Turkish Exporters’ Assembly ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 Turkish Exporters’ Assembly Dış Ticaret Kompleksi Çobançeşme Mevkii Sanayi Cad. B Blok Kat:9 (34196) Yenibosna-İstanbul Tel: 0212 454 04 90 / 454 04 91 Faks: 0212 454 04 13 / 454 04 83 tim@tim.org.tr Production This report was printed by Küçük Mucizeler Yayıncılık ve İletişim Hizmetleri www.kucukmucizeler.com minister of economy NİHAT ZEYBEKCİ Turkish Economy Proved Its Strength In 2016 2008 mortgage crisis was the biggest financial crisis since the great depression, and the global economy is yet to recover from this disaster. In addition to this, the European Union, our major trading partner struggled with Brexit and Italian banking crisis in 2016. While there has been a recovery in the US economy, which was followed by a boost in employment, concerns about Donald Trump’s infrastructure plans and how will they affect the economy caused an uncertainty in global economy. On the other hand, large economies such as Japan, China and Russia also failed to take the necessary steps towards solving structural problems. In the last 30 years, we observed a greater growth in global trade, compared to global GDP. However, this trend has started to reverse. Weak growth rate of global economy, inevitably affected global trade in a negative way. Especially the decline in developing countries’ currencies against the USD and low oil and commodity prices caused an increase in quantity while dropping the value of global 2 trade. Due to these effects, global trade increased by 1.3% in quantity while dropping by 3.3% in value. As for 2017, we anticipate a rise in both the quantity and the value of global trade. Leading indicators are in the same direction as well, global trade has increased by 9.8% in 2017 Q1. Being one of the important actors in global economy, it is not possible to isolate Turkey from the developments in global economy. Turkish economy, which proved its worth after the 2008 global crisis, has grown by 2.9% in 2016, despite the coup attempt and increasing political instability in neighboring countries. Thus, growing more than 19 EU countries, and ranking 4th among the G20 countries. When we look at Turkey’s foreign trade figures of 2016, we see that the exports were 142.5 billion USD with a minimal decline of 0.9%, while the imports were 198.6 billion USD with a 4.2% drop, and the trade volume was 341.2 billion USD. However, when we include trade in services, shuttle trade and the free zones, Turkey’s trade volume exceeds 400 billion USD. Following the same logic, our export/ import ratio gets close to 88%. Analyzing the sector specific data, which were announced by Turkish Exporters’ Assembly (TİM), we see that the automotive sector is the top performer, followed by readymade garments and chemicals. In addition to this, there has been an increase in 10 of the 27 sectors. Turkey has become worldwide exporter with 243 countries/regions as its customers, increasing its exports to 9 of the top 10 countries. In addition to these, Turkey also increased the number of countries with over 1 billion USD exports from 8 in 2002 to 30 in 2016. As for country groups, our exports to EU and Middle East were increased, and EU’s share in total exports reached 48%. In order to increase Turkey’s share in global trade and strengthen our exporters’ competitiveness, we are continuing our efforts as the Ministry of Economy. We are granting continuous supports to our exporters, such as creating roadmaps for new exporters, providing trade fair incentives, organizing trade delegations and assisting them in overseas with Turkish Trade Centers. Furthermore, for the sake of easing Turkish companies’ integration to global markets, we are encouraging our exporters’ to register to e-commerce portals as well as covering their expenses in patenting, licensing, certification and after sales services on a project by project basis to a certain extent. While implementing these, we are also expanding Turkish Eximbank’s capabilities to ease our exporters’ access to capital as well as export insurances. Today, Turkey is a powerful country, which is considered among the leaders of the future. Turkey can set its own course against the global developments, while turning the crises into opportunity. We will continue with our efforts to reach new heights together with our exporters. I would like to express my gratitude to Turkish Exporters’ Assembly and its valued personnel for creating this valuable report, and wish our exporters a successful year. ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 3 TİM Chaırman MEHMET BÜYÜKEKŞİ Foreign Trade and Economy Report Celebrating Its 4th Year After the 2008 global crisis, which spread to the world from the US in the form of a “mortgage crisis”, it is hard to say that the global trade has entered a stable and sustainable growth period. As a natural outcome of this phase, Turkey’s exports were also affected by the last 8 years’ greatest decline in global trade. With the rising instability in neighboring countries, we experienced serious losses in our trade with the regional partners. Moreover, we encountered countless hardships in the year 2016, such as the failed coup attempt and terrorist attacks. In addition to these, we were also faced with a smearing campaign against our country and economy. In order to reverse the effects of this attack, we launched a movement to promote Turkish business environment under the leadership of our Minister of Economy, together with TOBB. Our aim is to relay the opinions of the CEOs of multinational corporations, which are operating in Turkey. We will reach out to the global community with them and say “Come to Turkey, Discover Your Own Story”. Despite the unfavorable conditions, Turkey’s exports dropped only by 0.9% in 2016, becoming 142.5 billion USD. However, in an environment where the world trade declined by 3.2% and top actors of the global trade recorded above 10% drops in their exports, this could be considered as success. In this content, 2016 was a historic year for Turkish exporters. Turkey’s share in global trade, which was 0.87% in 2015, rose to 0.89% in 2016. Our objective is to increase Turkey’s share in global trade to 1.5% by 2023. As Turkish Exporters’ Assembly, the representative of 67 thousand exporters, who employs more than 3.1 million people, we emphasized the necessity of innovative production culture in achieving social and economic development. Together with our Exporters’ Associations, we are working towards a transition to a knowledge based and competitive economy. In our events throughout the year, we underlined the importance of R&D, innovation, design and branding for Turkish economy and the aimed breakthrough for competitive advantage and sustainable socio-economic growth. Furthermore, we are also focused on empowering our exporters by providing information on global developments and new trends, in order to develop them into trend setters. As Turkish Exporters’ Assembly our main purpose is, as it was before, to develop Turkey into a center of attraction through production and export. Within this framework, we prepared this report for all exporters and entrepreneurs, who can be considered as potential exporters, with the vision of creating a roadmap for the next era. Celebrating the 4th year of this comprehensive report, I would like to express my deepest gratitude to everyone involved in this project. ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 5 AUTHOR’S PREFACE Turkey continues to achieve a high level of integration with global economies and markets in the field of commodity trade. As of 2016, Turkey has become the 31st greatest exporter and 20th greatest importer in the world, thanks to such integration. Turkey keeps working to fulfill its export goal of USD 500 billion set for 2023. 2023 export strategy, put into force within the scope of the goal above, constitutes an important road map for foreign trade. For Turkey to meet its long-term export targets, it is important to review and evaluate export and foreign trade realizations over the years and to improve export strategies. Economy and Foreign Trade Report was drawn up to analyze and evaluate Turkey’s economic and mainly foreign trade data in detail. It aims to contribute to the implementation of overall and sector-specific foreign trade policies. Economy and Foreign Trade Report consists of eight sections. In all sections, world trade and Turkey’s foreign trade are reviewed in detail and the developments in the last three years are evaluated. We hope Economy and Foreign Trade Report contributes to 2023 export strategy and export-related targets of Turkey. Sincerely, Dr. Can Fuat GÜRLESEL 6 Table Of Contents 14 14 14 16 17 19 20 21 23 Section I Developments And Trends In The World Trade I.1 Main Developments In World Economy And Their Effects On World Trade 1.1.1 Growth Of The World Economy I.1.2 General Trends In The World Economy I.1.3 Effects Of Main Developments In The World Economy On The World Trade I.3 General Trends In World Trade I.4 Export In Respect Of Regions And Countries I.5 Import In Respect Of Regions And Countries I.6 Export In Respect Of Sectors 78 78 78 80 81 82 83 83 26 Section Ii Developments In Turkish Economy And Foreign Trade 26 II.1 Economy Policies And Determinants In Turkey 26 II.2 Developments Related To Main Economic Indicators 27 II.3 Central Bank’s Monetary Policy And Financial Indicators 29 II.4 Developments In Main Foreign Trade Indicators 30 II.5 Net Export And Its Contribution To Economic Growth 30 Ii.6 Current Account Balance And Commodity Trade 31 II.7 Developments In Economic Activities And Export-Import Relationship 31 II 7.1 Export And Economic Activities 33 II 7.2 Import And Economic Activities 36 36 36 38 39 39 40 41 43 44 44 46 46 49 49 50 62 Section Iii Export III.1 Main Export Indicators III.1.1 Total Export And Our Place In World Com modity Export III.1.2 Export In Respect To Economic Activities And Large Economic Groups III.1.3 Export In Respect To Foreign Currencies And Performed In Try III.1.4 Export In Respect To Payment Methods And Transportation Means III.2 Manufacturing Industry Export In Respect To Technological Density III.3 Price And Amount Related Developments In Export III.4 Export In Provinces III.5 Export By Country Groups And Countries III.5.1 Export By Country Groups III.5.2 Export By Country Countries III.6 Export By Company Scales And Export Concentration III.7 Export By Main And Subsection Groups III.7.1 Export By Main Section Groups III.7.2 Export By Subsection Groups III.8 Export By Countries And Sections 85 85 85 86 87 88 88 89 101 116 116 116 120 121 121 126 126 126 127 129 130 Section Iv Import IV.1 Main Import Indicators IV.1.1 Total Import And Our Place In World Commodity Import IV.1.2 Import In Respect To Economic Activities And Large Economic Groups IV.1.3 Import In Respect To Foreign Currencies And Performed In Try IV.1.4 Import In Respect To Payment Methods And Transportation Means IV.2 Manufacturing Industry Import In Respect To Technological Density IV.3 Price And Amount Related Developments In Import IV.4 Import In Provinces IV.5 Import By Country Groups And Countries IV.5.1 Import By Country Groups IV.5.2 Import By Countries IV.6 Import By Company Scales And Import Concentration IV.7 Import By Main And Subsection Groups IV.7.1 Import By Main Section Groups IV.7.2 Import By Subsection Groups IV.8 Import By Countries And Sections Section V Net Export V.2 Net Export By Sections V.2 Net Export By Sections V.3 Net Export Analysis In The Context Of Com panies And Sections V.3.1 Evaluation Of Countries On The Basis Of Sections V.3.2 Evaluation Of Sections On The Basis Of Countries Section Vı Turkey’s Foreign Trade Policy VI.1 General Review VI.2 Eu And Customs Union, And Foreign Trade VI.3 Foreign Trade With Regional Organizations VI.4 Free Trade Agreements And Their Effect On Foreign Trade VI.5 Foreign Trade Contributions And Effects 132 Section Vii Review Of Long-Term Ex port Targets 132 VII.1 Global Trends And Their Effects On Turkey 132 VII.2 Export Performances Of Countries On Global Scale 134 VII.3 Turkey’s 2023 Export Targets And Realizatations 140 Section Viii Strategic Evaluation And Suggestions ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 7 INTRODUCTION Executive Summary The Growth of World Economy Fall Short of The Expectations in 2016 World economy achieved a growth rate of 2.4 percent in 2016, which was again below the expectations and its potential. Developed countries grew by 2.1 percent and 1.7 percent in 2015 and 2016 respectively. Growth performances of developing countries were also weak in 2016. Developing countries achieved 4.1 percent growth rate in 2016. World economy Witnessed 7 Main Trends Which Were Decisive in World Economy in 2016 Seven main trends: monetary policies of developed countries; transition to new growth model and economic slowdown in Chinese economy; Brexit, which is United Kingdom’s decision to withdraw from full European Union Membership; USA presidential elections and Trumpeconomics expectations; powerful dollar and steadier global financial markets in the second half of the year; first over depression and then recovery of oil prices; and recovery of commodity prices. Developments and Trends in World Economy Directly or Indirectly Affected World Commodity Trade Expansionary monetary policies of Central Banks in the developed countries and extension of terminating these policies over a period positively affected world commodity trade. Continuous growth in Eurozone supported the increase in import and positively contributed to world trade. With the effect of Trump, expectation towards the recovery of economic activities led to the increase in export orders. The slowdown in developing countries, particularly in China, limits the increase in commodity demand. Consolidation of unused capacities and slowdown in investments negatively affects the demand for investment commodity and the trade. World Commodity Trade Shrank By 3.2 Percent in 2016 World commodity trade shrank twice successively for the first time. Commodity trade shrank by 10.9 and 3.2 percent in 2015 and 2016 respectively. Basing on this recession, while world commodity trade was USD 16.48 trillion in 2015, it decreased to USD 15.96 trillion in 2016. With 1.3 percent, the amount-based growth of world commodity trade experienced the weakest growth for all periods in 2016. Commodity Prices Subject To World Trade Continued To Decrease in 2016 Compared with the previous year, prices of petroleum and energy products subject to trade decreased bu 15.7 percent in 2016. Prices of metal, which are also subject to trade, dropped by 5.4 percent. After many years, average prices of manufacturing industry products decreased by 5.4 percent for the first time. 8 Prices of food products increased by 2.0 percent. There Are Significant Trends That Affect World Commodity Trade in 2016 A substantial slowdown in foreign trade commodity demand and introversion. Ongoing decrease in trade elasticity of income growth. Stiffening of protectionism trends, decrease in trade agreements, restrictive effect of slowdown in developing countries on import demand, restrictive effect of unused capacities on the investment trends and investment commodity trend, on-going restrictive effect of economic slowdown in China on the increase of export to this country, slowdown in the growth of global supply chain, low trend in average prices of industrial products. Export Decreased in All Sectors The most significant determinants of export in respect of sectors in 2016 were decreases in the prices of commodities subject to trade. In this respect, export decreased in all subsections of agricultural raw materials and food-agricultural products, petroleum-natural gas-mining products and manufacturing industry products in 2016. Turkish Economy Grew By 2.9 Percent 2016 consisted of two separate periods. In the first half of the year, economic activities were invigorated and economic growth accelerated. However, economic activities became static after July 15, and economy shrank in the third quarter. Along with the precautions taken and supports provided, growth rate increased to 3.5 percent once again in the third quarter. Thus, economic growth was 2.9 percent in 2016. National Income Accounting Method Is Renewed, National Income Increased Turkish Statistical Institute changed the method used for accounting national income in 2016. National income increased by 10.9 percent basing on fixed prices. In this respect, national income was USD 857 billion and income per capita was USD 10,807 in 2016. Turkey’s Sovereign Credit rating Was Downgraded to Non-investment Due to political uncertainty and mounting economic and financial risks in the second half of 2016, Turkey’s sovereign credit rating, which was awarded in 2013, was downgraded to non-investment. Turkish Lira Depreciated by 20 Percent in 2016 Turkish Lira gradually depreciated by 20 percent on basket basis throughout the year in 2016. Due to the decrease in EUR-USD parity, Turkish Lira mainly depreciated against USD. The fact that Central Bank remained unresponsive for the depreciation of Turkish Lira accelerated such depreciation. Global and Regional Developments Affected Foreign Trade World commodity trade’s shrinking in especially value affected Turkey’s foreign trade indicators. While valuebased recessions were experienced, amount-based growths were also witnessed. Developments in the parities and decreases in energy and commodity prices were determinative. The decline in energy prices had an impact particularly on the decrease in import. Another significant factor that affects export is the geopolitical developments in the major export markets. Export, Import and Foreign Trade Deficit Decreased Together Export decreased by 0.9 percent and amounted to USD 142.5 billion in 2016. With a 4.2 percent decline, import decreased to USD 198.6 billion. Annual foreign trade deficit decreased to USD 56.0 billion. With 71.8 percent, the rate of import coverage by export reached the highest level in the last five years. Commodity and Services Export Negatively Contributed to The Growth Commodity and services export decreased by 2.0 in 2016. Thus, commodity and services export negatively contributed to the growth. Commodity and service import increased by 3.9 percent. The Economic growth rate was 2.9 percent in 2016. Growth was achieved by public consumption expenditures and investment expenditures in part. Export negatively contributed to the growth. Decrease In Commodity Trade Sustained Current Account Deficit Among current account balance items of Turkey, commodity trade and other income-expenditure had a deficit, while services and current transfers had a surplus. In 2016, the deficit in commodity trade balance decreased to USD 40.8 billion and sustained current account deficit. Decrease in Export Is Less Than Decrease in World Export Level Export both in Turkey and across the world also decreased in 2016. Turkey’s rate of decrease in export, which was 0.9 percent, was below world’s decrease rate of 3.2 percent. Our Share in World Commodity Export Increased to 0.89 Percent Turkey’s share in world commodity trade increased to 0.89 percent in 2016. This share which was 0.83 percent in 2013 increased to 0.85 percent in 2014 and 0.87 in 2015. Our share has been increasing for the last four years through export. Our Rank Number 31 in World Export Did Not Change in 2016 With an export amounting to USD 142.5 billion, Turkey maintained its rank as the 31st country in the world export, and the rank did not change in 2016. Compared with the first 30 major exporters, Turkey is among the countries which decreased its export in a relatively limi- ted manner in 2016 with 0.9 percent. Maximum Export Level Pertains To Low-Technology Products Turkey’s export of manufacturing industry products in 2016 amounted to USD 133.65 billion. With 35.1 percent, the highest share in the manufacturing industry export belongs to products with low technological density. Export of products with high technological density dropped from 3.6 to 3.5 percent. Export Increased in Quantity By 4.1 Percent in 2016 Export of Turkey increased in quantity by 4.1 percent in 2016. Despite shrinking of global demand, export of Turkey has been increasing in amount for the last three years. The increase was higher in 2016. Decrease in Turkey’s Unit Export Value Is Higher Than The Decrease in World’s Unit Export Value The decrease in Turkey’s export unit values was higher than the decreases experienced across the world in 2016. While drops of energy and commodity prices across the world were limited, prices of manufacturing industry products mainly exported by Turkey decreased. Export in Euro Surpassed Export in USD After many years, export in EUR surpassed export in USD for the first time in 2016. Recession in the markets to which export is performed in USD and expansion in EU market were effective. While the share of export in EUR increased to 48.2 percent in 2016, the share of export in USD dropped by 4.7 points and decreased to 42.6 percent. Performances of Exporting Provinces Differed in 2016 In 2016, export of the first 20 provinces dropped by 1.4 percent in comparison with the previous year, and decreased from USD 125.1 billion to USD 123.4 billion. Besides, the export performances of the first 20 provinces differed. Out of the first 20 provinces, 7 of them increased their exports. Export of 13 provinces, on the other hand, decreased in 2016. Export increased in the provinces where automotive industry is predominant. Share of EU Countries in Export Increased to 48.0 Percent Export share of EU countries in country groups kept increasing in 2016 and reached to 48.0 percent. Share of North American countries increased from 4.9 percent to 5.2 percent. Share of Near and Middle Eastern countries was 22.0 percent. Share of other European Countries decreased from 9.8 percent to 6.8 percent. With 6.8 percent, share of Asian countries is still under the potential. Our Share in The First 30 Export Markets Decreased By 0.3 Point Shares of our first 30 export markets in our total export ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 9 INTRODUCTION have increased for the last three years and decreased in 2016. Both the increase and the decrease were limited. Share of the first 30 countries in our total export in 2016 dropped by 0.3 point and decreased to 78.2 percent. Number of Companies with Export Amount of Over 1 Billion US Dollars in 2016 Is 9 The number of companies that performed export at an amount of over 1 billion USD was 9 both in 2015 and 2016. The number of companies, whose export amount is between USD 100 million and USD 1 billion decreased from 136 to 123. Total 132 companies with an export amount of more than USD 100 million performs 37.6 percent of the whole export. Import Increased in Amount By 3.9 Percent in 2016 Turkey’s Import Experienced A More Rapid Slowdown In 2016 Turkey’s import increased by 3.9 percent in amount. Despite of economic slowdown and precautions taken, import has not experienced any decrease in amount for the last five years. Increase in foreign exchange rates did not also lead to an amount-based decrease in import. World commodity import decreased by 3.2 percent in USD value in 2016. Turkey’s commodity import, on the other hand, dropped by 4.2 percent in 2016. Decrease in the Turkey’s commodity import was more than the decrease in world commodity import in 2016. This was caused by Turkey’s high-level of dependency on energy import where prices substantially went down. Import of investment commodities increased by 2.9 percent and reached to USD 35.9 billion. Share of investment commodities’ import increased from 16.8 percent to 18.1 percent in 2016. Investment commodity import’s share raised bu 3.3 points in 2015-2016. Turkey’s Share In World Commodity Import Decreased to 1.21 Percent Maximum Decrease of Import Is in Other European Countries Including Russia While the share of Turkey’s commodity import in world commodity import amounted to 1.24 percent in 2015, it decreased to 1.21 percent in 2016. Share of Turkey in world import decreased by 0.14 points in the last three years. Import of Turkey witnessed different developments in all country groups in 2016. Import of energy, commodity and manufacturing industry products was determinative in this variation. Hence, import from Other European Countries, including Russia from which we import petroleum and natural gas, decreased by 22.1 percent. Moving One Level Up Turkey Became The 20th Largest Importer of The World Recently, Turkey has been one the first twenty countries among the world’s most important commodity importers and moved down to rank 21st with an import of USD 207 billion in 2015. Despite of decrease in its import in 2016, Turkey again rank the 20th largest importer of the world with USD 198 billion. Import of Investment Commodities Increased Out of 26 Selected Countries, Turkey Was Qualified As Net Exporter of Twelve Countries Usage Share of Turkish Lira In Import Increases Turkey became the net exporter of twelve of 26 countries selected in 2016. This number was 7 and 10 countries in 2014 and 2015 respectively. The number of countries to which Turkey serves as net exporter has been increasing for the last three years. Our net export to 12 countries to which we served as a net exporter decreased to USD 22.1 in 2016. Turkish Lira’s share in import still increases. In 2016, import equal to USD 14.3 billion was in TRY. Import share of Turkish Lira increased from 6.5 to 7.2 percent in 2016. The Number of Sections Turkey Serves As Net Exporter Increased To 12 Medium-High Technology Products Have The Highest Share in Turkey’s Total Import Imports of sectors and their shares in total import are evaluated in terms of technological density. Medium-high technology products have the highest share in Turkey’s total import. Import of medium-high technology products increased by 1.5 percent and amounted to USD 75.0 billion in 2016. Its share in total import reached 44.9 percent. Import Prices Decrease Along With Recession in Global Prices Within the scope of sector-based developments in import unit prices, import unit prices of mineral fuel and oils 10 experienced the maximum decrease with 27.6 percent, in parallel with the decrease in petroleum prices in 2016. Import unit prices of other important products also went down. Import unit prices of chemical industry and related products dropped and processed goods under major categories dropped by 8.4 and 7.4 percent respectively. However, import unit prices of machinery and vehicles as well as various manufactured goods increased, though limited. Out of 29 foreign trade sections specified as of 2016, Turkey is the net exporter of 12 sections. Among 28 foreign trade section group created in 2015, Turkey became net exporter of 10 sections. Compared with 2015, total net export of sections, which Turkey served as net exporter, dropped only by 0.4 percent and decreased to USD 34.65 billion in 2016. Total Deficit in 17 Sections Having Deficit Decreased By 7.9 Percent 17 sections, which Turkey was qualified as net importer in 2016, were specified. Only 1 section is less than the sections in 2015. Compared with 2015, total net import or deficit of these sections dropped by 7.9 percent and decreased to 93.6 percent to USD 86.2 billion. Recession in net import mainly caused by decreases in import. Customs Union’s Effect of Expanding Mutual Trade With European Union Still Prevails Customs Union still expands mutual trade between Turkey and European Union. Thus, share of foreign trade volume with European Union in Turkey’s foreign trade volume has been re-increasing since 2013. This rate gradually increased and reached 42.8 percent in 2016. Recession in Foreign Trade with Regional Establishments and Organizations It is obvious that Turkey’s share of foreign trade with regional establishments for the last three years in total foreign trade volume decreased. In 2016, share of Black Sea Economic Cooperation Organization declined to 10.9 and 5.1 percent respectively. Share of The Organization of Islamic Cooperation, on the other hand, increased from 18.6 percent to 18.9 percent in 2016. Volume of foreign trade with all these three organizations definitely decreased. Volume of Foreign Trade As Per Free Trade Agreements (FTA) Is Still Limited In 2016, while export to countries which we implement the terms of FTA dropped by 6.2 percent and decreased to USD 17.62 billion, import increased to USD 16.98 billion. Total trade volume dropped by 6.3 percent and decreased to USD 34.6 billion. Deficit of Foreign Trade with Countries Under FTA Over-Decreased Within the framework of foreign trade with countries under FTA, Turkey has deficit with 3 countries and surplus with the others. Countries that Turkey has trade deficit include South Korea, Chile and Malaysia. Turkey has trade surplus with EFTA region and other countries. As for the total foreign trade with countries under the scope of FTA, deficit amounted to USD 3.73 billion in 2015 and decreased to USD 648 million in 2016. This recession caused by substantial decrease in gold export to Switzerland which is included in EFTA countries. Ratio of Total Export Support To Import Increased Export supports are calculated as USD 550.3 million in 2014, USD 435.8 million in 2015 and USD 566.0 million in 2016. Ratio of total export supports to export was 0.35 percent in 2014, decreased to 0.30 percent in 2015 and increased to 0.40 percent in 2016. Maximum Decrease in Export Between 2014-2016 Pertains To China Along with trends and conditions in global economy and trade, a sharp fall was experienced in world commodity trade in 2015 and 2016. Exports of all important exporting countries decreased. Maximum decrease in export between 2014-2016 definitely pertains to China, the largest exporting country, with USD 245 billion Out of The First 30 Exporters, Turkey Was One of 14 Countries Increasing Their Export Shares Between 2014-2016 Out of the first 30 largest exporters, export shares of 14 countries increased while export shares of other 16 countries decreased between 2014-2016. Turkey achieved to be one of the 14 countries increasing their export shares, though limited. Although Turkey’s export definitely decreased in 2014-2016 period, its share in world export increased by 0.04 points. Turkey’s Export Decreasing in 2016 Was Below the Goal Although export goal for 2016 was set as USD 230.0 billion in export strategy document and USD 155.0 billion in medium-term program, export was recorded as USD 142.5 billion Share in World Trade Remained 0.26 Points Below 2016 Goal In Turkey’s 2023 export strategy, share to be taken in world commodity trade was also set as a goal. However, share achieved in the world commodity trade is below the targeted share. Although the goal was 1.15 percent in 2016, the actual share was 0.89 percent. Thus, achieved share was 0.26 points below the goal. Our Export Share Among the First 30 Largest Importers Increased from 0.62 Percent to 0.63 Percent Export of Turkey to the first 30 countries that cover almost 85 percent of the world import amounted to USD 84.0 billion in 2015 and decreased to USD 83.15 billion in 2016. Besides, Turkey’s share in the import of the first 30 markets was 0.62 percent in 2015 and increased to 0.63 percent in 2016. Export Goal Realization Rates of Sectors Were 57.1 Percent in 2016 In 2023 Export Strategy, the total export goal of 26 subsectors for 2016 was set as USD 230.0 billion. However, export achieved was USD 131.4 billion. Realization rate of the 2016 export goal, which was set as USD 230 billion excluding gold, was 57.1 percent. This rate was 64.4 percent in 2015. Export Has to Increase by 23.4 Percent on Average Annually for Sectors To Fulfill Their 2023 Targets When export volumes achieved in 2016 were compared with 2023 targets, it is concluded that Turkey’s sectorbased export should increase by 23.4 percent annually. In 24 sub-sectors, export needs to achieve average two-digit increases until 2023 each year. ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 11 1 DEVELOPMENTS AND TRENDS IN THE WORLD TRADE 1 DEVELOPMENTS AND TRENDS IN THE WORLD TRADE I.1 MAIN DEVELOPMENTS IN WORLD ECONOMY AND THEIR EFFECTS ON WORLD TRADE 1.1.1 GROWTH OF THE WORLD ECONOMY The Growth of World Economy Fall Short of The Expectations in 2016 The World economy achieved a growth rate of 2.4 percent in 2016, and it was, once again, below the expectations and the potential. The world economy grew 2.4 percent in 2016 and fell below its growth rate in 2015, which was 2.6 percent. The growth rate in 2016 is quite below the anticipated rate at the beginning of the year, 3.0 percent. The growth of the world economy has weakened during the last two years. Four main factors have led the growth of the global trade to remain below the expectations and its potential. The first factor is the fluctuation and pressure caused by the normalization in the monetary policy of the USA Central Bank, FED. The second one is the economic slowdown, which is commonly experienced by developing countries that primarily export energy and commodity. The third factor is the weakening that results from tension, opposition and geopolitical developments in the Middle East. The fourth one is the effects of United Kingdom’s plan to withdraw from full European Union membership. Different Growth Trends in the World Economy After the global crisis, the world economy could not start a period of steady and consistent growth. The growth in 2016 was not steady either. Growth performances of the developed countries in 2016 were below the recovery achieved in the last two years. Developed countries experienced a growth recovery with 1.8 percent and 2.1 percent in 2014 FIGURE.1 GROWTH OF THE WORLD ECONOMY PERCENTAGE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH 2014 2015 4,6 4,1 4,1 4 2,7 2,6 2,4 1,8 2 2,1 1,7 1 0 world DEVELOPED COUNTRIES SOURCE: IMF WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK APRIL 2017 14 COUNTRIES 2014 2015 2016 WORLD 2,7 2,6 2,4 DEVELOPED COUNTRIES 1,8 2,1 1,7 USA 2,4 2,6 1,6 EURO ZONE 0,9 2,0 1,7 EU 28 1,4 2,3 2,0 JAPAN 0,0 1,2 1,0 OTHER DEVELOPED COUNTRIES 2,8 2,0 2,2 DEVELOPING COUNTRIES 4,6 4,1 4,1 CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE 2,8 3,7 3,0 CIS 1,0 -2,8 0,3 ASIA 6,8 6,7 6,4 MIDDLE EAST AND N. AFRICA 2,7 2,5 3,9 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 5,0 3,4 1,4 LATIN AMERICA 1,3 0,1 -1,0 SOURCE: IMF WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK APRIL 2017 and 2015 respectively. However, the growth rate declined to 1.7 percent in 2016. A slowdown in growth has been observed particularly in the USA, Eurozone, and the European Union. The growth performances of developing countries were also weak in 2016. Following a growth of 4.6 percent in 2014, developing countries achieved 4.1 percent growth rate in 2015 and 2016. The transformation of the Chinese economy, effects of new global financial circumstances, low prices of energy and commodity and geopolitical developments adversely affected the growth performances of developing countries. Promising to accelerate economic growth, Donald Trump won the Presidential elections held in the USA in 2016. After the results of the elections held in November, expectations for the growth of USA and world economy for 2017 raised. 2016 5 3 TABLE.1 GROWTH OF WORLD ECONOMY PERCENTAGE DEVOLOPİNG CAUNTRIES Different Growth Performances in Developed and Developing Countries Growth performances of developed and developing countries that steer the world economy displayed different trends in 2016. With a growth rate of 1.6 percent in 2016, USA fell below its growth rate in 2015, which was 2.4 percent. Expectations towards FED interest increase and adverse weather conditions in the USA particularly during the first half ad- versely affected the growth. In the second half of the year, the growth started to speed up. Basing on the accelerating growth performance, USA Central Bank FED put the longexpected interest increase into force in December. In 2015, after getting out of the recession she re-entered in 2014, Japan achieved a weak growth in 2016 at 0.9 percent. Economic growth of Eurozone significantly recovered in 2014 and 2015. This growth recovery continued in the first half of 2016. However, the uncertainties arising from United Kingdom’s planned withdrawal EU slowed down the growth in the second half of the year. The growth decreased to 1.8 percent in England. Germany sustained a growth rate of 1.8 TABLE 2. GROWTH OF DEVELOPED COUNTRIES IN PERCENTAGE COUNTRIES 2014 2015 2016 USA 2,4 2,6 1,6 GERMANY 1,6 1,5 1,8 JAPAN 0,0 1,2 1,0 CANADA 2,5 0,9 1,4 ENGLAND 2,9 2,2 1,8 AUSTRALIA 2,7 2,4 2,5 FRANCE 0,2 1,3 1,2 ITALY -0,4 0,7 0,9 SPAIN 1,4 3,2 3,2 SOUTH KOREA 3,3 2,6 2,8 SOURCE: IMF WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK APRIL 2017 percent. Spain achieved a relatively rapid growth with 3.2 percent growth rate. France experienced a weak recovery with 1.2 percent growth rate. Following the year 2015, Italy again grew at 0.9 percent in 2016. Among other developed countries, Canada, Australia and South Korea’s growth rates in 2016 were similar to those in the previous year. Along with the acceleration in economic growths of developed countries, significant improvements were observed TABLE 3. UNEMPLOYMENT RATES IN DEVELOPED COUNTRIES COUNTRIES 2014 2015 in unemployment the greatest problem of post-global crisis era. Unemployment decreased particularly in Euro Zone and the European Union in 2016 as well as USA and England. Unemployment in Euro Zone saw one-digit numbers with 9.6 percent. The USA, where the unemployment rate was 4.9 percent, returned to the lowest levels. With a rate of 4.8 percent, unemployment in England is at its lowest level since the global crisis. For developing countries which serve as the second driver of the world economy, slowdown, especially in the Chinese economy, is decisive. The Chinese economy grew at 6.7 percent in 2016. In 2016, Chinese economy retained the transition process from a growth model based on export and new investments to a growth model in which domestic consumption contributes more to the growth. Accordingly, growth in the Chinese economy slows down. In 2016, the slowdown in China continued to adversely affect growths of other developing countries which China has strong economic and commercial relationships. Reform-oriented policies of the new ruling government of India kept supporting rapid growth. India achieved a rapid growth in 2016 with 6.8 percent. Russia’s growth was adversely affected by unfavorable effects of sanctions mutually executed with Western countries as well as rather low prices of energy and commodity in 2016. Russian economy shrank by 3.7 and 0.2 percent in 2015 and 2016 respectively. Due to its high level of dependency on the export of energy and commodity, Brazil is among the countries most affected by the drop in prices that began in 2015. Brazilian economy shrank by 3.8 and 3.6 percent in 2015 and 2016 respectively. Bearing similar features, South Africa grew less than the previous year with 0.3 percent growth rate in 2016. Poland is gradually becoming the new industrial center of European Union and achieves relatively rapid growth. Increasing its growth rate to 3.6 in 2015, Poland grew at 3.1 TABLE 4. GROWTH OF DEVELOPING COUNTRIES IN PERCENTAGE COUNTRIES 2014 2015 2016 CHINA 7,3 6,9 6,7 INDIA 7,3 7,6 6,8 2016 RUSSIA 0,6 -3,7 -0,2 0,1 -3,8 -3,6 DEVELOPED COUNTRIES 7,3 7,0 6,5 BRAZIL USA 6,2 5,3 4,9 MEXICO 2,3 2,6 2,3 EURO ZONE 11,6 10,9 9,6 SOUTH AFRICA 1,5 1,3 0,3 JAPAN 3,6 3,4 3,1 INDONESIA 5,0 4,8 5,0 ENGLAND 6,2 5,4 4,8 MALAYSIA 6,0 5,0 4,2 CANADA 6,9 6,9 6,8 POLAND 3,4 3,6 2,8 OTHER DEVELOPED COUNTRIES 4,7 4,6 4,4 SAUDI ARABIA 3,6 4,1 1,4 SOURCE: IMF WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK DATABASE 2017 SOURCE: IMF WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK APRIL 2017 ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 15 1 DEVELOPMENTS AND tRENDS IN THE WORLD TRADE cember 2015 for the first time and greeted 2016 with an expectation of several increases. However, these expectations led to massive losses in global financial markets in the first quarter of the year. Thus, FED lowered the interest increase expectations at the end of March and relieved global financial markets. After that, as a result of United Kingdom’s planned withdrawal from EU and expectations created by USA’s Presidential elections in the second half of the year, FED could raise the interest rate in December only once. Although FED could raise the interest rate only once, USA Dollar closed the year with appreciation as Trump won the elections. European Central Bank also kept implementing monetary expansion measures it increased in 2015 during the whole 2016 and did not give a date or sign for terminating expansionary policies due to Brexit decision. Expansionary monetary policies of European Central Bank started to yield favorable results in 2016. While inflation rate notably increased, unemployment fell to one-digit numbers. Before Brexit decision, Central Bank of England, which was expected to terminate expansionary monetary policies as FED did, kept implementing supportive measures for markets during the post-Brexit period. Pound sterling significantly depreciated after Brexit decision.Central Bank of Japan sustained expansionary monetary policies and the lowest interest rates in the history during the year. Among the developed countries, Switzerland, Denmark, and Sweden adopted negative interest rate policy during 2016. Central Bank of China took various measures to avoid depreciation of Chinese Yuan throughout 2016. Reserves were significantly used, and bands of fluctuations were widened three times. Yuan’s stability assured by the precautions taken had a favorable impact on the currencies of other developing countries. FIGURE.2 GROWTH IN BRIC COUNTRIES PERCENTAGE OF GROWTH IN BRIC COUNTRIES 10 8 7,3 6,9 6 7,6 7,3 6,8 6,7 4 2 0,6 0 -2 0,1 INDIA CHINA -0,2 -4 -6 2014 2015 RUSSIA BRAZIL -3,7 -3,8 -3,6 2016 SOURCE: IMF WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK APRIL 2017 percent in 2016. Thanks to the recovery in the USA, Mexico managed to attain a growth rate of 2.6 percent in 2015. However, during the USA’s Presidential election period and after election results, President Trump’s policy preferences related to Mexico adversely affected growth in Mexico, and growth rate decreased to 2.3 percent in 2016. Although affected by the slowdown in China and prices of the commodity, economic growth rates for Indonesia and Malaysia were relatively high. Due to low oil prices, economic growth in Saudi Arabia fell to 1.4 percent in 2016. I.1.2 GENERAL TRENDS IN THE WORLD ECONOMY The World economy witnessed seven main trends which were decisive for the world economy in 2016. 1- Monetary Policies of Developed Countries 2- Transformation in Chinese Economy, New Growth Model, and Economic Slowdown Monetary policies of the Central Banks in the developed countries which implement the lowest interest rates of the history through extraordinary expansionary monetary policies after the global crisis were still decisive in the global economy in 2016. The USA’s Central Bank FED raised interest rates in De- In 2016, Chinese economy sustained economic transformation which was started to be implemented as of the beginning of 2015. China has been transforming its longlasting growth model based on investments and export to a domestic-demand based growth model. Thus, its FIGURE.3 EUR-USD PARITY 1,4 EUR-USD PARITY 1,35 1,3 1,25 1,2 1,15 1,1 16 DECEMBER 2016 OCTOBER NOVEMBER SEPTEMBER JULY AUGUST MAY JUNE APRİL MARCH JANUARY FEBRUARY DECEMBER 2015 OCTOBER NOVEMBER SEPTEMBER JULY AUGUST MAY JUNE APRİL MARCH JANUARY FEBRUARY DECEMBER 2014 OCTOBER NOVEMBER SEPTEMBER JULY AUGUST JUNE MAY APRİL MARCH JANUARY FEBRUARY 1 DECEMBER 2013 1,05 SOURCE: T.R. CENTRAL BANK OIL PRICES OF BRENT BARREL USD 94,7 110,0 106,0 103,2 107,8 APRİL 108,2 109İ6 112,4 106,4 109,1 110,9 120,0 FEBRUARY FIGURE.4 OIL PRICES OF BRENT BARREL/USD 85,9 100,0 57,0 48,3 50,5 47,0 49,1 49,0 49,7 42,5 48,1 MAY 50,0 APRİL 37,3 35,5 40,0 49,6 44,5 54,2 49,8 60,0 48,4 62,6 62,2 55,3 57,3 70,0 53,0 80,0 66,8 67,5 70,2 90,0 40,0 economic growth rate has been decreasing from average levels of 10-11 percent to 6-7 percent range. After many years, import and export in Chinese economy declined, and growth of investments slowed down in 2016. China has been gradually termination its discretionary supports. Transformation in China, the second largest economy of the globe, affects the rest of world. Acceleration in the economic slowdown of China and depreciation of Yuan in the first half of 2016 caused worries and led to losses in global financial markets. Thanks to the precautions taken in the second half of the year, fluctuation became less effective. However, a slowdown in China kept slowing down the economies of countries dependent upon it in 2016. During the transformation process, the Chinese economy has also consolidated unused capacities previously created in the manufacturing industry. Thus, investments in new capacities on a global scale became less in 2016. 3- Brexit; United Kingdom’s Planned Withdrawal from the European Union It was an unexpected development that the United Kingdom planned to withdraw from full European Union membership through a referendum held in June 2016, and such decision again caused worries particularly regarding the future of the European Union and Euro. Withdrawal negotiations with EU and United Kingdom were postponed to 2017. Thus, a new form of their relationship has not been settled yet. Uncertainties arising from these developments started to cause worries across EU, and EU and Pound Sterling depreciated against other currencies. Besides, growth and economic activities have not been affected as adversely as expected fearfully. 4-USA’s Presidential Elections and Trumpeconomics Expectations Republican Party’s nominee Donald Trump promising to NOVEMBER DECEMBER 2016 OCTOBER SEPTEMBER AUGUST JULY JUNE MARCH FEBRUARY JANUARY DECEMBER 2015 OCTOBER NOVEMBER AUGUST SEPTEMBER JULY JUNE MAY APRİL MARCH JANUARY FEBRUARY NOVEMBER OCTOBER DECEMBER 2014 SOURCE: BRENT OIL MARKET SEPTEMBER JULY AUGUST JUNE MAY MARCH JANUARY DECEMBER 2013 30,0 accelerate economic growth and to take radical decisions in this respect won the Presidential elections held in the USA. Due to Trump’s promises, negative expectations including especially the rapid depreciation of USD were put forward if he won the presidential election. However, the developments after Trump’s victory in the elections were exact the opposite of expectations. Prediction on the acceleration of USA’s growth rate, all new pricing activities was based on rapid growth. While USD appreciated, the interest rate increased, and the prices of commodity went up with the expectation of an increase in demand. Trump led to significant increases in optimistic expectations and asset prices in the world economy in the last two months of 2016. 5- Powerful Dollar and Steadier Global Financial Markets in the Second Half of the Year Powerful Dollar was effective throughout 2016. USD had the most valuable and powerful year after the global crisis. Expectations towards FED’s interest increase supported the powerful dollar all year round. After Trump had won the presidential selection, the dollar appreciated further. Dollar index that measures the value of USD against the currencies of 6 developed countries reached the highest level in the last 19 years with 105 points. EUR-USD parity was 1.05 at the end of the year. In the first half of the year, global financial markets were adversely affected by the powerful dollar, and fluctuations and losses increased. However, fluctuations in the global financial markets started to moderate in the second half of the year. Especially the expectations towards the election of Trump created an optimistic atmosphere in the global financial markets. 6-First Over-Depression and Then Recovery of Oil Prices One of the important developments of 2016 was that oil prices declined substantially at first, and recovered afterward. ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 17 1 DEVELOPMENTS AND tRENDS IN THE WORLD TRADE In the first quarter of 2016, oil prices were less than 30 USD. Regardless of the developments in supply and demand, oil prices experienced a very rate of depression. In the second half of the year, as OPEC and the other non-member producer countries agreed upon limiting the production and thus limited the production, oil prices increased to 58 USD. At the end of the year, oil prices of Brent were 57 USD. The recovery of oil prices was promising for the growth of producer countries. 7- Recovery of Commodity Prices In the first half of 2016, commodity prices were still relatively low. However, commodity prices started to increase as of the second half the year. In the second half of the year, the prices of minerals, metals, food and industrial products were upwards, and the rate of price increases was different. Increase in oil prices, smooth reaction to the powerful dollar in global financial markets and expectations towards an increase in growth and demand with the election of Trump supported the increase in commodity prices. TABLE.5 DEVELOPMENTS IN COMMODITY PRICES PERIODS LUMINUM LME SPOT PRICE US DOLLAR METRIC TON HOT FLAT STEEL DOLLAR/TON (PRICE IN EUROPE) COTTON COTTON LOOK A INDEX FAO FOOD PRICE INDEX COMEX COPPER SPOT PRICE DOLLAR/POUND 2009 2.181 590 76.8 178 3.3275 2010 2.356 640 168.2 223 4.4395 2011 2.024 615 96.7 211 3.4335 2012 2.086 595 82.9 211 3.6490 2013 1.739 600 87,5 206 3,3680 2014 1.909 440 70,0 186 2,8250 2015 1.507 338 70,6 153 2,1250 march 2016 1.524 342 65,7 151 2,1830 .JUNE 2016 1.635 400 76,2 163 2,1950 SEPTEMBER 2016 1.658 481 77,3 171 2,2000 DECEMBER 2016 1.713 596 79,4 170 2.5075 I.1.3 EFFECTS OF MAIN DEVELOPMENTS IN THE WORLD ECONOMY ON THE WORLD TRADE Developments and trends in the world economy in 2016 directly or indirectly affected world commodity trade. Positive Effects are; a- Expansionary monetary policies of Central Banks in the developed countries and extension of terminating these policies over a period positively affected world commodity trade. b- Continuous growth in Eurozone supported the increase in import and positively contributed to world trade. c- With the effect of Trump, expectation towards the re- SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION covery of economic activities led to the increase in export orders. d- Increase in the oil and commodity prices supports the growth of trade in value. Negative Effects are; a- The slowdown in developing countries, particularly in China, limits the increase in commodity demand. b- Consolidation of unused capacities and slowdown in investments negatively affects the demand for investment commodity and the trade. c- The monetary policy of USA’s Central Bank FED and powerful Dollar have a restrictive effect. d- Brexit and Trump’s election were not expected and led to restrictive effects due to uncertainties they created. Trump’s foreign trade policy is especially worrying. I.2 DEVELOPMENTS IN THE MAGNITUDE OF WORLD TRADE After three years of slowdown, world commodity trade substantially shrank in 2015. World commodity trade shrank in value at 10.9 percent in 2015. In 2016, shrinking continu- 18 ed with a rate of 3.2 percent. Thus, world commodity trade shrank twice successively for the first time. World commodity trade kept growing in amount in 2016 but achieved the lowest growth rate by amount. Such decrease in the growth by amount is more important than the decrease in value. The increase in commodity demand experienced a significant decline in 2016. Basing on these developments, while world commodity trade was USD 16.48 trillion in 2015, it decreased to USD 15.96 trillion in 2016. TABLE.6 WORLD COMMODITY TRADE BILLION DOLLAR 2015 2016 DEVELOPED COUNTRIES GROWTH IN IMPORT % 2.181 590 76.8 3,2 DEVELOPING COUNTRIES GROWTH IN IMPORT % 3,6 4,7 2,0 96.7 DEVELOPED COUNTRIES GROWTH IN EXPORT % 2.024 615 96.7 DEVELOPING COUNTRIES GROWTH IN EXPORT % 3,0 2,0 1,3 2015 2016 COMMODITY TRADE BILLION DOLLAR 2.181 590 76.8 GROWTH OF COMMODITY TRADE ON PERCENT VALUE BASIS 18.494 16.482 GROWTH OF COMMODITY TRADE ON PERCENT AMOUNT BASIS 2.024 615 SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION FIGURE.5 WORLD COMMODITY TRADE WORLD COMMODITY TRADE TRILLION DOLLAR 18,49 18,50 18,00 17,50 17,00 16,48 16,50 15,96 16,00 15,50 15,00 14,50 2014 2015 2016 SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION FIGURE.6 GROWTH OF WORLD COMMODITY TRADE IN AMOUNT 4 2 2,7 -4 With a growth rate of 1.4 percent in 2016, export growth of developed countries on amount basis remained below the rates of 2014 and 2015. Export of developing countries remained far below the rates in 2014 and 2015 with a growth rate of 1.3 in amount in 2016. In 2016, two trends were effective for commodity prices subject to world trade. Prices remained below the previous year’s prices during a significant period of the year. However, along with the price increases in the last months of the year, a recovery in prices was observed. Nevertheless, as the prices remained low for the great part of the year, average prices of the commodities subject to world trade recessed in comparison with the average prices of the previous year. In 2016, average prices of oil and energy products subject to trade decreased by 15.7 percent, and average prices of manufacturing industry products decreased by 5.4 percent in comparison with the previous year’s average prices. 