Chapter Five Money Markets OUTLINE: 1-5 Definition Of Money Market. 2-5 Yields On Money Market Securities. 3-5 Money Markets Securities. 4-5 Money Market Participants. 5-5 International Aspects Of Money Markets. 1-2 1-5: Money Markets Why Do We Need Money Markets? The immediate cash needs of individuals, corporations, and governments. E.g. Corporation’s sales do not necessarily happen with the same pattern as their expenses such as wages. Money markets involve debt instruments or securities with original maturities of one year or less. 1-3 These Short-term Debt Instruments: Issued by economic agents that require short-term funds. e.g. inventory, wages, … etc. Purchased by economic agents that have excess short-term funds. Keep only a minimum excess cash balance to meet the day-to-day needs. Why? To avoid the opportunity cost. 1-4 Opportunity Cost: The forgone interest cost from the holding of cash balances when they are received. Once Issued: Money market instruments trade in active secondary markets. Why? To provide market participants with shortterm liquidity that they need. 1-5 Money Market Securities Features: 1. Generally sold in large denominations. In units of 1$ million to 10$ million. Difficult for individual investors to be involved in the initial sale of a money market security for the transaction's costs. individual invest through financial institutions such as mutual funds. 1-6 2. Money market instruments have low default risk. Default risk: the risk of latte or nonpayment of principal and/or interest. Money market instruments issued only by high-quality borrowers with little risk of default. 3. Money market instruments have an original maturity of one year or less. short-term maturity lower interest rate risk, but lower rate of return. 1-7 2-5: Money Market Yields What is a Money Market Yield? The interest rate earned by investing in securities with high liquidity and maturities of one year or less than one year. Notes: Some securities interest rates are based on a 360-day year, while others are based on a 365-day year. Adjusting interest rates by using: Bond Equivalent Yields (ibe). Effective Annual Return (EAR) 1-8 Bond Equivalent Yields (ibe): It is the quoted nominal, or stated, yield earned on a security. It is the rate used to calculate the present value of an investment. 𝑖𝑏𝑒 = (𝑃𝑓 − 𝑃0 ) 𝑃0 × 365 𝑛 Where: Pf = face value. P0 = purchase price of the security. n = number of days until maturity. 1-9 Effective Annual Return (EAR): It is a quoted nominal or stated rate earned on an investment over a one-year period. It does not consider the effects of compounding of interest during a less than one-year investment horizon. If interest is paid or compounded more than once per year, the true annual rate earned is the EAR on an investment. 1-10 The bond equivalent yield (ibe) on money market securities with a maturity of less than one year can be converted to an effective annual interest return (EAR) using the following equation: 𝑖𝑏𝑒 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 1 + 365 𝑛 365 𝑛 −1 1-11 EX(5-1): calculation of EAR Suppose you can invest in a money market security that matures in 75 days and offers a 3 percent nominal annual interest rate. What is the effective annual interest return on this security? 𝑖𝑏𝑒 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 1 + 365 𝑛 365 0.03 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 1 + 365 75 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 3.036% 𝑛 −1 365 75 −1 1-12 Money Market Securities Use Special Rate Quoting: 1. Discount yields (id). 2. Single-Payment yields (isp). 1-13 1. Discount yields (id): The interest rate is quoted on an annual basis assuming a 360-day year as a percent of face value. - e.g. treasury bills, commercial paper, and banker’s acceptances rates. - The return on these securities results from the purchase of the security at a discount from its face value (P0) and the receipt of face value (Pf) at maturity. (𝑃𝑓 − 𝑃0 ) 360 𝑖𝑑 = × 𝑃𝑓 𝑛 Where: Pf = the face value of the security P0 = the purchase price of the security n = the number of days until maturity 1-14 Convert discount yields (id) into bond equivalent yields (ibe): 𝑃𝑓 365 𝑖𝑏𝑒 = 𝑖𝑑 × × 𝑃0 360 Convert bond equivalent yields into effective annual returns (EAR) 𝑖𝑏𝑒 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 1 + 365 𝑛 365 𝑛 −1 1-15 EX(5-2): Comparison of discount yield, bond equivalent yield, and EAR Suppose you can purchase a $1 million Treasury bill that is currently selling on a discount basis at 98.50% of its face value. The T-bill is 140 days from maturity. Find Discount yield, Bond equivalent yield, and EAR: i d= $1,000,000 −$985,000 $1,000,000 × 360 140 = 3.857% $1,000,000 −$985,000 365 ibe= × = 3.970% $985,000 140 𝑃𝑓 365 Or 𝑖𝑏𝑒 = 𝑖𝑑 × × = 3.970% 𝑃0 360 0.03970 365 140 EAR= 1 + − 1 = 4.019% 365 140 1-16 2. Single-Payment yields (isp): The interest rate is quoted on an annual basis assuming a 360-day year as a percent of purchase. - e.g. federal funds, repurchase agreements, and negotiable certificates of deposit. - The interest payment only once paid at maturity. - The return on these securities results from receiving a terminal payment of interest plus the face value. 