POSSIBLE ASSESSMENT 1 TEST QUESTIONS AND POSSIBLE ANSWERS QUESTION 1 Walt Rostow took a historical approach in suggesting that developed countries have tended to pass through five (5) stages to reach their current degree of economic development. Briefly discuss Rostow’s five stages of development Answer 1. Traditional society. This is an agricultural economy of mainly subsistence farming, little of which is traded. The size of the capital stock is limited and of low quality resulting in very low labour productivity and little surplus output left to sell in domestic and overseas markets 2. Pre-conditions for take-off. Agriculture becomes more mechanised and more output is traded. Savings and investment grow although they are still a small percentage of national income (GDP). Some external funding is required - for example in the form of overseas aid or perhaps remittance incomes from migrant workers living overseas 3. Take-off. Manufacturing industry assumes greater importance, although the number of industries remains small. Political and social institutions start to develop - external finance may still be required. Savings and investment grow, perhaps to 15% of GDP. Agriculture assumes lesser importance in relative terms although the majority of people may remain employed in the farming sector. There is often a dual economy apparent with rising productivity and wealth in manufacturing and other industries contrasted with stubbornly low productivity and real incomes in rural agriculture. 4. Drive to maturity. Industry becomes more diverse. Growth should spread to different parts of the country as the state of technology improves - the economy moves from being dependent on factor inputs for growth towards making better use of innovation to bring about increases in real per capita incomes 5. Age of mass consumption. Output levels grow, enabling increased consumer expenditure. There is a shift towards tertiary sector activity and the growth is sustained by the expansion of a middle class of consumers. QUESTION 2 Population may be considered positive hindrance in the way of economic development of a country. In a ‘capital poor’ and technologically backward country, growth of population reduces output by lowering the per capita availability of capital. Too much population is not good for economic development. Discuss any five (5) consequences of negative population growth. Answer: 1. Population reduces the Rate of Capital Formation: In underdeveloped countries, the composition of population is determined to increase capital formation. Due to higher birth rate and low expectation of life in these countries, the percentage of dependents is very high. Nearly 40 to 50 per cent of the population is in the non-productive age group, which simply consumes and does not produce anything. In under developed countries, rapid growth of population diminishes the availability of capital per head, which reduces the productivity of its labour force. Their income, consequently, is reduced and their capacity to save is diminished which, in turn, adversely affects capital formation. 2. Higher Rate of Population requires more Investment: In economically backward countries, investment requirements are beyond its investing capacity. A rapidly growing population increases the requirements of demographic investment, which at the same time reduces the capacity of the people to save. This creates a serious imbalance between investment requirements and the availability of investible funds. Therefore, the volume of such investment is determined by the rate of population growth in an economy. Some economists have estimated that for maintaining the present level of per capita income, 2 per cent to 5 per cent of national income must be invested if population grows at 1 per cent per annum. In these countries, population is increasing at the rate of about 2.5 per cent per annum and 5 per cent to 12.5 per cent of their national income and hence the entire investment is absorbed by demographic investment and nothing is left for economic development. These factors are mainly responsible for stagnation in such economies. 3. It reduces per Capita Availability of Capital: The large size of population also reduces per capita availability of capital in less developed countries. This is true in respect of underdeveloped countries where capital is scarce and its supply is inelastic. A rapidly growing population leads to a progressive decline in the availability of capital per worker. This further leads to lower productivity and diminishing returns. 4. Adverse Effect on per Capital Income: Rapid growth of population directly effects per capita income in an economy. Up to ‘income optimizing level’, the growth of population increases per capita income but beyond that, it necessarily lowers the same. In a sense, so long as the rate of population growth is lower than the per capita income, rate of economic growth will rise but if population growth exceeds the rate of economic growth, usually found in the case of less developed countries, per capita income must fall. 5. Large Population creates the Problem of Unemployment: A fast growth in population means a large number of persons coming to the labour market for whom it may not be possible to provide employment. In fact, in underdeveloped countries, the number of job seekers is expanding so fast that despite all efforts towards planned development, it has not been possible to provide employment to all. Unemployment, underemployment and disguised employment are common features in these countries. The rapidly rising population makes it almost impossible for economically backward countries to solve their problem of unemployment. 