Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) He D, Zhang C, Zhao X, Zhang Y, Dai Q, Li Y, Chu L He D, Zhang C, Zhao X, Zhang Y, Dai Q, Li Y, Chu L. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2016, Issue 3. Art. No.: CD009882. DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD009882.pub3. www.cochranelibrary.com Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. TABLE OF CONTENTS HEADER . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ABSTRACT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY . . . . . . . . . . . SUMMARY OF FINDINGS FOR THE MAIN COMPARISON BACKGROUND . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . OBJECTIVES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . METHODS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . RESULTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Figure 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Figure 2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Figure 3. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . DISCUSSION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . AUTHORS’ CONCLUSIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . REFERENCES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . CHARACTERISTICS OF STUDIES . . . . . . . . . . DATA AND ANALYSES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . APPENDICES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . WHAT’S NEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . CONTRIBUTIONS OF AUTHORS . . . . . . . . . . DECLARATIONS OF INTEREST . . . . . . . . . . . SOURCES OF SUPPORT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . DIFFERENCES BETWEEN PROTOCOL AND REVIEW . . INDEX TERMS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1 2 4 11 11 12 15 16 18 19 24 26 26 26 30 47 47 47 47 47 48 48 48 i [Intervention Review] Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis Dian He1 , Chao Zhang2 , Xia Zhao3 , Yifan Zhang1 , Qingqing Dai1 , Yuan Li1 , Lan Chu1 1 Department of Neurology, Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, China. 2 Department of Internal Medicine, Jinan No. 6 People’s Hospital, Jinan, China. 3 Department of Nursing, Jinan No. 6 People’s Hospital, Jinan, China Contact address: Lan Chu, Department of Neurology, Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, No. 28, Gui Yi Street, Guiyang, Guizhou Province, 550004, China. chulan8999@yeah.net. Editorial group: Cochrane Multiple Sclerosis and Rare Diseases of the CNS Group. Publication status and date: New search for studies and content updated (conclusions changed), published in Issue 3, 2016. Review content assessed as up-to-date: 7 November 2015. Citation: He D, Zhang C, Zhao X, Zhang Y, Dai Q, Li Y, Chu L. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2016, Issue 3. Art. No.: CD009882. DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD009882.pub3. Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. ABSTRACT Background This is an update of the Cochrane review “Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis” (first published in The Cochrane Library 2012, Issue 12). Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic immune-mediated disease of the central nervous system. It is clinically characterized by recurrent relapses or progression, or both, often leading to severe neurological disability and a serious decline in quality of life. Disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for MS aim to prevent occurrence of relapses and disability progression. Teriflunomide is a pyrimidine synthesis inhibitor approved by both the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the European Medicines Agency (EMA) as a DMT for adults with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS). Objectives To assess the absolute and comparative effectiveness and safety of teriflunomide as monotherapy or combination therapy versus placebo or other disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) (interferon beta (IFNβ), glatiramer acetate, natalizumab, mitoxantrone, fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate, alemtuzumab) for modifying the disease course in people with MS. Search methods We searched the Cochrane Multiple Sclerosis and Rare Diseases of the CNS Group Specialised Trials Register (30 September 2015). We checked reference lists of published reviews and retrieved articles and searched reports (2004 to September 2015) from the MS societies in Europe and America. We also communicated with investigators participating in trials of teriflunomide and the pharmaceutical company, Sanofi-Aventis. Selection criteria We included randomized, controlled, parallel-group clinical trials with a length of follow-up of one year or greater evaluating teriflunomide, as monotherapy or combination therapy, versus placebo or other approved DMDs for people with MS without restrictions regarding dose, administration frequency and duration of treatment. Data collection and analysis We used the standard methodological procedures of Cochrane. Two review authors independently assessed trial quality and extracted data. Disagreements were discussed and resolved by consensus among the review authors. We contacted the principal investigators of included studies for additional data or confirmation of data. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 1 Main results Five studies involving 3231 people evaluated the efficacy and safety of teriflunomide 7 mg and 14 mg, alone or with add-on IFNβ, versus placebo or IFNβ-1a for adults with relapsing forms of MS and an entry Expanded Disability Status Scale score of less than 5.5. Overall, there were obvious clinical heterogeneities due to diversities in study designs or interventions and methodological heterogeneities across studies. All studies had a high risk of detection bias for relapse assessment and a high risk of bias due to conflicts of interest. Among them, three studies additionally had a high risk of attrition bias due to a high dropout rate and two studies had an unclear risk of attrition bias. The studies of combination therapy with IFNβ (650 participants) and the study with IFNβ-1a as controls (324 participants) also had a high risk for performance bias and a lack of power due to the limited sample. Two studies evaluated the benefit and the safety of teriflunomide as monotherapy versus placebo over a period of one year (1169 participants) or two years (1088 participants). A meta-analysis was not conducted. Compared to placebo, administration of teriflunomide at a dose of 7 mg/day or 14 mg/day as monotherapy reduced the number of participants with at least one relapse over one year (risk ratio (RR) 0.72, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.59 to 0.87, P value = 0.001 with 7 mg/day and RR 0.60, 95% CI 0.48 to 0.75, P value < 0.00001 with 14 mg/day) or two years (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.98, P value = 0.03 with 7 mg/day and RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.93, P value = 0.004 with 14 days). Only teriflunomide at a dose of 14 mg/day reduced the number of participants with disability progression over one year (RR 0.55, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.84, P value = 0.006) or two years (RR 0.74, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.96, P value = 0.02). When taking the effect of drop-outs into consideration, the likely-case scenario analyses still showed a benefit in reducing the number of participants with at least one relapse, but not for the number of participants with disability progression. Both doses also reduced the annualized relapse rate and the number of gadolinium-enhancing T1-weighted lesions over two years. Quality of evidence for relapse outcomes at one year or at two years was low, while for disability progression at one year or at two years was very low. When compared to IFNβ-1a, teriflunomide at a dose of 14 mg/day had a similar efficacy to IFNβ-1a in reducing the proportion of participants with at least one relapse over one year, while teriflunomide at a dose of 7 mg/day was inferior to IFNβ-1a (RR 1.52, 95% CI 0.87 to 2.67, P value = 0.14; 215 participants with 14 mg/day and RR 2.74, 95% CI 1.66 to 4.53, P value < 0.0001; 213 participants with 7 mg/day). However, the quality of evidence was very low. In terms of safety profile, the most common adverse events associated with teriflunomide were diarrhoea, nausea, hair thinning, elevated alanine aminotransferase, neutropenia and lymphopenia. These adverse events had a dose-related effects and rarely led to treatment discontinuation. Authors’ conclusions There was low-quality evidence to support that teriflunomide at a dose of 7 mg/day or 14 mg/day as monotherapy reduces both the number of participants with at least one relapse and the annualized relapse rate over one year or two years of treatment in comparison with placebo. Only teriflunomide at a dose of 14 mg/day reduced the number of participants with disability progression and delayed the progression of disability over one year or two years, but the quality of the evidence was very low. The quality of available data was too low to evaluate the benefit teriflunomide as monotherapy versus IFNβ-1a or as combination therapy with IFNβ. The common adverse effects were diarrhoea, nausea, hair thinning, elevated alanine aminotransferase, neutropenia and lymphopenia. These adverse effects were mostly mild-to-moderate in severity, but had a dose-related effect. New studies of high quality and longer follow-up are needed to evaluate the comparative benefit of teriflunomide on these outcomes and the safety in comparison with other DMTs. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY Teriflunomide modifies the disease course in people with multiple sclerosis Background Teriflunomide was first used in rheumatoid arthritis, and is known to possess both anti-proliferative (inhibiting cell growth) and antiinflammatory (counteracting a local response to cellular injury) actions. In 2012, its use was approved for these characteristics by the US Food and Drug Administration for people with relapsing (with recurrent exacerbations of neurological symptoms) forms of multiple sclerosis (MS) and in 2013 also by the European Medicines Agency. Objectives To assess the effectiveness and safety of two different doses of teriflunomide, alone or in combination with other medicines, for modifying the course of MS in people with the relapsing forms, with or without progression. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 2 Study characteristics The review authors considered the effectiveness of teriflunomide mainly in terms of the number of participants with at least one relapse, the number of people with disability progression, the annualized rate of relapse (number of relapses per participant-year) and the time to disability progression. They evaluated safety as the number of participants with side effects, number of participants with serious side effects, and number of participants who withdrew or dropped out from the study because of side effects at one year or two years. Among the pertinent literature, five studies met the inclusion criteria. They involved 3231 participants and evaluated the effectiveness and safety of teriflunomide alone or with another medicine called interferon-β (IFNβ), versus placebo (a pretend medicine) or IFNβ1a. The evidence is current to September 2015. Key results The authors found low-quality evidence that both doses of teriflunomide reduced the occurrence of relapses after one year or two years of treatment, while there is very low-quality evidence showing that the medicine prevented disability progression at one year or two years. High-dose rather than low-dose teriflunomide had a similar efficacy to IFNβ-1a in reducing relapse at one year, but the quality of evidence was very low. As far as safety was concerned, the most commonly reported side effects were diarrhoea (frequent, loose stools), nausea (feeling sick), hair thinning, neutropenia (low levels of white blood cells called neutrophils, which fight off infection) and lymphopenia (low levels of white blood cells called lymphocytes, which fight off infection). In general, these side effects are mild to moderate, and do not usually lead to treatment being stopped, but higher dose is more prone to cause these side effects. Quality of evidence The low/very low quality of the results is mainly due to the inadequate blinding of relapse assessment (assessors were aware of which treatment the person had received), the high dropout rate (people left the trial), disability progression confirmed in less than six months, the low number of participants, and the different length of treatments within the studies. The duration of the studies is a key point for a lifetime disease with chances of chronic treatments as MS, also suggesting the need of studies with a longer period of monitoring (follow-up). The five studies included in this review were sponsored by pharmaceutical companies, and this is known as a potential source of conflict of interest and thus of bias. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 3 Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. S U M M A R Y O F F I N D I N G S F O R T H E M A I N C O M P A R I S O N [Explanation] Teriflunomide compared to placebo for multiple sclerosis Patient or population: people with relapsing multiple sclerosis Settings: US, Austria, France, Canada, Germany, UK, Sweden, Netherlands, Turkey, Poland, Chile, Ukraine, China, Italy, Australia, etc. Intervention: teriflunomide at a dose of 14 mg orally once daily Comparison: placebo Outcomes Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI) Assumed risk Corresponding risk Placebo Teriflunomide Proportion of partici- 394 per 1000 pants with at least 1 relapse at 1 year Follow-up: 1 year 237 per 1000 (189 to 296) Relative effect (95% CI) No of Participants (studies) Quality of the evidence (GRADE) Comments RR 0.60 (0.48 to 0.75) 761 (1 study) ⊕⊕ lowa This outcome was considered low, because we considered there were very serious limitation in study design and execution. The bias that influenced the validity of the results for this outcome included: the high risks of bias due to unblinded assessments for relapse and conflicts of interest (sensitivity analysis according to a likely-case scenario showed a robustness for the results of this outcome, we considered that the high attrition bias did not influence the robustness of the re- 4 Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. sults on relapse). Therefore, we downgraded the quality of evidence for this outcome by 2 levels The proportion of partic- 545 per 1000 ipants with at least 1 relapse at 2 years Follow-up: 2 years 436 per 1000 (376 to 507) RR 0.80 (0.69 to 0.93) 722 (1 study) ⊕⊕ lowb This outcome was considered low, because we considered there were very serious limitation in study design and execution. The bias that influenced the validity of the results for this outcome included: the high risks of bias due to unblinded assessments for relapse and conflicts of interest. (Sensitivity analysis according to a likely-case scenario showed a robustness for the results of this outcome, we considered that the unclear attrition bias did not influence the robustness of the results on relapse.) Therefore, we downgraded the quality of evidence for this outcome by 2 levels The proportion of partici- 142 per 1000 pants with disability progression at 1 year Follow-up: 1 year 78 per 1000 (51 to 119) RR 0.55 (0.36 to 0.84) 761 (1 study) ⊕ very lowc,e This outcome was considered very low based on the following reasons: • we considered there were very serious limitation in study design and execution. The bias 5 Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. that influenced the validity of the results for this outcome included: the high risks of bias due to the high attrition bias and conflicts of interest. Sensitivity analysis according to a likelycase scenario showed an unsteadiness for the results of this outcome, we considered that the high attrition bias influenced the robustness of the results on progression disability. Therefore, we downgraded the quality of evidence for this outcome by 2 levels • This outcome was an indirect outcome because disability progression was confirmed at 3 months of follow-up. We had serious doubts about directness. Therefore, we downgraded the quality of evidence for this outcome by 1 level The proportion of partici- 273 per 1000 pants with disability progression at 2 years Follow-up: 2 years 202 per 1000 (153 to 262) RR 0.74 (0.56 to 0.96) 722 (1 study) ⊕ very lowd,e This outcome was considered very low based on the following reasons: • We considered there were very serious 6 Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. limitation in study design and execution. The bias that influenced the validity of the results for this outcome included: the high risks of bias due to unclear attrition bias and conflicts of interest. Sensitivity analysis according to a likelycase scenario showed an unsteadiness for the results of this outcome, we considered that the unclear attrition bias influenced the robustness of the results on progression disability. Therefore, we downgraded the quality of evidence for this outcome by 2 levels • This outcome was an indirect outcome because disability progression was confirmed at 3 months of follow-up. We had serious doubts about directness. Therefore, we downgraded the quality of evidence for this outcome by 1 level 7 Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. The proportion of partic- 89 per 1000 ipants with diarrhoea at 2 years Follow-up: 2 years 179 per 1000 (120 to 267) RR 2.01 (1.35 to 3.00) 718 (1 study) ⊕⊕⊕ moderatef The follow-up periods were diverse in Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011 (at least 48 weeks (Confavreux 2014) and 108 weeks (O’Connor 2011)). Treatment duration of participants in Confavreux 2014 was variable, ending 48 weeks after the last participant was included (a maximum treatment duration of 173 weeks). Actually, the data on adverse events in Confavreux 2014 were not at 2 years. There was a heterogeneity in follow-up period between the studies. Therefore, we did not combine the data on adverse events in Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011 The proportion of partic- 33 per 1000 ipants with hair thinning at 2 years Follow-up: 2 years 131 per 1000 (71 to 243) RR 3.94 (2.13 to 7.30) 718 (1 study) ⊕⊕⊕ moderatef The follow-up periods were diverse in Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011 (at least 48 weeks (Confavreux 2014) and 108 weeks (O’Connor 2011)). Treatment duration of participants in Confavreux 2014 was variable, ending 48 weeks after the last par- 8 Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. ticipant was included (a maximum treatment duration of 173 weeks). Actually, the data on adverse events in Confavreux 2014 were not at 2 years. There was a heterogeneity in follow-up period between the studies. Therefore, we did not combine the data on adverse events in Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011 The proportion of partic- 67 per 1000 ipants with elevated ALT levels at 2 years Follow-up: 2 years 143 per 1000 (90 to 226) RR 2.14 (1.35 to 3.39) 718 (1 study) ⊕⊕⊕ moderatef The follow-up periods were diverse in Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011 (at least 48 weeks (Confavreux 2014) and 108 weeks (O’Connor 2011)). Treatment duration of participants in Confavreux 2014 was variable, ending 48 weeks after the last participant was included (a maximum treatment duration of 173 weeks). Actually, the data on adverse events in Confavreux 2014 were not at 2 years. There was a heterogeneity in follow-up period between the studies. Therefore, we did not combine the data on adverse events in Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011 9 Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. *The basis for assumed risk is the placebo group risk. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). ALT: alanine aminotransferase; CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio. The assumed risk was defined as placebo group risk because only one study was evaluated GRADE Working Group grades of evidence High quality: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect. Moderate quality: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate. Low quality: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate. Very low quality: We are very uncertain about the estimate. a High risks of bias existed in Confavreux 2014 due to unblinded assessments for relapse and conflicts of interest. High risks of bias existed in O’Connor 2011 due to unblinded assessments for relapse and conflicts of interest. c High risks of bias existed in Confavreux 2014 due to effects of the high attrition bias on progression disability and conflicts of interest. d High risk of bias existed in O’Connor 2011 due to effects of the unclear attrition bias on progression disability and conflicts of interest. e Serious indirectness existed in Confavreux 2014 or in O’Connor 2011 because disability progression was confirmed at 3 months of follow-up. f High risk of bias existed in O’Connor 2011 due to an unclear attrition bias and conflicts of interest. b 10 BACKGROUND Description of the condition Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic immune-mediated disease of the central nervous system. It is pathologically characterized by inflammation, demyelination, and axonal and neuronal loss. Clinically it is characterized by recurrent relapses or progression, or both, typically striking adults during the primary productive time of their lives and ultimately leading to severe neurological disability. In 1996, the clinical course of MS was characterized as relapsingremitting, primary progressive, secondary progressive or progressive relapsing. Initially, more than 80% of individuals with MS experience a relapsing-remitting disease course (RRMS) characterized by clinical exacerbations of neurological symptoms followed by complete or incomplete remission (Lublin 1996). After 10 to 20 years, or median age of 39.1 years, about half of them gradually accumulate irreversible neurological deficits with or without clinical relapses (Confavreux 2006), which is known as secondary progressive MS (SPMS). Another 10% to 20% of individuals with MS are diagnosed with primary progressive MS (PPMS), clinically defined as a disease course without any clinical attacks or remission from onset (Lublin 1996). A significantly rarer form is progressive relapsing MS (PRMS), which initially presents as PPMS, however, during the course of the disease, these individuals develop true neurological exacerbations (Tullman 2004). In 2013, the clinical course of MS was re-defined. In the new revisions, clinically isolated syndrome was added, and PRMS was eliminated, from the clinical course descriptions. All forms of MS should be further subcategorized as either active or non-active. Active MS is defined as the occurrence of clinical relapse or the presence of new T2 or gadolinium-enhancing lesions over a specified period of time, preferably at least one year. An additional subcategory for people with progressive MS differentiates between people who have shown signs of disability progression over a given time period and people who have remained stable (Lublin 2014a; Lublin 2014b). MS causes a major socioeconomic burden, both for the individual and for society. Increased economic and quality of life (QoL) burden is associated with disease progression and relapses (Karampampa 2012; O’Connell 2014; Parisé 2013). From a person’s perspective, an MS relapse is associated with a significant increase in economic costs as well as a decline in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and functional ability (Oleen-Burkey 2012). Effective treatment that reduces relapse frequency and prevents progression could have an impact both on costs and HRQoL, and may help to reduce the social burden of MS (Karampampa 2012). Description of the intervention Teriflunomide, the active metabolite of leflunomide, is known to possess both anti-proliferative and anti-inflammatory actions. Data from human trials of leflunomide in rheumatoid arthritis showed that teriflunomide demonstrated linear pharmacokinetics over a dose range of 5 mg/day to 25 mg/day. The mean plasma half-life is 15 days to 18 days and teriflunomide is extensively (greater than 99%) protein bound and exhibits linear protein binding at therapeutic concentrations. Clearance is via biliary and renal routes so administration of cholestyramine can be used to facilitate rapid elimination of teriflunomide from the circulation (Tallantyre 2008). Teriflunomide decreases disease severity and reduces inflammation, demyelination and axonal loss in a dose-dependent manner in the Dark Agouti rat model of experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE) (Merrill 2009). Teriflunomide (Aubagio®) was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in 2012 for people with relapsing forms of MS (7 mg or 14 mg orally once daily). In 2013, it was approved by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) for adults with RRMS (the recommended dose: 14 mg once a day). How the intervention might work Teriflunomide has an ability to non-competitively and reversibly inhibit the mitochondrial enzyme dihydro-orotate dehydrogenase (DHODH), a key cellular enzyme involved in the de novo synthesis of pyrimidine (Bruneau 1998; Greene 1995). By inhibiting DHODH and diminishing deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) synthesis, teriflunomide has a cytostatic effect on proliferating B and T lymphocytes (Cherwinski 1995). Teriflunomide also inhibits protein tyrosinekinase activity (Xu 1996), resulting in the reduction of T-cell proliferation, T-cell production of interferon gamma (IFN-γ ) and interleukin 2 (IL2), as well as B-cell immunoglobulin (Ig)G1 production and inhibition of nuclear factor B (NF B) (Manna 1999; Siemasko 1998; Xu 1995). In addition, teriflunomide diminishes the ability of antigen-presenting cells (APC) to activate T cells and for stimulated T cells to activate monocytes in vitro (Zeyda 2005), and inhibits interleukin 1 beta, matrix metalloproteinases (Deage 1998), and cyclo-oxygenase-2 activity (Hamilton 1999). In EAE, teriflunomide reduces activation of myelin basic protein (MBP)-specific T cells then reduces the production of IFN-γ and chemotaxis (Korn 2004). Why it is important to do this review This is an update of the Cochrane review “Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis” (first published in The Cochrane Library 2012 Issue 12). OBJECTIVES Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 11 To assess the absolute and comparative effectiveness and safety of teriflunomide as monotherapy or combination therapy versus placebo or other disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) (interferon beta (IFNβ), glatiramer acetate, natalizumab, mitoxantrone, fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate, alemtuzumab) for modifying the disease course in people with MS. METHODS Criteria for considering studies for this review Types of studies All randomized, controlled, parallel-group clinical trials (RCTs) evaluating teriflunomide, as monotherapy or combination therapy, versus placebo or any approved DMDs for people with MS. We excluded trials with a length of follow-up shorter than one year. or improving symptoms and signs not associated with fever or infection that occurred at least 30 days after the onset of a preceding relapse and lasted more than 24 hours. The relapse should be verified by the examining neurologist within seven days after its occurrence and be accompanied by an increase of at least half a point in the EDSS score or at least one point in two functional systems (excluding change in sphincteric or cerebral functions). • The proportion of participants with disability progression as assessed by the EDSS (Kurtzke 1983) at one year or two years. Disability progression was defined as an increase in the EDSS score of at least 1.0 point in participants with a baseline score of 1.0 or higher or an increase of at least 1.5 points in participants with a baseline score of 0, with the increased score sustained for six months. We used the data where disability progression was confirmed in less than six months, however, we downgraded the study for indirectness of evidence when we performed the GRADE assessment. Safety Types of participants We included participants aged 18 years or older with definite diagnoses of MS according to Poser’s (Poser 1983) or Mc Donald’s (McDonald 2001; Polman 2005; Polman 2011) criteria, any clinical phenotypes categorized according to the classification of Lublin and Reingold (Lublin 1996), and an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores of 6.0 or lower. Types of interventions Experimental intervention Treatment with teriflunomide orally, as monotherapy or combination therapy, without restrictions regarding dose, administration frequency and duration of treatment. Control intervention • The number of participants with adverse events (AEs), number of participants with serious adverse events (SAEs), and number of participants who withdrew or dropped out from the study because of AEs at one year or two years. Secondary outcomes • The annualized relapse rate at one year or two years, defined as the mean number of confirmed relapses per participant adjusting for the duration of follow-up to annualize it. • The number of gadolinium-enhancing T1-weighted lesions at one year or two years. Lesions that persisted for more than four weeks were counted more than once. • The time to disability progression at one year or two years. • Changes in T1 hypointensity or magnetization transfer ratio of lesion damage at one year or two years. Placebo or an approved DMDs. Types of outcome measures Primary outcomes • Mean change in HRQoL. The following scales were accepted: 36-item Short Form (SF-36) scores (Ware 1992), Multiple Sclerosis Quality of Life (MSQoL-54) questionnaire scores (Vickrey 1995), Multiple Sclerosis Quality of Life Inventory (MSQLI) (Fischer 1999), or Functional Assessment of Multiple Sclerosis (FAMS) (Cella 1996) at one year or two years. Efficacy • The proportion of participants with at least one relapse at one year or two years. Confirmed relapse was defined as the occurrence of new symptoms or worsening of previously stable Search methods for identification of studies We applied no language restrictions to the search. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 12 Electronic searches The Trials Search Co-ordinator searched the Cochrane Multiple Sclerosis and Rare Diseases of the CNS Group Specialised Trials Register (30 September 2015), which, among other sources, contains trials from: • the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) (2015 Issue 9); • MEDLINE (PubMed) (1966 to 30 September 2015); • EMBASE (EMBASE.com) (1974 to 30 September 2015); • Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) (EBSCOhost) (1981 to 30 September 2015); • Latin American and Caribbean Health Science Information Database (LILACS) (Bireme) (1982 to 30 September 2015); • Clinical trial registries (clinicaltrials.gov); • World Health Organization (WHO) International Clinical Trials Registry Portal (apps.who.int/trialsearch/). Information on the Trials Register and details of search strategies used to identify trials is in the ’Specialised Register’ section within the Cochrane Multiple Sclerosis and Rare Diseases of the CNS Group’s module. Appendix 1 shows the keywords used to search for trials for this review. Searching other resources We checked the reference lists of published reviews and retrieved articles for additional trials. We searched reports (2004 to September 2015) from the MS Societies (National Multiple Sclerosis Society (United States, United Kingdom)) ( www.nationalmssociety.org) and the Congress of the European Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis (ECTRIMS (www.ectrims.eu) and Americas Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis (ACTRIMS ( www.actrims.org)). We communicated with investigators participating in trials of teriflunomide. We also contacted the Sanofi-Aventis company in an effort to identify further studies ( en.sanofi.com). not meet the inclusion criteria in the Characteristics of excluded studies table with the reasons for exclusion. We resolved any disagreement regarding inclusion by discussion or by referral to a third review author (LC) if necessary. Data extraction and management Two review authors (DH and YZ) independently extracted information and data from the selected trials using standardized forms, including information about eligibility criteria, methods (study design, total study duration, sequence generation, allocation sequence concealment, blinding and other concerns about bias), participants (total number, setting, diagnostic criteria, age, sex and country), interventions (total number of intervention groups and specific intervention) and outcomes (outcomes and time points, outcome definition and unit of measurement), results (number of participants allocated to each intervention group, sample size, missing participants and summary data for each intervention group) and funding source. Where the standard deviation was not reported, we calculated it from the standard error, confidence interval, t values or P values. We contacted the principal investigators of included studies to request additional data or confirmation of methodological aspects of the study. We discussed and resolved disagreements by consensus among the review authors. Assessment of risk of bias in included studies We assessed the risk of bias of the included studies using the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2011). Two review authors (DH and YZ) independently evaluated each study using the ’Risk of bias’ tool under the domains of sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding of participants and personnel, blinding of outcome assessment, incomplete outcome data, selective outcome and other biases. We judged a study to have a high risk of attrition bias if it had a dropout rate higher than 20%, or the reasons for drop-outs were not balanced across intervention groups. We judged a study to be at high risk of bias if at least one of the seven domains was rated at high risk of bias. Conversely, we judged a study to be at low risk of bias if all key domains were rated at low risk of bias, unless one or more of the domains was reported at unclear risk of bias, in which case we judged the study to be at unclear risk of bias. Data collection and analysis Measures of treatment effect Selection of studies Two review authors (DH and YZ) independently screened titles and abstracts of the citations retrieved by the literature search for inclusion or exclusion. We obtained the available full texts of potentially relevant studies for further assessment. We independently evaluated the eligibility of these studies (on the basis of information available in the published data) and listed papers that did We calculated the treatment effects of interventions based on the available data in the original studies using the Review Manager 5 analysis software (RevMan 2015). For dichotomous outcomes, such as the proportion of participants with at least one relapse, disability worsening and at least one AE, we used the risk ratio (RR) as the measure of treatment effect. We also calculated the risk difference (RD) (also called the absolute risk reduction) and the number needed to treat for an additional beneficial outcome Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 13 (NNTB) or the number needed to treat