The CNN/WMUR NH Primary Poll

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THE CNN / WMUR NH PRIMARY POLL
THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE
June 25, 2015
SANDERS GAINS ON CLINTON IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
By:
Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.
Zachary S. Azem, M.A.
UNH Survey Center
603-862-2226
www.unh.edu/survey-center
DURHAM, NH –Hillary Clinton, who has held comfortable leads over all her Democratic rivals, is now in a statistical tie with
Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire. Clinton and Sanders now enjoy identical net favorability ratings among
Democratic primary voters.
These findings are based on the latest CNN / WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New
Hampshire Survey Center. One thousand and ten (1010) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by
landline and cellular telephone between June 18 and June 24, 2015. Included were three-hundred sixty (360) likely 2016
Democratic Primary voters (MSE = +/-5.2), and four hundred two (402) likely 2016 Republican Primary voters (MSE = +/4.9).
NH Voters Not Yet Engaged
th
2016 is the 100 anniversary of the New Hampshire Presidential Primary, and with more than six months remaining before
the election, most voters have not yet engaged. While some of the candidates discussed in this poll will decide not to run,
and others may enter who were not discussed, candidates who are the early identified frontrunners have usually won past
New Hampshire primaries.
New Hampshire primary voters typically decide who they will vote for in the last weeks, or days of the campaign and it is no
surprise that few voters have made up their minds about who they will support in 2016. Currently, only 20% of likely
Democratic primary voters say they have definitely decided who they will support, 26% are leaning toward a candidate, but
the majority of voters (54%) are still trying to decide who to support.
NH 2016 DEM Presidential Primary -- Decided On Vote
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
82%
80%
80%
77%
69%
73%
76%
66%
54%
Feb. '13 Apr. '13 July '13
Definitely Decided

80%
81%
Oct '13
Jan '14
Apr. '14 July '14 Oct. '14 Feb. '15 May '15 June '15
Leaning Toward Someone
Still Trying To Decide
We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the CNN / WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, sponsored by CNN and WMUR-TV, and
conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.
Currently, 37% of likely Democratic primary voters say they are extremely interested in the election, 40% are very
interested, 18% are somewhat interested and 6% are not very interested. This is similar to this point in the 2007 cycle.
However, it appears that the electorate is more interested in the Republican primary than the Democratic contest.
Undeclared voters, often erroneously referred to as “independents”, are much less likely to say they plan to vote in the
Democratic primary than they were in 2008. Currently, 35% of undeclared voters say they plan to vote in the Republican
primary, 34% plan to vote in the Democratic primary, and 31% say they will not vote in either primary or are unsure which
primary they would vote in. At this time in 2007, 49% of undeclared voters said they would vote in the Democratic primary,
only 24% said they planned to vote in the Republican primary, and 28% said they would not vote in either primary or were
unsure which primary they would vote in.
Democratic Favorability Ratings
2008 New Hampshire Primary winner Hillary Clinton remains the most popular Democratic candidate. Most likely
Democratic Primary voters, 74%, have a favorable opinion of Clinton, 19% have an unfavorable opinion of her, and 11% are
neutral or unsure. Her net favorability rating, the percentage who have a favorable opinion minus those who have an
unfavorable opinion, is a +55%, her lowest rating since President Obama was inaugurated in 2013.
Vermont senator Bernie Sanders has enjoyed a significant increase in his net favorability ratings in recent months and he is
now tied with Clinton on this measure with a net +55%, up from +34% in May. Vice President Joe Biden has solid net
favorability ratings (+39%) while other Democratic challengers -- former Maryland governor Martin O’Malley (+4%), former
Virginia senator Jim Webb (+2%), and former Rhode Island governor Lincoln Chafee (-4%) and are less well known and have
low net favorability ratings.