6. Rapid Population Growth creates Food Problem: Increased population means more mouths to feed which, in turn, creates pressure upon available stock of food. This is the reason; the under-developed countries with rapid growing population are generally faced with a problem of food shortage. Despite all their efforts for raising agricultural production, they are not able to feed their growing population. Food scarcity effects economic development in two respects. Firstly, inadequate supply of food leads to undernourishment of the people, which lowers their productivity. It further reduces the production capacity of the workers, Secondly; the deficiency of food compels to import food grains, which places as unnecessarily strain on their foreign exchange resources. 7. Population and Farming: In less developed countries the majority of population lives in, where agriculture is their mainstay. The growth of population is relatively very high in rural areas and it has disturbed the land man ratio. Further, it has increased the problem of disguised unemployment and reduced per capita farm product in such economies, as the number of landless workers has largely increased followed by low rate of their wages. The low farm productivity has reduced the propensity to save and invest. As a result, these economies suffer largely for want of improved farm techniques and ultimately become the victim of the vicious circle of poverty. Thus rerated farming and the process of overall development. 8. Population and Vicious Circle in Poverty: Rapid growth of population is largely responsible for the perpetuation of vicious circle of poverty in underdeveloped countries. Because of rapid growth of population, people are required to spend a major part of their income on bringing up their children. QUESTION 3 What is the Solow model of economic growth? Answer: The Solow Growth Model is an exogenous model of economic growth that analyzes changes in the level of output in an economy over time because of changes in the population growth rate, the savings rate, and the rate of technological progress. What does the Solow growth model show? Answer: The Solow–Swan model is an economic model of long-run economic growth set within the framework of neoclassical economics. It attempts to explain long-run economic growth by looking at capital accumulation, labor or population growth, and increases in productivity, commonly referred to as technological progress. What effect do population growth, new technology and higher savings have on income growth? Answer: ➢ An increase in the population growth rate lowers the steady-state level of per capita output. ➢ A higher saving rate does not permanently affect the growth rate in the Solow model. A higher saving rate does result in a higher steady-state capital stock and a higher level of output. The shift from a lower to a higher steady-state level of output causes a temporary increase in the growth rate. ➢ In some newer theories of growth, a higher saving rate may permanently raise the rate of economic growth. What is steady state in Solow model? Answer: A steady state economy is an economy of stable or mildly fluctuating size. An economy can reach a steady state after a period of growth or after a period of downsizing or degrowth. What are the three key assumptions of the Solow model? Answer: ➢ One composite commodity is produced. ➢ Output is regarded as net output after making allowance for the depreciation of capital. ➢ There are constant returns to scale. In other words, the production function is homogeneous of the first degree. QUESTION 4 What is the role of education in economic development? Answer Education in every sense is one of the fundamental factors of development. Education raises people's productivity and creativity and promotes entrepreneurship and technological advances. In addition, it plays a very crucial role in securing economic and social progress and improving income distribution. What is the role of health in economic development? Answer Better health is central to human happiness and well-being. It also makes an important contribution to economic progress, as healthy populations live longer, are more productive, and save more. Many factors influence health status and a country's ability to provide quality health services for its people. Why is education important for the development of a country? Answer Education is an important investment in a country as there are huge benefits. Education guarantees lifetime income; it promotes peace and reduces dropout rates from schools and colleges and encourages healthy competition. Many children dropout form colleges as they are not aware of the advantages of college. How can education improve the economy? Answer A country's economy becomes more productive as the proportion of educated workers increases since educated workers can more efficiently carry out tasks that require literacy and critical thinking. In this sense, education is an investment in human capital, similar to an investment in better equipment Why is development of the country important? Answer Economic development helps to protect the local economy from economic downturns by attracting and expanding the region's major employers. The increased presence of companies in the region translates to increased tax revenue for community projects and local infrastructure. QUESTION 5 What is income convergence? The idea of convergence in economics (also sometimes known as the catchup effect) is the hypothesis that poorer economies' per capita incomes will tend to grow at faster rates than richer economies. As a result, all economies should eventually converge in terms of per capita income. Why do many economists expect income convergence between developed and developing countries? The term convergence is a