Theory of Production Production • Production is the process of converting inputs into output • Production is the process of transformation of inputs like land, labour, capital and entrepreneurship into goods and services of utility to consumers and/or producers • It is the process of creation of value or wealth through the production of goods and services that have economic value Fixed Input & Variable Input • Typically the production analysis of a firm is done using two distinguished time frame, Short Run (SR) and Long Run (LR) • In SR, supply or availability of some of the inputs of production is fixed • In LR firm can vary all its inputs including technology • Based on horizon, inputs are classified as variable and fixed Fixed Input & Variable Input • Fixed Input – Level cannot be altered rapidly with production in short-run. e.g. Plant Size, Technology • Variable Input – Level can be altered according to the changes in production level. e.g. Labour, Raw Material Factors of Production • Land: It not only incorporate dry surface of the earth but also natural resources on or under the earth surface like forests, rivers, sunlight, minerals etc. – Return from land is called rent • Labour: Physical or mental effort that undertakes the production process. It can be unskilled, semi-skilled or skilled – Return for labour is called wages or salery Factors of Production • Capital: Wealth which is used for further production and of two types – Physical capital: equipments, buildings – Human capital: Knowledge and investment made by people through education and training that help to produce better goods and services – Return form capital is interest Production Function • It is the technical relationship between inputs and output • A commodity may be produced by using different combination of inputs with different technologies – Power can be produced from coal, gas, renewables etc with subcritical, super-critical or SPV technology • Production function includes all such technically efficient methods Production Function • Technical efficiency is defined as a situation when using more of one input with either the same amount or more of other input must increase output • Production function is – Always related to a given time period – Always related to a certain level of technology Production Function • Output: Q = f(L, K, Land, Raw material, efficiency) • In short-run, inputs like plant size, machine and equipments cannot be changed • Producer can increase output in SR by increasing only variable inputs like labour • In long-run all the inputs can vary Short run Production function • Q=f(L,K*); K* is fixed • Total Product (TP) – in short run when the capital input is fixed, output can be increased by increasing labour input – This is termed as TP of labour • TP increases at an increasing rate at first, then increases at a diminishing rate • Eventually TP falls with more employment Law of Diminishing Marginal Productivity Average & Marginal Products • Average Product, APL = TP/L • Marginal Product MPL – Additional output obtained by increasing an unit of labour input, combined with other fixed factors of production. In other words, MPL = ∆TP/∆L • When TP of labour increases at an increasing (decreasing) rate, MPL also rises (falls). • When TP of labour falls, MPL<0 Table showing TP, AP & MP L Q AP MP 0 0 - - 1 52 52 52 2 112 56 60 3 170 56.7 58 4 220 55 50 5 258 51.6 38 6 286 47.7 28 7 304 43.4 18 8 314 39.3 10 9 318 35.3 4 10 314 31.4 -4 K=2 Production Function With One Variable Input Law of Diminishing Marginal Productivity or Law of Diminishing Returns • As we increase units of labour, total output increases but not at a constant rate • In the beginning output increases at an increasing rate and finally it increases at a diminishing rate • We also have increasing and then diminishing marginal returns Law of Diminishing Returns • The law thus states that when increasing amounts of the variable input are combined with a fixed level of another input, a point will be reached where the marginal product of the variable input will decline • This law is based on actual observations of many production processes Example • MIT study reveals that too much wind and solar raises power system costs • Because adding more and more solar panels decline productivity • https://www.utilitydive.com/news/too-much-wind-and-solar-raises-powersystem-costs-deep-decarbonizationreq/568080/?fbclid=IwAR0l_3gosJ5sOhXtdidOqEbsjSu0faN1EGMMqWo yf7LBzEvaR62ZS6mFJqo • https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/07/14/1028461/solar-valuedeflation-california-climate-change/ Example • Costs they impose on the system become substantial once the contribution of renewables (wind and solar) exceeds 40% of the total electricity generation – First, more and more solar and wind production is “curtailed” — that is, the generator must