A review on the implementation of western Ring-Fence Banking following 2008’s global financial crisis To what extent will current regulations mitigate future risk Jack Lloyd Choles European and International Law LLB (Hons) University of the West of England Faculty of Business and Law, Bristol 20th March 2020 1 Acknowledgement: I would like to thank UWE’s legal faculty as this dissertation would not be possible without the guidance offered by Dr Mary Young and Nicolas Ryder, allowing me to bring my ideas together 2 Declaration 3 Abstract 4 Table of contents 1) Introduction………………………………………………………………...6 2) Regulatory battle – American history of Ring-Fence Banking’s birth…9 2.1: The last century – pre-conditions necessitating RFB 10 2.2: Wall Street Crash 12 2.3: Glass Steagall – The provisions of early ring-fencing 14 2.4: The business of banking” - discretionary departure from Glass-Steagall 18 3) Policy justifications for RFB– minimising risk-prone activity and government liabilities……………………………………………………..20 4) Anglo-American RFB post-2008………………………………………….24 4.1: American RFB policy 24 4.2: Graphical representations of the effectiveness of American RFB 28 4.3: Evaluation of the effectiveness of changes 5) Conclusion 5 Introduction A decade ago, the Independent Commission for Banking (ICB) was purposively established by HM Treasury to oversee “structural and related non-structural reforms to the UK banking sector… to promote financial stability and competition,1.” This represented similar regulatory intent to European changes under Basil III. Meanwhile, America’s financial regulation was spearheaded by “Dodd-Frank” legislation which sought to undo the deregulation which had contributed to 2008’s financial crisis. In this manner, western economies government sought to avoid crises like the bank run on Northern Rock2, the collapse of Lehman’s3 and Europe’s structural issues from 2010; the events demonstrated the inherent danger of mistrust in banking In the advent of such an economic peril, it was determined that if banks had been Ring-fenced, then government would not have been totally responsible for the failure of the bank as a whole. Regulatory attempts have since been directed towards a global return to Ring-Fence-Banking (RFB). This offers a “virtual barrier to segregate a portion of a (bank’s) financial assets from the rest4. The policy averts government liability for moral hazards lying in risk-prone investment functions among “universal banks5”. Berger Molyneux and Wilson describe these as “institutions which combine the lending and payment services of commercial banks with a wider range of financial services.6” These services are not limited to investment banking and securities trading across a broad range of derivative, index and ETF markets. As time has gone on since 2008’s financial crisis, broader support of Ring-Fence Banking (RFB) has occurred. However, amongst economic incentives, these regulations stand to be undermined. Independent Commission on Banking (‘ICB’), Final Report: Recommendations (London: ICB, 2011) (‘ICB Report’), 19. In formulating its recommendations, the ICB was guided by a set of principles including to curb ‘incentives for excessive risk-taking by neutralising subsidies and the unpriced risk of triggering financial crises’, and to reduce ‘the costs of systemic financial crises’, see page 20. 2 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41229513 3 Oonagh Mcdonald, Lehman Brothers: A crisis of value, (2016) Manchester University Press 4 Will Kenton, ‘Ring-Fence’, Investopedia https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/ringfence.asp accessed 1st Feb 5 A N. Berger, P Molyneux, J. Wilson, The Oxford Handbook of Banking (2010) Oxford University Press,p-171 6 Ibid. 1 6 7 Illustrative analysis of universal and ring-fenced banking 7 In the previous recession, discretion in the implementation of international crisis response was weakened by broad inability to distinguish between commercial banking, which is vital to all economic agents, and less necessary investment based functions among universal banks. It was realised that only by retaining independent capital funds, under a subsidiary Ring-Fenced body, would it be possible to isolate budgetary support and establish distinct policy for both the commercial and investment bank. For this reason, the American Federal Reserve Board, European FSB and UK’s ICB aimed to separate bank functions. Such banking regulation assures that governments maintain the capacity to target bail-outs to areas which retain the greatest social benefit to the wider economy. In this manner it is possible to avoid huge economic consequences which can be attributed to recession with the societal cost of 2008’s estimated at 75% of annualised GDP8, globally. 9 Chapter 1 primarily examines that universal banking, was adopted in industrializing nations as a means to, “take advantage of structural incentives,10” and “compensate for structural impediments to growth11”. My argument follows that economies have evolved beyond early justifications for deregulation and that increases in leveraging, and decreases in capital Thom Wetzer, ‘In Two Minds: The Governance of Ring-Fenced Banks’ (2018) Journal of Corporate Law Studies 8 Brazier, A., (2016), ‘A macroprudential approach to bank capital: Serving the real economy in good times and bad’, speech available at: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/speech/2016/a-macroprudential-approach-to-bankcapital-serving-the-real-economy-in-good-times- and-bad 9 Understanding ‘ring-fencing’ and how it could make banking riskier (February 2018) accessible at: https://www.brookings.edu/research/understanding-ring-fencing-and-how-it-could-make-banking-riskier/ 10 Douglas J. Forsyth, Daniel Verdier , Routledge, The Origins of National Financial Systems: Alexander Gerschenkron Reconsidered, 2003 11 Ibid. 7 8 retention thresholds, among modern banks spell unrealistic budgetary liabilities for states made responsible for the universal bank as a whole. Therefore, Ring-Fence Banking (RFB) emerged in direct response to The Great Depression of 1929 under Glass-Steagall12. This historical outlook is important because evaluating the effectiveness of today’s RFB must begin with the strength and permanence of prior regulation. Notably, if Glass-Steagall’s stipulations were considered across global policy, there may not have been a need for the reintroduction of RFB measures. However, this was not the case. De-regulation culminates in “GLBA” which contributed significantly to 2008’s recession by failing to mitigate ‘too big to fail’ and a ballooning risk13. Chapter 3 continues with an analysis of the effectiveness of modern “Dodd-Frank” in light of Glass-Steagall and the regulatory enforcement which preceded it. This leads to RFB in the UK which has guaranteed economic security to an extent that deposit protection amongst consumer banks has been secured by the FCSC at £85,000. It is now widely recognised that the UK has implemented more stringent reforms than its western counterparts which offers valuable insight to the effectiveness of RFB as a whole. As a final point, I will summarise Basil III’s EU enforcement considering that the reforms here have been less restrictive upon banks. As such, the comparison offers insight to the commercial considerations behind banking regulation. 2) Regulatory battle – An American history of Ring-Fence Banking’s birth America offers optimal critical evaluation regarding the ongoing volte-face between ‘laissezfaire’ banking and a more regulated approach offered by ring-fencing. It’s history of policy conflict identifies the difficulty in upholding incentives for banking institutions to focus purely on commercial banking and a lesson of how deregulation can contribute to recession, considering events in 192914. Moreover, policy justifications can be ascertained from the birth of RFB here, given its introduction under Glass Steagall15. This chapter concludes on the 12 US Banking Act (1933) c. 89, 48 Stat. 162. Clayton D. Peoples, The Undermining of American Democracy: How Campaign Contributions Corrupt Our System and Harm Us All (2020) Routledge, p - 122 14 Simon Johnson, James Kwak, 13 Bankers: The Wall Street Takeover and the Next Financial Meltdown, (2011) Random House, p - 34 15 US Banking Act (1933) c.89, 48 Stat. 162 13 9 ceaseless, selfish conflict between regulators, policy-makers and banks whereby the promotion of individual, institutional interests progressively allowed nascent RFB policy to be undermined. Unless RFB legislation is made permanent, system-wide deregulation will, inevitably, occur which was evidenced by the “Grahamme Leach Bliley Act” (“GLBA”16). The act facilitated 2008’s recession and through a return to investment banking in universal banks, once more setting the stage for the 2008’s recession. 