ChavistJustice Version April 30, 2017 Accepted by Latin American Policy THE CHAVIST REVOLUTION AND THE JUSTICE SYSTEM Rogelio Pérez Perdomo Andrea Y. Santacruz Universidad Metropolitana. Caracas Abstract In past Venezuelan experiences with authoritarian regimes, the strongman directly handled the punishment of the opposition, and the courts dealt with non-political cases. In the present day ‘revolutionary’ regime, courts are not only in charge of punishing the dissidence but they have become the main legitimation force of the regime. In December 2015, following a landslide victory of the opposition in parliamentary elections, the lame-duck National Assembly appointed the Supreme Court’s justices in an irregular procedure and without paying attention to the constitutional requirement for these positions. The Supreme Court is consequently completely dominated by the regime and has deprived the National Assembly of its function, concentrating all powers in the President of the Republic. A controversial Supreme Court has become the only instrument for the legitimation of a regime that has lost completely the popular support. Citizens have taken to the streets to protest against the regime that has destroyed democracy and has subjected the country to deep political and economic crises. Resumen En las pasadas dictaduras venezolanas del siglo XX, el dictador manejaba sus propios medios para castigar oponentes. Los tribunales se ocupaban de los casos no políticos. Bajo el actual régimen ‘revolucionario’, los tribunales no solo están a cargo del castigo a los opositores sino que la Corte Suprema se ha convertido en el principal apoyo del régimen. Tras el demoledor triunfo de la oposición en las elecciones parlamentarias de diciembre de 2015, la saliente Asamblea Nacional designó los magistrados de la Corte Suprema fueron sin seguir el procedimiento establecidos en la constitución. La mayoría de los magistrados designados no tienen los requisitos constitucionales para ser designados. Esta Corte Suprema ha declarado inconstitucional los actos de la nueva Asamblea hasta dejarla definitivamente desprovista de funciones y concentrar todo el poder en el Presidente de la República. Una Corte Suprema cuestionada en su legitimidad se ha convertido en el único apoyo institucional de un régimen que ha perdido completamente el apoyo popular. Los ciudadanos han salido a las calles para protestar contra un régimen que ha sometido el país a una grave crisis económica y política. Rogelio Pérez Perdomo is law professor and former dean. Andrea Santacruz is law professor and head of the Human Rights Center, Universidad Metropolitana. We thank Sonne Lemke for assistance with editing the English. 1 A common sense perception is that a strongman or top military or party group holds the political power in an authoritarian regime and that judges and law have very little importance. Scholarly research has added nuance or modified this perception (Toharia, 1975; Osiel, 1995; Pereira, 2005; Hilbink, 2007) to acknowledge that judges play a role in authoritarian regimes, even though the role is not always the same. Judges may directly support the regime, be marginal to the political system, or maintain relative independence that can serve to legitimize the regime. Venezuela has long experience with authoritarian regimes and thus provides rich material for analyzing the relation between the political power and the justice system. It also offers an opportunity to analyze the more general issue of the relation between rule of law and democracy. The early 20th century was dominated by the dictatorship of Juan Vicente Gómez. From 1909 to 1935 General Gómez controlled the political scene. Even though he was not the President of the Republic for all these years, he clearly made the most important decisions. During this period the legislative branch produced mostly liberal legislation (Caballero, 1993; Pérez Perdomo, 2007), and the courts decided cases with apparent independence. Important judges and legal actors have written that General Gómez did not order or suggest judicial decisions, and political actors have reported that they respected the judges’ functions and independence (Arcaya, 1983). These reports appear to be legitimate because important political cases did not go to the courts. These cases were handled in another way: the “tyrant’s justice”. This “justice” was not based on law, and judges did not intervene in it. It was often very cruel (Pérez Perdomo, 2007, 2011). Under General Pérez Jiménez (1952-1958), the relations between the political rulers and judges were similar. Here again, an important actor, Tulio Chiossone, a justice of the Sala Penal de la Corte de Casación, reported that the President and the Minister of Justice did not influence decisions (Chiossone, 1988). Evidence suggests that Luis Felipe Urbaneja, the Minister of Justice, protected judges and their independence. On the other hand, the fearsome Seguridad Nacional, famous for the free use of torture and political assassinations, reported directly to Pérez Jiménez, and lawyers and judges were not allowed to interfere with the resulting repression (Pérez Perdomo, 2011, 2015). Under the democratic regime beginning in 1958, the political parties controlled judges. From 1969 onwards, the Council of the Judiciary was in charge of appointing, promoting and disciplining judges, and it generally performed these tasks using political criteria. The police frequently abused citizens’ rights, especially in the case of citizens from the lower classes. The legal complex had very little concern for human rights, except if the affected individuals could pay their lawyers well or were connected with the country’s elites (Pérez Perdomo, 2003). 