Outline

advertisement
Non-conventional Energy Sources:
Market Survey and Commercial Applications
Professor Saifur Rahman
Electrical & Computer Engineering Dept.
Virginia Tech
BUET, Dhaka, 19 March 2007
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
1
1
Outline
1. Introduction to non-conventional energy
sources (wind, solar and hydro)
2. Resource assessment for wind, solar and hydro
3. Capacity factor and capacity credit calculations
4. Technology assessment
5. Global developments of wind and solar projects
6. Renewable energy and climate change issues
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
2
2
1
World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type
(1970-2025)
700
Quadrillion BTU
600
Oth
500
400
300
200
100
ers
lear
Nuc
l
Coa
l Gas
Natura
Oil
Year
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
4/10/2007
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook
(c) Saifur
2005 Rahman
3
3
4
4
Wind Energy
Off-shore
4/10/2007 Wind Generation, North
(c)Sea
Saifur Rahman
2
Installed Wind Power in the World
Cumulative Capacity 19971997-2006
80,000
70,000
Total World
Megawatts
60,000
Rest of the World
50,000
India
40,000
Denmark
30,000
USA
Spain
20,000
Germany
10,000
0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
5
5
Source: BP.com, 2006 and World Wind Energy Association, Germany as of 29 Jan 2007
Wind Power Highlights
Global
GlobalWind
WindCapacity:
Capacity:
German
capacity
German capacity::
73.9
73.9GW
GW(end
(endof
of2006)
2006)
20.6
GW
(end
of
2006)
20.6 GW (end of 2006)
••
The current installed wind power capacity generates more than 1% of the
global electricity consumption.
••
At the end of 2006, Germany hosted 27.9% of annual world WTG capacity
••
This is followed by Spain (15.7%), USA (15.7%), India (8.5%) and Denmark
(4.2%)
4/10/2007
(c) Jan
Saifur
Rahman
* World
Wind Energy Association, Germany, 29
2007
* International Electricity Information, EIA, 2006
6
6
3
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
7
7
8
8
Wind Energy in India, 2006
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
4
Offshore Wind Energy is ““Next Wave”” of
New Wind Project Construction in Germany
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
9
9
Current world’’s largest
Offshore wind worldwide
Location
Country
Online
MW
No
Rating
Vindeby
Denmark
1991
4.95
11
Bonus 450kW
Lely (Ijsselmeer)
Holland
1994
2.0
4
NedWind 500kW
Tunø Knob
Denmark
1995
5.0
10
Vestas 500kW
Dronten (Ijsselmeer)
Holland
1996
11.4
19
Nordtank 600kW
Gotland (Bockstigen)
Sweden
1997
2.5
5
Wind World 500kW
Blyth Offshore
UK
2000
3.8
2
Vestas 2MW
Middelgrunden, Copenhagen
Denmark
2001
40
20
Bonus 2MW
Uttgrunden, Kalmar Sound
Sweden
2001
10.5
7
GE Wind 1.5MW
Yttre Stengrund
Sweden
2001
10
5
NEG Micon NM72
Horns Rev
Denmark
2002
160
80
Vestas 2MW
Frederikshaven
Denmark
2003
10.6
4
2 Vestas 3MW,1 Bonus 2.3MW
and 1 Nordex 2.3MW
Samsø
Denmark
2003
23
10
Bonus 2.3 MW
North Hoyle
UK
2003
60
30
Vestas 2MW
Nysted
Denmark
2004
158
72
Bonus 2.3MW
Arklow Bank
Ireland
2004
25.2
7
GE 3.6 MW
Scroby Sands
UK
2004
60
30
Vestas 2 MW
587
316
Totals
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
Source:
BWEA (http://www.bwea.com/offshore/worldwide.html)
10
10
5
Offshore wind turbines
Horns Rev, Denmark
14-20 km off the
coast of Jutland
80 x 2MW = 160 MW
4/10/2007
Source:
BWEA © Elsam A/S
(c) Saifur Rahman
11
11
12
12
Offshore wind turbines
Uttgrunden, Sweden
7 x 1.5MW = 10.5 MW
4/10/2007
Source:
BWEA © GE Wind Energy
(c) Saifur Rahman
6
Offshore wind turbines
Blyth, UK
2 x 2MW = 4 MW
4/10/2007
Source:
BWEA © AMEC Wind
(c) Saifur Rahman
13
13
14
14
Offshore wind turbines
North Sea, The Netherlands (3 MW)
4/10/2007
Source:
Saifur Rahman ©
(c) Saifur Rahman
7
Offshore wind turbine and Generator
North Sea, The Netherlands
4/10/2007
Source:
Saifur Rahman ©
(c) Saifur Rahman
15
15
