FINANCIAL MARKETS PCOA005 Module 6: Time Value of Money Introduction In this module, you will learn the concept of time value of money. Time value analysis has many applications, including valuing stocks and bonds, setting up loan payment schedules, and making corporate decisions regarding investing in new plants and equipment. At the end of this module, you should be able to answer the exercise posted in your LMS. Learning Outcomes At the end of this module, you can: 1. Explain how the time value of money works and discuss why it is such an important concept in finance. 2. Calculate the present value and future value of lump sums, annuities and uneven cash flow streams. Time Value of Money is the idea that money that is available at the present time is worth more than the same amount in the future, due to its potential earning capacity. This core principle of finance holds that provided money can earn interest, any amount of money is worth more the sooner it is received. One of the most fundamental concepts in finance is that money has a time value attached to it. In simpler terms, it would be safe to say that a peso was worth more yesterday than today and a peso today is worth more than a peso tomorrow. The time value of money analysis (TVMA) is also called the discounted cash flow analysis (DCFA). An important time value of money analysis concept one must keep in mind is that in making financial decisions that involves comparing two amounts of different time periods, both amounts must first be converted into the same time value. This would mean that if we compare one amount from a current and one amount from a future value, both amounts must first be valued at the same time period before they can be correctly compared. There is no sense in comparing a present valued amount to a future valued amount. TIME LINES An important tool used in time value analysis; it is a graphical representation used to show the timing of cash flows. The first step in time value analysis is to set up a time line, which will help you visualize what’s happening in a particular problem. FUTURE VALUES The amount to which a cash flow or series of cash flows will grow over a given period of time when compounded at a given interest rate. A β±1 in hand today is worth more than a β±1 to be received in the future because if you had it now, you could invest it, earn interest, and own more than a peso in the future. The process of going to future value (FV) from present value (PV) is called compounding. THIS MODULE IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF LA SALETTE, INC. ANY FORM OF REPRODUCTION, DISTRIBUTION, UPLOADING, OR POSTING ONLINE IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY MEANS WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE UNIVERSITY IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. 1 Compounding is the arithmetic process of determining the final value of a cash flow or series of cash flows when compound interest is applied. Example: Assume that you plan to deposit β±100 for 3 years in a bank that pays a guaranteed 5% interest each year. How much would you have at the end of Year 3? We first define some terms, and then we set up a time line to show how the future value is calculated. PV = Present Value (PV), the value today of a future cash flow or series of cash flows. FVN = the value N periods into the future, after the interest earned has been added to the account. CFt = Cash flow for a particular period. i = Interest rate earned per year. n = Number of periods involved in the analysis PV = β±100 n = 3 years i = 5% FV = ? πΉπ = ππ(1 + π) πΉπ = 100(1 + .05) πΉπ = 115.76 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Principal 100.00 105.00 110.25 Interest (5%) 5.00 5.25 5.51 FV 105.00 110.25 115.76 The interest use on the above computation is compound interest. Compound Interest - Occurs when interest is earned on prior periods’ interest. For the rest of the examples, the interest that we will use is compound interest. Simple Interest - Occurs when interest is not earned on interest. For simple interest future value: πΉπ = ππ + (ππ × π × π) πΉπ = β±100 + (100 × .05 × 3) πΉπ = 115 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Principal 100.00 100.00 100.00 Interest (5%) 5.00 5.00 5.00 FV 105.00 110.00 115.00 PRESENT VALUES Present Value (PV) is the value today of a future cash flow or series of cash flows. Finding a present value is the reverse of finding a future value. πΉπ = ππ(1 + π) ππ = πΉπ (1 + π) THIS MODULE IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF LA SALETTE, INC. ANY FORM OF REPRODUCTION, DISTRIBUTION, UPLOADING, OR POSTING ONLINE IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY MEANS WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE UNIVERSITY IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. 