Comparative Analysis of Onshore and Offshore Liquified Natural Gas Regasification Terminals to Fulfill Gas Supply for Java’s Power Plants Judi Winarko1*, Widodo Wahyu Purwanto** 1. Chemical Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, University of Indonesia, Depok 16424 Indonesia *e-mail: jw.winarko@gmail.com **e-mail: widodo@che.ui.ac.id Abstract—Based on 2018-2027 Electricity Supply Businees Plan (RUPTL), gas-based power plants in Java will experience natural gas shortage of 731 BBTUD, equivalent to 4.86 MTPA on 2027. Nowadays, natural gas supplies for gas power plants in Java are fulfilled from Bontang LNG and Tangguh LNG plants and it requires regasification terminal as the main infrastructure in LNG supply chain. Regasification type selection become critical in order to obtain lowest regasification cost at certain throughput. By considerating the technical and economic aspects, comparative analysis on both regasification types shows that on the throughput 0.11 – 1.46 MTPA, offshore LNG regasification terminal gives lowest regasification cost compare to onshore LNG regasification while on throughput 1.46 – 5.03 MTPA it shows the opposite. The lowest regasification cost for the onshore is 0.50 USD/mmbtu for 5.03 MTPA and 1.92 USD/mmbtu for 0.11 MTPA. For the offshore, it cost 0.56 USD/mmbtu for 5.03 MTPA and 1.60 USD/mmbtu for 0.11 MTPA. Keywords— LNG Regasification , Onshore, Offshore, Regasification Cost. I. BACKGROUND Based on PT. Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) 2018-2017, on 2018 natural gas share in energy mix composition for Jawa Bali Power Plant and Nusa Tenggara is 20.4% and its targeted will increased to 23.4% on 2025 [1]. This target is in line with energy mix target of National Energy Policy which stated that natural gas utilization share is 22% in 2025 and increased to 24% in 2050. Based on those targets, demand for gas in Java will increase following the increasing electricity demand. In 2018, Java’s natural gas supply was lacking 186 BBTUD which consist of 170 BBTUD in West Java and 16 BBTUD in Central and East Java. In 2027 this condition becoming worst by lacking of 2026 BBUTD that consist of 395 BBTUD in West Java and 336 BBTUD in Central and East Java. The selection types of storage and regasification unit are rely on several factors, such as: location and LNG needs, whether it should be stored or re-gasified. Analysis on regasification type selection, onshore and offshore, was been done before by analyzing the investment value on LNG regasification terminal at Sorong by using cash flow and sensitivity analysis for fixed throughput [7]. Besides, there’s also another study that comparing the cost for global existing technology of onshore and offshore, but it was not considering the throughput [12]. In order to achieve the lowest cost of regasification, in this study, the two types of regasification are compared in function of throughput variation by assessing the technical aspect and economic aspect mainly levelized cost of regasification to attain suitable regasification type that to be applied to supply natural gas for Java’s power plants. II. METHODS Comparative analysis of LNG regasicifation terminals comprise the following steps : a. LNG Logistic LNG distribution type that used on this system is point-to point from the source at Tangguh LNG plant to Gresik Port at East Java with 1475 nm distances. LNG Carrier velocity based on its capacity (see Table 1). Table 1. LNG Carrier’s Speed Capacity (m3) Speed (knots) <10000 12.5 10000-100000 13-15 110000-200.000 17 >200.000 18 Volume of LNG carried by carrier should fulfilled 330 operating days of power plant. LNG amount demand represented by equation (1) and the total frequency vessel arrives in one year represented by equation (2) : πβπ ππππ’ππ‘ ππ πΏππΊ π‘ππππ ππππ‘ππ (π3 ) πΏ = ππ·,π × (( × 2) + π‘πππππππ + π‘π’ππππππππ + π΅ππΊπ ) π£ (1) πππ‘ππ πππππ’ππππ¦ πΏππΊ πΆππππππ ππ π¦πππ 330 = πΏ ( × 2) + π‘πππππππ + π‘π’ππππππππ π£ (2) where QD,i is gas throughput needed by the power plant i, mmscfd, L is distance from LNG plant to regasification terminal (km), v is LNG Carrier speed (knots), tloading and tunloading is time needed to load