2 In the 1990s the political system entered a deep crisis (Kornblith, 1998). Political parties, politicians, judges and the national parliament had very little prestige, in large part due to the perception of rampant corruption and impunity. Street crime rose and the mano dura contra el crimen (iron fist against crime) policy was in fact an increase in police abuses against the lower classes. The criminal system was shameful. Prisons were filled with people awaiting verdicts, because the courts worked at such slow pace that a final decision in a case could take five or six years. A strong movement to provide access to justice, reform the criminal process, regulate the police, and reduce systemic abuses took shape. Between 1995 and 1998 the National Congress approved legislation for a system of justices of peace, a new code of criminal procedure, and new legislation on children and adolescents. The general thrust of the new legislation was “garantist”: the protection of citizens’ rights and freedom. The country decided to invest in modernizing the justice system and asked for loans from the World Bank for this purpose. The late 1990s became the time of “justice reform” (Pérez Perdomo, 2004). This was part of a general institutional reform (reforma del estado) that also provided more autonomy to municipalities and states. The institutional answer to the crisis of democracy was more democracy and freedom. During this period, the Supreme Court of Justice gained in independence and importance when the political parties and the political system experienced a grave crisis. The failure of the “elite conciliation” or “harmony illusion” model resulted in many more conflicts going before judges, particularly the Supreme Court. Cecilia Sosa, the first woman Chief Justice, became a weekly fixture in television news explaining the most important Supreme Court decisions. But the justices were aware that the court was an outdated institution. By 1997 the court had streamlined its administrative procedures and started using technology to publish its decisions immediately and to provide frequent data on its performance (Pérez Perdomo, 2004). These efforts came too late. In December 1998 the people elected as president Lieutenant Colonel Hugo Chávez, who had attempted a coup d’état six years earlier. His promise was a Bolivarian revolution. This included “frying in oil the corrupt politicians’ heads” and calling a national constituent assembly to produce a new constitution and to refound the republic. Many people saw in Chavez’ irruption an opportunity to correct the flaws of Venezuelan democracy, in particular, the severe flaws of the justice system. In the first part of this article, we will analyze how this dream very quickly turned into a nightmare. In the second part, we will describe some of the misdeeds of the new political situation. In the conclusion, we will explain the present conditions: how a weak court has become practically the only legitimation for a regime that has failed to achieve the minimum requirements to operate a state. A dream turned nightmare 3 Thanks to a quite creative interpretation by the Supreme Court, Chávez was able to call a constituent assembly where he enjoyed a huge majority. The assembly drafted a long constitution with five autonomous branches of public power, but with a concentration of power in the President of the Republic. The Supreme Court was strengthened with the elimination of the Council of the Judiciary and the creation of a constitutional chamber with broad power to interpret the constitution and take action to protect it. As defined by the constitution, the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela became a state with “rule of law and justice” (Constitution, article 2). The constitution also enacted a set of rules for guaranteeing the strong intellectual preparation and independence of the justices of the Supreme Court and of judges. The process of selection of justices is complex: there is a Judicial Appointments Committee with representation of several sectors, opportunity for the society at large to object to candidates, intervention of the Citizens’ Branch of the Public Power (Poder Ciudadano) and final decision by a qualified majority of the National Assembly. All other judges have to be appointed by a public and competitive examination (concurso público de oposición). The matter was considered so important that the National Assembly approved the rules for the public examination of judicial candidates before approving the constitution. The first public examinations went well. A good number of candidates took the public examination, and 270 judges were appointed out of a total of 400 vacancies. But the Appointments Committee for justices of the Supreme Court never was established, and the National Assembly chose the justices using political criteria. The Supreme Court suspended the public examinations and decided to appoint ‘provisory’ judges: judges who did not have any tenure in their position. Very soon the Bolivarian revolution became the ‘socialism of the XXI century’ and Chávez showed his worst authoritarian face. Among the victims of the authoritarian style was the Venezuelan oil company, a state monopoly that provided a large portion of the