EDAFrontCover:Layout 1 18/07/12 2:51 PM Page 1 The Power to Deliver Recommendations for the future of electricity distribution in Ontario Table of Contents Foreword.............................................................................................................................................. iii Guide for Readers.................................................................................................................................. v Acknowledgements.............................................................................................................................. vi Executive Summary...............................................................................................................................1 Introduction and Background................................................................................................................9 A. History of LDC Evolution in Ontario..........................................................................................9 B. Distribution Sector Contributions to Ontario’s Economy........................................................11 C. Ipsos Reid Survey....................................................................................................................12 The Challenges Facing Distribution.....................................................................................................15 A. Infrastructure Investment.......................................................................................................16 B. New and Emerging Technologies............................................................................................17 C. Conservation and Demand Management...............................................................................25 D. Renewable and Distributed Generation.................................................................................26 E. Costs.......................................................................................................................................26 F. Regulation and Government Policy........................................................................................28 G. Human Resources...................................................................................................................28 H. Breakdown of the Bill..............................................................................................................30 Efficiency Opportunities......................................................................................................................31 A. Efficiencies Through Regulatory Streamlining........................................................................33 B. Efficiencies From Scale and Contiguity....................................................................................37 C. Efficiencies From Reducing Regulatory Constraints on Scope of Operations..........................44 D. Changes to the CDM Framework............................................................................................50 E. Efficiencies Through Curtailment of Electricity Retailers........................................................59 F. Estimates of Potential Efficiency Gains...................................................................................61 I Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 1 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Alternative Industry Models................................................................................................................62 A. Model 1: Status Quo...............................................................................................................63 B. Model 2: Expansion of Incentives and Opportunities.............................................................63 C. Model 3: Expansion of LDCs to Municipal Boundaries...........................................................64 D. Model 4: Shoulder-to-Shoulder Robust Efficient LDCs............................................................65 E. Implementation Alternatives..................................................................................................66 Conclusions and Recommendations...................................................................................................68 Appendix A: Responses to Ontario Distribution Sector Review Panel Questions................................75 Appendix B: The U.S. Electricity Distribution Industry........................................................................77 Appendix C: LDCs Achieving Efficiencies through Collaboration: Examples from Across the Province....................................................................................................91 Appendix D: LDC Reliability Indicators................................................................................................97 Appendix E: LDC Service Quality Indicators.........................................................................................99 Appendix F: LDC Cost Performance Indicators..................................................................................100 Appendix G: Efficiency Opportunity Fact Sheets...............................................................................101 1. Regulatory Constraints on Scope..........................................................................................101 2. Water and Waste-Water Services.........................................................................................103 3. Regulatory Streamlining.......................................................................................................104 4. Street lighting.......................................................................................................................106 5. Electric Vehicle Infrastructure...............................................................................................108 6. Conservation and Demand Management.............................................................................110 7. On-bill Financing...................................................................................................................112 8. Electricity Retailers...............................................................................................................113 Appendix H: Innovation from the Ground Up...................................................................................115 Appendix I: The Case for Reform.......................................................................................................135 Endnotes...........................................................................................................................................147 II Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 2 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Foreword The Electricity Distributors Association (EDA) is pleased to submit this proposal − a series of recommendations that address increasing the efficiency of Local Distribution Companies (LDCs). Our proposal is not submitted in isolation. We understand and appreciate that the Government of Ontario and its energy agencies are in the midst of a benchmarking study and in one case, a merger of two important organizations with provincial mandates – the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO) and the Ontario Power Authority (OPA). The EDA and our members applaud these activities, the goal of which is to create better value for electricity consumers. These consumers are the customers of our members, and our members’ focus is on providing customer value every day. We are pleased to put forward the system-wide recommendations to further this value. The Ontario Distribution Sector Review Panel (Panel) has a mandate to: “Provide advice and make recommendations to the Minister of Energy regarding issues related to Ontario’s electricity distribution sector and distribution models, including opportunities for consolidating distributors”. The EDA supports the work of this Panel – in fact we called for such a review in November 2011 in our paper titled Electricity is the Answer. Our province’s dependence on reliable electrical power continues only to grow, and our ability to continue to meet demand and maintain reliability is paramount. The goal of creating a more efficient electricity system in Ontario, as a whole, is valid. That drive for efficiency, however, must never place reliability at risk. Our submission to the Panel, The Power to Deliver, is very much a proposal that addresses many issues facing Ontario’s electricity sector. This paper demonstrates that Ontario’s outdated regulatory model has become a significant barrier in the ability of our members to grow and make the kind of long-term investments that are critical to renewing our infrastructure. You will also read that our local members have been addressing Canada’s so-called “Innovation Gap” for decades, as each of our members develop and test new ideas that, once successfully implemented on a local basis, are often taken as best practice across our entire industry. Indeed, the seventy-five member LDCs that serve the province are a broad well of innovation, and one that needs only the freedom to create and test to develop more system-wide tools for efficiency. Since 1998, the number of electricity distributors has dropped from more than three hundred to today’s number of seventy-five. Every year, some of our members determine – voluntarily – that it is in the best interests of their customers and their shareholders to merge with another member. So the central question for the Panel, we suggest, is not whether consolidation is necessary, but whether the heart of any recommendation the Panel may make should benefit Ontario’s more than 12-million electricity consumers. III Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 3 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Infrastructure changes require a long view. Short horizons, radical changes, and the quick adoption of new technologies on a mass scale are all prone to the Law of Unintended Consequences. We’ve experienced this with the Green Energy Act, provincially mandated conservation and demand management programs (CDM), and as far back in recent history as de-regulation, re-regulation, and break-up of Ontario Hydro. A review of the efficiency potential with Ontario’s electricity distribution sector is not an academic exercise. As such, the EDA has followed a robust process of stakeholder participation in developing this proposal. We can state with confidence that every member of our Association has participated in forming our recommendations and this proposal represents the industry’s position that has earned the broad support of the EDA’s membership (see Acknowledgements for more detail). This proposal is a reflection of our overall operating philosophy, that the people who are on the ground, in each community, working every day with local customers and suppliers, can provide the most relevant and experienced input into the process. As the sector responsible for 20 per cent of the cost that customers pay for electricity, we are pleased to put forward our recommendations for efficiency. We are also confident that efficiencies will be found for the other 80 per cent. A holistic approach to efficiency is required in Ontario’s power system; including generation, transmission, distribution and delivery as well as regulatory reform. Much can be accomplished when we work together with a long view towards creating more value for our customers. IV Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 4 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Guide for Readers The Proposal before you is a significant document. There is a great deal of information within it and this information is presented as the basis for well-considered recommendations as well as a series of options on how to best implement them. Fully two-thirds of the document is made up of Appendices. In the Appendices you will find the details of much of the information presented in the document. The data referenced in this document is current as of 2010, except where more recent data is available and in which case is specifically noted. Also, the Panel had several specific questions for the EDA. The questions and our responses are included in Appendix A for ease of reference. Section 1 of the proposal provides the reader with background information on how Ontario’s LDCs came to be, what our members are responsible for, and a summary of their current attitudes as it relates to the Panel’s mandate. Section 2, The Challenges Facing Distribution, is analysis of the current regulatory, policy, and implementation issues, concerns, and opportunities that our members are working with as well as outlining the implications the present situation has on the end goal – increased LDC efficiency. Section 3 provides the reader details of how the EDA believes that new efficiencies in electricity distribution can be achieved. These recommendations fall into the categories economies of scale, economies of scope, the development and delivery of CDM programs, and an overall reform of the regulatory process. Section 4 outlines several implementation options for these recommendations, all of which are founded upon creating measureable cost savings for Ontario’s electricity customers. V Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 5 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Acknowledgements This Proposal to the Ontario Distribution Sector Review Panel has been developed under the guidance of a Committee of the EDA Board of Directors and has been approved by the Association’s Board of Directors which is representative of the membership on the basis of size and geography. The proposal reflects the substantial input provided by the Association’s members. Fully 100 per cent of the membership participated in at least one of the member outreach initiatives that have taken place over a three-month period which included: • An all-member meeting • Four all-member conference calls and weekly email bulletins designed to solicit input and ensure members were fully informed about the development of the EDA’s submission • In-person meetings for member LDCs organized on the basis of size constituencies with the Sector Review Committee of the EDA Board of Directors • A confidential survey conducted by a recognized third-party market research firm to gather input from LDCs with 80 per cent of LDC CEOs participating. • Individual outreach by the EDA to members unable to participate in other activities The EDA Board of Directors wishes to thank the individuals and teams below for the hard work, debate, wise counsel, and technical expertise that each has provided in the preparation of this submission. THE EDA’S SECTOR REVIEW COMMITTEE OF THE BOARD Jim Keech, Committee Chair and President and CEO, Kingston Hydro Corp. Max Cananzi, EDA Chair and President and CEO, Horizon Utilities Inc. Rene Gatien, EDA Vice Chair and President and CEO, Waterloo North Hydro Distribution Inc. Brian Bentz, President and CEO, PowerStream Inc. Ed Houghton, President and CEO, Collus Power Corp. Robert Mace, President and CEO, Thunder Bay Hydro-Electric Distribution Ltd. Charlie C. Macaluso, President and CEO, Electricity Distributors Association CONTRIBUTING CONSULTANTS ON THE PROJECT: Dr. Adonis Yatchew, a professor of economics at the University of Toronto, and a Senior Consultant at the firm of Charles River Associates a leading global consulting firm. He has assisted in a variety of litigation proceedings and has testified on numerous regulatory matters. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard University. VI Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 6 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Mr. Gary Saleba, a principal and president of EES Consulting in the U.S. providing both management and strategic consulting advice to clients. Mr. Saleba has over 25 years of experience with electric, natural gas, water, waste-water, and disposal utilities. Mr. Saleba has extensive experience in utility rates, financial planning, management audits, professional development educational seminars, marketing, consumer research, forecasting, integrated resource planning, cost-benefit analyses, strategic planning, and mergers and acquisitions. Ipsos Reid, one of the world’s leading survey-based marketing research firms and a market leader in Canada. Ipsos Reid offers a full line of custom, syndicated, omnibus, panel, and online research products and services, guided by industry experts and bolstered by advanced analytics and methodologies. The EDA also acknowledges the contributions of its staff. Their input into this process, technical advice, and the crafting of this proposal has been invaluable. They, and every one of the people and organizations who have collaborated on this proposal, should take great pride in this body of work knowing it is among the most important this Association has produced. VII Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 7 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM VIII Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 8 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Executive Summary The Electricity Distributors Association – the voice of Ontario’s local electricity distribution companies – respectfully submits this proposal to the Ontario Distribution Sector Review Panel (Panel). This proposal is Ontario’s electricity distribution sector’s response to the Panel’s official mandate to provide advice and make recommendations to the Minister of Energy regarding issues related to Ontario’s electricity distribution sector and distribution models, including opportunities for consolidating distributors. The province’s electricity distribution system that operates today is a reflection of the industry restructuring that occurred in the late 1990s. At that time, the guiding principle of this restructuring was the premise that Ontario was moving towards a competitive electricity market. One of many results was that electricity distribution was separated from services such as water and waste-water treatment, conservation, street lighting ownership and maintenance, and other activities. Over the past decade, many facets of a deregulated industry model have since been abandoned. New themes now dominate the industry. Over the past decade government policy towards distribution has begun to shift once again. Distributors are now permitted to own and operate distributed-generation facilities. They are involved in the delivery of Conservation and Demand Management (CDM) programs, they have been required to install smart meters and many have investigated or implemented improved grid technologies. However, these expanded roles have not been realized without substantial increases in administrative and regulatory costs and complexities. It is important to remember that electricity is critical to the prosperity of Ontario’s economy and social fabric. Ontario’s LDCs play an important role in ensuring that provincial customers receive reliable service at reasonable prices. They: • serve 4.8-million residential, business and institutional customers; • employ over 10,000 Ontarians; • provide in excess of $360-million annually in dividends to shareholders; • contribute more than $260-million annually to the Provincial government through payments in lieu of taxes (PILs) (excludes Hydro One distribution); • bear responsibility for assets with a book value of about $16-billion (the market value is much higher); • invest approximately $2-billion annually in capital upgrades and grid modernization, thereby creating additional jobs. While this proposal makes it clear that while there are case-by-case opportunities for LDCs to consolidate voluntarily for valid business reasons, the overall notion that Ontario’s distribution sector is inherently inefficient – and therefore a cost burden to the system – is absolutely incorrect. 1 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 9 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM We anticipate that the Panel will be looking to the United States for best practice examples and opportunities. Upon such a review, the Panel will note that for the entire United States, there are about 3,200 entities serving retail customers. Given a population of about 310-million and about 115-million electricity customers nationwide this corresponds to an average utility size of about 36,000 customers. A similar calculation for Ontario produces a substantially higher number. With a population approaching 13-million and approximately 4.8-million electricity customers, we obtain an average utility size of about 60,000 customers. Germany and Denmark, which, like Ontario are leaders in renewable electricity, also have more distributing entities on a per capita basis than our province. Further, as it concerns our neighbours to the south: • First, small, medium and large distribution entities routinely operate side-by-side and quite successfully. • Second, large utilities are not necessarily the least costly. • And third, U.S. utilities frequently provide multiple services such as electricity distribution, water and waste-water services. Still, the question before the Panel is whether or not Ontario may benefit from consolidation in the electricity distribution sector. Much has changed from the mid-1990s that gave birth to the present structure. Yet, the Panel should note less than two decades ago, the number of LDCs in Ontario was more than 300. Today, that number has dropped to 75, while every year the number of customers served continues to rise. As an outcome of good business practices, mergers and strategic alliances continue to be developed. And, there is now smart-grid innovation and the wide-scale development of variable energy resources such as wind and solar as well as large province-wide conservation and demand programs. Our members agree that there are opportunities in the sector where consolidation makes sense; but not, however, as mandated by a central authority. But as the issue of consolidation is on the table, the Panel will see that this proposal documents several ways to achieve it. When the Panel considers the efficiency of our industry, we recommend that the Panel assess our industry’s dynamic efficiency; that is, our ability to respond and adapt to a changing environment. In competitive markets, organizations that are unable to adapt sufficiently quickly fall by the wayside or are absorbed by other, more successful organizations. While electricity transmission and distribution are natural monopolies, the same rule applies. Ontario’s transmission and distribution companies have been able to evolve and adapt to changing demands. Well-conceived incentive regulation can ensure that they continue to do so in the future. 2 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 10 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM In our view, any structural changes to the distribution sector should: • Be voluntary and commercially based; • Where possible, support contiguous or shoulder-to-shoulder mergers to optimize planning synergies; • Increase levels of service and reliability to customers; and, • Reduce costs in the short and long term. It is the opinion of our members that a centralized and directed approach to consolidation will not achieve the savings that the government may now envision. Indeed, the costs of such restructuring could exceed the benefits. We therefore recommend that the Panel consider other meaningful efficiency-improvement measures, as detailed in this proposal. This includes economies of scale and scope as well as a regulatory approach that fosters innovation. Inefficiencies in Ontario’s distribution system are more reflective of the province’s cumbersome and restrictive regulatory environment than any other single issue. In our proposal, the Panel will see that we estimate that the potential annual savings to customers are approximately $540-million, broken down as follows: • Expansion of the scope of LDC operations to manage water and waste-water services assuming 7 per cent savings on total distribution costs of all LDCs − $180-million • Permission for LDCs to carry out street lighting work − $15-million • Expansion of LDC role in the development of CDM programs that are suitable to customer needs and that deliver programs with limited OPA involvement − $20-million • Improvement of the regulatory framework within which LDCs operate − $15-million which represents 33 per cent of the current expense for LDCs • Curtailment of energy retailer operations in the residential sector assuming 15 per cent of those customers are currently on retail contracts − $260-million • Voluntary consolidation of LDCs with savings of $50-million With Province-wide electricity bills exceeding $12.8-billion, these savings should have a beneficial impact of reducing customer costs by approximately five per cent. There is a high degree of consensus among our members. The overwhelming majority of Ontario LDCs would like to expand and grow their businesses. Our members are interested in increasing the scope and the scale of their activities. They believe mergers should be voluntary, incentive-driven and based on the prospect of being able to retain benefits for their shareholders and customers. All utilities currently cooperate with other LDCs in one form or another, leading to improved efficiencies and cost savings for customers. The key challenges are seen to be regulation, infrastructure renewal, and government policies and directives. 3 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 11 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM We offer for the Panel’s consideration, four models for Ontario’s distribution sector: Model 1: Status Quo The “status quo” model assumes continuation of the present industry structure and regulatory and legislative framework. Continuing on the present path would not cause one to anticipate disaster – there is no imminent crisis that is looming. However, pressures are building. First, regulation is becoming progressively more onerous and an obstacle to change. Second, aging distribution infrastructure needs to be replaced or refurbished on an ongoing basis and utilities need to expand the system to continue to meet customer needs. Both activities require a capital infusion. Third, there is an expanding gap between provincial CDM aspirations, and the ability of the system to reach the targets under the present regime. The most visible challenges to the industry as a whole reside in the generation segment, in particular cost pressures associated with the nuclear program and renewable generation. While the “status quo” may be able to sustain itself for a period of time, the overarching disadvantages of maintaining the status quo in the distribution segment of the industry are the foregone efficiency gains and the restrictions on further evolution. Model 2: Expansion of Incentives and Opportunities The electricity industry is by nature one that breeds a risk-averse culture because of the overarching mandates for safety and reliability. But the current regulatory and policy environment within which Ontario LDCs operate is far more restrictive than necessary in areas unrelated to these two mandates. In fact, the lack of regulatory incentives for innovation, for example with respect to scope economies, reinforces risk-averse tendencies. Model 2 therefore focuses on the elimination of unnecessary constraints and the creation of productive incentives and opportunities. In all cases, a high degree of regulatory certainty is essential if innovative paths are to be followed. This model would develop incentives and mechanisms that would expand economies of scope and encourage voluntary transactions that would bring scale efficiencies and benefits to customers and shareholders. Incentives and mechanisms would focus on: • enhancing growth through scope by reducing regulatory and other barriers; • facilitating more access to equity by the LDC/shareholder through regulatory and legislative changes; and, • expanding shared services between utilities. Model 3: Expansion of LDCs to Municipal Boundaries Model 3 would permit, encourage and incent LDCs to expand to municipal boundaries as a means to foster greater scale, improved efficiency and consistent customer service. (It is important to reemphasize that Model 3 is intended to build on the elements that would have already been in place under Model 2.) 4 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 12 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Model 3 proposes that previous provisions under the Power Corporation Act, which facilitated expansion of LDCs to municipal boundaries, be revisited. Expansions of this type will benefit the customers seeking to be served by the local utility. The added local customers will allow further economies of scale for the LDC. Many core components of the above model sequence can be implemented with relative ease, in part because they involve rescinding policies and regulations, and revisiting the intent of previous policies and legislation. None of these recommendations represent uncharted territory. However, the pace of change and the end-state depend largely on the future structure of legislation and regulation, and the intentions and resolve of the Government. Model 4: Shoulder-to-Shoulder, Robust, Well-Resourced and Efficient LDCs One of the principles which underlies this model is the potential for gains arising out of economies of contiguity. The technology of electricity distribution is such that it is more efficient to serve customers that populate a contiguous self-contained area. A utility may serve multiple areas, but it is preferable if each of its service areas is of sufficient size so that economies of scale are also realized. The EDA does not view expanding the Provincial government’s role in distribution as an efficient or desirable consolidation option. One of the difficulties that is likely to be encountered is the rate treatment of low-density customers. A rural-rate subsidy will be required. The establishment of a separate entity which serves these customers and which receives appropriate transfers may comprise a practical solution. We suggest two options for implementation: Option A: Under this alternative, the Government and regulator proceed with the necessary changes to enable the above sequence of models, but do not predetermine the end-state. Option B: Under this alternative, it is concluded that the Province is best served by shoulder-to-shoulder distributors, i.e., Model 4. Therefore, the Government and regulator then proceed with promoting the realization of Model 4. Option A focuses on changes in the setting within which utilities operate. Option B focuses on the “end-state” structure for the distribution industry. The EDA is willing and fully prepared to work with the Government, utilities and stakeholders to determine the preferred option. Highlights of this Proposal Efficiency Savings. We estimate that the implementation of efficiency-improving measures such as enhanced regulation, expansion of scope economies, improved CDM design and delivery and curtailment of electricity retailers would reduce customer bills by approximately $540-million, or about five per cent of total customer electricity costs. Regulatory Streamlining. Regulatory systems can be enhanced by providing flexibility to utilities whereby they could choose fast-track approvals with lesser information requirements and consolidated applications, or more detailed approval processes. Efficient utilities could receive a streamlined review based on established benchmarks or milestones. 5 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 13 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Economies of Scope. There are significant opportunities for efficiency gains through economies of scope. Historically, Ontario multi-utilities exhibited on average seven per cent lower costs for electricity customers than pure distribution utilities. An Ipsos Reid survey conducted for the EDA identified 18 ways that LDCs could expand their scope of activities. Regulatory and legal impediments which limit LDC ability to engage in these activities should be eliminated. Economies of Scale. Voluntary mergers among distributors may lead to further efficiency savings. However, the vast majority of Ontario electricity customers are served by electricity utilities which are sufficiently large to have achieved scale efficiency. Mandated mergers, for the purposes of simply reducing the number of distributors and creating larger utilities, are therefore unlikely to achieve material savings and could erode yardstick competition which has a beneficial impact on efficiency and innovation. Alternatively, voluntary mergers offer potential savings. Technology and Innovation. Technology is a primary determinant of industry structure and therefore technological change should be a primary driver of changes in industry structure. As new technologies emerge and proliferate, there may be increased incentives for restructuring. Market forces and technology should drive change in the future structure of the industry. Diversity. Electricity industries, like ecosystems, have multiple participants striving to advance individual and collective interests. Within such systems, diversity is often more a benefit than a hindrance. In the Ontario electricity industry, a diversity of distributors seeking alternative business models and solutions to the challenges they face provide an important benefit to the industry as a whole. Diversity benefits need to be considered in any discussion of industry restructuring. Industry Structure. The right of LDCs to expand to municipal boundaries should be revisited. With the creation of an enabling environment, the industry may eventually be comprised of shoulder-to-shoulder utilities servicing all areas of the Province. Curtailment of Electricity Retailers. As the Province has moved away from the competitive model and introduced a regulated price plan for residential customers there is no longer the need for electricity retailers to provide rate-smoothing contracts to the residential sector. Furthermore, by offering fixed prices, electricity retailers are undermining a fundamental objective of government policy – the implementation of time-of-use (TOU) rates. Electricity retail contracts for the residential sector should therefore be phased out. Conservation and Demand Management. CDM program design should be devolved to distributors as has been the case in the past. Distributors are best positioned to respond to local needs by designing programs that take into account local conditions. Increased customer participation can be attained through devices such as “on-bill financing” of conservation investments. 6 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 14 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Access to Capital. Two impediments limit LDC access to capital. First, municipalities are not permitted to invest in the utilities they own. Second, there are limitations on private equity investments in distributors. Both impediments should be reduced in order to permit wider access to capital for Ontario’s distribution utilities. Tax-exempt status for LDCs with greater than 51 per cent of municipal ownership should be considered. Ipsos Reid Survey. There is a high degree of consensus amongst Ontario LDCs. The overwhelming majority would like to expand and grow their businesses. They are interested in increasing the scope and the scale of their activities. They believe mergers should be voluntary, incentive-driven and based on the prospect of being able to retain benefits for their shareholders and customers. All utilities cooperate with other LDCs in one form or another, leading to improved efficiencies and cost savings. The key challenges are seen to be regulation, infrastructure renewal, and government policies and directives. Infrastructure Investment. Aging LDC infrastructure needs to be refurbished or replaced on an ongoing basis and new investment is required to meet system growth and expansion. The essentiality of electricity to the economy and to society mandates the continuation of the record of excellent service and reliability. Smart-grid Technologies. Utilities should continue expanding their functional capabilities to accommodate new and emerging technologies such as smart-grid systems and distributed generation. Implementation of these technologies should be achieved on a cost-effective basis as determined by individual utilities and the regulator. Incentive based approaches should be implemented where possible. Distributed-generation. Distributors should be permitted to own and operate both renewable and non-renewable generation greater than 10 MW. As renewable supply increases it may be appropriate for LDCs to acquire non-renewable dispatchable generation to compensate for fluctuating renewable supplies. Cooperative Ventures. Ontario utilities cooperate extensively in numerous areas which improves efficiency and diffusion of best practices. Such cooperation should be encouraged and any regulatory obstacles should be eliminated. Overall, there is a high degree of consensus amongst Ontario LDCs. The overwhelming majority would like to expand and grow their businesses. 7 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 15 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM 8 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 16 7/18/12 5:30:30 PM Introduction and Background A.History of LDC Evolution in Ontario Over the course of the 20th century, the electricity industry in Ontario followed the public power model whereby most of the electricity was generated, transmitted and distributed by publicly owned entities. Most prominent among these was Ontario Hydro. The delivery of electricity to urbanized areas was performed by community-based entities such as Hydro-Electric Commissions and Public Utility Commissions. The latter were typically multi-utilities involved in other activities such as water services, waste-water management, street lighting and conservation. Distributor activities were governed primarily by the Public Utilities Act and the Power Corporations Act. Over time, many municipally owned LDCs were established. By the 1970s there were over 300 LDCs in Ontario, many of which were multi-utilities. Eventually, these were encouraged to extend their service territories to municipal boundaries. Such expansions, supported by enabling legislation such as the Bill 185 (1994), Amendment to the Power Corporation Act required the transfer of assets from Ontario Hydro to an LDC municipal service territory. During the 1990s, a number of restructuring and deregulation models were proposed. An active debate took place and formal mechanisms for changing the industry were initiated. By the late 1990s, as part of the preparation for deregulation of the electricity marketplace, LDCs were required to cease their broad range of services and to focus exclusively on the “poles and wires” business. Furthermore, LDCs were no longer afforded the opportunity of absorbing surrounding service areas as had previously been the case. The number of distribution utilities fell dramatically. The figure on page 10 displays data on the number of LDCs from 1985 (at which time there were 316) to the presently existing 75 LDCs. In 1975, there were actually 353 local distribution companies in Ontario in addition to Ontario Hydro’s Power District, the predecessor of the distribution component of Hydro One. Many utilities acquired or merged with neighbouring utilities on a voluntary basis. Others were purchased by Hydro One. Still others merged as a result of consolidation of municipalities. Industry restructuring was enabled by legislative changes. Bill 35, the Energy Competition Act, 1998, enacted the Electricity Act and the Ontario Energy Board Act. This legislation set the legal framework for restructuring the old Ontario Hydro into successor companies, commercializing the distribution industry, and the opening of the competitive wholesale market in electricity on May 1, 2002. The Electricity Act 1998 created the initial institutional structure. The Ontario Energy Board Act 1998 granted new regulatory powers to the Ontario Energy Board (OEB) over the various entities, among them distribution and transmission companies. (Previously, Ontario distributor rates were regulated by Ontario Hydro.) 9 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 17 7/18/12 5:30:31 PM In 2002, Ontario’s short-lived foray into a fully competitive market structure for electricity began and ended. Shortly after the market opened, prices rose, after which the Provincial government moved quickly to stabilize prices. The Electricity Restructuring Act 2004 established a new entity, the Ontario Power Authority (OPA), which would be the provincial procurer of the majority of long-term supply. In 2004, the Provincial government “unfroze” electricity rates. A “hybrid” market was now in the process of being established. The Act also dispensed with the “wires-only” model for Ontario distributors. In 2005, the Ontario government further clarified that LDCs would retain ownership and operation of smart meters.1 Figure 1: Ontario Electricity Industry Timeline In 2006, the Energy Conservation Leadership Act was passed. It effectively recognized that for conservation to be truly effective, energy-management planning needed to take place not just at the provincial level, but at the local community level as well. A subsequent Ministerial Directive declared that the OPA was to directly provide CDM programs only where LDCs were unable to do so.2 In effect, the LDCs were recognized as the primary vehicle for delivery of CDM programs. At about the same time, the Renewable Energy Standard Offer Program (RESOP) was launched, the purpose of which was to promote the development of renewable energy systems. 