Where are all the containers? Your monthly update April 2022 Get the latest in: • Container Availability Index (CAx) of key ports • Container prices in major areas • Pick-up charges for one-way moves • Valuable insights for container users and suppliers About Container xChange Container xChange is the world’s first online marketplace for shipping containers. Today, 1,000+ vetted container logistics companies use our platform, xChange. They can buy, sell, or lease containers – all in one place. Find containers, conduct transactions, and track your containers through us. You can also chat directly online and grow your network. xChange offers you market transparency, helps you avoid demurrage and detention charges, and enhances your operational flexibility. We cover the entire transaction process, right from finding you new partners to tracking your containers and managing your payments. Container xChange makes using third-party equipment and container trading as easy as booking a hotel. Trusted by leading industry partners 2 About Container xChange Lease containers Buy & sell containers Increase your operational flexibility with Shipper Owned Containers (SOCs) and find certified partners for one-way moves. Buy containers from certified partners, advertise your stock, and know your counterpart. With xChange, you can send out requests to 1,000+ partners within seconds. xChange Trading protects your payments and connects you to hundreds of partners in 2,500 locations. 3 Contents April: an overview • Lockdown in China unsettles supply chain • Impact of inflation in Southeast Asia • Russia-Ukraine war continues to affect global trade • US struggles with empties and shortage of truckers • Latest container prices across regions Regions: CAx, trading insights, and PU charges for: • China • The United States • Europe • India • Middle East & ISC • Southeast Asia Wrapping up the month • The most liquid locations • Smart container moves 4 April: an overview Lockdown in China unsettles supply chain Major maritime congestion in China was reported after the country announced lockdowns after a rise in Covid-19 cases. The number of vessels waiting at the ports were 195% higher than in February 2022.1 Container shipping is expected to slow to 3% in 2022 globally. Squeezed capacity and surged tariffs are expected to last till 2023.2 Impact of inflation in Southeast Asia The impact of inflation in Singapore was seen with banks struggling to contain surging prices. Along with prices of food, energy and services, shipping container rates spiked too. Singapore had the third highest rate for a 40 HC container in the world in April. Russia-Ukraine war impacting grain export As the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues, several shipping lanes at the mouth of the Danube river were shut by Ukrainian border guards in April due to drifting mines in Black Sea. After Russia’s invasion, most seaports were blocked. Ukraine is a major agricultural producer and has been now forced to export by train routes or via its small Danube river ports. An image of the Shanghai port during the lockdown. Source: Maritime Traffic US struggles with empties and shortage of truckers The US, on the other hand, faced a major crisis with empty containers in April, resulting in a decline in the prices of certain types of containers. Warehouses struggled with the lack of equipment and the country continues to be triggered by a massive shortage of trucking capacity. The US is short of approximately 80,000 drivers at present. 1. https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/ports-logistics/number-containershipswaiting-chinese-ports-doubles 2. https://think.ing.com/articles/container-shipping-volume-growth-calms-tariffsremain-strong/ 5 April: an overview Russia-Ukraine war continues to affect global trade: The EU sources almost half of coal imports from Russia. But these coal imports are expected to be banned by the EU from August.3 US, Colombia, South Africa and Australia are being seen as alternative routes for the Black Sea and Baltic Sea. Tanker shipping might see a shift in trade flow as the Middle East is being noticed as an alternative to Russian oil. The average port congestion did not improve until the last week of April. This indicates that shipping rates will stay higher than before. Maersk said in a trading update in April that container volumes declined 7% between January and March.4 3. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/07/eu-to-ban-russian-coal-imports-fromaugust-sources-say.html 4. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/2-maersk-says-shipping-boom062658312.html Average container prices in April: Price for a 20 DC is highest in Europe & India: For a 40 HC, they're highest in China as usual: 1. Warsaw 2. Milano 3. Mundra: 1. Guangzhou 2. Shenzhen 3. Singapore $2,670 $2,348 $2,323 $5,249 $4,785 $4,727 April's Top 10 ports with highest change in price for 20 DC, MoM: 1. Duisburg, DE 2. Dubai, AE 3. New York, NY 4. Rotterdam, NL 5. Savannah, GA 6. Oakland, CA 7. Antwerp, BE 8. Tianjin, CN 9. Houston, TX 10. Qingdao, CN ↓16.8 ↓14.4 ↑9.7% ↓9.3% ↑9.1% ↓8.0% ↓7.5% ↓7.3% ↓6.9% ↓6.9% from $2,322 to $1,933 from $2,549 to $2,182 from $1,998 to $2,192 from $2,097 to $1,901 from $1,839 to $2,006 from $2,782 to $2,560 from $2,134 to $1,973 from $2,248 to $2,083 from $1,739 to $1,619 from $2,149 to $2,000 China – Container availability Bloomberg reported that the total number of container ships in Shanghai’s port as well as the hub’s shared anchorage with Ningbo was 230 in the third week of April, a 35% increase from this time last year. 5 The CAx for Shanghai rose to 0.62 by the end of April [week 17] but is expected to drop slightly in May to 0.59 [week 18-21]. Although for Ningbo, the CAx dropped below the 0.5 mark at the beginning of the month, only to rise to 0.51 by the end of it. What is CAx? A term coined by xChange, the CAx is a tool used to monitor the import and export moves of full containers around major ports. A reading of below 0.5 means more containers leave a port compared to the number that enter. Above 0.5 means more containers are entering the port. Click here to find out more. 5. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-04-25/china-s-covid-crisis-threatensglobal-supply-chain-chaos-for-summer- 2022 7 China – Container availability Yantian was on the track of progress until the lockdown. April marked a shortage of containers at the port. But the port is showing gradual signs of rising CAx. In the last week of April, its CAx was 0.43. Tianjin, on the other hand, lived up to the expectations of March. It displayed a demand for full imports with a CAx of 0.70 towards the end of the month. 8 China – Trading: Container prices As anticipated by our trading insights, the average price for these two standard containers (20 DC, 40 HC) in China continued to decrease slowly in April. Because of rare container moves during the lockdown, the average price of 40 HC in Shanghai was $4,451, a drop of 5% week on week. It’s expected to stabilize in May. Trade containers in China 9 China – Leasing: Pick-up charges Shanghai has the world’s busiest container port, which has stayed open during the lockdown. And as the Covid-19 situation eases this month, container shipping in China is expected to see a very strong pick up in the next few days. While pick-up charges for a 40HC and 20DC increased in March, they have declined in April, with prices at $2,930, and $1,200 respectively. With no data for 40 DC in April, these clearly don't seem like a popular choice right now. 10 China – Leasing: Pick-up charges In April, the average PU charge for Europe North continued to decline to by $300 since March. Europe Med's leasing rates had gone up in March but April saw a slight decline of $75. North-East Asia’s average rate was $2,300 in both February and March but declined by $100 in April. For Middle East and ISC, the charges dropped from around $1,000 in February to $460 in April. 11 China – Leasing: Pick-up charges As Bloomberg reported in April, China accounts for about 12% of global trade. Covid restrictions have halted operations at factories and warehouses, slowed truck deliveries and exacerbated container logjams. The U.S. and European ports are already swamped, leaving them vulnerable to additional shocks. In the near future, these pile ups will get costlier for the $22 trillion arena for global merchandise trade, which slumped in 2020 and rebounded last year. In April, the drop in the PU charges from China were the lowest this year. The war and the lockdown both showed their global impact on trade and container leasing. Lease containers in China 12 The United States – Container availability The US imports almost 20% of all products and 35% of electronics from China. A surge in imports into the US is expected in June or July. The country’s busiest port Los Angeles as well as the port of Long Beach import about 40% of all containerized goods into the U.S. The surge is likely to overwhelm West Coast ports, which had returned to normal throughput in April. In both these ports, Q1 was the busiest quarter ever.6 6. https://thediplomat.com/2022/04/chinas-zero-covid-policy-to-renew-uswest-coast-port-congestion/ 13 The United States – Container availability In April, both the ports of Houston and New York continued to face cumbersome amounts of import and congestion. In fact, Houston reported April as their busiest start to 2022. New York too faced the pressure of high import volumes and the number of empty lockouts in April was unprecedented. 14 The United States – Container prices Our analysis shows that in LA, the price of a 40ft HC containers had fallen from $3,467 in late February 2022 to $2,754 in April 2022. While 20ft DC containers were at an average price of $1,661 in April 2022, down from highs of $3,080 late in August 2021. Trade containers in The US 15 Europe – Container availability Asia-Europe's supply chain continued to be disrupted in April with severe congestion. Along with that, Russia’s war with Ukraine impacted the throughput volume at Europe’s two largest ports, Rotterdam and Antwerp. 16 Europe – Container availability UK and Germany's biggest ports, Felixstowe and Hamburg respectively, both worked above capacity in April. The ports struggled to accept more containers due to the lack of storage space for them. While Hamburg’s CAx was 0.82 in the last week of April, its CAx is expected to be 0.79 by the end of May. Felixstowe’s CAx in April was 0.9. 