Moldova’s Foreign Policy Statewatch Institute for Development and Social Initiatives „Viitorul” Issue 80, July 2014 Corina Gaibu Comparative analysis of electricity prices in the RM and in the region (Romania, Ukraine) E nergy sector is a strategic field for Republic of Moldova Geopolitical situation in the region, the tension between Ukraine and Russia, impose the acceleration of establishing interconnections with Romania, thus ensuring energy security of Republic of Moldova The contract on electrical energy supply to the RM was negotiated and signed in March. The negotiated price has a major impact on country’s economy and directly affects the whole society. Setting the electricity prices excessively high causes extra pressure on the population’s welfare and the monthly bills people pay; while, high dependency on electricity imports from Ukraine and a single generating facility in Transnistria (Steam Electric Power Station ”Moldoveneasca” owned by RAO UES of the Russian Federation) create an energy security vulnerability. Diversifying electrical energy sources through building a connection with Romania allow attaining an acceptable energy security level. Situation in the RM Over 80% of electrical energy consumed in the RM is imported. Currently, Republic of Moldova’s electrical energy is distributed by ICS „Union Fenosa Gas” (64%), which provides electricity to Chisinau and Central and Southern areas of the country, and state-owned electrical distribution networks „RED-Nord” (22%) and „RED-Nord-Vest” (14%). The electrical energy market in the Republic of Moldova is considered to be liberalized and electrical energy may be purchased and imported through direct negotiation by licensed companies from any market the Board: Cornel Ciurea, Cristian Ghinea, Witold Rodkiewicz, Martin Sieg, Dan Dungaciu Editor: Elenbaum John Ryan Moldova’s Foreign Policy Statewatch represents a series of brief analyses, written by local and foreign experts, dedicated to the most topical subjects related to the foreign policy of Moldova, major developments in the Black Sea Region, cooperation with international organizations and peace building activities in the region. It aims to create a common platform for discussion and to bring together experts, commentators, officials and diplomats who are concerned with the perspectives of European Integration of Moldova. It is also pertaining to offer to Moldova’s diplomats and analysts a valuable tribune for debating the most interesting and controversial points of view that could help Moldova to find its path to EU. 2 Moldova’s Foreign Policy Statewatch Republic of Moldova has a physical connection and cooperation agreement with. In reality, energy imports from Ukraine are conducted only through SE „Energocom” in the name of RED „Nord” and RED „Nord-Vest” while ICS RED „Gas Natural Fenosa” purchases electricity from Steam Electric Power Station “Moldoveneasca” (located in Transnistria). Import prices from Ukraine and purchase prices from Steam Electric Power Station “Moldoveneasca” have always been the same. The latest contracts were 6.1 US cents / kWh in April 2011 and 6.91 US cents / kWh in 2012. In the RM, electrical import energy price dynamics varied from 2.4 US cents / kWh in 2005 to 6.8 US cents / kWh in 2014. Most of the electricity tariff is the cost of the electricity purchase and only 22% of the tariff is for administrative, commercial, investment, distribution, profit, etc. Reducing the price of imported electricity would reflect in final tariff paid by consumers much more than a decrease in internal costs (investment, operational and administrative etc.) Electrical energy market in Romania We have analyzed the Romania’s market based on publicly available sources. Electrical energy prices have varied over time. In 2012 the average purchase price2, including transportation to the border, maintenance, transit fee for neighboring countries and cogeneration fee was 7.9 USD cents / kWh. The average price at the border with the Republic of Moldova (including the same additional costs as in 2012) in 2013 was 7.9 C USD / kWh, too, but in 2013 it decreased continuously to reach 7.5 USD cents / kWh in December. Since January 2014, only cogeneration and transit fees are added to electrical energy export3 the price dropped to 5.9 US cents / kWh and has steadily declined since. The cogeneration fee will be discontinued in July 2014 according to a Government Decision draft currently pending approval. The price for the second half of 2014 is 5.3 US cents / kWh and will drop to 5.2 US cents / kWh by March 2015.. Thus, Romania’s electricity has become very attractive for the Moldovan market. The electrical connection between RM and Romania can occur between the high voltage lines near Străşeni, Moldova and Iasi, Romania -- the closest two points between the networks -and offer line capacity sufficient to supply Chisinau, the main consumption center. While a reliable interconnection has been discussed for many years, unfortunately there have been no concrete steps toward realizing it. The absence holds Moldova hostage to suppliers from the East (Ukraine and the Transnistrian region) through greatly diminishing Moldova’s negotiation power and leading to the Republic of Moldova’s consumers paying undue prices. Electrical energy market in Ukraine The price4, including transportation and access to transport capacity, of electricity exported from Ukraine was 5.9 US cents / kWh in 2012. This price increased to 6.3 US cents / kWh 5 in 2013 but decreased to 5.5 US cents / kWh in the first three months of 2014. During 2013 Moldova imported 3229.6 million kWh6 from Ukraine. Thus, consumers in the RM paid a 19.3 million USD premium over the actual wholesale prices. In 2014 Moldovan consumers may be expected to pay an additional 42 million USD premium. According to the Ministry of Economy statements http://www.opcom.ro/rapoarte/raportStatisticiPCCB.php?lang=ro 3 ANRE Order No. 89 of December 2013 on approving the transportation framework contract 4 The Ukrainian electricity market was analyzed on the basis of publicly available sources. 