10 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 18 7/18/12 5:30:31 PM In 2009, the Provincial government passed the Green Energy and Green Economy Act (Green Energy Act), the central purpose of which was to promote renewable electricity production and conservation and demand management programs. The Act established feed-in-tariff programs for renewable energy and required distribution and transmission entities to connect such facilities. Distributors were permitted to own small-scale renewable energy generating facilities. The Act also introduced new objectives for the OEB, including the promotion of renewable energy, conservation and demand management, and smart-grid technologies. It also required distributors to achieve conservation and demand management targets to be set by the OEB. Notably, the Act provided for more active Government involvement in the management of renewable energy, conservation and smart-grid initiatives through Ministerial directives. The approach marks a potentially substantial increase in government involvement in decision-making and management of the electricity sector. In 2012, the Government put forward legislation to merge the OPA and the IESO into a single entity, the Ontario Electricity System Operator (OESO). Benchmarking of Hydro One and Ontario Power Generation has become an important governmental objective. Furthermore, the Drummond Report, which was commissioned by the Ontario Government with the purpose of developing debt reduction mechanisms for the Province, recommended that Hydro One and Ontario Power Generation seek to improve their finances through strategic partnerships.3 Thus, over the past decade, government policy towards distribution has begun to shift once again. Distributors are now permitted to own and operate distributed-generation facilities. They are involved in the delivery of CDM programs, they have been required to install smart meters and many have investigated or implemented improved grid technologies. However, these expanded roles have not been realized without substantial increases in administrative and regulatory costs. B.Distribution Sector Contributions to Ontario’s Economy Electricity is critical to the prosperity of every economy and Ontario’s LDCs play an important role in ensuring that provincial customers receive reliable service at reasonable prices. Ontario LDCs: • serve 4.8-million residential, business and institutional customers; • employ over 10,000 Ontarians with a payroll of more than $800-million annually; • provide in excess of $360-million annually in dividends to shareholders; • contribute more than $260-million annually to the Provincial government through payments-in-lieu of taxes (excludes Hydro One Distribution); • bear responsibility for assets with a book value of about $16-billion; (the market value is much higher); • invest approximately $2-billion annually in capital upgrades and grid modernization, thereby creating additional jobs. 11 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 19 7/18/12 5:30:31 PM C.Ipsos Reid Survey An Ipsos Reid survey was conducted on behalf of the EDA over the period June 11-22, 2012. Of the 75 Ontario distribution utilities, 59 were able to participate and were interviewed by telephone. In almost all cases the CEO of the LDC was interviewed. The purpose of the study was to gather opinions on some important issues facing the LDCs, and to assist the EDA with its planning and stakeholder relationships. The main objectives were to: • investigate the interest among the EDA members to expand the scope and scale of their business; • determine the most favourable ways to achieve expanded scope and scale; • pinpoint possible challenges facing the EDA members in growing their business; • gauge current levels and the degree of interest in cooperation between LDCs; • develop an understanding of what the LDCs believe they will look like in the future. Expansion of Business Almost all LDCs are interested in expanding their business. The expansion of scope has slightly more enthusiasm behind it than scale expansion, but LDCs in general are receptive to expanding their business in many ways. Expansion of Scope Most believe that LDCs of the future are bigger in scope and services, but LDCs are split on whether they need scale expansion to match the scope expansion. Most believe that CDM should be a growth business for LDCs. From among the 18 different ideas of scope expansion tested, over a dozen attracted solid interest from most of the LDCs, suggesting that scope expansion is highly palatable to LDCs. The top areas of interest include CDM program design, street lighting maintenance services, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure. 12 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 20 7/18/12 5:30:31 PM LDC Interest in Expansion of Scope of Activities Activity 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. Percentage of LDCs Interested CDM Design Street Lighting Maintenance Services Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure Water and Waste-water Management Energy Storage Non-Renewable Generation (less than 10 MW) Streetlight Ownership Energy From Waste Energy Audits Renewable Generation (greater than 10 MW) Water and Waste-water Ownership Financing Conservation and Demand Management Combined Heat and Power District Heating Non-Renewable Generation (greater than 10 MW) Electrical Inspections Financing Customer-Owned DG Transmission Ownership (greater than 10 kV) 92% 92% 90% 78% 78% 75% 75% 75% 73% 71% 69% 69% 69% 58% 51% 49% 47% 46% While a slim majority of LDCs want to handle the expansion of scope within the LDC, nearly half want to handle it within an affiliated company. The key barriers to the expansion of scope are primarily regulatory issues, followed by financing/ capital issues and the Affiliate Relationships Code. Expansion of Scale There are differences in views among LDCs on whether the size of the utility will dictate its ability to meet future challenges, and a majority disagrees that LDCs of the future are necessarily bigger in scale and size. However, most strongly believe that LDCs that increase their scale should be permitted to conduct a wider scope of activities. There is a good deal of appetite for scale expansion of all sorts, with the exception of acquiring assets in a service area that doesn’t border their current service area. LDCs believe that incentives could be offered to enable voluntary, commercially driven mergers such as changes in the transfer tax, and the prospect of a reasonable rate of return. Reflecting on key barriers to scale expansion, regulation once again rises to the top. However, a lack of willing participants, political will, and capital availability are seen as key barriers. 13 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 21 7/18/12 5:30:31 PM Cooperation Among Utilities Every LDC interviewed is cooperating with other LDCs in some capacity. The greatest degree of cooperation appears to be with mutual aid, engineering standards, CDM and smart metering. Most LDCs offered other areas in which they’re currently cooperating with other LDCs, and many had other ideas of where LDCs could cooperate, or where they would be interested in cooperating. It appears that many LDCs see cooperation as a key way by which to manage scale and scope expansion. In fact, most LDCs want to handle LDC-led conservation in partnership with other LDCs. Few want to go it alone. The Future of LDCs Once again, regulation rises to the top of the list as being among the key challenges for LDCs over the next ten years. Infrastructure issues as well as political interference are also key challenges. When describing the LDC of the future, the characteristics that were common themes include an expansion of scope, technological innovation and smart metering, and, to a lesser extent, scale expansion. Most believe that their LDC is well prepared to meet the challenges of the future. They believe that LDCs of the future are high-tech and innovative, and that innovation is their driving principle. As part of this, most believe that implementing smart-grids is the key to the way forward. While most believe that regulatory oversight should be the same for all LDCs regardless of public or private ownership, they are split on whether regulatory oversight should be the same for LDCs of all sizes. The top challenges for LDCs include government policies and directives, regulation, human resources, and price increases for the total bill. Other challenges, while widespread, are secondary to these. While faced with many regulatory challenges, the rate-approval process, regulatory costs and the intervenor process are seen as the most critical. LDCs are evenly split on whether they are confident or not that they will meet their provincial targets for reducing energy usage in kilowatt-hours (kWh), or reducing peak demand in kilowatts (kW). Summary Overall, there is a high degree of consensus amongst Ontario LDCs. The overwhelming majority would like to expand and grow their businesses. They are interested in increasing the scope and the scale of their activities. They believe mergers should be voluntary, incentive-driven and based on the prospect of being able to retain benefits for their shareholders and customers. All utilities cooperate with other LDCs in one form or another, leading to improved efficiencies and cost savings for customers. The key challenges are seen to be regulation, infrastructure renewal, and government policies and directives. 14 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 22 7/18/12 5:30:31 PM Hydro One Remote Communities The Ontario electricity industry has an exemplary record of providing the highest standards of service and reliability. It has done so in the face of major changes within the industry. The essentiality of electricity to our economy and society mandates that this record continue to be upheld. However, the industry continues to face major challenges. Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 23 Sault Ste. Marie PUC Distribution Inc. Cat Lake Northern Ontario Wires Inc. Cochrane, Iroquois Falls, Kapuskasing Hydro One Remote Communities Windsor Amherstburg, LaSalle, Leamington, Tecumseh Essex, Harrow, Belle River, Comber, Kingsville, Cottham Parkhill, Strathroy, Mount Brydges, Newbury, Dutton, Wallaceburg, Dresden, Bothwell, Thamesville, Ridgetown, Chatham-Kent, Blenheim, Merlin, Tilbury, Wheatley, Erieau Entegrus Powerlines Inc. Stratford, St. Mary's, Seaforth, Hensall, Brussels, Zurich, Dashwood Sarnia, Point Edward, Petrolia, Alvinston, Oil Springs, Watford E.L.K. Energy Inc. Elora, Fergus Centre Wellington Hydro Ltd. Waterloo North Hydro Inc. Holstein, Mount Forest, Arthur Wellington North Power Inc. Collingwood, Stayner, Creemore, Thornbury Halton Hills Hydro Inc. Guelph Hydro Electric Systems Inc. Whitby Hydro Electric Corporation Cobourg Lakefront Utilities Inc. Oshawa PUC Networks Inc. Newmarket, Tay Township, Perth County Toronto Hydro-Electric System Limited Innisfil Hydro Distribution Systems Limited Enersource Hydro Mississauga Inc. Hydro One Brampton Networks Inc. Orangeville, Grand Valley Orangeville Hydro Limited Midland Power Utility Corporation Wasaga Orillia Power Distribution Distribution Inc. Corporation Newmarket – Tay Power Distribution Ltd. Ajax, Beaverton, Belleville, Bowmanville, Cannington, Gravenhurst, Newcastle, Orono, Pickering, Port Hope, Port Perry, Sunderland, Uxbridge Aylmer, Belmont, Burgessville, Beachville, Clinton, Embro, Ingersoll, Otterville, Port Stanley, Norwich, Tavistock, Thamesford, Clinton, West Perth Erie Thames Powerlines Corporation Stratford, St. Mary's, Seaforth, Hensall, Brussels, Zurich, Dashwood Tillsonburg Hydro Inc. Fort Erie, Port Colborne Canadian Niagara Power Inc. (Fortis) Renfrew Hydro Peterborough, Marie Lakefield, Norwood Sault Ste. Kashechewan First Nation Essex Powerlines Corporation ENWIN Utilities Ltd. E.L.K. Energy Inc. Bluewater Power Distribution Corporation Cochrane, Iroquois Falls, Kapuskasing Northern Ontario Wires Inc. Fort Albany Power Corporation Entegrus Powerlines Inc. Festival Hydro Inc. West Coast Huron Energy Inc. Gananoque Hydro Hawkesbury Inc. Westario Power Inc. Distribution Ltd. Wasaga Distribution Inc. Orangeville Hydro Limited COLLUS Power Corporation Wellington North Power Inc. Innisfil Hydro Distribution Systems Limited Veridian Connections Inc. Newmarket – Tay Power Distribution Ltd. North Bay Hydro Distribution Limited Orillia Power Distribution Corporation Midland Power Utility Corporation Parry Sound Power Corporation Westport, Prescott, Bracebridge, Burk's Falls, Huntsville, Magnetawan, Cardinal, Iroquois, Sundridge Morrisburg, Williamsburg Rideau St. Lawrence Lakeland Inc. Power Distribution Cornwall Street Railway Light and Power Company (Fortis) Alfred, Plantagenet Hydro 2000 Inc. PowerStream Inc. Oshawa PUC Networks Inc. Centre Wellington Hydro One Brampton Toronto Hydro-Electric Whitby Hydro Networks Inc. Hydro Ltd. Electric Corporation System Limited Halton Hills Guelph Hydro Enersource Hydro Hydro Inc. Electric Mississauga Inc. Waterloo North Hydro Inc. Systems Inc. Milton Hydro Oakville Hydro Distribution Inc. Kitchener-Wilmot Electricity Distribution Inc. Hydro Inc. Cambridge and North Burlington Niagara-on-the-Lake Dumfries Hydro Inc. Hydro Inc. Grimsby Woodstock Power Inc. Hydro Inc. Horizon Utilities Hydro Services Brantford Power Inc. Corporation Inc. Brant Niagara Peninsula County Power Energy Inc. Inc. London Norfolk Haldimand Hydro Inc. Power County Hydro Inc. Canadian Distribution Tillsonburg Niagara Power Inc. Inc. Welland St. Thomas Hydro Inc. (Fortis) Hydro-Electric Energy Inc. System Corp. Erie Thames Powerlines Corporation Eastern Ontario Power (Fortis) Sudbury, West Nipissing Co-operative Hydro Embrun Greater Sudbury Inc. Hydro Inc. Ottawa, Casselman Hydro Ottawa Limited Espanola, Webbwood, Massey Kingston Hydro (Utilities Kingston) PUC Peterborough Distribution Distribution Incorporated Inc. Espanola Regional Hydro Distribution Corporation Chapleau Public Utilities Corp. Hearst Power Distribution Company Limited Hydro One Service Area Algoma Power Inc. Almonte, Beachburg, Killaloe, Pembroke Dubreuil Forest Products Ltd. Ottawa River Power Corporation Veridian Connections Inc. North Bay Hydro Distribution Limited Milton Hydro Oakville Hydro Guelph, Rockwood Distribution Inc. Electricity Distribution Inc. Kitchener-Wilmot Hydro Inc. Cambridge and North Burlington Niagara-on-the-Lake Dumfries Hydro Inc. Hydro Inc. Grimsby Woodstock Power Inc. Hydro Inc. Horizon Utilities Hydro Services Brantford Power Inc. Corporation Inc. Brant Hamilton, St. Catharines County Power Inc. Norfolk Haldimand Niagara Peninsula Power County Hydro Inc. Energy Inc. Distribution Niagara Falls, Lincoln, Inc. Welland Pelham, West Lincoln Hydro-Electric System Corp. Waterloo, Woolwich, Wellesley London Hydro Inc. St. Thomas Energy Inc. Hanover, Huron-Kinloss, Kincardine, Saugeen Shores, South Bruce, Wingham, Brockton, Minto Alliston, Aurora, Barrie, Beeton, Bradford West, Gwillimbury, Penetanguishene, Markham, Richmond Hill, Thornton, Tottenham, Vaughan PowerStream Inc. Parry Sound Power Corporation Bracebridge, Burk's Falls, Huntsville, Magnetawan, Sundridge Lakeland Power Distribution Ltd. COLLUS Power Corporation Thunder Bay Hydro Electricity Distribution Inc. Sudbury, West Nipissing Greater Sudbury Hydro Inc. Westario Power Inc. Festival Hydro Inc. West Coast Huron Energy Inc. Goderich Five Nations Energy Attanapiskat First Nation DRAFT Atikokan Hydro Inc. Espanola, Webbwood, Massey Bluewater Power Distribution Corporation ENWIN Utilities Ltd. Essex Powerlines Corporation Fort Frances Power Sioux Lookout Hydro Inc. Espanola Regional Hydro Distribution Corporation Chapleau Public Utilities Corp. ONTARIO’S ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM LOCAL DISTRIBUTION COMPANY SERVICE AREAS Kenora Hydro Electric Corporation Ltd. Algoma Power Inc. Dubreuil Forest Products Ltd. Hearst Power Distribution Company Limited Kashechewan First Nation Fort Albany Power Corporation Lakefront Utilities Inc. Hydro One Service Area Renfrew Hydro Peterborough, Lakefield, Norwood Kingston Hydro (Utilities Kingston) Peterborough Distribution Incorporated Almonte, Beachburg, Killaloe, Pembroke Ottawa River Power Corporation Gananoque Eastern Ontario Power (Fortis) Hydro Hawkesbury Inc. Cornwall Street Railway Light and Power Company (Fortis) Alfred, Plantagenet Hydro 2000 Inc. March 2012 Westport, Prescott, Cardinal, Iroquois, Morrisburg, Williamsburg Rideau St. Lawrence Distribution Inc. Co-operative Hydro Embrun Inc. Ottawa, Casselman Hydro Ottawa Limited The Challenges Facing Distribution 15 7/18/12 5:30:32 PM A.Infrastructure Investment In recent years, investment in distribution has been and continues to be driven by the need for replacement, expansion and upgrades. The Ontario electricity distribution industry collectively holds a portfolio of assets of widely varying ages some of which date back to the 1940s and 1950s. Engineering as well as statistical analyses suggest a trade-off between replacement, refurbishment and maintenance costs. These processes must be undertaken on a continuous basis if long-term costs are to be minimized and reliability is to be ensured. There is also considerable need for investment in generation and transmission. Many Ontario generation assets are aging or, in the case of coal, are being retired to promote environmental objectives. Investment in transmission has been driven by several factors including the need to improve grid reliability, integrate renewable generation, and improve interconnections with neighbouring jurisdictions. Distribution utilities need to be able to upgrade infrastructure to accommodate distributed generation and to take advantage of evolving technologies. In this connection, regional cooperation in transmission and distribution planning is essential.4 Growth in demand for electricity, albeit at a reduced rate, is also an important investment driver. Current forecasts suggest that on average, demand will grow at less than one per cent per year over the next two decades.5 The growth will not be distributed evenly across distribution utilities. For example, utilities that serve expanding suburban areas are likely to experience faster demand growth. Current long-term demand forecasts may be low if penetration rates of electric vehicles or other electricity intensive technologies are higher. As suggested earlier, the share of electricity in total energy consumed has been growing and is projected to continue to grow. On the other hand, if the price of electricity increases more quickly than currently forecast, there will be a dampening effect on demand. The share of electricity in total energy consumed has been growing and is projected to continue to grow. Finally, distributors are the direct interface between the electricity supply chain and the end user. In today’s changing electricity environment, informing and educating customers is even more essential. Some utilities have already invested in online systems which allow customers to view their recent consumption patterns and the prices that they pay. 16 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 24 7/18/12 5:30:33 PM B.New and Emerging Technologies Smart Grid-based Innovation Advances in information and communication technologies have created an environment where various new technologies can now, or in the near future, be incorporated into electricity grids. These technologies have the potential of improving operations in multiple dimensions by: • increasing the efficiency with which power is delivered, • improving reliability through remote sensing and automated recovery, • improving response times in the event of malfunctions, • facilitating the integration of distributed generation, renewable resources, storage and electric vehicle charging technologies, and • improving overall system security. Among the important enabling technologies are devices which permit simultaneous measurement of key characteristics at numerous points throughout the grid. Information of this type can provide system operators with earlier warnings of any system instabilities which may be emerging and that may require attention. Ontario is at the forefront of this technological frontier with legislators, regulators, utilities and other corporations and organizations taking a direct role. The Ontario Smart Grid Forum, under the auspices of the IESO, draws on representatives from various companies and organizations, including Ontario transmission and distribution utilities. To ensure cost-effective investments in this area, it is important to keep certain factors in mind. First, the overlay of these new technologies onto existing systems must not risk impairment of reliability of service. Second, there are disadvantages to the earliest adopters since this is when prices are usually the highest and the technology has not yet stabilized. Some utilities, for whom these innovations are presently less crucial, may delay implementation until the technology reaches greater maturity. 17 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 25 7/18/12 5:30:33 PM Although one would expect that information technology will improve industry productivity, history suggests that this will not necessarily occur quickly. During the 1980s and 1990s, there was a general expectation that computers would have a dramatic impact on productivity of the overall economy. This was not to be the case. In fact, during the same period that computer technology was becoming ubiquitous, productivity was actually slowing. Acceleration in productivity did not occur until much later, during the late 1990s. The electricity industry has the added important characteristic that assets are long-lived so that the capital stock changes slowly and, as a consequence, capital intensive technological changes may need to be implemented over a period of time. In short, the useful economic lifetime of electricity industry assets is measured in decades.6 Longer pay-off periods are not an argument to avoid investment in these new technologies. The expected pay-off period should, however, be considered in regulatory settings where prices incorporate the expectation of productivity growth (e.g., through the “X-factor” in price cap regulation). Thus, while some smart-grid investments could lead to immediate and observable improvements in productivity, others are likely to have a longer gestation period. Smart Meters and Time-of-Use Pricing The nature of electricity systems is such that system operators must adjust supply to meet demand at any given moment. Although operator management of demand has been part of electricity operations for many years, for example through interruptible load, this component has comprised a relatively small portion of the overall supplydemand balance. The inability to affect demand response over short intervals has generally increased the level and volatility of system costs. Recent technological advances have created the possibility of greater responsiveness on the demand side. Major categories of technologies which are central to demand response include: • meters that record electricity consumption by time-of-day enable the implementation of static TOU rates which can be calibrated to approximate expected system costs averaged over time; • information systems that transmit current system costs to consumers enable the implementation of dynamic TOU rates which reflect actual system costs; • information and control systems that facilitate end-user response to real-time prices; these include “apps” which permit integration of price and usage information in real time, and smart appliances which can automate response to such information. 18 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 26 7/18/12 5:30:33 PM Ontario has engaged in province-wide installation of smart meters. This has been a costly undertaking but the payoffs can be significant. Implementation of TOU rates is well underway. Nevertheless, there are important and ongoing issues relating to their use. TOU experiments have been conducted for many years and in many jurisdictions, but the results vary significantly and the determination of optimal TOU rates remains an ongoing project. Among the central issues are the elasticity of response and the importance of real-time information. Studies conducted elsewhere suggest that the ratio of peak to off-peak prices is a critical determinant of customer response and that real-time pricing can lead to responsive participation by end-use customers. A number of Ontario utilities have conducted time-of-use pricing experiments and analyses. These include Hydro Ottawa, Veridian Connections, Oakville Hydro, Newmarket-Tay Hydro, Hydro One, Toronto Hydro and Milton Hydro. A number of Ontario utilities have conducted time of use pricing experiments and analyses. These include Hydro Ottawa, Veridian Connections, Oakville Hydro, Newmarket-Tay Hydro, Hydro One, Toronto Hydro and Milton Hydro. The results have been generally supportive of a material customer response to TOU pricing. Future analyses that incorporate further refinements will no doubt help to inform better use of these technologies. An accurate understanding of customer response to increasingly sophisticated technology can be of great value. For example, the majority of Ontarians are on TOU rates. The installation of the required metering technology is now a sunk cost. It would be extremely valuable to determine the incremental system and customer benefits arising from the implementation of the next level of technology which would permit real-time transmission of price information to customers. These are analyses best conducted at the local level by distributors, since responsiveness varies widely by location. For example, utilities in northern parts of the Province tend to be winter-peaking because of electric-heating demand. Utilities in southern Ontario are much more strongly affected by air-conditioning demand during the summer, indeed some experience their annual peaks during the summer. 19 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 27 7/18/12 5:30:34 PM A realistic assessment of the response is further complicated by the difficulties in predicting the effectiveness of “apps” which can be used by end-use customers to adapt consumption patterns to real-time information and penetration rates of smart appliances and control devices. Keeping in mind that early implementation is not necessarily optimal in all cases, knowledge of the resulting benefits could inform both the timing and the type of systems that will ultimately be installed. In all these areas, Ontario distributors can play an important continuing role in data collection and analysis, in rate design and in post-implementation assessment. Furthermore, the presence of a variety of distributors with differing characteristics and business models provides opportunities for innovation through a diversity of approaches. Ensuring Investment in New Technologies in Ontario Ontario is leading North America in the installation of smart meters. The technologies associated with smart meters provide the opportunity to move forward with smart grid and other innovative emerging technologies. The information available through smart-grid technologies will allow better distribution system monitoring and control to reduce the occurrences of outages and to improve response and restoration times when they do occur. Smart meters allow customers to monitor their consumption, but smart-grid technologies could allow customers to control their consumption remotely. Smart grids will increase the opportunities for improved demand response and energy conservation. The communication networks could also be used to allow remote meter reading of gas and water consumption. The smart-grid communication networks could also be used to connect and manage electric vehicles and electricity-storage facilities. The networks could be leveraged by other service providers to allow other services such as security monitoring. Additional information on electric-vehicle infrastructure can be found in Efficiency Opportunity Fact Sheet #5 in Appendix G. 20 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 28 7/18/12 5:30:34 PM These opportunities for improving the functioning and reliability of the grid arise from technological developments in sensing, communications, control, and power electronics. These technologies provide better visibility of the instantaneous state of the grid, and make possible the engagement of demand as a resource for meeting system requirements. If the technologies are properly deployed and supported by facilitating policies, they can help address the upcoming challenges to the industry including aging infrastructure and facilitating the integration of renewable and distributed generation. To leverage the operational benefits of its smart meters and communication networks, distributors need to invest in people, devices, tools and applications. To leverage the operational benefits of its smart meters and communication networks, distributors need to invest in people, devices, tools and applications (e.g. transformer monitoring for asset management, home displays and load control for demand response). The major initial investment in smart grid was the smart meter communication system. Building the next phase will require a new policy commitment and regulatory support that recognizes the higher initial costs in systems, equipment, and skilled resources required to obtain a longer-term benefit. To encourage further investments in the smart grid, consideration should be given to providing a higher rate of return on smart-grid investments. Further policy support is needed to encourage distributors to continue moving forward and to leverage the lead obtained from being early adopters in smart meter technology. These new technologies and capabilities will provide further societal benefits and should be supported by the regulator. The regulator should view investments used to monitor and control distribution networks as part of the normal system expansion and renewal to support reliability and safety. The regulator should also encourage distributors to leverage their smart-grid systems to provide additional services, such as customer demand response and load control, electric vehicle charging management and remote meter reading for other utilities. 21 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 29 7/18/12 5:30:34 PM These new investments to manage the integration of distributed generation, electric vehicles, and demand response will require significant investments in new and emerging technologies that will provide new capabilities. However, there is a general observation that regulators typically have a tendency to be conservative when considering investments in new unproven technologies. This tendency of traditional regulatory oversight to be overly conservative could become more and more expensive over time if opportunities to enhance efficiency and reduce cost through innovation are not exploited. This is an issue because it seems both regulators and utilities are penalized or criticized for unanticipated poor outcomes but not adequately rewarded for good outcomes. Keeping the lights on is a challenge in itself, yet we all take this for granted. Nonetheless, regulatory changes are needed to provide adequate incentives for investments in unfamiliar technologies while also ensuring that these investments benefit customers. Regulators typically have a tendency to be conservative when considering investments in new unproven technologies. Recent examples in Ontario of conservative decisions by the regulator include rejections of distributor proposals for recovery of smart-grid feeder automation, line and transformer monitoring, prepaid smart metering, roof-top solar panels, and electric vehicles and supporting charging infrastructure. One of the OEB objectives flowing from the Green Energy Act, 2009, is to facilitate the implementation of the smartgrid in Ontario. On Nov. 23, 2010 a detailed Directive was issued to the OEB requiring the OEB to provide guidance to distributors that propose to undertake smart-grid activities. The OEB noted that there were a number of technical issues which needed to be addressed in order to provide this guidance. The OEB had issued direction to those distributors who wished to include smart-grid development activities and expenditures in their distribution system plans. The focus of the filing requirements was on smart-grid demonstration projects, smart-grid studies or planning exercises and smart-grid education and training. The filing requirements also established deferral accounts for demonstration expenditures on smart-grid technology by distributors as well as for education, training and studies. 22 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 30 7/18/12 5:30:34 PM As a result, distributors have been discouraged from further smart-grid investment and instead encouraged to focus on demonstration pilots until further guidance is provided. In November 2011 the OEB issued a staff discussion paper raising a number of questions, but no further notices on smart grid have come forward since that time. The OEB had established a smart-grid working group to provide input on the discussion paper. The working group agreed that collaboration among electricity stakeholders will help achieve innovation, and could be achieved by establishing a forum for the sharing and discussion of ideas related to smart grid. Many distributors have already established user groups of similar technologies to share information, and purchase services and equipment jointly to enable smart-grid investments. Some distributors are carrying out pilot studies on some new smart-grid technologies and a few have already begun to more widely deploy certain proven smart technologies. Recently a number of demonstration projects were awarded Smart Grid Funding by the Province. The Smart Grid Fund provides targeted financial support to Ontario-based demonstration projects that test, develop and bring to market the next generation of smart-grid solutions. The Ministry of Energy ran a competition for the funds and recently made announcements on the recipients. One project involves Oakville Hydro, and consists of the installation of 225 high resolution wireless meters on the medium-voltage supply monitoring approximately 16,000 customer endpoints in Oakville. The technology allows for full system monitoring of power usage based on real-time data. This should allow more direct grid management, improved outage management, line-loss reduction and better detection of power theft. Another recipient was Burlington Hydro which is involved in a community smart-grid energy plan that integrates smart-grid technologies including distribution automation, increased distributed generation capacity, and home energy management. This also involves a community-based working group developing a long-term, coordinated approach to energy sustainability for Burlington. Burlington Hydro is also recognized as a leader in establishing the GridSmartCity® partnership. GridSmartCity partners (which include Burlington Hydro, Cambridge and North Dumfries Hydro, Guelph Hydro, Halton Hills Hydro, Kingston Hydro, Kitchener-Wilmot Hydro, Milton Hydro, Niagara Peninsula Energy, Oakville Hydro, and Waterloo North Hydro) focus on a culture of cooperation and collaboration in order to enhance the efficiency and sustainability of local distribution networks to deliver electricity into their communities. 23 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 31 7/18/12 5:30:34 PM The Region of Durham won smart-grid funding for a control centre involving three utilities to enable control, dispatching, monitoring, asset condition assessment and load modeling/control/balancing of their systems. The “Durham Smart Grid Demonstration Project” is a collaboration which includes Siemens Canada, Oshawa PUC Networks Inc, Whitby Hydro, Veridian Connections, Intellimeter, Energent WirelE, University of Ontario Institute of Technology (UOIT), Durham College, the City of Pickering and the Region of Durham. Bluewater Power, London Hydro and Hydro One are involved in a number of jointly sponsored research studies including: • Large Scale Photovoltaic Solar Power Integration in Transmission and Distribution Networks • Increasing Renewable Generation Connectivity in the Transmission System of Ontario through use of Innovative Distributed Generation (DG) DG Controls • Smart Grid Management and Control of Short Circuit Currents to Increase DG Connectivity in Constrained Areas in Ontario • Technology Development for Wide Area Integrated Management of Distributed Generators using Innovative Embedded Inverter Control Systems The large-scale PV study has just concluded and the others are in various stages. As such the findings and recommendations have not been implemented. Once implemented they expect to see reduction of system losses of up to one per cent, the ability to connect more DG to existing infrastructure with savings, and improved power quality within their systems. Toronto Hydro has also been demonstrated to be a leader in adopting new, leading-edge technologies and has been actively sharing the results of its activities at forums and conferences. Toronto Hydro projects include feeder automation to improve reliability and faster restoration times, and power-line and transformer monitors to reduce response time and outage duration and identify potential problems before they cause outages. Toronto Hydro is monitoring which transformers are overloaded prior to failure and detecting power-line disturbances and allowing proactive work before an interruption occurs. Toronto Hydro is using feeder-automation technology to improve the reliability of ten of their worst performing feeders to automatically detect and isolate faults. The activities on smart grid carried out by Toronto Hydro are recognized as leading-edge globally. 24 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 32 7/18/12 5:30:34 PM PowerStream and Veridian have also been active in sharing information on their leading-edge activities to implement smart-grid technologies. These smart-grid activities by the distributors in Ontario clearly demonstrate the benefits of diversity and the ability for the sector to share information and share responsibilities in carrying out leading-edge research. Toronto Hydro is recognized as a global leader in smart-grid technology despite being significantly smaller than many other electricity companies moving towards smartgrid investments. Many years ago before smart meters were mandated by the government, utilities such as Milton Hydro and Newmarket-Tay Hydro took the lead in promoting and demonstrating the benefits of smart meters. Today, companies like Burlington Hydro continue to push forward to find new approaches to adopt new technologies. The distribution sector in Ontario has demonstrated its ability to effectively implement smart meters and TOU pricing. For the next phase, involving the integration of new smart-grid technologies, we anticipate that some distributors will continue to be in the lead while others will be willing to wait and see and move forward only when there are fewer risks, clear benefits and more acceptance from the regulator. Smart-grid activities by the distributors in Ontario clearly demonstrate the benefits of diversity and the ability for the sector to share information and share responsibilities in carrying out leading-edge research. C.Conservation and Demand Management Utilities are required to meet CDM targets set by the Ontario Energy Board (OEB). The OPA has developed a series of Province-wide programs and utilities rely upon these programs to achieve their CDM objectives.7 The OPA programs include: • demand-response programs under which end-use customers receive incentives to reduce consumption at certain peak times (these arrangements may be voluntary or contractual); • small-business programs designed to promote energy-efficient lighting; • building retrofit programs; • support for energy audits; • incentives for improvements in energy use by industrial and commercial enterprises; • incentives for energy-saving upgrades in new residential construction. 25 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 33 7/18/12 5:30:34 PM In a few cases to date, larger utilities have proposed additional programs that they are developing. The proponents of these programs must demonstrate that they are not duplicative of OPA programs. As part of the OEB review process, the OPA is asked to provide its opinion on the utilityspecific programs and whether they are duplicative. Centralization of the provision of some CDM programs is probably beneficial. On the other hand, it discourages innovation by distributors. It would seem that the balance has not been struck properly. Centralization of the provision of some CDM programs is probably beneficial. On the other hand, it discourages innovation by distributors. Many of these development initiatives could be provided by single distributors or groups of distributors. With a multiplicity of utilities engaged in development, a competitive selection process will likely result in more rapid evolution and testing of programs. Centralization of this function also reduces the incentives for cooperative efforts by groups of utilities and for consolidation. Unfortunately, the OEB has turned down a major application by Toronto Hydro for the development of conservation programs. (Hydro One also submitted an extensive application, but subsequently withdrew it.) In addition, the OPA has been slow to develop programs for issuance to utilities and some programs are proving to be too complex for customer participation. D.Renewable and Distributed Generation Policies and legislation passed by the Ontario Government have dramatically increased the role that renewable technologies will play in forthcoming years. The basis for negotiating renewable supply has changed fundamentally. Non-utility generation programs of the 1980s and 1990s were based on avoided costs. That is, contracts that were being negotiated with prospective generators were based upon the costs that Ontario Hydro could avoid. In contrast, rates for the FIT and microFIT programs are based upon estimates of the costs that wind and solar providers would need to recover in order to enter the market. The supply mix directive, issued by the Minister of Energy in February 2011, envisions over 10,000 MW of non-hydraulic renewable energy capacity in the Province by the year 2018. Because wind and solar sources have relatively low capacity factors, this will represent about 10 to 15 per cent of total energy generated in Ontario. Most of this capacity will be comprised of wind and solar generation. 26 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 34 7/18/12 5:30:34 PM Despite the high current costs of non-hydraulic generation, particularly solar and wind energy, pressures to further increase their share are likely to intensify. First, Ontario’s use of coal in the generation of electricity is to end in 2014, increasing the need for “clean generation”. Second, whatever the objective risks associated with nuclear generation, the events in Japan in March 2011 are likely to have negative implications for nuclear generation through increased costs, greater regulatory hurdles and adverse public opinion. As the share of variable energy resources increases, the challenges of balancing the system also increase mainly because of the variability and difficulty in predicting supply from these sources. To accommodate them, increased transmission and reserve capacity may be required. A significant portion of renewable supply will consist of small-scale DG projects. In order to successfully integrate this supply without compromising reliability, smart distribution system technologies will be required. In due course, energy-storage technologies may reduce the variability and unpredictability of wind and solar energy. However, such enabling technologies are not yet available at cost-effective prices. In summary, current incentives for renewable energy projects have led to an abundance of applications, particularly for providers of small-scale solar and wind generation. Some of these are located within municipal distributor boundaries. Distribution companies can no longer be thought of as simply distributing electricity, but also of collecting it. Distribution companies can no longer be thought of as simply distributing electricity, but also of collecting it. Distribution systems originally conceived and engineered to deliver electricity must be modified to incorporate distributed generation. Furthermore, unlike conventional generation, the energy produced by solar and wind facilities fluctuates widely, sometimes over relatively short time intervals. Power quality can be deprecated and in some instances reverse power flows can occur. Technical integration within a distribution system presents new challenges, some of which may be resolved using emerging technologies. Costeffective deployment of battery-type storage or flywheel technologies may help to reduce the magnitude of the impacts on distribution systems in the future. However, a concentration of new supply of this type presents the host distributor with new engineering and design issues and can have impacts which may not be paid for by the generator of renewable generation. It may also be appropriate for LDCs to acquire non-renewable dispatchable generation to compensate for fluctuating renewable supplies. 