CHAPTER 9 CAPITAL BUDGETING: DECISION CRITERIA AND REAL OPTION CONSIDERATIONS ANSWERS TO QUESTIONS: 1. The net present value method computes the present worth of a project's benefits over its costs, evaluated using the firm's cost of capital. If a project has a positive net present value it means that investors are receiving the minimum required rate of return, as measured by the cost of capital, plus they are receiving something extra. This positive net present value is an additional increment to shareholder wealth. 2. In the case of mutually exclusive investments it is possible for the net present value and internal rate of return approaches to give conflicting rankings. This is most likely to occur when the two or more projects being considered are significantly different in size or have very different patterns of cash flows. 3. Multiple rates of return are likely to occur when a project's cash flow stream contains more than one sign change (from positive to negative or negative to positive). Under these circumstances it is best to use the net present value approach. 4. The profitability index defines the number of dollars of present value benefits that are received for each dollar of net investment. Hence it provides a measure of relative profitability. This measure can be used to guide a ranking of investment projects in a capital rationing situation (see Table 9-5). 5. Strengths: Easy to use; may be used to consider a project's risk or its liquidity. Weaknesses: Does not consider cash flows beyond payback period; ignores time value of money; provides no objective criterion for decision making. 6. The objectives of a project post-audit/review are: a. To identify systematic biases or errors in the cash flow estimates by individuals, departments, plants or divisions. This analysis enables decision makers to make better evaluations of investment proposals submitted in the future. b. To determine whether a project which has not lived up to expectations should be continued or abandoned. 7. In an inflationary environment, the level of capital expenditures by private firms tends to decrease, because the cost of capital generally increases with inflation. It is possible that in 119 120 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING some cases inflation might increase projected revenues from a project more than projected costs, thereby offsetting the increasing cost of capital. To the extent that this is not the case, there will be a decline in capital investments. 8. The major problem is placing a dollar value on all costs and benefits generated by a project. There tends to be more intangible costs and benefits in these types of projects. This makes analysis more difficult and less precise. 9. MACRS pushes the tax benefits of the project forward to the first 8 years of the project's life, thereby increasing the project's after-tax net cash flows in the early years and making it a more attractive investment. CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING 121 SOLUTIONS TO PROBLEMS: 1. NPV = -$20,000 + $3,000(PVIFA0.12,10) = - $20,000 + $3,000(5.650) = -$3,050 PI = $3,000(5.650)/$20,000 = 0.85 The project is not acceptable because it has a negative NPV and a PI of less than 1.0. 