for an additional harmful outcome (NNTH) (NNTB = 1/RD). We used the rate ratio as the measure of treatment effect for count data, such as the numbers of relapses and new gadolinium-enhancing T1-weighted lesions. Changes in T1 hypointensity and magnetization transfer ratio of lesion damage were continuous outcomes and we used the mean difference (MD) as the measure of treatment effect. We treated the data on QoL scales as continuous because they were longer ordinal rating scales and had a reasonably large number of categories. Therefore, we used the MD for trials that used the same rating scale. The time to disability progression was a time-to-event outcome, we summarized such data using methods of survival analysis and expressed the treatment effect as a hazard ratio (HR). We calculated 95% CIs for each treatment effect. order to identify heterogeneity across studies. An I2 value higher than 30% may indicate moderate heterogeneity (Higgins 2011). Assessment of reporting biases The trials included in this review did not permit an assessment of publication bias. If we include a sufficient number of RCTs in meta-analysis (10 or more RCTs) in future updates, we will examine potential publication bias using a funnel plot. For continuous outcomes, we will use the standard error as the vertical axis and MDs as the horizontal axis in funnel plots. For dichotomous outcomes, we will plot RRs on a logarithmic scale as the horizontal axis and use the standard error as the vertical axis. Data synthesis Unit of analysis issues Most RCTs on teriflunomide for MS are multi-arm studies with two experimental intervention groups (7 mg/day or 14 mg/day of teriflunomide) and a common control group, and involving repeated observations on participants. In future updates, where data are presented for each of the groups to which participants were randomized, we will create two pair-wise comparisons of intervention groups to conduct independent meta-analyses (high-dose dimethyl fumarate group versus placebo group; low-dose dimethyl fumarate group versus placebo group). Where outcomes are measured at multiple time points, we will define time frames to reflect short-term (one year) and long-term (two years) follow-up. Dealing with missing data We did not conduct meta-analyses because of the clinical and methodological diversity across the included studies. We included intention-to-treat data. We analysed the available data when the missing data can be reasonably assumed to be missing at random, but for data not missing at random, we performed sensitivity analyses according to a likely-case scenario analysis, in which we assumed that both participants who dropped out both in the experimental group and in the control group had poor outcomes. We addressed the potential impact of missing data on the findings of the review in the Discussion section. Assessment of heterogeneity We assessed clinical heterogeneity by examining the characteristics of the studies and the similarity between the types of participants, interventions and outcomes. We also evaluated the variability in study design and risk of bias (methodological heterogeneity). We found obvious clinical and methodological heterogeneity across the included studies. If further data become available, we will evaluate statistical heterogeneity where clinical and methodological heterogeneity are not obvious across the included studies. When pooling trials in meta-analyses, we will calculate the I2 statistic in We could not combine the outcome data because of the different study designs and interventions across studies; instead, we gave a descriptive summary of the results in the original studies. If we consider studies to be sufficiently clinically and methodologically similar in future updates, we will conduct formal meta-analysis using Review Manager 5 software (RevMan 2015). We will conduct separate analyses in which higher-dose teriflunomide (14 mg once daily) and lower-dose teriflunomide (7 mg once daily) are compared to placebo. We will examine one-year and two-year outcomes separately. If we consider that all studies in a meta-analysis are likely to be estimating the same underlying treatment effect, then we will use a fixed-effect model, otherwise we will use a random-effects model for meta-analysis. For dichotomous outcomes, we will use the Mantel-Haenszel method (Greenland 1985; Mantel 1959). For continuous outcomes, we will use the inversevariance method (DerSimonian 1986). Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity We could not carry out subgroup analysis because of the lack of data, but in future updates and if further data become available, we intend to undertake subgroup analyses according to: • different types of MS (e.g. people with RRMS or people with progressive MS); • baseline EDSS scores (e.g. 3.5 or lower, between 3.5 and 6); • different duration of MS (e.g. five years, more than five years); • risk of bias in included studies. Sensitivity analysis We undertook sensitivity analyses to assess the robustness of our review results. We conducted sensitivity analyses according to a likely-case scenario in order to assess the effect of study withdrawal on the primary outcomes. Based on the intention-to-treat principle, we included all randomly assigned participants (including those who did not receive study treatment) into sensitivity analysis. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 14 RESULTS Description of studies See: Characteristics of included studies; Characteristics of excluded studies and Characteristics of ongoing studies. Results of the search In total, the search strategy retrieved 193 records after we removed duplicates. After screening of titles and abstracts, we selected seven studies reported in 42 articles provisionally and obtained the full papers for further assessment for eligibility. We excluded two studies (reported in 14 articles) due to a length of follow-up shorter than one year or participants without a diagnosis of definite MS (Miller 2014; O’Connor 2006). Five studies met the inclusion criteria (Confavreux 2014; Freedman 2012; NCT01252355; O’Connor 2011; Vermersch 2014) (reported in 28 articles, the results of NCT01252355 were published on clinicaltrials.gov). We included the trials that we classified in ongoing studies in previous versions of this review (NCT00751881 and NCT01252355) in the current review (Confavreux 2014; NCT01252355). See Figure 1. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 15 Figure 1. Study flow diagram. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 16 Included studies The review included five studies involving 3231 people ( Confavreux 2014; Freedman 2012; NCT01252355; O’Connor 2011; Vermersch 2014). Among them, two studies evaluated the efficacy and safety of teriflunomide 7 mg/day or 14 mg/day versus placebo for 2257 adults with relapsing forms of MS (Confavreux 2014; O’Connor 2011). Two studies primarily evaluated the safety and tolerability of teriflunomide 7 mg/day or 14 mg/day with add-on IFNβ versus placebo in 650 people with relapsing MS (Freedman 2012; NCT01252355). One study evaluated the efficacy, safety and tolerability of teriflunomide 7 mg/day or 14 mg/ day in comparison to IFNβ-1a in 324 people with relapsing MS (Vermersch 2014). Characteristics of the interventions Participants in Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011 received oral teriflunomide 7 mg once daily or oral teriflunomide 14 mg once daily or a matching placebo for at least 48 weeks (core treatment period: 48 weeks to 152 weeks, a maximum of 173 weeks) (Confavreux 2014) and 108 weeks (O’Connor 2011). Participants in Freedman 2012 and NCT01252355 received oral administration of 7 mg/day of teriflunomide added to IFNβ, 14 mg/day of teriflunomide added to IFNβ or matching placebo added to IFNβ for 48 weeks (Freedman 2012) and at least 24 weeks (a maximum of 108 weeks) (NCT01252355). Participants in Vermersch 2014 received oral teriflunomide 7 mg once daily or oral teriflunomide 14 mg once daily or IFNβ-1a 44 µg by subcutaneous injection three times per week for at least 48 weeks (a maximum of 115 weeks). Characteristics of the study design Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011 were randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group studies over at least 48 weeks (a maximum of 173 weeks) (Confavreux 2014) and 108 weeks (O’Connor 2011). Freedman 2012 was a randomized, placebo-controlled, 24-week double-blind study followed by a 24week blinded extension. Participants completing 24 weeks of treatment who continued to meet the eligibility criteria could select to enter a 24-week blinded extension during which participants continued to receive their originally assigned treatment regimen. NCT01252355 was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group study over 24 weeks (a maximum of 108 weeks). Vermersch 2014 was an approved DMD-controlled, parallel-group, rater-blinded study over at least 48 weeks (a maximum of 115 weeks). Characteristics of the participants All participants had a diagnosis of definite MS according to McDonald’s diagnostic criteria (McDonald 2001; Polman 2005), an age ranging from 18 to 55 years and a relapsing clinical course with or without progression (RRMS, SPMS or PRMS). All participants had an entry score of 5.5 or lower on the EDSS and no relapse for at least 30 days before randomization. The participants in Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011 had at least one relapse in the previous year or at least two clinical relapses in the previous two years. The participants in NCT01252355 had disease activity in the one year prior to randomization and after first three months of IFNβ treatment. Baseline demographic and disease characteristics were well balanced among the groups in most studies except for Vermersch 2014, in which DMD use in the past two years in the teriflunomide 14 mg/day group was lower than that in the IFNβ-1a group. Characteristics of the outcome measures All studies reported the proportion of participants with at least one relapse. Two studies reported sustained disability progression, which was defined as an increase from baseline of at least 1.0 point in the EDSS score (or at least 0.5 points for participants with a baseline EDSS score greater than 5.5) that persisted for at least 12 weeks (Confavreux 2014; O’Connor 2011). All studies reported the number of participants with AEs, number of participants with SAEs and number of participants who withdrew or dropped out from the study because of AEs. All studies reported the annualized relapse rate. Three trials reported the number of gadolinium-enhancing T1-weighted lesions (Freedman 2012; NCT01252355; O’Connor 2011). Three trials reported the time to disability progression (Confavreux 2014; NCT01252355; O’Connor 2011). One trial reported changes in T1 hypointensity of lesion damage (O’Connor 2011). Two trials reported mean change in QoL measured by SF-36 scores (Confavreux 2014; NCT01252355). None of the studies reported magnetization transfer ratio of lesion damage. One trial did not provide data at one year (O’Connor 2011). Excluded studies We excluded two studies (reported in 14 articles) from this review; the reasons for their exclusion are listed in the Characteristics of excluded studies table. Risk of bias in included studies Further details of this assessment are available in the Characteristics of included studies table and are also presented in the ’Risk of bias’ graph (Figure 2) and ’Risk of bias’ summary (Figure 3). Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 17 Figure 2. Risk of bias graph: review authors’ judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 18 Figure 3. Risk of bias summary: review authors’ judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 19 Allocation In Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011, sequence generation and allocation concealment were adequate. Allocation sequence was generated by randomization number list (Confavreux 2014) or a permuted-block randomization schedule with stratification (O’Connor 2011). Randomization was done centrally, via an interactive voice recognition system (IVRS) in both studies. In NCT01252355, sequence generation was probably made by software. Assignment to groups was done centrally using an IVRS. In Freedman 2012 and Vermersch 2014, sequence generation was probably made by software, and central randomization was probably used. Blinding In Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011, the treating neurologist who recorded adverse events was responsible for assessment of relapses, blinding of relapse assessment was probably not adequate. The risk of detection bias was high. Participants included in Freedman 2012 and NCT01252355 received diverse regimens of IFNβ, they were not truly double-blind, double-dummy studies. The control (IFNβ-1a) group was open-label in Vermersch 2014, it was not a truly double-blind study. In addition, the treating neurologist who reported or managed adverse events was responsible for assessment of relapses in Freedman 2012, NCT01252355, and Vermersch 2014, blinding of relapse assessment was probably not adequate. The risks of performance bias and detection bias were high. Incomplete outcome data Three studies had a high risk of attrition bias due to a high dropout rate of 29.8% (Confavreux 2014), 36.4% (Freedman 2012), and 100% (NCT01252355). There was an overall dropout rate of 20.1% in O’Connor 2011, but there was no sufficient information to understand the reasons for study discontinuation and their balance among the groups. The risk of attrition bias was unclear. One study did not report the number and reasons of drop-outs and the incomplete outcome data were unclear (Vermersch 2014). Selective reporting All studies reported all listed outcomes adequately. Other potential sources of bias All studies were sponsored by Sanofi-Aventis. In Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011, the sponsor analysed the data and some co-authors were affiliated to Sanofi-Aventis. In Vermersch 2014, Sanofi-Aventis funded editorial support. Conflicts of interest were obvious, and there was a high risk of bias in all studies. Effects of interventions See: Summary of findings for the main comparison Teriflunomide compared to placebo for multiple sclerosis We did not conduct meta-analyses because of the high risk of bias and clinical diversities of the included studies. The study designs in Confavreux 2014 and O’Connor 2011 were similar, however, the follow-up periods were diverse (at least 48 weeks (Confavreux 2014) and 108 weeks (O’Connor 2011)). Treatment duration in Confavreux 2014 was variable, ending 48 weeks after the last participant was included (a maximum treatment duration of 173 weeks). Furthermore, the data at one year in O’Connor 2011 were unavailable. The study designs in Freedman 2012 and NCT01252355 were also similar, but the follow-up periods were diverse (48 weeks (Freedman 2012) and at least 24 weeks (NCT01252355)). Treatment duration in NCT01252355 was variable (24 weeks to 108 weeks). Consequently, we could only calculate the treatment effects of interventions based on the available data in the original studies. Primary outcomes Efficacy: proportion of participants with at least one relapse at one year or two years All studies reported proportion of participants with at least one relapse at one year or two years. Confavreux 2014 reported the proportion of participants with at least one relapse at one year of follow-up were 28.10% with lowdose teriflunomide, 23.70% with high-dose teriflunomide and 39.40% with placebo, and the RD was 11.30% with low-dose teriflunomide and 15.70% with high-dose teriflunomide. Compared to placebo, the results showed low dose of teriflunomide as monotherapy reduced the number of participants with at least one relapse at one year of follow-up (RR 0.72, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.87, P value = 0.001; 797 participants) and the NNTB was 9, which means that they needed to treat nine participants with lowdose teriflunomide to prevent one participant relapsing during the one years of follow-up. Similarly, high dose of teriflunomide as monotherapy also reduced the number of participants with at least one relapse at one year of follow-up (RR 0.60, 95% CI 0.48 to 0.75, P value < 0.00001; 761 participants) and the NNTB was 6, which means that they needed to treat six participants with highdose teriflunomide to prevent one participant relapsing during the one year of follow-up. Assuming participants who withdrew from Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 20 study both in experimental groups and control group had a relapse, the likely-case scenario analyses showed both doses of teriflunomide reduced the number of participants with at least one relapse at one year of follow-up (low dose: RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.93, P value = 0.0008, 797 participants; high dose: RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.88, P value < 0.0001, 761 participants). Similarly, at two years of follow-up in O’Connor 2011, compared to placebo, both doses of teriflunomide as monotherapy reduced the number of participants with at least one relapse at two years of follow-up (low dose: RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.98, P value = 0.03; 729 participants; high dose: RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.93, P value = 0.004; 722 participants). The proportion of participants with at least one relapse at two years of follow-up were 46.30% with low-dose teriflunomide, 43.50% with high-dose teriflunomide and 54.40% with placebo, and the RD was 8.10% with lowdose teriflunomide and 10.90% with high-dose teriflunomide, corresponding to an NNTB of 12 with low-dose teriflunomide and 9 with high-dose teriflunomide, which means that they needed to treat 12 participants with low-dose