IAHS Publication 363
ISSN 0144-7815
Hydrology in a
Changing World:
Environmental and
Human Dimensions
Editor-in-Chief
Trevor Daniell
Co-editors
Henny A.J. van Lanen, Siegfried Demuth, Gregor Laaha, Eric Servat,
Gil Mahe, Jean-François Boyer, Jean-Emmanuel Paturel,
Alain Dezetter & Denis Ruelland
International Association of
Hydrological Sciences
Association Internationale
des Sciences Hydrologiques
IAHS Publication 363
ISSN 0144-7815
www.iahs.info
Hydrology in a Changing World:
Environmental and Human
Dimensions
Recent IAHS Publications
Floods: From Risk to Opportunity
Evolving Water Resources Systems:
Understanding, Predicting and
Managing Water–Society Interactions
Edited by A. Chavoshian & K. Takeuchi
Editors: Attilio Castellarin, Serena Ceola, Elena Toth &
Alberto Montanari
A selection of 89 peer-reviewed papers by research groups
active in five continents addressing topics associated with
water resources assessment and management in a
changing environment, and particularly the two-way
interaction between water and society, the focus of the
Panta Rhei IAHS research initiative. Water resources
systems, catchment hydrology, eco-hydrology, groundwater
hydrology, water security and socio-hydrology are driving
scientific areas, which are covered.
Publ. 364
2014
978-1-907161-42-1
548 + xii pp.
Co-edited by X. Cheng, E. Plate, S. Simonovic, S. Uhlenbrook & N.
Wright
A paradigm shift from focusing on emergency response and
recovery to flood risk management is required to build the
capacity necessary to cope with floods. The process should
be supported by vulnerability monitoring and development
of tools such as standard measures of risk and preparedness in an integrated approach to improve capacity to deal
with floods, taking advantage of their benefits while
minimizing their social, economic and environmental risks.
The papers, selected from ICFM5, cover flood risk
management, disaster management, forecasting and early
warning, and management in different regions.
Publ. 357
2013
978-1-907161-35-3
470 + x pp.
£96
£118
BENCHMARK PAPERS IN HYDROLOGY
Considering Hydrological Change in
Reservoir Planning and Management
The IAHS Series that collects together, by theme in stand-alone
volumes, the papers that provided the scientific foundations for
hydrology.
Editor: Andreas Schumann
HYDRO-GEOMORPHOLOGY, EROSION AND
SEDIMENTATION
Co-editors: Vladimir Belyaev, Emna Gargouri, George Kuczera,
Gil Mahé & Stephen Mallory
An excellent overview of contemporary problems in
reservoir management, from planning aspects of large
multi-objective reservoirs and of small farm dams in Africa,
to governmental matters, to sedimentation issues, to
climate change impacts. Given the stochastic nature of
hydrological conditions, the limited information available to
characterize it and the multi-faceted targets of reservoir
management, reservoir planning and operation are
ambitious challenges for hydrologists and water managers.
Michael J. Kirkby
Provides a systematic analysis of the relationships between
hydrology and geomorphology, with commentaries on the
papers that have been most influential in developments at
the hydrology–geomorphology interface.
Publ. 362
David R. DeWalle
The papers selected include the early review of forest and
water by Zon (1927) and the Wagon Wheel Gap paired
watershed study (Bates & Henry, 1928) report, but covers
all aspects from evapotranspiration to water yields and
quality, to soil erosion.
2013
978-1-907161-40-7
214 + x pp.
£61
Understanding Freshwater Quality
Problems in a Changing World
BM6
2011
978-1-907161-14-8
BM7
Co-edited by Adrian Collins, Valentina Krysanova,
Elango Lakshmanan, Michel Meybeck & Mike Stone
ISOTOPE HYDROLOGY
Publ. 361
2013
978-1-907161-39-1
372 + xii pp.
£87
Deltas: Landforms, Ecosystems and
Human Activities
£70
FOREST HYDROLOGY
Edited by Berit Arheimer
Contributions from each continent provide a review of water
quality problems worldwide, with articles describing present
regional/local freshwater quality status and highlighting
research needs. How the situation may develop into the
future, given on-going changes in environment and society,
is discussed. Questions addressed include: How to
understand the behaviours of changing hydrological
systems and impacts on freshwater quality? How to
effectively bring together theoretical and experimental
hydrology, and new measurement techniques to advance
knowledge of water quality processes for the future?
Hardback, 640 pp.
2011
978-1-907161-17-9
Hardback, 474 pp.