hypothesis in economics that believes that there would be a time when developing nations will grow faster than the developed ones in terms of per capita income. This means that the stage of diminishing returns is still far for the developing nations. Why do the developing countries experience a degree of convergence over time? Over time, both productivity and the GDP per capita have increased in industrialized countries. Interestingly, the productivity and the GDP per capita of these nations have approached one another over time. This convergence signifies that all industrialized nations are approaching a common level of prosperity. Why are some countries not developed? Climate - many of the poorest countries are in the tropics where it is hot, the land is less fertile, water is scarce, and diseases flourish. Natural resources - some raw materials are valuable and can help a country develop if they have the resources to collect and process them, eg oil, diamonds, forests and gold. Are poor countries catching up with rich countries? Returns on capital investments in capital-rich countries are not as strong as they would be in developing countries. Poorer countries are also at an advantage because they can replicate the production methods, technologies, and institutions of developed countries. Are living standards of developing and developed nations converging? Briefly explain Answer: Evidence of unconditional convergence is hard to find If growth conditions for DC and LDCs were similar, one would expect convergence based on two factors Technology transfer Factor accumulation would expect investments to be lower in DC where capital intensity is higher Higher investments rates will occur either through FDI or domestic sources But there is increasing evidence of “per capita income convergence,” weighting changes in per capita income by population size QUESTION 6 Economic, social, political and institutional mechanisms, both public and private necessary are required to bring about rapid and largescale improvements in living standards of people living in least developed countries. What are the key development challenges facing the developing countries? Discuss substantially any five-development challenges facing countries. Answer: 1. Domestic resource mobilisation? There was strong emphasis on LDCs building capacity to mobilise financial resources locally. Tax reform – including the ability of the state to efficiently collect and manage tax revenues – could help raise finance in LDCs. What strikes me is the fact that the informal sector still constitutes a marked share of the economy in most of these countries. Yet in Antalya, discussion on the informal economy was missing. How can the informal sector be taxed? It is inevitable that the LDCs will continue to rely heavily on foreign assistance to harness the opportunities in the informal market, and enhance their technical and institutional capacities to mobilise resources efficiently. 2. Limited economic diversification? LDCs depend heavily on primary commodities, leaving them exposed to volatility in commodity prices. This leads to imbalances in balance of payment and economic instability. Some African countries such as Angola and Mozambique have been hit particularly hard. Some suggest this economic vulnerability is a major hindrance to LDCs' graduation. I think this is an outdated argument – there isn't sufficient evidence that primary product price volatility reduces total productivity or impacts GDP growth. In fact, much evidence suggests the most limiting factors are weak human resource and unstable institutions; countries that have made sufficient investment in building their human and institutional capital have been able to withstand temporary economic shocks. So, yes to economic diversification, but priority should be given to investments directed towards enhancing human and institutional capital. 3. Lack of progress on 'means of implementation' Many LDCs expressed frustration at lack of global support for means of implementation, including lack of reform to persistently unfavourable trade regimes, the divergence between pledged financial assistance and monies actually delivered, and token technology transfer. For example, the G8 group of countries fell more than US$10 billion short on its Africa pledges for 2010 alone. Important as it is to focus on local reforms, it is crucial that sufficient attention is given to means of implementation. Without this, the graduation of LDCs remains a mere aspiration. 4. Proliferation of goals and targets LDC delegates voiced concern about the mind-boggling number of goals and targets set by various global frameworks, including the Sustainable Development Goals, IPoA, the Paris Agreement on climate change and the Convention on Biological Diversity, to name a few. Keeping track of all these targets is exhausting and not necessarily the most efficient way of implementing development agendas. A coherent process with streamlined reporting mechanisms is the preferred way forward. The private sector: high expectation I was also struck by the emphasis on the role of the private sector both in financing and delivering development in LDCs. This has gained attention following growing donor fatigue and dwindling Official Development Assistance (ODA). Indeed, it is evident that ODA flows to LDCs have declined in real terms in the past few years. This is due to a number of reasons including a slowing economy in the developed world, corruption and 'poor governance' on the recipient side, the recent shift of resources to humanitarian crises, not to mention the rise of right-leaning populist governments in Europe. QUESTION 7 On September 8, 2000, the United Nations General Assembly adopted the Millennium