2 Finding present values is called discounting; it is the reverse of compounding—if you know the PV, you can compound to find the FV, while if you know the FV, you can discount to find the PV. The fundamental goal of financial management is to maximize the firm’s value, and the value of a business (or any asset, including stocks and bonds) is the present value of its expected future cash flows. Example: Assume that you plan to yield an amount of β±100 for 3 years in a bank that pays a guaranteed 5% interest each year. How much would you invest today to yield β±100 at the end of Year 3? ππ = πΉπ (1 + π) ππ = 100 (1 + .05) ππ = 100 = 30.21 3.31 ANNUITIES Annuity is a series of equal payments at fixed intervals for a specified number of periods. The above discussion dealt with single payments, or “lump sums.” However, many assets provide a series of cash inflows over time; and many obligations, such as auto, student, and mortgage loans, require a series of payments. When the payments are equal and are made at fixed intervals, the series is an annuity. For example, β±100 paid at the end of each of the next 3 years is a 3-year annuity. If the payments occur at the end of each year, the annuity is an ordinary (or deferred) annuity. If the payments are made at the beginning of each year, the annuity is an annuity due. Ordinary annuities are more common in finance. Here are the time lines for a β±100, 3-year, 5% ordinary annuity and for the same annuity on an annuity due basis. With the annuity due, each payment is shifted to the left by one year. A β±100 deposit will be made each year, so we show the payments with minus signs: Ordinary Annuity Period 0 1 2 3 -100 -100 -100 0 1 2 3 -100 -100 -100 5% Payment Annuity Due Period Payment THIS MODULE IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF LA SALETTE, INC. ANY FORM OF REPRODUCTION, DISTRIBUTION, UPLOADING, OR POSTING ONLINE IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY MEANS WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE UNIVERSITY IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. 3 Keep in mind that annuities must have constant payments and a fixed number of periods. If these conditions don’t hold, then the payments do not constitute an annuity. FUTURE VALUE OF AN ORDINARY ANNUITY Future value of an ordinary annuity is computed when the payment is at the of each year with equal amounts. πΉπ ππ ππππππππ¦ π΄πππ’ππ‘π¦ (πΉπ ) = πππ × (1 + π) − 1 π *PMT - Payment each year or cash flow each period FUTURE VALUE OF AN ANNUITY DUE Because each payment occurs one period earlier with an annuity due, all of the payments earn interest for one additional period. Therefore, the FV of an annuity due will be greater than that of a similar ordinary annuity. πΉπ ππ π΄πππ’ππ‘π¦ π·π’π (πΉπ ) = πππ × (1 + π) − 1 × (1 + π) π Example: Enzo Company is to make an annual investment of β±200,000 for four years. The interest for this investment was 9%. Required: A. Compute the future value if payment is made every year end. B. Compute the future value if payment is made every beginning of the year. Solution A. Ordinary Annuity (1 + π) − 1 πΉπ = πππ × π (1 + .09) − 1 . 09 πΉπ = 200,000 × πΉπ = 200,000 × 4.5731 = πππ, πππ B. Annuity Due (1 + π) − 1 × (1 + π) π πΉπ = πππ × πΉπ = 200,000 × πΉπ = 200,000 × 4.5731 × 1.09 = πππ, π40 (1 + .09) − 1 × (1 + .09) . 09 Future Value using Excel Formula = πΉπ(πππ‘π, ππππ, πππ‘, [ππ], π‘π¦ππ) rate = interest rate nper = number of years pmt = cash flow each period [PV] = present value Type = 0 for Ordinary annuity; 1 for Annuity due Self-Test: Try to compute the above example using the excel formula. THIS MODULE IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF LA SALETTE, INC. ANY FORM OF REPRODUCTION, DISTRIBUTION, UPLOADING, OR POSTING ONLINE IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY MEANS WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE UNIVERSITY IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. 