country’s fiscal income. A previous tacit agreement between politicians was to keep this company outside the control of political parties. Chávez did not respect the agreement and took other measures limiting property and other economic rights. Resistance to the regime increased very quickly. Large popular demonstrations and strikes became common in Caracas and other cities. On April 11, 2002, armed gangs loyal to Chávez attacked a huge demonstration marching to the presidential palace to demand Chávez’s resignation. The consequence was 19 people killed and about 100 injured. The military commanders, who had not wanted to interfere with the demonstration, asked for Chavez’s resignation, put him in prison, and decided to appoint a new president, without following the constitutional procedure. General Baduel, who commanded the strongest garrison outside Caracas, did not join the coup d’état, and Chávez was reinstated on April 13, 2002. In the 1999 Constitution, high military officers enjoy a procedural privilege. If they commit a crime, the Supreme Court has to authorize their trial. In August 2002, the Attorney General asked for this authorization but a divided Supreme 4 Court did not provide it. The argument was legal: there was no evidence of military rebellion, the imputed crime. Chávez insulted the justices on television, and a violent multitude attacked the Supreme Court building. The political crisis that followed obliged the intervention of the Organization of American States and the negotiated solution was a referendum revocatorio (a recall). The population had to decide whether Chávez could continue as President. With extreme populist policies, Chávez regained the favor of the majority and won the recall in 2004. Profiting from the majority in the National Assembly, in May 2004, the regime approved a new Ley Orgánica del Tribunal Supremo de Justicia, forced a number of justices to retire, and increased the number of justices from 20 to 32. Velázquez Alvaray, a leading Chavist Member of the Parliament, was designated justice and President of the Judicial Committee. He led a radical purge of the judiciary in which several hundred judges were dismissed. From that time on, the regime exercised complete control of the Supreme Court and the entire judiciary (Pérez Perdomo, 2011). Given these events, it is no surprise that the Supreme Court has become an “instrument in the service of the revolution” as Canova González et al. (2014) put it. These jurists have examined all the Supreme Court decisions between 2006 and 2012 and found that there were no decisions against the government. These findings are most remarkable because the government is openly arbitrary, for example, decreeing expropriations without paying compensation, imprisoning opposition leaders, and committing all manner of abuses. The Supreme Court has exerted tight political control on the entire judiciary. In March 18, 2009, the court declared a full restructuring of the judiciary. All judges became subject to ‘institutional evaluation’. Tenure was suspended (TSJ Resolución 2009-0008). The official information of the Supreme Court states that 27 percent of judges are ‘titulares’ (TSJ web page 2017), but this does not seem to imply a tenured position. The Supreme Court justices have not escaped this tight political control. In a public discourse in 2007 Chávez reminded them that they had to consult with him on important decisions (Chávez, quoted by Brewer-Carías, 2012:47-48). Two justices, who were prominent as Chavists, fell into disgrace and now are fugitive: Luis Velázquez Alvaray and Eladio Aponte Aponte. The Venezuelan political regime has been called ‘hybrid’, which implies a special place for courts and judges (Sánchez Uribarri, 2011). It has a democratic and rule-of-law façade and an authoritarian and repressive nature. This situation distinguishes it from authoritarian regimes of the past. Under Gómez and Pérez Jiménez there was a dual justice system. The tyrant’s justice was in charge of political repression. Ordinary justice was responsible for non-political cases. Judges were marginal to the political system but they could be ‘independent’. Under the ‘hybrid’ regime, independence is no longer possible. Judges are responsible for repression and for sustaining the regime. 5 Postcards from the abyss They are many examples of abuses of the justice system for political and personal repression or advantage. In this section we will briefly describe some of them. In response to the attack on the huge political demonstration on April 11, 2002, a criminal investigation was initiated. It was a convoluted procedure that took more than six years. Early on, the judge’s decision was to exclude from consideration those Chavist supporters who shot at the demonstrators. Several police officers who were in charge of protecting the demonstrators were condemned to 30 year in prison. Seven other police agents were each condemned to 17 years in prison. Alfredo Peña, Metropolitan Mayor of Caracas, the ultimate supervisor of these policemen, went into exile to avoid prosecution and died in Miami in 2016. The Corte Primera de lo Contencioso Administrativo (First Administrative Court) was the most important tribunal after the Supreme Court. The Corte Primera made several decisions that interfered with important policies of Chavez’ government. On September 23, 2003, the Government decided to take over the court with the help of the political police and military forces. This extreme