teriflunomide, and nine participants with high-dose teriflunomide to prevent one participant relapsing during the two years of follow-up. When taking the effect of drop-outs into consideration, the likely-case scenario analyses still showed a benefit in reducing the number of participants with at least one relapse for both doses of teriflunomide (low dose: RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.80 to 0.97, P value = 0.008; 729 participants; high dose: RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.79 to 0.96, P value = 0.005; 722 participants). Freedman 2012 showed neither doses of teriflunomide added to IFNβ were superior to placebo added to IFNβ concerning the proportion of participants with at least one relapse at one year of follow-up (low dose: RR 1.08, 95% CI 0.45 to 2.59, P value = 0.86; 79 participants; high dose: RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.30 to 2.07, P value = 0.63; 80 participants). However, NCT01252355 showed opposite results, both doses of teriflunomide added to IFNβ were superior to placebo added to IFNβ concerning the proportion of participants with at least one relapse at one year of follow-up (low dose: RR 0.60, 95% CI 0.42 to 0.87, P value = 0.007; 353 participants; high dose: RR 0.58, 95% CI 0.40 to 0.84, P value = 0.004; 354 participants). When administrated as monotherapy for 48 weeks to 115 weeks in Vermersch 2014, low dose of teriflunomide was inferior to IFNβ-1a on the proportion of participants with at least one relapse (RR 2.74, 95% CI 1.66 to 4.53, P value < 0.0001; 213 participants), but there was no difference in reducing the number of participants with at least one relapse for high dose of teriflunomide (RR 1.52, 95% CI 0.87 to 2.67, P value = 0.14; 215 participants). Efficacy: proportion of participants with disability progression Confavreux 2014 reported the proportions of participants with progression of disability at one year of follow-up were 12.10% with low-dose teriflunomide, 7.80% with high-dose teriflunomide and 14.20% with placebo, and the RD was 2.10% with low-dose teriflunomide and 6.40% with high-dose teriflunomide. Compared to placebo, the results showed high dose of teriflunomide as monotherapy reduced the number of participants with disability progression at one year of follow-up (RR 0.55, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.84, P value = 0.006; 761 participants), and the NNTB was 16, which means that they needed to treat 16 participants with highdose teriflunomide to prevent one participant having disability progression during the one year of follow-up. However, there was no difference for low dose of teriflunomide in disability progression at one year of follow-up (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.22, P value = 0.37; 797 participants). When taking the effect of dropouts into consideration, the likely-case scenario analysis showed neither dose of teriflunomide reduced the number of participants with disability progression at one year of follow-up (low dose: RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.11, P value = 0.47; 797 participants; high dose: RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.04, P value = 0.14; 761 participants). O’Connor 2011 reported the risk of disability progression at two years of follow-up was 21.70% with low-dose teriflunomide and 20.20% with high-dose teriflunomide lower than that in participants receiving placebo (27.3%). The RD was 5.60% with low-dose teriflunomide and 7.10% with high-dose teriflunomide. Compared to placebo, the results showed high dose of teriflunomide as monotherapy reduced the proportion of participants with disability progression at two years of follow-up (RR 0.74, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.96, P value = 0.02; 722 participants), and the NNTB was 14, which means that they needed to treat 14 participants with high-dose teriflunomide to prevent one participant against disability progression during the two years of follow-up. However, there was no difference for low dose of teriflunomide (RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.02, P value = 0.08; 729 participants). However, the likely-case scenario analysis showed neither dose of teriflunomide reduced the number of participants with disability progression at two years of follow-up (low dose: RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.06, P value = 0.20; 729 participants; high dose: RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.09, P value = 0.32; 722 participants). Safety Confavreux 2014 reported the safety of teriflunomide as monotherapy after the core treatment period of 48 weeks to 152 weeks. Compared to placebo, there was no difference for both doses of teriflunomide in the incidence of AEs (low dose: RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.08, P value = 0.71; 794 participants; high dose: RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.10, P value = 0.23; 756 participants) or SAEs (low dose: RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.72 to 1.51, P value = 0.83; high dose: RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.43, P value = 0.88). However, the incidence of AEs leading to discontinuation of the study medication in both teriflunomide groups was higher than that in the placebo group (low dose: RR 2.08, 95% CI 1.31 to Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 21 3.30, P value = 0.002; NNTH 15; high dose: RR 2.51, 95% CI 1.59 to 3.95, P value < 0.0001; NNTH 11). The most common AEs with an increased incidence in both teriflunomide groups included hair thinning (low dose: RR 2.33, 95% CI 1.35 to 4.01, P value = 0.002; NNTH 17; high dose: RR 3.05, 95% CI 1.79 to 5.19, P value < 0.0001; NNTH 11), neutropenia (low dose: RR 2.48, 95% CI 1.26 to 4.90, P value = 0.009; NNTH 24; high dose: RR 3.30, 95% CI 1.70 to 6.40, P value = 0.0004; NNTH 15), neutrophil counts less than 1.5 x 109 /L (low dose: RR 1.85, 95% CI 1.18 to 2.90, P value = 0.008; NNTH 18; high dose: RR 2.47, 95% CI 1.60 to 3.82, P value < 0.001; NNTH 10), lymphocyte counts less than 0.8 x 109 /L (low dose: RR 1.82, 95% CI 1.18 to 2.80, P value = 0.007; NNTH 17; high dose: RR 1.78, 95% CI 1.14 to 2.77, P value = 0.01; NNTH 18), and elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels greater than one time the upper limit of the normal range (low dose: RR 1.30, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.53, P value = 0.001; NNTH 9; high dose: RR 1.44, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.68, P value < 0.00001; NNTH 6). There was a similar incidence of elevated ALT levels three times or greater the upper limit of the normal range and neutrophil counts less than 0.5 x 109 /L between the placebo group and the teriflunomide groups. Elevated ALT and lymphocyte counts less than 0.5 x 109 /L occurred at higher frequency with high-dose teriflunomide compared to placebo (elevated ALT: RR 1.69, 95% CI 1.11 to 2.56, P value = 0.01; NNTH 18; elevated lymphocyte count: RR 11.42, 95% CI 1.48 to 87.98, P value = 0.02; NNTH 59), but there was no difference for low-dose teriflunomide. In addition, diarrhoea was more common with low-dose teriflunomide rather than high-dose teriflunomide (RR 1.65, 95% CI 1.06 to 2.57, P value = 0.03). The proportion of other AEs most commonly reported in teriflunomide groups, such as headache, fatigue, nausea, nasopharyngitis, upper respiratory tract infection, back pain and urinary tract infection, were not higher than in the placebo group. The AEs leading to treatment discontinuation mainly included elevated ALT levels (3% with low-dose teriflunomide and 2% with high-dose teriflunomide), neutropenia (1% with lowdose teriflunomide and 2% with high-dose teriflunomide), hair thinning (2% with high-dose teriflunomide) and diarrhoea (1% in both teriflunomide groups). There were 18 pregnancies in 14 female participants and four female partners of male participants. Of the 14 female participants, 10 elected to have induced abortions and four pregnancies resulted in healthy babies (one in the placebo group, two in the low-dose teriflunomide group and one in the high-dose teriflunomide group). Of the four pregnancies in partners of male participants, one woman elected to have an induced abortion and three pregnancies resulted in healthy babies (all in the low-dose teriflunomide group). O’Connor 2011 reported the safety of teriflunomide as monotherapy at two years of follow-up. Compared to placebo, there was no difference for both doses of teriflunomide in the incidence of AEs (low dose: RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.07, P value = 0.49; 728 participants; high dose: RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.09, P value = 0.16; 718 participants), SAEs (low dose: RR 1.11, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.60, P value = 0.59; high dose: RR 1.25, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.79, P value = 0.23) and AEs leading to discontinuation of the study medication (low dose: RR 1.21, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.94, P value = 0.41; high dose: RR 1.35, 95% CI 0.86 to 2.14, P value = 0.20). The most common adverse events with an increased incidence in both teriflunomide groups included diarrhoea (low dose: RR 1.65, 95% CI 1.09 to 2.49, P value = 0.02; NNTH 17; high dose: RR 2.01, 95% CI 1.35 to 3.00, P value = 0.0006; NNTH 11), hair thinning or decreased hair density (low dose: RR 3.10, 95% CI 1.65 to 5.83, P value = 0.0005; NNTH 14; high dose: RR 3.94, 95% CI 2.13 to 7.30, P value < 0.0001; NNTH 10), elevated ALT levels (low dose: RR 1.79, 95% CI 1.11 to 2.89, P value = 0.02; NNTH 19; high dose: RR 2.14, 95% CI 1.35 to 3.39, P value = 0.001; NNTH 13). The incidence of nausea in high-dose teriflunomide group rather than in low-dose teriflunomide group was higher than that in placebo group (low dose: RR 1.24, 95% CI 0.76 to 2.03, P value = 0.39; high dose: RR 1.90, 95% CI 1.21 to 2.98, P value = 0.006; NNTH 15). The incidence of elevated ALT levels one times or greater the upper limit of the normal range in both doses was higher than that in placebo group (low dose: RR 2.61, 95% CI 1.23 to 5.53, P value = 0.01; NNTH 6; high dose: RR 3.24, 95% CI 1.56 to 6.75, P value = 0.002; NNTH 5), but there was no difference for both doses of teriflunomide in the incidence of elevated ALT levels three times or greater the upper limit of the normal range. These events rarely led to discontinuation of the study medication: diarrhoea (0.3% in both teriflunomide groups), nausea (0.3% with low-dose), hair thinning or decreased hair density (0.5% with low-dose and 1.4% with highdose). The proportion of other AEs (10% or greater) most commonly reported in any teriflunomide group, such as nasopharyngitis, headache, fatigue, influenza, back pain and urinary tract infection, occurred with a similar frequency in the placebo group. Mean reductions in neutrophil and lymphocyte counts from baseline values were small in magnitude (1.0 x 109 /L or less for neutrophil counts and 0.3 x 109 /L or less for lymphocyte counts) but were slightly more marked with high-dose teriflunomide than with lowdose teriflunomide or placebo. Moderate neutropenia (defined as a neutrophil count of less than 0.9 x 109 /L) developed in three participants receiving teriflunomide. Eleven pregnancies occurred, leading to four spontaneous abortions (one in the placebo group and three in the high-dose teriflunomide group), six induced abortions (five in the low-dose teriflunomide group and one in the high-dose teriflunomide group). One participant in the high-dose teriflunomide group (treated for 31 days of the pregnancy) delivered a healthy baby with no reported health concerns after two years. Vermersch 2014 reported the safety of teriflunomide as monotherapy after the core treatment period of 48 weeks to 115 weeks. Compared to IFNβ-1a, there was no difference for both doses of teriflunomide in the incidence of AEs (low dose: RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.04, P value = 0.43; 211 participants; high dose: RR Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 22 0.97, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.03, P value = 0.29; 211 participants) or SAEs (low dose: RR 1.57, 95% CI 0.64 to 3.84, P value = 0.32; high dose: RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.27 to 2.26, P value = 0.66). However, the incidence of AEs leading to discontinuation in the IFNβ group was higher than those in the teriflunomide groups (low dose: RR 0.38, 95% CI 0.18 to 0.78, P value = 0.008; high dose: RR 0.50, 95% CI 0.26 to 0.96, P value = 0.04). The most commonly reported AEs (10% or greater) in either teriflunomide group were nasopharyngitis, headache, paraesthesia, diarrhoea, hair thinning, back pain and elevated ALT levels. Among these AEs, the incidence of diarrhoea in both teriflunomide groups was higher than that in the IFNβ-1a group (low dose: RR 2.87, 95% CI 1.36 to 6.07, P value = 0.006; high dose: RR 2.64, 95% CI 1.24 to 5.63, P value = 0.01). Compared to IFNβ-1a, hair thinning was more common with high-dose teriflunomide rather than low-dose teriflunomide (RR 20.20, 95% CI 2.77 to 147.14, P value = 0.003). However, elevated ALT levels occurred with a lower frequency in the teriflunomide groups (low dose: RR 0.36, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.65, P value = 0.0009; high dose: RR 0.33, 95% CI 0.17 to 0.61, P value = 0.0005). In addition, influenza-like illness was reported more frequently with IFNβ-1a than with teriflunomide (low dose: RR 0.07, 95% CI 0.03 to 0.18, P value < 0.00001; high dose: RR 0.05, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.16, P value < 0.00001). There was a similar incidence of other AEs between the IFNβ-1a group and teriflunomide groups. Freedman 2012 reported the safety of teriflunomide added to IFNβ at one year of follow-up. Compared to placebo added to IFNβ, there was no difference for either dose of teriflunomide in the incidence of AEs (low dose: RR 1.11, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.29, P value = 0.17; 78 participants; high dose: RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.21, P value = 0.85; 79 participants), SAEs (low dose: RR 2.22, 95% CI 0.43 to 11.40, P value = 0.34; high dose: RR 0.54, 95% CI 0.05 to 5.71, P value = 0.61) and AEs leading to discontinuation (low dose: RR 1.66, 95% CI 0.29 to 9.40, P value = 0.57; high dose: RR 1.62, 95% CI 0.29 to 9.16, P value = 0.59). The most commonly reported AEs (10% or greater) in either teriflunomide group were elevated ALT levels, headache, decreased lymphocyte counts, nasopharyngitis, nausea, fatigue, decreased neutrophil counts, hypertension, back pain, vomiting, diarrhoea and urinary tract infection. However, these AEs occurred with a similar frequency in the IFNβ group. NCT01252355 reported the safety of teriflunomide added to IFNβ after the treatment period of 28 weeks to 108 weeks. Compared to placebo added to IFNβ, the incidences of AEs in both teriflunomide groups were higher than those in the placebo group (low dose: RR 1.15, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.31, P value = 0.03; 354 participants; high dose: RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.31, P value = 0.02; 353 participants). However, there was no difference for either dose of teriflunomide in the incidence of SAEs (low dose: RR 1.59, 95% CI 0.68 to 3.74, P value = 0.29; high dose: RR 1.72, 95% CI 0.74 to 4.00, P value = 0.21). The incidence of AEs leading to discontinuation with high-dose teriflunomide rather than with low-dose teriflunomide was higher than that in the placebo group (low dose: RR 1.74, 95% CI 0.79 to 3.83, P value = 0.17; high dose: RR 2.40, 95% CI 1.14 to 5.07, P value = 0.02). There was no difference for either dose of teriflunomide in the incidence of elevated ALT levels three times or greater the upper limit of the normal range (low dose: RR 1.46, 95% CI 0.53 to 4.01, P value = 0.47; high dose: RR 1.47, 95% CI 0.53 to 4.03, P value = 0.46). Secondary outcomes Annualized relapse rate All studies reported the annualized relapse rate. Confavreux 2014 reported annualized relapse rate after the core treatment period of 48 weeks to 152 weeks (low dose: annualized relapse rate 0.39, 95% CI 0.33 to 0.46; 407 participants; high dose: annualized relapse rate 0.32, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.38; 370 participants; placebo: annualized relapse rate 0.50, 95% CI 0.43 to 0.58; 388 participants), but we could not calculate the total number of relapses and standard errors due to the variable duration of follow-up, consequently we could not calculate the rate ratio. However, the authors reported the RRs on annualized relapse rate, showing both doses of teriflunomide as monotherapy reduced annualized relapse rate during the follow-up period of 48 weeks to 132 weeks (low dose: RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.96, P value = 0.0183; 797 participants; high dose: RR 0.64, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.79, P value = 0.0001; 761 participants). There were similar results at two years of follow-up in O’Connor 2011 (low dose: rate ratio 0.69, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.81, P value < 0.00001; 729 participants; high dose: rate ratio 0.69, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.80, P value < 0.00001; 722 participants). Freedman 2012 showed neither doses of teriflunomide added to IFNβ were superior to placebo added to IFNβ concerning annualized relapse rate at one year of follow-up (low dose: rate ratio 0.42, 95% CI 0.15 to 1.16, P value = 0.10; 79 participants; high dose: rate ratio 0.67, 95% CI 0.29 to 1.54, P value = 0.35; 80 participants). NCT01252355 reported only the data of annualized relapse rate after the treatment duration of 24 weeks to 108 weeks (low dose: annualized relapse rate 0.242, 95% CI 0.152 to 0.386; 178 