1,3 VALUE GROWTH PERCENTAGE -6 AMOUNT GROWTG PERCENTAGE -3,2 PERCENTAGE OF GROWTH -8 -10 -12 SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION TABLE.8 DEVELOPMENTS IN AVERAGE PRICES OF COMMODITIES SUBJECT TO WORLD TRADE 2,6 1,2 0 -2 TABLE.7 GROWTH OF WORLD TRADE IN AMOUNT PERCENTAGE 2014 2014 19,00 Developing and developed countries witnessed significant developments in export and import on amount basis in 2016. Import in developed countries increased by 3.6 and 4.7 percent in amount in 2014 and 2015 respectively and grew at 2.0 percent in 2016. Import by developing countries, on the other hand, increased by 0.2 percent in 2016. IN WORLD TRADE -10,9 2014 SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 GROWTH OF WORLD TRADE IN VALUE % 1,2 -10,9 -3,2 PRICES OF OIL AND ENERGY PRODUCTS % -7,5 -47,2 -15,7 METAL PRICES % -10,1 -23,0 -5,4 FOOD PRICES -4,1 -17,1 2,0 MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY PRODUCTSPRICES % -0,4 -2,4 -5,4 SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION, IMF WEO APRIL 2017 ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 19 1 DEVELOPMENTS AND tRENDS IN THE WORLD TRADE I.3 GENERAL TRENDS IN WORLD TRADE There are significant trends that affect world commodity trade in 2016. A great part of these trends leads to a slowdown in world commodity trade. 1- Substantial Slowdown in Foreign Trade Commodity Demand and Introversion The growth of world commodity trade in amount slowed down substantially. Foreign trade commodity demand experiences a significant slowdown, and inward-oriented trends become stronger. With 1.3 percent, growth in amount reached the lowest level in the history. 2- Trade Elasticity of Income Growth Continues to Decrease Trade elasticity defined as import demand caused by income growth declines. Income-trade elasticity which was 2.3 between 1986 and 2007 decreased to 1.1 in 2011-2016. Income growth does not create sufficient amount of import demand. Elasticity related to manufacturing industry products, in particular, declined further. 3- Stronger Protectionism Trends For the first time, intense discussion and criticism were raised over the liberalization of commodity trade which is the driving force of globalization. Therefore, countries protectionist trends become gradually stronger. 4- Less Trade Agreements ries changes in a downward direction. 6- Unused Capacities Restrict The Investment Trends and The Demand in Investment Commodity As there are still unused capacities in many industries after the global crisis, global investment trend is restricted. Therefore, investment commodity demand satisfied through import to a great extent is still weak. 7- Economic Slowdown in China Still Restricts the Increase in Export to This Country China, having grown basing on exports and new investments for a long time and thus becoming an important export market for many supplier countries, restricts its new investments and export-oriented production with it new growth model. The increase in import caused in parallel with this model becomes static. 8- Growth of Global Supply Chain Slowed Down Separation of industrial production and associated growth of global supply chain has now slowed down. New rings are not added to the value chain. Expansion of trade will only be supported by trade which is among the current rings. Thus, increase in import based on supply chain also slowed down. 9- Direction of Oil and Commodity Prices is Upwards In recent years, many multilateral trade agreements were replaced by bilateral trade agreements. However, the number of bilateral trade agreements signed and executed during the year becomes gradually decreases. Countries started to adopt firmer stance during the negotiations of trade agreements. Oil and commodity prices witnessed a long-termed recession until mid-2016. However, oil and commodity prices recovered, and prices started to increase in parallel with the circumstances emerging as of the second half of the year. 5- Slowdown In Developing Countries Limits Import Demand 10- Average Prices of Industrial Products Are Still Low Economic growth performances decrease in developing countries. Thus, import demand in developing countries started to be limited. Potential import by developing count- Average prices of manufacturing industry products subject to global world trade are still weak. The slowdown in demands and increase in competition restrict the price increases. However, if oil and commodity prices permanently increase, prices of manufacturing industry will be upwards after a while. I.4 EXPORT IN RESPECT OF REGIONS AND COUNTRIES Along with recession of world commodity export on a global scale, exports of all regions decreased in 2016. However, decreases in exports of regions differed basing on various regional effects of economic and commercial trends on a global scale. 20 Along with economic recovery, European Union’s and at a broader extent Europe’s export recession was quite limited in 2016. Thus, Europe and the European Union were the regions with the highest export level in 2016. After many years, export of Asia decreased successively for the se- cond time. As the second greatest exporting region, Asia export was equal to USD 5.76 trillion in 2016. Export of North America decreased by 3.5 percent in 2016. In 2016, exports of three regions decreased above the average. The common features of these regions are that they are home to developing countries as well as the countries exporting energy and commodity. The decrease in commodity export was 15.9 percent for the Commonwealth of the TABLE.9 REGIONS IN THE WORLD EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR 2015/2016 TABLE.10 COUNTRIES IN WORLD EXPORT EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR RANK COUNTRY 2015 2016 2015/2016 2016 CHANGE SHARE % % RANK IN İN 2015 1 CHINA 2.275 2.098 -7,8 13,06 1 2 USA 1.505 1.455 -3,4 9,05 2 3 GERMANY 1.329 1.340 0,8 8,33 3 4 JAPAN 625 645 3,2 4,01 4 5 THE NETHERLANDS 567 570 0,4 3,54 5 6 HONG KONG 511 517 1,2 3,22 7 7 FRANCE 506 501 -1,0 3,12 8 2014 2015 2016 AFRICA 538 378 342 -9,5 ASIA 6.195 5.965 5.757 -3,5 719 491 413 -15,9 8 SOUTH KOREA 527 495 -6,1 3,08 6 EUROPE 6.807 5.958 5.941 -0,3 9 ITALY 459 462 0,7 2,88 10 EU 28 6.156 5.387 5.392 0,0 10 ENGLAND 460 409 -11,1 2,55 9 MIDDLE EAST 1065 675 602 -10,8 11 BELGIUM 398 396 -0,5 2,46 12 NORTH AMERICA 2.492 2.293 2.217 -3,5 12 CANADA 408 390 -4,4 2,43 11 678 531 500 -5,8 13 MEXICO 381 374 -1,8 2,33 13 14 SINGAPORE 347 330 -4,9 2,05 14 15 SWITZERLAND 290 303 4,5 1,89 16 16 SPAIN 282 288 2,1 1,79 18 17 RUSSIA 340 282 -17,1 1,76 15 18 TAIWAN 285 280 -1,8 1,74 17 19 UAE 265 266 0,4 1,67 20 20 INDIA 267 264 -1,1 1,64 19 21 THAILAND 214 215 0,5 1,34 21 22 POLAND 198 203 2,5 1,26 24 23 AUSTRALIA 188 190 1,1 1,18 26 COMMONWEALTH OF INDEPENDENT STATES SOUTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA CHANGE % SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION FIGURE.7 REGIONS IN WORLD EXPORT EXPORT IN 2016 IN BILLION DOLLARS 7.000 6.000 5.941 5.757 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.217 2.000 1.000 0 602 EUROPE ASIA 500 NORTH MIDDLE LATIN AMERICA EAST AMERICA 413 342 24 MALAYSIA 200 189 -5,5 1,18 23 CIS AFRICA 25 BRAZIL 191 185 -3,1 1,15 25 26 VIETNAM 162 177 9,3 1,10 27 27 SAUDI ARABIA 202 175 -13,4 1,10 22 28 CZECH REPUBLIC 158 163 3,2 1,01 28 29 AUSTRALIA 152 152 0,0 0,95 29 30 INDONESIA 150 144 -4,0 0,90 30 SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION Independent States, 10.8 percent for Middle East Region and 9.5 percent for Africa Region in 2016. Decreases in oil and commodity prices affected the downward trend in export. Exports of 30 countries with the highest amount of world commodity export differed from each other in 2016. Among ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 21 1 DEVELOPMENTS AND tRENDS IN THE WORLD TRADE Saudi Arabia by 17.1, 11.1 and 13.4 respectively. Decreases in export levels were higher in countries producing energy and commodity. It has been observed that export in the European Union started to increase again. After many years, export in Japan increased once again. Exports in South Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia and Indonesia, significant industrial product exporters of Far East, also decreased. Poland and Czech Republic in Central Europe keep increasing their exports. The countries that constitute the first 30 countries of world commodity export in 2015 and 2016 were the same 30 countries. In other words, the first 30 countries did not change. the first 30 countries exports of 12 countries increased. Export of 1 country remained unchanged. Exports of 17 countries, on the other hand, decreased. The rates of decreases and increases in exports were also substantially different. China’s export decreased by 2.9 and 7.8 percent in 2015 and 2016 respectively. However, China again ranked the first with an export amount of USD 2.1 trillion. Export of USA, ranking the second, decreased by 3.4 percent. Germany in the third rank increased its export by 0.8 percent. The maximum level of increase in export of the year was achieved by Vietnam by 9.3 percent. The maximum level of decrease in export belongs to Russia, England, and FIGURE.8 THE FIRST 20 COUNTRIES WITH THE HIGHEST EXPORT LEVEL IN 2016 EXPORT IN 2016 IN BILLION DOLLARS 2.000 1.098 2.500 SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION INDIA 264 UAE 266 TAIWAN 280 RUSSIA 282 SPAIN 288 SWİTZERLAND 303 330 SINGAPORE 409 ENGLAND 374 462 ITALY MEXICO 495 SOUTH KOREA 390 501 FRANCE CANADA 517 HONG KONG 396 569 THE NETHERLANDS BELGIUM 645 GERMANY USA 0 CHINA 500 JAPAN 1.000 1.339 1.454 1.500 I.5 IMPORT IN RESPECT OF REGIONS AND COUNTRIES Improvements in import in respect of regions and countries are important as they also reflect the improvements in export markets. It has been observed that import was affected by global economic circumstances in 2016 on the regional scale. Except for Europe, all countries import levels decreased in 2016. Along with the recovery, import increased by 0.2 percent in Europe. Import by the European Union, on the other hand, increased by 1.2 percent. With 2.8 percent, import in North America market decreased below the average in 2016. The amount of import was USD 3.05 trillion. Import in Asia region, on the other hand, shrank by 4.7 percent in 2016. The amount of the import in the region was USD 5.01 trillion. The decrease in Chinese import was effective. Import in the Middle East region, whose income declined due to downward trends in oil and commodity prices in 2016, decreased by 8.4 percent in 2016. Decreases of import in Middle East countries surpassed the levels achieved in 2015. Commonwealth of Independent States’ import decreased by 3.2 percent. Comparing with the last year’s decrease of 33.7 percent, the recession in 2016 was more limited. The sanctions implemented as well as the decreases in energy prices relieved the pressure on import demand. Import decreased by 15.1 percent in South and Central TABLE.11 REGIONS IN THE WORLD IMPORT BILLION DOLLAR 2015 2016 AFRICA 625 570 524 -7,9 ASIA 6.330 5.453 5.196 -4,7 511 339 328 -3,2 EUROPE 6.819 5.912 5.926 0,2 EU 28 6.144 5.329 5.392 1,2 MIDDLE EAST 710 628 574 -8,4 NORTH AMERICA 3.287 3.140 3.052 -2,8 726 609 517 -15,1 COMMONWEALTH OF INDEPENDENT STATES SOUTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION, 22 2015/2016 2014 CHANGE % FIGURE.9 REGIONS IN WORLD IMPORT RANK NORTH MIDDLE LATIN AFRICA AMERICA EAST AMERICA CIS SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION America region that is based on energy and commodity export, and by 7.9 percent in Africa region. Import of the first 30 countries with the highest amount of world commodity import differed from each other in 2016. Among the first 30 countries imports of 9 countries increased. Import of 1 country remained unchanged. Imports of 2 countries, on the other hand, decreased. Compared to the last year, there are two differences in the first 30 countries with the highest amount of world commodity import. Indonesia and Saudi Arabia, which were among the first 30 importer countries in 2015, were replaced by the Czech Republic and Sweden. Import by the USA, the largest import market, declined to USD 2.25 trillion with 2.5 percent decrease. Chinese import, on the other hand, recessed by 5.6 percent. Germany, the third-largest importer, increased by 0.6 percent. With a 1.6 percent increase in import, England became the fourth largest importer in 2016. Japan ranked the 5th with a decrease in import by 6.2 percent. With 20.1 percent, Russia was the country achieving the maximum decrease in import. Recessions of imports in 2016 were less than those in the previous years. 1.587 1.500 2 CHINA 1.682 1.587 -5,6 9,7 2 3 GERMANY 1.050 1.056 0,6 6,5 3 4 ENGLAND 626 636 1,6 3,9 5 5 JAPAN 648 608 -6,2 3,7 4 6 FRANCE 573 573 0,0 3,5 6 7 HONG KONG 559 547 -2,1 3,3 7 8 THE NETHERLANDS 506 504 -0,4 3,1 8 9 SOUTH KOREA 436 406 -6,9 2,5 9 10 ITALY 409 405 -1,0 2,5 11 11 CANADA 436 403 -7,6 2,5 10 12 MEXICO 405 398 -1,7 2,4 12 13 BELGIUM 375 367 -2,1 2,2 14 14 INDIA 392 359 -8,4 2,2 13 15 SPAIN 309 310 0,3 1,9 15 16 SINGAPORE 297 283 -4,7 1,7 16 17 SWITZERLAND 252 270 7,1 1,7 17 18 TAIWAN 238 231 -2,9 1,4 18 19 UAE 230 225 -2,0 1,3 19 20 TURKEY 207 198 -4,3 1,2 21 21 POLAND 193 197 2,1 1,2 24 22 THAILAND 203 195 -3,9 1,2 22 23 RUSSIA 194 191 -1,5 1,2 23 24 AUSTRALIA 208 189 -9,1 1,2 20 25 VIETNAM 166 174 4,8 1,1 28 26 MALAYSIA 176 168 -4,5 1,0 26 27 AUSTRALIA 155 158 1,9 1,0 29 28 BRAZIL 179 143 -20,1 0,9 25 504 406 405 403 398 SOUTH KOREA ITALY CANADA MEXICO 138 THE NETHERLANDS SWEDEN 547 30 HONG KONG 140 573 CZECH REPUBLIC FRANCE 29 608 GERMANY CHINA 0 USA 500 1 JAPAN 1.056 1.000 13,8 636 2.000 EXPORT IN 2016, BILLION DOLLAR -2,5 ENGLAND 2.500 2.251 FIGURE.10 THE FIRST 20 COUNTRIES WITH THE HIGHEST IMPORT LEVEL IN 2016 2.251 SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION KAYNAK: 142 DÜNYA 1,4 TİCARET 0,9 ÖRGÜTÜ31 140 1,0 0,9 32 TURKEY 198 ASIA 328 2.308 225 EUROPE 524 517 USA UAE 0 574 RANK IN 2015 1 TAIWAN 231 1.000 2015/2016 2016 CHANGE SHARE % % SWITZERKAND 270 2.000 2016 SNGAPORE 283 3.052 3.000 2015 359 5.000 4.000 COUNTRY INDIA 5.196 367 5.926 BELGIUM 6.000 IMPORT BILLION DOLLAR EXPORT BY REGIONS IN 2016 IN BILLION DOLLARS SPAIN 310 7.000 TABLE.12 COUNTRIES IN WORLD IMPORT ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 23 1 DEVELOPMENTS AND tRENDS IN THE WORLD TRADE I.6 EXPORT IN RESPECT OF SECTORS The most significant determinants of export in respect of sectors in 2016 were amount-based limitations and developments related to the prices of commodities subject to trade. In 2016, fluctuations were observed in the prices of oil, natural gas, mining products, agricultural raw materials, and food as well as metals. However, average prices of these products subject to trade were below the prevailing prices of the previous year. In parallel with these price decreases, total exports of sectors decreased. The average price of food increase by 2.0 percent in 2016. Accordingly, while agricultural product export was USD 1.68 trillion in 2015, this number was estimated to be USD 1.70 trillion in 2016. Average energy prices were 15.7 percent less than the previous year’s prices. Accordingly, it is estimated that oil and natural gas export decreased from USD 2.02 trillion to USD 1.78 trillion in 2016. Export of mining products also decreased. Total import of manufacturing industry products also declined. The decrease was higher in sectors with oil, metal and mineral inputs. It was set forth that exports of iron, steel, chemicals, metalware and mineral products, as well as export in the main metal industry, recessed in 2016. On the contrary, export increased in sectors of automotive, electrical equipment and electronics industry. TABLE.13 EXPORT IN RESPECT OF SECTORS BILLION DOLLAR 2014 2015 2016* WORLD COMMODITY EXPORT 18.494 16.482 15.955 AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS 1.765 1.680 1.700 PROCESSED FOOD PRODUCTS 1.486 1.450 1.460 AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS 279 230 240 3.789 2.632 2.350 PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS 3.068 2.017 1.780 MINING 721 615 570 12.940 12.170 11.905 FUEL AND MINING MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY 24 2 TURKISH ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENTS IN FOREIGN TRADE 2 TURKISH ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENTS IN FOREIGN TRADE II.1 ECONOMY POLICIES AND DETERMINANTS IN TURKEY Four major factors affected Turkish economy in 2015. These factors include (i) recently occurring global economic conditions (ii) monetary policy of the Central Bank (iii) attempt of failed coup and (iv) terrorist activities and geopolitical developments in the neighboring countries. There are three basic developments that determined global economic conditions in 2016. During the year, expectations towards USA’s Central Bank FED’s interest increase continued, and FED raised the interest in December. The United Kingdom decided to withdraw from the European Union. Republicans’ nominee Donald Trump promising radical policy proposals won the Presidential elections in the USA. Along with these global economic developments, substantial capital outflows from developing countries experienced. As a result, Turkey was adversely affected. In this respect, Turkish Lira depreciated, and interest rates increased. In 2016, Central Bank adopted a relatively easy monetary policy and reduced the interest rate in the first half of the year. In the second half of the year, relatively tight and ca- utious monetary policy was executed. However, not only Turkish Lira substantially depreciated but also interest and inflation rates in 2016. The most significant factor that affected 2016 was the failed coup attempted on July 15. The economy slowdown due to this attempt. The environment of trust in the markets was jeopardized. Turkey’s sovereign credit rating was downgraded to non-investment. The economy administration announced many supportive factors and incentives against such impacts. Terrorist activities throughout the year affected trust and expectations adversely. Geopolitical developments in the neighboring countries continued to adversely affect the economy in parallel with its restrictive impacts especially on foreign trade in 2016. Turkey took an active part in the occurrences in our southern neighbors through launching military assaults. These increased economic risks. During the year, foreign policy relationships with USA and EU were problematic, while relationships with Russia began to improve once again. II.2 DEVELOPMENTS RELATED TO MAIN ECONOMIC INDICATORS 2016 consisted of two separate periods. In the first half of the year, economic activities were invigorated. While macroeconomic equilibrium was stable, economic growth accelerated. However, economic activities became static after July 15, and economy shrank in the third quarter. The adverse effect of terrorist activities and geopolitical developments on trust and expectations restricted economic activities. Along with the precautions taken and supports provided, growth rate increased to 3.5 percent once again in the third quarter. Thus, the economic growth rate was at 2.9 percent in 2016. Turkish Statistical Institute changed the method used for accounting national income in 2016. National income increased by 10.9 percent basing on fixed prices. In this respect, national income was realized USD 857 billion and income per capita was realized USD 10,807 in 2016. One of the most significant results of economic slowdown is the increase in the unemployment rate and the number of unemployed people. In 2016, the unemployment rate increased to 10.9 percent, and the number of unemployed people increased to 3.33 million. Along with the economy policies adopted and a decrease in the prices of energy and metals which occupy a huge place in import, foreign trade deficit continued to decrease in 2016. Annual foreign trade deficit decreased to USD 56.0 billion. Despite the foreign trade deficit decreased, current deficit experienced a limited increase. Huge loss in tourism income led to an increase in the current deficit. While current deficit increased by USD 32.6 billion, the ratio of current deficit to national income increased from 3.7 percent to 3.8 percent. Due to the increase in the current deficit and domestic problems, outsourcing needs of the economy moved upwards once again. In parallel, Turkey’s external debt increased in 2016 and reached USD 404.2 billion. The ratio of external debts to national income increased to 47.2 percent. Although Central Bank adopted inflation targeting monetary policy in 2016, goals related to price stability and inflation could not be attained. At the end of 2016, CIP was 8.53 percent, domestic PPI was 9.94 percent. Despite the problems encountered in 2015, a slowdown in economic activities and elections, public fiscal discipline was maintained. In parallel, the ratio of general public equilibrium to GDP had a surplus of 0.8 percent, ratio of general budget deficit to GDP was realized at 1.2 percent. 2016 was a year when real sector FIGURE.1 GROWTH OF TURKISH ECONOMY 7 6 5 6,1 5,1 4 2,9 3 2 1 0 2014 TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 26 ECONOMIC GROWTH PERCENTAGE 2015 2016 expectations and consumer trust were weak. Within the framework of all these developments and macroeconomic realizations, Turkey’s sovereign credit rating was downgraded TABLE.1 MAIN ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS 2014 2015 2016 5.1 6.1 2.9 GROWTH % NATIONAL INCOME BILLION DOLLAR to non-investment by two credit rating institutions. Growth performances of economic sectors differed from each other in 2016. Manufacturing industry grew by 3.9 percent, financial services sector by 7.1 and construction sector by 7.2 percent. Nevertheless, service sector and agricultural sector shrank by 0.8 and 4.1 percent respectively. FIGURE.2 CURRENT DEFICIT AND DEFICITTO-NATIONAL INCOME RATIO 965 861 857 INCOME PER CAPITA DOLLAR 12,112 11,014 10,807 50 EMPLOYMENT THOUSAND PEOPLE 25,933 26,621 27,205 40 9.9 10.3 10.9 UNEMPLOYED THOUSAND PEOPLE 2,853 3,057 3,330 MID-YEAR POPULATION THOUSAND 77,738 78,559 79,366 20 EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR 157.6 143.9 142.5 10 0 IMPORT BILLION DOLLAR 242.2 207.2 198.6 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE % -84.5 -63.3 -56.0 CURRENT DEFICIT BILLION DOLLAR -43.6 -32.2 -32.6 CURRENT DEFICIT/NATIONAL INCOME % 4.5 3.7 3.8 EXTERNAL DEFICIT BILLION DOLLAR 402.4 398.0 404.2 EXTERNAL DEBT/NATIONAL INCOME % 41.7 46.2 47.2 CPI % 8.20 8.81 8.53 2015 7,0 6,0 5.71 9.94 0.6 0.8 0.7 5,0 BUDGETARY EQUILIBRIUM/GDP % -1.3 -1.2 -1.0 4,0 NATIONAL INCOME AND PERCENTAGE OF GROWTH IN MANUFACTURING 6,1 5,9 3,9 2,9 3,0 TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.2 GROWTH RATES OF SECTORS SERVICES FINANCIAL S. 2016 CURREN DEFICIT NATIONAL INCOME PERCENTAGE FIGURE.3 GROWTH IN MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY 6.36 mufacturıng E. 3,8 TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION DOMESTIC PPI % GNP 2014 CURRENT DEFICIT BILLION DOLLAR PUBLIC EQUILIBRIUM/GDP % PERIOD 3,7 30 PEOPLE FOREIGN TRADE DEFICIT CURRENT DEFICIT AND ITS RATIO TO NATIONAL INCOME 4,5 2,0 CONS. AGR. 1,0 2015 6,1 5,9 6,0 7,7 4,9 9,1 0,0 2016 2,9 3,9 -0,8 7,1 7,2 -4,1 TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2015 National Income 2016 Manufacturing Industry II.3 CENTRAL BANK’S MONETARY POLICY AND FINANCIAL INDICATORS Central Bank adopted a cautious and relatively tight monetary policy against economic and political developments in 2016. However, Central Bank faced with three major oppressive factors during the year. The first factor is the inflation rate that increased with the depreciation of Turkish Lira and failure of inflation expectation. The second factor is the effects of new global financial conditions caused by monetary policies of the Central Bank. The third factor is the financial instability entailed by failed coup attempt. In the first half of the year, Central Bank adopted a relatively easier monetary policy and reduced the interest rates. However, the circumstances in the second half of the year, Central Bank focused on maintaining the financial stability. For this purpose, decisions that relieve the banks and market and extend liquidity facilities were put into force. The Central Bank maintained the annual credit growth free and clear of a rate increase at the level of 10 percent throughout the year and became obliged to increase TRY liquidity in the market in a controlled and graduated manner. Despite the prevailing circumstances, Central Bank both retained its inflation target, tried to maintain financial stability and aimed at invigorating the economy that slowed down in the second half of the year. As a result of multiple targets, Central Bank had to adopt a complex monetary policy du- ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 27 2 TURKISH ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENTS IN FOREIGN TRADE ring the last months of the year. Thus, Central Bank raised the policy interest rate from 7.50 percent to 8.00 percent by year-end but reduced the overnight lending interest rate from 10.75 percent to 8.50 percent. Despite increasing risks, inflation and depreciation of Turkish Lira, Central Bank did not directly use the interest rate instrument and raised the market funding costs by adopting a monetary policy with multiple interest rates. As a result of the monetary policy adopted by the Central Bank, a significant deviation occurred in the inflation target in 2016. Turkish Lira depreciated at 20 percent, and market interest rate substantially increased. Bond interest rates that were 10.86 percent at the end of 2015 maintained its two-digit status in 2016 and closed the year at 10.63 percent. Interest rates on TRY loans were high and realized at 14.00 percent at the end of the year. Turkish Lira significantly depreciated on a graduated basis throughout the year in 2016. Turkish Lira depreciated against USD and EUR. However, due to a decrease in EURUSD parity, Turkish Lira mainly depreciated against USD. The fact that Central Bank remained unresponsive for the depreciation of Turkish Lira accelerated such depreciation. Turkish Lira was one of the most depreciated currencies of two developing countries in 2016. The currency basket, TABLE.3 FINANCIAL INDICATORS (BY YEAR-END) INDICATORS 2014 2015 2016 CENTRAL BANK'S POLICY INTEREST RATE % 8,25 7,50 8,00 11,25 10,75 8,50 2-YEAR TERM INDICATIVE INTEREST RATE % 8,02 10,86 10,63 INTEREST RATES IF COMMERCIAL LOAN IN TRY % 11,70 14,50 14,00 TEXCHANGE RATE FROM USD TO TURKISH LIRA 2,33 2,92 3,52 EXCHANGE RATE FROM EURO TO TURKISH LIRA 2,83 3,19 3,72 TURKISH LIRA CURRENCY BASKET 2,58 3,06 3,62 105,46 98,36 92,02 CENTRAL BANK'S OVERNIGHT LENDING INTEREST RATE % CENTRAL BANK’S REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE 2003=100 SOURCE: T.R. CENTRAL BANK which was TRY 3.06 by the end of 2015, was TRY 3.62 at the end of 2016. As per real effective exchange rate index, Turkish Lira depreciated at a rate of approximately 6.4 percent in 2016 in comparison with the previous year. Volatility and rapid depreciation of Turkish Lira limited the forecasting ability of the real sector and exporters. FIGURE.4 DEVELOPMENTS IN TURKISH LIRA CURRENCY BASKET 3,80 TURKISH LIRA CURRENCY BASKET 3,60 3,40 3,20 3,00 31. Dec 30. Oct 31. Nov 30. Sep 31. Agu 31. Jul 30. Jun 31. May 30. Ap 31. Mar 29. Feb 31. Jan 31. Dec 30. Oct 31. Nov 30. Sep 31. Agu 31. Jul 30. Jnl 31. May 30. Ap 31. Mar 28. Feb 31. Ja. 2,40 31. Dec 2,80 2,60 SOURCE: T.R. CENTRAL BANK FIGURE.5 REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE INDEX 115,00 REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE INDEX 2003=100 110,00 105,00 SOURCE: T.R. CENTRAL BANK 28 January February March April Nay June July Augst September October Novomber 2016 Dec 95,00 90,00 2012 December January February March April Nay June July Augst September October Novomber 2013 Dec January February March April Nay June July Augst September October Novomber 2014 Dec January February March April Nay June July Augst September October Novomber 2015 Dec 100,00 II.4 DEVELOPMENTS IN MAIN FOREIGN TRADE INDICATORS Main foreign trade indicators witnessed recessions in 2016. World commodity trade’s decrease in especially value affected Turkey’s foreign trade indicators. While value-based recessions were experienced, amount-based growths were also witnessed, though limited. Developments in the parities and decreases in energy and commodity prices were determinative. The decline in energy prices had an impact particularly on the decrease in import. Protective measures taken for the economy and against depreciation of Turkish Lira also determined the foreign trade activities and shaped especially import activities. Another significant factor that affects export is the geopolitical developments in the major export markets. Decreasing by 0.9 percent, the export amounted to USD 142.5 billion, and its share of the national income declined to 16.6 percent in 2016. The decrease in national income calculated in USD had an impact on the increase of share in national income. With a 4.2 percent decline, import decreased to USD 198.6 billion. Import’s share in national income recessed and decreased to 23.2 percent. While foreign trade deficit fell to USD 56.0 billion, its ratio to national income decreased to 6.5 percent. Foreign trade volume also decreased and amounted to USD 335.2 billion. The ratio of foreign trade volume, reflecting the openness, to the national income decreased to 39.1 percent. As a result of the renewal of national income system, national income in USD increased. Thus, the share of foreign trade volume in national income also decreased. With 71.8 percent, the rate of import coverage by export reached the highest level in the last five years. TABLE.4 KEY FOREIGN TRADE INDICATORS INDICATORS 2014 2015 2016 EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR 157.6 143.9 142.5 EXPORT/NATIONAL INCOME % 16.3 16.7 16.6 IMPORT BILLION DOLLAR 242.2 207.2 198.6 IMPORT/NATIONAL INCOME % 28.1 24.1 23.2 FOREIGN TRADE EQUILIBRIUM BILLION DOLLAR -84.5 -63.3 -56.0 FOREIGN TRADE EQUILIBRIUM/NATIONAL INCOME % -8.8 7.4 6.5 FOREIGN TRADE VOLUME BILLION DOLLAR 399.8 351.1 335.2 FOREIGN TRADE VOLUME/NATIONAL INCOME % 41.4 40.8 39.1 RATE OF IMPORT COVERAGE BY EXPORT % 65.1 69.5 71.8 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.6 EXPORT AND EXPORT-TO-NATIONAL INCOME RATIO EXPORT AND ITS RATIO TO NATIONAL INCOME 160 157.5 16.7 16.6 155 150 16.3 145 143.9 142.5 140 135 2014 EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2015 2016 FIGURE.7 RATE OF IMPORT COVERAGE BY EXPORT 16,8 16,7 73 16,6 16,5 16,4 16,3 16,2 16,1 69 EXPORT-TO-NATIONAL INCOME RATIO PERCENTAGE RATE OF IMPORT COVERAGE BY EXPORT PERCENTAGE 71.8 71 67 69.5 65.1 65 63 61 59 2014 2015 2016 TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 29 2 TURKISH ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENTS IN FOREIGN TRADE II.5 GROWTH FROM THE ASPECT OF EXPENDITURES AND EXPORT’S CONTRIBUTION TO GROWTH According to national income calculation method renewed by Turkish Statistical Institution, the contribution of expenditures, export and net export to the growth are no longer calculated. Instead, growth data related to main expense items announced are evaluated. FIGURE.8 GROWTH OF GENERAL ECONOMY AND COMMODITY AND SERVICES EXPORT AND IMPORT PERCENTAGE 7,00 6,00 TABLE.5 GROWTH FROM THE ASPECT OF EXPENDITURES AND EXPORT’S CONTRIBUTION TO GROWTH 6,1 5,00 4,2 4,00 3,9 3,00 GROWTH ITEMS 2015 PERCENTAGE 2016 PERCENTAGE GROWTH OF GDP 6,1 2,9 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 5,5 2,3 PUBLIC CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 4,1 7,3 0,00 INVESTMENT EXPENDITURES 9,2 3,0 -1,00 COMMODITY AND SERVICES EXPORT 4,2 -2,0 -2,00 COMMODITY AND SERVICES IMPORT 1,7 3,9 -3,00 2,9 2,00 1,7 1,00 GDP COMODITY AND SERVICES EXPORT COMODITY AND SERVICES IMPORT -2,0 2015 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2016 TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION When economic growth in 2016 was evaluated regarding its sources, it was concluded that the growth was, to a large extent, covered by public and private sectors’ consumption expenditures. Household consumption expenditures and public consumption expenditures increased by 2.3 and 7.3 percent respectively. Increase rate of investment expenditures in 2016 was 3.0 percent. Commodity and services export decreased by 2.0 in 2016. Thus, commodity and services export negatively contributed to the growth. Commodity and service import increased by 3.9 percent. The economic growth rate was 2.9 percent in 2016. Growth was achieved by public consumption expenditures and investment expenditures in part. Export negatively contributed to the growth. II.6 CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE AND COMMODITY TRADE Current account balance is composed of commodity trade, services trade, other incomes, and expenses as well as incomes and expenses of current transfer. Foreign currency incomes included in Turkey’s current account balance decreased by 4.8 percent and amounted to USD 195.4 billion in 2016. Commodity export included in foreign currency incomes and revenues from services are less than the previous year’s. With 1.2 percent decrease, commodity export fell to USD 150.2 billion. Commodity export’s share in total revenues increased from 74.2 percent to 76.9 percent. Effect of tourism resulted in 19.9 percent decrease in revenues from services. Total foreign currency expenditures decreased by 3.9 percent and amounted to USD 228.0 billion in 2016. Commodity import included in the foreign currency expenditures decreased by 4.5 percent and amounted to USD 191.0 billion in 2016, while expenditures of service declined by 2.1 percent. Commodity import’s share in total foreign TABLE.6 COMMODITY TRADE IN CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE MILLION DOLLAR A. CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE (I-II) I. TOTAL INCOMES 2015 2016 -43.597 -32.118 -32.602 227.970 205.124 195.364 1. COMMODITY EXPORT 168.926 151.970 150.187 2. REVENUES FROM SERVICE 51.657 46.480 37.226 3. OTHER INCOMES 4.874 4.471 5.311 2.513 2.203 2.640 4. REVENUES FROM CURRENT TRANSFER II. TOTAL EXPENDITURES 271.567 237.242 227.966 1. COMMODITY IMPORT 232.523 200.084 191.014 2. EXPENDITURES OF SERVICES 24.889 22.272 21.801 3. OTHER EXPENDITURES 13.049 14.113 14.300 4. EXPENDITURES FROM CURRENT TRANSFER 1.106 773 851 SOURCE: T.R. CENTRAL BANK 30 2014 TABLE.7 COMMODITY TRADE IN CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE MILLION DOLLAR FIGURE.9 DEVELOPMENTS IN ITEMS COMPOSING CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE ELEMENTS OF CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE, MILLION DOLLARS 2014 2015 2016 A. CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE (I+II+III+IV) -43.597 -32.118 -32.602 1.407 I. COMMODITY BALANCE -63.597 -48.114 -40.827 26.768 I.1. COMMODITY EXPORT 168.926 151.970 150.187 I.2 COMMODITY IMPORT 232.523 200.084 191.014 26.768 24.208 15.425 II.1 REVENUES FROM SERVICE 51.657 46.480 37.226 II.2 EXPENDITURES OF SERVICES 24.889 22.272 21.801 -8.175 -9.642 -8.989 III.1 OTHER INCOMES 4.874 4.471 5.311 III.2 OTHER EXPENDITURES 13.049 14.113 14.300 1.407 1.430 1.789 2.513 2.203 2.640 1.106 773 851 II. SERVICES BALANCE III. OTHER INCOME BALANCE IV. CURRENT TRANSFERS BALANCE IV.1 REVENUES FROM CURRENT TRANSFER IV.2 EXPENDITURES FROM CURRENT TRANSFER SOURCE: T.R. CENTRAL BANK currency expenditures was realized 83.8 percent. Among current account balance items of Turkey, commodity trade and other income-expenditure had a deficit, while services and current transfers had a surplus. In 2016, the deficit in commodity trade balance decreased from USD 48.1 billion to USD 40.8 billion and ensured a significant improvement -63.597 -8.175 2014 1.430 1.789 24.208 15.425 -48.114 -40.827 -9.642 -8.989 2015 2016 COMMODITY BALANCE SERVICES BALANCE OTHER INCOME - EXPENDIATURE BALANCE CURRENT TRANSFERS BALANCE SOURCE: T.R. CENTRAL BANK in current account balance. On the contrary, the surplus in services balance decreased by 36.3 percent and amounted to USD 15.43 billion in 2015. The deficit in the other income-expenditures balance decreased by 6.8 percent and amounted to USD 9.0 billion. Although commodity balance maintained its weight in the current account balance, the importance of revenues from incomes and surplus in services balance were further noticed in 2016. Hence, despite the deficit in commodity balance substantially decreased in 2016, the surplus in service balance declined in parallel with the decrease in tourism revenues, and current account balance increased, though limited. II.7 DEVELOPMENTS IN ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES AND EXPORT-IMPORT RELATIONSHIP The relationship between the development achieved in import and export in 2016 regarding commodity groups and the performance of economic activities has been evaluated. In 2016 when both import and II 7.1 EXPORT AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES Export of investment commodity increased by 3.2 percent in 2016. As international demand decreased due to the global slowdown and global supply surplus in many fields, export of investment commodities excluding vehicles decreased by 3.7 percent, and machinery manufacturers turned towards domestic market. Industrial vehicles and equipment that lead to an increase in the export of investment commodity focused on international markets. Export of intermediate goods of agriculture, mining and industry sectors decreased by 2.3 percent in 2016. Export of non-processed industrial raw materials that mainly consist of minerals and ores decreased by 2.6 percent. 1.8 percent export decreased, economic activities had to focus mainly on the domestic market. However, due to the problems in the domestic market, economic activities weakened. shrinking in mining sector indicates that domestic activities of this sector decreased as well. Export of processed industrial raw materials shrank by 1.9 percent. Manufacturing industry grew 3.9 percent in 2016. When the two data are compared, it is concluded that processed industrial raw materials are mainly used in domestic industry. The increase in the export of components and parts of transportation vehicles confirms the high increase in the manufacturing activities of the automotive industry. Recession in the export of processed and non-processed raw materials that are based on food corresponds to agriculture sector’s shrinking by 4.1 percent. However, due to market problems experienced while exporting some of the products, it is preferred to supply products to the doECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 31 2 TURKISH ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENTS IN FOREIGN TRADE mestic food industry as well as exporting. Export of consumption goods decreased by 0.5 percent in 2016. Decreases in the export of durable, semi-durable and non-durable consumer goods as well as processed and non-processed raw materials that are based on food and drink constituted the basis for the slowdown of manufacturing industry. Among these product groups, do- mestic special consumption expenditures did not also support the manufacturing in the industries. Export of automobiles substantially increased. The increase in the export also significantly raised manufacturing activities of road vehicles industry. The increase in the manufacture of road motor vehicles supported the increase across the whole manufacturing industry. TABLE.8 EXPORT (MILLION DOLLAR) AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES 2014 2015 2016 Total 157 620 143.935 142.557 1 Investment (capital) commodities 16 107 15.402 15.897 41 Investment (capital) commodities (excluding vehicles) 9 230 8.507 8.190 521 Industrial vehicles and equipment 6 877 6.895 7.707 2 Raw material (intermediate goods) 75 175 68.476 66.902 21 Non-processed industrial raw materials 4 719 3.761 3.665 22 Processed industrial raw materials 50 216 47.382 46.459 31 Processed fuel and oil 234 182 139 42 Components and parts of investment commodities 5 253 4.537 4.300 53 Components and parts of vehicles 9 288 8.598 8.928 111 Non-processed raw materials based on food and drink 293 240 384 121 Processed raw materials based on food and drink 1 696 1.619 1.790 322 Non-processed other types of fuel and oil 3 472 2.157 1.236 399 Confidential data 3 Consumables 65 092 59.186 58.887 51 Automobiles 7 255 6.897 8.355 61 Durable consumer goods 14 984 13.148 12.809 62 Semi-durable consumer goods 15 947 14.637 14.653 63 Non-durable consumer goods 10 000 8.701 8.566 112 Non-processed consumer goods based on food and drink 6 297 6.189 5.690 122 Processed consumer goods based on food and drink 8 125 7.411 6.926 321 Motor gasoline and other light oils 2 299 2.058 1.721 522 Non-industrial vehicles and equipment 182 146 166 4 Others 1 243 869 871 7 Other goods not specified anywhere 1 243 869 871 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 32 II 7.2 IMPORT AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES Import of investment commodity increased by 2.9 percent in 2016. While the import of industrial vehicles and equipment decreased by 3.7, import of manufacturing machines increased by 4.4. Despite the steady state of investment expenditures, demand for major public investment projects had an impact on the increase in the import of investment commodities. Import of intermediate goods decreased by 6.3 percent. Import of non-processed industrial raw materials and processed industrial raw materials decreased by 6.6 and 1.9 percent respectively.When the growth rate of 3.9 percent in the manufacturing industry was compared with the decrease in the import of processed intermediate goods, it was concluded that domestic intermediate goods were mainly preferred in industrial manufacture activities of 2016. The sharp drop in the import of non-processed industrial raw materials mainly resulted from the price decreases. Import of processed fuel and oil, as well as petroleum and natural gas, significantly decreased. The decrease in petroleum and natural gas prices played an important role in 2016. Slow growth of manufacturing industry, as well as transportation and energy sectors, limited the growth in energy consumption in 2016. A decrease of only 2.3 percent in the import of consumables corresponds to the slowdown in domestic consumption expenditures. Furthermore, increase in the domestic sales of automobile corresponds to increase in the automobile import. The decrease in the import of semi-durable and non-durable consumer goods corresponds to the fact that growth in the modern retail industry was below the expectations. TABLE.9 IMPORT (MILLION DOLLAR) AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES 2014 2015 2016 Total 242 176 207.203 198.610 1 Investment (capital) commodities 35 995 34.897 35.917 41 Investment (capital) commodities (excluding vehicles) 30 437 28.509 29.764 521 Industrial vehicles and equipment 5 558 6.388 6.153 2 Raw material (intermediate goods) 176 721 143.293 134.316 21 Non-processed industrial raw materials 13 298 9.329 8.712 22 Processed industrial raw materials 78 849 67.932 66.621 31 Processed fuel and oil 847 2.976 2.646 42 Components and parts of investment commodities 12 152 11.421 13.873 53 Components and parts of vehicles 12 187 12.088 13.198 111 Non-processed raw materials based on food and drink 4 289 3.456 3.349 121 Processed raw materials based on food and drink 2 628 2.389 2.299 322 Non-processed other types of fuel and oil 17 702 10.277 8.333 399 Petroleum and Natural Gas 34 765 23.425 15.285 3 Consumables 29 006 28.587 27.941 51 Automobiles 7 717 9.223 9.840 61 Durable consumer goods 4 663 3.766 3.268 62 Semi-durable consumer goods 6 912 6.279 5.710 63 Non-durable consumer goods 5 642 5.267 5.232 112 Non-processed consumer goods based on food and drink 978 1.025 1.107 122 Processed consumer goods based on food and drink 1 778 1.903 1.728 321 Motor gasoline and other light oils 1 048 814 710 522 Non-industrial vehicles and equipment 263 309 345 4 Others 453 426 437 7 Other goods not specified anywhere 453 426 437 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 33 3 EXPORT 3 export III.1 MAIN EXPORT INDICATORS III.1.1 TOTAL EXPORT AND OUR PLACE IN WORLD COMMODITY EXPORT below world’s decrease rate of 3.2 percent. Turkey’s exporting performance has been better that world’s exporting performance for the last three years. Export Decreased by 0.9 percent in 2016 Export decreased by 0.9 percent and amounted to USD 142.5 billion in 2016. Following the substantial recession in 2015, export kept decreasing in a more limited manner in 2016. The recession of world commodity trade also continued in 2016. In this respect, Turkey’s export witnessed a TABLE.1 EXPORT 2012 2013 2014 EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR 152,5 151,8 157,6 CHANGE ON VALUE BASIS % 13,0 -0,4 3,8 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Our Share in World Commodity Export Increased to 0.89 Percent Turkey’s share in world commodity trade increased to 0.89 percent in 2016. Turkey’s share in the world export has been increasing for the four consecutive years. This share which was 0.83 percent in 2013 increased to 0.85 percent in 2014 and 0.87 in 2015. Although our export decreased in 2016, our share in world export increased to 0.89 percent. Despite geopolitical developments and conflicts in Turkey, distress with peripheral and neighboring countries and political and social developments in the country, Turkey has managed to increase its share in the world export. FIGURE.1 EXPORT AND ANNUAL GROWTH 160 155 EXPORT IN BILLION DOLLARS AND % OF GROWTH 3.8 150 145 140 135 -0.9 -8.7 2014 2015 2016 EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR ANNUAL GROWTH TABLE.3 OUR SHARE IN WORLD COMMODITY TRADE 6,0 4,0 2,0 0,0 -2,0 -4,0 -6,0 -8,0 -10,0 2015 2016 TURKEY’S EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR 157.6 143.9 142.5 WORLD COMMODITY EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR 18.494 16.482 15.955 0,85 0,87 0,89 TURKEY'S SHARE % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION FIGURE.2 OUR SHARE IN THE WORLD COMMODITY EXPORT ANNUAL GROWTH % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION decrease in parallel with the developments in global trade. . Decrease in Export Is Less Than Decrease in World Export Level 0,9 OUR SHARE IN THE WORLD EXPORT PERCENTAGE 0,89 0,89 0,88 Our value-based progress achieved in the last three years is compared with the value-based progress in global commodity export. Turkey’s value-based export increase in 2014, which was 3.8 percent, was above the value increase of world import, which was 1.2 percent. With 8.7 percent, Turkey’s value-based export decrease in 2015 was below value-based shrinking of world export, which was 10.9 in the same year. Export in Turkey and across the world also decreased in 2016. However, Turkey’s decrease rate of 0.9 percent was TABLE.2 GROWTH COMPARISON WITH WORLD COMMODITY EXPORT 2014 2015 2016 % OF VALUE-BASED GROWTH OF WORLD COMMODITY EXPORT 1,2 -10,9 -3,2 % OF VALUE-BASED GROWTH OF TURKEY’S COMMODITY EXPORT 3,8 -8,7 -0,9 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION 36 2014 0,87 0,87 0,86 0,85 0,85 0,84 0,83 2014 2015 2016 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATIOn Our Rank Number 31 in World Export Did Not Change in 2016 With an export amounting to USD 142.5 (143) billion, Turkey maintained its rank as the 31st country in the world export, and the rank did not change in 2016. Turkey has ranked 31st in world export for the last three years. Out of the first 30 exporters, 13 countries increased their exports in 2016. Export of 1 country remained unchanged 16 countries, on the other hand, decreased their exports. Comparing with the first 30 major exporters’ performances, Turkey was among the ones with decreasing export levels. The export decrease of Turkey was similar with other 29 countries whose exports decreased in 2015. However, such countries as Vietnam, Poland, Czech Republic and Thailand whose export patterns are similar to Turkey’s as well as the countries we have a lot in common such as Spain and Italy increased their export levels in 2016. TABLE.4 OUR RANK IN WORLD COMMODITY EXPORT EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR 2015 2015/2016 CHANGE % 2016 SHARE % RANK IN 2015 RANK COUNTRY 2016 1 CHINA 2.275 2.098 -7,8 13,06 1 2 USA 1.505 1.455 -3,4 9,05 2 3 GERMANY 1.329 1.340 0,8 8,33 3 4 JAPAN 625 645 3,2 4,01 4 5 THE NETHERLANDS 567 570 0,4 3,54 5 6 HONG KONG 511 517 1,2 3,22 7 7 FRANCE 506 501 -1,0 3,12 8 8 SOUTH KOREA 527 495 -6,1 3,08 6 9 ITALY 459 462 0,7 2,88 10 10 ENGLAND 460 409 -11,1 2,55 9 11 BELGIUM 398 396 -0,5 2,46 12 12 CANADA 408 390 -4,4 2,43 11 13 MEXICO 381 374 -1,8 2,33 13 14 SINGAPORE 347 330 -4,9 2,05 14 15 SWITZERLAND 290 303 4,5 1,89 16 16 SPAIN 282 288 2,1 1,79 18 17 RUSSIA 340 282 -17,1 1,76 15 18 TAIWAN 285 280 -1,8 1,74 17 19 UAE 265 266 0,4 1,67 20 20 INDIA 267 264 -1,1 1,64 19 21 THAILAND 214 215 0,5 1,34 21 22 POLAND 198 203 2,5 1,26 24 23 AUSTRALIA 188 190 1,1 1,18 26 24 MALAYSIA 200 189 -5,5 1,18 23 25 BRAZIL 191 185 -3,1 1,15 25 26 VIETNAM 162 177 9,3 1,10 27 27 SAUDI ARABIA 202 175 -13,4 1,10 22 28 CZECH REPUBLIC 158 163 3,2 1,01 28 29 AUSTRALIA 152 152 0,0 0,95 29 30 INDONESIA 150 144 -4,0 0,90 30 31 TURKEY 144 143 -0,8 0,89 31 SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 37 3 export III.1.2 EXPORT IN RESPECT TO ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES AND LARGE ECONOMIC GROUPS TABLE.6 EXPORT IN RESPECT TO LARGE ECONOMIC GROUPS’ CLASSIFICATION T 2014 Turkey’s export performance is evaluated in detail basing on three different international commodity classifications. Manufacturing Industry Still Covers The Largest Place in Export According to the export distribution based on economic activities, export of manufacturing industry products decreased by 0.7 percent in 2016, and share of manufacturing industry products in total export was realized 93.7 percent. Manufacturing industry still maintains its huge significance TABLE 5. EXPORT IN RESPECT TO ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES 2014 2015 SHARE % EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR PAY % INVESTMENT COMMODITIES 16.1 10.2 15.4 10.7 15.9 11.2 3.2 INVESTMENT COMMODITIES 75.2 47.7 68.5 47.6 66.9 46.9 -2.3 CONSUMABLES 65.1 41.3 59.2 41.1 58.9 41.3 -1.7 OTHER GOODS 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.6 - GRAND TOTAL 157.6 100.0 143.9 100.0 142.5 100.0 -0.9 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2016 EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR SHARE % EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR SHARE % AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY 6.0 3.7 5.8 4.0 5.4 3.8 -6.9 FISHING 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 - MINING AND QUARRYING 3.4 2.6 2.8 1.9 2.7 1.9 -3.6 50 147.1 93.1 134.5 93.5 133.6 93.7 -0.7 40 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 - 157.6 100.0 143.9 100.0 142.5 100.0 -0.9 FIGURE.3 DISTRIBUTION OF COMMODITY GROUPS IN EXPORT 60 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION in export. While the export of agricultural and forestry products decreased by 6.9 percent in 2016, export of mining and quarrying products dropped by 3.6 percent. While Share of Consumables in Export Remained Unchanged, Share of Investment Commodities Increased When the distribution of export was evaluated basing on the classification of large economic groups, it was concluded that the share of consumables in the total export remained almost unchanged in 2016. The share which was 41.1 percent in 2015 was realized 41.3 percent in 2016. While the share of intermediate goods in the total commodity export was 47.6 percent in 2015, it decreased to 46.9 percent in 2016. The only commodity group with an increasing export rate is investment commodities. Export of investment commodities increased by 3.2 percent in 2016. In parallel, the share of investment commodities increased from 10.7 percent to 11.2 percent. In 2016 when the export decreased, intermediate goods and consumables performed under the average, while investment commodities performed above the average. 