Alternative Theories and the Meeting of Development Topics • What is development? • Leading theories of economic development: Four approaches. • Theories of development: Reconciling the difference • Underdevelopment and development: A Multidimensional schematic. What Do we mean by Development? • has Development is also perceived that the It traditionally meant then developed countries of Western European Nations are in master role to achieving sustained rates of dominate and civilize the less developed countries the Asia and African regions. growth ofinincome per capita to Western European countries did all the enable a nation to inexpand colonization activities the nameits of development and in the name of output at acivilization. rate faster than the promoting growth rate of its population New Economic View of Development • Economic development came to be redefined in terms of the reduction or elimination of poverty, inequality, and unemployment within the context of a growing economy. (1970’s) Questions to ask about a country’s development 1. What has been happening to poverty? 2. What has been happening to unemployment? 3. What has been happening to inequality? • Development must therefore be conceived of as a multidimensional process involving major changes in social structures, popular attitudes, and national institutions, as well as the acceleration of economic growth, the reduction of inequality, and the eradication of poverty Development The 3 Core Values • Sustenance. The ability to meet basic needs. • Self-Esteem: To Be a Person • Freedom from servitude: To be Able to Choose The 3 Objectives • Increase basic life-sustaining goods (food, shelter, health and protection) • Raise living standards (higher incomes, jobs, education, to cultural and humanistic values) • Expand the range of economic and social choices. Theories of Economic Development (Four Approaches) 1950s & 1960s 1. Linear Stage Series of successive economic growth 1970 2. Structural change 2. Structural Change used modern economic theory & statistical analysis to portray internal process of structural change 3. International dependence 3. International Dependence International & domestic power relationships, institutional & structural economic rigidities; dual economies/societies 4. Neoclassical 4. Neoclassical Beneficial role of free markets, open economics, privatization of inefficient public enterprises 1980s & 1990s Linear Stages Linear stages theory - associated with a unidirectional rather than cyclic view of development Rostow’s Growth Model Harrod – Domar Model (a).Rostow’s growth model DEVELOPMENT Rostow's growth model - the transition from underdevelopment to development can be described in terms of a series of steps or stages through which all countries must proceed High mass The drive to maturity The takeoff Preconditions for takeoff Traditional society TIME consumption Take off Maturity HighDrive MasstoConsumption Pre-take off Traditional Industrialization, Diversification, Consumer oriented, growing investment, specialization, Subsistence, barter, innovation, less flourish, reliance durable goods, regional growth & surpluses, infrastructure agriculture on imports, investment service sector becomes political change dominant (b). Harrod-Domar model • The rate of growth depends on: The level of national saving • The productivity of capital investment (this is known as the capital-output ratio) (c) (b). Harrod-Domar model RATE OF GROWTH /GDP ∆Y= s/c Assumptions: 1. Savings leads to investment S = I 2. Investment leads to changes in capital stock I= ∆K 3. Constant Capital Output Ratio c= K/Y , c= ∆K/∆Y RATE GROWTH ∆Y. c = ∆K ∆Y. c = I ∆Y= I/c ∆Y= s/c Example: ∆Y= I/c = 0.5/10 =0.05 or 5% ∆Y= I/c = 1/10 =0.1 or 10% Example: ∆Y= I/c = 0.5/5=0.05 or 10% ∆Y= I/c = 1/5 =0.1 or 20% (b). Harrod-Domar model • Savings & Capital accumulation may be necessary for economic growth, but not a sufficient condition • Other factors such as institutions, human capital, skilled labor, transparency, etc.. may be lacking. • Historical Example. "The Marshal Plan” Structural Change Model Focuses on the mechanisms by which underdeveloped countries transform their domestic economic structure from a heavy emphasis on traditional subsistence agriculture to a more modern, urbanized and industrially diverse manufacturing and services sector. Lewis Theory Chenery’s Pattern (a). Lewis Theory of Development Lewis Theory of Development • Also, known as “Dual-Sector”Model or “Unlimited Supplies of Labour” Model • Explains how economic growth gets started through structural change- increase in size of the industrial sector relative to subsistence agricultural sector. Capitalist/Industrial Sector Subsistence/Agricultural Sector Capital intensive manufacturing process Labour intensive production process Higher average wages Low dependency on capital Higher Marginal & Ave Productivity Low Marginal & Average Productivity Higher Demand for labour Low average wages • • it became the general theory of the development process in surplus-labor Third World Nations during the 1960s and early 1970s. It focuses on the process of labor transfers