𝑖𝑠𝑝 (𝑃𝑓 − 𝑃0 ) 360 = × 𝑃0 𝑛 Where: Pf = the face value of the security P0 = the purchase price of the security n = the number of days until maturity 1-17 Convert a single-payment yield (isp) to a bond equivalent yield (ibe): ibe = isp (365/360) Convert a bond equivalent yield (ibe) to an EAR: 𝑖𝑏𝑒 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 1 + 365 𝑛 365 𝑛 −1 1-18 EX(5-3): Comparison of single-payment yield, bond equivalent yield, and EAR Suppose you can purchase a $1 million negotiable CD that is currently 105 days from maturity. The CD has a quoted annual interest rate of 4.16 percent for a 360-day year. What is the bond equivalent yield? ibe = 4.16% (365/360) = 4.218% What is the EAR on CD? 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 1 + 0.04218 365 105 365 105 − 1 = 4.282% 1-19 3-5: Money Market Instruments Money market securities are issued by corporations and government units to obtain short-term fund. Money market securities are: Treasury bills (T-bills) Federal funds (fed funds) Repurchase agreements (repos or RP) Commercial paper (CP) Negotiable certificates of deposit (CD) Banker’s acceptances (BA) 1-20 1- Treasury Bills (T-Bills) Treasury bills are short-term obligations of the government issued to cover current government budget shortfalls (deficits) and to refinance maturing government debt. T-bills are sold through an auction process. T-bills maturities are 4, 13, 26, and 52 weeks. T-bills are issued in denomination of multiples of $100. 1-21 Existing T-bills can be bought and sold in an active secondary market. T-bills are default risk free “risk-free asset”. Why? T-bills are backed by government. T-bills have little interest rate risk and little liquidity risk. Why? For the short-term maturity and the active secondary market. 1-22 T-Bill Auctions (New Issue): The formal process by which the government sells new issues of Treasury bills. Bids are submitted by government securities dealers, financial and nonfinancial corporations, and individuals. Bids can be competitive or non-competitive. Successful bidders (competitive and noncompetitive) are awarded securities at the same price which is the lowest price of the competitive bids accepted. 1-23 Competitive Bids: - Bidders specify the amount of par value of bills desired (minimum of $100) and the discount yield, rather than the price. - Bids are ranked from the lowest discount yield (highest price), to the highest yield (lowest price). - The cut-off yield or the stop-out rate is the highest accepted discount yield. - All bids with yields above the stop-out yields are rejected. 1-24 Noncompetitive Bidders: - Non-competitive bids are limited to $5 million. - Bidders specify only the desired amount of the face value of the bills. - Bidders agree to accept whatever interest rate is decided at the auction. - Bidders will not know exactly what interest rate they will receive until the auction closes. - Bidders are guaranteed that their bid will be accepted. - Non-competitive bids allow small investors to participate in the T-bill auction market without incurring large risks. 1-25 Treasury Bill Yields: - T-Bills are sold on a discount basis. - T-Bills are issued at a discount from their face value. - T-Bills’ returns come from the difference between the purchase price and the face value received at maturities. 𝑖𝑇𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑙 , 𝑑 𝑝𝑓 − 𝑝0 360 = × 𝑝𝑓 𝑛 1-26 Bid: discount yield based on the current selling price. Asked: discount yield based on the current purchase price. Chg.: the change in the asked (discount)yield from the previous day’s closing yield. Asked yield: the asked discount yield converted to a bond equivalent yield. 