be unplugged from the grid during its most productive hours because more electricity is being produced than is needed – Second, more back-up generating capacity is needed to fill in when the wind and solar are not producing. • Since that extra backup capacity is idle much of the time, it adds costs to the system. Production Function With One Variable Input If adding another worker increases output by more than the average product of the total labor force, then the marginal product of the new worker will raise the average product amount Law of Diminishing Returns • G is the point of inflection in TP curve • G/ is the corresponding point on MPL curve where MP attend its maximum value and starts falling thereafter • So, till G/ , increasing returns, MP max & MP>AP • Point H in TP curve is where AP=MP (H/) & • AP reaches its maximum value Law of Diminishing Returns • AP starts falling to the right of H/ • G/ to J/ Region of diminishing returns; MP>0 • At point J, TP reaches its maximum value and falling thereafter • At J/ MP is zero and negative thereafter – Region of negative returns MP & AP • If the marginal is greater than the average, then the average rises • If the marginal is less than the average, then the average declines • If the marginal is equal to the average, then the average does not change. Table showing TP, AP & MP L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Q 20 50 90 120 140 150 150 130 100 MPL 30 40 30 20 10 0 -20 -30 APL 20 25 30 30 28 25 21.5 16.25 11.1 Stages IR DR NR Increasing, Diminishing & Negative Returns Managerial Decisions • Rational firm should operate in Stage II • Stage I represents under-utilization of firm’s fixed inputs relative to its variables one • Stage III represents overutilization of its fixed inputs • Thus capacity planning is required at the beginning based on demand forecasting so that plant can operate in stage II Managerial Decisions • Thus, good capacity planning requires – Sophisticated techniques for estimating and forecasting demand and demand elasticities – Effective communication between production and marketing divisions as production division proceed based on technical point of view • A firm produces output according to the production function Q = 10KL2 – L3, where K denotes capital stock and L denotes no. of workers it hires. Suppose K = 10 Derive APL & MPL At what level of labour does DMR sets in? At what level of labour APL is highest? Ans: MPL =∂Q/ ∂L = 200L – 3L2 APL = Q/L = 10KL – L2 = 100L – L2 DMRS ∂(MPL)/ ∂L=0200-6L=0; L=33.33 Av Product max ∂(APL)/ ∂L=0 L=50 Production in the long run How to plot?? Production in the long run Q=F(L,K), L, K are variable • An Isoquant (meaning equal quantity) is a locus of points showing all possible combinations of the inputs physically capable of producing a given (fixed) level of output. • Each point is technically efficient – Technical efficiency is defined as a situation when using more of one input with either the same amount or more of other input must increase output An isoquant 45 a 40 Units of K 40 20 10 6 4 Units of capital (K) 35 30 25 Units of L 5 12 20 30 50 Point on diagram a b c d e 20 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Units of labour (L) 35 40 45 50 Production in the long run • Many combinations of inputs can produce the same level of output • Firms will only use combinations of two inputs that are in the economic region of production • Economic region of production is defined by the portion of each isoquant that is negatively sloped An isoquant 45 a 40 Units of K 40 20 10 6 4 Units of capital (K) 35 30 25 Units of L 5 12 20 30 50 Point on diagram a b c d e 20 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Units of labour (L) 35 40 45 50 Properties of Isoquants • Higher Isoquants show higher output more & more away from the origin • Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution (MRTS) measures the reduction in per unit of one input, resulting in increase in the other input that is just sufficient to maintain the same level of output • MRTS=Absolute value of the slope of the isoquant • MRTS of labour for Capital given by ∆K/∆L Diminishing marginal rate of factor substitution: (or marginal rate of technical substitution) 14 g Units of capital (K) 12 DK = 2 MRTS = DK / DL MRTS = 2 h 10 DL = 1 A decline in MRTS along an isoquant for producing the same level of output is called the diminishing marginal rate of substitution 8 j MRTS = 1 k DK = 1 6 DL = 1 4 2 isoquant 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Units of labour (L) 14 16 18 20 Caselet • A blueprint to protect labour rights without constraining capital | Opinion https://www.hindustantimes.com/analysis/a-blueprint-to-protect-labour-rightswithout-constraining-capital-opinion/storyPWfCgpaUHa8Ky6cDZWz3QI.html?fbclid=IwAR0UJChp43S0Ge5W_qf4GsjOy7OcM40 0sFaBweNyfA6DpoUFD_fVAjz3W-4 