Measuring Supply Chain Performance A Government Perspective The World Bank June 2011 Economic Analysis Directorate Canada’s Gateways and Trade Corridors: System-wide Approach October 2006+ Efficient, reliable and secure gateways to North America Asia-Pacific Gateway and Corridor Initiative Atlantic Gateway Ontario-Quebec Continental Gateway and Trade Corridor Aligning trade & transportation Integrated package of investments and policy aimed at enhancing Canada’ s competitiveness System-wide approach 2 What Is Efficient Transportation? The Challenge of Measuring System Performance Economic Analysis Directorate 3 Integrated Research Approach Reliability and efficiency of Canadian supply chains Fluidity Indicator Port Utilization Indicators $$$ Logistics cost & resilience Air Cargo Economic Analysis Directorate 4 Fluidity Project Economic Analysis Directorate 5 Fluidity Concept are Canadian supply chains competitive? Rotterdam Antwerp Valencia Hong Kong Shanghai Yantian Singapore Panama Canal 2014 Economic Analysis Directorate 6 Phase 1 Corridors: Asia-Pacific PRINCE RUPERT • • • • Hong Kong Yantian Shanghai Singapore VANCOUVER Economic Analysis Directorate Calgary Toronto Montreal Chicago Memphis Calgary Toronto Montreal Chicago 7 A Container Journey through the Pacific Gateway (model below excludes transload) All truck transit: XX Prince Rupert Rail Transit: XX MTD: XX RTD: XX Drayage XX DC Chicago Vancouver Innerharbour CTs Shanghai Hong Kong Yantian Singapore Toronto MTD: XX Rail transit :XX Rail Dwell : XX Drayage to rail yard : XX RTD: XX Drayage XX DC Deltaport All truck transit: XX MTD: XX : gateway/ inland hub : marine : rail : trucking MTD: marine terminal dwell Economic Analysis Directorate RTD: rail terminal dwell 8 Supply Chain Time Components Measured Ocean & Port Rail Trucking Logistics and Warehousing Ocean transit Dwell at origin rail yard Truck from marine terminal to origin rail yard Dwell at transload facility Marine Terminal Dwell Rail transit time (inter-urban) Truck from marine terminal to end customer Dwell at destination rail yard Truck from marine terminal to transload facility Truck from transload facility to origin rail yard Truck from transload facility to end customer Truck from destination rail yard to end customer 9 Supply Chains – Various Models SUPPLY CHAIN 1 + + + + SUPPLY CHAIN 2 + + + + + + SUPPLY CHAIN 3 + + + + + + SUPPLY CHAIN 4 + + + + + + Direct-rail Rail Inner-harbour - Drayage Rail Inner-harbour – Urban Rail + + Transload - Rail SUPPLY CHAIN 5 + + SUPPLY CHAIN 6 + + All-Truck – without transload + + Economic Analysis Directorate All-Truck – with transload 10 Example of Transit Times by Model ( Feb 2011) Chart Legend Supply Chain 1 Supply Chain 2 Supply Chain 3 Supply Chain 4 Supply Chain 5 Supply Chain 6 Marine Transit Port Dwell Rail Transit Rail Dest. Dwell Drayage Marine Transit Port Dwell Drayage Rail Origin Dwell Rail Transit Rail Dest. Dwell Marine Transit Port Dwell Rail Transit Rail Origin Dwell Rail Transit Rail Dest. Dwell Drayage Marine Transit Port Dwell Drayage Transload Dwell Drayage Rail