Issues and recent trends in international migration in SubSaharan Africa Aderanti Adepoju Introduction GDP stagnated whilst population increased annually at 3% and average per capita income Historical, economic, ethnic, and political links declined by one quarter. This has resulted in have fostered and reinforced intra-regional, the 1980s being called a ‘lost decade’ for SSA inter-regional and international migration in because so much was unaccomplished and in Africa, as well as between it and the colonial certain instances the gains of the previous decmetropolitan and other countries. By far the ades were severely eroded (Adepoju 1996). largest stream of migration in Africa consists of Poverty and human deprivation intensified, leadintra-regional migrant workers, undocumented ing to a deterioration in the well-being of the migrants, nomads, frontier workers, refugees vast majority of Africans. Today SSA is the and, increasingly, highly world’s poorest region, skilled professionals. Such where people were poorer at Aderanti Adepoju is an economist/ migrations take place within the end of the eighties than demographer. He has worked at the uniconsiderably diverse politthey had been in the beginversities of Ife and Lagos, Nigeria, as well as with the ILO, UN, UNFPA, and ical, economic, social and ning of the decade (United as consultant to international organisethnic contexts. UndocuNations 1996). Migration, ations. He is currently the Coordinator of mented movements across whether from a village to UNESCO/MOST Network on Migration frontiers, fostered by shared the town, from the town to Research in Africa, and Chief Executive, culture, language and colthe capital city of a country, Human Resources Development Centre, Lagos, Nigeria. He is author of numerous onial experience, noticeable or from one country to books and articles on population and in west and east Africa, as another either within or outdevelopment, migration, and refugees in well as frontier labour side the region, responds Africa. Email: aadepoju얀infoweb.abs.net. migration, blur the distincessentially to the same tion between internal and underlying factors—the pull international migration, as of opportunity and the push well as that between of abject poverty. migration in regular and irregular situations in African governments have had to reduce the region. the size of the public sector—the dominant Rapid growth of population and labour employment sector—through retirement, force combined with stagnant economic growth retrenchment and redundancies, and the private rates have led to increased poverty and unem- sector followed suit. In Nigeria, for example, ployment. At the current growth rate of 2.7% the five-year old embargo on recruitment into in the labour force, the region now requires the public service—the largest employer—may 7.5 million new jobs merely to stabilise the just be lifted. As a result, thousands of graduemployment situation. Beginning from the ates from the country’s 50-odd universities and 1980s, Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries polytechnics have been roaming the streets experienced negative economic growth rates; without hope. The private sector, operating at ISSJ 165/2000 UNESCO 2000. Published by Blackwell Publishers, 108 Cowley Road, Oxford OX4 1JF, UK and 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, USA. 384 about 27% capacity, had to shed large numbers of its workforce. Africans, whose domestic economies have been severely disrupted by political and economic mismanagement and civil wars, were compelled to migrate when political, economic, and environmental conditions fell below a critical threshold for them to stay in their countries. Political instability resulting from conflicts is a strong determinant of migration in the region. The political landscape is unstable, unpredictable, and volatile. Dictatorial regimes often target, harass and intimidate students, intellectuals and union leaders, spurring emigration of professionals and others. The loss of state capacities and breakdown of states rooted in the precarious democratisation process, the vacillating effects of structural adjustment programmes and human insecurity have also prompted a variety of migratory movements, including refugees (Adekanye 1998). For the past two decades, SAA has been a theatre of internecine warfare, creating major refugee populations. During 1969–90, 17 of the world’s recorded 43 civil wars were in Africa, including ‘high intensity’ civil wars in Angola, Liberia and Mozambique (Schmeidl 1996). In Sudan, Somalia, Sierra Leone, Rwanda, and Burundi, ethnic tensions played visibly important roles in such conflicts. Sustained refugee flows are rooted in these ethnic-based conflicts. Conflicts between ethnic groups with respect to access to political power and resources have resulted in a variety of responses including emigration, internal displacements and exile. In Rwanda, for example, the conflict is rooted in the sharing of power and land, a particularly scarce resource. Behind it all is intense demographic pressure on increasingly unproductive land: the country’s population density ranks among the highest in the world. The small, unproductive landholdings, unstable and lowly remunerated jobs have compelled farmers to seek wage-labour or engage in non-farm activities in the towns. Work opportunities, inadequate in both urban and rural areas, are fairly superior in terms of educational facilities which could benefit the migrants’ children, who constitute the bulk of potential emigrants. This in part explains why migration persists in the