Supply Chain Resilience What you will learn from this lecture 1) Understand the Resilience concept in Supply Chain 2) Discuss SC resilience strategies 3) Examine the case study of SC resilience The concept of resilience • Resilience is commonly used from an individual perspective • Resilience is the ability to bounce back from a negative experience or difficult challenge. ... Resilience is built by having confidence that you'll be able to get through or work around your problems, and by learning effective ways to cope with negative thoughts and emotions (Everyday Health). • Resilience allows you to face a problem or challenge, overcome it, and get back to life a little bit stronger and a little bit wiser. • It is about coping with adversity in ways that boost your own wellbeing and protects you from getting overwhelmed (Jed Foundation). In-class exercise • Your friend, Chris, puts resilience as a personal strength in his CV (i.e. resume) when he looks for a job • He has been shortlisted for a job interview • Chris is preparing for his job interview: if his potential employer asks Chris to give an example to show his resilience, what examples can you think of to help Chris? • Tips – overcome obstacles/problems and become stronger Failed an exam but bounced back; Change of school; Physical illness; change in family make-up; change of friendship groups; lost a competition/election of students union role, etc. What is SC Resilience? • Resilience is multidimensional and multidisciplinary in nature. • Ecological scientist Holling (1973) was one of the first researchers to introduce the concept of resilience as the ability of systems to absorb changes and the capacity of a system to get back to equilibrium state after disturbance. • Carpenter et al. (2001) relate resilience as the capacity to prepare and adapt in response to disturbances. With the passage of time, the notion of resilience has been spanned over different fields. • Supply chain resilience is the supply chain's ability to be prepared for unexpected risk events, responding and recovering quickly to potential disruptions to return to its original situation or grow by moving to a new, more desirable state in order to increase customer service, market share and financial performance (Ribeiro and Barbosa-Povoa, 2018). • Supply chain resilience is about managing and adapting to the unknown across the whole spectrum of risk from day-to-day operational risks through to long-term planning. • The COVID-19 pandemic exposed the fragility of many global supply chains, particularly those that had been fine-tuned for efficiency and speed. • It's a key reason why proactively managing risk and boosting resilience is now top of the agenda across industries. • The goal is to use digital connectivity and intelligent technologies to enhance the supply chain's ability to adapt, respond and recover from whatever unknowns arise. • Companies with resilient supply chains are better able to manage change to their supply chain and operations. • They can flex and adapt quickly to evolving patterns of supply and demand. They use advanced data science to predict disruption and react with confidence, at speed. • With enhanced risk sensing and management capabilities, their supply chains are more secure, more transparent, more cost efficient, and more attuned to the changing needs and values of individual customers. Why SC resilience matters? • With the COVID-19 crisis, fundamental changes in consumer behaviour, supply chains, and routes to market are knocking companies off-balance. • Responding to the pandemic has underscored the need for leaders to accelerate the adoption of agile ways of working and value chain transformation to help outmanoeuvre uncertainty. • COVID-19 is not a typical risk event. The scale of its impact eclipses anything most supply chain leaders will have seen before. • The speed of the escalation requires continuous end-to-end assessment, optimization and monitoring. • Companies need to respond rapidly and confidently to shape and execute a short-term tactical plan that will mitigate the risks to human health and protect the functioning of global supply chains. • In doing so, strong data and analytics capabilities are crucial in understanding complexity, anticipating potential disruption, and quickly developing a response. • Many challenges are facing SC from several directions and leaders must respond with responsibility in addition to resilience. Some of the challenges of global SC • Supply chains lack global resilience and are breaking down in the face of multi-country disruptions. • Supply chain and operations are becoming more costly (i.e. less global and ecommerce fulfilment costs) and can often represent a company’s highest costs. • The significant impacts that supply chains and operations have on the planet and society are not meeting stakeholders’ expectations for sustainability. • Talent gaps across the supply chain and operations continue to create high dependency on the human workforce. • A lack of flexibility inhibits the ability to address customer demands for personalization and customization. • IT systems continue to be expensive to run, inflexible and often over-reliant on legacy technologies. Readiness, Responsiveness, Recovery SC resilience – risk management culture • One of the most important aspects of supply chain resilience (SCRE) is to create a risk management