Declaration. The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) emerged as a means to meet some of the aspirations of the Millennium Declaration. The MDGs comprise eight broad objectives and fifteen more specific “target” policies to reach those objectives. Discuss eight broad objectives and one specific target for each objective. Goal 1 Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Target 1: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day Target 2: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger Goal 2 Achieve universal primary education Target 3: Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling Goal 3 Promote gender equality and empower women Target 4: Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education preferably by 2005 and in all levels of education no later than 2015 Goal 4 Reduce child mortality Target 5: Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate Goal 5 Improve maternal health Target 6: Reduce by three-quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio Goal 6 Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other diseases Target 7: Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS Target 8: Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the incidence of malaria and other major diseases Goal 7 Ensure environmental sustainability Target 9: Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programs and reverse the loss of environmental resources Target 10: Halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water and basic sanitation Target 11: Have achieved, by 2020, a significant improvement in the lives of at least100 million slum dwellers Goal 8 Develop a global partnership for development Target 12: Develop further an open, rule-based, predictable, non-discriminatory trading and financial system (includes a commitment to good governance, development, and poverty reduction—both nationally and internationally) Target 13: Address the special needs of the least developed countries (includes tariffand quota-free access for exports, enhanced program of debt relief for Highly Indebted Poor Countries and cancellation of official bilateral debt, and more generous Foreign Aid for countries committed to poverty reduction) Target 14: Address the special needs of landlocked countries and small island developing states Target 15: Deal comprehensively with the debt problems of developing countries through national and international measures in order to make debt sustainable in the long term Target 16: In cooperation with developing countries, develop and implement strategies for decent and productive work for youth Target 17: In cooperation with pharmaceutical companies, provide access to affordable essential drugs in developing countries Target 18: In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies, especially information and communications QUESTION 8 Development is about realizing very fundamental human values and finding the means to extend the fruits of these values to the greatest majority of the world’s population. These human values include, but are not limited to: 1. the opportunity for meaningful employment, under honorable conditions, and the possibility to provide for one’s self and family; 2. employment under conditions that comply with the following four core labor standards of the International Labour Organization: (1) freedom of association and the effective recognition of the right to collective bargaining; (2) elimination of all forms of forced or compulsory labor; (3) effective abolition of child labor; (4) elimination of discrimination in respect of employment and occupation; 3. sufficient food, shelter, and other amenities for a decent and meaningful life above the poverty line; 4. the opportunity to pursue education and the increased quality of life it promises; 5. a reasonable level of health care; 6. social security for old age; 7. democracy and political participation in the life of the community and society; 8. equal treatment under the law and in the economy, regardless of race, gender, class, ethnicity, religion, nationality, or other differences; and 9. respect for individual dignity QUESTION 9 For the less-developed nations, development compels them to undertake substantial qualitative structural change. The future cannot be just an extension of the past, of doing more of what is now being done. Change must be dramatic. Name and explain these five (5) qualitative structural changes. 1) Increase in industrialization. • Economic growth and development are strongly associated with an increasing share of a nation’s output and labor force involved in industrial, especially manufacturing, activities, at least initially. Over time, services become increasingly important too as an economy matures even further. • Wages tend to be higher in the industrial sector than in agriculture, because the level and use of technology are greater. This leads to both higher levels of production and worker productivity, and the resulting higher income that is created is shared by workers and owners of enterprises. • Production methods also become relatively intensive in the use of knowledge—human capital and of physical capital. As part of this unfolding process, the urban population tends to grow both relatively and absolutely compared to the rural population, as rural workers migrate to the cities in search of the higher incomes promised by urban and industrial pursuits. 