region in the face of UNESCO 2000. Aderanti Adepoju worsening urban unemployment (Adepoju 1998b). The demographic momentum, unstable political landscape, escalating ethnic conflicts, persistent economic decline, severe poverty and worsening ecological conditions have strongly influenced the trends and patterns of international migration in the region. Such political upheavals and economic crises have turned immigrant-receiving countries into countries of emigration. Data on international migration in SSA remain fragmentary and incomplete. The problems inherent in tracking the major forms of migration in the region—clandestine movements and cross-border labour migrations—also imply that a multiplicity of sources of data would have to be explored ingeniously. Thus, for instance, information about the migration of highly skilled professionals is more readily available in the receiving countries of the North than in the region. However, several embassies of countries in the region keep pertinent information on their files about such migrants. These sources of data when combined with censuses and specialised migration surveys could considerably enrich our understanding of some of these movements. Major migratory trends and issues Changes in migratory patterns, especially the intensification of irregular and undocumented migration as well as trafficking in migrants, can be attributed to poverty and human deprivation, worsening social conditions and employment situations. Rapid population growth and unemployment tremendously strained the region’s development process, creating the condition for migration. Rapidly deteriorating socio-political and economic conditions and a dismal perception of their future, have stimulated emigration. In the prevailing circumstances, the push of abject poverty is as compelling for many Africans as the pull of enhanced living conditions in the countries of the North (Adepoju 1995b). Migration as a family survival strategy Migration in Africa remains, perhaps more than ever, very much a ‘family matter’, with even non-migrant members of the family intimately International migration in Sub-Saharan Africa involved in and affected by the migration process. A family following the survival strategy would endeavour to sponsor one or more of its members to engage in, for example, the labour migration system. The expectation is that the migrant will maintain close touch with family members left behind, through visits and especially remittances. The family also expects rewards from its investment in the education of its members—usually the first male child who has been groomed for such migration. The migrant member feels compelled to remit a substantial proportion of the earned income regularly to support members of the family left behind. For many families, the remittance is the lifeline for subsistence and other expenses. In some resource-poor countries, Senegal, for example, household budget surveys have revealed that dependence on emigration and remittances is highly significant: between 30 and 70%, sometimes 80%, of family needs are covered by incomes remitted by emigrants (ILO 1995). Perhaps the most celebrated example of this system is the deferred pay method organised by the Republic of South Africa’s mines for labour migrants recruited from Lesotho. Similar findings have been reported for Mali (Findley et al. 1995), and Burkina Faso (Cordell et al. 1996). Some of these countries, and especially the families of migrants, rely heavily on migrants’ remittances, prompting governments to encourage such labour migration. Sponsored, selective migrations are designed to mitigate the dramatic impact of structural adjustment programmes (SAPs) on the family. As the SAPs bite harder and deeper, the burden on the migrants to support other less privileged family members is very compelling indeed. Families are increasingly interlocked in the web of struggle for mere survival to provide for material needs and a future of hope for its members (Findley 1997). In the process of implementing the economic recovery packages and adjustment measures, several countries have encountered severe social and economic problems. For those still in employment, salary cuts of between 15 and 75% have been implemented in several countries. As governments reduced the size of the public sector—the dominant employment sector—through retirement, retrenchment and the like and the private sector followed suit, family heads lose their jobs and UNESCO 2000. 385 add to the existing pool of unemployed youths (Adepoju 1996). Wage freezes and the removal of subsidies from social services, drastically affected living standards. Retrenchment across sectors also implied that few families had sufficient working members to sustain the family budget. Migration has, for a large majority of families, become a coping mechanism of the last resort. Increasing female migration The traditional male-dominated long-term and long-distance migratory streams in Africa are becoming increasingly feminised. Anecdotal evidence is showing an increase in migration by women, who traditionally had remained at home while men moved around in search of paid work. Significant proportions of females now migrate independently to fulfil their own economic needs rather than simply joining a husband or other family members (Adepoju 1997). In most African societies, social and political structures define and limit women’s access to credit, land and modes of production thus impinging seriously on women’s self-actualisation and autonomy. As a recent Supreme Court decision in Zimbabwe ironically noted, women ‘should never be considered as adults within the family, but only as “junior males”’ (The Guardian Newspaper, Lagos, 31 August, 1999). Since traditional political structures fail to give them autonomy, women see emigration as a viable avenue for escape. For a long time, female migration was sanctioned by a variety of customs, and made the more difficult by job segregation and discrimination in the urban labour market. Recent studies have shown, however, that independent female migration directed toward attaining economic independence through self-employment or wage-income has intensified (see Adepoju 1997). In Côte d’Ivoire, for instance, female migration from Burkina Faso has intensified in spite of the looming economic downturn in the traditional recipient country. The explanation is to be found in the fact that, generally, women cluster in the informal commerce sector, which is less affected by economic crisis than the wage-earning sector where most male migrants are engaged, for example as agricultural labourers, white collar workers in the services sector and so on. Such instances 386 of female migration are indeed a manifestation of pressure on African families – women, like men, are migrating as a survival strategy. As jobs become more difficult to secure and as remittances thin out, many families increasingly have relied on women and their farming activities (Findley 1997). Some of the changes being observed involve rising levels of female migration, a large proportion of which constitutes autonomous female migration. This is not confined within national borders: professional women from Nigeria, Ghana, and to some extent, Tanzania now engage in international migration, often leaving their spouses behind at home to cater for the children. Female nurses and doctors have been recruited from Nigeria to work in Saudi Arabia, while some have taken advantage of handsome pay packages in the USA to work for a time there in order to accumulate some savings to tidy over harsh economic conditions at home. Others migrate with their children to pursue their studies in the USA and the UK, as the educational system in Nigeria has virtually collapsed (Adepoju 1995b). To the extent that this is a relatively new phenomenon, it constitutes an important change in gender roles in the region. The new phenomenon of females migrating internationally, leaving their husbands behind to cater for their children, represents a turn-around in sex roles. Until recently, migration was sanctioned only for the male members of the family. In Southern African countries, migration of females from rural to urban areas has intensified although females in Lesotho, in particular, are expected to hold fort at home to ensure that the family retains title to land while the male migrates in cycles to the Republic of South Africa. Female-headed families and singleparent families have burgeoned as a result of male migration, divorce or death of the male head, with intense pressure on the females who have to combine work and familial responsibilities. Brain drain and brain gain Soon after independence, SSA countries invested heavily in the development of human resources through expansion of higher education. Although the number of qualified university graduates has increased enormously in recent years, few quali UNESCO 2000. Aderanti Adepoju fied Africans are able to secure places in the region’s mushrooming universities, few of which have the capacity for post-graduate studies, especially in the sciences, technology, and engineering. As a result, thousands of students annually pursue post-graduate studies in the countries of the North and several remain at the end of their training. The migration of highly skilled African manpower had its antecedent in the 1960s when African countries engaged in unprecedented educational expansion (Fadayomi 1996). Emigration was later spurred by a combination of economic, social, and political factors. Uganda led the way in both volume and rapidity of exodus of its highly skilled manpower, as highly educated persons and professionals were forced to migrate to Kenya, South Africa, Botswana, Europe, and North America. For similar reasons, the vast majority of Somali, Ethiopian, and Zambian graduates have been working overseas. The situation which sparked off emigration from these countries—lack of job satisfaction and a system for rewarding efficiency, and the deteriorating socio-economic, and political environment—have gripped Kenya where university graduates had typically been seeking employment for up to three years. The situation has worsened, and the unemployed graduates have moved in large numbers to southern African countries, most recently to Botswana. The bonding and clearance for travel imposed on Tanzanian, Ugandan, and Kenyan professionals and civil servants to restrict their emigration have not significantly halted the process (Oucho 1995). In the 1970s, highly qualified and experienced workers in trades and professions—doctors, paramedical personnel, nurses, teachers, lecturers, engineers, scientists, and technologists—have migrated from Zimbabwe, Zambia, Senegal, Ghana, and Uganda to the Republic of South Africa (RSA) and elsewhere outside Africa. Since the 1980s, emigration to Europe, North America and the oil-rich countries of the Middle East intensified (Adepoju 1991a, 1991b). A World Bank study noted, for instance, that some 23,000 qualified academic staff are emigrating from Africa each year in search of better working conditions due to the state of the depressed economies in Africa. It is estimated that about 12,000 Nigerian