PPOL5110 – Foundations of Public Policy - Prof. M. Howlett By Marie N. Bernal Wicked problems in social policy planning (Rittel and Webber, 1973) Expertise in the face of “wickedness” “…nation’s pluralism and differentiation of values…” differentiation of publics Open systems and concerns for equity Weakness in goal-formulation (p.157, 4th paragraph) and problem definition (valuative framework vs. efficiency, is vs. ought to be) Scientific or engineering problems vs. planning problems Inherently wicked: 1. There is no definitive formulation of a wicked problem. “...every question asking for additional information depends upon the understanding of the problem-and its resolution-at that time.” and “To find the problem is thus the same thing as finding the solution; the problem can't be defined until the solution has been found. The formulation of a wicked problem is the problem!” (p.161) 2. Wicked problems have no stopping rule. “...the would-be planner can always try to do better.” and “He stops for considerations that ae external to the problem.” (p. 162) 3. Solutions to wicked problems are not true-or-false, but better or worse. “Their judgments are likely to differ widely to accord with their group or personal interests, their special value-sets, and their ideological predilections. (p.163) 4. There is no immediate and no ultimate test of a solution to a wicked problem. “...any solution, after being implemented, will generate waves of consequences over an extended-virtually an unbounded- period of time.” and “... no way of tracing all the waves…” (p.163) 5. Every solution to a wicked problem is a "one-shot operation"; because there is no opportunity to learn by trial and error, every attempt counts significantly. 6. Wicked problems do not have an enumerable (or an exhaustively describable) set of potential solutions, nor is there a well-described set of permissible operations that may be incorporated into the plan. 7. Every wicked problem is essentially unique. 8. Every wicked problem can be considered to be a symptom of another problem. “...the higher the level of a problem's formulation, the broader and more general it becomes: and the more difficult it becomes to do something about it. On the other hand, one should not try to cure symptoms: and therefore, one should try to settle the problem on as high a level as possible.” (p.162). Problem of Incrementalism (i.e. antibiotics vs. superbugs). 9. The existence of a discrepancy representing a wicked problem can be explained in numerous ways. The choice of explanation determines the nature of the problem's resolution. 10. The social planner has no right to be wrong (i.e., planners are liable for the consequences of the actions they generate). Homogenous or “Mass Society” – wrong. Inter-group differences and rivalries prevent notion of “larger public welfare. (I.e. Hospital penicillin). 1 Morality of operations research and management science (Churchman, 1967) To “tame” a problem either “generate an aura of good feeling or consensus [...] OR, it consists of "carving off " a piece of the problem and finding a rational and feasible solution to this piece.” (B-141) and let someone else tame the untamed part. => Deceptive and morally wrong Dishonesty in honesty Does "inform" merely mean that we clear ourselves legally, or does it mean that we attempt to enter into a deep, mutual understanding of the untamed aspects of the problem? (B-142). Context (Crowley and Head, 2017) Rittel, architect of the “wicked problem” concept, presents and teaches is ideas in the 60’s and is quoted by Churchman in ’67. Highly significant with higher citation count in the last decade. Reflective of the era’s technological achievements AND social challenges in the US. Finally published, at Webber’s behest, in ‘73. “First generation” design methods = rigorously scientific critique of the intellectual fallacies of addressing wickedness through rationalist systems theory. Need for second-generation systems thinking based on argumentative methods. “Second generation” = emphasis on communication and feedback. Critique: o A.Bahm (’75): who argued that “the authors found fault in the nature of social problems rather than in professional competence, thus ‘causing these problems to become more difficult to solve’. Social problems CAN be defined but they’re part of a larger prob and context needs to be accounted for. “...every problem is unique, not just every wicked problem; and that the existence of many failed ‘wicked’ solutions does not mean that a problem cannot be solved.” o B.Catron (’81): “...ontological for identifying the existence of wicked problems, epistemological for challenging our ability to understand them, and ethical for questioning our ability to act rightly in relation to them.” By the 2000’s several scholars acknowledged the “wicked” context of social problems and designed solution frameworks and coping strategies. Literature today tends to pursue argumentative, deliberative, collaborative, and network-based approaches to wicked problem solving “Wicked” becomes mainstream in environmental policy analysis Levin et al. “super wicked” Recent-ish conferences: o Proceeds support adaptive management and collaborative rationality. o Draws connections to modern literature on governance, policy design and innovation, implementation, and politics of crisis management. o Support a greater focus on policy learning and greater synergies between academic and practitioner forms of knowledge. 