CASE: SM-116 DATE: 12/29/03 (REV’D 10/18/05) GRAMEEN BANK I strongly believe that we can create a poverty-free world, if we want to.... In that kind of world, [the] only place you can see poverty is in the museum. When school children will be on a tour of the poverty museum, they will be horrified to see the misery and indignity of human beings. They will blame their forefathers for tolerating this inhuman condition to continue in a massive way.... 1 —Muhammad Yunus, Managing Director, Grameen Bank SEPTEMBER 1998 After years of prosperity, monetarily and philosophically, Grameen Bank had become a vast empire, with a towering headquarters in Dhaka, Bangladesh, built as an outward sign that poverty alleviation was good business. However, after several unusual events, external observers claimed that the figurative walls showed signs of weakening: In the midst of construction there was a natural disaster that caused calamity to many of the bank’s members. While Muhammad Yunus, the founder and managing director, did not share the fatalistic opinion of those critical of the bank, he did feel a need to solve the current challenges quickly. Neither he nor the carpenters, busily finishing the 20 floors of the prominent building, were deterred. The building represented the future of Grameen Bank and its “family” of corporations. It was part of Yunus’ personal vision of an economically strong and stable Bangladesh. What began with small loans to the poor of Bangladesh had grown into a company determined to change Bangladesh from the bottom up. But over the past year, the situation in Bangladesh had deteriorated. The effects of an unusual political situation and unprecedented monsoonal flooding had caused a noticeable drop in borrowers’ repayment rates, and it was as yet unknown if this was a temporary disruption or an emerging epidemic. External observers began to criticize the bank in the popular press, claiming that the historically healthy and strong Grameen Bank, the pride of the country and Western supporters of international development, was showing signs of distress. Yunus had to decide 1 Muhammad Yunus. Excerpted from his acceptance speech for the Help for Self-Help Prize of the Stromme Foundation, given on September 26, 1997 in Olso, Norway. David Hanley prepared this case under the supervision of Professor John McMillan as the basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright © 2003 by the Board of Trustees of the Leland Stanford Junior University. All rights reserved. To order copies or request permission to reproduce materials, e-mail the Case Writing Office at: cwo@gsb.stanford.edu or write: Case Writing Office, Stanford Graduate School of Business, 518 Memorial Way, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305-5015. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, used in a spreadsheet, or transmitted in any form or by any means –– electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise –– without the permission of the Stanford Graduate School of Business. Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 2 how the bank would face the problem of nonpayment and general political and environmental instability, all under the microscope of international public opinion. BEGINNINGS In 1965 Professor Muhammad Yunus came to the United States from East Pakistan—the eastern portion of a divided Pakistan—to receive a PhD in Economics from Vanderbilt University. His education, funded by the Fulbright program, gave him insight into the theories of international development. He studied the currently popular macroeconomic principles of international development—structural adjustment, currency programs, and supply-side economic growth— and upon graduation accepted a professorship at Middle Tennessee State University. Professor Mohammad Yunus had left a country struggling to emerge from the challenges of British rule and subsequent independence. When the British relinquished control of India in 1947, the country was divided along religious lines in an action known as Partition. The result was two Islamic homelands known as East and West Pakistan. East and West Pakistan were separated by all of northern India, a distance of over 1,000 miles and governed from Karachi in the West. Its policies and politics reflected the Western governance. When the Pakistani government imposed Urdu, the language of the West, as the official state language, the intellectuals of East Pakistan wrote in Bengali, in defiance. That form of protest continued until 1971 when Pakistani troops stormed the capital of Dhaka and executed several professors, poets, artists, and physicians. From those killings rose a revolution and fight for independence, which came when East Pakistan seceded from Pakistan, renaming itself Bangladesh. All of this Yunus observed from 10,000 miles away. A desire to return to his country welled inside of him. “I wanted to return and rebuild,” he noted. “So I took a position at Chittagong University and began doing what I knew how to do: teach economics.” Chittagong University was located in a major port city, many hours away from Bangladesh’s capital city of Dhaka. Its site was selected to move politically active students away from the capital where they could do less harm. Yunus explained that he began teaching “the eloquent economic theories” that he had been taught, but found a disconnect between the theories surrounding poverty and the actual poverty in the neighboring village of Jobra. “I found it difficult to teach elegant theories of economics in the classroom with the backdrop of a terrible famine in Bangladesh. Suddenly I felt the emptiness of those theories in the face of crushing hunger and poverty. I wanted to do something immediate to help people around me.”2 Yunus began sending students to local villages to explore why people were poor. The conclusion of his study: “‘People are poor because they have no money….’ Not quite as eloquent as academic theories.” He found that the poor people in Jobra were unable to break through the cycle of poverty because they were dependent on traders to lend them materials and then buy back the finished products. Here is my explanation: Poverty is not created by the poor people. So we shouldn't give them an accusing look. They are the victims. Poverty has been 2 Yunus, Muhammad. “Halving Poverty by 2015–We Can Actually Make It Happen.” Delivered at the Commonwealth Institute, London, March 11, 2003. Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 3 created by the economic and social system that we have designed for the world. It is the institutions that we have built, and feel so proud of, which created poverty. It is the concepts we developed to understand the reality around us, made us see things wrongly. The essence of my argument…is that in order to reduce, and ultimately eliminate, poverty we must go back to the drawing board.3 One day, while on one of his frequent walks around Jobra, he met Sufia Khatun, a widow with two daughters. Khatun made baskets by borrowing money to buy materials in the morning, working the whole day, and selling the finished product at night. Her entire day’s work gave her 5 taka, or $0.02. This troubled Yunus tremendously. He ''couldn't accept why anybody should make only two cents for such a beautiful skill.''4 He could not understand how someone’s labor could be so undervalued. Yunus asked her how much money she required to be free of the moneylenders. Four dollars was the amount. Yunus found 41 other villagers in Jobra and lent them a total of $27. Khatun’s income immediately jumped from $0.02 per day to $2.00 per day. Yunus later noted: I could not think of anything better than offering this $27 from my own pocket to get the victims out of the clutches of the moneylenders. The excitement that was created by this action got me further involved in it. The question that arose in my mind was, if you can make so many people so happy with such a tiny amount of money, why shouldn't you do more of it?5 Yunus simply told those borrowers to pay him back when they could, and was a little surprised to find that all of them repaid him in full. So, he began lending more money with the same result. He petitioned local banks to start making similar loans, an idea they rejected. When he asked them their reasoning, they replied that the poor are not credit worthy. Yunus replied, “How can you say that they are not credit worthy. I give them money, and they pay me back.” Yunus continued this crusade to the highest levels of several banks, but none were willing to lend to the poor. Finally the local bank allowed Yunus to borrow funds in his own name and provide loans in Jobra. This program continued to grow successfully, each round with full repayment. He returned to the banks and reported that the test results were in: the poor really were credit worthy. Yunus tried to convince the banks to adopt his methods and begin employing them in providing loans to the rural poor, but the bankers were skeptical that Yunus’ successes could be repeated in other communities. So, they laid a challenge at his feet to build what would be called Grameen6 Project in another district of the country. If it succeeded, they would pick up the work and continue it themselves. “If I fail, of course they don't pick it up and I go back to Chittagong, and I don't open my mouth on the subject anymore,” Yunus said, further explaining: “The bankers say, ‘Well you're from Chittagong, you're a teacher there, so you may have a special influence in the community. So why don't we take you to some other district where you are not known?’ I 3 ibid. 4 Quotations are from interviews of Mohammad Yunus by the author, unless otherwise noted. 5 Yunus, Muhammad, 11 March 2003. op.cit. 6 Grameen is a Bengali word for rural or village. Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 4 said, ‘okay, I'll take your challenge, so you decide which district I should choose.’” The bankers debated the possible locations and eventually selected Tangail, a district just north of Dhaka, the capital city. “They finally ended up selecting Tangail because it's close to them, and it's a small area, and therefore easy to manage. I didn't mind. I had never been to Tangail, but I went there for a few years and it worked.” Yunus began building the Grameen Project in much the same way that he had in Chittagong, with continued success. Groups were formed, centers established, loans issued and repaid, and savings collected. As the project was completed, Yunus expected the banks to live up to their challenge and take over his lending and saving activities. However, as he explained, “Nobody was interested in taking it up anymore. I kept raising this question, ‘Why don't you do it? Why don’t you take it up?’” The banks’ new excuses demonstrated their underlying lack of enthusiasm for the work. One new excuse: “‘Well, you are there behind everybody, and you're working so hard and your students are working so hard, and bankers just simply won’t work that hard.’ I said, ‘That is a fine question, but that's not what we talked about.’” Still not discouraged, Yunus gave the banks an option. He allowed them to pick five different regions for Grameen Project to develop. It was obvious that Yunus could not be in all five districts at once, so this ought to reduce their final concern over the viability of the lending model. He even persuaded the banks to have their own staff manage the lending process so that the banks could not say that their employees could not successfully accomplish that which Grameen was successful in doing. As Yunus suspected, the experiment was successful in all five districts, but the banks were still unmoved in their decision. At that point, Yunus became discouraged. He thought Grameen Project was lost. It was in the face of quitting that he resolved to do what he had not originally planned: start his own bank. In 1982 he came to the Central Bank of Bangladesh with a proposal to establish a bank that would operate in the rural areas of Bangladesh. While there was some hesitancy, it was difficult for them to argue that Yunus should not move forward. Grameen Bank was chartered in 1983 and given the right to distribute loans and collect savings in areas outside of Dhaka. Throughout the 1980s, Grameen Bank grew at a steady rate, lending to 490,000 Grameen Bank members by 1988. Each of those members had savings, one or more loans, and a share of Grameen Bank stock. By the end of the 1980s, over 90 percent of the bank’s stock was owned by its borrowers. (See Exhibits 1-3 for operational and financial growth.) THE GRAMEEN LENDING MODEL A Grameen Bank branch was comprised of members, groups, and centers. Five members comprised a group, and four to eight groups comprised a center (Exhibit 4). All the members of a center met weekly to repay loans, deposit savings, and propose loans. Centers saved and built a center house, a simple building that served as their meeting place for center meetings and other events. At a weekly center meeting, women lined up in their groups of five, with the group with longest tenure seated in the front. When the center manager (a Grameen Bank employee) arrived by bicycle, the center members greeted him and gave a salute. The center chief (selected by her peers) brought