27 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 35 7/18/12 5:30:34 PM E.Costs In past years, Ontario has enjoyed electricity prices that are relatively low by international standards and Ontario businesses have, to a greater or lesser degree, relied upon these prices in their locational and expansion decisions. Recent projections indicate that Ontario electricity prices will grow 46 per cent between 2010 and 2015 and approximately 100 per cent by 2030.8 A substantial portion of the increase can be attributed to multiple changes to energy policy in the province. This in turn puts pressure on cost structures throughout the industry and can affect regulated price increases and subsequently the internal decision-making at utilities. In some cases, mergers or amalgamations may lead to cost savings on the distribution portion of the bill through improved economies of scale. In other cases, horizontal economies of scope, for example through the sharing of resources among multiple service types, may also lead to reduced costs. Cooperative planning, development and marketing of programs, such as those related to CDM, can also lead to efficiency gains. F. Regulation and Government Policy The Green Energy Act has created new obligations for wires companies, such as the requirement to connect renewable resources. The increased direct role of the Provincial government through the issuance of directives is also likely to increase the uncertainty of the policy environment within which utilities operate. Utilities can and should be accorded a leading role in shaping the regulatory model under which they operate so as to streamline it administratively and improve its effectiveness. Utilities have experienced a marked rise in regulatory costs over the last decade. Even rate applications have become much more complex than they were a decade ago. Meeting regulatory obligations, however, is only part of the picture. Utilities can and should be accorded a leading role in shaping the regulatory model under which they operate so as to streamline it administratively and improve its effectiveness. G.Human Resources There are a range of HR issues faced by Ontario distributors. Workforce demographics indicate a large percentage of employees are reaching retirement within the decade. A high turnover of skilled workers will be a significant challenge for the electrical sector as confirmed in the 2008 Canadian Electricity Association Labour Market Information Study. The challenge of replacing experienced and skilled workers includes the problem of insufficient skilled replacement workers, in part caused by low awareness about career opportunities in the electricity industry. In the skilled trades it can 28 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 36 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM take four years to become qualified to work on facilities, and as many as 10 years to become fully proficient to work independently. As a result, entry-level workers must be hired well in advance of the need for replacing retiring skilled trades staff. In addition to traditional skill shortages, new and advanced skills are being required in areas such as engineering, regulation and CDM. In the skilled trades it can take four years to become qualified to work on facilities, and as many as 10 years to become fully proficient to work independently. In anticipation of the need to replace workers, many distributors are seeking to hire new entry-level trade apprentices. Presently, the regulator has raised concerns about acquiring additional staff before other staff retires. Some distributors seeking to obtain regulatory approval for new apprentices including Toronto Hydro and Kingston Hydro were denied by the regulator. The regulator should recognize that entry-level apprentices need to be retained and trained well in advance of retirement of senior staff. This need for additional entry-level apprentices should be recognized by the regulator and the associated costs should be recoverable. New engineering requirements are being addressed by distributors through shared resources and cooperative arrangements. The need for regulatory expertise could be addressed in part by regulatory reform. CDM staffing has its own challenges. CDM has been funded by a series of short-term funding regimes such that conservation staff are often hired on short-term contracts. In order that CDM can be built into the business model for LDCs, and that CDM can be seen as a viable career opportunity, a new model for CDM delivery must be found such that distributors and workers can both make the necessary long-term commitment to CDM. Allowing distributors to retain sufficient numbers of new hires as part of a strategy to replace retiring workers will reduce costs in the long term. If not, staff resources will be more expensive if they are not home grown and need to be acquired elsewhere. 29 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 37 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM H. Breakdown of the Bill Approximately 20 per cent of the total customer electricity bill corresponds to electricity-distribution revenue from LDCs, excluding Hydro One. The remainder covers the cost of power (primarily generation costs and global adjustment), costs of transmission, regulatory, debt retirement charge and HST. However if Hydro One’s distribution revenue is included, the average distribution utility revenue in Ontario represents 24 per cent of the customer electricity bill (see first panel in the figure on page 31; figures based on 2010 OEB Yearbook data). For the purpose of discussions in this paper, the Hydro One distribution revenue is included in the overall distribution revenue. Approximately 20 per cent of the total customer electricity bill corresponds to electricity-distribution revenue from LDCs, excluding Hydro One. The commodity price of electricity is increasing at a much faster rate than the distribution rates in the province. This 24 per cent of total distribution revenue can be further broken down as follows: • 10 per cent of customer bills corresponds to distributor Operations, Maintenance and Administration (OM&A) costs; these are sometimes referred to as “controllable costs” because it is presumed that utilities exercise some measure of control over these costs; • 13 per cent are capital costs (depreciation, interest and return on equity); • one per cent corresponds to taxes or payments-in-lieu of taxes (PILs). The distribution of electricity is highly capital intensive with over half the costs being capitalrelated. The proportion is often higher in other jurisdictions. In Ontario, as a result of responsible and conservative financial policies on the part of distributors, debt loads are relatively lower and significant portions of physical assets remain used and useful, even though their book value has been reduced to zero. 30 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 38 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM However, as in many other jurisdictions, major portions of distribution infrastructure were put in place many years ago and are approaching the end of their useful lifetime. Replacement of these assets at current prices puts significant upward pressure on rates. Furthermore, aging assets that remain in service require greater OM&A expenditures, which adds further pressure to costs. This is a widely recognized phenomenon and supported by detailed statistical analyses of the electricitydistribution industry. Distributor costs, especially the “controllable” component (i.e., OM&A costs) are rigorously monitored by the regulator using statistical benchmarking techniques. Customer Bill Breakdown 31 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 39 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM 32 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 40 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM Efficiency Opportunities A.Efficiencies Through Regulatory Streamlining Increasing Regulatory Costs Ontario distributors are regulated using a variant of incentive regulation (a combination of cost-ofservice rate filings every four years and price-cap regulation during the intervening years) which can be particularly effective when certain conditions are present. Among these conditions are the following: i) an environment where utility responsibilities and technologies remain relatively stable, enhancing comparability of data on a year-to-year basis; ii) a dynamic technological environment where production costs are dropping, thus reducing political pressure on regulators as rates can be lowered without endangering necessary utility expenditures or profits; iii) private ownership which can reduce political temptation to tamper with utility incentives. However, these facilitating conditions are not currently present in Ontario. Utility responsibilities are changing dramatically. There is upward pressure on costs arising from a variety of factors such as renewable energy and CDM programs, DG and aging infrastructure. Public ownership continually exposes utilities to increased risk of politically motivated micro-management in many dimensions, including with respect to earnings. The OEB, to its credit, has attempted to meet these challenges using sophisticated tools specifically adapted to the Ontario environment. In order to manage the regulation of many disparate distributors, it has relied upon a variant of incentive regulation grounded in empirically based benchmarking. In 2007, as part of its regulation of the electricity distributors, the OEB established a multi-year electricity distribution rate-setting plan commencing with 2008 rates. Each year, a subset of distributors is identified for regulatory cost-of-service review. The application must meet filing requirements set by the OEB. However, the growing utility responsibilities and capital-expenditure programs have made effective regulation ever more challenging. Utilities have experienced increases in regulatory costs. In 2011, the EDA conducted a survey of its LDC members and collected data on the total regulatory costs incurred over the years 2008 to 2010. The results are summarized in the table on page 32. 33 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 41 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM Regulatory Costs Incurred by LCDs9 IESO Admin Charges OPA Admin Fees OEB License Fee and Cost Assessments ESA Cost Assessments LDC Costs for Regulatory Compliance TOTAL 2008 2009 $ in Millions 2010 $ 85.6 $ 38.8 $ 12.9 $ 1.9 $ 29.8 $ 169.0 $ 87.6 $ 61.0 $ 14.7 $ 2.1 $ 44.6 $ 210.0 $ 86.9 $ 52.0 $ 14.6 $ 2.0 $ 36.5 $ 192.0 Despite the move to incentive regulation, the regulatory costs borne by Ontario utilities, and ultimately by consumers, have grown substantially. The increase in LDC costs for regulatory compliance is largely attributed to increased scrutiny of distributors by the regulator and increased costs associated with intervenors. The Case for Reform In 2011, the EDA produced a policy paper entitled “The Case for Reform: How regulatory streamlining could benefit Ontario’s electricity consumers”. The analysis contained therein was guided by a series of principles, in particular: • There is a need to balance costs of regulation with the benefits to customers. • The amount of regulation and reporting requirements should be proportionate to the policy objective/outcome. • Greater emphasis should be placed on policy outcomes, not process. • Duplication and overlap of reporting requirements should be eliminated. • Administrative expense to LDCs should be minimized. • Distributors should be provided sufficient flexibility to address their local circumstances. • Distributors should not be required to address social issues such as income redistribution. • Distributors should be allowed to recover the costs of refurbishing or replacing aging infrastructure in a timely manner. 34 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 42 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM • Increased certainty and transparency should be provided for cost recovery by distributors. • Decision-making by regulators needs to be timely. The study found that the regulatory application process could be improved substantially. It recommended: • development of standardized templates to streamline the application process; • creation of metrics to reduce the time, effort and expense associated with the review of applications; • incorporation of multi-year capital reviews within the regulatory cycle; and • the use of productivity and inflation factors that truly reflect industry circumstances. The paper also recommended revisions to the intervenor process. In particular, that: • the OEB lead and pre-screen interrogatories to avoid duplication; • intervenors be required to document their representative constituency; in particular, there should be written evidence in the proceeding that the groups an intervenor claims to represent either acknowledge or support the appearance of the intervenor on their behalf; • cost awards and eligibility for such awards be further reviewed. The paper in its entirety can be found in Appendix I. We note that Ontario’s Auditor General has recommended consultation with LDCs to reform the cost and complexity of the rate filing process and achieve better coordination of intervenor processes to eliminate duplication.10 Fundamental to efficacious regulation is the continued focus on the creation, reinforcement and sustenance of incentives. In addition to the above recommendations, incentives might be strengthened by providing a menu of regulatory options to utilities whereby they could choose fast-track approvals with lesser information requirements and consolidated applications, or choose more detailed approval processes. In summary, there is much room for efficiency gains through changes to regulatory processes. These include “objective-oriented regulation”;11 stricter constraints on regulatory review by the OEB; modifications to the intervenor process; and, consolidation of the representation of consumer interests. Increased coordination among regulatory entities may also serve to reduce regulatory costs. Ontario’s Auditor General has recommended consultation with LDCs to reform the cost and complexity of the rate filing process and achieve better coordination of intervenor processes to eliminate duplication. 35 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 43 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM Efficiency-based Regulation The regulatory model discussed in this section is premised on the idea that differences in efficiency should play a role in the degree of regulatory scrutiny that is required. The OEB presently conducts an analysis of the efficiency of distributors. Distributors found to be efficient from the benchmarking analysis and that meet specified performance criteria should be recognized and rewarded not only with a lower stretch factor (the current incentive), but also with a more streamlined, fast-track approval process. The argument has been raised that the existence of many small utilities absorbs too much in the way of regulatory resources. This model proposes incentives for all distributors that would reduce costs for the utility, customers and the provincial regulator. Total Number of Customers Served by Small, Medium and Large Utilities For distributors opting for the fast-track process approach, the fast-track approval process could allow the efficient utilities to adjust rates with less onerous procedures than are presently in place. This approach will provide incentive to distributors to achieve higher efficiencies based on benchmarks established by the OEB. For Ontario’s distributors that are not meeting the efficiency benchmarks, rates would be approved under a reformed regulatory model proposed in the previous section. Additional information can be found in Efficiency Opportunity Fact Sheet #3 in Appendix G. 36 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 44 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM B.Efficiencies From Scale and Contiguity Scale and Contiguity The efficiency of distribution utility and industry structure is affected by at least three important factors. The first is contiguity. The wires business requires a single utility to serve all customers within a contained area and for this reason service franchises have prevailed since the early years of electrification. This does not imply that a utility must out of necessity serve only one contiguous area – it may serve several areas each of which satisfies the contiguity property. Highly fragmented service areas are inefficient and as a result, rarely observed. A second factor affecting efficiency is the scale of operation. Generally, one would expect larger distribution utilities to be more efficient. An important empirical question is the size at which scale efficiency is achieved. A third factor, mentioned earlier, is the scope of operations. By efficiently combining activities from more than one type of service it may be possible to reduce overall costs. Scope will be discussed more extensively in a subsequent section. In broad terms, the evidence on these factors is as follows: • Contiguity economies are not estimated directly in statistical models of electricity distribution essentially because most utilities are either completely contiguous or serve a relatively small number of contiguous areas. Some would argue that the very fact that we rarely observe highly discontiguous or overlapping service areas constitutes evidence of the need for contiguity. However, the importance of contiguity economies can be inferred indirectly by observing the effects of customer density. This variable is incorporated in most analyses of distributor costs and it almost invariably has a statistically significant and material impact. Ontario distributors typically serve contiguous areas, with a few exhibiting a modest degree of fragmentation. • Scale economies are frequently incorporated in models of electricity distribution. Data is available from Ontario, Norway, New Zealand and a few other countries. These studies vary significantly in their estimates of scale efficiency. However, there is empirical support for the proposition that once a utility achieves sufficient size, unit costs remain relatively flat. • Scope economies appear in a relatively small number of statistical analyses. However, where they are included, there is support for the proposition that broadening the range of offered services and the scope of activities can materially reduce unit costs. It is worthwhile to consider the extent to which the geographic pattern of Ontario distribution meets the contiguity criterion. • The largest concentration of population is in the Golden Horseshoe which is served by a series of contiguous utilities. Collectively these represent approximately 45 per cent of customers in Ontario. 37 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 45 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM • Hydro One Networks serves approximately 25 per cent of Ontario customers. • Several utilities provide service to multiple non-contiguous areas. An expansion of their service territories to create contiguous zones to the extent possible may be worthy of consideration. • There are a number of utilities which are surrounded by vast expanses of land with very low population density. Thus, while there would seem to be potential for some contiguity benefits through restructuring, the magnitude of the gain viewed in terms of its impact on average provincial electricity rates, is unlikely to be large. Requiring distributors to absorb distant or low-density customers may be detrimental to the distributors’ current customers. Requiring distributors to absorb distant or lowdensity customers may be detrimental to the distributors’ current customers. The Structure of the Distribution Segment The structure of the distribution segment continues to attract attention. Over the years, the sentiment that there are too many utilities and that substantial efficiency gains could be achieved through consolidation has been expressed repeatedly. Important considerations need to be taken into account, among which are the following: First, competitive markets accommodate substantial variation in the sizes of firms, with small firms often prospering alongside large ones. Thus, consolidation, while it may in some respects be appealing, is neither a necessary nor sufficient condition for efficiency in the distribution sector. Second, by analogy with competitive markets, consolidation within the sector should not be an end in itself, but should be driven by the benefits that would be derived from this activity. Third, a number of factors may increase the incentives for further consolidation. Integration of DG, smart-grid development, increased ownership of generation facilities, and conservation and demand management programs may create previously unavailable scale and scope economies which would give larger utilities a cost advantage. If this is the case, mergers are more likely to occur spontaneously without any additional incentives. Fourth, contiguity is likely to continue to play an important role in determining which utilities decide to amalgamate. Fifth, as suggested earlier, the empirical evidence that is available does not support mandatory consolidation in the distribution sector. This does not imply that mutually advantageous consolidations are not available. 38 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 46 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM Sixth, distribution consolidation only affects the distribution portion of the electricity bill which means any savings in the distribution sector only applies to 24 per cent (including Hydro One distibution) of the total bill for the customer. Seventh, the spatial distribution of Ontario customers presents challenges, as a portion is in lowdensity or remote locations. The rate impact of absorbing such customers requires careful consideration. One may ask whether, in the face of industry changes such as smart-grid innovation and the widescale development of variable energy resources such as wind and solar, there are too many distributors in Ontario. The United States, a leader in advanced-grid technologies, has about 3,200 distributing entities of widely varying size (significantly more per capita than presently in Ontario). Germany and Denmark, which are leaders in renewable electricity, also have more distribution entities on a per capita basis than Ontario. Where there are contiguity or scale gains to be made through consolidation, the natural question becomes how to achieve them. In subsequent sections we will discuss four models which should lead to utility expansion and perhaps eventually, into the regionalization of distribution. In some cases, mergers may, on balance, be unappealing because of rate or cost impacts. For example, labour costs at small utilities may be lower because living costs in the municipality are lower. Absorption into a larger utility may lead to a substantial increase in labour costs. In such cases, there may be alternative mechanisms by which certain economies may be captured, such as cooperative efforts amongst groups of utilities or through outsourcing. In considering the efficiency of firms within an industry, it is also necessary to assess their dynamic efficiency; that is, their ability to respond and adapt to a changing environment. In competitive markets, firms that are unable to adapt sufficiently quickly fall by the wayside or are absorbed by other, more successful firms. Electricity transmission and distribution are natural monopolies. Nevertheless, Ontario transmission and distribution companies have been able to evolve and adapt to changing demands. Well-conceived incentive regulation can ensure that they continue to do so in the future. In our view, structural changes to distribution sector should: • be voluntary and commercially based; • where possible, support contiguous or shoulder-to-shoulder mergers to optimize planning synergies; • increase levels of service and reliability to customers; • reduce costs in the short and long term. Ontario distribution companies have been able to evolve and adapt to changing demands. Wellconceived incentive regulation can ensure that they continue to do so in the future. 39 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 47 7/18/12 5:30:35 PM Scale Economies Through Collaborative Efforts In various areas of activity, firms can realize scale economies by collaborating or cooperating on a voluntary basis with other firms having similar needs. The EDA has conducted a survey of its members to assess the extent to which such collaboration exists within the industry and the benefits to the extent they are possible to quantify. Numerous instances of collaboration were identified (details are contained in Appendix C to this report) and the cumulative benefits and savings were in the millions of dollars. Specific areas of collaboration include: • billing services shared by multiple electricity distributors, • billing services shared by various services (e.g., electricity, water and sewage), • joint development of engineering standards and specifications, • shared services based on meter technology, • joint procurement of products and services, • shared-services arrangements for regulatory filings, • sharing “locates” services, • delivery of CDM programs, and • collaboration and aid during emergencies, extreme weather and natural disasters. All of these activities have evolved organically on a voluntary basis as LDCs have found ways to make the system work better for their business and consequently their shareholders and customers. LDCs have identified that there are further opportunities for savings through enhanced collaboration. It would be appropriate for incentives to be introduced and regulatory barriers reduced to foster and accelerate additional collaboration to achieve additional savings to the benefit of customers. Performance of Ontario Distributors The diagram on page 41 graphs average revenue per customer against the number of customers served by the utility. There is no systematic relationship between utility size and the efficiency of the utility. The figures do not adjust for utility-specific factors such as the density of its customer base, the age of assets, the customer mix, geographic or climatic influences, or total volume of sales. 40 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 48 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM Average Annual Revenue per Customer by Utility Size ($/year vs. number of customers) To adjust for various factors affecting individual utility performance, the OEB conducts an annual analysis in which it assigns utilities to one of three efficiency categories. “Group 1” utilities are those deemed to be most efficient; “Group 3,” the least efficient. (Details are provided in Appendix F to this paper.) Two important inferences may be drawn from the data which are also displayed in the bar chart on page 40. First, as stated before, there is no systematic relationship between utility size and the OEB measures of cost performance. Small, medium and large utilities may be found in all efficiency categories. Second, there is a larger proportion of small utilities in the upper and lower groups (Groups 1 and 3). In contrast, medium and large utilities are concentrated in the middle group (Group 2). This may suggest that small utilities have a higher propensity for finding innovative cost-saving solutions. At the same time, there may be greater room for improvement among the 20 per cent of small utilities assigned to Group 3. The OEB also assesses each utility according to a series of “Service Quality Indicators” (SQI) and reliability indices which measure the average frequency, length and duration of service interruptions. All Ontario utilities, regardless of size, have been consistently meeting their SQI and reliability targets. (Additional details are provided in Appendices D and E.) 41 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 49 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM Percentage of Distribution Utilities by OEB Cost Efficiency Category Barriers to Accessing Capital As part of the restructuring of the electricity sector, municipalities were given formal ownership of their Municipal Electric Utility (MEU), which has provided them with a source of income and the potential to realize significant proceeds if they sell their MEUs. Section 94(1) of the Electricity Act provides for a transfer tax of 33 per cent of the fair market value of “electricity property” transferred by an MEU or a municipality. However, the amount of transfer tax payable is reduced by the amount of payments-in-lieu of taxes (PILs) that a MEU has already paid up to and including the date of the transfer. The transfer tax was designed to collect an amount equivalent to the PILs to be paid to help pay down the stranded debt from the old Ontario Hydro. Because of the chilling effect that transfer tax could potentially have on consolidation among LDCs in Ontario, the provincial government introduced a series of “holidays” from the transfer tax, the first in 2000, and subsequently in 2003, 2005, 2006 and 2008. The purpose of the exemption from the transfer tax was to encourage consolidations among municipally owned LDCs. In each case, the “holiday” came with a sunset period and it did encourage some consolidations in the sector. In October 2009, the government made the exemption permanent for publicily owned consolidations. This exemption recognizes that “public-to-public” consolidations would not affect the amount of PILs paid towards the stranded debt. Since the amount of transfer tax payable is reduced by the amount of PILs already paid by a utility, it is estimated that almost 40 per cent of the potential transfer tax payable by LDCs would be reduced when a utility is sold to a private entity.12 In order to provide LDCs with access to additional capital, both provincial and federal legislative changes would be needed. 42 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 50 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM Currently, the Ontario Regulation 438/97 under the Municipal Act, 2001 restricts municipalities to make further investments into their LDCs by capping the total investments that can be made by a municipality to the amount already invested at the time of incorporation of their LDC. We believe that if LDCs are permitted to raise capital, the much-needed capital infusion into the industry would occur, which could later translate into further consolidation. In addition, the current restrictions imposed by subsections 149(1) (d.5) and 149(1) (d.6) of the Income Tax Act (Canada) would also need to be relaxed. Currently, only LDCs with greater than 90 per cent of share capital owned by one or more Canadian municipalities are allowed tax-exempt status under the Income Tax Act. If LDCs with more than 51 per cent of share capital owned by municipalities are allowed tax-exempt status, it will not only improve access to capital but would also ensure that the payments-in-lieu of federal corporate taxes would continue to flow in to the provincial Consolidated Revenue Fund for the purpose of retiring the stranded debt. In view of the above, we recommend a tax-exempt status for LDCs with greater than 51 per cent of municipal ownership. This can be achieved through a cooperative tax arrangement between the Province and Federal governments as recommended by Mr. Drummond in his latest recommendations to the province. We recommend a tax-exempt status for LDCs with greater than 51 per cent of municipal ownership and municipalities should be given the opportunity to invest directly in their utility. Furthermore, municipalities should be given the opportunity to invest directly in their utility, thus providing an additional source of capital to LDCs. 43 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 51 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM C.Efficiencies From Reducing Regulatory Constraints on Scope of Operations The Multi-utility Option Prior to industry restructuring when Ontario municipal distributors were regulated by Ontario Hydro, a number of electricity distributors operated as public utility commissions which provided multiple services. Such commissions exhibited, on average, materially lower costs.13 As part of industry restructuring in the late 1990s, electricity distribution was separated from other activities which could reside in related but separate entities. This restructuring and separation was premised upon the industry moving towards a competitive electricity market. It too was a product of the deregulatory period in the Ontario electricity industry. The deregulatory model has long been abandoned and new themes dominate the industry. As the distribution segment of the industry evolves, incorporating increasing amounts of new technology and widening the types of services for which it is responsible, new possibilities for crosshybridization and economies of scope will emerge. It would be desirable for the regulator and the Government to take a forbearing approach in order that these new possibilities can thrive. Multi-utilities exist in other jurisdictions. For example in the U.S., utilities can provide electricity, gas, water and wastewater services, street lighting and energy conservation services. (Details are provided in Appendix B to this document.) For municipal utilities owned by cities, it is also common to provide garbage, recycling, and street lighting services to customers. Finally, several utilities have been expanding to provide telecommunication services over fibre. As utilities invest in fibre infrastructure for SCADA systems and smart grid, providing reliable high speed service to customers has helped recoup some of the cost of the fibre system. By efficiently combining activities from more than one type of service, overall costs are reduced. For example, in the U.S. utilities can provide electricity, gas, water and wastewater services, street lighting and energy conservation services. 44 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 52 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM Utilities Kingston has been providing electricity, gas, fibre optics and water and sewer services for the municipality since 2000 under one affiliate. Benefits of sharing overhead costs, equipment, metering/billing services etc. include: • savings of over $250,000/year from sharing billing services; • savings of over $440,000/year from sharing of executive roles across the different companies; • savings of $240,000/year from sharing operations such as locates for underground structures and fleet operations; • savings of over $1-million/year on average from engaging in joint construction projects. In short, given that there is no longer a market-based need for separation of certain activities performed by distributors, it would be useful to reduce or eliminate regulatory restrictions on utility structure and relationships with utility affiliates in order that utilities can decide for themselves whether to engage in scope-enhancing activities within the distribution utility or through an affiliate. Additional information is available in Efficiency Opportunity Fact Sheet #2 in Appendix G. Utilities in the U.S.14 There are four main types of electricity utilities in the United States: • investor-owned utilities (IOUs) are owned by shareholders and regulated by state and federal agencies (in particular, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, or FERC); they can be vertically integrated and frequently provide a range of services including conservation and demand management, net metering services, renewables resource investment as well as non-electricity services; • public-power utilities are owned by cities, counties or native groups; city owned utilities are known as “munis”; these utilities are generally not regulated by state or federal agencies; instead they are usually regulated by locally elected officials; • cooperatives or “co-ops” are owned by their members, for example groups of farmers or ranchers; these utilities were often established to serve rural areas; like public power utilities, they are not regulated by federal or state agencies; • federal utilities are owned by the federal government; this group includes the Bonneville Power Administration and the Tennessee Valley Authority. Close to 70 per cent of U.S. customers are served by IOUs and about 30 per cent are served by public power utilities and cooperatives. 45 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 53 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM The size of U.S. distribution utilities varies widely. IOUs are typically large, often serving millions of customers over large geographic areas. The size of municipal utilities is typically determined by the magnitude of the municipality. In many cases, the desire for local control has ensured that the municipal utility has remained under the ownership of the municipality, rather than being sold to a possibly much larger IOU. Cooperatives which serve rural areas are often comparable in size to “small” Ontario utilities. U.S. Distribution Companies - Average Size California Idaho Illinois Massachusetts Michigan Montana Nebraska New York Oregon Pennsylvania Washington IOU Muni Co-op 2 million 220,500 840,000 460,000 460,000 90,000 n/a 680,000 460,000 500,000 480,000 88,000 3,900 6,500 10,000 7,400 1,000 6,500 27,000 16,000 2,400 40,000 4,100 4,800 11,000 n/a 30,000 6,600 2,300 4,500 10,500 16,700 9,000 For the entire United States, there are about 3,200 entities serving retail customers.15 Given a population of about 310 million and about 115 million electricity customers nationwide this corresponds to an average utility size of about 36,000 customers. A similar calculation for Ontario produces a substantially higher number. With a population approaching 13 million and approximately 4.8 million electricity customers, we obtain an average utility size of about 60,000. Nor is there evidence that large utilities are substantially more efficient. With the exception of Pennsylvania, in all the states that we considered, including the very populous states of California and New York, the price per kWh was lower for munis than for IOUs. (See figure on page 47.) Perhaps not surprisingly, co-op prices were usually higher than muni prices, most likely because of the density of their customer base. But even the co-op prices were often lower than those charged by the large IOUs. Furthermore, because munis are locally controlled utilities, they often expand services to include additional city or county services, such as water, waste-water, garbage, recycling, street lighting, cable and fibre telecommunication services. In addition, these utilities often focus on providing additional long-term planning and community service to their service areas. 46 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 54 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM Average Revenue per kWh by Utility Type ($/kWh) As indicated earlier, a much more detailed account of the U.S. electricity industry may be found in Appendix B. Here we summarize the most salient features of the review contained there: • First, small, medium and large distribution entities routinely co-exist side-by-side. • Second, large utilities are not necessarily the least costly. • Third, it is not uncommon for municipal utilities to be regulated by the municipality and not by the state regulator. • Fourth, U.S. utilities frequently provide multiple services such as electricity distribution, water and waste-water services. Flexibility to Conduct Street Lighting Service in the LDC Most LDCs are municipally owned, and many municipalities have expressed interest in having street lighting work assumed or managed by the company they own. In addition to cost savings estimated to be $15-million provincially, the local utility may be able to provide excellent and responsive service to the municipality. LDCs and municipalities have sought changes to the Ontario Energy Board Act to provide more clarity on the permitted activities of an electricity distribution company to specifically include the ability of an LDC to conduct street lighting services for their local municipality, if the municipality chooses to retain these services. Private contractors will continue to provide street lighting services to many municipalities, but qualified private contractors are not readily available in all areas of the province. The LDC may also be able to manage the relationship with a private contractor on behalf of the municipality, and this activity should be permitted. 47 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 55 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM While street lighting services may be provided by an LDC through an affiliate company, the cost of setting up separate corporate structures mean local utilities unnecessarily incur additional costs in order to provide these essential services to their communities. Additional information is available in Efficiency Opportunity Fact Sheet #4 in Appendix G. Distributor-owned Generation Recently, distributors have been given the opportunity to own modest amounts of distributed generation and thus a certain degree of vertical re-integration has occurred. We note that, at present, most utilities have chosen to situate this new generation within affiliates, rather than within the distribution company itself. This may be, in part, to avoid the possibility of regulatory claw-back of revenue and increased regulatory scrutiny. At the same time, it may be that economies of scope are being lost. It would be helpful to determine whether, in the absence of regulatory considerations, these utilities might have made their decisions differently. Furthermore, there are restrictions on distributor ownership of distributed generation (DG). Section 71(3) of the OEB Act restricts distributor ownership of generation facilities to “a renewable energy generation facility that does not exceed 10 megawatts”, “a generation facility that uses technology that produces power and thermal energy from a single source” and “a facility that is an energy storage facility”. The present restrictions placed on distributors reduce flexibility and opportunities for distributors to share benefits and address local system constraints through DG and other solutions. Distributors should be afforded greater flexibility in ownership of distributed generation as a separate business within the distributor, as a joint partnership with a third party, or as a rate-based asset. Distributors should be afforded greater flexibility in ownership of distributed generation as a separate business within the distributor, as a joint partnership with a third party, or as a rate-based asset. Distributors need to be allowed to partner with other private entities for renewable-energy generation in order to better take advantage of the opportunities for cogeneration and energy storage facilities. In addition, it should be made clear that distributors should be permitted to own or partner for DG facilities outside their service territory. 