move was justified as necessary for an investigation of corruption. Instead of documenting corruption, the government found that the Administrative Chamber of the Supreme Court had previously revoked a decision on land ownership and that decision revealed a serious legal error by the five judges of the court. On October 30, 2003, the Supreme Court decided to fire the judges Apitz, Perkins Rocha, Ruggeri and Morales and retire judge Marrero. In 2008, the Inter American Human Rights Courts directed the Venezuelan Republic to reinstall the fired judges Apitz, Perkins Rocha and Ruggeri or to pay compensation. This and other decision by the Inter American Court led the Venezuelan government to pull out of the Inter American Treaty for the Protection of Human Rights. It is remarkable that judges Morales and Marrero, who had written dissenting opinions in other cases where the decision was unfavorable to the government, were soon appointed justices of the Supreme Court and Luisa Estella Morales became the chief justice. On December 12, 2008, Judge Maria Lourdes Afiuni decided to give bail to banker Eligio Cedeño, who had been in preventive prison for years in a delayed criminal procedure. Cedeño immediately took advantage of the decision to disappear. Shortly after the decision, President Chávez went on television to accuse the judge of corruption and demand 30 years in prison for her. She was captured, abused and violated in prison (Olivares, 2012). She was free on bail in 2013 but the criminal procedure continues. Mariela Casado, Judge-President of the Bolivar State Circuit, found guilty the powerful crime boss Wilmer Brizuela (known as Wilmito). Wilmito had the protection of the Governor of Bolivar and the Interior Minister. Wilmito ordered the 6 judge to be killed, but the killer mistakenly murdered her sister in 2010. As the only effective protection measure available to her, judge Casado quit her position and left the country. Wilmito, found guilty of several homicides, was injured when vacationing in the Margarita Island with a special status given by the Minister for Penitentiary Affairs. On March 30, 2017, Wilmito was killed by a rival criminal organization (www.el-nacional.com. April 1, 2017). On April 18th, 2012, Justice Eladio Aponte Aponte appeared on SoiTV, a Miami television station, and described the functioning of the Venezuelan judicial system and his role in it. He was the chairperson of the Criminal Chamber of the Supreme Court and previously was the Attorney General for Military Justice. He was a trusted Chavist judge in charge of conveying orders to other penal judges and protecting drug traffickers associated with the government. Those familiar with the functioning of justice in Venezuela knew of the tight control of judges and the government’s protection of criminals but were surprised that a high-ranking member of Chavist nomenklatura revealed all these misdeeds in detail. Aponte Aponte asked for refuge in the United States and became an informant for the Drug Enforcement Administration (www.eluniversal.com April 18, 2012. Partial transcription and analysis in Brewer, 2012). On February 12th, 2014, a huge demonstration took place across Caracas. The demonstrators were demanding freedom for political prisoners, crime control and the end of armed gangs supported by the government. When the demonstration ended, violence erupted. Several people were killed, and the police forces took a number of prisoners. Smaller demonstration by young people continued over the next days, and the police and armed gangs increased their repressive measures. More people were killed or made prisoners. Criminal indictments were brought against more than 1,000. Many young people decided to leave the country in the face of the threat of increased repression (Pérez Perdomo, 2014). Scores of people were sent to prisons, including Leopoldo López, a leading opposition figure with great appeal among young people. An irregular trial followed. On September 15th 2015, the judge condemned López to 13 years and 9 months in prison for a number of crimes and sent him to a military prison. A number of young people were also condemned. On October 23rd Prosecutor Franklin Nieves declared that the entire procedure was farcical and based on faked evidence. He declared himself repentant, asked for forgiveness from López and his family, and took refuge in the United States. The prosecutor’s act did not have any influence on the proceedings: the appellate court and the Supreme Court confirmed the decision. Because of election victories by the opposition, 2016 promised to be the year of regime change. In December 2015 the opposition won the National Assembly by a landslide. Soon the opposition parties demanded a recall of President Maduro (referendum revocatorio). The recall procedure has to be authorized and conducted by the National Council of Elections, which is controlled by the government. The Council imposed all manner of obstacles. Furthermore, a previous referendum against President Chavez was a bitter experience: those who signed the petition for 7 the referendum were placed on an electronic list of regime enemies (Lista Tascon) and suffered discrimination. Civil servants were fired and any dealing with the government became difficult or impossible for individuals on this list. It was a clear case of political apartheid (Jatar-Hausman, 2006). Despite this previous experience and new threats, people signed in massive numbers. However, the regime chose