the meeting to order by leading the group in exercises and slogans. She reported that all were present and accounted for. Funds were brought forward to the center manager one Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 5 group at a time, and he recorded each deposit in his ledger. Once funds were collected, new loan proposals were brought before the center, and any member could support or object to an individual loan. If the venture seemed a risky investment, the center debated the issue and came to a decision. Then the center chief gave the loan proposals to the center manager. Later that day, the loans proposed and accepted at that meeting were disbursed at the branch office. Grameen Bank borrowers had no collateral. In fact, the opposite was required: a candidate must have sufficiently few assets to be admitted for membership in the bank. A person who was interested in joining the bank must first find four other people with whom to form a group. That group should be comprised of people who knew and lived near each other, were of the same gender (97 percent of borrowers are women), and were not of the same family. Group members were collectively responsible for each other’s loans; if one defaulted, the others were required to repay her portion. The group of five underwent a training program, where they were taught the rules and regulations of Grameen Bank. The candidates met several times a week for five to six weeks, learning about loan types, compulsory and optional savings plans, interest rates, center norms, and Grameen Bank’s social slogans, called the Sixteen Decisions (Exhibit 5). Bank members were expected to be able to recite the Sixteen Decisions at any time. Candidates attended center meetings and witnessed the transactions of their peers, making sure that they were interested in the responsibility and benefits of bank membership. Illiterate candidates learned to sign their name on their loan documents. Once the branch manager considered a group prepared to be tested, he called for an area manager to visit with the group. The area manager asked them various questions about their training, quizzed them on the interest rate for savings, etc. Once satisfied, he visited each candidate’s home to verify that her assets were sufficiently few and that husbands would support their wives in their borrowing and saving efforts. Successful candidate groups were admitted to the bank and to their center in a ceremony. After the next center meeting, they came to the branch office to receive their first loan, usually totaling around $100. Borrowers began loan repayment the following week by paying the first of fifty even installments of principal plus 10 percent interest.7 Very soon after a loan was repaid, the borrower proposed a new loan to her group and center at the center meeting. Once approved, a new loan was disbursed immediately. Loan amounts tended to increase by 10-30 percent each year. An established borrower could also qualify for a seasonal loan or a home loan. RAPID GROWTH: 1989-19918 The growth leading up to the late eighties required developing systems for training and overseeing workers and borrowers. Grameen Bank developed a training center, which included six months of apprenticeship and classroom training for each employee. By the end of 1987, 7 Grameen Bank charges 20 percent APR for its loans. Since the principle is repaid at a steady rate, the average loan principal is 50 percent of the the loan amount. On a $100 loan, the borrower would pay $10 interest, which is 10 percent of the loan principal or 20 percent of the average loan principal. 8 At this time, Grameen Bank began supporting, training, and even funding replicators of its lending methodology throughout the world through Grameen Trust. For more information on Grameen Trust and the international program, see Exhibit 7. Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 6 Grameen had 7,500 employees, having added one third of that total during the past year. Grameen was expanding throughout the country and success continued in all regions. It was at this time that Yunus began to wonder if Grameen Bank could grow even faster. There were so many in need throughout the country. There were plenty of able-bodied men and women waiting to join the work force. The only impediment to a more rapid growth was the availability of capital. Loan reserve requirements and a limited amount of grants and aid from international agencies only permitted the organization to grow at its current rate. Yunus knew it was time to raise some money. “The initial money came from International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD). Then, once that money was used up, we needed more money to expand. So we asked around to get more money.” Yunus began to hear interest from agencies including IFAD, the Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation (NORAD), Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA), and others. The response was positive and we got more money. But now [these agencies] wanted to have increased power and oversight. Then they started asking questions—and the kinds of questions they were asking I didn't like. Who runs it? How (do) you run it? How does it happen? Something silly. They will never understand what this is. So we can't go on answering these questions. So I said, “I'm not interested.” So they had to look for other places to put their money. The aid agencies quickly learned that there was pressure from their communities to place their funds with Grameen Bank and that Grameen was likely the most cost-effective way for the agencies to support development in Bangladesh. NORAD, IFAD, and CIDA all signed on to provide funds to grow the number of Grameen Bank branches. They were interested in funding the establishment of a certain number of branches—100-200 branches each. So, Yunus decided that they should get their wish and Grameen would expand by 500 branches over a period of a few years. The aid agencies were shocked at Yunus’ aggressive position. They feared that their funds and the explosive growth would smother this successful project and in turn cause bankruptcy. Yunus explained: Once we did that, then all the [donors] said, “This is too much.” So it became a controversy. Yet it was too much and also too little. I said, yes, to you it looks like too much. To us it looks like not enough to reach the large numbers of poor in our country. So whatever money you want to give to a reasonable grant, give 200 branches, 500 branches, 300 branches—it’s up to you. Our plan stays. They said, “No, you make only 200.” I said, “No, we make 500. You give a 200 grant and I'll look for the rest.” This debate continued until finally the donors formed a consortium so that all the donor agencies, together, could oversee efforts and determine if the funds were being used properly and the Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 7 growth was manageable. When CIDA had to reduce its commitment due to a budget cut, the other donors filled the void. Funds were given in traunches and Grameen began its explosive growth shown in Exhibit 1 and Figure 1. 