KENYATTA UNIVERSITY DIGITAL SCHOOL OF VIRTUAL AND OPEN LEARNING IN COLLABORATION WITH SCHOOL OF PURE & APPLIED SCIENCES DEPARTMENT: MATHEMATICS AND ACTUARIAL SCIENCE SST 308: DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF SAMPLE SURVEY I WRITTEN BY: Bernard N. Ngigi VETTED BY; SST308: DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF SAMPLE SURVEY I 33 Credit Hours. Prerequisite: SST 305 Purpose of the course The aim of the course is to provide learners with knowledge in design and analysis of sample surveys. Expected Learning Outcomes At the end of this course, the student should be able to:a) Explain how to design and organize a survey. b) Determine the sample size in sample surveys. c) To estimate finite population parameters under the different sampling schemes. Course content. Designing and organizing sample surveys. Determination of sample size. Sampling designs: simple random sampling, stratified random sampling, systematic sampling, cluster and double sampling. Multistage sampling. Properties of various estimators including Ratio and Regression estimators. Errors in surveys. Mode of Delivery Virtual and physical class lectures, discussions, problem solving, exercises. Instructional Materials Whiteboard/chalkboard, overhead projector, smart board. Assessment Continuous Assessment: 30% Final Exam: 70% Core reading material Lohr, S.L. (1999). Sampling Design and Analysis. Pacific Grove: Duxbury Press. ISBN13:9780495105275 Recommended reading materials Cochran, W. G. (1977). Sampling Techniques; 3rd edition. New York: Wiley ISBN-047116240X Barnett, V. (1991). Sample Surveys, Principles and Methods. London: Edward Arnold. ISBN-13:9780470685907 Read this book. Journals Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice Taylor & Francis. Journal of American Statistical Association-ASA Journal of Official statistics.-Stefan Lundgren Journal of Royal Statistical Society-John Wiley & Sons LESSON ONE Introduction In this lesson we distinguish between two types of population surveys in determining the absolute value of a certain characteristic of a population. 1.2 Learning Outcomes By the end of this lesson the learner will be able to distinguish between:: 1.2.1 Absolute and comparative statistical problems 1.2.2 Census and sample surveys approaches 1.2.3 Purposive and probability sampling 1.2.1 Introduction There are two types of statistical problems; absolute and comparative problems Absolute Problem determines the absolute value of a certain characteristic of the population. For example obtaining the average weight of a group of individuals. This is called randomization approach to inference. Comparative problem compares the effects of two or more objects on a certain characteristic of the population. For example obtaining the correlation between the height and weight of an individual. This is called analytical approach to inference. This course will deal with the absolute problem rather than the comparative problem. There are two approaches to the solution of the absolute problem; Complete enumeration (census) and sample survey approaches Complete enumeration (census) approach In this approach we observe the characteristic under study for each and every element of the population. This method has some shortcomings: i) ii) iii) iv) If the population is infinite, complete enumeration is not possible. On the other hand , if the population is finite, the method can be difficult and tedious in terms of multiplicity of causes like time, cost etc. Time consuming. Costly to carry out. In some cases, complete enumeration is not possible. For example to test whether the bulbs produced in a factory have met the burning hours it will require you to destroy each and every bulb produced. That will not be possible.. Sample survey approach This approach consists of selecting a finite subset of the population called a sample, observing the individuals in the sample and then utilizing the sample characteristics to determine or estimate the absolute value of the population. Advantages of sampling over complete enumeration i) ii) iii) iv) There is considerable saving in time and labour since only a part of the population is under study. Sampling results in reduction in cost in terms of money and man hours. If testing is destructive, complete enumeration is impracticable and sampling technique should be used. Greater accuracy of observations. Limitations of sample survey method. i) ii) iii) If the characteristics of every unit in the population is to be required, then sampling won’t help If time and money are not important factors, complete enumeration may be better. Sampling theory requires the services of trained and qualified personnel and sophisticated equipment for its planning, execution and analysis. In the absence of these, the results of the sample survey are not trustworthy. General methods of selecting the sample. There are two main methods of selecting a sample. It should be noted from the outset that the aim should be to choose a sample that is representative of the population. The sample should be like the population it is representing. Hence in a given situation the method of choice should be the one which achieves this aim. The two method are i) ii) Purposive (subjective) sampling. Probability sampling. Purposive sampling This type depends on the discretion and judgement of the person choosing the sample. The sample is chosen with a definite purpose in view. It is the experimenter who decides which sample to choose. The choosing can be biased in a way, hence the method suffers from favouritism and nepotism depending on the beliefs and prejudices of the experimenter. This method cannot be recommended for general use as it is biased due to the experimenter’s subjective-ness. For example is if the investigator want to give a picture that the standard of living has gone up, he will choose posh areas in Nairobi but if he wanted to show that it has gone down, he will choose the slums areas. Probability sampling This is a scientific method of choosing a sample according to the laws of chance in which each unit in the population has a definite pre-assigned probability of being selected in the sample. In this course we shall consider the following probability sampling designs. i) ii) iii) iv) v) Simple random sampling. Stratified simple random sampling. Systematic sampling. Clusters sampling. Two stage cluster sampling. This course will consider probability sampling methods.