Favorability Ratings - Potential DEM Presidential Candidates - June 2015
Hillary Clinton
74%
Bernie Sanders
5%
66%
Joe Biden
8%
63%
Martin O'Malley
16%
11%
Jim Webb
13%
9%
Lincoln Chafee
12%
10%
0%
10%
Favorable
16%
24%
2%
68%
16%
30%
2%
61%
11%
20%
11%
11%
12%
19%
61%
40%
Neutral
50%
60%
Unfavorable
70%
DK
80%
90%
100%
Clinton has been the most popular Democratic candidate over the past two years, but her net favorability has dropped from
+74% to +55% since February.
NH 2016 DEM Presidential Primary -- Net Favorability Ratings
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
Feb. '13 Apr.'13
Jul. '13 Oct. '13 Jan. '14 Apr. '14 July '14 Oct. '14 Feb. '15 May '15 June '15
Biden
Chafee
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
Webb
2016 NH Democratic Primary Trial Heat
Clinton had been the clear favorite among Democratic voters when they are asked to choose from a list of prospective
candidates since 2013, however, Sanders has surged in recent months. In the current CNN / WMUR Poll, 43% of likely
Democratic Primary voters say they would vote for Clinton if the election were held today, 35% say they would vote for
Sanders, 8% prefer Biden, 2% prefer O’Malley 1% prefer Webb, less than 1% prefer Chafee, 2% favor some other candidate,
and 9% are undecided. Support for Clinton has dropped below 50% for the first time in the 2016 nomination cycle while
support for Sanders increased from 13% in May.
Clinton’s strongest support comes from voters with only high school degrees (60%), registered Democrats (52%), women
(51%), 51 to 64 year olds (51%), and Manchester area residents (50%). Sanders strongest support comes from North
Country residents (50%), liberals (48%), and voters under 35 (47%).
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
NH 2016 DEM Presidential Primary -- Support If Vote Held Today
Feb. '13 Apr.'13
Jul. '13 Oct. '13 Jan. '14 Apr. '14 July '14 Oct. '14 Feb. '15 May '15 June '15
Biden
Chafee
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
Webb
2016 NH Democratic Primary with Second Choice
While Hillary Clinton is currently the frontrunner in the Democratic field, likely Democrat Primary voters view Bernie
Sanders as a viable option. When the top two choices are combined, 68% of likely primary voters favor Clinton, 53% favor
Sanders and 28% favor Biden.
Clinton
43%
Sanders
25%
35%
Biden
8%
O'Malley
18%
20%
68%
53%
28%
5%
Webb
2%
Chafee
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
1st Choice
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2nd Choice
Most Unpopular Democrat Candidate
Nominations typically go to candidates who are acceptable to most members of their party and not too polarizing of a
figure. When asked which potential candidate they would NOT vote for under any circumstance, 11% of likely Democratic
primary voters would not vote for Clinton, 6% would not vote for Biden, 6% would not vote for Sanders, 4% would not vote
for Chafee, 3% would not vote for Webb, 35% think that all of the prospective candidates are acceptable, and 30% are
unsure. Clinton leads on this measure of unpopularity for the first time in the 2016 cycle.
NH 2016 DEM Presidential Primary -- Would Not Vote For
20%
10%
0%
Feb. '13 Apr.'13 Jul. '13 Oct. '13 Jan. '14 Apr. '14 July '14 Oct. '14 Feb. '15 May '15 June '15
Biden
Chafee
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
Webb
Democrat Net Electability
Clinton had held a wide lead in net electability (the percentage who support a candidate minus the percentage who would
not vote for that candidate under any circumstances), but this has disappeared in recent months. Clinton’s net electability
score is +31%, followed closely by Sanders at +29%. No other Democratic candidate has net favorability ratings above +2%.