academ- International migration in Sub-Saharan Africa ics are now employed in the USA alone (World Bank 1995). The most striking impact of economic stagnation on the African universities is visible in the shrinking budgets allocated to higher education, depressed academic salaries, erosion of research grants, increasing student unrest and so on. Traditional labour-importing countries in Africa (Gabon and Côte d’Ivoire) and attractive destinations for migrants (Zimbabwe and Nigeria) are facing both political and economic crisis, which not only render them increasingly incapable of attracting migrants but also spur out-migration of their nationals. In recent years, what was a brain drain from Africa is gradually taking the form of brain circulation or brain gain within African countries, the major recipients being Gabon, Botswana and Republic of South Africa (Logan 1999). Trafficking in migrants Africa’s youthful population is its most viable resource. In the coming decades, the structure of the population will be distinctively young, growing in a situation of economic uncertainty, deprivation and poverty unless African governments take bold steps to revise the current economic situation. The youth, frustrated and torn between two systems which are incapable of fulfilling their aspirations, face the options: to be apprenticed to a trade, to farm, or to go to school and at the end join the queue of job seekers. For most youths, migration, either in pursuit of higher education or for wage employment is destined towards the towns and thence to other countries. For a few, such migration is of the mobility type, but for the large majority, it is strictly for survival. In Lesotho, for example, where few households have access to cultivable land, youths continue to desert the rural areas in search of alternative employment, mainly in the mines of the RSA. The dramatic changes in the region’s economic fortunes have adversely undermined the ability of families to meet the basic needs of their members. One emerging consequence is the weakening and disintegration of family control on the youth that roam the street, seeking without success for months even a lowly paid job. In desperation, most of these youths fall easy prey to scams and risk their lives during the hazardous journey to the countries of the UNESCO 2000. 387 North, with the assistance of labour traffickers and bogus agencies, in search of the illusory green pastures. Cases of trafficking in illegal migrants, hitherto a rare phenomenon, is on the increase as young persons are now involved in daredevil ventures to gain entry into Europe. Individual stowaways engage in life-threatening ventures hidden on board ships to southern Europe, and recently as far as East Asia. Unscrupulous agents also exploit desperate youths with promises of passages from West Africa to Italy, Spain and France. Most of these youths are stranded in Dakar; others who find their way through are apprehended and deported on arrival or soon afterwards. In May 1996, 200 Kenyans were stranded on arrival in Saudi Arabia after being tricked by traffickers who promised them lucrative jobs (Adepoju 1996). Newspapers have also reported incidences of trafficking in children and young girls from Southeast Nigeria to Equatorial Guinea and Gabon. In July this year, a Togolese woman was intercepted with eight children being smuggled to work on Côte d’Ivoire’s farms and plantation. A newspaper report in Nigeria chronicled cases of young boys and girls being trafficked to work in Gabon. According to the report, the Nigerian Immigration Services rescued 51 children being ferried to Gabon in March 1994. In July 1996, 73 teenagers were intercepted from traffickers. The figure rose to 150 in January and 86 in February 1997. In August 1999, 33 children were intercepted when their rickety boat capsized en route to Gabon (The Guardian Newspaper, Lagos 7 August, 1999). In late May 1999, hundreds of Somalis paid about $4,000 each to scams to be shipped in boats illegally to Australia. The scams reportedly included Australians. This is not an isolated incident. Soon afterwards, another group of Somalis was captured travelling by rickety boats to Saudi Arabia via Yemen. In mid August, about 20 young men and women were intercepted at the Nigeria–Benin border, with fake documentation, on their way to Spain via Morocco. They claimed to have paid about N70,000 each to fraudsters to secure passports and documents for the journey in a country where the minimum pay for public sector workers is N3,000 (US$32) per month. 388 Aderanti Adepoju Waiting for the bus in Mwanza, Malawi, to visit relatives in Milange, Mozambique. Sebastião Salgado / Amazonas / Contact Press Images Early in August 1999, two young Guinean stowaway boys aged 14 and 15, carried with them a letter, in French, which read and crushed in the landing gear of the Belgian aircraft, where they had stowed away, on arrival in Brussels. Excellencies, sirs, members and officials of Europe. We have the honourable pleasure and great confidence to write you this letter to tell you of the objective of our voyage and of our suffering, we, the children of Africa. We appeal to your kindness and solidarity to come to the rescue of Africa. Help us, we are suffering enormously. Help us—we have war, disease, not enough to eat. There are schools, but a great lack of education, of teaching . . . We young Africans are asking you for a large and effective organisation to bring about real progress in Africa. We are appealing to you for the love of your beautiful continent, for the feelings you have for your own