38 EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR SHARE % GRAND TOTAL 2015/2016 CHANGE % SHARE % EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR OTHER 2016 EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR CHANGE 2015/2016 % MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY 2015 PERCENTAGE OF SHARES OF COMMODITY GROUPS 47,7 47,6 46,9 41,3 41,1 41,3 30 20 10 0 10,2 10,7 11,2 İIVESTMENT COMMODITIES 2014 INTERMEDIATE CONSUMABLES GOODS 2015 2016 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Machinery and Vehicles Maintained Their Places in Export When the distribution of export was evaluated basing on the international trade classification (SITC Rev.3), machinery and vehicles that ranked the first last year became the most exported product group in 2016 with an export increasing to USD 41.1 billion and share increasing to 28.8 percent. Export of processed goods that mainly consist of intermediate goods and are classified under main categories decreased and the share of these goods fell to 24.1 percent in 2016. The share of manufactured goods that mainly consist of semi-durable consumer goods ranked the third in 2016 with 18.9 percent. TABLE.7 EXPORT IN RESPECT TO INTERNATIONAL TRADE CLASSIFICATION (SITC REV.3) 2014 2015 2016 CHANGE 2015/2016 % EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR PAY % EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR PAY % EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR PAY % LIVESTOCK AND FOODSTUFF 15.2 9.6 14.3 9.9 13.5 9.5 -5.6 ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES AND TOBACCO 1.4 0.9 1.2 0.8 1.3 0.9 8.3 NON-EDIBLE RAW MATERIALS (EXCLUDING FUEL OIL) 4.9 3.1 4.0 2.7 4.0 2.8 - SOLID AND LIQUID ANIMAL AND VEGETABLE FATS 1.0 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.6 - MINERAL FUELS AND OILS 6.1 3.9 4.5 3.1 3.2 2.2 -28.9 CHEMICAL INDUSTRY AND RELATED PRODUCTS 10.1 6.4 9.2 6.4 8.5 6.0 -7.6 PROCESSED GOODS UNDER MAJOR CATEGORIES 42.3 26.8 35.6 24.7 34.4 24.1 -3.4 MACHINERY AND VEHICLES 42.7 27.1 39.3 27.3 41.1 28.8 4.6 VARIOUS MANUFACTURED GOODS 30.1 19.1 27.3 19.0 27.0 18.9 1.1 BYS GOODS* 3.8 2.4 6.9 4.8 8.6 6.0 24.6 GRAND TOTAL 157.6 100.0 143.9 100.0 142.5 10.0 -0.9 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, *Including Gold, III.1.3 EXPORT IN RESPECT TO FOREIGN CURRENCIES AND PERFORMED IN TRY Export in Euro Surpassed Export in USD When the distribution of Turkey’s export was evaluated basing foreign currencies, it was concluded that USD and EUR still prevailed. After many years, however, export in EUR surpassed export in USD for the first time in 2016. Recession in the markets to which export is performed in USD and expansion in EU market were effective. While the share of export in EUR increased by 48.2 in 2016, the share of export in USD dropped by 4.7 points and decreased to 42.6 percent. With an increasing share of 5.5 percent in 2016, Turkish Lira maintained its rank as the third most preferred currency used in export. While the share of pound sterling was 3.2, export in Ruble was quite low. TABLE 8. EXPORT IN RESPECT TO FOREIGN CURRENCIES 2014 2015 2016 BILLION DOLLAR % SHARE BILLION DOLLAR % SHARE BILLION DOLLAR % SHARE US DOLLAR 74.7 47.4 68.0 47.3 60.7 42.6 EURO 70.0 44.4 64.3 44.7 68.7 48.2 POUND STERLING 5.1 3.2 4.9 3.4 4.5 3.2 RUBLE 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 TRY 6.7 4.3 6.1 4.2 7.9 5.5 OTHER 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.4 TOTAL 157.6 100.0 143.9 100.0 142.5 100.0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE 4. EXPORT IN RESPECT TO FOREIGN CURRENCIES PERCENTAGE OF EXPORT BASED ON CURRENCY 60 50 47,4 47,3 42,6 44,4 44,7 48,2 2014 40 2015 2016 30 20 10 0 3,2 US DOLLAR EURO 3,4 POUND STERLİNG 3,2 4,3 4,2 5,5 TRY SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 39 3 export III.1.4 EXPORT IN RESPECT TO PAYMENT METHODS AND TRANSPORTATION MEANS Among the Payment Methods Share of Cash Against Goods Still Increases When the distribution of payment methods in export was evaluated, it was concluded that cash on delivery method’s share increased, while shares of cash against document and letter of credit decreased. The share of cash against goods, which was 61.8 percent in 2013, increased to 66.5 percent in 2016. Export amounting to USD 94.9 billion was performed on cash against goods terms in 2016. While the share of payment by letter of credit was 9.68 percent in 2013, it decreased to 6.9 percent in 2016. Export by Seaway and Road Still The Highest When the distribution of export was evaluated basing on transportation means, it was concluded that export by seaway and road maintain their top rank. While the share of export by seaway was 55.0 in 2016, the share of the road transportation decreased to 31.4 percent. The share of railways was still limited to 0.4 percent. With a high level of gold export in 2016, the share of airways was realized 12.4 percent. TABLE.10 EXPORT IN RESPECT TO TRANSPORTATION MEANS TABLE.9 EXPORT IN RESPECT TO PAYMENT METHODS 2014 2015 2014 2016 2015 2016 BILLION DOLLAR % SHARE BILLION DOLLAR % SHARE BILLION DOLLAR % SHARE SEAWAY 86.3 54.8 78.1 54.3 78.4 55.0 RAILWAY 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 BILLION DOLLAR SHARE % BILLION DOLLAR SHARE % BILLION DOLLAR SHARE % CASH AGAINST GOODS 102.8 65.23 95.0 66.02 94.9 66.5 ROAD 55.3 35.0 46.7 32.5 44.8 31.4 ADVANCE PAYMENT 14.9 9.45 14.0 9.73 15.5 10.9 AIRWAY 14.1 8.9 17.3 12.0 17.7 12.4 CASH AGAINST DOCUMENT 24.2 15.36 21.4 14.87 20.6 14.4 OTHER 1.0 0.7 1.0 0.7 1.0 0.7 TOTAL 157.6 100.0 143.9 100.0 142.5 100.0 DEFERRED PAYMENT LETTER OF CREDIT 2.5 1.59 2.1 1.46 1.6 1.10 FREE OF CHARGE 1.4 0.89 1.4 0.97 1.4 1.00 PRIVATE BARTER 0.2 0.13 0.1 0.07 0.01 - LETTER OF CREDIT 11.2 7.11 9.7 6.74 8.2 5.80 COUNTER PURCHASE 0.1 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.01 - ACCEPTANCE CREDIT 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.02 - ACCEPTANCE CREDIT - CASH AGAINST DOCUMENT 0.14 0.09 0.14 0.10 0.16 0.10 ACCEPTANCE CREDIT CASH AGAINST GOODS 0.11 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.10 0.07 PRIVATE ACCOUNT 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 - SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.5 EXPORT IN RESPECT TO TRANSPORTATION MEANS 2016 PERCENTAGE OF SHARES OF TRANSPORTATION METHODS IN EXPORT 0,70% 12,41% 31,43% SEAWAY 55,06% AIRWAY 0,40% GRAND TOTAL ROAD 157.6 100.00 143.9 100.00 142.5 100.00 TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION RAILWAY OTHER SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION III.2 MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY EXPORT IN RESPECT TO TECHNOLOGICAL DENSITY The Most Limited Decrease in Export Was Realized in Products With High Technological Density Classification and evaluation of exported products in terms of technological density indicate not only to the industrial 40 development but also to the technology and added value content of the export. Exported products with technological density are composed of manufacturing industry products. Manufacturing industry products are divided into four main categories in terms of technological density. The products are classified from high technological density to low technological density. Turkey’s export of manufacturing industry products in 2016 amounted to USD 133.65 billion. Compared with 2015, export of manufacturing industry decreased by 0.6 percent. With 35.1 percent, the highest share in the manufacturing industry export still belongs to products with low technological density. Export of products with low technological density dropped only by 0.5 percent in 2016. In parallel, by increasing 0.1 points compared with the previous year, products with low technological density in total export maintained the highest share. The share of products with medium-low technological products in export dropped by 1.2 points and decreased to 28.3 percent in 2016. In respect to technological groups, the only group that increased its export in 2016 is the products with medium-high technological density. Export of products with medium-high technological density increased by 3.5 percent in 2016, and its share reached to 33.1 percent. Products with mediumhigh technological density are the second largest product group in export. Export of products with high technological density dropped by 3.8 percent in 2016, and its share decreased from 3.6 to 3.5 percent. TABLE. 11 MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY EXPORT IN RESPECT TO TECHNOLOGICAL DENSITY FIGURE.6 SHARES OF TECHNOLOGY GROUPS IN EXPORT PERCENTAGE OF SHARES OF TECHNOLOGY GROUPS IN EXPORT CLASSIFICATION 2014 2015 2016 MILLION DOLLAR % SGARE MILLION DOLLAR % SHARE MILLION DOLLAR % SHARE HIGH-TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS 5,020 3.4 4,869 3.6 4,683 3.5 MEDIUM-HIGH TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS 46,517 31.6 42,725 31.8 44,240 33.1 MEDIUM LOW TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS 42,984 29.2 39,696 29.5 37,878 28.3 LOW TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS 52,636 35.8 47,070 35.0 46,853 35.1 TOTAL MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY EXPORT 147,158 100.0 134,482 100.0 133,654 100.0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 33,1 31,6 31,8 2014 2015 35,8 35 35,1 29,2 29,5 28,3 2016 3,4 3,7 3,5 HIHG TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS MEDIUM-HIGH TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS MEDIUM-LOW TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS LOW TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION III.3 PRICE AND AMOUNT RELATED DEVELOPMENTS IN EXPORT While Export Increased in Amount, Unit Values Substantially Decreased in 2016 Amount and unit value related developments in Turkish export determine the total export performance. The total amount and unit values of export, calculated basing on 2010 data, indicate to fluctuations by years. Unit values of export substantially decreased in parallel with global decreases in energy and commodity prices in 2016. Export of Turkey increased in amount by 3.7 percent in 2016. Thus, export of Turkey has been increasing in amount for the last three years. The unit value of total export also substantially decreased in 2016. Drop in unit export value was realized 4.6 percent. Hence, the unit value of export has been decreasing for the last three years in parallel with the global developments. Along with the decrease in 2016, the unit value dropped 7.7 percent below the unit values of 2010 when the index started to be calculated. Thanks to amount-based increa- ses, Turkey limits the unfavorable effects of decreases in unit values. TABLE.12 EXPORT AMOUNT AND UNIT VALUE INDEX 2010=100 YEARS EXPORT AMOUNT INDEX 2010=100 EXPORT UNIT VALUE INDEX 2010=100 INDEX % CHANGE INDEX % CHANGE 2010 100.0 - 100.0 - 2011 106.2 6.2 111.6 11.6 2012 123.9 16.7 108.1 -3.1 2013 122.6 -1.0 108.7 0.6 2014 129.4 5.5 107.0 -1.6 2015 130.7 2.0 96.7 -10.0 2016 135.6 3.7 92.3 -4.6 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 41 3 export FIGURE.7 AMOUNT AND UNIT VALUE RELATED DEVELOPMENTS IN EXPORT 140,0 130,0 120,0 110,0 100,0 90,0 135,6 EXPORT UNIT VALUE AND AMOUNT INDEX 2010=100 123,9 129,4 130,7 107,0 96,7 122,6 111,6 100,0 108,1 108,7 106,2 2010 2011 2012 2013 EXPORT UNIT VALUE INDEX 92,3 2014 2015 2016 EXPORT AMOUNT INDEX SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Decrease in Turkey’s Unit Export Value Is Higher Than The Decrease in World’s Unit Export Value Amount and unit value related developments in Turkey’s export are compared with the amount and unit value trends in world commodity trade. It has been observed that total export unit value of world commodity trade has been decreasing for the last three years. Export unit value decreased by 1.2 percent in 2014, by 15.5 percent in 2015 and by 4.5 percent in 2016. The world has been witnessing a decrease in energy and all commo- TABLE.13 AMOUNT AND UNIT VALUE RELATED DEVELOPMENTS IN WORLD’S AND TURKEY’S EXPORT 2014 2015 2016 WORLD (AMOUNT) 2,8 2,8 1,3 TURKEY (AMOUNT) 5,5 2,0 3,7 WORLD (UNIT VALUE) -1,2 -15,5 -4,5 TURKEY (UNIT VALUE) -1,6 -10,0 -4,6 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION AND WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION dity prices for the last three years. Although developments in Turkey’s export unit values have parallels with developments in world commodity trade’s export unit values, decrease in Turkey’s export unit values were higher than the decreases experienced across the world in 2016. The most important reason is that the prices of manufacturing industry products, which Turkey mainly exported in 2016, also decreased in 2016. Amount and unit value related developments in export are evaluated basing on commodity groups of international trade classification. Increase in Amount Resulted from Mineral Fuels and Oils As Well As Machinery and Vehicle Products in 2016 Out of 9 main commodity group of international trade classification, 7 commodity groups increased their export amount in 2016. Export of mineral fuels and oils and related products of chemical industry decreased in amount. The highest level of increase in amount belongs to the export TABLE.14 AMOUNT RELATED DEVELOPMENTS IN EXPORT (EXPORT AMOUNT INDEX (2010=100) IN RESPECT TO INTERNATIONAL TRADE CLASSIFICATION (SITC REV.3) 2014 2015 2016 2015/2016 CHANGE % LIVESTOCK AND FOODSTUFF 112,5 124,7 127,8 10,8 ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES AND TOBACCO 112,2 103,5 122,4 -4,5 NON-EDIBLE RAW MATERIALS (EXCLUDING FUEL OIL) 111,3 124,4 119,3 11,8 SOLID AND LIQUID ANIMAL AND VEGETABLE FATS 276,7 340,4 260,9 23,0 MINERAL FUELS AND OILS 123,7 113,1 113,6 -8,6 CHEMICAL INDUSTRY AND RELATED PRODUCTS 114,5 120,8 130,3 5,5 PROCESSED GOODS UNDER MAJOR CATEGORIES 115,4 117,7 121,2 2,0 MACHINERY AND VEHICLES 117,6 124,6 131,9 6,0 VARIOUS MANUFACTURED GOODS 113,3 123,2 138,7 8,7 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 42 of machinery and vehicle with 6.0 percent and to the export of solid and liquid animal and vegetable fats. Increases in other groups also supported the increase of Turkey’s total export in amount. Export Unit Values Decreased In Majority of Commodity Groups Considering the development of export unit value in respect to commodity groups, export unit value decreased in all commodity groups excluding alcoholic beverages and tobacco in 2016. The export unit value of mineral oils and fuels faced the highest level of decrease in parallel with the drop in petroleum prices. Price decreases in manufacturing industry products were sharper in 2016. TABLE.15 UNIT VALUE RELATED DEVELOPMENTS IN EXPORT (EXPORT UNIT VALUE INDEX (2010=100) IN RESPECT TO INTERNATIONAL TRADE CLASSIFICATION (SITC REV.3) 2014 2015 2016 2015/2016 CHANGE % LIVESTOCK AND FOODSTUFF 113,0 111,4 99,6 -10,6 ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES AND TOBACCO 126,3 117,7 119,4 1,4 NON-EDIBLE RAW MATERIALS (EXCLUDING FUEL OIL) 106,6 95,2 91,2 -4,2 SOLID AND LIQUID ANIMAL AND VEGETABLE FATS 111,7 106,2 102,0 -4,0 MINERAL FUELS AND OILS 120,4 72,3 59,0 -18,4 CHEMICAL INDUSTRY AND RELATED PRODUCTS 113,9 104,7 98,8 -5,6 PROCESSED GOODS UNDER MAJOR CATEGORIES 105,2 92,5 86,8 -6,2 MACHINERY AND VEHICLES 101,9 92,0 91,1 -1,0 VARIOUS MANUFACTURED GOODS 110,0 100,6 97,8 -2,8 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION III.4 EXPORT IN PROVINCES Share of The Largest 20 Exporting Province is 86.0 Percent Along with regional diversification and deepening in Turkey’s export, the share of the first 20 provinces in export continues to decrease gradually. While the share of the first twenty provinces in total export was 86.8 percent in 2015, this share was realized 86.0 percent in 2016. adversely affect the exports of our southern provinces in 2016. While the decreases in Gaziantep, Adana, and Hatay were limited, export in Mersin, Kahramanmaraş, and Mardin increased. TABLE.16 EXPORT BY PROVINCES RANK Performances of Exporting Provinces Differed in 2016 In 2016, export of the first 20 provinces dropped by 1.4 percent in comparison with the previous year and decreased from USD 125.1 billion to USD 123.4 billion. Besides, the export performances of the first 20 provinces differed. Out of the first 20 provinces, 7 of them increased their exports. Export of 13 provinces, on the other hand, decreased in 2016. Export increased in the provinces where the automotive industry is predominant. Export of Istanbul, the largest exporting province, dropped by 4.4 percent and decreased to 40.3 percent. While export decreased in important exporting provinces İzmir, Kocaeli, Ankara, Manisa and Konya, it increased in such provinces as Bursa, Denizli, Mersin, and Tekirdağ. Negative Effect of Regional Developments on The Export of Southern Provinces Diminished Developments in Iraq and Syria decreasingly continued to 2016 CITY 2015 MILLION US DOLLAR %SHARE MILLION US DOLLAR %SHARE 2015/2016 CHANGE % 1 İSTANBUL 57.423 40,3 59.453 41,3 -4,4 2 BURSA 12.960 9,1 11.669 8,1 10,2 3 KOCAELI 10.170 7,1 11.118 7,7 -9,6 4 İZMİR 7.931 5,6 7.996 5,6 -1,8 5 GAZİANTEP 6.258 4,4 6.270 4,4 -1,2 6 ANKARA 6.237 4,4 6.717 4,7 -8,2 7 MANİSA 3.772 2,6 3.916 2,7 -4,7 8 DENİZLİ 2.767 1,9 2.524 1,8 8,7 9 SAKARYA 2.523 1,8 1.922 1,3 30,5 10 HATAY 1.745 1,2 1.794 1,2 -3,8 11 ADANA 1.615 1,1 1.679 1,2 -4,9 12 KAYSERİ 1.509 1,1 1.582 1,1 -5,7 13 MERSİN 1.495 1,0 1.435 1,0 3,2 14 TRABZON 1.341 0,9 1.539 1,1 -14,0 15 KONYA 1.333 0,9 1.373 1,0 -3,9 16 ANTALYA 985 0,7 1.006 0,7 -3,1 17 MARDİN 905 0,6 866 0,6 3,5 18 ESKİŞEHİR 856 0,6 845 0,6 0,3 19 K.MARAŞ 850 0,6 777 0,5 8,5 20 TEKİRDAĞ 723 0,5 660 0,5 8,6 SOURCE: TURKISH EXPORTERS ASSEMBLY ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 43 3 export FIGURE.8 EXPORT DEVELOPMENTS OF FIRST 20 PROVINCES IN 2016 GROWTH IN EXPORT % 35,0 30,5 30,0 25,0 20,0 8,5 -4,9 -5,7 KAYSERİ -8,2 -9,6 -14,0 TRABZON -4,7 KOCAELİ -4,4 ANKARA -3,8 -3,9 ADANA -3,1 MANİSA -1,8 İSTANBUL -1,2 ESKİŞEHİR MERSİN MARDİN K.MARAŞ DENİZLİ TEKİRDAĞ -10,0 BURSA -5,0 0,3 SAKARYA 0,0 3,2 KONYA 3,5 5,0 HATAY 8,6 ANTALYA 8,7 İZMİR 10,2 10,0 GAZİANTEP 15,0 -15,0 -20,0 SOURCE: TURKISH EXPORTERS ASSEMBLY III.5 EXPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS AND COUNTRIES III.5.1 EXPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS Export to the European Union and North America Increased When the distribution of Turkey’s export was evaluated in terms of country groups, it was concluded that export to North America and European Union markets substantially increased in 2016. Though limited, export to Near and Middle East markets also increased. In parallel with economic recovery and import increase in the USA and the European Union, Turkey’s export to these regions were also favorable affected. Export to European Union and North America markets increased by 6.8 and 4.7 percent respectively. Turkey’s export to other regions decreased. Export to other European countries decreased by 31.2 percent in 2016. Export to African countries and North American countries decreased by 7.2 and 9.1 percent respectively. Substantial losses were caused in terms of export to Africa, a recently developing privileged market for Turkey. Export to South America, a recently developing and one of the target markets, decreased by 16.4 percent. Developed Countries’ Markets Pulled Export Forward Despite global trade contraction in 2016, Turkey’s export performance was pulled forward by EU and USA markets. Increases in the exports to these two regions limited the decrease in total export. Substantial export losses were 44 TABLE.17 EXPORT CHANGE BY COUNTRY GROUPS PERCENTAGE COUNTRY GROUP 2014 2015 2016 TOTAL 3,8 -8,7 -1,0 A-EUROPEAN UNION (EU28) 8,7 -6,5 6,8 B- TURKEY'S FREE ZONES -5,9 -16,0 -4,5 C- OTHER COUNTRIES 0,6 -10,2 -7,2 1- OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES 6,8 -6,8 -31,2 -2,8 -12,5 -9,1 (EXCLUDING EU) 2-NORTH AMERICA 3- OTHER AFRICAN COUNTRIES -2,6 -1,6 -7,2 4-NORTH AMERICA 10,8 -3,1 4,7 5-CENTRAL AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN -6,6 -9,5 -0,4 6. SOUTH AMERICA -12,9 -29,3 -16,4 7-NEAR AND MIDDLE EAST -0,5 -12,0 0,7 8-OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES -3,5 -11,0 -6,1 9-AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND 11,4 3,3 18,7 10- OTHER COUNTRIES AND REGIONS 54,5 -54,0 43,4 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION experienced in the markets of all developing countries. Export To European Union Reached 70 Million USD Once Again Within the framework of developments in export by co- untry groups in 2016, export to EU-28 countries increased to 68.4 percent. Recovery in the European Union positively affected Turkey’s export. The negative effect of a decrease in EUR-USD parity for the last a few years on the export to TABLE.18 EXPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS MILLION DOLLAR TABLE.19 DISTRIBUTION OF EXPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS PERCENTAGE COUNTRY GROUP 2014 2015 2016 TOTAL 100,0 100,0 100,0 A-EUROPEAN UNION (EU28) 43,5 44,5 48,0 B- TURKEY'S FREE ZONES 1,4 1,3 1,3 C- OTHER COUNTRIES 55,1 54,2 50,8 1- OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES 9,6 9,8 6,8 TOTAL 2014 2015 2016 A-EUROPEAN UNION (EU28) 157 620 143.935 142.557 (EXCLUDING EU) B- TURKEY'S FREE ZONES 68 519 64.034 68.357 2-NORTH AMERICA 6,2 5,9 5,4 C- OTHER COUNTRIES 2 270 1.907 1.822 3- OTHER AFRICAN COUNTRIES 2,5 2,7 2,6 1- OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES 86 832 77.993 72.379 4-NORTH AMERICA 4,6 4,9 5,2 5-CENTRAL AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN 0,6 0,6 0,6 2-NORTH AMERICA 15 185 14.150 9.738 6. SOUTH AMERICA 1,2 0,9 0,8 3- OTHER AFRICAN COUNTRIES 9 758 8.535 7.756 7-NEAR AND MIDDLE EAST 22,4 21,6 22,0 4-NORTH AMERICA 3 997 3.934 3.652 8-OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES 7,4 7,2 6,8 5-CENTRAL AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN 7 293 7.070 7.405 9-AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND 0,4 0,4 0,5 938 849 846 10- OTHER COUNTRIES AND REGIONS 0,1 0,1 0,1 7-NEAR AND MIDDLE EAST 1 852 1.310 1.095 8-OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES 35 386 31.106 31.312 9-AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND 11 592 10.312 9.686 600 620 736 (EXCLUDING EU) 6. SOUTH AMERICA 10- OTHER COUNTRIES AND REGIONS SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.9 DISTRIBUTION OF EXPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS PERCENTAGE SHARE OF REGIONS IN EXPORT PERCENTAGE 0,5 0,1 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 6,8 EUROPEAN UNION European Union countries also disappeared. Export to the European Countries including Russia and Africa decreased absolutely. OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES 48 22 NORTH AFRICA OTHER AFRICA Share of EU Countries Increased to 48.0 Percent The share of EU countries in country groups kept increasing in 2016 and reached to 48.0 percent. The share of North American countries increased from 4.9 percent to 5.2 percent. The share of Near and Middle Eastern countries was realized 22.0 percent. The share of other European Countries decreased from 9.8 percent to 6.8 percent. With 6.8 percent, the share of Asian countries is still under the potential. Our Share in The First 30 Export Markets Decreased By 0.3 Point Turkey’s first 30 export markets remained almost unchanged over the years. Upon the classification of 30 markets as groups of 10 countries, three significant export market groups were created. The share of the first 10 countries in our export was realized almost 50 percent and increased to 50.9 percent in 2016. The share of the second 10 markets in our export is approximately 20 percent and decreased to 18.1 percent in 2016. The share of the third 10 countries dropped by 0.9 points in 2016 and decreased to 9.2 percent. Shares of these three groups in our total 0,8 0,6 NORTH AMERICA 5,2 MIDDLE AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN 2,6 5,4 SOUTH AMRICA 6,8 NEAR AND MIDDLE EAST SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION export have increased for the last three years and decreased in 2016. Both the increase and the decrease were limited. The share of the first 30 countries in our total export in 2016 dropped by 0.3 point and decreased to 78.2 percent. It was concluded that Turkey’s export was dependent and sensitive to the same markets, and the need for new markets still continues. FIGURE.10 SHARE OF EXPORT MARKETS IN EXPORT 48,9 47,7 19,5 19,1 11,1 2014 10,1 2015 THE FIRST 10 MARKETS THE SECOND 10 MARKETS 50,9 PERCENTAGE OF SHARE OF EXPORT MARKETS IN EXPORT 18,1 9,2 2016 THE THIRD 10 MARKETS SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 45 3 export TABLE.20 SHARE OF TURKEY’S FIRST 30 EXPORT MARKETS IN OUR EXPORT BY GROUPS 2014 MARKETS 2015 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % THE FIRST 10 MARKETS 75.123 47,7 70.456 48,9 72.512 50,9 THE SECOND 10 MARKETS 30.049 19,1 28.071 19,5 25.861 18,1 THE THIRD 10 MARKETS 17.649 11,1 14.466 10,1 13.172 9,2 THE FIRST 30 MARKETS 122.821 77,9 112.993 78,5 111.545 78,2 TOTAL 157.620 100.0 143.935 100,0 142.557 100,0 SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION İThe First 10 Countries; Germany, England, Iraq, Italy, USA, France, UAE, Spain, Iran, The Netherlands The Second 10 Countries; S. Arabia, Israel, Egypt, Switzerland, Romania, Poland, Belgium, Bulgaria, China, Algeria The Third 10 Countries; Russia, Morocco, Greece, Syria, Azerbaijan, Ukraine, Turkmenistan, Sweden, Georgia, Austria III.5.2 EXPORT BY COUNTRIES Compared with 2014, two countries changed among Turkey’s first 20 export markets in 2016. Russia and Azerbaijan were replaced by Bulgaria and the Czech Republic. While total export decreased by 0.9 percent, export to the first 20 countries increased by 1.9 percent and amounted to USD 98.37 billion in 2016. In 2016, export to 12 countries included in the first 20 markets increased. Four of the countries to which export increased were Germany, USA, England, and Italy, whose economic growths accelerated. Due to a decrease in gold export, export to Switzerland experienced the maximum decrease. Iraq, UAE, and S. Arabia were among the countries to which export decreased. TABLE.21 EXPORT BY COUNTRY MILLION DOLLAR EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR RANK COUNTRIES 1 GERMANY 14.001 13.417 2 England 11.687 10.556 3 Iraq 7.638 4 Italy 7.582 5 USA 2016 2014 % 2015/2016 Change 2016 2015 2014 13.147 9,8 9,3 8,3 4,4 9.903 8,2 7,3 6,3 10,7 8.550 10.888 5,4 5,9 6,9 -10,7 6.887 7.141 5,3 4,8 4,5 10,1 6.624 6.396 6.342 4,6 4,4 4,0 3,6 6 France 6.024 5.845 6.464 4,2 4,1 4,1 3,1 7 UAE 5.408 4.681 4.656 3,8 3,3 3,0 15,5 8 Spain 4.991 4.742 4.750 3,5 3,3 3,0 5,3 9 Iran 4.967 3.664 3.886 3,5 2,5 2,5 35,6 10 The Netherlands 3.590 3.155 3.459 2,5 2,2 2,2 13,8 11 S. Arabia 3.174 3.473 3.047 2,2 2,4 1,9 -8,6 12 Israel 2.956 2.698 2.951 2,1 1,9 1,9 9,6 13 Egypt 2.734 3.125 3.298 1,9 2,2 2,1 -12,5 14 Switzerland 2.676 5.675 3.208 1,9 3,9 2,0 -52,8 15 Romania 2.671 2.816 3.008 1,9 2,0 1,9 -5,1 16 Poland 2.651 2.329 2.402 1,9 1,6 1,5 13,8 17 Belgium 2.548 2.558 2.939 1,8 1,8 1,9 -0,4 18 Bulgaria 2.384 1.676 2.040 1,7 1,2 1,3 42,2 19 China 2.329 2.415 2.861 1,6 1,7 1,8 -3,6 20 Algeria 1.736 1.826 2.079 1,2 1,3 1,3 -4,9 47.355 57.142 31,0 32,9 36,3 -6,7 143.935 157.620 9,8 9,3 8,3 -0,9 Others 44.185 TOTAL 142.557 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 46 2015 EXPORT SHARE % III.6 EXPORT BY COMPANY SCALES AND EXPORT CONCENTRATION Concentration of Export in Large-Scale Companies Increased Distribution of export basing on company scales yields important results for Turkish exporters. Company scales are categorized based on the number of employees. In this respect, the share of companies with 250+ employees, which are regarded as large-scale for Turkey, in the export increased by 2.8 points and reached to 43.5 percent in 2014. The concentration of Turkish export in large-scale companies continues to increase. The share of companies with 250 and more employees to be regarded as large-scale for Turkey in the export increased from 43.5 to 45.0 in 2015. The share of small-scale companies with 1-9 employees in the total export increased from 17.4 percent to 17.7 percent in 2015. The share of small-scale companies with 10-49 employees in the total export decreased to 20.3 percent. Export share of companies with 50-249 employees decreased from 18.4 percent to 16.5 percent in 2015. TABLE.22 EXPORT SHARES BY COMPANY SCALES 2013 EMPLOYEE NUMBER 1-9 2014 2015 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % 151 570 100,0 156.900 100,0 143.823 100,0 27 050 17,9 27.224 17,4 25.432 17,7 10-49 36 458 24,1 32.496 20,7 29.207 20,3 50-249 26 243 17,3 28.854 18,4 24.587 16,9 250+ 61 731 40,7 68.300 43,5 64.597 45,0 136 to 123. Total 132 companies with an export amount of more than USD 100 million performs 37.6 percent of the whole export.The number of companies with an export amount of over 1 million USD is 11,450 in total. These companies perform 93.3 percent of Turkey’s whole export. The total number of companies with an export amount of less than 1 million USD decreased to 53,065 in total. These companies perform 6.7 percent of our whole export. TABLE.23 EXPORT CONCENTRATION 2015 2014 ENTERPRISES EXPORT MILLION US SHARE EXPORT MILLION US SHARE % EXPORT MILLION US SHARE % All enterprises 143.824 100,0 156.900 100,0 113.391 100,0 The first 5 Ent. 25.837 18,0 23.980 15,3 19.235 17,0 The first 10 Ent. 33.580 23,4 33.564 21,4 26.749 23,6 The first 20 Ent. 42.186 29,3 42.338 27,0 34.261 30,2 The first 5 0 Ent. 54.054 37,6 54.647 34,8 44.630 39,4 The first 100 Ent. 64.737 45,0 66.096 42,1 53.326 47,0 The first 500 Ent. 93.527 65,0 99.702 63,5 77.409 68,3 The first 1000 Ent. 107.340 74,6 115.739 73,8 88.638 78,2 FIGURE.11 DISTRIBUTION OF COMPANY GROUPS BASED ON SELECT EXPORT VOLUMES IN TOTAL EXPORT 2016 SHARE IN EXPORT % 6,7 Export Concentration Gradually Decreases, But A Limited Increase Was Experienced in 2016 Number of Companies with Export Amount of Over 1 Billion US Dollars in 2016 Is 9 The number of companies that performed export at an amount of over 1 billion USD was 9 both in 2015 and 2016. The number of companies, whose export amount is between USD 100 million and USD 1 billion decreased from % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION It has been observed that export concentration gradually decreases. The share of the first 1000 exporters in the export which was 78.2 percent in 2010 decreased to 73.8 percent in 2014. However, concentration increased in 2016 along with the first 10 companies effect. Performances of automotive, home appliances, petroleum chemical industries, which include companies that perform the large-scale export, were determinative of the increase in 2015. 2010 16,1 55,7 21,5 COMPANIES WITH AN EXPORT AMOUNT OF OVER 1 BILLION USD COMPANIES WITH AN EXPORT AMOUNT OF BETWEEN 100 MILLION AND 1 BILLION USD COMPANIES WITH AN EXPORT AMOUNT OF BETWEEN 1 MILLION AND 100 MILLION USD SOURCE: TURKISH EXPORTERS ASSEMBLY ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 47 3 export TABLE.24 COMPANY DIVISIONS BASED ON SELECT EXPORT VOLUMES 2015 GROUP COMPANY (NUMBER) SHARE % EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR OVER 1 BILLION USD TABLE.25 COMPANY DIVISIONS BASED ON SELECT EXPORT VOLUMES 2016 SHARE GRUP % COMPANY (NUMBER) SHARE % EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % 9 0,014 20.142 15,1 OVER 1 BILLION USD 9 0,014 21.192 BETWEEN 100 MILLION AND 1 BILLION USD 136 0,216 30.718 23,0 BETWEEN 100 MILLION AND 1 BILLION USD 123 0,190 28.277 21,5 BETWEEN 1 MILLION AND 100 MILLION USD 11.559 18,424 74.076 55,4 BETWEEN 1 MILLION AND 100 MILLION USD 11.450 17,712 73.329 55,7 LESS THAN 1 MILLION USD 51.954 81,346 8.706 6,5 LESS THAN 1 MILLION USD 53.065 82,084 8.857 6,7 TOTAL 62.749 100,00 133.642 100,0 TOTAL 64.647 100,00 131.654 100,0 SOURCE: TURKISH EXPORTERS ASSEMBLY 16,1 SOURCE: TURKISH EXPORTERS ASSEMBLY TABLE.26 DETAILED EXPORTING COMPANY DIVISIONS ON 18 DIFFERENT EXPORT SCALE 2015 GROUP MILLION DOLLAR COMPANY NUMBER COMPANY NUMBER 1 SHARE % SHARE % (1) MILLION US DOLLAR MILLION US DOLLAR 1 SHARE % SHARE % (1) 1 >= 1.000 9 9 0,014 0,014 20.142 20.142 15,1% 15,1% 2 >= 500 - < 1.000 9 18 0,014 0,029 6.888 27.029 5,2% 20,2% 3 >= 250 - < 500 25 43 0,040 0,069 8.639 35.668 6,5% 26,7% 4 >= 100 - < 250 102 145 0,16 0,23 15.192 50.860 11,4% 38,1% 5 >= 50 - < 100 174 319 0,28 0,51 11.731 62.591 8,8% 46,8% 6 >= 25 - < 50 407 726 0,65 1,16 14.207 76.798 10,6% 57,5% 7 >= 10 - < 25 1.150 1.876 1,84 2,99 17.877 94.675 13,4% 70,8% 8 >= 5 - < 10 1.719 3.595 2,75 5,73 12.000 106.674 9,0% 79,8% 9 >= 3 - < 5 1.960 5.555 3,14 8,85 7.602 114.276 5,7% 85,5% 10 >= 2 - < 3 1.895 7.450 3,03 11,87 4.659 118.935 3,5% 89,0% 11 >= 1 - < 2 4.245 11.695 6,79 18,64 6.001 124.936 4,5% 93,5% 12 >= 0,5 - < 1 5.458 17.153 8,74 27,34 3.893 128.829 2,9% 96,4% 13 >= 0,25 - < 0,5 6.506 23.659 10,41 37,70 2.329 131.158 1,7% 98,1% 14 >= 0,10 - < 0,25 9.520 33.179 15,24 52,88 1.549 132.706 1,2% 99,3% 15 >= 0,05 - < 0,10 7.308 40.487 11,70 64,52 527 133.233 0,4% 99,7% 16 >= 0,025 - < 0,05 6.838 47.325 10,94 75,42 248 133.481 0,2% 99,9% 17 >= 0,010 - < 0,025 7.245 54.570 11,60 86,97 121 133.603 0,1% 100,0% 18 < 0,010 8.179 62.749 13,09 100,00 40 133.642 0,0% 100,0% TIM Total 62.749 133.642 133.642 100,0% 100,0% 143.996 143.996 100,0 TIM Total TABLE.27 DETAILED EXPORTING COMPANY DIVISIONS ON 18 DIFFERENT EXPORT SCALE 2016 GROUP MILLION DOLLAR COMPANY NUMBER COMPANY NUMBER 1 SHARE % SHARE % (1) MILLION US DOLLAR MILLION US DOLLAR 1 SHARE % SHARE % (1) 1 >= 1.000 9 9 0,014% 0,014% 21.192 21.192 16,1% 16,1% 2 >= 500 - < 1.000 10 19 0,015% 0,029% 7.445 28.637 5,7% 21,8% 3 >= 250 - < 500 16 35 0,025% 0,054% 5.562 34.199 4,2% 26,0% 4 >= 100 - < 250 97 132 0,15% 0,20% 15.269 49.468 11,6% 37,6% 5 >= 50 - < 100 185 317 0,29% 0,49% 12.388 61.856 9,4% 47,0% 6 >= 25 - < 50 383 700 0,59% 1,08% 13.179 75.035 10,0% 57,0% 7 >= 10 - < 25 1.165 1.865 1,80% 2,89% 17.913 92.948 13,6% 70,6% 8 >= 5 - < 10 1.703 3.568 2,63% 5,52% 11.965 104.913 9,1% 79,7% 9 >= 3 - < 5 1.888 5.456 2,92% 8,44% 7.274 112.187 5,5% 85,2% 10 >= 2 - < 3 1.884 7.340 2,91% 11,35% 4.604 116.791 3,5% 88,7% 11 >= 1 - < 2 4.242 11.582 6,56% 17,91% 6.006 122.797 4,6% 93,3% 12 >= 0,5 - < 1 5.521 17.103 8,54% 26,45% 3.942 126.739 3,0% 96,3% 13 >= 0,25 - < 0,5 6.566 23.669 10,15% 36,61% 2.345 129.084 1,8% 98,0% 14 >= 0,10 - < 0,25 9.828 33.497 15,20% 51,81% 1.600 130.684 1,2% 99,3% 15 >= 0,05 - < 0,10 7.511 41.008 11,62% 63,43% 540 131.224 0,4% 99,7% 16 >= 0,025 - < 0,05 7.155 48.163 11,07% 74,50% 260 131.484 0,2% 99,9% 17 >= 0,010 - < 0,025 7.666 55.829 11,86% 86,36% 128 131.612 0,1% 100,0% 18 < 0,010 8.818 64.647 13,64% 100,00% 42 131.654 0,0% 100,0% TİM Total 64.647 100,00% 100,00% 131.654 131.654 100,0% 100,0% 142.557 142.557 TUİK Total SOURCE: TURKISH EXPORTERS ASSEMBLY (1) CumulatIve 48 III.7 EXPORT BY MAIN AND SUBSECTION GROUPS In this section, export developments of Turkey on sector basis are reviewed and evaluated in detail. While evaluating the export developments by sector, sectors are grouped according to Harmonized System section classification. Section III.7.1 EXPORT BY MAIN SECTION GROUPS Share of The First 20 Sectors Did Not Change According to section classification, export in the first 20 sectors with the highest export levels dropped by 0.8 percent in 2016 and decreased to USD 108.4 billion. Although total exports of the first 20 sectors decreased, their shares remained unchanged in 2016 at 76 percent. The Number of Subsections With Growing Export Increased To 7, However, Increase Rates Are Still Low Road Motor Vehicles, Machinery and Precious Stones (Gold) and Metals were among the first three in Turkey’s export in 2015. Ranking of the first three did not change in 2016 either. Out of the most exported 20 sections in 2015, export of only three sections increased. Export of the remaining 17 sections decreased. The number of sections whose exports grew in 2016 increased from 3 to 7. However, the rates of increases were limited and low. The maximum increase in export belongs to road motor vehicle, the most exported section. With an increase of 13.4 percent, export of Road Motor Vehicles reached to USD 19.8 billion. Besides, its share in the total export increased from 12.1 to 13.9 percent. The second section with the most increasing export level were Precious Stones (Gold) and Metals. Export of Precious Stones (Gold) and Metals increased by 8.1 percent and reached to USD 12.18 billion. Its share in the total export increased from 7.8 percent to 8.5 percent. With an increase of 0.1 percent, machinery export increased from USD 12.33 billion to USD 12.34 billion. Among the first 20 sections, sections with the most decreasing exports were Mineral Oils and Fuels in 2016. The decrease in the export of Mineral Fuels is 28.9 percent. Other subsections with the most decreasing export levels are Fruit and Vegetable Preparations and Fruits. Maximum Decrease Was in Mineral Fuel and Oils The slowdown in commodity demand and a decrease in commodity metal prices in the world economy were weaker in 2016. However economic growth performances were below the foreseen level, excluding USA’s performance. Also, positive leading indicators were observed in the world economy and foreign trade in the last quarter of classifications in harmonized system categorize 2-digit main sections and 4-digit detailed sections. Within this framework, export developments on sector basis are evaluated with respect to main section groups. 2016. The most decreasing subsection was Mineral Fuels and Oils in 2016. As a result of the conflicts among OPEC countries throughout the year, the penetration of Iran into the markets with the removal of the ban, low demand despite supply surplus, Mineral Fuels and Oil export closed 2016 with a decrease of 28.9 percent. Export of Vegetable and Fruit Preparations and Fruits, which were among the subsections with the most decreasing export levels, substantially decreased due to the problems experienced in the traditional markets of these products. Problems faced with Russia in fruit export affected export performance quite adversely. Export to Germany, our largest export market regarding Vegetable and Fruit Preparations export, substantially decreased. Export of Iron and Steel-Ware become the fourth most decreasing subsection with a drop by 9.1 percent. The capacity surplus in particularly iron and steel production, which was caused by the recent slowdown in the economic growth of China, exposed all countries manufacturing iron and steel across the world, under competitive pressure. Due to such competitive pressure, Turkey could achieve the desired performance in Iron and Steel-Ware export. TABLE.26 DISTRIBUTION OF EXPORT BY 2-DIGIT MAIN SECTIONS THE FIRST 20 PRODUCTS 2015 NO SECTIONS 87 84 Road motor vehicles Machinery Export Million Dollar 17.463 2016 % SHARE 12.333 12,1 8,6 SHARE 2015/2016 Change % 12.341 13,9 8,7 13,4 0,1 Export Million Dollar 19.804 % 71 Precious or semiprecious stones 11.264 7,8 12.177 8,5 8,1 61 Knitted Apparel 8.926 6,2 8.852 6,2 -0,8 85 Electrical machinery and equipment 8.278 5,8 7.832 5,5 -5,4 72 Iron and steel 6.556 4,6 6.182 4,3 -5,7 62 Non-Knitted (Woven) Apparel 5.916 4,1 5.927 4,2 0,2 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 5.358 3,7 5.027 3,5 -6,2 73 Ironware or steelware 5.465 3,8 4.966 3,5 -9,1 8 27 Fruits and edible nuts Mineral fuels and mineral oils 4.355 4.518 3,0 3,1 3.873 3.212 2,7 2,3 -11,1 -28,9 94 Furniture 2.753 1,9 2.659 1,9 -3,4 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 2.370 1,6 2.238 1,6 -5,6 40 Rubber and rubber-ware 2.165 1,5 2.203 1,5 1,7 25 Marble Cement, Salt, Sulfur 2.253 1,6 2.175 1,5 -3,4 63 Woven garment 1.899 1,3 1.954 1,4 2,9 57 Carpets 2.009 1,4 1.913 1,3 -4,8 20 Vegetables, fruit preparations 2.187 1,5 1.849 1,3 -15,5 52 Cotton, cotton yarn and cotton fabric 1.703 1,2 1.720 1,2 1,0 19 Grains, flour, pastry products 1.506 1,0 1.501 1,1 -0,3 109.280 76,0 108.402 76,0 -0,8 The First 20 Sections REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 49 3 export FIGURE.12 THE MOST EXPORTED FIRST 20 SECTIONS 2016 Road motor vehicles Machinery Precious or semiprecious stones Knitted Apparel Electrical machinery and equipment Iron and steel Non-Knitted (Woven) Apparel Plastics and Plasticsware Ironware or steelware Fruits and edible nuts Mineral fuels and mineral oils Furniture Aluminium and aluminiumware Rubber and rubber-ware Marble Cement, Salt, Sulfur Woven garment Carpets Vegetables, fruit preparations Cotton, cotton yarn and cotton fabric Grains, flour, pastry products 5.027 4.966 3.873 3.212 2.659 2.238 2.175 1.954 1.913 1.849 1.720 1.501 0 8.852 7.832 6.182 5.927 5.000 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 19.804 12.341 12.177 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION III.7.2 EXPORT BY SUBSECTION GROUPS 1- ROAD MOTOR VEHICLES Export Accelerated Again, Sector Strengthened Its Top Rank With a relatively much better performance in 2016 in comparison with its general export performance, major and subsidiary industries of road motor vehicles strengthened its top rank in export. Export of road motor vehicles increased by 13.9 percent and reached to USD 19.8 billion in 2016. The most exported products are Automobiles. Export of personal automobiles raised to 8.35 billion with an increase of USD 21.1 percent. Subsection with the maximum increase in export is Tractors with an increase of 53.7 percent. Export of Tractors which was USD 428 million in 2015 increased to USD 657 million in 2016. Exports of minibus and bus increased from USD 1.2 billion to USD 1.5 billion with an increase of 25.4 percent. Subsection with the most decreasing export level is the most imported Special Purpose Motor Vehicles. Export dropped by 32.3 percent in 2016 and decreased to USD 105 million. Another decrease was witnessed in the export of components and parts of road motor vehicles with 14.7 percent. The decrease of 23.5 percent in export unit prices of road motor vehicles’ components and parts is the most important factor in the decrease of export. FIGURE.13 SUBSECTIONS WITH THE MOST EXPORT IN 2016 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 0 8.356 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 4.579 3.868 1.503 Automobiles Truck Components and Parts for Road SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Vehicles 657 Minibus, Bus Tractors TABLE.27 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF ROAD MOTOR VEHICLES CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 8703 Automobiles 7.256 6.900 8.356 21,1 8,31 8,70 8704 Truck 4.139 4.249 4.579 7,8 6,89 7,28 8708 Components and Parts for Road Vehicles 4.134 3.803 3.868 1,7 4,37 4,38 8702 Minibus, Bus 1.119 1.199 1.503 25,4 11,64 11,08 8701 Tractors 479 428 657 53,7 6,11 7,14 8716 Trailers 385 381 428 12,2 2,77 2,83 8700 Components and Parts of Road Motor Vehicles 196 224 191 -14,7 61,95 47,41 8705 Tow Trucks, Fire Truck, Street Sweeper, Asphalt Distributor 175 155 105 -32,3 7,95 7,32 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 50 FIGURE.14 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 2-MACHINERY Export Sustained Its Level in The Previous Year EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR Having the maximum number of subsections, machinery export amounted to USD 12.34 billion dollars with a very limited increase in 2016. Out of 10 the most exported subsection of machinery, export increased in 7 subsections and decreased in 3 subsections. The most exported subsections are Industrial Refrigerators and Coolers and Engine Parts with USD 1.74 billion and USD 1.55 billion respectively. The export level of the last year was maintained for the products in the first two ranks. The subsection with the maximum increase in export is Washing, Ironing and Drying Machines of Yarn and Fabric with 21 percent. Turbojets and Gas Turbines ranked the second with an increase of 8.7 percent. Subsection 2,000 1.740 1.555 1,500 959 1,000 553 500 0 Industrial Refrigerators and coolers Engine Parts Industrial Washing Machiines Industrial Dishwashers 445 417 Taps and Valves Heavy and Building Machinery Parts SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION with the most decreasing export level is Heavy and Building Machinery with a decrease of 12 percent. Export of Tap and Valve decreased by 9.6 percent and amounted to USD 445 million. TABLE.28 SUBSECTIONS IN MACHINERY EXPORT CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 8418 Industrial Refrigerators and Coolers 2.019 1.721 1.740 1,1 3,96 3,86 8409 Engine Parts 1.733 1.546 1.555 0,6 17,99 18,25 8450 Industrial Washing Machines 925 922 959 4,0 2,49 2,44 8422 Industrial Dishwashers, 591 534 553 3,6 5,31 5,06 8481 Taps and Valves 599 492 445 -9,6 9,07 8,80 8431 Heavy and Building Machinery Parts 597 474 417 -12,0 4,11 3,99 8451 Washing, Ironing and Drying Machines of Yarn and Fabric 267 322 390 21,0 5,60 5,57 8403 Central Heating Boilers 418 378 387 2,4 8,68 9,23 8413 Pump for Liquids 472 384 365 -4,9 8,60 8,24 8411 Turbojets, Gas Turbines 306 327 356 8,7 174,98 283,43 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 3- PRECIOUS STONES AND METALS Gold Export Increased, Jewel Export Remained Unchanged As in 2015, export of precious stones and metals continued increasing in 2016. Export of precious stones and metals, which increased by 46 percent in 2015, also grew by 8.1 percent and amounted to USD 12.2 billion in 2016, though the growth rate was slower. The export of nonprocessed or semi-processed gold, which increased by 129.8 percent in 2015, grew by 11.8 percent in 2016 and amounted to USD 8.25 billion in 2016. The unit price of the gold increased by 4.6 percent. The performance of jewel export remained same as the last year and was realized USD 3.76 billion. FIGURE.15 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 0 8.249 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 3.761 Non-Processed or Semi-Processed Gold Jewels SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 51 3 export TABLE.29 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF PRECIOUS STONES AND METALS CODE PRODUCT 2013 Million Dollar 2014 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 7108 Non-Processed or Semi-Processed Gold 3.212 7.381 8.249 11,8 38.301 40.068 7113 Jewels 4.348 3.757 3.761 0,1 15.378 17.066 7106 Non-Processed or Semi-Processed Silver 66 61 99 62,4 505 560 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 4-KNITTED APPAREL Decrease That Started in Export Last Year Continues, Though Limited Export of knitted apparel decreased by 0.8 percent and amounted to USD 8.85 billion in 2016. Although knitted apparel that passed USD 10 billion threshold in 2014 was favorably affected by the recovery in European Union market, it decreased by 10.9 percent in 2015. Although the problems in the peripheral and neighboring markets, especially in Russia alleviated in 2016 and recovery in EU markets continued, export performance was low. The most exported subsection in 2016 was T-Shirt, Undershirt, and Singlets with USD 2.93 billion. Among the other, most exported subsections include Pullover, Jumper, and Cardigan with USD 1.6 billion, Dresses and Jackets for Women with USD 1.2 billion and Pantyhose with USD 1 billion. Last year, unit prices remarkably and substantially decreased in women suit, jacket, blouse and shirt subsections. FIGURE.16 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 3,500 3,000 2.929 2,500 2,000 1.625 1,500 1.213 1.037 1,000 512 500 0 T-shirts, Undershirts, Singlets Pullover, Jumper, Cardigan Women Suit, Jacket, Blazer, Skirt Pantyhose 347 Women Blouses, Man Suits, Jackets, Shirts Trousers SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION The decrease was more limited this year but continued in all subsections. TABLE.30 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF KNITTED APPAREL CODE product 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 6109 T-shirts, Undershirts, Singlets 3.566 2.979 2.929 -1,7 22,39 22,04 6110 Pullover, Jumper, Cardigan 1.754 1.614 1.625 0,7 20,53 19,28 6104 Women Suit, Jacket, Blazer, Skirt 1.370 1.273 1.213 -4,7 20,57 20,45 6115 Pantyhose 1.217 1.025 1.037 1,2 15,27 14,47 6106 Women Blouses, Shirts 573 541 512 -5,4 21,25 20,55 6103 Men Suits, Jackets, Trousers 374 339 347 2,4 16,90 14,88 6108 Women Slip, Nightgowns, Pyjamas 320 312 275 -11,9 14,75 12,73 6105 Men Shirts 259 237 255 7,6 28,96 27,32 6111 Baby Clothes 146 144 176 21,6 16,91 15,75 6107 Men Panties, Pyjamas, Bathrobes 151 165 162 -1,9 15,29 10,77 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 5-ELECTRICAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT Export Continued To Decrease in 2016 Export of the Electrical Machinery and Equipment section that covers two different product groups such as invest- 52 ment commodity and consumer electronics decreased by 5.4 percent in 2016. Among the most exported subsection groups, Insulated Cables and Wires ranks the first with USD 1.77 billion. Export of Insulated Cables and Wires decreased by 9.2 percent compared to the previous year. Export unit price also decreased by 8.9 percent. The second and Switches, Power Sockets, Plugs and Fuses with decreases of 10 percent and 7.7 percent respectively. The subsection with the most increasing export level is Telephone Equipment with an increase rate of 25.2 percent. most exported subsection products are TV Receivers and Monitors. Export of TV and Monitor dropped by 13 percent in 2016 and decreased to USD 1.4 billion. Other subsections with decreasing export levels include Electric Control and Distribution Switchboard FIGURE.17 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2.000 1.767 1.800 1.600 1.413 1.400 1.200 1000 873 851 800 600 447 424 400 200 0 Insulated Wires, Cables SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Televisions, Moniyors and Projectors Electric Transformers Electirical Heaters Switches, Relays, Switches Electric Control And Distribution Switcboards, Panels TABLE.31 SUBSECTIONS IN ELECTRICAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT EXPORT CODE ITEM NAME 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 8544 Insulated Wires, Cables 2.421 1.947 1.767 -9,2 5,01 4,47 8528 Televisions, Monitors and Projectors 1.905 1.624 1.413 -13,0 27,51 24,29 8504 Electric Transformers 769 836 873 4,5 6,57 6,72 8516 Electrical Heaters 1.071 873 851 -2,5 4,12 3,97 8536 Switches, Relays, Switches, 569 485 447 -7,7 13,33 13,08 8537 Electric Control and Distribution Switchboards, Panels 665 471 424 -10,0 14,22 13,81 8502 Rotary Converters 259 250 283 12,9 8,61 9,25 8507 Batteries 288 222 226 2,0 2,47 2,36 8512 Lighting and Signaling Equipment for Motor Vehicles 171 179 224 25,2 59,21 172,50 8517 Telephone Equipment 222 212 223 4,9 14,31 14,51 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 6-IRON-STEEL The Decrease In The Export of Long and Flat Products Accelerated Export of iron-steel decreased by 29 percent in 2015. Although decrease slowed down, export dropped by 5.7 percent and decreased to USD 6.18 billion in 2016. Export unit prices of the subsections continued to decrease. The amount of exported Steel-Iron increased by 3.4 percent and reached to 13.67 million tons. The slowdown and recession in the economic performances of all world countries, excluding the USA, in 2015 led to unused capacities in the iron-steel manufacturing facilities in many countries, especially in China. As in 2015, problems caused by unused capacities in the iron-steel sector continued, and other manufacturing countries affected by China’s substantially low export prices took protection measures and tried to solve problems through additional taxes in 2016. Turkey’s iron-steel export was adversely affected by all these circumstances not only in 2015 but also in 2016. ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 53 3 export Among subcategories of products, the most exported product group of Turkey was Rods and Bars that include reinforcing bars. The export of this subsection kept going down with a decrease of 13.4 percent. Export of reinforcing bars to the peripheral and neighboring countries recessed basing on both the conflicts in these countries and the recession in incomes and construction expenses caused by a decrease in oil prices. Such decrease had a substantially negative effect on Turkey’s export. As the share of Reinforcing Bars is substantially high in the total iron-steel export, performance in the reinforcing bars has a considerably determining role in the total Iron Steel export. The second most exported subgroup products are Uncoated Rolled Flat Products. Export of Uncoated Rolled Flat Products increased by 7 percent and reached to USD 832 million. The subsection with the maximum increase in export is Stainless Steel Rolled Flat products with an increase of 70.3 percent. Export of Ferro Alliage increased by 62.3 and amounted to USD 197 million. Export of Coated Rolled Flat Products increased by 13.7 percent and reached to FIGURE.18 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 3.000 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 0 2.664 832 Rods 678 Uncoated Rolled Flat Products Profiles 372 Wire Rod 309 Coated Rolled Flat Products SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION USD 309 million. Subsection with the most decreasing export level is ColdRolled Flat Products with a drop of 22 percent. Profile export dropped by 15.1 percent and decreased to USD 678 million. TABLE.32 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF IRON AND STEEL CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 7214 Rods 4.341 3.078 2.664 -13,4 0,42 0,38 7208 Uncoated Rolled Flat Products 995 778 832 7,0 0,43 0,40 7216 Profiles 1.171 798 678 -15,1 0,53 0,47 7213 Wire Rod 556 342 372 8,8 0,44 0,40 7210 Coated Rolled Flat Products 396 272 309 13,7 0,77 0,69 7202 Ferro Alliage 163 122 197 62,3 1,51 1,43 7219 Stainless Steel Rolled Flat Products 122 97 165 70,3 0,56 0,52 7209 Cold-Rolled Flat Products (Width>600 mm) 218 232 181 -22,0 2,13 1,84 7204 Scrap 235 147 147 0,3 1,01 0,95 7228 Other Alloy Steel Rods and Profiles 164 141 129 -8,9 0,65 0,55 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 7- WOVEN APPAREL Export of Woven Apparel Maintained The Previous Year’s Level Export of woven apparel was realized USD 5.93 billion with a very limited increase of 0.2 percent in 2016. Export increased in the most exported two subsections of Woven apparel subsection. The increase rates are very low. Exports of Women Dress and Jacket subsection and Men Suit and Jacket subsection increased by 3.3 and 1.1 percent respectively. Export unit prices of the both product groups decreased. Another subsection with an increase in export is the group of Scarves, Shawls, and Neckerchief. The maximum decrease is in the export of Women Nightgown, Slip, Pyjamas product group. The export dropped by 10.6 percent and decreased to USD 196 million. With a decrease of 5.4 percent, export of Men Shirts amounted to USD 574 million. Unit prices of the products kept decreasing. FIGURE.19 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 0 2.269 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 1.509 722 196 Women Suit, Jacket, Blazer, Skirt Men Suits, Jackets, Trousers Women Blouses, Shirts SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 54 574 Men Shirts Women Corset, Slip, Nightgowns, Pyjamas TABLE.33 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF WOVEN APPAREL CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 6204 Women Suit, Jacket, Blazer, Skirt 2.417 2.195 2.269 3,3 26,85 25,27 6203 Men Suits, Jackets, Trousers, 1.566 1.493 1.509 1,1 22,17 20,65 6206 Women Blouses, Shirts 733 736 722 -1,9 33,98 33,23 6205 Men Shirts 630 607 574 -5,4 27,46 26,21 6208 Women Corset, Slip, Nightgowns, Pyjamas 217 220 196 -10,6 9,95 9,33 6211 Sports, Ski and Swim Wear 130 134 132 -1,4 16,26 15,80 6202 Women Cloak, Coat and Anoraks 142 111 108 -3,0 20,79 18,68 6214 Scarf, Shawl and Neckerchief 69 91 101 10,5 13,31 11,06 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.20 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 8-PLASTICS AND PLASTICWARE Export Unit Prices Continued Dropping, and Export Kept Decreasing As in 2015, export of plasticware continued decreasing in 2016. Export decreased by 11.9 percent in 2015 and by 6.2 in 2016 and amounted to USD 5 billion. Although export decreased in all of the most exported 10 product subcategories in 2015, this number decreased to 5 in 2016. However, the increase rates of the subsections with increasing export levels were very limited. The most exported subsection is Non-Porous Plate, Sheet, and Foils. Maximum decrease was observed in plastic rods and profiles subsection as well as hoses and pipes. As in 2015, decrease exceeded 20 percent level and was realized 21.9 percent. Export dropped from USD 925 million level in 2014 to USD 553 million. The decrease in the export of Plastic Construction Materials and Profiles as well as Rod groups exceeded 15 1000 800 600 400 200 0 923 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 809 553 Non-Porous Plate, Sheet, Foil Transport Hoses Packaging and Pipes Materials 402 Other Plates, Cut Sheets, Foils, Strips 359 356 322 Other Tableware, Polyacetals, Plastics- Kitchenware, Polyethers ware Household Goods, Sanitaryware a nd Toiletries 250 217 Rods Construction and Materials Profiles SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION percent. Export performance of the Plastic Packing Materials amounting to USD 809 million remained the same as the previous year. Among the most exported ten subsections, only Hose and Pipe subsection’s export unit prices increased in a very limited manner. Prices of the other nine subsections decreased by approximately 9 percent. TABLE.34 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF PLASTICS AND PLASTICSWARE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 3920 Non-Porous Plate, Sheet, Foil 967 914 923 1,0 2,70 2,50 3923 Transport Packaging Materials 816 809 809 0,0 2,50 2,42 3917 Hoses and Pipes 925 707 553 -21,9 2,53 2,57 3921 Other Plates, Cut Sheets, Foils, Strips 420 386 402 4,2 3,00 2,87 3926 Other Plasticsware 402 351 359 2,4 5,10 4,88 3924 Tableware, Kitchenware, Household Goods, Sanitaryware and Toiletries 396 346 356 2,9 3,11 2,94 3907 Polyacetals, Polyethers 410 330 322 -2,5 1,64 1,49 3916 Rods and Profiles 407 296 250 -15,5 1,90 1,72 3925 Construction Materials 326 264 217 -17,8 2,48 2,30 3906 Acrylic Polymers 229 199 186 -6,6 1,19 1,07 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 55 3 export 9-IRONWARE AND STEELWARE FIGURE.21 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 Export Markets of Ironware and Steelware Are Shrinking Export of ironware and steelware decreased by 9.1 percent and amounted to USD 5 billion in 2016. Export amount decreased by 4.7 percent, and export that was 3.58 million tons in amount and USD 4.97 billion in value was realized. Out of the first most exported ten subsections of ironware and steel ware, export of 3 subsections increased in 2016. The subsection with a maximum increase in export level is Other Steelware with 15.6 percent. The export of this subsection increased from USD 588 million to USD 680 million. Export of screws, bolts, and nuts increased by 7.4 percent and amounted to USD 309 million. The most exported product group is sheet metal, profile, and components that are used in construction industry. Export dropped by 15.4 percent and decreased to USD 1.25 billion in 2015, and dropped by 19.6 percent and decreased to USD 1 billion in 2016. Contracting services that substantially decreased recently had a considerably adverse effect on the export of this product. The second most exported product group with the most decreasing export 1.200 1.000 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 1.001 831 800 680 600 400 200 0 366 309 Sheet Metal, Rods, Pipes and Profiles for Construction Hollow Section Other Ironware or Steelware: Radiators Screws, Nuts, Bolts 305 225 Stove, Oven, Kitchenware and Barbecue Tableware SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION level is Steel Pipes. Import of Steel Pipe dropped by 18.4 percent in value and decreased to USD 831 million. The decrease in amount is at 7.4 percent. The total amount of export in 2016 was 1.44 million tons. Half of all the steel pipes is exported to 5 countries: Iraq, England, Romania, the USA, and Germany. . TABLE.35 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF IRONWARE AND STEELWARE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 7308 Sheet Metal, Rods, Profiles for Construction 1.473 1.245 1.001 -19,6 1,88 1,75 7306 Pipes and Hollow Section 1.353 1.019 831 -18,4 0,65 0,58 7326 Other Ironware or Steelware: 645 588 680 15,6 2,34 2,40 7322 Radiators 451 388 366 -5,5 1,44 1,31 7318 Screws, Nuts, Bolts 308 287 309 7,4 3,15 3,32 7321 Stove, Oven, Barbecue 385 327 305 -6,5 3,62 3,48 7323 Kitchenware and Tableware 298 255 225 -11,6 4,74 4,41 7305 Other Thin and Thick Pipes 141 194 180 -7,2 0,98 0,89 7325 Other Castware 211 161 172 6,9 2,07 2,11 7311 Containers 143 141 130 -7,4 2,09 2,11 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 10-FRUITS Export Decreased When Russia Market Could Not Be Replaced Export of nuts increased by 9 percent and 0.7 percent in 2014 and 2015 respectively and reached to USD 4.36 billion in 2015. In addition to the ban imposed as a result of the financial problems with Russia in 2015, a decrease in the export to Italy and France caused a drop in total Fruit export by 11.1 percent in 2016, and export amounted to USD 3.87 billion. Out of 482 million USD, 255 million USD was the total value of export to Russia. 56 FIGURE.22 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 1.200 1.000 1.375 894 531 500 0 OTHER NUTS CITRUT FRUITS GRAPES 311 OTHER NUT MIXTURES SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 259 247 DATE, FIG, ANANAS, AVOCADO, MANGO APRICOT, CHERRY, PEACH, PALM, BULLACE Among the most exported seven subsections, export increased in two subsections and decreased in other five subsections. The most exported subsection is Other Nuts. Compared to the previous year, the export in this section decreased by 26.5 percent and amounted to 1.37 percent. Exports of Apricot, Cherry, Plum and Citrus Fruits also increased. Export of subsection that consists of Apricot, Cherry, Peach, and Plum increased by 14.3 percent and reached to USD 247 million. Citrus export also increased by 7.7 percent and amounted to USD 894 million. Unit prices of the products in the most exported seven subsections decreased by approximately 17 percent. TABLE.36 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF FRUIT CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 0802 Other Nuts 1.560 1.872 1.375 -26,5 11,54 8,78 0805 Citrus Fruits 932 830 894 7,7 0,55 0,52 0806 Grapes 679 570 531 -7,0 1,43 1,30 0813 Other Nut Mixtures 380 328 311 -5,0 4,50 3,58 0804 Date, Fig, Ananas, Avocado, Mango 288 261 259 -0,7 3,62 3,45 0809 Apricot, Cherry, Peach, Palm, Bullace 219 217 247 14,3 1,04 1,16 0810 Other Fresh Fruits 126 119 112 -5,8 0,72 0,58 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 11- MINERAL FUEL AND OILS FIGURE.23 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 Steady Petroleum Prices and Low Demand Continued Adversely Affecting Export EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR Export of Mineral Fuel and Oils which decreased by 26 percent in 2015 dropped by 28.9 percent and amounted to USD 3.2 billion in 2016. Crude oil prices that decreased to USD 25 in 2015 remained at the USD 40-55 USD level in 2016. Long-lasting conflicts among OPEC countries were settled at the end of the year. Uncertainties throughout the year and penetration of Iran in the petroleum markets caused the prices to keep going down. As established in the report of 2016, Turkey’s export of Mineral Fuel and Oils was far below its performance in the previous year. It is expected that crude oil prices will remain at the level of approximately USD 50-55 and crude oil demand will sustain its steady course in 2017. There are two important export items in mineral fuels and oils. Out of these two items, export of petroleum oils dropped by 29.7 percent 3.000 2.789 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 190 0 Petroleum Oils 81 Mineral Fuel, Mineral Oils and Related Products Petroleum Gases SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION and average export unit price decreased by 14.9 percent in 2015. Due to data confidentiality, we could not evaluate export and unit prices in detail. TABLE.37 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF MINERAL FUEL AND OILS CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 2710 Petroleum Oils 5.480 3.966 2.789 -29,7 0,47 0,40 2700 Mineral Fuel, Mineral Oils and Related Products 226 220 190 -13,7 Hidden Data Hidden Data 2711 Petroleum Gases 184 105 81 -22,1 0,42 0,37 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 57 3 export 12-FURNITURE Distant Markets compensate losses in The Neighbouring Markets FIGURE.24 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 Furniture export continuously increased from 2009 to 2014 and amounted to USD 2.97 billion. Furniture export was 1.400 1.281 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR adversely affected by the problems having arisen in Tur- 1.200 key and neighboring countries in 2015 and 2016. Export to 1.000 Iraq, having served as our the largest market for years, has 800 been decreasing for the last three years. Export to Libya 788 and Azerbaijan, our the second and third markets, resul- 600 ted in substantial losses. According to the performances in 400 256 furniture subsection performances, Prefabricated Structu163 200 133 res subsection is the one with the most decreasing export 0 level. Export of Prefabricated Structures dropped by 32.3 Other Seating Prefabricated Lighting Bedding percent and decreased from USD 249 million to USD 169 Furniture Furniture Structures Equipment Sets million. Another subsection with decreasing export level is SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Furniture Parts and Components with a decrease of 5.1 Equipment and Beds was very limited. While the unit prices percent. Increase in the export of Seating Group, Lighting of Lighting Equipment and Prefabricated Structures increased, the unit prices of other subsections decreased. TABLE.38 SUBSECTIONS IN FURNITURE EXPORT CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 9403 Other Furniture 1.457 2,65 2,44 1.351 1.281 -5,1 9401 Seating Furniture 788 746 788 5,6 4,49 4,50 9406 Prefabricated Structures 315 248 256 3,4 10,39 10,87 9405 Lighting Equipment 235 249 169 -32,3 1,95 2,12 9404 Bedding Sets 133 130 133 2,4 4,70 4,27 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.25 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 13-ALUMINIUM AND ALUMINIUMWARE Export Unit Prices Decreased Along With The Recession in Export Aluminiumware export dropped by 5.6 percent and decreased to USD 2.24 billion in 2016. As in the previous year, export unit prices of aluminiumware kept decreasing. The amount of Aluminiumware exported in 2016 is 669 thousand tons. Export decreased by 1.5 percent. The main reason for the decrease of export was the drop in export unit prices. Out of the most exported six subsections, export increased in 2 subsections and decreased in 4 subsections. 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 577 493 271 251 217 116 Rods and Profiles Sheet Metals, Cut Sheets Aluminium- Construction Tableware Plates, Strips and Strips ware Components Kitchenware Thickness > Thickness <= 0.2mm and Household Goods 0.2mm SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.39 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF ALUMINIUM AND ALUMINIUMWARE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 7604 Rods and Profiles 657 606 577 -4,8 3,92 3,71 7606 Sheet Metals, Plates, Strips Thickness > 0.2mm 531 504 493 -2,2 2,66 2,46 7607 Cut Sheets and Strips Thickness <= 0.2mm 242 260 271 4,2 3,28 3,05 7616 Aluminiumware 243 236 251 6,4 6,26 5,93 7610 Construction Components 284 233 217 -6,8 5,22 5,16 7615 Tableware, Kitchenware, and Household Goods 116 118 116 -1,5 5,51 5,09 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 58 14-RUBBER AND RUBBERWARE Export of Rubberware Increased in Amount Export of Rubber and Rubberware increased both in value and amount in 2016. Reaching to USD 2.2 billion with an increase of 1.7 percent, export also raised in amount from 507 thousand tons to 539 thousand tons. We have been exporting Germany for years. Germany’s share in total rubber export is approximately 20 percent. Export of the New Rubber Outer Tyre, which is the most important export item among the most exported subsections, increased by 1.2 percent, Tempered Vulcanized Rubberware by 3.6 percent and Vulcanized Rubber Hose and Pipes by 0.2 percent. FIGURE.26 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 1200 1000 991 800 635 600 400 345 200 0 Rubber New Outer Tyre Non-Tempered Vulcanized Rubberware Vulcanized Rubber Hose and Pipes TABLE.40 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF RUBBER AND RUBBERWARE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 4011 Rubber New Outer Tyre 1.161 979 991 1,2 3,80 3,48 4016 Non-Tempered Vulcanized Rubberware 705 613 635 3,6 6,62 6,80 4009 Vulcanized Rubber Hose and Pipes 432 345 345 0,2 5,44 5,40 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.27 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 15-MARBLE CEMENT AND MINERALS Export of Marble and Cement Continued To Decrease Export of marble, cement, and minerals dropped by 3.4 percent and decreased to USD 2.18 billion in 2016. Export of Marble and Travertine dropped by 1.4 percent and decreased to USD 859 million. Cement export dropped by 10.1 percent and decreased from USD 549 million to USD 494 million. The slowdown and recession of construction and infrastructure investments in the neighboring markets and domestic price competition in the marble export are the most important reasons leading decreases in the export. 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 859 494 224 157 Cement Natural Marble and Borates Traverten SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Feldspars Fluorite TABLE.41 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF MARBLE AND CEMENT CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 2515 Marble and Traverten 976 872 859 -1,4 0,20 0,20 2523 Cement 640 549 494 -10,1 0,05 0,04 2528 Natural Borates 266 232 224 -3,2 0,33 0,33 2529 Feldspars, Fluorite 156 146 157 7,6 0,03 0,03 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 59 3 export FIGURE.28 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 16- WOVEN GOODS Export Increased Though Limited EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 1400 Export of Woven goods, a significant branch of the textile industry and consisting of home textile products, increased by 2.9 percent and reached to USD 1.95 billion in 2016. 10-20 percent increase in the export to the USA and the Netherlands played a significant role in the export increase. Export of linens, cloth covers, and fabrics which have a significant place in the export of woven goods increased by 5 percent. Export of package bags and sacks decreased by 4.1 percent, other furnishing products by 3.6 percent and curtain by 9.2 percent. Though limited, the export unit prices of subsection products continued decreasing in 2016. 1200 1000 1.205 800 600 400 317 200 0 119 Linens, Cloth Cover, Fabrics Package Bags and Sacks 110 Other Furnishing Goods Curtains SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.42 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF WOVEN GOODS CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 6302 Linens, Cloth Cover, Fabrics 1.371 1.148 1.205 5,0 8,34 8,07 6305 Package Bags and Sacks 381 330 317 -4,1 3,53 3,50 6304 Other Furnishing Goods 134 123 119 -3,6 9,77 8,73 6303 Curtains 128 121 110 -9,2 12,68 11,87 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.29 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 17-CARPET Export of Carpet Continued To Decrease Carpet export decreased by 4.8 percent and amounted to USD 1.9 billion in 2016. With a 5.2 percent decline, export of woven carpet subsection decreased to USD 1.6 billion. Export of Carpet and Tufted Flooring increased by 8.6 percent and reached to USD 225 million. Export unit prices of all subsection products decrease by approximately 5-7 percent. 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 0 1.624 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 225 Woven Carpet and Flooring Carpets and Tufted Flooring SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.43 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF CARPET AND FLOORING CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 5702 Woven Carpet and Flooring 2.012 1.712 1.624 -5,2 3,19 3,02 5703 Carpets and Tufted Flooring 206 208 225 8,6 3,05 2,81 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.30 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 18- VEGETABLE AND FRUIT PREPARATIONS The Second Most Decreasing Subsection regarding Export in 2016 Among the most exported 20 sections in 2015, Vegetable and Fruit Preparations subsection was one of the three sections with the most decreasing export levels. Its export dropped by 15.5 percent in 2016 and reached to USD 1.85 billion. The most important reason of the recession is USD 196 millions of decrease in the export to Germany. The most exported product among the subsections was Other Canned Fruit and Vegetables. With a decline of 25.6 percent, export of this product decreased to USD 745 milli- 800 745 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 700 600 500 400 281 300 228 193 200 183 100 0 Other Canned Fruit and Vegetable Jam, Jelly, Marmalde, Fruit Mash Canned Vegetable and Fruit Canned Tomato SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 60 186 Other Canned Vegetables Fruit and Vegetable Juices on in 2016. Export of Jam, Marmalade and Fruit Mash dropped by 28.3 percent and decreased to USD 281 million in 2016. Export unit prices of these products decreased by 24-26 percent. Export of these two subsections decreased both in amount and in value. Export of Canned Fruit and Vegetable increased by 5.9 percent and reached to USD 228 million. Export of Canned Tomato (Paste) increased by 4.5 percent and amounted to USD 193 million. TABLE.44 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF VEGETABLE AND FRUIT PREPARATIONS CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 2008 Other Canned Fruit and Vegetable 875 1.001 745 -25,6 7,73 5,69 2007 Jam, Jelly, Marmalade, Fruit Mash 325 392 281 -28,3 6,68 5,04 2001 Canned Vegetable and Fruit 241 216 228 5,9 1,15 1,13 2002 Canned Tomato 229 184 193 4,5 1,41 1,21 2005 Other Canned Vegetables 205 197 186 -5,3 1,77 1,89 2009 Fruit and Vegetable Juices 200 186 183 -1,7 1,41 1,47 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.31 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 19- COTTON AND COTTON FABRIC A Limited Increase replaced decrease In Cotton Export While the export of Cotton and Cotton Fabric dropped by 9.1 percent and decreased to USD 1.7 billion in 2015, it increased by 1 percent and amounted to USD 1.72 billion in 2016. The export amount increased by 7.8 percent and reached 415 thousand tons. The most exported subsection is Fabric (Over 200 grams/m2.) Export increased by 2.3 percent and reached to USD 484 million. Another subsection whose export increased level is Cotton with an upward trend of 62.8 percent. Cotton (Non-Carded ) export increa- 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 484 382 281 220 124 Fabric M2 More Than 200 gr. . Cotton Yarn Fabric M2 Less Than 200 gr SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Mixed With Synthetic of Artificial Fiber2>200 Gr Cotton (NonCarded) sed to USD 124 million in 2016. Subsections with the most decreasing export levels are Cotton Yarn, Products With Maximum 200 Grams of Fabric Weight and Mixed Fabrics with Synthetic or Artificial Fibers. TABLE.45 SUBSECTIONS IN THE COTTON AND COTTON FABRIC EXPORT CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 5209 Fabric (More Than 200 gr/m2 ) 560 473 484 2,3 9,08 8,71 5205 Cotton Yarn 384 385 382 -0,9 3,00 3,07 5208 Fabric (Less Than 200 gr/m2) 314 294 281 -4,3 9,20 7,57 232 235 220 -6,4 11,95 11,53 88 76 124 62,8 1,61 1,63 5211 5201 Mixed With Synthetic of Artificial Fiber m2>200 Gr Cotton (Non-Carded) REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 20- GRAINS, FLOUR, AND PASTRY PRODUCTS Share of Grains and Flour In The Total Export Increases The share of Grains, Flour, and Pastry Products, included in the most exported 20 subsections in 2016, in the total export still increases. Export in 2016 dropped by 0.3 percent and amounted to USD 1.5 billion. The amount of the exported product raised by 19.5 percent and increased from 1.31 million tons to 1.57 million tons. The decrease in the export unit prices prevented the increase of export in value. FIGURE.32 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 1000 800 600 400 200 0 887 422 Bread, cake, muffin, biscuits SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Pastas and Kuskus TABLE.46 SUBSECTIONS IN THE EXPORT OF GRAINS, FLOUR, AND PASTRY PRODUCTS CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate% 2015 Unite Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 1905 Bread, cake, muffin, biscuits 939 915 887 -3,1 2,27 2,17 1902 Pastas and Kuskus 507 418 422 1,0 0,62 0,51 1904 Raised, Roasted Grains 173 145 165 14,3 0,63 0,52 REFERENCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 61 3 export III.8 EXPORT BY COUNTRIES AND SECTIONS FIGURE.33 EXPORT TO GERMANY AND GERMANY’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 1-GERMANY Germany continued to be the largest export market EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 14.500 TABLE 47. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO GERMANY CODE 87 84 61 85 10 9,3 14.000 Export to Germany increased by 4.4 percent and reached 13.500 to USD 14.0 billion in 2016. The share of Germany in our total export increased from 9.3 percent to 9.8 percent. Our 13.000 export kept its upward trend and Germany continued to be 12.500 our largest export market. While some of the sections exported to Germany increased, the others decreased in 2016. For the two sections most exported to Germany, road motor vehicles outperformed the machinery. Knitted apparel ranks the third. The highest increase in the export to Germany was achieved by road 9,8 9 8,3 14.001 13.147 2014 13.417 2014 2015 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2016 8 7 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION motor vehicles with 29.5 percent. Maximum decrease, on the other hand, was in vegetables and fruits with 28.6 percent. Export of home textile products and woven apparel also recessed. Export of road motor vehicles to Germany continued to increase in 2016. PRODUCT Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts Knitted apparel and accessories Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2.142 2.012 2.605 29,5 2.352 2.084 2.144 2,9 2.384 1.886 1.891 0,3 995 898 878 -2,2 62 recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories Non-knitted apparel and accessories 937 798 797 -0,1 73 Ironware or steelware 553 498 491 -1,4 20 Vegetables, fruits, nuts and preparations obtained from other parts of plants 555 687 490 -28,6 63 Garments made of knitting materials, suits, used garments and other woven goods, rags 550 472 450 -4,6 40 8 Rubber and rubberware Edible fruits and edible nuts 514 478 421 459 425 421 0,9 -8,3 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2-ENGLAND FIGURE.34 EXPORT TO ENGLAND AND ENGLAND’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT England strengthened its second rank 15.000 in our export 6,3 7,3 8,2 10 Outperforming Iraq, England became our second largest 10.000 2014 11.687 market in 2015. Our export to England increased by 10.7 9.903 10.556 5.000 0 percent in 2016 and amounted to USD 11.69 billion. Eng2014 2015 2016 land strengthened its second rank in our export markets in EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % 2016. The share of England in our export increased from SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 7.3 percent to 8.2 percent. In 2016, increase in the export to England, going through the Brexit process, may be regar- down to rank the second decreased by 16.8 percent in ded as a success. However, for a more sound evaluation, 2016. Other products were also less exported. Export of exports of sections should also be taken into consideration. knitted apparel decreased by 9.4 percent, woven apparel Export of precious and semi-precious stones to England by 4.4 and electrical machinery and equipment by 13.4 persubstantially increased and leaped to USD 3.15 billion. Ex- cent. The decrease in the GBP-USD parity had an impact port of precious and semi-precious stones moved up and on such recession. The increase in the export to England ranked the first. Export of road motor vehicles that moved was achieved by the leap of only one sector. 62 TABLE.48 SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO ENGLAND CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 135 1.261 3.147 149,6 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 2.220 2.456 2.043 -16,8 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 1.641 1.457 1.320 -9,4 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 1.170 1.085 939 -13,5 892 779 766 -1,7 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components 84 and parts 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 713 633 605 -4,4 73 Ironware or steelware 449 389 390 0,1 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 239 226 206 -8,6 8 Edible fruits and edible nuts 212 210 187 -10,8 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 157 103 155 50,9 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 3-IRAQ Losses in Iraq market continued in 2016 FIGURE.35 EXPORT TO IRAQ AND IRAQ’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT After 2015, our commercial loss in Iraq further continued 15.000 6,9 8 5,9 5,4 in 2016. Among our largest export markets, Iraq ranks the 6 10.000 third. In 2016, export dropped by 10.7 percent and decrea4 sed to USD 7.64 billion. Iraq’s share in our total export dec- 5.000 10.888 7.638 8.550 2 reased from 5.9 percent to 5.4 percent. The loss amounted 0 0 2014 2015 2016 to 2.5 points in three years. EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % Export to Iraq by almost all important sections decreased. Maximum decrease corresponds to electrical machinery SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION and equipment with 34.2 percent. Export of knitted apparel and ironware-steelware decreased by 30.4 and 21.5 per- cious and semi-precious stones, grain mill products and cent respectively. Export increased in the sectors of pre- dairies. Political and safety problems with Iraq adversely affected our export in 2016. TABLE 49. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO IRAQ CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 493 464 597 28,6 11 Grain-mill products, malt, starch, inulin, wheat gluten 550 486 548 12,8 15 Solid and liquid animal and vegetable fats, cooking solid fat, animal, and candles made of 606 animal and vegetable fats 503 494 -1,9 94 Furniture, bedding sets, lighting equipment, advertisement light box, flashing signs, etc. prefabricated structures 564 482 451 -6,5 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 588 493 402 -18,4 73 Ironware or steelware 793 471 370 -21,5 19 Grains, flour, starch or dairy, pastry products 361 327 366 12,0 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 759 477 314 -34,2 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 408 440 306 -30,4 4 Dairy, eggs, natural honey, other edible products of animal origin 406 263 302 14,8 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 63 3 export 4-ITALY Our export to Italy increased once again Export to Italy, one of our traditional and significant export market, increased again in 2016. The Recent economic growth of Italy also contributed to the increase in our export. Italy remained as our fourth largest export market. Export to Italy increased by 10.1 percent and amounted to USD 7.58 billion in 2016. Italy’s share in our export increased to 5.3 percent. In 2015, five important sections exported to Italy increased. Export of road motor vehicles increased by 54.4 percent. Furthermore, export of machinery, woven apparel, ironware and steel ware, as well as plastics and plasticware, increased. Export of other sections also decreased. With 13.1 percent, the maximum decrease in export to Italy was in the TABLE 50. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO ITALY FIGURE.36 EXPORT TO ITALY AND ITALY’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 7.800 EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 7.600 5,3 7.400 7.200 6.800 6.400 5 4,6 4,5 6.600 5,2 4,8 4,8 7.000 5,4 7.141 6.887 2014 2015 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 7.582 2016 4,4 4,2 4 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION group of fruits. Italy sustained economic recovery in 2016. This recovery supported the export increase of our sectors, road motor vehicles in particular. CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 1.566 1.655 2.555 54,4 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 520 529 566 7,1 8 Edible fruits and edible nuts 663 647 563 -13,1 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 372 323 327 1,2 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 240 315 266 -15,4 60 Woven garment 329 260 251 -3,5 52 Cotton, cotton yarn, and cotton fabric 289 250 240 -4,4 72 Iron and steel 196 200 225 12,5 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 228 202 210 3,8 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 228 191 186 -2,6 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 5-USA Export to the USA increased gradually and steadily Our export to the USA goes through a period of gradual and steady increase. The USA that became our fifth largest export market in 2015 sustained their place in 2016. Export to the USA increased by 3.6 percent and amounted to 6.62 billion in 2016. USA’s export market share increased from 4.4 percent to 4.6 percent. Export to the USA increased in a large number of important product groups. Steelware and ironware, the most exported product group, indicated to a 0.9 percent increase. The maximum increase in export corresponds to precious or semi-precious stones with 32 percent. Export of home textile products increased by 10.3 percent. Export of road motor vehicles, which substantially increased in many markets, decreased by 9.7 percent in USA market. Economic growth of USA continued in 2016. Import demand also increases in parallel with this growth. It may be concluded that Turkey benefits from the recovery in USA market. FIGURE.37 EXPORT TO USA AND USA’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 6.700 6.600 EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 4,4 6.500 6.400 4 6.300 6.342 6.396 2014 2015 6.200 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 64 4,6 6.624 2016 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % 4,8 4,6 4,4 4,2 4 3,8 3,6 TABLE 51. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO USA CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 72 Iron and steel 1.141 912 921 0,9 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 711 679 712 4,8 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 458 762 689 -9,7 57 Carpets and other woven floorings 272 274 328 19,9 68 Goods made of stone, gypsum, rock wool, mica or similar materials 346 348 315 -9,5 88 Air crafts, space crafts and their components and parts 254 281 276 -1,9 63 Garments made of knitting materials, suits, used garments and other woven goods, rags 226 220 242 10,3 73 Ironware or steelware 341 334 239 -28,3 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 153 165 218 32,0 24 Tobacco and tobacco substitutes 189 148 160 7,9 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.38 EXPORT TO FRANCE AND FRANCE’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 6-FRANCE France to which our export increased is our sixth greatest market Export to France increased by 3.1 percent and reached to USD 6.03 billion in 2016. Our share in export to France amounts to 4.2 percent. France moved down to rank our sixth largest export market last year and sustained their place in 2016. Many subsections exported to France decreased. Increased in the road motor vehicles also ensured an increase in the export in general. Export of road motor vehicles increased by 21.5 percent in 2016. Notwithstanding, export of electrical machinery and equipment decreased by 2.4 percent, machinery by 2.2 percent, knitted apparel by 3.9 and home textile products by 3.0 percent. Another sub-sector 6.600 6.400 EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 4,2 6.200 6.000 4,25 4,2 4,15 5.800 4,1 4,1 5.600 6.464 5.845 2014 2015 5.400 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 4,1 6.024 2016 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % 4,05 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION export of which increased is furniture. France achieved a slight economic growth in 2015, and Turkey export performance was limited in many sub-sectors. TABLE 52. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO FRANCE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 2.068 1.822 2.214 21,5 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audiovideo recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 704 630 615 -2,4 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 594 523 512 -2,2 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 603 462 444 -3,9 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 328 261 249 -4,6 8 Edible fruits and edible nuts 247 325 243 -25,3 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 191 176 173 -2,1 73 Ironware or steelware 181 177 163 -8,0 63 Garments made of knitting materials, suits, used garments and other woven goods, rags 182 148 144 -3,0 94 Furniture, bedding sets, lighting equipment, advertisement light box, flashing signs, etc. prefabricated structures 125 131 137 4,9 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 65 3 export 7- THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES With an increase in gold export, our export to UAE moved up again Our export to the United Arab Emirates increased by 15.5 percent in 2016 and amounted to USD 5.40 billion. The share of UAE in our export markets reached to 3.8 percent. Gold export was determinative in our export to UAE. Export of precious and semi-precious stones (gold) increased by 50.6 and approximately USD 1 billion in 2016. However, export of iron and steel as well as mineral fuel and oil, which are among other important export items, decreased. Export of machinery, as well as electrical machinery and equipment, also increased. Our export to UAE market, which focused on more limited import due to the drop in petroleum prices, increased thanks to the increase in gold trade. Other sectors differed regarding export performances. FIGURE.39 EXPORT TO UAE AND UAE’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 5.600 5.400 5.200 3,8 3,3 3 4,2 5.000 4 3 2 4.800 4.600 1 4.400 4.200 4.656 4.681 2014 2015 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 5.408 2016 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % 0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 53. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO UAE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 1.947 2.036 3.067 50,6 72 Iron and steel 777 587 458 -21,9 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 498 575 358 -37,7 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 113 136 200 47,7 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 192 176 139 -21,0 79 89 85 -4,8 94 Furniture, bedding sets, lighting equipment, advertisement light box, flashing signs, etc. prefabricated structures 57 Carpets and other woven floorings 75 71 76 7,6 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 44 54 76 41,9 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 64 68 70 2,9 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 72 70 63 -9,5 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 8-SPAIN Recovery in Spain Led To Increase in Our Export Export to Spain started to increase again in 2016. Export increased by 5.3 percent and amounted to USD 4.99 billion. Spain’s share in our export increased to 3,5 percent. Export of all important sections to Spain increased. Export of road motor vehicles’ components and parts increased by 23.9 percent, woven apparel by 5.2 percent, knitted apparel by 2.5 percent, machinery by 14.4 percent, and iron and steel by 41.1 percent. Spanish economy achieved a relatively rapid growth in 2016. Economic growth that accelerated in Spain has a favorable impact on Turkish export. FIGURE.40 EXPORT TO SPAIN AND SPAIN’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 5.100 3,5 5.000 4.900 4.800 4.700 4.600 3,3 3,2 3,0 3,0 4.750 4.742 4.991 2014 2015 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 66 3,6 3,4 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % 2,8 2,6 TABLE 54. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO SPAIN CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 819 942 1.167 23,9 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 823 874 920 5,2 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 766 753 772 2,5 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 353 357 408 14,4 72 Iron and steel 155 140 198 41,1 184 156 161 3,1 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video 85 recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 114 124 127 1,8 52 Cotton, cotton yarn, and cotton fabric 78 87 99 14,6 40 Rubber and rubberware 107 93 87 -6,4 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers 78 76 87 13,7 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 9-IRAN FIGURE.41 EXPORT TO IRAN AND IRAN’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT Export to Iran leaped, and gold again takes the stage Export to Iran increased by 35 percent and reached to USD 4.99 billion in 2016. The share of Iran in our export markets reached to 3.8 percent again. Leap in the export to Iran caused by a 91.5 percent increase in the gold export. Besides, export of knitted and woven apparels and road motor vehicles substantially increased. Exports of other sections excluding plastics and plasticware also moved upwards. 2016 was the first year when the embargo in Iran was lifted. Recovery of petroleum prices also supported Iran. Preferential trade agreement executed with Turkey also started to be effective. Export of important sections to Iran continues to increase. Iran moved up to rank Turkey’s ninth largest market. EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 6.000 4 5.000 3,5 4.000 3,3 3.000 2 3,0 2.000 3 1 1.000 0 3.886 3.664 4.967 2014 2015 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 0 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 55. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO IRAN CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 820 890 1.704 91,5 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 484 423 446 5,6 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 33 71 193 173,0 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 244 186 181 -2,6 44 Wood and woodenware, charcoal 209 169 170 0,7 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 108 99 170 70,9 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 164 158 169 7,3 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers 95 120 156 29,6 24 Tobacco and tobacco substitutes 133 133 149 11,6 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 18 36 146 301,9 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 67 3 export 10-THE NETHERLANDS A two-digit increase in export to the Netherlands Export to the Netherlands increased by 13.8 percent and reached to USD 3.59 billion in 2016. The Netherlands’ share in our export increased by 2.5 percent and moved one level up. Export of road motor vehicles to the Netherlands increased by 58.0 percent in 2016. Export in some of the other important sections also improved. Export of iron and steel increased by 36.8, mineral fuel and oils by 40.0 percent and electricity machinery and equipment by 34.9 percent. On the other hand, export of knitted and woven decreased. The Netherlands achieved a better economic growth in 2016. Such economic growth returned Turkey as an increase in the export of road motor vehicles and other important sections. FIGURE.42 EXPORT TO THE NETHERLANDS AND THE NETHERLANDS’ SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 3.700 2,6 EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 3.600 3.500 2,5 2,5 3.400 3.300 2,4 4,2 2,2 3.200 2,3 2,2 2,2 3.100 3.000 2.900 3.459 3.155 2014 2015 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 3.590 2016 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % 2,1 2 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 56. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO THE NETHERLANDS CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 417 421 665 58,0 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 452 393 387 -1,4 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 361 308 266 -13,5 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 165 175 177 1,1 72 Iron and steel 228 123 168 36,8 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 111 114 160 40,0 3 Fish, crustacean, molluscs and invertebrate animals living in water 132 144 159 10,4 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 104 110 149 34,9 20 Vegetables, fruits, nuts and preparations obtained from other parts of plants 131 135 131 -3,2 8 Edible fruits and edible nuts 140 127 126 -1,5 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 11-S. ARABIA Decrease In The Export To Saudi Arabia Export to S. Arabia dropped by 8.9 percent and decreased to 3.17 billion in 2016. The share of S. Arabia in our export also decreased by 2.2 percent. Export of almost all sections to S. Arabia showed a downward trend. Export to electrical machinery and equipment, the biggest export item, decreased by 4.7 percent. Export of carpet, mineral fuel, machinery, furniture and road motor vehicles also went down. Export increased in knitted apparel section. Furthermore, export of fruits and vegetables as well as mineral products moved upward. As S. Arabia’s revenues from petroleum decreased, economic growth slowed down and total import decreased. Thus, export of many important sections by Turkey weakened. FIGURE.43 EXPORT TO S. ARABIA AND S. ARABIA’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 3.600 3.500 3.400 3.300 3.200 2,2 1,9 1,5 3.100 1 3.000 0,5 2.900 2.800 2,5 2 2014 2015 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 68 3 2,4 2016 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % 0 TABLE 57. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO S. ARABIA CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audiovideo recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 269 417 397 -4,7 57 Carpets and other woven flooring 370 388 322 -17,0 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 197 280 235 -15,9 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 233 271 208 -23,4 94 Furniture, bedding sets, lighting equipment, advertisement light box, flashing signs, etc. prefabricated structures 135 196 182 -7,0 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 109 111 138 24,1 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 103 141 135 -4,0 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 135 130 129 -0,8 8 Edible fruits and edible nuts 66 79 121 52,7 68 Goods made of stone, gypsum, rock wool, mica or similar materials 111 115 121 5,0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 12-ISRAEL FIGURE.44 EXPORT TO ISRAEL AND ISRAEL’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT Export to Israel Increased Again After a recession in 2015, export to Israel increased by 9.6 percent and amounted to USD 2.96 billion in 2016. The share of Israel in our export increased to 2.1 percent. Export of road motor vehicles, as well as electrical machinery and equipment to Israel, decreased while all other important sections indicated an increase in export. Export of iron and steel increased by 27.3 percent, plastics and Plasticware by 8.9 percent, woven apparel 14.5 percent, machinery by 22.9 percent and knitted apparel by 30.7 percent. As the relationship with Israel improved, export started to speed up. EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 3.000 2,1 2.900 2.800 1,9 2.700 2.600 1,9 2.500 2.951 2.698 2014 2015 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2.956 2016 2,15 2,1 2,05 2 1,95 1,9 1,85 1,8 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 58. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO ISRAEL CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 507 465 428 -7,9 72 Iron and steel 508 325 413 27,3 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 172 181 197 8,9 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 140 156 179 14,5 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 154 144 177 22,9 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 193 182 173 -4,7 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 60 67 87 30,7 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 67 72 86 19,6 25 Salt, sulphur, soils and stones, gypsum, lime and cement 69 76 86 13,0 48 Paper and cardboard and goods made of paper and cardboard, papier-mache 69 66 80 22,0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 69 3 export FIGURE.45 EXPORT TO EGYPT AND EGYPT’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 13-EGYPT Decrease in Export to Egypt Continues Export to Egypt decreased both in 2015 and 2016. With a drop of 12.3 percent, export decreased to USD 2.73 billion in 2016. The share of Egypt in Turkey’s export markets recessed to 1.9 percent. The rate of decrease in the export of many important subsections to Egypt is two-digit. Export of mineral fuel and oil, the most important export item to Egypt, recessed by 15.7 percent. Such recession mainly resulted from the decrease in petroleum prices. While machinery export decreased by 11.7 percent, plastics and plasticware decreased by 9.4 percent, and ironware and steelware decreased by 26.4 percent. However, export of iron and steel and road motor TABLE 59. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO EGYPT CODE EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 4.000 2,2 2,1 3.000 2.000 3,5 1.000 0 3.298 3.125 2014 2015 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2.734 2,3 2,2 2,1 2 1,9 1,8 1,7 2016 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION vehicles increased by 1.5 and 1.2 percent respectively. Problems related to diplomatic relationships with Egypt continue to be one of the most important causes of the decrease in export. PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 859 619 522 -15,7 72 Iron and steel 329 481 488 1,5 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 202 227 201 -11,7 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 200 139 141 1,2 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 141 138 125 -9,4 73 Ironware or steelware 124 151 111 -26,4 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 117 110 101 -7,8 48 Paper and cardboard and goods made of paper and cardboard, papier-mache 40 68 79 15,4 28 Inorganic chemicals, precious metal, radioactive element, organic-inorganic compounds of metal and isotopes 88 77 68 -11,3 52 Cotton, cotton yarn, and cotton fabric 77 68 68 -0,8 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 14-SWITZERLAND Gold Export Is Determinative in Switzerland Market Again Export to Switzerland decreased by 52.8 percent and USD 2.68 billion in 2016. The share of Switzerland in Turkey’s export market dropped 2 points at a time and decreased to 1.9 percent. Gold export is still determinative in the export to Switzerland. Gold export to Switzerland recessed 60.9 percent and amounted to USD 2.91 billion in 2016. On the other hand, export of road motor vehicles, mineral oils, and fuel, as well as knitted apparel, increased. Export to Switzerland shall keep fluctuating basing on the direction of gold trade. FIGURE.46 EXPORT TO SWITZERLAND AND SWITZERLAND’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 6.000 5.000 4 4.000 3.000 3 2 1,9 2.000 1.000 0 3.208 2014 5.675 2.676 2015 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 70 5 3,3 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % 2 1 0 TABLE 60. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO SWITZERLAND CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 2.342 4.889 1.911 -60,9 149 121 124 2,2 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their 87 components, parts, and accessories 8 Edible fruits and edible nuts 88 115 88 -23,4 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 13 48 69 43,9 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 68 65 66 1,5 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 68 58 61 4,9 30 Pharmaceuticals 60 47 60 26,5 105 62 44 -29,4 38 34 32 -3,8 28 24 24 -2,8 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video 85 recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 63 Garments made of knitting materials, suits, used garments and other woven goods, rags Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components 84 and parts SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 15-ROMANIA FIGURE.47 EXPORT TO ROMANIA AND ROMANIA’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT Our Export to Romania Decreases Export to Romania decreased both in 2015 and 2016. Export decreased by 5.1 percent and amounted to USD 2.67 billion in 2016. Romania’s share in our total export also decreased to 1.9 percent. The rapid and recent increase in export to Romania has become reversed for the last two years. While export of many sections to Romania decreased in 2015, export of machinery increased by 3.6 percent, woven apparel by 11.9 and ironware and steelware by 1.6 percent. Export of road motor vehicles decreased by 11.7 percent. Export of iron and steel dropped by 18.8 percent. Despite the recession in 2015, there is still a potential of export increase thanks to the economic growth of Romania and increasing commercial integration between the two countries. EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 3.100 2,05 2,0 3.000 2 2.900 2.800 1,95 2.700 1,9 2.600 2.500 1,9 3.098 2.816 2.671 2014 2015 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 1,9 1,85 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 61. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO ROMANIA CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 336 348 439 26,0 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 305 269 298 10,7 73 Ironware or steelware 189 192 215 11,9 72 Iron and steel 225 183 197 7,9 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 185 163 167 2,3 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 103 97 118 22,2 60 Woven garment 95 71 71 1,1 94 Furniture, bedding sets, lighting equipment, advertisement light box, flashing signs, etc. prefabricated structures 53 51 63 24,1 8 Edible fruits and edible nuts 46 45 61 34,9 40 Rubber and rubberware 64 50 57 14,2 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 71 3 export FIGURE.48 EXPORT TO POLAND AND POLAND’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 16-POLAND Rapid Growth in Poland Supports Our Export Export to Poland increased by 13.8 percent and reached to USD 2.65 billion in 2016. The share of Poland in our export increased to 1.9 percent. Among our first 20 markets, Poland rank the third country to which our export increased the most rapidly in 2016. Export of all sections to Poland substantially increased, road motor vehicles in particular. Export of road motor vehicles increased by 47.7 percent. Export of knitted apparel and woven apparel are the most increasing sections with 23.1 and 30.3 percent respectively. While export of electrical machinery and equipment increased by 3.4 percent, machinery export decreased by 3.0 percent. Among EU-28 countries, Poland is one of the most rapidly TABLE 62. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO POLAND EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 2.700 1,9 2.600 2,05 1,9 1,8 2.500 1,7 2.400 2.300 2.200 2.100 1,6 1,6 2.402 2.309 2.651 2014 2015 2016 1,6 1,5 1,4 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION growing economies in 2016. The rapid growth of Poland also considerably supports the increase in our export. CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 396 371 549 47,7 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 253 254 313 23,1 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 252 246 239 -3,0 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 151 162 211 30,3 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 226 132 137 3,4 8 Edible fruits and edible nuts 96 166 128 -22,9 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 103 101 108 7,1 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 77 87 89 2,2 73 Ironware or steelware 78 71 84 18,8 40 Rubber and rubberware 73 62 81 31,6 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 17-BELGIUM Export to Belgium remained almost unchanged FIGURE.49 EXPORT TO BELGIUM AND BELGIUM’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT Export to Belgium dropped by 0.4 percent and decreased 3.000 to USD 2.55 billion in 2016. The share of Belgium in our total 2.900 export also maintained its level as 1.8 percent. Belgium is 2.800 one of the European Union countries to which our export 2.700 decreased in 2016. Belgium is still a market to which we continue the export of many sections. In 2016, while the export of road motor vehicles, woven apparel, plastics and plasticware decreased, export of knitted apparel, machinery, mineral fuel and ores increased. Despite the recovery in Benelux region, our export to Belgium decreased in 2016. EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 1,9 1,9 1,85 2.600 1,8 1,8 2.939 2.558 2.548 2014 2015 2.500 2.400 2.300 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 72 1,95 2016 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % 1,8 1,75 TABLE 63. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO BELGIUM CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 916 872 817 -6,3 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 247 207 214 3,7 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 184 178 194 8,9 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments, strips and similar synthetic and artificial knitting materials 124 129 134 3,8 26 Metal ores, slag, and ash 119 70 107 51,5 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 106 84 84 0,1 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 104 57 84 47,9 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 88 78 77 -1,6 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 72 76 73 -3,0 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 126 84 66 -21,5 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.50 EXPORT TO BULGARIA AND BULGARIA’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 18-BULGARIA Bulgaria’s increase qualified it among 3.000 2.500 our first 20 export market Export to Bulgaria increased by 42.4 percent and amounted to USD 2.38 billion in 2016. Bulgaria is one of the countries to which our export increased the most rapidly in 2016. As a result, their share in our total export increased to 1.7 percent. Various sections are exported to Bulgaria. In 2016, a substantial increase of export was observed in the most exported sections. Knitted garment increased export by 83.7 percent, road motor vehicles export by 45.6 percent, knitted apparel export by 291.6 percent, woven apparel export by 370.4 percent. EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 1,3 2.000 2 4,2 1,5 1,2 1.500 1 1.000 0,5 500 0 2.040 1.676 2014 2015 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2.384 2016 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % 0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Bulgaria is gradually becoming an important market for the export of our branded products. TABLE 64. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO BULGARIA PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 60 Woven garment 122 131 241 83,7 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 190 163 160 -1,4 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 119 109 159 45,6 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 162 126 148 17,6 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 46 36 140 291,6 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 147 101 125 23,3 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 30 23 108 370,4 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers 55 53 102 90,7 74 Copper and copperware 144 91 95 4,5 72 Iron and steel 90 61 94 53,6 CODE 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 73 3 export 19-CHINA Economic Transformation in China Decreases Our Export Export to China decreases for the last three years. Export dropped by 3.6 percent and decreased to USD 2.33 billion in 2016. China goes down in the first 20 exporters ranking. China’s share in our export decreased to 1.6 percent. Marble export, which covers a huge place in export to China, remained unchanged in 2016. However, export of metal ores decreased and inorganic chemicals by 11.7 and 29.8 percent respectively. Export of machinery, knitted apparel, as well as ironware and steelware, increased. Investment FIGURE.51 EXPORT TO CHINA AND CHINA’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 3.500 3.000 1,8 EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 1,7 2.500 2.000 1,75 1.500 1,6 1.000 500 0 2014 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2015 1,85 1,8 2016 growth of infrastructure, construction, and industrial investment, as well as economic growth, have been slowing down in China. China’s metal, mineral and raw material import weaken in parallel with such slowdown. Turkey’s export to China which mainly includes these products was adversely affected in 2016. TABLE 65. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO CHINA CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 25 Salt, sulphur, soils and stones, gypsum, lime and cement 952 840 840 0,0 26 Metal ores, slag and ash 842 550 485 -11,7 28 Inorganic chemicals, precious metal, radioactive element, organicinorganic compounds of metal and isotopes 268 227 160 -29,8 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 117 124 129 4,4 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 31 35 46 30,3 1,7 73 Ironware or steelware 41 36 43 17,6 1,65 72 Iron and steel 27 3 42 1.286,2 1,6 52 Cotton, cotton yarn, and cotton fabric 40 34 41 20,8 1,55 1,5 32 Extracts, tannin, dyes, pigments, varnishes, pastes, inks used in tanning and dyeing 34 37 36 -2,4 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 20 25 33 35,5 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 20-ALGERIA Despite a decrease in export, Algeria now is among our first 20 export markets Our export to Algeria has been decreasing in the last two years. Export dropped by 4.9 percent and decreased to USD 1.74 billion in 2016. Algeria’s share in our export amounted to 1.2 percent. Besides, due to countries to which our export decreased more rapidly, Algeria become one of our first 20 export markets. Various sections are exported to Algeria. Export of machinery, the most exported section in 2016, increased by 4.1 percent. Plastics and plasticware, FIGURE.52 EXPORT TO ALGERIA AND ALGERIA’S SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 2.200 2.100 1,3 EXPORT AND SHARE IN OUR EXPORT 1,3 1,3 2.000 1.900 1,25 1.800 1,2 1.700 1.600 1.500 2.079 2014 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR 1.826 2015 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 74 1,35 1.736 2016 SHARE IN OUR EXPORT % knitted apparel and iron and steel export also increased. However, exports of ironware and steelware and electrical machinery and equipment decreased. Maximum decrease was observed in road motor vehicles with 38.1 percent. TABLE 66. SECTIONS IN THE EXPORT TO ALGERIA CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 952 840 840 0,0 73 Ironware or steelware 842 550 485 -11,7 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 268 227 160 -29,8 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 117 124 129 4,4 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 31 35 46 30,3 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 41 36 43 17,6 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 27 3 42 1.286,2 72 Iron and steel 40 34 41 20,8 94 Furniture, bedding sets, lighting equipment, advertisement light box, flashing signs, etc. prefabricated structures 34 37 36 -2,4 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 20 25 33 35,5 1,2 1,15 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 4 IMPORT 4 IMPORT IV.1 MAIN IMPORT INDICATORS IV.1.1 TOTAL IMPORT AND OUR PLACE IN WORLD COMMODITY IMPORT Import Decreased As a Result of Global Developments, Recession of Commodity Prices, Economy Policies, Economic Slowdown and Increase in Foreign Exchange Rates Import of Turkey dropped by 4.2 percent and decreased to USD 198.6 billion in 2016. The total decrease in import in 2016 amounts to USD 8.6 billion. Hence, import has been decreasing since 2013. In 2016, five significant factors led to decreased in import. The primary factor is the decrease in the oil and natural gas prices and other commodity prices in 2016. Energy import of Turkey that is dependent on foreign energy sources noticeably decreased in 2016. Among the global developments, the economic slowdown in the world economy was effective. The third factor is the protective measures in import that were gradually expanded through economy policies adopted. The fourth factor is the shrinking and slowdown of Turkish economy that broke out in the second half of 2016. Finally, considerable depreciation of Turkish Lira after July had an impact on the import recession. TABLE.1 IMPORT 2014 2015 2016 IMPORT BILLION DOLLAR 242.2 207.2 198.6 CHANGE ON VALUE BASIS % -3.8 -14.5 -4.2 250 200 -3,8 198,6 0,0 -2,0 -4,0 -6,0 -8,0 -10,0 -12,0 100 50 -14,0 -14,5 2014 2015 IMPORT BILLION DOLLAR 2016 -16,0 ANNUAL GROWTH % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Turkey’s Import Experienced A More Rapid Slowdown The progress of Turkey’s import and world commodity import are compared. World commodity import decreased by 3.2 percent in USD value in 2016. Turkey’s commodity import, on the other hand, dropped by 4.2 percent in 2016. The decrease in the Turkey’s commodity import was more 76 % OF VALUE-BASED GROWTH OF TURKEY'S COMMODITY IMPORT 2015 2016 1,2 -10,9 -3,2 -3,8 -14,5 -4,2 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION Turkey’s Share In World Commodity Import Decreased to 1.21 Percent While the share of Turkey’s commodity import in world commodity import amounted to 1.24 percent in 2015, it decreased to 1.21 percent in 2016. The share of Turkey in world import decreased by 0.14 points in the last three years. TABLE.3 OUR SHARE IN WORLD COMMODITY IMPORT 2014 2015 2016 TURKEY'S IMPORT BILLION DOLLAR 242,2 207,2 WORLD COMMODITY IMPORT BILLION DOLLAR 18.711 16.766 16.345 TURKEY'S SHARE % 1,29 1,24 1,21 1,29 1,28 150 0 COMMODITY IMPORT 1,3 IMPORT IN BILLION DOLLARS AND PERCENTAGE OF GROWTH 207,2 2014 % OF VALUE-BASED GROWTH OF WORLD 198,6 FIGURE.2 OUR SHARE IN WORLD COMMODITY IMPORT FIGURE.1 DEVELOPMENTS IN IMPORT 242,2 TABLE.2 GROWTH COMPARISON WITH WORLD COMMODITY IMPORT SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 300 than the decrease in world commodity import in 2016. It was caused by Turkey’s high-level of dependency on energy import where prices substantially went down. 1,26 PERCENTAGE OF OUR SHARE IN WORLD IMPORT 1,24 1,24 1,21 1,22 1,2 1,18 1,16 2014 2015 2016 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION Turkey Became The 20th Largest Importer of The World Recently, Turkey has been one the first twenty countries among the world’s most important commodity importers and moved down to rank 21st with an import of USD 207 billion in 2015. Despite the decrease in its import in 2016, Turkey ranked the 20th largest importer of the world with USD 198 billion. Among the first thirty importers, import performances of the countries differed from each other, and the increase in the imports of 8 countries was limited. TABLE.4 OUR RANK IN WORLD COMMODITY IMPORT IMPORT BILLION DOLLAR 2015 2016 2015/2016 CHANGE % 2016 SHARE % RANK IN 2015 RANK COUNTRY 1 USA 2.308 2.251 -2,5 13,8 1 2 CHINA 1.682 1.587 -5,6 9,7 2 3 GERMANY 1.050 1.056 0,6 6,5 3 4 ENGLAND 626 636 1,6 3,9 5 5 JAPAN 648 608 -6,2 3,7 4 6 FRANCE 573 573 0,0 3,5 6 7 HONG KONG 559 547 -2,1 3,3 7 8 THE NETHERLANDS 506 504 -0,4 3,1 8 9 SOUTH KOREA 436 406 -6,9 2,5 9 10 ITALY 409 405 -1,0 2,5 11 11 CANADA 436 403 -7,6 2,5 10 12 MEXICO 405 398 -1,7 2,4 12 13 BELGIUM 375 367 -2,1 2,2 14 14 INDIA 392 359 -8,4 2,2 13 15 SPAIN 309 310 0,3 1,9 15 16 SINGAPORE 297 283 -4,7 1,7 16 17 SWITZERLAND 252 270 7,1 1,7 17 18 TAIWAN 238 231 -2,9 1,4 18 19 UAE 230 225 -2,0 1,3 19 20 TURKEY 207 198 -4,3 1,2 21 21 POLAND 193 197 2,1 1,2 24 22 THAILAND 203 195 -3,9 1,2 22 23 RUSSIA 194 191 -1,5 1,2 23 24 AUSTRALIA 208 189 -9,1 1,2 20 25 VIETNAM 166 174 4,8 1,1 28 26 MALAYSIA 176 168 -4,5 1,0 26 27 AUSTRALIA 155 158 1,9 1,0 29 28 BRAZIL 179 143 -20,1 0,9 25 29 CZECH REPUBLIC 140 142 1,4 0,9 31 30 SWEDEN 138 140 1,0 0,9 32 SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 77 4 IMPORT IV.1.2 IMPORT IN RESPECT TO ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES AND LARGE ECONOMIC GROUPS Sector distribution and development of Turkey’s commodity import are evaluated by using three different international commodity classifications. economic slowdown and increase in exchange rates in the second half of the year, import of consumables amounted to USD 27.9 billion and its share decreased to 14.1 percent. Import of investment commodities increased by 2.9 percent and reached to USD 35.9 billion. The share of investment commodities’ import increased from 16.8 percent to 18.1 percent in 2016. Investment commodity import’s share raised bu 3.3 points in 2015-2016. The overall decrease in import in 2016 was not equal in all commodity groups. Ongoing investments and major public investments were effective in the increase of import. TABLE.6 IMPORT IN RESPECT TO LARGE ECONOMIC GROUPS’ CLASSIFICATION The Highest Share in Import Belongs To Manufacturing Industry Products Based on the classification by economic activities, manufacturing industry products has the highest share in Turkey’s import. Manufacturing industry products group is the only product group with an upward import trend in 2016. Thus, while the share of manufacturing industry products was 80.5 percent in 2015, it increased to 84.2 percent in 2016. Mining and quarrying products constitute the second largest import group. However, import of mining and quarrying products dropped by 31.2 percent in 2016. Its share in total import decreased from 13.3 percent to 9.6 percent. Import of agricultural, forestry, fishing and other products has still a very limited share in the total import. TABLE 5. IMPORT IN RESPECT TO ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES 2014 2015 2016 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % 3,5 7.178 69 0,1 MINING AND QUARRYING 37.126 MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY FISHING OTHER GRAND TOTAL CHANGE 2015/2016 % 35.917 18,1 +2,9 73,0 143.293 69,2 134.316 67,6 -6,1 29.006 12,0 28.587 13,8 27.941 14,1 -2,3 453 0,2 426 0,2 436 0,2 +2,3 242.177 100,0 207.203 100,0 198.610 100,0 -4,2 CONSUMABLES OTHER GOODS GRAND TOTAL SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.3 DISTRIBUTION OF IMPORT BY COMMODITY GROUPS PERCENTAGE OF SHARES OF COMMODITY GROUPS 0,1 56 0,1 -36,4 20,0 15,3 27.610 13,3 19.008 9,6 -31,2 0 187.742 77,5 166.788 80,5 167.235 84,2 0,3 8.652 3,6 5.539 2,7 5.268 2,7 -4,9 198.610 16,8 176.722 88 100,0 34.897 INTERMEDIATE GOODS -1,9 207.203 CHANGE 2014/2015 % 14,8 3,5 100,0 SHARE % 35.996 7.042 242.177 SHARE % INVESTMENT COMMODITIES 3,5 8.588 80,0 73 60,0 100,0 -4,2 While Import of Intermediate Goods and Consumables Decreased, Import of Investment Commodities Increased Import distribution based on the classification of large economic groups consists of investment commodities, intermediate goods, and consumables. Intermediate goods have the highest share in Turkey’s import. Intermediate goods also cover energy products including petroleum and natural gas and their derivatives. Import of intermediate goods decreased both in 2015 and 2016. Import of intermediate goods decreased by 6.1 percent and amounted to USD 134.3 billion in 2016. Its share decreased to 67.6 percent. The decrease in energy prices had an impact on this recession. Import of consumables dropped by 2.3 percent. Due to 2016 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % SHARE % SHARE % 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 78 2014 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 69,2 67,6 40,0 14,8 16,8 18,1 INVESTMENT CIMMODETIES 2014 12 INTERMEDIATE GOODS 2015 13,8 14,1 CPNSUMABLES 2016 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION International trade classification categorizes the product groups in more detail. Machinery and vehicles continue to constitute the most important import products of Turkey together. While the total import of Turkey decreased in 2016, machinery and vehicles group is one of the two sectors where import increased. Import of machinery and vehicles increased by 7.6 percent in 2016 and amounted to USD 70.4 billion in 2016. While its share in total import was 27.2 in 2014, this share increased to 35.4 percent in 2016. Mineral fuel and oils constitute the second largest group of import products. Due to the drop in petroleum prices, import of mineral fuel and oils substantially decreased in value both in 2015 and 2016. Import of mineral fuel and oils dropped by 28.2 percent and amounted to USD 27.2 billion in 2016. Its share in total import decreased to 13.7 percent. Processed goods that are divided into main categories consist of durable and semi-durable consumer goods. This category corresponds to the third largest import item. Import of these goods dropped by 7.7 percent and decreased to USD 32.9 billion in 2016. The share in total import amounted 16.5 percent. TABLE.7 IMPORT IN RESPECT TO INTERNATIONAL TRADE CLASSIFICATION (SITC REV.3) 2014 2015 2016 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE% IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE% CHANGE 2013/2014 % % IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % 3,2 -0,9 LIVESTOCK AND FOODSTUFF ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES AND TOBACCO 792 0,3 759 0,4 780 0,4 2,8 NON-EDIBLE RAW MATERIALS EXCLUDING FUEL OIL) 16.975 7,0 12.595 6,1 11.871 6,0 -5,7 SOLID AND LIQUID ANIMAL AND VEGETABLE FATS 2.187 0,9 1.899 0,9 1.801 0,9 -5,2 MINERAL FUELS AND OILS 8.652 3,6 5.539 2,7 5.268 2,7 -4,9 CHEMICAL INDUSTRY AND RELATED PRODUCTS 54.889 22,7 37.842 18,3 27.161 13,7 -28,2 PROCESSED GOODS UNDER MAJOR CATEGORIES 33.211 13,7 28.960 14,0 27.545 13,9 -4,9 MACHINERY AND 38.447 15,9 35.608 17,2 32.869 16,5 -7,7 VEHICLES 65.809 27,2 65.422 31,6 70.372 35,4 7,6 VARIOUS MANUFACTURED GOODS 15.498 6,4 13.922 6,7 13.031 6,6 -6,4 BYS GOODS* 7.398 3,1 3.686 1,8 6.729 3,4 82,6 GRAND TOTAL 242.177 100,0 207.203 100,0 198.610 100,0 -4,2 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, *Including Gold IV.1.3 IMPORT IN RESPECT TO FOREIGN CURRENCIES AND PERFORMED IN TRY TABLE 8. IMPORT IN RESPECT TO FOREIGN CURRENCIES 2014 Usage Share of Turkish Lira In Import Increases Foreign currencies used in the import and their usage shares in total import are given below. In this respect, the share of US Dollar, which is the most used foreign currency in import, decreases in total import, and the share was realized 56.0 percent in 2016. The share of Euro, on the other hand, increased by 2.5 points and amounted to 35.4 percent in 2016. Turkish Lira’s share in import still increases. In 2016, import equal to USD 14.3 billion was in TRY. The import share of Turkish Lira increased from 6.5 to 7.2 percent in 2016. 70,0 60,0 63,5 59,0 2015 2016 MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % MILLION DOLLAR SHARE %% US DOLLAR 153.751 63,5 122.327 59,0 111.262 56,0 EURO 72.592 30,0 68.218 32,9 70.275 35,4 POUND STERLING 1.208 0,5 1.003 0,5 691 0,3 36 0,0 17 0,0 14 0,0 12.422 5,1 13.557 6,5 14.274 7,2 SWISS FRANC 924 0,4 784 0,4 914 0,5 JAPANESE YEN 837 0,3 877 0,5 830 0,4 RUBLE TRY OTHER 406 0,2 420 0,2 350 0,2 TOTAL 242.176 100,0 207.203 100,0 198.610 100,0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.4 DISTRIBUTION OF IMPORT BY FOREIGN CURRENCIES USED 56,0 50,0 PERCENTAGE OF IMPORT BY CURRENCY 40,0 30,0 30,0 32,9 35,4 2014 2015 2016 20,0 10,0 0 5,1 US DOLLAR EURO 6,5 7,2 TRY SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 79 4 IMPORT IV.1.4 IMPORT IN RESPECT TO PAYMENT METHODS AND TRANSPORTATION MEANS Share of Import By Seaway Continues To Increase Share of Cash Against Goods Surpassed The Share of Advance Payment in Import When the distribution of import was evaluated basing on payment methods, it was concluded that two payment methods prevailed. These methods are advance payment and cash against goods. However, while import through advance payment substantially decreased, import through cash against goods considerably increased in 2016. The amount of import through advance payment and its share in total import increased in the 2012-2014 period and decreased in 2015. The amount and share of import through advance payment decreased to USD 77.5 billion and 39.0 percent respectively in 2016. On the other hand, the share of cash against goods remained almost unchanged in the 2012-2014 period and substantially increased in 2015 and 2016. The share increased to 41.0 percent in 2016 and surpassed the import through advance payment. As a result of a slowdown in global commodity demand and a decrease in global trade, cash against good was preferred as a payment method instead of advance payment. This preference led to an increase in this payment method. Two other payment methods with a decreasing share are payment by letter of credit and cash against documents. TABLE.9 IMPORT IN RESPECT TO PAYMENT METHODS 2014 MILLION DOLLAR 2015 % SHARE MILLION DOLLAR 2015 2016 MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % SEAWAY 141.381 58,4 124.436 60,0 120.369 60,6 RAILWAY 1.207 0,5 1.170 0,6 1.428 0,7 ROAD 37.301 15,4 34.364 16,6 34.307 17,3 AIRWAY 24.697 10,2 19.976 9,6 22.970 11,6 FIGURE.5 DISTRIBUTION OF IMPORT WITH RESPECT TO TRANSPORTATION MEANS IN 2016 % OF SHARES FOR TRANSPORATION MEANS IN 2016 71.529 29,5 68.789 33,2 81.520 41,0 ADVANCE PAYMENT 119.326 49,3 95.345 46,0 77.472 39,0 CASH AGAINST DOCUMENT 14.920 6,2 10.692 5,2 9.031 4,5 DEFERRED PAYMENT LETTER OF CREDIT 10.543 4,4 9.978 4,8 9.691 4,9 FREE OF CHARGE 6.243 2,6 6.845 3,3 8.814 4,4 PRIVATE BARTER 33 0,0 19 0,0 16 0,0 LETTER OF CREDIT 18.442 7,6 14.661 7,1 11.237 5,7 COUNTER PURCHASE 13 0,0 12 0,0 16 0,0 ACCEPTANCE CREDIT 118 0,1 77 0,0 118 0,0 ACCEPTANCE CREDIT - CASH AGAINST DOCUMENT 493 0,2 473 0,2 637 0,3 ACCEPTANCE CREDIT - CASH AGAINST GOODS 516 0,2 312 0,2 57 0,0 PRIVATE ACCOUNT 0,1 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 242.177 100,0 207.203 100,0 198.610 100,0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2014 % SHARE CASH AGAINST GOODS GRAND TOTAL 80 MILLION DOLLAR TABLE.10 IMPORT IN RESPECT TO TRANSPORTATION MEANS SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2016 % SHARE Five import channels are used for the distribution of import with respect to means of transportation. These channels are seaway, railway, road as well as pipelines which are used for importing natural gas. The share of transportation by seaway in import has been increasing for the last five years. Although import by seaway decreased to USD 120.4 billion, its share in total import increased to 60.6 percent in 2016. The share of import by airway exceeded 11.0 percent for the first time. Shares of import by road and railway also increased, though limited. The share of import through pipelines changes depending on the petroleum and natural gas prices. Due to decreases in prices for the last four years, amount and share of import through pipelines also moved down. It substantially led to an increase in the shares of other means of transportation. 10% 11 % 61% 17% 1% SEAWAY ROAD RAILWAY AIRWAY SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION PIPELINES IV.2 MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY IMPORT IN RESPECT TO TECHNOLOGICAL DENSITY Medium-High Technology Products Have The Highest Share in Turkey’s Total Import Imports of sectors and their shares in total import are evaluated regarding technological density. Medium-high technology products have the highest share in Turkey’s total import. Import of medium-high technology products increased by 1.5 percent and amounted to USD 75.0 billion in 2016. Its share in total import reached 44.9 percent. The share of medium-low technology products in Turkey’s import decreased to 25.6 percent. Medium- FIGURE.6 DISTRIBUTION OF INDUSTRIAL GOODS’ IMPORT IN RESPECT TO TECHNOLOGICAL DENSITY TABLE. 11 MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY IMPORT IN RESPECT TO TECHNOLOGICAL DENSITY 2014 2015 technology products’ import, which dropped by 3.1 percent, amounted to USD 42.8 billion in 2016. Import of main metal industry and metalware industry products, which are covered by medium-low technology products group, decreased due to recession in metal prices. High-technology products have a considerable share in import. Import of high-technology products, consisting of products a great part of which is not manufactured in Turkey, increased by 8.1 percent and amounted to USD 28.36 billion in 2016. Its share in total import reached 17.0 percent. Despite the overall recession in import, import of high-technology products still continues. 2016 MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % MILLION DOLLAR SHARE % HIGH TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS 26.365 14,1 26.246 15,7 28.359 17,0 MEDIUM-HIGH TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS 79.121 42,1 73.904 44,3 75.028 44,9 MEDIUM LOW TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS 56.961 30,3 44.215 26,5 42.834 25,6 LOW TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS 25.344 13,5 22.456 13,5 21.013 12,6 TOTAL MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY IMPORT 187.790 100,0 166.821 100,0 167.234 100,0 PERCENTAGE OF SHARE OF TECHNOLOGY GROUPS 2015 2014 44,9 42,1 44,3 14,1 15,7 2016 30,3 26,5 25,6 17 HIGHTECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS 13,5 13,5 12,6 MEDIUM-HIGH MEDIUM-LOW TECHNOLOGY TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS PRODUCTS LOW TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION IV.3 PRICE AND AMOUNT RELATED DEVELOPMENTS IN IMPORT While Import Decreased by 9.1 Percent in Unit Value, It Increased By 3.9 Percent in Amount in 2016 Improvement of import regarding total value depends on the amount and unit value of the import. Turkey’s import dropped by 4.2 percent in value and decreased to USD 198.6 in 2016. However, in 2016 Turkey’s import increased by 3.9 percent in amount. The value-based decrease of import is caused by a 9.1 percent decrease in import unit value. Despite economic slowdown and precautions, import has not experienced any decrease in amount for the last five years. The increase in foreign exchange rates did not also lead to an amount-based decrease in import. Unit values of import have been going down for the last five years. Decrease having been observed in energy, metal, commodity and raw material prices across the world for the last four years caused Turkey’s import unit price to move down. Thus, a value-based decrease in Turkey’s import resulted mainly from the decrease in global prices. Developments related to amount and unit prices of world import and TABLE.12 IMPORT AMOUNT AND UNIT VALUE INDEX 2010=100 YEARS IMPORT AMOUNT INDEX 2010=100 IMPORT UNIT VALUE INDEX 2010=100 INDEX % CHANGE INDEX % CHANGE 2010 100,0 - 100,0 - 2011 112,9 12,9 115,1 15,1 2012 114,1 1,1 111,8 -2,9 2013 122,6 7,4 110,6 -1,1 2014 122,4 -0,2 106,7 -3,5 2015 124,6 1,7 90,3 -15,9 2016 129,5 3,9 82,0 -9,1 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 81 4 IMPORT FIGURE.7 AMOUNT AND UNIT VALUE RELATED DEVELOPMENTS IN IMPORT IMPORT UNIT VALUE AND AMOUNT INDEX 2010=100 140,0 130,0 120,0 110,0 100,0 90,0 80,0 115,1 100,0 129,5 124,6 122,4 122,6 114,1 111,8 112,9 110,6 106,7 90,3 82,0 2010 2011 2012 2013 IMPORT UNIT VALUE INDEX 2014 2015 2016 IMPORT AMOUNT INDEX SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Turkey’s import are compared basing on the last three year’s data. In the last three years, world commodity import and Turkey’s import increased in amount by 7.1 percent and 5.5 percent respectively. While the unit value of world commodity import decreased by 22.0 percent, Turkey’s import unit value dropped by 30.9 percent in the last three years. In 2016, on the other hand, Turkey’s import increased in amount to exceed world average 2.6 points, import unit value decreased 4.6 points more than the world average. TABLE.13 AMOUNT AND UNIT VALUE RELATED DEVELOPMENTS IN WORLD’S AND TURKEY’S IMPORT 2014 2015 2016 WORLD (AMOUNT) 2,8 2,8 1,3 TURKEY (AMOUNT) -0,2 1,7 3,9 WORLD (UNIT VALUE) -1,2 -15,4 -4,5 TURKEY (UNIT VALUE) -3,5 -15,9 -9,1 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION AND WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION Increase in The Amount of Import Caused By The Increase in Machinery and Vehicles’ Import In 2016, total import increased in amount. Despite, import of many subsectors decreased in amount. Import of mineral oils and fuel decreased by 0.8, solid and liquid animal and vegetable fats by 4.7 percent, processed goods under major categories by 0.5 percent and various manufactured goods by 7.0 percent. Import of machinery and vehicles increased by 7.3 percent in amount in 2016. Import of chemical industry and related products also increased in amount. These two sectors were determinative in the amount-based increase in Turkey’s import. 82 TABLE.14 AMOUNT RELATED DEVELOPMENTS IN IMPORT (IMPORT AMOUNT INDEX (2010=100) IN RESPECT TO INTERNATIONAL TRADE CLASSIFICATION (SITC REV.3) 2012 2013 2014 2014/2015 % DEĞİŞİM 2015/2016 % DEĞİŞİM LIVESTOCK AND FOODSTUFF 144,5 148,1 155,3 2,5 4,9 ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES AND TOBACCO 150,0 157,8 168,1 5,2 6,5 NON-EDIBLE RAW MATERIALS (EXCLUDING FUEL OIL) 107,4 101,3 106,3 -5,7 4,9 SOLID AND LIQUID ANIMAL AND VEGETABLE FATS 175,1 168,7 160,8 -4,4 -4,7 MINERAL FUEL AND OILS 119,9 130,3 129,2 8,7 -0,8 CHEMICAL INDUSTRY AND RELATED PRODUCTS 125,6 124,8 129,7 -0,6 3,9 PROCESSED GOODS UNDER MAJOR CATEGORIES 122,2 129,6 129,0 6,1 -0,5 MACHINERY AND VEHICLES 115,7 121,7 130,6 5,0 7,3 VARIOUS MANUFACTURED GOODS 113,0 103,2 96,0 -8,8 -7,0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Import Prices Decrease Along With Recession in Global Prices Within the scope of sector-based developments in import unit prices, import unit prices of mineral fuel and oils experienced the maximum decrease with 27.6 percent, in parallel with the decrease in petroleum prices in 2016. Import unit prices of other important products also went down. Import unit prices of the chemical industry and related products dropped, and processed goods under major categories dropped by 8.4 and 7.4 percent respectively. However, import unit prices of machinery and vehicles as well as various manufactured goods increased, though limited. TABLE.15 UNIT VALUE RELATED DEVELOPMENTS IN IMPORT (IMPORT UNIT VALUE INDEX (2010=100) IN RESPECT TO INTERNATIONAL TRADE CLASSIFICATION (SITC REV.3) 2012 2013 2015/2016 CHANGE % 2014 2015/2016 CHANGE % LIVESTOCK AND FOODSTUFF 144,5 148,1 155,3 2,5 4,9 ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES AND TOBACCO 150,0 157,8 168,1 5,2 6,5 NON-EDIBLE RAW MATERIALS (EXCLUDING FUEL OIL) 107,4 101,3 106,3 -5,7 4,9 SOLID AND LIQUID ANIMAL AND VEGETABLE FATS 175,1 168,7 160,8 -4,4 -4,7 -0,8 MINERAL FUEL AND OILS 119,9 130,3 129,2 8,7 CHEMICAL INDUSTRY AND RELATED PRODUCTS 125,6 124,8 129,7 -0,6 3,9 PROCESSED GOODS UNDER MAJOR CATEGORIES 122,2 129,6 129,0 6,1 -0,5 MACHINERY AND VEHICLES 115,7 121,7 130,6 5,0 7,3 VARIOUS MANUFACTURED GOODS 113,0 103,2 96,0 -8,8 -7,0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION IV.4 IMPORT IN PROVINCES Out of the first 20 Largest Importing Provinces, 13 Provinces Witnessed Decrease in Import While overall import decreased in 2016, import performances of provinces differed from each other. Out of the first largest 20 provinces, import decreased in 13 provinces and increased in 7 provinces in 2016. Import of Istanbul, with the highest import level, dropped by 1.5 percent and decreased to USD 116.0 billion in 2016. Istanbul’s share in total import amounted to 58.4 percent. Among the other largest five importing provinces following Istanbul, import increased in Ankara and Bursa and decreased in Kocaeli, Gaziantep, and İzmir. Import increase in Bursa and Ankara was high. Import decrease in Kocaeli, on the other hand, was considerable. Three provinces with the most decreasing import levels in 2016 were Zongludak, Hatay, and Osmaniye. Out of the first 20 provinces with the highest level of import in 2016, two provinces which experienced an increase in import were Sakarya and Kahramanmaraş by 33.0 and 24.6 percent respectively. FIGURE.8 IMPORT DEVELOPMENT OF THE FIRST 20 LARGEST IMPORTING PROVINCES IN 2016 40,0 33,3 30,0 PERCENTAGE OF GROWTH IN IMPORT 24,6 20,0 10,8 -10,2 -18,2 -18,2 -18,4 -20,5 HATAY KAYSERİ ? MANİSA GAZİANTEP ? KOCAELİ ? ADANA ? KONYA ? DENİZLİ ? -23,7 ZONGULDAK SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ? OSMANİYE -30,0 ESKİŞEHİR BURSA ANKARA ANTALYA KAHRAMANMARAŞ -20,0 SAKARYA -10,0 TEKİRDAĞ 1,0 İSTANBUL 6,9 MERSİN 8,7 0,0 İZMİR 13,8 10,0 ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 83 4 IMPORT TABLE.16 IMPORT BY PROVINCES RANK CITY 1 2 2016 2017 2015/2016 CHANGE % MILLION DOLLAR % SHARE MILLION DOLLAR % SHARE İSTANBUL 116.009 58,4 117.785 56,9 -1,5 ANKARA 10.876 5,5 9.812 4,7 10,8 3 İZMİR 8.808 4,4 8.847 4,3 -0,4 4 BURSA 8.708 4,4 8.066 3,9 8,0 -18,2 5 KOCAELİ 8.090 4,1 9.894 4,8 6 GAZİANTEP 4.806 2,4 4.877 2,4 -1,5 7 MANİSA 2.688 1,4 3.286 1,6 -18,2 8 HATAY 2.571 1,3 3.232 1,6 -20,5 9 SAKARYA 2.013 1,0 1.513 0,73 33,0 10 ADANA 1.888 1,0 2.102 1,01 -10,2 11 DENİZLİ 1.668 0,8 1.771 0,85 -5,8 12 KAYSERİ 1.441 0,7 1.470 0,71 -2,0 13 KAHRAMANMARAŞ 1.300 0,7 1.043 0,50 24,6 14 MERSİN 1.175 0,6 1.181 0,57 -0,5 15 ANTALYA 1.112 0,6 977 0,47 13,8 16 KONYA 1.062 0,5 1.168 0,56 -9,1 17 TEKİRDAĞ 899 0,5 890 0,43 1,0 18 ZONGULDAK 758 0,4 994 0,48 -23,7 19 ESKİŞEHİR 756 0,4 707 0,34 6,9 20 OSMANİYE 614 0,3 752 0,36 -18,4 THE FIRST 20 PROVINCES (TOTAL) 177.242 89,2 180.367 86,9 -1,7 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION IV.5 IMPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS AND COUNTRIES IV.5.1 IMPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS Maximum Decrease of Import Is in Other European Countries Including Russia Import of Turkey witnessed different developments in all country groups in 2016. Import of energy, commodity and manufacturing industry products was determinative in this variation. Hence, import from Other European Countries, including Russia from which we import petroleum and natural gas, decreased by 22.1 percent. Import from the European Union and North American countries decreased by 1.5 and 1.0 percent respectively. Import from Central American countries also decreased. However, import from some of the country groups increased. In 2016, import from North African and South American countries increased by 6.5 and 11.7 percent respectively. Though more limited, import from Asian countries as well as Near and Middle Eastern countries also increased. 84 III.17 IMPORT INCREASE BY COUNTRY GROUPS COUNTRY GROUP 2014 2015 2016 TOTAL -3,8 -14,5 -4,2 A-EUROPEAN UNION (EU28) -4,0 -11,4 -1,5 B- TURKEY'S FREE ZONES -0,6 -2,7 17,0 C- OTHER COUNTRIES -3,7 -16,3 -6,0 1- OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES -12,0 -22,7 -22,1 2-NORTH AMERICA -2,1 -12,5 6,5 3- OTHER AFRICAN COUNTRIES -0,8 -16,3 3,0 4-NORTH AMERICA -0,8 -12,9 -1,0 5-CENTRAL AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN (EXCLUDING EU) -17,5 -7,5 -7,0 6. SOUTH AMERICA 7,3 -6,9 11,7 7-NEAR AND MIDDLE EAST -7,8 -33,7 1,4 1,7 8-OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES 9-AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND 2,8 -5,0 -51,6 -4,5 7,6 1,7 -28,0 -31,2 10- OTHER COUNTRIES AND REGIONS SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION The Highest Import from the European Union Again Basing on the developments above in import from country groups in 2016, import from the European Union amounted to USD 77.5 billion. Import from Asian countries increased to USD 54.3 billion. While import from Other European Countries, including Russia, decreased to USD 21.9 USD, import from Near and Middle Eastern countries increased to USD 13.7 billion. FIGURE.9 DISTRIBUTION OF IMPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS 2016 IMPORT SHARES BY REGIONS 3,4 0,3 EUROPEAN UNION OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES NORTH AMERICA OTHER AFRICAN COUNTRIES TABLE.18 IMPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS 2014 MILLION DOLLAR 2015 MILLION DOLLAR 2016 MILLION DOLLAR TOTAL 242.177 207.203 198.610 A-EUROPEAN UNION (EU28) 88.784 78.670 77.496 COUNTRY GROUP B- TURKEY'S FREE ZONES 1.261 1.227 1.435 C- OTHER COUNTRIES 152.133 127.307 119.680 1- OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES 36.367 28.110 21.905 3.436 3.007 3.201 39,0 CENTRAL AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN SOUTH AMERICA 27,3 NEAR AND MIDDLE EAST 3- OTHER AFRICAN COUNTRIES 2.502 2.093 2.155 4-NORTH AMERICA 13.835 12.057 11.931 5-CENTRAL AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN 1.124 1.040 967 6. SOUTH AMERICA 3.935 3.664 4.092 7-NEAR AND MIDDLE EAST 20.481 13.575 13.761 8-OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES 56.162 53.331 54.256 638 609 655 13.653 9.821 6.757 9-AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND 10- OTHER COUNTRIES AND REGIONS SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Share of Import from Other Asian Countries and the European Union Increased Under these developments in import, European Union countries continued to hold the highest share in our total import with 39.0 percent in 2016. The share of European Union countries increased by 1.0 point in 2016. While the share of Other European countries dropped by 11.0 percent, Russia played an effective role in the recession. The share of Asian countries continues to increase gradually. The share of import from Asia in total import increased to 27.3 percent in 2016. On the other hand share of import from Near and Middle Eastern countries raised to 6.9 percent. The share of import from North America increased to 6.0 percent. OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES 0 11, 6,9 6,0 2,1 0,5 (EXCLUDING EU) 2-NORTH AMERICA NORTH AMERICA 1,1 AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND OTHER COUNTRIES AND REGIONS 1,6 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.19 DISTRIBUTION OF IMPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS COUNTRY GROUP 2014 2015 2016 TOTAL 100,0 100,0 100,0 A-EUROPEAN UNION (EU28) 36,7 38,0 39,0 B- TURKEY'S FREE ZONES 0,5 0,6 0,7 C- OTHER COUNTRIES 62,8 61,4 60,3 1- OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES (EXCLUDING EU) 15,0 13,6 11,0 2-NORTH AMERICA 1,4 1,5 1,6 3- OTHER AFRICAN COUNTRIES 1,0 1,0 1,1 4-NORTH AMERICA 5,7 5,8 6,0 5-CENTRAL AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN 0,5 0,5 0,5 6. SOUTH AMERICA 1,6 1,8 2,1 7-NEAR AND MIDDLE EAST 8,5 6,6 6,9 8-OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES 23,2 25,7 27,3 9-AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND 0,3 0,3 0,3 10- OTHER COUNTRIES AND REGIONS 5,6 4,7 3,4 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION IV.5.2 IMPORT BY COUNTRY GROUPS One country changed among the first 20 countries from which Turkey imported most in 2016. In 2015, Bulgaria was replaced by UAW to rank among the first 20. While the total import of Turkey decreased by 4.2 percent, import from the first 20 countries dropped by 12.8 percent and amounted to USD 151.0 billion in 2015. Out of the first 20 countries from which Turkey imports most, import from 11 of these countries increased. However, import from 9 countries decreased in 2016. The maximum decrease in import pertains to Russian, Iranian and ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 85 4 IMPORT Ukrainian imports. Depending on the decrease in natural gas, petroleum, and ore prices, import decreased nu 25.7 percent, 22.9 percent, and 26.1 percent respectively. Import from China, Germany, Japan, Poland, Czech Republic and India, on the other hand, incre- ased. The maximum increase in import corresponds to UAE with 84.3 percent. While import from countries that import energy and raw materials decreased, import from countries that import industrial commodity increased in 2016. TABLE.20 IMPORT BY COUNTRIES IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR RANK COUNTRY 2016 2015 2014 2016 2015 2014 2015/2016 CHANGE PERCENTAGE 1 CHINA 25 440 24 873 24 918 12,8 12,0 10,3 2,3 2 GERMANY 21 474 21 352 22 369 10,8 10,3 9,2 0,6 3 RUSSIA 15 161 20 402 25 289 7,6 9,8 10,4 -25,7 4 USA 10 868 11 141 12 728 5,5 5,4 5,3 -2,5 5 ITALY 10 219 10 639 12 056 5,1 5,1 5,0 -3,9 6 FRANCE 7 365 7 598 8 123 3,7 3,7 3,4 -3,1 7 SOUTH KOREA 6 384 7 057 7 548 3,2 3,4 3,1 -9,5 8 INDIA 5 757 5 614 6 899 2,9 2,7 2,8 2,6 9 SPAIN 5 679 5 588 6 076 2,9 2,7 2,5 1,6 10 ENGLAND 5 321 5 541 5 932 2,7 2,7 2,4 -4,0 11 IRAN 4 700 6 096 9 833 2,4 2,9 4,1 -22,9 12 JAPAN 3 944 3 140 3 200 2,0 1,5 1,3 25,6 13 UAE 3 701 2 009 3 253 1,9 1,0 1,3 84,3 14 POLAND 3 244 2 978 3 082 1,6 1,4 1,3 9,0 15 BELGIUM 3 201 3 147 3 864 1,6 1,5 1,6 1,7 16 THE NETHERLANDS 3 000 2 914 3 517 1,5 1,4 1,5 2,9 17 CZECH REPUBLIC 2 562 2 218 2 420 1,3 1,1 1,0 15,5 18 UKRAINE 2 548 3 448 4 243 1,3 1,7 1,8 -26,1 19 SWITZERLAND 2 503 2 446 4 821 1,3 1,2 2,0 2,3 20 ROMANIA 2 196 2 599 3 363 1,1 1,3 1,4 -15,5 THE FIRST 20 COUNTRIES 145.265 150.770 173.534 73,1 72,8 71,7 -3,7 OTHER COUNTRIES 53.345 56.433 68.643 26,9 27,2 28,3 -5,5 TOTAL 198.610 207.203 242.177 100,0 100,0 100,0 -4,2 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 86 IMPORT SHARE % IV.6 IMPORT BY COMPANY SCALES AND IMPORT CONCENTRATION A Considerable Part of Import Is By Large-Scale Companies A considerable part of import pertains to large-scale companies. The share of companies with 250 and more emplo- yees in total import was 62.2 percent in 2014 and remained 62.2 percent in 2015. The share of medium-scale companies with 50-249 employees in import decreased from 18 to 18.2 percent. TABLE.21 IMPORT SHARES BY COMPANY SCALES 2013 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR % SHARE IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR % SHARE IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR % SHARE 251.358 100,0 241.406 100,0 207.190 100,0 1-9 14.292 5,7 15.038 6,2 13.188 6,4 10-49 40.849 16,3 31.773 13,2 27.133 13,1 50-249 45.035 17,9 44.400 18,4 37.803 18,2 250+ 151.001 60,1 150.116 62,2 128.914 62,2 EMPLOYEE NUMBER SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION A Limited Decrease In Concentration Rates of The First 100 Companies In Import The share of the first importing companies in total import was 84.1 in 2010, and it amounted to 82.5 in 2015. In respect to the first 1000 countries, import concentration has been experiencing a limited and gradual decrease in the last five years. Basing on the indicators where the number of enterprises is fewer, import concentration progresses in the same manner. From 2010 to 2015, concentration increased by 0.2 points for the first five importing companies, remained unchanged for the first ten companies, and decreased by 1.5 and 3.0 points for the first 20 and first 50 companies respectively. Import share started to increase beginning from the first 50 companies. TABLE.22 IMPORT CONCENTRATION 2015 2014 2010 % SHARE IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR % SHARE 241.406 100,0 184.977 100,0 22,2 59.223 24,5 40.677 22,0 58.749 28,5 73.596 30,5 52.764 28,5 The first 20 enterprises 73.285 35,4 92.258 38,2 68.295 36,9 The first 50 enterprises 94.147 45,4 117.068 48,5 89.442 48,4 The first 100 enterprises 112.490 65,8 137.322 56,9 105.892 57,2 The first 500 enterprises 154.417 74,6 183.185 75,9 141.587 76,5 The first 1,000 enterprises 170.917 82,5 201.364 83,4 155.527 84,1 ENTERPRISES IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR % SHARE IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 100,0 % SHARE All enterprises The first 5 enterprises The first 10 enterprises SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 87 4 IMPORT IV.7 IMPORT BY MAIN AND SUBSECTION GROUPS In this section, import developments of Turkey on sector basis are reviewed and evaluated in detail. While evaluating the import developments on a sector basis, sectors are grouped according to Harmonized System section classification as in the export. Section classifications in harmonized system categorize 2-digit main sections and 4-digit detailed sections. Within this framework, import developments on sector basis are evaluated with respect to main section groups. 