COMM 447: Entrepreneurship & Small Business Management Business Plan: Panera Bread A Loaf of Bread in Every Arm Prepared for: Professor Marv Painter Prepared by: Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Date Submitted: Thursday, December 6, 2012 Panera Bread Business Plan Executive Summary Panera Bread is a limited service Bakery-Deli Café franchise. The company was founded in 1981 and since then, has become the industry leader in the bakery-deli segment, throughout the United States. Currently, Panera Bread has 1,625 operational Bakery-Deli Café’s located throughout forty four U.S. states (Panera Bread, 2012). Having built a strong franchise model, Panera Bread has successfully secured a recognizable brand image across the world. Panera Bread offers a wide variety of products which include freshly baked artisan breads, hand-crafted panini’s and sandwiches, hearty soups, hand-tossed salads, pastries, baked goods (muffins, scones, bagels, and rolls), as well as specialty beverages. In addition to providing high quality products at a relatively low price point, Panera Bread is also recognized for providing exceptional customer service and a warm, inviting atmosphere. Operations Plan The Panera Bread franchise model will be incorporated. Kyla Schaan and Kate Simpson will be the key shareholders and will share an equal stake in the company. A Board of Directors which includes an Accountant, Lawyer, and a Professional in the food service industry will assist the two in high level decision making, to ensure the success of the franchise operation. Panera Bread will be located in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan on 1840 Eighth Street East. The building, which is approximately 3,888 square feet, will be leased from Colliers International. The location will serve as a strong competitive advantage for Panera Bread, as it is located along the main retail and restaurant artery within Saskatoon. This location is near key shopping malls, the University of Saskatchewan, and is in close proximity to the downtown core. Unlike many of its competitors, Panera Bread will be open seven days a week to serve several consumer segments. A capital budget of $829,250, which includes substantial leasehold improvements as well as furniture and fixtures, will be required to fund the start-up of this operation. Human Resources Plan Together, Kyla Schaan and Kate Simpson will own the Panera Bread franchise. Additional employees will be hired to fill the positions of Bakery Manager, Baker, Sandwich Artist, and Cashier Associate. Marketing Plan Panera Bread will compete with a variety of direct and indirect competitors, as the restaurant industry remains fierce. The direct competitors, classified as Bakery-Deli Café dining restaurants, include Earth Bound Bakery and Delicatessen, Jakes on 21st, Souleio Foods, Mulberry’s Bakery Café & Pub, Calories, Christie’s Il Secondo, Grandma Lee’s, and Caffee Sola. In addition, Panera Bread will also compete with a variety of indirect competitors. These include Specialty Bakeries, Grocery Stores with Bakery and Deli departments, as well as FastFood Restaurants. Panera Bread will be able to effectively differentiate itself from its competitors by providing Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan high quality products at a relatively low price point. Three viable consumer markets have been identified for Panera Bread to pursue; these include Baby Boomers, the Business Crowd, as well as University Students. Panera Bread will appeal to these consumer segments by providing an atmosphere which supports business meetings, group study sessions and general visiting with friends and family. Panera Bread will divert from traditional forms advertising and as such, will focus heavily on creating positive word of mouth communications within the identified target segments. To create initial awareness, Panera Bread will host a Grand Opening event that will feature live-on location radio coverage. Flyers and Brochures will be sent out to the target markets prior to the Grand Opening, to ensure awareness of the event. The Grand Opening will feature in-store sampling, ribbon cutting, and other activities. To create a loyal customer base, Panera Bread will also implement the MyPanera membership card, which will provide product discounts as well as free product to customers, based on tracked purchases. Throughout the remainder of the first year, a local Social Media strategy will be implemented. Panera Bread will create a Facebook and Twitter page which will be utilized to communicate special promotions, new product, and seasonal events. To create a positive image in the community, Panera Bread will also sponsor local charity events within the community of Saskatoon. Financial Plan The base case financial model for Panera Bread has been developed based on the critical variables of three hundred customers per day, and an average purchase price of $8.50. The franchise will realize a net loss of $92,257 and will have positive cash balance of $31,183 in year one. In the second year, Panera Bread will break even with a net income of $21,491, followed by substantial net income growth in subsequent years. A return on investment of 15% has been established for Panera Bread. Because of the prime location on Eighth Street as well as the strong brand name, Panera Bread has been classified as a relatively low risk franchise. As such, the financial model has provided a Net Present Value (NPV) of $248,248 and an Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 26.3%. Since the NPV is a positive value and the IRR exceeds the expected ROI, Panera Bread is proven economically feasible. Kyla Schaan and Kate Simpson will be moving forward with this venture, provided they are able to receive the capital required. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Table of Contents 1.0 Introduction ..........................................................................................................................................................5 1.1 Panera Bread.....................................................................................................................................................5 1.2 Restaurant Industry Overview ..........................................................................................................................6 1.3 Saskatoon Industry Overview...........................................................................................................................6 2.0 Operations Plan ....................................................................................................................................................7 2.1 Legal Structure .................................................................................................................................................7 2.2 Organizational Structure ...................................................................................................................................7 2.3 Board of Directors ............................................................................................................................................7 2.4 Site & Building Plan.........................................................................................................................................8 2.5 Floor Plan .........................................................................................................................................................9 2.6 Work Plan & Flow of Work .......................................................................................................................... 10 2.7 Quality Control .............................................................................................................................................. 11 2.8 Hours of Operation ........................................................................................................................................ 11 2.9 Average Business Day, Week, Month, Year ................................................................................................. 12 2.10 Supply Analysis ........................................................................................................................................... 14 2.11 Service Providers ......................................................................................................................................... 14 2.12 Capacity Limits ........................................................................................................................................... 14 2.13 Capital Budget ............................................................................................................................................. 15 2.14 Working Capital .......................................................................................................................................... 15 2.15 Cost of Goods Sold...................................................................................................................................... 15 3.0 Human Resources Plan ...................................................................................................................................... 16 3.1 Job Descriptions ............................................................................................................................................ 16 3.2 Human Resources Strategy............................................................................................................................ 19 3.3 Employee Recruitment .................................................................................................................................. 19 3.4 Human Resources Training ........................................................................................................................... 20 3.5 Human Resources Costs ................................................................................................................................ 21 4.0 Marketing Plan .................................................................................................................................................. 23 4.1 Market Analysis............................................................................................................................................. 23 4.2 The Marketing Mix........................................................................................................................................ 25 Product Offering .............................................................................................................................................. 25 Pricing Strategy ............................................................................................................................................... 25 Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Placement ........................................................................................................................................................ 27 Promotion ........................................................................................................................................................ 