2 Implications for public management (Head and Alford, 2008) 1. Review of “wicked problems”, in line with the above pts. a. Tech vs. social problems: multiple goals, agents and stakeholders b. Competing frameworks, not gaps in knowledge c. In pluralistic society – participatory and dialogue-based approaches over rational comprehensive planning d. Uncertainty: substantive (understanding), strategic (actors), institutional (locations, networks or regimes). e. Australian Public Service Commission (2007): i. Difficult to clearly define ii. Many interdependencies and multi-causal aspects iii. Proposed measures may have unforeseen effects iv. Problems may be unstable and continue evolving v. No clear and correct solution vi. Problems are socially complex with many stakeholders vii. Responsibility stretches across many organisations viii. Solutions may require behavioural changes by citizens and stakeholder groups. f. “... although every ‘solution’ for dealing with wicked problems will necessarily be open to further interrogation and adaptation, this is no bad thing.” (p.7) 2. Public management: How are w. problems identified, understood and managed? a. New Public Management ‘80s in response to linear organization and control. b. Managerialism – ‘managing for results.’ Corporate strategy thinking or Rittel and Webber’s rational comprehensive planning. c. Contractualism – shifts program logic chain from outcomes to outputs (as means of achieving the outcome). 3. Challenges in: Strategy-making, organizational design, people management, and performance measurement a. Techniques to address it p. 14-15 4. Approaches: Systems-thinking (p.16), collaboration (joined-up government, p. 17) and mobilizing adaptive work (p.20). 5. Significance: “Finally, it calls for a cultural shift from a risk-averse culture, built on the politics of attributing blame to individuals for failure, towards a collective learning culture built on collaborative discussion of goals, strategies, monitoring and adjustment of program settings as knowledge and understanding evolve and as the perspectives of stakeholders shift over time.” (p.22) Constraining our future selves (Levin et al., 2012) Climate change is a “super wicked problem”: o Time is running out – no room for compromise o Those seeking to end the problem are also causing it – “Unlike other environmental problems with discrete antagonists and protagonists, human-induced climate change results from individual and collective activities at multiple scales, as well as marketplace activities.” (p.127) o No central authority – “... different circumstances, but also across different economic sectors and policy subsystems at mul- tiple political levels.” (p.128) 3 o Policies discount the future irrationally – shortsighted focus – “... individuals must ‘‘lock-in’’ longterm preferences so that, as the future nears, they cannot revert to their short-term calculus.” (p.128) Nurture a policy process in which our long-term interests gain sway over our short-term interests 1. What can be done to create stickiness making reversibility immediately difficult? 2. What can be done to entrench support over time? 3. What can be done to expand the population that supports the policy? Applied forward reasoning: “...identify possible policy interventions and reason forward to how the problem and interventions might unfold over time.” (p. 130) Analytic framework for wicked problems: “... what path- dependent causal processes respond to the three diagnostic questions, and what actions might trigger them?” (p.131) Policy development 4 Path-dependent processes (independent or intersecting): o Lock-in: provides immediate durability o Self-reinforcing: costs of reversing rise over time o Increasing returns: benefits increase over time o Positive feedback: expanding populations and reinforcing original support New analytic framework applied to climate change “super wickedness” Works cited and reviewed Bahm, A. J. (1975). Planners’ failure generates a scapegoat. Policy Sciences, 6, 103–105 Catron, B. L. (1981). On taming wicked problems. Dialogue, 3(3), 13–16 Churchman, C. W. (1967) ‘Wicked Problems’, Management Science, 14(4), pp. B141–B142. Crowley, K. and Head, B. W. (2017) ‘The enduring challenge of “wicked problems”: revisiting Rittel and Webber’, Policy Sciences. Springer US, 50(4), pp. 539–547. doi: 10.1007/s11077-017-9302-4. Head, B. and Alford, J. (2008) ‘Wicked problems: The implications for public management’, … to Panel on Public Management in …, (December 2016). Available at: http://www.irspm2008.bus.qut.edu.au/papers/documents/pdf2/Head - Wicked Problems HeadAlford Final 250308.pdf. Levin, K. et al. (2012) ‘Overcoming the tragedy of super wicked problems: Constraining our future selves to ameliorate global climate change’, Policy Sciences, 45(2), pp. 123–152. doi: 10.1007/s11077-012-9151-0. Rittel, H. W. J. and Webber, M. M. (1973) ‘Dilemmas in a General Theory of Planning’, Policy Sciences, 4(2), pp. 155–169. Available at: https://www.jstor.org/stable/4531523. 4