Pride and Regret 1 Pride and regret • Pride = the emotional joy of realising that a decision turned out well. – I was right! I’m smart! • Regret = the emotional pain of realising that a decision turned out to be a bad one. – I was wrong! I’m not smart as I thought! 2 Pride and regret • Experimental psychologists have documented that people try to… – avoid actions that will create regret and… – …seek actions that will cause pride. 3 Regret - Example • You’re checking the price of a ticket for a flight from Southampton to Shanghai: • Should you buy it now? 4 Regret Two possible sources of regret: • Regret of commission ➔ when you make a decision that turns out to be a bad one. – You buy the ticket, and 2 days later you find out the ticket is now £50 cheaper. • I should’ve waited! 5 Regret Two possible sources of regret: • Regret of omission ➔ when you don’t act and, in hindsight, you realise you’ve foregone a good opportunity. – You don’t buy the ticket and later, when you need to buy it urgently, you find out the ticket is now £100 more expensive. • I should have bought it! 6 Regret Experimental research shows that: • Generally, a regret of commission is more painful than a regret of omission. • Regret is most palpable and takes the greatest toll on decision making when the outcomes of foregone alternatives are highly “visible” or “accessible”. – E.g. (A) you buy a ticket for Shanghai and then forget about it. – (B) You buy a ticket for Shanghai and, few days later, your friends are talking about prices for this flight, and you realise the ticket is now much cheaper. 7 Pride, Regret, and the Disposition Effect • Pride and Regret are likely to be contributing factors to the disposition effect. – If you sell a winning stock: • It validates you decision to buy it. • Locking in the profit makes you feel proud. – I was right! I’m a smart investor. 8 Pride, Regret, and the Disposition Effect • Pride and Regret are likely to be contributing factors to the disposition effect. – If you sell a losing stock: • You have to admit to yourself that your decision was bad. • You’ll feel the pain of regret. – I was wrong! I’m not as smart as I thought! 9 Pride, Regret, and the Disposition Effect • Pride and Regret are likely to be contributing factors to the disposition effect. • Implication: – Investors tend to sell winners and hold on to losers. – Investors sell winners too early & ride losers for too long. 10