to claim fraud in the collection of signatures by the National Council of Elections. Several criminal judges in different parts of the country decided that there was some evidence of fraud and asked the National Council of Elections to suspend the recall procedure. The Council also suspended the election of state governors due in December 2016 and instead called for a revalidation of the opposition parties. Opposition supporters had to once again sign indicating which political party they supported. In these actions, judges were instrumental in depriving Venezuelans of their political rights. On February 18th, 2017, journalists Andreas Díaz, Rumel Ochoa and Eduardo Párraga flew a drone to take pictures of a demonstration demanding freedom for political prisoners. The SEBIN (the political police) seized the journalists and brought them to court on February 20th. Judge Karla Moreno ruled that they had not committed any crime and ordered their release. The SEBIN group insisted on their being held, and the judge submitted her resignation rather than comply. A big brouhaha erupted in the court when the SEBIN group tried to take the judge with them but was prevented by court employees who protected her (www.accesoalajusticia.org). This incident makes clear that the SEBIN considers itself above the courts. As of March, SEBIN held 21 political prisoners who had received release orders (El Nacional, March 28, 2017, front page). These postcards are only a small sample of the many abuses committed by the regime. Judges collaborate with government repression, but when they do not go along with it and show a minimum of independence, they become victims, too. A weak court as regime’s Atlas According to the 1999 constitution, the Venezuelan Supreme Court is very powerful. It has control over the entire judiciary and can carry out extensive judicial review. In particular, the Constitutional Chamber of the Supreme Court has extensive powers. It can review the decisions of the other chambers on constitutional grounds and can enforce the constitution without the need of a case being brought. If the legislature does not produce legislation or take the actions the constitution requires, the Constitutional Chamber can take the necessary actions in its place (Constitution, article 336, number 7). The constitution also has established strict requirements and procedures for the selection of Supreme Court justices. These are aimed at ensuring that the justices are jurists of well-recognized competence, honesty and independence. They are required to have a higher law degree and extensive experience (at least 15 years 8 of legal practice). Alternatively, they may be a tenured professor of law (profesor titular) or an appellate judge with 15 years of judicial career. For the selection of justices, the Judicial Appointments Committee, which intentionally should represent different sectors of society, makes the initial selection and hears any objection from the profession or the public. The preselected candidates are then passed to the Citizens’ Branch of the public power, which makes a further selection and presents the final list of candidates to the National Assembly (Constitution, articles 263, 264 and 270). All judges should be politically independent and cannot be members of any political party or trade association. The regime has taken lightly these constitutional requirements. The Judicial Appointments Committee does not exist, and from 2004 onwards, the actual basic requirement has been loyalty to the regime. Most justices are little known and many do not meet the constitutional requisites for being a justice of the Supreme Court. As we noted earlier, a judge previously dismissed for having committed grave legal mistakes was later appointed justice and became Chief Justice. The opposition’s overwhelming victory in the parliamentary elections in December 2015 led the regime to strengthen its grip on the Supreme Court. About a third of justices then sitting on the court had terms expiring by mid 2016. The regime pressured the justices in this situation to resign, and a lame duck National Assembly rushed to appoint new justices in their place. All the steps of the appointment process were disregarded. As a result, most of these justices do not have even the minimum requirements for being appointed. Their qualification is that they are trustworthy Chavist (www.accesoalajusticia.org/wp/perfil-poderjudicial, 2017). Present day Chief Justice Maikel Moreno has a homicide conviction. As expected the Supreme Court has become the battering ram against the National Assembly. The first decision was to suspend the deputies of the Amazon State because of allegations of electoral fraud. But the Electoral Chamber did not order a new election because the true political objective was to deprive the opposition of its super majority. A new election would probably have produced similar results or increased the opposition representation. During 2016, practically every decision of the National Assembly was judged to be unconstitutional. The Supreme Court, especially the Constitutional Chamber, has produced about 50 decisions of this nature in clear abuse of judicial review. Pérez-Perdomo & Santacruz (2016) analyzed the Supreme Court decisions during the first semester of 2016, but this research strategy would be extremely burdensome today. Decisions are too many and span many fields. In a very abusive interpretation of the constitution, the Supreme Court has deprived the