£65
P. K. Aggarwal, K. O. Fröhlich, J. R. Gat & R. Gonfiantini
The potential of using stable isotopes of water was
recognized in the 1930s, but not fully explored until the
1950s. Improvements in measurement techniques have
facilitated use of isotopes in many contexts, and isotope
hydrology has become mainstream.
BM8
2012
978-1-907161-29-2
Hardback, 486 pp.
£70
PALAEOHYDROLOGY
Victor R. Baker
Reproduces the Benchmark Papers that have, and still
influence palaeohydrological research, with commentaries
on their significance.
BM9
2014
978-1-907161-30-8
Hardback,494 pp
£75
Editors Gordon Young & Gerardo M. E. Perillo
Associate Editors H. Aksoy, J. Bogen, Al. Gelfan, G. Mahé,
P. Marsh & H. Savenije
Deltas pose great challenges, whether marine or lacustrine,
as regions of purely natural conditions or of intense human
activity set in the context of complex and often rapidly
changing natural environments. Physically they are complex
systems, the end-products of catchment processes
involving water supply, sediment delivery and water quality
– elements that are fast changing over time as a result both
of human influences and change in climatic drivers. The
contributions result from a joint symposium of IAHS) and
IAPSO.
Publ. 358
2013
978-1-907161-36-0
246 + x pp.
£65
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Hydrology in a Changing World:
Environmental and Human
Dimensions
Editor in Chief:
TREVOR M. DANIELL
School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering,
University of Adelaide, Australia
Co-Editors:
HENNY A. J. VAN LANEN, SIEGFRIED DEMUTH, GREGOR LAAHA
ERIC SERVAT, GIL MAHE, JEAN-FRANÇOIS BOYER,
JEAN-EMMANUEL PATUREL, ALAIN DEZETTER
& DENIS RUELLAND
Proceedings of FRIEND-Water 2014, Montpellier, France, October 2014
IAHS Publication 363
in the IAHS Series of Proceedings and Reports
Published by the International Association of Hydrological Sciences 2014
IAHS Publication 363
ISBN 978-1-907161-41-4
British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data.
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Cover image: Moroccan landscape (photograph by Eric Servat).
Contents
Preface by Trevor M. Daniell
v
Over 25 years of FRIEND-Water: an overview Henny A. J. Van Lanen,
Siegfried Demuth, Trevor Daniell, David M. Hannah, Gregor Laaha, Gil Mahé
& Lena M. Tallaksen
1
1
Trends in hydrological regimes and extremes
Regional assessment of low flow processes and prediction methods across
European regimes Gregor Laaha, Anne F. van Loon, Claire Lang Delus &
Daniel Koffler
11
Progressive aridity impact on the hydrological regime in the Volta River basin in
Benin (West Africa) Henri S. V. Totin, Arnaud Zannou, Ernest Amoussou,
Abel Afouda& Michel Boko
17
Multi-annual droughts in the water-stressed English Lowlands: long-term
variability and climate drivers Jamie Hannaford, Chris K. Folland,
Mike C. Kendon, & John P. Bloomfield
23
Synthesizing changes in low flows from observations and models across scales
Kerstin Stahl, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Jamie Hannaford, Christel Prudhomme,
Gregor Laaha & Lena M. Tallaksen
30
Understanding and adapting to flood risk in a variable and changing climate
Anthony S. Kiem
36
Trends in floods in small Norwegian catchments – instantaneous vs daily peaks
Donna Wilson, Hege Hisdal & Deborah Lawrence
42
Climate change impact on flood generation process Biljana Radojevic,
Pascal Breil & Dejan Dimkic
48
Flood duration frequency analysis in a changing climate: the methodology
applied to Fengle River (Yangtze basin, China) C. Salles, Y. Chu, J. L. Perrin,
M. G. Tournoud, L. Boudet, F. N. Cres, C. Rodier, S. Zheng, L. Huang & Y. Ma
54
Future low flows and hydrological drought: how certain are these for Europe?
