 a chance or possibility of injury, loss etc. ______________________ 8 the amount of money a policy holder claims upon suffering a loss ___________________ 9 to insure the risk of one insurance company by another ______________________ 10 an independent agent who advises on best insurance deals ______________________ 82 IV Read the text again and complete the diagram. How do insurance companies make money? PEOPLE IN THE INSURANCE BUSINESS I Match the definitions with the jobs in the box. An insurance agent An insurance broker An insurance underwriter An insured A claims adjuster 1 ________________ investigates insurance claims and inspects damage to determine the company's 2 3 4 5 liability. In the UK, s/he is known as the loss adjuster. ____________________ evaluates the risks of insuring a person or asset and uses that information to set the price for insurance policies. Higher-risk individuals will have to pay more in premiums to receive the same level of protection as a lower-risk person or asset. ____________________ is the person or business who is covered by an insurance policy. ___________________ is an insurance company's representative. S/he works for the insurance company and sells its insurance. ____________________ is not employed in the insurance company. S/he works independently and offers insurance policies by different insurers. II Put the following steps in the chronological order. How to take out insurance ☐ The insurer quotes a premium. ☐ You find an insurance company and contact an agent or a broker. ☐ The underwriting process (risk assessment) takes place. ☐ You decide to protect your property against an accident, loss or damage. ☐ The insured pays the first premium. ☐ The insurer issues the policy (the contract). ☐ The insurer is willing to provide cover. ☐ You apply for insurance. 83 III Fill in the missing words with the help of the exercises above. _______________ for an insurance _______________ a policy _______________ cover _______________ a premium _______________ a premium _______________ something against theft _______________ a loss _______________ a claim insure _______________ something _______________ the risk IV Read the gapped text and think about what kind of words and expressions might be missing. Then, fill in the gaps as you watch the video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ID9aevs-els You pay a (1) _________________ to a company that provides you with insurance and in the event of a loss they will provide you some sort of benefit (...) This could be a homeowner’s insurance where you pay a premium and the insurance company will help you (2) _________________that loss of a home or a damaged property (...) Insurance companies are in the business to make money. […] They take your money and they are taking a (3) _________________ (...) They are taking in a ton of risk and they are kind of (4) _________________ it around. Maybe they’ll take on 20, 30, 40 people and only one or two of them have any type of auto (5) _________________, so they are able to make money by spreading that risk around (...) Oftentimes insurance companies will even do something called (6) _________________ where there’ll be another insurance company that will (7) _________________ that risk from the insurance company that you go through (...) The [other] insurance company can help (8) _________________ their level of risk that they are undertaking by offering reinsurance. V What kinds of insurance are mentioned in the talk? _______________________, _____________________, ______________________. VI Match the verbs with the appropriate nouns to make collocations. *to take out... to refund... to pay... to issue... to take out an insurance cover to claim… to cover... to bear... compensation to file... to assess... to cancel... to make… a policy to settle... to insure against... to draw up... to purchase… . risks a claim 84 PRACTICE I Which nouns are missing? The first letter will help you. 1 Damage or injury can occur as a result of a____________, theft, fire or something else. 2 That is why people and businesses contract insurance: to compensate for the r____________ they might incur. 3 Insurance companies provide many types of insurance c____________ . 4 H_____________ insurance policies cover the costs of medical treatment in case of an illness. 5 The insured signs the insurance p_____________and pays a p____________. 6 If the insured suffers damage, he or she can file a c____________ and demand compensation. II Replace the Croatian verbs with English ones. 1 People and businesses (ugovaraju) _____________ insurance. 2 Insurance companies (pružaju) ____________ many types of insurance to (pokriju) ____________ a specific risk. 3 People and businesses can (podliježu) ____________ risk. 4 Car insurance policies (nude) ___________ financial compensation in case of a car. 5 The insurer and the insured (potpisuju) _____________ the insurance policy. 6 Insurers (naplaćuju) ____________ a specified amount of money called premium to insured parties. 7 The insurer will (nadoknaditi štetu) _____________ the insured in the case of a loss, as agreed in the policy. 8 If the insured suffers damage, he or she can (podnijeti) __________ a claim. III Which of the people in insurance do policy holders see first? And after that? Fill in this text with the missing words. When you want to contract insurance you can either talk to an __________________ employed by an insurance agency or a __________________ . If you agree with the terms of the policy, you pay the premium and become the ______________. If you want to contract a life insurance policy, an ___________________will evaluate the risks in your life and calculate the premium. If you suffer a loss or an accident you will probably want the _______________to pay compensation for your loss. Before this can happen, the ________________ will decide if the insurance company is actually liable to indemnify you. 85 9 FINANCE INTRODUCTION TO BUSINESS FINANCE I Read the text and find out about the different ways of raising and using capital. In addition, find out about the difference between assets and liabilities. RAISING CAPITAL When people want to set up a company, they need money, called capital. There are many different ways how people can raise capital. For instance, they can borrow money from friends or use their personal assets. Or, they they can borrow from banks by taking out a loan. The loan must be paid back with interest, the amount paid to borrow the money. Capital can also come from issuing shares or equities – certificates representing units of ownership of a company. The people who invest money in shares are called shareholders and they own part of the company. The money they provide is known as share capital. Individuals and financial institutions called investors, can also lend money to companies by buying bonds – loans that pay interest and are repaid at a fixed future date. Money that is owed (that will have to be paid) to other people or businesses is debt. In accounting, companies' debts are usually called liabilities. Long-term liabilities include bonds; short-term liabilities include debts to suppliers who provide goods or services on credit (that will be paid for later). In contrast, all the things that a company owns are called assets. The money that a business uses for everyday expenses or has available for spending is called working capital or funds. Source: Professional English in Use: Finance, Ian MacKenzie, CUP. II Find the words and expressions in the text that match the following definitions. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 The amount of money owed to other people. The amount of money borrowed from a bank which has to be repaid with interest. An accounting term for companies' debts. The money that a business uses for everyday expenses or has available for spending. The people who invest money in shares. Everything a company owns. Certificates representing units of ownership of a company. A type of liabilities which have to be repaid within a year and include debts to suppliers who provide goods or services on credit. III Fill in the gaps with the verbs from the box below. repay pay back borrow issue own owe set up pay raise 1 If you want to _______________a company, you first have to ____________capital. 