30 5.0 Financial Plan .................................................................................................................................................... 34 5.1 Financing Structure ....................................................................................................................................... 34 5.2 Debt Amortization ......................................................................................................................................... 34 5.3 Corporate Income Taxes................................................................................................................................ 34 5.4 Dividend Policy ............................................................................................................................................. 34 5.5 Economic Forecast ........................................................................................................................................ 35 5.6 Financial Analysis ......................................................................................................................................... 35 Projected Profits .............................................................................................................................................. 35 Projected Cash Flow ........................................................................................................................................ 35 Net Present Value ............................................................................................................................................ 35 Internal Rate of Return .................................................................................................................................... 35 Leveraged IRR................................................................................................................................................. 35 5.7 Risk Analysis ................................................................................................................................................. 36 5.8 Contingency Plans ......................................................................................................................................... 38 6.0 Summary............................................................................................................................................................ 38 References ............................................................................................................................................................... 39 Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan 1.0 Introduction 1.1 Panera Bread Panera bread is a limited service Bakery-Deli Café franchise. The company was founded in 1981 and since then, has become the industry leader in the bakery-deli segment, throughout the United States. With over 1,625 operational bakery-deli cafés in forty-four states across the U.S., Panera Bread continues to expand and succeed (Panera Bread, 2012). Having developed strong brand recognition across the world, Panera Bread has become well-known for providing freshly baked bread, a welcoming atmosphere and excellent customer service. Panera Bread provides high quality products at a relatively inexpensive price. Through consistency and excellent customer service, along with the MyPanera membership, Panera Bread has developed a loyal consumer base and a positive reputation for itself among other bakery-deli café restaurants. In addition to its focus on the customer, Panera Bread also supports the local communities of which they operate in. The strong franchise model of Panera Bread has allowed the company to successfully survive during previous recessions in the United States (Bruno, 2010). Recently, Panera Bread has recently begun to expand operations into the Canadian market. As of late September in 2012, Panera Bread has opened few franchises in Ontario, Canada. Derived from the success in the United States as well as in eastern Canada, Kyla Schaan and Kate Simpson have identified a strong market opportunity for Panera Bread in Western Canada. As such, the two have decided to open a franchise operation in Saskatoon, Sasaktchewan. Mission Statement The Panera Bread mission statement is “A Loaf of Bread in Every Arm” (Panera Bread, 2012). Organizational Goals & Values Panera Bread has established an organizational goal of providing fresh, high quality artisan bread. As such, the commitments to this goal, taken from the Panera Bread Press Kit, are outlined below (Panera Bread, 2012): 1. “Specialization – Focusing simply on creating the highest quality breads as a platform for our bakery-café menu” 2. “Tradition – Training our bakers in the time-honoured techniques of artisan masters” 3. “Quality – Using only the freshest ingredients and never adding chemicals or preservatives” 4. “Leadership – Consistently finding ways to enjoy handcrafted bread by combining traditional techniques with innovative thinking” Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Short-Term & Long-Term Objectives The following short-term goals have been established for Panera Bread: 1. Establish a strong market presence in the Bakery-Deli Café segment in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan 2. Break-even in the second year of operations 3. Hire exceptional employees that are well-suited to provide exceptional customer service 4. Establish a positive image in the community of Saskatoon, while ensuring the franchise operates in a socially responsible manner In addition, the following long-term goals have been established for Panera Bread: 1. Adequately control inventory as well as decrease spoilage by year two, to ensure a 65% gross profit margin on each revenue stream: meals, drinks, and take-away 2. Incur a net profit in the second year of operations, by establishing a loyal consumer base through a tailored and targeted marketing strategy 1.2 Restaurant Industry Overview The restaurant industry continues to thrive as consumer trends evolve. Canadians make approximately 17 million restaurant visits in a typical day (Canadian Restaurant and Foodservices Association, 2010). Restaurant consumption is an appropriate alternative for consumers seeking convenience. According to a recent survey, the top three reasons Canadian’s eat out rank as “indulgence/treat” (43.3%), “on the go” (39.7%), and “saves me time from having to cook” (34.4%) (Canadian Restaurant and Foodservices Association, 2010). In addition, consumers also visit restaurants as a means to visit or socialize with their friends and family. Approximately 35% of Canadians ranked “going out to a restaurant” as their preferred activity (Canadian Restaurant and Foodservices Association, 2010). Although consumption incentives range between consumer bases, the restaurant industry remains vast and competitive. In 2010 alone, the restaurant industry generated $60 billion in annual sales and employed more than one million Canadians (Canadian Restaurant and Foodservices Association, 2010). 1.3 Saskatoon Industry Overview Saskatoon is the largest city in Saskatchewan, with a population of approximately 236,600 citizens (City of Saskatoon, 2012). As such, there is an ever-growing need for the development of new restaurants to service the citizens of this growing city. The present trend of consumer convenience presents an appropriate opportunity for the unique “fast casual” bakery-deli café concept, of Panera Bread. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan 2.0 Operations Plan 2.1 Legal Structure Panera Bread will be incorporated for the purposes of business legal structure. The limited company will have two shareholders, Kyla Schaan and Kate Simpson, which will hold equal stake in the company. In addition, these shareholders will also act as owners of the company. Incorporation of the business will allow Panera Bread to be a legal entity unto itself, therefore limiting the liability of the owners. In addition, incorporating will also assist the owners in accessing additional capital funding and will allow for the deferral of income taxes (Painter, 2012). 2.2 Organizational Structure Kyla Schaan and Kate Simpson will be the primary owners of the Panera Bread franchise and together, will manage the operations of the business. Kyla and Kate are currently studying as undergraduate students at the Edwards School of Business with specialization in Human Resources and Marketing, respectively. Together with their extensive knowledge acquired through business school and their vast background experience in the food service industry, both Kyla and Kate are well suited for this venture. In addition to the owners, Panera Bread will also employ a Bakery Manager, Bakers, Sandwich Artists, as well as a variety of Cashier Associates. Figure 1: Organizational Structure 2.3 Board of Directors The owners will receive support from a Board of Directors. The board will be comprised of an Accountant, a Lawyer, and a Professional in the food service industry. The Board of Directors will provide guidance to the owners, and will ultimately assist in high-level decision making for Panera Bread. The Accountant will help the owners with the interpretation of financial results. In addition, the Accountant will further assist in minimizing expenses, ensure inventory is properly managed, and will assist in determining if wage expenses are reflective of Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan the organizational requirements. The Lawyer will ensure Panera Bread becomes incorporated and will address any legalities issues as they arise. The food service Professional will further assist the owners by providing insight to properly manage the restaurant and bakery. 