people, your family and especially the affinity and love of your children. If you see that we have sacrificed ourselves and risked our lives, it is because we are suffering too much in Africa and that we need for you to fight against our poverty and the war in Africa. Regional economic unions and labour mobility The last sentence was indeed a premonition. They never survived the journey—the bodies of the two young boys were found frozen UNESCO 2000. The formation of sub-regional economic unions to some extent simulated the kind of homogeneous societies that once existed in the subregions. Understandably, in the case of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), the protocol on Free Movement of Persons was the first to be ratified and implemented, once again ushering in an era of free movement of citizens within member countries. These unions include the Customs and Economic Union of Central Africa founded in 1964; the East African Community (EAC), set up in 1967 by Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania; the Economic Community of West African International migration in Sub-Saharan Africa States (ECOWAS), founded in 1975 to enhance free trade and facilitate free movement of factors of production in the 16 member states; the Economic Community of the Great Lakes (CEPGL), set up in 1976 and the Economic Community of West Africa, established in 1977. Others are the Preferential Trade Area (PTA) for Eastern and Southern Africa created in 1981; the Common Market for Eastern and Southern African (COMESA) founded in 1994 as successor to the PTA; the Southern African Development Co-ordination Conference (SADCC) established in 1980 and later replaced by South African Development Community and the Small Island States in Africa (otherwise called Indian Ocean Commission). In most cases, these economic unions are dominated by the economies of a single country, and movements of persons have been directed to a limited number of countries within the unions—Republic of South Africa in SADC, Gabon in UDEAC, Côte d’Ivoire in CEAO, Nigeria in ECOWAS and Congo in CEPGL. Although the protocols of some regional organisations include the free movement of persons, residence and establishment, these are rarely implemented. Only ECOWAS has, to a large extent, implemented the protocol on free movement of persons but remains lukewarm about the right of residence and establishment (see Adepoju 1998a, Afolayan 1998). Sub-regional and regional bilateral and multilateral cooperation unions have the potential to greatly influence the flow of labour migration. Sub-regional economic unions which provide in their agreements for the free flow of skilled labour and rights of establishment in member countries, could facilitate intra-regional labour mobility and promote self-reliant development in the region. Economic integration in the region offers a long-term prospect for stimulating intra-regional labour mobility. The persistent political unrest and the fragmented, weak national economies make regional and subregional economic groupings most pertinent. The ratification of the memorandum to set up an African Common Market by the year 2025 is a landmark in the road to an all-African regional integration. Since many countries are ambivalent to the principle of free movement and are reluctant to modify domestic laws and administrative practices, it is necessary to har UNESCO 2000. 389 monise national laws which conflict with regional and sub-regional treaties. Efforts at promoting regional integration and cooperation must also address the right of residence and establishment of migrants and obligations of the host countries. Diversifying destinations of migration The unstable economic situation provoked different patterns of migration, traditionally directed to the cities, but increasingly to other countries. At the same time, the global economic downturn and the political and economic constraints on international migration in traditional recipient countries have taxed the ingenuity of emigrants forcing them to increasingly diversify migration destinations (Findley 1997). In recent years, African migrations have become more varied and spontaneous; many who migrate no longer adhere to the classical labour migration patterns and they also explore a much wider set of destinations. The unstable economic situation in Africa has drawn more people into circular or temporary migration to a variety of alternative destinations, including those with limited political or economic links with countries of emigration. As the economic slump reduced employment opportunities within the region, the Gulf States became and remain particularly attractive to highly skilled professionals. But these countries are showing signs of economic depression in recent years. Consequently the lure of Botswana and the Republic of South Africa (RSA) waxes strong. Pressured to leave their countries by the uncertain economic conditions, highly skilled professionals have found the new RSA, and the booming economy of Botswana, attractive alternatives to Europe, the USA and the Gulf States (Adepoju 1995a, 1995b). In the Sahel, for instance, traditional seasonal and circulatory migration patterns have given way to more diverse movements with more complex migrant itineraries (Findley 1997). Emigrants from Mali and Burkina Faso to France, Cote d’Ivoire and Gabon, from Senegal to France and from Egypt to the Gulf States, and in some cases, immigrants from neighbouring countries have occupied positions vacated by nationals of the receiving countries 390 who had emigrated abroad. Often the result is