participants; high dose: annualized relapse rate 0.238, 95% CI 0.162 to 0.351; 179 participants; placebo: annualized relapse rate 0.298, 95% CI 0.206 to 0.432; 175 participants). Therefore, we could not calculate the total number of relapses and the standard error due to the variable duration of follow-up, consequently we could not calculate the rate ratio. Vermersch 2014 reported the data of annualized relapse rate after the treatment period of 48 weeks to 115 weeks (low dose: annualized relapse rate 0.41, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.64; 109 participants; high dose: annualized relapse rate 0.26, 95% CI 0.15 to 0.44; 111 participants; IFNβ-1a: annualized relapse rate 0.22, 95% CI 0.11 Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 23 to 0.42; 104 participants). However, we could not calculate the total number of relapses and the standard error due to the variable duration of follow-up, consequently we could not calculate the rate ratio. However, the authors reported the RR on annualized relapse rate, showing that low-dose teriflunomide was inferior to IFNβ-1a on annualized relapse rate (RR 1.90, 95% CI 1.05 to 3.43, P value = 0.03; 213 participants), but there was no difference in reducing annualized relapse rate for high-dose teriflunomide (RR 1.20, 95% CI 0.62 to 2.30, P value = 0.59; 215 participants). Number of gadolinium-enhancing T1-weighted lesions Three studies reported the number of gadolinium-enhancing T1weighted lesions (Freedman 2012; NCT01252355; O’Connor 2011). Compared to placebo, the results of O’Connor 2011 showed both doses of teriflunomide as monotherapy reduced the number of gadolinium-enhancing T1-weighted lesions at two years of followup (low dose: rate ratio 0.43, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.51, P value < 0.00001; 729 participants; high dose: rate ratio 0.19, 95% CI 0.15 to 0.24, P value < 0.00001; 722 participants). Freedman 2012 showed neither dose of teriflunomide added to IF-β was superior to placebo added to IFNβ concerning the number of gadolinium-enhancing T1-weighted lesions at one year of follow-up (low dose: rate ratio 0.67, 95% CI 0.29 to 1.55, P value = 0.35; 79 participants; high dose: rate ratio 0.42, 95% CI 0.16 to 1.09, P value = 0.08; 80 participants). NCT01252355 reported only the data of the number of gadolinium-enhancing T1-weighted lesions after the treatment period of 24 weeks to 108 weeks (low dose: 0.257, 95% CI 0.127 to 0.523; 142 participants; high dose: 0.158, 95% CI 0.070 to 0.360; 151 participants; placebo: 0.542, 95% CI 0.344 to 0.855; 151 participants). We could not calculate the annualized relapse rate due to the variable duration of follow-up, consequently we could not calculate the rate ratio. Time to disability progression Three studies reported the time to disability progression ( Confavreux 2014; NCT01252355; O’Connor 2011). Compared to placebo, the results of Confavreux 2014 showed high-dose teriflunomide as monotherapy delayed the progression of disability after the core treatment period of 48 weeks to 152 weeks (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.47 to 1.00, P value = 0.04; 758 participants), but there was no difference in delaying the progression of disability for low-dose teriflunomide (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.35, P value = 0.76; 795 participants). The results of O’Connor 2011 showed high-dose teriflunomide as monotherapy delayed the progression of disability at two years of follow-up (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.96, P value = 0.03; 721 participants), but there was no difference in delaying the progression of disability for low-dose teriflunomide (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.05, P value = 0.08; 728 participants). Data of the time to disability progression in NCT01252355 were insufficient because of early study termination and were not reported in the original publication. Changes in T1 hypointensity or magnetization transfer ratio of lesion damage One study reported changes in T1 hypointensity lesion damage (O’Connor 2011). The results showed high-dose teriflunomide as monotherapy, compared to placebo, reduced the volume of hypointense lesions on T1-weighted images at two years (MD 0.20, 95% CI -0.35 to -0.05, P value = 0.009, 728 participants). However, there was no difference for low-dose teriflunomide (MD -0.03, 95% CI -0.19 to 0.13, P value = 0.71; 721 participants). None of the studies reported magnetization transfer ratio of lesion damage. Change in health-related quality of life Two studies reported change in QoL measured by SF-36 scores (Confavreux 2014; NCT01252355). Confavreux 2014 found that compared to placebo, there was no difference for teriflunomide as monotherapy in change of SF-36 physical health summary score and in SF-36 mental health summary score at 48 weeks (low dose: physical health: MD 0.68, 95% CI -0.44 to 1.80, P value = 0.24 and mental health: MD 0.88, 95% CI -0.72 to 2.48, P value = 0.28; 797 participants; high dose: physical health: MD 0.97, 95% CI -0.18 to 2.12, P value = 0.10 and mental health: MD 1.48, 95% CI -0.18 to 3.14, P value = 0.08; 761 participants). Data of change in QoL measured by SF-36 scores in NCT01252355 were insufficient because of early study termination and were not reported in the original publication. DISCUSSION Summary of main results This systematic review included five RCTs involving 3231 adults with relapsing MS. All participants had a score of less than 5.5 on the EDSS and a relapsing clinical course with or without progression (RRMS, SPMS or PRMS). Two studies were large-scale RCTs in which participants had disease activity with at least one relapse in the previous year or at least two clinical relapses in the previous two years. These two studies primarily evaluated the benefit of teriflunomide at a dose of 7 mg/day or 14 mg/day as monotherapy versus placebo in respect of relapse, disability worsening and safety over at least 48 weeks (a maximum of 173 weeks) (Confavreux 2014) or two years (O’Connor 2011). The other three studies Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 24 mainly evaluated the efficacy on relapse and the safety and tolerability of teriflunomide 7 mg/day or 14 mg/day with add-on IFNβ versus placebo over 48 weeks (Freedman 2012) or at least 24 weeks (a maximum of 108 weeks) (NCT01252355), or teriflunomide 7 mg/day or 14 mg/day alone versus IFNβ-1a (Vermersch 2014) at least 48 weeks (a maximum of 115 weeks). The study design and interventions of the five studies were diverse. There were obvious clinical heterogeneities due to the diversities in study designs or interventions and methodological heterogeneities across studies. All studies had a high risk of detection bias for relapse assessment and a high risk of bias due to conflicts of interest. Among them, Confavreux 2014, Freedman 2012, and NCT01252355 had a high risk of attrition bias due to a high dropout rate (29.8% (Confavreux 2014), 36.4% (Freedman 2012) and 100% (NCT01252355). O’Connor 2011 and Vermersch 2014 had an unclear risk of attrition bias. Freedman 2012, NCT01252355, and Vermersch 2014had a high risk for performance bias and a lack of power due to the limited sample. The data at one year in O’Connor 2011 were not available. As a result, we could not conduct meta-analyses. We calculated the treatment effects of interventions based on the available data in the original studies. Compared to placebo, administration of teriflunomide at a dose of 7 mg/day or 14 mg/day as monotherapy reduced the number of participants with relapse by one year or by two years, as well as the annualized relapse rate by two years. Both doses of teriflunomide as monotherapy reduced the number of gadolinium-enhancing T1-weighted lesions by two years, However, only teriflunomide at a dose of 14 mg/day as monotherapy significantly reduced the number of participants with disability progression and delayed the progression of disability by one year and two years. High dose rather than low dose of teriflunomide as monotherapy reduced the volume of hypointense lesions on T1-weighted images by two years. Neither doses of teriflunomide improved QoL measured by SF-36 scores by one year. When taking the effect of drop-outs into consideration, the likely-case scenario analyses still showed a benefit in reducing the number of participants with relapse, but not for the number of participants with disability progression. When administrated as combination therapy with IFNβ for one year, neither doses of teriflunomide added to IFNβ were superior to placebo added to IFNβ concerning annualized relapse rate and the number of gadolinium-enhancing T1-weighted lesions. When compared to IFNβ-1a, low-dose teriflunomide was inferior to IFNβ-1a in respect of the annualized relapse rate and the number of participants with relapse, but there was no difference for highdose teriflunomide. Overall, the risks for AEs and SAEs in participants receiving teriflunomide were similar to those in participants receiving placebo both at one year and two years of follow-up. However, the risks for study drug discontinuation due to AEs were increased by both doses of teriflunomide administration at one year of follow-up, but not at two years of follow-up. The most common AEs associated with teriflunomide included diarrhoea, nausea, hair thinning, elevated ALT levels, neutropenia and lymphopenia. These AEs rarely led to discontinuation of the study medication, but did have a dose-related effect. Overall completeness and applicability of evidence In this review, we excluded one RCT due to length of follow-up shorter than one year. Generally, DMT for MS needs an adequate administration duration and follow-up to determine the benefit and safety outcomes accurately. A minimum duration of administration of one year, pre-defined in the criteria of types of interventions, was a reasonable treatment length that partly avoided the inclusion of misleading evidence. We did not perform meta-analyses due to the diversities in the study design and interventions. Two large-scale RCTs contributed to the main evidence for this review. The evidence was only applicable to adults with relapsing MS, who had a score of less than 5.5 on the EDSS and disease activity with at least one relapse in the previous year or at least two clinical relapses in the previous two years. Quality of the evidence We included five RCTs in this review, involving 3231 adults with relapsing MS to evaluate mainly the benefit and safety of two doses of teriflunomide (7 mg/day and 14 mg/day) as monotherapy or combination therapy with IFNβ by direct comparison with placebo or IFNβ-1a. Overall, there were obvious clinical heterogeneities due to the diversities in study designs or interventions and methodological heterogeneities across studies. All studies had a high risk of detection bias for relapse assessment and a high risk of bias due to conflicts of interest. Among them, three studies also had a high risk of attrition bias due to a high dropout rate and two studies had an unclear risk of attrition bias. Generally, the higher the ratio of participants with missing data to participants with events, the greater potential there is for bias, especially for the high frequency of events. The potential impact of missing continuous outcomes increases with the proportion of participants with missing data. In addition, the studies of combination therapy with IFNβ and the study with IFNβ-1a as controls also had a high risk of performance bias and a lack of power due to the limited sample. The evidence in this review was mainly derived from the two large-scale RCTs, in which the high risk of bias lead to lowquality evidence for the results of relapse. The results of disability progression were also subjected to a serious indirectness of evidence because disability progression was confirmed in less than six months in both studies. The evidence for disability progression was very low. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 25 Potential biases in the review process An extensive and comprehensive search was undertaken to limit bias in the review process. The two review authors’ independent assessments of the eligibility of studies for inclusion in this review and extraction of data minimized the potential for additional bias beyond that detailed in the ’Risk of bias’ tables. The review authors had no conflicts of interest. Agreements and disagreements with other studies or reviews There are three network meta-analyses that compared the benefit or acceptability of teriflunomide and other DMDs by mixed treatment comparison (Hadjigeorgiou 2013; Tramacere 2015; Zagmutt 2015). We have found no other systematic review on teriflunomide for MS that used only direct head-to-head comparisons. In this systematic review, our extensive and comprehensive search found only one RCT comparing teriflunomide to other DMDs, and it was very low-quality. There was a lack of evidence to show the comparative benefit and safety of teriflunomide in comparison with other DMDs. As with the results of the network meta-analyses, this systematic review also emphasized the need for randomized trials of direct comparisons between teriflunomide and other active agents. and the number of participants with a relapse over one year and two years of treatment. Only teriflunomide at a dose of 14 mg/day as monotherapy reduced the number of participants with disability progression and delayed the progression of disability over one year or two years, but the quality of the evidence was very low. The quality of available data was too low to evaluate the benefit of teriflunomide as monotherapy versus interferon beta-1a (IFNβ1a) or as combination therapy with interferon beta (IFNβ). The common adverse effects were diarrhoea, nausea, hair thinning, elevated alanine aminotransferase, neutropenia and lymphopenia. These adverse effects were mostly mild-to-moderate in severity, but had a dose-related effect. Implications for research The ideal target of disease-modifying therapy for multiple sclerosis (MS) is to prevent disability progression and improve quality of life, which are two key aspects generally needed to be considered when evaluating and deciding whether a disease-modifying drug has superior benefit. MS is a chronic disease with a duration of decades that requires long-term treatment. Therefore, new studies of high quality and longer follow-up are needed to evaluate the comparative benefit of teriflunomide on these outcomes and safety in comparison with other disease-modifying drugs. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS AUTHORS’ CONCLUSIONS Implications for practice There was low-quality evidence to support that teriflunomide at a dose of 7 mg and 14 mg orally once daily as monotherapy by direct comparison with placebo reduced both the annualized relapse rate We thank Andrea Fittipaldo, Trials Search Co-ordinator, and Liliana Coco, Managing Editor of the Cochrane Multiple Sclerosis and Rare Diseases of the CNS Group, for their help and support in developing this review. We also thank Dr. Zhou Hongyu, Xu Zhu, Dong Shuai, Zhang Hong, Wang Lu and Zhang Shihong for their contributions to the first version of this review. REFERENCES References to studies included in this review Confavreux 2014 {published data only} Comi G, Freedman MS, Kappos L, Miller A, Olsson TP, Wolinsky JS, et al. Effect of teriflunomide on lymphocyte and neutrophil counts in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis: results from the TOWER study. 