2 If you _____________from a bank, you will have to ____________the loan with interest. 3 If you __________shares, you will have to ___________ dividends to shareholders. 4 If you __________ a lot of assets, you can try to sell them to __________your debts. 5 Borrowers ___________ money to the bank. 86 ACCOUNTING AND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS I Read the text and fill in the notes below. FINANCIAL REPORTING AND THE ANNUAL REPORT Financial reporting deals with financial transactions that involve money. These transactions can include making payments, or expenditure, and receiving money, or income. Financial transactions are recorded in the accounting system of a business. Each type of transaction is entered in a record known as an account. The accounts are dealt with by bookkeepers, accountants, and auditors. Bookkeepers' job is to enter data and keep the financial records (ledgers) of companies’ accounts. Accountants check and examine the accounts prepared by bookkeepers, and auditors (internal and external specialists) are in charge of the oversight, i.e. checking the accounts. It is important to record financial transactions in order to see how much a business is earning and how much it has to pay. Managers want to know who owes them money (debtors) and to whom they owe money (creditors). Public limited companies, that are listed or quoted on stock exchanges, are required by law to publish their financial reports as parts of their annual report. The annual report presents the company's performance in the course of the previous year. It consists of the following principal parts: the chairman's statement, which gives an overview of the company's past and present situation, the director's report, which shows the principal activities of the business, the results and dividends, investments, employment policies, and the auditor's report granting that the accounts give a “true and fair view“ of the company's financial performance. This is reflected in the crucial part of the annual report, the three financial statements: the profit and loss account (UK) or income statement (US), i.e. the records of a company’s income and expenditure, the balance sheet showing assets, liabilities and owners’ equity, and the cash flow statement that records cash inflow and cash outflow. Source: Professional English in Use: Finance, Ian MacKenzie, CUP. PEOPLE INVOLVED IN COMPANIES' ACCOUNTS _____________________ ______________________ _____________________ PARTS OF THE ANNUAL REPORT the____________statement, the_____________report the_____________report three _______________statements: 1 _____________________ 2 _____________________ 3 _____________________ II Match these terms to their definitions. 1 ACCOUNTING 2 BOOKKEEPING 3 AUDITING □ examining a company's systems of control and the accuracy or exactness of its records, looking for errors or possible fraud where the company may have deliberately given false information □ day-to-day recording of transactions such as sales, purchases, debts, expenses □ recording and summarizing an organization's transactions and business deals, such as purchases and sales, and reporting them in the form of financial statements 87 III Fill in the missing words. ACTIVITY accounting PERSON bookkeeping auditing THE BALANCE SHEET I Look at this balance sheet and find the key words for talking about it. What parts is it divided into? What information does each part contain? II Read the text and underline the definitions and examples of assets, liabilities and capital. How should assets, liabilities and capital balance? THE BALANCE SHEET The balance sheet is a document which has two sides. The totals of both sides are always the same, so they balance. One half shows the business's assets, which are things owned by the company, such as factories and machines that will bring future economic benefits. The other half shows the company's liabilities, and its capital or shareholders' equity. Liabilities are obligations to pay other organizations or people: money that the company owes, or will owe at a future date. These often include loans, taxes that will soon have to be paid, future pension payments to employees, and bills from suppliers: companies which provide raw materials or parts. Shareholders’ equity or capital consists of all the money belonging to shareholders. Part of this is share capital, the money raised by selling its shares. Part of it includes retained earnings: profits from previous years that have not been distributed to shareholders as dividends. Assets are shown as debits. The total value of assets must correspond with the total sum of credits (liability + capital) because that is the amount of money spent on purchasing the assets. Therefore, assets equal liabilities plus capital. Source: Professional English in Use: Finance, Ian MacKenzie, CUP 88 III Look at the ASSETS section of the balance sheet below and fill in the gaps in the text that follows. MACKENZIE INC.NEW YORK BALANCE SHEET 31 DECEMBER 2012 ($'000) FIXED ASSETS Property, plant and equipment Goodwill Long-term investments Total fixed assets 4,500 950 6,265 11,715 CURRENT ASSETS Cash and equivalents Accounts receivable Inventory Other Total current assets TOTAL ASSETS 3,415 8,568 5,699 5,562 23,244 34,959 CURRENT LIABILITIES Short-term debt Accounts payable Accrued expenses Total current liabilities 1,555 5,049 8,593 15,197 LONG-TERM LIABILITIES Deferred income taxes Long-term debt Other non-current liabilities Total non-current liabilities TOTAL LIABILITIES 950 3,402 1,201 5,533 20,750 SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Common stock 10,309 Retained earnings 3,900 Total 14,209 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY 34,959 Fixed assets (or non-current assets) and investments, such as buildings and (1) _______________, will continue to be used by the business for a long time. Current assets are things that will probably be used by the business in the near future and can reasonably be expected to be converted into cash within one year. They include (2) _______________, money available to spend immediately, (3) _________________ (or debtors) i.e. companies or people who owe money to be paid in the near future and stock or (4) __________________. Assets can also be classified as tangible and intangible. Tangible assets are assets with a physical existence - things you can touch - such as (5) __________________, (6) ________________ and equipment. Intangible assets include brand names, patents, copyrights and trade marks, loyal customers, trained staff, skilled management, etc. Because it is difficult to give an accurate value for any of these things, companies normally only record tangible assets. If a company buys another one at above its net worth (or net assets) because of its intangible assets, the difference in price is recorded under assets in the balance sheet as (7) __________________. Source: Professional English in Use: Finance, Ian MacKenzie, CUP. IV Sort out the following into FIXED, CURRENT or INTANGIBLE ASSETS. cash debtors (accounts receivable) copyright FIXED ASSETS plant equipment brand names land CURRENT ASSETS inventory trade marks property patents INTANGIBLE ASSETS 89 V Read the text on LIABILITIES. What types of liabilities are there? Liabilities are amounts of money that a company owes, and are generally divided into two types – long-term and current. Long-term liabilities or non-current liabilities have to be paid back in more than 12 months, and include bonds, loans, mortgage payments, deferred income taxes, etc. Current liabilities are expected to be paid within a year of the date of the balance sheet. They include accounts payable (or creditors) – largely suppliers of goods and services to the business who are not paid at the time of purchase, planned dividends, and deferred taxes – money that will have to be paid as tax in the future, although