Unit E Fiscal and Monetary Policies Why We Need? The Basics • Fiscal Policy: • government spending • taxing • borrowing • Monetary Policy: • regulating the economy by controlling the amount of money in circulation and the level of interest rates The Basics of Fiscal Policy • The players – Finance Ministry – PMO • Taxes = revenues • Spending = outlays • Subsidies = Fund Transfer FM Discretionary and Mandatory Spending • The Union Budget can be divided into two types of spending according to how PMO appropriates the money: • discretionary – refers to the portion of the budget which goes through the annual appropriations process each year • mandatory – Required by statute – Social Security, etc. Annual Budget Process Step 1: FM Submits a Budget Proposal; Step 2: Parliament Passes a Budget Resolution Step 3: Loksabha Subcommittees 'Markup' Appropriation Bills; Step 4: The House and Parliament Vote on Appropriation Bills and Reconcile Differences; Step 5: The Prime Minister Signs each Appropriation Bill and the Budget is Enacted. Fiscal Policies to Encourage Growth • EXPANSIONARY • Increase Spending and Lower Taxes – More money stimulates the economy – Cuts taxes increases disposable income – Businesses expand and create jobs Expected Result: increased growth and higher employment EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY the multiplier at work... $5 billion initial increase in spending Price level AS Full $20 billion increase in aggregate demand P1 AD2 $490 AD1 $510 Real GDP (billions) Fiscal Policies to Stabilize • CONTRACTIONARY • Increase Taxes and Lower Spending – Increase taxes to slow the economy and reduce inflation – Less disposable income – Slower business activity leads to lower profits Result: low inflation rates and stable growth CONTRACTIONARY FISCAL POLICY the multiplier at work... $5 billion initial decrease in spending Price level AS P2 Full $20 billion decrease in aggregate demand P1 AD3 AD4 $510 $522 Real GDP (billions) Graphs of Fiscal Policy Trends and Recent Developments Source: Office of Management and Budget, FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DEFICIT IN INDIA FISCAL DEFICIT IN INDIA Part II – Monetary Policy Monetary Policy • RESERVE BANK OF INDIA: – The Reserve Bank of India was established on April 1, 1935 in accordance with the provisions of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934. – The Central Office of the Reserve Bank was initially established in Calcutta but was permanently moved to Mumbai in 1937. The Central Office is where the Governor sits and where policies are formulated. – Though originally privately owned, since nationalisation in 1949, the Reserve Bank is fully owned by the Government of India. • Monetary Policy is Fast • instantaneous impact on markets and banking / financial system • Not burdened by the political process or government bureaucracy of fiscal policy Monetary Policy Tools MONETARY POLICY AND EQUILIBRIUM GDP Real rate of interest, i Sm1 Sm2 Sm3 10 10 8 8 6 6 Dm 0 Quantity of money demanded and supplied AS Price level Investment Demand P3 P2 P1 AD3(I=$25) AD2(I=$20) AD1(I=$15) Real domestic output, GDP 0 Amount of investment, i If the Money Supply Increases to Stimulate the Economy… Interest Rate Decreases Investment Increases AD & GDP Increases with slight inflation Increasing money supply continues the growth – but, watch Price Level.