700 700,000 600 600,000 500 500,000 400 400,000 300 300,000 200 200,000 100 100,000 - 1986 1987 1988 Branches 1989 Members Figure 1. Grameen Bank Growth, 1986-1989. Number of branches is shown on the left axis. Number of members is shown on the right axis. One area of concern to both Yunus and the consortium of donors was the ability to make these new branches financially self-sustainable as quickly as possible. Since Grameen’s systems for cost saving and oversight were already in place, the most significant metric that needed to be met was to have each branch at capacity with the number of borrowers that it served. The chart below demonstrates Grameen Bank’s ability to actually increase the number of members per branch while at the same time adding hundreds of branches. 1800 1500 1200 900 600 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Members per Branch Figure 2. Growth of bank membership per branch, 1986-1993. Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 8 Yunus claimed that the growth had little effect on the human resource functions of Grameen Bank. Yes, we thought it was easy. At that time we didn't feel threatened or anything. We just hired people, trained them, and sent them on. Because for us we felt opening one branch and opening a hundred branches was just about the same thing. Because I'm not opening a single branch—the staff is doing that. We trained them. They go there to work. We had our training centers. We had our established systems. We had computers in our offices. So moving from 100 to 500 is quite a big jump as we had to introduce all these things as quickly as possible, but the systems were already in place. If you hand them the money, they will do the job. To provide better oversight, Grameen was divided into five zones, and each zonal manager was given complete latitude to oversee the operations of his zone. “So, the zonal office is the one who looks at the actual operations of the bank. Our job is only to recruit and train center managers, and send them on; and to make sure that the money is there, properly used and accounted for.” (See Exhibit 6 for a map of Grameen’s Zones.) REPAYMENT Grameen Bank’s historical repayment rate hovered around 97 percent of its loans, a testament to the strength of its lending model. But recent troubles had caused Grameen’s repayment rate to dip below this point, and there was some discussion in the popular press that the end of the bank was quite near. Some said that successful microcredit was a house of cards, in that repayment often depended on the fact that borrowers didn’t conceive of nonpayment or often didn’t realize that their group members would not actually be affected if they defaulted. Yunus knew that while his lending model of peer support and peer pressure was supposed to keep a defaulter’s fellow group members from receiving their loans, this was rarely the case. Over time, those members were simply formed into a new group once it was clear that the defaulter was not coming back. Thus whole centers and whole branches remained at near-full repayment, but once the virus of nonpayment crept into a center, the whole branch operation could be in jeopardy. Reflecting over the past few years, Yunus wondered: What does one do when a disaster hits? His borrowers lived and worked in a country known mostly for its floods, hurricanes, tremendous population burden, and political strife. Disaster would strike and families simply tried to survive. Then the floods receded or the storm damage was removed, but it was then that the true struggle began: rebuilding. What should Grameen’s response be to its borrowers when a disaster took place? When all the homes were destroyed and families started again, should bank operations still continue in the same way? Grameen was a bank, but a bank that lent to the rural poor—those most directly affected by these disasters. How could Grameen Bank ensure its borrowers’ welfare without appearing to be a welfare institution? Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 9 POLITICS IN THE EARLY 1990S Upheaval came in many forms. The beginnings of Grameen’s current challenges with repayment were political in origin. Two parties dominated politics in Bangladesh: the Bangladesh National Party (BNP) and the Awami League. Both parties harnessed the nationalist tendencies of a politically conscious, yet largely illiterate, population, offering promises that, at times, had very little possibility of implementation. Each party was led by a woman with a strong family tie to a former leader of the Bangladeshi independence movement and war. The Awami League’s Sheikh Hasina was the daughter of the leader of the freedom movement and first prime minister of Bangladesh, Sheikh Mujibar Rahman, known as “Bangabondu,” or friend of Bangladesh. She and her sister were the sole survivors of an attack on the family home by armed insurgents during a coup in 1975. The BNP’s Begum Khaleda Zia was the wife of the deceased Ziaur Rahman, a freedom fighter and former president (1977-1981) who was also martyred. The relationship of these women to the recent and vibrant history of Bangladesh catalyzed the nationalist sentiment of the electorate. The first of three political challenges faced by Grameen Bank actually came from within. Yunus noted, “The biggest impact came from our own staff, incited by the BNP to form a trade union.” The two political parties in Bangladesh also ran the labor unions, and in the mid 1990s, they set their sights on unionizing all bank employees in Bangladesh. The growth of Grameen’s employment numbers was not lost on those unions and a movement to unionize Grameen Bank moved forward with some success, resulting in limited work stoppages and slowdowns that upset the operational efficacy of the bank. Local union and party leaders targeted Grameen, and destroyed several of the center buildings where borrowers met. Repayment suffered to a degree. Then a second political challenge arose. What originated as a local issue, concerning a former borrower dissatisfied with a Grameen savings policy, grew to cause political fervor throughout the country. Borrowers wanted to withdraw