the payment does not have to be made now. Accrued expenses are expenses that have accumulated or built up during the accounting year but will not be paid until the following year, after the date of the balance sheet. So accrued expenses are deducted from profits even though the bills have not yet been received or the cash paid. Source: Professional English in Use: Finance, Ian MacKenzie, CUP. VI Match the English terms to their Croatian equivalents. ENGLISH CROATIAN 1 long-term liabilities A) kredit, zajam 2 bond B) plaćanje hipoteke 3 loan C) odgođen porez na dobit 4 mortgage payments D) odgođeno plaćanje troškova, obračunati izdaci 5 deferred income tax E) dugovanje, obveze po primljenim fakturama 6 current liabilities F) obveznica 7 accounts payable G) dugoročne, fiksne obveze 8 accrued expenses H) kratkoročne , tekuće obveze VII Sort out the following into ASSETS and LIABILITIES. accounts payable inventory land and buildings accounts receivable deferred taxes ASSETS accrued expenses investments dividends cash and equivalents long-term debt LIABILITIES 90 VIII Read the text and underline the correct option when there is a choice in the text. Hundreds of millions of pounds are running through Airbnb's UK business The UK is a big market for Airbnb, with over 81,000 properties listed on the platform here and 2.2 million tourists using the service / product to stay in Britain in 2015 alone. Now we've got a little insight into what that looks like for Airbnb in terms of money. Airbnb UK filed abbreviated claims / accounts with Companies House in January. Although they don't disclose / show key measurements such as revenue and profit, they do show assets and liabilities. In this way, they give an idea of the sort of ballpark Airbnb is playing in. The balance sheet disclosure shows that Airbnb's UK business had just shy of £60 million (£59 m.) in the bank at the end of 2014, the latest period the accounts cover. Airbnb UK was also owed £168.6 million and itself owes £227.6 million. When you net those out, Airbnb had just £91,291 of assets on hand. But the balance sheet shows that Airbnb, a company valued at over $25 billion (£17 billion), has a huge amount of money flowing through its UK business. Those figures are also a big jump from what they were in 2013, suggesting it is growing fast. Adapted from: Williams-Grut, O., Shead, S. (2016) “Hundreds of millions of pounds are running through Airbnb's UK business.” Business Insider, Feb. 21, 2016, Retrieved from: http://www.businessinsider.com/airbnb-uk-2015-accounts-60-million-in-the-bank-2016-2Airbnb VIII Re-read the text and complete Airbnb's balance sheet. Source: Companies House 91 THE PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT (INCOME STATEMENT) I Look at this income statement and find the key words for talking about it. What parts is it divided into? What information does each part contain? Source: http://www.investinganswers.com/financial-dictionary/financial-statement-analysis/common-size-income-statement-5237 THE PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT This financial statement shows the difference between the revenues and expenses of a period. At the top of the statement is total sales revenue or turnover: the total amount of money received during a specific period. Next is the cost of sales, also known as cost of goods sold (COGS): the costs associated with making the products that have been sold, such as raw materials, labour and factory expenses. The difference between the sales revenue and the cost of sales is gross profit. There are many other costs or expenses that have to be deducted from gross profit, such as rent, electricity and office salaries. These are often grouped together as selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A). The statement also usually shows EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) and EBIT (earnings before interest and tax). The first figure is more objective because depreciation and amortization expenses can vary depending on which system a company uses. After all the expenses and deductions have been calculated, we get the net profit, often called the bottom line. This profit can be distributed as dividends (unless the company has to cover past losses), or transferred to reserves. Source: Professional English in Use: Finance, Ian MacKenzie, CUP 92 II Read the text on the profit and loss account and find ONE MISTAKE in the sample profit and loss account below. Searby PLC Annual Profit and Loss Account, 1/2013 (£'000) Sales Revenue Cost of Sales Gross Profit Selling, General and Administrative Expenses Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization Depreciation and Amortization Earnings before Interest and Tax Interest expenses Income Tax Gross Profit 48,782 33,496 15,286 10,029 5,257 1,368 3,889 257 1,064 2,568 III Sort out the following terms into PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT or BALANCE SHEET. revenue fixed assets inventory cost of sales current liabilities operating expenses accounts payable PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT IV 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 equity Fill in the gaps with the words from the box. overheads expenditure gross profit retained profit depreciation EBIT goodwill net profit BALANCE SHEET net profit bad debt losses In order to calculate ____________ you have to deduct all the expenses such as cost of sales, overheads and office salaries from the revenue. If you take _____________ into account, our equipment is worth half of its initial price. There was a growing gap between income and _________________ which caused a budget deficit. Pinocchio Ltd went bankrupt, I think we’ll have to write off the money they owed us as a ________. Our _______________ were really high: only our monthly heating bill was so high we had to close the business. It is simple to calculate _______________. You just have to deduct costs of sales from the sales revenue. The company has announced _____________ of $ 2 million and is facing bankruptcy. _____________ is used for the future expansion of a company. 93 THE CASH FLOW STATEMENT I Look at this cash flow statement and find the key words for talking about it. What parts is it divided into? What information does each part contain? Source: https://www.patriotsoftware.com/accounting/training/blog/what-is-a-cash-flow-statement-example/ II Read the text and answer the questions. 1 What does the cash flow statement consist of? 2 What can a company do with cash surplus? THE CASH FLOW STATEMENT This financial statement gives details of cash flows – money coming into the business (cash inflows or sources of funds) and money leaving the business (cash outflows or applications of funds), relating to operations (day-to-day activities), investing (buying or selling property, plant and equipment), and financing (issuing or repaying debt, or issuing shares). The cash flow statement shows how effectively a company generates and manages cash. If a company is consistently generating more cash than it is using, the company will be able to increase its dividend, buy back some of its stock, reduce debt, or acquire another company. All of these are perceived to be good for stockholder value. Sources: Professional English in Use: Finance, Ian MacKenzie, CUP; http://www.accountingcoach.com/onlineaccounting-course/06Xpg01.html#statement-of-cash-flows-intro 94 III Would the following appear as OPERATING, FINANCING or INVESTING ACTIVITIES? Check in the sample cash flow statement below. amortization dividends paid purchase of property GODWIN- MALONE INC, New York 20__ 20__ 1,811 1,274 924 683 33 -6 2,768 1,951 Proceeds from issuing new stock 234 167 Stock dividends paid -14 CASH FLOW STATEMENT ($'000) Earnings Amortization Other adjustments to Earnings Net Cash provided from operations Net Cash provided from financing 220 167 Additions to property, plant and equipment -2,351 -1,755 Net cash used for investing -2,351 -1,755 Change in cash and equivalents during year 356 97 Cash and equivalents, beginning of year 2,150 2,014 Cash and equivalents, end of year 2,506 2,111 Source: Professional English in Use: Finance, Ian MacKenzie, CUP. IV Read the text again and match the halves of the sentences. 