48 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 56 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM At a minimum, distributors should be permitted to receive payment in accordance with prevailing feed-in-tariff (FIT) schedules and to hold DG assets under any of the following arrangements: • through an affiliate, without the restrictions currently imposed by the Affiliate Relationships Code; essentially, this would be equivalent to holding DG assets within the distribution entity, while maintaining separate accounting for the assets; • within the distributor, with DG assets separated from other distribution assets; • within the distributor, with assets separated from other distribution assets, but rate based and earning a regulated rate of return, as part of a local integrated resource plan or in the event that the FIT program is phased out. The current restriction to renewable facilities not exceeding 10 MW was evidently based on typical technical limits for connecting to distribution systems. However, some distribution systems in the Province can integrate larger units and for this reason the restriction should be removed. Furthermore, non-renewable DG is a necessary complement to variable renewable DG, and should be a permitted activity for distributors. Energy storage facilities are an important complement to intermittent generation. Such facilities can benefit both local ratepayers and more distant customers by improving local distribution system reliability through the discharge of power at times of local distribution system constraints, thus reducing the need for new incremental distribution capacity. If the FIT program is phased out, distributors would want the option to incorporate distributed generation within the rate base. Local dispatchable generation provides benefits to ratepayers through reduced line losses, improved power quality, congestion relief and deferred infrastructure. Additional information on reducing regulatory constraints on scope expansion can be found in Efficiency Opportunity Fact Sheet #1 in Appendix G. 49 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 57 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM D.Changes to the CDM Framework Overview The role of Ontario’s distribution companies in conservation activities goes back many years. During the Second World War, Ontario LDCs first introduced conservation to Ontario consumers as part of Canada’s war effort. Some forty years later, when conservation again became a public objective, Ontario LDCs were at the forefront of development and delivery of conservation programs. Prior to the centralization of conservation programs within the OPA, distributors were already developing local CDM programs. Indeed, many of the OPA programs introduced in 2006 had already been developed, tested, refined and managed by Ontario LDCs. Among these: • peaksaver PLUS — which was initiated by Toronto Hydro and that is now in place province-wide; • Great Refrigerator Round-Up — LDCs in the Greater Toronto Area led an initiative that has been incorporated into a Province-wide Program; • Demand Response — which is based on Greater Sudbury Hydro’s “Shed a Kilowatt” program and other distributor load-management programs. It is essential to recognize that conservation programs need to be designed to meet local conditions and needs. The demand for electricity varies significantly. It depends on weather and climate conditions, the mix of customers, the types of industrial uses of electricity in particular and energy more generally, and the seasonal and temporal patterns of use. These factors in turn affect the potential for resource conservation through reduced usage, changes in patterns of use, and substitution of alternatives.16 For example, Northern Ontario communities are winter-peaking and require different conservation programs than Southern Ontario communities where demand often peaks in the summer due to air-conditioning load. Local distribution companies are best suited to take these factors into account in the design and delivery of CDM programs. The EDA has also concluded that there are systemic flaws with the current 2011-14 CDM policy framework, which we outline in detail below. This may result in undesired outcomes for the Ontario Government and for LDCs. LDCs will have difficulty achieving their mandated targets due to lack of effective programs for consumers, slow rollout of provincially mandated OPA programs and lack of collaborative and unique LDC programs.17 The Environmental Commissioner of Ontario (ECO) has expressed similar concerns.18 There are systemic flaws with the current 2011-14 CDM policy framework. 50 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 58 7/18/12 5:30:36 PM The current CDM framework also makes ineffective use of ratepayer funds. Less than one-third of Tier 1 CDM programs currently in the market are producing significant savings. Funding is being spent on CDM programs regardless of a program’s ability to deliver actual energy savings. Permitting LDCs to lead conservation will result in more cost-effective CDM. Furthermore, there is a lack of innovation because of strict restrictions by the OEB on programs that are designed by individual utilities or groups of utilities (i.e., Tier 2 and Tier 3 programs). There is also a lack of long-term commitment to any CDM framework by government which hinders the creation of a culture of conservation in Ontario. (This is strikingly different from governmental commitment to FIT programs through long-term contracts.) LDC investment in the development of internal capacity to meet evolving customer needs and in the delivery of ongoing programs which could achieve persistent savings is therefore hindered. Recent History of the CDM Framework in Ontario The recent history of CDM in Ontario can be divided into three periods, during which we have seen a gradual movement away from a decentralized approach and towards a much more centralized model: • during 2005-2007, (the so-called “Third-Tranche” period), LDCs designed and delivered custom CDM programs within their service territories; • for the period 2007-2010, LDCs contracted with the OPA to deliver standard programs designed by the OPA; LDCs were also able to apply to the OEB for custom programs; • the current CDM framework, which is in place for 2011-2014, LDCs are required to work towards achieving OEB-mandated targets by 2014 using OPA programs and utilities have the option to apply for LDC-specific and/or collaborative CDM programs. Arguably the most successful and innovative CDM programs were developed during the “Third Tranche” era. Province-wide OPA programs such as the “Great Refrigerator Round-up”, “peaksaver”, the “Electricity Retrofit Incentive Program” (ERIP) and Demand Response which are currently being delivered as part of the 2011-2014 suite of CDM Programs were first developed by LDCs during this period. The OEB examined CDM “Third-Tranche” programs conducted by utilities and found that LDCs were successful in delivering CDM programs. The assessment was based in part on an examination of “benefit-to-cost ratios reported in distributor’s 2008 CDM annual reports”. The study concluded that LDCs were delivering programs to Ontarians in a “cost-effective manner”.19 A Ministerial Directive dated March 31, 2010 directed the OEB to establish CDM targets for each distributor that totalled 1,330 MW of provincial peak demand savings and 6,000 GWh of reduced electricity consumption over the four-year period. The Government also directed the OEB to amend the distributors licence so that the target was a condition of licence. The OEB followed the directive and in addition, established parameters under which LDCs were allowed to design, develop and deliver CDM Programs. 51 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 59 7/18/12 5:30:37 PM At present, LDCs are approaching the halfway point of the current framework. Though there have been some benefits to LDCs and consumers, on the whole, as a result of inefficiencies in the current framework, LDCs have been tracking below their mandated targets. Furthermore, not all segments of Ontario consumers are getting access to and participating equally in CDM programs. Multi-year CDM program funding has provided some level of certainty for LDCs, albeit only for a four year time period. Consumers have benefitted to a degree since all LDCs in the Province are participating in CDM delivery. If not for the problems articulated below, all consumers would have access and be able to participate in conservation. Large industrial and commercial/institutional consumers have also benefitted and are producing savings. As mentioned earlier, some of these programs can trace their origins back to the “Third-Tranche” era. Inefficiencies in the Current Framework The move towards a more centralized approach has not led to efficiencies in delivering CDM; arguably it has created the opposite effect. Before proposing remedies, we provide details with respect to each of those that the EDA has been able to identify through its members. 1. CDM Program Implementation Issues A number of program implementation issues have arisen, mainly as a result of poor program design and a lack of properly allocated resources. A few examples follow. • The Application Process for the New Home Construction Initiative under the Residential Program is cumbersome. Feedback from the building developer and contractor community suggests the program will not attract wide participation unless significant program design changes are implemented to streamline the application process. Changes that have been recommended to the OPA have met with approval delays and are unlikely to be implemented in time to produce meaningful results during the period of the current plan. • Program elements such as the Direct Install Space Cooling Initiative, Midstream Electronics Initiative and Midstream Pool Initiative have not been made available by the OPA even though the initiative was finalized in early 2011. As a result, LDCs, particularly those with a large proportion of residential customers, are missing out on opportunities to implement potentially important energy-savings programs. The Residential Demand Response Program is not expected to be delivered on a Province-wide level until the end of 2012 at which time two years of potential savings would have been foregone by the LDCs and by the Province. 52 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 60 7/18/12 5:30:37 PM • The Residential Demand Response/peaksaver program has not developed successfully because of delays in finalizing the technological requirements and funding levels of the “In-home Display” device. Many LDCs are struggling to find a device that works synchronously with their meter technology, provides a substantial in-home energy monitoring tool for customers and remains within the allotted budget established by the OPA. The Residential Demand Response Program is not expected to be delivered on a Province-wide level until the end of 2012 at which time two years of potential savings would have been foregone by the LDCs and by the Province. 2. iCon Functionality The OPA’s iCon system has become an ineffective management tool for LDCs, suppliers and customers. It was originally intended to be a portal through which customers could apply for programs and check application status, and LDCs could process customer applications. However, customers have indicated that the portal is onerous to navigate and has incomplete sections, resulting in customers losing interest in applying for CDM programs. Applications and supporting materials for several programs and initiatives are not available on the website. Where they are available, online applications are evidently not processed in a timely fashion. As a result, LDCs are losing potential program participants due to customer frustrations with the iCon system. Many LDCs have resorted to using their own resources to help customers in completing online applications. 3. Roll out of CDM Programs Several programs and initiatives were not available as of January 1, 2011 because of legal issues with the schedules and because of resource constraints at the OPA. Due to the slow rollout of programs, very few LDCs, if any, are following their original CDM strategy filed with the OEB. Many anticipate re-filing new plans every year as a result of the uncertainty with program rollout. The slow rollout of programs has resulted in loss of energy-saving opportunities and has compromised the achievement of original targets. 4. Reach of CDM Programs Perhaps with the exception of OPA programs that target large industrial and commercial/institutional consumers, much of the provincial customer base remains underserved with the existing suite of programs. For example, there are few if any programs that specifically target small businesses. With the exception of OPA programs that target large industrial and commercial/institutional consumers, much of the provincial customer base remains underserved with the existing suite of programs. The residential-specific programs that are in market, such as the Appliance Exchange Initiative, have reached their saturation point and have high degree of free ridership, leading to minimal savings for LDCs. 53 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 61 7/18/12 5:30:37 PM 5. Delays in Payment by the OPA Timely payment of CDM project invoices remains an ongoing concern for LDCs. In some cases, LDCs have not received payment for pre-2011 CDM programs (delays of 12 to 18 months). Although payment delays are not in concordance with the Master CDM Program Agreement, delays have continued. While larger LDCs have fared relatively better and have, thus far, been able to pay customers and/or vendors (they have put their own cash flow at risk), medium and smaller LDCs and their vendors are facing cash constraints on a regular basis. In some cases, contractors have notified LDCs of postponement of CDM services. 6. Culture of Conservation Not Being Nurtured With the lack of effective residential and small business programs coupled with a “hard stop” of 2014 for all current CDM programs, a culture of conservation in the province is not being allowed to grow. The short-sighted time frame with a 2014 end-date limits the incentive for LDC to grow and develop their internal CDM capacity. 7. Innovation Thwarted The current framework had envisioned that approximately 20 per cent of LDC energy savings would come from LDC-proposed (and OEB-approved) CDM programs, (known as Tier 2 and 3 programs). The intent was to provide LDCs with the flexibility to tailor programs to their specific consumers, subject to certain conditions. Those conditions included the requirement that OEB-approved programs not be duplicative of existing or planned OPA-contracted Province-wide programs. In late 2010, Toronto Hydro and Hydro One submitted individual applications to have their Tier 2 and/or 3 programs approved by the OEB. The OEB rejected most of Toronto Hydro’s proposed programs primarily because the OEB saw them as being “duplicative” to existing programs. (Hydro One withdrew its applications.) The EDA and the LDC sector vehemently objected to the decision. Particularly incongruous was the OEB statement that, evidently based on the OPA testimony, the Tier 1 Programs are fully capable of enabling distributors to meet 100 per cent of their mandated CDM targets without the addition of Tier 2 and 3 programs. As mentioned, the current framework envisioned that approximately 80 per cent of the Province’s energy savings and peak demand reduction goals could be achieved through OPA province-wide programs. The EDA and LDCs also objected to the overly stringent duplication guideline that has been set by the OEB. Additionally, as part of the decision, the OEB requested that the OPA develop an approach to screen proposed LDC Programs for “duplication” during future application processes. This clearly is beyond the scope of the OPA duties. The Government has specifically directed that the OPA develop province-wide programs in collaboration with the LDCs. No role in the approval of Tier 2 and/or 3 Programs was given to the OPA. The EDA feels that a pre-screening process increases the layers of bureaucracy and adds unnecessary expense to the LDCs in obtaining program approval. 54 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 62 7/18/12 5:30:37 PM It is not surprising that in the present regulatory environment, there have been no further applications by LDCs for Tier 2 and/or 3 CDM programs. Current impediments to LDC originated CDM initiatives are thwarting a critical innovation channel. A pre-screening process increases the layers of bureaucracy and adds unnecessary expense to the LDCs in obtaining program approval. Additional information is available in Efficiency Opportunity Fact Sheet #6 in Appendix G. A Business Approach to CDM In the view of the EDA, it is important to move towards a “business approach” which will allow LDCs to incur the financial risk and rewards in designing and delivering CDM programs at the local level in order to meet local circumstances. This will require the devolution of responsibility for program design and delivery, target setting, and funding to the LDCs from the OPA or its descendant. After consulting with its membership, the EDA has produced recommendations on a new CDM policy framework for Ontario to produce cost-effective, customer-centered CDM programs. The full report “Innovation from the Ground Up: Locally Driven Conservation” may be found in Appendix H of this submission. A “business approach” will allow LDCs to incur the financial risk and rewards in designing and delivering CDM programs at the local level in order to meet local circumstances. 55 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 63 7/18/12 5:30:37 PM The key principles upon which the recommendations are based are as follows: • The CDM framework should be designed to achieve the maximum cost-effective CDM, over long time periods. • The framework should enable innovation. • The framework should promote the development of local capacity to design and deliver CDM in Ontario. • The CDM framework should establish the role of LDCs in CDM over a longer time period. • The regulatory processes associated with CDM should balance scrutiny with simplicity. • LDC CDM activities should be customer-centered. • LDCs should have an appropriate level of control over outcomes, and should be fairly compensated. The approach envisions that LDCs will take on full responsibility for funding, designing and delivering CDM programs. LDC commitment to CDM should be in line with the timelines reflected in the province’s Long Term Energy Plan (LTEP) (2030). The government would need to affirm that the LDCs will be responsible for CDM as part of the LTEP until 2030. In exchange for the increased risk there would be commensurate incentives for the electricity savings which would be verified by a third party. Rewards would be based on the number of kW of capacity and kWh of energy that are being saved. Poorly designed programs would not be rewarded. LDCs could work individually, in groups and/or with the EDA. There are important benefits to the business approach: Innovation, efficiency and learning. The business approach will promote innovation, as all LDCs will have the opportunity and incentive to design creative and cost-effective programs. In earlier years, LDCs demonstrated their ability to design good CDM programs. As indicated above, many of these programs were then adopted as the basis for provincial programs. Third parties may also have the opportunity to design programs for LDCs, thus further promoting innovation and competition. The business approach will promote efficiency and economies of scale. LDCs have clearly demonstrated their ability to work together in many areas. (Appendix C contains numerous examples.) Groups of LDCs with similar customers will also work together to design locally relevant programs. New or modified programs that are effective in one service territory will be expanded to other areas, thus promoting continual improvement and learning. Maximum cost-effective CDM. With reduced regulation and the potential for significant and sustained rewards, LDCs will be better motivated to aggressively pursue maximum costeffective electricity efficiency. Energy efficiency is the least-cost and least-harmful means of addressing supply issues. Investing in the most cost-effective CDM will reduce electricity costs for consumers. It will also support the province’s objectives of energy security, environmental sustainability, and competitiveness. 56 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 64 7/18/12 5:30:37 PM Financial benefits for the province and ratepayers. The province will have a guarantee that its resources are well spent – it will pay LDCs for only electricity savings. The payments to LDCs will be less than the full value of CDM to the province. Fair rewards for LDCs’ efforts. Because of the significant opportunities for profit, CDM will become integrated into LDCs as a core business activity. Shareholders will be more enthusiastic about CDM activities, and will feel that they are fairly rewarded for their CDM efforts. CDM that benefits customers. LDCs understand their customers, and will design programs that meet their needs. Innovation and improvement in program design will also benefit customers and provide them with choices for better managing their bills. Furthermore, programs will stay in market as long as they are well-received by customers and are costeffective for LDCs. Alignment of risks, control and rewards. Finally, the business approach aligns risk, control and reward by allowing LDCs to fund, design and deliver CDM programs – and to be fairly rewarded for the associated benefits to the province and to rate-payers. In order to implement this business approach to CDM, several steps need to be taken. The process used to establish the FIT may be used as a model for CDM. However, while FIT prices are typically much higher than the cost of newly constructed conventional electricity generation, CDM prices will be lower. In order to effectively implement this plan, the province should determine the appropriate payment per kW and kWh of savings delivered through CDM. This can be achieved through a process involving LDCs, the OPA and other energy sector stakeholders. Payment levels should be based on the cost of new generation. (For example, after consultation, the province might conclude it should be willing to pay up to 80 per cent of the cost of new generation.) Once this value is determined, it should be locked down for a certain number of years, to enable LDCs to undertake CDM planning. The value could be recalibrated every few years for new programs to account for the changing costs of electricity. The province can begin to offer per-unit payments immediately, for custom CDM programs funded by LDCs. LDCs that want to invest corporate or investor money into custom programs can apply for the CDM payment for the energy savings they achieve. OPA programs can still continue, enabling all LDCs to maintain their current CDM activities and progress towards targets. An appropriate application and approval process would be required to ensure that these custom programs do not claim savings generated by OPA programs. Applications to the OPA (as under the FIT program) would also confirm appropriate evaluation methods and would provide a level of awareness/assurance to the province and to the LDCs. If no LDCs choose to provide CDM for the pre-determined payment level, the province will not bear any costs. If LDCs are able to design and deliver cost-effective programs using corporate or investor resources, both LDCs and the province will benefit. 57 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 65 7/18/12 5:30:37 PM The approach proposed here combines local autonomy, inventiveness and innovation resulting from a diversity of approaches, and programs that exploit scale economies that arise from combined efforts of few or many utilities. Additional information is available in Appendix H. On-bill Financing of CDM Consistent with a business approach and improved scope economies, utilities should be given the authority to extend financing to their customers for CDM investments. Customers seeking to make a long-term capital investment in order to reduce consumption as part of a CDM program may need to engage in an onerous process to obtain funding from a conventional bank or other financial institution. This in turn may reduce the uptake of current CDM programs. Indeed, in many cases, substantial up-front subsidies or tax breaks are required to induce consumers to participate. Utilities should be given the authority to extend financing to their customers for CDM investments. In order to implement such a program, S. 71 of the OEB Act would need to be amended. Under this proposal, local utilities could offer low-interest loans. The customer would repay the loan through an add-on to the standard bill. Energy savings resulting from the investment would help to offset a portion of the costs. Such a program would be beneficial to customers seeking to upgrade a heating system, insulate their homes, install new lighting or undertake some other utility-approved efficiency investment. Furthermore, as noted, some current CDM projects provide a significant direct financial subsidy to encourage customers to participate, raising overall costs for the project. On-bill financing could be used to reduce the need for significant upfront subsidies thus lowering the cost to other customers. We note that on-bill financing is already being provided by many U.S. electric utilities. With the LDC offering financial services, a customer can access funds and repayment options through its utility where it already has a trusted, long-standing relationship with a business that has strong and deep roots in the local community to foster greater participation in conservation programs requiring capital investments. Additional information is available in Efficiency Opportunity Fact Sheet #7 in Appendix G. 58 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 66 7/18/12 5:30:37 PM E.Efficiencies Through Curtailment of Electricity Retailers During the period of market deregulation, which occurred in the industry at the beginning of the previous decade, electricity retailers were allowed to enter the electricity system to offer customers the benefits of competition and choice. Although the formation of an open market was eventually abandoned and regulated electricity rates retained, electricity retailers continue to do business in Ontario. Under the current system and for residential customers, they are in effect outliers and their continued presence affects the entire rate base. The electricity retailer concept, legislated in Part V.1 of the OEB Act, provided that in a competitive market, retailers would be allowed to serve consumers by allowing them to pay higher electricity rates in exchange for the price stability and predictability that a fixed contract provides. Retailers could also offer other services, such as energy-saving programs, energy audits, equipment maintenance or the option to have a portion of the rate support renewable energy projects. After the Province turned away from the open market concept, the OEB developed an electricity price plan that provided stable and predictable electricity pricing and ensured the price consumers pay for electricity better reflected the price paid to generators. The OEB’s Regulated Price Plan (RPP) in effect diminished the need for electricity retailers in Ontario by addressing the consumer’s desire for predictable electricity rates. The OEB reviews the RPP twice a year to better reflect the true cost of producing electricity while at the same time providing stable rates for customers. Despite the impact the RPP has had on the need for electricity retailers, in recent years, legislative attention has focused more on retailer practices. The government’s Electricity Consumer Protection Act (ECPA) was passed in 2010 as a response to electricity retailers whose business practices were increasingly viewed by the public as questionable. The new rules in the ECPA addressed the most common complaints that the OEB received relating to retailers, specifically the provision to customers of copies of their contracts, improper procedures for reaffirmation calls, and poor business practices relating to renewals. Retailer practices such as door-to-door sales and the provision of potentially misleading informtion to customers accounts for 70-90 per cent of complaint calls to the OEB. Customers, concerned about rising electricity prices, may be signing with the belief that future higher prices can be avoided by contracting with a retailer, even though most of the projected price increases will be included in the “global adjustment”. Contracts with retailers are typically for the cost of power, and may not protect against increases in delivery, regulatory, global adjustment or other non-energy charges. As a result of the ECPA, the OEB has expanded its regulatory oversight of electricity retailers. The costs associated with expanding regulatory tasks have an impact on the entire rate base. 59 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 67 7/18/12 5:30:37 PM With a RPP structure that provides stability and predictability in price and electricity retailers whose presence is a net cost to the regulatory system as a whole, government should curtail the role of electricity retailers by: 1. Disallowing further electricity retailer contracts for residential customers This may require that the Provincial government revisit the legislative and regulatory stipulations that allow for electricity retailers in Ontario, specifically Part V.1 of the OEB Act. 2. Phasing out existing contracts with residential customers by allowing them to expire All standing contracts held between customers and electricity retailers should be allowed to expire. The retailer will not be allowed to seek renewals with customers and the contracts will be void on the expiry date. The Minister should use his powers as outlined in Section 1.2 of the ECPA to educate and advise consumers of the impending change. 3. Electricity retailing should only continue in circumstances where the value proposition can be clearly demonstrated for institutional, industrial, and commercial customers. Non-residential customers are better suited to make the complex business decisions associated with contracted electricity rates. Large businesses and power consumers may find value in a retailer arrangement, but such retailers should remain under the authority of the OEB and should demonstrate their value proposition to the regulator. According to the Ontario Auditor General’s 2011 Annual Report, approximately 15 per cent of the Province’s customers are currently signed up with a retailer and are paying between 35 to 65 per cent more than customers paying RPP rates to their LDCs.20 Phasing out the role of electricity retailers for residential customers will save the electricity system approximately $260-million annually based on a 50 per cent premium compared with RPP rates. Additionally, LDCs and customers will benefit from reduced costs related to billing settlement processes, collections on defaults, and reduced need for regulatory oversight. Phasing out the role of electricity retailers for residential customers will save the electricity system approximately $260-million annually These significant cost savings are a result of reduced regulatory oversight and costs for enforcement for non-compliant retailers, reduced distribution costs, reduced customer complaints and better price signals and demand response as all formerly retailer contracted residential customers will be on TOU rates. 60 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 68 7/18/12 5:30:37 PM F. Estimates of Potential Efficiency Gains As we have outlined earlier, a centralized and directed approach to consolidation is unlikely to achieve material savings and indeed the costs of such restructuring could exceed the benefits. We therefore recommend that the panel consider other meaningful efficiency improving measures along the lines that we have discussed. In order to provide a magnitude of the potential efficiency savings, we have conducted analysis on the potential savings to customers to be approximately $540-million broken down as follows: • expansion of the scope of LDC operations to manage water and waste-water services − $180-million assuming seven per cent savings on total distribution costs of all LDCs annually • permission for LDCs to carry out street lighting work − $15-million • expansion of LDC role in the development of CDM programs that are suitable to customer needs and that deliver programs without OPA involvement − $20-million annually • improvement of the regulatory framework within which LDCs operate $15-million which represents 33 per cent of the current expense for LDCs • curtailment of energy retailer operations in the residential sector assuming 15 per cent are currently on retail contracts − $260-million • voluntary consolidation of LDCs at $50-million21 Potential savings to customers are estimated to be approximately $540-million. With Province-wide electricity bills exceeding $12.8-billion, these savings should have a beneficial impact of reducing overall customer costs by almost five per cent. Additional information can be found in Efficiency Opportunity Fact Sheets in Appendix G. 61 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 69 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM Alternative Industry Models It has been suggested by some that Ontario has too many distributors and that there are substantial scale economies that could be realized through consolidation within this sector. As noted earlier, Ontario is presently served by approximately 75 distributors of widely varying size. This is far fewer than was the case in the 1990s when there were over 300 distributors (in 1975 there were 353 distributors). A separate issue is whether, going forward, there will be new scale economies to be realized as distributors become progressively more involved in implementing smart technologies and ownership of distributed generation. This is an open question, the answer to which cannot be preordained from existing data. However, we note that in other jurisdictions, for example various states in the U.S., which are pursuing smart technologies, it is not uncommon to have many utilities of varying sizes existing side by side. Furthermore, as is evident from the many examples contained in the Appendix C, expansion is not a necessary condition for technology adoption and diffusion, or for achievement of scale economies across utilities. With these considerations in mind, we propose several graduated models for the distribution segment of the Ontario electricity industry. The first is essentially the status quo, without implementation of the efficiency enhancements described in this paper. The second allows the introduction of some new incentives which promote economies of scope. The third creates incentives for expansion of utilities to their municipal boundaries. The fourth envisions an end-goal of shoulder-to-shoulder utilities. We do not see these models as discrete alternatives, but rather as lying along a progression, with each encompassing its predecessor. We see scope economies as representing an attractive source of efficiency improvement and therefore the pursuit of scope economies comprises a core part of our models. The central goal underlying the sequence of models is the creation of efficient, robust, well-resourced, and where possible, shoulder-to-shoulder utilities through voluntary transactions. In all cases we see an expanding role for municipal distributors. At its root, this expansion is driven by three technological shifts. The proliferation of renewable distributed generation, the expansion of conservation programs, and an increasingly information-based (smart) grid. Furthermore, while electricity transmission is a function best performed by a single utility operating over a wide geographic area, distribution of electricity over much smaller areas, such as municipalities, enhances accountability, provides for the opportunity to exploit scope economies by allying with other local or municipal services, and allows a diversity of approaches and business models. 62 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 70 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM The central goal underlying the sequence of models is the creation of efficient, robust, well-resourced, and where possible, shoulder-to-shoulder utilities through voluntary transactions. A.Model 1: Status Quo The “status quo” model assumes continuation of the present industry structure and regulatory and legislative framework. Continuing on the present path would not cause one to anticipate disaster – there is no imminent crisis that is looming. However, pressures are building. First, regulation is becoming progressively more onerous and an obstacle to change. Second, distribution infrastructure is aging and in need of capital investment. Third, there is an expanding gap between provincial CDM aspirations, and the ability of the system to reach the targets under the present regime. The most visible challenges to the industry as a whole reside in the generation segment, in particular upward cost pressures associated with the nuclear program and renewable generation. While the “status quo” may be able to sustain itself for a period of time, the overarching disadvantages of maintaining the status quo in the distribution segment of the industry are the foregone efficiency gains achievable through scope economies and regulatory streamlining, and the continuation of restrictions on further evolution. B.Model 2: Expansion of Incentives and Opportunities Presently, municipally owned distributors are constrained in their ability to exploit economies of scope. They are also limited in their ability to acquire other distributors due to capital constraints, for example, municipalities are not permitted to reinvest in their local distributor. This model would develop incentives and mechanisms that would expand economies of scope and encourage voluntary amalgamations that would bring scale efficiencies and benefits to customers and shareholders. Incentives and mechanisms would focus on • enhancing growth through scope by reducing regulatory and other barriers; 63 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 71 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM • facilitating more access to equity by the LDC/shareholder through regulatory and legislative changes; • and, expanding shared services between utilities. In order to achieve these objectives, regulatory or legislative changes may be required. Earlier we have listed 18 possible areas of activity which could broaden the scope of LDC activities. Many of these would require significant regulatory changes and a revised regulatory approach. For example, decentralization of CDM design would imply a fundamental change in the direction of recent policy. Procurement of non-renewable and larger renewable generation by LDCs would require revisions to legislation. (Local non-renewable or conventional generation that is dispatchable will be increasingly desirable in order to balance intermittent renewable supply.) Expansion of LDC activity into other municipal services (such as water, waste-water, street lighting, energy from waste and district heating) would be greatly enhanced by changes to legislation that specifically authorize multi-utilities and by a fundamental rethinking of the Affiliate Relationships Code. Other areas of potential LDC activity are associated with nascent or immature technologies. Among these are energy storage technologies and electric vehicle charging infrastructure. The electricity industry is by nature one that breeds a risk-averse culture because of the overarching mandates for safety and reliability. The electricity industry is by nature one that breeds a risk-averse culture because of the overarching mandates for safety and reliability. But the current regulatory and policy environment within which Ontario LDCs operate is far more restrictive than necessary in areas unrelated to these two mandates. In fact, the scarcity of regulatory incentives for innovation, for example with respect to scope economies, reinforces risk-averse tendencies. Model 2 therefore focuses on the elimination of unnecessary constraints and the creation of productive incentives and opportunities. In all cases, a high degree of regulatory certainty is essential if innovative paths are to be followed. C.Model 3: Expansion of LDCs to Municipal Boundaries Model 3 would permit, encourage and incent LDCs to expand to municipal boundaries as a means to foster greater scale, improved efficiency and consistent customer service. (It is important to reemphasize that Model 3 is intended to build on the elements that would have already been in place under Model 2.) Prior to 1999, municipal electric distributors were permitted to expand their service territories to municipal boundaries under the Power Corporation Act (PCA). The Power Corporation Amendment Act 1994 (Bill 185) encouraged municipalities to pass by-laws in order to assume control and management of the distribution assets within their entire municipal boundaries. At the discretion of the municipality, the acquisition could be conducted in phases. The legislation set out a number of conditions and provided for the transfer of employees and assets from Ontario Hydro to the municipal 64 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 72 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM commission at cost less the customer equity invested in the distribution system that had been built to serve them. Bill 185 also transferred the rural rate assistance associated with those customers to the expanding commission on a declining basis from 100 to 0 per cent over five years. This provision for expansion by municipal distributors was removed with the introduction of Bill 35, the Energy Competition Act, 1998, which enacted the Electricity Act and the Ontario Energy Board Act, and revoked the Power Corporation Act. Over the years, municipalities have continued to receive requests from local residents who wish to be served by the local distributor. Under the present arrangement, distributors seeking to expand are required to negotiate a purchase of the assets serving the customers of the provincially owned distributor. Model 3 proposes that the intent of the previous provisions under the Power Corporation Act which facilitated expansion of LDCs to municipal boundaries be reconsidered. Expansions of this type will benefit the customers seeking to be served by the local utility. The added local customers will allow further economies of scale for the LDC. If necessary, provision could be made for density based rates, similar to those offered by the provincial distributor (i.e., different cost-based rates for rural and urban customers). Hydro One may lose some of its more dense service territory possibly leading to higher rates for the remaining Hydro One retail customers. In the alternative, rural-rate assistance may need to be increased, which could result in the same total assistance directed to a smaller group of low density customers. D.Model 4: Shoulder-to-Shoulder Robust Efficient LDCs Once the elements of Models 2 and 3 have been implemented, then it may be appropriate to incent and encourage all distributors including the Provincial government to consider allocating the remaining provincial assets to expanded distributors. The Province could participate as an equity partner, an operating partner, or both. Alternatively, the distribution assets could be sold, over time, to distributors. The objective would be to move towards a model of shoulder-to-shoulder distributors that are robust and efficient, operate where appropriate as multi-utilities, potentially have multiple shareholders, are responsive to their respective communities, and engage in progressive and innovative projects. One of the principles which underlies this model is the potential for gains arising out of economies of contiguity. The technology of electricity distribution is such that it is more efficient to serve customers that populate a contiguous, self-contained area. A single utility may serve multiple areas, but it is preferable if each of its service areas is of sufficient size so that economies of scale are also realized. The technology of electricity distribution is such that it is more efficient to serve customers that populate a contiguous, self-contained area. 65 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 73 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM It is worthwhile to consider the extent to which the geographic pattern of Ontario distribution meets the contiguity criterion. • The largest concentration of population is in the Golden Horseshoe which is served by a series of contiguous utilities. Collectively these represent approximately 45 per cent of customers in Ontario. • Hydro One Networks serves approximately 25 per cent of Ontario customers. • Several utilities provide service to multiple non-contiguous areas. An expansion of their service territories to create contiguous zones to the extent possible may be worthy of consideration. • There are a number of utilities which are surrounded by vast expanses of land with very low population density. The spatial distribution of customers in Ontario suggests a second alternative to Model 4 under which a cooperative utility to serve low-density and remote communities could be created. Shoulder-to-shoulder utilities would form voluntarily where possible and practical. It may be that widely dispersed customers may be best served by a utility specifically designated to serve low-density or remote customers that do not naturally fall into the catchment area of one or another municipaltype utility. Density-based rates and a rural-rate assistance program would need to be evaluated if this path is selected. The EDA does not view expanding the Provincial government’s role in distribution as an efficient or desirable consolidation option. E.Implementation Alternatives We outline two options for implementation of the above sequence of models. In all cases, we believe that certain core components can be implemented with relative ease, in part because they involve rescinding certain current policies and regulations, or revisiting the intent of previous policies and legislation. Among these are the decentralization and devolution of CDM design to LDCs, a permissive policy and regulatory stance toward the multi-utility model, and revisiting the right of LDCs to expand to municipal boundaries. None of these recommendations represents uncharted territory. However, the pace of change and the end-state depend largely on the structure of legislative and regulatory changes, and the intentions and resolve of the Government. 