Large Rotor Blades Shipped by Water –– Offshore Wind Projects
Minimize Transfers
GE 3.6 MW rotor (104
m diameter)
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
16
16
8
Solar Energy
Solar Thermal Heating
Solar Thermal Electricity
Solar Photovoltaics
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
17
17
Installed Solar Photovoltaics
Cumulative Capacity 1992-2004
3,000,000
Total OECD
Kilowatts
2,500,000
2,000,000
Rest of OECD
Germany
1,500,000
USA
1,000,000
Japan
500,000
0
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
4/10/2007
Source: BP.com, 2006
(c) Saifur Rahman
18
18
9
Biodiversity Monitoring Project in Bangladesh
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
19
19
20
20
High Altitude Train in Tibet
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
10
Electric power everywhere, but cannot reach it
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
21
21
22
22
Electric Power Grid Cannot be Accessed
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
11
Photovoltaics for Railway Signaling in Tibet
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
23
23
24
24
Solar Photovoltaics, USA
Rooftop PV Test Facility at Virginia Tech, USA
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
12
Solar Photovoltaics, USA
4 Times Square, New York
Building-integrated PV panels of
up to 15 kW of power
Thin-film PV panels are located
on the top 19th floors of the
building
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur
Rahman
Source:
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
(NREL)
25
25
Solar Photovoltaics, Germany
Lehrter train station, Berlin
Number of module: 1,440
Total area: 3,311 m2
PV output: 325 kW
Electricity generation: 274,000 kWh/yr
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
Source:
http://www.cler.org/predac/article.php3?id_article=511
26
26
13
Solar Photovoltaics, Japan
Bridge
Shiga, Japan
60 kW
4/10/2007
Platform
Gunma, Japan
200 kW
(c) Saifur Rahman
27
27
28
28
Source: Mitsubishi Electric
Climate Change
Global warming
World sea levels rise
Loss of the arctic ice cover
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
14
Trends in Atmospheric Concentrations and Anthropogenic
Emissions of CO2
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
29
29
30
30
Global CO2 Emissions by Region
0LOOLRQ0HWULF7RQVRI&DUERQ(TXLYDOHQW
(2001-2025)
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
15
Global warming and CO2 level rise
Earth has warmed by
about 1°C since mid-19th
century; can go up by
another 5.8°C by 2100
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
31
31
32
32
Global warming
Top five warmest years worldwide since 1890s:
(1) 1998, (2) 2002, (3) 2003, (4) 2004, (5) 2006
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
16
Loss of Arctic Ice
THE Arctic ice cap could disappear completely well before the end of the century under the impact of
global warming, according to observations released yesterday.
The Times, London. 29 Sept 2005
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
33
33
34
34
Observed Sea Ice
Source: Impact of a warming arctic, Cambridge University Press
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
17
Polar bears on thin ice
Source: An environmental Canada Greenlane site
Studies of ice cores indicate a rapid rise in greenhouse gases in the past 150 years
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
35
35
Abrupt Climate Change
Rapid changes in ocean circulation are linked to an abrupt climate change 8,200 years
ago that had global effects. Indeed, greenhouse warming is a destabilizing factor that
makes abrupt climate change more probable.
Source:
4/10/2007
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute
(c) Saifur
2005 Rahman
36
36
18
Thank You!
Any questions?
Saifur Rahman
Email: srahman@vt.edu
4/10/2007
(c) Saifur Rahman
37
37
19
Download