2.1: The last century – pre-conditions necessitating RFB Arguably, the battle with deregulation in global banking policy dates back to America, 1864 with congressional legislation stipulating that banks retain, “all such incidental powers as shall be necessary to carry on the business of banking17.” This lays the foundation for my essay with America acting as policy birthplace for RFB in an attempt to counter-act greed incentives which will typically emerge in the absence of ring-fencing of vital functions. Moreover, policy freedom was bolstered in 191418 as WW1 created an opportunity for western intervention upon external legal and economic regimes. This liberty was soon applied to foreign banks. In this sense, war bolstered an unprecedented international depositor base which created the first significant change to traditional, small-scale community banking. Furthermore, the expansion went on to endanger sound banking practice from the 1920’s. This aberration was also cemented by 1919’s Edge Act19. The statute gave legislative approval to federally chartered organisations for direct involvement with financial policy-making beyond the US – American banks rapidly adopted free reign to increase global depositor bases. As a consequence, investment centred activities hiked banking profits by the 1920s, stepping away from respected banking principles20. This change dramatically increased depositor bases (+5% p/a from 1921192921) which provided the necessary capital for creative expansion. 16 Financial Services Modernisation Act (1999) Pub.L. 106–102, 113 Stat. 1338 (1864) 12 USC §24(7) 18 Youseff Cassis, The Oxford Handbook of Banking and Financial History, 2010, OUP, p8 19 Federal Reserve Act (1919) ch. 6, 38 Stat. 251 20 Capie, F.; Fischer, S., Goodhart, C. and Schnadt, N. (eds), The future of central banking: the tercentenary symposium of the Bank of England, (1994) Cambridge, UK : Cambridge University Press, p - 19 21 Richard H Timberlake, ‘Money in the 1920s and 1930s’, Foundation for Financial Education, April 1st 1999 17 10 Come the 1920’s, development in the extent of investment activities undertaken by commercial banks had eliminated genuine economic competition, leaving only regulatory authorities powerful enough to influence banking practice. Banks grew capable of displacing traditional stock exchanges through direct involvement in investment advisory services22. This included trade in securities, investments, public offerings of securities, real estate mortgages, and consumer credit. These new activities meant that, private investors, households and businesses undertook “heavy debt burdens and risky investments that proved to be unviable when the U.S. economy entered a sharp recession in the summer of 192923”. It may be argued that these speculative ventures were undertaken by banks at the expense of trusted retail deposit-taking24. This demonstrated a turn from time-tested methods of capital generation in pursuit of profit. In essence, banks abused absent regulation and their own trusted reputation to achieve stratospheric growth. This perspective is furthered by Walcott’s view that the commercial banks of old, such as Kuhn Loeb and J.P Morgan, could not have financed such unprecedented growth without a turn to securities, stating “their growth has been phenomenal, coincident with the growth of the security business25.” This offers central insight in to the inevitability of banks reverting to profit-seeking behaviour in the absence of limiting regulation, or a ring-fenced approach. It is widely argued that without the creation of extensive credit and distribution facilities among banks, the extent of over-investment which preceded the Wall Street Crash would not have been possible26. This change was significant because it mirrors the pre-conditions of 2008’s recession. Perhaps if regulation had persisted then American born recessions may not have been as baring on the global economy. With this considered, banks are “crucial for economic growth27.” Therefore, the notion that they could have been, or can be, expected to limit their own financial development, through increasing revenues, is simply unrealistic. American 22 Kenneth D Garbade, Birth of a Market: The U.S. Treasury Securities Market from the Great War to the Depression, (2012) Massachusetts Institute of Technology, p - 187 23 Arthur E. Wilmarth Jr, ‘Did Univ Did Universal Banks Play a Significant Role in the U.S. E y a Significant Role in the U.S. Economy's Boom-and-Bust Cycle of 1921-33? A Preliminary Assessment’ (2005) George Washington Law school, accessible https://scholarship.law.gwu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2164&context=faculty_publications 24 International Monetary Fund, Current Developments in Monetary and Financial Law (volume 4), (2007) International Monetary Fund Publications, p-565 25 Senator Walcott, 75 Cong. Rec. 9904, 9906 (1932) 26 Current Developments in Monetary and Financial Law – 4, International Monetary Fund, p-540 27 Anjan V. Thakor, The Purpose of Banking: Transforming Banking for Stability and Economic Growth (2019) Oxford University Press 11 banks had been permitted to focus on capital generation at the expense of their prior customer dedication in commercial banking. Therefore, an argument arises that financial regulation is key to limiting the moral hazards undertaken by banks considering that bank liberalisation can be seen to encourage pursuits aligned solely to generating profit. This, necessary comes at the expense of economically desirable functions. Regulation was, however, insufficient. Moreover, the McFadden Act 192628 also failed as the sole a priori attempt to regulate bank abuses of scale by regulating individual branch function on an inter-state level. The act had intended to prevent national commercial banks from acting in contradiction to societal interest. However, federal regulatory powers had not yet been granted which allowed banks to continue to abuse their trusted position in investment-centric policy-making.29” This identifies how a stronger model is required which brewed ideas of separating universal banking functions under a ring-fence. All in all, these factors amount to the notion that regulation had proved to be insufficient but that some form of limitation to corporate governance would likely provide a better economic alternative than total freedom for financial institutions to pursue profit at the cost of financial security. 2.2: Wall Street crash From 1929 to 1932, the world was plunged into The Great Recession, where disinvestment occurred to unprecedented levels, as economies lost confidence in the recommendations of banks and their securities affiliates. The combined total of all common stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange fell by nearly 85 percent, from $82.1 billion to $12.7 billion,30 or a mere 88% of annualised GDP31. Likewise in 2008’s financial crisis, the market value of shares held in NYSE companies fell to 82% of GDP32. These figures identify the extensive loss of investment which often accompanies recession. They also identify a potential link between deregulation in both instances. In 2004, as a benchmark, the average investment holdings across the UK, US and France totalled a huge 186% of GDP33. The comparison in investment 28 McFadden Act Current Developments in Monetary and Financial Law – 4, International Monetary Fund, p-565 30 Barrie A. Wigmore, The Crash and Its Aftermath: A History of the Securities Markets in the United States, 1929–1933 (1985) Greenwood Press p 640–43 31 David Murillo, From Walmart to Al Qaeda: An Interdisciplinary Approach to Globalization, s4.3.2 32 Ibid. 33 Ibid. s4.3.2 29 12 as a proportion of GDP identifies the full extent to which a fall in investment may limit economic confidence during recession. Policymakers now widely accepted that the extended reach of banks and newfound domination in securities trading exacerbated the extent to which they, and their clients, were disaffected by the crash. This was, however a problem rooted in their own optimistic inaction. Under “relaxation of legal rules governing bank activities, banks had greatly expanded their financing of business firms and consumers through five major channels—loans on securities, securities investments, public offerings of securities, real estate mortgages, and consumer credit.34” Critics of the extended services offered by “department store banking35” approach, not limited to Senator Glass, suggested that corrupted securities and investment advise by commercial banks promoted “stock-gambling” and “over-investment in securities of all kinds36”. By implementing such detrimental policy change, banks took a back-step from their established commercial functions which “diverted from original purpose37” into risk-prone investment activity. Service (was) “devoted to speculation and international high finance38”. This overt pursuit of profit incentive was a re-occurring motive leading to both recessions. However, at this stage, it was determined that regulators had an obligation to enforce sound practices through legislation in order to return trust to banks. The first solution to this was presented in 1933, and Ring Fence Banking was born, through the Glass-Steagall Act39. 