2. a Net Present Value Year Cash Flows PVIF @ 12% Present Value 0 -$30,000 1.000 -$30,000 1 5,000 0.893 4,465 2 8,000 0.797 6,376 3 9,000 0.712 6,408 4 8,000 0.636 5,088 5 8,000 0.567 4,536 6 5,000 0.507 2,535 7 3,000 0.452 1,356 8 -1,500 0.404 -606 Net Present Value $158 b. Because the project has a positive NPV it should be accepted. c. The value of the firm, and therefore the shareholders’ wealth, is increased by $158 as a result of undertaking the project. 122 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING 3. Net investment = $8,000 NCF1-10 = (_R - _O - _Dep)(1 - T) + _Dep = (0 - (-$1,554) - $800)(1 - .4) + $800 = $1,252.40 $8,000 = $1,252.40(PVIFAi,10) PVIFAi,10 = 6.388 (From Table IV, r is between 9% and 10%) (9.11% using a calculator) 4. Net investment = $375,000 a. NPV = -$375,000 + $80,000(PVIFA0.12, 9) + [$80,000 + $75,000 + $100,000(1 - 0.4)] (PVIF0.12,10) = - $375,000 + $80,000(5.328) + $215,000(0.322) = $120,470 b. The project is acceptable, because its NPV is positive. c. The value of the firm, and therefore the shareholders’ wealth, is increased by $120,470 as a result of undertaking this project. d. The IRR of this project is 18.71% using a calculator. e. The net present value calculation assumes the net cash flows are reinvested at 12%, the project’s required return. The internal rate of return calculation assumes the net cash flows are reinvested at18.71%, the project’s IRR. 5. $12,000 = PV0(FVIF0.15,25) = PV0(32.919); PV0 = $364.53 6. After tax cost of net investment: $100,000(1 - 0.4) = $60,000 NPV = -$60,000 + $10,000(PVIFA0.12,10) + $22,000(PVIFA0.12,10)(PVIF0.12,10) = -$60,000 + $10,000(5.650) + $22,000(5.650)(0.322) = $36,525 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING 123 7. a Project A: $20,000 = $10,000(PVIFAi,4) PVIFAi,4 = 2.000 i = 34.9% from Table IV Project B: $20,000 = $60,000(PVIFi,4) PVIFi,4 = 0.333 i = 31.6% from Table II b. NPVA = -$20,000 + $10,000(3.17) = $11,700 NPVB = -$20,000 + 60,000(0.683) = $20,980 c. Project B should be chosen because it has the higher NPV. It is assumed that the firm's reinvestment opportunities are more accurately represented by the firm's cost of capital than by the unique internal rate of return of either project in this case. 8. a. 0%: NPV = -$1,000 + $6,000/(1+0)1 - $11,000/(1+0)2 + $6,000/(1+0)3 = 0 b. 100%: NPV = -$1,000 + $6,000/(1+1)1 - $11,000/(1+1)2 + $6,000/(1+1)3 = -1,000 + 3,000 - 2,750 + 750 = 0 c. 200%: NPV = -$1,000 + $6,000/(1+2)1 - $11,000/(1+2)2 + $6,000/(1+2)3 = -1,000 + 2,000 - 1,222.22 + 222.22 = 0 9. Computation of net investment: New unit cost Plus: Installation cost: Less: Proceeds from sale of old unit $29,000 3,000 $1,000 Plus: Tax on gain from sale of old unit ($1,000)(.4) Equals: Net investment 400 $31,400 124 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING Computation of net cash flows: Annual depreciation on new device = [$29,000 + 3,000]/20 years] = $1,600 Net cash flows1-19 = (R - O - Dep)(1 - T) + Dep = (0 -(-$9,000) - $1,600)(1 - 0.4) +$1,600 = $6,040 Net cash flow20 = $6,040 + salvage = $6,040 + $2,000(1 - 0.4) = $7,240 NPV = -$31,400 + $6,040(PVIFA0.12,19) + $7,240(PVIF0.12,20) = -$31,400 + $6,040(7.366) + $7,240(.104) = $13,844 Therefore, the old control device should be replaced. Note that this problem addresses the unequal project life problem by assuming that the old device could be operated indefinitely, with appropriate maintenance outlays. 