National Assembly of every constitutional function and, at the same time, the Constitutional Chamber has concentrated all public power in President Maduro. Constitutionally, the National Assembly can disapprove the declaration of emergency that gives 9 extraordinary powers to the President, but this constitutional disposition has fallen under the interpretation power of the Supreme Court. The crown jewels of the constitutional changes done by the Constitutional Chamber are the decisions 155-2017 and 156-2017 (March 27 and 29). In the first case the leader of the Chavist minority in the National Assembly asked the Constitutional Chamber to void a declaration of support for actions by the Organization of American States aimed at reestablishing democracy in Venezuela. The Constitutional Chamber obliged, and in addition, exhorted the President to take all necessary measures to counteract the external threats. The exhortation included modification of criminal and military legislation. It also declared that the opposition representatives in the National Assembly did not have the immunity established in the Constitution and that their support to the Organization of American States could be considered treasonous to the fatherland. The Supreme Court stated that the National Assembly was illegitimate because it had disrespected the decisions of the court. The Venezuelan national oil company (PDVSA) started the second case. This national company wanted to change the terms of association with the Russian oil company (Rosneft). The Venezuelan government is desperate for cash, and Russia and China have been helping, but in return, they want a bigger chunk of Venezuelan oil and mining resources. The National Assembly has to approve such contract changes. For this reason, in decision 156-2017, the Constitutional Chamber declared that, given that the National Assembly had ceased to function, the approval of the Executive Power was sufficient. According to this decision, the Supreme Court, or the institution the Court chooses, can take over the functions of the National Assembly. Since the opposition victory in the parliamentary elections, the Supreme Court and the Executive have created difficulties for the functioning of the National Assembly. Representatives are not paid, and electric service to the Assembly has been cut off. The Supreme Court’s decisions formally suppressing the National Assembly were the straw that broke the camel’s back. Citizens went into the streets to protest. The Attorney General declared that the constitution had been violated by these decisions. Several Latin American governments recalled their ambassadors. Mercosur, the common market for a group of South American countries, voted to apply their democratic provision and suspended Venezuela’s membership. President Maduro called the Council of Defense and Security, an advisory board with military representation, on Friday March 31st. This Council exhorted the Constitutional Chamber to revise its rulings. According to Venezuelan law, judges cannot modify their decisions once they are made. They can only correct material mistakes or clarify their meaning. The Constitutional Chamber met and decided to “clarify” motu proprio the two decisions. The Chief Justice went on television immediately to announce that the most controversial parts of the decisions had been changed. This was a new demonstration of the justices’ lack of independence. The Supreme Court only published the decisions (157-2017 and 158-2017) several 10 days later, on April 4th. The decisions received severe criticism from Venezuelan legal scholars and lawyers (for example, Brewer-Carías, 2017). President Maduro called for new dialog with the opposition. As the opposition has bitter experience with delaying strategies, the supposedly conciliatory moves did not have any effect. People kept demonstrating against the regime and the Supreme Court. Bar associations, professors of law and a host of institutions from many parts of the world condemned the Venezuelan regime. A growing chorus of voices is demanding freedom for political prisoners and free elections. But the regime has destroyed any possible institutional way out of the crisis that grows deeper every day. The economy is in shambles. Increasing numbers of Venezuelans are dying daily from hunger or lack of medication. At the moment we write this article (April 2017), the regime’s lack of legitimacy and inability to resolve the country’s deep crisis are evident. In recent weeks, 29 people have died as a consequence of repression and fifteen hundred has been detained. Other than naked repression, the only legitimacy that is invoked is the Supreme Court’s decisions. But the shoulders of this new Atlas are too weak to support the regime’s world. Six of the seven justices of the Constitutional Chamber do not fulfill the constitutional requirements for being justices of the Supreme Court (Moreno Losada, 2017). By maneuvering the composition of the Supreme Court and putting it at the regime’s service in a naked way, the regime has weakened its capacity to legitimate itself with the help of judges. Venezuelans understand that these are not judges. With the institutional channels closed, the street, coupled with international pressure, is the only course remaining. Changes in the government thus become very traumatic. This is the drama and trauma we are living in Venezuela. Social sciences cannot predict the future. 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