1-27 T-Bill Price: The ask price (P0) is: P0 = 𝑃𝑓 − 𝑖 𝑇𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑙,𝑑 × 𝑛 360 × 𝑃𝑓 P0 = 𝑃𝑓 [ 1 + 𝑖 𝑇𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑙,𝑏𝑒 × 𝑛 365 ] 1-30 2- Federal Funds (fed funds) Short-term loans between financial institutions usually for a period of one day (overnight). Banks with excess funds (surplus of reserves at Federal Bank) will lend fed funds. Banks with deficient funds (shortage of reserves at Federal Bank) will borrow fed funds. Federal Funds Rate: The interest rate for borrowing fed funds. 1-32 1-33 The interbank lending system takes a form of unsecured loans , how? The borrowing bank does not have to pledge collateral for the funds (in millions) it receives. Fed funds have no secondary market. Fed Fund Yield: Fed funds are single-payment loans paying interest only once at maturity. (𝑃𝑓 − 𝑃0 ) 360 𝑖𝑠𝑝 = × 𝑃0 𝑛 1-34 3- Repurchase Agreement (repo or RP) An agreement involving the sale of a securities by one party to another with a promise to repurchase the securities at a specified price and on a specified date in the future. RP is a collateralized fed funds loan: RP are low credit risk investments and have lower interest rates than uncollateralized. 1-36 1-37 Repo with one-day maturity are called overnight repos. Repo with long maturity are called term repos. Repo maturity from 1 to 14 days in short terms, and from 1 to 3 months in longerterm. Repo involve denominations of $25 million if the repo maturity less than one week, and $10 million for longer-term repos. 1-38 A reverse RP is the lender’s position in the repo transaction, an agreement involving the purchase (buying) of securities by one party from another with the promise to sell them back at a given date in the future. Repurchase Agreement Yield: Fed funds are single-payment loans paying interest only once at maturity. 𝑖𝑠𝑝 (𝑃𝑓 − 𝑃0 ) 360 = × 𝑃0 𝑛 1-39 4- Commercial Paper (CP) An unsecured short-term promissory note issued by a corporation to raise short-term cash, often to finance working capital requirements. CP is one of the largest of the money market instruments, why? Companies with strong credit ratings can borrow money at a lower interest rate by issuing CP than by directly borrowing from banks. 1-41 CP is sold in denominations of $100,000, $250,000, $500,000, and $1 million. CP maturities ranged between 1 and 270 days. CP can be sold: Directly by the issuers to the buyer (mutual fund). Indirectly by brokers and dealers in the CP market. (more expensive to the issuer) 1-42 CP is generally held by investors from the time of issue until maturity: There is no active secondary market for commercial paper. Commercial Paper Yields: Yields are quoted on a discount basis. 𝑝𝑓 − 𝑝0 360 𝑖𝑑 = × 𝑝𝑓 𝑛 1-43 5- Negotiable Certificates of Deposit (CD) A bank-issued time deposit that specifies an interest rate and maturity date and is negotiable (salable) in the secondary market. CDs are bearer instruments: whoever holds the CD when it matures receives the principal and interest. CDs can be traded in secondary markets; the original buyer is not necessary the owner at maturity. 1-45 CDs have denominations range from $100,000 to $10 million. CDs are purchased by mutual funds for the large denomination. CDs maturities range from two weeks to one year. Negotiable CD Yields: CDs are single-payment securities. 𝑖𝑠𝑝 (𝑃𝑓 − 𝑃0 ) 360 = × 𝑃0 𝑛 1-46 EX(5–9) Calculation of the Secondary Market Yield on a Negotiable CD A bank has issued a six-month, $1 million negotiable CD with a 0.72% quoted annual interest rate. What is the bond equivalent yield on the CD? ibe = isp (365/360) = 0.0072 (365/360)= 0.73% (annual) at maturity (in 6 months), how much will the CD holder receive? FV6months = PV (1 + i be,6months) FV6months = $1m (1 + 0.0073/2) =$1,003,650 (for $1m deposited today) What is the EAR on the CD? 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 1 + 0.0073 2 2 − 1 =0.7313% 1-47 Immediately after the CD is issued, the secondary market price on the $1 million CD falls to $999,651. What will happen to the secondary market bond equivalent yield? It will increase: N:1, PV: -999,651, FV:1,003,650, PMT:0, CPT I/Y:0.40% ibe = 0.8001% (annual) OR: FV6months = PV (1 + i be,6months) $1,003,650= $999,651 (1 + i be,6months) i be,6months = 0.40% ibe = 0.8001% (annual) 1-48 What will happen to the secondary market singlepayment yield? It will increase: ibe = isp (365/360) 0.008001= isp (365/360) isp = 0.7891% What will happen to the secondary market EAR? It will increase: 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 1 + 0.008001 2 2 − 1 = 0.8017% 1-49 6- Banker’s Acceptances A time draft payable to a seller of goods, with payment guaranteed by a bank. BAs used in international trade transactions to finance trade in goods that have yet to be shipped from a foreign exporter (seller) to a domestic importer (buyer). BAs are bearer instruments; they can be traded in secondary markets. 