culture that supports an environment for initiating preemptive risk-reducing efforts. • The primary focus of SCRM is the identification and mitigation of risks for reducing supply chain vulnerability. • Supply chain risk assessment is a formal part of the decision-making process at every level as a route to develop risk management culture. • Organisations need to establish supply chain continuity team, broad-level responsibility and leadership, as well as factor risk consideration in decision-making, to create a risk management culture, which is a precondition to develop a resilient supply chain. Resilience as a multidimensional concept • In supply chain literature, conceptualization of SCRE can be explicated from different perspectives. • Some of the studies shed light on building resilience capabilities upfront such as flexibility, visibility, redundancy, collaboration, disaster readiness, financial strength, market capability, etc. (Jüttner and Maklan, 2011; Pettit and resilience et al., 2011; PalVulnerability et al., 2014; Erol et al., 2010). • Whereas other studies focus on resilience capabilities after the fact such as recovery time, cost and response effort (Sheffi and Rice, 2005; Christopher and Peck, 2004; Falasca et al., 2008; Martin, 2004). • These two notions of resilience capabilities are also interchangeably defined as pre-disruption resilient actions and post disruption resilient actions (Rose, 2004). • SCRE is the capability of a supply chain to prevent disruptions and to reduce the impact of disruptions through developing required level of readiness, quick response and recovery ability. • SCRE is defined as the suitability of a supply chain to anticipate or respond to disruptive conditions to make an efficient and timely recovery and hence progress to the post-disruption state, preferably in better shape than before the disintegration (Tukamuhabwa et al., 2015). • It implies avoiding identifiable risks in the face of disruptive occurrences such as natural disasters, unnatural disasters, political and economic crises (Aslam et al., 2020). • Piprani et al. (2020) emphasised that companies can quickly develop, adapt, and respond swiftly to unforeseen events to address supply chain vulnerabilities using supply chain resilience. It also helps to take rapid steps to cope with such interruptions. • Piprani et al. (2020) stressed that SCRE allows enterprises to react swiftly, reconfigure, and operate their available resources and capabilities in unforeseen ways. • Supply chain resilience assesses resilience at the three R's phases/strategies to lessen vulnerabilities. Readiness Responsiveness Recovery • Every phase/strategy reinforces resilience, grouped into two: (i) proactive (readiness), and (ii) reactive (responsiveness and recovery) approaches (Neboh and Mbhele, 2020). • Resilience evaluation and administration of the supply chain seek to avoid the shift into unwanted situations in case of any difficulty (Carvalho et al., 2012). SC Resilience - Readiness • Pre-emptive (i.e. readiness) capability is imperative for establishing dynamic control on the supply chain. For example, supply chains with high level of readiness have the flexibility of arranging alternative strategies to reduce vulnerabilities. • Organisations need pre-emptive capabilities to overcome uncertainties of business environments. • Such capabilities can also be commensurate with the capability of supply chain readiness in the face of turbulence. • Sub-dimensions of readiness dimension are selected as: disaster preparation, flexibility, redundancy/backup capacity, visibility and collaboration. SC Resilience – Readiness Strategies • The framework of supply chain readiness entails identification, measurement, prioritisation, evaluation, implementation, monitoring, and controlling (Chowdhury and Quaddus, 2016). • The readiness strategies are through visibility and robustness. Visibility is one method that enables companies to create a smooth link throughout the supply chain and to avoid adverse effects of disruption to the supply chain. • Robustness is another technique that allows a firm, in tumultuous times, to resist all disruptions and produce value in the whole supply chain (Piprani et al., 2020). SC Resilience - Responsiveness • SC Responsiveness is the ability to respond quickly to critical situation. • Supply chain oriented organisations should exhibit the attributes of trust, commitment, cooperation and compatibility with supply chain partners and top management support when making supply chain decisions. • This type of inter-organisational trust, cooperation and commitment helps the supply chain members to reduce uncertainty in the network. SC Resilience – Responsiveness Strategies • Javaid and Siddiqui (2018) state that responsiveness strategies in resilience are also the ability to respond to the changing demands of the customers and other market factors within the appropriate time to retain its competitive advantage. • The responsiveness strategies are through flexibility and redundancy. • A flexibility approach is a business's ability to change with little time and effort to changing environmental and stakeholder requirements (Tukamuhabwa et al., 2015; Carvalho et al, 2012). Flexibility aids businesses to keep resources and establish vital partners to address supply and demand to boost the supply chain's resilience quickly; it also maximises