2.4 Site & Building Plan Panera Bread will be located at 1840 Eighth Street East, in Saskatoon Saskatchewan. The building is approximately 3,888 square feet. This location will serve as a competitive advantage for Panera Bread, as it is located along the main retail and restaurant artery within the city. It is nearby the University of Saskatchewan, several shopping malls and neighborhoods, and in addition, it is close in proximity to the downtown core. Currently, Eighth Street realizes a daily traffic count of approximately 31,000 vehicles (Colliers Canada, 2012). The building site is a corner lot and is approximately 0.348 acres. The lot which was formerly known as a Midas car repair shop, is currently for lease by Colliers International. To prepare the building for the restaurant, Colliers will provide a complete “retrofit” of the interior and exterior of the building. In addition, substantial leasehold improvements will be made to ensure appropriate and consistent branding of the Panera Bread image is present. The building directly faces Eighth Street and as such, has high exposure to traffic flow. The site features twentyfour on-site parking stalls, with additional parking available on side streets, near-by. The site is easily accessible to supplier trucks and the building has been designed such that receipt of supplies will take place at the back of the building. This will ensure that customer flow in the parking lot and near the entrance will not be disrupted. Figure 2: Panera Bread Site Plan Layout Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Figure 3: Building before Retrofit Figure 4: Building after Retrofit 2.5 Floor Plan The floor plan designed for Panera Bread is relatively simple to ensure the free flow of customers and employees. The building interior has been designed to provide an atmosphere that is warm, inviting, and comforting for customers. As such, the building has been divided into the restaurant area and the preparation area. The floor plan is depicted in Figure 5 below. Restaurant Area The entrance of the restaurant faces north on Eighth Street. Based on availability of space, a seating capacity of hundred seats has been established for the restaurant. To break this figure down further, Panera Bread will have twenty one – 4 seated tables, one – 6 seated table, two couches, and four loveseats. The restaurant will have two public washrooms at the exterior of the building for both males and females. At the front ordering counter, there will be two cashier register machines. Directly beside each cashier will be displays of breads, pastries, and other baked goods. Glass will be placed in front of each display to ensure the sanitation of these products. Menu boards will be hung directly behind each cash register and will outline product and pricing information. To the far left of ordering counter, is the deli area where the food will be prepared for the customer. Nearby the deli is the drink station, where customers will be provided the opportunity to retrieve their own beverage, before proceeding to a table in the restaurant. Preparation Area The preparation area is in the far end of the restaurant and is the area of which the bread and other inputs are prepared. In addition, there are also staff washrooms and an office. Directly to the left of the entrance is the preparation table, and to the right are two bread racks. Along the back wall are a walk-in cooler, dry storage area, microwaves, ovens, a dish pit area, and sinks. Ample space has been provided to ensure employees have adequate Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan room to carry out daily baking activities. There is also a door at the exterior of the preparation area, where inventory deliveries will be received, and employees will enter and exit the building. Figure 5: Floor Plan for Panera Bread 62' 5' 47' MICROWAVES OVENS DISH PIT 10' OFFICE 12' RECEIVING DOOR SINK PREP TABLE BREAD DISPLAY SINKS BREAD RACK MENU BOARD MENU BOARD CASHIER CASHIER PASTRY DISPLAY DRINK STATION 62' 5' DELI BREAD RACK 12' 20' WALK-IN COOLER DRY STORAGE AREA FRONT DOOR EIGHTH STREET ENTRANCE 3,888 Sq. Ft. Capacity =100 2.6 Work Plan & Flow of Work The flow of work and movement of customers within the restaurant will be effectively managed due to the strategic development of the floor plan. Customers will have one of two options when they place their order with the Cashier Associate. They may choose to “take-out” the order or eat it in the restaurant. The procedure for ordering is similar, however the area of which they proceed to once they’ve placed the order, will slightly differ. Ordering Stay-In The customer will arrive at Panera Bread and will proceed to the ordering line. The Cashier Associate will take the order from the customer and will input the order into the computerized POS cash register machine. Once they’ve determined the price total for the meal, they will receive payment from the customer. At this point, they will ask the customer if the order is to “stay in” or “take out”. In this case, the customer will receive an order number because they’ve indicated that they will stay-in the restaurant to eat. If this customer has ordered a beverage, the Cashier Associate will also give the customer a cup at this time. Once the customer has received both the order number and the cup, they will proceed to the drink station. After filling their cup at the drink Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan station, they will proceed to choose a table of their choice in the restaurant. Once seated, they will put their number on their table and wait for their meal to be delivered. Ordering Take-Out The customer will arrive at Panera Bread and will proceed to the ordering line. The Cashier Associate will take the order from the customer and will input the order into the computerized POS cash register machine. Once they’ve determined the price total for the meal, they will receive payment from the customer. At this point, they will ask the customer if the order is to “stay in” or “take out”. In this case, the customer will be advised to wait at the deli for their order. Once the order has been prepared, the Sandwich Artist will hand the customer their meal directly. Internal Processes Once the order has been inputted into the POS machine by the Cashier Associate, the Sandwich Artist in the deli will receive the customer order via a computerized print-out. At this point, they will begin to prepare the food on the deli line. Once the order is complete, they will place the food on dinnerware or a “take-out” container. If the order is “take-out”, the Sandwich artist will directly give the order to the customer, however, if the order is to “stay-in”, the Sandwich Artist will place the food on the top counter, and an available Cashier Associate (acting as a food runner), will deliver the order to the customer in the restaurant. 2.7 Quality Control Panera Bread headquarters will provide an outline of strict guidelines to the owners, which are to be maintained in regards to the quality and safe handling of various products. In addition, the manufacture of bread and other baked goods will adhere to the proper HACCP regulations. 2.8 Hours of Operation Panera Bread will be open seven days per week with extended hours of operation. Panera Bread is open early in the morning to serve breakfast as well as fresh bread and other baked goods. The restaurant is open during each meal of the day and is also open during off peak periods to provide consumers with coffee and other refreshments, as well as pastries. Although the hours vary on Monday thru Saturday, and on Sunday, Panera Bread will be open for a period of thirteen hours on each of these days. The hours of operations, which are outlined in Table 1, have been designed to allow Panera Bread to differentiate itself from its competitors, many of which are not open on Sunday. The extended hours of operations will allow Panera Bread to attract many consumer segments, in addition to those specifically identified as the key target markets. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Table 1: Hours of Operations Monday – Saturday Sunday 8:00 am – 9:00 pm 7:00 am – 8:00 pm 2.9 Average Business Day, Week, Month, Year Average Business Day The average business day for Panera Bread is thirteen hours. As such, there is an opening shift, a day shift, and a closing shift. The activities within these shifts are outlined below. Opening Day shift One of the owners will be responsible for opening the store each morning. The Sandwich Artists and Cashier Associates will be the first to arrive for their shift to begin at seven thirty. Once they’ve arrived, the Sandwich Artists will be in charge of preparing the deli. This will include replenishing ingredients and placing sandwich inputs into the deli line (the preparation of deli inputs would have been completed upon close, on the previous evening). These Sandwich Artists will also be in charge of brewing the morning coffee, as well as will receive and put any orders away that may be delivered early in the morning. The opening Cashier Associates will be in charge of turning on the computerized POS cash register machines for the day. At this time, they must also ensure that the machines are working properly. It is their responsibility to also ensure there is a $150 float in each of the cash registers. In addition, the Cashier Associates must also ensure that the front end of the store adheres to cleanliness standards before they turn on the “open” sign for the day. Day Shift Throughout the day, the Cashier Associates will be processing customer orders; meanwhile the Sandwich Artists prepare the meals. The Cashier Associates are responsible for delivering the order to the customers once the Sandwich Artists have prepared them. The Bakery Manager will arrive at the store to ensure there is substantial baking inventory for the production that day. Each owner will be present at the store throughout the day to assist with each area and ensure operations are running smoothly. Dishes must be collected and the store must be clean and tidy throughout the day. This activity may be performed by any employee, however it is the main priority of the Sandwich Artists and Cashier Associates to ensure these duties have been performed. The owners will conduct a count at the end of the day that will be tracked from the cash-out reports. This will allow them to determine from the transactions, which products are moving quickly during certain periods throughout the day. This will also assist in determining products and ingredients to be ordered. The owners will also be in charge of the cash deposits, which will be taken to the bank after lunch each day. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Closing Shift During the evening, the Cashier Associates and Sandwich Artists will be in charge of preparing the essential deli items required for the following days production. They will also be in charge of cleaning and stocking duties which must be finished before leaving the store for the day. These include cleaning the tables, washrooms, and floors. Communication and teamwork is essential among each employee during the closing shift, to ensure that all requirements have been met, and on time. It is important to note that Panera Bread will train each employee to carry out the duties of their position, so that if the owners or Bakery Manager is not present, operations will still remain efficient and smooth. At the end of the day, the Cashier Associates will be in charge of printing out the cash-out reports for the entire day, and must also count the cash in the cash register, as well as place the deposit into the safety deposit box. One of the owners will analyze the transactions to ensure that the Cashier Associate has performed this duty properly. Evening Shift After the store closes for the evening at 9 o’clock, the night the Baker will come in to prepare the freshly baked bread and other items. It will be their responsibility to ensure that sufficient bread is produced for following day. The Baker will wash his/her hands before setting out all of the ingredients needed for bakery production. Input amounts will be outlined by the Bakery Manager, based on the current day’s customer purchases. Once the first round of baking has been placed in the over, the Baker will begin the next round of preparation, and as well, will clean the workstation. After the goods have been baked, they will be set on the drying racks to cool. Once the Baker has completed production as outlined by the Bakery Manager, the Baker will be finished his/her shift. The Baker will have a set of keys to the restaurant and must ensure it is properly locked upon leaving the restaurant. The owners as well as the Bakery Manager will inspect the Baker’s goods the following morning, to ensure they are sufficient enough to place on display. Average Business Week The owners will create the employee schedule each