66 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 74 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM Option A: Under this alternative, the Provincial government and regulator proceed with the necessary changes to enable the above sequence of models, but do not predetermine the end-state. It may be that the next status quo is a version of Model 2 or Model 3. Essentially, the focus is on changes in the setting within which LDCs evolve, and not on the final state. Option B: Under this alternative, it is concluded that the Province is best served by shoulder-to-shoulder distributors, i.e., Model 4. Therefore, the Government and regulator then proceed with promoting the realization of Model 4. Option A focuses on changes in the setting within which utilities operate. Option B focuses on the “end-state” structure for the distribution industry. The EDA is willing and fully prepared to work with the Provincial government, utilities and stakeholders to determine the preferred option. The pace of change and the end-state depend largely on the structure of legislative and regulatory changes, and the intentions and resolve of the Provincial government. 67 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 75 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM Conclusions and Recommendations LDCs have safely and reliably delivered electricity for over 100 years through locally based companies. Prior to 1998, LDCs offered numerous services to customers and their local municipality. The Energy Competition Act changed the LDC role dramatically. Over the past decade, the pendulum is shifting back towards an expanding LDC role. There is an opportunity now to improve efficiencies relating to regulation, economies of scope and scale. Devolution of CDM program design and development to distributors will be both efficiency improving and more efficacious than the present approach. The internal structure of wires companies should be permitted to evolve in order to exploit potential economies of scope. The separation of wires functions from other activities, that is unbundling, was sensible at a time when the main objective was to open the industry to maximum competition. That model has long since been abandoned and combining some activities, to the extent that it reduces costs, may be appropriate and should be pursued where beneficial. Ontario is at the forefront in a number of areas of electricity industry development. This, combined with a broader electricity industry structure that differs from most jurisdictions, suggests that one cannot simply look for formulaic solutions or templates elsewhere. The Ontario electricity industry underwent major changes during the last decade and a half, at very considerable cost. In hindsight, given where the industry is today, the necessary changes could have been achieved at much lower overall costs. Radical change today is also likely to be costly. We have evaluated several graduated models for the distribution segment of the industry. There are multiple nuanced differences among these models: no model is uniformly better than the others. The most promising path for evolving the structure of the distribution segment of the industry is to proceed on a voluntary basis. The best available empirical evidence indicates that the most promising path for evolving the structure of the distribution segment of the industry is to proceed on a voluntary basis. Strategic and advantageous mergers will occur as long as there are sufficient incentives to do so. Utilities that are at the forefront of developing new and better business models will lead the way. 68 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 76 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM Transmission and distribution functions are changing and emerging information-based technologies require the development of new functional capabilities. Foremost among these are the incorporation of distributed generation and the integration and expanded utilization of smart-meter and smart-grid systems. It should be recognized that these technologies alter the risk profile of distribution utilities which, when these risks achieve materiality, should be reflected in the returns that utilities are permitted to earn. Regulatory costs have grown steadily over the last decade and on their present path are likely to grow still further. The intervenor process, although an important part of the review process, has become a growing expense to customers. Capital expenditures to renew aging infrastructure, new conservation programs, investment in systems which can accommodate distributed generation and emerging information technologies will increase demands on regulators and wires companies. Improving and streamlining the regulatory process will be essential, but this responsibility does not reside with the regulator alone. Utilities may need to accept more risk and responsibility in order to save regulatory resources. At the same time, they should be provided with a clear opportunity to operate their businesses with as little regulatory and political intervention as possible. It is natural to ask whether, after a decade of structural and legislative changes, we are in a better place. Considerable resources have been expended on restructuring resulting in a substantially more elaborate institutional structure. In parallel, regulatory and administrative expenses have increased dramatically for much of the industry. The broader objectives of decentralization and deregulation have, in many ways, fallen by the wayside. Perhaps the most important lesson from the past is not to jump on the next trend too vigorously without careful reflection. Ratepayers have limited capacity for costly changes that prove to be lacking in efficiency or effectiveness. This, in turn, can endanger legitimate long-term objectives. In short, political capital must be expended wisely. The previous government embarked on a costly marketization experiment. The present government has embarked on a path fundamentally driven by the decarbonisation of the electricity sector. Both are laudable objectives. However, an armslength relationship between the political masters that set policy and the regulators who have deep institutional knowledge of the industry is the preferred approach. Perhaps the most important lesson from the past is not to jump on the next trend too vigorously without careful reflection. 69 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 77 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM Summary of Recommendations 1. Efficiency Savings. The implementation of efficiency improving measures such as enhanced regulation, expansion of scope economies, improved CDM design and delivery and curtailment of electricity retailers would reduce customer bills by about $540-million, or about five per cent of total customer electricity costs. The recommendations which will lead to these savings should therefore be implemented. 2. Regulatory Streamlining. Regulatory systems can be enhanced by flexibility to utilities whereby they could choose fast-track approvals with lesser information requirements and consolidated applications, or more detailed approval processes. Efficient utilities could receive a streamlined review based on established benchmarks or milestones. 3. Economies of Scope. There are significant opportunities for efficiency gains through economies of scope. Historically, Ontario multi-utilities exhibited on average seven per cent lower costs for electricity customers than pure distribution utilities. An Ipsos Reid survey conducted for the EDA identified 18 ways that LDCs could expand their scope of activities. Regulatory and legal impediments which limit LDC ability to engage in these activities should therefore be eliminated. 70 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 78 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM 4. Economies of Scale. Voluntary mergers among distributors may lead to further efficiency savings. However, the vast majority of Ontario electricity customers are served by electricity utilities which are sufficiently large to have achieved scale-efficiency. Mandated mergers, for the purposes of simply reducing the number of distributors and creating larger utilities, are therefore unlikely to achieve material savings and could erode yardstick competition which has a beneficial impact on efficiency and innovation. It is estimated that approximately $50-million in consolidation savings could be achieved through voluntary consolidations. 5. Technology and Innovation. Technology is a primary determinant of industry structure and therefore technological change should be a primary driver of changes in industry structure. As new technologies emerge and proliferate, there may be increased incentives for restructuring. Market forces and technology should therefore be principal drivers of change in the future structure of the industry. 6. Industry Structure. The right of LDCs to expand to municipal boundaries should be revisited. With the creation of an enabling environment, the industry may eventually be comprised of shoulder-to-shoulder utilities servicing all areas of the Province. 7. Diversity. Electricity industries, like ecosystems, have multiple participants striving to advance individual and collective interests. Within such systems, diversity is often more a benefit than a hindrance. In the Ontario electricity industry, a diversity of distributors seeking alternative business models and solutions to the challenges they face provide an important benefit to the industry as a whole. Diversity benefits need to be considered in any discussion of industry restructuring. 8. Conservation and Demand Management. CDM program design should be devolved to distributors as has been the case in the past. Distributors are best positioned to respond to local needs by designing programs that take into account local conditions. 9. On-Bill Financing. One of the obstacles to widespread adoption of conservation investments by retail consumers is the arrangement of financing. LDCs should be permitted to arrange “on-bill financing” for their customers. 10.Curtailment of Electricity Retailers. As the Province has moved away from the competitive model and introduced a regulated price plan for residential customers, there is no longer the need for electricity retailers to provide rate smoothing contracts to the residential sector. Furthermore, by offering fixed prices, electricity retailers are undermining a fundamental objective of government policy – the implementation of TOU rates. Electricity retail contracts for the residential sector should therefore be phased out. 11.Infrastructure Investment. Aging LDC infrastructure needs to be refurbished or replaced on an ongoing basis and new investment is required to meet system growth and expansion. The essentiality of electricity to the economy and to society mandates the continuation of the record of excellent service and reliability. 71 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 79 7/18/12 5:30:38 PM 12.Access to Capital. Two impediments limit LDC access to capital. First, municipalities are not permitted to invest in the utilities they own. Second, there are limitations on private-equity investments in distributors. Both impediments should be reduced in order to permit wider access to capital for Ontario’s distribution utilities. Tax-exempt status for LDCs with greater than 51 per cent of municipal ownership should be considered. 13.Smart-grid Technologies. Utilities should continue expanding their functional capabilities to accommodate new and emerging technologies such as smart-grid systems and distributed generation. Implementation of these technologies should be achieved on a cost-effective basis as determined by individual utilities and the regulator. Incentive-based approaches should be implemented where possible. 14.Distributed Generation. Distributors should be permitted to own and operate both renewable and non-renewable generation greater than 10 MW. As renewable supply increases it may be appropriate for LDCs to acquire non-renewable dispatchable generation to compensate for fluctuating renewable supplies. 15.Cooperative Ventures. Ontario utilities cooperate extensively in numerous areas which improves efficiency and diffusion of best practices. Such cooperation should be encouraged and any regulatory obstacles should be eliminated. 16.Industry Model. We consider several graduated models for the distribution segment of the Ontario electricity industry. We see these models as a progression which can be achieved sequentially. The central goal is the creation of efficient, robust, well-resourced, and where possible, shoulder-to-shoulder utilities through voluntary transactions. a. Model 1 – Status Quo. Under this model, the industry continues along its present path. While the “status quo” may be able to sustain itself for a period of time, the overarching disadvantages of maintaining the status quo in the distribution segment of the industry are the foregone efficiency gains achievable through scope economies and regulatory streamlining, and the continuation of restrictions on further evolution. b. Model 2 – Expansion of Incentives and Opportunities. This model envisions permitting utilities to operate as multi-utilities thereby enhancing economies of scope, facilitating access to capital, and encouraging expansion of shared services among utilities. c. Model 3 – Expansion of LDCs to Municipal Boundaries. This model proposes that the LDC right to expand to municipal boundaries be reconsidered, and that incentives and processes be put in place that promote this goal. d. Model 4 – Shoulder-to-Shoulder Robust Efficient LDCs. Once the elements of Models 2 and 3 have been implemented, then it may be appropriate to encourage all distributors and the provincial government to allocate the remaining provincial distribution assets not transferred by municipal utility expansion to distributors. The Province could choose to participate as an equity and/or operating partner or to sell the assets to LDCs. 72 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 80 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Many core components of the above model sequence can be implemented with relative ease, in part because they involve rescinding policies and regulations and revisiting the intent of previous legislative and policy directions. Among these are the decentralization and devolution of CDM design to LDCs, a permissive regulatory stance towards of the multi-utility model, and reinstatement of the right of LDCs to expand to municipal boundaries. None of these recommendations represent uncharted territory. However, the pace of change and the end-state depend largely on the future structure of legislation and regulation, and the intentions and resolve of the Provincial government. One of the difficulties that is likely to be encountered is the rate treatment of low-density customers. A rural-rate subsidy will be required. The establishment of a separate entity which serves these customers and which receives appropriate transfers may comprise a practical solution. The EDA does not view expanding the Provincial government’s role in distribution as an efficient or desirable consolidation option. 17.Model Implementation. We suggest two options: Option A: Under this alternative, the Provincial government and regulator proceed with the necessary changes to enable the above sequence of models, but do not predetermine the end-state. Option B: Under this alternative, the Government determines that the Province should be served by shoulder-to-shoulder distributors, i.e., Model 4. The Government and regulator then proceed to vigorously promote the realization of Model 4. Option A focuses on changes in the setting within which utilities operate. Option B focuses on the “end-state” structure for the distribution industry. The EDA is willing and fully prepared to work with the Government, utilities and stakeholders to determine the preferred option. 73 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 81 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM 74 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 82 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Appendix A: Responses to Ontario Distribution Sector Review Panel Questions Sector Review Panel Questions: a. Do you have a position on possible approaches to restructuring the utility sector, which is based on data or experience? The EDA proposes four sequential models for consideration. The first stage is status quo; the second stage provides new incentives which promote economies of scope; the third stage offers incentives to expand to municipal boundaries; and, once elements of two and three have been implemented, the fourth model envisions a move toward shoulder-to-shoulder distributors. The central goal underlying the sequence of models is the creation of efficient, robust, well-resourced, and where possible, shoulder-to-shoulder utilities through voluntary transactions. For further details see the section “Alternative Industry Models” on pages 62 to 67. b. How might such restructuring be arrived at? The EDA proposes two options for implementation, with the first requiring necessary changes to enable the sequence of the proposed models, with no predetermined end-state, and the second involving a pre-determination of a structure and changes made to realize the end-state. The pre-determination of a structure would be based on a voluntary approach achieved through consultation between LDCs and government. For more details see the “Alternative Industry Models” section, part E “Implementation Alternatives” on page 66. c. What would the costs and benefits be of such restructuring, with particular regard to the electricity ratepayer? With respect to the benefits, if voluntary consolidation of the distribution sector is done correctly the savings could be up to $50-million. There are other meaningful efficiency improvements which could provide a total of $540-million in savings if implemented. See the section “Estimates of Potential Efficiency Gains” part G on page 61 and explanations of the savings in the “Efficiency Opportunities” section on pages 33 to 61. With respect to costs, we note on page 61 that a mandated approach to consolidation is unlikely to achieve significant savings and likely the costs of such restructuring could exceed the benefits. d. What implementation issues and/or risks should be considered? The EDA has identified seven important considerations that need to be taken in account when considering consolidation. See the section “Efficiencies from Scale and Contiguity” Part B on pages 37 to 43. 75 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 83 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM e. What principles should govern restructuring? In the section “Efficiencies from Scale and Contiguity” Part B on page 39 we note that structural changes to the distribution sector should: • be voluntary and commercially based; • where possible, support contiguous or shoulder-to-shoulder mergers to optimize planning synergies; • increase levels of service and reliability to customers; • reduce costs in the short term and long term. f. Do you have any further research to share with the Panel to support your position? Research is provided in Appendices B to F which include data on the U.S. electricity distribution industry; Ontario LDC efficiencies achieved through collaboration; LDC Reliability Indicators; LDC Service Quality Indicators; and LDC Cost Performance Indicators. There is also other important data provided throughout the report. g. How can utility innovation be encouraged to ensure that utilities are prepared to meet the needs of the 21st century while providing maximum value to customers? Building on existing smart meters and moving to the next phase of innovation requires policy commitment and regulatory support that recognizes the higher initial costs in systems, equipment, and skilled resources required to obtain a longer-term benefit. For further details see the section “New and Emerging Technologies” Part B on pages 17 to 25. 76 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 84 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Appendix B: The U.S. Electricity Distribution Industry Overview of U.S. Electric Utility Structure There are four main types of electric utilities operating in the United States. These four types of utilities offer different services for their customers: Investor-owned utilities (IOUs) are for-profit companies owned by their shareholders. Investor owned utilities are regulated by State Utility Regulators. These utilities may have service territories in one or more states. Each state will provide them a “franchise” or “certificate of public convenience and necessity” to operate in specific areas of the state under certain terms and conditions. Their generation, bulk power sales, and transmission are regulated by the FERC and their distribution system and rates are regulated by the states, or in some cases by tribes. Regulated IOUs generally focus on providing electric and/or gas services to customers. Depending on the regulatory environment, these utilities provide generation, transmission, distribution, renewable-resource investment, economic-development programs, low-income programs and net-metering services. Public-power utilities are not-for-profit utilities owned by cities, counties, and tribes. City-owned utilities are referred to as municipal utilities, or “munis”. In some cases universities or military bases own and operate their own utilities. These are generally not regulated by FERC or by states, since their own local government has a legally devised system for their operation and management. Because munis are locally controlled utilities, these utilities will often expand services to include additional city or county services, such as water, waste-water, garbage, recycling, street lighting, cable and fibre telecommunication services. In addition, these utilities often focus on providing additional long-term planning and community service to their service areas. Cooperatives, or co-ops, are not-for-profit entities owned by their members. These include traditional rural utilities created by groups of farmers and ranchers who needed a way to get service to their sparsely populated areas. Historically, federal policies supported these (often more expensive) infrastructure developments through low-interest federal loans, which are now administered by the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Rural Utilities Service. Co-ops are similar to munis and provide many of the same services as munis. For most states, co-ops are also regulated by locally elected officials. Federal utilities include the Bonneville Power Administration (BPA), the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), and the Western Area Power Administration (WAPA). All three of these are wholesale-only utilities that provide electricity to other (primarily municipal- and tribal-) utilities for distribution to customers. BPA and WAPA are also called Power Marketing Administrations (PMAs). BPA and TVA own both generation and transmission facilities. WAPA is a transmission-only utility providing power from federal hydroelectric facilities in the West (operated by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, and the International Boundary and Water Commission) to other retail utilities. The federal utilities focus on providing generation and/or transmission services. 77 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 85 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM The characteristics of the U.S. electric distributors are described below according to the number of providers, end-use customers, sales (measured in megawatt-hours, MWh), generation (MWh), and revenue. The data is taken from the American Public Power Association (APPA) 2012-2013 Annual Directory & Statistical Report. Figure 1 shows the number of providers according to ownership structure. Most providers are publicly owned. Figure 1 Number of Electricity Service Providers in the U.S. Figure 2 shows the number of customers served by each electric service provider type. While there are a large number of publicly owned utilities, most customers in the U.S. are served by investor-owned utilities (IOUs). The number of customers includes both full-service and delivery-only customers. Figure 2 Number of Customers by Utility Ownership 78 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 86 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Figure 3 illustrates the MWh sales to ultimate customers. The number of customers includes both full-service and energy-only sales. Figures 2 and 3 show that power marketers have customers with above-average electricity consumption. Figure 3 MWh Sales by Utility Ownership Figure 4 illustrates generation ownership. Nearly 80 per cent of the power generation in the U.S. is provided by IOUs and Power Marketers. Figure 4 MWh Generation by Utility Ownership Lastly, Figure 5 shows the revenue collected by each utility type. Figure 5 Revenue by Utility Ownership, $Millions 79 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 87 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Table 1 summarizes the data presented above. The last column shows the quotient when revenues are divided by the MWh sales. Generally, publicly-owned utilities and cooperatives have lower rates compared with IOUs. Table 1. Summary of U.S. Electric Service Provider Data Providers Publicly Owned Utilities 61.7% Investor-Owned Utilities 6.0% Cooperatives 26.9% Federal Power Agencies 0.3% Power Marketers 5.2% Customers Sales MWh Generation MWh Revenue 14.5% 68.2% 12.8% 0.0% 4.4% 15.3% 57.3% 11.0% 1.2% 15.2% 10.0% 39.7% 5.1% 6.3% 38.9% 14.5% 60.9% 10.8% 0.5% 13.3% Average Rate (Revenues/Sales) $ $ $ $ $ 93.43 104.52 96.52 41.18 85.68 Individual State Results In order to further detail the structure of electric utilities in the U.S., specific results by State was gathered. The following sections provide summary data for several States. California California distribution consists of four co-ops, 36 munis, and six IOUs. The average size of the co-ops are 4,100 customers, while the munis have approximately 88,000 customers and the IOUs have an average of almost 2 million customers each. Figure 6 California Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh 80 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 88 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Idaho Idaho distribution consists of 17 co-ops, 11 munis, and three IOUs. The average size of the co-ops is 4,800 customers, while the munis have approximately 3,900 customers and the IOUs have an average of 220,500 customers each. Figure 7 Idaho Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh Illinois Illinois distribution consists of 27 co-ops, 41 public utilities, and six IOUs. The average size of the co-ops is 11,000 customers, while the public utilities have approximately 6,500 customers and the IOUs have an average of 838,000 customers each. Figure 8 Illinois Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh 81 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 89 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Massachusetts Massachusetts consists of 0 co-ops, 40 munis, and five IOUs. The average size of the munis is approximately 10,000 customers and the IOUs have an average of 460,000 customers each. Figure 9 Massachusetts Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh Michigan Michigan consists of 10 co-ops, 41 munis, and nine IOUs. The average size of the co-ops is 30,000 customers, while the munis have approximately 7,400 customers and the IOUs have an average of 460,000 customers each. Figure 10 Michigan Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh 82 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 90 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Montana Montana consists of 29 co-ops, one muni, and four IOUs. The average size of the co-ops is 6,600 customers, while the muni has approximately 1,000 customers and the IOUs have an average of 90,000 customers each. Figure 11 Montana Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh Nebraska Nebraska consists of 10 co-ops, 149 munis, and 0 IOUs. The average size of the co-ops is 2,300 customers, while the munis have approximately 6,500 customers. Figure 12 Nebraska Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh 83 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 91 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM New York New York consists of four co-ops, 48 munis, and eight IOUs. The average size of the co-ops is 4,500 customers, while the munis have approximately 27,000 customers and the IOUs have an average of 680,000 customers each. Figure 13 New York Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh Oregon Oregon consists of 19 co-ops, 18 munis, and three IOUs. The average size of the co-ops is 10,500 customers, while the munis have approximately 16,000 customers and the IOUs have an average of 460,000 customers each. Figure 14 Oregon Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh 84 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 92 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Pennsylvania Pennsylvania consists of 13 co-ops, 35 munis, and 11 IOUs. The average size of the co-ops is 16,700 customers, while the munis have approximately 2,400 customers and the IOUs have an average of 500,000 customers each. Figure 15 Pennsylvania Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh Washington Washington consists of 18 co-ops, 40 munis, and three IOUs. The average size of the co-ops is 9,000 customers, while the munis have approximately 40,000 customers and the IOUs have an average of 480,000 customers each. Figure 16 Washington Energy Sales by Utility Ownership, kWh 85 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 93 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Rate Comparison between Size of Utility The State comparison shows that most States have a large number and different sizes of utilities. While there are differences in the cost of financing for each type of utility, Figure 17 demonstrates that large utilities (i.e. IOUs) in the U.S. do not necessarily result in lower rates. Figure 17 Average Revenue per kWh by Utility Ownership, ($/kWh) Scope of U.S. Electric Utility Structure Utilities in the U.S. provide a variety of services for customers. While some states have allowed deregulation, the majority of electric customers still receive power supply and distribution services from their local electric utility. The following sections describe the common services provided by electric utilities in the U.S. “Standard” Electric Services The primary services that have traditionally been provided by electric utilities in the U.S. involve all the necessary tasks with providing electricity to the retail customer. These have generally been generation, transmission and distribution services. However, by the early 2000s several U.S. states had implemented retail choice for customers. Under these new regulations, retail customers could now elect to receive power supply from alternate providers. While the electric utilities still provide power to the majority of customers, the deregulation changed the planning for generation resources and resulted in increased reliance on market purchases. Since then, several states have suspended restructuring and retail choice and returned to the traditional utility model.22 Ancillary Electric Services In addition to providing the standard electric-utility services, electric utilities in the U.S. also provide additional ancillary services to customers. These include investment in renewable resources, allowing interconnection to distributed generation resources and providing net metering programs for smaller renewable resources. In addition, electric utilities provide significant assistance to customers in the area by offering conservation programs and demand-side management programs, such as water heater control programs. Finally, the majority of electric utilities offer some type of low-income and medical assistance to customers in need. 86 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 94 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Additional Utilities A large share of U.S. electric utilities also provides additional utilities to customers. Most common utilities provided are gas, water and waste-water services. For municipal utilities owned by cities, it is also common to provide garbage, recycling, and street lighting services to customers. Finally, several utilities have been expanding to provide telecommunication services over fibre. As utilities invest in fibre infrastructure for SCADA systems and smart grid, providing reliable high-speed service to customers has helped recoup some of the cost of the fibre system. Community Emphasis The final category of service that utilities provide in the U.S. is mainly provided by co-ops, city and county utilities. Because these utilities focus their service on a local community, the emphasis on supporting and growing the local economy is very strong. These additional services include staff providing community services, planning guidance and assistance to meet the long-term goals of the community. Mergers and Acquisitions Since 2008 there has been an average of three mergers or major acquisitions of IOUs.23 Prior to 2008 (2001-2007), the average number of mergers or major acquisitions was much higher at about six per year. In the year 2000 there were 22 mergers or major acquisitions. The number of mergers and acquisitions may be influenced by both regulatory and economic reasons. The energy crisis in 2000 might explain the large number of mergers and acquisitions. The lower numbers beginning in 2008 might be explained by the 2008 recession. Figure 18 summarizes the number of mergers and major acquisitions by year. The green shaded areas denote recessionary periods as predicted by the U.S. Treasury Spread.24 Figure 18 Historic Mergers and Acquisitions of Electric IOUs 87 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 95 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Scope and Scale Economies Multi-utilities exist for several reasons. Perhaps the most important reason is the synergy observed where direct economies of scope in the supply of services are available, but also the ability of the firm to capture customers in different markets using a protected position as a regulated utility.25 This section of the report discusses the theory behind the cost efficiencies of multi-utilities, as well as provides evidenced-based support for broadening the scope of utility service. Cost-efficiency Theory A natural monopoly, such as utility companies, is characterized as an industry where total production costs of a single firm is lower than that of several companies producing the same output. Therefore, the concept of natural monopoly is closely related to the economies of scope and scale in production.26 The optimum scope and scale of a natural monopoly, such as an electricity distribution company, is determined by both a measure of technical and allocative efficiency.27 Technical efficiency is the ability of the utility to minimize cost for a given amount of output. For example, technical efficiency may be achieved for electric utilities offering incentives for customer conservation. Conservation is generally a low-cost power source; therefore, utilities offering programs to decrease electricity use can avoid the high marginal cost of power. Allocative efficiency is the ability of the utility to use inputs in the correct proportions given prices and technology. An example of allocative efficiency is the size of service area. If a service area is too broad geographically, the utility may need additional administrative or technical offices to provide service. These additional services might cause the utility to experience higher average costs if the characteristics of the service territory reduce the input to output ratio. To illustrate, a utility servicing a large city might decrease the ratio of inputs to outputs if the utility expanded to the rural parts surrounding the city. The rural area requires a different share of input to output for service; costs per unit of output are higher where population density is lower. A neighbouring rural utility may have lower costs compared with the city utility for providing service to the expanded area due to reasons of proximity or lower fixed costs associated with rural locations. In this example, the optimum number of electric distributors over a region, and the scope or services offered, may be determined by geographic or consumption characteristics (such as climate). Horizontal Economies of Scope This section provides some support for economies of scope at the electricity distribution level. The results of these papers may or may not directly apply to other countries due to differences in regulations, policy, or other factors; however the consistent support for horizontal economies of scope at the electric distribution level is important. First, a Switzerland study finds that multi-utilities (offering water, gas, and electricity) exhibited significant cost complementarities between the distribution of electricity and other outputs (gas and water) and a weak complementarity between gas and water (for data collected between 1997 and 2005). The paper concluded that Swiss multi-utility sector benefits from significant economies of scope (horizontal) and scale.28 88 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 96 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Similarly, a study of Italian utilities found that small to medium utilities may benefit from cost reductions by evolving into multi-utilities providing similar network services such as gas, water, and electricity.29 Lastly, a meta-analysis shows that for water and waste-water utilities, diseconomies of scale and scope are more likely to be found in publicly-owned utilities than when the ownership is mostly private.30 Likewise, it was more likely to find diseconomies of scope for large utilities. Lastly, the study did show that multi-utilities are more likely to have scale and scope economies. These results may be important in the decision to expand utility scope to water and/or waste-water services. Vertical Economies of Scope The theory behind deregulation in the electric utility industry states that the loss of efficiency from unbundling distribution service from transmission or generation would be overcome by the gains from competition. However, the recent empirical literature supports that divestitures and restructuring typically reduce the distribution efficiency. In their paper, Triebs, Pollit, and Kwoka31 reviewed 30 U.S. generation asset divestitures between 1994 and 2006. The results of their analysis showed that distribution efficiency was reduced resulting from the divestitures; however, this effect is reduced over time. Further divestitures decrease the unit cost of power in the long run. The net impact is a benefit to utility customers since generation benefits outweigh distribution costs. In another study, Kwoka (2002)32 finds evidence for cost complementarity for generation and transmission and distribution for medium and large utilities. Additionally, Kwoka found that some holding structures can offset losses from vertical integration but the same is not true for membership in power pools. Kaserman and Mayo provide empirical evidence for benefits of vertical integration in the generation and transmission/distribution of electric supply.33 Their analysis considered 74 privately owned electric utilities in 1981. Similarly, in a study of technological efficiency benefits of vertical integration concluded that separating functions of generation, transmission and distribution results in a loss of technical efficiency among 70 electric utilities in 1990.34 Lastly, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Energy Information Administration (EIA) data35 show that for the period 1997 through 2009, increases in retail electric prices were significantly greater in states with deregulated electric markets. Prices in deregulated states increased by 3.9 cents/kWh over the period where prices in regulated states increased by only 2.6 cents/kWh. Figure 19 compares these trends. 89 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 97 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Figure 19 Historic retail electric prices Even though the cost increase is greater in deregulated states, the annual growth in retail rates is lower at 3.57 per cent on average compared with 3.61 per cent for regulated states. Note that the power supply cost variation across states that is not due to regulation is not controlled for. It is unclear whether these cost trends are due to states factors that such as regulation, state inflation, and other factors. 