internal capabilities to sustain profitability and enhance its effectiveness (Siagian et al., 2021). Redundancy affects businesses carrying additional inventory or sustainability efforts for unexpected events (Piprani et al., 2020). SC Resilience - Recovery • Late response to disaster may cost several hundreds of million dollars to companies and supply chain partners. • For example, a late response during fire in the supplier’s plant of Ericsson accounted for a huge loss of $400m (Norrman and Jansson, 2004). • On the other hand, a quick response from Nokia after the occurrence of fire in the same supplier’s plant helped Nokia to overcome the disruption arising from supply shortage of chip and to gain competitive advantage (Sheffi and Rice, 2005). • Thus, resilience can also be assessed by the extent of recovery time, cost, absorption of disruption and ability to reduce the impact of loss which focuses on the post disruption capability of a system. SC Resilience – Recovery Strategies • Recovery can be referred to as the ability of a supply chain to revert to its original state after being affected due to some change in the external environment (Carvalho et al., 2010; Chowdhury and Quaddus, 2016; Ivanov et al., 2017). • Supply chain recovery ability enables the supply chains to bounce back to their original state and mitigate the impact and severity of the disruption caused by some change in the external environment of the business (Carvalho et al., 2010; Felea and Albăstroiu, 2013; Ivanov et al., 2017). • According to Piprani et al., recovery strategies involve contingencies, which means restructuring and managing resources to reduce adverse consequences of supply chain disruptions (2020). IBM Case Study: Building a Smarter Supply Chain • The power of AI and Blockchain to drive greater supply chain visibility and mitigate disruptions. • IBM proposes 3 areas to help make your supply chain more resilient to disruptions: 1) Structural risk and flexibility: Develop smarter supply chains with optionality. 2) Rapid reaction and resolution: Harness AI and collaboration while troubleshooting issues. 3) Global visibility and insights: Enhance transparency across your network with data. SC Resilience Strategies – Structural Risk and Flexibility • Smarter supply chain modelling and scenario analysis Implement digital twins and assess the immediate and long-term ability to continually balance lean operations and risk mitigation. • Flexible structural supply chains with optionality Harness analytics, artificial intelligence (AI) and visualization tools to allow structure modelling before a build. • Alternative sourcing methods and logistics routes Evaluate geo-political risks, climate change risks, cyber security risks, and natural disasters and develop plans for multiple scenarios across your supply chain. SC Resilience Strategies – Rapid Reaction and Resolution • Strategic partners working together Leverage collaboration rooms and data sharing platforms among partners to understand the impact of disruptions across the joint supply chain. • Quick responses and resolutions Make faster decisions using machine analysis of structured and unstructured data. • AI-supported rapid scenario planning Unlock hidden insights to improve the supply chain planner’s abilities to determine options and act faster than competition. SC Resilience Strategies – Global Visibility and Insights • Actionable insights from real-time data Use AI to assess unstructured data and provide alerts that help predict possible disruption and its impacts on your supply chain upstream and downstream. • Enhanced end-to-end visibility of supply chain flows Put in place a global tool, like the IBM® Sterling™ Supply Chain Insights, for long-term insight across supply chain flows. • Additional opportunities to integrate emerging technologies Combine a control tower with a blockchain solution that employs IoT and AI, like IBM Hyper Insights, to understand the location of products in near-real time. Recommended reading • • • • • • • • • Aslam, H., Khan, A.Q., Rashid, K. and Rehman, S. (2020). Achieving Supply Chain resilience: The Role of Supply Chain Ambidexterity and Supply Chain Agility. Journal of Manufacturing Technology Management, 31(6), pp.1185–1204. Carvalho, H., Azevedo, S.G. and Machado, V.C. (2010). Supply Chain Performance management: Lean and Green Paradigms. International Journal of Business Performance and Supply Chain Modelling, 2(3/4), p.304. Chopra, S. & Meindl, P., (2013). Supply Chain Management: Strategy, Planning & Operation. 5th ed. s.l.: Pearson Education, Inc. Chowdhury, M.M.H., Quaddus, M. and Agarwal, R. (2019). Supply Chain Resilience for performance: Role of Relational Practices and Network Complexities. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 24(5), pp.659–676. Ivanov, D., Dolgui, A., Sokolov, B. and Ivanova, M. (2017). Literature Review on Disruption Recovery in the Supply Chain. International Journal of Production Research, 55(20), pp.6158–6174. Neboh, N. and Mbhele, T. (2020). Supply Chain Resilience and Design in Retail Supermarkets. Journal of Contemporary Management, 17(2), pp.51–73. Pettit, T. J., Croxton, K. L., & Fiksel, J. (2013). Ensuring supply chain resilience: development and implementation of an assessment tool. Journal of business logistics, 34(1), 46-76. Piprani, A.Z., Jaafar, N.I. and Mohezar Ali, S. (2020). Prioritising Resilient Capability Factors of Dealing with Supply Chain disruptions: an Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) Application in the Textile Industry. Benchmarking: An International Journal, 27(9), pp.2537–2563. Piprani, Arsalan.Z., Mohezar, S. and Jaafar, Noor.I. (2020). Supply Chain Integration and Supply Chain Performance: The Mediating Role of Supply Chain Resilience. International Journal of Supply Chain Management, 9(3), pp.58–73. MCQs learning activities The concept of SC resilience 1) SC resilience is about managing and adapting to the unknown across the whole spectrum of risk, from day-to-day operational risks through to long term planning. 