2) Decrease in agriculture. • Parallel to the expansion of the industrial sector of the economy is a decline in the share of agricultural output in total output. This also means a reduction in the share of the total labor force employed in agriculture and a decrease in the share of the rural population within the total population. • The increase in industrialization and the decrease in agriculture are intimately related. “Surplus labor” (i.e. low-productivity labor) in agriculture migrates to urban areas in search of the promise of better-paid and higher-productivity industrial employment. It is this shift of workers from low-productivity agricultural employment to higher- productivity industrial employment that contributes to a sharp increase in total national output when this process of internal labor migration is initiated. • Technological progress and labor productivity are typically lower in the primary (agriculture, mining, and fishing) sector, but over time, output per person approaches the level reached in the industrial, or secondary, sector as the fewer workers in agriculture produce more output per worker. • One leading development expert has written that “economic development is a process of moving from a set of assets based on primary products, exploited by unskilled labor, to a set of assets based on knowledge, exploited by skilled labor” (Amsden 2001: 2). 3) Changing trade patterns. • Successful development is almost always marked by a maturation in the structure of trade, as a limited range of primary exports—agriculture and fishing products, unprocessed mining and other extractive minerals, and forestry products—is replaced by both a greater diversity of export products and by an evolving export mix toward manufactured goods and services. • Successful developers shift from a dependence on the traditional, primary export products that marked their colonial past toward, first, simpler manufactured and non-traditional primary exports, and ultimately toward more complex commodity exports, from motor cars to computers to biotechnology products to information technology to nanotechnology and other types of high value-added production. • As a result of this evolutionary transformation, manufacturing exports typically come to dominate the export profile of more developed nations as the share of primary exports in total exports shrinks within the export profile. 4) Increased application of human capital and knowledge to production. • Economic growth and development require increases in the productivity of labor in all sectors of the economy if incomes and the standard of living of the population are to rise. This is achieved partly, but quite importantly, through improvements in the training and education of the existing and future labor force by means of increases in what economists call human capital accumulation. This takes place not only through the formal schooling process but also via “learning-by-doing” at the workplace. • Increased productivity of labor is also a consequence of an expansion in the use of more physical capital, that is, more machines and tools which typically embody more advanced technology and knowledge that can help to make a properly trained labor force even more efficient. • Human capacities accumulation, physical capital accumulation, and technology thus all contribute in a synergistic process to increase the productivity of the labor force. Greater productivity means the possibility of higher wages for labor and an easier workplace environment, both of which contribute to the potential well-being of the population. • Stress will be placed again and again on the essential complementarity of human and physical capital accumulation and the urgency for lessdeveloped nations not only to tap into the existing pool of knowledge available at the world level but also develop over time an autonomous technological capacity based on indigenous labor skills 5) Undertaking essential institutional change. Economic growth and development require fundamental institutional change. New organizations such as banks, stock and bond exchanges, and insurance companies gain added importance as an economy modernizes. • The role of the central government—the state—must change to incubate private initiatives, and sometimes to fill gaps when the private sector lacks initiative. Physical infrastructure such as roads, ports, communications, the provision of electricity, water, and other essential services must be improved, and the state typically must play a central role in these areas, particularly during early stages of structural transformation. • The specific nature of the legal system and of property rights; the rules and regulations governing the emerging financial system; the creation and operation of a civil service sys- tem; determining what will be taught in the schools and how success will be measured and so on all must be worked out and codified by government. QUESTION 10 Potential internal barriers to development: Some examples of possible internal barriers that may block fundamental structural change and thus thwart economic growth and development are: a) inequalities in the existing distributions of income and wealth, including the distribution of land ownership. For most countries, the wealth distribution is intimately related to the nature and power of class relations in society and to control over economic resources and the political sphere; b) the level and efficiency of physical infrastructure (roads, electricity, water, communication services, port facilities, and so on); c) the role and level of development of organized banking and lending activities and of equity (stock) and other financial markets and financial intermediaries; d) an ineffective or underdeveloped educational system, including low levels of general literacy and an imbalance between allocations of financing to primary, secondary, and higher education; e) prevailing ideological concepts and their impact on thinking and behavior, including the influence of religious thinking, the accepted role of women and