1 Inflows are all the money 2 3 4 Outflows are all the money Cash surplus is Cash deficit is 5 Liquidity means 6 Cash flow statement shows a. how much cash entered the company and how much you have spent. b. that enters the company. c. that leaves the company by being spent. d. a situation in which inflows are higher than outflows. e. a situation in which outflows are higher than inflows. f. that you have enough cash or assets that can be easily turned into cash. V Sort out the words from the box into two groups: inflows and outflows. bank loan cash received from customers interest paid buying equipment interest received employees’ salaries tax paid money you personally invest into the company selling land or a building buying a company car INFLOWS OUTFLOWS 95 ACCOUNTING VOCABULARY I Match the financial statement to its definition. profit and loss account (income statement), balance sheet, cash flow statement 1 The ____________________ shows the company's assets, its liabilities and its capital. 2 The ____________________ shows the company's revenues and expenses during a particular period. 3 The ____________________ shows how effectively a company generates and manages cash. II Fill in the gaps in the sentences with the words from the box. cash outflows income (2x) annual report amortization (2x) profit and loss account shareholders' equity balance sheet assets accountants bookkeepers auditors depreciation (2x) expenditure (2x) liabilities cash inflows (1) ________________ enter data and record transactions in journals of companies’ accounts. (2) ________________ turn data into meaningful financial information and prepare financial statements. (3) _________________ are in charge of internal and external oversight of accounts. The (4) _________________ gives details about the company’s performance throughout the preceding year. The (5) __________________ is a financial statement which shows profitability. The (6) ___________________ is a financial statement which shows the financial position of a firm at a particular time. It consists of (7) _________________, (8) __________________, and 9) __________________. The cash flow statement is a financial statement which gives information on liquidity. It shows (10) ___________________ and (11) ____________________. The profit and loss account shows (12) _________________ and (13) ________________. (14) _________________ means making payments to creditors, to the government, to shareholders and to suppliers. On the other hand, (15) _______________ means receiving money from debtors, customers or investors. (16) __________________ is the deduction of capital expenses over a specific period of time (usually over the asset's life). While it is often used interchangeably with (17) ________________, technically this is an incorrect practice because (18) ___________________ refers to intangible assets and (19) __________________ refers to tangible assets. 96 III Fill in the missing letters. 1 Assets are things that you OW_ and liabilities are things that you OW_. 2 The term “debtors” is often replaced by “accounts REC_ _ _ ABLE”. Similarly, “creditors” is often replaced by “accounts PA_ _ BLE”. 3 Expenses that have been incurred but are not yet paid are called “A _ _ R_ _ D” expenses. 4 The total value of raw materials + work in progress + unsold stock is called IN_ _ _T_ _Y. 5 Revenue or TU_ _ O_ _R is also called the T_ P line. 6 Net profit or net IN_ _M_ is also called the B_TT_M line. Source: Business English Handbook Advanced, Paul Emmerson, MacMilllan IV Solve the puzzle by entering the English version of the Croatian terms below. Across 1. rashodi / troškovi 3. vjerovnik 6. dobit prije odbitka kamata i poreza 7. novčani tok 8. dioničarski kapital 9. fiksni/režijski troškovi 11. kamata 12. desna, potražna strana bilance; pasiva Down 2. promet, prihod 4. zadržana dobit 5. dugotrajna imovina 7. kratkoročna, tekuća imovina 10. likvidnost 97 THE FINANCING OF CORPORATE ACTIVITY I Read the text and put the proposed headings in their right positions in the text: a) Stocks vs Bonds b) Corporate Finance c) Bond Risks The Financing of Corporate Activity (Stocks and Bonds) 1 _____________________________ Generally speaking, corporations finance their activities in three different ways. First, a very large portion of a corporation's activity is financed internally out of undistributed corporate profits. Second, like individuals or unincorporated businesses, corporations may borrow from financial institutions. For example, a small corporation planning to build a new plant may obtain the funds from a commercial bank, a savings and loan association, or an insurance company. Third, unique to corporations, they can issue common stocks and bonds. 2 _____________________________ A common stock is an ownership share. The purchaser of a stock certificate has the right to vote for corporate officers and to share in dividends. If you buy 1000 of the 100,000 shares issued by Specific Motors, Inc. (hereinafter SM), then you own 1 percent of the company, are entitled to 1 percent of any dividends declared by the board of directors, and control 1 percent of the votes in the annual election of corporate officers. In contrast, a bond is not an ownership share. A bond purchaser is simply lending money to a corporation. A bond is merely an IOU, in acknowledgment of a loan, whereby the corporation promises to pay the holder a fixed amount at some specified future date and other fixed amounts (interest payments) every year up to the bond's maturity date. For example, you might purchase a ten-year SM bond with a face value of $1000 with a 10 percent stated rate of interest. This means that in exchange for your $1000 Specific Motors guarantees you a $100 interest payment for each of the next years and then to repay your $1000 principal at the end of that period. There are clearly important differences between stocks and bonds. First, as noted, the bondholder is not an owner of the company, but is only a lender. Second, bonds are considered to be less risky than stocks for two reasons. On the one hand, bondholders have 'legally prior claim' upon a corporation's earnings. Dividends cannot be paid to stockholders until all interest payments that are due to bondholders have been paid. On the other hand, holders of SM Stock do not know how much their dividends will be or how much they might obtain for their stock if they decide to sell. If Specific Motors falls on hard times, stockholders may receive no dividends at all and the value of their stock may plummet. Provided the corporation does not go bankrupt, the holder of an SM bond is guaranteed a $100 interest payment each year and the return of his or her $1000 at the end of ten years. 3 _____________________________ But this is not to imply that the purchase of corporate bonds is riskless. The market value of your SM bond may vary over time in accordance with the financial health of the corporation. If SM encounters economic misfortunes which raise questions about its financial integrity, the market value of your bond may fall. Should you sell the bond prior to maturity you may receive only $600 or $700 for it (rather than $1000) and thereby incur a capital loss. Changes in interest rates also affect the market prices of bonds. Specifically, increases in interest rates cause bond prices to fall and vice versa. Assume you purchase a $1000 ten-year SM bond this year when the interest rate is 10 percent. This obviously means that your bond provides a $100 fixed interest payment each year. But now suppose that by next year the interest rate has jumped to 15 percent and SM must now guarantee a $150 fixed annual payment on its new $1000 ten-year bonds to be issued next year. Clearly, no sensible person will pay you $1000 for your bond which pays only $100 of interest income per year when new bonds can be purchased for $1000 which pay the holder $150 per year. Hence, if you sell your bond before maturity you will