PV HYBRID MARKET OPPORTUNITIES IN THE SUNBELT REGION – APPROACH OF SMA SUNBELT ENERGY GMBH IN KENYA + Diesel Genset PV Guluma Megersa Berlin, 02.09.2015 SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH MOTIVATION: WHY IS AFRICA IMPORTANT? Geographical True Size of Africa Key economic drivers • • • • • • Rising level of education Growing middle class and urbanization Improved political stability Abundant natural ressources Private Public Partnerships Governmental and international investment Power supply from photovoltaic systems will support and sustain this economic growth! However, international players (like SMA) need to be present in the market. 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa 1.IMF, SMA 2 AGENDA 1 Introduction to SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 2 Solar PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3 SMA Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4 PV Hybrid reference 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 3 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG AND SMA SUNBELT ENERGY GMBH 100% compatibility Polysilicon Ingot/ Wafer Cell Module Inverter SMA Solar Technology AG Founded: 1981 Sales 2014: about EUR 800 million Total installed global capacity : > 38 Gigawatt Employees: > 3,500 all over the globe Research and Development Professionals: >500 Invest R&D 2014: > € 120 Mio. German Stock Exchange Electrical components e.g. Transformer Project Development Turnkey O&M SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 100% affiliated company of SMA Solar Technology AG and headquartered in Kassel, Germany Provides Project development, turnkey and O&M1 services for photovoltaic hybrid projects Comprehensive project approach based on SMA Fuel Save Controller Solution Closing the project value chain for projects in Sunbelt markets. International innovations awards 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa 1.Operation and Maintenance 4 AGENDA 1 Introduction to SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 2 Solar PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3 SMA Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4 PV Hybrid References 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 5 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References THERE ARE DIFFERENT APPLICATIONS FOR PV-DIESEL HYBRID SYSTEMS Our focus Utilities/ IPP (in off-grid/weak-grid regions) Heavy industries (e.g. mining, cement) Remote electrification (e.g. mini grids from REA) Agriculture and food processing (e.g. farming, fish&shrimp, flower farms) Tourism (e.g. hotels, holiday resorts) Remote industries (in off-grid/weak-grid regions) Real estate (e.g. offices, malls, warehouses) Remote hospitals (in off-grid/weak-grid regions) Military (e.g. off-camps, training facilities, military base power plants) Telecom industries (in off-grid/weak-grid regions) Focus industries depend on target countries. In Kenya, we primarily focus on Agriculture 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 6 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References PV-DIESEL-HYBRID IS ALREADY A REAL BUSINESS CASE IN HIGH IRRADIATION REGIONS WITH EFFECTIVE DIESEL COST > 1 USD/LITER Payback time (years) 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Annual PV full load time 900 kWh/kWp (e.g. Germany) 1200 kWh/kWp (e.g. Italy) 1500 kWh/kWp (e.g. India) 1800 kWh/kWp (e.g. Australia) 2100 kWh/kWp (sunniest spots worldwide) Financially attractive area Diesel cost1 (USD/l) 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 Given the diesel price volatility and genset industry mindset, a short payback time is crucial. 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa 1. Effective cost at point of consumption including fuel transportation and storage cost etc. 2. Assumptions : 1 MW PV plant; 100% consumption of PV power possible; CapEx=2,000 USD/kWp; OpEx= 2% of CapEx p.a.; PV financing 3. with 30% equity/70% debt with 7% interest rate and amortization time of 5 years; Genset efficiency 3.5 kWh/l (net electricity production); CapEx and Maintenance cost for Diesel genset not included, since PV is considered as add-on here, not as genset hardware substitution Source: Web search, SMA analysis 7 AGENDA 1 Introduction to SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 2 Solar PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3 SMA Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4 PV Hybrid References 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 8 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References SMA GOES TO KENYA WITH A HOLISTIC STRATEGY Products & Turnkey Offering Service Financing Training Partnering 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 9 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References SMA OFFERS A DEDICATED PRODUCT PORTFOLIO FOR THE RELEVANT APPLICATIONS Application Utility scale PV Commercial self-consumption Off-Grid systems PV-Diesel hybrid systems Driver PPA, FiT1 Reduced energy bill2 Availability of power Fuel saving3 Sunny Central MV Power Station Solutions for utility scale PV 02.09.2015 Sunny Tripower Sunny Island Solutions for self-consumption & off-grid Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa Fuel Save Controller Solutions for industrial hybrid systems 1.Feed-in tariff for PV up to 12 $cent/kWh 2. Electricity tariff up to 30 $cent/kWh 3. LCOE for Diesel Gensets over 30 $cent/kWh , Source: SMA 10 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References SMA SUNBELT ENERGY OFFERS A COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH TOWARDS HYBRID PROJECTS AND PROVIDES ONE-STOP FULL-TURNKEY SOLUTIONS On-site competence Detailed on-site analysis Local presence in all markets Financial analysis and modeling Diesel and energy savings Turnkey offering Operation & Maintenance Engineering and simulation Construction management 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa Procurement SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 