ethnic or religious minorities, the prevailing economic orthodoxy, and so on; f) the initial endowment of natural resources of a nation; g) the role of the state, that is, the power and nature of the influence of the central government, including the degree of political freedom and the strength of democratic processes (included here is the macroeconomic environment that government at least partially controls, including the nature and definition of property rights and the functioning of the legal system); h) the extent and importance of political corruption and patronage and the impact of these on public policies and on economic behavior of those governed; i) the existence of substantial “market failures” such that market signals are not fully, completely, or accurately transmitted to economic agents, thus distorting resource allocation, production decisions, and spending patterns; j) geographic characteristics, for example, land-locked nations, mountainous terrain, extensive deserts, and even small country size; k) diseases specific to certain locations; l) civil war, and so on. Potential external barriers to development: Examples of possible external barriers to development include: a) transnational corporations that control national resources; b) the international division of labor and the prevailing patterns of international trade (e.g. primary commodity exporting countries versus manufactured-goods exporting countries), including the operation of the organized institutional structure of the international trade system, the effects of the World Trade Organization’s negotiations and of regional trade blocs, such as the European Union (EU) or the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA); c) the functioning of international financial institutions, including not only the international private commercial banks but also the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF); d) the influence of the geopolitical and strategic interests of larger economic powers vis-à-vis smaller and weaker economic entities; e) the impact of economic policies of more developed nations on interest rates, for example, or on tariffs or non-tariff barriers on the global economic system; f) external debt; g) the availability of foreign aid and investment, and so on. QUESTION 11 “The poor are also more likely to have many kinds of health problems, including infant mortality, earlier adulthood mortality, and mental illness, and they are also more likely to receive inadequate medical care Explain why poor children are more likely to develop health problems? “The poor are also more likely to have many kinds of health problems, including infant mortality, earlier adulthood mortality, and mental illness, and they are also more likely to receive inadequate medical care. Poor children are more likely to have inadequate nutrition and, partly for this reason, to suffer health, behavioural, and cognitive problems. These problems in turn impair their ability to do well in school and land stable employment as adults, helping to ensure that poverty will persist across generations. Many poor people are uninsured or underinsured, at least until the US health-care reform legislation of 2010 takes full effect a few years from now, and many have to visit health clinics that are overcrowded and understaffed”. QUESTION 12 Explain some socio-economic development challenges facing South Africa and include the solution for each problem. ➢ High unemployment and low incomes. This is at the heart of many of the socio-economic development challenges. Problems resulting from this include crime, hopelessness, a state of inequality, and the poverty cycle. Solution? Government is trying to tackle this by addressing the issue of a reasonable minimum wage. They are also looking to advance small business start-ups to create jobs. Corporates can get involved with Enterprise Development programmes. Individual entrepreneurs can also help with job creation. ➢ A breakdown in the nuclear family. Together with the unemployment issue, this leads to many social ills. High divorce rates and absent parents amount to a lack of guidance and values instilled in young people. This has a ripple effect and adds to the other issues such as teenage parenthood and substance abuse. Solution? There is no quick fix for relational issues and the lack of a moral compass. Every moral citizen can help by standing up for what is right and coaching other members of the community. Corporates can offer mentorships and guidance counselling. These work well as an integral part of Corporate Social Responsibility programmes. Do you know any organisation which has a proven track record of instilling moral values in communities? Support them. ➢ High crime rate. A tough economic climate leads to theft, violent crime and an anarchy mindset. Solution? There are so many ways to get involved. Tackling the unemployment problem is the best start. There are also community policing forums doing good work at a neighbourhood level. Corporates should seek to build good, supportive relationships with local law enforcement. ➢ Poor standards of education. This makes it hard for school leavers to become productive in the economy. South Africa invests a large budget into education but the results are lagging behind. ➢ Unsustainable business practises. Some business models have relied too heavily on limited resources. This jeopardises the future of the company and its employees. Solution? Scrutinise and rework your business practices for an emphasis on sustainability. Corporates can invest in portable skills development. This will ease the impact of possible retrenchments. Be aware of research and development into economically and environmentally sustainable business practises.