and unload LNG from LNG plant to carrier or opposite (day). BOGR is boil of gas LNG Carrier (%) which 0.05% for atmospheric tank and 0.5% for pressurized tank [10]. b. Technology Selection Technology selection of regasification equipments cosist of vessel and vaporizer types. For onshore vessel with capacity of 5000 m3 is the pressurized type while above size using an atmospheric type. For offshore application, there are two types of it; C-type cylindrical (pressurized) or membrane (atmospheric).For vaporizer, capacity less than 5000 m3 is Air Ambient Vaporized (AAV) while above capacity using Open Rack Vaporizer (ORV), and for offshore application using Intermediate Fluid Vaporizer (IFV). Capacity Regasification Unit Technical consideration for regasification process consist of carrier mooring on jetty, LNG transferred to vessel, regasification process in vaporizer and piping gas throughout the power plant. Offshore regasification also require mooring for FSRU carrier, while jetty can be substitute with ship-to-ship on FSRU. The BOG forming rate is 0.1% of LNG volume per day [2]. BOG formed is 0.03% - 0.08% volume per day for flat bottom vessel [9] and 0,1% - 1,2% volume per day for pressurized vessel [10]. Vessel capacity that required for regasification unit can be calculated by equation (3): πΌπ‘ + ππ‘ + πΉπ‘ (1 + π)π‘ ππ‘ ∑ππ‘=1 (1 + π)π‘ ∑ππ‘=1 πΏππ£ππππ§ππ πΆππ π‘ = (4) where It is the invested capital (usd), Mt is the operating and maintenance costs (usd), Ft is the fuel costs (usd ) and Qt is the throughput (mmbtu/yr) in year t. the lifetime of the project is given by n and the discount rate is given by r. The CAPEX regasification allocation consists of jetty, LNG storage, vaporizer, utilities, and general facilities [8], the capex value for jetty is based on ship capacity, while for storage and vaporizer based on type and capacity. In addition to the process systems, an LNG terminal requires utility and offsite supports and power supply, and pipeline infrastructure to safely and reliably delivering onspeciο¬cation gas to the customers. The component of utility and general facilities costs is around 20% of investment costs [8] and OPEX is 4% of total CAPEX [4], this OPEX value is a fixed OM per year. The fuel cost is a variable cost whose depends on the regasification throughput and the value becomes an annual cost. Fuel cost for offshore regasification is assumed to use gas. the use of gas fuel in the regasification plant refers to the Oxford Energy Institute study which states that gas usage is 1-2% of throughput [5,3] Whereas, on onshore regasification it is assumed that used is electricity which is the electricity requirement during the regasification process, the power requirements of the process control room, office space, and lighting [6]. c. III. RESULT AND DISCUSSION a. Variable Throughput Variation on LNG Carrier and Storage Capacity ππ π‘πππππ,π (π3 ) = 1.5 × πβπ ππππ’ππ‘ ππ πΏππΊ π‘ππππ ππππ‘ππ (π3 ) (3) Risk factor used for the equation is 1.5. While the storage vessel’s heels is 1,5% from the LNG vessel for regasification unit [11]. d. Economical analysis Economical calculation is done by levelized cost method represented by equation (4). Fig 1 LNG Carrier capacity on various throughput Based on Fig 1, we can conclude that the smallest LNG carrier needed is 9100 m3 and biggest carrier is 288400 m3 but the maximum size available on market is 263000 m3 so that customize order needed if exceeding the available size. 900,00 Investment Cost (mill USD) Capacity or vessel size designed for regasification onshore and offshore variation can be shown on this Fig 2 and Fig 3 800,00 Investmment Cost Onshore Investmment Cost Offshore 700,00 600,00 500,00 400,00 300,00 200,00 100,00 0,110,190,560,651,161,281,691,821,892,132,312,572,843,885,03 Troughput (mtpa) Fig 4. Investment cost on two regasification type Fig 2. Vessel capacity for onshore regasification based on throughput Investment cost for onshore type dominantly formed by vessel and utility cost. In utility, the cost is relatively the same with offshore. While for vessel, the cost is represent the atmospheric vessel. For offshore regasification, mooring cost is not