all of their savings, including a “group tax.” The group tax was a small percentage fee paid on loans that was deposited in a savings account meant for the group to use as a whole. Sometimes borrowers took small loans from this fund to be used for weddings, funerals, and medical care. Those loans were always repaid, as enforced by group members. Group tax monies were intended to stay with the group in perpetuity, regardless of who comprised that group. Dissatisfaction grew into a hot political debate. Those in opposition to Grameen Bank encouraged borrowers to leave the bank and stop repayment of loans. Everything came to a standstill. The movement from the borrowers on the group tax issue was localized in certain areas. They just refused to come back. This was mostly controlled by outsiders—leaders who were vying for power—but it was quite popular. I would say that multiple leaders were forcing them to do it, but they were happy to join. Many borrowers simply refused to return to the centers, and again repayment suffered. Lastly, the election of 1991 was particularly eventful for Grameen. Elections in Bangladesh were heated, often violent, and tended to result in the minority party unseating the majority by Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 10 blaming economic woes and corruption on the current leader. But in the 1991 election, both major parties sought to bolster their bids for parliament by taking aim at Grameen and the microcredit movement. The Awami League and the BNP promised that if elected they would forgive all agriculture loans under $1,000. Yunus immediately heard the news and was shocked. The realization was certainly not lost on him that Grameen Bank borrowers were now such a sizeable constituency that they were being catered to by parties. However, Yunus knew that this promise would mean trouble for Grameen. How much and to what degree would not be known for days or months, but he was faced with finding a strategy that could deal with this problem directly. Several questions needed to be answered. How many had heard (or would subsequently hear) the announcement? What was the likelihood that the victorious party would follow through with this promise, and what was the likelihood that the courts would uphold it? The question of greatest importance seemed to remain, regardless of government action: What will be the immediate reaction of borrowers to the promise, and what effect will that response have on loan repayment? Based on a shallow campaign promise, the lending and savings empire that Grameen had built was in danger of collapse. “This created some sensation,” Yunus noted. “In some parts of the country, repayment stopped.” Certain branches were hit hard, and Grameen’s center, branch, and area managers had to begin a reeducation program to convince their borrowers that 1) the government doesn’t have the right to forgive these loans, and 2) they are better off if they remain with Grameen Bank and receive annual loans in perpetuity. Results were mixed. While repayment had recovered significantly within a few years, there was still an increased percentage of borrowers that were late in their payments. THE FLOODS OF ’98 In April of 1998 temperatures in Bangladesh began to climb. As the summer sun grew warmer, hot winds blew dust and garbage throughout the villages and cities. The winds foreshadowed what was to come: the monsoon. Initially, the heavy downpours were a welcome relief to extreme heat. The summer rains were the source of much of the country’s water, and had traditionally aided the only planting season of the year.9 Annual floods were a way of life in Bangladesh. Due to a very wet history, Bengali people had learned to adapt to monsoonal flooding with incredible resilience. When the rains continued to pound the dirt in May of 1998, the national reaction was much as it had ever been; however, the ensuing months of well-above-average downpour caused some to fear. Even for a land of floods where people had made a life of adapting and rebuilding, the rain of 1998 was different. As the monsoon poured into August, it became obvious to Yunus that this was no ordinary year. The threat to his borrowers and the bank could be severe. Floods could destroy homes, which served as his borrowers’ “factories” and must be rebuilt before the borrower could continue her income-generating activities. Floods could cause temporary migration to higher ground, which 9 With new technologies and processes, by the late 1990s, most land was able to support three harvests annually. Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 11 upset the social community that holds groups and centers together. Floods could foster the spread of disease, which resulted at worst in loss of life, at best in loss of working capital and savings as funds were used for medicines and health care. Lastly, floods could lead to destroyed crops and animal illness and death. With over 60 percent of its loans being used for agriculture, and all of its borrowers being in rural areas, there was a distinct possibility that many borrowers would default once floods wreaked their havoc. The Bengal Basin had known many floods. The flood of 1988 was known as the “worst flood in forty years.” The following year’s monsoon topped the previous one, resulting in the “worst flood of the century.” But the floods of 1998 were of a different order. By the time the flooding and destruction were measured, it became known as the “worst flood in history.” Flooding lasted three months and caused unprecedented damage, amounting to $2.2 billion, 77 percent of the national development budget. Waters destroyed nearly one million homes10 and damaged 2.7 million acres of farmland.11 More than 9,500 kilometers of road was damaged, costing more than $100 million to repair. (See Exhibit 7 for more statistics on reconstruction and aid.) Yunus requested that his branches report on the status of their members and compile statistics for the head office. While the qualitative effect on his borrowers would not be known for some time, the statistics collected from his branches were startling: 1. Out of 2.3 million members of Grameen Bank about 1.2 million were affected by the floods. Of these about 800,000 were severely affected. 2. A total of 821 Grameen family members had died, including 168 members, 255 members of their families, and as many as 398 children of their families. Major causes of death were drowning (252, mostly children), diarrhea (141), snakebite (58) and electrocution (36). 