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
NH 2016 DEM Presidential Primary -- Net Electability Ratings
Feb. '13 Apr.'13 Jul. '13 Oct. '13 Jan. '14 Apr. '14 July '14 Oct. '14 Feb. '15 May '15 June '15
Biden
Chafee
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
Webb
Most Important Issues to Primary Vote
When asked what issue is the most important facing candidates in the presidential primary, 24% of likely Democrat Primary
voters cite jobs or the economy, 16% cite foreign policy or national security, 8% cite social issues, 8% cite healthcare, 4%
cite income inequality, 6% cite education, and 8% cite the environment.
Jobs / Economy
12%
12%
Foreign Policy/ National Security
4%
Social Issues
8%
Health Care
3%
17%
5%
8%
4%
4%
Education
16%
11%
8%
8%
Environmental Issues
6%
3%
6%
4%
Income Inequality
Campaign Finance
35%
23%
24%
0%
2%
3%
22%
22%
Other / DK
0%
5%
10%
Feb. '15
15%
May '15
20%
25%
June '15
31%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Candidate Qualities
Voters were asked which candidate most exhibits several candidate qualities. Clinton gets higher ratings for leadership and
appearing presidential but voters think Sanders has greater empathy for them. A majority of likely primary voters (56%)
view Hillary Clinton as being the strongest leader, 38% think she has the personal characteristics and qualities to be
president, 30% believe she has the best represents Democrats like themselves, and 28% think she is the least honest
candidate. A plurality (45%) chose Bernie Sanders as the candidate who most cares about people like them and 41% think
Sanders best represents Democrats like them.
Strongest Leader
Least Honest
8%
5%
Best Represents Democrats Like Yourself
7%
Cares the Most About People Like You
8%
Has Personal Characteristics and
Qualities You Think a President Should
Have
Chafee
21%
60%
30%
41%
24%
19%
45%
21%
38%
20%
Clinton
13%
28%
12%
0%
Biden
56%
27%
40%
O'Malley
Sanders
60%
19%
80%
Webb
100%
Don't Know
Likely Democratic Primary voters were next asked which candidate is best able to handle several top issues. For most
issues, Clinton is viewed as the candidate best able to handle that issue – 55% think she is best able to handle international
trade issues, 45% think she can best handle terrorism, 43% think she is best on health care policy, and 38% think she is best
able to handle the economy. However, a plurality (36%) think Sanders is best able to deal with big banks and corporations.
Best to Handle the Economy
6%
Best to Handle Terrorism
12%
Best to Handle International Trade Policy
11%
Best to Handle Health Care Policy
Clinton
22%
11%
55%
27%
31%
20%
O'Malley
26%
14%
43%
11%
0%
Chafee
28%
45%
6%
Best to Deal with Big Banks and
Corporations
Biden
38%
20%
36%
40%
Sanders
60%
Webb
17%
16%
80%
Don't Know
100%
CNN / WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll Methodology
These findings are based on the latest CNN / WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New
Hampshire Survey Center. One thousand and ten (1010) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by live
interviewers in English on landline and cellular telephones between June 18 and June 24, 2015. The margin of sampling
error for the entire sample is +/- 3.1 percent. Included were three-hundred sixty (360) likely 2016 Democratic Primary
voters (MSE = +/-5.2), and four hundred two (402) likely 2016 Republican Primary voters (MSE = +/-4.9
The random sample used in the CNN / WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll was purchased from Scientific Telephone
Samples (STS), Foothill Ranch, CA. STS screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non-working numbers,
disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of time
interviewers spend calling non-usable numbers.
The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households, respondent sex, age,
and region of the state. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling
error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response.
For more information about the methodology used in the CNN / WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, contact Dr. Andrew
Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by email at andrew.smith@unh.edu.
CNN / WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, June 2015
Likely Democratic Primary Voter Demographics
Sex
Male
Female
N
147
213
%
41%
59%
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and Over
N
90
92
92
76
%
26%
26%
26%
22%
Highest Level of Education
High School or Less
Some College
College Graduate
Post-Graduate
N
37
73
140
110
%
10%
20%
39%
31%
Age
Region
N
24
66
76
71
70
54
%
7%
18%
21%
20%
19%
15%
Party Registration
Democrat
Undeclared
Republican
N
174
161
0
%
52%
48%
0%
Party Identification
Democrat
Independent
Republican
N
313
31
13
%
88%
9%
3%
North Country
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
Decided Who to Vote for in 2016 DEM Primary?