2) SC resilience is unidimensional because it focusses on operations. 3) SC resilience is caused by crisis such as the COVID-19 pandemic. 4) SC resilience is the concern of multinational companies. 5) SC resilience is about financing international expansion. MCQs learning activities The concept of SC resilience 1) SC resilience encompasses both a proactive and reactive approach. 2) Proactive and reactive approaches to SC resilience entail three phases that are mutually exclusive. 3) SC resilience cannot enable organisations to operate their available resources and capabilities in unforeseen ways. 4) SC resilience is not designed to avoid the shift into unwanted situations in case of any difficulty. 5) In SC resilience, organisations cannot reconfigure their resources and capabilities. MCQs learning activities Why SC resilience matters? 1) SC resilience matters because strong data and analytics capabilities are crucial in understanding complexity, anticipating potential disruption, and quickly developing a response. 2) SC resilience matters because companies need to respond rapidly and confidently to shape and execute a short-term tactical plan that will mitigate the risks to human health and protect the functioning of global supply chains. 3) SC resilience matters because it is so critical to understanding risk and uncertainties. 4) SC resilience matters because senior management needs to make sound decision. 5) SC resilience matters because it defines organisational vision. MCQs learning activities SC resilience – readiness 1) In SC resilience, visibility helps to create a smooth link throughout the supply chain to avoid adverse effects of disruption to the supply chain. 2) Visibility is the only strategy in SC resilience that can enable the organisation to identify, measure, prioritize and evaluate risks. 3) Visibility is the cornerstone of SC resilience. 4) When data is shared with key suppliers, visibility in SC resilience is enhanced. 5) Banks need access to staff engaged in risk management to better rate the financial risk. MCQs learning activities SC resilience – responsiveness 1) Responsiveness strategies are developed through flexibility and redundancy. 2) Once an organisation achieves flexibility in its SC, it takes no effort to respond to changing environmental and stakeholder requirements. 3) Because flexibility and redundancy work together to develop responsiveness, the former cannot achieve maximisation of internal capabilities. 4) In spite of its usefulness in developing SC resilience, Redundancy is a drain on profitability. 5) To develop redundancy, one of the strategies is to have a shadow team of experts waiting for disasters to happen so they can do their job. MCQs learning activities SC resilience – recovery 1) Recovery can be achieved without a contingency plan because such plans add costs. 2) Recovery strategies implies every staff member working extra hours. 3) Effective recovery strategies will help the supply chain to revert to its original state after being affected by changes in the external environment. 4) The main focus of recovery strategies is to get into normal operations. 5) As part of recovery strategies, organisations always call upon consultants to mitigate the impact and severity of the disruption caused by some change in the external environment of the business. MCQs learning activities IBM approach to SC resilience 1) Alternative sourcing and logistics routes in IBM SC will add cost to transport because if you want to avoid pirates in the Suez Canal, you must pass through the Cape of Good Hope. 2) Evaluating geo-political, climate change, cyber security risks, and natural disasters and developing plans for multiple scenarios across your supply chain are key elements of understanding structural risks. 3) IBM SC resilience approach is very concerned with partners in countries that practice child labour. 4) As part of its mission, IBM SC resilience approach includes the protection of the Amazon rain forest. 5) In support of new technologies such as 5G, IBM SC resilience approach requires universities to increase teaching in STEM subjects. MCQs learning activities IBM approach to SC resilience 1) Real time data can generate actionable insights to help predict possible disruption and its impacts on supply chain upstream and downstream. 2) Blockchain technology is the ultimate solution to achieving global visibility in SC resilience. 3) IBM® Sterling™ Supply Chain Insights is a complex tool with little benefits to SMEs. 4) understand the location of products in near-real time is useless because it does not cover the flow of services across borders. 5) Real time data is unreliable in developing global visibility since people change their mind all the time.