3. More than 150,000 Grameen Bank members had taken shelter in relief camps set up for people whose houses were submerged in water.12 DECISIONS Yunus had to confront the material and emotional losses of his borrowers. He had financial resources available that could be donated to the relief of his borrowers. The borrowers needed food and funds to survive, and survive they must. The bank depended on their continued health for its future livelihood, and it needed repayment. But Yunus was never solely driven by the numbers: he was also gravely concerned for the lives of the bank members. Yunus felt a stewardship for the borrowers and wanted to do everything he could to improve their situation. Although socially motivated, Grameen had a bottom line. This seeming dichotomy of interests could undermine the long-term growth of Grameen Bank. The conflict of human interest versus financial survival tested Grameen, its borrowers, and its founder. It was determined that the bank required capital for the usual post-monsoon seasonal agricultural loans, and its floodeffected borrowers would need fresh business loans once the waters receded. 10 “Catastrophic flood causes overall damage to the economics of ten and one half crore taka.” Janakanta, Oct. 25, 1998. Translated. 11 “A comparative picture of four recent floods and what should be done in the future.” Ittefaq, Oct 25, 1998. Translated. 12 Grameen Bank. 1998 Annual Report. Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 12 In the aftermath of the floods we [estimated] that [we needed] $100 million immediately, not for Grameen's survival… but for assisting in the survival of Grameen borrowers who [were] badly hit by the flood. For Grameen a natural disaster is a challenge, and an opportunity to demonstrate how effective microcredit system is in helping affected people back on their feet.13 Yunus looked at his options for raising funds and was unsure if he could secure the requisite sum. Competition for international donor funds would be fierce, and Grameen would not likely be able to get what it needed. Yunus was already pursuing the sale of securitized loans in the U.S. markets, but costs of currency hedging made this alternative unlikely. Local financial markets were the only available alternative, but the outcome of such a request could not be known. Yunus knew he needed to do something to aid his borrowers, but he needed to structure that aid appropriately so as not to undermine the perception of Grameen Bank as a solid financial institution. As much as he wanted wash away all of the borrowers troubles, Yunus knew the best thing for his borrowers was the survival and success of Grameen. He put pen to paper and began to draft the Grameen Disaster Relief Program. 13 Yunus, Muhammad, Letter to the Editor. Financial Times, Oct 9, 1998. Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 13 Study Questions 1) 2) 3) What elements should Muhammad Yunus include in the Grameen Disaster Relief Program to balance aid with capitalism? How should Grameen have confronted the political parties’ promise to forgive agricultural loans? Grameen’s growth was limited by available loan capital. What sources of capital were available to Grameen? Estimate the current costs of these sources, including fees and hedging. Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 14 Exhibit 1 Grameen Operations 1986-1997 Description Yearly Loan Disbursed a) General b) Housing Total Disbursement for the Year Cumulative Total Disbursement Cumulative Amount Repaid Balance of Group Fund Savings No. of Houses built Coverage Members Groups Centers No. of Villages covered 1997 (Million US$) $ 370 16 1996 (Million US$) $ 238 4 1995 (Million US$) $ 344 18 1994 (Million US$) $ 352 34 1993 (Million US$) $ 260 42 1992 (Million US$) $ 142 15 1991 (Million US$) $ 86 8 1990 (Million US$) $ 85 6 1989 (Million US$) $ 1988 (Million US$) 60 7 $ 44 5 1987 (Million US$) $ 26 5 1986 (Million US$) $ 18 0 386 243 362 386 302 157 95 91 67 49 31 18 2224 1838 1596 1234 849 546 389 295 203 136 87 56 $ 1,869 $ 1,527 $ 1,293 91 402,747 81 329,040 75 331,201 $ 941 61 295,702 $ 619 $ 424 $ 317 $ 234 $ 15 $ 101 $ 66 $ 44 41 258,194 24 157,334 16 118,717 13 91,157 10 67,841 6 44,556 4 23,408 3 2,042 2,272,503 2,059,510 2,065,661 2,013,130 1,814,916 465,384 433,791 424,993 412,145 372,298 64,701 62,681 61,156 59,921 57,649 1,424,395 284,889 51,367 1,066,426 213,286 42,751 869,538 173,907 34,206 662,263 132,452 26,976 490,363 98,073 19,663 339,156 67,831 14,390 234,343 46,869 10,279 37,937 36,420 35,533 34,913 33,667 30,619 25,248 19,536 15,073 10,552 7,502 5,170 12,628 12,348 12,420 12,230 11,459 11,772 12,523 13,626 9,737 7,093 4,637 3,515 1,105 1,079 1,055 1,045 1,040 1,015 915 781 641 501 396 295 No. of Area offices 118 115 111 110 110 108 103 90 79 61 47 33 No. of Zonal offices 14 14 12 12 12 12 11 10 9 9 5 5 Employees No. of Branches Source: Grameen Bank Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 15 Exhibit 2 Grameen Bank Balance Sheet 1983-1997 1997 1996 1995 1994 (Million US$) (Million US$) (Million US$) (Million US$) 1993 (Million US$) 1992 (Million US$) 1991 (Million US$) 1990 (Million US$) 1989 (Million US$) 1988 (Million US$) 1987 (Million US$) 1986 (Million US$) 1985 (Million US$) 1984 (Million US$) 1983 (Million US$) PROPERTY AND ASSETS Taka/Dollar Cash in hand Balance with other banks 45.45 40.86 40.2 40 39.14 38.15 35.68 32.92 32.14 31.24 30.63 29.89 25.96 24.94 23.8 148,781 9,849 673 2,506 1,487 788 2,790 966 15,405 10,569 8,259 383 45 620 2109 8,112,524 9,404,633 10,672,325 8,221,369 8,685,191 3,977,529 1,880,062 1,825,304 1,528,192 1,106,391 728,304 648,468 737,098 799956 532866 80,046,485 44,579,075 34,108,344 40,659,918 32,737,576 19,974,207 12,780,090 13,328,436 14,570,090 8,416,795 5874098 1113445 276,323,642 223,903,187 115,961,668 71,501,295 64,318,666 49,571,650 35,047,881 21,027,318 11,072,946 9,478,296 7116211 3120689 373,068 193370 58533 Investment-at cost 101,215,898 148,348,392 90,906,953 Loans and advances 276,987,700 268,077,806 278,014,734 16,541,300 16,682,965 14,711,155 Fixed assets-at cost less accumulated depreciation Other assets Total 32,135,266 36,497,499 47,174,526 435,141,469 479,021,144 441,480,366 13,778,854 12,699,480 11,037,106 9,641,762 8,026,878 35,979,674 23,789,816 15,352,730 11,967,765 13,489,592 414,352,530 313,658,236 180,438,165 135,653,592 120,398,982 5,032,710 3,691,023 10,251,187 6,161,817 86,373,351 58,797,771 2,084,104 1,073,030 4,044,947 2,743,999 2,027,688 1117643 165079 41,221,368 30,108,916 21,032,990 15101898 4992721 4201681 CAPITAL AND LIABILITIES Share Capital: Authorized 11,001,100 12,236,907 12,437,811 12,500,000 6,387,328 6,553,080 7,006,726 3,037,667 3,111,388 3,201,024 3,264,773 3,345,601 3,852,080 4,009,623 Paid up 5,409,835 