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Long-term safety and efficacy of teriflunomide in patients with relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis in the TEMSO extension trial. Multiple Sclerosis 2013;19:225. Freedman M, Wolinsky J, Comi G, Kappos L, Olsson T, Miller A, et al. Safety and efficacy of teriflunomide for up to 9 years in relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis: Update of the TEMSO extension trial. Neurology 2014; Vol. 82, issue Suppl 10:3–150. Freedman MS, Delhay JL, Benamor M. Gastrointestinal symptoms infrequently lead to discontinuation of teriflunomide therapy. Multiple Sclerosis 2012;18:S13. Miller A, Lublin F, O’Connor P, Taniou C, Dive-Pouletty C. Impact of relapses with sequelae on disability, health-related quality of life, and fatigue in a population with relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis using data from TEMSO, a pivotal phase teriflunomide trial. Neurology 2012;78: P07.082. Miller A, Lublin F, O’Connor P, Wolinsky J, Comi G, Kappos L, et al. Effect of teriflunomide on relapses with sequelae and relapse leading to hospitalization in a population with relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis: results from the TEMSO study. Neurology 2012;78:S30.003. Miller A, O’Connor P, Wolinsky J, Confavreux C, Comi G, Kappos L, et al. Efficacy of oral teriflunomide in multiple sclerosis with relapses: cognitive outcomes from a phase trial (TEMSO). Multiple Sclerosis 2011;17:S182. Miller AE, O’Connor P, Wolinsky JS, Confavreux C, Kappos L, Olsson TP, et al. Pre-specified subgroup analyses of a placebo-controlled phase trial (TEMSO) of oral teriflunomide in relapsing multiple sclerosis. Multiple Sclerosis 2012;18(11):1625–32. O’Connor P, Briggs A, Carita P, Bego-Le-Bagousse G. Impact on health-related quality of life of teriflunomide treatment by estimating utilities in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis: results from TEMSO post hoc analysis. Journal of Neurology 2012;259:S107. O’Connor P, Burrell A, Wang L, Wei L, Carita P, Zhang Q. Effect of teriflunomide on longitudinal patterns of relapse and relapse-related hospitalization in multiple sclerosis. Multiple Sclerosis 2011;17:S414. O’Connor P, Lublin F, Wolinsky J, Comi G, Kappos L, Freedman M, et al. Effect of teriflunomide on relapses leading to healthcare resource use: results from the TEMSO study. Multiple Sclerosis 2011;17:S95–6. O’Connor P, Wolinsky J, Confavreux C, Comi G, Kappos trial (TEMSO) L, Olsson T, et al. Extension of a phase of oral teriflunomide in multiple sclerosis with relapses: clinical and MRI data 5 years after initial randomization. Multiple Sclerosis 2011;17:S414–5. ∗ O’Connor P, Wolinsky JS, Confavreux C, Comi G, Kappos L, Olsson TP, et al. Randomized trial of oral teriflunomide for relapsing multiple sclerosis. New England Journal of Medicine 2011;365(14):1293–303. O’Connor PW, Lublin FD, Wolinsky JS, Confavreux C, Comi G, Freedman MS, et al. Teriflunomide reduces relapse-related neurological sequelae, hospitalizations and steroid use. Journal of Neurology 2013;260(10):2472–80. Wolinksy JS, Wang L, Truffinet P, Narayana PA, Nelson F, O’Connor P. Magnetic resonance imaging as a surrogate for clinical endpoints in multiple sclerosis. Multiple Sclerosis 2012;18:470–1. Wolinsky JS, Narayana PA, Nelson F, Datta S, O’Connor P, Confavreux C, et al. Magnetic resonance imaging outcomes trial of teriflunomide. Multiple Sclerosis from a phase 2013;19(10):1310–9. Vermersch 2014 {published data only} Vermersch P, Czlonkowska A, Grimaldi LM, Confavreux C, Comi G, Kappos L, et al. A multicenter, randomized, parallel-group, rater-blinded study comparing the effectiveness and safety of teriflunomide and subcutaneous interferon beta-1a in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis. Multiple Sclerosis 2012;18:S9–10. Vermersch P, Czlonkowska A, Grimaldi LM, Confavreux C, Comi G, Kappos L, et al. Evaluation of patient satisfaction Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 27 from the TENERE study: a comparison of teriflunomide and subcutaneous interferon beta-1a in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis. Journal of Neurology 2012;259: S38. ∗ Vermersch P, Czlonkowska A, Grimaldi LM, Confavreux C, Comi G, Kappos L, et al. Teriflunomide versus subcutaneous interferon beta-1a in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis: a randomised, controlled phase 3 trial. Multiple Sclerosis 2014;20(6):705–16. References to studies excluded from this review Miller 2014 {published data only} Comi G, Miller AE, Wolinsky JS, Benamor M, Bauer D, Truffinet P, et al. The effect of teriflunomide on lymphocyte and neutrophil count in patients with a first clinical episode consistent with multiple sclerosis: results from the TOPIC study. European Journal of Neurology 2014;21:127–8. Miller A, Wolinsky J, Kappos L, Comi G, Freedman M, Olsson T, et al. TOPIC: efficacy and safety of once-daily oral teriflunomide in patients with first clinical episode consistent with multiple sclerosis. Neurology. 2014; Vol. 82. Miller A, Wolinsky J, Kappos L, Comi G, Freedman MS, Olsson T, et al. TOPIC main outcomes: efficacy and safety of once-daily oral teriflunomide in patients with clinically isolated syndrome. Multiple Sclerosis 2013;19:25–6. ∗ Miller AE, Wolinsky JS, Kappos L, Comi G, Freedman MS, Olsson TP, et al. Oral teriflunomide for patients with a first clinical episode suggestive of multiple sclerosis (TOPIC): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial. Lancet Neurology 2014;13(10):977–86. Turner B, Bauer D, Benamor M, Truffinet P, Miller A. Teriflunomide in early stage MS: results from TOPIC. Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery and Psychiatry 2014;85: A40. Wolinsky JS, Comi G, Kappos L, Bauer D, Truffinet P, Miller AE. Effect of teriflunomide on MRI activity in patients with early MS: outcomes from the phase 3 TOPIC study. European Journal of Neurology 2014;21:103. Wolinsky JS, Truffinet P, Bauer D, Miller AE. Efficacy of teriflunomide in patients with early stage MS: analysis of the TOPIC study using 2010 McDonald diagnostic criteria. Multiple Sclerosis 2014;20:109–10. Wolinsky JS, Truffinet P, Bauer D, Miller AE. MRI outcomes in patients with early multiple sclerosis treated with teriflunomide: subgroup analyses from the TOPIC phase 3 study. Multiple Sclerosis 2014;20:84. O’Connor 2006 {published data only} Confavreux C, Li DK, Freedman MS, Truffinet P, Benzerdjeb H, Wang D, et al. Long-term follow-up of a phase 2 study of oral teriflunomide in relapsing multiple sclerosis: safety and efficacy results up to 8.5 years. Multiple Sclerosis 2012;18(9):1278–89. Confavreux C, O’Connor P, Freedman M, Benzerdjeb H, Wang D, Bar-Or A. Long term safety and tolerability of teriflunomide in multiple sclerosis: 9-year follow-up of a study. Multiple Sclerosis 2011;17:S409–10. phase Jumah MA, Li DB, Yamout B, Truffinet P, Dukovic D, O’Connor PW. Long-term clinical and magnetic resonance imaging outcomes from patients treated with teriflunomide: results from a phase 2 extension study. Multiple Sclerosis and Related Disorders 2014;3:755–56. Li D, O’Connor P, Confavreux C, Truffinet P, Wang D, Traboulsee A. Efficacy of teriflunomide in relapsing multiple extension study with 8-year follow-up. sclerosis: phase Multiple Sclerosis 2011;17:S183–4. Li DBK, Traboulsee AL, Truffinet P, Dukovic D, O’Connor PW. Long-term MRI outcomes from patients treated with teriflunomide: results from a phase 2 extension study. Multiple Sclerosis 2014;20:102–3. ∗ O’Connor PW, Li D, Freedman MS, Bar-Or A, Rice GP, Confavreux C, et al. A Phase study of the safety and efficacy of teriflunomide in multiple sclerosis with relapses. 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Exposure of T lymphocytes to leflunomide but not to dexamethasone favors the production by monocytic cells of interleukin-1 receptor antagonist and the tissue-inhibitor of metalloproteinases1 over that of interleukin-1beta and metalloproteinases. European Cytokine Network 1998;9(4):663–8. DerSimonian 1986 DerSimonian R, Laird N. Meta-analysis in clinical trials. Controlled Clinical Trials 1986;7(3):177–88. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 28 Fischer 1999 Fischer JS, LaRocca NG, Miller DM, Ritvo PG, Andrews H, Paty D. Recent developments in the assessment of quality of life in multiple sclerosis (MS). Multiple Sclerosis 1999;5(4):251–9. Lublin 2014a Lublin FD, Reingold SC, Cohen JA, Cutter GR, Sørensen PS, Thompson AJ. Defining the clinical course of multiple sclerosis: the 2013 revisions. Neurology 2014;83(3): 278–86. Greene 1995 Greene S, Watanabe K, Braatz-Trulson J, Lou L. Inhibition of dihydroorotate dehydrogenase by the immunosuppressive agent leflunomide. Biochemical Pharmacology 1995;50(6): 861–7. Lublin 2014b Lublin FD. New multiple sclerosis phenotypic classification. European Neurology 2014;72 Suppl:1–5. Greenland 1985 Greenland S, Robins JM. Estimation of a common effect parameter from sparse follow-up data. Biometrics 1985;41 (1):55–68. Hadjigeorgiou 2013 Hadjigeorgiou GM, Doxani C, Miligkos M, Ziakas P, Bakalos G, Papadimitriou D, et al. A network metaanalysis of randomized controlled trials for comparing the effectiveness and safety profile of treatments with marketing authorization for relapsing multiple sclerosis. Journal of Clinical Pharmacy and Therapeutics 2013;38(6):433–9. Hamilton 1999 Hamilton LC, Vojnovic I, Warner TD. A771726, the active metabolite of leflunomide, directly inhibits the activity of cyclo-oxygenase-2 in vitro and in vivo in a substratesensitive manner. British Journal of Pharmacology 1999;127 (7):1589–96. Higgins 2011 Higgins JPT, Green S (editors). Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions Version 5.1.0 [updated March 2011]. The Cochrane Collaboration, 2011. Available from www.cochrane-handbook.org. Karampampa 2012 Karampampa K, Gustavsson A, Miltenburger C, Kindundu CM, Selchen DH. Treatment experience, burden, and unmet needs (TRIBUNE) in multiple sclerosis: the costs and utilities of MS patients in Canada. Journal of Population Therapeutics and Clinical Pharmacology 2012;19(1):11–25. Manna 1999 Manna SK, Aggarwal BB. Immunosuppressive leflunomide metabolite (A77 1726) blocks TNF-dependent nuclear factor-kappa B activation and gene expression. Journal of Immunology 1999;162(4):2095–102. Mantel 1959 Mantel N, Haenszel W. Statistical aspects of the analysis of data from retrospective studies of disease. Journal of the National Cancer Institute 1959;22(4):719–48. McDonald 2001 McDonald WI, Compston A, Edan G, Goodkin D, Hartung HP, Lublin FD, et al. Recommended diagnostic criteria for multiple sclerosis: guidelines from the International Panel on the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis. Annals of Neurology 2001;50(1):121–7. Merrill 2009 Merrill JE, Hanak S, Pu SF, Liang J, Dang C, IglesiasBregna D, et al. Teriflunomide reduces behavioral, electrophysiological, and histopathological deficits in the Dark Agouti rat model of experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis. Journal of Neurology 2009;256(1): 89–103. O’Connell 2014 O’Connell K, Kelly SB, Fogarty E, Duggan M, Buckley L, Hutchinson M, et al. Economic costs associated with an MS relapse. Multiple Sclerosis and Related Disorders 2014;3 (6):678–83. Oleen-Burkey 2012 Oleen-Burkey M, Castelli-Haley J, Lage MJ, Johnson KP. Burden of a multiple sclerosis relapse: the patients perspective. Patient 2012;5(1):57–69. Korn 2004 Korn T, Magnus T, Toyka K, Jung S. Modulation of effector cell functions in experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis by leflunomide - mechanisms independent of pyrimidine depletion. Journal of Leukocyte Biology 2004;76:950–60. Parisé 2013 Parisé H, Laliberté F, Lefebvre P, Duh MS, Kim E, Agashivala N, et al. Direct and indirect cost burden associated with multiple sclerosis relapses: excess costs of persons with MS and their spouse caregivers. Journal of the Neurological Sciences 2013;330(1-2):71–7. Kurtzke 1983 Kurtzke JF. Rating neurological impairment in multiple sclerosis: an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). Neurology 1983;33:1444–52. Polman 2005 Polman CH, Reingold SC, Edan G, Filippi M, Hartung HP, Kappos L, et al. Diagnostic criteria for multiple sclerosis: 2005 revisions to the “McDonald Criteria”. Annals of Neurology 2005;58(6):840–6. Lublin 1996 Lublin FD, Reingold SC. Defining the clinical course of multiple sclerosis: results of an international survey. National Multiple Sclerosis Society (USA) Advisory Committee on Clinical Trials of New Agents in Multiple Sclerosis. Neurology 1996;46:907–11. Polman 2011 Polman CH, Reingold SC, Banwell B, Clanet M, Cohen JA, Filippi M, et al. Diagnostic criteria for multiple sclerosis: 2010 revisions to the McDonald criteria. Annals of Neurology 2011;69(2):292–302. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 29 Poser 1983 Poser CM, Paty DW, Scheinberg L, McDonald WI, Davis FA, Ebers GC, et al. New diagnostic criteria for multiple sclerosis: guidelines for research protocols. Annals of Neurology 1983;13(3):227–31. RevMan 2015 [Computer program] The Nordic Cochrane Centre, The Cochrane Collaboration. Review Manager (RevMan). Version 5.3. Copenhagen: The Nordic Cochrane Centre, The Cochrane Collaboration, 2015. Siemasko 1998 Siemasko K, Chong AS, Jäck HM, Gong H, Williams JW, Finnegan A. Inhibition of JAK3 and STAT6 tyrosine phosphorylation by the immunosuppressive drug leflunomide leads to a block in IgG1 production. Journal of Immunology 1998;160(4):1581–8. Tallantyre 2008 Tallantyre E, Evangelou N, Constantinescu CS. Spotlight on teriflunomide. International MS Journal 2008;15(2): 62–8. Tramacere 2015 Tramacere I, Del Giovane C, Salanti G, D’Amico R, Filippini G. Immunomodulators and immunosuppressants for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: a network metaanalysis. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2015, Issue 9. [DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD011381] Tullman 2004 Tullman MJ, Oshinsky RJ, Lublin FD, Cutter GR. Clinical characteristics of progressive relapsing multiple sclerosis. Multiple Sclerosis 2004;10(4):451–4. Vickrey 1995 Vickrey BG, Hays RD, Harooni R, Myers LW, Ellison GW. A health-related quality of life measure for multiple sclerosis. Quality of Life Research 1995;4(3):187–206. Ware 1992 Ware JE Jr, Sherbourne CD. The MOS 36-item short-form health survey (SF-36). I. Conceptual framework and item selection. Medical Care 1992;30(6):473–83. Xu 1995 Xu X, Williams JW, Bremer EG, Finnegan A, Chong AS. Inhibition of protein tyrosine phosphorylation in T cells by a novel immunosuppressive agent, leflunomide. Journal of Biological Chemistry 1995;270(21):12398–403. Xu 1996 Xu X, Williams JW, Gong H, Finnegan A, Chong AS. Two activities of the immunosuppressive metabolite of leflunomide, A77 1726. Inhibition of pyrimidine nucleotide synthesis and protein tyrosine phosphorylation. Biochemical Pharmacology 1996;52(4):527–34. Zagmutt 2015 Zagmutt FJ, Carroll CA. Meta-analysis of adverse events in recent randomized clinical trials for dimethyl fumarate, glatiramer acetate and teriflunomide for the treatment of relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis. International Journal of Neuroscience 2015;125(11):798–807. Zeyda 2005 Zeyda M, Poglitsch M, Geyeregger R, Smolen JS, Zlabinger GJ, Hörl WH, et al. Disruption of the interaction of T cells with antigen-presenting cells by the active leflunomide metabolite teriflunomide: involvement of impaired integrin activation and immunologic synapse formation. Arthritis and Rheumatism 2005;52(9):2730–9. References to other published versions of this review He 2012 He D, Xu Z, Dong S, Zhang H, Zhou H, Wang L, Zhang S. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2012, Issue 12. [DOI: 10.1002/ 14651858.CD009882.pub2] ∗ Indicates the major publication for the study Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 30 CHARACTERISTICS OF STUDIES Characteristics of included studies [ordered by study ID] Confavreux 2014 Methods Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial (TOWER study) Population included in data analyses: all randomly assigned participants who received at least 1 dose of study drug or placebo Did not use the ITT analysis principle Participants Inclusion criteria: people aged 18-55 years; with relapsing MS meeting 2005 McDonald criteria; with or without underlying progression; an EDSS score ≤ 5.5 points; at least 1 relapse in the previous year or at least 2 relapses in the previous 2 years, and no relapse in the 30 days before randomization Key exclusion criteria: people with other relevant diseases; pregnant, breastfeeding or planning to conceive or father a child during the study; previously or concomitantly receiving cytokine therapy, IFNβ or glatiramer acetate within 3 months of randomization; ever using natalizumab or other immunosuppressive agents 1169 participants were randomly assigned in a 1:1:1 ratio to receive 3 different interventions. 1 participant in placebo group, 1 participant in teriflunomide 7 mg/day group and 2 participants in teriflunomide 14 mg/day group did not receive treatment Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics were generally well balanced among the study groups Summary of participant characteristics at baseline (placebo: G1 (n = 389), teriflunomide 7 mg/day: G2 (n = 408), teriflunomide 14 mg/day: G3 (n = 372) Age (mean ± SD): G1 = 38.1 ± 9.1 years, G2 = 37.4 ± 9.4 years, G3 = 38.2 ± 9.4 years Women: G1 = 273 (70%), G2 = 300 (74%), G3 = 258 (69%) Race: white G1 = 318 (82%), G2 = 329 (81%), G3 = 313 (84%); Asian G1 = 60 (15%) , G2 = 60 (15%), G3 = 49 (13%); black G1 = 7 (2%), G2 = 8 (2%), G3 = 7 (2%); other G1 = 4 (1%), G2 = 11 (3%), G3 = 3 (1%) Region: Western Europe and Tunisia G1 = 121 (31%), G2 = 127 (31%), G3 = 120 (32%); Eastern Europe G1 = 117 (30%), G2 = 124 (30%), G3 = 116 (31%); America G1 = 84 (22%), G2 = 92 (23%), G3 = 81 (22%); Asia and Australia G1 = 67 (17%), G2 = 65 (16%), G3 = 55 (15%) Time from first symptoms of MS (mean ± SD): G1 = 7.64 ± 6.70 years, G2 = 8.18 ± 6. 75 years, G3 = 8.18 ± 6.73 years Time since most recent relapse onset (mean ± SD): G1 = 5.29 ± 3.41 months, G2 = 5. 