90 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 98 7/18/12 5:30:39 PM Appendix C: LDCs Achieving Efficiencies through Collaboration: Examples from Across the Province Many LDCs in the province, ranging from small to medium to large, collaborate on various activities and processes to achieve efficiencies by adopting methods and practices that lead to economies of scale. Effective co-operation among utilities occurs in numerous areas including joint procurement of hardware and software, shared billing services, the use of the same metering technologies, design and delivery of CDM programs, health and safety training, and joint efforts in the fulfillment of regulatory filings provide. Though not all savings are directly quantifiable they provide valuable short-term and long-term benefits to LDCs of all sizes and consequently to their customers. The effective implementation and utilization of new technologies to implement state-of-the-art processes improve operational, administrative and engineering procedures, reduce expenses and improve service to customers. Various LDCs are involved in a number of these informal groups to maximize savings and efficiencies for their own operations and in turn for their customers. Below are several examples of collaboration amongst LDCs and with other organizations, utilities and companies. Where possible, estimates of savings have been provided. Shared Billing Services A. Approximately eight LDCs, including Essex Powerlines, Erie Thames Powerlines and Oshawa PUC Networks use the ASP Model for the hardware that houses its billing systems. These LDCs share services such as bill printing, stuffing and mailing through a common vendor. The increase in scale leads to a lower unit price. They also share an archiving system for billing reports which reduces printing costs and subsequent storage requirements. The practice has resulted in estimated savings in excess of $50,000 per LDC per year. B. Thunder Bay Hydro currently provides a range of key LDC billing and related services to four of its Northern neighbours − Fort Frances, Kenora, Sioux Lookout and Atikokan. These services include usage of a common Customer Information System (CIS) for customer billing; use of a common Electronic Business Transaction system for retailer transactions; a wholesale settlement system for Net System Load Shape calculations; maintenance of the Advanced Metering Infrastructure system for meter readings; and, an Operational Data Storage system for Meter Data Management and Repository (MDM/R) interactions. C. In addition to the above, Thunder Bay Hydro offers services such as maintenance of metering technology inventory, delivery of CDM Programs, meter services for utility revenue meters, bill collection services, shared human resources safety practices, after-hours customer and maintenance services, and large-scale procurement of equipment and services. Each utility undertakes its own due diligence and makes decisions as to what level of products and services they will purchase from Thunder Bay Hydro. The five LDCs estimate that, based on the cost and resources that would be required by individual LDCs to develop, establish and maintain the above billing and other services and to undertake their own procurement activities, net savings exceed $1-million per year. 91 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 99 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM D. Horizon Utilities provides payment processing services on behalf of Waterloo North Hydro using a common CIS. Waterloo North Hydro payments are couriered to Horizon Utilities, processed, and electronically uploaded the same day into Waterloo North Hydro’s billing system. This service provides benefits to both utilities, leading to decreased costs and better utilization of assets. Multi-Utility Billing by LDCs E. Utilities Kingston, an affiliate company of Kingston Hydro, has been delivering and managing services for electricity, gas, water, waste-water and fibre optics for the City of Kingston since the early 2000s. The production of a single bill for multiple services saves Kingston Hydro approximately $150,000 per year through shared billing, paper and mailing costs, and an additional $200,000 per year through shared staff, CIS systems and collection services. Customers also save time and money by paying a single bill. F. Orangeville Hydro currently provides water and sewer billing services for the City of Orangeville. The LDC charges $3.22 per customer per bill. Estimated savings are in excess of $340,000 every year. G. Essex Powerlines combines the electricity bill with water and waste-water, providing considerable savings to the electricity customer due to shared costs for staffing (billing, collecting, and call centre), forms, postage and contracted services. Savings are estimated to be approximately $578,000 per year. H. Since 2005, Niagara-on-the-Lake Hydro has provided water and waste-water billing and call-centre service for the Town of Niagara-on-the-Lake. The actual staff time for this service is booked to the LDC’s service company and in turn, the service company charges the Town a flat rate fee at cost (currently $1.25/customer/bill). The joint bill savings in postage to the community is $22,000 annually in addition to savings on stationery, printing and office costs. The use of one CIS system to perform electricity and water billing has deferred the need for the Town to purchase such a system which would be expected to cost over $100,000 and would attract annual maintenance costs. Customers have benefitted from the lower cost and from having access to one bill for multiple utility services. I. Innisfil Hydro will be commencing water and sewer billing for the Town of Innisfil in August 2012. After assessing options to continue billing tri-annually for water and sewer services or having the LDC bill for these service on a monthly basis, the Town concluded that having the LDC provide multi-utility billing would save the town’s consumers 10 per cent of current billing costs. 92 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 100 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM J. Other LDCs that provide multi-utility billing include PowerStream, Horizon Utilities (for the city of Hamilton) and Collus Power Corporation. Joint Standards Development by the Utilities Standards Forum (USF) K. The Utilities Standards Forum (USF) is a cooperative formed several years ago by a dozen utilities in response to the ESA request for professional engineer approved standards under Ontario Regulation 22/04. USF develops construction standards for Ontario LDCs as directed by their members and has now grown to 48 members (one large utility, 16 medium size utilities and 31 small utilities), serving over 1.2 million customers. The members have a volunteer Board of Directors and technical working group. USF members pay a small annual membership fee to cover technical and clerical services to produce the standards and obtain approval from ESA. There is a direct cost savings associated with the reduction of effort and staff (for example, engineering and technical support service for the approval of standards). Annual avoided costs range from $50,000 to $70,000 for each of 16 medium-sized LDCs as well as for the one large utility. Small LDC savings are estimated to be $10,000 to $20,000 per year. There are also the intangible benefits of industry collaboration and networking on the engineering and operational areas of the business. Shared Services Based on Meter Technology L. Utility Collaborative Services (UCS) was formed by a group of utilities which relies on Harris/Northstar (“Harris”) for their customer information system. Members include Centre Wellington Hydro, Collus Power Corporation, Midland Power Utility Corporation, Niagaraon-the-Lake Hydro, Orangeville Hydro, Parry Sound Power Corporation, St. Thomas Energy, Wasaga Distribution Inc. and Welland Hydro Electric Systems Corporation. Overhead costs for establishing a CIS include the initial cost of purchasing the software, licensing of the software and ongoing maintenance and support. UCS was formed as a cost effective solution to all three of these issues. The cost of licensing Harris is dependent on the number of customers billed through the system. UCS members collectively bill more than 100,000 customers through Harris. As a result UCS qualifies for business enterprise licensing rates. One of the primary goals of the UCS group is to create a standard billing system. This is achieved by standardizing billing practices. A common system reduces maintenance and support costs as all updates, upgrades and changes apply uniformly to all participating utilities. UCS has been able to provide strategic resources that perform the majority of the setup and maintenance functions. During the implementation of TOU rates, UCS resources were used to complete mandatory Meter Data Management and Repository (MDM/R) testing. The required testing was extensive and time sensitive and would have been extremely difficult to complete without UCS assistance. Participants estimate that savings from participation in UCS range in the hundreds of thousands of dollars. Joint Procurement of Products and Services M. Essex Powerlines is part of a buying group consisting of a number of LDCs in Southwestern Ontario. Inventory is standardized across the various LDCs and lower material pricing is attained through volume discounts. Each LDC estimates direct savings of at least $15,000 per year. There are also indirect administrative savings that are not easily quantifiable. 93 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 101 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM N. In 2005, Horizon Utilities, PowerStream and several other larger LDCs in the Province worked on a joint Request for Proposal for the purchase of smart meters. Given the size of the LDCs and the volume of smart meters to be purchased, these LDCs were able to establish minimum meter specifications and favourable pricing that would not only apply to the initial participating LDCs but also to those who joined later. LDCs have benefitted from bulk pricing and product standardization. O. The implementation of the government mandated smart meter system was achieved by Niagara-On-The-Lake Hydro and 30 other LDCs through a cooperative arrangement with the local Niagara Erie Power Alliance (NEPA) and a larger “Sensus” provincial user group. An Ontario consultant was utilized to combine the purchasing power of over 30 provincial Sensus users. As a result, participating utilities were able to secure low cost contracts for hardware, installation, disposal and security audit services. In addition, NEPA members constructed an AMI system consisting of shared towers and head-end systems. The shared arrangement saved Niagara-On-The-Lake Hydro an estimated $200,000 in capital investment and continues to save this utility an estimated $25,000 per year in associated maintenance fees. Shared Services Arrangement for Regulatory Filings P. For about a decade, Cornerstone Hydro Electric Concepts Inc. (CHEC), comprised of 12 LDCs in Central Ontario, has been collaborating on regulatory reporting, CDM, Conditions of Service and a host of other services. Annual collective savings are approximately $450,000. The LDCs have a number of working groups which meet in order to standardize utility documents as well as OEB filings. When LDCs were required to submit their CDM strategies to the OEB in December of 2010, a working group was formed to standardize and create a template for the submission. The group has also created standardized templates for the numerous filings and reconciliations required by the OPA and for Conditions of Service updates to the OEB. The CHEC group has recently expanded their services to include rates and compliance support for member utilities. Sharing ‘Locates’ Services Q. Kingston Hydro uses one source which “locates” underground structures relating to electricity, water, sewage, gas, fibre, traffic signals and streetlights. By using this consolidated model Kingston Hydro is able to save approximately $96,000 per year. R. Essex Powerlines has contracted out locates at a reduced price and has been able to reassign resources to higher priority projects. The contracted resource can now conduct multiple locates at a time which results in lower costs to the LDC. Savings are approximately $50,000 per year. 94 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 102 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM Delivery of Conservation and Demand Management (CDM) Programs S. Horizon Utilities organized and coordinated an application to the OPA to hire three Key Account Managers under the “capability building” funding of the Province-wide CDM Programs. The purpose of these resources is to provide CDM services to Horizon, eight other utilities36 and 30 large industrial customers. Participating large industrial customers have access to dedicated personnel who assist them in applying for various industrial program initiatives. Participating utilities have access to energy specialists who can assist in providing better CDM service to customers, thus fostering a culture of conservation and enhancing LDC capability to meet CDM targets. T. Other examples of joint CDM delivery include joint procurement of vendors by PowerStream and Newmarket-Tay Hydro; the provision of CDM marketing and delivery services by Thunder Bay Hydro on behalf of four of its Northwestern neighbours; the delivery of CDM programs by Hydro Ottawa on behalf of Hydro Hawkesbury and Hydro 2000; and the delivery of CDM programs by Horizon Energy Solutions on behalf of Oakville Hydro. As the 2011-2014 Province-wide CDM Program is only in its second year, it would be premature to quantify the benefits of the joint application and delivery process. U. In 2005, the largest LDCs in the Province, serving 1.2 million Ontarians, successfully collaborated in the design and delivery of CDM programs. Many of these programs, e.g. the Great Refrigerator Round-Up and peaksaver (now peaksaver PLUS) have since been expanded into province-wide programs. Collaboration and Aid During Natural Disasters V. In June 2010, a Fujita Scale Level 2 tornado touched down in Midland, Ontario causing extensive damage to private property and public infrastructure. Midland Power was able to call on neighbouring LDCs (among them Wasaga Beach and Collus Power) to assist in the stabilization of its distribution system. Power was restored to all customers not directly in the path of the tornado within 24 hours. Midland Power is part of an informal group of 12 LDCs that have a mutual-aid agreement. In the case of the tornado, Midland was able save costs during a period of emergency operations. The cooperative arrangement not only saved costs but benefitted customers through more rapid system recovery. Many LDCs have formal mutual-aid agreements with neighbouring utilities. The members of the Niagara Erie Power Alliance (NEPA) maintain mutual-aid agreements to assist one another in the event of larger outages or major storm damage. 95 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 103 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM Electricity Distributors Association and MEARIE W. The EDA itself is an example of an efficiency improving cooperative effort by Ontario distributors. Virtually all distributors in Ontario are members of the Association. Over the years the EDA has provided a broad range of services, at significant cost savings to utilities. It has represented utility interests at regulatory proceedings, led efforts to redress jurisdictional issues all the way to the Supreme Court of Canada and facilitated information exchange and training services. Associations of this type are common in various industries. They provide for scale economies in a variety of informational, administrative and regulatory areas. A significant accomplishment of the Association was the creation the Municipal Electric Association Reciprocal Insurance Exchange (MEARIE), which provides coverage specifically designed for electricity distributors at significant savings to member utilities. 96 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 104 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM Appendix D: LDC Reliability Indicators The reliability of electricity distribution provided by LDCs is monitored by the OEB. Reliability performance is assessed using the following, industry-standard indicators: • SAIDI: System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) measures the average number of hours of interruption per customer, per year. It is calculated as Total Customer Hours of Interruption/Total Number of Customers Served. • SAIFI: System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI) is an indicator of the average numbers of interruptions each customer experiences. It is calculated as Total Customer Interruptions/Total Number of Customers Served. • CAIDI: Customer Average Interruption Duration Index (CAIDI) is an indicator of the average length of interruption. It is calculated as Total Customer Hours of Interruption/Total Customer Interruptions. LDCs scrutinize their performance on a monthly basis and report them annually to the OEB.37 Statistics are reported both on a gross basis and adjusted for “loss of supply”. The statistics reported below are on a “gross basis”. The latter is intended to capture reliability of delivery as opposed to reliability of supply. As a result of the vulnerability of distribution and transmission systems to weather, most interruptions experienced by customers are due to events affecting the delivery system. This is a common feature of electricity systems worldwide. The OEB does not set province-wide targets for these indices. The reason is that reliability depends on numerous local factors such as weather, climate and customer density. The OEB’s approach has been to require that each distributor maintain reliability within the range of its historical performance. The results are summarized below. According to SAIDI statistics for the 2005-2010 period, customers of small and large utilities have experienced approximately three hours of interruption per year. Medium sized utilities have had an average interruption rate of two hours per year. Hydro One, with its many customers located in rural areas, has had an average interruption rate of close to 16 hours for this period. SAIDI Small LDCs Medium LDCs Large LDCs Hydro One 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Average 3.3 2.4 2.6 14.5 3.9 2.0 4.3 28.5 3.7 2.0 2.6 11.4 3.7 1.7 3.6 21.6 2.6 2.0 2.6 10.0 2.9 1.5 1.9 9.4 3.3 1.9 2.9 15.9 97 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 105 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM SAIFI statistics for the 2005-2010 period indicate a strikingly uniform rate for frequency of interruption. Customers of small, medium and large utilities have experienced, on average, about two interruptions per year. Hydro One customers experience about four per year. SAIFI - Annual Small LDCs Medium LDCs Large LDCs Hydro One 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Average 1.5 1.9 1.9 3.9 1.5 2.1 2.0 5.2 2.4 2.1 2.0 4.1 2.1 1.7 1.9 4.8 1.8 1.7 1.8 3.6 2.0 2.0 1.7 3.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 4.1 The average duration of interruption as measured by CAIDI is about one hour for large utilities and closer to two hours for small and medium utilities. This may be in part because of the relatively more rural nature of a number of small utilities. Hydro One figures are higher. CAIDI - Annual Small LDCs Medium LDCs Large LDCs Hydro One 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Average 2.7 4.8 1.0 3.7 2.0 1.1 1.3 5.5 1.7 1.0 1.1 2.8 2.2 1.2 1.2 4.5 2.2 1.1 1.2 2.8 1.7 0.9 1.0 2.9 2.1 1.7 1.1 3.7 According to OEB reviews, all Ontario distributors have been meeting Board expectations of reliability.38 98 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 106 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM Appendix E: LDC Service Quality Indicators In order to monitor quality of electricity distribution and to ensure that adequate customer service levels are maintained, the OEB has put in place a service quality regulatory regime. LDCs are required to meet specified minimum standards for each of the following Service-Quality Indicators:39 1. Low Voltage Connections. The percentage of new low voltage (<750 Volts) connection requests completed within five working days once prerequisites (engineering, safety, etc.) have been satisfied. Must be met 90 per cent of the time. 2. High Voltage Connections. The percentage of new high voltage (>=750 Volts) connection requests completed within 10 working days once prerequisites (engineering, safety, etc.) have been satisfied. Must be met 90 per cent of the time. 3. Telephone Accessibility. The percentage of phone calls to the utility’s general inquiry number answered in person within 30 seconds. Must be met 65 per cent of the time. 4. Appointments Met. The percentage of customer appointments (date and time) involving a visit to customer premises met. Must be met 90 per cent of the time. 5. Written Response to Enquiries. The percentage of customer inquiries relating to a customer’s account and requiring a written response where the response is provided within 10 working days of receipt of the inquiry. Must be met 80 per cent of the time. 6. Emergency Urban Response. The percentage of emergency calls where a qualified service person is on site within 60 minutes of the call (for urban calls). Must be met 80 per cent of the time. 7. Emergency Rural Response. The percentage of emergency (fire, police, etc.) trouble calls where a qualified service person is on site within 120 minutes of the call (rural calls). Must be met 80 per cent of the time. 8. Appointment Scheduling. The percentage of customer appointment requests that take place within five business days. Must be met 90 per cent of the time. 9. Rescheduling a Missed Appointment. The percentage of missed appointments where the customer is contacted within one business day to reschedule the appointment. Must be met 100 per cent of the time. A review of Ontario Energy Board “Yearbooks”40 confirms that all Ontario distributors – small, medium and large – have been consistently meeting these standards over the period for which data are available. 99 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 107 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM Appendix F: LDC Cost Performance Indicators For purposes of evaluating the distributor costs, a consultant on behalf of the OEB has carried out two benchmarking evaluations − an econometric benchmarking methodology and unit-cost index benchmarking.41 Based on the results of these analyses, the OEB assigns distributors to one of three efficiency groupings. We note that the approaches that are used have important limitations. For example, the analyses rely on OM&A costs rather than total costs. The distributors that achieve a superior rank in both the evaluations are assigned to Group 1, which according to the OEB represents the most efficient group. Those distributors that rank relatively poorly in both are assigned to Group 3. All other distributors, including those that rank superior or inferior in only one of the evaluations, are included in the broad middle cohort, Group 2. Productivity targets are then set based on the group to which a utility has been assigned. The table below summarizes the allocation to groups of small, medium and large utilities. OEB Assessment of LDC Cost Performance LDCs by size SMALL MEDIUM LARGE 2012 Group 1 2011 21% 11% 11% 18% 11% 11% 2010 Average No. of LDCs 14% 15% 11% 17% 12% 11% 7 out of 39 3 out of 27 1 out of 9 59% 85% 78% 70% 78% 89% 62% 83% 82% 24 out of 39 23 out of 27 7 out of 9 23% 4% 11% 16% 7% 20% 5% 11% 8 out of 39 1 out of 27 1 out of 9 Group 2 SMALL MEDIUM LARGE 58% 85% 78% Group 3 SMALL MEDIUM LARGE 21% 4% 11% 100 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 108 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM Appendix G: Efficiency Opportunity Fact Sheets 1.Regulatory Constraints on Scope ISSUE: Regulatory Constraints to Expand LDC Scope Currently, Sections 71 and 73 of the OEB Act restrict LDC and LDC affiliate operations to a few specific activities. This has led to the inability of LDCs to expand the scope of their businesses to maximize efficiencies by providing additional business services such as water and waste-water management services both inside and outside their service territory, street lighting, electric vehicle charging infrastructure etc. These benefits from expanded scope, including cost and resource sharing amongst several lines of related businesses such as customer and billing services, fleets and other equipment, and short- and long-term planning of infrastructure construction and maintenance, are not being taken advantage of by Ontario’s LDCs due to barriers in the present regulatory framework. The current framework restricts LDCs from pursuing options with their local municipalities to expand their economies of scope at the discretion of the local municipalities to become more efficient and provide benefits to both their customers and their shareholders. SOLUTIONS 1) Legislative change to Section 71 of the OEB Act to allow LDCs to carry out a wider range of activities as part of their core business. A precedent has been set under the Green Energy Act given that DG is now a permitted activity for LDCs, while previously it was not permitted. Section 71 (3) Exceptions should be amended by adding another exception for additional activities defined by regulation, and regulations should be made to allow street lighting maintenance, on-bill financing and electric vehicle recharging as permitted activities. 2) Allow more flexibility under the OEB’s Affiliate Relationships Code (ARC) especially around separation of financial and accounting systems, limitations around sharing equipment, resources and customer information to give LDCs the opportunity to conduct a wider range of activities under the affiliate’s operations. For many medium and small LDCs, there is no competition within their jurisdictions for activities such as street lighting for the ARC to apply. 3) Regulatory change to O. Reg 161/99 Section 5(2) to allow LDCs the ability to expand scope so that they are able to bid for services outside their service territory e.g. for billing and managing or operating water or waste-water services. The EDA’s Sector Review Paper “Electricity is the Answer” calls for LDCs to be allowed to expand their scope of operations that may lead to reduced overall costs for customers, provided regulations are amended/established to allow LDCs those opportunities. 101 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 109 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM EXAMPLES Utilities Kingston in Eastern Ontario has been providing electricity, gas, fibre optics and water and waste-water services for the municipality since 2000 under one affiliated company. The company has reaped the benefits of sharing overhead costs, equipment, metering/billing services etc. which in turn has benefitted local residents. The following information on cost savings has been provided by the utility: • Savings of over $250,000/year from sharing billing services • Savings of over $440,000/year from sharing of executive roles across the different companies • Savings of $240,000/year from sharing operations such as locates for underground structures, fleet operations etc • Savings of over $1-million annually on average from doing joint construction projects Consolidated customer services and conservation measures benefit customers as well. CUSTOMER IMPACT Prior to industry restructuring, many LDCs operated under public utilities commissions (PUCs) and provided multiple services under one roof. These PUCs, on average, exhibited lower costs which were beneficial to customers. Increased savings could be achieved by expanding scope through the LDC, but barriers exist due to regulatory constraints and regulatory risk. Conducting scope activities within the LDC could maximize sharing of corporate service and reduce governance costs. 102 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 110 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM 2.Water and Waste-Water Services ISSUE: Water and Waste-water Services There are restrictions on the LDCs’ ability to expand their current economies of scope to include playing a greater role in the water and waste-water utility service. Currently, LDCs are limited to operating/managing and providing billing services for water utilities which are part of their municipal corporation (Section 5 (2) of Ontario Regulation 161/99). A broader scope of water-service activities are permitted by an LDC affiliate, but not within the LDC. Additionally, according to the OEB Accounting Procedures Handbook, LDCs providing services to the water utility owned by their municipality are required to offset any revenues earned from their distribution revenues. This creates a disincentive effect for LDCs to take on this increased responsibility. SOLUTIONS A regulatory change to section 5 of O. Reg 161/99 could permit LDCs the ability to expand their scope outside their municipal jurisdiction in operating/managing or providing billing services for a water utility. Amendments to the OEB Accounting Procedures Handbook to remove the requirement for an LDC to offset any and all revenues associated with the water management services against the distribution rates would also be required to provide incentive to both a municipal shareholder and LDC to implement this efficiency. Rather than using all revenues to offset rates, sharing of revenues between shareholders and ratepayers should be allowed. EXAMPLES Essex Powerlines combines the electricity bill with water and sewer, providing considerable savings to the electricity customer due to shared costs for staffing (billing, collecting, and call centre), forms, postage and contracted services. Savings are estimated to be significant at $578,000 per year. Innisfil Hydro will be commencing water and sewer billing for the Town of Innisfil in August of 2012. The Town, after assessing options to continue billing water and sewer services three times a year on their own or to have the LDC bill for the same on a monthly basis, concluded that having the LDC provide multi-utility billing would save the town’s consumers 10 per cent of current costs. This endeavour is a win-win-win for Innisfil Hydro, the Town of Innisfil and most importantly, for Innisfil’s population. Prior to industry restructuring, a number of distributors operated within PUCs which provided more than one service such as electricity and water. Such commissions exhibited, on average, materially lower costs. CUSTOMER IMPACT Customers benefit from lower costs and receiving multi-utility services from one source and the sharing of revenues from water services. It is estimated that LDCs performing water and wastewater services could produce up to $180-million in savings to electricity customers based on seven per cent savings on total distribution costs for all LDCs annually. 103 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 111 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM 3.Regulatory Streamlining ISSUE: Regulatory Streamlining Prior to industry restructuring‚ a typical rate submission by a local distributor to Ontario Hydro was perhaps 10 pages. Today, rate applications to the OEB are commonly over 1,000 pages, with many applications over 2,000 pages. The Ontario Auditor General’s 2011 Annual Report states that the average cost for a small utility to complete its Cost-of-Service (COS) Application is approximately $100,000 and about $250,000 for a medium-sized utility. It can cost a large utility close to $1-million to file its COS application. Ontario’s Auditor General reports that these costs account for between 15 to 55 per cent of the increase in revenue that the LDC is seeking approval for from the OEB and the impact of the cost on the customer can range from $1 per customer (large LDCs) to $40 per customer (for small LDCs). While all regulatory systems impose some level of cost on the regulated industries, the question is whether the current framework and regulatory processes are providing good value to electricity consumers in Ontario. Early in the restructuring, the OEB recognized the value of reducing the need for annual rate applications by introducing an Incentive Regulation Mechanism (IRM). The IRM allows LDCs to apply for simplified rate approvals for the period of a few years. The concept was to provide ‘lighthanded’ regulation and allow utility management operating within a relatively stable environment the freedom to manage the business and achieve and share the benefits of any productivity gains achieved. However, IRM systems are not designed to function in an environment where costs are changing rapidly and where utilities are frequently subject to new industry policy-imposed mandates. The IRM process assumes distributors will experience increased productivity and steady inflation. Instead distributors have been challenged in meeting new requirements that take the focus away from increasing productivity. Distributors have also experienced higher industry sector inflation. At the end of an IRM term, distributors are required to file COS applications which review all distribution present and future costs. These applications are extensive, but more work under tight timelines is required to respond to questions from intervenors who often make requests for much more information than was filed. The information requests are also often duplicative and onerous. Staff and consultant resources needed to meet regulatory filing requirements take away staff resources from other important activities. Distributors have been raising concerns that the efforts associated with obtaining regulatory approval are too onerous and costly. In response, over the past several months the OEB has been consulting with stakeholders and considering proposals for a renewed regulatory framework. The EDA has been advocating proposals for streamlining regulation during this consultation. SOLUTIONS The EDA recommends the following guidelines to streamline regulation in the sector: • There is a need to balance costs of regulation with the benefits to customers. • The amount of regulation and reporting requirements should be proportionate to the policy objective/outcome. 104 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 112 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM • More emphasis should be placed on policy outcomes, not process. • Duplication and overlap of reporting requirements should be eliminated. • Administrative expenses to LDCs should be minimized, streamlined. • Distributors should be provided flexibility to address their local circumstances. • Distributors should not be involved in addressing social problems. • Distributors should be allowed to recover their costs to address aging infrastructure in a timely manner. • Increased certainty and transparency should be provided for cost recovery by distributors. • Decision-making by regulators needs to be timely. The EDA established the following specific recommendations for streamlined regulation in its policy position paper “The Case for Reform” published in July 2011: Revising the Regulatory Application Process: • Develop standardized templates to streamline application process, • Create metrics to limit review of application, • Incorporate multi-year capital reviews within the regulatory cycle - reform the capital module for incorporating capital investments made during IRM period, and • Ensure that productivity and inflation factors reflect industry circumstances. Revising the intervenor process: • Permit OEB to lead and pre-screen interrogatories to avoid duplication, • Require intervenors to demonstrate representative constituency, • Review cost awards and eligibility for cost awards, • OEB to work with the regulated entities to address the concerns about the cost and complexity of the current rate-setting filing requirements and the impact of their operations, and • OEB better co-ordinate and evaluate intervenor participation in the rate-setting process in an effort to reduce duplication and time spent on lower-priority issues.CUSTOMER IMPACT CUSTOMER IMPACT Streamlining the regulatory process will lower regulatory costs both for the distributor and the regulator which will provide benefits to customers. Distributors will also free up resources to better focus on improving operations and customer services. In 2010 it was estimated that the rate application process and compliance with regulatory processes cost $45-million up from approximately $29-million in 2008. Assuming a 33 per cent savings in regulatory costs, electricity customers could save up to $15-million annually. 105 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 113 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM 4.Street lighting ISSUE: Allow LDCs to conduct street lighting maintenance LDCs are seeking a regulatory or legislative change to the OEB Act to provide more clarity on the permitted activities of an electricity distribution company to specifically include the ability of an LDC to conduct street lighting services for their local municipality, if the municipality chooses to retain these services. In 2007, the province committed to making a regulatory change to address S. 71 of the OEB Act with respect to allowing LDCs to conduct street lighting maintenance. However, this change has not been forthcoming and as a result there is an ongoing lack of clarity on the long-term direction creating increasing problems for LDCs, for regulators and other oversight agencies. LDCs are not requesting an exclusive right to perform street light maintenance services. They ask that municipalities be allowed to choose an LDC provider without the LDC having to incur additional administrative expense to establish a separate affiliate, which provides no value to customers. LDC affiliated companies require establishing a separate legal company, separate accounts and separate Board governance for no other reason than the restriction in S. 71 to be able to provide service to the shareholder should the municipality choose to use the LDC for street light maintenance services. Street lighting maintenance was originally considered a competitive activity which should not be provided directly by distributors to avoid any perceptions of cross subsidies to their street light maintenance activities. Street lighting maintenance activities could be carried out and treated as a separate activity with a separate account for the distributors that provide this service, much as is allowed for distributed generation owned by distributors under the Green Energy Act. Private contractors will continue to provide street lighting services to certain municipalities but qualified private contractors are not available in all areas of the province and many LDCs have communities that are under-serviced by qualified private contractors. These distributors are unnecessarily incurring additional costs in order to provide these essential services to their communities. SOLUTIONS The Green Energy Act has established a precedent by allowing LDCs to engage in competitive businesses within the LDC, not through an affiliated company. The Act permits LDCs to own and operate renewable energy generation facilities that do not exceed 10 MW through Exception 3 of S. 71 of the OEB Act. This clarity and precedent should be extended in S. 71 to resolve the lack of clarity regarding street lighting maintenance services. A regulatory or legislative change should be made that allows for street light maintenance services within the defined service territory of the LDC to be permitted as an LDC activity. 106 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 114 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM CUSTOMER IMPACT Estimated cost savings of allowing LDCs to incorporate street light maintenance services back into their LDCs has the potential to save approximately $15-million, assuming streetlight services return from affiliates to inside the LDC. This figure is the approximate savings incurred from eliminating the duplication of accounts, governance, and administrative overlap that it takes to run an LDC affiliate street light service provider. In addition, permitting LDCs to own street lighting assets could produce savings through more efficient use of capital assets between the municipality and the LDC. 107 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 115 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM 5.Electric Vehicle Infrastructure ISSUE: Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Given Ontario’s generation mix, especially with the phase-out of coal plants, migrating to electric vehicles in the transportation sector is seen as producing economic and environmental benefits in the long term. Electric vehicles will create new challenges for distributors. Distributors will need to encourage customers to charge their electric vehicles during off-peak periods when the TOU price is lower and the power system is under less stress. Charging during peak hours could have a significant impact on the grid, but the grid may be less affected if the charging stations are “smart” and can be controlled by the distributor. Even if charging is carried out during off-peak periods, there may be local system constraints and distribution system impacts where there is a higher penetration of electric vehicles. This will require the distributor to control the charging and stagger the loads. Distributors would also need to know where quick-charge installations are located, which cause significantly higher peak demands, and ensure these are smart chargers controlled via the smart grid. The smartgrid deployment needs to plan and consider the potential impact from electric vehicle charging. Recently some distributors purchased electric vehicles to gain some real-world experience with their operating characteristics and their impact on the distribution system. These initiatives were not supported by the regulator as it was not perceived to be within the mandate or role of the distributor, therefore costs were not approved. Distributors believe they should be taking a leadership role in understanding the impacts of electric vehicles on the grid, understanding their operating and charging characteristics, and facilitating their integration onto the grid through controlled charging stations. These charging loads could have a significant impact and decisions being made today on standards and technologies will have far-reaching implications. SOLUTIONS Section 71 of the Ontario Energy Board Act outlines the activities that an electricity distributor and/ or a distributor affiliate can provide. At present, electric distributors are not permitted to engage in providing electric vehicle charging stations as a service within their legal structure and therefore must have an affiliate company in order to provide such services. Therefore Section 71 needs to be amended to permit the provision of electric vehicle recharging stations within the LDC, just as distributed generation ownership was subsequently permitted through an amendment to Section 71. The integration of electric vehicles loads onto the electricity system should be seen as an integral part of planning for future distribution system needs. Distributors need to put in place policies, standards, and technologies to minimize the negative impacts on the grid system and encourage electric vehicle owners to take advantage of the available off-peak generation. Distributors should be encouraged by the regulator to gain experience with electric vehicle charging by owning and operating charging stations and installing charging stations on customer premises. As the number of electric vehicles increases and new smart-grid technologies are developed to control 108 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 116 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM the charging, distributors should be encouraged to co-operate and share information, and work in partnership with others to ensure charging stations are smart metered and connected to the smart grid to allow remote control. All this would be facilitated if it was made clear that distributors can own and operate electric vehicle charging stations. EXAMPLES As noted previously, some distributors have taken the initiative to gain some real-world experience with the charging and operating characteristics of electric vehicles and their potential impact on the distribution system but the costs have been rejected by the regulator. One distributor, working with an automotive manufacturer, has already demonstrated a project where new technology will allow a fully or partially charged battery in an electric vehicle to provide power to a home. This will allow customers to load shift by storing energy in the battery at off-peak periods and supplying the stored energy back to the home during on-peak periods. The vehicle can also function as an emergency back-up supply to the home. CUSTOMER IMPACT Distributors are essential partners in the adoption and promotion of electric vehicles. All customers will benefit from increasing the off-peak load and using off-peak surplus capacity, thus avoiding the costs of exporting power at a loss. Facilitating off-peak charging will also give electric vehicle owners the confidence that their environmental impact is minimized and that their vehicle can be emissionfree due to using a power source that does not emit CO2. As electric vehicle technology improves and oil prices continue to rise, electric vehicles will become more cost competitive and gain wider consumer acceptance. 