Economic Region of Production • Ridge lines separate the economic zone from non-economic zones • Ridge line is a locus of points on different isoquants where MP of one of the factors is zero. – Upper ridge line implies that MPK is zero – Lower ridge line implies that MPL is zero • Production techniques are technically efficient only inside the ridge lines – . Isoquants K Upper Ridge Line Economic Zone Lower Ridge Line L Isoquants • The downward sloping isoquants as we see earlier are most common • There, underline assumption is that the inputs are substitute but not perfect • What will happen when inputs are either perfect substitute or perfect compliments, i.e. no substitutability? Linear Isoquants • When there is perfect substitutability between two factors, the isoquants would be linear • Q*=f(L. K) = αL + βK, where α & β are Constant • MPL = dQ/dL = α & MPk = dQ/dK = β • MRTS = α / β = Constant Right Angled Isoquants • When capital is perfect compliment for labour, implying non existence of any substitutability between two factors, such isoquants are right angled • In this case, production technology always involves inputs L & K in fixed proportions to produce a unit of output Production With Two Variable Inputs Perfect Substitutes Perfect Complements: Fixed Coefficient Technology • Producer’s objective would be • maximize output at a given cost (represented by isoquants) or – to minimize cost of production a given level of output ?? Optimal Combination of Inputs Isocost lines represent all combinations of two inputs that a firm can purchase with the same total cost. C wL rK C w K L r r C Total Cost r Cost of Capital ( K ) w Wage Rate of Labor ( L ) An isocost 30 Assumptions 25 Units of capital (K) r = Rs.20 000 w = Rs10 000 TC = Rs 300000 20 a 15 10 5 TC = Rs300000 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Units of labour (L) 30 35 40 Isocost Lines • So, isocost line is the locus of points of all the different combination of capital and labour that a firm can employ, given the total cost and prices of inputs • If the factor prices are constant, then for different levels of total cost, there will be a set of isocost lines, each representing a specific level of total cost • The higher the total cost, the further the isocost line will be from origin as more of both inputs can be purchased by the firm Optimal Combination of Inputs Isocost Lines AB C = 100, w = r = 10 A’B’ C = 140, w = r = 10 A’’B’’ C = 80, w = r = 10 AB* C = 100, w = 5, r = 10 Optimal Combination of Inputs • The intercept of Isocost line on Capital Axis (Pt A) is the maximum amount of capital employed when labour is not used in production process and is given by (C/r) • Similarly the intercept on labour axis, point B, (max amount of labour used in production process when capital usage is zero) is (C/w) • Line AB* shows a fall in w, thus more of labour can be acquired • Slope of AB* is (–w/r) = -(5/10) = -0.5 Producer’s Equilibrium • To be economically efficient, a producer must determine the combination of inputs that produces the output at minimum cost • The maximum output level for any firm is determined by isoquants, – but they would not give the minimum cost of production, • For this we need isocost line Producer’s Equilibrium • Combining isoquants and isocost lines would help us to understand Producer’s equilibrium • The lowest cost of producing a given level of output is the point where the isoquant is tangent to isocost line Optimal Combination of Inputs MRTS = w/r Producer’s Equilibrium • The lowest cost of producing a given level of output is given at point E, where the isoquant corresponding to output 10Q is tangent to isocost line AB • At this point the firm would employ 5 units of capital and labour each • For line AB, 14Q is beyond the reach of the firm , whereas any point below AB is feasible but not desirable • So, necessary condition of producer’s equilibrium is slope of isocost=slope of isoquant Expansion Path • Expansion path is define as the line formed by joining the tangency points between various isocost lines and the corresponding highest attainable isoquants • Also defined as the locus of equilibrium points of the isoquant with lowest possible isocost line • An expansion path is a long run concept and each point of the expansion path represents a combination of inputs that minimise cost Optimal Combination of Inputs MRTS = w/r Production Function & Returns to Scale • It refers to the degree by which the level of output changes in response to a given change in all the inputs in a production system • It is a LR phenomenon • Can be constant, increasing or decreasing returns to scale Returns to Scale Production Function Q = f(L, K) Q = f(hL, hK) If = h, then f has constant returns to scale. If > h, then f has increasing returns to scale. If < h, the f has decreasing returns to scale. Returns