2.3: Glass Steagall – The provisions of early ring-fencing Ring-Fence Banking policy was crafted under direction from the newly established Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in 1933 with the passing of Glass-Steagall40. Amongst evident change to financial policymaking, it remained consistent that the board continued to be comprised of all 12 representing governors of each Federal Reserve Bank. However, FOMC now retained binding power to regulate American banks in the first significant attempt to Arthur E. Wilmarth Jr, ‘Did Universal Banks Play a Significant Role in the U.S. Economy's Boom-and-Bust Cycle of 1921-33? A Preliminary Assessment’ (2005) George Washington University Law School 35 Maury Klein, The Genesis of Industrial America, 1870–1920 (2007) Cambridge University Press, p127 36 77 Cong Rec. (1933) Re Senator Glass, 3725-26 37 77 Cong Rec. (1933) Re Henry Steagall, 3835 38 Ibid. 39 US Banking Act (1933) c.89, 48 Stat. 162 40 Ibid. 34 13 restore confidence in the banking system. In keeping with this drive towards the restoration of confidence, regulation was also introduced to reform the conduct of those underwriting securities in the Securities Act (1933), Securities Exchange Act (1934), Public Utility Holding Companies Act (1935) and the Investment-Companies Act (1940). Although, I will not explore these acts in detail given my focus on Ring-Fence Banking. Notwithstanding, these acts demonstrated, to broad opposition from bankers, economists and even the Chair of the Federal Reserve Board41, the first acceptance of a regulatory failure to prevent financial crisis. Broadly, Glass-Steagall act can be divided into two equally significant sections; 1) Separation of commercial and investment banking (sections 5, 16, 20, 21, 32) and; 2) Restrictions upon the use of banks for speculation (sections 3, 7, 9, 11)42. Under the segregation of commercial and investment banks; regulators imposed a fixed ring fence upon the distinct activities performed by distinct banking institutions. Under section 7, deposit-taking amongst firms already involved with the exchange of securities was deemed unlawful practice from one year past the Banking Act’s accession into law (33 June 1933)43. This demonstrates the clear, hurried attempt to address universal banks, identifying significant responsibilities for the recession, incorporating a range of influential findings, including the report issued by the National Industrial Conference Board44. The act initiated a specific focus upon regulating the future conduct of commercial banks in an attempt to assure trust in their essential deposit-taking functions. Thus the underwriting of securities, the active trading in bonds under a common fund and advisory of customers, with regard to investments, by commercial banks became prohibited actions45. Consequently, even the sharing of mutual directories between banks and their securities affiliates was rendered unlawful46. This change assured that the bodies could operate distinctly and that shaken confidence in investment banks did not carry to savings institutions. The changes which were implemented implied a federal obligation to correct the market failure which had occurred in banking and investment markets. Fundamentally, in a simpler era of banking, regulators implemented all possible such necessary measures as to prevent the policies of the 1920s from repeating. 41 Eugene Meyer, Federal Reserve Bulletin (April 1932) Federal Reserve Board, p206-222 Howard H Preston, ‘The Banking Act of 1933,’ The American Economic Review, Vol. 23, No. 4 (1933) p-585607 43 US Banking Act (1933) c.89, 48 Stat. 162 – s21 44 The Banking Situation in the United States (1932); Availability of Bank Credit (1932) 45 US Banking Act (1933) c.89, 48 Stat. 162 – s5,16,20 46 Ibid. s-32 42 14 Similarly it is noteworthy that, seeking to guarantee that credit was allocated to sound ventures, and not merely those which were optimally profitable, the act defeated purely speculative bank investment. It accomplished this through instigating specific responsibility for Federal Reserve Banks (FRB) to stay informed regarding the nature of credit uses whether for genuine business, real estate, commodities or speculation. In doing so, the act also gave powers of suspension where undue uses of capital were observed47. Secondly, distinct regional loan to capital ratios became an additional regulatory power of regional FRBs; they were able to control further increases in loans conducted by banks which prevented rediscounting (see definition48) privileges being abused49. Section 7 was key because it limited the government obligation inherited from undue use of surplus reserve capital for bank profit without the assumption of risk50. The FRB was equally granted increased control over support loans to member banks with the loan period being extended from a maximum of fifteen to ninety days with the ability to immediately recall if non-compliance with the aforementioned conditions was observed51. Finally, section 11 fused these two broad purposes of the 1933 Banking Act by preventing banks from acting as loan broking agents on behalf of non-banking organisations52. In summary, the act culminates in specific powers for the FRB and effective regulation to policy risk-prone investment banking decisions. Under perfect conditions, these being continually observed could have mitigated the recessions of recent years considering their origins in unsound investment. However, Glass-Steagall did not remain enforced and reform undid many of the idealistic principles as I will explore. 2.4: “The business of banking” - discretionary departure from Glass-Steagall Banking regulation progressively evolved in favour of economic interests under intense pressure from capitalism itself. Going forth from the Banking Holding Company Act, banks gained selective permission to conduct non- banking business53, fuelling expansion. This contributed to the ‘Golden Age of Finance’54 which eventually resulted in total abolition of 47 Ibid. s-3 James Ken, ‘Rediscount’ (2020) accessible at: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rediscount.asp 49 US Banking Act (1933) c.89, 48 Stat. 162, s-7 50 Ibid. s7 51 Ibid. s9 52 Ibid. s11 53 Bank Holding Company Act (1956) P. Law, 84-511, 70 Stat. 133 54 Michael John Webber, The Golden Age Illusion: Rethinking Postwar Capitalism (1996) The Guildford Press, p - 28-40 48 15 Glass-Steagall. Although other cases had emerged55, the first significant departure56 from the principles of segregated investment and consumer banking was witnessed in Securities Industries Association v Clarke (1990)57. In this instance, the US Appeals Court re-interpreted what constituted, “incidental powers as shall be necessary to conduct the business of banking.58” Furthermore, the case enabled banks to perform any such activities which the Comptroller of the Currency deemed appropriate to sustaining banking interests. Consequently, the court found that the creation of securities linked to mortgages under the banks customer base could be considered as “the business of banking” rather than the restricted practice of “business of dealing in securities and stock” banned under s24(7). In essence, this was the first opportunity for banks to amalgamate securities based functions under a commercial bank. This departed from Glass-Steagall’s stringent separation of commercial and investment banking. Changes to regulatory interpretation were cemented with further elaboration by America’s Supreme Court, with binding effect on lower courts, in “VALIC59.” The case continued with an open critique of the five specific banking activities which banks had been limited to by s24(7). These fixed actions which commercial banks were now restricted to were; discounting and negotiating promissory notes; receiving deposits; buying and selling exchange, coin, and bullion; loaning money on personal security; issuing and circulating notes. It had been determined that this fixed group of functions lacked the comprehensiveness that banks required in order to competitively conduct their business since Clarke. For this reason, judges referred to the fact that the burden of interpretation in such cases rested with the Comptroller of the Currency. The effect of this was to bolstered discretion over constructionism, warranting an expansion in commercial banking functions in securities, so long as these “kept within reasonable bounds.60” However, these limited conditions were insufficient to deter banks from the pursuit of profit. In this sense, scope was provided for banks to explore options beyond the traditional realms of commercial banking once more. 55 A.G. Becker Inc. v. Board of Governors, Etc., 519 F. Supp. 602 (D.D.C. 1981) Gary Rice and Steven Delott, ‘Travelers Group, Citicorp And The Federal Reserve,’ Journal of International Banking and Financial Law (1998) 5 JIBFL 174 57 Securities Industries Association v Clarke, 885 F2d 1034 (2d Cir), cert denied, 493 US 1070 (1990). 