weekend. The schedule will be created two weeks in advance. Inventory will also be ordered by the owners and Bakery Manager once every three days, to ensure Panera Bread meets appropriate inventory turns. Inventory will be counted and properly assessed by the owners and the Bakery Manager, to allow for the proper planning of future orders. Average Business Month Each month, Panera Bread will conduct staff meetings to discuss any new products, products lines, and upcoming promotions. In addition, employees will also be tested on product knowledge. The owners will also provide employees the opportunity to ask questions or request to receive training or support. In addition, the owners will Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan assess the gross profit margin monthly, as well as assess inventory levels, and analyze sales for the month. This analysis should provide the owners with a concrete understand of how the business is operating and will allow them to identify improvements to be made for the next month. The owners will also assess employee performance. In addition, the owners will pay suppliers throughout the month. Average Business Year Each year, year-end financial statements will be prepared by the Accountant, and as well annual income taxes will be filed for the business. As well, T4 Slips will also be developed for employee distribution. The human resources strategy as well as the marketing strategy will also be assessed and revised for the up-coming year. 2.10 Supply Analysis Panera Bread will acquire the majority of its dry ingredients and fresh fruits and vegetables from Sysco Canada. A written contract with term agreements will be established between Sysco Canada and Panera Bread. Since it is estimated that inventory will turn on an average of five days, Panera Bread will place orders with Sysco approximately once every three days. In addition to acquiring these products from Sysco, Panera Bread will also order proprietary ingredients (used in the production of bread), from Panera Bread headquarters. These ingredients will be ordered approximately once every two weeks. 2.11 Service Providers A local contract will be secured with a local maintenance and repair technician team, to aid in the repair of Panera Bread equipment. This equipment includes ovens, interior fixtures, and the POS computerized cash register machines. The owners will undergo training before operations begin, so that they are able to acquire the skills necessary to maintain quick repairs in unexpected instances. This will also allow Panera Bread to minimize repair expenses. In terms of legal advice and accounting services, the owners will rely on the Accountant on the Board of Directors, to assist in financial management and legal issues that arise. 2.12 Capacity Limits It is anticipated that Panera Bread will be able to produce approximately six hundred loaves of bread per day, based on constraints such as oven capacity. In addition, based on the size of the restaurant, a seating capacity of one hundred seats has been established for Panera Bread, at any given time. As such, although the seating capacity for Panera Bread is only 100 seats or customers, Panera Bread has the ability to produce beyond this amount. It is anticipated that approximately 80% of Panera Bread revenue will be derived from meals and drinks, and approximately 20% will be derived from “take-away” items (such as bread and other baked goods). Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan 2.13 Capital Budget Panera Bread will be leasing the building from Colliers International. As such, the Capital Budget will include leasehold improvements which include interior and exterior building renovations, as well as furniture and fixtures. The value ($388,800) for leasehold improvements has been calculated by assuming a dollar value of $100 per square foot improvement. The value ($440,450) for furniture and fixtures includes all necessary equipment required for the development of the restaurant. This includes cookware equipment, interior fixtures, furniture, supplies, small wares, and signage. These amounts have been estimated based on information provided by the Panera Bread franchisor (Panera Bread, 2012). The total capital costs for the start-up of the Panera Bread franchise equals $829,250. Table 2: Capital Budget 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 388,800 - - - - Furniture and Fixtures 440,450 - - - - Total 829,250 - - - - Leasehold Improvements 100 2.14 Working Capital Inventories Panera Bread will have an average of five days of inventory. It is projected that Panera Bread will turn its inventory once every five days and as such, orders will be placed regularly every three days. In one year, Panera Bread will turn inventory approximately seventy two times. Accounts Payable Panera Bread will have an average day’s payables of fourteen days. 2.15 Cost of Goods Sold A gross profit margin has been identified for each category of Panera Bread revenue, which includes meals and drinks, as well as take-away products. Each category will have a gross profit margin of 65%. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan 3.0 Human Resources Plan 3.1 Job Descriptions Panera Bread will be owned and managed by Kyla Schaan and Kate Simpson. In addition, Panera Bread will employ a Bakery Manager, Bakers, Sandwich Artists, and Cashier Associates. The description of each job category is listed below: Restaurant Owners Daily Activities: Manage daily store operations Direct supervision of all employee’s Schedule planning for employees Responsible for cash deposits Collection of financial information Knowledge of each job process - ability to perform each position when required Assist in the completion of customer orders High level management of customer complaints Crisis management intervention Monthly Activities: Approve major expenditures Hiring, training, and termination of employees Yearly Activities: Analysis of operations, planning of the budget for the upcoming year Bakery Manager Daily Activities Outline production schedule for each Baker, daily Monitor quality and consistency of baked goods Determine products for monthly in-store sampling Answer customer product inquiries Supervise Bakers and Sandwich Artists; provide guidance and instruction Responsible for in-store merchandising of baked goods Control inventory levels; responsible for ordering inventory; ensure correct orders placed, receive shipments Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Manage inventory expenses Monthly Activities Inventory management analysis and tracking; forecast projected inventory levels for each day and ensure spoilage is reduced Yearly Activities Involved in the hiring process for Bakers and Sandwich Artists; supervision and training of Bakers and Sandwich Artists according to established owners standards Analyze past performance (inventory, employees); establish strategy for upcoming year Provide assistance and recommendation to owners for upcoming budgeting for the bakery The Bakery Manager must be a Certified Journeyman Baker and must have also previously completed certification in Food Safety Training. This will ensure the Bakery Manager will possess adequate skills and knowledge in baking to ensure Panera Bread is able to provide the high quality baked bread. The Food Safety Training course will ensure proper hygiene and safety standards are adhered to within Panera Bread. The Bakery Manager must possess a strong passion and creativity for baking, as well as strong leadership and interpersonal skills to properly supervise employees and attend to customer inquiries. The Bakery Manager must be able to work independently and will responsible for tracking inventory levels to ensure Panera Bread has a high profit margin on products, while ensuring spoilage levels are minimized. It is essential that the Bakery Manager have at least five years’ experience in the baking industry. In addition, this individual must be respectful of others and work well in a team environment. Baker Daily Activities Prepare a variety of artisan breads, bagels, pastries, and other baked goods Use proper tools to measure and mix ingredients Ensure appropriate baking time is maintained for quality purposes Comply with quota of outputs set by Bakery Manager Ensure displays of freshly baked goods are monitored and replenished Bake large quantities before the store opens in the morning Ensure cleanliness of kitchen area Comply with tight production schedule Knowledge of bakery ovens and other tools Attention to timelines Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Creativity and attention to detail Monthly Activities Learn new recipes Review time schedule of baking Yearly Activities Review policies and procedures Bakers are not required to hold a journeyman certification in baking and therefore can be trained upon hire. They must however, obtain certification in Health and Safety Standards to ensure hygiene and safety is maintained within the Panera Bread kitchen. The Baker must possess creative skills and must be able to work independently as well as in a team atmosphere. Panera Bread Bakers must be passionate employees and work well late in the evening. Sandwich Artist Daily Activities Prepare food as outlined by the Bakery Manager for daily production Prepare customer orders Deliver orders to customers seated in the restaurant Ensure cleanliness of the preparation area Complete daily cleaning list Monthly Activities Learn how to prepare new products Test product knowledge to determine improvements Past experience working in the food industry will be an asset for Sandwich Artists, however, this is not a necessary requirement. Successful candidates will demonstrate leadership, respect and trustworthiness. They must have enthusiasm to be willing to learn, have a sense of community involvement, and have a passion for working at Panera Bread. Cashier Associate Strong customer service skills; must ensure customers are welcomed as they enter the store, provide assistance to customers Receive customer orders Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Ensure the front of the restaurant remains tidy Answer telephone inquiries Cash management Maintain cleanliness of customer washrooms Ensure the front-end of the restaurant is neat Monthly Activities: Test product knowledge to indicate improvements Past experience working as a Cashier is an asset for this position, but it is not a requirement. Cashier Associates must demonstrate trustworthiness as they will be dealing with cash. They must possess a positive attitude in addition, as they will be providing customer services. 