10. $1,230 = $800/(1 + i)1 + $200/(1 + i)2 + $400/(1 + i)3 Try i = 8% $1,230 = $800(.926) + $200(.857) + $400(.794 ) = $1,229.8 Therefore IRR = 8% CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING 125 11. Project Net Investment NPV PI Rank 1 $200,000 $20,000 1.100 2 2 500,000 41,000 1.082 3 3 275,000 60,000 1.218 1 4 150,000 5,000 1.033 6 5 250,000 20,000 1.080 4 (tie) 6 100,000 4,000 1.040 5 7 275,000 22,000 1.080 4 (tie) 8 200,000 -18,000 0.910 7 Project PI Net Investment Cum. Net Investment Cum. NPV 3 1.218 $275,000 $275,000 $60,000 1 1.100 200,000 475,000 80,000 2 1.082 500,000 975,000 121,000 5 1.080 250,000 1,225,000 141,000 7 1.080 275,000 1,500,000 163,000 6 1.040 100,000 1,600,000 167,000 4 1.033 150,000 1,750,000 172,000 b. Projects 3, 1, and 2 should be adopted, using a total of $975,000 and leaving $25,000 unused. c. If projects 3, 1, 5, and 7 are adopted, all funds will be expended and the aggregate NPV is $122,000 vs. $121,000 when projects 3, 1, and 2 are adopted. d. The opportunity cost of the unexpended funds is the amount of the unexpended funds times the firm's cost of capital. 126 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING 12. Net investment (cost of baboon) = $12,000 Annual depreciation on baboon = $12,000 /20 years = $600 Net cash flow calculation: NCF1-20 = (R - O - Dep)(1 - T) + Dep = (0 - ($4,000 - $7,000) - 600)(1 - .4) + 600 = $2,060/year NPV = - $12,000 + $2,040(7.963) = $4,245 Yes, buy the baboon, since NPV > 0. 13. a NPV = -$10 + $20(PVIFk,1) + $5(PVIFk,2) - $17(PVIFk,3) NPV @ k = 5%: -$10 + $20(.952) + $5(.907) - $17(.864) = -$1.11 million NPV @ k = 10%: -$0.46 million NPV @ k = 15%: -$0.01 million NPV @ k = 30%: +$0.61 million NPV @ k = 71%: +$0.01 million NPV @ k = 80%: -$0.26 million b. The NPV is negative at discount rates between 0% and 15%, positive from 15% to 71% and negative beyond 71%. c. If L-S's cost of capital is 10%, the project is unacceptable (negative NPV). If L-S's cost of capital is 20% the project is acceptable (positive NPV). NPV @ k = 20%: -$10 + $20(.833) + $5(.694) - $17(.579) = +$0.29 million 14. a Net investment calculation: Land Plus: Packing equipment Equals: Net investment Net cash flow calculation: $150,000 20,000 $170,000 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING 127 Depreciation/year = $20,000/20 = $1,000/year NCF1-10 = [200($400) - $50,000 - $1,000](1 - .3) + $1,000 = $21,300 NCF11-19 = [200($500) - $60,000 - $1,000](1 - .3) + $1,000 = $28,300 NCF20 = $28,300 + after-tax land value Land value in 20 years = $150,000(FVIF0.05,20) = $150,000(2.653) = $397,950 Tax on gain from land sale: Sale price of land $397,950 Less: Original cost 150,000 Equals: Capital gain $247,950 Times: Capital gains tax rate Equals: Tax on gain .30 $74,385 Land value net of taxes = $397,950 - $74,385 = $323,565 NCF20 = $28,300 + $323,565 = $351,865 NPV = -$170,000 + $21,300(5.426) + $28,300(5.132)(.295) + $351,865(.087) = $19,031 Yes, because NPV > 0 b. NCF20 = $28,300 + $50,000 + $100,000 loss(.30) = $108,300 NPV = -$170,000 + $21,300(5.426) + $28,300(5.132)(.295) + $108,300(.087) = $-2,160 No, because NPV < 0 15. a Net investment: $80,000 b. Basis for MACRS depreciation = $80,000 First year revenues = $2 x 50,000 = $100,000; Revenues increase 7%/year; operating costs increase at 8%/year. 128 