18 ± 3.41 months, G3 = 5.33 ± 3.32 months Relapses per participant: within previous year (mean ± SD): G1 = 1.4 ± 0.8, G2 = 1.4 ± 0.7, G3 = 1.4 ± 0.7; within previous 2 years: G1 = 2.1 ± 1.1, G2 = 2.1 ± 1.1, G3 = 2.1 ± 1.2 MS subtype: relapsing-remitting G1 = 379 (97%), G2 = 393 (96%), G3 = 366 (99%) ; secondary progressive G1 = 4 (1%), G2 = 3 (1%), G3 = 2 (1%); progressive relapsing G1 = 6 (2%), G2 = 12 (3%), G3 = 2 (1%) Use of MS medication in the previous 2 years: G1 = 135 (35%), G2 = 123 (30%), G3 = 126 (34%); IFNβ-1a G1 = 59 (15%), G2 = 63 (15%), G3 = 64 (17%); glatiramer acetate G1 = 52 (13%), G2 = 47 (12%), G3 = 37 (10%); IFNβ-1b G1 = 38 (10%), G2 = 27 (7%), G3 = 35 (9%) Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 31 Confavreux 2014 (Continued) EDSS total score (mean ± SD): G1 = 2.69 ± 1.36, G2 = 2.71 ± 1.39, G3 = 2.71 ± 1.35 FIS score (mean ± SD): G1 = 54.67 ± 37.89, G2 = 56.16 ± 38.20, G3 = 55.25 ± 38.26 Interventions Experimental group 1: oral teriflunomide 7 mg once daily (n = 408) Experimental group 2: oral teriflunomide 14 mg once daily (n = 372) Control group: matching oral placebo once daily (n = 389) Core treatment period: 48-152 weeks (maximum treatment duration 173 weeks). Treatment duration was variable, ending 48 weeks after the last participant was included. The median duration of study treatment was similar across all groups (581 days (IQR 392756) in the placebo group vs. 556 days (IQR 385-749) in the teriflunomide 7 mg group vs. 588 days (IQR 351-765) in the teriflunomide 14 mg group) Outcomes Primary outcome: • annualized relapse rate (number of relapses per participant-year) Secondary outcomes: • time to 12 week sustained accumulation of disability • time to first relapse • proportion of participants free from relapses • proportion of participants free of accumulation of disability • change from baseline in EDSS score at week 48 • change in FIS at week 48 • change in SF-36 scores at week 48 Relapse was defined as new or worsening clinical signs or symptoms lasting at least 24 hours without fever. Protocol-defined relapses constituted an increase of either 1 point in at least 2 EDSS functional system scores, or 2 points in 1 EDSS functional system score (excluding bowel and bladder function, and cerebral function), or 0.5 points in total EDSS score from a previous clinically stable assessment Sustained accumulation of disability was defined as an increase from baseline of at least 1 EDSS point (or ≥ 0.5 points when baseline EDSS score was > 5.5 points) that persisted for at least 12 weeks Notes The investigators obtained the data and the sponsor (Genzyme, owned by Sanofi-Aventis) analyzed the data. Both the sponsor and the authors interpreted the data ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT00751881 Risk of bias Bias Authors’ judgement Random sequence generation (selection Low risk bias) Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Support for judgement Quote: “An interactive voice recognition system generated an allocation sequence using a permuted-block randomisation schedule with stratification according to study site and baseline EDSS score (≤3.5 or > 3.5)” Comment: sequence generation was adequate 32 Confavreux 2014 (Continued) Allocation concealment (selection bias) Low risk Quote: “Randomisation was done centrally, via an interactive voice recognition system” Comment: allocation concealment was adequate Blinding of participants and personnel Low risk (performance bias) All outcomes Quote: “Patients, individuals administering the interventions, and those assessing the outcomes were masked to treatment assignment” “The experimental drugs were identical in taste and appearance” Comment: participants and personnel were blinded to the allocated interventions Blinding of outcome assessment (detection High risk bias) All outcomes Quote: “Those assessing the outcomes were masked to treatment assignment.” “A treating neurologist was responsible for assessment of patient eligibility, supervision of administration of study drug or placebo, recording of adverse events, and assessment of relapses.” “An examining neurologist, certified in the Neurostatus system for consistent EDSS assessment, 12 assigned EDSS scores at screening, randomisation, and every 12 weeks until the last treatment visit, and on any unscheduled visits for assessment of suspected relapse or disability worsening” Comment: treating neurologist who recorded adverse events was responsible for assessment of relapses, blinding of relapse assessment was probably not adequate Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes High risk According to the Figure 1 (Trial profile), overall, 348 (29.8%) participants withdrew from study (115 (29.6%) participants in placebo group, 119 (29.2%) participants in teriflunomide 7 mg/day group and 114 (30.6%) participants in teriflunomide 14 mg/day group) Comment: to a large degree, missing data and reasons were not balanced between groups. The high overall dropout rate of 29.8% over a period of 48 weeks had potential impacts on the results, a high risk of attrition bias existed Selective reporting (reporting bias) Low risk All listed outcomes were reported adequately. Risk of reporting bias was low Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 33 Confavreux 2014 Other bias (Continued) High risk Quote: “The study was sponsored by Genzyme.” “Data were obtained by the investigators and analysed by the sponsor (Genzyme),” “Interpretation of the data was done by the sponsor and the authors,” “4 co-authors (TB, J-LD, DD, and PT) of the published paper are all employees of Genzyme” Comment: conflicts of interest probably existed. There was probably a high risk of bias Freedman 2012 Methods Phase 2 multicentre, placebo-controlled, double-blind, randomized study Follow-up period: 48 weeks Population included in data analyses: all randomly assigned participants exposed to at least 1 dose of any study medication Did not use the ITT analysis principle Participants Inclusion criteria: people aged 18-55 years; with a diagnosis of MS as per the 2005 McDonald criteria; with a relapsing clinical course; with or without progression; having a score of ≤ 5.5 on the EDSS; with no relapse for 8 weeks; having a clinically stable condition for 4 weeks pre-study; receiving a stable dose of IFNβ for at least 26 weeks before screening Baseline demographic and disease characteristics were well balanced among the groups Summary of baseline characteristics of participants in the initial 24-week study (placebo + IFNβ: G1 (n = 41), teriflunomide 7 mg + IFNβ: G2 (n = 37), teriflunomide 14 mg + INFβ: G3 (n = 38) Age (mean ± SD): G1 = 39.2 ± 9.0 years, G2 = 41.4 ± 6.8 years, G3 = 39.6 ± 8.1 years Women: G1 = 31 (75.6%), G2 = 25 (67.6%), G3 = 25 (65.8%) White: G1 = 40 (97.6%), G2 = 34 (91.9%), G3 = 38 (100%) MS subtype: relapsing-remitting: G1 = 38 (92.7%), G2 = 30 (81.1%), G3 = 34 (89. 5%); secondary progressive: G1 = 2 (4.9%), G2 = 2 (5.4%), G3 = 3 (7.9%); progressive relapsing: G1 = 1 (2.4%), G2 = 5 (13.5%), G3 = 1 (2.6%) Number of relapse within the past 12 months (mean ± SD): G1 = 0.9 ± 0.9, G2 = 0.6 ± 0.8, G3 = 0.9 ± 0.8 Proportion of participants with ≥ 1 relapse in the past 12 months: G1 = 58.5%, G2 = 48.6%, G3 = 65.8% EDSS score: mean ± SD G1 = 2.6 ± 1.3, G2 = 2.4 ± 1.4, G3 = 2.5 ± 1.6; median (range) G1 = 2.5 (0-5.5), G2 = 2.0 (0-5.5), G3 = 2.5 (0-5.5) Proportion with IFNβ neutralizing antibodies: < 20 titre G1 = 86.5%, G2 = 80.6%, G3 = 87.9%; 20-640 titre: G1 = 10.8%, G2 = 11.1%, G3 = 9.1%; > 640 titre: G1 = 2.7%, G2 = 8.3%, G3 = 3.0% The number of T1-Gd lesions: 0: G1 = 77.5%, G2 = 78.4%, G3 = 78.9%; ≥ 1: G1 = 22.5%, G2 = 21.6%, G3 = 21.1% Baseline state of IFNβ: high dose: G1 = 68.3%, G2 = 67.6%, G3 = 63.2%; low dose: G1 = 31.7%, G2 = 32.4%, G3 = 36.8% Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 34 Freedman 2012 (Continued) Interventions Experimental group 1: teriflunomide 7 mg/day orally added to IFNβ Experimental group 2: teriflunomide 14 mg/day orally added to IFNβ Control group: matching placebo orally added to IFNβ The ongoing IFNβ regimens were IFN-1a (Avonex; Biogen Idec, Cambridge, MA), 30 g IM once a week (classified as low-dose), IFNβ-1a (Rebif; EMD Serono Inc., Rockland, MA), 22 or 44 g SC 3 times per week (classified as low-dose and high-dose, respectively) , and IFNβ-1b (Betaseron; Bayer HealthCare Pharmaceuticals Inc, Montville, NJ), 0. 25 mg SC every other day (classified as high-dose) Outcomes Primary outcome: • safety and tolerability (treatment-emergent adverse events occurring with an incidence > 10%) Secondary outcomes: • annualized relapse rates • MRI activity: the total number of Gd-enhancing T1 lesions and the total Gdenhancing T1 lesion volume per MRI scan • burden of disease: least squares mean change from baseline and least squares mean difference from placebo • mean number of unique active lesions per scan • volume of post-Gd T1 hypointense lesions (black holes) • T2 lesion component volume change from baseline • atrophy change from baseline • white matter change from baseline • grey matter change from baseline • Z4 composite score change from baseline (the Z4 composite score integrated quantitative measures of volume of T1-Gd lesions, burden of disease, volume of T1hypointense lesions and the proportion of total intracranial contents segmented as CSF. The Z4 score was defined as the sum of individual Z scores derived from each of these 4 parameters) A relapse was defined as the appearance of a new clinical sign or symptom or worsening of a previous symptom that persisted for ≥ 24 hours in the absence of fever Notes NCT00489489 [24-week study] and NCT00811395 [24-week extension]. This study was sponsored by Sanofi-Aventis Risk of bias Bias Authors’ judgement Support for judgement Random sequence generation (selection Low risk bias) The authors reported that randomization was stratified by country and IFN regimen (high-dose or low-dose). This was an international multicentre clinical trial, the random sequence generation was probably made by software Allocation concealment (selection bias) The authors did not describe the method of allocation concealment. This was an in- Low risk Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 35 Freedman 2012 (Continued) ternational multicentre clinical trial, central randomization was probably used Blinding of participants and personnel High risk (performance bias) All outcomes Quote: “A phase II multicenter, placebo controlled, double-blind, randomised study comparing 2 doses of teriflunomide in patients with relapsing MS receiving a stable dose of IFNβ was conducted” Comment: IFNβ regimens were diverse. It was not a truly double-blind, doubledummy study Blinding of outcome assessment (detection High risk bias) All outcomes Quote: “Each occurrence of relapse was confirmed by the treating neurologist, based on objective assessments by an independent evaluator who was blinded to treatment allocation.” “Adverse events were reported by the patient or the investigator” Comment: relapse was confirmed by the treating neurologist, who was also responsible for reporting. Blinding of outcome assessment was probably not adequate Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes High risk According to the study disposition, 118 participants were randomly assigned. 2 participants (1 in each teriflunomide group) were excluded before treatment because of protocol violations, leaving 116 exposed to study medication for 24 weeks. 86 participants entered the 24-week extension phase. 75 participants completed 1 year. 43 (36. 4%) participants withdrew from study at 48 weeks Comment: the authors did not report the reasons why some participants were not rolled over into extension. Most of reasons for drop-outs differed between groups. Missing data and reasons were not carefully recorded and did not balance between groups. The high overall rate of drop-outs (36.4%) and the unbalanced reasons for drop-outs contributed to a high risk of attrition bias Selective reporting (reporting bias) Low risk All listed outcomes were reported adequately Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 36 Freedman 2012 Other bias (Continued) High risk Quote: “The study funding was supported by Sanofi-Aventis” Comment: conflicts of interest probably existed. There was probably a high risk of bias NCT01252355 Methods Phase 3, multicentre, placebo-controlled, double-blind, randomized study (TERACLES study) Treatment duration: 24-108 weeks ITT population: all randomized and treated participants. Participants were considered in the treatment group to which they were randomized regardless of the drug they actually received Participants Inclusion criteria: aged 18-55 years; diagnosis of MS by McDonald’s criteria; participant with relapsing forms of MS treated with IFNβ; stable dose of IFNβ for at least 6 months prior to randomization; disease activity in the 12 months prior to randomization and after first 3 months of IFNβ treatment (at least 1 relapse supported by EDSS or equivalent neurological examination, or, at least 1 brain or spinal cord MRI with at least 1 T1 Gdenhancing lesion) Exclusion criteria: McDonald’s criteria for MS diagnosis not met at time of screening visit; EDSS score > 5.5 at screening visit; not treated with a stable dose of IFNβ for ≥ 6 months prior to randomization or not tolerating IFNβ or not expected to remain on IFNβ for the duration of the study; a relapse within 30 days prior randomization; human immunodeficiency virus-positive; prior or concomitant use of cladribine, mitoxantrone or other immunosuppressant agents such as azathioprine, cyclophosphamide, ciclosporin, methotrexate, mycophenolate or fingolimod in previous 6 months; prior use in the 3 months preceding randomization of cytokine therapy (except baseline IFNβ), glatiramer acetate or intravenous immunoglobulins, or concomitant use of these treatments; prior or concomitant use of natalizumab (Tysabri®) in previous 6 months; pregnant, breastfeeding or planning to become pregnant during the study Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics were generally well balanced among the study groups Summary of baseline characteristics of participants (placebo + IFNβ: G1 (n = 177), teriflunomide 7 mg + IFNβ: G2 (n = 178), teriflunomide 14 mg + INFβ: G3 (n = 179) Age (mean ± SD): G1 = 38.3 ± 8.9 years, G2 = 38.7 ± 9.5 years, G3 = 37.7 ± 9.2 years Women: G1 = 113 (63.8%), G2 = 125 (70.2%), G3 = 114 (63.7%) Region of enrolment: America G1 = 33 (32.8%), G2 = 30 (16.9%), G3 = 37 (20.7%); Western Europe G1 = 86 (48.6%), G2 = 86 (48.3%), G3 = 79 (44.1%); Eastern Europe G1 = 51 (28.8%), G2 = 51 (28.7%), G3 = 56 (31.3%); Asia, Africa and Australia G1 = 7 (4.0%), G2 = 11 (6.2%), G3 = 7 (3.9%) Time since first diagnosis of MS (mean ± SD): G1 = 7.0 ± 5.6 years, G2 = 6.6 ± 5.6 years, G3 = 6.8 ± 5.9 years MS subtype: relapsing-remitting: G1 = 174 (98.3%), G2 = 173 (97.2%), G3 = 175 (97. 8%); secondary progressive: G1 = 2 (1.1%), G2 = 3 (1.7%), G3 = 4 (2.2%); progressive relapsing: G1 = 1 (0.6%), G2 = 2 (1.1%), G3 = 0 (0%) Number of relapse within the past 12 months (median (range)): G1 = 1 (0-4), G2 = 1 Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 37 NCT01252355 (Continued) (0-3), G3 = 1 (0-4) Number of relapse within the past 2 years (median (range)): G1 = 2 (0-6), G2 = 2 (0-8) , G3 = 2 (0-8) Time since most recent MS relapse onset) (median (range)): G1 = 5.0 (1.0-75.0) months, G2 = 5.0 (1.0-36.0) months, G3 = 4.0 (1.0-174.0) months EDSS score (mean ± SD): G1 = 2.67 ± 1.25, G2 = 2.63 ± 1.37, G3 = 2.64 ± 1.18 Dose level of IFNβ based on IVRS: high dose: G1 = 120 (67.8%), G2 = 128 (71.9%), G3 = 120 (67.0%); low dose: G1 = 57 (32.2%), G2 = 50 (28.1%), G3 = 59 (33.0%) Interventions Experimental group 1: teriflunomide 7 mg once daily + IFNβ (any of the IFNβ) (n = 178) Experimental group 2: teriflunomide 14 mg once daily + IFNβ (any of the IFNβ) (n = 179) Control group: matching placebo (for teriflunomide) once daily + IFNβ (any of the IFNβ) (n = 177) Outcomes Primary outcome: • annualized relapse rate = total number of confirmed relapses that occurred during the treatment period divided by the total number of participant-years treated. Each episode of relapse (appearance, or worsening of a clinical symptom that was stable for at least 30 days, that persisted for a minimum of 24 hours in the absence of fever) was confirmed by an increase in EDSS score or Functional System scores Secondary outcomes: • number of Gd-enhancing T1-lesions as measured by brain MRI • time to 12-week sustained disability progression as assessed by EDSS • volume of Gd-enhancing T1-lesions • change from baseline in total lesion volume • time to first confirmed relapse • change from baseline in FIS total score • change from baseline in Short Form Generic Health Survey-36 Items, version 2 Summary Score • resource utilization when relapse • overview of adverse events • liver function Notes The recruitment initiated in January 2011 was discontinued in December 2012 following the decision of the Sponsor (Sanofi-Aventis) to discontinue the study, the common treatment end date was defined as 28 February 2013 (treatment duration 24-108 weeks) 846 participants were screened at 185 sites in 28 countries ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT01252355 Risk of bias Bias Authors’ judgement Random sequence generation (selection Low risk bias) Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Support for judgement Quote: “Randomisation was stratified by investigational site and Interferon-β dose level (high/low)” Comments: this was an international mul38 NCT01252355 (Continued) ticentre clinical trial, the random sequence generation was probably made by software Allocation concealment (selection bias) Low risk Quote: “Assignment to groups was done centrally using an IVRS in a 1:1:1 ratio after confirmation of selection criteria” Comments: allocation concealment was adequate Blinding of participants and personnel High risk (performance bias) All outcomes Any of the IFNβ was used, as long as the IFNβ was approved for marketed use in the country where the participant was enrolled Comments: IFNβ regimens were diverse. It was not a truly double-blind, doubledummy study Blinding of outcome assessment (detection High risk bias) All outcomes Participant, investigator and outcomes assessor were blinded Comments: unclear whether all outcome assessors were independent of the treating neurologist who recorded and managed adverse events Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes High risk Study was prematurely terminated by the sponsor. All participants did not complete the study Comments: high risk of attrition bias existed Selective reporting (reporting bias) Low risk All pre-set outcomes in the protocol were described in the results Comments: reporting bias was low Other bias High risk Quote: “The study was sponsored by Sanofi-Aventis” Comment: conflicts of interest probably existed. There was probably a high risk of bias Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 39 O’Connor 2011 Methods Phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group study (TEMSO study) Follow-up period: 108 weeks Population included in data analyses: people who underwent randomization and were exposed to study medication for at least 1 day Did not use the ITT analysis principle Participants Inclusion criteria: people aged 18-55 years; meeting the 2001 McDonald criteria for a diagnosis of MS; with a relapsing clinical course; with or without progression; having a score of ≤ 5.5 on the EDSS; having at least 2 clinical relapses in the previous 2 years or 1 relapse during the preceding year, but no relapses in the 60 days before randomization Exclusion criteria: people with other systemic diseases; pregnant; planning to conceive during the trial period All baseline characteristics were well matched among the groups Summary of participant characteristics at baseline (placebo: G1 (n = 363), teriflunomide 7 mg: G2 (n = 366), teriflunomide 14 mg: G3 (n = 359) Age (mean ± SD): G1 = 38.4 ± 9.0 years, G2 = 37.4 ± 9.0 years, G3 = 37.8 ± 8.2 years Women: G1 = 275 (75.8%), G2 = 255 (69.7%), G3 = 225 (71.0%) White: G1 = 356 (98.3%), G2 = 355 (97.3%), G3 = 347 (96.9%) Region: Western Europe G1 = 167 (46.0%), G2 = 167 (45.6%), G3 = 170 (47.4%); Eastern Europe G1 = 114 (31.4%), G2 = 116 (31.7%), G3 = 108 (30.1%); Americas G1 = 82 (22.6%), G2 = 83 (22.7%), G3 = 81 (22.6%) Time from first symptom of MS (mean ± SD): G1 = 8.6 ± 7.1 years, G2 = 8.8 ± 6.8 years, G3 = 8.7 ± 6.7 years Relapse (mean ± SD): in previous year G1 = 1.4 ± 0.7, G2 = 1.4 ± 0.7, G3 = 1.3 ± 0.7; in previous 2 years G1 = 2.2 ± 1.0, G2 = 2.3 ± 1.2, G3 = 2.2 ± 1.0 MS subtype: relapsing-remitting G1 = 329 (90.6%), G2 = 333 (91.0%), G3 = 333 (92.8%); secondary progressive G1 = 22 (6.1%), G2 = 17 (4.6%), G3 = 12 (3.3%); progressive relapsing G1 = 12 (3.3%), G2 = 16 (4.4%), G3 = 14 (3.9%) Use of DMT in previous 2 years: G1 = 90 (24.8%), G2 = 102 (27.9%), G3 = 102 (28. 