Shares Simplified (An Introduction to Investing – Equity Markets) (Answer your queries about investing in Shares) Part - 1 An ICICIdirect Institute Knowledge Programme 1 This session will help you understand 2 What is investing? Why should you invest. How to invest in equity Factors to keep in mind while approaching equity investments. What is Capital Market? Capital market is the broad term for the market where investment products such as.. Stocks Bonds Mutual funds are bought and sold It includes all the people and organizations which support the process. 3 What is Investing? Any time you invest, you are putting something of yours into something else in order to achieve something greater. One can invest the weekends in a good cause. One can invest the intelligence in a job OR One can invest the time in a relationship. “Just as one do each of these with the expectation that something good will come of it, when one invest savings in a stock, bond, or mutual fund, One do so because one think its value will appreciate over time. “ Investing money is putting that money into some form of "security" i.e. "secured" by some assets. Stocks, bonds, mutual funds, certificates of deposit - all of these are types of securities 4 Continued..... In Simple , One should invest so that the money grows and shields against rising inflation. The rate of return on investments should be greater than the rate of inflation, leaving One with a nice surplus over a period of time. Whether the money is invested in stocks, bonds, or mutual funds, the end result is to create wealth for retirement, marriage, college fees, vacations, better standard of living or to just pass on the money to the next generation. A few important feature of good investment are :✔ Investment for Long Term and ✔ Investment decision is taken after due consideration of fundamental factors which may help the investment to appreciate. 5 Why do I need to invest? Investing is important to improve future welfare To enhance future consumption possibilities Important - to create a shield against inflation To create wealth or generate funds for Education Marriage Child's Education Retirement. 6 How much money do I need to invest? The amount that you invest will eventually depend on factors such as: 7 Your risk profile Your Investment time horizon Savings made When should one Invest? Invest early - Give your money time to grow. Invest regularly - Use the power of compounding. Invest for long term and not short term - Give your investments time to weather the ups and downs in the market. 8 Power of compounding… Rs. 80,80,000 Rs. 10,000 invested for 30 years Rs. 23,70,000 Rs. 40,000 5% Rs. Rs. 6,60,000 1,70,000 10% 15% 20% 25% Different investment options Investing options… • Stocks (Shares) • Mutual Funds • Bonds • Fixed Deposits • Insurance • Others – Gold, Real Estate, currency etc. 10 Investment options – Stocks 11 Shares - Stocks Shares represent part ownership of a company. When you buy a share in a company you become a joint owner of the business and share in the future of that business. Also known as equity. Equity Capital Is the money raised by the company by issuing shares to the public. i.e. Equity capital = Number of shares x Face value of the shares How can you invest in stocks? There are two ways in which you can invest in shares Through the primary market - by applying for shares that are offered to the public (IPO) Through the secondary market - by buying shares that are listed on the stock exchanges – NSE, BSE 12 How can you invest in stocks? Primary Market Is the market for an IPO (Initial Public Offer). The first opportunity investors have to buy newly issued stocks. After the first purchases, subsequent trading will occur in the secondary market. 13 Initial Public Offer (IPO) The first public offer of shares by a company is known as an IPO. 14 IPO can be done in two ways: Fixed price issue - One price is fixed for the issue. Ex: shares issued at Rs 25. Book building - Price band is fixed and the investors have to bid in order to get the share. Ex: Band of Rs 20-25, shares will be allotted at the price which has the most demand. How can you invest in stocks? Secondary Market Shares allotted in the IPO are listed on the exchanges and then traded in the secondary market. 15 There are over 5000 stocks traded in the secondary market through NSE and BSE. How do investments in stocks generate returns? Like any investment, stocks should also generate a Return on Investment (ROI). 16 ROI in layman terms is the return on capital invested in business i.e. if you invest Rs 1 crore in men, machines, land and material to generate Rs 25 lakhs of net profit, the ROI is 25%. For stocks ROI can calculated in two ways: Dividends Capital Appreciation How do investments in stocks generate returns? Dividends 17 Are a portion of a company's net profit paid to stockholders. Normally, at the end of the financial year. A stock’s dividend yield is determined by dividing a company’s annual dividend by its current share price. A stock trading at Rs 20 with an annual dividend of Rs 2 per share yields the investor 10%. Dividends are calculated on the face value of the share. Interim Dividend 18 Interim dividend is declared and paid during the year. It can be given any time of the year and is at the sole discretion of the management of the company. How do investments in stocks generate returns? Capital Appreciation 19 Is the rise in share price leading to profits. Ex: when the stock price goes up from Rs 100 to Rs 150 in 1 year your capital has appreciated by 50%. The total ROI is sum of return from dividends and capital appreciation during a period. Terms to know about stocks Face Value It’s the nominal value printed on the face of the share, debenture or bond, unless the issuing company otherwise specifies the value. Also known as Par Value. Normally it is Rs.10/-. 