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING Year Revenues Operating Costs Depreciation Tax OEAT NCF 1 $100,000 $50,000 $11,432 $15,427 $23,141 $34,573 2 107,000 54,000 19,592 13,363 20,045 39,637 3 114,490 58,320 13,992 16,871 25,307 39,299 4 122,504 62,986 9,992 19,810 29,716 39,708 5 131,080 68,024 7,144 22,365 33,547 40,691 6 140,255 73,466 7,136 23,861 35,792 42,928 7 150,073 79,344 7,144 25,434 38,151 45,295 8 160,578 85,691 3,568 28,528 42,791 46,359 9 171,819 92,547 0 31,709 47,563 47,563 10 183,846 99,950 0 33,558 50,338 50,338 c. NPV = -$80,000 + $34,573(.833) + $39,637(.694) + $39,299(.579)+ $39,708(.482) + $40,691(.402) + $42,928(.335) + $45,295(.279) + $46,359(.233) + $47,563(.194) + $50,338(.162) = $89,761 Yes, build the plant because NPV > 0. d. Payback calculation: Payback period is slightly more than two years because the sum of the first two years of NCF is $74,210, compared to the NINV of $80,000. e. The project has one internal rate of return because its cash flows have one sign change. 16. a NPVA = -$30,000 + $10,000(3.433) = $4,330 NPVB = -$60,000 + $20,000(3.433) = $8,660 b. IRRA: $30,000 = $10,000(PVIFAr,5) PVIFAr,5= 3.000 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING 129 From Table IV, IRRA = 20% (19.86% by calculator) IRRB: $60,000 = $20,000(PVIFAr,5) PVIFAr,5= 3.000 From Table IV, IRRB = 20% (19.86% by calculator) c. PIA = $34,330/$30,000 = 1.14 PIB = $68,660/$60,000 = 1.14 d. PBA = 3 years PBB = 3 years e. Monroe should accept project B because its NPV is positive and higher than the NPV of project A. 17. $3,300,000,000 = $651,000,000(PVIFA0.19,n) PVIFA0.19,n = 5.069 From Table IV, n __19 18. NINV = $31,400 Basis for MACRS depreciation: $32,000 NCF1 = (0 - (-$9,000) - $4,572.8)(1 - .40) + $4,572.8 = $7,229.12 NCF2 = (0 - (-$9,000) - $7,836.8)(1 - .40) + $7,836.8 = $8,534.72 NCF3 = (0 - (-$9,000) - $5,596.8)(1 - .40) + $5,596.8 = $7,638.72 NCF4 = (0 - (-$9,000) - $3,996.8)(1 - .40) + $3,996.8 = $6,998.72 NCF5 = (0 - (-$9,000) - $2,857.6)(1 - .40) + $2,857.6 = $6,543.04 NCF6 = (0 - (-$9,000) - $2,854.4)(1 - .40) + $2,854.4 = $6,541.76 NCF7 = (0 - (-$9,000) - $2,857.6)(1 - .40) + $2,857.6 = $6,543.04 NCF8 = (0 - (-$9,000) - $1,427.2)(1 - .40) + $1,427.2 = $5,970.88 NCF9-19 = (0 - (-$9,000) - 0)(1 - .40) + 0 = $5,400 NCF20 = $5,400 + $2,000(1 - .4) = $6,600 130 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING NPV = -$31,400+ $7,229.12(0.893) + $8,534.72(0.797) + $7,638.72(0.712) + $6,998.72(0.636) + $6,543.04(0.567) + $6,541.76(0.507) + $6,543.04 (0.452) + $5970.88(0.404) + $5,400(5.938)(.404) + $6,600(.104) = $17,785 The NPV is higher with accelerated (MACRS) depreciation than with straight-line depreciation. 19. a. NPV = -$1,200,000 + $168,000(PVIFA0.12,10) = -$1,200,000 + $168,000 (5.650) = -$250,800 b. The project is unacceptable. c. The project has one internal rate of return because its cash flows have only one sign change. d. Internal rate of return calculation: $1,200,000 = $168,000(PVIFAr,10) PVIFAr,10 = 7.143 IRR = r = 6.64% (by calculator) 20. a NPV = -$400,000 + $196,000(0.847) + $214,600(0.718) + $234,982(0.609) + $257,309(0.516) + $281,759(0.437) $321,818(0.314) + $353,866(0.266) + $388,920(0.225) + $633,250(0.191) = $830,970 b. Yes, the store has a positive net present value. c. IRR = 57.1% (by calculator) d. PI = 