5,676,676 5,647,077 5,412,913, 3,832,397 3,917,471 3,205,255 2,187,120 2,239,919 1,822,119 1,374,567 1,186,567 1,155,624 1,009,423 756303 General and other reserves 2,743,297 2,679,781 2,191,184 1,759,053 1,274,156 560,944 210,671 264,277 180,460 118,438 88,149 76,949 77,042 65,410 -128751 - - - - - - - 15,940,170 10,482,682 7,342,545 4,850,819 3,074,915 1,536,996 777713 31,169,703 23,982,775 3587161 Revolving Funds Deposits and other funds 22,274,654 64,913 86,364,415 77,231,700 72,247,852 62,476,891 35,820,344 27,079,103 127,708,518 127,572,377 118,587,183 103,314,043 80,485,719 57,046,298 38,705,911 28,411,839 248,473,910 320,453,435 211,506,129 205,392,534 139,753,939 49,232,670 52,581,284 57,306,123 28,531,255 22,573,962 17,184,378 7,203,891 5,130,127 5,150,520 435,141,469 479,021,144 441,480,366 Borrowings from banks and foreign institutions Other liabilities Total Source: Grameen Bank 21,242,287 16,064,173 414,352,530 313,658,236 180,438,165 135,653,592 120,398,982 55,019,015 39,465,046 12,993,787 6,909,486 86,373,351 58,797,771 16,714,070 12,482,050 11,806 11,339 8,019 295 41,221,368 30,108,916 21,032,990 15,101,898 4992721 1,246,404 Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 16 Exhibit 3 Grameen Bank Income Statement, 1997 Income Statement Interest Income Loans and advances Investment Deposits Other Income Less: Interest Expenses Interest Deposits Borrowing Salaries and other related expenses Directors' remuneration Depreciation on fixed assets Other expenses Net profit before tax Provision for taxation Net income Appropriations General Reserve Employee's Welfare Fund Central Disaster Fund Source: Grameen Bank 1997 1,407,028,443 514,788,203 4,778,499 148,706,666 2,075,301,811 502,801,350 372,624,748 931,709,960 39,789 32,073,202 221,730,820 2,060,979,869 14,321,942 5,728,777 8,593,165 6,400,000 1,333,849 859,316 8,593,165 Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 17 Exhibit 4 Hierarchical Structure of Grameen Bank 15 Zones 121 Areas 1,137 Branches 77,712 Centers 486,870 Groups Source: Grameen Bank Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 18 Exhibit 5 The 16 decisions of Grameen Bank . 1. We shall follow and advance the four principles of Grameen Bank—Discipline, Unity, Courage and Hard work—in all walks of our lives. 2. Prosperity we shall bring to our families. 3. We shall not live in dilapidated houses. We shall repair our houses and work towards constructing new houses at the earliest. 4. We shall grow vegetables all the year round. We shall eat plenty of them and sell the surplus. 5. During the plantation seasons, we shall plant as many seedlings as possible. 6. We shall plan to keep our families small. We shall minimize our expenditures. We shall look after our health. 7. We shall educate our children and ensure that they can earn to pay for their education. 8. We shall always keep our children and the environment clean. 9. We shall build and use pit-latrines. 10. We shall drink water from tubewells. If it is not available, we shall boil water or use alum. 11. We shall not take any dowry at our sons' weddings, neither shall we give any dowry at our daughters wedding. We shall keep our centre free from the curse of dowry. We shall not practice child marriage. 12. We shall not inflict any injustice on anyone, neither shall we allow anyone to do so. 13. We shall collectively undertake bigger investments for higher incomes. 14. We shall always be ready to help each other. If anyone is in difficulty, we shall all help him or her. 15. If we come to know of any breach of discipline in any centre, we shall all go there and help restore discipline. 16. We shall take part in all social activities collectively. Source: “The 16 decisions of Grameen Bank,” http://www.grameen-info.org/bank/the16.html (October 17, 2005). Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 19 Exhibit 6 Map of Grameen Bank Zones RANGPUR BANGLADESH DNAJPUR SYLHET BOGRA TANGAIL MYMENSINGH RAJSHAHI DHAKA XGAU COMILIA FARIDPUR NOAKHALI Chittagong Hills Tracts KHULNA PATUAKHALI Bay of Bengal Islands BAY OF BENGAL Each zone of the Grameen Bank Chittagong Hill Tracts, not serviced by Grameen. Grameen did not service Bay of Bengal Islands in 1998 Source: Grameen Bank CHITTAGONG Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 20 Exhibit 7 Grameen Trust International Program From: Grameen Trust Experience: 1991-2002, H. I. Latifee In order to meet the challenge of poverty alleviation primarily on the basis of the lessons learned from Grameen Bank's operation, Grameen Trust (GT) was established in 1989. It is a private, non-profit and non-government organization. Professor Muhammad Yunus is the founder of Grameen Trust. VISION AND MISSION Grameen Trust is committed to the cause of poverty alleviation. It envisages a world free from poverty and hunger, where poverty will be a phenomenon of the past. GT’s mission is to undertake any programs that will help eradicate poverty. As a part of its mission, it provides financial and technical support to Grameen replications worldwide. It also supports poverty focused research and disseminates information on poverty related work. OBJECTIVES GT has the following objectives: 1. To support and promote GB-type programs to reduce poverty 2. To provide training and technical assistance to micro-credit organizations. 3. To publish materials on Grameen technology and disseminate information on the Grameen Bank Replication Program (GBRP). 4. To build an international network of concerned people and institutions working in the field of poverty alleviation and providing financial services to the poor. 5. To conduct research and support research projects, to undertake and encourage experimentation to find ways to bring about socio-economic changes in the lives of the poor. 6. To promote and operate health and sanitation services for the benefit of the poor. 7. To organize and operate any project or enterprise that will help increase employment, income and management skills of the poor. PROGRAMS Grameen Bank Replication Program Grameen Trust completes 12 years of operation as an institution providing financial and technical assistance to microcredit organizations. Within the period from 1991-2002 it has provided assistance to 112 organizations in 34 countries, including 86 organizations in Asia and Pacific alone. It has directly operated three projects in Afghanistan, Myanmar and Kosovo under its ‘Build, Operate and Transfer“ (BOT) model. Grameen Trust (GT) started its Grameen Bank Replication Program (GBRP) in 1991 when the world was only just beginning to realize the power of microcredit as a tool for poverty alleviation. Given