20 Earning Per Share (EPS) This ratio determines what the company is earning for every share issued. EPS is calculated by dividing the earnings (net profit) by the total number of equity shares. Thus, if AB Ltd has 2 crore shares and has earned Rs 4 crore in the past 12 months, it has an EPS of Rs 2. Terms to know about stocks Price/Earning (P/E) Ratio The P/E gives an indication of how the market values every rupee earned by the company. The P/E ratio is the stock price divided by the EPS of the last four quarters. 21 For ex: If AB Ltd is trading at Rs 20 and has a EPS of Rs 4, it would have a P/E of 5. Market Capitalisation Is the current market value of the company's shares. Market value is the total number of shares multiplied by the current price of each share. Market Cap would indicate the sheer size of the company, it's stocks' liquidity etc. 22 Based on Market Cap companies are classified as Large Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap. Terms to know about stocks 23 Volume Volume is the number of shares of a company traded in a day. Volume is also an indicator of the liquidity in a stock. Highly liquid stocks can be traded in large batches with low transaction costs. Illiquid stocks trade infrequently and large sales often cause the price to rise/fall dramatically. Volume is a key way to measure supply and demand, and is often the primary indicator of a new price trend. Book Value 24 Is the difference between a company's assets and its liabilities, usually expressed in per-share terms. It is calculated by subtracting total liabilities from total assets and dividing the result by the number of shares outstanding. Book value is what would be left over for shareholders if the company was sold and its debt retired. It takes into account all money invested in the company since its founding, as well as retained earnings. Terms to know about stocks Stock Split 25 Reduction in the face value of a stock. Additional shares are issued to existing shareholders, at a rate expressed as a ratio. A 2-for-1 stock split, for instance, doubles the number of shares outstanding. It is the change in a company's number of shares outstanding that doesn't change a company's total market value, or each shareholder's percentage stake in the company. Continued.... After the split an investor holding 100 shares of Rs 60 stock would have 200 shares of Rs 30 stock following a 2-for-1 split. The face value of this share would also become half. But his percentage of equity in the company remains the same Buyback 26 A buy back is when a company buys its own stocks in the open market or from share holders. Terms to know about stocks Rights 27 When a company wants to raise more funds by issuing additional shares, it may give its stockholders the opportunity, ahead of others, to buy the new shares in proportion to the number of shares each owns. The piece of paper evidencing this privilege is called a Right. Rights ordinarily have a market value of their own and are actively traded. In most cases they must be exercised within a relatively short period. Continued...... Bonus 28 Bonus shares are issued by the company to its shareholders at a rate expressed as a ratio. A 1for-1 bonus, for instance, doubles the number of shares outstanding. An investor holding 100 shares would get additional 100 shares free. Terms used in the market “Bull & Bear Market” ? 29 Bull Market - Upward Cycle Strong Economy ● Low Inflation/Low Interest Rates ● Positive Corporate Earnings ● Strong Cash Flows ● Low Unemployment ● 30 Bear Market - Downward Cycle ● ● ● ● 31 Slowing rate of earnings growth High Inflation/High Interest rates Increased consumer debt Climbing unemployment Why Invest In Equities? 32 Equities have the potential to increase in value over time and can provide your portfolio with the growth necessary to reach your long-term investment goals Equities are known to have outperformed all other forms of investments in the long-term 10 Steps to equity investing STEP 1 33 Identify your objective Know why you want to invest – short term surplus, long term capital growth. If you want a larger sum to spend at a later date, your main priority will be capital growth. 10 Steps to equity investing STEP 2 34 Invest according to your risk tolerance Young people at the start of their working lives will have a greater appetite for taking risk as compared to people at the end of their career. At the start capital growth in the key, towards the end capital preservation. A thumb rule to invest --- minus your age from 100. The remainder will determine how much should go to equity. Ex: Age 30. 100-30 = 70. Equity exposure 70%. 10 Steps to equity investing 35 STEP 3 Categorize stocks as Cyclical, Growth or Defensive Cyclical Investing in cyclical stocks -- cement or steel, requires an understanding of the economic scenario. An active involvement is required in order to reap the maximum benefits of swings in economic cycles over time. The stock prices are likely to move through extreme highs and lows, and the ability to time entry and exit will be necessary. 