suffer a capital loss. 98 Bondholders face another element of risk due to inflation. If substantial inflation occurs over the tenyear period you hold a SM bond, the $1000 principal repaid to you at the end of that period will represent substantially less purchasing power than the $1000 you loaned to SM ten years earlier. You will have lent 'dear' dollars, but will be repaid in 'cheap' dollars. Based on McConnell, R., Brue, S. L. (1996) Economics. McGraw-Hill, Inc. II Group the words below as to whether they specifically relate to stocks or to bonds. Find words that are synonymous with each other. vote interest loan retained earnings IOU ownership principal dividend legally prior claim maturity date face value undistributed corporate profits coupon Words related to stocks: _______________________________________________________________________________ Words related to bonds: _______________________________________________________________________________ III Well-organized texts use different features to help readers understand their structure. These are topic sentences, text headings, paragraphing, linking words (e.g. connectors) etc. Fill in the table as it is suggested in the instructions below. a) The structure of the text can be presented as shown in the table below. Read the text and fill in the left column. b) Find features of the text indicating its structure and fill in the right column. NOTES PARTS OF THE ARTICLE SHOWING TEXT STRUCTURE Part 1 (paragraph 1) THREE TYPES OF CORPORATE FINANCE: 1 ____________ 2 ____________ (e.g. ___________ ) 3 ____________ Part 2 (paragraphs 2-4) STOCKS vs. BONDS ● ownership ● lending ● risky for investors ● less risky due to : 1 _________ 2 _________ Part 3 (paragraphs 5-7) BOND RISKS 1 ___________ 2 ___________ 3 ___________ 99 SHARES AND BONDS COMPARED IV Fill in the table with the information from the texts in MK (pp, 81, 87) and the RB (p. 91). SHARES BONDS 1) What do they represent? 2) What are the owners called? 3) What is the return on the investment called? 4) Where are they traded? 5) What kinds of businesses can issue them? 6) Who helps businesses issue bonds and shares? 7) Why do companies issue them? 8) What are the obligations of companies that issue shares or bonds? 9) What are the advantages of issuing bonds or shares? 10) What are the disadvantages of issuing bonds or shares? 11) What are the advantages of investing in shares or bonds? 12) What are the disadvantages of investing in shares or bonds? 13) What risks do bondholders face? 14) Why do governments issue bonds? 100 VOCABULARY PRACTICE I Skim this stock market report and first explain the terms in italics. STOCK MARKET REPORT FTSE 100 bounces back from Doha disappointment as Iran urges oil producers to freeze output Talks between the world's top oil producers fell apart in Doha yesterday Tara Cunningham, 18 April 2016 The tour operating giant TUI AG‘s shares jumped 24p, or 2.3pc, to £10.65 after Berenberg raised its rating from “hold” to “buy” as it believes the recent growth in geopolitical risks, which have contributed to the stock’s underperformance, are “overdone”. “We still expect the European consumer to go on holiday,” the bank said. The Anglo-German package holidays business behind Thomson and First Choice has been shaken by a series of terrorist attacks in Turkey. But analysts expect that strong consumer confidence will lead to a significant rise in bookings over the coming months. Despite Berenberg’s optimism, it warned of ongoing struggles the industry faces, such as competing with the disruptive online travel agencies and low-cost airlines. Separately, the prospect of cheaper oil was also deemed a reason for the uptick in travel and leisure stocks. Shares in easyJet rose 10p to £14.57, while British Airways owner IAG advanced 1.5p to 535.5p. On the broader market, the FTSE 100 climbed back into positive territory as investors digested the outcome of the Doha meeting on Sunday. Oil output freeze talks collapsed at the Doha talks after Saudi Arabia voiced its unwillingness to sign up to any deal without Iran joining in. Brent crude plunged by almost 7pc in the aftermath. Oil majors were among the biggest victims from the Doha debacle in early trade. Royal Dutch Shell B shares dropped 0.7pc to £18.05 and BP lost 0.1pc to 355.8p. Mining stocks also suffered as copper prices followed oil’s fall. Copper on the London Metals Exchange dipped by 0.6pc to $4,778 a tonne. Antofagasta fell 2.7pc to 458.2p. Separately, heavy rainfall in Chile over the weekend prompted Anglo American to temporarily suspend operations at its Los Bronces copper mine. However, after normalising mining activities in the region, shares surged 2.3pc to 693.6p. Elsewhere, a report claiming Apple will continue to reduce its iPhone production in the coming months hurt the technology giant’s suppliers. Shares in chip designer Arm Holdings fell 3.8pc to 952p, while Imagination Technologies also lost footing, down by 3.5pc to 172p. Finally, a profit warning from Aim-listed Sprue Aegis prompted shares to plummet by 54.2pc to 122.5p - its biggest daily fall ever. The safety products supplier had previously forecast operating profit of £12.1m, but yesterday it revised that figure down to £7.3m. The warning comes after the group recently identified an issue in certain batteries supplied by a third party supplier that may cause a premature low battery warning chirp in certain of its smoke alarm models sold in the UK and Europe. II Find two political events and one environmental that influenced share prices. 101 III Fill in the table with information from the text. Company Industry / type of business How has the share price changed? Use the word(s) from the text. What affected the share price? Is this a good investment? Why? Why not? IV Draw conclusions on which shares are worth investing in and make recommendations. Use some of these phrases: Conclusions: Recommendations: • There are a number of reasons for … • It is suggested/proposed/recommended that… • Due to (the fact that)… • We (strongly) recommend that… • It is clear that… • It would be advisable to... • In general/In short/In conclusion,... • In view of this, I (would) suggest (that)... 102 Shares and bonds - puzzle Across 6. A speculator who expects prices to decline and sell a (borrowed) security or commodity in the hope of buying it back later at a lower price. 9. The market in which investors or speculators have the first opportunity to buy a newly issued security. 10. A share of the after-tax profit of a company, distributed to its shareholders according to the number and class of shares held by them. 12. A declining market Down 1. The owner of a bond 2. A rising market. 3. The time (date) when the bond is repaid 4. The interest rate on the money lent through the bond 5. The owner of a share 7. An amount that a taxpayer can subtract from his/her income when calculating taxes to reduce the amount of income to be taxed. 8. The money that the bondholder lent to the issuing company 11. A market on which an investor or speculators purchases an asset from another investor rather than an issuing corporation. 12. A speculator who expects prices to rise and purchase a security or commodity in hopes of reselling it later for a profit. 