PRECIPITATION Week 2 Lecture Notes Dr.Aysun KOROGLU ITU CIVIL ENGINEERING DEPARTMENT Formation of Precipitation Necessary Conditions for Precipitation Artificial Rain Precipitation Measurement Measurement of Rainfall Measurement of Snow Measurement Errors Gage Network Analysis of Precipitation Records Precipitation Mass Curve and Hyetograph Homogeneity of Records Filling Missing Observations Extrapolating the Records Calculation of Areal Average Precipitation Areal Distribution of Precipitation Precipitation depth-Area-Duration Analysis Probable Maximum Precipitation Distribution of Precipitation in Time 2 Water falling on earth from atmosphere in liquid or solid form is called precipitation. Rain and snow are the two most important forms of precipitation hydrologically. Main difference between them being that falling as rain immediately becomes runoff Whereas snow generally melts after a period of time. 3 Necessary Conditions for Precipitation: Sufficient vapor should exist in that region of the atmosphere (The main source of vapor in the atmosphere is oceans, such that 90% of the precipitation on lands comes from water evaporated from the oceans). 2. Air mass should be cooled (Cooling of the air reduces its vapor carrying capacity, and water condenses into liquid form when the saturation point is reached). 1. 4 Necessary Conditions for Precipitation: 3. Condensation must occur (Condensation occurs on very small pieces of dust-of the order of microns) called condensation seeds. Such pieces of dust(organic material, volcanic ash, sulfuric acids and nitric acid, clay particles, salt and smoke) are always present in the atmosphere. Therefore condensation occurs as soon as the air is saturated, which forms clouds. The size of water particles in clouds is 1-100 micron, and therefore they do not fall to earth’s surface without evaporation but are suspended in the air. 5 Necessary Conditions for Precipitation: 4. Drops that are sufficently large(about 1 mm) should be formed so that they can fall down to earth’s surface This occurs when ice crystals on which water vapor condense are present, or when small drops grows by hitting each other. In temperatures below —10°C water vapor condenses on ice crystals to form large drops when sufficient amount of ice crystals are present in a cloud, because vapor pressure on ice is lower than vapor pressure on liquid water. This is not possible in warmer clouds, where the only way larger drops are formed is the collosion of drops condensed on salt nuclei. Precipitation may not occur although the first three conditions are satisfied. 6 Convective precipitation Cyclonic(Frontal) precipitation Orographic precipitation 7 An air mass near the earth’s surface rises when it is heated strongly. Air is heated Precipitation rises cooles 8 When a warm air mass meets a cold air mass along a vertical front, warm air will be raised and cold air will be lowered. Cold front precipitation occurs when cold air mass moves along the front by pushing the warm air mass. Warm front precipitation occurs when warm mass moves by pushing the cold air mass 9 A moist air mass will be cooled when it rises to pass a mountain range and produces orographic precipitation. A positive correlation exists between the elevation and depth of precipitation in such cases. 10 Precipitation does not occur when the mechanism to form raindrops that are sufficient size to fall down to earth is not present. In such cases, rain can be produced artificially. Crystals of silver iodine: Are scattered over the clouds from airplanes, Silver iodine vapor produced by burning it on land surface rises to the clouds(Water condenses on these crystals at temperatures below -5°C, and large enough ice crystals are formed.) 11 Crystals of silver iodine: 1016 number of precipitation seeds are formed from 1 g silver iodine. This is the sufficient number of seed that precipitation can occur. The concentration of silver iodine is lower than 0.1 mikrogram/liter in rain drops. USA Common Wealth Research Institution has declared that the maximum concentration of silver iodine in water sources is 50 mikrogram/liter. This is first applied in Turkey in 1990 in Istanbul by Istanbul Water and Sanitation Branch (ISKI) . This method was also used in different time intervals in Ankara and Izmir as well. . 12 Dry Ice(Solid carbondioxide) : Scattering over the clouds to drop the temperature to -40°C so that water in the clouds form ice crystals. Thus ice crystals are not otherwise present in the clouds are formed artificially(cloud seeding). This is possible only when the temperature is below -5°C. 13 The efficiency of artificial rain depends on such conditions: Seeding timing Wind profile, The velocity of air elevation and other atmospheric conditions, Super cooled water drops, Seed concentration, The collosion of dorps and their direction. It is shown that artificial rain can be produced when the conditions are right, but the results have been the subject of much discussion. The rain may start 15 minutes or a couple of hours following the seeding process. . 