58 12 USC §24(7) 1864 59 Nationsbank of North Carolina v Variable Annuity Life Insurance Co, 513 US 251 (1995). 60 Nationsbank of North Carolina v Variable Annuity Life Insurance Co, 513 US at 258-259 (1995) n2. 56 16 As a result, the Comptroller of the Currency was given the tools to establish an adapted framework for identifying banking activities analogous to “the business of banking.” Broadly, these may be summarised as a three stage examination: “(i) whether an activity is functionally equivalent to, or a logical outgrowth of, a recognized bank power; (ii) whether the activity benefits bank customers and/or is convenient or useful to banks; and (iii) whether the activity presents risks of a type similar to those already assumed by banks61.” This test looked towards discretion, arguing that it would more responsive to the rapid developments in banking which required altogether different policies to Glass-Steagall.62 In this manner, American banks would be able to remain competitive in an increasingly globalised banking world with financial deregulation across the water proving hugely successful for Britain’s financial institutions with Lawson’s ‘Big Bang’ in London since 1986. It may be inferred that, once more, America was incentivised by a profit motive with the detriment of financial deregulation a very distant memory by this stage. It is equally indicative of international deregulation which was a central characteristic foreshadowing 1929’s recession as mentioned on page 13. The Comptroller of the Currency had already granted national banks the freedom to create operating subsidiaries in 1965 to provide scope for future amendment to banking regulation under changes of circumstance. Therefore, following the aforementioned changes in “VALIC”, the Comptroller promulgated an increased range of banking functions through subsidiaries. Ergo, it was determined that the 5 limitations which had broadly dictated and restricted the banking activities of national commercial banks no longer applied in the instance of bank subsidiaries. The courts were unlikely to oppose this change given that deference to the Comptroller’s decisions had been given early precedent in 1971’s Investment Company Institute v Camp63. The same notion was later paraphrased and reiterated in “VALIC” which stated that, “the Comptroller of the Currency is charged with the enforcement of banking laws to an extent that warrants the invocation of this principle with respect to his deliberative conclusions as the meaning of these laws.64” This provided an effective loophole to undermine the restrictions which had once governed American banks. The result was rapid jurisprudential volte-face which would soon pave the way for a change in the conduct of banks aswell as the policy pursuit of regulators. As such, de-regulation became a fashion. 61 Williams & Jacobsen, “The Business of Banking: Looking to the Future” 50 Bus Law 783, 798 (1995). Williams & Gillespie, “The Business of Banking: Looking to the Future – Part II” 52 Bus Law 1279 (1997) 63 Investment Company Institute v Camp 401 US 617, 626, 627 (1971) 64 Nationsbank of North Carolina v Variable Annuity Life Insurance Co (1995) 513 US at 256–257 62 17 These changes soon culminated in mergers, operational changes to the subsidiaries of national banks and, eventually, legislated deregulation. Long-standing American institution Zions First National Bank applied the following year for license to operate mortgage bond underwriting services which was awarded by the Comptroller. This demonstrated an even greater application of discretion by the Comptroller in direct contradiction to Glass-Steagall’s explicit separation of commercial banking and the exchange of securities. Even more impactful to the established regulation was the $75billion merger of Travelers and Citycorp65 which demonstrated the first overt incorporation of commercial banking to an extended range of functions. The merger was quickly approved, and Citygroup created, following rapid approval by the Federal Reserve Board. The acceptance was once again reminiscent of self-interested competition as it presented benefit to even the Federal Reserve Board, forever seeking to expand upon the regulatory powers vested upon it by law. In this sense, deregulation became equally desirable to traditionally opposing interests amongst bankers, economists and the FRB alike. It is arguable that “Citigroup typifies so many abuses in the banking industry over the last half century66,” prudent Wall Street analyst Mike Mayo debated whilst equally suggesting it was this very ignorance of legislation which set pace for the upcoming Wall Street Crash. In any case, it is evident that courts, regulators and the FRB had hugely facilitated the process, seeking to further their own interests, allowing Glass-Steagall’s banking restrictions to be undermined. Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act – de-regulating American banks The regulatory pressure in aversion to bank ring-fencing was underscored by Congressional support for the changes which had already been enacted in November 1999. This took shape in the “Gramm-Leach Bliley Act67” (GLBA) which greeted the new decade with, “a prudential framework for the affiliation of banks, securities firms, insurance companies and other financial services providers68”. In practice, the act legislates extended ‘umbrella’ powers for the Federal Reserve Board to regulate the conduct of all financial services holding companies. Therefore, the act is indicative of the pressure which had caused Congressional ignorance and promoted fused activities between commercial banking, securities advise and direct Mitchell Martin, International Herald Tribune, ‘Citicorp and Travelers Plan to Merge in Record $70 Billion Deal : A New No. 1:Financial Giants Unite’, (April 7th 1998), New York Times, accessible at: https://www.nytimes.com/1998/04/07/news/citicorp-and-travelers-plan-to-merge-in-record-70-billion-deal-anew-no.html 66 Exile on Wall Street: One Analyst's Fight to Save the Big Banks from Themselves 67 Financial Services Modernization Act (1999) Pub. L. 106–102, 113 Stat. 1338 68 Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act: Conference Report (to Accompany S. 900) (1999) U.S Congress 65 18 investment. It is equally evident of the departure from legislative controls over the conduct of banks – the act heralded a return to universal banking. The Financial Services Modernisation Act (GLBA) details the explicit repeal of GlassSteagall69. This identifies diversion in from restrictions on banking conduct, favouring a more laissez-faire approach. Regulators sought to accommodate a power shift to the discretion of the Federal Reserve Board, offering banks greater flexibility than “Glass-Steagall” from the outset. A hugely significant amendment to the Bank Holding Act of 1956,70 permitted banks to engage in the absolute discretionary range of securities, underwriting and investment based activity that the FRB deemed acceptable. The conditions of acceptance for new commercial banking activity under s103 “GLBA” were generally limited to only 2 factors which considered the action; “(A) to be financial in nature or incidental to financial activity; or (B) complementary to a financial activity and does not pose a substantial risk to the safety or soundness of depository institutions or the financial system generally71.” Although these conditions infer brief attentiveness to the huge baring of moral hazards in banking policy upon society, the act effectively adopted free reign for commercial banks to undertake new activities at the expense of securing bygone depositor security. As was expected by provisions regarding a purposive use of discretion considering the act’s intent72, the deregulation of banks contributed to a growth investment which had already been facilitated in aforementioned case law and the discretion of the Comptroller of the Currency/ FRB. Such conditions were nostalgic of the freedom which banks had assumed leading up to 1933’s financial crisis and would eventually lead to the dot-com bubble burst, and worse still, the Wall Street Crash. Policy justifications for RFB – minimising risk-prone activity and government liabilities America’s volte-face in RFB policy, academic insight and the recent evidence from global recessions form a rounded authority which provides that where banking regulation fails, economies do too73. It may surmised that regulatory failure often resides in the overt 69 Financial Services Modernization Act (1999) Pub. L. 106–102, 113 Stat. 1338, s101(a) Bank Holding Company Act (1956) Pub. L. 84-511, 70 Stat. 133, s4 71 Financial Services Modernization Act (1999) Pub. L. 106–102, 113 Stat. 1338, s103 72 Ibid. s103 (3) 73 Howard J Sherman , The Roller Coaster Economy: Financial Crisis, Great Recession and the Public Option, (2015) Routledge, p- 180 70 19 concentration which western corporate governance places upon shareholder value rather than social stability74. This fact has remained consistent across 21st Century economic ‘booms’ and the crises which have adhered closely to them. Moreover, Economists have argued that, where shareholder interests take primacy, banks will take decisions solely to maximise profit. This comes without regard to the value of commercial banking functions75. Such tendencies emphasise the importance of banking regulation being capable of withstanding an inevitable advocacy in favour of deregulation which permeates banking from all angles (addressed in the previous chapter.) Previously, regulators failed at preventing banking operations from sole focus on monetary incentive. Considering this, regulation going forth must permanently assure that banks can not shy away from social responsibilities by selfishly dedicating to the most profitable activities possible. Leading banks must be made to pursue objectives beyond institutional gain and advocate for greater society or they will consciously bare cost upon taxpayers76. Banking functions are entirely unique in their socio-economic purpose which is why governments seek to protect them. First and foremost, they offer an intermediary service for direct monetary transfer in both payment and receipt, demonstrating a hugely efficient method of capital allocation77. They are equally responsible for savings which are a prerequisite to the levels of personal stability required to guarantee future among economic agents or the populations of western society. Without this stability, the capability for consumers to commit to repeat or future payments is diminished. More specifically, banking institutions are the sole supplier who are able to offer a platform for liquidity, allowing maturity and credit transformation78 across finance. Evidently, these are all socioeconomically desirable functions which justify why governments proactively seek to avoid the failure of commercial banks during recessions. P Davies, ‘Shareholders in the United Kingdom’ in R Thomas and J Hill (eds), Research Handbook on Shareholder Power (2015) Edward Elgar 75 JR Macey, ‘An Economic Analysis of the Various Rationales of Making Shareholders the Exclusive Beneficiaries of Corporate Fiduciary Duties’ (1992) Stetson Law Review Vol. 21, 23-44 76 House of Commons, Exporting out of recession: third report of session 2009-10, Volume 2, EV 18, Q158, as per Lord Jones of Birmingham 77 Thom Wetzer, ‘In Two Minds: The Governance of Ring-Fenced Banks’ (2018) Journal of Corporate Law Studies, p- 5 78 W. W. Rostow, The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non-Communist Manifesto, (1990) Third Edition, Cambridge University Press, ch.5, p - 59 74 20 However, structural fragilities are often exposed during economic downturns. This has left banks prone to runs in recent years79 which give rise to the potential for significant government liabilities. Mitigating these which should be at the heart of financial policymaking. During recessions, markets experience exponential decreases in the value of investments, particularly in the case of leveraged options created by banks or their security affiliates. Consequently universal banks, whose extensive capital allocation to risk-prone sectors is high in the absence of regulation, are likely to experience serious liquidity and solvency dangers. This creates the beginning of liabilities because, due to the aforementioned reasons, government bodies have no choice but to bail-out the bank as a whole. Worse still, these solvency problems are not isolated to financial institutions due to the aforementioned reliance on banks across industry. This often means that liquidity issues can be experienced system wide as contagion which disaffects the financial health of other industries and business80. Going further, insolvency across businesses often follows recessions which is how wider economic depressions occur81. This regressive process explains how a system wide financial crisis may evolve - Widely distributed losses are hugely exacerbated by the failure of Systematically Important Banks (SIB)82. It is this ‘credit crunch’ which creates long-term liquidity issues for banks and the wider economy, which rely upon them to sustain consumption as a vital component of demand, thus deepening economic crises83. Therefore, policy should focus on protecting commercial banking functions. In any case, reliance upon bail-outs for the universal bank exacerbates the moral hazards undertaken by banks84. Furthermore, regulations must also proactively avoid responsibility for the irresponsible management of funds through investment banking. This is where RFB is emerges as a successful method of limiting national exposure to the failure of SIBs. D Diamond and P Dybvig, ‘Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity’ (1983) Journal of Political Economy Vol. 91, Issue 3, 401-419; HS Shin, ‘Reflections on Northern Rock: The Bank Run that Heralded the Global Financial Crisis’ (2009) Journal of Economic Perspectives Vol. 23, No. 1, 101-119 80 S Benoit, J-E Colliard, C Hurlin and C Perignon, ‘Where the Risks Lie: A Survey on Systemic Risk’ (2015) HEC Paris Research Paper No. FIN-2015-1088. 81 J Armour, ‘Making Bank Resolution Credible’ in N Moloney, E Ferran and J Payne (eds), The Oxford Handbook of Financial Regulation (2015) Oxford University Press 82 T Adrian and HS Shin, ‘Liquidity and Leverage’ (2010) Journal of Financial Intermediation Vol. 19, No. 3, 418-437 83 C James, ‘The Losses Realised in Bank Failures’ (1991) Journal of Finance Vol. 46, No. 4, 1223-1242; MB Slovin, ME Sushka and JA Polonchek, ‘The Value of Bank Durability: Borrowers as Bank Stakeholders’ (1993) Journal of Finance Vol. 48, No. 1, 247-266; AB Ashcraft, ‘Are Banks Really Special? New Evidence from the FDIC-Induced Failure of Healthy Banks’ (2005) American Economic Review Vol. 95, No. 5, 1712-1730. 84 Heidi Mandanis Schooner, Michael W. Taylor, Global Bank Regulation: Principles and Policies, (2009) Academic Press, p -64 79 21 To elaborate on ‘moral hazards’ which purvey universal banking, increased risk-prone activity is often undertaken under the notion of being ‘too big to fail’. Authorities commonly elect to support a failing SIB with a bailout of sorts, rather than running the risks insolvency might entail85. When faced with declines in the economic climate, as in 2008’s Depression, they prevent runs on banks and short term creditors by insuring deposits86. This could be bearable if isolated to commercial banking. However, responsibility for the concurrent failure of investment banking functions of universal banks spells unrealistic liabilities. This is due to an intense concentration of bank capital allocated to investment and securities markets. In 2008, Anglo-American Banks relied upon support for the entire bank which demonstrates a failure in the universal banking regime which must be avoided by the present and future implementation of RFB. Furthermore, a general rule may be established that reliance on being ‘too big to fail,’ or being reassured in the provision of government support for riskier functions, negatively interacts with taxpayer liabilities when banking policies surround shareholder primacy87. It should be an expectation that banks will adapt to regulation and implement policy change to adopt greater systemic risk in order to maximise the use of free insurance. This translates to the risk-prone ventures, which I have previously explored, reliance upon cheaper and more unstable funding and an exponential growth in the use of leverage88 in their capital structure. Ring-fencing must therefore target these areas and set strict limits on the extent of leverage undertaken and their responsibility for each banking function in order to avoid moral hazards. Going further still, RFB should allow governments to control funding and implement discretional support outside of areas where banks have been reckless in their ventures. This is often difficult considering that banks proactively seek to increase the likelihood of state support through complicated resolutions in order to increase their systemic importance Thom Wetzer, ‘In Two Minds: The Governance of Ring-Fenced Banks’ (2018) Journal of Corporate Law Studies, p - 6 86 Jeffrey Friedman, What Caused the Financial Crisis (2011) University of Pennsylvania Press, p- 60 87 J Armour and JN Gordon, ‘Systemic Harms and Shareholder Value’ (2014) Journal of Legal Analysis Vol. 6, No. 1, 35-85; M Roe, ‘Structural Corporate Degradation Due to Too-Big-To-Fail Finance’ (2014) 162 University of Pennsylvania Law Review Vol. 162, 1419-1464; J.E. Fisch, ‘The Mess at Morgan: Risk, Incentives, and Shareholder Empowerment’ (2015) University of Cincinnati Law Review Vol. 83, No. 3, 651684. 