3.2 Human Resources Strategy Panera Bread will require a strong base of employees to ensure customer demand is met. Based on the capacity limits for Panera Bread and the projections of number of customers per day, the human resources requirements are listed in Table 3 below. Panera Bread will require two full-time owners, one full-time Bakery Manager, one fulltime Baker as well as one part-time Baker. In addition, Panera Bread will also employ two full-time Sandwich Artists, and two full-time Cashiers. Panera Bread will require approximately two part-time staff to be divided equally between the Sandwich Artist and Cashier Associate positions. Table 3: Human Resource Requirements 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Owner – Full Time 2 2 2 2 2 Bakery Manager – Full Time 1 1 1 1 1 Baker – Full and part Time 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 Sandwich Artists/Cashier – Full/part Time Part Time Staff 3.9 5.2 5.8 5.8 5.8 2.22 3.16 3.79 4.03 4.28 3.3 Employee Recruitment Panera Bread will attract its employees in much the same way customers will be attracted, through the warmth of an inviting working atmosphere. Panera Bread will create and support a culture that ensures the utmost respect for all employees. Panera Bread will seek employees who are passionate to provide excellent customer service, and Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan who are loyal and trustworthy in nature. Through recruiting individuals who are driven and dedicated, the owners hope that Panera Bread will be successful in fostering an employee base that is able and willing to creating strong working relationships in a positive work environment. In order to ensure Panera Bread is able to attract employees with the values the owners are seeking, Panera Bread will offer the following incentives to employees: Flexible Work Schedule – Panera Bread will be able to provide employees with a flexible work schedule due to extended hours of operation. This should allow Panera Bread to attract part time employees specifically those in University or others seeking work, with busy schedules. Stress free atmosphere – At Panera Bread, the owners will provide employees with a stress free atmosphere that allows for personal development and learning. Panera Bread will ensure that employees are provided with training upon hire and are able to seek assistance whenever they may need. Opportunity for advancement – For those employees of which the owners feel have potential with Panera Bread, these employee will be provided with adequate opportunities to advance to positions higher up within franchise. Day Time and Evening Shifts (with the exception of the Baker) – Panera Bread is closed relatively early in comparison to other fast, casual restaurants in Saskatoon. As such, the owners will be able to attract responsible employees that may have family or other commitments to attend to in the evening. Alcohol Free – It is important that Panera Bread provide a working atmosphere where employees are not engaging in deviant activities such as the consumption of drugs and alcohol. This feature will attract employees who are responsible. A Creative and Fun Environment – Panera Bread will provide a working environment that is fun and supports employee interaction and creativity. The owners feel that it is important to ensure employees are given the opportunity to express themselves as unique individuals and as such, individuality is respected and promoted Free Uniforms – Panera Bread will provide free uniforms to employees to ensure that a consistent brand image is represented. In addition, Panera Bread will launder these uniforms for employees at the expense of the franchise. Benefits – Panera Bread will provide base benefits to its employees. These benefits include Employment Insurance, Canadian Pension Plan, Holiday Pay, and Workers Compensation. 3.4 Human Resources Training A comprehensive training program by Panera Bread headquarters has been developed to ensure that Panera Bread employees are properly trained to provide excellence in product delivery and customer service. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Initial Training Requirements Before opening Panera Bread in Saskatoon, the owners will attend a ten week comprehensive training program that provides classroom and bakery-café instruction. Both Kyla and Kate will receive a Manager and Baker Certification, Bakery-Café Certification, and will attend a Cashier Associate Training Program (Panera Bread, 2012). The knowledge acquired through these courses is essential and will provide each owner a strong foundation of the franchise model. The owners will acquire the knowledge of procedures and protocols of Panera Bread through the training received by Panera Bread headquarters. This will provide the owners with a strong foundation to properly train their employees. In addition to the initial training, the owners will also seek assistance from members of the Board of Directors and will learn new franchise information as it is distributed from Panera Bread headquarters. Upon hire, each employee will receive an initial orientation at Panera Bread. This orientation will provide each employee the opportunity to learn the history of Panera Bread and the values of which the business was built on. Each employee will be required to sample each of the products Panera Bread offers, to ensure they become familiar with product flavours. By sampling each product offering, employees will be able to provide product recommendations, and as well, answer product inquiries or attend to special requests such as allergies, from customers. As these new employees are hired, the owners and the Bakery Manager will be responsible to train the new employees based on job processes. In addition, new employees will be introduced to each existing staff member and shown where the washrooms are, as well as where staff are expected to take their breaks. This will ensure that employees are able to establish a sense of belonging in the business, from the beginning. Each employee will hold one position at Panera Bread. It is important to note however, that Cashier Associates and Sandwich Artists will be trained to perform each position, to ensure proper substitution and coverage. On-going Training Requirements Panera Bread often re-vitalizes products offerings throughout different seasons within the year. The owners will communicate these changes to employees and train accordingly. The Bakers and Sandwich Artists will be required to learn the new recipes and practice preparing these products, before they are implemented. In addition, Cashier Associates will be required to sample these new products as well. Within each job category, there will be on-going training provided by the owners and the Bakery Manager, to ensure franchise requirements are properly adhered to. 3.5 Human Resources Costs Panera Bread will have three full-time salaried employees. These include the two owners and the Bakery Manager. The remaining full-time and part-time employees will be paid on an hourly basis. These include the Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Bakers, Sandwich Artists, and Cashiers. Table 4 below outlines the wage rate and yearly salary for each employee at Panera Bread, according to job category. The second and subsequent years have been adjusted for inflation. Table 4: Wage Rates/ Yearly Salary 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Owner – Salary $30,000 $30,750 $31,519 $32,307 $33,114 Bakery Manager - Salary $25,000 $25,625 $26,266 $26,922 $27,595 Full Time Baker- Wage Rate/hour $11.75 $12.04 $12.34 $12.65 $12.97 Full Time Sandwich Artist/Cashier Wage Rate/hour $10.00 $10.25 $10.51 $10.77 $11.04 Part Time Staff – Wage Rate/hour $10.00 $10.25 $10.51 $10.77 $11.04 The table below lists total costs of wages and salaries for each job category. The total amount of wages and salaries ($239,497) in year one, accounts for approximately 26.1% of Panera Bread’s total revenues. Table 5: Wage Rate/Salary Costs 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Owner $60,000 $61,500 $63,038 $64,613 $66,229 Bakery Manager $25,000 $25,625 $26,266 $26,922 $27,595 Baker $34,545 $35,409 $36,294 $37,201 $38,131 Sandwich Artist/Cashier $76,440 $104,442 $120,435 $123,445 $126,532 Part Time Staff $43,512 $63,549 $78,123 $85,164 $92,638 Total Wages/Salaries $239,497 $290,524 $324,154 $337,346 $351,125 Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan 4.0 Marketing Plan As stated previously, Panera Bread has established strong brand recognition throughout the United States. Panera Bread focuses on delivering warmth and uniqueness to each consumer touch point, striving to be the leader in the bakery-deli café segment. 4.1 Market Analysis Competitor Overview The restaurant industry is incredible fierce, with many restaurants competing for a share in the market. According to the Canadian Restaurant and Foodservices Association, there are more than 2,100 restaurant, bars, and caterers in Saskatchewan alone (Canadian Restaurant and Foodservices Association, 2012). As such, being the largest city in Saskatchewan, Saskatoon contains the majority of these restaurants. Panera Bread will have several direct and indirect competitors, most of which will be located nearby the franchise location. Direct Competitors Panera Bread’s direct competitors have been categorized specifically as Bakery-Deli Café restaurants within the city of Saskatoon. These restaurants focus on providing high quality bakery-deli products, have limited service, and provide a more refined dining atmosphere. Table 6: Competitive Analysis Bakery-Deli Café Restaurant Location Features Earth Bound Bakery and Delicatessen 1820 – 8TH Street East Directly behind Panera, small dining area, small lunch menu, provides take-away baked goods, friendly service, average purchase price $5-$10 Jakes on 21st 301 – 21ST Street East Downtown, provide a wide selection of sandwiches, wraps, and other meals, full-service dining experience, average purchase price $10-$12 Souleio Foods 265 – 3RD Avenue South Downtown, dining experience, community-oriented, items to take away include soups, meat, cheese, average purchase price $10-$15 Mulberry’s Bakery Café & Pub 124 – 3RD Avenue North Calories 721 Broadway Avenue Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Downtown, dining experience Small space for dining experience, ingredients are Panera Bread Business Plan sourced locally, average purchase price $10-$12 Christie’s Il Secondo 802 Broadway Avenue Authentic Italian food, baked items to take home, small dining experience Grandma Lee’s Various Locations throughout Saskatoon Fresh baked sandwiches, dining experience, made to order sandwiches Caffee Sola 38 – 23RD Street East Vegetarian and gluten-free options, average purchase price $10-$12 Indirect Competitors Panera Bread’s indirect competitors are classified according to three categories. These include specialty bakeries, grocery stores with operational bakery and deli departments, as well as fast food restaurants serving deli menu items. Outlined below are the competitors within each category. Specialty Bakeries – Nutana’s Bakery, Hot Racks Bakery, Three Sister’s Bakery Grocery Stores – Safeway, Co-op, Sobey’s, Real Canadian Superstore (RCSS), Walmart Supercentre Fast Food Restaurants – Quizno’s, Subway, Pita Pit, Booster Juice, Badass Jacks, Tim Hortons Figure 6: Competitor Map Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan In addition to the direct and indirect competitors listed above, Panera Bread will also compete with other full service and limited service (fast food) restaurants along Eighth Street. Although the surrounding restaurants provide varied product offerings which may not be similar to those offered at Panera Bread, consumers will choose between Panera Bread and other restaurants when they are seeking to serve their unmet need of hunger satisfaction. Differentiation from competitors is a key marketing element for Panera Bread. In order to distinguish itself from other bakery-deli café restaurants, it is important to effectively communicate the distinct characteristics of Panera Bread that will set itself apart. The convenient location of Eighth Street is a major competing factor for Panera Bread, as well as the low price point of items on the menu. In addition, the inviting atmosphere of Panera Bread is a key selling point to consumers because in addition to offering a cozy and relaxing environment, Panera Bread provides quick service which means consumers can expect a limited waiting time. Panera Bread consumers are provided access to free WIFI internet service which means they can conduct business meetings, research for classes, or entertain their grandchildren with online games. Panera Bread also competes on the basis of product consistency through high food and beverage quality. In addition to strong product features, Panera Bread also provides extended hours of operations to suit consumer needs. Panera Bread is open seven days a week from Monday through Sunday. The length of hours offer consumers various consumption opportunities throughout the day, which includes meals at breakfast, lunch and supper, and a coffee meeting place early in the morning and late in the afternoon. 