a step-wise migration pattern from rural areas first to the cities and then outside the country. These migrants have developed complex strategies for entering a country and for finding work. Migration to other African countries is also becoming increasingly flexible in the timing of moves and selection of destinations, as migrants regard cross-border movements simply as fundamentally the same as internal migration. From labour to commercial migration For long, Malians have mainly migrated to France to engage in menial work, as labour migrants. This is changing. A large proportion of Senegalese migrants in Cote d’Ivoire, Marseilles in France, and in Rome can be classified as commercial migrants. Most are exploring nonconventional destinations with no linguistic, cultural and colonial ties: initially to Zambia, and when the economy of that country collapsed, increasingly to RSA soon after the demise of the apartheid regime there. They are also moving to Italy, Portugal, Germany, Belgium, and Spain (Adepoju 1995b). Finding the situation of immigrants in Europe increasingly intolerable, with local residents and the media becoming increasingly apprehensive and xenophobic, and anti-immigration political parties increasingly vocal and popular, some immigrants have crossed over the Atlantic to the USA in search of greener pastures, mainly as petty traders. The Sufi brotherhood used to work the peanut basin in Senegal when peanut was the country’s primary cash crop. As the soil became depleted, these farmers from Senegal began to emigrate, initially to France and then in the 1980s to the USA where they set up petty commerce. As the first francophone Africans to arrive ‘en masse’ in New York in the early 1980s (Ebin 1996), they started as street vendors, survived the city administration’s harassment and established themselves in a particular neighbourhood of New York. Once established, they attracted other immigrants. The lure of Southern Africa The opening up of the Republic of South Africa in 1994 was quickly followed by an influx of migrants from various parts of the region: Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Zaire, Kenya, and Uganda. Some of the nationals of these countries had earlier UNESCO 2000. Aderanti Adepoju entered the Republic’s then nominally independent homelands, clandestinely during the period of apartheid. The numbers were small and the immigrants remained underground. They were mostly skilled professionals—teachers, university professors, doctors, lawyers, nurses, and engineers, a situation that set them aside from the traditional immigrants from the satellite states of Lesotho, Swaziland, Botswana, Malawi, and Mozambique, whose nationals were mostly unskilled mine workers and farm labourers. Zairean traders and students followed in the 1991–94 period as their country’s economy, polity and society virtually collapsed. The post-apartheid waves of immigrants from Senegal, Nigeria, Sierra Leone and so on consisted mostly of street vendors and traders desirous to tap the relatively affluent market of the new Republic (Bouillon 1996). The black population latter vented their anger against immigrants from other African countries, with the local population and some politicians calling for the arrest and deportation of so-called illegal immigrants—fellow Africans including some from countries that had previously sheltered South African freedom fighters, especially members of the ruling ANC party. In 1994, the new government expelled about 91,000 illegal immigrants mostly Mozambicans (75%). Others came from Nigeria, Sierra Leone, Ethiopia, and Zambia. This was a dramatic increase over the number of illegal aliens expelled under apartheid rule in the previous three years (293 in 1990 and 83,109 in 1992). By 1996, the number of deportation of illegal immigrants rose to 181,230, up from 157,695 in 1995. Thousands of the estimated 300,000 Zimbabweans living in South Africa illegally are deported every month (Mfono 1998). In 1994, the government initiated plans in conjunction with the National Union of Mine Workers to grant voting rights at local and national elections, and later citizenship to migrant workers. Residence status was granted to 90,000 former Mozambican refugees, and about 124,000 nationals of SADC countries, especially from Lesotho, who had been living in the country since 1986. Another 51,000 miners were also exempted from the provisions of the 1996 Aliens Control Act (Milazi 1995). By the end of August 1999, about 300,000 International migration in Sub-Saharan Africa Mozambican immigrants and refugees who entered the country between 1985 and 1992 will be granted permanent residency. The Green Paper on International Migration identifies three types of immigrants: permanent migrants; immigrants with skills; and refugees seeking asylum. Work permits granted to immigrants set limits to the length of stay of immigrants in the country. Immigrants are accused of causing unemployment among nationals, frustrating efforts of trade unions to achieve realistic wages for the workers; immigrants are also scapegoats for crime. The xenophobic reaction against foreigners can be traced to South Africa’s culture of violence between black and white, cultivated and nurtured during the apartheid era. It is obvious that the country sorely needs highly skilled professionals to replace whites who emigrated as crime intensified, and more so since a whole generation of black nationals lack skills required for the technological age and are therefore unemployable. At present, only 7% of young South Africans who complete their education find