4 PRESENT VALUE OF AN ORDINARY ANNUITY ππ ππ ππππππππ¦ π΄πππ’ππ‘π¦(ππ ) = πππ × 1 − (1 + π) π PRESENT VALUE OF AN ANNUITY DUE 1 − (1 + π) ππ ππ π΄πππ’ππ‘π¦ π·π’π(ππ ) = πππ × π × (1 + π) Example: On January 1 of the current year, Keith Corporation sold its equipment costing β±500,000 for β±800,000 to Arvin Corporation. Arvin paid β±200,000 as down payment and the balance will be paid with a noninterest-bearing note for β±600,000. The note shall be paid in equal annual installments (this is the series of amounts that Keith will receive in the future) every year amounting to β±200,000/year. The prevailing interest rate for this type of note is 10%. You have been tasked by Keith Corporation on the present value of the note receivable to be recognized by the company. Required: A. Compute the present value if payment is made every year end. B. Compute the present value if payment is made every beginning of the year. Solution: A. Ordinary Annuity 1 − (1 + π) ππ = πππ × π 1 − (1 + .10) . 10 ππ = 200,000 × ππ = 200,000 × 2.4869 ππ = πππ, πππ. ππ B. Annuity Due ππ = πππ × 1 − (1 + π) π × (1 + π) ππ = 200,000 × πππ × 1 − (1 + π) π ππ = 200,000 × 2.4869 × 1.10 ππ = πππ, πππ. ππ × (1 + .10) Present Value using Excel Formula = ππ(πππ‘π, ππππ, πππ‘, [πΉπ], π‘π¦ππ) rate = interest rate nper = number of years pmt = cash flow each period [FV] = future value Type = 0 for Ordinary annuity; 1 for Annuity due Self-Test: Try to compute the above present value using the excel formula. THIS MODULE IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF LA SALETTE, INC. ANY FORM OF REPRODUCTION, DISTRIBUTION, UPLOADING, OR POSTING ONLINE IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY MEANS WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE UNIVERSITY IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. 5 PERPETUITIES A perpetuity is simply an annuity with an extended life. In computing for annuities, the payments or receipts are to be made over some predetermined time frame. This can be seen in the examples we have studied. However, there are annuities that may go on indefinitely or perpetually. This type of annuity is referred to as perpetuities. Formula: ππ ππ ππππππ‘π’ππ‘π¦ = πππ¦ππππ‘ πΌππ‘ππππ π‘ π ππ‘π Example: Assume that the Philippine government sold small-denominated bonds in 1980. Assume further that these bonds remain floating up to the present. In 2010, the government sold huge amount of bonds to pay off the smaller bond issues they made in the '80s. The purpose for issuing the huge amount of bonds is to consolidate the government's past debts due to the smaller bonds issued. Assume that each consolidation promised to pay β±100,000 per year in perpetuity. How much would each bond be worth if the discount rate is a. 10%? b.15%? c.20%? a. 10% ππ ππ ππππππ‘π’ππ‘π¦ = β± , % = β±π, πππ, πππ b. 15% ππ ππ ππππππ‘π’ππ‘π¦ = β± , % = β±πππ, πππ c. 20% ππ ππ ππππππ‘π’ππ‘π¦ = β± , % = β±πππ, πππ It can be observed that the value of the perpetuity significantly varies when the interest rate is changed. There is an indirect proportional relationship between the interest rate and the PV perpetuity. UNEVEN CASH FLOWS The definition of an annuity includes the words constant payment—in other words, annuities involve payments that are equal in every period. Although many financial decisions involve constant payments, many others involve uneven, or nonconstant, cash flows. For example, the dividends on common stocks typically increase over time, and investments in capital equipment almost always generate uneven cash flows. Throughout the module, we reserve the term payment (PMT) for annuities with their equal payments in each period and use the term cash flow (CFt) to denote uneven cash flows, where t designates the period in which the cash flow occurs. There are two important classes of uneven cash flows: (1) a stream that consists of a series of annuity payments plus an additional final lump sum and (2) all other uneven streams. THIS MODULE IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF LA SALETTE, INC. ANY FORM OF REPRODUCTION, DISTRIBUTION, UPLOADING, OR POSTING ONLINE IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY MEANS WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE UNIVERSITY IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. 