103 DERIVATIVES I Read the text and provide a heading for each paragraph from the list below. Hedgers Historical background Speculators The actors on the derivatives market The definition of derivatives Trading derivatives Derivatives 101 Investing has become much more complicated over the past decades as various types of derivative instruments become created. But if you think about it, the use of derivatives has been around for a very long time, particularly in the farming industry. One party agrees to sell a good and another party agrees to buy it at a specific price on a specific date. Before this agreement occurred in an organized market, the bartering of goods and services was accomplished via a handshake. The type of investment that allows individuals to buy or sell the option on a security is called a derivative. They are called derivatives, because their value is derived from an underlying asset. With these types of investments the investor does not own the underlying asset, instead he or she makes a bet on the direction of the price movement of the underlying asset via an agreement with another party. The underlying asset can be a wide range of things. The most common ones are monetary assets (stocks, bonds, interest rates, etc.) and commodities. There are many different types of derivative instruments, including options, swaps, futures and forward contracts. Derivatives can be bought or sold in two ways. Some are traded over-the-counter (OTC) while others are traded on a stock exchange. OTC derivatives are contracts that are made privately between parties such as swap agreements. This market is the larger of the two markets and is not regulated. Derivatives that trade on an exchange are standardized contracts. The largest difference between the two markets is that with OTC contracts, there is counterparty risk since the contracts are made privately between the parties and are unregulated, while the exchange derivatives are not subject to this risk due to the clearing house acting as the intermediary.1 The participants in the derivatives market fall into two categories: hedgers and speculators. Farmers, manufacturers, importers and exporters can all be hedgers. A hedger buys or sells in the futures market to secure the future price of a commodity intended to be sold at a later date in the cash market. This helps protect against price risks. Other market participants, however, do not aim to minimize risk but rather to benefit from the risky nature of the market. These are the speculators, and they aim to profit from the very price change that hedgers are protecting themselves against. Hedgers want to minimize their risk no matter what they're investing in, while speculators want to increase their risk and therefore maximize their profits. When a speculator buys a derivative, he/she wants to make a profit on the difference between the buying and the selling price of the derivative. Unlike the hedger, the speculator does not actually want to own the commodity which the derivative is derived on.2 II Answer the questions based on the text. 1 2 3 4 5 In which sector of the economy were derivatives first used? Why there? What is the price of a derivative derived from? What is sold when a derivative is traded? Where are derivatives traded? What is the advantage of trading derivatives on a stock exchange? 1 Adapted from: Kristina Zucchi, Derivatives 101 http://www.investopedia.com/articles/optioninvestor/10/derivatives-101.asp 2 Adapted from: Reem Heakal, Futures Fundamentals: The Players http://www.investopedia.com/university/futures/futures3.asp 104 6 7 8 Why do you think the OTC market is larger? What kinds of participants are there on the derivatives market? What is the difference between them? III. Make slides for a presentation on derivatives. What are derivatives and how do they work? Trading derivatives Where? Main types of derivatives Trading derivatives Who? IV Check MK, p. 92 for definitions of the following terms: derivatives, a future, an option, a swap and include them in your presentation. V Find terms in the text that are defined here. 1 To trade goods or services without the exchange of money. 2 6 The specific security, financial instrument or commodity on which a derivative is based. A type of market where financial instruments are traded directly between two parties The risk to each party of a contract that the other party will not live up to its contractual obligations. Also known as «default risk». The third party to a future or an option. This party makes sure that both the seller and the buyer fulfil the contract. Protection against price changes. 7 Buying or selling assets, hoping to make a profit in the future. 8 A basic good used in commerce that is interchangeable with other goods of the same type. 3 4 5 105 10 THE CREDIT CRISIS I Watch the video on the credit crisis and tick off each image when you see it. The Crisis of Credit Visualized (http://www.crisisofcredit.com/) 1 2 3 4 6 5 7 8 9 106 II Match these sentences to the images. A Investors, who were looking for safe investments traditionally bought government bonds. B Due to the fact that credit was cheap (1%), banks started borrowing a lot of money from the Fed. Then they needed to find a place to invest this capital. C Mortgages, taken out by the general public, were sold to investors as CDOs (collateralized debt obligations) by investment banks. D CDOs were rated according to level of risk. The riskier parts were given a higher interest rate than the less risky parts. E Because selling CDOs was such good business, mortgages were given to people who were not likely to return their loan. The loans were cheap, but in time the interest rate was expected to go up. These CDOs were still rated AAA and BBB, therefore, the investors were not aware of the risk they were taking. F CDOs provided a regular income to the investor who bought them. G As mortgages were not repaid, investment banks couldn't return the loans they took to finance mortgages. The whole financial system froze: loans were not repaid and there was not enough money available to lend out. The government feared that this will cause the economy to collapse. Some banks and financial institutions went bankrupt, others were given a bailout to save them. H Many sub-prime borrowers defaulted on their mortgage and their houses were returned to the lender. Now there were too many houses on the market and house prices began to decline. I After the dotcom bubble and September 11, the US economy slowed down. To put more money into the economy, the Fed (the central bank in the US) decreased interest rates to 1%. This was a very low return on investments. III Storytelling: Tell the story of the financial crisis. Use this structure: 1 Introduction – Introduce your story, say why this is an important story to tell. 2 Background – Describe the situation prior to the Credit Crisis. 3 Problem – Explain what happened and what went wrong. 4 Resolution – Describe the steps taken to resolve the problem. 5 Conclusion / Comment – Draw a conclusion, say what lesson can be learnt from the story. Use some of these phrases: first of all, then… as a result (of) previously later (on)… although in the end finally,… however because (of)…. when eventually 107 IV What may be the chronology of the events below? a. Poor borrowers go bankrupt, so houses are returned to lenders. ________ b. Central banks help to prevent system collapse. ________ c. Poor borrowers can no longer repay their loans. ________ d. Some lenders go bust as they cannot sell the property, and some lenders sell loan obligations to investors who also suffer as their assets keep losing value. ________ e. Poor borrowers obtain loans to buy houses. ________ f. Because of low interest rates, it is easy to borrow. ________ g. But after some time, interest rates go up. ________ V Which of the words/expressions in italics can be replaced by the words below? mortgage lenders subprime borrowers default hedge funds release liquidity V Check if you understand how the global crisis developed. Establish the chronology. a. Central banks came in to release liquidity into the market place which allowed most struggling lenders and investors to continue their operations. ______ b. As a result, housing prices were going up. Mortgage lenders created non-traditional mortgages which made it easy even for people with poor credit (financially unstable) to obtain a housing loan. ______ c. However, interest rate climbed back up. Many subprime borrowers (those with poor credit rating) could not repay their obligations and went bankrupt when their mortgages were reset to much higher monthly payments. ______ d. Not knowing what to do, many mortgage lenders sold mortgages to investors and hedge funds who also suffered as they were left with property that was quickly losing value. ______ e. This left mortgage lenders with property that was worth less than the loan value because the housing prices went