4.2 The Marketing Mix Product Offering The Panera Bread platform is built on the value of fresh bread (Panera Bread, 2012). In addition to offering freshly baked breads, the Panera menu also offers other baked goods (muffins, scones, bagels, and rolls), hearty soups, made-to-order sandwiches and panini’s, hand tossed salads, roasted coffee, and specialty beverages (espresso, cappuccino’s, smoothies). Panera Bread focuses on delivering high quality products made from fresh ingredients. In addition, Panera Bread has recently begun offering unique product line extensions including salad dressings and dipping sauces for breads. A complete Panera Bread menu with product descriptions and pricing is provided in Appendix A. Pricing Strategy The Panera Bread menu is value-oriented. Panera Bread provides products of the highest quality, at a relatively inexpensive price point. With respect to the competition in the bakery-deli café segment, Panera Bread is competitively priced, and in many cases priced slightly below competitors. Currently, the pricing structure for Panera Bread is similar across all franchises in the United States, with relatively low variation. The slight Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan differences in price may be due to the elevated cost of living in certain states. On a general level however, product pricing is consistent among franchises. As such, the pricing model for the proposed Panera Bread will be derived from prices of the franchise operation in Moline, Illinois. The items on the Panera Bread menu have been classified below, according to product category. Breads & Baked Goods Breads, pastries, and other baked goods will be sold for $2.50 - $5.00. Although these items are sold for a relatively low retail price, it is anticipated that these items will be purchased in multiples and in large volumes throughout peak periods of the day. Hot Breakfast Hot Breakfast includes items such as breakfast sandwiches, oatmeal, and soufflé’s. These items range in price from $3.89 - $4.89. Panini’s Panini’s are offered in two product classes. These include the Signature collection as well as the Premium collection. The distinction between the two product classes is the price point due to the ingredients in each Panini. The Signature collection ranges in price from $6.99 - $7.89, and the Premium collection is slightly more expensive ranging in price from $8.59 - $8.79. Sandwiches Similar to Panini’s, Sandwiches also are offered in three product classes. These include the Café collection, the Signature collection, and the Premium Signature collection. The Café sandwiches are the generic type of sandwiches consumers expect. These range in price from $5.99 - $6.69. The Signature and Premium Signature collections again, are relatively more expensive than the Café collection due to the uniqueness and artful creativity of the sandwich. The Signature sandwiches range in price from $6.89 - $7.39, whereas the Premium Signature sandwich is priced slightly higher at $8.29. Soup The Café soup collection features a variety of daily soups. The price point for a bowl of soup is $4.99. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Salads Panera Bread offers freshly-tossed salads in three product classes. These include the Café, Signature, and Premium Signature collections. The Café salads are the classic and generic types of salads. These salads range in price from $5.29 - $5.89. The Signature and Premium Signature Salads are the artfully created salads which are unique to Panera Bread, and as such highlight fresh ingredients. The Signature collection ranges in price from $6.89 - $7.79 and the Premium Signature collection ranges in price from $8.59 - $8.69. You Pick Two Combo Classic to Panera Bread is the You Pick Two Combo. This combination has been created to allow consumers to pair their favorite Sandwich with their favourite Panera Bread Soup or Salad. As a base, the You Pick Two Combo is provided to consumers at a price point of $6.59. This combination offers consumers the ability to choose two items of the following: cup of soup, ½ Café Salad, or ½ Café Sandwich. Should consumers decide that they’d like to substitute one Signature item, the price point is raised to a total of $7.59. Consumers are also given the opportunity to substitute two Signature items, at the price point of $8.59. Panera Kids Panera Bread will have a children’s menu. This menu will include options such as grilled cheese sandwiches, macaroni and cheese, and peanut butter and jelly sandwiches. These items range in price from $3.99 - $4.99. Beverages A variety of beverages are available for purchase at Panera Bread. These include iced drinks, frozen drinks, coffee and other specialty beverages, smoothies, and fountain drinks. The price point on these items ranges from $1.59 $3.99. Based on the pricing structure outlined above, it is anticipated that the average revenue per customer in year one will be $8.50. Placement Location Selection Panera Bread franchises are dispersed throughout larger cities in the United States. Typically, they are located in stand-alone locations, in strip malls, and other similar development areas. Panera Bread locations are strategically placed in high traffic areas to capture awareness. Currently, there are no existing Panera Bread franchises in Western Canada. As such, the opportunity presents itself to expand into Saskatchewan’s largest city, Saskatoon. The placement of Panera Bread in the Saskatoon Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan market is critical to the outcome and success of the business. Therefore, the franchise operation will be located at 1840 Eighth Street East, between Preston Avenue South and Cumberland Avenue South, across from the Grosvenor Shopping Centre. The placement of Panera Bread among Saskatoon’s largest retail and restaurant artery makes strategic sense. Because Panera has several differentiating factors, Panera Bread will be able to successfully stand apart from other competitors in the Saskatoon industry. These differentiating factors include extended hours of operation, a warm and inviting atmosphere, fresh products of high quality at a relatively low price point, and the convenient location of Eighth Street. The fact that Panera Bread will directly face Eighth Street will provide a strong advantage in attracting consumers who have come to the area, unsure of where to eat. Figure 7: Google Maps View of Panera Bread Location Market Segmentation The potential market for Panera Bread has been primarily segmented based on the psychographic consumer characteristics of those which value both healthy consumption and convenience in the search for satisfying the need of hunger. Derived from these two variables, three viable target markets have been determined for Panera Bread to specifically focus on. Target Market The three target markets that have been identified include the Business Crowd, Baby Boomers, and University Students. In developing a marketing strategy for Panera Bread, these segments will be heavily targeted through strategic communications. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan a.) Business Crowd The first consumer segment Panera Bread will be targeting is the Business Crowd. These consumers are females and males ranging in age from twenty five to thirty nine years of age. These individuals are professional, office workers. In terms of family life cycle, these individuals are single, recently married, or married within the last five to ten years. These individuals likely have no children, or are beginning to have children. The typical family size of this consumer segment is zero to three family members. In terms of consumption situations, this segment will be visiting Panera Bread during the lunch rush. These individuals may be consuming a lunch meal with fellow coworkers, or perhaps are attending Panera Bread to consume lunch with a business supplier or out of town business associate. In addition, these individuals may also attend Panera Bread in the mid-afternoon to consume coffee and pastries during a business meeting. b.) Baby Boomers The second consumer segment Panera Bread is targeting is females and males ranging in age from fourty eight to sixty six years of age. These consumers are known as the Baby Boomer segment. Individuals of this segment typically hold managerial or professional positions in the workforce, often working in an office. In addition, many of the individuals in this segment are retired or are recently retired. The family life cycle of this segment are married with children who no longer live at home. Most of these individuals are grandparents, or are becoming grandparents. The family size of this segment will range. Members of this segment often withhold values of traditionalists. In terms of consumption situations, this segment will consume meals at Panera Bread during a variety of occasions, being breakfast, lunch, or supper. In addition, this segment will also visit Panera Bread in the early morning and early afternoon as a meeting place to consume coffee with friends. c.) University Students The third consumer segment Panera Bread is targeting is University Students. This segment is comprised of individuals aged eighteen to thirty four years of age. These individuals are both females and males who are full time students at the University of Saskatchewan, SIAST, and other colleges within the city of Saskatoon. In terms of family life cycle, these individuals are young and single, recently married, or married within the most recent five to ten years. The family size of these individuals ranges from zero to one member. Individuals of this segment generally withhold values characteristic of trend setters. In terms of consumption situations, these individuals are visiting Panera throughout the day to eat meals. These students are often visiting the restaurant in off-peak hours to work on homework, using the free WIFI, while consuming specialty beverages and pastries. These students also consume Panera meals throughout the day, predominately when they are “on the go”. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Customer Value Proposition In targeting the identified markets above, Panera Bread will ensure that it clearly communicates its strong points of differentiation. This will be communicated to the target markets through the customer value proposition. The points listed below are key elements that Panera Bread offers, which the owners feel will create value for the consumer: High quality products made from freshly baked bread Excellent service provided by cheerful employees A “classy, yet casual and sophisticated” atmosphere A sense of belonging and community through the MyPanera membership card Positioning Statement A positioning statement has been developed for Panera Bread to assist the consumer in identifying exactly what the Panera Bread brand is and what it stands for. “Panera Bread is a unique alternative among all Bakery-Deli Café’s for busy, working professionals and students, because your sandwich is created using our fresh, artisan bread which is prepared by our passionate employees in an atmosphere that is warm and inviting.” Promotion The promotional strategy for Panera Bread is directly linked to the positioning statement identified above. The promotion of Panera Bread includes fostering and supporting a strong and consistent brand image, executing advertising tactics to reach its key target markets and supporting development in the community. Branding Panera Bread has built a strong and reputable brand in the United States. The store layout and design of Panera Bread will be consistent to those in the U.S.. The overall goal for the proposed Panera Bread is to create a warm and welcoming atmosphere for the consumer. As such, the interior and exterior of the store will be modern and colourful to capture consumer awareness and attention. The interior design of Panera will be clean, welcoming, and cozy. The focus of the branding strategy is to highlight the value of fresh bread. Interior design will be structurally designed to ensure a relaxing dining atmosphere. Colouring such as orange, yellow, red, and green will be used to deliver a “fresh” and “wholesome” or “hand-made” feel. The interior of the store will include bakery cases nearby the cash register which will display fresh breads and pastries. The interior of the store will give off the feel of a “casual art gallery” with the display of “artful” and “engaging” interior including artwork of bakers and baking, dispersed throughout the store (Heckler Associates, 2011). The interior of the store will also have displays of impact such as point of sale materials and banners, and as well, tower cards which will be placed on table tops. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan The goal of the branding strategy within the store is to merchandise effectively, placing special emphasis on bread. The exterior of the building will be modern as well, using earthy tones to decorate. A sign will be placed at the front of the building which will have high visibility to consumers travelling down Eighth Street. The sign will involve the logo of Panera Bread, which will artfully represent the Panera Bread mission statement. The logo contains a woman with long hair holding a loaf of bread; this woman is known as “Mother Bread” and symbolizes the brand focus (Heckler Associates, 2011). In addition to placing the logo on exterior signage, it will also be visible throughout the interior of the store, on “take-out” containers and bags, print materials, and many other consumer touch points. Marketing Strategy Due to the nature of the industry and the strong location on Eighth Street, Panera Bread will divert from traditional forms of advertising. The main goal in the first year is to create awareness among the target market groups. The majority of this awareness will simply derive from positive word of mouth communications. Consumers will become aware of Panera Bread as being the “new” bakery-deli café on Eighth Street. Because of the direct exposure to high traffic, consumers will become aware of Panera Bread through the prevalence of exterior signage and upgraded building design and features. In the awareness phase, Panera Bread will strive to deliver high quality menu items and high levels of consistent customer service. By successfully providing these elements, it is expected that word of mouth communications will grow. a.) Grand Opening Event Panera Bread will have a soft opening where the restaurant will officially open to the public and will begin operations. Within a month of the soft opening, Panera Bread will host a Grand Opening event. The event will take place for approximately four hours in the early afternoon on a weekend. The goal of this event is to create awareness and to establish consumer memberships through the MyPanera membership program. The event will feature live-on-location radio broadcasting. According to the rate card from Saskatoon Media Group, this radio event is estimated to cost approximately $3,200 (refer to Appendix B). This event will also feature sampling instore, ribbon cutting, and will also provide customers the opportunity to meet with staff and learn about the new franchise. b.) Flyers & Brochures Prior to the grand opening event, Panera Bread will send out flyers and brochures to target consumers in the community, to create awareness of the event. In addition, flyers and brochures will also be sent out to consumers Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan throughout different seasonal promotions in the second year. These brochures and flyers will provide relevant information about Panera Bread including product description and pricing, location, and other important seasonal and promotional information. In year one, 1,000 – 8.5’’ x 11’’ brochures will be distributed, and 5,000 – 9’’ x 12’’ flyers will be distributed. This is estimated to cost approximately $835 (Saskatoon Printing Explorer, 2012). c.) In-Store Sampling Panera Bread will also implement in-store sampling. This will include product-launch, seasonal, holiday, or promotional sampling. Since Panera Bread continually re-vitalizes menu items, it is important to provide consumers with frequent sampling. Sampling has been budgeted into the advertising allowance and will be expensed to equal approximately 0.5% of revenue total, in year one. In the second and subsequent years, this amount has been adjusted for to reflect inflation. d.) My Panera Membership The MyPanera Membership is a membership program with Panera Bread that will allow customer loyalty, through the use of membership benefits. Consumers who sign up for the MyPanera Membership will be provided with a card which will be swiped at the time of purchase. This card will allow Panera Bread to track consumer preferences based on consumption, and will reward these members with coupons, discounts, and other tokens of appreciation, periodically throughout the year. The MyPanera Membership will be a large expense in the advertising allowance but will prove long term benefits for Panera Bread. The membership program has been budgeted into the advertising allowance expense to reflect approximately 1.75% of year one revenues. e.) Social Media Panera Bread currently has an active online presence through the maintenance of a website, Twitter account, and Facebook page, managed by Panera headquarters. The promotional materials mentioned above will include verbiage which will include a call to action, where the consumer is encouraged to visit each of these pages for further details. In addition, Panera Bread will also implement local Facebook and Twitter pages to communicate local promotions, daily specials, as well as pictures and other information. f.) Radio In addition, minimal radio advertising will also be utilized to communicate to the target market. Approximately seven minutes of advertising for seven days on an FM radio station in Saskatoon is estimated to cost $465 (Equity Billboards, 2010). In the first year Panera Bread will advertise on the radio for the Grand Opening event and heavily thereafter, and will also employ reminder advertising throughout the duration of the year. In the second Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan and subsequent years, Panera Bread will limit advertising on the radio to four weeks throughout the year. These advertisements will highlight seasonal, promotional, and other events. g.) Sponsorship & Community Event Involvement In addition to the techniques to build awareness, Panera Bread will also support community development and ultimately build a positive brand image by supporting charity events and providing sponsorship for local events. These may include events held by the University, the Children’s Hospital Foundation, Canadian Cancer Society, and Arthritis Society to name a few. These events will help Panera Bread to become known as a socially conscious business and will allow Panera to give back to the community it operates in. Charity events and sponsorship will be expensed to equal approximately 1% of revenue total in the first year. The advertising allowance for each of the above marketing strategies is outline in Table 7 below. Table 7: Advertising Allowance 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 $4,500 $1,860 $1,907 $1,954 $2,003 $835 $535 - - - Charity Events & Sponsorship $9,180 $9,410 $9,645 $9,886 $10,133 Sampling $4,590 $4,705 $4,822 $4,943 $5,067 MyPanera Membership $16,065 $16,467 $16,878 $17,300 $17,733 Total Advertising Allowance $35,170 $32,976 $33,252 $34,083 $34,935 Radio Brochures/Flyers Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan 5.0 Financial Plan A detailed financial model has been developed to determine the feasibility of the proposed Panera Bread franchise. This base case financial model (which anticipates three hundred customers per day and an average purchase price of $8.50) includes the projected income statement, balance sheet, and statement of cash flows for the five year projection period. The financial model is provided in Appendix C. 5.1 Financing Structure The total capital required to fund the investment of Panera Bread is $829,250. This figure which is derived from the capital budget consists of leasehold improvements and furniture and fixtures. The financing budget will fund the capital requirements and will also provide additional funding to cover any unforeseen emergencies/expenses. The financing budget is comprised of approximately thirty-nine percent (39%) bank debt, and fifty-one percent (51%) equity financing. Because the building will be leased, the financial institution likely will not grant the full 39% bank debt through the form of a loan. This is due to the fact that Panera Bread has no building to act as collateral to the financial institution. It is anticipated however, that the financial institution will provide a loan equivalent to half of the furniture and fixtures dollar value, which equates to an amount of $220,225. The owners as well as their primary family members will provide personal guarantees for the remaining balance of the bank debt ($124,775). The equity financing will be raised through various equity investors. 