(Likely NH DEM Primary Voters)
“Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary … are you leaning toward someone … or
have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”
June ‘15
Definitely
Decided
20%
Leaning Toward
Someone
26%
Still Trying
To Decide
54%
May ‘15
Feb. ‘15
10%
7%
24%
16%
66%
76%
(N)
(359)
(227)
(298)
Oct. ‘14
July ‘14
Apr. ‘14
Jan. ‘14
Oct. ‘13
July ‘13
Apr. ‘13
Feb. ‘13
17%
13%
7%
13%
10%
7%
7%
8%
10%
10%
13%
18%
9%
12%
13%
10%
73%
77%
80%
69%
81%
80%
80%
82%
(227)
(252)
(180)
(202)
(245)
(187)
(185)
(193)
Democratic Nomination in 2016 NH Primary
(Likely NH DEM Primary Voters)
"I’m going to read you the names of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Democratic
nomination. If the Democratic primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the
Democratic nomination Joe Biden … Lincoln Chafee … Hillary Clinton … Martin O’Malley … Bernie Sanders … Jim Webb or
someone else?” ROTATE CANDIDATES
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Martin O’Malley
Jim Webb
Lincoln Chafee
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Cuomo
Mark Warner
Brian Schweitzer
Kirsten Gillibrand
Deval Patrick
Cory Booker
Evan Bayh
John Hickenlooper
Antonio Villaraigosa
Someone Else
Don’t Know Yet
(N)
Feb. ‘13
Apr. ‘13
July ‘13
Oct. ‘13
Jan. ‘14
Apr. ‘14
July ‘14
Oct. ‘14
Feb. ‘15
May ‘15
June ‘15
63%
--10%
*
------5%
*
1%
--1%
2%
1%
*
*
1%
16%
(195)
61%
--7%
*
------3%
2%
*
--3%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
22%
(185)
62%
--8%
0%
------1%
0%
--*
5%
2%
*
*
--2%
19%
(187)
64%
--6%
*
----6%
2%
*
--0%
1%
*
*
0%
--2%
18%
(248)
74%
--10%
*
------2%
1%
*
0%
----------2%
10%
(201)
65%
--6%
0%
------4%
2%
0%
------------5%
18%
(182)
59%
5%
14%
0%
----8%
3%
1%
0%
------------1%
9%
(255)
58%
3%
3%
3%
----18%
1%
*
--------------1%
13%
(228)
58%
6%
8%
1%
1%
--14%
2%
----------------1%
9%
(295)
51%
13%
2%
1%
1%
1%
20%
3%
----------------*
8%
(224)
43%
35%
8%
2%
1%
*
--------------------2%
9%
(353)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
Second Choice in 2016 NH Democratic Primary
(Likely NH DEM Primary Voters)
“If ___________ was not running, who would be your second choice?”
Apr. ‘14
July ‘14
Oct. ‘14
Feb. ‘15
May ‘15
June ‘15
5%
24%
--2%
------14%
5%
1%
2%
24%
23%
(182)
17%
23%
5%
*
----19%
6%
1%
2%
*
12%
15%
(257)
10%
21%
4%
*
----21%
5%
1%
--2%
23%
12%
(224)
18%
21%
4%
2%
--3%
23%
8%
----1%
*
18%
(268)
15%
18%
11%
1%
1%
2%
23%
8%
----2%
1%
17%
(205)
25%
20%
18%
3%
2%
1%
--------3%
2%
26%
(322)
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Bernie Sanders
Martin O’Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Jim Webb
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Cuomo
Mark Warner
Brian Schweitzer
Someone Else
No Second Choice
Don’t Know Yet
(N)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
Candidate You Wouldn’t Vote For In 2016 NH Democratic Primary
(Likely NH DEM Primary Voters)
“Which of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Democratic nomination would you NOT
vote for under any circumstance?”