significantly affecting while jetty comes as the main cause of the cost difference between onshore and offshore with the same throughput. Fig 3. Vessel capacity for offshore regasification based on throughput Based on Fig 3 can be shown that the storage vessel capacity onshore has constant mass when the capacity is more than 270000 m3 as it is the maximum onshore regasification. Meanwhile, for onshore regasification is 170000 m3 so it needed more than FSRU for capacity above the maximum (Fig 2). In addition to storage as the main equipment with a large price role, there is a vaporizer as a regasification device which is have different type due to throughput and spacious. Vaporizer type for onshore regasification is ORV and offshore regasification with IFV. b. Economic Calculation based on Regasification Type Three main component that build up the onshore or offshore regasification are Capital Expenditure (CAPEX), Operational Expenses (OPEX) and Fuel cost. Investment cost for onshore and offshore regasification are followed by Fig 4 bellow: Fig 5. Regasification component cost per year Fig 5 shows a comparison cost of OPEX values is in line with CAPEX, which is directly proportional. As with CAPEX, the operating costs and maintenance of the jetty are higher than the mooring. Fuel cost for offshore unit is also higher than the onshore one because the vaporizer type is one of the reasons, the IFV consume higher energy than onshore’s ORV because of the fluid heat exchanger. c. Regasification Cost Comparison Regasification cost for various throughput of onshore and offshore regasification are followed this figure: Regasification Cost (USD/MMBTU) 2,50 Onshore Offshore throughput value or low natural gas demand. But, the onshore regasification can be an answer when it comes to expansion or a new hub in Java was to be built. 2,00 IV. CONCLUSION Average cost for offshore regasification is cheaper than onshore for throughput between 0.11 – 1.46 MTPA. While for throughput range between 1.46 – 5.03 MTPA, 1,00 onshore comes cheaper. Lowest regasification cost for onshore type are 0.50 USD/mmbtu (5.03 MTPA) and 1.92 0,50 USD/MMBTU (0.11 MTPA). While for offshore are 0.56 USD/mmbtu (5.03 MTPA) and 1.60 USD/MMBTU (0.11 MTPA). In conclusion, the offshore type is the suitable 0,00 - 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00 3,50 4,00 4,50 5,00 5,50 type for Java’s LNG receiver for capacity lower than 1.46 MTPA and onshore type is suitable for capacity higher Throughput (mtpa) than 1.46 MTPA. Fig 6 Regasification cost on various throughput on two regasification type 1,50 Regasification cost for offshore is lying on 0.11 – 1.46 MTPA with lower average regasification cost compare to onshore. But the cost comes higher when the throughput passing 1.46 MTPA. Fuel cost are forming the cost because of the value are raising in higher throughput, so that this component become the main factor that forms the onshore is more profitable than offshore on higher throughput. Not to speak of, offshore regasification is limited with the LNG vessel capacity. So that for a high throughput value needed more than one FSRU carrier to fulfill the Natural Gas demand, which cause higher regasification cost as well. Cost pattern for regasification with 0.63 MTPA through put on offshore type is tend to be higher than other throughput. This comes from the LNG vessel capacity is using the existing capacity, because of following the availability size that can be produced by the shipyard. On that capacity, the gap between needed carrier capacities with existing capacity is too far, till 18515 m3, so that the cost on that throughput is relatively higher based on the fact that the vessel cost is the dominant cost build up in regasification. From the analysis on natural gas supply in Java will be more economical attractive if using the offshore regasification for a low capacity, below 1.5 MTPA. While above 1.5 MTPA is suitable using onshore regasification. To implement offshore regasification, will take shorter time than the onshore (around 6-12 months). It becomes best answer for a time constraint become important for V. 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