the success of Grameen Bank in designing a system to provide collateral free credit to the poor and providing them with financial services, many people and organizations became interested in learning more about the Grameen Bank Approach (GBA) and applying it in their poverty focused programs. Their interest was genuine. However, they experienced great difficulty in learning GBA techniques and mobilizing funds for operational and on lending purposes. These were challenges that faced all microcredit practitioners. Grameen Trust accepted this challenge, and started developing a support system for potential replicates of GBA in different countries. The Grameen Bank Replication Program (GBRP) includes the Dialogue Program, training, workshop, monitoring, evaluation, technical and financial assistance. It also includes advocacy and networking. Dialogue Program The Dialogue program is intended for potential Grameen replicators and other microcredit practitioners. It is the first step in the development of a partnership with GT. It provides immersion into Grameen milieu and assists in the design of Grameen-type programs. It facilitates a widening of the network of individuals and organizations using microcredit as an instrument for poverty alleviation. Up to the end of September 2002, GT has organized 47 Dialogue programs and received 879 participants from 98 countries of Asia, Africa, Australia, Pacific Islands, Europe, North, South and Central Americas. Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 21 These programs included Dialogue programs specially organized for participants from Commonwealth countries, from organizations like Results, USA and from North-South Dialogue, Germany. During the Dialogue Program, participants see Grameen operation on the ground, attend centre meetings, interview borrowers, learn about their lives and livelihoods and try to understand how collateral free microcredit helps them overcome their poverty. They also talk to the Grameen staff at different levels (branch, area, zone and head office) to understand the philosophy, tools and techniques of the Grameen methodology, and to examine whether using these will serve the poor in their own localities. Dialogue Programs have acted as a catalyst resulting in the replication of GBA worldwide. There are now more than 600 replication projects in 81 countries, including the ones supported by GT. Support has been given to those projects that have committed leadership, but little or no access to funds. Source: Grameen Bank Grameen Bank SM-116 Exhibit 8 Number of Grameen Trust Replication Projects by Country Country Number Country Number Country Number Bangladesh 5 Indonesia 1 Pakistan 2 Bolivia 1 Kenya 1 Philippines 13 Central Africa 1 Kyrghyzstan 1 Tanzania 2 Bosnia 1 Lesotho 1 Togo 1 China 6 Mauritania 2 Uganda 2 Egypt 1 Nepal 5 Vietnam 2 India 11 Nigeria 2 Zimbabwe 1 source: “Update on Grameen Trust Partner Organizations: May 1998,” Grameen Dialogue, May, 1998. p. 22 Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 23 Exhibit 9 Grameen Family of Enterprises GRAMEEN TRUST As a result of the success of Grameen Bank in reaching and serving the poor with credit, many people and organizations began to think in Grameen's way, and wanted to learn more about Grameen and follow Grameen's principles in their own sphere of work. It is primarily to meet this demand that the Grameen Trust (GT) came into being in 1989. GRAMEEN FUND Grameen Fund was incorporated on January 17, 1994 as a not-for-profit company and started operations on February 1, 1994. Its emphasis is on providing finance to ventures that are risky, technology-oriented and otherwise deprived of financing from existing formal lending institutions. GRAMEEN COMMUNICATIONS Grameen Communications, a member of Grameen family of enterprises, is a not-for-profit Information Technology company. It has been providing complete systems solution through developing software products and services, internet services, hardware & networking services and IT education services since its inception in 1997 under the Companies Act, 1994. GRAMEEN SHAKTI/ENERGY Grameen Shakti (GS) is a not-for-profit rural power company whose purpose is to supply renewable energy to unelectrified villages in Bangladesh. GS expects not only to supply renewable energy services, but also to create employment and income-generation opportunities in rural Bangladesh. GRAMEEN SHIKKHA/EDUCATION Grameen Shikkha is a company in the family of Grameen companies. Established in 1997 its main objectives are to promote mass education in rural areas, provide financial support in the form of loans and grants for the purpose of education, use IT for alleviation of illiteracy and development of education, promote new technologies and innovate ideas and methods for development of education, etc. Grameen Shikkha has been conducting the Life Oriented Education Program, Pre-school/Child Development Program, Early Childhood Development Program and Arsenic Mitigation Program in various districts of Bangladesh. GRAMEEN TELECOM Grameen Telecom is a company dedicated to bringing the information revolution to the rural people of Bangladesh. Grameen Telecom is planning, over the next four years, to provide GSM 900/1100 cellular mobile phone service to 100 million rural inhabitants in 68,000 villages of Bangladesh by (1) financing 60,000 members of Grameen Bank to provide village pay phone service and (2) providing direct phones to potential subscribers. GRAMEEN KNITWEAR LIMITED Grameen Knitwear Limited: The company is a 100 percent export oriented composite knitwear factory, located in the Export Processing Zone in Savar in the vicinity of Dhaka, the capital of Grameen Bank SM-116 p. 24 Bangladesh. It has knitting, dyeing, finishing and garments production facilities. Most of the machinery and equipment have been sourced from Europe. The factory is capable of producing a very high quality of different knit fabrics and garments for children, men and women. The fabrics and garments are fabric and yarn dyed 100 percent cotton, TC, CVC, Polyester with lycra (attachment) etc., of various counts. The goods are currently exported mostly to Europe. Exports are made against confirmed irrevocable letters of credit. GRAMEEN CYBERNET LTD Grameen Cybernet Ltd. has been Bangladesh's leader in Internet service provision since it commenced operation in July 1996. Its chief executive has had an extensive career in education and information technology in the U.S. and is assisted by a team of bright, young executives. Source: “Grameen Family of Enterprises,” http://www.grameen-info.org/gfamily.html, (October 18, 2005)