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Bernie Sanders
Lincoln Chafee
Jim Webb
Martin O’Malley
Andrew Cuomo
Elizabeth Warren
Mark Warner
Brian Schweitzer
Kirsten Gillibrand
Deval Patrick
John Hickenlooper
Cory Booker
Evan Bayh
Antonio Villaraigosa
Someone Else
All OK
Don’t Know Yet
(N)
Feb. ‘13
Apr. ‘13
July ‘13
Oct. ‘13
Jan. ‘14
Apr. ‘14
July ‘14
Oct. ‘14
Feb. ‘15
May ‘15
June ‘15
4%
7%
------*
3%
--2%
1%
--6%
*
2%
3%
2%
2%
34%
34%
(200)
4%
7%
------*
2%
--3%
1%
--3%
1%
*
4%
3%
1%
33%
38%
(188)
3%
10%
------*
4%
--2%
--*
3%
*
*
3%
--3%
26%
46%
(185)
4%
12%
------0%
6%
2%
*
--*
3%
2%
2%
*
--1%
37%
30%
(248)
5%
16%
------*
3%
--3%
3%
3%
----------1%
28%
37%
(201)
7%
16%
------4%
5%
--2%
1%
------------1%
32%
33%
(183)
5%
9%
2%
----*
9%
2%
1%
3%
------------2%
29%
38%
(254)
3%
13%
4%
----2%
7%
2%
3%
--------------1%
35%
31%
(226)
6%
13%
3%
--4%
1%
7%
4%
----------------*
32%
29%
(293)
8%
13%
3%
2%
2%
1%
8%
1%
----------------0%
24%
39%
(218)
11%
6%
6%
4%
3%
1%
--------------------3%
35%
30%
(355)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
Most Important Issue To Primary Vote
(Likely NH DEM Primary Voters)
“There are many issues facing the candidates in the election for president. In your opinion, which one issue is MOST
IMPORTANT to YOUR VOTE in the presidential primary?”
Feb. ‘15
35%
12%
4%
17%
5%
4%
3%
0%
22%
(285)
Jobs/Economy
Foreign Policy/National Security
Social Issues
Health Care
Environment/Climate Change
Education
Income Inequality
Campaign Finance
Other/Don’t Know
(N)
May ‘15
23%
12%
11%
8%
3%
4%
6%
2%
31%
(213)
June ‘15
24%
16%
8%
8%
8%
6%
4%
3%
22%
(351)
Candidate Characteristics
(Likely NH DEM Primary Voters)
“Which Democratic candidate do you think is the strongest leader?”
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Martin O’Malley
Jim Webb
Lincoln Chafee
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Cuomo
Someone Else
Don’t Know
(N)
Feb. ‘15
May ‘15
June ‘15
58%
2%
11%
0%
*
--8%
3%
0%
18%
(298)
55%
3%
6%
*
1%
*
5%
7%
0%
23%
(224)
56%
13%
8%
1%
*
0%
----1%
21%
(358)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
“Which Democratic candidate do you think is least honest?”
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Bernie Sanders
Martin O’Malley
Jim Webb
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Cuomo
Someone Else
Don’t Know
(N)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
May ‘15
22%
4%
1%
1%
0%
*
0%
10%
0%
62%
(217)
June ‘15
28%
5%
3%
2%
2%
*
----1%
60%
(346)
“Which Democratic candidate do you think best represents the values of Democrats like yourself?”