2015 NO SECTIONS Import Million Dollar 2016 % Share Import Million Dollar % Share 2015/2016 Change % 84 Machinery 25.587 12,3 27.296 13,7 6,7 27 Mineral fuels and oils 37.843 18,3 27.163 13,7 -28,2 85 Electrical machinery and equipment 17.638 8,5 20.135 10,1 14,2 87 Road motor vehicles 17.544 8,5 17.841 9,0 1,7 72 Iron and steel 14.775 7,1 12.575 6,3 -14,9 According to section classification, import in the first 20 sectors with the highest import levels dropped by 3.7 percent in 2016 and decreased to USD 163.6 billion. While the share of the first 20 sectors in total import was 82.0 percent in 2015, this share increased to 82.4 percent in 2016. 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 12.268 5,9 11.628 5,9 -5,2 71 Precious or semiprecious stones 4.183 2,0 7.204 3,6 72,2 90 Precise optical, scaling and tuning devices 4.621 2,2 4.632 2,3 0,2 After Many Years Most Imported Product Changed in 2016, Machinery Import Ranks The First 29 Organic chemical products 4.716 2,3 4.359 2,2 -7,6 88 Air and space crafts 3.830 1,8 4.310 2,2 12,5 30 Pharmaceuticals 4.296 2,1 4.217 2,1 -1,8 73 Ironware or steelware 2.742 1,3 2.982 1,5 8,7 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 3.334 1,6 2.866 1,4 -14,0 74 Copper and copperware 2.985 1,4 2.724 1,4 -8,7 48 Paper and cardboard and related goods 2.684 1,3 2.685 1,4 0,0 40 Rubber and rubberware 2.525 1,2 2.561 1,3 1,4 52 Cotton, cotton yarn and cotton fabric 2.265 1,1 2.297 1,2 1,4 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments 2.097 1,0 2.133 1,1 1,8 38 Various chemical materials 2.050 1,0 2.024 1,0 -1,2 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers 1.966 0,9 1.954 1,0 -0,6 The First 20 Sections in Total 145.265 150.770 73,1 72,8 -3,7 IV.7.1 IMPORT BY MAIN SECTION GROUPS Share of The First 20 Sectors In Total Import Increased By 82.4 Percent With an increase of 6.7 percent in 2016, machinery import became the most imported section amounting to USD 27.3 billion. Its share in total import increased from 12.3 to 13.7 percent. Mineral Fuel and Oils that ranked the first in Turkey’s total import for many years moved one level down and ranked the second after Machinery along with the decrease in crude oil prices. The share of Mineral Fuel and Oils in total import decreased from 18.3 percent to 13.7 percent. Gold Import Increased Again Import of Precious and Semi-Precious Stones including Gold dropped by 50 percent and decreased from USD 16.23 billion to USD 8.12 billion in 2014. In 2015, import experiencing a high drop rate with 48.5 percent once again decreased to USD 4.18 billion. However, import increased by 72.2 percent and amounted to USD 7.2 billion in 2016 Import in Ironware and Steelware Continued To Increase Decreases in import unit prices of Ironware and Steelware and extreme price competition among the countries, import of ironware and steelware increased by 8.7 percent and amounted to USD 2.98 billion in 2016. Import of construction components used in bridges, pipe fittings, reservoirs and various goods played a crucial role in the increase. 88 TABLE.23 DISTRIBUTION OF IMPORT BY 2-DIGIT MAIN SECTIONS THE FIRST 20 PRODUCTS SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Among The First Most Imported 20 Sections, Import of 9 Sections Decreased As in 2015, import increased in 11 sections and decreased in 9 sections among the first most imported 20 sections of nium and Aluminiumware with a decrease of 14.9 and 14 percent respectively. Other sections import of which decreased include Copper and Copperware, Organic Chemical Products, Plastics and Plasticware, Pharmaceuticals and Various Chemical Materials. Import unit prices continued to decrease in 2016, though not as much as in 2015. Although their ranks changed, the first most imported 20 sections were same both in 2015 and 2016. 2016. In 2016, products with the most increasing import level were Precious Stones (Gold), Electrical Machinery and Devices and Air and Space Crafts with an increase of 72.2, 14.2 and 12.5 percent respectively. Other products import of which increased most are Ironware and Steelware as well as Machinery. The products import of which decreased most are Mineral Fuel and Oils with a decrease of 28.2 percent. After Mineral Fuels and Oils, the products with the most decreasing import level are Iron and Steel and Alumi- FIGURE.10 THE MOST IMPORTED FIRST 20 SECTIONS 2016 Machinery Mineral fuels and oils Electrical machinery and equipment Road motor vehicles Iron and steel Plastics and Plasticsware Precious or semiprecious stones Precise optical, scaling and tuning devices Organic chemical products Air and space crafts Pharmaceuticals Ironware or steelware Aluminium and aluminiumware Copper and copperware Paper and cardboard and related goods Rubber and rubberware Cotton, cotton yarn and cotton fabric Synthetic and artificial filaments Various chemical materials Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibersr 17.841 4.632 4.359 4.310 2.982 2.866 2.724 2.685 2.561 2.297 2.133 2.024 1.954 0 5.000 27.296 27.163 20.135 12.575 11.628 7.204 ımport mıllıon dollar 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION IV.7.2 IMPORT BY SUBSECTION GROUPS 1-MACHINERY Machinery Import Ranked The First Although import of machinery, the leading investment commodity, decreased in 2014 and 2015, it increased by 6.7 percent and amounted to USD 27.3 billion, and became the most imported section in 2016. In respect to subsections, Turkey imports any type of machinery at high amounts. Import increased in 9 product groups out of the first most imported ten subsections. Subsec- TABLE.24 SUBSECTIONS IN MACHINERY IMPORT PRODUCT code 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 8408 Piston Engines 2.278 2.265 2.274 0,4 13,50 14,51 8471 Automatic Information Processing Machinery 2.716 2.200 1.895 -13,9 130,89 120,70 8479 Other Special Machinery and Mechanical Equipment 1.151 1.059 1.509 42,5 12,99 13,31 8481 Taps and Valves 1.057 1.005 1.132 12,6 19,69 18,51 8411 Turbojets and Other Gas Turbines 773 813 1.105 35,9 174,10 140,32 8414 Air Pumps and Compressors 1.166 999 1.105 10,6 7,72 7,78 8429 Heavy Machinery 1.028 996 1.068 7,2 6,41 6,20 8421 Centrifuges 959 1.012 1.016 0,4 14,80 16,95 8409 Engine Components and Parts 817 850 931 9,5 11,18 11,29 8413 Pump for Liquids 881 852 889 4,4 14,35 15,81 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 89 4 IMPORT tion with a maximum increase in import was Other Special Machinery and Mechanical Equipment with an increase of 42.5 percent. Achieving an increasing by 35.9 percent, Turbojet and Gas Turbine became the second most imported subsection in 2016. Imports of Taps and Valves, as well as Pumps and Compressors, increased by more than 10 percent. As in 2015, the subsection import of which decreased most was automatic information processing machinery (computers) with a decrease of 13.9 percent. Import unit prices of Computer and Turbojet decreased, and unit prices of products in other sub-items increased, though very limited. Depreciation of Turkish Lira and installment limitations imposed on the credit card payments in retail markets for these products had an impact on the recession of Automatic Information Processing Machinery (Computer) import. FIGURE.11 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 2.500 2.265 2.200 ımport mıllıon dollar 2.000 1.500 1.059 1.000 1.012 1.005 999 500 0 Pistonlu Motorlar Otomatik Bilgi Diğer Özel Santrifüjler Makineler ve İşlem Makineleri Mekanik Cihazlar Musluklar, Vanalar ve Benzeri Cihazlar Hava Pompaları ve Kompresörleri SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2- MINERAL FUEL AND MINERAL OILS FIGURE.12 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 Rapid Recession in Import Continued This Year, Share in Total Import Decreased To 14 Percent IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR Import of mineral fuel and oils dropped by 28.2 percent in 20.000 15.285 2016, and its share in total import decreased from 18.3 per15.000 7.336 cent of 2015 to 13.7 percent. Import, amounting to USD 37.8 billion in 2015 decreased to USD 27.16 billion in 2016. 10.000 This recession resulted from the fact that crude oil prices 5.000 2.628 1.218 experienced a sharp fell in 2015 and remained at the level 0 USD 50 in 2016. Although crude oil and natural gas could Solid fuels from Petroleum Petroleum and Petroleum hard coals gases and natural gas oils not be clearly distinguished as information related to crude other gas hydrocarbons oil subsection with code 2709 was included in the informaSOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION tion related to subsection with code 2799, import of crude oil and natural gas dropped by 34.7 percent and decreased 7.3 billion in 2015. Import of hard coals, which increased to USD 15.3 billion in 2016. The second most imported sub- by 257.9 percent in 2015, decreased by 11.1 percent and section is petroleum oils. Import of petroleum oils dropped amounted to USD 2.6 billion in 2016. Electric energy import by 18.7 percent and decreased from USD 9 billion to USD experienced a 34.3 percent decrease. TABLE.25 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF MINERAL FUEL AND OILS PRODUCT CODE 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 2799 Petroleum and Natural Gas 34.766 23.425 15.285 -34,7 2710 Petroleum oils 15.369 9.026 7.336 -18,7 0,54 0,42 2701 Solid fuels from hard coals 826 2.957 2.628 -11,1 0,09 0,07 2711 Petroleum gases and other gas hydrocarbons 2.677 1.455 1.218 -16,3 0,42 0,36 2713 Petroleum coke and petroleum bitumen 587 396 269 -32,1 0,09 0,06 2716 Electric energy 439 325 214 -34,3 2704 Hard coal, Lignite 73 110 101 -8,9 0,19 0,17 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 90 2014 Million Dollar 3-ELECTRICAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT Import Increased Rapidly This Year Import of electrical machinery and equipment increased by 14.2 percent and amounted to USD 20.1 billion in 2016. Its share in total import increased and reached to 10.1 percent. Communication devices (mobile phones) rank on the top among the most imported first ten sections. Import of mobile phones increased by 1.6 percent and amounted to USD 4.75 billion in 2016. The unit price remained unchanged. The increase in the foreign exchange rates made the rapid increase of mobile phone import stable. The second largest subsection is Diodes and Transistors with a 370 percent increase in import. Import of diodes and transistors which was USD 630 million in 2015 reached to USD 2,964 million in 2016. This upward trend was caused as the unit price increased from USD 14.3 to USD 37.8. Import increased in electric energy generation groups increased by 56.2 percent, in insulated cables and wires by 14 percent and Electric Control and Distribution Switchboards by 11.2 percent. The subsection with the most decreasing import level was Components and Parts FIGURE.13 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 Import mıllıon dollar 5.000 4.751 4.000 2.964 3.000 2.000 1.457 1.000 1.030 997 868 816 Television Insulated Electric 0 Commınication Gadgets Diodes Electric energy Electirical of Monitors and TV Receivers. Along with the decrease in import unit price, import dropped by 23 percent and increased from USD 1.3 billion and USD 997 million. Import of TV receivers also moved down by 9.6 percent and amounted to USD 799 million. TABLE.26 SUBSECTIONS IN ELECTRICAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT IMPORT CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 4.420 4.675 411 630 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 4.751 1,6 250,28 251,21 2.964 370,1 14,34 37,85 8517 Communication devices 8541 Diodes, Transistors 8502 Electric energy generation groups 861 933 1.457 56,2 10,00 11,32 8536 Electrical circuit installation 1.094 1.074 1.030 -4,1 29,21 29,73 8529 Television components and parts 1.408 1.294 997 -23,0 72,37 58,17 8544 Insulated cables and wires 754 762 868 14,0 12,08 11,21 8537 Electric control and distribution switchboards 777 734 816 11,2 49,17 45,60 8528 Television receivers 1.106 884 799 -9,6 42,30 42,38 8504 Electric transformers 728 731 776 6,2 19,83 20,96 8501 Electric motors and generators 778 731 737 0,8 8,06 8,00 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 4- ROAD MOTOR VEHICLES Import Witnessed A Very Limited Increase This Year Import of road motor vehicles increased by 1.7 percent and reached to USD 17.84 billion in 2016. Its share in total import increased from 8.5 percent to 9 percent. The most imported subsection is Automobiles with USD 9.8 billion. Import of automobiles increased by 6.7 percent compared with the previous year. With USD 5.2 billion, the second most imported subsection is Components and Parts for Road Vehicles. Subsection with the most increasing import level is the Special Purpose Motor Vehicles with an increase of 78.3 percent. This group includes the fire trucks, cranes, tow trucks, cement mixers, street sweepers and asphalt distributors. In 2016, Special Purpose Motor Vehicles of amount USD 175 million were imported. Subsections with decreasing import levels include Trac- FIGURE.14 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 12.000 10.000 ımport mıllıon dollar 9.842 8.000 6.000 5.185 4.000 2.000 0 Automobilies Componenets and parts for road vehicles 1.154 681 Truck Tractors SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION tors, Minibus-Bus, Trucks, Trailers and Motorcycle Parts. Dropping by 34.5 percent, the subsection with a maximum decrease in import was Tractors. Import of Minibus and Bus also decreased by 26.4 percent. ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 91 4 IMPORT TABLE.27 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF ROAD MOTOR VEHICLES CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 8703 Automobiles 7.721 9.227 9.842 6,7 11,05 11,21 8708 Components and parts for road vehicles 4.951 4.966 5.185 4,4 8,85 9,25 8704 Truck 1.133 1.323 1.154 -12,8 8,36 8,70 8701 Tractors 875 1.039 681 -34,5 8,13 7,60 8711 Motorcycles 178 204 241 17,9 12,60 14,32 8702 Minibus, Bus 269 253 186 -26,4 10,25 10,44 8705 Tow Trucks, Fire Truck, Street Sweeper, Asphalt Distributor 150 98 175 78,3 9,93 16,54 8716 Trailers 197 162 143 -11,8 4,31 4,29 8714 8711-8713 Components and Parts 141 149 130 -12,7 5,02 4,97 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 5- IRON AND STEEL FIGURE.15 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 Unit Prices Continued To Decrease; Import Recessed Rapidly Unit prices of ironware and steelware decreased by approximately 15 percent in all subsections in 2016. Thus, import of iron and steel dropped by 14.9 percent and decreased to USD 12.6 billion in 2016. The import of section with number 72 amounts to 36.1 million ton. Import was subject to value decrease in all of the most imported ten subsections. The most imported subsection product was Ingot iron (Scrap Iron) with USD 3.96 billion. Although import of Ingot iron (Scrap Iron) decreased by 7.6 percent in value compared with the previous year, it increased by 9 percent in amount. In comparison with 2015, sub-items import of which decreased most in value include Semi-finished iron and non-alloy products (31.1 percent), cast iron (20.1 percent), Ferro Al- 5.000 3.962 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 4.000 3.000 1.977 2.000 1.553 1.000 1.186 771 741 0 Ingot iron Semi-finished Iron and non- Rolled flat Stainless steel Rolled flat rolled flat products, width (Scrap Iron) iron and non- alloy rolled flat products 600 mm or alloy products products (width 600 mm products more or more) SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION liage (18.3 percent), and stainless steel rolled flat products (17.3 percent). TABLE.28 SUBSECTIONS IN IRON-STEEL IMPORT CODE PRODUCT 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 7204 Ingot iron (Scrap Iron) 7.150 4.288 3.962 -7,6 0,26 0,22 7207 Semi-finished iron and non-alloy products 2.515 2.869 1.977 -31,1 0,37 0,32 7208 Iron and non-alloy rolled flat products 1.997 1.824 1.553 -14,9 0,44 0,38 7225 Rolled flat products (width 600 mm or more) 764 1.318 1.186 -10,0 0,67 0,63 7219 Stainless steel rolled flat products 1.044 932 771 -17,3 1,96 1,62 7210 Rolled flat products, width 600 mm or more 893 781 741 -5,2 0,73 0,63 7202 Ferro alliage 572 455 372 -18,3 1,14 0,93 7209 Rolled Flat Products (width > 600 mm, coldrolled, uncoated) 495 365 354 -3,1 0,54 0,46 7201 Cast iron and mirrored iron 392 343 274 -20,1 0,29 0,25 7216 Iron and non-alloy profiles 253 256 252 -1,8 0,60 0,50 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 92 2014 Million Dollar 6-PLASTICS AND PLASTICWARE Import of Plastics Continued To Decrease Import of plastics and plasticware dropped by 5.2 percent and decreased to USD 11.6 billion in 2016. In 2015, substantial decreases in petroleum prices reduced the import unit prices of plastic raw materials. Although the decrease of unit prices relatively slowed down in 2016 compared with 2015, unit prices of 8 subsection products among the most imported ten subsections also moved down this year. The most imported polymers of propylene or other olefins experienced a drop of 11.5 percent in import and decreased from USA 2.65 billion to USD 2.35 billion. The subsection, import of which decreased most in value, was Acrylic Polymers with 18.6 percent. Import of vinyl chloride and polystyrene decreased by 13.6 and 12.2 percent. Subsection products, import of which increased in comparison with the previous year, include Self-adhesive tape sheets and strips and other plasticware. FIGURE.16 THE MOST EXPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 ımport mıllıon dollar 2.500 2.346 2.341 2.000 1.500 1.134 1.000 907 705 698 668 Polystyrene Other Plasticsware 500 0 Polymers of Polymers of Polyacetals, Other Rubber Propylene or of Ethylene Other Polyethers Sheet, Plate, Strips Other Olefins Vinyl Chloride SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.29 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF PLASTICS AND PLASTICSWARE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 3902 Polymers of Propylene or of Other Olefins 3.314 2.650 2.346 -11,5 1,36 1,16 3901 Polymers of Ethylene 2.618 2.406 2.341 -2,7 1,50 1,37 3907 Polyacetals, Other Polyethers 1.280 1.174 1.134 -3,4 1,87 1,65 3920 Other Rubber Sheet, Plate, Strips 1.004 922 907 -1,6 3,60 3,64 3904 Vinyl Chloride 1.022 816 705 -13,6 0,98 0,93 3903 Polystyrene 974 795 698 -12,2 1,55 1,37 3926 Other Plasticsware 703 658 668 1,5 9,66 9,45 3909 Amino Resines, Phenolic Resines 534 447 411 -8,2 2,06 1,89 3919 Self-Adhesive Sheets, Plates, Tape 339 323 331 2,6 5,62 5,75 3906 Acrylic Polymers 452 370 302 -18,6 1,87 1,45 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 7- PRECIOUS AND SEMI-PRECIOUS STONES Gold Import Increased Again Import increase reached the highest level in Precious and Semi-Precious Stones in 2016. In comparison with the previous year, import raised by 72.2 percent and increased from USD 4.2 billion to USD 7.2 billion. Gold prices were considerably stable in 2015 and increased by approximately 10 percent in 2016. In respect to subsections, Gold import increased by 88.5 percent and amounted to USD 6.46 billion. Jewelry import slightly decreased in comparison with the previous year and amounted to USD 405 million. Silver import increased by 1.2 percent. FIGURE.17 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 7.000 6.459 ımport mıllıon dollar 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 405 0 Gold .Jewerly and Components 164 Silver SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 93 4 IMPORT TABLE.30 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF PRECIOUS STONES AND METALS CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 7108 Gold 7.107 3.426 6.459 88,5 32.780 36.313 7113 Jewelry and Components 659 409 405 -1,1 5.461 6.353 7106 Silver 175 162 164 1,2 488,15 491,93 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 8-PRECISE OPTICAL MEASUREMENT AND MEDICAL DEVICES Import of Precise Measurement-Optical and Medical Devices Remained Same As The Previous Year Import of precise measurement, optical and medical devices, which are of vital importance and included in the highest-technology product group, amounted to USD 4.63 billion in 2016. Compared with 2015, import increased by 0.2 percent. Import of medical tools and equipment, one of the most imported subsection product, increased bu 2.3 percent and amounted to USD 946 million. Subsection with a maximum increase in import is Tachometer, Speedometer, and Taximeter, which increased by 14.4 percent. Import of Automatic Checking and Tuning Tolls increased by 13.4 percent and amounted to USD 639 million, and import of Tools-Equipment for Physical-Chemical Analysis increased by 10 percent and reached to USD 339 million. Subsections, import of which decreased, include Other FIGURE.18 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 946 1.000 ımport mıllıon dollar 800 639 600 443 400 339 200 326 0 Other Measurement Toolsand Examination Equipment for Physical- Tools, Equipment and Machinery Chemical Analysis Orthopedic Medical Tools and Automatic Equipment Equipment Checking and Tuning Tools and Equipment SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Measurement and Examination Tools, X-Ray, Alpha-Ray, Beta-Ray and Gama-Ray Equipment and Liquid Crystal Mechanism, Lasers and X-Ray Equipment. TABLE.31 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF PRECISE MEASUREMENT, OPTICAL AND MEDICAL DEVICES CODE PRODUCT 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 9018 Medical Tools and Equipment 1.113 925 946 2,3 40,71 40,00 9032 Automatic Checking and Tuning Tools and Equipment 586 564 639 13,4 27,14 27,63 9021 Orthopedic Equipment 493 424 443 4,4 495,87 467,96 9027 Tools-Equipment for Physical-Chemical Analysis 335 308 339 10,0 101,88 107,74 9031 Other Measurement and Examination Tools, Equipment and Machinery 370 359 326 -9,3 67,36 75,74 9013 Liquid Crystal Mechanism, Lasers, Other Optical Equipment and Tools 290 327 306 -6,6 101,50 99,74 9022 X-Ray, Alpha-Ray, Beta-Ray and Gama-Ray Equipment 250 270 249 -8,0 98,66 90,36 9026 Equipment for Measuring Flow, Level, and Pressure of Liquid and Gases 212 226 235 4,0 71,87 65,43 9001 Optical Fibers, Beams, Cables 187 170 166 -2,4 11,41 13,13 9029 Tachometers, Taximeters and Speedometers 113 133 153 14,4 37,36 35,13 9004 Glasses and Such 156 153 147 -4,4 91,45 80,40 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 94 2014 Million Dollar 9-ORGANIC CHEMICAL MATERIALS Import of Foreign-Dependent Organic Chemicals Continued To Increase FIGURE.19 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 700 While the import of organic chemicals increased by 9.8 percent and reached USD 5.83 billion in 2014, import in 2015 dropped by 19.1 percent and decreased to USD 4.71 billion. Import kept decreasing in 2016 and amounted to USD 4.36 billion. Although Turkey is considerably foreign-dependent regarding organic chemical products, decreases in unit prices reduced import in value.The most imported subsection is Acyclic Alcohols and Their Derivatives with USD 590 million. Among the subsections, the one with a maximum increase in import is Nitrogenous Heterocyclic and Nitrogen Family Compounds with an increase of 6.8 percent. Subsections, import of which decreased most, include Unsaturated Acyclic Monocarboxylic Acids, Organic Chemical Products, and Saturated Acyclic Monocarboxylic Acids. 600 ımport mıllıon dollar 590 489 500 457 400 409 300 247 243 200 100 0 Cyclic Only Saturated acyclic Unsaturated Acyclic alcohols Polycarboxylic acyclic acids and their hydrocarbons nitrogenous monocarboxylic and their heterocyclic monocarboxylic acids derivatives derivatives compounds acids SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.32 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF ORGANIC CHEMICAL PRODUCTS CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 2905 Acyclic alcohols and their derivatives 850 674 590 -12,5 0,68 0,54 2917 Polycarboxylic acids and their derivatives 746 538 489 -9,1 0,85 0,79 2902 Cyclic hydrocarbons 579 486 457 -6,0 1,08 0,92 2933 Only nitrogenous heterocyclic compounds 426 383 409 6,8 4,63 4,60 2915 Saturated acyclic monocarboxylic acids 347 292 247 -15,5 1,02 0,86 2916 Unsaturated acyclic monocarboxylic acids 356 300 243 -18,9 1,66 1,30 2900 Organic Chemical Products 421 282 229 -18,7 1,35 1,11 2941 Antibiotics 179 188 170 -9,7 95,60 90,57 2929 Other Nitrogen Family Compounds 186 157 168 6,8 1,91 1,94 2922 Oxygen Family Amino Compounds 152 163 160 -1,5 3,17 3,11 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 10- AIR AND SPACE CRAFTS Import of Air and Space Crafts Continue To Increase Import of Air and Space Crafts increased by 12.5 percent and amounted to USD 4.3 billion in 2016. Despite decreases in import unit prices, import in this section continues to increase both on amount and value basis. Import increased in all the subsections. The maximum increase was 69.8 percent in Undercarriage and Ejection Gun. FIGURE.20 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 4.500 4.000 3.869 ımport mıllıon dollar 3.500 3.000 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 381 0 Air and Space Crafts Components and Parts of Air and Space Crafts SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 95 4 IMPORT TABLE.33 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF AIR AND SPACE CRAFTS CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 8802 Air and Space Crafts 2.677 3.442 3.869 12,4 927,10 826,75 8803 Components and Parts of Air and Space Crafts 313 351 381 8,6 493,83 473,80 8805 Undercarriage and Ejection Gun of Air Crafts 29 33 57 69,8 384,39 242,46 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.21 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 11-PHARMACEUTICALS 3.000 Increase in The Pharmaceuticals Import Stopped, and Started to Decrease 2.611 2.500 Import of pharmaceuticals dropped by 1 percent and decreased to USD 4.2 billion in 2016. Import that rapidly increased until 2014 started to decrease in 2015 and 2016 due to the downward trend in import unit prices. The most imported sub-item is medicine. In 2016, medicine import amounted to USD 2.6 billion. The second most imported product is Blood, Serum, and Vaccine. Comparing with the previous year, import of Blood, Serum, and Vaccine dropped by 4.6 percent and decreased to USD 1.32 billion in 2016. ımport mıllıon dollar 2.000 1.320 1.500 1.000 500 128 109 0 Medicines Human Blood, Animal Blood, Serum, Vaccine Mixed Medicines Other Pharmaceuticals and For Treatment Preparations SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.34 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF PHARMACEUTICALS CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 3004 Medicines 2.875 2.643 2.611 -1,2 62,98 59,63 3002 Human Blood, Animal Blood, Serum, Vaccine 1.268 1.384 1.320 -4,6 471,05 301,78 3006 Other Pharmaceuticals and Preparations 139 120 128 6,8 72,93 76,88 3003 Mixed Medicines For Treatment 97 103 109 5,7 105,37 102,51 12-IRONWARE AND STEELWARE Increase in Import Continued As in 2015, import of ironware and steelware continued its upward trend in 2016. Import increased by 8.7 percent and reached USD 2.98 billion in 2016. Both in 2015 and 2016, stability in iron and steel raw material prices and a steady trend in demand caused an extreme price competition among the countries exporting these products to world markets. The unused capacity problem in Chinese iron and steel sector continued to grow in 2016. Besides, many countries put world iron and steel trade in a very problematic position by adopting protective measures and imposing compensatory taxes. Net exporting countries turned out to be net importer countries. Although Turkey maintained its position as a net exporter, net surplus, which was USD 2.72 billion in 2015, dropped by 27 percent and decreased to FIGURE.22 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 800 700 ımport mıllıon dollar 704 600 500 448 392 400 255 300 193 200 202 100 0 Screws, Nuts, Bolts Other Ironware or Steelware Building and Thin and Construction Thick Pipes Components and Hollow Section SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 96 2016 Unit Price $/kg Pipe Fittings Other Thin and Thick Pipes and Hollow Section USD 1.98 billion in 2016. In respect to subsections, the most imported product section is Screws, Nuts, and Bolts with USD 704 million. Import of other ironware and steelware increased by 43.7 percent in 2016 and became the second most imported item. Subsection with a maximum increase in import was Reservoirs and Tanks with 299 percent increase. The products in the subsection with a maximum decrease in import were Pipes Wider Than 40.6cm and Construction Components, which dropped by 17.9 percent and 16.4 percent respectively. TABLE.35 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF IRONWARE AND STEELWARE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 7318 Screws, Nuts, Bolts 626 664 704 6,0 6,83 7,73 7326 Other Ironware or Steelware 294 311 448 43,7 3,50 3,40 7308 Building and Construction Components 391 306 255 -16,4 1,12 1,01 7304 Thin and Thick Pipes and Hollow Section 263 291 392 34,6 3,16 3,01 7307 Pipe Fittings 244 213 193 -9,7 1,87 1,76 7306 Other Thin and Thick Pipes and Hollow Section 166 187 202 8,0 5,48 5,13 7305 Other Thin and Thick Pipes (Welded, Rivet > 406.4mm) 11 152 125 -17,9 1,16 1,11 7309 Reservoirs, Tanks and Containers (Volume > 300 Lt) 31 29 115 298,9 3,30 6,01 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 13-ALUMINIUM AND ALUMINIUMWARE Import of Aluminium Continued To Decrease Import of aluminum and aluminumware dropped by 14 percent and decreased to USD 2.87 billion in 2016. Regarding amount, aluminum import decreased from 1.40 million tons to 1.35 million tons. In respect to subsections, maximum decrease belongs to Non-Processed Aluminium. While non-processed aluminum amounting to USD 2.49 billion was imported in 2014, this amount decreased to USD 2.33 billion in 2015 Maintaining its downward trend in 2016, aluminum import dropped by 20.3 percent and decreased to USD 1.85 million. Aluminum unit prices also decreased in 2016. FIGURE.23 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 2.000 1.800 1.600 1.400 1.200 1.000 800 600 400 200 0 1.854 IMPORT IN MILLION DOLLARS 419 NonProcessed Aluminium 158 Aluminium Sheet Metals, Sheets, Aluminium Cut Sheets and Strips Strips (Thickness > 0.2mm) (Thickness <= 0.2mm) SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.36 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF ALUMINIUM AND ALUMINIUMWARE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 7601 Non-Processed Aluminium 2.491 2.327 1.854 -20,3 2,06 1,76 7606 Aluminium Sheet Metals, Sheets, Strips (Thickness > 0.2mm) 395 417 419 0,5 3,31 3,01 7607 Aluminium Cut Sheets and Strips (Thickness <= 0.2mm) 153 155 158 2,0 4,38 4,03 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 97 4 IMPORT 14. COPPER AND COPPERWARE Copper Import Has Been Decreasing For The Last Three Years Import of copper and copperware continued to decrease for the last three consecutive years and decreased to USD 2.7 billion in 2016. On the other hand, import of copper and copperware increased on amount basis for the last three consecutive years and reached 533 thousand tons. Copper import, which decreased by 8.7 percent in value, increased in 4.3 percent in amount. Import unit prices of copper decreased by 8.5 percent in all subsections. The most imported subsection is Refined Copper and Copper Alloys. Import of Refined Copper dropped by 9.5 percent and decreased to USD 2.0 billion in 2016. The subsection with a maximum decrease in import is Copper Pipes subsection with 14.4 percent. FIGURE.24 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 IMPORT IN MILLION DOLLARS 2.500 1.999 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 292 124 0 Refined Copper and Copper Alloys Thin and Thick Copper Pipes Copper Wires SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.37 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF COPPER AND COPPERWARE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 7403 Refined Copper and Copper Alloys 2.577 2.208 1.999 -9,5 5,69 4,93 7408 Copper Wires 575 304 292 -3,9 6,19 5,24 7411 Thin and Thick Copper Pipes 144 145 124 -14,4 6,90 6,08 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 15- PAPER AND CARDBOARD AND RELATED GOODS FIGURE.25 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 800 Import of Paper and Cardboard and Related Goods Remained Unchanged 700 In 2016, import of paper and cardboard and related goods maintained its level in 2015. Import amounted to USD 2.68 billion in 2016. Out of the most imported six subsections, import of 5 subsections decreased. The most imported subsection with increasing import level was Non-Plastered Paper and Cardboard with an increase of 34.3 percent. Import of Non-Plastered Paper and Cardboard was USD 686 million in 2016. Subsection with a maximum decrease in import was Newsprint Paper. Its import dropped by 23.8 percent and decreased to USD 132 million in 2016. PRODUCT 500 400 333 321 300 204 200 132 100 0 Non-Plastered Plastered Layers Made of Primary Other Paper and Paper and Paper, Cardboard Fiber (Craft) Paper and Cardboard and Cellulose Paper and Cardboard Cardboard Cardboard Fiber SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg Newsprint Paper 2016 Unit Price $/kg 4802 Non-Plastered Paper and Cardboard 500 511 686 34,3 0,97 1,25 4810 Plastered Paper and Cardboard 778 622 618 -0,7 0,76 0,74 4811 Layers Made of Paper, Cardboard and Cellulose Fiber 384 342 333 -2,8 2,01 2,08 4804 Primary Fiber (Craft) Paper and Cardboard 421 344 321 -6,7 0,69 0,63 4805 Other Paper and Cardboard 279 209 204 -2,3 0,64 0,60 4801 Newsprint Paper 244 173 132 -23,8 0,50 0,50 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 98 618 600 TABLE.38 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF PAPER, CARDBOARD AND RELATED GOODS CODE IMPORT IN MILLION DOLLARS 686 16-RUBBER AND RUBBERWARE FIGURE.26 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 Stall in Rubber and Rubberware Import Import of rubber and rubberware increased by 1.4 percent in 2016. Import of rubber and rubberware amounted to USD 2.56 billion. Imports of Rubber New Outer Tyre that plays a significant role in subsections and Vulcanized Rubber Garment increased by 11.3 and 11.4 percent respectively. New Outer Tyre, the most imported subsection, increased to USD 917 million in 2016. Subsections with a maximum decrease in import are Natural Rubber and Imitation Rubber with 11.1 and 9.3 percent respectively. 1.000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 917 475 338 Rubber New Outer Tyre Imitation Rubber 228 Non-Tempered Vulcanized Rubberware Natural Rubber SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.39 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF RUBBER AND RUBBERWARE CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 4011 Rubber New Outer Tyre 936 824 917 11,3 4,12 4,13 4002 Immitation Rubber 631 524 475 -9,3 1,78 1,59 4016 Non-Tempered Vulcanized Rubberware 360 344 338 -1,7 10,27 10,34 4001 Natural Rubber 326 257 228 -11,1 1,56 1,37 4009 Vulcanized Rubber Hose and Pipes 132 125 139 11,4 10,41 10,74 4015 Any Garment Made of Vulcanized Rubber 110 126 136 7,7 5,59 5,56 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 17-COTTON, COTTON YARN AND COTTON FABRIC Cotton Import Is Stable Though very limited, import of cotton, cotton yarn, and cotton fabric increased by 1.4 percent and amounted to USD 2.30 billion in 2016. Amounts of imported raw cotton and other cotton yarn and fabric were 821.217 tons and 260.399 tons respectively. The amount of imported Cotton, Cotton Yarn, and Cotton Fabric increased by 4.58 percent. Cotton import sustained its position and was realized USD 1.24 million in 2016. Import of cotton yarn increased by 15.8 percent and amounted to USD 444 million, while import of cotton fabric (less than 200 gr./m2) dropped bu 26.5 percent and decreased to USD 175 million. FIGURE.27 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 1.400 1.239 1.200 IMPORT IN MILLION DOLLARS 1.000 800 600 444 400 272 175 200 0 Cotton Cotton Yarn SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION Cotton Fabric (More Than 200 gr/m2 ) Cotton Fabric (Less Than 200 gr/m2) TABLE.40 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF COTTON, COTTON YARN AND COTTON FABRIC CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 5201 Cotton 1.750 1.232 1.239 0,5 1,54 1,51 5205 Cotton Yarn 440 384 444 15,8 2,96 2,85 5209 Cotton Fabric (More Than 200 gr/m2 ) . w 257 272 5,9 7,00 6,71 5208 Cotton Fabric (Less Than 200 gr/m2) 340 238 175 -26,5 8,26 8,45 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 99 4 IMPORT 18- SYNTHETIC AND ARTIFICIAL FILAMENTS FIGURE.28 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 Speed of Yarn and Fabric Import Reduced Import of synthetic and artificial filaments achieved a limited increase by 1.8 percent and reached USD 2.13 billion in 2016. The amount of Synthetic and Artificial Filaments imported raised by 6.41 percent and amounted to 795,521 tons. 695,504 tons of total import corresponds to Synthetic Filament Yarns. The most imported products among the subsections are Synthetic Filament Yarns and Fabric Made of Synthetic Filament Yarn with USD 1.56 billion and USD 430 million respectively. 1.800 1.600 1.400 1.200 1.000 800 600 400 200 0 1.562 430 Syntetic Filament Yarns Fabric Made of Synthetic Filament Yarns SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.41 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF SYNTHETIC AND ARTIFICIAL FILAMENT PRODUCT CODE 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 5402 Synthetic Filament Yarns 1.615 1.482 1.562 5,4 2,29 2,24 5407 Fabric Made of Synthetic Filament Yarns 549 463 430 -7,1 5,89 5,58 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION FIGURE.29 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 19- VARIOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS 700 Import of Various Chemicals Was Also Steady 600 With a limited recession, import of various chemical materials dropped by 1.2 percent and decreased to USD 2.02 billion in 2016. Import unit prices, which dropped by almost 35 percent for some of the products in 2015, witnessed a more limited decrease in 2016. The most imported subsection was Other Chemicals in Chemistry and Associated Industries with USD 573 million. The product with the maximum increase in import was Industrial Monocarboxylic Fatty Acid with 7.4 percent and the product with the maximum decrease in import was Mixed Alkyl Benzene with 6.5 percent. . IMPORT IN MILLION DOLLARS 573 500 400 356 300 244 177 200 100 100 0 Reactive Agents Used in Labs for Diagnosis Other Chemicals in Pesticides Chemistry and Associated Industries Antiknock Preparations Industrial Monocarboxylic Fatty Acid SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.42 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF VARIOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS CODE PRODUCT 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 3824 Other Chemicals in Chemistry and Associated Industries 622 557 573 2,9 2,12 2,11 3808 Pesticides 330 363 356 -1,8 6,88 6,49 3822 Reactive Agents Used in Labs for Diagnosis 255 239 244 2,3 26,19 25,64 3811 Antiknock Preparations 207 187 177 -5,6 3,48 3,34 3823 Industrial Monocarboxylic Fatty Acid 115 93 100 7,4 0,95 0,92 3817 Mixed Alkyl Benzene, Alkyl Naphthalene 148 106 99 -6,5 1,25 1,01 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 100 2014 Million Dollar FIGURE.30 THE MOST IMPORTED SUBSECTIONS 2016 20-SYNTHETIC AND ARTIFICIAL DISCONTINUOUS FIBERS 600 Import Remained Unchanged Import of synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers achieved a very limited decrease by 0.6 percent and amounted to USD 1.95 billion in 2016. Among the subsections, the most imported product with the maximum increase in import level was Non-Processed Artificial Discontinuous Fibers subsection. Import increased by 12.9 percent and reached USD 541 million in 2016. The product with the maximum decrease in import Fabrics Woven With Artificial Discontinuous Fibers. Import dropped by 11.3 percent and decreased to USD 98 million. 541 IMPORT IN MILLION DOLLARS 500 401 400 300 351 200 143 100 PRODUCT 98 0 Artificial Discontinuous Synthetic Fibers (Non-Processed) Discontinuous Fiber Yarn TABLE.43 SUBSECTIONS IN THE IMPORT OF SYNTHETIC AND ARTIFICIAL DISCONTINUOUS FIBERS CODE 100 103 Artificial Filament Beams Synthetic Artificial Discontinuous Discontinuous Fibers (NonFibers Processed) (Excluding Sewing Yarn) Synthetic Filament Beams Fabric Woven With Artificial Discontinuous Fibers SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2015 Unit Price $/kg 2016 Unit Price $/kg 5504 Artificial Discontinuous Fibers (Non-Processed) 485 479 541 12,9 1,83 2,03 5509 Synthetic Discontinuous Fiber Yarn 449 390 401 2,8 3,19 3,00 5503 Synthetic Discontinuous Fibers (Non-Processed) 390 377 351 -6,7 1,76 1,74 5510 Artificial Discontinuous Fibers (Excluding Sewing Yarn) 150 148 143 -3,3 3,16 3,19 5502 Artificial Filament Beams 111 112 103 -7,7 5,62 5,32 5501 Synthetic Filament Beams 145 99 100 1,4 2,10 1,90 5516 Fabric Woven with Artificial Discontinuous Fibers 125 111 98 -11,3 6,91 7,07 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION IV.8 IMPORT BY COUNTRIES AND SECTIONS 1. CHINA FIGURE.31 IMPORT FROM CHINA AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT While overall import decreased, import from China increased Turkey’s total import recessed in 2016. However, import from China continued to increase in 2016. Import from China increased by 2.3 percent and was realized USD 25.44 billion in 2016. The share of import from China increased to 12.8 percent. Thus, in 2016, China strengthened its position as the country from which we import most. Many important sections are imported from China. Import of electrical equipment and machinery, the most imported section, increased by 23.5 percent in 2016. Import also increased in many other product groups. Import of iron and steel raised by 103.0 percent. Import decreased in iron and steel, ironware and steelware, road motor vehicles and woven apparel. IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 25.600 25.400 9,6 25.200 25.000 24.800 24.600 24.400 14,0 12,0 10,0 8,0 7,9 6,0 8,6 4,0 24.918 24.873 25.440 2014 2015 2016 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2,0 0 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 101 4 IMPORT TABLE 44. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM CHINA PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 6.483 6.953 8.589 23,5 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 5.249 5.235 5.722 9,3 72 Iron and steel 649 1.317 886 -32,8 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 994 889 831 -6,6 29 Organic chemical products 719 741 742 0,1 73 Ironware or steelware 695 804 703 -12,5 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments, strips and similar synthetic and artificial knitting materials 578 535 635 18,8 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 604 665 620 -6,8 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 625 584 598 2,3 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 561 524 513 -2,0 CODE SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2. GERMANY FIGURE.32 IMPORT FROM GERMANY AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT Increase in The Import from Germany Import from Germany increased by 0.6 percent and reached USD 21.47 billion in 2016. Germany’s share in our import increased to 10,8 percent. Import of road motor vehicles from Germany dropped by 8.7 percent. Despite an upward trend in domestic sales of automobile, import decreased. Machinery import also went 1.0 percent down. However, import of electrical machinery and equipment increased by 20.4 percent, ironware, and steelware by 19.5 percent and air crafts by 9.9 percent. Due to fleet expansions of airlines, plane import also moved up. IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 10,8 22.500 22.000 21.500 21.000 20.500 11,0 10,5 10,0 9,5 9,0 8,5 8,0 10,3 9,2 22.369 21.352 21.474 2014 2015 2016 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 45. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM GERMANY PRODUCT CODE 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 5,223 5,706 5,210 -8.7 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 5,428 4,541 4,495 -1.0 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 1,709 1,645 1,979 20.4 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 1,612 1,420 1,400 -1.4 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 861 830 842 1.4 30 Pharmaceuticals 857 794 822 3.5 88 Air crafts, space crafts and their components and parts 50 580 638 9.9 72 Iron and steel 719 608 563 -7.4 73 Ironware or steelware 444 385 460 19.5 38 Various chemical materials (bio-diesel, fire extinguishing materials, disinfectants, pesticides, etc.) 455 454 451 -0.7 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 102 2014 Million Dollar 3. RUSSIA FIGURE.33 IMPORT FROM RUSSIA AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT Sharp Fall in Import from Russia Kept Decreasing IMPORT AND IMPORT SHARE 30.000 Import from Russia dropped by 25.7 percent and decreased to USD 15.16 billion in 2016. With its share that declined to 7.6 percent, Russia ceased to be our top importer country and ranked third. Recession in the import from Russia mainly caused by the decrease in the prices of such products as mineral fuel and oils, grain, iron and steel, copper and aluminum. Most of these products were imported less. Import of many other products also decreased. Import of copper and copperware witnessed a considerable increase. 10,4 12,0 9,8 25.000 10,0 7,6 20.000 8,0 15.000 6,0 10.000 4,0 5.000 2,0 0 0 2014 2015 2016 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 46. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM RUSSIA CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 16,493 12,940 8,449 -34.7 72 Iron and steel 2,689 2,744 2,235 -18.5 15 Solid and liquid animal and vegetable fats, cooking solid fat, animal, and candles made of animal and vegetable fats 876 798 729 -8.6 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 1,109 868 627 -27.8 10 Grains 1,451 883 598 -32.2 74 Copper and copperware 301 179 511 186.2 31 Fertilizers 363 217 272 25.3 23 Residuals and rubbish from good industry, roughage for animals 288 264 271 2.3 44 Wood and woodenware, charcoal 179 213 221 3.5 48 Paper and cardboard and goods made of paper and cardboard, papier-mache 201 152 159 5.1 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 4. USA Effect of Air and Space Crafts on Import from the USA Import from the USA dropped by 2.5 percent and decreased to USD 10.87 billion in 2016. The share of the USA in our import was realized 5.5 percent. The two most imported items from the USA witnessed significant developments in 2015. While iron and steel import dropped by 27.8 percent, import of air and space crafts increased by 31.7 percent. Import of mineral fuel and oils, cotton as well as plastics and plasticware also decreased. FIGURE.34 IMPORT FROM USA AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT 13.000 IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 5,5 5,5 12.500 12.000 5,5 5,4 5,4 11.500 11.000 10.500 10.000 9.500 5,6 5,4 5,3 5,3 12.728 11.141 10.868 2014 2015 2016 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 5,3 5,2 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 103 4 IMPORT TABLE 47. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM USA PRODUCT CODE 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 88 Air crafts, space crafts and their components and parts 1,398 1,699 2,238 31.7 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 1,258 1,237 1,395 12.7 72 Iron and steel 1,555 1,047 756 -27.8 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 833 730 691 -5.3 30 Pharmaceuticals 598 557 560 0.5 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 1,075 689 534 -22.5 52 Cotton, cotton yarn and cotton fabric 918 532 523 -1.8 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audiovideo recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 484 478 511 6.7 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 532 433 380 -12.2 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 312 362 278 -23.1 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 5. ITALY Import from Italy Decreased TDue To Mineral Fuel Import from Italy dropped by 3.9 percent and amounted to USD 10.29 billion in 2016. The share of Italy in our import remained as 5.1 percent. Considering the import from Italy in 2016, import in mineral fuel and oils and iron and steel decreased by 60.6 and 20.0 percent respectively. However, import machinery increased by 13.6 percent, ironware, and steelware by 11.8 percent and electrical machinery and equipment by 5.2 percent. Basing on the import from Italy in 2016, import of components and parts for road motor vehicles decreased by 3.5 percent. FIGURE.35 IMPORT FROM ITALY AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT 12.500 12.000 5,4 5,1 11.000 10.500 10.000 5,1 5,3 5,0 9.500 9.000 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 5,0 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 3,215 2,829 3,214 13.6 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 969 1,021 985 -3.5 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 666 635 668 5.2 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 796 674 663 -1.7 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 1,442 1,045 411 -60.6 72 Iron and steel 471 449 360 -20.0 73 Ironware or steelware 298 310 346 11.8 30 Pharmaceuticals 306 277 273 -1.3 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 305 275 258 -6.2 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 249 216 207 -4.1 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 104 5,4 11.500 TABLE 48. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM ITALY CODE 5,2 IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT FIGURE.36 IMPORT FROM FRANCE AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 6. FRANCE 8.200 3,7 Limited Decrease in Import from France 8.000 Import from Italy dropped by 3.1 percent and decreased to USD 7.37 billion in 2016. France’s share in total import did not change and remained at 3.7 percent. Import from Italy dropped below the average. Import from France decreased in air crafts by 1.4 percent, in machinery by 3.2 percent and road motor vehicles by 3.1 percent. As for the other most important four items, import of plastics and plasticware increased by 2.2 percent, electrical machinery, and equipment by 0.6 percent, iron, and steel by 4.7 percent and pharmaceuticals by 7.4 percent. 3,8 3,7 3,7 7.800 3,6 7.600 3,5 3,4 7.400 3,4 7.200 3,3 7.000 6.800 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 3,2 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 49. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM FRANCE PRODUCT CODE 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 88 Air crafts, space crafts and their components and parts 1,060 1,154 1,137 -1.4 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 1,178 1,162 1,125 -3.2 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 939 1,075 1,042 -3.1 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 702 560 572 2.2 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 636 559 555 -0.6 72 Iron and steel 899 528 503 -4.7 30 Pharmaceuticals 439 382 354 -7.4 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 249 242 232 -4.0 38 Various chemical materials (biodiesel, fire extinguishing materials, disinfectants, pesticides, etc.) 239 235 228 -2.8 33 Volatile oils and resinoids and perfumery, cosmetics and toiletry preparations 169 157 169 8.0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 7. SOUTH KOREA Import from South Korea Decreased By 9.5 Percent After the execution of free trade agreement, import from South Korea rapidly increased, and then decreased by 6.5 percent in 2015. The decrease in import in 2016, on the other hand, was higher with 9.5 percent. Import from South Korea decreased to USD 6.38 billion in 2016, the share of South Korea in our import declined to 3.2 percent. Trade with South Korea was affected by the overall slowdown in import. Import of all sections other than machinery, road motor vehicles and synthetic and artificial filaments decreased. Maximum decrease was observed in the import of precise measurement tools with 37.9 percent. Import of electrical machinery and equipment dropped by 30 percent. The maximum increase in import was achieved in machinery with 13.0 percent. FIGURE.37 IMPORT FROM SOUTH KOREA AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 8.000 3,5 3,4 3,4 7.500 3,2 7.000 6.500 3,1 6.000 5.500 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2016 3,3 3,2 3,1 3,0 2,9 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 105 4 IMPORT TABLE 50. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM SOUTH KOREA PRODUCT CODE 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 1,340 1,161 1,077 -7.2 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts and accessories 1,861 1,505 1,053 -30.0 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 1,073 795 898 13.0 72 Iron and steel 694 893 871 -2.4 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 604 661 720 8.9 29 Organic chemical products 380 359 309 -14.1 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 291 361 224 -37.9 30 Pharmaceuticals 133 219 210 -4.2 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments, strips and similar synthetic and artificial knitting materials 168 163 172 5.6 40 Rubber and rubberware 205 166 159 -4.4 FIGURE.38 IMPORT FROM INDIA AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 8. INDIA Increase in import from India is related to three sectors Although the increase in the import from India accelerated in recent years, it dropped rapidly in 2015. However, import increased again by 2.6 percent in 2016, though limited. Import from India increased to USD 5.76 billion in 2016. India’s share in our import amounted to 2.9 in 2016. Increase in the imports of mineral oils and fuel (10.0 percent), road motor vehicles (9.8 percent) and machinery (4.1 percent) was determinative in the import from India in 2016. Import of synthetic and artificial filament dropped by 8.000 IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 6.000 2,8 4.000 2,7 2.000 0 3,0 2,9 2,9 2,8 2,8 2,7 2,7 2,6 2,9 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 3.1 percent, and organic chemical products decreased by 2.8 percent. TABLE 51. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM INDIA PRODUCT CODE 27 87 84 Mineral fuel, mineral oils and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 2015 Million 2016 Million 15/16 Change Dollar Dollar Dollar Rate % 2,663 1,786 1,964 10.0 461 509 559 9.8 428 433 451 4.1 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments, strips and similar synthetic and artificial knitting materials 379 355 345 -3.1 29 Organic chemical products 292 284 276 -2.8 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 315 230 234 1.7 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers 235 229 220 -3.9 239 186 182 -2.1 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audiovideo recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 32 Extracts, tannin, dyes, pigments, varnishes, pastes, inks used in tanning and dyeing 229 179 163 -9.0 72 Iron and steel 173 147 133 -9.0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 106 2014 Million 9. SPAIN A considerable increase in the import of road motor vehicles from Spain Import from Spain increased by 1.6 percent and reached USD 5.68 billion in 2016. Spain’s share in our total import was 2.9 percent. Despite the limited increase in overall import from Spain, import of road motor vehicles showed an upward trend by 14.1 percent and electrical machinery and equipment’s import increased by 23.7 percent in 2016. Machinery import also raised by 3.8 percent. However, import of plastics and plasticware, iron-steel import, and pharmaceuticals decreased in 2016. FIGURE.39 IMPORT FROM SPAIN AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT 6.200 IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 6.000 3,0 2,9 2,8 2,7 2,6 2,5 2,4 2,3 2,9 2,7 5.800 5.600 2,5 5.400 5.200 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 52. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM SPAIN PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 1,314 1,635 1,865 14.1 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 533 448 465 3.8 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 400 373 461 23.7 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 560 464 430 -7.4 72 Iron and steel 441 377 343 -9.1 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 163 166 279 67.8 29 Organic chemical products 314 288 255 -11.7 30 Pharmaceuticals 119 141 129 -8.8 74 Copper and copperware 389 231 127 -44.9 32 Extracts, tannin, dyes, pigments, varnishes, pastes, inks used in tanning and dyeing 106 90 94 3.9 CODE SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 10. ENGLAND Import from England Dropped By 4.0 Percent Import from England dropped by 4.0 percent and decreased to USD 5.32 billion in 2016. England’s share in our overall import did not change and remained 2.7 percent. The decrease in the import from England was mainly caused by 34.2 percent drop in iron and steel import. Import of plastics and plasticware also decreased by 8.8 percent. However, import increased in machinery by 9.8 percent, in road motor vehicles by 8.9 percent, in pharmaceuticals by 2.2 percent and in electrical machinery and equipment by 1.0 percent in 2016. FIGURE.40 IMPORT FROM ENGLAND AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT 6.000 IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 5.800 2,7 2,7 5.600 5.400 2014 2,6 2,5 2,4 5.200 5.000 2,8 2,7 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2016 2,4 2,3 2,2 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 107 4 IMPORT TABLE 53. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM ENGLAND CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 1,418 1,348 1,480 9.8 722 903 984 8.9 1,456 1,151 758 -34.2 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 72 Iron and steel 30 Pharmaceuticals 296 304 311 2.2 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audiovideo recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 204 218 220 1.0 29 Organic chemical products 286 190 188 -0.9 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 243 193 176 -8.8 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 168 158 157 -0.2 38 Various chemical materials (bio-diesel, fire extinguishing materials, disinfectants, pesticides, etc.) 107 93 87 -6.7 32 Extracts, tannin, dyes, pigments, varnishes, pastes, inks used in tanning and dyeing 98 82 84 2.4 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 11. IRAN Sharp Fall of Import from Iran Continued; Effect of Petroleum and Natural Gas FIGURE.41 IMPORT FROM IRAN AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT Import from Iran has been decreasing for the last three ye- 12.000 4,1 ars. Extreme decrease continued both in 2015 and 2016. 10.000 Import dropped by 22.9 percent and decreased to USD 4.7 2,9 billion in 2016. 90% of the import from Iran corresponds 8.000 to petroleum and natural gas. Petroleum and natural gas 6.000 import is determinative on import. In 2016, import of petroleum and natural gas dropped by 21.7 percent. The dec- 4.000 rease in petroleum and natural gas prices had an impact 2.000 on this recession. Import of chemicals-based products 0 also decreased due to drops in prices. However, imports 2014 2015 of copper and copperware, zinc, and zincware, aluminum, IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR and aluminiumware, as well as iron and steel, increased. SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 5,0 4,0 3,0 2,4 2,0 1,0 0,0 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % TABLE 54. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM IRAN PRODUCT CODE 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 8,420 4,901 3,570 -27.1 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 516 464 405 -12.7 74 Copper and copperware 225 194 202 3.9 79 Zinc and zincware 77 89 94 6.5 72 Iron and steel 24 30 83 177.5 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 108 45 73 61.8 29 Organic chemical products 125 91 73 -19.8 31 Fertilizers 133 100 41 -58.7 8 Edible fruits and edible nuts 16 19 32 70.2 38 Various chemical materials (bio-diesel, fire extinguishing materials, disinfectants, pesticides, etc.) 10 14 15 7.6 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 108 2014 Million Dollar FIGURE.42 IMPORT FROM JAPAN AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT 12. JAPAN Leap in Import from Japan Despite an overall recession, import from Japan increased by 25.6 percent in 2016, and thus Japan became the second country with the most increasing import level among the first 20 exporters. Import amounted to 3.94 billion in 2016. Japan’s share in our total import increased to 2.0 percent. Among the significant products imported in 2016, high-level of increases were observed in machinery, road motor vehicles, electrical machinery and equipment and precise measurement tools. Out of the ten most imported sections, only import of rubber and rubberware section decreased. 5.000 IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 4.000 3.000 2,5 2,0 2,0 1,5 1,5 1,3 2.000 1,0 1.000 0,5 0 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 0,0 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 55. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM JAPAN PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 1,286 1,206 1,667 38.2 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 404 486 579 19.1 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audiovideo recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 278 275 475 72.9 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 246 228 246 8.0 72 Iron and steel 174 198 207 4.5 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 111 110 130 18.5 40 Rubber and rubberware 164 128 118 -7.7 73 Ironware or steelware 65 77 100 29.7 29 Organic chemical products 44 44 45 0.7 82 Base-metal tools, cutlery, tableware and their components and parts made of base metals 26 16 44 164.7 CODE SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 13. The UNITED ARAB EMIRATES Gold caused a leap in the import of United Arab Emirates The highest increase in import corresponds to UAE in 2016. Import from UAE increased by 84.3 percent and reached USD 3.70 billion in 2016. UAE’S share in our total import increased to 1.9 percent. Leap in the import from UAE in 2016 was caused by gold import. Gold import increased by 102.1 percent and was realized USD 3.25 billion in 2016. Imports of other sections are not considerable when compared with gold import. FIGURE.43 IMPORT FROM UAE AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT 4.000 3.000 1,9 2,0 IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 1,3 2.000 1,5 1,0 1,0 1.000 0 0,5 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2016 0,0 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 109 4 IMPORT TABLE 56. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM UAE PRODUCT CODE 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2,750 1,608 3,249 102.1 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 87 151 170 12.3 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 165 183 140 -23.5 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 0 0 59 60,614.8 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 9 5 15 216.4 72 Iron and steel 1 6 10 61.8 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments, strips and similar synthetic and artificial knitting materials 12 12 9 -30.7 73 Ironware or steelware 1 1 6 340.1 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 0 1 5 668.9 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audiovideo recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 4 5 5 -6.8 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 14. POLAND Our import from Poland moved one level up Import from Poland increased by 9.0 percent and reached USD 3.24 billion in 2016. Thus, Poland ranked 14th among the first 20 importers in 2016. Poland’s share in our import increased by 1.6 percent in 2016. It is of substantial importance that import from Poland, which is among the developing countries in EU and our competitor in respect of many products, increased. It is observed that different sections are imported from Poland. Import from Poland increased by 7.2 percent in machinery, by 9.6 percent in road motor vehicles and by 7.7 percent in electrical machinery and equipment in 2016. However, imports of rubber and rubberware and plastics and plasticware dropped by 0.7 and 4.0 percent respectively. Import of goods made of paper and cardboard increased by 4.6 percent FIGURE.44 IMPORT FROM POLAND AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 3.300 3.200 2,0 1,6 1,4 1,3 1,5 3.100 1,0 3.000 0,5 2.900 2.800 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 0,0 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 57. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM POLAND CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 868 817 876 7.2 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 679 728 870 19.6 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 342 402 433 7.7 40 Rubber and rubberware 99 88 87 -0.7 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 38 55 80 43.8 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 83 81 78 -4.0 48 Paper and cardboard and goods made of paper and cardboard, papier-mache 86 72 76 4.6 33 Volatile oils and resinoids and perfumery, cosmetics and toiletry preparations 83 71 68 -4.1 34 Soaps, surface-active organic materials, washing and lubrication preparations, candles, care preparations, dentistry preparations 73 63 60 -4.8 94 Furniture, bedding sets, lighting equipment, advertisement light box, flashing signs, etc. prefabricated structures 73 61 58 -4.1 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 110 15. BELGIUM Limited increase in the import from Belgium Import from Belgium increased by 1.7 percent and reached USD 3.2 billion in 2016. Belgium’s share in our import is 1.6 percent. In 2016, imports from Belgium increased in iron and steel, and machinery by 12.3 and 3.4 percent respectively. Import of precious stones leaped with 83.0 percent. However, import decreased by 9.4 percent in plastics and plasticware, by 36.2 in road motor vehicles and by 4.4 percent in pharmaceuticals. FIGURE.45 IMPORT FROM BELGIUM AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT 5.000 1,6 4.000 IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 1,7 1,6 1,6 3.000 1,6 1,5 2.000 1,5 1.000 0 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 1,5 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 58. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM BELGIUM CODE PRODUCT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 72 Iron and steel 870 623 699 12.3 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 831 687 622 -9.4 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 487 312 322 3.4 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 57 104 191 83.0 29 Organic chemical products 251 152 167 9.7 30 Pharmaceuticals 165 160 153 -4.4 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 130 123 144 17.6 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 205 196 125 -36.2 38 Various chemical materials (bio-diesel, fire extinguishing materials, disinfectants, pesticides, etc.) 114 106 107 0.6 32 Extracts, tannin, dyes, pigments, varnishes, pastes, inks used in tanning and dyeing 93 83 92 11.2 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 16. THE NETHERLANDS Import from the Netherlands increased by 2.9 percent Import from the Netherlands increased by 2.9 percent and reached USD 3.00 billion in 2016. The Netherlands’ share in our total import increased to 1.5 percent. While import increased in some of the important products important from the Netherlands, it decreased in some of the others. Import of iron and steel, the most imported item, increased by 48.1 percent. Import of mineral fuels also considerably increased. However, among the significant import products, sections with the most decreasing import levels include organic chemical products and road motor vehicles by 7.8 and 39.4 percent respectively. FIGURE.46 IMPORT FROM THE NETHERLANDS AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 4.000 3.000 1,5 2.000 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 1,6 1,5 1,5 1,4 1.000 0 1,5 1,4 2016 1,4 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 111 4 IMPORT TABLE 59. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM THE NETHERLANDS PRODUCT CODE 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 72 Iron and steel 688 449 665 48.1 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 521 453 416 -8.2 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 320 266 269 1.2 29 Organic chemical products 351 239 220 -7.8 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 239 317 191 -39.6 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 143 53 156 192.4 21 Various renewed food preparations (coffee extracts, tea extracts, yeast, sauces, diet foods, etc.) 107 103 101 -2.6 30 Pharmaceuticals 71 68 75 10.4 32 Extracts, tannin, dyes, pigments, varnishes, pastes, inks used in tanning and dyeing 86 84 72 -14.7 24 Tobacco and tobacco substitutes 61 54 66 22.8 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 17. THE CZECH REPUBLIC A High Increase in The Import from the Czech Republic, One of The First 20 Countries Last Year The Czech Republic joined among the first 20 importers in 2015 as the 20th country. Import from the Czech Republic increased by 15.5 percent and reached USD 2.56 billion in 2016. Thus, Czech Republic moved up to rank 17th among the first 20 importer countries of Turkey with its share of 1.3 percent in 2016. Import from the Czech Republic considerably increased in many product groups. Import of road motor vehicles, the most imported product, showed an upward trend by 21.0 in 2016. Imports of machinery, electrical machinery and equipment, precise measurement tools and rubberware also increased. FIGURE.47 IMPORT FROM CZECH REPUBLIC AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 1,3 2.600 2.500 1,4 1,1 1,2 1,0 1,0 2.400 0,8 2.300 0,6 2.200 0,4 2.100 2.000 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 0,2 0,0 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 60. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM CZECH REPUBLIC CODE PRODUCT 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 693 765 926 21.0 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 617 548 627 14.4 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 309 280 336 19.8 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 74 71 89 26.0 40 Rubber and rubberware 56 58 74 26.6 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 92 86 70 -18.3 83 Various base metal goods (lock, safe, furniture fittings, etc.) 64 60 54 -10.3 1 Livestock 9 22 47 117.4 73 Ironware or steelware 31 28 43 51.8 72 Iron and steel 40 48 42 -12.0 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 112 2014 Million Dollar 18. UKRAINE Strong decrease in the import from Ukraine continued in 2016 Turkey’s import from Ukraine dropped by 18.7 percent in 2015. Import decreased more rapidly and by 26.1 percent, and amounted to USD 2.55 billion in 2016. While Ukraine was our 12th largest importer in 2015, its share decreased to 1.32 percent, and she ranked our 18th largest importer in 2016. With 29.5 percent, maximum decrease was observed in ironware and steelware, the most imported product section. Import decreased by 26.3 percent in oil seeds and fruits, by 7.5 percent in animal and vegetable fats, by 15.3 percent in forestry products and by 47.7 percent in fertilizers. Imports of metal ore and inorganic chemicals also decreased. FIGURE.48 IMPORT FROM UKRAINE AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT 5.000 1,8 1,7 4.000 1,3 1,0 2.000 0,5 1.000 0 2,0 1,5 3.000 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 0,0 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE 61. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM UKRAINE PRODUCT CODE IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2,349 1,623 1,144 -29.5 72 Iron and steel 12 Oily seeds and fruits, various beans, seeds and fruits, plants used in industry and medicine, hay and roughage 213 393 289 -26.3 44 Wood and woodenware, charcoal 204 261 221 -15.3 15 Solid and liquid animal and vegetable fats, cooking solid fat, animal, and candles made of animal and vegetable fats 252 219 203 -7.5 23 Residuals and rubbish from good industry, roughage for animals 190 204 177 -13.1 31 Fertilizers 215 241 126 -47.7 26 Metal ores, slag and ash 155 119 87 -26.8 28 Inorganic chemicals, precious metal, radioactive element, organic-inorganic compounds of metal and isotopes 92 75 53 -29.6 74 Copper and copperware 26 34 45 32.8 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 229 33 35 3.8 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 19. SWITZERLAND A limited increase in import from Switzerland Import from Switzerland increased by 2.3 percent and reached USD 2.50 billion in 2016. Switzerland’s share in our total import increased to 1.3 percent. Gold import became less determinative in import from Switzerland in 2016. Gold import increased by 27.8 percent and amounted to USD 932 million in 2016. However, among other items, excluding gold, import decreased bu 19.6 percent in machinery, by 10.0 in pharmaceuticals and by 6.5 percent in clocks. Decreases in these items balanced the increase in gold import. FIGURE.49 IMPORT FROM SWITZERLAND AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT 6.000 5.000 2,0 2,5 IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 2,0 4.000 1,2 3.000 1,3 1,0 2.000 0,5 1.000 0 1,5 2014 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR 2016 0,0 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 113 4 IMPORT TABLE 62. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM SWITZERLAND CODE 71 PRODUCT Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 2,784 730 932 27.8 30 Pharmaceuticals 410 403 363 -10.0 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 597 431 346 -19.6 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement, checking, tuning, medical and surgical purposes, and their components, parts, and accessories 134 125 126 0.8 91 Clocks and their components and parts 139 124 116 -6.5 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 108 83 101 21.7 29 Organic chemical products 103 90 92 2.6 33 Volatile oils and resinoids and perfumery, cosmetics and toiletry preparations 78 65 61 -5.7 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 50 48 59 23.6 32 Extracts, tannin, dyes, pigments, varnishes, pastes, inks used in tanning and dyeing 61 54 47 -11.8 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 20. ROMANIA Import from Romania keeps decreasing Although import from Romania increased in the recent years, it dropped in 2014 and 2015. Import continued to recess in 2016 and decreased to USD 2.2 billion by with 15.5 percent decrease. Despite such decrease, product range still continues in the import from Romania. Increasing number of significant products are imported from Romania. Among the important products, import of motor road motor vehicles, iron and steel, mineral oils and fuel and forestry products decreased in 2016. However, imports of machinery, electrical machinery and equipment as well as rubber and rubberware increased. FIGURE.50 IMPORT FROM ROMANIA AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPORT 4.000 IMPORT AND SHARE IN IMPORT 1,4 1,3 3.000 1,0 2.000 0,5 1.000 0 2014 PRODUCT 0,0 2016 SHARE IN OUR IMPORT % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 2014 Million Dollar 2015 Million Dollar 2016 Million Dollar 15/16 Change Rate % 87 Road motor vehicles, tractors, bicycles, motorcycles and other road vehicles, and their components, parts, and accessories 470 508 425 -16.3 72 Iron and steel 764 456 372 -18.2 84 Boilers, machinery, mechanical equipment and tools, nuclear reactors, and their components and parts 237 241 276 14.8 85 Electrical machinery and equipment, devices audio recording-transmitting, TV, audio-video recorders-transmitters, and their components, parts, and accessories 164 158 170 7.5 40 Rubber and rubberware 147 128 148 16.2 27 Mineral fuel, mineral oils, and their distillate products, bitumen materials, ozocerites 526 231 98 -57.6 12 Oily seeds and fruits, various beans, seeds and fruits, plants used in industry and medicine, hay and roughage 173 94 97 3.8 44 Wood and woodenware, charcoal 175 142 96 -32.2 71 Precious and semi-precious stones, precious metals, pearls, imitation jewelry, coins 71 86 70 -19.5 33 Volatile oils and resinoids and perfumery, cosmetics and toiletry preparations 73 66 68 3.5 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 114 2015 IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR TABLE 63. SECTIONS IN THE IMPORT FROM ROMANIA CODE 1,5 1,1 5 NET EXPORT 5 NET EXPORT SECTION V NET EXPORT After export and import realizations are reviewed separately and in detail, net export is evaluated on the basis of both countries and sectors. Net export is calculated basing on the difference between total import for countries and sections and the total export values.Evaluation of net export in respect to countries and sections makes foreign trade analysis deeper and constitutes a set of information especially for prospective improvement decisions. In 2016, Turkey had a foreign trade deficit of USD 56.0 billion in total and qualified as a net importer. In 2015, the foreign trade deficit was USD 63.3 billion, and Turkey became a net importer. Thus, foreign trade deficit or net export deficit dropped by 11.5 percent in 2016. Turkey holds an important position in world commodity trade as a major net importer. Net export analysis and evaluations will contribute to transforming Turkey into a country that has a net export surplus. V.1 NET EXPORT BY COUNTRIES Net export by countries section covers the countries which she has the maximum net export surplus and the countries which she has the maximum net export surplus, taking Turkey’s all foreign trade partners into consideration. In this respect, 26 countries were specified by adding other important trade partners to the first 20 countries which Turkey conducts most of its export and import activities. In this section, Turkey’s net export in 2016 is evaluated basing on 26 leading countries. Out of 26 Selected Countries, Turkey Was Qualified As Net Exporter of Twelve Countries Turkey became the net exporter of twelve of 26 countries selected in 2016. This number was 7 and ten countries in 2014 and 2015 respectively. The number of countries to which Turkey serves as a net exporter has been increasing for the last three years. Nine countries Turkey had a net export surplus in 2015 also remained unchanged in 2016. One country was not included in the category. Iran, Algeria, and Bulgaria were qualified as countries that Turkey has a net export surplus in 2016. In this respect, the results of three years indicate that Iraq, UAE, Israel, S. Arabia, Egypt, and Algeria are important and permanent countries in Turkey’s net export activities. Turkey achieved an advantageous position in respect of foreign trade with these countries. Our net export to 12 countries to which we served as a net exporter decreased to USD 22.1 in 2016. Total net export to 10 countries amounted to USD 25.6 billion in 2015. Net export dropped by 13.7 percent. Out of 9 countries, Turkey had a surplus in 2015, net export to 4 countries increased in 2016. These countries include England, Israel, the Netherlands, and Romania. However, surplus to such countries as Iraq, Switzerland, Egypt and S. Arabia that Turkey has net export surplus decreased in 2016 when compared with the previous year. Net Import Decreased By 10.8 Percent Turkey served as a net importer to 14 countries out of the 26 selected countries in 2016. This number was 16 in 2015. In 2016, Turkey had a surplus to Iran and Bulgaria, two of the 16 countries Turkey had a deficit in the previous year. Out of 16 countries for which Turkey had a deficit in the previous year, 14 countries did not change, and Turkey had a deficit for these countries in 2016. Total net import to 14 countries Turkey served as net importer decreased to USD 71.78 billion in 2016. Total net import to 16 countries Turkey served as net importer was USD 80.52 billion in 2015. Thus, total net import to 14 countries dropped by 10.8 percent in 2016. Out of 14 countries that Turkey served as a net importer, deficit to 5 countries increased in 2016, when compared with 2015. Deficit to 9 countries, on the other hand, decreased. Among the countries Turkey served as net imported, Russia was the country to which deficit decreased rapidly in 2016. While net deficit to Iran was high, Turkey had a surplus to Iran in 2016. Decreases in petroleum and natural gas prices had an impact on this development. Volumes of net import to EU countries were below the last year’s level. Net import from India and China increased by 2.9 percent. V.2 NET EXPORT BY SECTIONS Net export by sections states the sectors where Turkey serves as net exporter or importer, and evaluations are carried out in this framework. In this respect, not only countries are evaluated, but also the first 20 sections in the export and import lists of Turkey are 116 taken as a basis. By merging these two sets, 29 sections with the highest export and import levels are specified. Thus, Turkey’s net export in 2016 is reviewed and evaluated in detail within the framework of 29 leading foreign trade sections. TABLE.2 EXPORT AND IMPORT CONTRIBUTION TO NET EXPORT IN COUNTRIES 2016 TABLE.1 COUNTRIES AND NET EXPORT 2016 Countries Net Export Value Million Dollar Rank in Export Export Value Million Dollar Rank in Import Import Value Million Dollar % Change Rate of Net Export Countries Net Export Value Million Dollar Net Export Change Million Dollar Our Export's Contribution Million Dollar Our Import's Contribution Million Dollar Iraq 6.802 3 7.639 45 836 -17,6 Iraq 6,802 -1,451 -911 -540 England 6.367 2 11.687 11 5.321 27,0 England 6,367 1,352 1,131 221 UAE 1.706 7 5.408 14 3.701 -36,2 UAE 1,706 -966 726 -1,692 Israel 1.570 12 2.956 33 1.386 53,1 Israel 1,570 545 258 287 S. Arabia 1.339 11 3.174 24 1.835 -1,2 S. Arabia 1,339 -16 -298 282 Egypt 1.290 13 2.734 31 1.443 -32,4 Egypt 1,290 -619 -391 -228 Algeria 1.273 20 1.736 52 464 17,3 Algeria 1,273 187 -89 277 The Netherlands 590 10 3.590 17 3.000 145,1 The Netherlands 590 349 435 -86 Romania 476 15 2.671 21 2.196 119,7 Romania 476 259 -144 403 Iran 268 9 4.967 12 4.700 -111,0 Iran 268 2,700 1,304 1,396 Bulgaria 244 18 2.384 22 2.140 -142,2 Bulgaria 244 822 708 114 Switzerland 173 14 2.676 20 2.503 -94,6 Switzerland 173 -3,056 -2,999 -57 Poland -593 16 2.651 15 3.244 -8,6 Poland -593 56 322 -267 Belgium -652 17 2.548 16 3.201 10,7 Belgium -652 -63 -9 -54 Spain -688 8 4.991 10 5.679 -18,7 Spain -688 159 249 -90 Ukraine -1.294 26 1.254 19 2.548 -44,4 Ukraine -1,294 1,033 132 901 France -1.341 6 6.024 6 7.365 -23,5 France -1,341 412 178 233 Czech Republic -1.757 37 804 18 2.562 21,2 Czech Republic -1,757 -308 36 -343 Italy -2.637 4 7.582 5 10.219 -29,7 Italy -2,637 1,114 694 420 Japan -3.589 63 354 13 3.944 27,9 Japan -3,589 -784 20 -804 USA -4.244 5 6.624 4 10.868 -10,6 USA -4,244 502 228 274 India -5.105 41 652 9 5.757 2,9 India -5,105 -142 1 -144 South Korea -5.865 49 519 8 6.384 -9,6 South Korea -5,865 624 -50 673 GERMANY -7.473 1 14.001 2 21.474 -5,8 GERMANY -7,473 462 584 -122 Russia -13.428 21 1.733 3 15.161 -20,1 Russia -13,428 3,386 -1,855 5,241 China -23.112 19 2.329 1 25.440 2,9 China -23,112 -653 -86 -567 SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION The Number of Sections Turkey Serves As Net Exporter Increased To 12 Out of 29 foreign trade sections specified as of 2016, Turkey is the net exporter of 12 sections. Among 28 foreign trade section groups created in 2015, Turkey became a net exporter of 10 sections. 12 sections which Turkey was qualified as a net exporter in 2016 consisted of 10 sections in which Turkey served as a net exporter in 2015. Grains, flour and pastry products and road motor vehicles were included in these sections in 2016. The highest net export in 2016 was again knitted apparel section with USD 8.06 billion. Precious stones ranked the second. Woven apparel ranked SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION *Import increase is stated as (-) and import decrease is stated as (+). the third, fruits and nuts ranked the fourth and ironware and steelware ranked the fifth. While road motor vehicles had deficit last year, it became the 6th section to have a surplus in 2016. Among the sections qualified as a net exporter, net export increased in 5 sections and decreased in 7 sections in 2016 compared with 2015. Compared with 2015, Total net exports of the sections Turkey was qualified as net exporter dropped by 0.4 percent and decreased to USD 34.65 billion in 2016. The increase in net export mainly caused by too much decrease in import and by the contribution of road motor vehicles export. ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 117 5 NET EXPORT Deficit in 17 Sections Decreased By 7.9 Percent 17 sections, for which Turkey was qualified as net importer in 2016, were specified. Only 1 section is less than the sections in 2015. Compared with 2015, total net import or deficit of these sections dropped by 7.9 percent and decreased to 93.6 percent to USD 86.2 billion. Recession in net import mainly caused by decreases in import. 17 sections for which Turkey was qualified as net importer in 2015 remained unchanged in 2016. Only road motor vehicles section that Turkey had a deficit in 2015 was improved to rank in the surplus group in 2016. Out of 17 sections Turkey was qualified as a net importer or had a deficit in 2016, the deficit increased in 7 sections and decreased in 10 sections. Among the sections for which Turkey became a net importer, the section in which deficit decreased most in 2016 was mineral fuel and oils section that covers petroleum and natural gas, with 28.0 percent or USD 9.37 billion. Net deficit of machinery section increased by 13.2 percent and USD 1.75 billion. The net deficit of electrical machinery moved up to 24.0 percent and USD 2.95 billion. The first sections, which Turkey served as a net importer or had a net deficit, TABLE.3 SECTIONS AND NET EXPORT 2016 CODES SECTIONS Net Export Value Million Dollar Rank in Export Export Value Million Dollar Rank in Import Import Value Million Dollar 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 8.062 4 8.852 34 790 -0,1 71 Precious or semiprecious stones 4.972 3 12.177 7 7.204 -29,8 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 4.233 7 5.927 24 1.694 2,6 8 Fruits and edible nuts 3.332 10 3.873 47 541 -14,3 73 Ironware or steelware 1.984 9 4.966 12 2.982 -27,1 87 Road motor vehicles 1.963 1 19.804 4 17.841 2525,3 57 Carpets 1.848 17 1.913 81 65 -3,0 25 Mineral products 1.797 15 2.175 53 379 -3,4 20 Vegetables and fruits 1.770 18 1.849 80 79 -14,6 63 Woven garment 1.747 16 1.954 68 207 2,6 94 Furniture 1.652 12 2.659 31 1.007 20,0 19 Grains, flour, pastry products 1.294 19 1.501 69 207 0,1 40 Rubber and rubberware -358 14 2.203 16 2.561 0,5 52 Cotton, cotton yarn and cotton fabric -577 19 1.720 17 2.297 -2,8 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware -628 13 2.238 13 2.866 34,8 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers -637 24 1.317 20 1.954 -3,0 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments -646 22 1.487 18 2.133 -21,4 48 Paper and cardboard and related goods -1.331 23 1.354 15 2.685 11,2 38 Various chemical materials -1.461 50 563 19 2.024 2,8 74 Copper and copperware -1.609 27 1.115 14 2.724 11,4 30 Pharmaceuticals -3.390 37 827 11 4.217 0,8 88 Components and parts of air and space crafts -3.593 41 718 10 4.310 -14,4 29 Organic chemical products -3.887 54 473 9 4.359 8,4 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement -3.923 42 709 8 4.632 -0,7 72 Iron and steel -6.394 6 6.182 5 12.575 22,2 39 Plastics and Plasticsware -6.601 8 5.027 6 11.628 4,5 85 Electrical machinery and equipment -12.303 5 7.832 3 20.135 -31,5 84 Machinery -14.955 2 12.341 1 27.296 -12,8 27 Mineral fuels and mineral oils -23.951 11 3.212 2 27.163 28,1 SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 118 % Change Rate of Net Export did not change in 2016. The products with the highest deficit are mineral fuel and oils, machinery, electrical machinery and equipment, iron and steel, and plastics and plasticware respectively. TABLE.4 EXPORT AND IMPORT CONTRIBUTION TO NET EXPORT IN SECTIONS 2016 CODES SECTIONS Net Export Value Million Dollar Net Export Change Million Dollar Export Contribution Million Dollar Import Contribution Million Dollar TABLE.5 THE NUMBER OF COUNTRIES TURKEY HAD NET SURPLUS AND DEFICIT BY SELECTED SECTIONS 2016 CODES SECTIONS Net Export Value Number of Countries Turkey Had Surplus Number of Countries Turkey Had Deficit 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 8.062 -5 -75 70 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 8.062 24 2 71 Precious or semiprecious stones 4.972 -2.108 913 -3.021 71 Precious or semiprecious stones 4.972 15 11 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 4.233 107 10 97 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 4.233 23 3 8 Fruits and edible nuts 3.332 -558 -482 -76 8 Fruits and edible nuts 3.332 23 3 73 Ironware or steelware 1.984 -739 -499 -240 73 Ironware or steelware 1.984 19 7 87 Road motor vehicles 1.963 2.044 2.341 -297 87 Road motor vehicles 1.963 17 9 57 Carpets 1.848 -58 -96 38 57 Carpets 1.848 25 1 25 Mineral products 1.797 -64 -77 13 25 Mineral products 1.797 22 4 20 Vegetables and fruits 1.770 -303 -339 35 20 Vegetables and fruits 1.770 26 0 63 Woven garment 1.747 44 55 -11 63 Woven garment 1.747 23 3 94 Furniture 1.652 275 -95 369 94 Furniture 1.652 19 7 19 Grains, flour, pastry products 1.294 1 -5 6 19 Grains, flour, pastry products 1.294 21 5 40 Rubber and rubberware -358 2 38 -36 40 Rubber and rubberware -358 15 11 52 Cotton, cotton yarn and cotton fabric -577 -16 17 -33 52 Cotton, cotton yarn, and cotton fabric -577 22 4 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware -628 336 -132 468 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware -628 17 9 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers -637 -19 -31 12 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers -637 19 7 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments -646 -114 -77 -37 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments -646 20 6 48 Paper and cardboard and related goods -1.331 167 168 -1 48 Paper and cardboard and related goods -1.331 11 15 38 Various chemical materials -1.461 9 17 74 Copper and copperware -1.609 16 10 30 Pharmaceuticals -3.390 12 14 88 Components and parts of air and space crafts -3.593 18 8 29 Organic chemical products -3.887 4 22 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement -3.923 8 18 72 Iron and steel -6.394 10 16 39 Plastics and Plasticsware -6.601 9 17 85 Electrical machinery and equipment -12.303 13 13 84 Machinery -14.955 11 15 27 Mineral fuels and mineral oils -23.951 7 19 38 Various chemical materials -1.461 42 16 25 74 Copper and copperware -1.609 207 -54 261 30 Pharmaceuticals -3.390 28 -51 79 88 Components and parts of air and space crafts -3.593 -452 29 -480 29 Organic chemical products -3.887 355 -1 356 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement -3.923 -27 -15 -11 72 Iron and steel -6.394 1.825 -375 2.200 39 Plastics and Plasticsware -6.601 309 -331 640 85 Electrical machinery and equipment -12.303 -2.944 -447 -2.497 84 Machinery -14.955 -1.701 8 -1.710 27 Mineral fuels and mineral oils -23.951 9.374 -1.307 10.681 SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION *Import increase is stated as (-) and import decrease is stated as (+). SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION V.3 NET EXPORT ANALYSIS IN THE CONTEXT OF COMPANIES AND SECTIONS Through a net export analysis based on countries and sections, the countries Turkey serves as net exporter or importer are specified based on sections and the sections for which Turkey is qualified as net exporter or importer are specified on the basis of countries. In this respect, a net export matrix which includes 26 countries and 29 sections was drawn up . V.3.1 EVALUATION OF COUNTRIES ON THE BASIS OF SECTIONS Five important results were obtained from the evaluation of countries on the basis of sections. 1. Turkey’s surplus and deficit to the countries on the basis of sections in 2016 were similar to those in 2015. It indicates that product-market diversification of foreign trade is still stable. 2. The major factor that affected surplus and deficit to countries on the basis of sections in 2016 includes the fluctuations in energy, metal and commodity prices and the problems experienced with important markets. ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 119 5 NET EXPORT 3. In 2016, Turkey continued to have a surplus to many countries in sections for which she was qualified as a net exporter. It shows that market diversification and competitive capacity of the sections Turkey served as a net exporter are still sustained. 4. In 6 sections for which Turkey was qualified as a net exporter, the number of countries to which Turkey is a net exporter is higher than the number of countries for which Turkey was qualified as a net importer. These numbers are equal in 1 section. Turkey also proved to be a significant manufacturer and exporter in these sections. 5. In 10 other sections for which Turkey was qualified as a net importer, the number of countries for which Turkey was qualified as a net importer is higher. Among these sections, the highest import level of Turkey corresponds to the technological and other products for which she is foreign-dependent. These sections include mineral fuel and oils, machinery, electrical machinery and equipment, iron and steel, plastics and plasticware, organic chemical products, precise-optical-measurement and medical equipment, parts and components of air crafts, pharmaceuticals, various chemical materials, copper and copperware and products made of paper and cardboard. V.3.2 EVALUATION OF SECTIONS ON THE BASIS OF COUNTRIES Six important results were obtained from the evaluation of sections on the basis of countries. 1. The number of sections for which Turkey was qualified as a net exporter is quite high in 12 countries. In this respect, in order for Turkey to be a net exporter to countries, she still needs to be a net exporter in a great part of the products. Turkey is qualified as a net exporter to countries on the basis of not only a few sections but also product diversity. 2. Turkey serves as a net exporter of 22 sections to England and 21 sections to the Netherlands. The success achieved in England and the Netherlands markets sets an example for the European Union countries. 3. Turkey is the net importer of 14 countries. In 7 out of these 14 countries, the number of sections Turkey has a surplus is higher than the sections she has a deficit. For instance, Turkey has a surplus in 15 sections exported to the USA. In other seven countries, the number of sections Turkey has a deficit is higher. 4. Russia and Ukraine are two countries for which Turkey is a net importer. However, the number of sections Turkey had surplus are the highest in these two countries with 24 and 22 respectively. Despite natural gas and commodity import, Turkey tries to achieve a trade balance by serving as a net exporter in many sections. 5. Although Turkey is a net importer for Germany, France, Belgium, Poland, the number of sections for which she serves as a net exporter is higher. The number of sections for which Turkey serves as a net exporter in such countries as Spain, Italy and Czech Republic, where product pattern is 120 more similar, gradually draws on the number of sections for which Turkey is a net importer. It is a success that the number of sections that have a surplus to the USA is higher. 