11 AGENDA 1 Introduction to SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 2 Solar PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3 SMA Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4 PV Hybrid References 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 12 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References SMA´S PV HYBRID REFERENCES WORLDWIDE 6 10 19 9 21 4 22 2 3 15 16 17 20 8 7 11 13 14 12 18 23 5 1 1 South Africa, Mining 7 Kenya, Tea Industry 13 Kenya, Flower Industry 19 Japan, Test System 2 India, Textile Industry 8 Barbados, Food Industry 14 Kenya, Flower Industry 20 India, Paint Industry 3 India, Textile Industry 9 Lebanon, Plastic Manufacturing 15 Taiwan, Test System 21 Arabic Emirates, Island Supply 4 Arabic Emirates, Island Supply 10 Greece, Zoological Park 16 India, Textile Industry 22 Dom. Rep., Distribution Center 5 Tonga, Island Supply 11 Maldives, Island Supply 17 India, Textile Industry 23 Bolivia, City Electrification 6 Germany, University Test System 12 Maldives, Island Supply 18 Samoa, Sports Complex 28 commercial PV-Diesel plants running (March, 2015) 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 13 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References AGRICULTURAL – ELDAMA RAVINE, KENYA Eldama Ravine, Kenya Application: Flower farm Self consumption / fuel saving System size: PV power: 249 kWp (about 250 MWh/a) Gensets: 1 x 350 kVA, 1 x 150 kVA Public grid (no grid feed in) PV System Technology 3 Sunny Tripower STP 15000 TLEE 9 Sunny Tripower STP 20000 TLEE SMA Fuel Save Controller System Information: 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa Coordinates: 0°4’5“N, 35°44‘44“E Plant commissioning: October 2014 14 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References DIESEL MINI GRID – COBIJA, BOLIVIA ENDE1, Cobija, Bolivia Application: Fuel saving for the Diesel Mini Grid of Cobija 10 gensets / approx. 12 MW Fuel consumption 18-20 Mio liter / a System size: PV power: 5 MWp Gensets: 15,000 kVA (10 gensets in total) Battery 2.2 MW / 1.16 MWh PV System Technology 6 SMA SC 800 CP-XT SMA Solar Fuel Save Controller System Information: 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa Coordinates: 11° 1′ S , 68° 45′ W Plant commissioning: December 2014 1.ENDE = Empresa National de Electricidad 15 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References DIESEL MINI GRID – COBIJA, BOLIVIA Economics Local data1: Load: stable at 5 MW – 8 MW Irradiation: 1,900 kWh/m²a Diesel Costs: 1.2 $ / l Equity Ratio: 30%2 Results: Produced PV Energy: 8,200 MWh / year Annual fuel savings: approx. 2,2 million liter Total investment: approx. 12 million USD Payback 4,8 years Quick payback time and secure energy supply 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa 1.Additional data: min. partial load 30%, OpEx (PV) = 2% of CapEx, Genset efficiency=3.5 kWh/liter, Fuel price increase = 5 %/a, Equity ratio = 30%, interest rate for depth = 7% 2.Equity ratio and interest rates (=7%) are just examplary to illustrate the business case. 16 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References MINING – THABAZIMBI, SOUTH AFRICA Exact monitoring of the plant Average load 350 kW 300 kWp PV power activated 39% fuel saving during daytime 450 400 350 300 Power (kW) Performance at a typical day1 1440 kWh PV energy 400 liters of diesel savings PV output reduction can be observed at noon 250 200 150 100 Energy provided 50 2:36 3:31 4:26 5:21 6:16 7:11 8:06 9:01 9:56 10:51 11:46 12:41 13:36 14:31 15:26 16:21 17:16 18:11 19:06 20:01 20:56 21:51 22:46 23:41 0 P_Gen_AVG [kW] P_PV_AVG [kW] 61% P_Load_AVG [kW] Provided by: 02.09.2015 39% Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa Photovoltaic Diesel generator 1.Date of this day refer to real measurements of April , 12th 2013 17 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References SMALL COMMERCIAL – SANTIAGO, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Importadora La Plaza, Santiago, DR Application: Warehouse for spare parts Blackouts: approx. 3,5h/day System size: PV power: 299 kWp Gensets: 1 x 225 kVA, 1 x 394 KVA Public grid (net metering) PV System Technology 12 x SMA Sunny Tripower STP 24000 TL-US SMA Solar Fuel Save Controller System Information: 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa Coordinates: 19°28'34''N, 70°41'3.9''W Plant commissioning: December 2014 1.Barbados Ice Company Ltd www.bicoicecream.com 18 1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References SMALL COMMERCIAL – SANTIAGO, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC PV Perfomance Produced PV energy : 491,7 MWh Directly used energy: 248,2 MWh Feed-in energy: 243,5 MWh Saved OPEX: 115.000 USD / year Investment: 580,000 USD 25.02.2015 PV Grid injection Payback time: 5 years1 PV Own Consumption Consumption Stable business case even for „small“ applications with (unreliable) grid connection 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa 1. min. partial load 30%, OpEx (PV) = 2% of CapEx, Genset efficiency=3.5 kWh/liter, Fuel price= 1,3 US$/l increase = 5 %/a, net meetiering tariff= 0,24 USD/kWh, Equity ratio = 30%, interest rate for depth = 7% 19 SUMMARY Diesel gensets are used for energy production in many regions and for different applications in Kenya Electricity generation costs with PV is lower than with diesel in many of those regions This gap will increase in the future Focus regions and applications have both high irradiation and energy costs Upgrading conventional Diesel Genset systems with PV provides a significant fuel saving potential Large scale MW-sized systems are now possible for many different applications, also with batteries 02.09.2015 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH 20 Dipl. Wirt. Ing. (FH) Guluma Megersa, MSc. Business Development Manager Off-Grid Sales Email: Guluma.Megersa@sma.de Mobile: +49 151 1486 9478 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH SOCIAL MEDIA www.SMA.de/Newsroom