Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) MANAJEMEN KEUANGAN CHAPTER 1 WHAT IS CORPORATE FINANCE ? What is Corporate Finance? Corporate finance attempts to find the answers to the following questions: Cash Flow Risk The role of the financial manager is to deal with the uncertainty associated with investment decisions.Assessing the risk associated with the size and timing of expected future cash flows is critical to investment decisions. Which is the better project? –What investments should the business take on? THE INVESTMENT DECISION –How can finance be obtained to pay for the required investments? THE FINANCE DECISION –Should dividends be paid? If so, how much? THE DIVIDEND DECISION The Financial Manager Financial managers try to answer some or all of these questions. The top financial manager within a firm is usually the General Manager–Finance. –Corporate Treasurer or Financial Manager,oversees cash management, credit management, capital expenditures and financial planning. –Accountant,oversees taxes, cost accounting, financial accounting and data processing. The Investment Decision Capital budgetingis the planning and control of cash outflows in the expectation of deriving future cash inflows from investments in non-current assets. Involvesevaluatingthe: –sizeoffuturecashflows –timingoffuturecashflows –riskoffuturecashflows. Cash Flow Size Accounting income does not mean cash flow.For example, a sale is recorded at the time of sale and a cost is recorded when it is incurred, not when the cash is exchanged. Cash Flow Timing A dollar today is worth more than a dollar at some future date.There is a trade-off between the size of an investment’s cash flow and when the cash flow is received. Which is the better project? Capital Structure A firm’s capital structure is the specific mix of debt and equity used to finance the firm’s operations.Decisions need to be made on both the financing mix and how and where to raise the money. Working Capital Management How much cash and inventory should be kept on hand? Should credit terms be extended? If so, what are the conditions? How is short-term financing acquired? Dividend Decision Involves the decision of whether to pay a dividend to shareholders or maintain the funds within the firm for internal growth.Factors important to this decision include growth opportunities, taxation and shareholders’ preferences. Corporate Forms of Business Organisation The three different legal forms of business organisation are: sole proprietorship partnership company. Sole Proprietorship The business is owned by one person. The least regulated form of organisation. Owner keeps all the profits but assumes unlimited liability for the business’s debts. Life of the business is limited to the owner’s life span. Amount of equity raised is limited to owner’s personal wealth. Partnership M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1959 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) The business is formed by two or more owners. All partners share in profits and losses of the business and have unlimited liability for debts. Easy and inexpensive form of organisation. Partnership dissolves if one partner sells out or dies. Amount of equity raised is limited to the combined personal wealth of the partners. Income is taxed as personal income to partners. Cash Flows between the Firm and the Financial Markets Company A business created as a distinct legal entity composed of one of more individuals or entities. Most complex and expensive form of organisation. Shareholders and management are usually separated. Ownership can be readily transferred. Both equity and debt finance are easier to raise. Life of a company is not limited. Owners (shareholders) have limited liability. Possible Goals of Financial Management Survival Avoid financial distress and bankruptcy Beat the competition Maximise sales or market share Minimise costs Maximise profits Maintain steady earnings growth Problems with these Goals Each of these goals presents problems. These goals are either associated with increasing profitability or reducing risk. They are not consistent with the long-term interests of shareholders. It is necessary to find a goal that can encompass both profitability and risk. Financial Markets Financial marketsbring together the buyers and sellers of debt and equity securities. Money marketsinvolve the trading of short-term debt securities. Capital marketsinvolve the trading of long-term debt securities. Primary marketsinvolve the original sale of securities. Secondary marketsinvolve the continual buying and selling of issued securities. Structure of Financial Markets The Firm’s Objective The goal of financial management is to maximise shareholders’ wealth. Shareholders’ wealth can be measured as the current value per share of existing shares. This goal overcomes the problems encountered with the goals outlined above. Agency Relationships The agency relationshipis the relationship between the shareholders (owners) and the management of a firm. The agency problemis the possibility of conflict of interests between these two parties. Agency costsrefer to the direct and indirect costs arising from this conflict of interest. Do Managers Act in Shareholders’ Interests? The answer to this will depend on two factors: how closely management goals are aligned with shareholder goals the ease with which management can be replaced if it does not act in shareholders’ best interests. Alignment of Goals The conflict of interests is limited due to: management compensation schemes monitoring of management the threat of takeover other stakeholders. Two-period Perfect Certainty Model Explains the behaviour of firms and individuals. Relies on three assumptions: –perfect certainty –perfect capital markets –rational investors. The certainty model uses two periods—now (period 1) and the future (period 2).Individuals make consumption choices based on their tastes and preferences and the investment opportunities available to them. Utility curves represent indifference between period 1 (consume now) and period 2 (invest now, consume later) consumption. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1960 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Utility curves Representation of Opportunities Opportunities facing firms in a two-period world include: –investment/production –payment of dividends. The production possibility frontier represents attainable combinations of period 1 (pay dividend now) and period 2 (invest now, pay dividend later) dollars from a given endowment of resources. Production possibility frontier Optimal Investment Policy Fisher’s Separation Theorem In a perfect capital market, it is possible to separate the firm’s investment decisions from the owners’ consumption decisions. The Investment Decision The point of wealth and utility maximisation for all shareholders can be reached through one of two rules: –Net present value rule: invest so as to maximise the net present value of the investment. –Internal rate of return rule: Invest up to the point at which the marginal return on the investment is equal to the expected rate of return on equivalent investments in the capital market. Implications of Fisher’s Analysis It is only the investment decision that affects firm value. Firm value is not affected by how investments are financed or how the distribution (dividends) are made to the owners. CHAPTER 2 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, TAXES,AND CASHFLOW Utility Maximisation Firms should invest funds until they reach a point on the production frontier that is just tangential to the market line. This then places the owner on the highest possible utility curve given the resources available.At this point, the owner’s utility is maximised.However, a problem exists if there is more than one owner. Solution for Multiple Owners Introduce a capital market—resources can be transferred between the present and the future. Add the market line. This produces an optimal investment policy where production possibility frontier is tangential to the market line. Consumption decisions can be made using the capital market. The Statement of Financial Position Shows a firm’s accounting value on a particular date. Equation: Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders’ Equity Assets are listed in order of liquidity. Net working capital = Current Assets –Current Liabilities Liquidity The speed and ease with which an asset can be converted to cash without significant loss of value. Current assets are liquid (e.g. debtors). The more liquid a business is, the less likely it is to experience financial distress, but liquid assets are less profitable to hold. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1961 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Statement of financial position The Statement of Financial Performance (Income statement) Measures a firm’s performance over a period of time. Equation: Revenues –Expenses = Profit The difference between net profit and cash dividends is called retained earnings, which is added to the retained earnings account in the Statement of Financial Position. Example—Statement of Financial Performance Debt versus Equity Creditors have first claim on a firm’s cash flow; equity holders have a residual claim.Financial leverage is the use of debt in a firm’s capital structure.Financial leverage increases the potential reward to shareholders, but also increases the potential for financial distress and business failure. Example—Statement of Financial Position Market Value versus Book Value Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) require audited financial statements to show assets at historical cost or book value.Revaluations of assets to fair value are permitted.The value of a firm relates to market value, or the price that could be obtained in the current market place. Example—Market Value versus Book Value ABC Company has fixed assets with a book value of $1700 but they have been revalued to have a market value of $2000. Net working capital has a book value of $1000, but if all current accounts were liquidated, the company would collect $1400. ABC Company has $1500 in long-term debt— both book value and market value. Recording of Financial Statement Entries The realisation principle is to recognise revenue at the time of sale.Costs are recorded according to the matching principle, that is, revenues are identified and costs associated with these revenues are matched and recorded. Differences The figures on the Statement of Financial Performance may differ from actual cash inflows and outflows during a period due to: –Revenues and costs being recorded when they are realised, not when they are received or paid. –The existence of non-cash items such as depreciation. Corporate and Personal Tax Rates M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1962 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Tax Rates The average tax rateis the total tax bill divided by taxable income, that is, the percentage of income that goes in taxes.. The marginal tax rateis the extra tax paid if one more dollar is earned.A flat rateis where there is only one tax rate that is the same for all income levels. An example is the tax rate that applies to companies in Australia. Statement of Financial Performance or Income statement ('000s) Example—Tax Rates An individual has a taxable income of $28 500. Total tax liability is $4930 (based on the current tax scales). The average tax rate is 17.30 per cent. The marginal tax rate is 30 per cent. Cash Flow from Assets The total cash flow from assets consists of: –operating cash flow—the cash flow that results from dayto-day activities of producing and selling; less –capital spending—the net spending on non-current assets; less –additions to net working capital (NWC)—the amount spent on net working capital. Cash flow from assets Cash Flow from Assets Cash flow from assets = cash flow to debtholders + cash flow to shareholders The cash flow to debtholders includes any interest paid less the net new borrowing.The cash flow to shareholders includes dividends paid out by a firm less net new equity raised. Cash Flow Summary Operating cash flow = Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) + Depreciation –Taxes Net capital spending = Ending net fixed assets –Beginning net fixed assets + Depreciation Change in NWC = Ending NWC –Beginning NWC Statement of Financial Position ('000s) Cash Flows to Debtholders and Shareholders M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1963 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) CHAPTER 3 WORKING WITH FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Cash Cash is generated by selling a product or service, asset or security.Cash is spent by paying for materials and labour to produce a product or service and by purchasing assets. Recall: Cash flow from assets = Cash flow to debtholders + Cash flow to shareholders Cash Flow Sources of cashare those activities that bring in cash.Uses of cashare those activities that involve spending cash.The firm’s statement of cash flowsis the firm’s financial statement that summarises its sources and uses of cash over a specified period. Statement of Financial Position ('000s) Statement of Cash Flows A statement that summarises the sources and uses of cash. Changes are divided into three main categories: –Operating activities—includes net profit and changes in most current accounts –Investment activities—includes changes in fixed assets –Financing activities—includes changes in notes payable, long-term debt and equity accounts as well as dividends. Operating activities + Net profit + Depreciation + Any decrease in current assets (except cash) + Increase in accounts payable –Any increase in current assets (except cash) –Decrease in accounts payable Investment activities + Ending fixed assets –Beginning fixed assets + Depreciation Financing activities –Decrease in notes payable + Increase in notes payable –Decrease in long-term debt + Increase in long-term debt + Increase in ordinary shares –Dividends paid Statement of Financial Performance ('000s) Putting it all together, the net addition to cash for the period is:$91.55 –145.00 + 58.45 = $5.00 M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1964 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) ‘Players’ in Accounting Standards AccountantsGovernment RegulatorsOther users Ratio Analysis Financial ratiosare relationships determined from a firm’s financial information.Used to compare and investigate relationships between different pieces of financial information, either over time or between companies.Ratios eliminate the size problem. Categories of Financial Ratios Liquidity—measures the firm’s short-term solvency. Capital structure—measures the firm’s ability to meet longrun obligations (financial leverage). Asset management (turnover)—measures the efficiency of asset usage to generate sales. Profitability—measures the firm’s ability to control expenses. Market value—per-share ratios. Profitability Ratios Liquidity Ratios Capital Structure Ratios Market Value Ratios The Du Pont Identity Breaks ROE into three parts: –operating efficiency –asset use efficiency –financial leverage Turnover Ratios Uses for Financial Statement Information Internal uses: –performance evaluation –planning for the future External uses: –evaluation by outside parties –evaluation of main competitors –identifying potential takeover targets M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1965 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Benchmarks for Comparison Ratios are most useful when compared to a benchmark. Time-trend analysis—examine how a particular ratio(s) has performed historically. Peer group analysis—using similar firms (competitors) for comparison of results. Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) used by ASX is a useful way to find a peer company. Problems with Ratio Analysis No underlying theory to identify correct ratios to use or appropriate benchmarks. Benchmarking is difficult for diversified firms. Firms may use different accounting procedures. Firms may have different recording periods. One-off events can severely affect financial performance. Assume that: 1.Sales are projected to rise by 25 per cent 2.The debt/equity ratio stays at 2/3 3.Costs and assets grow at the same rate as sales Pro-Forma Financial Statements CHAPTER 4 LONG-TERM FINANCIAL PLANNING AND CORPORATE GROWTH What is Financial Planning? Formulates the way financial goals are to be achieved.Requires that decisions be made about an uncertain future.Recall that the goal of the firm is to maximise the market value of the owner’s equity—growth will result from this goal being achieved. Dimensions of Financial Planning The planning horizonis the long-range period that the process focuses on (usually two to five years).Aggregationis the process by which the smaller investment proposals of each of a firm’s operational units are added up and treated as one big project.Financial planning usually requires three alternative plans: a worst case, a normal case and a best case. Accomplishments of Planning Interactions—linkages between investment proposals and financing choices. Options—firm can develop, analyse and compare different scenarios. Avoiding surprises—development of contingency plans. Feasibility and internal consistency—develops a structure for reconciling different objectives. Elements of a Financial Plan An externally supplied sales forecast (either an explicit sales figure or growth rate in sales). Projected financial statements (pro-formas). Projected capital spending. Necessary financing arrangements. Amount of new financing required (‘plug’ figure). Assumptions about the economic environment. What is the plug? Notice that projected net income is $12.50, but equity only increases by $7.50. The difference, $5.00 paid out in cash dividends, is the plug. Percentage of Sales Approach A financial planning method in which accounts are varied depending on a firm’s predicted sales level. Dividend payout ratiois the amount of cash paid out to shareholders. Retention ratiois the amount of cash retained within the firm and not paid out as a dividend. Capital intensity ratiois the amount of assets needed to generate $1 in sales. Example—Financial Performance Statement Example—Pro-Forma Financial Performance Statement Example—A Simple Financial Planning Model Recent Financial Statements Example—Steps Use the original financial position statement to create a proforma; some items will vary directly with sales. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1966 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Calculate the projected addition to retained earnings and the projected dividends paid to shareholders. Calculate the capital intensity ratio. Example—Financial Position Statement Example—Results of Model The good news is that sales are projected to increase by 25 per cent.The bad news is that $535 of new financing is required.This can be achieved via short-term borrowing, long-term borrowing and new equity issues.The planning process points out problems and potential conflicts. Assume that $225 is borrowed via notes payable and $310 is borrowed via long-term debt. ‘Plug’ figure now distributed and recorded within the financial position statement. A new (complete) pro-forma financial position statement can be derived. Example—Pro-Forma Financial Position Statement Example—Partial Pro-Forma Financial Position Statement External Financing and Growth The higher the rate of growth in sales/assets, the greater the external financing needed (EFN).Need to establish a relationship between EFN and growth (g). M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1967 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Example—Statement of Financial Performance If the required increase in assets exceeds the internal funding available (that is, the increase in retained earnings), then the difference is the external financing needed(EFN). Example—External Financing Needed Increase in total assets= $1000 ×20%= $200 Addition to retained earnings = 0.14($500)(36%) ×1.20= $30 The firm needs an additional $200 in new financing. $30 can be raised internally. The remainder must be raised externally (external financing needed). Ratios Calculated p(profit margin)=14% R(retention ratio)=36% ROA (return on assets)=7% ROE (return on equity)= 12.7% D/E(debt/equity ratio)=.818 Growth Next year’s sales forecasted to be $600. Percentage increase in sales: Relationship Setting EFN to zero, gcan be calculated to be 2.56 per cent. This means that the firm can grow at 2.56 per cent with no external financing (debt or equity). Increase in Assets What level of asset investment is needed to support a given level of sales growth? Financial Policy and Growth The example so far sees equity increase (via retained earnings), debt remain constant and D/Edecline. For simplicity, assume that the firm is at full capacity. The indicated increase in assets required equals: If D/Edeclines, the firm has excess debt capacity. If the firm borrows up to its debt capacity, what growth can be achieved? A×g where A= ending total assets from the previous period How will the increase in assets be financed? Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR) The sustainable growth rateis the growth rate a firm can maintain given its debt capacity, ROE and retention ratio. Internal Financing Given a sales forecast and an estimated profit margin, what addition to retained earnings can be expected? This addition to retained earnings represents the level of internal financingthe firm is expected to generate over the coming period. Example—Sustainable Growth Rate Continuing from the previous example: The expected addition to retained earnings is: Where S= previous period’s sales g= projected increase in sales p= profit margin R= retention ratio External Financing Needed The firm can increase sales and assets at a rate of 4.82 per cent per year without selling any additional equity and without changing its debt ratio or payout ratio. Growth rate depends on four factors: –profitability (profit margin) M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1968 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) –dividend policy (dividend payout) –financial policy (D/Eratio) –asset utilisation (total asset turnover) Do you see any relationship between the SGR and the Du Pont identity? Summary of Growth Rates 1.Internal growth rate This growth rate is the maximum growth rate that can be achieved with no external debt or equity financing. 2.Sustainable growth rate The SGR is the maximum growth rate that can be achieved with no external equity financing while borrowing to maintain a constant D/Eratio. Important Questions It is important to remember that we are working with accounting numbers and we should ask ourselves some important questions as we go through the planning process. How does our plan affect the timing and risk of our cash flows? Does the plan point out inconsistencies in our goals? If we follow this plan, will we maximise owners’ wealth? CHAPTER 5 FIRST PRINCIPLES OF VALUATION : THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY –interest earned$33.10 Using simple interest, the total interest earned would only have been $30. The other $3.10 is from compounding.In general, the future value, FVt,of $1 invested today at r per cent for tperiods is: The expression (1 + r)tis the future value interest factor(FVIF). Example—Future Value of a Lump Sum Whatwill$1000amounttoinfiveyearstimeifinterestis12perce ntperannum,compoundedannually? From the example, now assume interest is 12 per cent per annum, compounded monthly.Always remember that tis the number of compounding periods, not the number of years. Interpretation The difference in values is due to the larger number of periods in which interest can compound.Future values also depend critically on the assumed interest rate—the higher the interest rate, the greater the future value. Future Values at Different Interest Rates Time Value Terminology Future value (FV) is the amount an investment is worth after one or more periods.Present value (PV) is the current value of one or more future cash flows from an investment. The number of time periods between the present value and the future value is represented by ‘t’.The rate of interest for discounting or compounding is called ‘r’.All time value questions involve four values: PV, FV, rand t. Given three of them, it is always possible to calculate the fourth. Interest Rate Terminology Simple interestrefers to interest earned only on the original capital investment amount.Compound interestrefers to interest earned on both the initial capital investment and on the interest reinvested from prior periods. Future Value of $1 for Different Periods and Rates Future Value of a Lump Sum You invest $100 in a savings account that earns 10 per cent interest per annum (compounded) for three years. After one year:$100 x(1 + 0.10) = $110 After two years: $110 x(1 + 0.10) = $121 After three years:$121 x(1 + 0.10) = $133.10 Future Value of a Lump Sum The accumulated value of this investment at the end of three years can be split into two components: –original principal$100 M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1969 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Given any three factors in the present value or future value equation, the fourth factor can be solved.r can be solved in one of three ways: Use a financial calculator Take the nthroot of both sides of the equation Use the future value tables to find a corresponding value. In this example, you need to find the rfor which the FVIF after 21 years is 5 (500/100). Present Value of a Lump Sum Youneed$1000inthreeyearstime.Ifyoucanearn10per Centperannum,howmuchdoyouneedtoinvestnow? Interpretation In general, the present value of $1 received in tperiods of time, earning per cent interest is: The Rule of 72 The ‘Rule of 72’ is a handy rule of thumb that states:If you earn r per cent per year, your money will double inabout 72/rper cent years.For example, if you invest at 6 per cent, your money will double in about 12 years.This rule is only an approximate rule. Future Value of Multiple Cash Flows The expression (1 + r)–tis the present value interest factor(PVIF). Example—Present Value of a Lump Sum Your rich grandmother promises to give you $10 000 in 10 yearstime. If interest rates are 12 per cent per annum, how much isthat gift worth today? You can solve by either: –compounding the accumulated balance forward one year at a time –calculating the future value of each cash flow first and then totalling them. Solutions Solution 1 –End of year 1:($1000 1.10) + $1500 =$2600 –End of year 2:($2600 1.10) + $2000 =$4860 –End of year 3:($4860 1.10) + $2500 =$ 846 Present Values at Different Interest Rates Solution 2 Present Value of $1 for RatesPresentvalueof $1 ($) Different Periods and Future value calculated by compounding forward one period at a timeTime(years) Future value calculated by compounding each cash flow separately (Calculation of FV for Multiple Cash Flow Stream) Solving for the Discount Rate You currently have $100 available for investment for a 21yrs period. At what interest rate must you invest this amount in order for it to be worth $500 at maturity? M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1970 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Present Value of Multiple Cash Flows You will deposit $1500 in one year’s time, $2000 in two years time and $2500 in three years time in an account paying 10 per cent interest per annum. What is the present value of these cash flows? Example 1 You will receive $500 at the end of each of the next five years. The current interest rate is 9 per cent per annum. What is the present value of this series of cash flows? You can solve by either: –discounting back one year at a time –calculating the present value of each cash flow first and then totalling them. Solution 1 Solution 2 Present value calculated by discounting each cash flow separately Example 2 You borrow $7500 to buy a car and agree to repay the loan by way of equal monthly repayments over five years. The current interest rate is 12 per cent per annum, compounded monthly. What is the amount of each monthly repayment? Future Value of an Annuity The compounding term is called the future valueinterest factor for annuities (FVIFA). Example : What is the future value of $200 deposited at theend of every year for 10 years if the interest rate is6 per cent per annum? Present value calculated by discounting back one period at a time Perpetuities The future value of a perpetuity cannot be calculated as the cash flows are infinite.The present value of a perpetuity is calculated as follows: Annuities An ordinary annuityis a series of equal cash flows that occur at the end of each period for some fixed number of periods.Examples include consumer loans and home mortgages.A perpetuityis an annuity in which the cash flows continue forever. Comparing Rates The nominal interest rate(NIR) is the interest rate expressed in terms of the interest payment made each period.The effective annual interest rate(EAR) is the interest rate expressed as if it was compounded once per year.When interest is compounded more frequently than annually, the EAR will be greater than the NIR. Present Value of an Annuity Calculation of EAR C= equal cash flow The discounting term is called the present value interest factor for annuities(PVIFA m = number of times the interest is compounded Comparing EARS Considerthefollowinginterestratesquotedbythreebanks: M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1971 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) –Bank A:15%, compounded daily –Bank B:15.5%, compounded quarterly –Bank C:16%, compounded annually Bond Yields Yield to maturityis the market interest rate that equates a bond’s present value of interest payments and principal repayment with its price.There is an inverse relationship between market interest rates and bond price. Bond Price Sensitivity to Interest Rates (YTM) Which is the best rate? For a saver, Bank B offers the best (highest) interest rate. For a borrower, Bank C offers the best (lowest) interest rate.The highest NIR is not necessarily the best.Compounding during the year can lead to a significant difference between the NIR and the EAR. Types of Loans A pure discount loanis a loan where the borrower receives money today and repays a single lump sum in the future.An interest-only loan requires the borrower to only pay interest each period and to repay the entire principal at some point in the future.An amortised loanrequires the borrower to repay parts of both the principal and interest over time. Bond Value Amortisation of a Loan Example 1—Bond Value Example 2—Bond Value CHAPTER 6 VALUING SHARES AND BONDS Debt Securities Debt securities are issued when an organisation wishes to borrow money from the public on a long-term basis.Bonds are issued by the government.Debentures are secured and issued by a corporation.Notes are unsecured debt securities issued by a corporation.More recently, these are all known as bonds. Bond Features Coupon paymentsare the stated interest payments. Payment is constant and payable every year or halfyear.Face value(par value) is the principal amount repayable at the end of the term.Coupon rateis the annual coupon divided by the face value.Maturityis the specified date at which the principal amount is payable. Interest Rate Risk Interestrateriskistheriskthatarisesforbondholdersfromchang esininterestrates.All other things being equal, the longer the time to maturity, the greater the interest rate risk.All other things being equal, the lower the coupon rate, the greater the interest rate risk. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1972 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Interest Rate Risk and Time to Maturity Example—Constant Growth Dividend Company XYZ has just paid a dividend of 15 cents per share, which is expected to grow at 5 per cent per annum. What price should you pay for the share if the required rate of return on the investment is 10 per cent? Non-constant Growth Dividend The growth rate cannot exceed the required rate of return indefinitely but can do so for a number of years.Allows for ‘super normal’ growth rates over some finite length of time.The dividends have to grow at a constant rate at some point in the future. Computing Yield to Maturity Yield to maturity (YTM) is the rate implied by the current bond price.Finding the YTM requires trial and error if you do not have a financial calculator and is similar to the process for finding rwith an annuity.If you have a financial calculator, enter N, PV, PMT and FV, remembering the sign convention (PMT and FV need to have the same sign, PV the opposite sign). Example—Non-constant Growth Dividend A company has just paid a dividend of 15 cents per share and that dividend is expected to grow at a rate of 20 per cent per annum for the next three years, and at a rate of 5 per cent per annum forever after that.Assuming a required rate of return of 10 per cent, calculate the current market price of the share. Solution—Non-constant Growth Dividend YTM with Annual Coupons Ordinary Share Valuation Share valuation is more difficult than debenture valuation for a number of reasons: –uncertainty of promised cash flows –shares have no maturity –observing the market rate of return is not easy. The market value of a share is the present value of all expected net cash flows to be received from the share, discounted at a rate of return that reflects the riskiness of those cash flows.The expected net cash flows to be received from a share are all future dividends.Dividend growth is an important aspect of share valuation. Zero Growth Dividend Shares have a constant dividend into perpetuity, with no growth in dividends.The value of a share is then the same as the value of an ordinary perpetuity. Constant Growth Dividend Dividends grow at a constant rate each time period. Called the constant dividend growth model. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1973 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Share Price Sensitivity to Dividend Growth, g Net present value is a measure of how much value is created by undertaking an investment.Estimation of the future cash flows and the discount rate are important in the calculation of the NPV. Steps in calculating NPV: The first step is to estimate the expected future cash flows. The second step is to estimate the required return for projects of this risk level. The third step is to find the present value of the cash flows and subtract the initial investment. NPV Illustrated Share Price Sensitivity to Required Return, r An investment should be accepted if the NPV is positive and rejected if it is negative.NPV is a direct measure of how well the investment meets the goal of financial management—to increase owners’ wealth.A positive NPV means that the investment is expected to add value to the firm. Components of Required Return Payback Period The amount of time required for an investment to generate cash flows to recover its initial cost.Estimate the cash flows.Accumulate the future cash flows until they equal the initial investment.The length of time for this to happen is the payback period.An investment is acceptable if its calculated payback is less than some prescribed number of Payback Period Illustrated CHAPTER 7 NET PRESENT VALUE AND OTHER INVESTMENT CRITERIA Net Present Value (NPV) Net present valueis the difference between an investment’s market value (in today’s dollars) and its cost (also in today’s dollars). Advantages of Payback Period Easy to understand. Adjusts for uncertainty of later cash flows. Biased towards liquidity. Disadvantages of Payback Period Time value of money and risk ignored. Arbitrary determination of acceptable payback period. Ignores cash flows beyond the cut-off date. Biased against long-term and new projects. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1974 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Discounted Payback Period The length of time required for an investment’s discounted cash flows to equal its initial cost.Takes into account the time value of money.More difficult to calculate.An investment is acceptable if its discounted payback is less than some prescribed number of years. A project is accepted if ARR > target average accounting return. Example—ARR Example—Discounted Payback Assume initial investment = $240 Discounted payback period is just under three years Ordinary and Discounted Payback Disadvantages of ARR The measure is not a ‘true’ reflection of return. Time value is ignored. Arbitrary determination of target average return. Uses profit and book value instead of cash flow and market value. Ordinary payback? Discounted payback? Advantages and Disadvantages of Discounted Payback Advantages -Includes time value of money -Easy to understand -Does not accept negative estimated NPV investments -Biased towards liquidity Disadvantages -May reject positive NPV investments -Arbitrary determination of acceptable payback period -Ignores cash flows beyond the cutoff date -Biased against long-term and new products Advantages of ARR Easy to calculate and understand. Accounting information almost always available. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) The discount rate that equates the present value of the future cash flows with the initial cost.Generally found by trial and error.A project is accepted if its IRR is > the required rate of return.The IRR on an investment is the required return that results in a zero NPV when it is used as the discount rate. Example—IRR Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) Measure of an investment’s profitability. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1975 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) at 33.33%:NPV =0 at 42.86%:NPV =0 at 66.67%:NPV =0 Two questions: 1.What’s going on here? 2.How many IRRs can there be? Multiple Rates of Return IRR and Non-conventional Cash Flows When the cash flows change sign more than once, there is more than one IRR.When you solve for IRR you are solving for the root of an equation and when you cross the xaxis more than once, there will be more than one return that solves the equation.If you have more than one IRR, you cannot use any of them to make your decision. Problems with IRR More than one negative cash flow multiple rates of return. Project is not independent mutually exclusive investments.Highest IRR does not indicate the best project. IRR, NPV and Mutually-exclusive Projects Advantages of IRR Popular in practice Does not require a discount rate Multiple Rates of Return Assume you are considering a project forwhich the cash flows are as follows: What’s the IRR? Find the rate at whichthe computed NPV = 0: at 25.00%:NPV =0 Present Value Index (PVI) M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1976 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Expresses a project’s benefits relative to its initial cost. Accept a project with a PVI > 1.0. Example—PVI Assume you have the following information on Project X: Initial investment = –$1100 . Required return = 10%. Annual cash revenues and expenses are as follows: Stand-aloneprinciple:wecanevaluatetheprojectonitsown. Types of Cash Flows Sunk costs a cost that has already been incurred and cannot be removed incremental cash flow Opportunity costs the most valuable alternative that is given up by the investment = incremental cash flow Side effects erosion = incremental cash flow Financing costs incorporated in discount rate incremental cash flow Always use after-tax incremental cash flow Investment Evaluation Step1Calculatethetaxableincome. Step2Calculatethecashflows. Step3Discountthecashflows. Step4Decision. Is this a good project? If so, why? This is a good project because the present value of the inflows exceeds the outlay. Each dollar invested generates $1.1645 in value or $0.1645 in NPV. Example—Investment Evaluation Purchase price $42 000 Salvage value $1000 at end of Year 3 Net cash flows Year 1 $31 000 Year 2 $25 000 Year 3 $20 000 Tax rate is 30% Depreciation 20% reducing balance Required rate of return 12% Advantages and Disadvantages of PVI (and NPVI) Advantages -Closely related to NPV, generally leading to identical decisions. -Easy to understand. -May be useful when available investment funds are limited. Disadvantages -May lead to incorrect decisions in comparisons of mutually exclusive investments. Solution—Taxable Income Capital Budgeting in Practice We should consider several investment criteria when making decisions.NPV and IRR are the most commonly used primary investment criteria.Payback is a commonly used secondary investment criteria. CHAPTER 8 Solution—Cash Flows MAKING CAPITAL INVESTMENTS DECISIONS BASED ON CASHFLOW Incremental Cash Flows Theonlyrelevantcashflowsincapitalprojectevaluation. Solution—NPV and Decision M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1977 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Interest As the project’s NPV is positive, the cash flows from the investment will cover interest costs (as long as the interest cost is less than the required rate of return).Interest costs should not therefore be included as an explicit cash flow.Interest costs are included in the required rate of return (discount rate) used to evaluate the project Depreciation The depreciation expense used for capital budgeting should be the depreciation schedule required for tax purposes.Depreciation itself is a non-cash expense; consequently, it is only relevant because it affects taxes.Prime cost vs diminishing value methods Depreciation tax shield = DT -D = depreciation expense -T = marginal tax rate Disposal of Assets If the salvage value > book value, a profit/gain is made on disposal. This profit/gain is subject to tax (excess depreciation in previous periods). If the salvage value < book value, the ensuing loss on disposal is a tax deduction (insufficient depreciation in previous periods). Capital Gains Capital gains made on the sale of assets such as rental property are subject to taxation.Capital losses are not a tax deduction but can be offset against future capital gains Example—Incremental Cash Flows A firm is currently considering replacing a machine purchased two years ago with an original estimated useful life of five years. The replacement machine has an economic life of three years. Other relevant data is summarised below: Solution—NPV and Decision Decision: NPV < 0, therefore REJECT. Setting the Bid Price How to set the lowest price that can be profitably charged.Cash outflows are given.Determine cash inflows that result in zero NPV at the required rate of return.From cash inflows, calculate sales revenue and price per unit. Setting the Option Value Option value =Asset value ×Probability of the Value–Present value of the exercise price ×Probability the exercise price will be paid. Annual Equivalent Cost (AEC) When comparing two mutually-exclusive projects with different lives, it is necessary to make comparisons over the same time period.AEC is the present value of each project’s costs to infinity calculated on an annual basis.Select the project with the lowest AEC. Example—AEC Project A costs $3000 and then $1000 per annum for the next four years.Project B costs $6000 and then $1200 for the next eight years.Required rate of return for both projects is 10 per cent.Which is the better project? Solution—Project A Solution—Taxable Income Solution—Project B Solution—Cash Flows M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1978 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) The base case NPV is then: NPV = – $20 000 + ($11 000 × 3.3522) = $16 874 Fairways Example—Scenario Analysis Inputs for scenario analysis: Base case: Rentals are 20 000 buckets p.a., variable costs are 10 per cent of rental income, fixed costs are $40 000, depreciation is $4000 p.a. Solution—Interpretation Project A is better because it costs $1946 per year compared to Project B’s $2325 per year. CHAPTER 9 PROJECT ANALYSIS AND EVALUATION Best case: Rentals are 25 000 buckets p.a., variable costs are 8 per cent of rental income, fixed costs are $40 000, depreciation is $4000 p.a. Worst case: Rentals are 18 000 buckets p.a., variable costs are 12 per cent of rental income, fixed costs are $40 000, depreciation is $4000 p.a. Evaluating NPV Estimates The basic problem: How reliable is our NPV estimate? Projected cash flows are based on a distribution of possible outcomes each period: resulting in an ‘average’ cash flow.Forecasting risk: the possibility of an incorrect decision due to errors in cash flow projections (GIGO system). Ask: What sources of value create the estimated NPV? Fairways Example—Scenario Analysis Inputs for sensitivity analysis: Base case: Rentals are 20 000 buckets p.a., variable costs are 10 per cent of rental income, fixed costs are $40 000, depreciation is $4000 p.a. Scenario and Other ‘What If’ Analysis Base case estimation Estimated NPV based on initial cash flow projections. Best case: Rentals are 25 000 buckets p.a. All other variables are unchanged. Scenario analysis Examine effect on NPV of best-case and worst-case scenarios. Worst case: Rentals are 18 000 buckets p.a. All other variables are unchanged. Fairways Example—Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity analysis Examine effect on NPV by changing only one input variable. Simulation analysis Vary several input variables simultaneously to construct a distribution of possible NPV estimates. Fairways Driving Range Example Fairways Driving Range expects annual rentals to be 20 000 buckets at $3 per bucket. Equipment costs $20 000 and is depreciated using the straight-line method over five years to a zero salvage value. Variable costs are 10 per cent of rentals income and fixed costs are $40 000 per year. Assume no increase in working capital and no additional capital outlays. The required rate of return is 15 per cent and the tax rate is 30 per cent. Fairways Example—Net Profit Estimated annual cash flow: $10 000 + $4000 – $3000 = $11 000 At 15%, the 5-year annuity factor is 3.3522. Break-even Analysis Useful for analysing the relationship between sales volume and profitability.Break-even point is the sales volume at which the present value of the project’s cash inflows and outflows are equal NPV = 0. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1979 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Important distinction between variable costs and fixed costs.Accounting break-even is the sales volume that results in a zero net profit. Solve algebraically for break-even quantity (Q): Fixed and Variable Costs There are two types of costs that are important in breakeven analysis: variable and fixed. -Variable costs change when the quantity of output changes -Total variable costs= quantity ×cost per unit -Fixed costs are constant, regardless of output, over some time period -Total Costs = fixed + variable = FC + Vq Example: Your firm pays $3000 per month in fixed costs. You also pay $15per unit to produce your product. (Total cost if you produce 1000 units = 3000 + 15(1000) = 18 000) (Total cost if you produce 5000 units = 3000 + 15(5000) = 78 000) Average versus Marginal Cost Average Cost -TC/number of units -Will decrease as number of units increases Marginal Cost -The cost to produce one more unit -Same as variable cost per unit Example: What is the average cost and marginal cost under each situation in the previous example? -Produce 1000 units: Average = 18 000/1000 = $18 -Produce 5000 units: Average = 78 000/5000 = $15.60 If sales do not reach 16 296 buckets, Fairways willincur losses in both the accounting sense and thefinancial sense. Accounting of Break-even Point Generalexpression Q= (FC + D)/(P–v) where: Q=totalunitssold FC=totalfixedcosts D=depreciation P=priceperunit V=variablecostperunit Using Accounting Break-even Accounting break-even is often used as an early-stage screening number.If a project cannot break even on an accounting basis, then it is not going to be a worthwhile project.Accounting break-even gives managers an indication of how a project will impact accounting profit. Summary of Break-even Measures Fairways Example—Accounting Break-even Analysis Fairways Example—Break-even Measures M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1980 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Operating Leverage The degree to which a firm is committed to its fixed costs. The higher the degree of operating leverage, the greater the danger from forecasting risk.The lower the degree of operating leverage, the lower the break-even point.DOL depends on the current sales level. Fairways Example—DOL Let Q = 20 000 buckets and, ignoring taxes, OCF = $14 000 and FC = $40 000. A 10 per cent increase (decrease) in quantity sold will result in a 38.57 per cent increase (decrease) in OCF. Note: Higher DOL equals greater volatility (risk) in OCF and leverage is a two-edged sword—sales decreases will be magnified as much as increases. Percentage Return Example Per dollar invested we get 5 cents in dividends and 9 cents in capital gains—a total of 14 cents or a return of 14 per cent. Percentage Returns Managerial Options and Capital Budgeting A static DCF analysis ignores management’s ability to modify the project as events occur. Contingency planning The option to expand. The option to abandon. The option to wait. Strategic options 1. ‘Toe hold’ investments. 2. Research and development. Capital Rationing A condition which prevents management from undertaking all acceptable projects because of a shortage of funds. 1. Soft rationing occurs when management limits the amount that can be invested in new projects during some specified time period. 2. Hard rationing occurs when the firm is unable to raise the financing for a project. CHAPTER 10 Inflation and Returns Real return is the return after taking out the effects ofinflation. Real return shows the percentage change in buying power. Nominal return is the return before taking out the effects ofinflation. The Fisher effect explores the relationship between real SOME LESSONS FROM CAPITAL MARKET HISTORY Dollar Returns The gain (or loss) from an investment.Made up of two components: 1. income (e.g. dividends, interest payments) 2. capital gain (or loss). Not necessary to sell investment to include capital gain or loss in return. Average Equivalent Returns & Risk Premiums 1978–2002 Percentage Returns M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1981 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Average Returns: The First Lesson Risky assets on average earn a risk premium (i.e. there is a reward for bearing risk). Frequency of Returns on Ordinary Shares 1978–2002 The Normal Distribution Variance Measure of variability. The mean of the squared deviations from the average return. Example—Variance ABC Co. have experienced the following returns in the last five years: Variability: The Second Lesson The greater the risk, the greater the potential reward.This lesson holds over the long term but may not be valid for the short term. Capital Market Efficiency The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) asserts that the price of a security accurately reflects all available information.Implies that all investments have a zero NPV.Implies also that all securities are fairly priced.If this is true then investors cannot earn ‘abnormal’ or ‘excess’ returns. Price Behaviour in Efficient andInefficient Markets Calculate the average return and the standard deviation. The Historical Record Conclusion: Historically, the riskier the asset, thegreater the return. What Makes Markets Efficient? There are many investors out there doing research:As new information comes into the market, this information is analysed and trades are made based on this information.Therefore, prices should reflect all available public information.If investors stop researching stocks, then the market will not be efficient. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1982 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Common misconceptions about EMH Efficient markets do not mean that you can’t make money.They do mean that, on average, you will earn a return that is appropriate for the risk undertaken and that there is not a bias in prices that can be exploited to earn excess returns.Market efficiency will not protect you from making the wrong choices if you do not diversify—you still don’t want to put all your eggs in one basket Price Behaviour in Efficient and Inefficient Markets Efficient market reaction: The price instantaneously adjusts to and fully reflects new information. There is no tendency for subsequent increases and decreases. Delayed reaction: The price partially adjusts to the new information. Several days elapse before the price completely reflects the new information. Overreaction: The price over-adjusts to the new information. It ‘overshoots’ the new price and subsequently corrects itself. Example—Calculating Variance Example—Expected Return and Variance Forms of Market Efficiency Weak form efficiency: Current prices reflect information contained in the past series of prices. Semi-strong form efficiency: Current prices reflect all publicly available information. Strong form efficiency: Current prices reflect all information of every kind. CHAPTER 11 RISK AND RETURN TRADE OFF Expected Return and Variance 1. Expected return—the weighted average of the distribution of possible returns in the future. 2. Variance of returns—a measure of the dispersion of the distribution of possible returns. 3. Rational investors like return and dislike risk. Example—Calculating Expected Return Portfolios A portfolio is a collection of assets.An asset’s risk and return is important in how it affects the risk and return of the portfolio.The risk–return trade-off for a portfolio is measured by the portfolio’s expected return and standard deviation, just as with individual assets. Portfolio Expected Returns The expected return of a portfolio is the weighted average of the expected returns for each asset in the portfolio. You can also find the expected return by finding the portfolio return in each possible state and computing the expected value as we did with individual securities. Example—Portfolio Return andVariance Assume 50 per cent of portfolio in asset A and50 per cent in asset B. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1983 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Example—Portfolio Return and Variance . The Effect of Diversification onPortfolio Variance Diversification The process of spreading investments across different assets, industries and countries to reduce risk. Total risk = systematic risk + non-systematic risk Non-systematic risk can be eliminated by diversification; systematic risk affects all assets and cannot be diversified away. The Principle of Diversification Diversification can substantially reduce the variability of returns without an equivalent reduction in expected returns.This reduction in risk arises because worse than expected returns from one asset are offset by better than expected returns from another.However, there is a minimum level of risk that cannot be diversified away and that is the systematic portion. Announcements, Surprises and Expected Returns Key Issues What are the components of the total return? What are the different types of risk? Portfolio Diversification Expected and Unexpected Returns Total return (R) = expected return (E(R))+ unexpected return (U) Announcements and News Announcement = expected part + surprise It is the surprise component that affects a stock’s price and, therefore, its return. Risk Systematic risk: that component of total risk which is due to economy-wide factors. Non-systematic risk: that component of total risk which is unique to an asset or firm. Standard Deviations of Monthly Portfolio Returns Systematic Risk The systematic risk principle states that the expected return on a risky asset depends only on the asset’s systematic risk. The amount of systematic risk in an asset relative to an average risky asset is measured by the beta coefficient. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1984 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Beta Security A Security B Std 30% 10% Deviation 0.60 1.20 Security A has greater total risk but less systematic risk (more non-systematic risk) than Security B. Measuring Systemic Risk What does beta tell us? -A beta of 1 implies the asset has the same systematic risk as the overall market. -A beta < 1 implies the asset has less systematic risk than the overall market. -A beta > 1 implies the asset has more systematic risk than the overall market. Beta Coefficients for Selected Companies Return, Risk and Equilibrium Key issues: What is the relationship between risk and return? What does security market equilibrium look like? The ratio of the risk premium to beta is the same for every asset. In other words, the reward-to-risk ratio for the market is constant and equal to: Example—Asset Pricing Asset A has an expected return of 12 per cent and a beta of 1.40. Asset B has an expected return of 8 per cent and a beta of 0.80. Are these two assets valued correctly relative to each other if the risk-free rate is 5 per cent? Asset B offers insufficient return for its level of risk, relative to A. B’s price is too high; therefore, it is overvalued (or A is undervalued). Example—Portfolio Beta Calculations Security Market Line The security market line (SML) is the representation of market equilibrium.The slope of the SML is the reward-torisk ratio: (E(RM) –Rf)/ßM But since the beta for the market is ALWAYS equal to one, the slope can be rewritten.Slope = E(RM) –Rf = market risk premium Example—Portfolio Expected Returns and Betas Assume you wish to hold a portfolio consisting of asset A and a riskless asset. Given the following information, calculate portfolio expected returns and portfolio betas, letting the proportion of funds invested in asset A range from 0 to 125 per cent.Asset A has a beta of 1.2 and an expected return of 18 per cent.The risk-free rate is 7 per cent.Asset A weights: 0 per cent, 25 per cent, 50 per cent, 75 per cent, 100 per cent and 125 per cent. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) An equilibrium model of the relationship between risk and return. What determines an asset’s expected return? –The risk-free rate—the pure time value of money. –The market risk premium—the reward for bearing systematic risk. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1985 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) –The beta coefficient—a measure of the amount of systematic risk present in a particular asset. CHAPTER 12 CURRENT INVESTMENTS DECISIONS Calculation of Systematic Risk Where: Cov = covariance i = random distribution of return for asset i M = random distribution of return for the market R Covariance and Correlation The covariance term measures how returns change together—measured in absolute terms.The correlation coefficient measures how returns change together— measured in relative terms. Current Investment Decisions Involve the administration of the company’s current assets (cash and marketable securities, receivables and inventory), and the financing needed to support these assets. Problems in using discounted cash flow techniques to evaluate these decisions: 1. identification of all relevant cash inflows and outflows 2. determining the size and timing of these cash flows 3. determining the correct discount rate. Operating Cycle versus Cash Cycle Operating cycle—the time period between the acquisition of inventory and the collection of cash from receivables. Operating cycle = Inventory period + A/cs receivable period Security Market Line versus Capital Cash cycle—the time period between the outlay of cash for purchases and the collection of cash from receivables. Cash cycle = Operating cycle – A/cs payable period Cash Flow Time Line SML explains the expected return for all assets. CML explains the expected return for efficient portfolios. Risk of a Portfolio Variance of a two-asset portfolio is calculated as: weighted variance of the expected return foreach asset in the portfolio+twice the weighted covariance of the expectedreturn on the first asset with the expectedreturn on the second Example—Risk of a Portfolio Example—Operating Cycle The following information has been provided for Overcredit Co.: Problems with CAPM Difficulties in estimating beta -thin trading -non-constant beta Sales for the year were $510 000 (assume all credit) and the cost of goods sold was $350 000.Calculate the operating cycle and cash cycle. Using CAPM -adding explanatory variables -measure of market return M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1986 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Financing of current assets -Flexible policy—less short-term debt and more long-term debt -Restrictive policy—more short-term debt and less longterm debt The size of the firm’s investment in current assets is determined by its short-term financial policies. Flexible policy actions include: 1. keeping large cash and securities balances 2. keeping large amounts of inventory 3. granting liberal credit terms. Restrictive policy actions include: keeping low cash and securities balances keeping small amounts of inventory allowing few or no credit sales. Costs of Investments Need to manage the trade-off between carrying costs and shortage costs. Carrying costs increase with the level of investment in current assets, and include the costs of maintaining economic value and opportunity costs. Shortage costs decrease with increases in the level of investment in current assets, and include trading costs and the costs related to being short of the current asset. For example, sales lost as a result of a shortage of finished goods inventory. Carrying Costs and Shortage Costs Example—cash cycle Short-term Financial Policy Size of investments in current assets -Flexible policy—maintain a high ratio of current assets to sales -Restrictive policy—maintain a low ratio of current assets to sales M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1987 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) EOQ Example With Quantity Discounts Smile Camera Shop is offered a 2-cent-per-roll discount if 2000–3500 rolls of film are ordered, and a 3-cent-per-roll discount if more than 3500 rolls are ordered at a time. Determine the optimal order quantity. Calculate the total cost for each quantity: Smile Camera Shop would be better off purchasing in lots of 2000 Inventory Management Under Uncertainty Inventory management requires two decisions: 1. quantity to be ordered 2. reorder point Safety stock is the additional inventory held when demand is uncertain so as to reduce the probability of a stock out.Reorder point takes into account the lead time from placement of an order to receipt of the goods. EOQ Example Under Uncertainty Smile Camera Shop’s EOQ (with quantity discounts)is 2000 rolls of film and five orders are placed eachyear. Determine the reorder point if it takes 30 daysto fill an order, a safety stock of 100 is desired anddaily usage is 30 rolls. The Inventory Model The economic quantity (EOQ) is the optimal quantity of inventory ordered that minimises the costs of purchasing and holding the inventory. Where TC = total cost X = order size EOQ = economic order qty A = acquisition costs Y = total demand C = carrying costs P = price per unit Example—EOQ Smile Camera Shop sells 10 000 rolls of film per year, each with a wholesale price of $3.20. The cost of processing each order placed is $10.00 and carrying costs are 20 cents per roll per year. Calculate the EOQ. Cash Budget Forecast of cash receipts and disbursements over the next short-term planning period.Primary tool in short-term financial planning. ItsHelps determine when the firm should experience cash surpluses and when it will need to borrow to cover working-capital costs.Allows a company to plan ahead and begin the search for financing before the money is actually needed. Example—Cash Budget Projected sales for the first six months of 2004: Jan. $130 000 Apr. $140 000 M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1988 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Feb. $125 000 May $155 000 Mar. $145 000 Jun. $145 000 Analysis of collection of accounts receivable: collected in month of sale 20% collected in month following sale 60% collected in second month following sale 20% Actual sales for November and December were $125 000 and $120 000 respectively. Wages and other expenses are 30 per cent of total monthly sales.Purchases are 50 per cent of the month’s estimated sales, all paid for in the month of purchase.Monthly interest payments are $15 000 (interest rate is 1.5 per cent per month).An annual dividend of $60 000 is payable in March.The beginning cash balance is $30 000.The minimum cash balance is $20 000. Cash Collections CHAPTER 13 CASH AND LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT Cash Disbursements Reasons for Holding Cash Speculative motive—the need to hold cash to take advantage of additional investment opportunities, such as bargain purchases. Precautionary motive—the need to hold cash as a safety margin to act as a financial reserve. Cash Budget Transaction motive—the need to hold cash to satisfy normal disbursement and collection activities associated with a firm’s ongoing operations. Compensating balance requirements—cash balances kept at commercial banks to compensate for banking services the firm receives. Target Cash Balance Key Issues: What is the trade-off between carrying a large cash balance versus a small cash balance? That is, carrying costs versus shortage costs. Short-term Financial Planning What is the proper management of the cash balance? BAT model versus Miller–Orr model The BAT Model M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1989 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Example—Miller–Orr Model Assume L = $0, F = $10, i = 0.5 per cent per month andthe standard deviation of monthly cash flows is $2000. Assumptions -Cash is spent at the same rate every day -Cash expenditures are known with certainty Optimal cash balance is where opportunity cost of holding cash ([C/2]*R) = trading cost ([T/C]*F): F = fixed cost of making a securities trade to replenish cash T = total amount of new cash needed for transactions purposes over the relevant planning period R = the opportunity cost of holding cash (the interest rate on marketable securities) Miller–Orr Model Assumes that, if left unmanaged, a company’s cash balance would follow a random walk with zero drift.Cash balance is allowed to wander freely between an upper limit (U*) and a lower limit (L).If cash holdings reach U*, management intervenes by withdrawing U* – C* dollars to return the cash balance to the target level C*.If cash balance reaches L,management intervenes by injecting C* – L dollars to return the cash balance to the target level C*. Miller–Orr Model Implications Considers the effect of uncertainty (through 2 in net cash flows). The higher the 2, the greater the difference between C* and L.The higher the 2, the higher is the upper limit and the average cash balance. All things being equal: 1. the greater the interest rate, the lower is the C* 2. the greater the order costs, the higher is the C*. Miller–Orr Model With Overdraft Yield on short-term investments < cost of bank overdraft < yield on long-term investments.A dollar invested in shortterm assets earns less than the costs saved by applying that dollar to reduce overdraft usage.The company invests nothing in short-term assets and as much as possible in long-term assets, while meeting its liquidity needs through using the overdraft facility. Understanding Float What is float? The difference between book cash and bank cash, representing the net effect of cheques in the process of being cleared. U* is the upper control limit. L is the lower control limit. The targetcash balance is C*. As long as cash is between L and U*, notransaction is made. Types of float: Disbursement float—the result of cheques written; decreases book balance but does not immediately change available balance. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1990 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Collection float—the result of cheques received; increases book balance but does not immediately change available balance. Net float—the overall difference between the firm’s available balance and its book balance. Float Management Objectives: 1. In cash collection—speed up cheque collections (reduce float components). 2. In cash disbursement—control payments and minimise costs (increase float components). Components of float: 1. Mail float—cheques trapped in postal system. 2. Processing float—until receiver of cheque deposits cheque. 3. Availability float—until cheque clears in the banking system. Mail float + processing float + availability float = total time delay. Short-term Securities Characteristics of short-term securities include: 1. Maturity maturities usually less than 90 days. Investments then avoid interest rate risk but have low returns. 2. Default risk idle cash generally invested in less risky securities (e.g. government issues). 3. Marketability idle funds usually invested in highly liquid securities. Investing Cash Temporary Cash Surpluses -Seasonal or cyclical activities—buy marketable securities with seasonal surpluses, convert securities back to cash when deficits occur. -Planned or possible expenditures—accumulate marketable securities in anticipation of upcoming expenses. Financing Seasonal or Cyclical Activities Measuring and Costing the Float The cost of collection float to the firm is theopportunity cost from not being able to use thatcash. Managing the Float Factoring—the selling of receivables to a financial institution (the factor), usually ‘without recourse’.Credit insurance—protection against the risk of bad debt losses.Delaying disbursements—increases the disbursement float. Investing Idle Cash Temporary cash surpluses can be invested in marketable securities.Temporary cash deficits—sell marketable securities or use short-term bank financing.The temporary surpluses/deficits are a result of: –seasonal or cyclical activities –planned or possible expenditures. Regulation of Financial Intermediaries The Securities Markets Regulation of Financial Intermediaries M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1991 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Terminology to know: Cost of the Credit 2/10, net 30 = buyer pays in 10 days to get a 2 per cent discount, or within 30 days for no discount.Buyer has an order for $1500 and ignores the credit period gives up $30 discount. The benefit obviously lies in paying early CHAPTER 14 CREDIT MANAGEMENT Components of Credit Policy Terms of sale : The conditions on which a firm sells its goods and services for cash or credit. Credit analysis : The process of determining the probability that customers will not pay. Collection policy : Procedures that are followed by a firm in collecting accounts receivable. Accounts receivable = Average daily sales × average collection period Credit Policy Effects Revenue effects—Payment is received later, but price and quantity sold may increase . Cost effects—Cost of sale is still incurred even though the cash from the sale has not been received. The cost of debt—The firm must finance receivables and, therefore, incur financing costs. The probability of non-payment—The firm always gets paid if it sells for cash, but risks losses due to customer default if it sells on credit. The cash discount—Discounts induce buyers to pay early; the size of the discount affects payment patterns and amounts. Evaluating a Proposed Credit Policy P= price per unit Q’= new quantity expected to be sold v= variable cost per unit Q = current quantity sold per period R= periodic required return The benefitof switching is the changein cash flow: Terms of the Sale Credit period : The length of time that credit is granted, usually between 30 and 120 days. Cash discount : A discount that is given for a cash purchase to speed up the collection of receivables. Credit instrument : Evidence of indebtedness such as an invoice or promissory note. Length of the Credit Period Factors that influence the length of the credit period include: o buyer’s inventory period and operating cycle o perishability and collateral value of goods o consumer demand for the product o cost, profitability and standardisation o credit risk of the buyer o the size of the account o competition in the product market o customer type. Evaluating a Proposed Credit Policy The present value of switching is: PV = [(P – v) × (Q’ – Q)]/R The cost of switching is the amount uncollected for the period plus the additional variable costs of production: Cost = PQ + v(Q’ – Q) And the NPV of the switch is: NPV = –[PQ + v(Q’ – Q)] + [(P – v)(Q’ – Q)]/R Example—Evaluating a Proposed Credit Policy ABC Co. is thinking of changing from a cash-only policy to a ‘net 30 days on sales’ policy. The company has estimated the following: P = $55 v = $32 Q = 160 Q’ = 175 R = 2% Solution M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1992 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) As the NPV of the change is negative, ABC Co.should not switch. The Costs of Granting Credit Opportunity costs are lost sales from refusing credit. These costs go down when credit is granted.Carrying costs are the cash flows that must be incurred when credit is granted. They are positively related to the amount of credit extended. 1. The required return on receivables. 2. The losses from bad debts. 3. The costs of managing credit and credit collections. Optimal Credit Policy Break-even Point The switch is a good idea as long as thecompany can sell an additional 7.87 units. Discounts and Default Risk ABC Co. currently has a cash price of $55 per unit. If the company extends the 30 day credit policy, the price will increase to $56 per unit on credit sales. ABC Co. expects 0.5 per cent of credit to go uncollected (). All other information remains unchanged. Should the company switch to the credit policy? Credit Analysis Process of deciding which customers receive credit. One-time sale—risk is variable cost only. Repeat customers—benefit is gained from one-time sale in perpetuity. Grant credit to almost all customers onceas long as variable cost is low relative to price (high markup). The Five Cs of Credit Character : Customer’s willingness to pay. Capacity : Customer’s ability to pay. Capital : Financial reserves/borrowing capacity. Collateral : Pledged assets. Conditions : Relevant economic conditions. Collection Policy Monitoring receivables: - Keep an eye on average collection period relative to your credit terms. Ageing schedule—compilation of accounts receivable by the age of each account; used to determine the percentage of payments that are being made late. Discounts and Default Risk NPV of changing credit terms: Collection procedures include: delinquency letters telephone calls employment of collection agency legal action. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1993 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) CHAPTER 15 SHORT-TERM FINANCING The Financial System Banks Trading banks includes activities such as deposits, loans, insurance, superannuation and stockbroking, usually through subsidiaries and affiliated companies. Retail banking involves transactions with the general public. Financial Markets Wholesale banking involves transactions with companies or businesses. Hold approximately 44 per cent of market share. Merchant Banks Primarily concerned with wholesale finance.Responsible for the development of CMTs, rebatable preference shares, the commercial bills market, the promissory note market, the currency hedge market and the unofficial deposit market.Activities now include ‘investment banking’.Market share has decreased dramatically since the 1980s, now approximately 5 per cent The Listed Market Superannuation and Life Insurance Companies Crucial for the saving and provision of funds for retirement (superannuation) or ‘one-off’ events such as death, disability or trauma (insurance).Diversified operations to include general insurance, short-term money market dealing and merchant banking.Hold approximately 30 per cent of market share. Finance Companies Initially responsible for the provision of hire purchase and instalment credit, financing of vehicles and home loans, lease financing and factoring.Funds obtained mainly Through the issue of debentures.Deregulation in 1980s led to many finance companies’ activities being absorbed by their large parent banks.Market share now only approximately 6 per cent. Financial Intermediaries Building Societies and Credit Unions Building societies : 1. Traditionally provide housing finance to small savers. 2. Diversified activities to include lending for other purposes. Credit unions Pool the funds of people with common interests to provide consumer-type financing and lending to ‘members’. Both have very small market share, totalling approximately 2 per cent. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1994 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Unit Trusts Pool funds of small investors with the aim of earning a greater return collectively than that achieved individually.Cash management trusts, equity trusts, property trusts, mortgage trusts Other Intermediaries Authorised foreign exchange dealers perform a full range of foreign exchange transactions. Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) and share brokers provide the medium for buying and selling shares and other listed securities. Friendly societies non-profit, state-controlled intermediaries for small groups to pool funds to be used for funerals, sickness or, simply, savings. Financing Policy for an ‘Ideal’ Economy CompromiseFinancing Policy Optimal Amount of Short-term Borrowing Factors to consider: Cash reserves—reducing the probability of financial distress vs investments in zero NPV securities. Maturity hedging—match maturity of asset with maturity of liability. Relative interest rates—cheaper to have short-term borrowing than long-term borrowing. Alternative Asset Financing Policies With a compromise policy, the firm keeps a reserve of iquidity which it uses to initially finance seasonal ariations in current asset needs. Short-term borrowing is used when the reserve is exhausted. Short-term Financing Used for: 1. Working capital requirements in the day-to-day operations of the business. 2. Transactions that are self-financing over short periods. Main providers are trading banks, merchant banks and finance companies. Short-term Financing Sources Overdrafts A credit arrangement where the bank permits the customer to draw more money from the bank account than has been put in it, up to an agreed limit.Repayable on demand although this is rarely required. Interest rate is variable and account balance fluctuates between positive (deposit) and negative (loan) over the business cycle. Short-term loans M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1995 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) An advance of funds made by a financial institution for a specific purpose, repayable over a fixed period. Transferable loan certificates Derivative debt products Short-term Financing Sources Bills of exchange 1. A negotiable instrument requiring the payment of a specific sum of money, either on demand or at a specified time. 2. Trade bills versus accommodation bills. 3. Three parties to a bill: drawer (borrower), acceptor (endorser) and payee (owner). 4. Discounted value (price) of a bill: Sources of Long-term Financing 1. Debentures—secure, fixed-term loan instruments issued by companies. 2. Secured notes—same as debentures with lower security. 3. Unsecured notes—shorter-term loans to a company offering no assets as security. 4. Convertible notes—debt that provides an option to convert to equity at maturity. 5. Fixed deposits—unsecured loans at fixed rates for definite terms. 6. Mortgages—the conveyance of property for the security of debt. 7. Eurobonds—unsecured fixed-interest borrowings denominated in a currency of a country other than its country of issue. 8. Eurocurrency FRNs—a foreign currency borrowing whose rates adjust to reflect market interest rates. 9. Leasing—purchaser of equipment leases the asset to another party. 10. Project financing—syndicate financing of very large (and expensive) projects. 11. Transferable loan certificates—marketable evidence of the existence of a debt. 12. Derivative debt products—instruments used to manage interest rate risk: 1. interest rate swaps 2. forward rate agreements (FRAs) 3. interest rate futures 4. options on futures contracts. Short-term Financing Sources Promissory notes A negotiable instrument whereby the borrower promises to repay the face value to the holder at maturity. .Different to bills of exchange because they are unsecured (no acceptor). Most borrowers are well-known large organisations. There is an active secondary market. Inventory loans A short-term loan used specifically to purchase inventory, including a blanket inventory lien, a trust receipt and field warehouse financing. Letters of credit Irrevocable and unconditional undertaking by a bank to repay a loan if the borrower defaults. Short-term eurocurrency funding Financing in a currency outside the country of issue. Factoring Selling of accounts receivables to a factor. CHAPTER 16 LONG-TERM FINANCING : AN INTRODUCTION What is Debt? An obligation to pay a specific amount of money to another party. Characteristics of debt: short-term vs long-term fixed vs floating interest rate loans secured vs unsecured domestic vs foreign Types of Long-term Debt Debentures Secured and unsecured notes Convertible notes Fixed deposit loans Mortgages Eurobonds Eurocurrency term loans Leasing Project finance Debt versus Equity Corporations try to create debt securities that are really equity to get the tax benefits of debt and the bankruptcy benefits of equity.Interest on debt is fully tax deductible, so the distinction is important for tax purposes.Hybrid securities have characteristics of both debt and equity: convertible notes subordinated debt preference shares. The Debenture Trust Deed Legal document binding the corporation and its creditors. Provisions in a trust deed include: 1. the basic terms of the issue 2. the amount of the debentures issued 3. property used as security 4. repayment arrangements 5. call provisions 6. any protective covenants. Debt Ratings Letter grades that designate investment quality.Assigned to a debt issue by independent rating agencies such as Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s.Long-term ratings range from Aaa to C; short-term ratings range from Prime-1 to Prime-3.Ratings relieve individual investors of the task of evaluating the investment quality of an issue. Different Types of Debentures 1. Zero coupon debentures—initially priced at a deep discount as they make no coupon payments. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1996 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) 2. Floating-rate debentures—coupon payments are tied to an interest rate index and are therefore adjustable. Usually contain a put provision, together with coupon ceilings and floors. 3. Income debentures—coupons dependent on company income. 4. Put debentures—holder can force the buy back of debt at a stated price. Securitisation The process of transforming financial institutions’ assets such as mortgages, into marketable securities, by pooling and selling the rights to the income streams. The call provision effectively costs $50. Solution—Debentures What is the NPV per debenture of the refunding if interest rates fall to 5 per cent? Advantages: Investor—negotiable security provides both regular income and final payout. Mortgage agency—conversion of an illiquid asset into a marketable security. As NPV is positive, refunding should commence. Debenture Refunding Process of replacing all or part of an issue of outstanding debentures.Used to refinance a higher-interest loan with a lower-interest one.Call provision allows a company to repurchase or ‘call’ part or all of the debt issue at stated prices over a specified period.Debtholders demand a coupon that exactly compensates them for the possibility of a call. Cost of call provision = Value of call position Example—Debentures Assume: Current interest rate on debentures is 10 per cent Probability of interest rate changes by the end of the year: — fall to 5 per cent (50 per cent probability) — rise to 15 per cent (50 per cent probability) Call premium = $20 Call period = by the end of the year Face value of debenture = $100 Debentures are perpetual Reasons for Issuing Callable Debentures Superior interest rate forecasting—company insiders may think they know more about interest rate decreases than debtholders. Taxes—call provisions provide tax advantages to both debtholders and the company. Future investment opportunities—allows the company to buy back debentures to take advantage of superior investment opportunities. Preference Shares 1. Shares with dividend priority over ordinary shares, normally with a fixed dividend rate, sometimes without voting rights. 2. Cumulative vs non-cumulative dividends. 3. Irredeemable vs redeemable shares. 4. Non-participating vs participating shares. Most preference shares issued are cumulative, irredeemable and non-participating. Solution—Debentures Market price of debenture (if not callable): Reasons for Issuing Preference Shares Redeemable preference shares can be used to enhance the balance sheet by increasing the equity base.As subordinate debt, they can be included in a bank’s capital base.They can be used to avoid the threat of bankruptcy that exists for debt.Companies unable to take advantage of the tax deductibility of debt favour preference shares.A means of raising equity without surrendering control. If issue is callable, what coupon (C) must beoffered? Ordinary Shares Equity without priority for dividends or in bankruptcy. This is higher than the non-callable coupon. What is the cost of the call provision? Types of companies: 1. companies limited by shares 2. companies limited by guarantee 3. companies limited by both shares and guarantee 4. unlimited companies 5. no liability companies. Shareholders’ Rights The right to share proportionally in dividends paid. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1997 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) The right to share proportionally in assets remaining after liabilities have been paid in liquidation. The right to elect the directors and to vote on important shareholder matters (one share = one vote). The right to share proportionally in any new shares sold (pre-emptive right). CHAPTER 17 ISSUING SECURITIES TO THE PUBLIC Dividends 1. Payment by a corporation to shareholders; made in either cash or shares. 2. The return on capital to shareholders. 3. They are not a liability of the company unless declared by the board of directors. 4. They are not a business expense and are therefore not tax deductible. 5. They are fully taxable in the hands of the shareholder. However, an imputation credit may be allowed. Issuing Securities to the Public Analyse funding needs and how they can be met. Approval from board of directors for a public issue. Outside expert opinions sought for support of issue. Pricing, time-tabling, prospectus prepared, marketing. Prospectus filed with ASIC and ASX. Underwriting agreement executed. Prospectus registered. Public announcement of offering. Funds received. Shares allotted, holdings registered. Shares listed for trading on ASX. Classes of Ordinary Shares Different classes of ordinary shares may be distinguished by: 1. voting rights 2. dividend entitlement 3. priority to dividend payment 4. priority to capital repayment and surplus asset distribution in the event of liquidation. New Issues Flotation is the initial offering of securities to the public. Primary issues used to: convert from a private company to a public company spin-off a portion of the business of a listed company form a new public company privatise a public organisation, or demutualise a mutual society. Reasons for different classes: debt characteristics for some shares retain control in small/newly listed firms taxation issues nature of company (e.g. home units). Size of the Capital Market Advantages of Public Company Listing 1. Access to additional capital.Increased negotiability of capital. 2. Growth not limited by cash resources. 3. Enhancement of corporate image. 4. Can attract and retain key personnel. 5. Gain independence from a spin-off. Disadvantages of Public Company Listing Dilution of control of existing owners. Additional responsibilities of directors. Greater disclosure of information. Explicit costs. Insider trading implications. Secondary Issues Private placements—securities are offered and sold to a limited number of investors who are often the current major investors in the business. Rights issues—issue of shares made to all existing shareholders, who are entitled to take up the new shares in proportion to their present holdings. Financial Distress The disadvantage of using debt is the possibility of financial distress, which can be defined as: o business failure o legal bankruptcy o technical insolvency -- accounting insolvency.. Terms are determined by: 1. amount of funds required by the company 2. the market price of the company’s securities 3. general economic conditions 4. desire to benefit shareholders 5. nature of the company’s shareholders Underwriting .Firm underwriting : A guarantee that funds will be made available to a company at a specific time on agreed terms and conditions. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1998 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Standby underwriting : Where the bidding company has insufficient cash in a successful bid or if cash is offered as an alternative to a share bid. Best efforts underwriting : Underwriter must use ‘best efforts’ to sell the securities at the agreed offering rate. Role of underwriter –pricing the issue –marketing the issue –engaging sub-underwriters –placing the shortfall Sub-underwriter –A group of underwriters formed to reduce the risk and to help to sell an issue. Underwriting Fees The underwriter’s fee is a reflection of the: 1. size of the issue 2. issue price 3. general market conditions 4. market attitude towards shares 5. time period required for underwriting. Fees also include brokerage and management feesAverage Averageinitial return Rights Offerings—Basic Concepts Rights offering : Issue of ordinary shares to existing shareholders. Allows current shareholders to avoid the dilution that can occur with a new share issue. ‘Rights’ are given to the shareholders specifying: 1. number of shares that can be purchased 2. purchase price 3. time frame. Shareholders can either exercise their rights or sell them. They neither win nor lose either way. Subscription price : The dollar cost of one of the shares to be issued, generally less than the current market price. New Equity Sales—Research Findings Shares prices tend to decline after a new equity issue announcement, but rise following a debt announcement. Why? 1. Management has superior information about firm value and knows when the firm is overvalued → sell equity. 2. Excessive debt usage. 3. Substantial issue costs. 4. Management needs to understand the signals that an equity issue sends. Ex-rights date : Beginning of the period when shares are sold without a recently declared right, normally four trading days before the holder-of-record date. The share price will drop by the value of the right. Holder-of-record date : Date on which existing shareholders are designated as the recipients of share rights. Ex-rights Share Prices The Cost of Issuing Securities Theoretical Rights Price M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 1999 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) due to less-than-proportionate purchase of new shares. 2. Dilution of market value—loss in share value due to use of proceeds to invest in negative NPV projects. 3. Dilution of book value and earnings per share (EPS) —reduction in EPS due to sale of additional shares. This has no economic consequences. Example—Rights Issue Lemon Co. currently has 5 million shares on issue with a market price of $8 each. To finance new projects, the company needs to raise an additional $6 million. To raise the finance, the company makes a rights issue at a subscription price of $6 per share. The number of new shares to be sold: The holder of one right is entitled to subscribe to one new share at $6 per share.To issue 1 million shares, the company would have to issue 1 million rights.The company has 5 million shares on issue, which means that for every 5 shares held, a shareholder is entitled to receive one right (1-for-5 rights issue). Calculate the theoretical rights price: Corporate Debt The late 1980s saw a major growth in the Australian corporate debt market due to: a. the substantial cutback in the level of government borrowing b. the fall in interest rates from extremely high levels c. the flight to quality d. the shortage of government bonds e. the attractiveness of raising funds in the domestic market relative to that of the euromarket. Long-term Debt Differences between direct, private long-term financing and public issues of debt include: o direct loans avoid ASIC registration costs o direct loans have more restrictive covenants o term loans and private placements are easier to renegotiate than public issues o private placements are dominated by life insurance companies and pension funds, whereas commercial banks dominate the term-loan market. CHAPTER 18 If an outsider buys a right, it will cost $1.67.The right can be exercised at a subscription price of $6.Total cost of a new share = $1.67 + $6 = $7.67. The Value of Rights COST OF CAPITAL AND CAPITAL STRUCTURES The Cost of Capital: Preliminaries Vocabulary—the following all mean the same thing: 1. required return 2. appropriate discount rate 3. cost of capital. The cost of capital is an opportunity cost—it depends on where the money goes, not where it comes from.The assumption is made that a firm’s capital structure is fixed— a firm’s cost of capital then reflects both the cost of debt and the cost of equity. *$8.00 – 7.67 = 0.33 **$0.33 × 5 = $1.65 New Issues and Dilution Dilution Loss in existing shareholders’ value in terms of either ownership, market value, book value or EPS. Types of dilution 1. Dilution of proportionate ownership—a shareholder’s reduction in proportionate ownership Cost of Equity The cost of equity is the return required by equity investors given the risk of the cash flows from the firm.There are two major methods for determining the cost of equity: –Dividend growth model –SML or CAPM. The Dividend Growth Model Approach According to the constant growth model: M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2000 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Rearranging: Example—Cost of Equity Capital: Dividend Approach Reno Co. recently paid a dividend of 15 cents per share. This dividend is expected to grow at a rate of 3 per cent per year into perpetuity. The current market price of Reno’s shares is $3.20 per share. Determine the cost of equity capital for Reno Co Advantages Adjusts for risk. Accounts for companies that don’t have a constant dividend. Disadvantages 1. Requires two factors to be estimated: the market risk premium and the beta co-efficient. 