Origin Dwell Rail Transit Marine Transit Port Dwell Truck Transit Marine Transit Port Dwell Drayage Transload Dwell Truck Transit Shanghai to Toronto Feb-11 1 Supply Chain 1 344.8 Supply Chain 2 344.8 Supply Chain 3 344.8 Supply Chain 4 344.8 Supply Chain 5 344.8 Supply Chain 6 344.8 2 75.6 75.6 75.6 75.6 75.6 75.6 3 164.3 1.0 XXXX 1.0 106.6 1.0 4 31.5 22.2 22.2 48.0 5 1.0 164.3 164.3 1.0 48.0 106.6 Hong Kong to Toronto Feb-11 1 Supply Chain 1 402.0 Supply Chain 2 402.0 Supply Chain 3 402.0 Supply Chain 4 402.0 Supply Chain 5 402.0 Supply Chain 6 402.0 2 75.6 75.6 75.6 75.6 75.6 75.6 3 164.3 1.0 XXXX 1.0 106.6 1.0 4 31.5 22.2 22.2 48.0 5 1.0 164.3 164.3 1.0 48.0 106.6 Yantian to Toronto Feb-11 1 Supply Chain 1 398.4 Supply Chain 2 398.4 Supply Chain 3 398.4 Supply Chain 4 398.4 Supply Chain 5 398.4 Supply Chain 6 398.4 2 75.6 75.6 75.6 75.6 75.6 75.6 3 164.3 1.0 XXXX 1.0 106.6 1.0 4 31.5 22.2 22.2 48.0 5 1.0 164.3 164.3 1.0 48.0 106.6 Drayage Rail Dest. Dwell 6 7 8 9 31.5 31.5 22.2 1.0 1.0 164.3 31.5 1.0 6 7 8 9 31.5 31.5 22.2 1.0 1.0 164.3 31.5 1.0 6 7 8 9 31.5 31.5 22.2 1.0 1.0 164.3 31.5 1.0 Economic Analysis Directorate Direct-rail Inner-harbour - Drayage Inner-harbour - Rail Rail Transload Drayage All-Truck – without transload All-Truck – with transload Total Hours Total Days 617.2 25.7 640.4 26.7 639.4 26.6 689.4 28.7 527.0 22.0 576.0 24.0 Total Hours Total Days 674.4 28.1 697.6 29.1 696.6 29.0 746.6 31.1 584.2 24.3 633.2 26.4 Total Hours Total Days 670.8 27.9 694.0 28.9 693.0 28.9 743.0 31.0 580.6 24.2 629.6 26.2 11 Variability & Predictability HK to Toronto via PMV September 2010 95th percentile Days DELAYED 5th percentile EARLY Containers (n=400 random sample) Economic Analysis Directorate 12 Breakdown by Segment Breakdown by Segment 3.9% 1 = Ocean Travel 0.1% 2 = Port Dwell 19.8% 3 = Port Drayage 2.5% 0.2% 11.2% 62.3% 4 = Rail Dwell @ Departure Yard 5 = Rail Travel 6 = Rail Dwell @ Arrival Yard 7 = Drayage to DC Economic Analysis Directorate 13 Data Capture Model MODEL 1: "follow-the-vehicle" • Ocean: Lloyd’s List Intelligence, ocean carrier websites • Ports: CPAs, some operators • Unique source from origin to destination (Container Status Messages) • Pilot-testing in Vancouver (GT Nexus) • Rail: CN, CP, American Association of Railways (AAR) • Trucking: GPS (private fleets) MODEL 2: "follow-the-container" • Rail data sharing agreements secured with both Class 1 railways • RFP Summer 2011 for ocean data Validation with major importers, BCOs and forwarders Economic Analysis Directorate 14 Port Utilization Indicators Economic Analysis Directorate 15 North American West Coast Container Ports 2010 Rank Country Port Deltaport Berth 3 600,000 TEU capacity (Jan 2010) Phase 1: 750, 000 TEU Phase 2: 1.5M TEU Port Metro Vancouver TEUs 2010 % growth over 2009 1 Los Angeles 7,831,902 16% 2 Long Beach 6,263,499 24% 3 Vancouver 2,514,309 17% 4 Oakland 2,330,202 14% 5 Seattle 2,133,548 35% 6 Manzanillo 1,509,378 36% 7 Tacoma 1,455,466 -6% 8 Làzaro Càrdenas 796,023 36% 9 Prince Rupert 343,366 30% 10 Portland 181,100 4% Port of Prince Rupert West Coast Market