Marcel A. A. Alderlieste, Henny A. J. Van Lanen & Niko Wanders
60
Do large-scale models capture reported drought events? Marjolein H. J. Van
Huijgevoort, Henny A. J. Van Lanen, Adriaan J. Teuling & Remko Uijlenhoet
66
Analyse des périodes sèches dans le bassin d’Ichkeul (Tunisie) à partir de
données journalières de pluviométrie / Analysis of dry spells in the Ichkeul basin
(Tunisia) using daily rainfall data Majid Mathlouthi & Fethi Lebdi
72
viii
Changes of drought characteristics in small Czech and Slovakian catchments
projected by the CMIP5 GCM ensemble Martin Hanel, Adam Vizina,
0DUWD0DUWtQNRYi6WDQLVODY+RUiþHN'LDQD3RUXEVNi0DULiQ)HQGHN
Miriam Fendeková
78
Impact of land-use change on the hydrology of North Lao PDR watersheds
Emmanuel Mouche, François Moussu, Claude Mügler, Olivier Ribolzi,
Christian Valentin, Oloth Sengtahevanghoung & Guillaume Lacombe
84
Assessment of wildfire impact on hydrological extremes in eastern Siberia
Lyudmila Lebedeva & Olga Semenova & Nina Volkova
90
The correlation between variations of climatic factors and zonal runoff of
mountain rivers Mikhail Bolgov & Marina Trubetskova
96
Linking variations in large-scale climatic circulation and high groundwater levels
in southern England David A. Lavers, David M. Hannah & Chris Bradley
102
Rainfall regime evolution and drought forecasting in eastern Algeria
Mohamed Meddi & Abdelwahab Rahmouni
107
Up-to-date climate forced seasonal flood changes (the case study for the
European part of Russia) Natalia Frolova, Maria Kireeva, Dmitry Nesterenko,
Svetlana Agafonova & Pavel Tersky
113
Improvement of reservoir operation by hybrid optimization algorithm: case study
of HuongDien Reservoir, Vietnam Van Hoa Ho & Joong Hoon Kim
119
Optimal reservoir operation strategy for balancing ecosystem and human needs
Fi-John Chang, Wen-Ping Tsai, Yu-Chung Wang, Pin-An Chen, Li-Chiu Chang,
Alexandra Coynel & Georges Vachaud
126
Recent trends in monthly temperature and precipitation patterns in Europe
Irene B. Nilsen, Anne K. Fleig, Lena M. Tallaksen & Hege Hisdal
132
Large-scale climate control on lake inflow in the Waitaki basin, New Zealand
Daniel G. Kingston, Clare S. Webster & Pascal Sirguey
138
Sensitivity analysis of hydrological modelling to climate forcing in a semi-arid
mountainous catchment D. Ruelland, A. Dezetter & P. Hublart
145
Prediction of water resources in the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand
Supattana Wichakul, Yasuto Tachikawa, Michiharu Shiiba & Kazuaki Yorozu
151
Modelling runoff and its components in Himalayan basins Hong Li, Stein
Beldring, Chong-Yu Xu & Sharad K. Jain
158
Statistical analysis of river discharge projected using the MRI-AGCM3.2S
dataset in Indochina Peninsula D. T. Duong, Y. Tachikawa, M. Shiiba &
K. Yorozu
165
ix
Extreme precipitation events and related impacts in western Iberia
Margarida L. R. Liberato & Ricardo M. Trigo
171
Unidirectional trends in rainfall and temperature of Bangladesh
Shamsuddin Shahid, Xiao-Jun Wang & Sobri B. Harun
177
2
Water resources and prospective scenarios
Assessing past and future water demands under climate change and
anthropogenic pressures on two Mediterranean basins B. Grouillet, J. Fabre,
D. Ruelland, L. Collet & J-F. Boyer
185
A multi-tracer approach to understand the hydrogeochemical functioning of a
coastal aquifer located in NE Tunisia Fethi Lachaal, Anis Chekirbane,
Ammar Mlayah, Bilel Hjiri & Jamila Tarhouni
191
L’aménagement des barrages de retenue d’eau, une stratégie d’adaptation à la
sécheresse dans le bassin du fleuve Niger? / Is the building of dams an adaptation
strategy to fight against drought in the basin of the River Niger? G. Liénou,
G. Mahé, S. L. Piih, D. Sighomnou, J. E. Paturel & F. Bamba
197
Assessing the long-term evolution of water supply capacity: comparison of two
Mediterranean catchments J. Fabre, L. Collet, M. Milano, D. Ruelland,
A. Dezetter, S. Ardoin-Bardin & E. Servat
203
Assessing the capacity to meet irrigation water needs for viticulture under climate