2. Uses the past to predict the future, which may not be appropriate. The Cost of Debt The cost of debt, RD, is the interest rate on new borrowing. RD is observable: yields on currently outstanding debt yields on newly-issued similarly-rated bonds. Estimating g One method for estimating the growth rate is to use the historicalaverage. The historic cost of debt is irrelevant The Dividend Growth Model Approach Advantages 1. Easy to use and understand. Disadvantages Only applicable to companies paying dividends. Assumes dividend growth is constant. Cost of equity is very sensitive to growth estimate. Ignores risk. The yield to maturity is 14.4 per cent, so this is used as the cost of debt, not 12 per cent. The SML Approach Required return on a risky investment is dependent on three factors: o the risk-free rate, Rf o the market risk premium, E(RM) – Rf o the systematic risk of the asset relative to the average, Notice that the cost is simply the dividend yield. Example—Cost of Debt Ishta Co. sold a 20-year, 12 per cent bond 10 yearsago at par. The bond is currently priced at $86.What is our cost of debt? The Cost of Preference Shares Preference shares pay a constant dividend every period. Preference shares are a perpetuity, so the cost is: Example—Cost of Preference Shares An $8 preference share issue was sold 10 years ago. It sells for $120 per share today. The dividend yield today is $8.00/$120 = 6.67 per cent, so this is the cost of the preference share issue. The Weighted Average Cost of Capital Example—Cost of Equity Capital: SML Approach Obtain the risk-free rate (Rf) from financial press— many use the 1-year Treasury note rate, say, 6 per cent.Obtain estimates of market risk premium and security beta: historical risk premium = 7.94 per cent (Officer, 1989) beta—historical investment information services estimate from historical data Assume the beta is 1.40. The SML Approach M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2001 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Interest payments on debt are tax deductible, so the aftertax cost of debt is: Dividends on preference shares and ordinary shares are nottax-deductible so tax does not affect their costs. The weighted average cost of capital is therefore: WACC is the return that the firm must earn on its existing assets to maintain the value of its shares. WACC is the appropriate discount rate to use for cash flows that are similar in risk to the firm. Divisional and Project Costs of Capital When is the WACC the appropriate discount rate? When the project’s risk is about the same as the firm’s risk. Example—Weighted Average Cost of Capital Zeus Ltd has 78.26 million ordinary shares on issue with a book value of $22.40 per share and a current market price of $58 per share. The market value of equity is therefore $4.54 billion. Zeus has an estimated beta of 0.90. Treasury bills currently yield 4.5 per cent and the market risk premium is assumed to be 7.94 per cent. Company tax is 30 per cent. Other approaches to estimating a discount rate: divisional cost of capital—used if a company has more than one division with different levels of risk pure play approach—a WACC that is unique to a particular project is used subjective approach—projects are allocated to specific risk classes which, in turn, have specified WACCs. The firm has four debt issues outstanding: The SML and the WACC Example—Cost of Equity(SML Approach Example—Cost of Debt If a firm uses its WACC to make accept/reject decisions for all types of projects, it will have atendency towards incorrectly accepting risky projects and incorrectly rejecting less riskyprojects. The weighted average cost of debt is 7.15 per cent. Example—Capital Structure Weights Market value of equity = 78.26 million × $58 = $4.539 billion. Market value of debt = $1.474 billion. Example—Using WACC for all Projects What would happen if we use the WACC for all projects regardless of risk? Assume the WACC = 15 per cent Project A should be accepted because its risk is low (Beta = 0.60), whereas Project B should be rejected because its risk is high (Beta = 1.2). The SML and the SubjectiveApproach WACC The WACC for a firm reflects the risk and the target capital structure to finance the firm’s existing assets as a whole. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2002 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Assume a corporate tax rate of 30 per cent. Example—NPV (No Flotation Costs) With the subjective approach, the firm places projects into one of several risk classes. The discountrate used to value the project is then determined by adding (for high risk) or subtracting (for low risk)an adjustment factor to or from the firm’s WACC. Flotation Costs The issue of debt or equity may incur flotation costs such as underwriting fees, commissions, listing fees.Flotation costs are relevant expenses and need to be reflected in any analysis. Example—Project Cost includingFlotation Costs Saddle Co. Ltd has a target capital structure of 70per cent equity and 30 per cent debt. Theflotation costs for equity issues are 15 per cent ofthe amount raised and the flotation costs for debtissues are 7 per cent. If Saddle Co. Ltd needs$30 million for a new project, what is the ‘true cost’ of this project? The weighted average flotation cost is 12.6 percent. Flotation costs decrease a project’s NPV and could alter an investment decision. CHAPTER 19 DIVIDENS AND DIVIDEND POLICY Types of Dividends A dividend is a payment made out of a firm’s earnings to its owners (shareholders).Dividends are usually paid in the form of cash. Types of cash dividends include: 1. regular cash dividends 2. extra dividends 3. special dividends 4. liquidating dividends. Share dividends are also paid, and share repurchases are a dividend alternative. Procedure for Dividend Payment Example—Flotation Costs and NPV Apollo Co. Ltd needs $1.5 million to finance a new project expected to generate annual after-tax cash flows of $195 800 forever. The company has a target capital structure of 60 per cent equity and 40 per cent debt. The financing options available are: An issue of new ordinary shares. Flotation costs of equity are 12 per cent of capital raised. The return on new equity is 15 per cent. An issue of long-term debentures. Flotation costs of debt are 5 per cent of the capital raised. The return on new debt is 10 per cent. 1. Declaration date: the board of directors declares a payment of dividends. 2. Ex-dividend date: if you buy the share on or after this date the seller is entitled to keep the dividend. Under ASX rules, shares are traded ex-dividend on and after the seventh business day before the record date. 3. Record date: declared dividends are distributable to shareholders of record on a specific date. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2003 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) 4. Payment date: the dividend cheques are mailed to shareholders of record. The Ex-date Price DropEx date The share price will fall by the amount of the dividend on the exdate (Time 0). If the dividend is $1 per share, the price will beequal to $10 –1 = $9 on the ex date. Before ex date (Time –1)Dividend = $0Price = $10 On ex date (Time 0)Dividend = $1Price = $9 Flotation costs: Higher dividend payouts may require a new share issue, which could be expensive and decrease the value of the firm. Dividend restrictions: Debt contracts might limit the percentage of income that can be paid out as dividends. A high payout is better if one considers: Desire for current income instead of capital gain. Uncertainty resolution: ‘bird-in-hand’ story. Tax benefits: There are some investors who do receive favourable tax treatment from holding high dividends (e.g. corporate investors). Legal benefits. Examples of Imputed Tax Credits Do Dividends Matter? Yes: the value of a share is based on the present value of expected future dividends. No: the value of a share is not affected by a switch in dividend policy. Does Dividend Policy Matter? Dividend policy versus cash dividends An illustration of dividend irrelevance : Original dividends Assume an additional $200 of dividends is offered, financed by an issue of debt or shares. New dividend plan: To Date … Based on the home-made dividend argument, dividend policy is irrelevant.Because of high taxation of some individual investors, a high-dividend policy may be best.Because of new issue costs, a low-dividend policy is best. Dividends and Signals Changes in dividends convey information P0= $1200/1.2 + $760/1.22= $1 527.78 Dividend Policy Irrelevance Any increase in dividends at one point is offset exactly by a decrease somewhere else.An alternative explanation is home-made dividends. Individual investors can undo corporate dividend policy by reinvesting dividends or selling shares.Companies may help with creating home-made dividends by offering shareholders automatic dividend reinvestment plans (DRIPs). Dividends and the Real World A low payout is better if one considers: Taxes: Optimal dividend policy is determined by various shareholder situations. Some shareholders prefer high franked dividends, others prefer the company to pay no dividend and retain the funds for reinvestment (tax on dividend income vs capital gains tax). Dividend increases: Management believes it can be sustained. Expectation of higher future dividends, increasing present value. Signal of a healthy, growing firm. Dividend decreases: Management believes it can no longer sustain the current level of dividends. Expectation of lower dividends indefinitely; decreasing present value. Signal of a firm that is having financial difficulties. The information content makes it difficult to interpret the effect of the dividend policy of the firm. Clientele Effect Shares attract particular groups based on dividend yield and the resulting tax effects.Some investors prefer low dividend payouts and will buy shares in those companies that offer low dividend payouts.Some investors prefer high dividend payouts and will buy shares in those companies that offer high dividend payouts. Residual Dividend Policy M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2004 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Issue costs eliminate any indifference between financing by internal capital and new shares.Dividends are paid only if profits are not completely used for investment purposes.Desired debt-to-equity ratio is maintained. Relationship Between Dividends andInvestment Share Repurchases Company buys back its own shares.Similar to a cash dividend in that it returns cash from the firm to the shareholders.This is another argument for dividend policy irrelevance in the absence of taxes or other imperfections. Equal access purchase: Offer made by company to all shareholders to purchase shares in the same proportion as their holdings. On-market purchase: Purchase by a company of its own shares on the open market. Employee share purchase: Repurchase shares from employees that were issued under employee incentive scheme. Key Concepts in Dividend Policy Dividend stability—dividends are only increased if the increase is sustainable. Dividend streaming—shareholders can choose different dividend schemes to suit their tax position (franked vs unfranked dividends) Special dividends—‘one-off’’ extra dividends. Dividend reinvestment schemes—company reinvests individuals’ dividends into fully paid shares of the company. Avoids transactions costs and need for prospectus, and shares are usually offered at a discount. Selective purchase: shareholders. Repurchase of shares from specific Odd-lot purchase: shares. Repurchase of small parcels of Cash Dividend versus ShareRepurchase Assume no taxes, commissions or other market imperfections.Consider a firm with 50 000 shares outstanding, netprofit of $100 000 and the following balance sheet. Australian Equity Raisings 2001 Price per share is $20 ($1 000 000/50 000). EPS = $2.00 ($100 000/50 000). PE ratio = 10. The firm is considering either: Paying a $1 per share cash dividend. OR Repurchasing 2500 shares at $20 a share. Cash Dividend Option M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2005 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) restructure, what is the minimum level of EBIT the company needs to maintain EPS (the break-even EBIT)? Ignore taxes. With no debt: EPS = EBIT/500 000 Price per share is $19.00 ($950 000/50 000). EPS = $2.00 ($100 000/50 000). PE ratio = 10. With $2.5 million in debt @ 10%: EPS = (EBIT – $250 0001)/250 0002 1 Share repurchase option Price per share is $20.00 ($950 000/47 500). EPS = $2.10 ($100 000/47 500). PE ratio = 9.5. Share Dividends and Share Splits Bonus shares and share splits: involve issuing new shares on a pro-rata basis to the current shareholders do not change the firm’s assets, earnings, risk assumed and investors’ percentage of ownership in the company increase the number of shares outstanding reduce the value per share A common explanation is to adjust the share price to a ‘more desirable trading range’. Interest expense = $2.5 million × 10% = $250 000 Debt raised will refund 250 000 ($2.5 million/$10)shares, leaving 250 000 shares outstanding 2 These are then equal: EPS = EBIT/500 000 = (EBIT – $250 000)/250 000 With a little algebra: EBIT = $500 000 EPSBE = $1.00 per share Financial Leverage, EPS and EBITEBIT ($ millions, no taxes) EPS ($) Reverse Splits The firm reduces the number of shares outstanding. Reasoning: 1. reduction in transaction costs 2. increase in share marketability (trading range) 3. regain respectability. Share Ownership Plans Encourage the financial participation of employees in the company, including: fully paid shares partly paid shares special classes of shares options phantom or shadow shares employee share trusts. CHAPTER 20 FINANCIAL LEVERAGE AND CAPITAL STRUCTURE POLICY Key issues What is the relationship between capital structure and firm value? What is the optimal capital structure? Example—Home-made Leverage and ROE Home-made leverage is the use of personal borrowing to alter the degree of financial leverage. Investors can replicate the financing decisions of the firm in a costless manner. Example : Original capital structure and home-made leverage investor uses $500 of their own and borrows $500 to purchase 100 shares. Proposed capital structure investor uses $500 of their own, together with $250 in shares and $250 in bonds. Original Capital Structure and Home-made Leverage Cost of capital A firm’s capital structure is chosen if WACC is minimised.This is known as the optimal capital structure or target capital structure. Example—Computing Break-even EBIT ABC Company currently has no debt in its capital structure. The company has decided to restructure, raising $2.5 million debt at 10 per cent. ABC currently has 500 000 shares on issue at a price of $10 per share. As a result of the Proposed Capital Structure M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2006 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) By M&M Proposition II, the required rate of return on equity arises from sources of firm risk. Proposition II is: RE= RA+ [RA–RD] ×[D/E] Business risk—equity risk arising from the nature of the firm’s operating activities (measured byRA). Financial risk—equity risk that comes from the financial policy (i.e. capital structure) of the firm (measured by [RA– RD] ×[D/E]). Capital Structure Theory Modigliani and Miller Theory of Capital Structure –Proposition I—firm value –Proposition II—WACC The value of the firm is determined by the cash flows to the firm and the risk of the assets Changing firm value: –Change the risk of the cash flows –Change the cash flows M&M Proposition I The SML and M&M Proposition II How do financing decisions affect firm risk in both M&M’s Proposition II and the CAPM? Consider Proposition II: All else equal, a higher debt/equity ratio will increase the required return on equity, RE. RE= RA+ (RA–RD) ×(D/E) Substitute RA= Rf+ (RM-Rf)Βa and by replacement RE= Rf+ (RM-Rf)βE The effect of financing decisions is reflected in the equity beta, and, by the CAPM, increases the required return on equity. βE= βA(1 + D/E) Debt increases systematic risk (and moves the firm along the SML). Corporate Taxes The interest tax shield is the tax saving attained by a firm from interest expense. (The size of the pie does not depend on how it is sliced.) The value of the firm is independent of its capital structure. Value of firm Value of firm M&M Proposition II Because of Proposition I, the WACC must be constant, with no taxes: WACC = RA= (E/V) ×RE+ (D/V) ×RD where RAis the required return on the firm’s assets Assumptions: perpetual cash flows no depreciation no fixed asset or NWC spending. For example, a firm is considering going from $0 debt to $400 debt at 10 per cent. Solve for REto get M&M Proposition II: RE= RA+ (RA–RD) ×(D/E) The Cost of Equity and the WACC Tax saving = $16 = 0.40 x $40 = TC × RD × D What is the link between debt and firm value? Since interest creates a tax deduction, borrowing creates a tax shield. The value added to the firm is the present value of the annual interest tax shield in perpetuity. M&M Proposition I (with taxes): The firm’s overall cost of capital is unaffected by its capital structure. Business and Financial Risk Key result VL = VU + TCD M&M Proposition I with Taxes M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2007 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) –The bad news:all else equal, borrowing more money increases the probability (and therefore the expected value) of direct and indirect bankruptcy costs. Key issue: The impact of financial distress on firm value. Direct versus Indirect Bankruptcy Costs Directcosts : Those costs directly associated with bankruptcy, (e.g. legal and administrative expenses). Indirect costs : Those costs associated with spending resources to avoid bankruptcy. Financial distress: –significant problems in meeting debt obligations –most firms that experience financial distress do recover. Taxes, the WACC and Proposition II Taxes and firm value: an example EBIT = $100 TC = 30% RU = 12.5% Suppose debt goes from $0 to $100 at 10 per cent. What happens to equity value, E? The static theory of capital structure: A firm borrows up to the point where the tax benefit from an extra dollar in debt is exactly equal to the cost that comes from the increased probability of financial distress. This is the point at which WACC is minimised and the value of the firm is maximised. The Optimal Capital Structure and theValue of the Firm VU = $100 × (1 – 0.30)/0.125 = $560 VL = $560 + (0.30 × $100) = $590 E = $490 WACC and the cost of equity (M&M Proposition II with taxes): RE=RU+(RU–RD)×(D/E)×(1–TC) Conclusions The WACC decreases as more debt financing is used. Optimal capital structure is all debt. The Optimal Capital Structure and theCost of Capital Bankruptcy Costs Borrowing money is a good news/bad news proposition. –The good news:interest payments are deductible and create a debt tax shield (TCD). M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2008 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) The Capital Structure Question With corporate and personal tax, and dividend imputation, shareholders are again indifferent between corporate and personal borrowing. Dynamic Capital Structure Theories Pecking order theory : Investment is financed first with internal funds, then debt, and finally with equity. Information asymmetry cost : Management has superior information on the prospects of the firm. Agency costs of debt : These occur when equity holders act in their own best interests rather than the interests of the firm CHAPTER 21 OPTION, CORPORATE SECURITIES AND FUTURES Managerial Recommendations The tax benefit is only important if the firm has a large tax liability. Risk of financial distress: –The greater the risk of financial distress, the less debt will be optimal for the firm. –The cost of financial distress varies across firms and industries. The Extended Pie Model The Value of the Firm Value of the firm = marketed claims + non-marketed claims: –Marketed claims are the claims of shareholders and bondholders. –Non-marketed claims are the claims of the government and other potential stakeholders. Option Terminology 1. Call option : Right to buy a specified asset at a specified price on or before a specified date. 2. Put option : Right to sell a specified asset at a specified price on or before a specified date. 3. European option : An option that can only be exercised on a particular date (on expiry). 4. American option : An option that can be exercised at any time up to its expiry date. 5. Striking price : The contracted price at which the underlying asset can be bought (call) or sold (put). 