10 Steps to equity investing 36 STEP 3 (contd.) Categorize stock as Cyclical, Growth or Defensive Growth Growth investing is investing in sectors where the future direction is clear for the medium term - such as technology. Timing is key, the stock may do nothing for a long time as momentum builds up and then move sharply thereafter. 10 Steps to equity investing 37 STEP 3 (contd.) Categorize stock as Cyclical, Growth or Defensive Defensive Defensive investing is done from a long term perspective. It is investing in sectors that grow consistently and on a sustainable basis over time, such as Pharmaceutical Appreciation may, at times, not be as dramatic as cyclical or growth stocks. However, stocks that constitute defensive investments are expected to grow steadily over longer time periods. 10 Steps to equity investing 38 STEP 4 Check market activity Being able to sell is as important as buying. The liquidity of a stock is very important in taking an investment decision. Look at the price volume relationship for a stock. If a stock price is moving up or down on high trading volume, it is more likely that there is real interest in that price movement than if there is very little volume supporting the price move. 10 Steps to equity investing 39 STEP 5 Know the business you buy The performance of each stock is linked to the underlying business, and the market’s perception of the future prospects for that business. Study the future potential in terms of demandsupply and the company’s competitive position in the industry. The business model of the company should have the ability to sustain growth and momentum well into the future. 10 Steps to equity investing 40 STEP 6 Know the management Company with a capable and strong management is always respected in the market and treated better. A shareholder responsive management team is critical for operating and growing a successful company. 10 Steps to equity investing 41 STEP 7 Study the company’s performance Look at the year-on-year growth in the company’s performance. Look at the price earnings (P/E) for arriving at comparative valuation. Finally, look at return on equity (ROE), which is the year’s earnings divided by the net worth of the company. ROE compared to the cost of capital allows the investor to gauge the company’s wealth creating ability. 10 Steps to equity investing 42 STEP 8 Know the company’s valuation Two stocks may have the same EPS but different P/E’s This is because ROE may be different and its sustainability may be different. The higher the sustainable ROE, the higher the P/E rating. A high P/E does not therefore necessarily imply an overvalued stock. Stocks with high sustainable ROE’s are likely to trade at high P/E multiples. 10 Steps to equity investing 43 STEP 9 Set a price target Set expectations, by identifying a target price, and re-evaluate the stock when this target is reached. If there is a loss on a stock and does not show potential to rise, sell. By not selling out of low return stocks to get into higher return stocks, you miss out on opportunities. 10 Steps to equity investing Step 10 44 Tracking your investment Tracking your investment is as important as buying it. Analysing stocks 45 Fundamental Analysis Use of company financials Ratios, growth in sales, net profits etc. Largely used by long term investors. Technical Analysis Use of past share price movement to ascertain future trend. Trend lines, supports/resistance etc. Largely used by short term investors and traders. How to spot a good stock 46 Growth in future earnings (EPS) is an important parameter for spotting good stocks. The higher the growth the more potential for stock price to rise. Lets see how you can use future earning estimates to identify growth. Future EPS is available on ICICIdirect in Research Section – Multex Earning Estimates. How to spot a good stock The share price is a function of Earning Per Share (EPS) * Price/earning (PE) ratio… For ex: If company A has EPS = 25 and PE = 10. Then share price = 250. 47 So if future EPS is available potential stock price in future can be estimated. Here’s how… How to spot a good stock Lets look at Infosys Current EPS (FY2005) = Rs 68.48 Current PE = 35.30 Therefore market price = 2418 Future Expectation… Estimated EPS (FY2006) = 91.46 Estimated EPS (FY2007) = 117.30 Assuming PE remains same… Potential stock price on FY2006 earnings 91.46 * 35.30 = 3228 or potential to rise 30 per cent. This is an illustrative example. The actual growth will also depend on market conditions and potential of other stocks etc. 48 Overview of the stock market 49 The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange of India Ltd (NSE) are the two primary exchanges in India. In addition, there are 22 Regional Stock Exchanges. NSE has around 1500 shares listed with a total market capitalization of around Rs 9,21,500 crore (Rs 9215-bln). The BSE has over 6000 stocks listed and has a market capitalization of around Rs 9,68,000 crore (Rs 9680-bln). The primary index of BSE is BSE Sensex comprising 30 stocks. NSE has the S&P NSE 50 Index (Nifty) which consists of fifty stocks. 