from the traditional economy to the urbanized, industrial sector and the growth of output and employment in the high-productivity sector. (b). Chenery’s Patterns of Development Chenery's model defines economic development as a set of interrelated changes in the structure of an underdeveloped economy that are required for its transformation from an agricultural economy into an industrial economy for continued growth in addition to accumulation of capital both human and physical. Patterns 1. Shift from agriculture to industrial 2. Steady accumulation of human and physical capital 3. Desire for more manufactured goods instead of food items (basic necessities and services) 4. Migration from rural to urban-increase in urbanization 5. Increased integration through trade 6. Slow down in population growth - smaller families International Dependence Model • View developing countries as beset by institutional, political & economic rigidities both domestic and international Neocolonial dependence Model False Paradigm Model Dualistic Dev’t Theory (a). Neocolonial Dependence Model • • • Underdevelopment resulted from highly unequal international capitalist system Developed countries' exploitative and neglectful relationship with developing countries Underdevelopment is due to the existence and policies of industrial capitalist countries of the northern hemisphere and their extensions in the form of small but powerful elite or comprador groups (local elites who act as fronts for foreign investors) (b).False Paradigm Model • • underdevelopment resulted from faulty and inappropriate advice from foreign experts and donors the policies, in many cases, merely serve the vested interest of existing power groups (c). Dualistic Development Theory Existence and persistence of the increasing gap between rich and poor nations and rich and poor peoples on various level Concept of dualism has 4 key elements: 1. 2 different set of conditions can occur at the same time i.e., "superior" and "inferior", e.g., the coexistence of wealthy, highly educated elites with masses of illiterate poor people 2. Gap continues to increase as development takes place 3. Superior do not uplift the inferior 4. Coexistence is chronic and not merely transitional Neoclassical Counterrevolution • • • • Underdevelopment is primarily internally induced. Underdevelopment results from poor resource allocation due to incorrect pricing policies and too much government intervention. Implications: Need for free and competitive market; privatization of stateowned enterprises; Deregulation Sources of growth: Increase in quality of labor; Improve capital through investments in technology. Free Market Public Choice Market Friendly Free Market • Assumes markets are efficient. Competition is effective. The state or Government intervention is ineffective. • Given the efficiency of markets, any imperfections in markets are of little significance Public Choice or New Political Economy • •Argues that governments can not solve economic problems, since the state itself is dominated by politicians, bureaucrats, that use power for selfish ends. • •State officials extract “rents”, taking bribes, and confiscate or nationalize property, and reduce freedom of citizens. Therefore, it is best to minimize the role of governments. • •Big corporations also suffer from similar problems but market and public policy desciplines them. Market Friendly • This is the most recent variant of Neo-Classical Theory. It is an approach used by World Bank & IMF economists. • This approach recognizes market imperfections, missing markets, and externalities. Therefore, there is a need for government role in areas such as providing public goods, developing market supporting institutions or rules, and defining and protecting property rights. Solow Growth Model • The Solow model expanded the Harrod-Domar Model, that stressed the critical role of savings, Investment & capital accumulation. • •It formalized & expanded the Harrod Model by adding labor, capital, and technology. Solow Growth Model Inputs: e.L = Human Capital A= Ideas K= Factories, Machineries, Tools Output: GDP (Y) PRODUCTION FUNCTION Y = Fn(K) Y= √K Theories of Development: Reconciling the Differences • Governments do fail, but so do markets • Must attend to institutional and political realities in developing world. • Development economics has no simplistic and universally accepted paradigm. Insights and understandings are continually evolving. • Each theory has some strengths and some weaknesses. Incites can be gained from a combination of alternative theories and experiences of successful countries to guide development policy. Underdevelopment & Development: Multidimensional Schematic Adverse Factor • Location and Physical Geography • Climate • Demographic Boom • Degradation of natural resources • Land property structure • Political Immaturity • Technological inequality with developed countries • Agricultural or mining • External Debt Favorable Factors • • • • • • • Natural Resources Abundance of manpower Education level Migration Low interest rates Tourism potential Possibilities of the Information Era Thank you!