5.2 Debt Amortization The term length for debt amortization is ten years. Panera Bread requires a principal amount of $345,000. The debt interest rate is 7% and the payment is $49,120 in each of the first five years. The debt interest amount will be deducted as an operating expense of $24,150. As such, in year 1, the reduction in principal equals $24,970. The ending balance decreases in each of the first five years as the loan is paid off. 5.3 Corporate Income Taxes The federal corporate rate is 15% and the Saskatchewan corporate rate is 12%. These rates have been applied to the financial model. 5.4 Dividend Policy Dividends will be distributed to the shareholders of Panera Bread. In year one, no dividends will be paid out. However, in year two, three, four, and five, the excess between the cash balance of the previous year and the fixed amount of $20,000 will be paid out in the form of dividends. The below table outlines the dividend payments made in each of the five year projected period. Table 8: Dividend Payments Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 0 $11,183 $131,245 $193,305 $180,075 Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan 5.5 Economic Forecast The expected inflation rate is estimated to be 2.5% and the debt interest rate is 7%. Therefore, the inflation factor used throughout the financial model to determine growth is 1.025. 5.6 Financial Analysis Projected Profits Panera Bread will incur a net loss of $92,257 in year one. However, in year two, Panera Bread will break-even, earning an additional net income of $21,291. In year three, four, and five, net income will continue to increase. Table 9: Net Income Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 $(92,257) $21,291 $110,734 $120,554 $136,339 Projected Cash Flow Panera Bread has positive cash flows in each of the five projected years. In year one, the cash balance is $31,183. In years two, three and four, the cash balance will continue to rise. The cash balance does peak in year four at a total of $200,075 and slightly decreases in year five to $197,736. Table 10: Cash Balance End of Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 $31,183 $151,245 $213,305 $200,075 $197,736 Net Present Value The net present value for this investment is positive and equals $248,248. This value is attractive as it indicates that equity investors will incur an economic profit above the amount they will invest in the franchise. Internal Rate of Return A required return on investment (ROI) of 15% has been determined for the Panera Bread venture. Due to the prime retail location on Eighth Street as well as the strong brand name, the investment carries relatively low risk due to the fact that it is a franchise operation. The internal rate of return on investment is 26.3%. Because this figure exceeds the required ROI by approximately 11.3%, the business is in fact economically viable. Leveraged IRR The base case financial model used 39% bank debt to leverage IRR. To assess the impact on NPV and IRR by removing the bank debt and increasing the equity financing to 100%, the results provided an NPV of $153,184 and an IRR of 19.8%. Table 11 outlines the impact of leveraged IRR on the Panera Bread franchise model, in comparison to unleveraged IRR. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Table 11: Impact of IRR NPV $248,248 $153,184 39% Debt Financing 100% Equity Financing IRR 26.3% 19.8% 5.7 Risk Analysis Two critical variables have been determined as potential risk factors for Panera Bread. These include: 1. Average number of customers per day, and 2. Average purchase price per customer A change in any of the variables will significantly impact the performance and therefore the feasibility of the business. To identify the potential impact, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify the effect that these critical variables have on the feasibility of the business. Sensitivity Analysis – Manipulation of Critical Variables Based on the financial projections, it is anticipated that Panera Bread will service three hundred customers per day. To perform a sensitivity analysis on this variable, the average number of customers per day was increased and decreased in increments of fifty. The results are evident in Table 12. By decreasing this critical variable by 50 customers, the net payback substantially decreases to $93,016, and the IRR drops to 3.5%. However, by increasing the average number of customers by 50, the net payback substantially increases to $1,664,211 and the IRR is 43.7%. Table 12: Sensitivity – Average Number of Customers/Day Average # Customers/Day Average 5 Year Profit Net Payback IRR 250 $(26,831) $93,016 3.5% 300 $59,372 $874,490 26.3% 350 $142,087 $1,664,211 43.7% 400 $224,802 $2,453,931 58.4% 450 $307,517 $3,243,652 71.8% The financial model created for Panera Bread anticipated that the average purchase price per customer to be $8.50. To perform a sensitivity analysis on the critical variable of average purchase price per customer, this value was increased and decreased in increments of $0.50. The financial results are listed in Table 13. It is apparent that this critical variable has a strong impact on the financial performance of the business. By decreasing purchase Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan price by one dollar to $7.50, the IRR decreased to 12% and the average five year profit drops from $59,372 to $985. Table 13: Sensitivity – Average Purchase Price/Customer Avg. Purchase Price/Customer Average 5 Year Profit Net Payback IRR $7.50 $985 $356,195 12% $8.00 $30,179 $595,765 19.1% $8.50 $59,372 $874,490 26.3% $9.00 $88,566 $1,153,215 32.9% $9.50 $117,759 $1,431,940 38.9% Break Even Analysis – Net Income A Net Income break-even analysis was conducted by altering the critical variable of average customers per day. Table 14: Break Even Analysis – Net Income 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Break Even Customers/Day 369 384 366 352 340 Break Even Customers/Day 300 400 450 450 450 Figure 8 below illustrates the break-even results, in comparison to the base case financial projections. Figure 8: Break Even – Net Income 500 400 300 200 100 0 1 Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson 2 3 4 5 Panera Bread Business Plan 5.8 Contingency Plans Best case scenario In the event of a best case scenario, Panera Bread would realize a higher volume of sales than anticipated. This would cause a concern with respect to capacity limits. Employees would have a difficult time serving customers efficiently, while ensuring excellent customer service. The capacity constraint would cause an extreme difficulty during peak hours and may damage the reputation of Panera Bread if customers become unsatisfied with lengthy waiting times. In response to this scenario, Panera Bread would implement the following contingencies: Hire additional employees Create additional cash registers to process orders more efficiently Expand by constructing a drive-through Expand into a new location after fifth year of operations, if net profits continue to increase Worst case scenario In the event of a worst case scenario, Panera Bread would realize lower than expected sales volumes. Because Panera Bread cannot discontinue products due to the fact that it is franchised, alternative contingency plans have been developed, of which are outlined below: Elimination of staff – Owners could potentially work additional hours Examine atmosphere – Ensure customer service is meeting standards and owners are sufficiently managing operations Examine spoilage and decrease waste levels Discontinue operations - If profitability is not evident by year two, Panera Bread will sell the furniture and fixtures and end the franchise operations 6.0 Summary Upon assessment of the financial model, it is evident that the return on investment for Panera Bread is much lower than the expected internal rate of return. As such, Panera Bread is an attractive opportunity for potential equity investors since the business has proven feasible. In addition to the strong financial results, Panera Bread has a strong brand image and is strategically located along the main retail and restaurant artery in Saskatoon. These features will ensure the future operations of Panera Bread are successful. Kyla Schaan and Kate Simpson will be moving forward with this venture, provided they are able to acquire the capital required. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan References Canadian Restaurant and Foodservices Association. (2010). Retrieved November 17, 2012, from Canada’s Restaurant Industry: Putting Jobs and Economic Growth on the Menu: http://www.crfa.ca/pdf/ipsos_report.pdf Equity Billboards. (2010). Retrieved October 12, 2012, from http://www.equitybillboards.com/ Heckler Associates. (2011). Retrieved November 26, 2012, from Panera Bread: http://hecklerassociates.com/brand-stories/panera/ Canadian Restaurant and Foodservices Association. (2012). Retrieved November 17, 2012, from Saskatchewan's Restaurant Industry: http://www.crfa.ca/pdf/infographic_saskatchewanrestaurantindustry.pdf City of Saskatoon. (2012). Retrieved November 17, 2012, from Population Estimate and Projection: http://www.saskatoon.ca/DEPARTMENTS/COMMUNITY%20SERVICES/PLANNINGDEVELOPME NT/FUTUREGROWTH/DEMOGRAPHICANDHOUSINGDATA/Pages/PopulationEstimateProjection.a spx Colliers Canada. (2012). Retrieved November 15, 2012, from High Profile Office: http://www.collierscanada.com/6169 Colliers International. (2012). Retrieved September 23, 2012, from 1840 - 8th Street East: http://skcolliers.smartviso.com/property/?id=372 Google Maps. (2012). Retrieved September 23, 2012, from 1840 8th Street East: http://maps.google.ca/maps?hl=en&q=1840+8th+street+east&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.r_qf.&bpcl=394685 05&biw=1680&bih=955&wrapid=tlif135473756503910&um=1&ie=UTF8&sa=X&ei=pqe_ULzbMejoiwLP9oHgCQ&ved=0CAUQ_AUoAA Panera Bread. (2012). Retrieved September 23, 2012, from Franchisee's Initial Investment: http://www.panerabread.com/pdf/franchise-info.pdf Panera Bread. (2012). Retrieved September 23, 2012, from Company Overview: http://www.panerabread.com/about/company/ Panera Bread. (2012). Retrieved December 2, 2012, from The Panera Bread Press Kit: http://www.panerabread.com/about/press/kit/?ref=/about/press/index.php#baking Panera Bread. (2012). Retrieved 9 2012, October, from Our History: http://www.panerabread.com/about/company/history.php?ref=/about/company/index.php Panera Bread Iowa. (2012). Retrieved October 11, 2012, from Bakery-Cafe Menu: http://www.paneraiowa.com/fax%20menus/BC/3202.pdf Saskatoon Printing Explorer. (2012). Retrieved October 12, 2012, from http://saskatoon.printingexplorer.com/ Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Bruno, K. (2010, October 19). Fobes. Retrieved October 14, 2012, from Panera Bread: Making Dough Despite Tough Times: http://www.forbes.com/sites/marketshare/2010/10/19/panera-bread-making-dough-despitetough-times/ Painter, M. (2012). COMM 447 Course Manual. In Building Your Business with a Business Plan (p. 201). Saskatoon. Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Appendix A – Panera Bread Iowa Menu (Panera Bread Iowa, 2012) Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Appendix B – Rate Card (Saskatoon Media Group, 2012) Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson Panera Bread Business Plan Appendix C Panera Bread Financial Model (Attached) Kyla Schaan & Kate Simpson