50 Both these indices are calculated on the basis of market capitalization and contain the heavily traded shares from key sectors. The scripts traded on the BSE have been classified into 'A', 'B1', 'B2', ‘S', ‘T' and 'Z' groups. The key regulator governing Stock Exchanges, Brokers, Depositories, Depository participants, Mutual Funds, FIIs and other participants in Indian secondary and primary market is the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) Ltd. Indices 51 Indices are a barometer or indicators of how the broad market is moving and the sentiment in the market. The two major indices are BSE Sensex (30 stocks) and NSE Nifty (50 stocks). Each stock has a weightage based on the market cap. The movement in each stock and their weightage decides how much the index moves up or down. Settlement System Rolling market In a rolling settlement, each trading day is considered as a trading period and trades executed during the day are settled based on the net obligations for the day. At NSE and BSE, trades in rolling settlement are settled on a T+2 basis i.e. on the 2nd working day. For arriving at the settlement day all intervening holidays, which include bank holidays, NSE/BSE holidays, Saturdays and Sundays are excluded. Typically trades taking place on Monday are settled on Wednesday, Tuesday's trades settled on Thursday and so on. 52 Settlement System 53 Trade 2 Trade In the trade 2 trade settlement the delivery has to be made as per the rolling market but the only difference is that every transaction is accounted for i.e. if a person buys and sell the same quantity of the same company, he has to take the delivery of the stocks and at the same time give the delivery of the stock. Dematerialization of shares ● ● ● 54 Dematerialization in short called as 'Demat is the process by which an investor can get physical certificates converted into electronic form maintained in an account with the Depository Participant Depository The organization responsible to maintain investor's securities in the electronic form is called the depository. In India there are two such organizations viz. NSDL and CDSL. Depository Participant ● ● 55 The market intermediary through whom the depository services can be availed by the investors is called a Depository Participant (DP). As per SEBI regulations, DP could be organizations involved in the business of providing financial services like banks, brokers, custodians and financial institutions. Advantages of Demat 56 Trading in demat segment completely eliminates the risk of bad deliveries. In case of transfer of electronic shares, you save 0.5% in stamp duty. Avoids the cost of courier/ notarization/ the need for further follow-up with your broker for shares returned for company objection. Increasing liquidity of securities due to immediate transfer & registration Reduction in brokerage for trading in dematerialized shares Continued.... 57 Receive bonuses and rights into the depository account as a direct credit, thus eliminating risk of loss in transit. Lower interest charge for loans taken against demat shares as compared to the interest for loan against physical shares. How should you classify your money for investment? You should divide your total saving into three parts: SACRED MONEY: You would never want to risk this part of your savings. You may keep this at home under the mattress or invest in bank account and in government guaranteed schemes. SERIOUS MONEY: This part of your savings you are willing to expose to a little bit of risk. You may buy debentures issued by high quality companies or you could invest in FD’s of good corporate or mutual funds. 58 Continued.... 59 AGGRESSIVE MONEY: This you may use to invest in shares or other relatively risky investments which have a potential of giving excellent returns. QUESTIONS TO CONSIDER BEFORE INVESTING? 60 How much of my money should I invest? Where should I invest – stocks, bonds, mutual funds, FD’s? When should I invest –is this the right time to invest? Study the sector you are investing in? Study the company balance sheet in brief from various websites – profit/loss etc? Is the company paying dividends –how much, since when? Continued 61 Why is the P/E ratio of the company compared to other companies in the same sector or its competitors? What is the growth potential of the company –any mergers, accusations, new products launch etc. compared to competitors? How is the management of the company – transparent, client friendly etc? Any new govt. policy in expected in that sector? What will be my return of investment in 6 months, 1year time? Your Neighbourhood Financial Superstore Welcome to ICICIdirect, your very own Neighbourhood Financial Superstore. A store that provides a wide range of financial products to meet your needs. We are here to listen to you and suggest suitable financial solutions based on your requirements; solutions that help you 'Turn Money to Wealth'. Come to us anytime and freely share your dreams, financial goals and desires. You can even bring your friends and family along. We have all the time for you and we love to talk, so come and talk to us. Here, under one roof, we offer limitless financial products & services to help you find those that best suit your needs. 62 Disclaimer ICICI Securities Ltd., Member of National Stock Exchange of India Ltd., SEBI Regn. No. INB 230773037 (CM), SEBI Regn. No. INF 230773037 (F&O), Bombay Stock Exchange Ltd., SEBI Regn. No. INB011286854 (CM) , SEBI Regn No. INF010773035 (F&O). Registered office of I-Sec is at ICICI Securities Ltd. - ICICI Centre, H. T. Parekh Marg, Churchgate, Mumbai - 400020, India. Kindly read the Risk Disclosure Documents carefully before investing in Equity Shares, Derivatives or other instruments traded on the Stock Exchanges. The contents herein above shall not be considered as an invitation or persuasion to trade or invest. Investors should make independent judgment with regard suitability, profitability, and fitness of any product or service offered herein above. I-Sec and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of any actions taken in reliance thereon. THANK YOU 64