6. Expiration date : The date at which an option expires. 7. Option premium : The price paid by the buyer for the right to buy or sell an asset. 8. Exercising the option : The act of buying or selling the underlying asset via the option contract. Option Contract Characteristics Expirationmonth Optiontype Contractsize Expiry Exerciseprice Option Valuation S1 = share price at expiration S0 = share price today C1 = value of call option on expiration C0 = value of call option today E = exercise price on the option Value of Call Option at Expiration The overall value of the firm is unaffected by changes in the capital structure.The division of value between marketed claims and non-marketed claims may be impacted by capital structure decisions. Corporate Borrowing and Personal Borrowing Without tax, corporate and personal borrowing are interchangeable. With corporate and personal tax, there is an advantage to corporate borrowing because of the interest tax shield. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2009 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Value of a Call Option Before Expiration Black–Scholes Option Pricing Model Note: The risk-free rate, the standard deviation and the time to maturity must all be quoted using the same time units. Call Option Boundaries Upper bound—a call option will never be worth more than the share itself: C0S0 Example—Black–Scholes Option Pricing Model Lower bound—share price cannot fall below 0 and to prevent arbitrage, the call value must be (S0 – E): The larger of 0 or (S0 – E) Intrinsic value—option’s value if it was about to expire = lower bound. Factors Determining Option Values Call option value = Share price - PV of exercise price The value of a call option depends on four factors: share price exercise price time to expiration risk-free rate. Another Factor to Consider? The above four factors are relevant if the option is to finish in the money.If the option can finish out of the money, another factor to consider is volatility.The greater the volatility in the underlying share price, the greater the chance the option has of expiring in the money. From the cumulative normal distribution table: N(d1) = N(1.34) = 0.9099 N(d2) = N(1.13) = 0.8708 Therefore, the value of the call option is: The Factors that Determine Option Value Equity: A Call Option Equity can be viewed as a call option on the company’s assets when the firm is leveraged.The exercise price is the value of the debt.If the assets are worth more than the debt when it becomes due, the option will be exercised and the shareholders retain ownership.If the assets are worth less M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2010 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) than the debt, the shareholders will let the option expire and the assets will belong to the bondholders. Equity Option Contracts Types of equity option contracts offered in Australia: –Exchange traded put and call options on company shares –Exchange traded long dated contracts issued by a financial institution that can then trade them (warrants) –Over-the-counter options on company shares –Convertible notes issued by companies, comprising both a debt and an equity component. Warrants A long-lived option that gives the holder the right to buy shares in a company at a specified price. Types of warrants available: equity warrants low exercise price warrants fractional warrants endowment warrants basket warrants currency warrants fully covered warrants index warrants instalment warrants Company Options A holder is given the right to purchase shares in a company at a specified price over a given period of time.Usually offered as a ‘sweetener’ to a debt issue.These options are often detached and sold separately. Company Options versus Exchange-traded Options Company options have longer maturity periods and are often European-type options.Company options are issued as part of a capital-raising program and are therefore limited in number.The clearing house has no role in the trading of company options.Company options are issued by firms. Earnings Dilution Put and call options have no effect on the value of the firm.Company options do affect the value of the firm.Company options cause the number of shares on issue to increase when: –the options are exercised –the debts are converted. This increase does not lower the price per share but EPS will fall. Futures Contracts An agreement between two parties to exchange a specified asset at a specified price at a specified time in the future. Do not need to own an asset to sell a future contract. Either buy before delivery or close out position with an opposite market position. Futures Markets Enable buyers and sellers to avoid risk in commodities (and other) markets with high price variability → hedging. Involves standardised contracts. Deposit required by all traders to guarantee performance. Adverse price movements must be covered daily by further deposits called margins (‘marked to market’). Futures also available for short-term interest rates, to protect against interest rate movements. Futures Quotes Commodity, exchange, size, quote units : The contract size is important when determining the daily gains and losses for marking-to-market. Delivery month : Open price, daily high, daily low, settlement price, change from previous settlement price, contract lifetime high and low prices, open interest –The change in settlement price multiplied by the contract size determines the gain or loss for the day: Long—an increase in the settlement price leads to a gain Short—an increase in the settlement price leads to a loss Forward Contracts A contract where two parties agree on the price of an asset today to be delivered and paid for at some future date.Forward contracts are legally binding on both parties.They can be tailored to meet the needs of both parties and can be quite large in size.Positions : –Long—agrees to buy the asset at the future date –Short—agrees to sell the asset at the future date Open interest is how many contracts are currently outstanding. Because they are negotiated contracts and there is no exchange of cash initially, they are usually limited to large, creditworthy corporations. Factors Determining the Term Structure Risk preferences : borrowers prefer long-term credit whereas lenders prefer short-term loans (explains upwardsloping yield curve only). Term Structure of Interest Rates Yield curve shows the different interest rates available for investments of different maturities, at a point in time.The relationship between interest rates of different maturities is called the term structure. Supply : demand conditions—segmented capital markets can cause supply-demand imbalances (explains all yield curve shapes). M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2011 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Expectations about future interest rates (most favoured explanation) CHAPTER 22 MERGERS, ACQUISITIONS AND TAKEOVERS Market bid : An announcement by a stockbroker that a broking firm will stand in the market to purchase the target company’s shares for a specified price for a specified period. The Legal Framework Legal Forms of Acquisitions Merger complete absorption of one company by another. Consolidation creation of a new firm by combining two existing firms. Advantages of mergers and consolidations: simplicity (buyer assumes all assets and liabilities) inexpensive. Acquisition of assets transfer of assets and liabilities of the target company to the acquiring company. Taxes and Acquisitions Generally, assets purchased after 19 September 1985 are subject to capital gains tax (CGT) when sold.CGT can be deferred under rollover provisions.CGT still applies when the consideration is shares, and when more than 50 per cent of pre-19 September 1985 shareholders have changed (regardless of purchase date). Acquisition of shares (tender offer) acquire sufficient Voting shares to gain management control via a direct public offer for the shares. Gains from Acquisition Synergy the value of the combined companies is higher than the sum of the value of the individual companies. Disadvantages of mergers and consolidations: shareholders of both firms must approve difficulty in obtaining cooperation of target company’s management. Majority control versus effective control. Acquisition Classifications Horizontal acquisition : between two firms in the same industry. Vertical acquisition : the buyer expands backwards by acquiring a firm with the source of raw materials or forwards by acquiring a firm that is closer in the direction of the ultimate consumer. Conglomerate acquisition : involves companies in unrelated industries. A Note on Takeovers Need to determine incremental cash flows. Incremental Cash Flows = Revenue – Cost – Tax – Capital requirements A. Increased revenues 1. Gains from better marketing efforts. 2. Strategic benefits—‘beachhead’ into new markets. 3. Increased market power—monopoly. B. Decreased costs 1. Economies of scale. 2. Economies of vertical integration. 3. Complementary resources. Incremental Cash Flows C. Tax gains 1. Use of net operating losses. 2. Use of excess or unused franking credits. 3. Use of unused debt capacity. 4. Asset revaluations. Takeover Situations Creeping takeover : Holdings in a target company can be increased by no more than 3 per cent every six months. Off market bid : A formal written offer is made to acquire the shares of a target company. D. Changing capital requirements 1. Reduced investment needs. 2. More efficient asset management. 3. Sell redundant assets. Mistakes to Avoid Do not ignore market values. Estimate only incremental cash flows. Use the correct discount rate. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2012 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Be aware of transactions costs. Acquisitions and EPS Growth Pizza Shack and Checkers Pizza are merging to form Stop ’n’ Go Pizza. The merger is not expected to create any additional value. Stop ‘n’ Go, valued at $1 875 000, is to have 125 000 shares outstanding at $15 per share. How much does Firm A have to give up? Example—Cash Acquisition Cost of acquiring Firm B is $675. NPV of the cash acquisition is: The value of Firm A after the merger is: Price per share after the merger is $18.20. EPS has increased (and the P/E ratio has decreased) because the total number of shares is less.The merger has not ‘created’ value. Diversification Does not create value in a merger. Is not, in itself, a good reason for a merger. Reduces unsystematic risk. BUT Shareholders can do this for themselves more easily and less expensively. The Cost of an Acquisition The net incremental gain from a merger of Firms A and B is: V = VAB – (VA + VB) The total value of Firm B to Firm A is: VB* = VB + V The NPV of the merger is: NPV = VB * – Cost to Firm A of the acquisition The cost of the acquisition to Firm A depends on the Medium of exchange used to acquire Firm B—cash or shares. Whether cash or shares are used to finance the acquisition depends on the following factors: Sharing gains: If cash is used, the selling firm’s shareholders will not participate in the potential gains (or losses) from the merger. Control: Control of the acquiring firm is unaffected in a cash acquisition. Acquisition with voting shares may have implications for control of the merged firm. Example—Cash or Shares? Pre-merger information for Firm A and Firm B: Both firms are 100 per cent equity financed. The estimated incremental value of the acquisition is Firm B has agreed to a sale price of $675, payable in cash or shares. The value of Firm B to Firm A is: Example—Share Acquisition The value of the merged firm: Firm A must give up $675/$15 = 45 shares. After the merger there will be 165 shares outstanding, valued at $17.33 per share. True cost of the acquisition: 45 shares × $17.33 = $779.85 NPV of the merger to Firm A: Cash acquisition preferred (higher NPV). Defensive Tactics Managers who believe their firms are likely to become takeover targets and who wish to fend off unwanted acquirers often implement one or more takeover defences. These defensive tactics take several forms: –Friendly shareholders offer the best defence. –Poison pills—designed to ‘repel’ takeover attempts. –Share rights plans—allow existing shareholders to purchase shares at some fixed price in the event of a takeover bid. –Going private and leveraged buyouts—the publicly owned shares in a firm are replaced with complete equity ownership by a private group (often financed by debt). Terminology of Defensive Tactics 1. Golden parachutes—compensation to top-level management. 2. Poison puts—purchase securities back at a set price. 3. Crown jewels—selling off of major assets. 4. White knights—acquisition by a ‘friendly’ firm. 5. Lockups—option for a ‘friendly’ firm to purchase shares or assets at a fixed price. 6. Shark repellant—designed to discourage unwanted mergers. . Evidence on Acquisitions Shareholders of target companies involved in successful takeovers gainsubstantially.Abnormal gains of around 25 per cent reflect merger premium. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2013 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Shareholders of bidding firms involved in successful takeovers only experience gains of 5 per cent. There are a variety of explanations for this: –Overestimated anticipated gains –Scale effect (bidders usually larger than targets) –Agency problem –Competitive market for takeovers –Gains already reflected in bidder’s price (no new information) CHAPTER 23 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE Domestic versus International Financial Management Whenever transactions involve more than one currency, the levels of, and possible changes in, exchange rates need to be considered.The risk of loss associated with actions taken by foreign governments also needs to be considered. This political riskcan be difficult to assess and difficult to hedge against.Financing opportunities encompass international capital markets and instruments, which can reduce the firm’s cost of capital. International Finance Terminology Cross rate –The implicit exchange rate between two currencies quoted in some third currency. Euro –The monetary unit for the European Monetary System (EMS). Eurobonds –International bonds issued in multiple countries but denominated in the issuer’s currency. Eurocurrency –Money deposited in a financial centre outside the country whose currency is involved. Foreign bonds –International bonds issued in a single country usually denominated in that country’s currency. Hong Kong Stock Exchange Hong Kong Futures Exchange Shanghai Securities Exchange Shenzen Stock Exchange Osaka Stock Exchange Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Int’l Financial Futures Exchange Singapore Stock Exchange Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange Americas New York Stock Exchange American Stock ExchangeBoston Stock Exchange Cincinnati Stock Exchange Chicago Stock ExchangePacific Stock Exchange Philadelphia Stock Exchange Chicago Board of Trade Kansas City Board of Trade Toronto Stock Exchange Europe and the UK Frankfurt Stock Exchange London Stock Exchange Paris Bourse Swiss Stock Exchange Participants in Foreign Exchange Market Importers Exporters Portfoliomanagers Foreignexchangebrokers Traders Speculators Exchange Rates Q: If you wish to exchange $100 for British pounds at an exchange rate of $A1/£0.337, how many pounds will you receive? A: $A100 ×(0.337) = £33.7 Q: You paid 20 French francs for a croissant in France. If the exchange rate is $A1/FF4.1184, how much did it cost in dollars? A: FF20 : 4.1184 = $A4.8563 Exchange Rate Quotations Foreign exchange market –The market in which one country’s currency is traded for another. Gilts –British and Irish government securities. London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR) –The rate most international banks charge one another for overnight Eurodollar loans. Swaps –Agreements to exchange two securities or currencies. Global Capital Markets Asia/Pacific Region Australian Stock Exchange Sydney Futures Exchange New Zealand Stock Exchange Example—Exchange Rates If you wish to convert $A1000 to $US at the above exchange rates: –you SELL $A; therefore, the dealer BUYS $A –$A1000 ×0.5190 = $US519 If you now convert $US519 back to $A: –you BUY $A; therefore, the dealer SELLS $A –$US519 : 0.5215 = $A995.21 The difference is the dealer fee ($A1000 -995.21 = $A4.79). M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2014 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Triangle Arbitrage You have observed the following exchange rates: Relative PPP Equation You have just made $A25! Cross Rates To prevent triangle arbitrage: –the $A can be exchanged for FF10 or DM2.00 Cross rate must be: Example—Cross Rates The exchange rates for the British pound and the Japanese yen are: $A1 = £0.3538 $A1 = ¥63.74 ¥180.16/£ £0.3538¥63.74 or £0.0056/¥ ¥63.74£0.3538 rate Example—Relative PPP The German exchange rate is currently 1.3 DM per dollar. The inflation rate in Germany over the next five years is estimated to be 5 per cent per year, while the Australian inflation rate is estimated to be 3 per cent per year. What will be the estimated exchange rate in five years? Solution—Relative PPP The DM will become less valuable; $A will become more valuable.The exchange rate change will be 5% – 3% = 2% per year. Example—Covered Interest Arbitrage (CIA) Types of Transactions Spot deal an agreement to trade currencies based on the exchange rate today for settlement within two business days. Spot exchange rate the exchange rate on a spot deal. Forward deal an agreement to exchange currency at some time in the future. Forward exchange rate the agreed-upon exchange rate to be used in a forward deal. Purchasing Power Parity The idea that the exchange rate adjusts to keep purchasing power constant among currencies.Absolute purchasing power parity (PPP) is a commodity costs the same regardless of what currency is used to purchase it or where it is selling. Interest Rate Parity (IRP) The interest rate differential between two countries is equal to the percentage difference between the forward exchange rate and the spot exchange rate. For absolute PPP to hold: –transaction costs must be zero –there must be no barriers to trade –the items purchased must be identical in all locations. Relative Purchasing PowerParity The idea that the change in the exchange rate between two currencies is determined by the difference in inflation rates between the two countries.Relative PPP, therefore, explains the changesin exchange rates over time rather than the absolute levels of exchange rates. Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) The expected percentage change in the exchange rate is equal to the difference in interest rates. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2015 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Combines IRP and UFR. International Fisher Effect (IFE) Real interest rates are equal across countries. Combines PPP and UFR. Ignores risk and barriers to capital movements. Example—International Capital Budgeting Pizza Shack is considering opening a store in Mexico. The store would cost $A500 000 or 3 million pesos (at an exchange rate of $A1/6.000 pesos). They hope to operate the store for two years and then sell it to a local franchisee. Assume that the expected cash flows are 250 000 pesos in the first year and 5 million pesos in year 2 (including the selling price of the store and fixtures). The Australian riskfree rate is 7 per cent and the Mexican risk-free rate is 10 per cent. The required return in Australia is 12 per cent. Ignore taxes. Translation Exposure Uncertainty arising from the need to translate the results from foreign operations (in foreign currency) to home currency for accounting purposes. Political Risk Changes in value due to political actions in the foreign country.Investment in countries that have unstable governments should require higher returns.The extent of political risk depends on the nature of the business: –The more dependent the business is on other operations within the firm, the less valuable it is to others. –Natural resource development can be very valuable to others, especially if much of the ground work in developing the resource has already been done. -- Local financing can often reduce political risk. Types of Political Risk Method 1: Home Currency Using the interest rate parity relationship: CHAPTER 24 Example—Method 2: Foreign Currency Approach Using a 3 per cent inflation premium: (1.12 ×1.03) –1 = 15.36% LEASING Leasing versus Buying Exchange Rate Risk The risk related to having international operations in a world where currency values vary. Short-run exposure—uncertainty arising from day-to-day fluctuations in exchange rates. Long-run exposure—potential losses due to long-run, unanticipated changes in the relative economic conditions in two or more countries. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2016 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Leasing What is a lease? –A lessee (user) enters an agreement in which they make lease payments to the lessor (owner) in return for the use of the leased property/asset. Who are the major providers of lease finance in Australia? –Finance companies and banks. What assets are leased? –Any asset including photocopiers, cars, construction equipment, computers, shop/office fittings and equipment. 24-709 Types of Leases Operating lease Financial lease –Sale and leaseback agreement –Leveraged lease Operating Leases Short-term lease. Cancellable prior to the expiry date at little or no cost. Lessor is responsible for maintenance and upkeep of asset. The sum of the lease payments does not provide for full recovery of the asset’s costs. Includes telephones, televisions, computers, photocopiers, cars. Financial Leases Long-term lease. Non-cancellable (without penalty) prior to expiry date. Lessee is responsible for the maintenance and upkeep of the asset. Lease period approximates asset’s economic life. The sum of the lease payments exceeds the asset’s purchase price. Includes specialist equipment, heavy industrial equipment. Residual Value Clause Lease continues for its full term Lessee can purchase the asset for its residual value, return the asset to the lessor (paying any shortfall from residual value) or renew the lease. Criteria for a Financial Lease AAS17 ‘Accounting for Leases’ states that a financial lease occurs where substantially all risks and benefits pass to the lessee.A financial lease must be disclosed on the Statement of Financial Position if at least oneof the following criteria is met: –the lease term is 75 per cent or more of the estimated economic life of the asset –the present value of the lease payments is at least 90 per cent of the fair market value of the asset at the start of the lease. Leasing and Taxation Lease premiums paid under a lease contract are tax deductible.Any payment relating to the ultimate purchase of the asset is not deductible.The residual payment does not qualify as a tax deduction.Any profit made on the asset previously leased is subject to capital gains tax. Example—Lease versus Buy Macca Co. has to decide whether to borrow the $15 000 needed to purchase a new gadget machine (with a borrowing cost of 10 per cent) or to lease the machine for $4000 per annum. If purchased, the asset could be depreciated using the straight-line method over the threeyear life. The company tax rate is 30 per cent.Under the lease agreement, Macca Co. would be responsible for maintaining the machine? Example—Lease versus Buy: Repayment Schedule Lease is cancelled during its initial term Lessee must pay outstanding premiums (less interest component) plus residual value of asset. Sale and leaseback agreements Companies sell an asset to another firm and immediately lease it back. Enables the company to receive cash and yet maintain use of the asset. Leveraged leases The lessor arranges for funds to be contributed by one or more parties—form of risk-sharing and transferring tax benefits. Often used to finance large-scale projects. Example—Lease versus Buy:Tax Subsidises Borrowing Leasing and the Statement of Financial Position M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2017 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Example—Lease versus Buy:Tax Subsidises Leasing Net Advantage of Leasing Example—Lease versus Buy:Net Advantage of Leasing Setting Lease Premiums Lease premiums are paid in advance in Australia. The advantage is greater than zero so Macca Co. should lease. Residual Value The residual valueis the amount for which the asset may be purchased by the lessee from the lessor at the end of the lease term. Example—Lease Premiums KAZ Co. has started a four-year lease of a photocopier which has a $70 000 purchase price. Had the company purchased the copier, the interest rate quoted on borrowings was 1.5 per cent per month. KAZ has agreed with the lessor to a residual value of $10 000 at the end of four years.What will be the amount of the lease premiums? Solution—Lease Premiums The salvage valueis the amount the asset can be sold for in the market place by the lessee (once they have acquired the asset). In the previous example, assume a residual value of $2000 and a salvage value of $1500. Example—Lease the Asset with Residual Value Example—Borrow to Purchase the Asset with Residual Value Advantages of Financial Leases No restrictions on future borrowing. Can be tailored to suit firm’s needs. Eliminates the need to raise extra capital. No unnecessary financial outlay. May be excluded from the Statement of Financial Position. Facilitates financing capital additions on a piecemeal basis. Is an allowable cost under government contracting. Offers tax advantages. Advantages of Operating Leases Frees up capital for alternative uses. Increases the company’s working capital. Provides greater control due to greater certainty in future outlays. Assures more competent upkeep of asset. Avoids the risk of obsolescence. Avoids the equipment disposal problem. Future outlays cost less in real terms due to inflation. Disadvantages of Leasing Interest cost often higher. May not offer the right to the residual value of the asset. Allows the acquisition of assets without submitting formal capital expenditure procedures. May cause distortions in the evaluation of interfirm and interdivision performance. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2018 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Lacks the prestige associated with ownership. Good Reasons for Leasing Taxes may be reduced by leasing. The lease contract may reduce certain types of uncertainty that might otherwise decrease the value of the firm. Leasing reduces the impact of obsolescence of an asset on a firm. Transaction costs may be lower for a lease contract than for buying the asset. Leasing may require fewer (if any) restrictive covenants than secured borrowing. Bad Reasons for Leasing The perception of 100 per cent financing. The apparent low cost. Using leasing to artificially enhance accounting income.A UTS SEMESTER GASAL 2012/2013 MANAJEMEN KEUANGAN 150 menit (Closed Book) M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2019 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) JAWABAN 1.) a AR Turnover = Sales / AR Average Collection Period = 365 / (AR Turnover) Inventory Turnover = COGS / Inventory Fixed Asset Turnover = Sales / Net Fixed Asset Total Asset Turnover = Sales / Total Asset 11.24 kali 32.49 hari 16.09 kali 4.60 kali 2.78 kali b Comparing: with peers & with prior performance Efisiensi Penggunaan aset: AR turnover, inventory turnover, fixed asset turnover, TAT C. Du Pont Analysis: ROE = Net income / Equity = Net Income / Sales x Sales / Equity = Net Income / Sales x Sales / Asset x Asset / Equity ROE = Profit Margin x Total Asset Turnover x Equity Multiplier RoE = Profitability, Operating M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2020 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) efficiency, Leverage 2013 Profit Margin TAT Equity Multiplier RoE Debt Ratio 0.98 % 2.78 Find YTM of 002 --> Find YTM 001 --> Find Price 001 Logic: YTM of 002, lower or higher than its coupon? Discount --> YTM is higher than Answer: coupon 2012 1.15 % 2.78 Lower Profita bility Stable Higher Levera ge 2.22 6.02 % 1.63 5.21 % 55% Just to prove higher leverag 50% e 2013 2012 0.91 1.2 Use Trial and error --> Do this last. Trial and Error YTM 926,399,129.49 6% x 2 = 12% Price of 001 5,288,934,649.68 b. Year Dividend d. Current Ratio = Current Asset / Curr. Liab. Acid test Ratio = (curr. Asset inventory) / Curr. Liab Debt Ratio 1 750.00 0.63 55% 0.89 50% 2 750.00 2.) a JWS001 Par c Same YTM as JWS002 Price? 5,000,000,000.00 162,500, 000.00 every 3 13% months 10 years 3 900.00 Up 20% 4 1,080.00 Up 20% 5% constant growth Req. Rate of Return 13% Market Price Rekomendasi: overvalued or undervalued? 10,000.00 Terminal Value D5/R-g3 JWS002 Price 926,400,000.00 Par 1,000,000,000.00 every 6 10% months 5 years c 50,000,0 00.00 14,175.00 P0 11,231.00 Market Price So, stock is undervalued, Buy ! 10,000.00 3. ) a. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2021 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Income Statement Sales Cost Taxable Income Tax Net Income Dividend Add to R/E Sales up 25% AR 440 600 1200 10.67 % 29.33 % 40.00 % 80.00 % Fixed Asset Total 1800 3000 Pro Forma BS Current Asset Cash AR NP Total Curr Liab 100 n/a LTD 800 n/a CS & PIS 800 n/a 0.2 400 1000 n/a 1800 3000 Current Liability 200 550 80.00 % LTD 800 n/a CS & PIS 2250 120.0 0% RE 3750 200.0 0% Total 800 n/a 1385.000 193 n/a 2185.000 193 3460.000 193 290.00 b Maximum Growth without External Financing Internal Growth Rate = RoA X b % of Sales 10.67 % AP 29.33 NP 475 Fixed Asset EFN 300 % of Sales 1500 Total AP 200.0 0% Total 750 Total 40.00 Current % Liability Total 875 297.5 577.5 192.4998075 385.0001925 % of Sales 120.0 0% RE Total Inv Total Current Asset Net PPE Curr. Liab. 160 Net PPE 1875 1000 % of Sales Cash Inv Tot Curr Asset 1500 800 0.5333333 700 238 462 154 308 Pro Forma Sales Cost Taxable Income Tax (34%) Net Income Dividend Add to R/E Balance Sheet Curr. Asset % % 20.00 375 % 100 n/a 462/3000 x (1-0.33) 0.1 1 - 462/3000 x (11 - RoA x b 0.33) 0.9 So, the maximum growth without external financing is 11% Pro Forma Sales 1,665.00 Cost 888.00 Taxable Income 777.00 Tax 264.18 Net Income 512.82 Dividend 170.94 Add to R/E 341.88 Pro Forma % of Sale M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 11 % % of Sale 2022 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) BS Current Asset s s 990,000,000,000 3 .00 Current Liability AR 488.40 Inv Total Current Asset 666.00 10.6 7% AP 29.3 3% NP Total 40.0 Current 0% Liability 1,332.00 80.0 0% LTD Cash 177.60 Fixed Asset 333.00 100 n/a 433 800 n/a CS & PIS Net PPE 1,998.00 800 n/a 120. 00% RE Total Total 3330 20.0 0% 200. 00% Total Initial Outlay: Izin Financing Cost Sunk Cost Net working capital 52,900,000,000 .00 544,500,000,00 0.00 200,000,000.00 5,000,000,000.00 irrelevant 50,000,000,000.00 irrelevant 30,000,000,000.00 3yrs econ. Life, can be sold at 500,000,000,000.00 100Bio. 530,200,000,000.00 Net capital spending Depreciation - mesin 166,666,666,666.67 per year 1,341.8 8 n/a 2141.88 0171 Year 1 Sales 800,000,000,0 00.00 Sales 943,000,000, 000.00 3374.88 0171 FC 40,000,000,00 0.00 FC 46,000,000,0 00.00 VC 440,000,000,0 00.00 VC 518,650,000, 000.00 Depreciatio n 166,666,666,6 Depreciatio 66.67 n 166,666,666, 666.67 EBIT 153,333,333,3 33.33 EBIT 211,683,333, 333.33 Tax (35%) Add: Depreciatio n 53,666,666,66 6.67 Tax (35%) Add: 166,666,666,6 Depreciatio 66.67 n 74,089,166,6 66.67 Operating Cash Flow 266,333,333,3 Operating 33.33 Cash Flow 304,260,833, 333.33 Because total Liabilities and Eq. is bigger than Assets, so no EFN is needed Plug Ex: Pay 44.8 in dividends so the B/S is Variable? balanced Year 2 4.) a Year Unit Price Unit Sales 1 1,000,000,000.00 VC FC Ye ar 800 2 1,150,000,000.00 820 3 1,200,000,000.00 825 166,666,666, 666.67 55% of Sales 40,000,000,000.00 Up by 15% every year Sales FC VC 800,000,000,000 1 .00 40,000,000,000 .00 440,000,000,00 0.00 943,000,000,000 2 .00 46,000,000,000 .00 518,650,000,00 0.00 0 Operatin g Cash Flow Changes in NWC 1 266,333,33 3,333.33 2 304,260, 833,333. 33 (30,000,0 M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 3 313,523, 333,333. 33 30,000,0 2023 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) 00,000.00 ) Capital Spending Total Project Cash Flow 00,000.0 0 b. Menghitung expected return dari portofolio. c. menghitung standar deviasi dari saham A dan C Aset (500,200, 000,000.0 0) 6500000 0000 (530,200, 000,000.0 266,333,33 0) 3,333.33 304,260, 833,333. 33 408,523, 333,333. 33 NPV 304,260, 408,523, (530,200,00 + 266,333,33 833,333. 333,333. 0,000.00) 3,333.33 + 33 + 33 (1+.15)^ (1+.15)^1 2 (1+.15)^3 jika NPV positif, accept the project Payback Period Cover initial (530,200,00 Initial outlay outlay of 0,000.00) Cumulative left Year 1 266,333,333 ,333.33 266,333,333,3 33.33 (263,866,666 ,666.67) Year 2 304,260,833 ,333.33 570,594,166,6 66.67 40,394,166,6 66.67 Year 3 408,523,333 ,333.33 979,117,500,0 00.00 263,866,666 so, 1 year + ,666.67 0.867238362 304,260,833 ,333.33 Payback Period is 1+0.87 = 1.87 Years UAS SEMESTER GASAL 2012/2013 MANAJEMEN KEUANGAN Total investasi Saham A Saham B Saham C Risk Free rate Jumlah investasi 25000000 10000000 8000000 4000000 3000000 Boom (25%) 20% 18% 16% 7% Kondisi ekonomi Normal (50%) 16% 13% 11% 7% Recession (25%) 13% 11% 8% 7% Soal 2 (20%) Dengan informasi dari AA Power Co. di bawah ini, hitunglah WACC nya dengan asumsi pajak korporat sebesar 35%. Debt: 9,000 jumlah beredar dengan kupon 5 persen, nilai par : $1,000, dengan jangka waktu 5 tahun, dijual pada 92 persen dari par; pembayaran kupon dilakukan tahunan (annually). Common Stock: 260,000 jumlah beredar, dijual dengan harga $57 per share; dengan nilai beta 1.05. Preferred Stock: 15,000 jumlah saham beredar dengan 5 percent dividen dari preferred stock, dengan harga pasar $93 perlembar dan par $100 perlembar saham. Market: dengan market risk premium 8 persen dan risk free rate sebesar 4.5 persen. Soal 3 (20%) a. Apakah skema pendanaan yang digunakan untuk investasi pengembangan Angkasa Pura II? b. Jelaskan kekurangan dan kelebihan masing-masing skema pendanaan yang dipilih oleh Angkasa Pura II. Soal 4 (20%) PT Maxima mempunyai 10,000 saham yang beredar di pasaran. Harga pasar saat ini ialah $15 per lembar dengan EPS sebesar $1. Perusahaan mengumumkan 2:1 stock split. Anda memiliki 100 lembar saham dari PT. Maxima. a. Apa pengaruh kebijakan stock split pada harga saham, EPS dan kepemilikan (ownership stake) dari saham anda? b. Jika PT. Maxima lebih memilih untuk menawarkan kebijakan 10% stock dividend daripada kebijakan stock split diatas, bagaimana pengaruh kebijakan stock dividend tersebut pada harga saham, EPS dan kepemilikan (ownership stake) dari saham anda? Soal 5 (20%) a. Berikut ini adalah informasi dari beberapa akun yang ada di neraca PT. ABC: 150 menit (Closed Book) Soal 1 (20%) Anda adalah manajer investasi dari perusahaan sekuritas. Gunakan informasi di bawah ini untuk: a. Menghitung expected return tiap saham. M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2024 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) 2.) Dengan informasi dari AA Power Co. di bawah ini, hitunglah WACC nya dengan asumsi pajak korpora sebesar 35%. Debt: 9,000 jumlah beredar dengan kupon 5 persen, nilai par : $1,000, dengan jangka waktu 5 tahun,dijual pada 92 persen dari par; pembayaran kupon dilakukan tahunan (annually). (a.1) Hitunglah operating dan cash cycle dari PT. ABC. (a.2) Apa yang dapat dilakukan oleh PT. ABC untuk mengurangi Cash Cycle-nya. b. PT. XYZ saat ini menjual seluruh produknya dalam bentuk tunai dan berencana mengubah kebijakan tersebut dengan menjual secara kredit. Informasi terkait perubahan kebijakan tersebut per periode dapat dilihat pada tabel berikut ini: Price per unit Cost per unit Unit sales per month Current 100 56 2,750 New 104 56 2,800 Jika required return adalah 2.5% per periode, maka hitung NPV dari kebijakan tersebut. Apakah kebijakan baru tersebut layak atau tidak untuk diterapkan? Common Stock: 260,000 jumlah beredar, dijual dengan harga $57 per share; dengan nilai beta 1.05. Preferred Stock: 15,000 jumlah saham beredar dengan 5 percent dividen dari preferred stock, dengan harga pasar $93 perlembar dan par $100 perlembar saham. Market: dengan market risk premium 8 persen dan risk free rate sebesar 4.5 persen. Market Value: Debt C/S P/S Total Weight: 8280000 Debt 14820000 C/S 1395000 P/S 24495000 Cost Cost of Debt (YTM) JAWABAN 1.) A. Hitung expected return tiap saham Saham A Saham B Saham C Risk Free Rate 16.25% 13.75% 11.50% 0.07 B. Hitung expected return portofolio Weight: Saham A Saham B Saham C Risk Free Exp. Return Portofolio 0.4 0.32 0.16 0.12 13.58% Cost of C/S Cost of P/S YTM: After tax 33.80% 60.50% 5.70% 6.90% 4.49% Re = Rf + β x (RmRf) Re 0.129 D/Po Rp 0.05 YTM = WACC = Weight Debt x Cost of Debt + Weight C/S x Cost ofC/S + Weight P/S x Cost of P/S = 9.61% 4) Stock Split: Sebelum C. Standar deviasi saham A dan C Varians Saham A Saham C St. Deviasi 0.0006 0.0249 0.0008 0.0287 Jumlah saham beredar Harga Pasar Nilai Saham Misal: Sesudah 10000 15 150000 setelah %change M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 20000 7.5 150000 2025 Disusun oleh : Muhammad Firman (Akuntansi FE UI 2012) Earnings 1000000 1000000 Outstanding 10000 11000 EPS 100 90.90909 Incremental cash flow PV of Incremental cash flow Cost of switching (Current Price * Current Sales) + VC(Qnew - Qcurrent) 9% 13400 536000 277800 a.) Harga saham berkurang 1/2x jadi $7.5 EPS berkurang menjadi $0.5 karena jumlah saham beredar naik 2 kali NPV of switching 258200 Kepemilikan tidak berubah (PV of incremental cash flow - Cost of Nilai saham switching) sebelum Nilai saham setelah 1500 1500Karena NPV kebijakan tersebut positif, maka kebijakan layak b.) Stock Dividend Harga saham turun karena kenaikan saham outstanding 10% EPS turun sebanyak Kepemilikan Tetap diterapkan 5.) a.1 Avg Inventory Avg A/R Avg A/P $ 12,750.00 $ 8,375.00 $ 10,680.00 Inventory Period A/R Period A/P Period Inventory Turnover A/R Turnover A/P Turnover Operating Cycle Cash Cycle 54.59 days 26.47 days 45.73 days $ 6.69 $ 13.79 $ 7.98 81.06 (Inv Period + A/R Period) (Operating Cycle - A/P 35.33 Period) a.2 1. Meningkatkan efisiensi penggunaan Inventory dan pengumpulan A/R 2. Memperlama durasi pembayaran A/P b. Cash flow with current policy Cash flow with new policy 121000 134400 M a t a k u l i a h l a i n y a n g b e l u m a d a d i P D F i n i a k a n s a y a u p d a t e d i w w w . a k u n t a n s i d a n b i s n i s . wo rd p re s s . c o m Contac t me : muhammad.f irman177@gmail.com /@f irmanmhmd (Line) PE1 2026