Artificial Intelligence vs. Engineering Intelligence 1 whether AI can replace EI? Keivan Torabi, Ph.D., P.Eng. www.KeivanTorabi.com Professional Engineers Ontario, East-Central Region Councillor https://www.peo.on.ca/about-peo/council/2019-2020-council/keivan-torabi-phd-peng CBC, January 02, 2020 2 One Unique Characteristic of Engineers Capable of Extrapolating their Imaginations whereas, AI is for Interpolating Would it be possible for AI to replace Engineers!? 3 Meaning of the word “Engine” The word "Engine" is derived from the Latin word “Ingenium”, meaning Natural Talent or Genius. Which is in contrast to the wisdom gained from Practice or Experience, which is the fundamental principle of AI! 4 5 Sizing a Pump! Using Berloni and Hagen–Poiseuille equations, Moody diagram, calculating friction, head-loss, Reynold No, pump characteristic curve, …. Well I was technically correct; but I didn’t impress my supervisor! Engineering Intelligence! 6 Can we capture our Engineering Intelligence and experience in Artificial Intelligence Apps! Instead of Handbooks! 7 Artificial Intelligence Application in Engineering One of the first books about Application of AI in Engineering was published in 1992… Artificial intelligence (AI) is concerned with designing intelligent computer systems that exhibit characteristics we associate with intelligence in human behavior. A key goal is to move beyond the principles of AI into its applications in chemical engineering. 8 What is AI anyways! Statistical Data Analysis 1920s Regression Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning 1990s Data Science Data & Database Technology 1990s from 1990s to 2020 What happened in the last 30 years Thanks to you, businesses & Industry Tones of Free Data 9 Cheep Computers Thanks to China 10 Search for AI Applications to generate value Fun Marketing Credit Check Diagnostics Healthcare Robotics Security Automation & Control Complexity & Consequences of Error AI Applications where the “Consequence” matters 11 Would U.S. Army rely on AI-controlled drone missions? No! because it is not accurate enough? Well, U.S. Army has been relying on intercontinental missiles since 1970s! Logical what is the difference? Programming Programing is isEI; EI;not notAI AI Do you take a ride with a Subway train or airplane which does no have a human driver? No! because it is too risky? Well; Vancouver SkyTrain has been in service since 1985! Losing Control & Comfort Levels Losing Control to AI is not Cool! Based on past observations and recorded experiences Losing Control to EI is OK! Based on science, logics, analysis and calculations 12 13 Safety Integrity Level (SIL) AI EI For Non-Safety Application No Consequence SIL0 Vital & Safety Significant Systems Life & Death SIL3 & SIL4 14 Finding a new Medicine Learning from Life Experience Observing past experiences (traditional medicine), reproducing, testing and developing new drugs, with 95% CL! + other Side Effects? Learning from Science & Analysis We may never figure out the Logic behind it Should we take the pill? or wait for ever, to figure out how it works! 15 Future trend… Extracting & Interpolating Data Exploring Data Extracting Knowledge Interpolating Multivariable AI: Deep Learning Neural Networks, SVM, Bayesian, …. Learn from extracted patterns and educate humans and tune machines… Learning, Training & Knowledge Discovery Extrapolating New Solutions & Products Using local insights to develop global solutions… Hierarchy of Decision Making in Complex Systems EI Decision Makers for Societal Challengers Decision Making Domain Science Domain AI 16 Industries interests (Economic, Social, Wisdom Environmental), Values, Preferences, Risks, Ethics Knowledge Options, Scenarios, Impact Assessments, Decision Support Systems , Integrated Models Information Data Analysis, Artificial Intelligence (AI), Semantic Web Technologies Info + Application Data + Added Meaning Big Data (Raw Input) Databases, Satellites, Sensor Networks, Social Media, Citizen Observatories,… R.Lokers et-al., Analysis of Big Data technologies for use in agro-environmental science, Environmental Modelling and Software (2016) And maybe his job too! Machine replaces his job! But not his job! 84 years ago Chaplin told us for certain jobs we need Machines; Not Humans… 17 18 AI vs. EI Would it be possible for AI to replace Engineers!?