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Jim Webb
Martin O’Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Cuomo
Someone Else
Don’t Know
(N)
Feb. ‘15
May ‘15
June ‘15
7%
43%
7%
1%
1%
--23%
2%
0%
15%
(298)
13%
38%
3%
1%
1%
0%
22%
1%
1%
20%
(224)
41%
30%
7%
1%
1%
1%
----1%
19%
(356)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
“Which Democratic candidate do you think cares the most about people like you?”
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Jim Webb
Martin O’Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Someone Else
Don’t Know
(N)
June ‘15
45%
24%
8%
1%
1%
0%
1%
21%
(355)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
“Which Democratic candidate do you think has the personal characteristics and qualities that you think a President should
have?”
June ‘15
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Martin O’Malley
Jim Webb
Lincoln Chafee
Someone Else
Don’t Know
(N)
38%
27%
12%
2%
1%
*
1%
19%
(351)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
“Which Democratic candidate do you think can best handle the economy?”
June ‘15
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Jim Webb
Martin O’Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Someone Else
Don’t Know
(N)
37%
28%
6%
2%
2%
1%
2%
22%
(357)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
“Which Democratic candidate do you think do you think can best handle terrorism?”
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Martin O’Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Someone Else
Don’t Know
(N)
June ‘15
45%
12%
11%
1%
1%
0%
3%
25%
(357)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
“Which Democratic candidate do you think can best handle international trade policy?”
June ‘15
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Martin O’Malley
Jim Webb
Lincoln Chafee
Someone Else
Don’t Know
(N)
55%
14%
11%
1%
*
*
1%
17%
(357)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
“Which Democratic candidate do you think can best handle health care policy?”
June ‘15
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Jim Webb
Martin O’Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Someone Else
Don’t Know
(N)
43%
27%
6%
1%
1%
1%
1%
20%
(357)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
“Which Democratic candidate do you think can best deal with big banks and corporations?”
June ‘15
36%
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Jim Webb
Martin O’Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Someone Else
Don’t Know
(N)
31%
11%
1%
2%
1%
2%
16%
(358)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
DEM Favorability Ratings
(Likely DEM Primary Voters)
"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some DEMOCRAT who are running or may run for President in 2016. As I read
each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or
her."
“Vice President Joe Biden?”
June ‘15
May ‘15
Feb. ‘15
Oct. ‘14
July ‘14
Apr. ‘14
Jan. ‘14
Oct. ‘13
July ‘13
Apr. ‘13
Feb. ‘13
Favorable
63%
57%
53%
59%
67%
53%
53%
54%
61%
64%
73%
Neutral
11%
14%
13%
11%
9%
5%
12%
9%
5%
9%
4%
Unfavorable
24%
26%
30%
27%
20%
37%
27%
31%
30%
25%
22%
Don’t Know
2%
3%
5%
3%
4%
5%
8%
6%
3%
2%
1%
Net
+39%
+31%
+23%
+32%
+47%
+16%
+26%
+23%
+31%
+39%
+51%
(N)
(357)
(229)
(297)
(231)
(257)
(184)
(205)
(252)
(190)
(188)
(201)
“Former Rhode Island Governor Lincoln Chafee?”
June ‘15
May ‘15
Favorable
12%
8%
Neutral
10%
21%
Unfavorable
16%
10%
Don’t Know
61%
61%
Net
-4%
-2%
(N)
(357)
(230)
Unfavorable
19%
15%
9%
10%
9%
11%
8%
8%
13%
5%
7%
Don’t Know
2%
0%
1%
1%
0%
3%
0%
3%
1%
3%
1%
Net
+55%
+58%
+74%
+74%
+78%
+67%
+80%
+76%
+72%
+83%
+80%
(N)
(357)
(230)
(297)
(234)
(257)
(184)
(205)
(250)
(190)
(188)
(201)
Neutral
11%
22%
8%
4%
2%
4%
10%
4%
9%
7%
4%
Unfavorable
12%
10%
6%
4%
8%
5%
8%
7%
5%
5%
6%
Don’t Know
61%
58%
75%
83%
80%
81%
73%
85%
79%
79%
80%
Net
+4%
0%
+5%
+4%
+1%
+5%
+1%
-2%
+3%
+3%
+3%
(N)
(357)
(230)
(297)
(234)
(257)
(184)
(205)
(252)
(190)
(188)
(201)
Neutral
8%
16%
9%
7%
2%
Unfavorable
11%
11%
10%
9%
10%
Don’t Know
16%
28%
37%
45%
51%
Net
+55%
+34%
+34%
+30%
+27%
(N)
(357)
(230)
(297)
(234)
(257)
Neutral
9%
19%
12%
Unfavorable
11%
12%
9%
Don’t Know
68%
58%
70%
Net
+2%
0%
0%
(N)
(357)
(230)
(297)
“Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton?”
