Relative valuation Relative valuation (Multiples) • • Assumption: similar assets should have similar prices Challenge: finding similar/comparable assets Basis – Price multiples – Enterprise Value (EV) multiples Process 1. Identify comparable assets (the peer group) and obtaining market values for these assets. 2. Convert these market values into standardized values relative to a key statistic (value drivers). Since the absolute prices of different firm’s assets cannot be compared this process of standardizing creates valuation multiples which gives price per unit of value driver 3. Apply the valuation multiple to the key statistic of the asset being valued, controlling for any differences between asset and the peer group that might affect the multiple. Price Multiples • Assumes that security prices move in response to value drivers and this rate of response remains comparable across peer firms Price to Earnings Ratio • Many analysts relate earnings per share to price. • The price-earnings ratio is calculated as the current stock price divided by annual EPS. – The Wall Street Journal uses last 4 quarter’s earnings – Forward P/E looks at the expected earnings in future Price per share P/E ratio EP S Price-to-sales ratio • Many analysts’ associate price of an asset to the firm’s sales • Price to sales ratio = Share price per share / Sales per share • Especially applicable if the assets’ value is associated to its sales performance (Eg. Manufacturing and trading firms, sales organisations) Price-to-book ratio • Many analysts’ associate price of shares to the book value of shares • Price to book ratio = Share price per share / Book value per share • Especially applicable if the firm’s value is associated to its underlying assets (Eg. Land bank for a developer) Price to CF ratio • Many analysts’ associate price of shares to the firm’s Cash Flow • Price to Cash flow ratio = Share price per share / Cash flow per share • Especially applicable if the firm’s value is associated to firm’s Cash generation capacity (Eg. Project based organizations) EV multiples • EV reflects on the market value of business (as a whole) • Enterprise Value = Mkt Value of shares + Mkt value of debt – Cash • Assumes that Enterprise value move in response to value drivers and this rate of response remains comparable across peer firms EV/Sales multiple • Many analysts’ associate Enterprise Value with the capability of the firm to generate sales • EV to sales multiple = EV / Sales EV to EBIT multiple • Many analysts’ associate Enterprise Value with the capability of the firm to generate EBIT • EV to EBIT multiple = EV / EBIT • Especially if the EV is derived out of firm’s Operating margins (when the fixed cost charges are included) EV to EBITDA multiple • Many analysts’ associate Enterprise Value with the capability of the firm to generate EBITDA • EV to EBITDA multiple = EV / EBITDA • Especially if the EV is derived out of firm’s Operating margins (when the fixed cost charges are ignored) Note: remember some firms might have fully depreciated (tangible) or amortized (intangible) assets making it difficult to compare them with firms having assets subject to depreciation and amortization.