down. Defaults increased, the problem snowballed and several lenders went bankrupt. ______ f. There is now a lot of debate if private financial institutions should be helped with taxpayers' money. ______ g. Nearly for a decade, the Federal Reserve stimulated the economy by cutting interest rates. It was easy to borrow money from financial institutions. ______ VI Check the order of the events on Investopedia’s website: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/subprime-meltdown.asp 108 REVISION 3 UNITS: Accounting and financial statements, The financing of corporate activity, Bonds, Shares, Derivatives, Insurance, Takeovers (Mergers and acquisitions), The credit crisis I Read through this list of terms and decide which terms belongs to which unit. Some might fit in more than one place. spread the risk, raise capital, write off a bad debt, raid, IOU, personal assets, clearing house, insurance, tax deductible, file a claim, credit crisis, options, merger, subprime borrowers, compensation, equity, take out a loan, issue shares, issue bonds, insurance policy, profitability, liabilities, swaps, synergy, working capital, institutional investors, underlying asset, funds, maturity date, annual report, three financial statements, large conglomerates, stock index, the balance sheet, insurance underwriter, takeover, credit rating, derivatives, the P&L account, futures, the cash flow statement, credit crunch, counterparty risk, shareholder's equity, the Fed, retained earnings, assetstripping, dividends, CDO, goodwill, OTC market, securitization, inventory, revenues, market capitalization, forward contracts, costs, overheads, stock market, claims adjuster, bad debt, insurance premium, principal, underwite the stock issue, liquidity, mortgage, government bonds, coupon, creative accounting, going public, pool of premiums, commodity, suffer a loss, controlling interest, accrued expenses, default on a loan, LBO Insurance Accounting and financial statements Bonds Shares Derivatives Takeovers (Mergers and acquisitions) The credit crisis 109 II Look at the words in task I again and … a) explain their meaning in your own words. b) use each in a sentence. III Explain the difference between the following concepts: 1 bookkeepers / accountants / auditors 2 cost accounting / tax accounting / managerial accounting 3 debtors / creditors 4 accounts receivable / accounts payable 5 equity financing / bond financing 6 shareholders / bondholders 7 owe / own 8 assets / liabilities 9 fixed assets / current assets 10 tangible assets / intangible assets 11 long-term liabilities / short-term (current) liabilities 12 gross profit / net profit 13 depreciation / amortization 14 sources of funds / applications of funds 15 operating / investing / financing activities (in the cash flow statement) 16 stocks / bonds 17 bid price / offer price (of a bond) 18 corporate bonds / government bonds 19 nominal value / market value 20 nominal value / face value 21 bull market / bear market 22 futures / forward contracts 23 OTC market / stock exchange (for trading in derivatives) 24 hedging / speculating 25 insurer / insured 26 insurance broker / insurance agent 27 go bankrupt / receive a bailout 28 merger / takeover 29 friendly takeover / hostile takeover 110 THE FINAL REVISION – CAPITALIST FOOLS I Before reading the text browse through your course book (MacKenzie, 2010) and the Resource Bank 2, and answer the questions using the words in brackets. 1. What are central banks responsible for? How does monetary policy affect the economy? (expansionary, restrictive, money supply, supervise, control) 2. Find arguments for and against taxation. (redistributive taxation, theft, income tax, penalize) 3. Describe a typical business cycle of an economy. (upturn, downturn, prices, inflation, bubble) 4. How did the subprime crisis break out in the US in 2008? (housing loans, subprime borrowers, default, hedge funds, bankruptcy, liquidity, bailout) 5. Briefly describe financial derivatives. What is the purpose of such financial instruments? Who takes most risk when using them? (underlying, futures, swaps, call/put options). 6. Discuss the banking business in terms of the Glass-Steagall Act (retail/commercial, investment, repeal, deregulation). 7. Explain the role of credit rating agencies. (bonds, rating) 8. Present the difference between Keynesians and believers in free markets (durable equilibrium, unemployment, intervention, excess savings, interest rates, neutral, inflation). II Check if you know the meaning of the words below. Use your knowledge of the topics covered in Business English classes or internet sources. The Fed ________________________________________________________ Regulator ________________________________________________________ Credit-default swaps ________________________________________________________ A+++ ________________________________________________________ Market bubble ________________________________________________________ Leverage ________________________________________________________ Tax cuts ________________________________________________________ Enron, WorldCom ________________________________________________________ Sarbanes-Oxley Act ________________________________________________________ Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s ______________________________________________________ Lehman Brothers ________________________________________________________ 111 Capitalist Fools Behind the debate over remaking U.S. financial policy will be a debate over who’s to blame. It’s crucial to get the history right, writes a Nobellaureate economist, identifying five key mistakes—under Reagan, Clinton, and Bush II— and one national delusion. There will come a moment when the most urgent threats posed by the credit crisis have eased and the larger task before us will be to chart a direction for the economic steps ahead. This will be a dangerous moment. Behind the debates over future policy is a debate over history— a debate over the causes of our current situation. The battle for the past will determine the battle for the present. So it’s crucial to get the history straight. What were the critical decisions that led to the crisis? Mistakes were made at every fork in the road—we had what engineers call a “system failure,” when not a single decision but a cascade of decisions produce a tragic result. Let’s look at five key moments. No. 1: Firing the Chairman In 1987 the Reagan administration decided to remove Paul Volcker as chairman of the Federal Reserve Board and appoint Alan Greenspan in his place. Volcker had done what central bankers are supposed to do. On his watch, inflation had been brought down from more than 11 percent to under 4 percent. In the world of central banking, that should have earned him a grade of A+++ and assured his reappointment. But Volcker also understood that financial markets need to be regulated. Reagan wanted someone who did not believe any such thing, and he found him in [Greenspan]. Greenspan played a double role. The Fed controls the money spigot, and in the early years of this decade, he turned it on full force. But the Fed is also a regulator. If you appoint an antiregulator as your enforcer, you know what kind of enforcement you’ll get. A flood of liquidity combined with the failed levees of regulation proved disastrous. Greenspan presided over not one but two financial bubbles. After the high-tech bubble popped, in 2000-2001, he helped inflate the housing bubble. The first responsibility of a central bank should be to maintain the stability of the financial system. If banks lend on the basis of artificially high asset prices, the result can be a meltdown – as we are seeing now, and as Greenspan should have known [...]