Non-conventional Energy Sources: Market Survey and Commercial Applications Professor Saifur Rahman Electrical & Computer Engineering Dept. Virginia Tech 05 March 2007 At Jamia Milia Islamia, New Delhi 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 1 1 Outline 1. Introduction to non-conventional energy sources (wind, solar and hydro) 2. Resource assessment for wind, solar and hydro 3. Capacity factor and capacity credit calculations 4. Technology assessment 5. Global developments of wind and solar projects 6. Renewable energy and climate change issues 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 2 2 1 World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type (1970-2025) 700 Quadrillion BTU 600 Oth 500 ers lear Nuc l Coa 400 300 l Gas Natura 200 Oil 100 Year 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 4/10/2007 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook (c) Saifur 2005 Rahman 3 3 4 4 Global Oil Production 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 2 Wind Energy Off-shore 4/10/2007 Wind Generation, North (c)Sea Saifur Rahman 5 5 Installed Wind Power in the World Cumulative Capacity 19971997-2006 80,000 70,000 Megawatts 60,000 Total World Rest of the World 50,000 India 40,000 Denmark 30,000 USA Spain 20,000 Germany 10,000 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 6 6 Source: BP.com, 2006 and World Wind Energy Association, Germany as of 29 Jan 2007 3 Wind Power Highlights Global GlobalWind WindCapacity: Capacity: German Germancapacity capacity:: 73.9 73.9GW GW(end (endof of2006) 2006) 20.6 20.6GW GW(end (endof of2006) 2006) • The current installed wind power capacity generates more than 1% of the global electricity consumption. • At the end of 2006, Germany hosted 27.9% of annual world WTG capacity • This is followed by Spain (15.7%), USA (15.7%), India (8.5%) and Denmark (4.2%) 4/10/2007 (c) Jan Saifur Rahman * World Wind Energy Association, Germany, 29 2007 * International Electricity Information, EIA, 2006 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 7 7 8 8 4 Wind Energy in India, 2006 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 9 9 10 10 Offshore Wind Energy is “Next Wave” of New Wind Project Construction in Germany 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 5 Current world’s largest Offshore wind worldwide Location Country Online MW No Rating Vindeby Denmark 1991 4.95 11 Bonus 450kW Lely (Ijsselmeer) Holland 1994 2.0 4 NedWind 500kW Tunø Knob Denmark 1995 5.0 10 Vestas 500kW Dronten (Ijsselmeer) Holland 1996 11.4 19 Nordtank 600kW Gotland (Bockstigen) Sweden 1997 2.5 5 Wind World 500kW Blyth Offshore UK 2000 3.8 2 Vestas 2MW Middelgrunden, Copenhagen Denmark 2001 40 20 Bonus 2MW Uttgrunden, Kalmar Sound Sweden 2001 10.5 7 GE Wind 1.5MW Yttre Stengrund Sweden 2001 10 5 NEG Micon NM72 Horns Rev Denmark 2002 160 80 Vestas 2MW Frederikshaven Denmark 2003 10.6 4 2 Vestas 3MW,1 Bonus 2.3MW and 1 Nordex 2.3MW Bonus 2.3 MW Samsø Denmark 2003 23 10 North Hoyle UK 2003 60 30 Vestas 2MW Nysted Denmark 2004 158 72 Bonus 2.3MW Arklow Bank Ireland 2004 25.2 7 GE 3.6 MW Scroby Sands UK 2004 60 30 Vestas 2 MW 587 316 Totals 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman Source: BWEA (http://www.bwea.com/offshore/worldwide.html) 11 11 12 12 Offshore wind turbines Horns Rev, Denmark 14-20 km off the coast of Jutland 80 x 2MW = 160 MW 4/10/2007 Source: BWEA © Elsam A/S (c) Saifur Rahman 6 Offshore wind turbines Uttgrunden, Sweden 7 x 1.5MW = 10.5 MW 4/10/2007 Source: BWEA © GE Wind Energy (c) Saifur Rahman 13 13 14 14 Offshore wind turbines Blyth, UK 2 x 2MW = 4 MW 4/10/2007 Source: BWEA © AMEC Wind (c) Saifur Rahman 7 Offshore wind turbines North Sea, The Netherlands (3 MW) 4/10/2007 Source: Saifur Rahman © (c) Saifur Rahman 15 15 16 16 Offshore wind turbine and Generator North Sea, The Netherlands 4/10/2007 Source: Saifur Rahman © (c) Saifur Rahman 8 Large Rotor Blades Shipped by Water – Offshore Wind Projects Minimize Transfers GE 3.6 MW rotor (104 m diameter) 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 17 17 Solar Energy Solar Thermal Heating Solar Thermal Electricity Solar Photovoltaics 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 18 18 9 Installed Solar Photovoltaics Cumulative Capacity 1992-2004 3,000,000 Total OECD Kilowatts 2,500,000 2,000,000 Rest of OECD Germany 1,500,000 USA 1,000,000 Japan 500,000 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 4/10/2007 Source: BP.com, 2006 (c) Saifur Rahman 19 19 Biodiversity Monitoring Project in Bangladesh 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 20 20 10 High Altitude Train in Tibet 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 21 21 22 22 Electric power everywhere, but cannot reach it 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 11 Electric Power Grid Cannot be Accessed 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 23 23 Photovoltaics for Railway Signaling in Tibet 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 24 24 12 Solar Photovoltaics, USA Rooftop PV Test Facility at Virginia Tech, USA 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 25 25 26 26 Solar Photovoltaics, USA 4 Times Square, New York Building-integrated PV panels of up to 15 kW of power Thin-film PV panels are located on the top 19th floors of the building 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) 13 Solar Photovoltaics, Germany Lehrter train station, Berlin Number of module: 1,440 Total area: 3,311 m2 PV output: 325 kW Electricity generation: 274,000 kWh/yr 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman Source: http://www.cler.org/predac/article.php3?id_article=511 27 27 28 28 Solar Photovoltaics, Japan Bridge Shiga, Japan 60 kW 4/10/2007 Platform Gunma, Japan 200 kW (c) Saifur Rahman Source: Mitsubishi Electric 14 Climate Change Global warming World sea levels rise Loss of the arctic ice cover 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 29 29 Trends in Atmospheric Concentrations and Anthropogenic Emissions of CO2 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 30 30 15 Global CO2 Emissions by Region (Million Metric Tons of Carbon Equivalent) (2001-2025) 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 31 31 Global warming and CO2 level rise Earth has warmed by about 1°C since mid-19th century; can go up by another 5.8°C by 2100 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 32 32 16 Global warming Top five warmest years worldwide since 1890s: (1) 1998, (2) 2002, (3) 2003, (4) 2004, (5) 2006 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 33 33 Loss of Arctic Ice THE Arctic ice cap could disappear completely well before the end of the century under the impact of global warming, according to observations released yesterday. The Times, London. 29 Sept 2005 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 34 34 17 Observed Sea Ice Source: Impact of a warming arctic, Cambridge University Press 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 35 35 Polar bears on thin ice Source: An environmental Canada Greenlane site Studies of ice cores indicate a rapid rise in greenhouse gases in the past 150 years 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 36 36 18 Abrupt Climate Change Rapid changes in ocean circulation are linked to an abrupt climate change 8,200 years ago that had global effects. Indeed, greenhouse warming is a destabilizing factor that makes abrupt climate change more probable. Source: 4/10/2007 Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute (c) Saifur 2005 Rahman 37 37 38 38 Thank You! Any questions? Saifur Rahman Email: srahman@vt.edu 4/10/2007 (c) Saifur Rahman 19