variability in the Chilean Andes P. Hublart, D. Ruelland, A. Dezetter &
H. Jourde
209
Present-day surface and subsurface water resources of European Russia:
conditions, use and forecast R. Dzhamalov, N. Frolova, M. Kireeva & E. Rets
215
La prospective territoriale, un outil de réflexion sur la gestion de l’eau du bassin
de la Durance en 2050 / The territorial foresight, a reflection framework for water
management planning in the Durance River basin in 2050 R. Samie, C. Monteil,
Y. Arama, H. Bouscasse & E. Sauquet
221
Modifications des températures et des précipitations sur le Bani, un sous-bassin
du fleuve Niger / Changes in temperature and precipitation in the Bani watershed,
a sub-basin of the Niger River Jean-Emmanuel Paturel & Malicki Zorom
228
Climate change and debris flow: hazards maps in Matucana village under IPCC
scenarios Juan W. Cabrera Cabrera & Leonardo F. Castillo Navarro
234
A reconnaissance study of water and carbon fluxes in a tropical watershed of
Peninsular Malaysia: stable isotope constraints Muhammad I. Syakir,
Kern Y. Lee, Ian D. Clark & Jan Veizer
239
Characterizing infiltration of a tropical watershed from ALOSPALSAR data
using the Green-Ampt infiltration model Nor Liyana Mohammad Khan,
Muhamad Askari & Ab. Latif Ibrahim
245
x
Projected climate change impacts on water resources in northern Morocco with
an ensemble of regional climate models Y. Tramblay, D. Ruelland, R. Bouaicha
& E. Servat
250
Modèle conceptuel de l’aquifère du Continental Terminal d’Abidjan / Conceptual
model of Abidjan Continental Terminal aquifer Auguste K. Kouassi,
Francis W. Kouassi, Jules O. M. Mangoua & Issiaka Savane
256
Characterization and evaluation of the confined limestone aquifer in Kuwait
Fawzia M. Al-Ruwaih
263
Etude géochimique et isotopique d’un aquifère phréatique côtier anthropisé:
Nappe de Oussja-Ghar El Melah (Tunisie) / Geochemical and isotope study of
coastal anthropogenic phreatic groundwater: Oussja-Ghar El Melah aquifer
(Tunisia) Safouan Ben Ammar, Jean-Denis Taupin, Kamel Zouari,
Mohamed Khouatmia & Mohamed Ben Assi
269
Choosing metrics that matter – quantifying performance to help address reservoir
operation challenges in Kenya’s Tana basin Anthony P. Hurford &
Julien J. Harou
276
Environmental and geomatics assessment of the Ha Thanh basin to hydrological
hazards in central Vietnam Stephane Grivel, Anh Tu Ngo, Jean-Marc Zaninetti &
Thi Van Luong
282
Forecasting and mitigation of flooding in a Mediterranean karstic watershed
V. Borrell-Estupina, B. Ladouche, P.-O. Malaterre, S. Ricci, Y. Caballero,
M. Coustau, N. Dorfliger, P. Fleury, M. Jay-Allemand, J.-C. Marechal &
O. Thual
288
3
Erosion and sediment transfer processes and trends
Using 137Cs and 210Pbex measurements to document erosion rates for different
time windows in a small catchment in southern Italy Paolo Porto &
Desmond E. Walling
297
Lessons from long-term monitoring of soil erosion in three southeast Asian
agricultural catchments undergoing rapid land-use changes C. Valentin,
A. Boonsaner, J. L. Janeau, P. Jouquet, T. Henry des Tureaux, S. Huon,
K. Latsachack, Y. Le Troquer, J. L. Maeght, D. Orange, Pham Dinh Rinh,
A. Pierret, P. Podwojewski, O. Ribolzi, A. de Rouw, O. Sengtaheuanghoung,
N. Silvera, H. Robain, B. Soulileuth, W. Thothong, Tran Duc Toan &
Tran Sy Hai
303
Study of the relationship between sediment transport and rainfall extremes in the
watershed of the wadi Mina (northwest Algeria) F. Hallouz, M. Meddi &
G. Mahe
309
xi
“Blue-green” corridors as a tool for erosion and stream control in highly
urbanized areas – case study of Belgrade city 5DWNR5LVWLü%RULV5DGLü
*RUDQ7ULYDQ,YDQ0DOXãHYLü
4
315
Hydrological databases: how to cope with future questions
Ensuring hydrometric data are fit-for-purpose through a national Service Level
Agreement Katie Muchan & Harry Dixon
323
Future Flows: a dataset of climate, river flow and groundwater levels for climate
change impact studies in Great Britain C. Prudhomme, C. Jackson, T. Haxton,
S. Crooks, S. Dadson, D. Morris, J. Williamson, A. Barkwith, J. Kelvin,