work and an estimated 40% of the country’s workforce, mostly black, are currently unemployed, up from 30% in 1980. As a result of sluggish economic growth, resulting from years of economic sanction, employment in both the public and private sectors has contracted drastically. Economic growth of 7% would be required merely to create jobs for the new school graduates. Rationalisation policies and localisation of specific employment opportunities would surely reduce the demand for foreign workers. Botswana has become a major migrationreceiving country. A prosperous, politically stable country, whose economy has recorded a rapid and steady growth over the past decade, it has attracted highly skilled professionals from Ghana, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Nigeria, and Kenya. Most of these work in the private sector and the University, taking advantage of the relaxed laws on residence and entry introduced in the early 1990s. The policy of localisation of employment, especially in the education sector, implies replacing expatriates at the University, a situation that creates an environment of job insecurity for foreigners. The changing dynamics of traditional recipient countries A small and rich country, Gabon relies on contract labour and immigrants to sup UNESCO 2000. 391 plement the domestic labour force. Most immigrants are from Mali, Equatorial Guinea, Nigeria, Senegal, Benin, Cameroon, and Togo. About a quarter of the wage earners are expatriates from Africa and Europe. In recent years, thousands of immigrants entered Gabon from Burundi, Rwanda, Democratic Republic of Congo and Congo under irregular situations to look for work. The war and political instability in these countries forced thousands to migrate to Gabon where they hope to secure a better life and greater security. However, unemployment is increasingly posing a challenge, prompting the government to adopt a policy of localising employment opportunities in response to the increasing unemployment rate of about 20% among the economically active population. In 1991, a presidential decree was issued to safeguard jobs for nationals in response to rising urban unemployment. In pursuance of the policy of ‘Gabonising’ the labour force, in September 1994, the Government enacted laws that required foreigners to register, pay residence fees or leave the country by the middle of February 1995. At the end of the deadline, about 55,000 foreign nationals were expelled while 15,000 legalised their residency (Le Courier, 1997). Côte d’Ivoire has always been a major country of immigration in the region as a result of its vast and varied natural resource endowment, diversified and modernised export agriculture and plantation economy. The country’s domestic labour force is small, and about a quarter of its wage-labour force are foreigners. The country’s first post-independent president, ignoring the arbitrary borders drawn by colonial powers encouraged immigration from the country’s poor neighbours. Immigrants from Burkina Faso, Mali, Nigeria, Liberia, Senegal, Ghana flooded the plantations clandestinely and did menial jobs which the local population despised. Immigrants made up 17% of the total population in 1965, 22% in 1975, 28% in 1988, and 25% in 1993. By 1995, there were 4 million immigrants out of a population of 14 million (Toure 1998). The economic downturn and increasing unemployment among young nationals informed the recent government policy to register and issue special identity cards to foreigners; a development widely viewed as aimed at deporting (now classified) illegal immigrants. 392 Refugees Africa’s refugee situation has aptly been described as a human tragedy, for the region has experienced acute refugee problems of great magnitude and complexity. SubSaharan Africa (SSA) is the poorest of all regions, and its refugees come from and settle in countries designated as the least developed in the world, plagued with problems of famine, war, drought, and political instability. Seventeen SSA countries are torn by civil conflict, resulting in more than 6 million people as refugees and another 17 million displaced within their countries (Adedeji 1999). The refugee situation in the region is unique in several important respects. It is fluid and highly unpredictable: while old problems that gave rise to refugees are being solved, as in Mozambique, new ones surface and intensify the refugee crisis as in Liberia, Rwanda, Sierra Leone, and Guinea Bissau. Secondly, countries that generate large numbers of refugees also provide asylum for refugees from neighbouring countries. Generally these refugees are drawn from the poorest regions and seek refuge in equally poor countries within the region. Virtually all refugees are confined to the region and are, in the first instance, assisted by fellow Africans—a process facilitated by ethnic and kinship ties between the refugees and people in the countries of asylum. This traditional hospitality has now been taxed to the limit. Over the past few years new refugeegenerating countries have been added to the list (Liberia, Rwanda, Democratic Republic of Congo, Guinea Bissau, Sierra Leone). Nothing seems to parallel the recent refugee situation in Rwanda caused by the barbaric carnage and seemingly organised genocide. An estimated 1 million Rwandan refugees were recorded in various parts of Zaire, Tanzania, even Burundi. The traditional sources of refugees—Eritrea, Sudan, Ethiopia, and Somalia—continue to generate additional refugees in the thousands. Malawi, a very poor country, emerged as a leading country of asylum, with 910,000 refugees (one-tenth of its population) from Mozambique. Not all people cross national frontiers in search of safe havens: many fleeing from persecution and violence, natural disaster, drought, ecological problems and internal conflict have in fact been displaced within their own coun UNESCO 2000. Aderanti Adepoju tries. These include children, women, and old persons, mostly of rural background. Prospects for the next millennium Several factors point to the possibility that emigration from SSA may be on the increase in the next millennium. As political and economic crises intensify, refugee flows and undocumented migration will increase in both magnitude and impact. Structural adjustment and the current economic downturn will also accelerate emigration. Migration in irregular situations will become more visible in the region. As poverty, unemployment and socio-economic insecurity intensify, some of the migration that would otherwise take place internally is likely to become replacement migration in urban areas and sequentially emerge as undocumented migration across borders to relatively more prosperous countries. In SSA, more than any other region, economic recovery and improved living conditions and survival for the poor depend crucially on the successful resolution of the ongoing economic malaise without which effective and sustainable development is a mirage. But this goal is not in sight. But there can be no meaningful development in conditions of conflict. As experience shows for several countries in the region, the absence of peace and stability discourages investment and leads to capital flight; lack of economic alternatives prompts emigration of all kinds, both regular and irregular. A familiar recommendation to develop alternatives to migration in the source countries is worth revisiting: help poorer countries stimulate domestic employment. The persistent economic difficulties in SSA spur additional migrants and the huge economic differentials between countries of the region and those of the North lure many more migrants there in spite of the strict restrictive entry requirements and tightened entry controls. Experience shows that wherever such spectacular differentials exist, migratory flows, in regular but increasingly in irregular situations, are directed from the poorer impoverished countries to the more affluent societies. Within the region, for example, per capita income in the RSA is several times that of Mozambique, and even when electric barbed fences are erected along the bor- International migration in sub-Saharan Africa ders between the two countries, desperate migrants continue to attempt illegal entry into the RSA. The recent tragic event of the two young boys, narrated above, attests to the urgency of taking action to redress the situation in poor African countries. The Belgian minister of Foreign Affairs was so moved by the letter that he promised to send copies to his European counterparts. The Secretary of State for Cooperation and Development said the letter ‘confirms the situation of distress in which so many young Africans find themselves’. The Interior Minister noted that ‘It is an extremely moving appeal for us to exercise our responsibilities for the men and women who live on the African continent’. The Belgian government bore the cost of repatriating the bodies, which were given a hero’s welcome in Conakry (Guardian Newspaper, Lagos 5 August, 1999). The demographic, economic and political situations in the region signal the possibility of increased migration in the years ahead in response to worsening unemployment, inequality, and poverty. As a large number of workers have been retrenched from public and private formal sectors, the ability of the informal sector to absorb excess labour has been stretched to the limit. The provision of productive employment for millions of educated youth is a major challenge for the next millennium. These youths will scramble for work in the formal sector, or join the lengthening queue of potential emigrants, ready to migrate clandestinely to do any kind of odd jobs anywhere, but increasingly outside of their countries. There is also the need to pay more attention to the education of the male child in countries like Lesotho. Traditionally girls remained in school while boys prepared for work in the mines; now 393 that unskilled employment for male labourers in South Africa is on the decline, the situation has changed. As economic conditions worsened and unemployment among nationals in the receiving countries intensified, immigrants have been targets for expulsion. Illegal migrants have been rounded-up and deported from Gabon and the RSA in recent months. Consequently clandestine migrants increasingly find their way through intermediate countries to new destinations— southern Europe, USA, the Middle East and Asia. African countries should provide their nationals with adequate information regarding rules and regulations guiding entry, residence and employment abroad, following the examples of Senegal and Mali which now have information and counselling units within their respective ministries dealing with emigration matters. In the next decade, labour migration, in both regular and irregular situations, will intensify if the economic situations of several of the countries of the region, and living conditions of their people, continue to deteriorate. In like manner, brain circulation and female migration will accelerate from poorer to more prosperous, but labour-short countries in the region, especially Gabon, Botswana, and the RSA. 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