88 AD Morrison, ‘Systemic Risks and the “Too-Big-To-Fail” Problem’ (2011) Oxford Review of Economic Policy Vol. 27 No. 3; A Admati and M Hellwig, The Bankers’ New Clothes – What’s Wrong with Banking and What to Do About It (2013) Princeton University Press 85 22 through growth in scale89. Therefore, RFB should attempt to limit the extent which activities come under one singular capital fund in order to mitigate liability for the institution as a whole. This prevents banks from becoming ‘too big to fail’. In effect, this primarily means targeting banking activities which are arbitrary and merely allow an increased scope of activities90 in order for increased importance. Secondly, regulators must seek to avoid the capacity for banks to be unnecessarily complicated so that direct bail-outs can be as efficient and effective as possible91. This averts the scenario which became prevalent in the prior recession whereby government was made responsible for institutions that were widely involved with investment alone, simply due to an inability to isolate funding to more essential areas. Finally, regulation should seek to avoid banks with inter-connected functions beyond absolute necessity92. This, once more guarantees that funding may be appropriated where it is needed most and that banks can not cover themselves under the guise of riskier investments being essential to truly necessary commercial banking. To conclude, governmental responsibility for bank failures are eventually borne by the taxpayer through direct financial responsibility for bail-outs in national debt and the necessary universal credit pay-outs akin to recessions. It is this liability which highlights the weight of this dissertation and identifies two significant advantages which successfully enacted RFB policy must provide for government. Ring-fencing must permit; 1) government to be selective in bail outs and target only the vital commercial banking functions in order to incentivise banks not to rely upon being ‘too big to fail’93 and; 2) banks to be restricted from the risk-prone activities which their governance structures tend to undertake94, knowing that the entirety of their functions are supported by ‘free’ deposit insurance. RFB must, therefore, E Kane, ‘Incentives for Banking Megamergers: What Motives Might Regulators Infer from Event-study Evidence?’ (2000) Journal of Money, Credit and Banking Vol. 32 No. 3; VV Acharya, D Anginer and AJ Warburton, ‘The End of Market Discipline? Investor Expectations of Implicit Government Guarantees’ (2016) Working Paper. 90 See RW Ferguson, P Hartmann, F Panetta and R Portes, International Financial Stability (CEPR 2007); J Brewer and J Jagtiani, ‘How Much Did Banks Pay to Become Too-Big-To-Fail and to Become Systemically Important?’ (2013) Journal of Financial Services Res. Vol. 34. 91 R Herring and J Carmassi, ‘The Corporate Structure of International Financial Conglomerates: Complexity and Its Implications for Safety and Soundness’ AN Berger, P Molyneux and JOS Wilson (eds), The Oxford Handbook of Banking (2010) Oxford University Press 92 K Judge, ‘Interbank Discipline’ (2013) 60 UCLA Law Review 1262, 1267 93 University of Michigan, Too Big to Fail?: The Role for Bankruptcy and Antitrust Law in Financial Regulation Reform, Part 1 (2010) US Government Printing Office 94 E Perotti, L Ratnovski, R Vlahu, ‘Capital Regulation and Tail Risk’ (2011) International Monetary Fund (working paper) p - 8 89 23 provide the capacity for banks to be made responsible for their successes and failures, rather than greater society who rely upon them. 4) Anglo-American RFB post-2008 Going forth, this chapter addresses the effectiveness of the global implementation of RFB, addressing US, UK and European policy in light of; 1) significant impacts of recessions in these states and; 2) the differences in their policy implementation of RFB. American regulation sets precedent for the global standard in legislation, with changes implemented under the “Dodd- Frank” act, attempting to segregate commercial banking from investment based functions. This intent has been widely mirrored in the UK, but falls short in Europe. This chapter also address how financial policy boards have been established in each banking region in order to add ‘teeth’ to discretion so that regulators may respond to changes in banking practice without stifling economic activity. It will examine their permanence and the extent to which a discretionary body may retain any permanence at all. Finally, this chapter explore the specific banking requirements of each area to assess the comprehensiveness of RFB in all of these regions. 4.1: American RFB policy In direct response to the financial crisis, the USA fortified RFB policy, heralding reversion in the international jurisprudence for bank deregulation. Furthermore, regulation directly addressed calls for ‘stronger standards,’ to protect against “moral hazards presented by (potentially unlimited, free) deposit insurance95”. Likewise, Obama announced his intention to bring an end to the concept of ‘too big to fail96’. Consequently, the Restoring American Financial Stability Act (Bill) 2010 (“RAFSA”) introduced notional discretionary supervisory bodies to govern banks. “Dodd Frank”97 then cemented draft legislative provisions and set strict limits on the risk-prone functions which had permeated American banking. Change came with the realisation amongst known advocates of deregulation, including Citygroup’s 95 J Friedman, W Kraus, Engineering the Financial Crisis: Systemic Risk and the Failure of Regulation (2011) University of Pennsylvania Press, p114 96 The White House, President Obama Calls for New Restrictions on Size and Scope of Financial Institutions to Rein in Excesses and Protect Taxpayers (2010) Office of the Press Secretary 97 Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (2010) Pub. L 111-203 24 Chairman98, that Glass-Steagall had successfully mitigated financial crises for over half a century. Therefore, acceptance of deregulation’s failure had inspired legislative reform of corporate governance. This paved the way for a return to the segregation of retail banking, requiring that economically vital activity was kept in a ring-fence. However critics, on both sides, have since argued for both stricter reforms and a return to deregulation. Such conflict, among Trump’s partial amendments to banking regulation99, bring the overall success of the act into question. This calls for a summary of American RFB, examining what remains of Dodd-Frank. Moreover, American regulation’s effectiveness at shielding retail banking from the risk-prone investment practices which contributed to preceding recessions, may now be brought in to question. Originally, Dodd-Frank established specific limitations on retail banking institutions engaging in proprietary or financial trading, limiting government responsibility for failures due to mismanagement. This is conducted through under the ‘Volcker-Rule’ or s619 of Dodd-Frank100. The act makes formal amendments to the Bank Holding Act of 1956101 which state transparent restrictions to banking activities being conducted under one holding company and requiring subsidiaries for separate functions. Specifically, the amendments provide that banks may not engage in proprietary trading102, nor acquire equities, partnership or ownership interests in hedge funds or investments103. This signifies a return to bank regulation with limitations on the profit seeking nature of American corporate governance. RASFA, or the “Dodd-Bill”, introduced notional supervisory bodies in order to provide ‘teeth’ to the implementation of banking regulation. This aim was eventually enacted by the Dodd-Frank Act which begun by dissolving the Office of Thrift Supervision, concurrently bolstering additional supervisory powers in the Federal Deposit Insurance Cooperation (“FDIC”). The FDIC has allowed deposit insurance which guarantees $250,000 of protection to customers of member banks. Equally, additional powers conferred in the newly formed 98 S Denning, "Rethinking Capitalism: Sandy Weill Says Bring Back Glass-Steagall" (2012) Forbes, Quoting interview on CNBC's Squawk-Box 99 Jacob Pramuk, Trump signs the biggest rollback of bank rules since the financial crisis, CNBC accessible at: https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/24/trump-signs-bank-bill-rolling-back-some-dodd-frank-regulations.html access date: 11th January 2020 100 Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (2010) P.Law 111- 203, 124 STAT. 1620, s619 101 Bank Holding Company Act (1956) P. Law, 84-511, 70 Stat. 133, s13 102 Ibid. s13(1)(a) 103 Ibid. s13(1)(b) 25 Consumer Financial Protection Bureau aimed at creating transparency and fairness in mortgages, credit cards and other financial products104. These two institutions seek to implement RFB reform from the consumer end and ascertain protections for deposits and retail banking functions. Overall, the bodies