6. The number of sections for which Turkey is a net exporter to China, South Korea, India and partly Japan, for which Turkey is a high-level net importer, remains limited. Potential of export to these countries is far below the potential. Turkey became a high-level net importer at almost all sectors. For a more balanced trade with these four countries, Turkey needs to be a net exporter of more sections. TABLE.6 THE NUMBER OF SECTIONS TURKEY HAD NET SURPLUS AND DEFICIT ON THE BASIS OF COUNTRIES 2016 Number of Sections Turkey Had Surplus Number of Sections Turkey Had Deficit Countries Net Export Value Million Dollar Iraq 6.802 28 1 England 6.367 22 7 UAE 1.706 26 3 Israel 1.570 23 6 S. Arabia 1.339 26 3 Egypt 1.290 21 8 Algeria 1.273 28 1 The Netherlands 590 21 8 Romania 476 21 8 Iran 268 21 8 Bulgaria 244 23 6 Switzerland 173 18 11 Poland -593 18 11 Belgium -652 17 12 Spain -688 14 15 Ukraine -1.294 24 5 France -1.341 16 13 Czech Republic -1.757 14 15 Italy -2.637 13 16 Japan -3.589 10 19 USA -4.244 15 14 India -5.105 5 24 South Korea -5.865 9 20 GERMANY -7.473 15 14 Russia -13.428 22 7 China -23.112 6 23 SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.7 NET EXPORT MATRIX OF COUNTRY-SECTION 2015 MILLION DOLLAR CODE SECTIONS IRAQ ENG UAE ISR S.AR EGY CZE NET ROM IRA BUL SWI POL 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 306 1.315 70 87 138 41 71 383 48 193 134 60 311 71 Precious or semiprecious stones -172 3.101 -182 70 8 -83 16 8 -35 1.704 -14 979 28 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 197 598 63 178 129 -62 108 264 19 146 84 19 207 8 Fruits and edible nuts 299 185 41 15 112 28 15 124 59 -16 23 86 126 73 Ironware or steelware 369 350 47 77 106 104 173 67 179 110 52 1 27 87 Road motor vehicles 68 1.059 75 427 135 141 113 474 -128 162 156 116 -321 57 Carpets 113 77 76 38 322 40 27 9 26 50 13 3 30 25 Mineral products 22 -7 10 53 12 8 7 19 11 -2 -2 2 8 20 Vegetables and fruits 154 88 12 12 30 10 4 127 21 3 19 23 18 63 Woven garment 56 85 14 35 38 8 22 121 20 23 29 32 31 94 Furniture 451 72 84 57 182 15 56 47 40 47 3 10 -42 19 Grains, flour, pastry products 366 18 21 37 78 6 16 0 15 13 3 -1 -46 40 Rubber and rubberware 22 37 17 17 28 40 22 27 -91 39 64 11 -6 52 Cotton, cotton yarn and cotton fab. 0 29 0 2 4 -49 8 17 47 28 62 6 73 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 103 103 -130 46 -36 46 33 34 9 -31 39 57 81 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers 5 50 0 3 13 -39 7 13 36 154 97 0 29 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments 13 79 3 -2 12 -27 11 93 54 61 89 -8 43 48 Paper and cardboard and related goods 105 100 13 56 17 76 10 -30 24 81 31 -7 -70 38 Various chemical materials 36 -82 7 -1 22 -16 4 -33 9 25 2 -38 -3 74 Copper and copperware 5 55 5 26 10 4 7 6 45 -192 -148 5 2 30 Pharmaceuticals 49 -294 10 -24 10 2 12 -72 8 26 3 -303 5 88 Components and parts of air and space crafts 1 16 3 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 29 Organic chemical products 2 -182 3 -76 -351 -23 4 -207 -4 -61 6 -91 -20 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement 15 -136 10 -53 18 8 7 -37 -14 18 -2 -119 -69 72 Iron and steel 271 -644 449 388 96 445 69 -497 -175 -32 30 -17 7 39 Plastics and Plasticsware 387 30 -121 80 -1.161 -186 115 -310 130 -224 111 -50 30 85 Electrical machinery and equipment 314 718 196 105 397 76 148 83 -52 167 -115 -57 -297 84 Machinery 269 -714 124 93 205 186 342 -92 162 438 89 -322 -638 27 Mineral fuels and mineral oils 12 132 299 -586 128 484 -407 4 -74 -3.567 -624 69 -30 Other Sections 2.964 124 488 410 637 5 251 -60 88 903 12 -294 -107 Total 6.802 6.367 1.706 1.570 1.339 1.290 1.273 590 476 268 244 173 -593 SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 121 5 NET EXPORT TABLE.7 NET EXPORT MATRIX OF COUNTRY-SECTION 2016 MILLION DOLLAR 122 CODE SECTIONS BEL SPA UKR FRA CZE ITA JAP USA IND SKO GER RUS CHINA Other Net Export Deficit 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 206 746 185 441 43 285 12 142 -23 4 1.881 44 -175 1.113 8.062 71 Precious or semiprecious stones -115 14 9 5 26 -157 4 106 -22 -1 -128 0 -82 -116 4.972 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 66 882 111 243 50 95 9 138 -45 9 783 57 -492 378 4.233 8 Fruits and edible nuts 36 39 97 239 14 560 19 -56 -6 2 412 341 13 526 3.332 73 Ironware or steelware 44 -22 19 8 -15 -183 -98 133 -52 -125 31 43 -661 1.200 1.984 87 Road motor vehicles 692 -698 81 1.172 -768 1.571 -540 411 -546 -706 -2.605 166 -609 1.865 1.963 57 Carpets 23 11 11 18 6 21 6 326 -3 1 112 4 13 476 1.848 25 Mineral products 14 50 -2 3 0 78 4 112 75 9 19 33 810 452 1.797 20 Vegetables and fruits 62 38 10 77 11 58 19 121 2 9 478 9 26 330 1.770 63 Woven garment 19 43 12 139 11 90 2 238 -11 -1 442 5 -89 332 1.747 94 Furniture 31 17 10 95 -12 -58 -4 80 -6 -56 101 17 -312 726 1.652 19 Grains, flour, pastry products 3 -11 0 -5 0 -12 46 20 1 5 6 1 13 698 1.294 40 Rubber and rubberware 17 8 11 -21 -41 -12 -116 -2 -49 -155 169 -34 -114 -250 -358 52 Cotton, cotton yarn and cotton fabric 10 61 30 37 10 162 3 -489 -89 4 110 11 -74 -590 -577 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 6 60 7 64 29 28 -5 -15 -112 -23 174 -612 -142 -440 -628 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers 3 57 10 14 -5 78 -35 47 -216 -26 -156 6 -255 -527 -637 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments 128 23 15 8 4 6 -7 59 -341 -170 16 9 -625 -192 -646 48 Paper and cardboard and related goods -8 -68 6 -38 -8 -129 -8 -144 -8 -29 -348 -150 -342 -466 -1.331 38 Various chemical materials -104 -76 11 -217 -2 -171 -30 -161 -29 -16 -428 2 -116 -56 -1.461 74 Copper and copperware -10 -109 -43 -10 13 140 -5 22 2 -5 19 -498 -22 -933 -1.609 30 Pharmaceuticals -150 -127 6 -347 0 -269 -23 -558 -53 -46 -799 8 -46 -419 -3.390 88 Components and parts of air and space crafts -5 -13 0 -1.121 -1 -68 -1 -1.963 3 9 -469 0 0 8 -3.593 29 Organic chemical products -163 -235 -1 -145 -4 -45 -41 -174 -254 -308 -331 -135 -728 -323 -3.887 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement -10 -76 3 -200 -84 -229 -244 -669 -37 -221 -777 3 -552 -475 -3.923 72 Iron and steel -638 -145 -1.114 -456 -31 -135 -203 164 -86 -864 -434 -2.219 -843 219 -6.394 39 Plastics and Plasticsware -549 -303 62 -399 -26 -453 -127 -287 -209 -1.072 -1.015 25 -805 -275 -6.601 85 Electrical machinery and equipment 37 -300 27 60 -287 -402 -472 -441 -158 -1.015 -1.101 78 -8.561 -1.452 -12.303 84 Machinery -128 -57 86 -613 -545 -2.648 -1.649 -683 -333 -831 -2.351 147 -5.593 102 -14.955 27 Mineral fuels and mineral oils -60 -228 -16 -39 -1 -387 -1 -451 -1.956 -4 -17 -8.433 -26 -8.173 -23.951 Other Sections -109 -268 -937 -352 -145 -452 -107 -270 -542 -241 -1.268 -2.356 -2.722 -112 -4.461 Total -652 -688 -1.294 -1.341 -1.757 -2.637 -3.589 -4.244 -5.105 -5.865 -7.473 -13.428 -23.112 -6.372 -56.053 CODE SECTIONS SPA CZE FRA UKR IRA JAP ITA USA IND SKO GER RUS CHINA Other TOTAL 61 Knitted apparel and accessories 730 24 460 165 71 12 280 146 -32 4 1.876 76 -205 1.090 8.075 71 Precious or semiprecious stones -47 12 4 13 890 5 -163 104 111 -1 -139 -7 -114 305 7.080 62 Non-knitted apparel and accessories 837 51 252 105 36 7 91 115 -59 5 782 81 -507 364 4.130 8 Fruits and edible nuts 38 15 321 82 17 21 643 -22 -4 2 448 599 30 508 3.893 73 Ironware or steelware -2 -3 53 12 89 -75 -173 187 -39 -129 114 85 -768 1.684 2.729 20 Vegetables and fruits 29 12 88 11 8 23 71 117 1 9 668 19 15 373 2.073 57 Carpets 9 9 16 9 9 12 22 271 -16 0 115 23 6 505 1.906 25 Mineral products 36 0 0 -11 -5 6 65 74 78 9 12 51 813 580 1.862 63 Woven garment 38 12 146 12 17 2 74 216 -9 -1 465 24 -81 336 1.704 94 Furniture 1 -10 90 7 46 -5 -67 68 -10 -25 73 40 -668 770 1.379 87 Road motor vehicles -693 -633 747 42 87 -456 634 402 -494 -648 -3.694 209 -654 2.146 -79 40 Rubber and rubberware 26 -24 -29 7 32 -124 -4 5 -47 -162 178 -32 -128 -242 -359 54 Synthetic and artificial filaments 15 4 6 31 57 -7 3 73 -352 -162 18 85 -523 -221 -532 52 Cotton, cotton yarn and cotton fabric 60 12 41 42 22 3 162 -499 -55 6 112 32 -105 -550 -561 55 Synthetic and artificial discontinuous fibers 55 -1 14 12 114 -29 68 57 -227 -23 -136 89 -185 -593 -618 76 Aluminium and aluminiumware 69 24 77 3 4 -9 47 -14 -135 -17 154 -844 -155 -346 -962 48 Paper and cardboard and related goods -66 -8 -48 3 65 -5 -152 -237 -3 -50 -380 -130 -269 -467 -1.498 38 Various chemical materials -68 -2 -231 6 22 -34 -166 -161 -30 -16 -439 10 -136 -79 -1.503 74 Copper and copperware -219 14 -28 -32 -176 -6 134 29 7 -5 16 -155 -30 -1.226 -1.817 88 Components and parts of air and space crafts -132 0 -1.071 0 0 -1 -17 -1.418 2 12 -481 -1 0 -63 -3.141 30 Pharmaceuticals -140 -1 -374 5 25 -26 -274 -556 -35 6 -746 26 -42 -496 -3.418 90 Tools and equipment for optics, photography, movie, measurement -57 -66 -208 -1 19 -226 -255 -701 -43 -358 -768 8 -549 -411 -3.896 29 Organic chemical products -254 -4 -175 -1 -80 -43 11 -331 -279 -359 -369 -162 -735 -353 -4.241 39 Plastics and Plasticsware -340 -45 -383 58 -278 -108 -471 -347 -212 -1.156 -1.059 71 -865 -117 -6.897 72 Iron and steel -237 -41 -496 -1.604 33 -195 -249 -133 -125 -886 -516 -2.712 -1.314 488 -8.212 85 Electrical machinery and equipment -216 -222 73 29 155 -270 -321 -426 -165 -1.484 -744 107 -6.924 -820 -9.349 84 Machinery -90 -441 -625 54 411 -1.196 -2.300 -544 -343 -723 -2.456 293 -5.102 158 -13.206 27 Mineral fuels and mineral oils 18 0 -45 -9 -4.898 -1 -950 -641 -1.783 3 19 -12.875 -25 -11.878 -33.323 Other Sections -242 -137 -413 -1.375 777 -82 -492 -562 -663 -340 -1.051 -1.816 -3.228 192 -4.488 TOTAL -842 -1.449 -1.735 -2.326 -2.431 -2.805 -3.749 -4.729 -4.963 -6.489 -7.926 -16.807 -22.450 -8.362 -63.268 ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 123 6 TURKEY’S FOREIGN TRADE POLICY 6 TURKEY’S FOREIGN TRADE POLICY VI.1 GENERAL REVIEW Priority goals of Turkey’s foreign trade are as follows recently: increasing volume of foreign trade with third countries and establishing a balanced trade relationship. Increasing export share in peripheral and neighboring markets, penetrating new markets, raising average export unit prices by exporting products with higher added value. Taking protective measures for replacing import through domestic production and preventing unfair competition in import. Turkey’s foreign trade regime is implemented in harmo- nization with European Union’s foreign trade regime due to the Customs Union executed with the European Union. The obligation to be in harmonization with European Union’s foreign trade regime imposes restrictions on the foreign trade policy of Turkey. There is a close relationship between Turkey’s foreign policy and foreign trade policy. Turkey aimed to improve mutual relationships in its region. However, recent geopolitical developments in the region began preventing the trade between Turkey and neighboring countries. VI.2 EU AND CUSTOMS UNION, AND FOREIGN TRADE Customs Union’s Effect of Expanding Mutual Trade With the European Union Still Prevails The Customs Union between the European Union and Turkey substantially shapes foreign trade of Turkey. First and direct effect of Customs Union is revealed in mutual trade with the European Union. Within the scope of this direct effect, Customs Union still expands mutual trade between Turkey and the European Union. Hence, not only trade increases but also Turkey’s share of export to and import from EU in its total export and import moves up. In this respect, three significant factors are effective. The first factor is that the European Union started to overcome the economic difficulties experienced after the global crisis in 2008, achieved an economic growth and re-increased the import from non-EU countries. The second factor is the problems and recession in a trade with peripheral and neighboring countries. The third factor is that trade capacities of such energy-dependent countries as especially Russia and Gulf Countries where Turkey engaged in large trade activities shrank along with the decreases in petroleum prices. Thus, the share of foreign trade volume with the European Union in Turkey’s foreign trade volume has been reincreasing since 2013. Turkey’s trade with EU covered a 36.9 percent share in its total trade in 2012. In the last four years, this rate gradually increased and reached 42.8 percent in 2016. TABLE.1 FOREIGN TRADE WITH EUROPEAN UNION TURKEY IMPORT BILLION DOLLAR IMPORT FROM EU BILLION DOLLAR SHARE OF IMPORT FROM EU % TURKEY FOREIGN TRADE BILLION DOLLAR 56,5 117,77 52,78 44,8 191,25 94,31 49,3 48,15 56,3 139,58 59,45 42,6 225,11 107,6 47,8 107,27 60,75 56,6 170,06 68,47 40,3 277,33 129,22 46,6 2008 132,03 63,72 48,3 201,96 74,51 36,9 333,99 138,23 41,4 2009 101,14 47,23 46,7 140,93 56,62 40,2 242,07 103,85 42,9 2010 113,88 52,93 46,5 185,54 72,39 39,0 299,42 125,32 41,9 2011 134,91 62,59 46,4 240,84 91,44 38,0 375,75 154,03 41,0 2012 162,46 59,40 36,6 236,55 87,66 37,1 399,01 147,06 36,9 2013 151,80 63,04 41,5 251,66 92,46 36,7 403,46 155,5 38,5 2014 157,62 68,52 43,5 242,18 88,78 36,7 399,80 157,3 39,3 2015 143,94 64,03 44,5 207,20 78,67 38,0 351,14 142,7 40,6 2016 142.56 68,36 48,0 198,61 77,50 39,0 341,17 145,86 42,8 TURKEY EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR EXPORT TO EU BILLION DOLLAR SHARE OF EXPORT TO EU % 2005 73,48 41,53 2006 85,53 2007 YEARS SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 126 FOREIGN TRADE WITH EU BILLION DOLLAR SHARE OF FOREIGN TRADE WITH EU % FIGURE.1 DEVELOPMENTS IN FOREIGN TRADE WITH EU 60 56,5 56,3 56,6 PERCENTAGE OF SHARE OF FOREIGN TRADE WITH THE EU SHARE OF IMPORT FROM EU % SHARE OF EXPORT TO EU 55 50 48,3 44,8 45 48,0 46,7 46,5 46,4 42,6 40,3 40 40,2 41,5 39,0 38,0 36,9 35 30 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 43,5 2010 2011 36,6 36,7 37,1 36,7 2012 2013 2014 44,5 38,0 2015 39,0 2017 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION VI.3 FOREIGN TRADE WITH REGIONAL ORGANIZATIONS Recession in Foreign Trade with Regional Establishments and Organizations Turkey aims to increase mutual trade activities with neighboring and peripheral countries through regional establishments and organizations founded. Three important establishments or organizations founded within this framework include Black Sea Economic Cooperation Organization, Economic Cooperation Organization and The Organization of Islamic Cooperation. Commonwealth of Independent Stated and Turkic Republics compose of the other two trade regions. EFTA countries are composed of Norway, Switzerland, Iceland and Liechtenstein. It is obvious that Turkey’s share of foreign trade with regional establishments for the last three years in total foreign trade volume decreased. In 2016, the share of Black Sea Economic Cooperation Organization and Economic Cooperation Organization declined to 10.9 and 5.1 percent respectively. The share of The Organization of Islamic Cooperation, on the other hand, increased from 18.6 percent to 18.9 percent in 2016. The volume of foreign trade with all these three organizations decreased. Reasons for recession are stated as geopolitical developments in our region, deterioration of political relationships with some of the countries in these establishments and organizations, and problems in the field of transportation. Turkey’s volume and share of trade with developed countries are increasing. In 2016, Turkey had the maximum surplus in trade with country groups to the countries in the Organization of Islamic Cooperation with USD 18.1 billion. The maximum deficit, on the other hand, was realized in OECD countries. TABLE.2 FOREIGN TRADE EQUILIBRIUM WITH SELECTED COUNTRY GROUPS AND REGIONAL ORGANIZATIONS 25.000 20.000 18.065 FOREIGN TRADE EQUILIBRIUM MILLION DOLLAR 15.000 10.000 5.000 0 -5.000 -10.000 1.865 The Organization of Islamic Cooperation Economic Cooperation Organization -15.000 1.388 105 Turkic Republics EFTA Vountries Commonwealth of Independent States -12.976 Black Sea Economic Cooperation OECD Countries -11.096 -20.000 -25.000 -23.418 -30.000 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 127 6 TURKEY’S FOREIGN TRADE POLICY TABLE.2 FOREIGN TRADE WITH SELECTED COUNTRY GROUPS AND REGIONAL ORGANIZATIONS EXPORT TO SELECTED COUNTRY GROUPS MILLION DOLLAR 2014 2015 2016 1-OECD Countries 76.680 75.408 77,063 2-EFTA Countries 3.795 6.203 3.267 3-Black Sea Economic Cooperation 19.688 14.600 13.081 4-Economic Cooperation Organization 11.718 9.572 9.605 5-Commonwealth of Independent States 15.618 10.578 7.751 6-Turkic Republics 7.109 5.293 3.993 48.629 42.768 41.243 7-The Organization of Islamic Cooperation IMPORT FROM SELECTED COUNTRY GROUPS MILLION DOLLAR 1-OECD Countries 116.518 101.477 100.481 2-EFTA Countries 5.717 3.138 3.162 3-Black Sea Economic Cooperation 40.927 31.524 24.177 4-Economic Cooperation Organization 13.443 9.311 7.740 5-Commonwealth of Independent States 33.085 27.151 20.727 6-Turkic Republics 2. 997 2.688 2.605 7-The Organization of Islamic Cooperation 29. 107 22.407 23.178 FOREIGN TRADE EQUILIBRIUM WITH SELECTED COUNTRY GROUPS 1-OECD Countries -39.838 -26.069 -23.418 2-EFTA Countries -1.922 3.065 105 3-Black Sea Economic Cooperation -21.239 -16.924 -11.096 4-Economic Cooperation Organization -1.725 261 1.865 5-Commonwealth of Independent States -17.467 -16.573 -12.976 6-Turkic Republics 4.112 2.296 1.388 7-The Organization of Islamic Cooperation 19.522 20.361 18.065 FOREIGN TRADE VOLUME WITH SELECTED COUNTRY GROUPS 1-OECD Countries 193.198 176.885 177.544 2-EFTA Countries 9.512 9.341 6.429 3-Black Sea Economic Cooperation 60.615 46.124 37.258 4-Economic Cooperation Organization 25.161 18.883 17.345 5-Commonwealth of Independent States 48.703 37.729 28.478 6-Turkic Republics 10.106 7.981 6.598 7-The Organization of Islamic Cooperation 77.736 65.175 64.421 SHARE OF FOREIGN TRADE WITH SELECTED COUNTRY GROUPS IN OUR TOTAL FOREIGN TRADE VOLUME % 1-OECD Countries 48,3 50,4 52,0 2-EFTA Countries 2,4 2,7 1,9 3-Black Sea Economic Cooperation 15,2 13,2 10,9 4-Economic Cooperation Organization 6,3 5,4 5,1 5-Commonwealth of Independent States 12,2 10,7 8,3 6-Turkic Republics 2,5 2,3 1,9 7-The Organization of Islamic Cooperation 19,4 18,6 18,9 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 128 VI.4 FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS AND THEIR EFFECT ON FOREIGN TRADE Volume of Foreign Trade As Per Free Trade Agreements (FTA) Is Yet Limited Free Trade Agreements executed by and between Turkey and third countries are of substantial importance foreign trade policy and foreign trade regime. Turkey is still a party to free trade agreements with 18 countries and EFTA countries and improves its mutual trade within the scope of these agreements. In 2016, a new FTA with Moldova was put into force. In 2016, while export to countries which we implement the terms of FTA dropped by 6.2 percent and decreased to USD 17.62 billion, import increased to USD 16.98 billion. Total trade volume dropped by 6.3 percent and decreased to USD 34.6 billion. Within the framework of foreign trade with countries under FTA, Turkey had a foreign trade deficit to 3 countries in 2015. The three countries to which Turkey had deficit remained unchanged in 2016. Countries that Turkey had a trade deficit in 2016 include South Korea, Chile, and Malaysia. Turkey has a trade surplus with EFTA region and other countries. As for the total foreign trade with countries under the scope of FTA, deficit amounted to USD 3.73 billion in 2015 and decreased to USD 648 million in 2016. This recession caused by a substantial decrease in gold export to Switzerland which is included in EFTA countries. TABLE.3 FOREIGN TRADE WITH COUNTRIES UNDER FREE TRADE AGREEMENT 2015 COUNTRIES EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR FOREIGN TRADE MILLION DOLLAR TRADE EQUILIBRIUM MILLION DOLLAR ALBANIA 287 50 337 237 BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA 293 250 543 43 EFTA* 6.204 3.139 9.343 3.065 MOROCCO 1.338 711 2.049 627 PALESTINE 82 2 84 80 SOUTH KOREA 569 7.057 7.626 -6.488 GEORGIA 1.109 223 1.332 886 MONTENEGRO 38 8 46 30 MACEDONIA 325 81 406 244 MAURITIUS 34 7 41 27 EGYPT 3.129 1.216 4.345 1.913 SYRIA 1.525 52 1.577 1.473 SERBIA 493 238 731 255 TUNISIA 820 144 964 676 JORDAN 836 128 964 708 ISRAEL 2.699 1.673 4.372 1.026 CHILE 188 283 471 -95 MALAYSIA 357 1.339 1.696 -982 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, *SWITZERLAND, NORWAY, LIECHTENSTEIN FIGURE.3 FOREIGN TRADE EQUILIBRIUM WITH COUNTRIES EXECUTING FTA 2016 -5.865 -1.675 FOREIGN TRADE EQUILIBRIUM MILLION DOLLAR -7.000 -6.000 -5.000 -4.000 -3.000 -2.000 South Korea Malaysia 16 Chili Bosnia-Herzegovina Montenegro Mauritius Palastine Efta* Moldova Albania Serbia Macedonia Morocco Jordan Tunusia Georgia Syria Egypt Israel -1.000 21 29 31 91 105 114 284 294 295 551 609 696 965 1.258 1.291 0 1.000 1.570 2.000 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, *SWITZERLAND, NORWAY, LIECHTENSTEIN ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 129 6 TURKEY’S FOREIGN TRADE POLICY The share of export to countries executing FTA in total export was 14.1 percent in 2015 and decreased to 12.4 percent in 2016. The share of import increased from 8.0 percent to 8.5 percent. Its share in total foreign trade volume, on the other hand, decreased from 10.5 percent to 10.1 percent. Basing on these data, foreign trade volume within the scope of FTA remains limited. The European Union has recently changed its foreign trade policy and focused on bilateral negotiations and agreements instead of multilateral negotiations and agreements. In this context, EU started to execute more comprehensive and new generation agreements such as liberalization of commodity and service trade, public procurement and intellectual property rights. Within this framework, European Union still continues negotiations of new generation agreements with USA, Mexico, Thailand, Japan, India, Malaysia, and Vietnam. Negotiations with Canada and Singapore were concluded, and the agreements will be approved and executed in 2017. Among all these agreement, the one that will have an utmost impact is T-TIP negotiations with the USA. This agreement shall have great effects on foreign trade of Turkey. Although Turkey did not join the negotiations process, she kept attempting to be a simultaneous party to the agreement. Also, the new government of USA does not lean towards bilateral trade agreements. Thus, the possibility of concluding an agreement by and between EU and USA within the scope of current T-TIP substantially decreased. As per the Customs Union relationship between Turkey and European Union (EU), Turkey is liable to adopt EU’s Common Commercial Policy. Furthermore, EU’s preferential trade system for third countries also adopted. In this respect, Turkey executes similar agreements with TABLE.3 FOREIGN TRADE WITH COUNTRIES UNDER FREE TRADE AGREEMENT 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR FOREIGN TRADE MILLION DOLLAR TRADE EQUILIBRIUM MILLION DOLLAR ALBANIA 305 21 326 284 BOSNIA-HER. 309 288 597 21 EFTA* 3.267 3.162 6.429 105 MOROCCO 1.469 918 2.387 551 PALESTINE 94 3 97 91 SOUTH KOREA 519 6.384 6.903 -5.865 GEORGIA 1.177 212 1.389 965 MONTENEGRO 52 23 75 29 MACEDONIA 378 83 461 295 MAURITIUS 36 5 41 31 EGYPT 2.734 1.443 4.177 1.291 SYRIA 1.323 65 1.388 1.258 SERBIA 582 288 870 294 TUNISIA 910 214 1.124 696 JORDAN 711 102 813 609 ISRAEL 2.956 1.386 4.342 1.570 CHILE 217 233 450 -16 MALAYSIA 322 1.997 2.319 -1.675 MOLDOVA 262 148 410 114 COUNTRIES SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, *SWITZERLAND, NORWAY, LIECHTENSTEIN TABLE.4 PLACE OF FOREIGN TRADE WITH COUNTRIES UNDER FREE TRADE AGREEMENT IN OUR TOTAL TRADE 2015 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR FOREIGN TRADE MILLION DOLLAR TRADE EQUILIBRIUM MILLION DOLLAR TURKEY 143.935 207.203 351.138 -63.268 COUNTRIES EXECUTING FTA 20.326 16.601 36.927 +3.725 14,1 8,0 10,5 +5,9 COUNTRIES SHARE OF COUNTRIES EXECUTING % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION TABLE.4 PLACE OF FOREIGN TRADE WITH COUNTRIES UNDER FREE TRADE AGREEMENT IN OUR TOTAL TRADE 2016 EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR IMPORT MILLION DOLLAR FOREIGN TRADE MILLION DOLLAR TRADE EQUILIBRIUM MILLION DOLLAR TURKEY 142.557 198.610 341.167 -56.053 COUNTRIES EXECUTING FTA 17.623 16.975 34.598 +648 12,4 8,5 10,1 +1,2 COUNTRIES SHARE OF COUNTRIES EXECUTING % SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION 130 the countries, which EU concluded a preferential trade agreement with, basing on mutual advantage. Turkey completed negotiations with Kosovo, Faeroe Islands, Singapore and Lebanon, and FTAs with these countries are submitted for internal approval. FTA with Ghana, whose negotiations were also completed, is in the mutual signature process. Besides, FTA negotiations with 12 countries/country groups (Peru, Ukraine, Columbia, Ecuador, Mexico, Japan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Cameroon, Seychelles, Gulf Cooperation Council, Libya, and MERCOSUR ) still continue. Furthermore, it is attempted to start FTA negotiations with ten countries/country groups (USA, Canada, Thailand India, Indonesia Vietnam, Commonwealth of Central America, African, Caribbean and Pacific Countries, Algeria and Republic of South Africa). In May 2015, the first step to update Customs Union agreement that has been in force since 1 January 1996 was taken by signing the memorandum of understanding in Brussels. Through this update, it is aimed to include services and public procurement sectors into the agreement, to ensure that Turkey automatically becomes a party to Free Trade Agreements which EU executed or will execute with EU countries, to allow that Turkey has a place in decision-making mechanisms and to achieve a full liberation in the transportation of Turkish commodities. Another important development in this respect is the request to include the article, which sets forth that free trade and investment partnership agreement (TTIP) between the European Union and the USA shall be implemented to Customs Union countries, into the agreement. Before starting with official negotiations on this issue, the parties should complete impact analysis works, internal consultation, and approval processes. Official negotiations are expected to start in 2017. As the United Kingdom decided to withdraw from the European Union, a new relationship status will be determined between EU and United Kingdom. This status shall set an important example to reshape the relationships between Turkey and EU and Turkey and Great Britain. Less support for multilateral trade agreements, adopting bilateral agreements and USA’s new government’s attitude towards global trade will re-shape the needs and priorities in Turkey’s trade policy. VI.5 FOREIGN TRADE SUPPORTS AND EFFECTS Ratio of Total Export Support To Import Increased in 2016 Ministry of Economy adopts various support programs for supporting export. Furthermore, there are export refunds in agricultural export. These two items consist of export supports. Total export supports are evaluated basing on the budget realization of financial year allocated to the Ministry of Economy. In this respect, export supports were TRY 1,198.8 million in 2014, TRY 1,185.4 million in 2015 and TRY 1,710 million in 2016. Total export supports in USD are calculated as USD 550.3 million in 2014, USD 435.8 million in 2015 and USD 566.0 million in 2016. The ratio of total export supports to export was 0.35 percent in 2014, decreased to 0.30 percent in 2015 and increased to 0.40 percent in 2016. Despite the increase in total export supports, its rate to export continued to remain low, although it increased in 2016. FIGURE.4 SHARE OF EXPORT INCENTIVES IN EXPORT EXPORT INCENTIVES AND THEIR RATIO TO EXPORT 600 0,40 500 0,35 400 0,5 0,4 0,30 0,3 300 0,2 200 0,1 100 0 2014 2015 EXPORT SUPPORT MILLION DOLLAR 0 2016 RATIO OF SUPPORT TO EXPORT SOURCE: MINISTRY OF ECONOMY, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE AND MINISTRY OF FINANCE TABLE.6 SHARE OF EXPORT SUPPORTS IN EXPORT TOTAL EXPORT SUPPORTS MILLION DOLLAR TOTAL EXPORT MILLION DOLLAR EXPORT SUPPORTS' SHARE % 2014 2015 2016 550,3 435,8 566,0 157.620 143.935 142.557 0,35 0,30 0,40 SOURCE: MINISTRY OF ECONOMY, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, AND MINISTRY OF FINANCE ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 131 7 REVIEW OF LONG-TERM EXPORT GOALS 7 REVIEW OF LONG-TERM EXPORT GOALS SECTION VII REVIEW OF LONG-TERM EXPORT GOALS Within the scope of Turkey’s 2023 strategy document, Turkey aims to reach USD 500 billion in total for 2023. Turkey’s export target is USD 571.8 billion along with renewed targets of 26 sub-sectors. Export targets for 2023 are evaluated in this section within the scope of the trends in global economy and trade and the export realizations of Turkey in the last three years. VII.1 GLOBAL TRENDS AND THEIR EFFECTS ON TURKEY 5 Trends To Shape The Future Are Effective In The Long Run Realizations and predictions regarding Turkey’s targets for 2023 are affected by global trends. In this respect, current global macro trends complicate the fulfillment of long-term challenging targets. Macro trends that shape the future may be divided into five categories. These five categories are the global economy, natural resources, innovation and technology, demography and consumer behaviors. Trends that fall into these categories complicate the fulfillment of challenging targets by Turkey and cover the most significant opportunities as well. FIGURE.1. LONG-TERM GLOBAL MACRO TRENDS GLOBAL ECONOMY NATURAL RESOURCES INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGY DEMOGRAPHY CONSUMER BEHAVIOURS Slow Structural Growth Increasing Sustainability Criteria in Production New Paradigms in Product Design and Global Population Increase Increasing Environmental and Manufacture Robotic Manufacture Protectionism Trends in Trade Restrictions of Paris Climate Agreement Progress Towards High Production Flexibility Aging Population in Developed Countries New Models for Customer Loyalty Sharing and Recycling Economies Continuous Research on New Technologies Increasing Migration and Refugee Issue Social Media and Its Effect on E-Trade Technological Developments in Energy Increasing Importance of Big Data Changes in Workforce and Cyber Security Needs Globalization Criticism Separation of Global Monetary Policies Social Sensitivity of Consumers New Period of Less Profitability SOURCE: AT KEARNEY - ECONOMIC AND STRATEGIC CONSULTING SERVICES Among all these global trends, Turkey faces three challenges in the way to achieve its 2023 targets, which stem from its circumstances. These challenges include the deficit in the field of technology and innovation, the competitiveness restricted by domestic production competencies and the political and economic instabilities in the region. In addition to current global trends, a newly shaping trend that will be determinant in the way of fulfilling 2023 targets is the Industrial Revolution 4.0. It is expected that Industrial Revolution 4.0 will be shaped in parallel with the individualized needs, and rearrange the value chain. Following and understanding the developments and trends related to Industrial Revolution 4.0 better will be of substantial importance for increasing the export with high added-value. VII.2 EXPORT PERFORMANCES OF COUNTRIES ON GLOBAL SCALE Maximum Decrease in Export Between 2014-2016 Pertains To China Along with trends and conditions in global economy and trade, a sharp fall was experienced in world commodity trade in 2015 and 2016. World commodity trade shrank twice successively for the first time. Exports of almost 134 all significant exporting countries decreased. However, different trends were observed among the countries. In this respect, the first 30 major exporting countries are compared and evaluated on the basis of their export performances in 2014-2016, absolute export figures and absolute changes they experienced int he last two years. TABLE.1 2014-2016 EXPORTS OF THE FIRST 30 EXPORTERS AND CHANGE IN THEIR EXPORTS TABLE.2 THE FIRST 30 EXPORTERS AND CHANGE IN TURKEY’S SHARE IN 2014-2016 PERCENTAGE POINT RANK COUNTRY 2014 EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR 2015 EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR 2014-2016 EXPORT CHANGE RANK COUNTRY PERCENTAGE POINT 1 CHINA 2.343 2.098 -245 1 CHINA 0,38 2 RUSSIA 497 282 -215 2 HONG KONG 0,38 3 SAUDI ARABIA 354 175 -179 3 JAPAN 0,31 4 GERMANY 1.511 1.339 -172 4 VIETNAM 0,29 5 USA 1.623 1.454 -169 5 USA 0,27 6 THE NETHERLANDS 672 569 -103 6 SWITZERLAND 0,20 7 ENGLAND 507 409 -98 7 MEXICO 0,17 8 UAE 360 266 -94 8 GERMANY 0,16 9 CANADA 474 390 -84 9 THAILAND 0,10 10 FRANCE 583 501 -82 10 POLAND 0,09 11 SINGAPORE 410 330 -80 11 CZECH REPUBLIC 0,07 12 SOUTH KOREA 573 495 -78 12 SPAIN 0,05 13 BELGIUM 469 396 -73 13 TURKEY 0,04 14 ITALY 529 462 -67 14 TAIWAN 0,04 15 INDIA 317 264 -53 15 ITALY 0,01 16 AUSTRALIA 240 190 -50 16 AUSTRALIA -0,01 17 MALAYSIA 234 189 -45 17 SOUTH KOREA -0,02 18 BRAZIL 225 185 -40 18 FRANCE -0,04 19 JAPAN 684 645 -39 19 INDONESIA -0,06 20 SPAIN 323 288 -35 20 BRAZIL -0,07 21 TAIWAN 314 280 -34 21 INDIA -0,07 22 INDONESIA 176 144 -32 22 BELGIUM -0,07 23 AUSTRALIA 177 152 -25 23 MALAYSIA -0,09 24 MEXICO 398 374 -24 24 THE NETHERLANDS -0,09 25 POLAND 217 203 -14 25 AUSTRALIA -0,12 26 THAILAND 228 215 -13 26 CANADA -0,14 27 CZECH REPUBLIC 174 163 -11 27 SINGAPORE -0,16 28 SWITZERLAND 312 303 -9 28 ENGLAND -0,20 29 HONG KONG 524 517 -7 29 UAE -0,34 30 VIETNAM 150 177 27 30 SAUDI ARABIA -0,76 31 TURKEY 157,6 142.5 -15 31 RUSSIA -0,93 BILLION DOLLAR SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION The maximum decrease in export between 2014-2016 pertains to China, the largest exporting country, with USD 245 billion. Through its economic transformation, China decreases the domination of export in the economy. Loss of Germany, the second largest exporter, amounted to USD 172 billion. Germany was adversely affected by the decrease in EUR-USD parity. Export loss of the USA, the third largest exporter, was realized USD 169 billion. Strengthening of USD also had a negative impact on the USA. ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 135 7 REVIEW OF LONG-TERM EXPORT GOALS Other countries that experienced the highest export loss include Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. The decrease in the petroleum and natural gas prices was determinant the losses of these three countries. European Union’s other major exporters such as England, the Netherlands, France, Italy and Belgium also faced with substantial recessions. However, depreciation of Euro and Sterling played a role in the export decreases of these countries. Losses of Poland and Czech Republic in EU were quite limited. As for Asia-Pacific countries, exports of Singapore and South Korea decreased more in comparison with the other countries in the region while decreases in Japan, Taiwan, and Indonesia were more limited. Export of India also declined. With USD 15 billion, Turkey’s export decrease was more limited as in Poland’s, Czech Republic’s and Thailand’s export. Among the first 30 countries, Vietnam was the only country whose export increased in 2014-2016. Out of The First 30 Exporters, Turkey Was One of 14 Countries Increasing Their Export Shares Between 2014-2016 Out of the first 30 largest exporters, export shares of 14 countries increased while export shares of other 16 countries decreased between 2014-2016. Turkey achieved to be one of the 14 countries increasing their export shares, though limited. FIGURE.2 COUNTRIES WITH INCREASING EXPORT SHARES IN 2014-2016 0,45 THECOUNTRIES WITH INCREASING SHARES AMONG THE FIRST 30 EXPORTERS 0,38 0,35 0,38 0,40 0,01 0,04 0,04 0,05 0,05 0,10 0,10 0,07 0,09 0,15 0,17 0,20 0,20 0,16 0,25 0,27 0,29 0,31 0,30 ITALY TAIWAN TURKEY SPAIN POLAND THAILAND GERMANY CZECH REPUBLIC SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION SWITZERLAND İSVİÇRE USA VIETNAM JAPAN HONG KONG CHİNA 0,00 FIGURE.3 COUNTRIES WITH DECREASING EXPORT SHARES IN 2014-2016 -0,16 THECOUNTRIES WITH DECRASING SHARES AMONG THE FIRST 30 EXPORTERS -0,40 0,34 -0,12 -0,14 -0,20 -0,30 -0,09 -0,20 -0,09 -0,07 -0,07 -0,07 -0,06 -0,04 -0,02 -0,08 0,00 -0,10 -0,50 -0,60 -0,70 -0,90 136 SAUDI ARABIA UAE ENGLAND SONGAPORA CANADA AUSTRALIA THE NETHERLANDS SOURCE: CALCULATED BASING ON THE DATA OF WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION MALASIA BELGIUM INDIA BRAZIL INDONESIA FRANCE SOUTH KOREA AUSTRALIA -1,00 RUSSIA -0,93 -0,76 -0,80 With 0.38 points, China and Hong Kong were the two countries that increased their export shares most in 20142016. Export share of Japan increased by 0.31 points. Vietnam’s export share also raised by 0.29 points. Thanks to its 5-year export strategy put into force after the global crisis, USA also increased its export share by 0.27 points. Among other countries that increased their export shares include Switzerland, Mexico, Germany, Thailand, Poland, Spain, Taiwan, Italy and the Czech Republic Countries that experienced the most substantial decrease in their shares in 2014-2016 are Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. All three countries were affected by the decrease in petroleum and natural gas prices. England, Singapore and Canada’s losses in share were also relatively high. Although Turkey’s export decreased in the 2014-2016 period, its share in world export increased by 0.04 points. Compared with other significant countries whose export share decreased during this period, Turkey showed a successful performance. VII.3 TURKEY’S 2023 EXPORT GOALS AND REALIZATIONS Export Decreasing in 2016 Was Below the Goal Through 2023 export strategy, Turkey set its export goals until 2023. In parallel, annual export goals are specified in three-year medium-term programs announced by the Government. In 2010, 2011 and 2012, Turkey’s export achieved the goals in 2023 export strategy and medium-term program to a large extent. In 2012, however, the irregular and high level of gold export temporarily contributed. Export realizations, on the other hand, were below export goals in 2013 and 2014. A substantial decrease was observed in export in 2015. This recession was not specific to Turkey and caused by a significant amount of shrinking in global trade. Turkey’s export also decreased in 2016. This decrease progressed in parallel with shrinking of global commodity trade. Although export goal for 2016 was set as USD 230.0 billion in export strategy document and USD 155.0 billion in the medium-term program, export was realized USD 142.5 billion. TABLE.3 TURKEY’S EXPORT TARGETS AND REALIZATIONS 2010-2015 YEARST TARGET IN 2023 EXPORT STRATEGY DOCUMENT BILLION DOLLAR 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 115.0 135.0 152.5 165.7 187.7 207.5 230.0 MEDIUM TERM PROGRAM EXPORT TARGET BILLION DOLLAR 107.5 127.0 148.5 158.0 166.5 173.0 155.5 EXPORT REALIZATION BILLION DOLLAR 113.9 134.9 152.5 151.8 157.6 143.9 142.5 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INFORMATION, T.R. MINISTRY OF DEVELOPMENT MEDIUM-TERM PROGRAMS FIGURE.4 EXPORT TARGETS AND REALIZATIONS BILLION DOLLAR 230,0 EXPORT TARGETS AND REALIZATIONS 207,5 2023 EXPORT STRATEGY TARGET 187,7 MTP TARGET ACTUAL EXPORT 165,7 152,5 135,0 127,0 2011 134,9 148,5 2012 152,5 173,0 166,5 158,0 157,6 151,8 2013 143,90 2014 2015 155,5 142.5 2016 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INFORMATION, T.R. MINISTRY OF DEVELOPMENT MEDIUM-TERM PROGRAMS ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 137 6 REVIEW OF LONG-TERM EXPORT GOALS Share in World Trade Remained 0.26 Points Below 2016 Target 0.75 percent in 2010. Thanks to a recovery in the following years, the share has been increasing for the last four years and increased to 0.89 percent in 2016. However, share achieved in the world commodity trade is below the targeted share. Although the goal was 1.15 percent in 2016, the realized share was 0.89 percent. Thus, achieved share was 0.26 points below the goal. In addition to absolute export volumes, share to be taken in world commodity trade was also set as a goal in Turkey’s 2023 export strategy. The goal was set at 1.5 percent in 2023. In this respect, while Turkey’s share in world commodity trade was 0.83 percent in 2008, it decreased to TABLE.4 TARGETS FOR THE SHARE OF TURKISH EXPORT IN WORLD TRADE AND REALIZATIONS 2010-2015 YEARST TARGET IN 2023 EXPORT STRATEGY DOCUMENT PERCENTAGET EXPORT REALIZATION PERCENTAGE 2010 0.88 0.75 2011 0.96 0.75 2012 1.02 0.85 2013 1.03 0.83 2014 1.06 0.85 2015 1.10 0.87 2016 1.15 0.89 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION FIGURE.5 TARGET FOR SHARE IN WORLD EXPORT AND REALIZATIONS 1,15 1,2 SHARE IN WORLD EXPORT PERCENTAGE 1,10 1,1 1,02 1 0,9 0,8 0,7 1,03 1,06 0,96 0,88 0,87 0,85 0,75 0,75 2010 2011 0,83 0,85 2013 2014 0,89 0,6 2012 SOURCE: TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATIO Our Export Share Among The First 30 Largest Importers Increased from 0.62 Percent to 0.63 Percent TThe reason why Turkey remains below the goals set in 2023 export strategy about absolute volume and share in world commodity trade is that export to and share in large markets remained limited. Export of Turkey to the first 30 countries that cover almost 85 percent of the world import amounted to USD 84.0 138 TARGET IN 2023 EXPORT STRATEGY DOCUMENT PERCENTAGE 2013 2014 ACTUAL REALIZATION PERCENTAGE billion in 2015 and decreased to USD 83.15 billion in 2016. Besides, Turkey’s share in the import of the first 30 markets was 0.62 percent in 2015 and increased to 0.63 percent in 2016. An important reason for this increase is that import from Turkey decreased in a more limited manner, despite the substantial recession in total imports of importing countries. Furthermore, in 2016, Turkey increased its export to such markets as the USA whose import decreased. TABLE.5 THE 30 MAJOR IMPORTERS AND TURKEY’S EXPORT IMPORT BILLION DOLLART TURKEY’S EXPORT BILLION DOLLAR RANK COUNTRY 2015 2016 2015 2016 1 USA 2.308 2.251 6,4 6,6 2 CHINA 1.682 1.587 2,4 2,3 3 GERMANY 1.050 1.056 13,4 14,0 4 ENGLAND 626 636 10,6 11,7 5 JAPAN 648 608 0,3 0,35 6 FRANCE 573 573 5,8 6,0 7 HONG KONG 559 547 0,3 0,4 8 THE NETHERLANDS 506 504 3,2 3,6 9 SOUTH KOREA 436 406 0,6 0,5 10 ITALY 409 405 6,9 7,6 11 CANADA 436 403 0,7 0,7 12 MEXICO 405 398 0,3 0,4 13 BELGIUM 375 367 2,6 2,5 14 INDIA 392 359 0,7 0,7 15 SPAIN 309 310 4,7 5,0 16 SINGAPORE 297 283 0,4 0,4 17 SWITZERLAND 252 270 5,7 2,7 18 TAIWAN 238 231 0,1 0,1 19 UAE 230 225 4,7 5,4 20 POLAND 193 197 2,3 2,7 21 THAILAND 203 195 0,2 0,2 22 RUSSIA 194 191 3,6 1,7 23 AUSTRALIA 208 189 0,5 0,6 24 VIETNAM 166 174 0,2 0,2 25 MALAYSIA 176 168 0,4 0,3 26 SAUDI ARABIA 172 136 3,5 3,2 27 AUSTRALIA 155 158 1,0 1,0 28 BRAZIL 179 143 0,5 0,3 29 CZECH REPUBLIC 140 142 0,8 0,8 30 SWEDEN 140 138 1,2 1,2 13.657 13.260 84,0 83,15 THE FIRST 30 COUNTRIES TOTAL SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 139 7 REVIEW OF LONG-TERM EXPORT GOALS Export Target Realization Rates of Sectors Were 57.1 Percent in 2016 Another determinant in export performance is the export developments of sectors. In 2023 Export Strategy, the total export goal of 26 sub-sectors for 2016 was set as USD 230.0 billion. However, export achieved was USD 131.4 billion. Sector-based export amounting to USD 131.4 billion TABLE.6 TURKEY’S SHARE IN THE 30 MAJOR IMPORTING COUNTRIES RANK COUNTRIES 2015 2016 1 USA 0.28 0.29 2 CHINA 0.14 0.14 3 GERMANY 1.28 1.33 4 ENGLAND 1.69 1.84 5 JAPAN 0.05 6 FRANCE 1.01 7 HONG KONG 8 TABLE.7 SECTORS’ EXPORT TARGETS TAND REALIZATIONS IN 2016 RANK SECTOR 0.06 1 Automotive 1.05 2 Garment and Outfits 0.05 0.07 3 Chemical Substances and Products THE NETHERLANDS 0.63 0.71 4 Steel 9 SOUTH KOREA 0.14 0.12 5 Electrics-Electronics and Service 10 ITALY 1.69 1.88 6 Textile and Raw Materials 11 CANADA 0.16 0.17 7 2016 Export Target Billion Dollar 2016 Export Realized Billion Dollar 2016 Rate of Realization % 23.89 53.8 25.5 16.97 66.5 22.0 13.94 63.4 18.3 9.09 49.7 16.1 9.99 62.0 12.7 7.87 62.0 Iron and Non-Iron Metals 12.8 5.95 46.5 Grains 8.9 6.36 71.5 44.4 12 MEXICO 0.07 0.10 8 13 BELGIUM 0.69 0.68 9 Machinery 22.7 5.30 23.3 Mining Products 7.4 3.79 51.2 14 INDIA 0.18 0.19 10 15 SPAIN 1.52 1.61 11 Wooden and Forestry Products 6.4 4.10 64.1 16 SINGAPORE 0.13 0.14 12 Climatization 7.4 3.51 47.4 13 Cement, Glass, Ceramic 4.5 2.46 54.7 14 Jewels 4.0 2.45 61.3 15 Carpet 2.7 1.92 71.1 16 Fresh Fruit and Vegetable 2.6 1.98 76.2 17 Nut 2.2 1.99 90.5 18 Fisheries 2.5 1.89 75.6 19 Leather and Leather Products 2.8 1.39 49.6 20 Defense and Aviation 2.4 1.68 70.0 21 Dried Fruit Products 1.6 1.30 81.3 22 Fruit and Vegetable Products 3.0 1.32 44.0 17 SWITZERLAND 2.26 1.00 18 TAIWAN 0.04 0.04 19 UAE 2.04 2.40 20 POLAND 1.19 1.37 21 THAILAND 0.10 0.10 22 RUSSIA 1.86 0.89 23 AUSTRALIA 0.24 0.32 24 VIETNAM 0.12 0.11 25 MALAYSIA 0.23 0.18 26 SAUDI ARABIA 2.03 2.35 23 Ship and Yacht 2.5 0.97 38.8 27 AUSTRALIA 0.65 0.63 24 Tobacco and Tobacco Products 1.2 1.01 84.2 28 BRAZIL 0.28 0.21 25 Olive and Olive Oil 0.7 0.19 27.1 29 CZECH REPUBLIC 0.57 0.56 26 Ornamental Plants and 0.3 0.08 26.7 30 SWEDEN 0.86 0.87 Related Products 0.62 0.63 Total 230.0 131.4 57.1 THE FIRST 30 COUNTRIES TOTALT SOURCE: WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTION DATA 140 differed from the total export in 2016, which includes gold export and amounts to USD 142.5 billion. Realization rate of the 2016 export goal, which was set as USD 230 billion excluding gold, was 57.1 percent. This rate was realized 64.4 percent in 2015. While six sub-sectors achieved their export goals in 2014, two sub-sectors fulfilled their annual export goal in 2015. In 2016, none of the sub-sectors fulfilled or exceeded their export goal. The sub-sectors which were closest to their targets were Nuts with 90.5 percent and tobacco products with 84.2 percent. Both are the sub-sectors of the agriculture sector. SOURCE: TURKISH EXPORTERS ASSEMBLY Export Needs To Increase Average By 23.4 Percent for Sectors To Fulfill Their 2023 Targets FIGURE.6 AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH RATES THAT SECTORS NEED TO ACHIEVE 2023 TARGETS PERCENT 2017-2023 When export volumes achieved in 2016 were compared Olive and Olive Oil with 2023 goals, it is concluded that Turkey’s sectorMachinery Defense and Aviation based export should increase by 23.4 percent annually. Ship and Ycht Climatization The sector that needs the highest annual average increase Ornamental Plants and in export is olive and olive oil sector with 52.0 percent. Jewels Electrics-Electronics and Excluding sub-sectors of nuts and tobacco products, Steel in Total 24 sub-sectors need to increase by two-digit exports Iron andAverage Non-iron Metals Mining Products annually until 2023. Leather and Leather Products and Forestry Prod. Among the sectors with high export goals, export Wooden Chemical Substances and Garment and Outfits should increase in machinery industry by 47.0 percent, Dried Fruiit Products in automotive sector by 17.5 percent, in steel sector Automotive Fruit and Vegetable Prod. by 24.0 percent, in electric-electronics sector by 24.0 Carpet percent, in garment and outfits sector by 20.0 percent and Cement, Glass, Ceramic Grains in chemical substances and products industry by 20.0 Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Fisheries Textile and Raw Materials percent annually in order to achieve 2023 export goals. 40,0 52,0 32,0 Nut Tobacco and Tobacco Prod. TABLE.8 GROWTH RATES THAT SECTORS NEED TO FULFILL 2023 EXPORT TARGETS 47,0 45,0 2,5 0,0 30,0 26,0 24,0 24,0 23,4 23,0 21,5 21,0 21,0 20,0 20,0 17,5 AVERAGE ANNUAL 17,5 17,0 GROWTH RATE PERCENT 17,0 17,0 17,0 16,5 15,5 14,0 4,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 SOURCE: TURKISH EXPORTERS ASSEMBLY RANK sector 2016 Export Billion Dollar 2023 Export Target Billion Dollar 1 Automotive 23,89 75,0 17,5 2017/2023 Annual growth rate needed (%) 2 Garment and Outfits 16,97 60,0 20,0 3 Chemical Substances and Products 13,94 50,0 20,0 4 Steel 9,09 55,0 24,0 5 Electrics-Electronics and Service 9,99 45,0 24,0 6 Textile and Raw Materials 7,87 20,0 14,0 7 Iron and Non-Iron Metals 5,95 25,0 23,0 8 Grains 6,36 19,2 17,0 9 Machinery 5,30 75,0 47,0 10 Mining Products 3,79 15,0 21,5 11 Wooden and Forestry Products 4,10 16,0 21,0 12 Climatization 3,51 25,0 32,0 13 Cement, Glass, Ceramic 2,46 7,3 17,0 14 Jewels 2,45 12,0 26,0 15 Carpet 1,92 5,5 17,0 16 Fresh Fruit and Vegetable 1,98 5,6 16,5 17 Nut 1,99 2,5 4,0 18 Fisheries 1,89 5,0 15,5 19 Leather and Leather Products 1,39 5,2 21,0 20 Defense and Aviation 1,68 25,0 45,0 21 Dried Fruit Products 1,30 4,0 17,5 22 Fruit and Vegetable Products 1,32 4,0 17,0 23 Ship and Yacht 0,97 10,0 40,0 24 Tobacco and Tobacco Products 1,01 1,2 2,5 25 Olive and Olive Oil 0,19 3,8 52,0 26 Ornamental Plants and Related Products 0,08 0,5 30,0 Total 131,4 571,8 23,4 SOURCE: TURKISH EXPORTERS ASSEMBLY ECONOMY AND FOREIGN TRADE REPORT 2017 141 60,0 8 STRATEGIC EVALUATION AND SUGGESTIONS 8 STRATEGIC EVALUATION AND SUGGESTIONS SECTION SECTION VIII STRATEGIC EVALUATION AND SUGGESTIONS SECTION 1. World commodity trade has been growing in amount too slowly. Trade elasticity of commodity trade decreases. Turkey’s export, on the other hand, increases more. Thanks to its manufacturer qualification based on manufacturing industry, Turkey comes more forward and gains advantage among developing countries. 2. World commodity trade experienced a substantial decrease. Slow growth of the world economy and decrease in the commodity trade restrict Turkey’s export-based growth and ability to achieve 2023 export goals. Turkey needs to revise its growth model and 2023 goals. 3. Commodity and input prices tend to increase again. Manufacturing costs will increase one period later. In relation to Turkey’s export structure based on manufacturing industry, Turkey should increase industrial effectiveness and efficiency against cost increase expectations 4. Protectionist trends become stronger in trade. USA’s new government, in particular, adopts protective trends. In this respect, pressure may be imposed on the export of developing countries in the forthcoming period. Turkey should focus on market diversification and improvement of bilateral trade relationships. 5. Monetary policies of Central Banks in developed countries and FED’s interest rate increases cause global fluctuations and adversely affect developing countries including Turkey. Turkey should adapt to new circumstances better and improve its predictability. 6. For the last five years, Turkey has been adopting balance policies in the economy and trying to balance between domestic and international demand. However, net export negatively contributed to growth in three out of five years. For rapid growth based on net export, added value export should be increased. 7. In 2016, Turkish Lira substantially depreciated. However, export decrease, while import increased in amount. Import declined in value along with the decrease in prices of products imported. Weak Turkish Lira neither supports export nor deters import. Instead of valueless Turkish Lira, a predictable one should be preferred. 8. In 2016, export decreased in parallel with global circumstances. However, a decrease in the export to many peripheral and neighboring countries was harsher due to problems with these countries. Turkey should normalize its foreign policy and improve the mutual relationships with neighboring and peripheral countries. 9. Economies of Turkey’s many peripheral and neighboring export markets are dependent upon energy revenues. It is predicted that energy prices shall remain low for a few years. Thus, performances of these markets will be weak. Turkey should find alternatives for its export markets that are dependent upon energy revenues. Thus, she should be a part of the supply chains of countries that are engaged in industrial production activities. 10. The share of the high-technology products in export is still low. Export and export share decreased in industries with high technology densities. In industries with high technology, investment and production should be more comprehensively supported on the basis of export. 11. While import decreased in value, it increased in amount for 144 all commodity groups in 2016. Import of investment commodities increased in value. Items with increasing import rates and needs should be re-evaluated soundly. 12. The share of high technology products in Turkey’s import is still increasing. The share of low-technology products also moves up. Turkey is still obliged to import the products which she cannot manufacture and those she lost the price advantage. Manufacture of both groups should be supported more effectively through special programs. 13. Turkey serves as the net exporter of 12 of 26 countries which she is engaged in mutual foreign trade. To be a net exporter of these countries, Turkey should become a net exporter for many sections subject to mutual trade. Turkey should become a net exporter to more countries and thus should focus on fewer sections by increasing added value. 14. For the sections mainly subject to mutual trade, Turkey is qualified as the net exporter for 12 of 29 sections and as the net importer for 17 sections. Sections for which Turkey was qualified as net importer are high technology sections and mineral, metal and chemical based products. Sections for which Turkey was qualified as a net exporter are those with low technology density. Turkey should improve its current structure in the trade of sections and should become a net exporter for medium-high and high technology products. 15. Economic growth in the European Union and Customs Unions’ effect of increasing foreign trade still continue. The share of trade with regional organizations has been decreasing for the last five years. The share of foreign trade with countries executing FTA is still insufficient. Turkey should renew its foreign trade policies and diplomacy in parallel with new regional and global circumstances. Steps taken towards improving and developing Customs Union with EU are of significance. 16. The ratio of supports, provided for export within the scope of export support programs, to total export increased to 0.40 percent in 2016 but remained relatively low. This rate should increase to 1.0 percent in the short run. 17. In addition to new global trends and circumstances, geopolitical developments in Turkey’s region pose new risks and complicates the fulfillment of 2023 export goals. Turkey should adopt constructive policies towards geopolitical risks in its region and focus on great markets such as USA and China. 18. Within the scope of 2023 export goals, export goal realization rate was 57.1 percent in 2016. The goal for taking a share in world commodity trade is 0.26 points below the value set as 0.89 percent. To achieve the goals in the forthcoming years, the conditions for investment, manufacture and export processes should be enhanced with incentives and practices. 19. Share in the import of the first 30 major markets, which covers 90 percent of world import, increased to 0.63 percent in 2016. Increasing the share in these markets will have a positive impact on Turkey’s 2023 export goals. Turkey should increase its share in large markets, especially in the USA.