1-51 BAs maturities range from 30 to 270 days. BAs denominations in the secondary market are from $100,000 to $500,000. BAs have low default risk with low interest rate. Why? Backed by commercial bank guarantees. Banker’s Acceptances Yields: BAs are sold on a discounted basis: (𝑃𝑓 − 𝑃0 ) 360 𝑖𝑑 = × 𝑃𝑓 𝑛 1-52 4-5: Money Market Participants 1-53 The U.S. Treasury: - T-bills are the most actively traded of the money market securities. The Federal Reserve: - The Federal Reserve is the most important participant in the money markets. - Fed Reserve holds T-bills to increase the money supply. - Fed Reserve sell T-bills to decrease the money supply. - Fed Reserve uses Repo to smooth interest rates and the money supply. 1-54 Commercial Banks: - Banks participate as issuers and/or investors of almost all money market instruments. Money Market Mutual Funds: - Mutual funds purchase large amounts of money market securities and sell shares in these pools based on the value of their underlying securities, allowing small investors to invest in money market instruments. Brokers And Dealers: - Brokers’ and dealers’ services are important to the smooth functioning of money markets. 1-55 Corporations: - They raise large amounts of funds in the money markets, primarily in the form of commercial paper. - They invest their excess cash funds in money market securities. Other Financial Institutions: - Because their liability payments are unpredictable, they must maintain large balances of liquid assets by investing in highly liquid money market securities. Individuals: Individual investors participate in the money markets through investments in money market mutual funds. 1-56 5-5: International Money Markets Money markets across the world have been growing in size and importance. International financial contracts call for payment in U.S. dollars, this created Eurodollar deposits. Eurodollar deposits: Dollar-denominated deposits held in U.S. bank branches overseas and in other foreign banks. 1-57 Eurodollar market: The market in which Eurodollars trade. London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR): The rate offered for sale on Eurodollar funds. - The fed funds rate is generally lower than the LIBOR. 1-58 The end of chapter 5 1-59 1: a $1 million T-bill, current selling price 97.375% of the face value, 65 days from maturity: Discount yield: id = $1,000,000 −$973,750 $1,000,000 = 14.538% Bond equivalent yield: ibe = = × 360 65 $1,000,000 −$973,750 $973,750 × 365 65 = 15.138% EAR: EAR = 1 + 0.15138 365 65 365 65 − 1 = 16.111% 1-60 2: a $5 million commercial paper, current selling price 98.625% of the face value, 136 days from maturity: Discount yield: id = $5,000,000 −$4,931,250 $5,000,000 = 3.640% Bond equivalent yield: ibe = = × 360 136 $5,000,000 −$4,931,250 $4,931,250 × 365 136 = 3.742% EAR: EAR = 1 + 0.03742 365 136 365 136 − 1 = 3.786% 1-61 3: a negotiable CD, 115 days from maturity, with a quoted nominal yield of 6.56%: Bond equivalent yield: ibe = = 6.56% × 365 ( ) 360 = 6.651% EAR: EAR = 1 + 0.06651 365 115 365 115 − 1 = 6.804% 1-62 4: fed funds, 3 days from maturity, with a quoted yield of 0.25%: Bond equivalent yield: ibe = = 0.25% × 365 ( ) 360 = 0.25347% = 0.2535% EAR: EAR = 1 + 0.002535 365 3 365 3 − 1= 0.25381%= 0.2538% 1-63 5: a $10,000 T-Bill , 68 days from maturity, the current price of the T-Bill is $9,875: Discount yield on this T-Bill is: id = $10,000 −$9,875 $10,000 × 360 68 = 6.617% = 6.62% 1-64 14: Repurchase agreement: buy Treasury securities from a correspondent bank at price of $24,950,000 with the promise to buy them back at a price of $25,000,000 A- The yield on this repo if it has a 7-day maturity: isp= $25,000,000 −$24,950,000 $24,950,000 × 360 7 = 10.306% B- The yield on this repo if it has a 21-day maturity: isp= $25,000,000 −$24,950,000 $24,950,000 × 360 21 = 3.435% 1-65 18: a six-months, $2 million negotiable CD, with a 0.52% quoted annual interest rate. A- The bond equivalent yield, and the EAR on the CD: ibe = 0.52% (365/360) = 0.527% EAR = 1 + 0.00527 2 2 − 1 = 0.5279% =0.528% B- Negotiable CD holder receives at maturity: FV6months = $2,000,000 (1 + 0.00528 ) = $2,005,280 2 C- After CD issued, the secondary market price on the $2 million CD falls to $1,998,750. (Face value 2 million). $2,005,280 $1,998,750 = [1+(𝐸𝐴𝑅/2)] EAR = 0.65340% 0.65340%= 1 + 𝑖𝑏𝑒 2 2 − 1 ibe= 0.65234% New quoted yield: isp = 0.65234% (360/365) = 0.64340% 1-66