3.08, i.e., $1,230,970/$400,000. + $292,525(0.370) + CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING 131 21. a Net investment: Installed cost $15,000,000 Less: After-tax salvage (old) -1,200,000 Less: Net working capital recovered from old asset -1,000,000 Plus: Net working capital needed for new asset Equals: Net investment 500,000 $13,300,000 b. Basis for MACRS depreciation = $15,000,000 Year Revenues Operating Costs Depreciation OEAT NCF 1 $2,000,000 $-800,000 $2,143,500 $393,900 $2,537,400 2 2,000,000 -800,000 3,673,500 -524,100 3,149,400 3 2,000,000 -800,000 2,623,500 105,900 2,729,400 4 2,000,000 -800,000 1,873,500 555,900 2,429,400 5 2,000,000 -800,000 1,339,500 876,300 2,215,800 6 2,000,000 -800,000 1,338,000 877,200 2,215,200 7 2,000,000 -800,000 1,339,500 876,300 2,215,800 8 2,000,000 -800,000 669,000 1,278,600 1,947,600 9 2,000,000 -800,000 - 1,680,000 1,680,000 10 2,000,000 -800,000 - 1,680,000 2,180,000* *Year 10 NCF includes impact of incremental net working capital change of -$500,000. 132 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING c. NPV = $-13,300,000 + $2,537,400 (0.870) + $3,149,400(0.756) + $2,729,400(0.658) + $2,429,400(0.572) + $2,215,800(0.497) + $2,215,200(0.432) + $2,215,800(0.376) + $1,947,600(0.327) + $1,680,000(0.284) + $2,180,000(0.247) = $-982,149 22. IRRAlpha: $10,000 = $20,000 [1/(1 + r)1] 1+r=2 r = 1 (or 100%) IRRBeta: $20,000 = $35,000 [1/(1 + r)1 1 + r = 1.75 r = 0.75 (or 75%) NPVAlpha = - $10,000 + $20,000 (PVIF0.10,1) = - $10,000 + $20,000 (0.909) = $8,180 NPVBeta = - $20,000 + $35,000 (PVIF0.10,1) = -$20,000 + $35,000 (0.909) = $11,815 The company should accept project Beta because its NPV is positive and higher than the NPV of project Alpha. CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING 133 23. PVNCFf = SF5.0(4.833) = SF24.17 million PVNCFh = SF24.17 x $0.16/SF = $3.87 million NPV = $3.87 - $8.0 = $-4.13 million The project is unacceptable. 24. Project evaluation is based on cash flows, not accounting earnings. The projects could have deferred returns; Lack of profitability could be based on assets in place, not incremental investments; Risk projects that were not successful; The impact of competition; cost variations, etc. Possibly biased cash flow estimates. 25. No recommended solution. SOLUTION TO INTEGRATIVE CASE PROBLEM: CAPITAL BUDGETING Net investment calculation: Cost of equipment Plus: Delivery and installation Plus: Additional net working capital Equals: Net investment $1,000,000 100,000 50,000 $1,150,000 134 CHAPTER 9/CAPITAL BUDGETING Net cash flow calculation: Calculation of year 1 revenues: Q = 20,000 - 200($14) = 17,200 units Revenues = 17,200 units ($14 / unit) = $240,800 Additional Working Year Revenues Operating Costs* Depreciation Taxes Capital NCF 1 $240,800 $-100,000 157,190 $62,427 $25,000 $253,373 2 228,760 -93,700 269,390 18,044 - 304,416 3 217,322 -86,959 192,390 38,043 - 266,238 4 206,456 -79,746 137,390 50,596 - 235,606 5 196,133 -72,028 98,230 57,777 - 210,384 6 186,326 -63,770 98,120 51,672 - 198,424 7 177,010 -54,934 98,230 45,463 - 186,481 8 168,160 -45,480 49,060 55,957 - 157,683 9 159,752 -35,364 - 66,339 - 128,776 10 151,764 -24,539 - 59,943 -75,000 257,360** * Operating costs reflect the $190,000 saving plus the annual operating costs (including costs related to off-system sales) on the new