. Of course, the current problems with our financial system are not solely the result of bad lending. The banks have made mega-bets with one another through complicated instruments such as derivatives, credit-default swaps, and so forth. With these, one party pays another if certain event happen – for instance, if Bear Sterns goes bankrupt, or if the dollar soars. These instruments were originally created to help manage risks – but they can also be to gamble. [...] Even [under Clinton], it was clear that derivatives posed a danger. [To] put it as memorably as Warren Buffet – who saw derivatives as ‘financial weapons of mass destruction’. And yet, for all the risk, the deregulators in charge of the financial systems [...] decided to do nothing, worried that any action might interfere with ‘innovation’ in the financial system. But innovation, [...] can be bad [...] as well as good. No. 2: Tearing Down the Walls The deregulation philosophy would pay unwelcome dividends for years to come. In November 1999, Congress repealed the Glass-Steagall Act – the culmination of a $300 million lobbying effort by the banking and financial-services industries [...]. Glass-Steagall had long separated commercial banks (which lend money) and investment banks (which organize the sale of bonds and equities); it had been enacted in the aftermath of the Great Depression and was meant to curb the excesses of that era, including grave conflicts of interest. For instance, without separation, if a company whose shares had been issued by an investment bank, with its strong endorsement, got into trouble, wouldn’t its commercial arm, if it had one, feel pressure to lend money, perhaps unwisely? An ensuing spiral of bad judgment is not hard to foresee. [...] The most important consequence of the repeal of Glass-Steagall Act was indirect – it lay in the way repeal changed an entire culture. Commercial banks are not supposed to be high-risk ventures; they are supposed to manage other people’s money very conservatively. It is with this understanding that the government agrees to pick up the tab should they fail. Investment banks, on the other hand, have traditionally managed rich people’s money – people who can take bigger risks in order to get bigger returns. When repeal of Glass-Steagall brought investment and commercial banks together, the investmentbank culture came out on top. There was a demand for the kind of high returns that could be obtained only through high leverage and big risktaking [which lead to reckless use of derivatives...]. 112 No.3: Applying the Leeches Then along came the Bush tax cuts, enacted first on June 7, 2001, with a follow-on installment two years later. The president and his advisers seemed to believe that tax cuts, especially for upper-income Americans and corporations, were a cure-all for any economic disease – the modern-day equivalent of leeches. The tax cuts played a pivotal role in shaping the background conditions of the current crisis. Because they did very little to stimulate the economy, real stimulation was left to the Fed, which took up the task with unprecedented low-interest rates and liquidity. The war in Iraq made matters worse, because it led to soaring oil prices. With America so dependent on oil imports, we had to spend several hundred billion more to purchase oil – money that otherwise would have been spent on American goods. Normally, this would have led to an economic slowdown, as it had in the 1970s. But the Fed met the challenge in the most myopic way imaginable. The flood of liquidity made money readily available in mortgage markets, even to those who would normally not be able to borrow. And, yes, this succeeded in forestalling an economic downturn; America’s household saving rate plummeted to zero. But it should have been clear that we were living on borrowed money and borrowed time. [...] No.4: Faking the Numbers Meanwhile, on July 30, 2002, in the wake of a series of major scandals – notably the collapse of WorldCom and Enron – Congress passed the Sarbanes- Oxley Act. The scandals had involved every major American accounting firm, most of our banks, and some of our premier companies, and made it clear that we had serious problems with our accounting system. Accounting is a sleep-inducing topic for most people, but if you can’t have faith in a company’s numbers, then you can't have faith in anything about a company at all. Unfortunately, in the negotiations over what became Sarbanes-Oxley a decision was made not to deal with what many [...] believed to be a fundamental underlying problem: stock options. Stock options have been defended as providing healthy incentives toward good management, but in fact they are ‘incentive pay’ in name only. If a company does well, the C.E.O. gets great rewards in the form of stock options: if a company does poorly, the compensation is almost as substantial as is bestowed in other ways. This is bad enough. But a collateral problem with stock options is that they provide incentives for bad accounting: top management has every incentive to provide distorted information in order to pump up share prices. The incentive structure of the rating agencies also proved perverse. Agencies such as Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s are paid by the very people they are supposed to grade. As a result, they’ve had every reason to give companies high ratings, in a financial version of what college professors know as grade inflation. [...] We had seen this same failure of the rating agencies during the East Asia crisis of the 1990s: high ratings facilitated a rush of money into the region, and then a sudden reversal in the ratings brought devastation. But the financial overseers paid no attention. No.5: Letting it Bleed The final turning point came with the passage of a bailout package on October 3, 2008 – that is, with the administration’s response to the crisis itself. [...] As America’s banks faced collapse, the administration veered from one course of action to another. Some institutions (Bear Stearns, A.I.G., Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac) were bailed out. Lehman Brothers was not. Some shareholders got something back. Others did not. The original proposal by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, a three-page document that would have provided $700 billion for the secretary to spend at his sole discretion, without oversight or judicial review, was an act of extraordinary arrogance. He sold the program as unnecessary to restore confidence. But it didn’t address the underlying reasons for the loss of confidence. The banks had made too many bad loans. There were big holes in their balance sheets. No one knew what was truth and what was fiction. [...] Was there any single decision which, had it been reversed, would have changed the course of history? [...] The truth is most of the individual mistakes boil down to just one: a belief that markets are self-adjusting and that the role of the government should be minimal. [...] The embrace by America - and much of the rest of the world – of this flawed economic philosophy made it inevitable that we would eventually arrive at the place we are today. Source: Joseph E. Stiglitz*, January 2009, Vanity Fair *The author of the article is Joseph E. Stiglitz, a Nobel Prize winning economist and a professor at Columbia University. 113 III In his comment on the flaws in the US economy J. Stiglitz sends clear messages on how economies should operate. Read the article Capitalist Fools and decide which paragraphs (i.e. mistakes numbered 1- 5, e.g. No.1 ) show that this advice was not followed. 1 Advice: It is essential to have sound accounting practices in the economy. If not, the system can start acting in a corrupt way. (No. 4) 2 Advice: Central banks should introduce order in financial markets and control the money supply in order to keep the economy stable. (No. □) □) 3 Advice: Governments should be much more involved in correcting market imperfections. (No. 4 Advice: Financial institutions should not be allowed to take risks with ordinary people’s money. (No. 5 □) Advice: Careful with tax reductions - this does not necessarily encourage sufficient economic activity. (No. □) IV What actually happened in the US economy? Discuss each piece of advice from exercise III, compare it to the text, and find the flaws of the system (mistakes 1- 5) as discussed by the author (e.g. According to Stiglitz, … Stiglitz claims/argues that…, However, …). 114