provide an impression of greater security for bank customers. Furthermore, in order to address the banking or supply side issues in finance, Dodd Frank created the Financial Stability Oversight Council (“FSOC”)105 in order to provide additional scrutiny to non-banking affiliates of banks. FSOC was established with clear goals of maintaining order in the banking sector and retains specific powers to regulate “nature, scope, size, scale, concentration, interconnectedness, or mix of the activities106” performed by financial firms linked to a bank holding company. These competences indicate the extensive controls which Dodd-Frank has retained across financial institutions. While enacting these powers, the FSOC may consider; the leverage of relevant firms107, the nature and extent of off-balance sheet exposures108 and the extent and nature of the transactions and relationships with the bank-holding company109. The relevant information for such decisions rests with the insider Office of Financial Research (“OFC”) which sits within the treasury. Considering its supporting role, the institution equally helps to “promote financial stability” and shine a light in hidden corners to expose threats to the financial system110. These institutions do indicate, to a large extent, that American regulation has successfully taken steps in order to create a permanent ring-fenced system. Their inter-relationship provides an enforcement web which undermines the ability for abuses of the system to be lead by one institution in a similar fashion to that of the Comptroller of the currency and Glass Steagall. With this said, it must be considered that there is still an element of discretion as to the extent of regulation and which activities are considered an economic threat. It is also noteworthy this discretion may Federal Register, ‘Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’ (2020) Daily Journal of the United States Government, National Archive, accessible at: https://www.federalregister.gov/agencies/consumer-financialprotection-bureau access date: 21st January 2020 105 Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (2010) P.Law 111- 203, 124 STAT. 1398, s111 106 Ibid. s113(a)(1) 107 Ibid. s113(2)(A) 108 Ibid. s113(2)(B) 109 Ibid. s113(2)(C) 110 Office for Financial Research, ‘About the OFR’ (2020) Office for Financial Research, accessible at: https://www.financialresearch.gov/about/ access date: 3rd February 2020 104 26 signify weakness as comprehensive regulation should leave room for contingencies111 within the legislation itself. In this case, it remains to be seen whether RFB will retain permanence in America. 4.2: Graphical representations of the effectiveness of American RFB 112 Despite the aforementioned restrictions set out by the “Volcker rule”, this graph represents the significance of trading, or securities exchange in direct contradiction of the fact that these activities should not be conducted by the same holdings company. This indicates that illicit exchange activity is still prominent amongst American banks who also partake in commercial functions. This means that breaches are already beginning to occur in favour of profit in the corporate governance model of respected institutions. This evidences shareholder value driven banking policy culminates with the laissez faire legislative approach promulgated by Trump113 in order to increase the extent of securities activities since the inception of DoddFrank. The graph illustrates how growth has been encouraged at the expense of adherence to the legislation and poorly enacted powers by the FOMC. K Pistor and C Xu, ‘Incomplete Law’ (2003) New York University Journal of International Law and Politics Vol. 35, No. 4: 931-1013, 932 112 Bloomberg LP, ‘The Volcker Rule’ (2019) Bloomberg accessible at: https://www.bloomberg.com/quicktake/the-volcker-rule access date: 4th March 2020 113 Dennis Kelleher, ‘Trump’s Assault on Financial Reform’, (2019) The American Prospect accessible at: https://prospect.org/economy/trump-s-assault-financial-reform/ access date: 14th January 2020 111 27 This graph is indicative of the inadequacy of consumer protection relating specifically to the mortgage aspects of retail banking. It offers an important insight considering the extensive impact of sub-prime mortgages collapses to banks immediately before the economy crashed. Dodd-Frank’s attempt to address this issue, from a consumer side, came in the aforementioned CFPB and s1405 of Dodd-Frank114. As the graph shows, the extent of overvalued or sub-prime mortgages has diminished, indicating benefit from a consumer side. Moreover, since its inception, the bureau has been an unmitigated success. “For every $1 of funding, the CFPB has returned approximately $5 to victims of financial wrongdoing; to date, it has returned nearly $12 billion to 29 million wronged Americans. Consumers have also 114 Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (2010) P.Law 111- 203, 124 STAT. 2141, s1405(1); Ibid. see Title XIV: Mortgage Reform and Anti-Predatory Lending Act 28 benefited from decreases in high-cost mortgages115”. Therefore, it may be ascertained that Dodd-Frank improved standards for safe mortgages and achieved its intention behind the to make sure America’s families could not be taken advantage by predatory companies. Highcost mortgages, as a share of total mortgages, have declined significantly since the financial crisis. This indicates improvement in preserving the value of wages considering the significance of mortgage debt to income ratio at an approximate 23-35%. 116 The above diagram portrays a general decline in the cost of personal loans to consumers of American banks along with the rates paid on credit card debt. This trend is further supports the previous diagram to suggest that the CFPB has improved conditions for bank customers. With this said, the red trend line indicating rates paid on personal loans was already in decline from the advent of GLBA which removed RFB under Glass Steagall. In this case, it G Gelzinis, M Zonta, J Valenti and S. Edelman, ‘The Importance of Dodd-Frank, in 6 Charts,’ (2017) Center for American Progress, accessible at: https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/economy/news/2017/03/27/429256/importance-dodd-frank-6-charts/ access date: 3rd March 2020 116 Board of the Federal Reserve System, ‘Consumer Credit – G.19: Consumer Credit Historical Data,” (2017) available at: https://federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/HIST/default.htm access date: 17th February 2020 115 29 may be suggested that the re-introduction of RFB has not affected the trend and therefore bares little impact on consumer loans despite the increased regulation on banking practice. 117 Community banks are a central aspect of economic prosperity and stability. They provide lending opportunities to small-scale, regional businesses and support to local clients who wish to operate beyond major banks. Furthermore, the widespread claim that community banks suffer under the Dodd-Frank’s stipulations118 is merely a façade to justify the progressive roll-back of financial reform. However, these graphs highlight that post-financial crisis regulation, under the passage of Dodd-Frank, the declining trend remains consistent rather than worsening as a result. This is reflective of the fact that RFB is at least no worse for small-scale banking than the deregulated system which preceded it. 4.3: United Kingdom’s RFB policy Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, “FDIC Community Banking Study Reference Data” (2017) FDIC, available at: https://www.fdic.gov/regulations/resources/cbi/data.html access date: 3rd March 2020 118 House of Representatives Committee on Small Business, ‘Where are We Now?: Examining the Postrecession Small Business Lending Environment’ (2013) US Government Printing Office, p – 53; Marshall Lux, ‘Dodd-Frank Is Hurting Community Banks,’ (2016) New York Times, accessible at: https://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2016/04/14/has-dodd-frank-eliminated-the-dangers-in-the-bankingsystem/dodd-frank-is-hurting-community-banks access date: 12th February 2020 117 30 The structure of banking legislation in the UK has evolved somewhat separately to its European counterparts due to legal restrictions adhering to banking deregulation since ‘Lawson’s boom’ and manifesting in concurrence with the US over the last century119. This has meant that the effects of the financial crisis were different, arguably being more profound, than the experiences of other EU member states. To ellaborate, the cost of the Depression to HM Treasury has been estimated at £1.2trillion120 or almost 80% of 2008’s GDP. Furthermore, reports from the outset pre-empted that the UK would incur the largest deficit increases as a result of these bail-out responsibilities121. This illustrates the importance of RFB here. Arguably huge liabilities, gained through government spending on bail-outs under the UK’s Financial Services Holdings company, warranted a total overhaul of the UK’s universal banking approach. The UK’s new RFB policy has since been explicit and widely-encompassing. This translates to some of the most comprehensive global banking regulation, adhering strongly to the ICB’s central focus on “financial stability and competition.122” Broadly, it prescribes that deposittaking activities must be segregated from investment and other risk-prone functions from 1st January 2019. Retail banking must now be conducted amongst other limited activities within the ‘ring-fenced body123.’ This insures that activities which are “critical to the operation of the real economy” are protected124. As such, the implementation of new Banking Reform Act legislation offers the most revolutionary legislation in UK financial services industry. It comes second only to MIFID II and has surpassed Brexit in cost, complexity and resources.125 This is a consideration which gives further grounds to the strategic importance of Ring-Fencing. Arguably, the strength of UK RFB regulation, compared to other western 119 Kern Alexander, Principles of Banking Regulation (2019) Cambridge University Press, p - 212 Federico Mor, Bank rescues of 2007-09: outcomes and cost, 8th October 2018, House of Commons (Briefing Paper) p – 5; National Audit Office, ‘The Comptroller and Auditor General’s Report to the House of Commons’ (2015) HM Treasury Resource Accounts - 2012-2013 121 Directorate for European Economic and Financial Affairs, Economic Crisis in Europe: Causes, Consequences and Responses (2009) European Communities, p – 41 accessible at: https://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/pages/publication15887_en.pdf (accessed 12th February 2020) 122 Independent Commission on Banking (‘ICB’), ‘Final Report: Recommendations’ (2011) (Working paper) p 19 - 20. 123 Thom Wetzer, ‘In Two Minds: The Governance of Ring-Fenced Banks’ (2018) Journal of Corporate Law Studies; Financial Services and Markets Act (2000) (‘FSMA’), as amended by the Financial Services (Banking Reform) Act (2013) 124 Independent Commission on Banking (‘ICB’), ‘Final Report: Recommendations’ (2011) (Working paper) p 35-40. 125 John Holt, ‘Foreign banks stand to benefit as ring-fencing deadline hits’ (2019) KPMG accessible at: https://home.kpmg/uk/en/home/media/press-releases/2018/12/foreign-banks-stand-to-benefit-as-ringfencingdeadline-hits.html accessed: 10th January 2020 120 31 regions, renders it internationally desirable as well as a potential limitation to the competitiveness of UK banks. Notably, the regulation covered, at first instance, 7 ‘core’ banks which are effected with deposits exceeding £25billion (averaged over a three year period); Barclays, Co-Operative, HSBC, Lloyds, RBS and Santander. This means an estimated minimum of 75% of UK consumer banks126 now enjoy £85,000 in retail deposit protection127. The coverage offers clear indication of explicit limitations on the scope of responsibility for governments; future bail-outs may be targeted to economically essential deposit-taking activity. It is equally expressive of specific coverage of retail banks which has been made possible only by isolating commercial banking from riskier functions. On deeper analysis, the ICB’s advisory report, coupled with amendments from the Parliamentary Commission128, laid the basis for the Financial Services Act 2013 (‘Banking Reform Act’), along with discretionary powers to combat bank mismanagement. Notably, the Banking Reform Act gives specific roles to the Prudential Regulation Authority (‘PRA’) and Financial Conduct Authority (‘FCA’) to ‘implement and develop ring-fencing policy129’ such as the aforementioned consumer protections. This identifies a clear strength in the regime because institutional discretion theoretically has the capacity to adapt to changes in governances issues which are faced. However, when considering the loosening of restrictions which can occur among regulatory bodies with discretionary power (mentioned in chapter 2.4), it could also signify an absence of permanence in the UK’s RFB legislation. Once more, this is important because for regulation to be complete, ex ante and prepared for all future contingencies130, it should not provide a wide role for discretionary bodies to determine future directional changes. Furthermore, the PRA’s advocacy that banks ‘should’ pursue Referring back to the Banking Reform Act, legislation lacks clarity in select areas. Specifically, although some areas are explicit, some degree of judgement must be applied to excluded banking conduct under the act. This is a notable weakness because it mirrors was how uncertainty was birthed under the original precedent for international RFB legislation in K Britton, Quarterly Bulletin q4 – 2016 (2016) Bank’s Major UK Deposit Takers Supervision Directorate, p – 164 127 Financial Services Compensation Scheme, ‘Banks and Building Societies,’ FSCS accessible at: https://www.fscs.org.uk/what-we-cover/banks-building-societies/ accessed: 3rd January 2020 128 Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards (‘PCBS’), First Report: First Report of Session 2012-13, HL Paper 98 129 Financial Services Modernisation Act (2000) s142H, amended by Financial Services Act (2013) s4(1) 130 K Pistor and C Xu, ‘Incomplete Law’ (2003) New York University Journal of International Law and Politics Vol. 35, No. 4: 931-1013, 932 126 32 America’s Glass-Steagall act. Moreover, the act refers to hedging exceptions131 liquid asset exceptions132 and collateral exceptions133. These are areas which require discretion to determine if conduct comes akin to a breach of the ring-fence and must be elaborated upon in greater detail as the RFB legislation evolves. European changes following the financial crisis European legislation is broadly encompassed by an adherence to the Global jurisprudence considering the extent to which banking policy has been assimilated from G-20 and the US. Driving for change in G-20, they adapted the Financial Policy Committee to the Financial Policy Board (FSB) which underscored genuine policy reform. Basel III was the eventual masterpiece of a turn towards the promotion of banking regulation which set out a system of macroprudential reforms in 2010 in order to maximise economic stability. Since, Basil III has implemented a “ Total Loss Absorbency Capacity” system134which assures that risk-prone banks of strategic importance are responsible for the failure of these ventures. In this approach, government bailouts will be funded by equity gained in the bailed out bank135. NOTES As a result, the Spanish banking sector has undergone extensive restructuring and consolidation. In the 2008–16 period, the number of credit institutions (excluding foreign branches) declined from 195 to 125 (Graph A.1, left-hand and centre panels), while total domestic banking system assets fell by around 20%. Consolidation was concentrated among savings banks, whose numbers fell from 45 to two. Some savings banks were acquired or 131 The Financial Services and Markets Act 2000, Excluded Activities and Prohibitions Order (2014) rr 6, 14 Ibid. rr 6(3)(a) 133 Ibid. rr 6(3)(b), 14(5) 134 Financial Stability Board, Adequacy of Loss-Absorbing Capacity of Global Systemically Important Banks in Resolution – Consultative Document (Nov. 10, 2014), www.financialstabilityboard.org/wpcontent/uploads/TLAC-Condoc-6-Nov-2014-FINAL.pdf. 135 Jeffrey N. Gordon, Wolf-Georg Ringe, Bank Resolution in Europe: The Unfinished Agenda of Structural Reform (2015) The Center for Law and Economic Studies Columbia University School of Law 132 33 absorbed by commercial banks or other savings banks, others were integrated into an Institutional Protection Scheme (IPS) or merged, with eight of the resulting saving banks being transformed into commercial banks (following a legal reform). In several cases, the integration processes involved more than one stage. Consolidation also occurred among cooperatives, with the main process being the establishment of an IPS that brought together 19 credit cooperatives. These changes have led to an increase in banking system concentration, with the domestic assets of the top five banks accounting for 65% of system assets in 2016, up from 51% in 2008. Structural adjustment is evident in bank distribution networks, with branch and employee numbers declining substantially (Graph A.1, right-hand panel), and staffing costs falling by 24% from 2008 to 2016. Bank balance sheets have been substantially strengthened, notably capital buffers, with the aggregate Tier 1 capital ratio rising from 7.8% in 2008 to 12.8% in 2016. 34 Figure 2: 35 Bibliography A Shleifer and R Vishny, ‘A Survey of Corporate Governance’ (1997) Journal of Finance Vol. 52, 737-783; H Hansmann and R Kraakman, ‘The End of History for Corporate Law’ (2001) Georgetown Law Journal Vol. 89, 439- 468; J Tirole, ‘Corporate Governance’ (2001) Econometrica Vol. 69, 1-35; C Mayer, 36