J. Mackay, L. Wang, G. Goodsell, L. Boelee, H. Davies, G. Buys, T. Lafon,
A. Young & G. Watts
330
Architecture of environmental information systems applied to scientific
observatories: examples of Carnoulès and MEDYCYSS observatories
J. F. Boyer, E. Servat, C. Casiot & H. Jourde
336
Cooperative WebGIS interactive information systems for water resources data
management Charalampos Skoulikaris, Jacques Ganoulis, Nikolaos Karapetsas,
Fotis Katsogiannos & Georgios Zalidis
342
Towards a pan-European assessment of low flow indices Claire Lang Delus,
Gregor Laaha, Daniel Koffler, Kerstin Stahl, Hege Hisdal, Christel Prudhomme,
Miriam Fendekova & Wojciech Jakubowski
348
Selecting an optimal climatic dataset for integrated modelling of the Ebro
hydrosystem A. Dezetter, J. Fabre, D. Ruelland & E. Servat
355
Growing season length and rainfall extremes analysis in Malawi
Cosmo Ngongondo, Lena M. Tallaksen & Chong-Yu Xu
361
Standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI): Sensitivity to
potential evapotranspiration model and parameters James H. Stagge,
Lena M. Tallaksen, Chong-Yu Xu & Henny A. J. Van Lanen
367
Minimizing geopolitically ungauged catchment area of transboundary river basins
to support disaster risk reduction Kelly M. Kibler
374
Probability distribution of rainfall in the Bia watershed: contribution of Markov
chains Meledje N'diaye Hermann, Kouassi Kouakou Lazare, Ngo Yao Alexis &
Savane Issiaka
379
Assessment of rainfall observed by weather radar and its effect on hydrological
simulation performance Nghi Vu Van, Nhung Tran Thi & Quyet Le Dinh
386
Predicting soil water retention characteristics for Vietnam Mekong Delta soils
Nguyen M. Phuong, Le V. Khoa & Wim Cornelis
392
xii
5
Regional observational-hydrological modelling frameworks
Connecting streamflow and atmospheric conditions in Europe: state-of-the-art
review and future directions David M. Hannah, Anne K. Fleig,
Daniel G. Kingston, James H. Stagge & Donna Wilson
401
Water budget in the Amazon basin and impacts on flood modelling
Augusto Getirana, Sujay Kumar, Christa Peters-Lidard & Kristi Arsenault
407
Measurement, modelling and analysis of hydrological and hydrogeological
processes and trends in a marsh area Branka Bracic Zeleznik & Lidija Globevnik
413
From drought to floods in 2012: operations and early warning services in the UK
Charlie Pilling, David Price, Adrian Wynn, Andrew Lane, Steven J. Cole,
Robert J. Moore & Timothy Aldridge
419
Les lacs collinaires en Tunisie: technique de conservation des eaux et du sol/
Small lakes in Tunisia: water and soil conservation technique Hamadi Habaieb,
Taoufik Hermassi, Slaheddine Ghedaoui & Issam Anatar
425
Application of hydrological model to evaluate the potential hydro energy in a
mountainous small river basin of Japan Kazumasa Fujimura,
Masahiro Murakami, Yoshihiko Iseri & Shinjiro Kanae
431
Influence des activités anthropiques sur le régime hydrologique du fleuve Logone
de 1960 à 2000 / Human activities influence on the hydrological regime of the
Logone River basin from 1960 to 2000 N. Tellro Waï, B. Ngounou Ngatcha,
G. Mahe, J. C. Doumnang, F. Delclaux, N. Goundoul & P. Genthon
438
Estimation of runoff curve numbers using a physically-based approach of
preferential flow modelling Pori Das, Aminul Islam, Subashisa Dutta,
Amit K. Dubey & Rupak Sarkar
443
6
Changes in ecological flows and coastal ecohydrology
Hydrological regime of a tidal system in the Red River Delta, northern Vietnam
Luu Thi Nguyet Minh, Didier Orange, Tran Hong Thai, Josette Garnier,
Le Lan Anh & Trinh Anh Duc
451
Measuring impact of water management on ecological health of a river: Poudre
River, Colorado, USA Robert T. Milhous
457
Impact of climate change on aquatic ecosystems along the Asse River network
Thomas Cipriani, François Tilmant, Flora Branger, Eric Sauquet &
Thibault Datry
463
Ecological flow for integrated planning of small hydropower plants: a case study
from Greece Thomas Patsialis, Charalampos Skoulikaris & Jacques Ganoulis
469
Key word index
475