17 Europe – Trading: Container prices Rotterdam saw an even bigger dip of 3.6% week on week but the prices might stabilize in May and be within a range of $2,750 $3,055. For the 20 DC though, there hasn’t been a substantial change and they’re expected to be stable in May as well. The average price of a 40 HC showed a 3.1% drop week on week in Antwerp but it’s expected to increase in May and stay within a range of $2,193-$3,173. Trade containers in Europe 18 Europe – Leasing: Pick-up charges Europe currently has a surplus of containers, as well as a lack of storage space/depots. When leasing from Europe to these other regions, suppliers will actually pay you in PU credits, especially when moving boxes back to China. Leasing rates for the user decreased in April, just like in March. As a user, you must shrewdly select which Chinese port to export to. As a supplier though, the low pickup charges are a good incentive for you to move your containers. Lease containers in Europe 19 India – Container availability We noticed more cargo move towards India in April. "This has an explanation that corroborates well with the macro economic factors. The Colombo crisis has led to more transshipment containers being directed to the east coast ports in India," said Christian Roeloffs, founder and CEO, Container xChange. Like other eastern ports in India, Chennai exhibited the rise of inbound containers as well. The port had a CAx of 0.77, which is expected to be stable in May too. 20 India – Trading: Container prices We noticed that the average shipping container prices eased in India by up to 20%. Key findings from our analysis show that there has been a general decline in average prices of 20 DC and 40 HC standard shipping containers across the ports of Chennai, Nhava Sheva and Mundra till the last week of April. Trade containers in India 21 Middle East & ISC – Container availability Pakistan’s container market saw a decline in Q1 of 2022. The uncertain political situation, growing inflation and Pak Rupee depreciation have impacted trade in the country. 7 Karachi’s CAx was 0.86 in April. Jebel Ali (UAE) reportedly handled 3.4 million TEUs in the Q1 of 2022, a decrease of 1.0% year-on-year.8 In the last week of April, its CAx was 0.58. 7.https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/pakistan-cbank-hikespolicy-rate-by-250bps-1225-emergency-meeting-2022-04-07/ 8. https://container-news.com/dp-world-exceeds-19-million-teu-in-firstquarter/ Middle East & ISC – Trading: Container prices Prices for 40 HC in this region continued to decrease in April, while they rose for 20 DC, with the exception of Dubai. Dubai’s prices saw an exponential decline in April – from $2,549 to $2,182 – especially for a 20 DC. 23 Southeast Asia – Container availability The CAx in Singapore, Asia's third largest trade hub, rose to 0.62 in the last week of April. This rise was amid the inflation that the country is facing right now. 24 Wrapping up the month The most liquid locations: (i.e., high quantity and ease of business) Trading (until April 22): • 20 DC containers cheapest in Chicago, LA and Houston • 40 DC containers cheapest in Antwerp, LA and Savannah • 40 HC containers cheapest in Chicago, Toronto and Houston Great profit options? Trading • Good time to buy containers in Chennai because the average price of a 40 ft HC container in the port has dropped by 16% since January 2022 • Xeneta reported that for a 40 DC container, the spot rate from the Far East to North Europe was $11,100 per FEU. The same to the Mediterranean was $13,100 on April 26, 2022. This means that it’s $2,000 cheaper to move the box to North Europe compared to the Mediterranean when importing it from the Far East. Leasing • As a user, consider a one-way move from China to Europe where the pick-up charges are much lower than usual Buy / Lease containers on xChange now 25 Wrapping up the month Smart container moves next week? • In April, Antwerp and Bruges merged their port companies to form what they claim is Europe’s largest export port. They aim to leverage the neighboring ports’ strengths in ro-ro, chemical, and container traffic. • As the lockdown in China and the Russia-Ukraine war continue, consider moving your containers to Europe via alternative routes that avoid Shanghai, Russia and Ukraine. • After the lockdown is over and export resumes, a large volume of vessels will head to the U.S. West Coast ports. This means, the waiting time will increase. Consider moving your boxes to the southern coasts, like Houston. Or find ways to avoid demurrage and detention costs by finding SOCs on xChange. Watch out for: • The upcoming labor negotiations in the US between the port workers’ body International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) and the Pacific Maritime Association (PMA) are reported to start from May 12, 2022. It can have serious implications for container logistics. Plan ahead as a pile up of containers is expected. • China will have a five-day period of labor day holidays starting from April 30, 2022. Expect shortage of workforce in warehouses, freight forwarding and trucking companies. Buy / Lease containers on xChange now 26 Want to buy, sell or lease containers? Click on the link below: Schedule a demo For press inquiries, please write to Ritika Kapoor rka@container-xchange.com Follow us on LinkedIn Subscribe to our Youtube channel For content queries, please write to Ananya Borgohain abg@container-xchange.com