FINA3220A Life Contingencies I Second Term 2018-2019 Assignment 1 Hand in the solutions on or before 31 January 2019. 1. The following function has been proposed as the survival function S0 x for a mortality model: 18000 110 x x 2 G x . 18000 (a) What is the implied limiting age ? (b) Verify that the function G satisfies the criteria for a survival function. (c) Calculate 20 p0 . (d) Determine the survival function for a life aged 20. (e) Calculate the probability that a life aged 20 will die between ages 30 and 40. (f) Calculate the force of mortality at age 50. 2. You are given the survival function 9000 10 x x 2 S0 x , 9000 Calculate the exact value of q50 50 . 0 x 90. 3. If the force of mortality is constant and equal to ln(10/9) from age 76 to age 80, how many of 1000 persons aged 76 will be expected to survive to age 80? 4. Calculate 5. You are given: 20 p40 , given that (x) = kx for all x > 0, and S0 t e 40 2 e80 10 p35 0.81 . k2 t , 0 t k 2 , k 0. k Calculate e60 . 6. You are given: Hens lay an average of 30 eggs each month until death. m The survival function for hens is S0 m 1 , 0 m 72, where m is in months. 72 100 hens have survived to age 12 months. Calculate the expected total number of eggs to be laid by these 100 hens in their remaining lifetimes. 7. You are given the survival function S0 x 1 . Determine the median future lifetime of (y). 1 x 1 8. Suppose that Gompertz’ law applies with 30 0.000130 and 40 0.000344. Calculate 9. Suppose that De Movire’s law applies with 60 0.02. Show that the future lifetime random 10 p40 . variable for (x) has a uniform distribution and e 40 35. 10. Suppose that Makeham’s law of mortality is adopted with parameters A = 0.0004, B = 0.0004 and c = 1.08. (a) Construct a table of px for integer x from age 0 to age 130, using EXCEL. (b) Use the table to determine the age last birthday at which a life currently aged 50 is most likely to die. (c) Use the table to calculate e70 . (d) Using a numerical approach, calculate e70 . For Question 10, submit your EXCEL files through Blackboard. 2