109 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 117 7/18/12 5:30:40 PM 6.Conservation and Demand Management ISSUE: Conservation and Demand Management (CDM) Systemic flaws with the current 2011-14 CDM policy framework will result in undesired outcomes for the Ontario Government and LDCs. LDCs will have difficulty achieving their mandated targets due to lack of effective programs for all consumers, slow rollout (if at all) of provincially mandated OPA (Tier 1) programs and lack of Tier 2 and/or 3 programs (collaborative and unique LDC programs). This has been identified by Ontario’s Environmental Commissioner as a risk in his annual report. As a result, Government’s overall conservation targets may not be achieved. There is a lack of innovation because of strict restrictions on Tier 2 and/or 3 program approvals from the OEB. There is also a lack of long-term commitment to any CDM framework by government which hinders the creation of a culture of conservation in Ontario by preventing the LDCs from delivering ongoing programs and achieving persistent savings and from developing the internal capacity to meet evolving customer needs. SOLUTIONS There should be a move towards a “business approach” which will allow LDCs to incur the financial risk and rewards in designing and delivering CDM programs at the local level to meet local circumstances. This means devolving the responsibility for program design and delivery, target setting, and funding to the LDCs from the OPA. In exchange for the increased risk there would be commensurate incentives for the electricity savings achieved and verified by a third party, potentially the government or central agency. LDCs’ commitment to CDM should be in line with the timelines reflected in the province’s Long Term Energy Plan (TEP) (2030). The government needs to affirm that the LDCs will be responsible for CDM as part of the LTEP until 2030. Regulatory oversight would only need to focus on ensuring proper separate accounting for CDM design and delivery activities, and not on the prudency of CDM programs given that distributors would have strong incentives to ensure programs achieve cost effective results. EXAMPLES There are several examples of successful LDC designed CDM programs, including: • peaksaver PLUS – Toronto Hydro initiated program that is now in place province-wide • Great Refrigerator Round-Up – GTA LDCs-led initiative that has been incorporated into a Tier 1 program • Demand Response – Based on Greater Sudbury Hydro’s “Shed a Kilowatt” third tranche program 110 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 118 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM A precedent has been made for separated activities within the distributor. Distributors are permitted under the Green Energy Act to own and operate renewable energy generation facilities under 10 MW, as a separate activity within the distributor, with separate accounting. CUSTOMER IMPACT The consumer experience with this current framework has been one of frustration and resignation. The OPA’s focus in designing and developing CDM Programs has been more electricity systemcentric and not customer-centric. The OPA has tailored the programs to address electricity systems needs and not tailoring programs to meet the needs of LDC consumers. As a result of this lack of focus, application processes are onerous and cumbersome in nature, application approvals and payments are delayed on a regular basis, and improvements in the programs through change management are slow to come by. As a result of these issues, many customers are unwilling to participate in CDM Programs and many LDCs have expressed concern over low consumer take-up. In fact, some LDCs have shared that due to the frustrations with the application process there have been instances where customers have given up on the application part-way through the process. The above is an example of how the current CDM framework makes ineffective use of ratepayer funds. Less than one-third of Tier 1 CDM programs currently in the market are producing significant savings. Funding is being spent by the OPA on CDM programs regardless of a program’s ability to deliver actual energy savings. Permitting LDCs to lead conservation and use a results-focused approach will result in more cost-effective CDM that will produce more savings for less cost, estimated at $20-million annually. 111 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 119 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM 7.On-bill Financing ISSUE: On-bill Financing There are restrictions on LDCs’ ability to expand their current economies of scope to include playing a greater role in promoting and facilitating CDM programs by directly assisting customers with their financing. Currently, LDCs are provided OPA-developed CDM programs. They are not provided with an incentive to financially assist customer participation in CDM programs requiring upfront capital investments. Customers seeking to make a long-term capital investment in order to reduce consumption as part of a CDM program sponsored by the local distributor may have difficulty in convincing a loan institution to provide financial assistance. If permitted by changing regulations, LDCs will have the opportunity to improve the take-up of certain CDM programs, and directly benefit local customers seeking to benefit from reducing their consumption. SOLUTIONS S. 71 of the OEB Act would need to be amended to permit LDCs to engage in providing financial services to its customers seeking financial assistance to participate in a CDM program requiring capital investments. EXAMPLES In practice, a local utility could have a program to offer financial assistance to customers seeking to invest in a conservation project. The customer repays the loan by continuing to pay the average monthly bill, plus an additional agreed-upon amount covering interest and principle repayment. The program would remove a significant barrier to participation in certain CDM projects. This program would be beneficial to customers seeking to upgrade a heating system, insulate walls, install new lighting or undertake some other efficiency measure, but require a loan from the distributor who then recoups the cost gradually over time in the customer’s monthly energy bill. This approach spares the customer from trying to convince a financial institution about the expected benefits from the CDM project and also gives the customer the opportunity to reduce energy use, which lowers electricity charges and offsets at least some of the monthly cost of the efficiency installation. Some current CDM projects provide a significant direct financial subsidy encourage customers to participate, raising overall costs for the project. On-bill financing could be used to reduce the need for significant upfront subsidies thus lowering the cost to other customers. These solutions are provided in many U.S. electric utilities. CUSTOMER IMPACT With the LDC offering financial services, a customer can access funds and repayment options through its utility where it already has a trusted, long-standing relationship with a business that has strong and deep roots in the local community to foster greater participation in conservation programs requiring capital investments. The on-bill option will increase the take-up of various CDM programs and improve their effectiveness which will help more customers to lower their bills. The technical capability to provide on-bill financing already exists with many LDC Customer Information Systems. 112 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 120 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM 8. Electricity Retailers ISSUE: Electricity Retailers Electricity retailers were allowed to enter the electricity system to offer customers the benefits of competition and choice during the period of market deregulation which occurred in the industry at the beginning of the previous decade. Although the formation of an open market was eventually abandoned and regulated electricity rates continued, electricity retailers for residential customers remain as outliers in the current system whose continued presence impacts the entire rate base. The electricity retailer concept, legislated in Part V.1 of the OEB Act, provided that in a competitive market retailers would be allowed to service consumers by allowing them to pay higher electricity rates in exchange for price stability and predictability that a fixed contract provides. Retailers would also offer services with a retail contract, such as energy-saving programs, energy audits, equipment maintenance or the option to have a portion of the rate support renewable energy projects. After the end of the open market concept, the developed an electricity price plan that provided stable and predictable electricity pricing and ensured the price consumers pay for electricity better reflected the price paid to generators. The OEB’s Regulated Price Plan (RPP) efficiencies removed the value of electricity retailers in Ontario by addressing the consumer’s need for predictable electricity rates. The OEB reviews the RPP twice a year to better reflect the true cost to produce electricity while at the same time providing stable rates for customers. Despite the impact the RPP has had on the purpose for electricity retailers, legislative attention to these entities has focused more on their practices in recent years. The Electricity Consumer Protection Act (ECPA) was passed in 2010 as a response to electricity retailers whose business practices were increasingly viewed by the public as questionable. The new rules in the ECPA addressed the most common complaints that the OEB received related to retailers, specifically providing customers copies of their contracts, improper procedures for reaffirmation calls, and poor business practices around renewals. As a result of the ECPA, the OEB has expanded its regulatory oversight of electricity retailers. The costs associated with an expanding OEB affects the entire rate base. Increasing the regulatory costs of the OEB for entities whose customers remain a fraction of the Province’s total rate base is an inefficient use of the regulator’s resources. 113 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 121 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM SOLUTIONS With an RPP structure that provides stability and predictability in price and electricity retailers whose presence is a net cost to the regulatory system as a whole, the Provincial government should phase out electricity retailer entities by doing the following: • Disallow Further Electricity Retailer Contracts for residential customers • Revisit the legislative and regulatory stipulations that allow for electricity retailers in Ontario, specifically Part V.1 of the OEB Act. • Phase out existing contracts with residential customers by allowing them to expire • All standing contracts held between customers and electricity retailers should be allowed to expire. The retailer will not be allowed to seek renewals with customers and the contracts will be void on the expiry date. The Minister should use his powers as outlined in Section 1.2 of the ECPA to educate and advise consumers of the impending change. • Electricity Retailing should only continue in circumstances where the value proposition can be clearly demonstrated for institutional, industrial, and commercial customers. Non-residential customers are better suited to make the complex business decisions associated with contracted electricity rates. Large businesses and power consumers may find value in a retailer arrangement, but such retailers should remain under the authority of the OEB and should demonstrate their value proposition to the regulator. CUSTOMER IMPACT Phasing out the role of electricity retailers for residential customers will save the electricity system upwards of $260-million annually. These significant cost savings are a result of reduced regulatory oversight and costs for enforcement for non-compliant retailers, collections on defaults, reduced distribution costs, reduced customer complaints and better price signals and demand response as all formerly retailer contracted residential customers will be on TOU rates. 114 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 122 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM Appendix H: Innovation from the Ground Up 115 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 123 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM Chair’s Message In the early 1940s, local electricity utilities in Ontario first introduced the notion of energy conservation to their customers. It was a time when our nation was at war and needed to conserve as much of its resources as possible. When the need for conservation again raised its head forty years later, these same local electricity utilities took the lead to help their customers use electricity wisely. And, before the Government of Ontario, through the Ontario Power Authority (OPA), took over the role of designing, managing and funding what we now know as conservation and demand management programs (CDM) midway through the first decade of this century, local distribution companies (LDCs) had already been working together to develop and manage their own CDM programs. Indeed many of the first programs introduced by the OPA in 2006 were first developed, tested, refined and successfully managed by LDCs. It is a prime example of how LDC program ownership fosters innovation and how good ideas spread throughout the province. What Ontario’s LDCs recognized then, as now, is that different communities have different needs, especially when it concerns electricity demand and conservation. Sometimes, far different. An obvious example is how drastically electricity use patterns vary in a large, geographically diverse province such as Ontario. In the south, peak electricity demand is reached in the summer, with air conditioning ubiquitous in homes and office buildings. In the north, extensive use of electricity to heat homes over long winters, along with limited use of air conditioning during the shorter summers means winter peaks are more typical. A summer suite of conservation programs cannot address the needs of the northern communities. Solutions that are developed, delivered and managed locally take these obvious differences and the more nuanced needs into account. Local authority over conservation programs will ensure they are designed to meet customer and community needs today and into the future as these needs evolve. The current CDM framework is set until 2014 – but the EDA and its members strongly believe that the system should and can change before then. The issues, solutions and potential outcomes outlined in this report, Innovation from the Ground Up – Locally Driven Conservation, provide a clear-cut case as to why distributors need to resume control of CDM by incorporating it into their business from design through delivery. Since 2006, centrally designed conservation programs have yielded results. LDCs have built conservation expertise and capacity within their organizations, and a robust conservation supply chain has been re-established in the province. Many Ontarians have participated in conservation programs such as the refrigerator pick up program, and arguably much of the low hanging fruit in terms of conservation results has been harvested. For Ontario to get at the next level of meaningful savings, we need to create programs tailored to the specific needs of specific communities. The time has come to return CDM leadership to LDCs to unleash innovation at the local level and build on Ontario’s conservation success. Max Cananzi, EDA Chair 116 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 124 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM Contents CDM in Ontario: recent history and current challenges .............................................................. 1 Challenges and outcomes of the 2011-2014 CDM framework ............................................. 1 The future of CDM ............................................................................................................... 3 Guiding principles ....................................................................................................................... 4 Spectrum of CDM framework models......................................................................................... 7 The business approach ............................................................................................................... 9 Benefits of a business approach ........................................................................................ 11 Transition plan .......................................................................................................................... 13 Piloting the business approach .......................................................................................... 13 Attitudinal changes ............................................................................................................ 14 Other practical changes ..................................................................................................... 15 Conclusions .............................................................................................................................. 17 117 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 125 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM CDM in Ontario: recent history and current challenges Local Distribution Companies (LDCs) in Ontario have offered conservation and demand management (CDM) programs since the mid-1980s. Since 2004, provincial regulatory frameworks have cast LDCs as the central delivery agents for CDM programs. Three different regulatory frameworks have governed CDM between 2005 and 2011, and have created different risks, roles, responsibilities and rewards for LDCs. The transitions between these frameworks have not been smooth. Furthermore, the frameworks have progressively increased LDCs’ regulatory requirements and responsibility for outcomes, without increasing LDCs’ rewards or level of control over outcomes. Under the “third tranche” (2005-2007), LDCs designed and delivered custom CDM programs within their service territories. The 2006 Supply Mix Directive to the Ontario Power Authority (OPA) was accompanied by a new CDM framework that featured centralized program design. Under the 20072010 framework, LDCs contracted with the OPA to deliver standard programs designed by the OPA. LDCs also applied to the Ontario Energy Board (OEB) for funding of service-territory-specific programs. Most recently, the Green Energy and Green Economy Act (GEA) 2009 transformed the CDM landscape in Ontario. LDCs are now working to achieve electricity and peak demand savings targets by 2014 using only province-wide OPA programs. Though Board-approved programs (also known as Tier II and III programs) are theoretically possible, as of February 2012, all applications for these programs have been rejected. Under the 2011-2014 CDM framework, the achievement of electricity and peak demand targets is a condition of licence for LDCs. Regulatory requirements surrounding CDM plans, programs, budgets, marketing, incentives and reporting are specified by the GEA and accompanying Directives, CDM Code, Targets, Agreements and Program Schedules. Challenges and outcomes of the 2011-2014 CDM framework The GEA has created new opportunities for LDCs in CDM, renewable energy, and smart grid development. However, it has also generated significant challenges for LDCs. Some of the challenges vary based on the size, capacity, location, and past experience of individual LDCs. Other challenges are tied to the transition between frameworks. For example, delays in launching province-wide programs have jeopardized LDCs’ ability to meet targets by 2014. However, there are deeper problems associated with the balance of risks and rewards within the 2011-2014 CDM framework. LDCs have little control over outcomes. Though LDCs were involved in program design working groups, the Ontario Power Authority largely controlled the program design process; LDCs report that their influence was severely limited. The OPA also ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 1 118 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 126 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM controlled many aspects of program delivery, with the goal – but not the result – of increasing efficiency through centralization. At the same time, LDCs have primary responsibility for achieving electricity and peak demand savings, and are at risk of not being in compliance with their licenses if they do not meet their targets. Finally, LDCs are required to submit strategies, approval requests, and reports to two separate organizations (the OPA and the OEB). LDCs report the following disconcerting outcomes under the current CDM framework: CDM programs are not designed to best meet customer needs, but instead focus on electricity system needs. LDCs have very limited opportunities for innovation or improvements in program design, or for unique programs that target specific markets. Program delivery processes and tools create bureaucratic barriers to program participation. Extensive regulatory approvals and reporting requirements do not make effective use of provincial and LDC resources. LDCs are required to meet targets over which they had little say, that do not specifically address opportunities within their service territory, and for which there is not a traceable path from the provincial potential studies that supported them. Even if LDCs had greater control over CDM program design and delivery, current incentive structures would not motivate or reward cost-effective CDM results; LDCs will not receive incentives until 2015, and the incentives for results are not sufficient to capture the attention of senior management. The incentive for cost effectiveness creates a disincentive for exceeding targets. Finally, the uncertainty inherent in the CDM system limits LDCs’ ability to invest time and resources in effective CDM. The current framework dictates that all programs must end December 31, 2014. However, developing good CDM programs is a lengthy process. The stop/start approach to programs means that LDCs do not have time to undertake new program design after 2012, meaning ideas for new programs will either be lost or put on hold until after 2014. The stop/start approach also creates problems for customers seeking to participate in programs. Furthermore, LDCs are not confident hiring CDM staff and increasing their internal capacity given that they have no guaranteed role in CDM post-2014. 2 ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 119 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 127 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM The future of CDM As discussed, the 2011-2014 framework has an inappropriate balance of risks, responsibilities and rewards. In order to improve CDM outcomes for customers, for LDCs, and for the province of Ontario, the Electricity Distributors Association (EDA) Board and Policy Committee are in favour of increasing LDCs’ responsibilities. This will lead to increased risks for the LDCs, and LDCs expect rewards commensurate with this increase in responsibility and risk. This report presents the guiding principles that underpin this decision. It describes the type of “business-oriented” framework that would achieve this balance, and the benefits of this framework for customers, for LDCs, and for Ontario. Finally, the report suggests steps to transition towards a business-oriented framework. Though details remain to be worked out, the high-level approach outlined in this paper can help the EDA move forward on a better CDM framework for LDCs and Ontario. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 3 120 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 128 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM Guiding principles The EDA’s decisions regarding the future of CDM are based on a set of guiding principles. These principles were established through workshops and discussions involving the EDA’s CDM Caucus, CDM Policy Committee, and Board from November 2011 to February 2012. The guiding principles build on the EDA’s 2008 position paper entitled “LDC CDM Activities and Funding Going Forward.” 1 The following principles also underpin the EDA’s desired business approach to CDM, presented in the next section, The business approach. If these principles guide the design of the CDM framework, then CDM will become a core business activity for LDCs, to the benefit of all Ontario energy sector stakeholders. 2 1) The CDM framework should be designed to achieve the maximum costeffective CDM, over long time periods. As long as the electricity savings realized through CDM programs cost the province less than procuring that electricity from other sources, CDM benefits customers and the province. Pursuing maximum cost-effective CDM will ultimately reduce electricity bills for consumers. This must be clearly understood by all stakeholders. In achieving maximum cost-effective CDM, the framework will also advance provincial policy objectives related to energy security, environmental sustainability and economic competitiveness. 2) The framework should enable innovation, improvement and learning in program design and delivery. This is required to achieve the maximum costeffective CDM, and is particularly important when considering the longterm need for CDM to evolve alongside technologies and markets. 3) The framework should promote the development of local capacity to design and deliver CDM in Ontario. Again, this is required to achieve the maximum cost-effective CDM, and is particularly important when considering long-term CDM activities and outcomes. 4) The CDM framework should establish the role of LDCs in CDM over a longer time period (e.g. through 2030, consistent with the Long Term Energy Plan and Integrated Power System Plan (IPSP)). LDCs are uniquely positioned to design and deliver CDM within their service territories. However, for LDCs to effectively undertake CDM, it must make sense to do so from a regulatory and business perspective. By establishing the role of LDCs in CDM over a longer time period, LDCs will be more inclined to make CDM a core activity, to use CDM to enhance their corporate reputation, and to convey the importance of CDM to shareholders.3 1 Electricity Distributors Association. 2008. LDC CDM Activities and Funding Going Forward. 2 This supports the EDA 2008 guiding principle: CDM should be a long-term LDC activity with returns that are independent of the distribution business. 3 This supports the EDA 2008 guiding principle: LDCs should have secure, predictable long-term funding for CDM. LDCs should develop multi-year programs with multi-year budgets. 4 ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 121 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 129 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM 5) The regulatory processes associated with CDM should balance scrutiny with simplicity. 4 Regulatory requirements (e.g. reporting, applications, approvals) should be streamlined as much as possible to maximize CDM and alleviate unnecessary bureaucratic burdens, while protecting the interests of ratepayers and the province. This will also contribute to achieving maximum cost-effective CDM. 6) LDCs’ CDM activities should be customer -centric. Currently, CDM programs are perceived as engineering-based solutions, aimed to solve electricity system peak issues. Ontario needs customer-centric programs that help residential and small business customers save energy and reduce bills. This should include customer education, address customer perceptions of the relationship between CDM and rates, and ultimately help customers use electricity wisely (i.e. customers have choices and can exercise some control over their bills). 7) LDCs should have an appropriate level of control over outcomes, and should be fairly compensated. Figure 1 provides a conceptual model for the relationship between compensation, risks to LDCs, and control. Where LDCs assume a high degree of risk and/or responsibility, LDCs should have sufficient control over outcomes to effectively mitigate those risks. At the same time, LDCs should be fairly rewarded for taking on responsibility and producing beneficial outcomes. If there is more risk in CDM than in traditional “poles and wires” business activities, then the potential compensation should also be higher. 5 Furthermore, where LDCs’ CDM activities benefit the province by replacing more expensive electricity supplies, LDCs should receive a fair share of these benefits. LDCs require financial returns at least commensurate with those for other core activities of the utility to attract the attention of senior management and to motivate efforts. 4 This supports the EDA 2008 guiding principle: Schedules for CDM program approvals and funding should be sensitive to LDC business planning timelines and coordinated with program implementation schedules. 5 This supports the EDA 2008 position paper guiding principle: LDCs should receive incentives in order to achieve the maximum economical level of CDM results. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 5 122 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 130 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM Control Returns In Figure 1, the line from the bottom left to the top right of the diagram illustrates where risk, control, and returns are appropriately balanced. If returns to LDCs are too high, given the level of risk they bear, then the framework sits “above” the line and will not be acceptable to the province. One of the central weaknesses of the current CDM framework in Ontario is that LDCs assume high risk and responsibility without the appropriate control or returns; the 2011-2014 framework thus falls “below” the line. 2011 -2014 Risk to LDC Figure 1 Relationship between risk to LDC, potential returns, and control for CDM frameworks 6 ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 123 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 131 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM Spectrum of CDM framework models There are a number of different CDM framework models that are consistent with the guiding principle that LDCs should have an appropriate level of control over outcomes, and should be fairly compensated. Table 1 identifies the characteristics of four frameworks that balance risks to LDCs, potential returns, and control. On the far left, the “regulatory model” involves no risk to LDCs, and offers no opportunity for returns. Accordingly, LDCs have little control over outcomes, as all activities are set or approved by the province (e.g. programs and budgets). On the far right, the business approach involves significant financial risk to LDCs, but offers very significant opportunity for financial returns. Accordingly, LDCs have complete control over outcomes, as they determine their budgets and design and deliver programs. Two intermediate models – the “vigilant” model and the “enterprising” model – provide low or medium risk, offer LDCs intermediate levels of control, and offer some possibility of returns. Table 1 The spectrum of CDM framework models Element Regulatory model Vigilant model Enterprising model Business model No risk Low risk Medium risk High risk Targets Top-down targets Top-down targets Bottom-up targets Internal targets only Budgets Set by OEB Set by OEB Approval requested from OEB Corporate resources and investors Approvals All activities set or approved Some activities set / approved Few activities set / approved, primarily internal planning Internal planning only Penalties No penalty Possible minimal penalty Possible penalties Possible losses Incentives / returns No return Possible small return Potential for large returns Potential for very large returns Risk to LDC ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 7 124 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 132 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM Figure 2 illustrates how these four models fall along a spectrum of risk, control and potential returns. The EDA and its members have indicated their desire to move towards the business approach (at the top right of Figure 2). To support this new direction for CDM in Ontario, this report further describes the characteristics of the business approach and its benefits over the status quo. This report also provides options for “piloting” the business approach, and presents practical changes that will promote progress towards the business approach. Returns Enterprising Control Business Vigilant Regulatory 2011 -2014 Risk to LDC Figure 2 Range of CDM framework models and their associated balance of risk to LDC, potential returns, and control 8 ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 125 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 133 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM The business approach In order to improve CDM outcomes for customers, for LDCs, and for the province of Ontario, the Electricity Distributors Association (EDA) Board and Policy Committee recommend increasing LDCs’ responsibilities . EDA members have indicated that they are prepared to assume the greater risks attendant with these responsibilities, but expect appropriate rewards, commensurate with these increased responsibilities and risks. This “business-like” approach would motivate LDCs to achieve the maximum cost-effective electricity savings, and would provide fair returns for their results. Under the business approach to CDM, LDCs will take full responsibility for funding, designing, and delivering CDM programs. LDCs will set internal targets, will determine appropriate programs and budgets, and will use corporate or investor resources to fund these resources. Working together through the EDA, in smaller groups, or alone, LDCs will design and deliver programs that save electricity and meet customers’ needs. LDCs will evaluate programs’ electricity savings using the OPA’s evaluation protocols. LDCs will be rewarded per kW and kWh saved over the lifetime of the measures. Payments from the province will provide LDCs with a fair share of the financial benefits of the electricity savings for Ontario. Thus, LDCs will have the opportunity to make significant profits from well-designed, costeffective programs, while providing the province with a lower-cost alternative to new generation. However, the payments may not cover program costs if programs are not well-designed. LDCs will thus bear financial risk in undertaking CDM. Payments for lifetime savings will encourage LDCs to pursue deep measures with longer lifetimes. Since LDCs will not be investing provincial resources into CDM, approval processes will be minimal. Up-front applications to the OPA will provide LDCs and the province with a degree of assurance regarding CDM activities. Program evaluations and savings verifications will be submitted for review and compensation. LDCs may also be encouraged (or required) to share internal CDM targets with provincial bodies to facilitate system planning. The defining characteristics of the business approach as compared to the 2011-2014 framework are outlined in Table 2. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 9 126 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 134 7/18/12 5:30:41 PM Table 2 Comparison of CDM framework elements: 2011-2014 framework vs. business approach 10 Element 2011-2014 framework Business approach Risk to the province Low financial risk: incentive payments easily estimated Low financial risk: guaranteed results for payments Risk of not meeting targets due to limitations of framework Initial uncertainty regarding CDM levels and efficiency Benefits for the province Relatively predictable short-term costs and results Long-term potential for increased CDM results, innovation and efficiency Risk to the LDC Medium risk: risk of not meeting targets, not being in compliance with license Higher risk: Potential losses from poorly designed CDM Benefits for the LDC Minimal effort required for program design, no investment of corporate resources High potential returns, reduced regulatory requirements, improved customer relationship Targets Top-down Internal targets only Budget-setting Set by OEB based on LDC service territory Internal budgeting Funding for programs Global Adjustment Mechanism (GAM) Corporate resources and investors Funding for results Global Adjustment Mechanism Global Adjustment Mechanism Approvals Custom programs must be approved by OEB; CDM plans must be “accepted” by OEB Internal planning only; savings must be verified Incentives/rewards Possible small reward based on savings over 4 years; larger reward for not spending all of allocated budget Payment per kW and kWh saved over lifetime of measure based on avoided cost Penalties Possible penalties if mandatory targets not met Potential for losses if programs are poorly designed Evaluation Based on OPA evaluation protocols Based on OPA evaluation protocols Role of OPA/central agency Province-wide program design / delivery, research, evaluation, provincial branding for CDM Market research, evaluation protocols, and provincial branding for CDM ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 127 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 135 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Benefits of a business approach The business approach has many benefits over previous CDM frameworks. These benefits are also aligned with the guiding principles discussed in the section above. Innovation, efficiency and learning. The business approach will promote innovation, as all LDCs will have the opportunity to design creative and cost-effective programs. During the third tranche period, LDCs demonstrated their ability to design good CDM programs – many of these programs were then adopted as the basis for provincial programs. Third parties may also have the opportunity to design programs for LDCs, thus further promoting innovation and competition. At the same time, the business approach will enable efficiency and economies of scale. LDCs recognize the importance of working together to design and deliver programs that are relevant in all service territories. Groups of LDCs with similar customers will also work together to design locally relevant programs. New or modified programs that are effective in one service territory will be expanded to other areas, thus promoting continual improvement and learning. Maximum cost-effective CDM. With the regulatory burden lifted and the potential for large rewards, LDCs will be motivated to aggressively pursue maximum cost-effective electricity efficiency. Energy efficiency is the leastcost and least-harmful means of supply. Investing in the maximum costeffective CDM will reduce electricity costs for consumers. It will also support the province’s objectives of energy security, environmental sustainability, and competitiveness. . Financial benefits for the province and ratepayers . The province will have a guarantee that its resources are well spent – it will only pay LDCs for electricity savings. The payments to LDCs will be less than 100% of the value of CDM to the province. By definition, CDM payments will be costeffective and will benefit ratepayers . ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 11 128 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 136 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Fair rewards for LDCs’ efforts. Because of the significant opportunities for profit, CDM will become integrated into LDCs as a core business activity. Shareholders will be more enthusiastic about CDM activities, and will feel that they are fairly rewarded for their CDM efforts. CDM that benefits customers. LDCs understand their customers, and will design programs that meet their needs. Innovation and improvement in program design will also benefit customers and provide them with choices for better managing their bills. Furthermore, programs will stay in market as long as they are well-received by customers and are cost-effective for LDCs. CDM programs that meet the needs of customers will have more success in-market and will help customers lower their electricity bills. Alignment of risks, control and rewards. The business approach aligns risk, control and reward by allowing LDCs to fund, design and deliver CDM programs – and to be fairly rewarded for the associated benefits to the province and to rate-payers. 12 ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 129 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 137 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Transition plan Moving from the 2011-2014 CDM framework to the business approach will require a number of significant changes. By taking a systematic step-wise approach to change, the electricity sector can effectively transition from the current framework to a business approach to CDM. Piloting the business approach Ontario can “pilot” the business approach to CDM immediately, under the 2011-2014 framework. The process used to establish the Feed-In-Tariff (FIT) may be used as a model for CDM. However, while FIT prices are significantly higher than the cost of newly constructed conventional electricity generation, CDM prices will be significantly lower than the cost of new generation. First, the province should determine the appropriate payment per kW and kWh of savings delivered through CDM. The province should work with LDCs, the OPA and other energy sector stakeholders to set this payment level, based on the cost of new generation. For example, after consultation, the province might conclude it should be willing to pay up to 80% of the per unit cost of new generation for CDM results. Once this value is determined, it should be locked down for a certain number of years, to enable LDCs to undertake CDM planning. However, this value should be recalibrated every few years for new programs to account for the changing costs of electricity. The province can begin to offer this per unit payment opportunity immediately, for custom CDM programs funded by LDCs (Tier 2/3). LDCs that want to invest corporate or investor money into custom programs can apply for the CDM payment for the energy savings they achieve. However, the OPA programs will still continue, enabling all LDCs to maintain their CDM activities and progress towards targets. An appropriate application and approval process would be required to ensure that these custom programs do not claim savings generated by OPA programs. Applications to the OPA (like under the FIT program) would also confirm appropriate evaluation methods and would provide a level of awareness / assurance to the province and to the LDCs. If no LDCs choose to provide CDM for the pre-determined payment level, the province will not bear any costs. If LDCs are able to design and deliver cost-effective programs using corporate or investor resources, both LDCs and the province will benefit. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 13 130 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 138 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Attitudinal changes Several major attitudinal changes must occur as part of the transition. The province must be willing to set incentives / payments at levels that reflect the value of these savings, when compared to the alternatives (LDCs will expect returns for CDM greater or equal to the return on investment for other LDC expenditures). While the province may spend slightly more money per unit of electricity saved, the province will have confidence that more electricity savings will be produced, and that this electricity will be cheaper than alternative energy sources. The province should acknowledge that CDM is cheaper than new generation, and reduces electricity costs for consumers. The province should thus embrace the opportunity to receive guaranteed results for fixed payments. Second, LDCs must be willing to invest corporate resources in CDM. This involves accepting CDM as a core – potentially risky and potentially profitable – business activity. For this to occur, LDCs must be confident that they are capable of designing and delivering cost-effective CDM programs. LDCs must also be confident that the province will follow through on its commitments to payment levels for CDM results. LDCs’ confidence will also increase if the Ministry can guarantee that there will be a role for LDCs in CDM until at least 2030, consistent with the Long Term Energy Plan and the IPSP. Establishing a simple and clear approval process would also increase LDCs’ confidence in receiving full payments for their savings. Third, the province should accept some uncertainty in CDM for system planning purposes. LDCs can provide estimates of their anticipated CDM results, but these will not be guaranteed. However, even now there is not complete certainty in CDM levels. Furthermore, after the initial start-up period, system planners should be able to produce estimates of CDM levels under the business approach, just as they must estimate other inherently uncertain items, like changes in the size and structure of the economy. Finally, general support for the business approach to CDM can be promoted through increased understanding of CDM’s benefits and cost-effectiveness – among LDCs, regulatory bodies and ratepayers. 14 ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 131 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 139 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Other practical changes Other short- and medium-term changes can also facilitate progress towards the business approach. For example: LDCs should be encouraged to start designing and delivering custom programs now. This can be facilitated through: o streamlining approvals for Tier 2/3 programs, and o allowing CDM programs that are developed now to remain in market post-2014. Several options could be part of intermediate models post-2014, without the full transition to the business model. For example, under the “vigilant” or “enterprising” models presented in Table 1: Incentives should be paid annually, start at the first unit of electricity savings, and be based on lifetime savings of measures, to increase LDCs’ motivation to achieve CDM results. LDCs should have greater control over outcomes, including leading customer-focused provincial program design, and leading planning for customer-focused program delivery. Provincial programs should be optional rather than mandatory. Regulatory burdens associated with CDM should be significantly reduced (e.g. CDM plans and custom programs). LDCs should have greater control over the full use of CDM budgets, including the allocation of these budgets towards custom programs or provincial programs. Money would flow from LDCs to the OPA, with the OPA functioning as a “pay-for-service” organization. LDCs could pay to deliver OPA programs, or could choose to invest this money in custom program designs. The changes discussed in this section are summarized in Table 3. They are also classified into two categories: structural/practical, and attitudinal changes. Within each category, there are changes to be made in the shortterm (until the end of 2013) and medium-term (post-2014). There are also changes that would facilitate a slower transition to the business model, by adopting an “enterprising” or “vigilant” model post-2014. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 15 132 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 140 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Table 3 Changes to transition from the 2011-2014 CDM framework to a new framework Structural/practical If moving to business approach: Province to determine appropriate per-unit payment levels for CDM results Short-term (until end of 2013) Minister to devote GAM funding to per-unit payments for CDM results LDCs to secure investors and/or corporate resources for CDM Minister to allow CDM programs to remain in market after December 31, 2014 Attitudinal LDCs, regulatory bodies, and the community to increase understanding of CDM – and its cost-effectiveness compared to new electricity supply LDCs to demonstrate willingness to accept risk and adopt CDM as a core – and potentially risky – business activity. Minister to instruct OEB to streamline approvals process for Tier 2/3 programs LDCs to be guaranteed role in CDM until at least 2030 If moving to business approach: Medium-term (post-2014) Minister to devote GAM funding to per-unit payments for CDM results OPA/central agency to focus on market research, evaluation and provincial branding for CDM LDCs to design and deliver programs LDCs to secure investors and/or corporate resources for CDM Province to increase confidence in benefit of LDC-designed CDM programs Province to accept some uncertainty in CDM levels, for system planning purposes If moving to enterprising or vigilant model: LDCs to lead provincial program design and delivery Province to increase confidence in LDCs’ ability to responsibly manage budgets, and design and deliver programs Medium-term (post-2014) LDCs to design and deliver custom programs Province to reduce regulatory burden for CDM plans and custom programs Incentives to be paid annually, start at first unit of impact, and reflect lifetime savings OPA to function as a “pay-forservice” organization 16 ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 133 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 141 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Conclusions Ontario’s 2011-2014 CDM framework features an imbalance between risks to LDCs, rewards, and control over outcomes. In order to improve CDM outcomes for customers, for LDCs, and for the province of Ontario, the EDA supports increasing LDCs’ responsibilities, with attendant acceptance of risk, and expectation of rewards commensurate with this increased responsibility and risk. This “business-like” approach would motivate LDCs to achieve the maximum cost-effective electricity savings, and would reward them fairly for these savings. LDCs want to move toward a CDM framework that offers a higher degree of autonomy over CDM programs and greater potential for high returns based on electricity savings achieved—the outcomes of the business approach to CDM. Many details remain to be worked out, and challenges remain. However, the business approach presents an exciting opportunity for all stakeholders in Ontario. This business approach to CDM means that LDCs will take on the responsibility of funding, designing, and delivering CDM programs. In return, they will receive a fair share of the provincial savings that stem from each kW or kWh saved. This approach has a number of benefits, including: enabling innovation, efficiency and learning promoting maximum cost-effective CDM providing guaranteed financial benefits for the province and ratepayers fairly rewarding LDCs’ for their CDM results meeting customers’ needs appropriately aligning risks, controls and rewards. There will need to be a number of structural/practical changes, as well as attitudinal changes to transition from the highly-regulated 2011-2014 CDM framework to a business approach to LDC CDM. Some changes can occur immediately, while others should begin post-2014. Given the slow and lengthy process of framework development, planning for an improved CDM framework post-2014 must start well in advance of 2014. Building on the high-level approach outlined in this paper, the EDA and its members can act immediately – to initiate conversations, to explore opportunities, and to achieve changes that will improve CDM outcomes for all stakeholders in Ontario. The time for change is now. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION 17 134 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 142 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Appendix I: The Case for Reform THE CASE FOR REFORM How regulatory streamlining could benefit Ontario’s electricity consumers JULY 2011 135 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 143 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Executive Summary The Electricity Distributors Association (EDA) is the voice of Ontario’s 78 electricity utilities who safely and reliably deliver electricity to 4.7 million residential, business and institutional customers. In 2010, the Association initiated a project to consult with members on how to streamline the current regulatory framework. This work has resulted in a number of specific recommendations supported by LDCs. The key recommendations include: o o o Revising the IRM Application Process Revising the Cost of Service Application Process Revising the Intervenor Process Adopting these recommendations would improve regulatory oversight, reduce regulatory costs and ultimately benefit customers. The EDA continues to examine further opportunities to streamline regulation for the sector. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION – THE CASE FOR REGULATORY REFORM Page 2 136 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 144 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Background The regulatory framework for Ontario’s local electricity distribution companies (LDCs) has undergone significant changes over the past decade. More recently, LDCs have taken on new responsibilities and roles related to the Green Energy and Green Economy Act (GEA) which has had further impact on the regulatory framework. In the midst of these changes, LDCs have found that the regulatory burden is consistently increasing. LDCs have gained substantial experience and insight working under OEB oversight in the existing regulatory framework. At the same time, there are increasing pressures to address the rising costs of electricity. Ontario LDCs firmly believe that now is the time to carefully review the regulatory processes to identify areas that could be streamlined. The result will be a more efficient and cost-effective regulatory framework that achieves policy objectives and has the potential to make electricity more affordable for electricity consumers. Guiding Principles for Regulatory Streamlining In early 2011, the EDA Board of Directors developed the following Guiding Principles, to assist in developing recommendations for streamlining regulation of the sector: There is a need to balance costs of regulation with the benefits to customers; The amount of regulation and reporting requirements should be proportionate to the policy objective/outcome; More emphasis should be placed on policy outcomes, not process; Duplication and overlap of reporting requirements should be eliminated Administrative burden to LDCs should be minimized, streamlined; Distributors should be provided flexibility to address their local circumstances Distributors should not be involved in addressing social problems; Distributors should be allowed to recover their costs to address aging infrastructure in a timely manner; Increased certainty and transparency should be provided for cost recovery by distributors; Decision-making by regulators needs to be timely. The EDA Board appointed a committee which developed and brought forward proposals to all LDCs for input. The members indicated strong support for the proposed recommendations. In order to fully realize the business opportunities that will bring value to customers and shareholders alike, LDCs need a regulatory model that builds efficiencies for utilities. There is a need to review the regulatory system to produce favourable rate outcomes, bring more efficiency into the rate process and create value to the customer and shareholders in terms of addressing the costs associated with the regulatory system. The Committee’s recommendations focus primarily on three significant burdensome areas: Incentive Regulation Mechanism (IRM) application process Cost of Service (COS) application process Intervenor process ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION – THE CASE FOR REGULATORY REFORM Page 3 137 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 145 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Distribution Rate Application Process Every four years an LDC brings forward an application to the OEB for a full review of its costs and proposed rates. This is called a COS application. In the years between these COS applications, rates are adjusted through an IRM application process whereby rates are updated annually by a formula which adjusts upward for inflation and downward for anticipated productivity improvements plus possible LDC-specific adjustments. These possible adjustments in the IRM application include materially significant cost changes and significant increases in capital investments. During each application process, intervenors (stakeholders who participate in the hearing process) and OEB staff can ask questions and can file submissions to the OEB with respect to its decision on the LDC’s application. Many intervenors are eligible to recover their costs from the Applicant (LDC) for participating in the hearing process. This process was established as a replacement of the more traditional rate approval process where LDCs would file for a COS application each year. The IRM period between COS applications is designed to encourage LDCs to achieve efficiencies through cost savings and be rewarded with higher returns. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION – THE CASE FOR REGULATORY REFORM Page 4 138 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 146 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM The Case for Reform The EDA Board Committee identified the following challenges created under the current regulatory process, and offers recommendations for change that would benefit LDCs, their shareholders, the regulator and ultimately all electricity consumers in Ontario. Challenge: The OEB’s capital module materiality threshold in the IRM period is too high. This encourages deferral of infrastructure renewal and often results in sharp rate increases for customers once every four years. Capital investments taken separately on a year-by-year basis are often too small to meet the OEB’s materiality threshold and/or other screening criteria to be included in rates during the IRM application period. As a result, LDCs will often defer these capital investments and include them at the time they submit their COS applications when the materiality threshold does not apply. This approach of excluding all capital investments in the interim rate adjustments has three consequences: 1. LDCs are compelled to defer the much-needed capital investments for up to three years during a time when infrastructure is in need of renewal. 2. LDCs that do undertake capital investments that do not meet the materiality threshold have no certainty that they will be able to recover these costs. Moreover, LDCs must carry these costs until their full cost-of-service application, thereby penalizing their shareholders. 3. Customers may ultimately experience sharper rate increase at the time the full COS application is submitted, since all capital investments are included at that time. Recommendation: Revise the Capital Module Allow LDCs to obtain approval for multi-year capital investment plans in COS proceedings – and then scrutinize applications for the capital module during the IRM period based on the approved multi-year capital investment plans. All capital investments made during the IRM period should be incorporated into rates during the same period. Key benefits: Enabling LDCs to submit and receive approval for multi-year capital investment plans would ensure much needed capital investments are undertaken in a timely manner. This would streamline the annual process to review capital module applications for both the OEB and LDCs making it more timely and cost effective. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION – THE CASE FOR REGULATORY REFORM Page 5 139 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 147 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Challenge: Generic inflation and productivity factors used to adjust rates during IRM period don’t reflect the current LDC-industry reality. In the IRM period rates are adjusted annually for inflation and downward for anticipated productivity improvements. The current inflation factor used is the Canada Gross Domestic Product Implicit Price Index (Canada GDP-IPI), which is a generic indicator and it does not reflect the inflation pressures on distribution industry in Ontario. Inflation factors that are more specific to the LDC industry would better reflect the recent changing higher labour costs in the industry which are different from other sectors in the economy. The productivity factor used for LDCs in Ontario is based on the long-term total factor productivity (TFP) trend from a representative set of U.S. electricity distributors over a long period beginning in the late 1980s. This long-term US TFP data was selected because reliable long-term productivity data from Ontario LDCs was not available at that time. At the time the US TFP data was selected, none foresaw the degree of change that the Ontario electricity industry and LDCs would undergo as a result of overall industry restructuring. The additional mandates to install smart meters, deliver conservation programs, implement Time of Use pricing, connect renewable generation and develop the smart grid mean that the comparison of US Distributors to Ontario LDCs is no longer valid and as such, the long-term past trends in the US have not proven to be an accurate indicator of the actual productivity experience of Ontario LDCs. As a result of their additional mandates, LDCs’ focus has been centered on responding to the constantly changing requirements placed upon them. These increasing new responsibilities, coupled with constant changes in the industry, have offset or delayed the expected improvements to productivity. Using the current productivity factor results in rate decreases that are not sustainable as LDC businesses take on increasingly broader scope. IRM rate adjustments that are based on factors not reflective of the current industry reality result in a “true-up” when LDCs bring forward their COS applications. The amount of the true-up can be substantial over the period between COS applications, and as such can create price instability and uncertainty for customers. Recommendation: Revise the Productivity Factor and Inflation Factor Use Industry-specific inflation factor to reflect changing labour costs in the industry rather than using Canada GDP – IPI in the IRM formula. Lower the current productivity factor in the IRM formula to reflect existing productivity in the industry impacted by constant ongoing changes to regulatory requirements. The current productivity factor in the IRM formula should be lowered to be more reflective of current productivity levels in the industry which has been and will continue to be affected by ongoing industry changes. The EDA proposes adjusting the inflation factor so it is more reflective of industry inflation and setting the productivity factor at a level reflective of recent Ontario trends. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION – THE CASE FOR REGULATORY REFORM Page 6 140 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 148 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM Key benefits: More gradual rate changes will help avoid customer “sticker shock” which occurs under the current approach where rates increase sharply. The revised IRM process could also allow longer periods between filings of COS applications, reducing the amount of resources allocated by both the regulator and the LDC to this labour and time-intensive process. The new approach would also reduce the financial burden currently placed on LDCs. Challenge: Existing COS templates are extensive and open to interpretation, leading to an unnecessarily burdensome amount of administrative work. The COS application process involves a full review of all the LDC’s costs. The OEB notes that a COS application should provide sufficient detail to enable the OEB to determine whether the proposed rates are just and reasonable and the onus is on the LDC to provide sufficient evidence to prove the need for, justification and prudence of all its costs that are the basis for its proposed new rates. The OEB has developed templates for filing COS applications that were designed to assist LDCs in organizing the information to be provided. LDCs are required to file an application which usually includes many volumes of information. However, the current existing COS templates are too extensive and open to interpretation which results in unnecessary administrative burden on LDCs to compile this information. Recommendation: Revise the Cost of Service Application Process Develop/revise the standardized templates for filing COS Applications to make the filing process as standardized as possible. Limit the textual component of the application to explaining cost increases or just variances in general, and reduce administrative paperwork by 30-50 per cent. Develop metrics to evaluate an LDC’s application provided in the standardized format. OEB should provide updates or revisions to filing requirements well before the application deadline (i.e. in January but not in June – just two months before the application is due for filing). Evaluate LDC’s COS application based on the metrics developed: o If within a permissible range – limited review of application (Note: range should be based on defined variables/cost drivers such as urban/rural mix, geography, underground plant, etc.) o If beyond the permissible range – review of the application LDCs request that the OEB develop new and revised templates for filing COS application to make the filing process more standardized and confine the textual component of the application to explaining cost increases or variances in general. Significant effort is required to provide the level of detail required by the current template, and current practice among OEB staff and intervenors indicates that they focus on only a small portion of the entire application. There is an opportunity to reduce the amount of administrative work by 30-50 per cent while still retaining all relevant information simply by revising the templates. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION – THE CASE FOR REGULATORY REFORM Page 7 141 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 149 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM To further facilitate the review of a COS application, the OEB should develop metrics including permissible ranges to be used to evaluate an LDC’s application. If the information contained in the LDC’s application falls within the established permissible range, the application could be efficiently evaluated through a more limited review. This permissible range should be LDC-specific and be based on defined variables/cost drivers which take into account the specific situation of the LDC such as urban/rural mix, the extent of underground plant and local geography, and other factors which influence costs. Once established, using metrics will reduce the administrative cost and the regulatory burden on both the OEB and LDCs resulting in significant cost and time savings. Notwithstanding the above recommendations, any updates or revisions to application filing requirements should be provided well before the application deadline (i.e., a minimum of eight months prior to filing deadlines) to enable LDCs sufficient time to compile their applications well before the due date for filing. Key Benefits: A revised template that focuses solely on relevant information, coupled with pre-established evaluation metrics will reduce administrative activity and costs for all parties and facilitate timely approvals. Challenge: Requests for information from intervenors and OEB staff are essentially duplicative in nature, however are worded such that they appear subtly different, necessitating a tailored response. This results in additional administrative burden with limited added value. The situation is further aggravated by the fact that many intervenors serve common interests, with some representing a subset of a broader interest group. Since intervenors are allowed to recover their costs, the amount of work undertaken by intervenors, along with their growing numbers, has led to a sharp increase in cost awards payable which ultimately is borne by the customer. Intervenors are expert consultants or counsels who participate in the review of applications on behalf of customer groups they represent. Intervenors are eligible for cost awards from the applicant for their time spent in reviewing the application, preparing questions on the application and participating in the process. Some intervenors appear genuinely interested in addressing the concerns of their constituents as effectively as possible. However, due to lack of proper safeguards, the current process has become cumbersome and more costly than strictly necessary. For example, questions appear to be designed to elicit more material than necessary to effectively review the applications. The OEB has established rules to prevent abuse of the cost award process. For example, intervenors must demonstrate that they do not unduly repeat questions asked by other parties, that they make effort to co-operate with other parties to reduce duplication, or that they don’t act to unnecessarily lengthen the duration of the process. Nevertheless, the current process does often result in duplication as intervenors do not always follow a coordinated approach in filing questions. Compounding the issue is that both intervenors and OEB staff have the same deadline for filing their questions on the application. As a result questions are often essentially duplicative, but only just different enough to require a tailored response. Intervenors are eligible for cost awards if they primarily represent the direct interests of customers or primarily represent a public interest relevant to the OEB’s mandate, such as an environmental group . However, some intervenors do not appear to represent a unique interest as they represent a subset of a larger group of customers already represented by another intervenor, often leading to duplication of questions in the regulatory process. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION – THE CASE FOR REGULATORY REFORM Page 8 142 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 150 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM In all cases, intervenor costs are ultimately reflected in rates, so it is in the customer’s interest to ensure these costs are reasonable and controlled. Recommendation: Revise the Intervenor Process Reduce the duplication of effort between OEB staff and intervenors in raising interrogatories. o OEB staff to take leadership role and issue the first round of interrogatories o Intervenors to review OEB staff interrogatories and only then raise their own interrogatories without duplicating staff effort o OEB staff should screen interrogatories from intervenors for duplication, relevance and materiality Intervenors should represent a clearly definable/distinct interest that is relevant to the issue being reviewed and OEB should be more strict in providing intervenor eligibility Establish a cap on cost awards provided to intervenors so that costs and benefits of their review are balanced Revise cost award eligibility rules so that parties with access to financial resources are not eligible for total cost recovery e.g. only 80 per cent of recovered through cost awards Intervenors could act jointly in order to qualify for joint funding There is opportunity to reduce duplication of requests for information by having OEB staff take on a greater leadership role in the entire application review process. OEB staff could develop the preliminary list of questions (i.e. interrogatories) on LDC applications. Intervenors would then be required to review the OEB staff interrogatories prior to submitting their own interrogatories with the requirement that these questions not be duplicative. OEB staff would screen the interrogatories for duplication, relevance and materiality before issuing them to the LDC applicant. In order to encourage intervenors to make best use of resources, the EDA proposes that the OEB establish a cap on cost awards for each proceeding. The cap would be based on the anticipated effort required, as presently done for some OEB consultations. This would encourage intervenors to focus on issues that are material and help ensure the cost awards are better balanced with the benefits they provide. To keep overall costs of the proceedings reasonable, the EDA proposes that cost award eligibility rules be revised so that parties with access to financial resources are not eligible for total cost recovery e.g. only 80% of expenses are recoverable through cost awards. This would encourage groups being represented by intervenors to undertake more active oversight of the work undertaken by the consultant/counsel working on their behalf. Presently, there is no cost driver to encourage groups to adequately oversee the intervenors working on their behalf and ensure their interests are being represented efficiently and effectively. Intervenors should represent a clearly definable and distinct interest that is relevant to the issue being reviewed. There is an opportunity for the OEB to tighten rules around intervenor eligibility. This approach ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION – THE CASE FOR REGULATORY REFORM Page 9 143 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 151 7/18/12 5:30:42 PM would reduce the overlap among intervenors and reduce the costs associated with funding two groups essentially representing the same interest. Key benefits: The proposed changes to the intervenor process will ultimately reduce costs associated with regulation and lead to more timely assessment of LDC applications. In addition, intervenors would be more focused on issues material and important to the groups they represent. Ultimately, the customer would benefit from regulatory cost reductions in the form of more stable, affordable rates. Additional Recommendations: The OEB should conduct periodic review (every two to three years) of the reporting requirements to examine relevance and to avoid duplication. The Social Agency Role for LDCs should be removed. New requirements that involve significant implementation efforts should be coordinated between agencies and government to reduce overlapping implementation timelines that impact on LDC workload. LDCs should not be compelled to take on the role of acting as a social agency. Recent examples include the requirement of LDCs to assist low income customers by adopting special customer service rules. The role of assisting low income customers should remain with social agencies that have the expertise and infrastructure to provide this assistance. LDCs should not be burdened with the administrative costs of implementing such social programs. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION – THE CASE FOR REGULATORY REFORM Page 10 144 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 152 7/18/12 5:30:43 PM Conclusion LDCs are experiencing increasing resource pressures associated with the steadily increasing regulatory burden year-over-year. The current regulatory process needs to be streamlined and simplified to reduce regulatory and administrative burdens in the interest of customers, LDCs and shareholders. Implementation of the proposed recommendations will: o Avoid sharp rate increases caused by the current regulatory approach and move to gradual rate changes. o Reduce administrative/regulatory burden on both the regulator and LDCs. o Reduce the undue financial burden on LDCs. ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION – THE CASE FOR REGULATORY REFORM Page 11 145 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 153 7/18/12 5:30:43 PM 146 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 154 7/18/12 5:30:43 PM Endnotes 1 Ontario Regulation 427/06 under Electricity Act, 1998 – Smart Meters: Discretionary Metering Activity and Procurement Principles, http://www.e-laws.gov.on.ca/html/regs/english/elaws_ regs_060427_e.htm. 2 Directive to the OPA from the Minister of Energy, July 13, 2006, http://www.powerauthority.on.ca/ about-us/directives-opa-minister-energy-and-infrastructure. 3 Drummond Report, Chapter 17, http://www.fin.gov.on.ca/en/reformcommission/chapters/report. pdf. 4 In 2011, the Ontario Energy Board initiated “a consultation aimed at promoting the cost-effective development of electricity infrastructure through coordinated planning on a regional basis between licensed distributors and transmitters”. http://www.ontarioenergyboard.ca/OEB/Industry/ Regulatory+Proceedings/Policy+Initiatives+and+Consultations/Regional+Planning 5 “Demand is expected to grow moderately (about 15 per cent) between 2010 and 2030.” IPSP Planning and Consultation Review, May 2011, page 1-3. 6 In contrast, the useful economic lifetime of capital assets in the information industry itself, such as factories (or “fabs”) that manufacture computer memory, is much shorter, typically 2 to 3 years. Productivity growth, driven by technological innovation, occurs at much faster rates. 7 See https://www.saveonenergy.ca/. 8 “Over the next 20 years, prices for Ontario families and small businesses will be relatively predictable. The consumer rate will increase by about 3.5 per cent annually over the length of the long-term plan. Over the next five years, however, residential electricity prices are expected to rise by about 7.9 per cent annually (or 46 per cent over five years).”Ontario’s Long-Term Energy Plan, page 59, http://www.mei.gov.on.ca/en/pdf/MEI_LTEP_en.pdf. 9 IESO Admin Charges: The charges applied by the IESO to all market participants for operating the wholesale market for electricity and ancillary services in Ontario. This is included in the Regulatory Charge on customers’ bills. OPA Admin Fees: The charges are applied by OPA for planning and procuring electricity supply from diverse resources and facilitating the measures needed to achieve ambitious conservation targets. This is also included in the Regulatory Charge on customers’ bills. OEB License Fee and Cost Assessments: OEB License fee and Cost Assessments include cost awards provided to stakeholders and intervenors for OEB consultations and generic proceedings respectively. These costs are embedded in the distribution rate of each LDC. Electrical Safety Authority (ESA) Cost Assessments: The charges that are applied by ESA to individual LDCs. This is embedded in the Distribution rate of each LDC. LDC Costs for Regulatory Compliance: These include regulatory staff costs, costs of preparing and filing regulatory applications. OEB hearing and intervenor costs are included in this figure. 147 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 155 7/18/12 5:30:43 PM 10 2011 Annual Report Office of the Auditor General of Ontario - Section 3.02, http://www.auditor.on.ca/en/reports_en/en11/2011ar_en.pdf. 11 ‘Objective’ or ‘principle’ based approaches have gained traction in financial regulation partly as a result of the financial collapse of 2008. Some of the ideas developed there may be relevant for regulating energy industries. 12 LDCs began paying PILs on October 1, 2001. The amount of PILs paid by LDCs from 2002 to 2011 was estimated to be using OEB yearbook data for 2005 to 2010 period. 13 Statistical estimates from data in the mid-1990s indicated that distributors that were part of public utility commissions exhibited lower average per-customer costs in the range of 6 per cent to 10 per cent. See “Scale Economies in Electricity Distribution: A Semiparametric Analysis”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, volume 15, pages 187-210, Tables I(a) through II(c). 14 See Appendix B for a detailed description of the U.S. electricity industry and the role of multi-utilities. 15 The Future of the Electricity Grid, An Interdisciplinary MIT Study, MIT 2011, page 6, available at http://web.mit.edu/mitei/research/studies/the-electric-grid-2011.shtml. 16 In economist terms, the elasticity of demand response depends on a number of variables which vary by location and conditions. 17 There are currently 3 levels of programs. Provincially mandated OPA programs are termed “Tier 1” programs. “Tier 2” programs are those designed cooperatively by multiple utilities. “Tier 3” programs are designed by individual utilities. 18 In the latest report, released June 5, 2012 the Commissioner states: “As a result of the [Ontario Energy] Board’s action, both gas and electricity distributors are being deterred or restricted from promoting conservation to its full potential, and consequently hurting the public good. As the ECO has previously stated, the recent rulings have been indifferent and even hostile towards conservation, the opposite of what the government intended when the Board’s objectives were amended. For example, the CDM Guidelines will likely limit the development of BAPs [Ontario Energy BoardApproved Programs]…. As noted in the ECO’s Annual Energy Conservation Progress Report – 2010 (Volume Two), the ECO is uncertain that the distributor targets will be achieved. Both consumption and peak demand targets are dependent on distributors implementing the OPA-Contracted Province-Wide programs and BAPs. The ECO notes with discouragement that the OEB’s decisions on duplication and its need to issue CDM Guidelines mean that almost half way through the 2014 target period, no BAPs are approved and LDCs only nowhave a complete set of rules within which to develop programs.” Restoring Balance, A Review of the First Three Years of the Green Energy Act, Annual Energy Conservation Progress Report – 2011 (Volume One), Environmental Commissioner of Ontario, page 42, http://www.eco.on.ca/index.php/en_US/pubs/energy-conservation-reports/ restoring-balance. 148 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 156 7/18/12 5:30:43 PM 19 “Third Tranche Conservation and Demand Management Spending Staff Report”, Ontario Energy Board, December 15, 2009, page 12. 20 Chapter 3, Section 3.02, 2011 Report of the Auditor General of Ontario http://www.auditor.on.ca/ en/reports_en/en11/302en11.pdf 21 The estimated savings of $50 million is based on an assumption that LDCs representing 25 per cent of total provincial Operating, Maintenance & Administration (OM&A) Expenses could become more efficient if consolidated, and that a savings of 15 per cent of total OM&A for those LDCs can be achieved. It should be noted that some of the potential savings may already have been achieved through cooperative efforts, and that distances and the non-contiguous nature of many LDCs may prevent achievement of savings at the level we have estimated. The estimate does not provide for transition costs. 22 Current Status of Electricity Restructuring by State. http://www.eia.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/restructuring/restructure_elect.html 23 “Compilation of Investor-Owned Transactions – Mergers and Major Acquisitions” American Public Power Association. Updated April 2012. 24 Recession data taken from N.Y. Federal Reserve. 25 Calzorai, Giacomo and Carlo Scarpa. “Regulating a Multi-Utility Firm.” January 2006. Journal of Economic Literature. 26 Filippini, Massimo and Mehdi Farsi. “Cost Efficiency and Scope Economies in Multi-output utilities in Switzerland.” 2003. Strukturberichterstattung Nr. 39. Study on Behalf of the Secretariat for Economic Affairs. 27 Farrell, m. J. (1957). “The Measurement of Productive Efficiency,” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 120 (30): 253-290. 28 Filippini, Massimo and Mehdi Farsi. “Cost Efficiency and Scope Economies in Multi-output utilities in Switzerland.” 2003. Strukturberichterstattung Nr. 39. Study on Behalf of the Secretariat for Economic Affairs. 29 Fraquelli, Giovanni, Massimiliano Piacenza, and Davide Vannoni. “Scope and Scale Economies in the Multi-Utilities: Evidence from Gas, Water, and Electricity Combinations.” July 2002. http://www-3. unipv.it/websiep/wp/174.pdf 30 Carvalhho, Pedro, Rui Cunha Marques, and Sanford Berg. “A Meta-Regression Analysis of Benchmarking Studies on Water Utilities Market Structure.” August 2011. 31 Triebs, Thomas P., Michael G. Pollit, and John E. Kwoka. “The Direct Costs and Benefits of U.S. Electric Utility Divestitures.” September 2010. Cambridge Working Paper in Economics. 32 Kwoka, J.E. “Vertical economies in electric power: evidence on integration and its alternatives.” International Journal of Industrial Organization. 20(5): 653-671. 33 Kaserman DL, Mayo JW. “The Measurement of Vertical Economies and the Efficient Structure of the Electric Utility Industry. Journal of Industrial Economics. 39:483-502. 149 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 157 7/18/12 5:30:43 PM 34 Lee B, Spiller. “Separability Test for the Electric Supply Industry.” 1995. Journal of Applied Econometrics. 10(1): 49-60. 35 American Public Power Association. “Retail Electric Rates in Deregulated and Regulated States: 2009 Update.” March 2010. www.APPAnet.org. 36 The participating utilities are Bluewater Power, Brantford Power, Canadian Niagara Power Inc., Entegrus, Erie Thames, Essex Powerlines, Horizon Utilities, Niagara Peninsula Energy and Welland Hydro. 37 http://www.ontarioenergyboard.ca/OEB/Industry/Rules+and+Requirements/Reporting+and+Record +Keeping+Requirements/Yearbook+of+Distributors 38 Ontario Energy Book annual yearbooks of electricity distributors, http://www.ontarioenergyboard. ca/OEB/Industry/Rules+and+Requirements/Reporting+and+Record +Keeping+Requirements/ Yearbook+of+Distributors. 39 Until 2009, the OEB tracked a tenth indicator ”Cable Locates” which measured the percentage of requests for locating cables that were completed within five working days. 40 http://www.ontarioenergyboard.ca/OEB/Industry/Rules+and+Requirements/Reporting+and+Record +Keeping+Requirements/Yearbook+of+Distributors 41 See, for example “Report for the Ontario Energy Board, Third Generation Incentive Regulation Stretch Factor Updates for 2012 (EB-2011-0387), December 1, 2011, Power Systems Engineering Inc. http://www.ontarioenergyboard.ca/OEB/Industry/Regulatory+Proceedings/ Applications+Before+the+Board/Electricity+Distribution+Rates/3rd+Gen+Stretch+Factors 150 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 158 7/18/12 5:30:43 PM Electricity Distributors Association 3700 Steeles Ave. West, Suite 1100, Vaughan, ON L4L 8K8 Tel. 905-265-5300 Toll Free 1-800-668-9979 Fax 905-265-5301 www.eda-on.ca 151 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 159 7/18/12 5:30:43 PM 152 Updated_EDA Report _FINAL(i-114pages).pdf 160 7/18/12 5:30:43 PM EDABackCover:Layout 1 18/07/12 2:55 PM Page 1