14 Precipitation is expressed as the depth of precipitation defined as the height of the water column that accumulates in a certain time interval on a horizontal plane. It is usually given in milimeters. 1 mm of precipitation is equal to 1 kg/m2. Recording instruments show the variation of precipitation in time and supplies information when it is not possible to approach the instrument. Non- recording Pluviometers Recording Pluviographs 15 Pluviometer : Non- recording instruments Any cylinder with vertical sidewall can be used to measure the rainfall. Standart vessels must be used so that measurements are comparable and errors are of same magnitude. 16 Pluviograph Types These instruments record the variation of the precipitation depth with time on paper. 1. Weighing Gage Rainfall is accumulated in a bucket. As the bucket gets heavier, it moves a pen on a rotating paper chart. This gives a curve showing the variation of precipitation depth with downwards 17 Pluviograph Types 2. Tipping bucket gage Rainfall entering the gage accumulates in a very small bucket, which is emptied by tippin when it fills, moves a pen on a chart by certain amaount, and is replaced by another bucket. This gives a step line on the rotating chart. Each step equaling to 0.3-0.5 mm depth of precipitation. 18 Pluviograph Types 3. Float-type gage As the water level in the vessel rises, a float moves a pen on a rotating chart. When the vessel is full, it is emptied rapidly by an automatic siphon. 19 Pluviograph Types 4. Pulse counting gage • When the cups in cylinder vessel is full, the rainfall fills the other. • The repositining of the cup generates a pulse. • Each pulse is equal to 0,2 mm depth of precipitation . • These pulses are counted so that the total amount can be calculated. 20 5. Radar Pluviograph Types Microwave radar (wavelength 1-20 cm) can be used in precipitation measurement. Energy of the reflected waves is proportional to the size of rainfall drops and therefore, to the intensity of precipitation. 21 Measurement of snowfall Measurement of snow cover Snowfall is measured by gages used for rainfall. Non-recording gages and weighing gages can be used to measure snowfall. Antifreeze addititves such as calcium chloride and ethylene glycol should be used to prevent the freezing of accumulated snow. Gages must be installed at a sufficient distance above the ground so that they are not buried in the snow. 22 Water equivalent of snow equals the product of specific gravity of snow cover and its thickness. It varies 100-600 kg/m3 For new snow- 100, for denser snow 300-600. 23 Most important errors are caused by the wind. Wind speed increases with the distance of the gage above the ground, together with the ration of precipitation that enters the gage. 24 • Another cause of the errors is the reduction of the precipitation entering the gage by high obstacles such as buildings and trees. Gages must be placed at a distance of at least two times the height of such obstacles. • If the gage is placed too high, the wind effect is stronger. • Evaporation of the water in the gage must be prevented by forming a thin layer of oil on the water surface. 25 A network of precipitation measurement gages must be set up that is dense enough to determine the areal distribution of precipitation. Gages must be placed denser in mountainous regions affected by air masse comign from the sea, where the intensity of precipitation varies rapidly with elevation. 26 World Meteorological Organization reccomends the optimum density of one gage per 600—900 km2 in plains, and one gage per 100—250 km2 in mountainous regions. The interval of elevations of gages must be of recording type to allow the distribution of precipitation in time to be measured. DMI: 545 number of gages are established in Turkey of the 470 gages are automated. 769.600 km2 of Turkey’s surface area, of 400 000 km2 are defined as mountainous area. 27 www.tumas.mgm.gov.tr 28 Precipitation mass curve: P-t curve P= Precipitation depth(mm) i= Precipitation depth in unit time- precipitation density (mm/hr) 29 Hyetograph: The curve showing the variation of precipitation intensity with time. The time interval is chosen respect to the size of the region, usually in the range 1-6 hours. Usually the average intesity reduces as the duration increases. If the precipitation intensity: <2.5mm/hr = Light, 2.5-7.5mm/hr=Medium >7.5mm/hr=Heavy rain i=Average intensity, T=Return period, (The average number of years between two precipitation events with intensity of at least i) 30 tp=Duration Homogeneity of a precipitation record is analyzed by double mass curve method to check whether the location, oreintation and the method of measurement of the precipitation gage has been changed. At least 5 gages must