system. **Year 10 net cash flow includes recovery of $75,000 of net working capital and $66,000 recovery of after-tax salvage value. NPV = $-1,150,000 + $253,373 (0.870) + $304,416(0.756) + $266,238(0.658) + $235,606(0.572) + $210,384(0.497) + $198,424(0.432) + $186,481(0.376) + $157,683(0.327) + $128,776(0.284) + $257,360(0.247) = $22,624 Therefore the project is acceptable. APPENDIX 9A MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE INVESTMENTS HAVING UNEQUAL LIVES SOLUTIONS TO PROBLEMS: 1. a. NPVA = -$30,000 + $10,500(3.037) = $1,888.50 NPVB = -$30,000 + $6,500(4.968) = $2,292 b. NPVA(chain) = $1,888.50 - $30,000(PVIF.12,4 ) + $10,500(PVIFA.12,4)(PVIF.12,4) = $3,089.59 c. Alternative A should be chosen because it has the higher positive net present value when the two alternatives are compared for an equal period of time. d. NPVA = $1,888.50 (from part a) NPVB = $2,292 (from part a) Equivalent annual annuity (A) = $1,888.5/3.037 = $621.83 Equivalent annual annuity (B) = $2,292/4.968 = $461.35 NPVA (infinite replacement) = $621.83/.12 = $5,181.92 NPVB (infinite replacement) = $461.35/.12 = $3,844.58 The equivalent annual annuity method also recommends project A. 2. NPVP = - $100,000 + $22,000 (PVIFA0.12,10) = - $100,000 + $22,000 (5.650) = $24,300 NPVR = - $85,000 + $18,000 (PVIFA0.12,8) = - $85,000 + $18,000 (4.968) = $4,424 135 136 APPENDIX 9A/MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE INVESTMENTS HAVING UNEQUAL LIVES Equivalent annual annuity (P) = $24,300/(PVIFA0.12,10) = $24,300/5.650 = $4,300.9 Equivalent annual annuity (R) = $4,424/(PVIFA0.12,8) = $4,424/4.968 = $890.5 NPVP (assuming infinite replacement) = $4,300.9/0.12 = $35,841 NPVR (assuming infinite replacement) = $890.5/0.12 = $7,421 Investment P should be selected, because it has the higher net present value when evaluated over an infinite replacement horizon. 3. NPVA = - $50,000 + $25,000 (PVIFA0.19,3) = - $50,000 + $25,000 (2.140) = $3,500 NPVB = - $79,000 + $28,000 (PVIFA0.19,5) = - $79,000 + $28,000 (3.058) = $6,624 Equivalent annual annuity (A) = $3,500/(PVIFA0.19,3) = $3,500/2.140 = $1,636 Equivalent annual annuity (B) = $6,624/3.058 = $2,166 = $6,624/(PVIFA0.19,5) APPENDIX 9A/MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE INVESTMENTS HAVING UNEQUAL LIVES 137 NPVA (assuming infinite replacement) = $1,636/0.19 = $8,611 NPVB (assuming infinite replacement) = $2,166/0.19 = $11,400 Investment B should be selected, because it has the higher net present value when evaluated over an infinite replacement horizon. 4. a. NPVD = -$50,000 + $24,000(2.322) = $5,728 NPVE = -$50,000 + $15,000(3.889) = $8,335 b. NPVD (replacement chain) = $5,728 - $50,000 (PVIF0.14, 3) + $24,000(PVIFA0.14, 3) (PVIF0.14, 3) = $9,594 c. Investment D should be chosen because it has the higher positive net present value when the two investments are compared for an equal period of time. d. NPVD = $5,728 (from Part a) NPVE = $8,335 (from Part a) Equivalent annual annuity (D) = $5,728 / (PVIFA0.14, 3) = $2,467 Equivalent annual annuity (E) = $8,335 / (PVIFA0.14, 6) = $2,143 NPVD (assuming infinite replacement) = $2,467 / 0.14 = $17,621 NPVE (assuming infinite replacement) = $2,143 / 0.14 = $15,307 Investment D should be selected because it has the higher net present value when evaluated over an infinite replacement horizon.