6 Bonds represent the best example of the first type, while stocks and capital investments illustrate the second type. Here are numerical examples of the two types of flows: Annuity plus additional final payment Period 0 1 12% Cash flows 0 Irregular cash flows Period 0 2 3 4 5 100 100 100 100 100 1000 1100 1 2 3 3 3 100 300 300 300 500 12% Cash flows 0 PRESENT VALUE OF AN UNEVEN CASH FLOW STREAM Example: The following annual payments of notes payable of Dorothy Company with 8% discount rate. What is the present value of the annual payment? Series of future values of Period amounts to be paid 1 200,000 2 250,000 3 300,000 4 375,000 5 375,000 6 375,000 7 375,000 Solution: Period (A) Series of future values of amounts to be paid (B) PV Factor 1 − (1 + π) π (C) 1 200,000 2 250,000 3 300,000 4 375,000 5 375,000 6 375,000 7 375,000 Present Value of Cash Flows 0.9259 1.7833 2.5771 3.3121 3.9927 4.6229 5.2064 PV Factor of 1 at 8% (Current year PV factor – Previous year PV factor) (D) 0.9259 0.8573 0.7938 0.7350 0.6806 0.6302 0.5835 PV of Php1 for each amount E = (B x D) 185,185.19 214,334.71 238,149.67 275,636.19 255,218.70 236,313.61 218,808.90 1,623,646.96 THIS MODULE IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF LA SALETTE, INC. ANY FORM OF REPRODUCTION, DISTRIBUTION, UPLOADING, OR POSTING ONLINE IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY MEANS WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE UNIVERSITY IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. 7 FUTURE VALUE OF AN UNEVEN CASH FLOW STREAM The future value of an uneven cash payment/receipt is sometimes referred to as terminal value. This can be computed by compounding each payment/receipt each year and adding all the future values. Example: Assume that Rose Company is to make an investment of uneven cash payments for four years. The interest for this investment was 9% and the investment is made every year-end. What is the future value of this annuity? Consider the data below: Period 1 2 3 4 Amount Invested 200,000 250,000 300,000 325,000 Solution Period (A) Amount invested (B) FV Factor at 9% (1 + π) − 1 π (C) 1 200,000 2 250,000 3 300,000 4 325,000 Future Value of Cash Flows 1.0000 2.0900 3.2781 4.5731 FV Factor of 1 (Current year FV factor – Previous year FV factor) (D) 1.0000 1.0900 1.1881 1.2950 Future Value E = (B x D) 200,000.00 272,500.00 356,430.00 420,884.43 1,249,814.43 SEMIANNUAL AND OTHER COMPOUNDING PERIODS The examples presented so far involved compounding or discounting interest rates annually. However, there are financial contracts like acquisitions on installment basis or corporate bond contracts that may require for semi-annual, quarterly, or monthly compounding periods. Under these situations, we compute: Period = number of years (n) Interest = interest rate (i) x 2 (semi-annual) x 4 (quarterly) x 12(monthly) / / / 2 (semi-annual) 4 (quarterly) 12 (monthly) THIS MODULE IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF LA SALETTE, INC. ANY FORM OF REPRODUCTION, DISTRIBUTION, UPLOADING, OR POSTING ONLINE IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY MEANS WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE UNIVERSITY IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. 8 Example: Find the future value of Sophia Corporation with a β±100,000 investment. The investment is good for 5 years with 6% annual interest. Assume that the investment is compounded semi-annually. Period = 5x2 = 10 Interest = 6% /2 = 3% In computing for the future value factor, you will be using 3% rate and the period is not 5 periods but 10 periods. Based on the new period and interest rate, the future value factor is 11.4639. πΉπ’π‘π’ππ ππππ’π πΉπππ‘ππ = (1 + π) − 1 π πΉπ’π‘π’ππ ππππ’π πΉπππ‘ππ = (1 + .03) − 1 = 11.4639 . 03 πΉπ’π‘π’ππ ππππ’π = β±100,000 × 11.4639 πΉπ’π‘π’ππ ππππ’π = β±1,146,390 References Brigham, E. and Houston, J., n.d. Fundamentals of financial management. 8th ed. 5191 Natorp Blvd Mason, OH 45040 USA: Cengage Learning. Anastacio, M. L., Dacanay, R. C., & Aliling, L. E. (2016). Fundamentals of Financial Management (Revised ed.). REX Book Store. THIS MODULE IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF LA SALETTE, INC. ANY FORM OF REPRODUCTION, DISTRIBUTION, UPLOADING, OR POSTING ONLINE IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY MEANS WITHOUT THE WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE UNIVERSITY IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. 9