Share Portland 2010 1% Prince Rupert Tacoma 1% 6% Seattle 9% Làzaro Càrdenas 3% Los Angeles 33% Oakland 10% Vancouver 11% Long Beach 26% Note: excludes Manzanillo Source: port authorities, AAPA Economic Analysis Directorate 16 Port Utilization Indicators for B.C. Container Ports, 2010 Dwell Time Performance at B.C. Ports, 2009-2010 17 Conclusion Economic Analysis Directorate 18 Conclusion: Policy Value Benefits – Transparency: empirical and fact-based narrative on gateway performance – Accountability in public asset management: measuring ROI – Market intelligence and decision-supporting tools – Facilitation: impartial metrics to monitor improvement and guide corrective action – Marketing: deconstruct myths on reliability of Canadian gateways Challenges – Multiple sources of data – Multi-stakeholder project – Data aggregation and protection – ‘Politics of statistics’ – Benchmarking • limited comparability • Methodological opacity of existing metrics Economic Analysis Directorate 19 Thank You Daniel Olivier, Ph.d. Senior Analyst Economic Analysis Transport Canada daniel.olivier@tc.gc.ca 613-991-6529 20 ANNEX 21 Lower Mainland Transload Activities 63% direct-rail (marine containers) 37% leaving by truck Marine Terminals TOTAL 100% via intermodal yards ? to import transloads 26% to intermodal yards 2% 53’ Back to intermodal yards 20% Import transload facilities Lower Mainland Intermodal yards Additional volumes via intermodal yards 22% to B.C. customers. 2% to other Can destinations 4% Total Rail to Eastern Canada and U.S. 85% Direct Western Can. 9% Direct U.S. <1% 90% Can 10% U.S. 22 Source: Transload Mapping Study 2011. Proportions Based on 2009 volumes Ocean Transit - Methodology • Approach: measure total voyage time* of vessels leaving Asian ports to B.C. ports including: – Vessel movement at sea – Time spent at intermediate ports • Database: Lloyd’s List Seasearcher, ocean carrier websites • Completeness: over 95% of vessels covered • Example: APL Iris from Yantian to Vancouver – Dec 2010 … * : total elapsed time from departure at port of loading to (quayside) arrival at port of destination 23 Example: APL Iris Pacific South 1 Service Eastbound – November 2010 Port Rotation: Laem Chabang Singapore Yantian Hong Kong Seattle Vancouver ARR: Dec 8 / 15:16 7 Vancouver Seattle 6 ARR: Nov 24 / 1:00 DEP: Nov 24 / 13:00 ARR: Dec 5 / 13:44 DEP: Dec 8 / 5:40 ARR: Nov 20 / 10:45 DEP: Nov 21 / 00:10 Shanghai 5 ARR: Nov 21 / 6:16 DEP: Nov 21 / 22:04 Yantian 3 Hong Kong 4 DEP: Nov 12 / 3:00 1 Laem Chabang 2 ARR: Nov 14 / 9:30 DEP: Nov 15 / 14:55 Singapore Example Calculation YANTIAN-VANCOUVER: Laem Chabang-Singapore = Dwell @ Singapore = Singapore-Yantian = Dwell @ Yantian = Yantian-Hong Kong = Dwell @ Hong Kong = Hong Kong-Shanghai = Dwell @ Shanghai = Shanghai-Seattle = Dwell @ Seattle = Seattle-Vancouver = 2.26 days 1.22 days 4.89 days 0.55 days 0.25 days 0.65 days 2.11 days 0.51 days 11.01 days 2.65 days 0.39 days Yantian-Vancouver Transit Segment TOTAL TRANSIT TIME YANTIAN TO VANCOUVER= 17.6 days (TOTAL TRANSIT TIME OF EASTBOUND SERVICE = 26.5 days) 24