to Scale Constant Returns to Scale (CRS) Increasing Returns to Scale (IRS) Decreasing Returns to Scale (DRS) Increasing returns to scale • When input prices remain constant, increasing returns to scale results in decreasing longrun average costs (economies of scale) • A firm that gets bigger experiences lower costs because of increased specialization, more efficient use of large pieces of machinery (for example, use of assembly lines), volume discounts, and other advantages of producing in large quantities – Coke, Pepsi Empirical Production Functions • In SR Q=f(L)K • In SR, if we incorporate increasing, diminishing and negative marginal returns then Q = a + bL + cL2 – dL3 • In empirical estimation one uses linear production function Q = a + bL • The function, however, exhibit no diminishing retuns Empirical Production Functions • Cobb-Douglas production function is commonly used functional form • The function can exhibit increasing, decreasing and constant returns • One can directly estimate elasticity of production Q = aLbKc • Estimated through regression analysis using Natural Logarithms ln Q = a + b ln K + c ln L Estimation of Production Functions • Both capital and labor inputs must exist for Q to be a positive number • Can be increasing, decreasing, or constant returns to scale b + c > 1, IRTS b + c = 1, CRTS b + c < 1, DRTS • Elasticities of factors are equal to their exponents • Example: Q = 1.01 L0.76 K0.25 Indian Plywood manufactures and sells lumber, plywood, veneer, particle board, medium-density fiberboard, and laminated beams. The company has estimated the following multiplicative production function for basic lumber products in the Pacific Northwest market using monthly production data over the past two and one-half years (30 observations): Q = b0 Lx Ky Ez (Lab, Cap, Energy) Each of the parameters of this model was estimated by regression analysis. Estimated coefficients with their std errors in brackets are as follows b0 = 0.9 (0.6); x= 0.4 (0.1); y= 0.4(0.2); and z= 0.2 (0.1) A. Estimate the effect on output of a 1% decline in worker hours (holding K and E constant). B. Estimate the effect on output of a 5% reduction in machine hours availability accompanied by a 5% decline in energy input (holding L constant). C. Estimate the returns to scale for this production system. A. -0.4% B. = 0.4(-0.05) + 0.2(-0.05) = -0.03 or -3% C. x+y+z = 0.4 + 0.4 + 0.2 = 1 indicating constant returns to scale. This means that a 1% increase in all inputs will lead to a 1% increase in output • Hydraulics Ltd. has designed a pipeline that provides a throughput of 70,000 gallons of water per 24-hour period. If the diameter of the pipeline were increased by 1 inch, throughput would increase by 4,000 gallons per day. Alternatively, throughput could be increased by 6,000 gallons per day using the original pipe diameter with pumps that had 100 more horsepower. A. Estimate the marginal rate of technical substitution between pump horsepower and pipe diameter. B. Assuming the cost of additional pump size is $600 per horsepower and the cost of larger diameter pipe is $200,000 per inch, does the original design exhibit the property required for optimal input combinations? If so, why? If not, why not? A. The marginal rate of technical substitution is calculated by comparing the marginal products of "diameter," MPD, and "horsepower," MPH: MPD = ∂Q/ ∂D = 4,000/1 = 4,000 gal. MPH = ∂Q/ ∂H = 6,000/100 = 60 gal. So, MRTSDH = MPD / MPH = -66.67 [ ∂Q/ ∂D]/[∂Q/ ∂H] = -66.67 This implies ∂H = -66.67 ∂D or ∂D = -0.015 ∂H. This means, for example, that output would remain constant following a one inch reduction in pipe diameter provided that horsepower were increased by 66.67. B. Answer is No. The rule for optimal input proportions is: MPD /PD = MPH /PH In this case, MPD /PD = 4000/200000 = 0.02 MPH /PH = 60/600 = 0.1 So, MPD /PD ≠ MPH /PH Here the additional throughput provided by the last dollar spent on more horsepower (0.10 gallons/day) is five times the gain in output resulting from the last dollar spent to increase the pipe diameter (0.02 gallons/day) Thus, horsepower and pipe diameter are not being employed in optimal proportions in this situation. Returns to Scale - Example Production Function Q = 10L0.4K0.9 •Compute Production elasticity w.r.t. L •Compute Production elasticity w.r.t. K •What can we say about the RTS? Caselets • MNREGA, labour shortage and farm mechanization in Punjab Substitution https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/punjab/growers-feel-pinch-as-farm-wages-goup/608030.html • Nokia & Smartphone Technology http://www.enterprisegarage.io/2015/12/case-study-how-nokia-lost-the-smartphone-battle/ • Tata Nano failure Consumers’ demand • http://www.adageindia.in/marketing/cmo-strategy/tata-nano-a-marketing-disaster-then-a-billion-dollaropportunity-now/articleshow/61839731.cms