4%); IFNβ-1a G1 = 58 (16.0%), G2 = 74 (20.2%), G3 = 62 (17.3%); IFNβ-1b G1 = 18 (5.0%), G2 = 22 (6.0%), G3 = 27 (7.5%); glatiramer acetate G1 = 36 (9.9%), G2 = 23 (6.3%), G3 = 43 (12.0%) EDSS score (mean ± SD): G1 = 2.68 ± 1.34, G2 = 2.68 ± 1.34, G3 = 2.67 ± 1.24 FIS score (mean ± SD): G1 = 53.2 ± 37.9, G2 = 50.4 ± 35.6, G3 = 50.3 ± 35.9 Total lesion volume on MRI (mean ± SD): G1 = 19.34 ± 18.94 mL, G2 = 20.37 ± 20. 59 mL, G3 = 18.08 ± 17.49 mL Number of participants with Gd-enhancing lesions: G1 = 137 (38.2%), G2 = 127 (35. 3%), G3 = 125 (35.2%) Number of Gd-enhancing lesions on T1-weighted images (mean ± SD): G1 = 1.66 ± 3. 55, G2 = 1.50 ± 3.96, G3 = 1.81 ± 5.17 Volume of hypointense lesions on T1-weighted images (mean ± SD): G1 = 3.26 ± 3.64, G2 = 3.35 ± 3.96, G3 = 2.91 ± 3.25 Brain parenchymal fraction (mean ± SD): G1 = 0.76 ± 0.02, G2 = 0.76 ± 0.02, G3 = 0. 76 ± 0.02 Interventions Experimental group 1: oral teriflunomide 7 mg once daily (n = 366) Experimental group 2: oral teriflunomide 14 mg once daily (n = 359) Control group: matching oral placebo once daily (n = 363) Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 40 O’Connor 2011 (Continued) Outcomes Primary outcome: • annualized relapse rate (defined as the number of confirmed relapses per participant-year). A relapse was defined as the appearance of a new clinical sign or symptom, or clinical worsening of a previous sign or symptom that had been stable for at least 30 days and that persisted for a minimum of 24 hours in the absence of fever Secondary outcomes: • time to 12-week sustained disability progression. Sustained disability progression was defined as an increase from baseline of at least 1.0 point in the EDSS score (or at least 0.5 points for participants with a baseline EDSS score > 5.5) that persisted for at least 12 weeks • total lesion volume • number of Gd-enhancing lesions on T1-weighted images • volume of hypointense lesion components on T1-weighted images • number of unique active lesions (defined as the number of Gd-enhancing lesions on T1-weighted images or new or enlarged lesions on T2-weighted images, without double counting) • brain atrophy • participant-reported fatigue, assessed using the FIS A relapse was defined as the appearance of a new clinical sign or symptom, or clinical worsening of a previous sign or symptom that had been stable for at least 30 days and that persisted for a minimum of 24 hours in the absence of fever. Confirmed relapses required an increase of 1 point in each of 2 EDSS functional-system scores or of 2 points in 1 EDSS functional-system score (excluding bowel and bladder function and cerebral function) or an increase of 0.5 points in the EDSS score from the previous clinically stable assessment Sustained disability progression was defined as an increase from baseline of at least 1. 0 point in the EDSS score (or at least 0.5 points for participants with a baseline EDSS score > 5.5) that persisted for at least 12 weeks Notes This was the Teriflunomide Multiple Sclerosis Oral (TEMSO) trial, sponsored by SanofiAventis. The investigators collected the data and the sponsor analysed the data ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT00134563 Risk of bias Bias Authors’ judgement Random sequence generation (selection Low risk bias) Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Support for judgement The authors reported that randomization was stratified according to the baseline EDSS score (≤ 3.5 or > 3.5) and according to trial site, with a block size of 6. We wrote to the principal author for random sequence generation, the principal author described that the IVRS assigned the randomization number from a list that was loaded in the database Comment: sequence generation was adequate 41 O’Connor 2011 (Continued) Allocation concealment (selection bias) Low risk The method of allocation concealment was not reported. We wrote to the principal author, the principal author offered central randomization via an IVRS Comment: allocation concealment was adequate Blinding of participants and personnel Low risk (performance bias) All outcomes Quote: “Treating neurologist was unaware of treatment assignments but was aware of any side effects that could potentially be related to active therapy” The principal author described the study medication teriflunomide (7 mg and 14 mg) and placebo were supplied as identical tablets Comment: participants and personnel were blinded to the allocated interventions Blinding of outcome assessment (detection High risk bias) All outcomes Quote: “A treating neurologist at each site was responsible for recording and managing adverse events, assessing relapses, and monitoring safety assessments.” “An independent, specially trained and certified examining neurologist determined all the EDSS scores and performed all assessments of functional systems.” “The examining neurologists were unaware of treatment assignments, only the treating neurologist was aware of any side effects that could potentially be related to active therapy” Comment: treating neurologist who recorded adverse events was responsible for assessment of relapses, blinding of relapse assessment was probably not adequate Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes According to the Figure 1, 104 participants in placebo group, 92 participants in teriflunomide 7 mg group and 96 participants in teriflunomide 14 mg group discontinued study treatment Quote: “Of the patients who discontinued the study medication prematurely, 31, 22, and 20 patients in the placebo, teriflunomide 7 mg group, and higher-dose teriflunomide groups, respectively, completed the planned follow-up” Comment: overall, 219 (20.1%) participants were lost-to follow-up (73 (20.1%) Unclear risk Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 42 O’Connor 2011 (Continued) participants in placebo group, 70 (19.1%) participants in teriflunomide 7 mg group, 76 (21.2%) participants in teriflunomide 14 mg group). There was no sufficient information to understand the reasons for study discontinuation and their balance among the 3 groups Selective reporting (reporting bias) Low risk All listed outcomes were reported adequately Other bias High risk Quote: “The study was sponsored by Sanofi-Aventis.” “Data were collected by the investigators and analysed by the sponsor.” “3 co-authors (HB, PT and LW) of the published paper were affiliated to SanofiAventis” Comment: conflicts of interest probably existed. There was probably a high risk of bias Vermersch 2014 Methods Phase 3, multicentre, parallel-group, rater-blinded study (TENERE study) Population included in data analyses: efficacy analyses were conducted on the ITT population, which included all randomized participants. The safety analysis included all randomized participants exposed to study medication Participants Inclusion criteria: people aged≥ 18 years; meeting the 2005 McDonald criteria for a diagnosis of MS; having a relapsing clinical course; with or without progression; with an EDSS score ≤ 5.5 at screening; being relapse free for 30 days prior to randomization Exclusion criteria: people with prior use of SC IFNβ-1a, teriflunomide or leflunomide; prior or ongoing use of natalizumab, cladribine, mitoxantrone or other immunosuppressants; use of other interferons, glatiramer acetate, intravenous immunoglobulins or cytokine therapy within 3 months; having other relevant systemic illnesses; being pregnant, breast-feeding, or both; planning to conceive Baseline demographics and characteristics were balanced except for a lower DMT use in the past 2 years in the teriflunomide 14 mg group compared with the IFNβ-1a group Summary of participant characteristics at baseline (IFNβ-1a: G1 (n = 104), teriflunomide 7 mg: G2 (n = 109), teriflunomide 14 mg: G3 (n = 111) Age (mean ± SD): G1 = 37.0 ± 10.6 years, G2 = 35.2 ± 9.2 years, G3 = 36.8 ± 10.3 years Female: G1 = 71 (68.3%), G2 = 70 (64.2%), G3 = 78 (70.3%) White: G1 = 104 (100%), G2 = 109 (100%), G3 = 111 (100%) Region: Eastern Europe G1 = 35 (33.7%), G2 = 39 (35.8%), G3 = 41 (36.9%); Western Europe and Africa G1 = 62 (59.6%), G2 = 62 (56.9%), G3 = 64 (57.7%); Americas G1 = 7 (6.7%), G2 = 8 (7.3%), G3 = 6 (5.4%) Time since first symptom of MS (mean ± SD): G1 = 7.7 ± 7.6 years, G2 = 7.0 ± 6.9 years, G3 = 6.6 ± 7.6 years Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 43 Vermersch 2014 (Continued) Relapse (mean ± SD): within previous year G1 = 1.2 ± 1.0, G2 = 1.3 ± 0.8, G3 = 1.4 ± 0.8; within previous 2 years G1 = 1.7 ± 1.1, G2 = 1.7 ± 0.9, G3 = 1.7 ± 0.9 MS subtype: relapsing-remitting G1 = 104 (100%), G2 = 109 (100%), G3 = 108 (97. 3%); secondary progressive G1 = 0, G2 = 0, G3 = 1 (0.9%); progressive relapsing G1 = 0, G2 = 0, G3 = 2 (1.8%) Use of DMT in previous 2 years: G1 = 25 (24.0%), G2 = 23 (21.1%), G3 = 13 (11.7%) ; IFNβ-1a G1 = 6 (5.8%), G2 = 6 (5.5%), G3 = 3 (2.7%); IFNβ-1b G1 = 10 (9.6%), G2 = 9 (8.3%), G3 = 5 (4.5%); glatiramer acetate G1 = 12 (11.5%), G2 = 10 (9.2%), G3 = 7 (6.3%) Baseline EDSS score (mean ± SD): G1 = 2.0 ± 1.2, G2 = 2.0 ± 1.2, G3 = 2.3 ± 1.4 Baseline FIS score (mean ± SD): G1 = 34.2 ± 32.7, G2 = 39.5 ± 34.8, G3 = 42.5 ± 37.8 Interventions Experimental group 1: oral teriflunomide 7 mg once daily (n = 109) Experimental group 2: oral teriflunomide 14 mg once daily (n = 111) Control group: IFNβ-1a 44 µg, SC injection 3 times per week (n = 104) Treatment duration: 48-115 weeks. The study was completed 48 weeks after the last participant was randomized, resulting in a variable duration of follow-up. Median duration of exposure was 60.1 weeks in the IFNβ-1a group, 66.6 weeks in the teriflunomide 7 mg group and 64.2 weeks in the teriflunomide 14 mg group. Median duration of exposure for all treatment groups was 63.6 weeks; actual maximum exposure was 115 weeks in any group Outcomes Primary outcome: • time to failure, defined as first occurrence of confirmed relapse or permanent treatment discontinuation for any cause Secondary outcomes: • annualized relapse rate (number of confirmed relapses during the treatment period per participant-year) • changes in participant-reported fatigue (using the FIS) • treatment satisfaction (using the Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire for Medication (TSQM, version 1.4), with domains for effectiveness, adverse effects, convenience and global satisfaction • safety and tolerability Relapse criteria required the appearance of a new clinical sign/symptom or clinical worsening of a previous sign/symptom (previously stable for at least 30 days) that persisted for at least 24 hours without fever Notes Study funded by Genzyme, a Sanofi company. Editorial support was provided by Meg Church, Fishawack Communications, Ltd, also funded by Genzyme ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT00883337 Risk of bias Bias Authors’ judgement Random sequence generation (selection Low risk bias) Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Support for judgement Quote: “Patients were randomised 1:1:1 to teriflunomide 7 mg or 14 mg (doubleblind) or IFNβ-1a (open-label), and stratified by country (Americas, Eastern Europe, 44 Vermersch 2014 (Continued) Western Europe and Africa) and baseline EDSS score (≤3.5 or >3.5)” Comment: this was an international multicentre clinical trial, the random sequence generation was probably made by software Allocation concealment (selection bias) Low risk Comment: this was an international multicentre clinical trial, central randomization was probably used Blinding of participants and personnel High risk (performance bias) All outcomes Participants were randomized 1:1:1 to teriflunomide 7 mg or 14 mg (double-blind) or IFNβ-1a (open-label) Comment: control (IFNβ-1a) group was open-label Blinding of outcome assessment (detection High risk bias) All outcomes Quote: “The treating neurologist was responsible for managing adverse events, and relapse and safety assessments, while an examining neurologist scored the Functional Systems and EDSS. The examining neurologist remained blinded to treatment and associated adverse events” Comment: treating neurologist who managed adverse events was responsible for assessment of relapses, blinding of relapse assessment was probably not adequate Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) All outcomes Unclear risk The number and reasons of drop-outs from the study were not reported in the published article Comment: incomplete outcome data were unclear, the risk of attrition bias was unclear Selective reporting (reporting bias) Low risk All listed outcomes were reported adequately Other bias High risk Quote: “This study was funded by Genzyme, a Sanofi company. Editorial support was provided by Meg Church, Fishawack Communications, Ltd, also funded by Genzyme, a Sanofi company” Comment: conflicts of interest probably existed. There was probably a high risk of bias CSF: cerebrospinal fluid; DMT: disease-modifying therapy; EDSS: Expanded Disability Status Scale; FIS: Fatigue Impact Scale; Gd: gadolinium; IFNβ: interferon beta; IM: intramuscular; ITT: intention-to-treat; IQR: interquartile range; IVRS: interactive voice Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 45 response system; MS: multiple sclerosis; MRI: magnetic resonance imaging; n: number of participants; SC: subcutaneous; SD: standard deviation; SF-36: 36-item Short Form. Characteristics of excluded studies [ordered by study ID] Study Reason for exclusion Miller 2014 Participants were diagnosed with a first clinical episode suggestive of MS rather than definite diagnosis of MS O’Connor 2006 An RCT with a length of follow-up shorter than 1 year MS: multiple sclerosis; RCT: randomized controlled trial. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 46 DATA AND ANALYSES This review has no analyses. APPENDICES Appendix 1. Keywords for searching the Cochrane MS Group Specialised Register {HMR1726} OR {A77 1726} OR {Leflunomide} OR {Arava} OR {teriflunomide} OR {TFN} OR {teriflunomide-D4} OR {A771726} OR {Dihydroorotate dehydrogenase(DHODH) inhibitors} OR {(Z)-2-Cyano-3-hydroxy-N-[4-(trifluoromethyl)phenyl]2-butenamide} WHAT’S NEW Last assessed as up-to-date: 7 November 2015. Date Event Description 7 November 2015 New search has been performed Search updated up to 30 Semptember 2015. The review now includes five trials 7 November 2015 Amended The review team has been amended. 7 November 2015 New citation required and conclusions have changed Three studies have been added. Conclusion changed. In this version of the review the quality of the evidence from the included studies was assessed using GRADE approach and a “Summary of Findings” table has been added CONTRIBUTIONS OF AUTHORS All correspondence: Dian He and Lan Chu. Drafting of review versions: Dian He. Search for trials: Chao Zhang and Xia Zhao. Obtaining copies of trial reports: Qingqing Dai and Yuan Li. Selection of trials for inclusion/exclusion: Dian He and Yifan Zhang. Extraction of data: Dian He and Yifan Zhang. Entry of data: Dian He and Yifan Zhang. Interpretation of data analyses: Dian He and Lan Chu. Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 47 DECLARATIONS OF INTEREST DH - none. CZ - none. XZ - none. YZ - none. QD - none. YL - none. LC- none. SOURCES OF SUPPORT Internal sources • The Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, China. External sources • The Health and Family Planning Commission of Guizhou Province (No.gzwjkj2014-2-107), China. DIFFERENCES BETWEEN PROTOCOL AND REVIEW In the current review, we added ’the proportion of participants with at least one relapse’ in the primary outcomes and moved ’the annualized rate of relapse’ into the secondary outcomes, because the former has a greater significance. We replaced ’the proportion of patients free of disability progression’ with ’the proportion of participants with disability progression’ in the primary outcomes. In this review, we created the ’Summary of findings’ table. We removed the restriction of ’double-blind studies’ specified in the protocol. In addition, we removed duration of follow-up and dose level, and added duration of multiple sclerosis and risk of bias in included studies as co-variates for subgroup analysis in future updates. INDEX TERMS Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) Crotonates [adverse effects; ∗ therapeutic use]; Immunologic Factors [adverse effects; therapeutic use]; Immunosuppressive Agents [adverse effects; ∗ therapeutic use]; Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive [∗ drug therapy]; Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting [∗ drug therapy]; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; Toluidines [adverse effects; ∗ therapeutic use] Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 48 MeSH check words Adult; Humans; Middle Aged; Young Adult Teriflunomide for multiple sclerosis (Review) Copyright © 2016 The Cochrane Collaboration. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 49