5 http://www.er.gov.ua/doc.php?c=5 6 http://www.anre.md/upl/file/monitoring/electricity/Piata%20EE%2012%20luni%202013web.pdf 1 2 Str. Iacob Hîncu 10/1, Chişinău MD-2005 Republic of Moldova 373 / 22 221844 phone 373 / 22 245714 fax office@viitorul.org www.viitorul.org 3 Moldova’s Foreign Policy Statewatch Existing connections with Ukraine are sufficient to cover Moldova’s entire electrical demand. This was proven when the Steam Electric Power Station “Moldoveneasca” refused to supply electricity to the RM in 2005-2007 and Ukraine successfully supplied the electrical energy to the Republic of Moldova.7 For comparison, in 2013 Belarus managed to negotiate the price of 6.18 US cents / kWh for electricity imported from Ukraine. For a better understanding of electricity prices in Moldova, Romania and Ukraine, the figure below shows the price fluctuations. Evolution of electricity prices9 on the markets of Ukraine, Romania and Moldova Conclusions 1. The imported electricity price is unjustifiably high. Compared to regional wholesale electricity prices, we believe the negotiated price for 2014 to be unjustified. The contracted price is in 2014 is at least 15% higher than the Romanian wholesale market prices and 23% higher compared to Ukraine. The final consumer price would decrease by 18 bani/kWh if the RM had negotiated the contract for the next year (through March 2015) based on the wholesale market prices and would have led to 42 million USD savings. All Moldovan governments, including the present one, negotiated and concluded costly contracts for electrical energy imports despite the fact that the Ukrainian market is open for http://from-ua.com/eco/1e6ba39b8b2c2.html According to the statements of Vice Minister of Energy of Belarus - Leonid Senet http://atom.belta.by/ru/news_ru/view/ belarus-umenshit-import-elektroenergii-v-2014-godu-na-37-2444/ 9 Price at the border with the Republic of Moldova 7 8 Str. Iacob Hîncu 10/1, Chişinău MD-2005 Republic of Moldova 373 / 22 221844 phone 373 / 22 245714 fax office@viitorul.org www.viitorul.org 4 Moldova’s Foreign Policy Statewatch everyone willing to participate in the wholesale purchase and sale of electrical energy. We doubt the dedication and capacity of the Ministry of Economy experts to analyze the actual situation in neighboring markets where open public sources are available for consultation, including the real electrical energy purchase prices and mechanisms to establish them. We question the role of this ministry if negotiations result in 42 million USD losses annually for national consumers? 2. Energy security is at risk. Intensifying efforts to implement, as soon as possible, projects that would ensure electrical energy import from Romania is required. Authorities need to develop an action plan ensuring energy security through diversifying electrical energy sources. Finally, this plan must be implemented. For the time being, everything is stuck at the stage of concepts, strategies and discussions. Thus, we can mitigate the risk of electricity supply interruptions, increase capacity to meet the expected economic growth, and improve Moldova’s negotiating position for supply contracts. Over the last 23 years, only insignificant steps the ensure energy security have been made. The statements of intent in the last five years on the need to interconnect the electrical power systems of the RM with those of Romania are welcomed, but there have been no real actions yet. Only through ensuring the interconnection of Moldova’s energy network with the Romanian one will we have a real alternative to electricity purchase and better positions for negotiation. 3. The Republic of Moldova must participate in the Ukrainian electrical energy market. The Moldovan state should, through its agents (organizations in the field), obtain the authorization to take part and trade (make orders) directly on the Ukrainian electrical energy market ensuring transparency in trading and delivering electricity to Moldova. 4. Ensuring transparency of wholesale purchases of electricity in the region. State institutions responsible for conducting and monitoring wholesale purchase of electrical energy (mainly Ministry of Economy, Energocom) must consistently monitor the regional markets; publish regular reports on their evolution and fluctuations; and based on these set the import prices for the Republic of Moldova. These specialized structures must ensure the development and publication of action plans for civil society in order to capitalize on new opportunities identified in the region or avoid potential hazards likely to impact negatively electricity consumers in the Republic of Moldova. This publication was produced by IDIS “Viitorul” with the financial support of Soros Foundation Moldova. The opinions expressed in this publication reflect the author’s/authors’ position and don’t necessary represent the views of the donors. Str. Iacob Hîncu 10/1, Chişinău MD-2005 Republic of Moldova 373 / 22 221844 phone 373 / 22 245714 fax office@viitorul.org www.viitorul.org Str. Iacob Hîncu 10/1, Chişinău MD-2005 Republic of Moldova 373 / 22 221844 phone 373 / 22 245714 fax office@viitorul.org www.viitorul.org