be used to estimate the average. In case the straight line drawn through the plotted points is broken, then the year when the slope of the line changes is the year when homogeneity is broken. To homogeneize the measurements before that date, they are multiplied by the ratio of the slopes of the lines before and after that date. 31 Missing data in a station can be filled in using the records of neighboring stations. NA,NB,NC= Annual average precipitationat stations (mm/year) PA,PB,PC= Precipitation observed at stations(mm) Nx= Annual average precipitation (mm/year) When NA,NB,NC do not differ from Nx by more than 10%, aritmetic average can be used instead of weighted average of: Pi & Di= Readings at 4 stations closest to the station with missing data and their distances 32 to the station with missing data In meteorologically homogeneous region, records at stations that are far enough from each other such that the precipitation depths are independent, can be considered together as the record at a single station along the total years. Thus 30-year long records at 10 stations can be brought together as a 300-year year record at a single station 33 dA=Element of area A= Total area of the region The precision increases with the density of the gages because of the topography, vegetation, lakes and structures influence the uniformity of precipitation distribution. Arithmetic Average Thiessen Method Isohyetal Method 34 It can be used in regions smaller than 500 km2 when the gages are rather uniformly scattered. The simplest method is to take the average of the readings of all instruments This method may not give good results in mountainous regions and heavy rainfall, when precipitation various rapidly over the area. 35 The area is divided such that each point lies in the subregion of the region of the gage to which it is closest. Drawing their perpendicular bisectors(normals at their midpoints) This gives the Thiessen Polygon, where it is assumed that each subregion formed by the normals is represented by the gage that lies in it. Then the average areal precipitation is calculated by a weighted average. Ai= Area of the subregion around the gage i with precipitation Pi N=Number of gages Can be used for regions of 500- 5000 km2 36 Isohyetal Method Isohyets(curves of equal precipitation depth) are drawn by joining the points of equal precipitation. Areal average precipitation is then calculated by a weighted average with weights equal to the average of the isohyets for areas between the two adjacent isohyets. Ai= The area between two adjacent isohyets Pi = The average of their precipitation values N= Number of gages Gives good results mountainous regions. especially in 37 During a storm average areal precipitation is always smaller than the point value at the center of the storm. Areal average precipitation in an area around the center decreases as the area increases. The ratio (P/Po ) decreases rapidly for a 30-minute storm, but the decrease is much slower for a 24-hour storm. 38 The recution of the precipitation over an area with size of the area during a certain storm duration is given by a formula due to Horton. P0= Depth of precipitation at the storm center, P=Average precipitation over the area A, k,n= Coefficients determined seperately for each storm. tp= Storm duration, a,m,b= Regional coefficients 39 In some cases it is required to know not only the areal distribution of precipitation but also its distribution in time: 1. 2. The area inside each isohyet around each storm center in the region is measured and average precipitation depths are calculated. Mass curves are drawn for each recording gage in the region. 40 6,12 hour precipitation depth-area curves are obtained from the regions inside each isohyet. 4. Areal distribution of precipitation depth for each duration is plotted and envelope curves are drawn. 3. 41 Probable maximum precipitation, defined as the maximum precipitation depth in the basin that is physically possible for a certain duration, is used in the design of the spillways of large dams that would cause loss of life when they collapse. 42 Precipitation depth-area-duration curves of the basin are obtained for the heaviest observed storms. 2. The efficiency of the mechanism that converts the water vapor to rain, the vapor content of the air masses, and the wind velocities in the observed storms are increased to their maximum possible values. 3. Also the heavy storms observed in the neighbouring basins that are meteorologically similar are transported to the basin taking the meteorological differences into consideration. 1. This method should not be used for orographic precipitation, because the precipitation depth varies rapidly in space. 43 Precipitation depth has an annual periodicity because of the meteorological effects. Variation of the precipitation along the year has an effect on the water budget of the region. 44 www.srh.noaa.gov/ 45