June ‘15
May ‘15
Feb. ‘15
Oct. ‘14
July ‘14
Apr. ‘14
Jan. ‘14
Oct. ‘13
July ‘13
Apr. ‘13
Feb. ‘13
Favorable
74%
73%
83%
84%
87%
78%
88%
84%
85%
88%
87%
Neutral
5%
11%
6%
5%
3%
8%
3%
5%
1%
4%
5%
“Former Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley?”
June ‘15
May ‘15
Feb. ‘15
Oct. ‘14
July ‘14
Apr. ‘14
Jan. ‘14
Oct. ‘13
July ‘13
Apr. ‘13
Feb. ‘13
Favorable
16%
10%
11%
8%
9%
10%
9%
5%
8%
8%
9%
“Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders?”
June ‘15
May ‘15
Feb. ‘15
Oct. ‘14
July ‘14
Favorable
66%
45%
44%
39%
37%
“Former Virginia Senator Jim Webb?”
June ‘15
May ‘15
Feb. ‘15
Favorable
13%
12%
9%
Favorability Rating – Joe Biden
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable
63%
Neutral
11%
Unfavorable
24%
Don’t Know
2%
(N)
357
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
66%
61%
8%
11%
23%
27%
2%
1%
174
158
Democrat
Independent
Republican
67%
49%
24%
10%
23%
14%
22%
23%
61%
1%
5%
0%
310
31
13
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
76%
54%
51%
5%
15%
9%
20%
28%
39%
0%
3%
1%
170
151
20
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
63%
64%
10%
14%
26%
21%
2%
1%
261
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
64%
58%
11%
14%
24%
25%
1%
3%
296
61
Union household
Non-union
58%
65%
9%
10%
32%
23%
0%
2%
67
277
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
63%
69%
68%
59%
64%
13%
12%
12%
12%
7%
25%
18%
18%
27%
28%
0%
2%
1%
3%
1%
63
72
142
177
190
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
58%
64%
59%
74%
16%
11%
11%
8%
25%
26%
26%
17%
1%
0%
4%
1%
86
92
92
76
Male
Female
63%
63%
10%
12%
27%
22%
0%
2%
147
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
57%
58%
63%
68%
19%
8%
13%
9%
25%
29%
24%
22%
0%
5%
0%
1%
37
70
140
110
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
67%
51%
57%
68%
12%
4%
14%
10%
19%
45%
26%
21%
2%
0%
3%
1%
59
35
98
158
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
62%
72%
58%
56%
65%
67%
7%
14%
8%
19%
9%
8%
31%
13%
32%
25%
24%
23%
0%
1%
2%
0%
2%
3%
24
62
76
71
70
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
67%
59%
10%
12%
21%
27%
2%
1%
169
188
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
Favorability Rating – Lincoln Chafee
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable
12%
Neutral
10%
Unfavorable
16%
Don’t Know
61%
(N)
357
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
11%
14%
9%
13%
18%
15%
62%
58%
174
158
Democrat
Independent
Republican
13%
11%
0%
9%
30%
2%
15%
16%
29%
63%
43%
69%
310
31
13
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
11%
16%
8%
12%
11%
2%
15%
14%
26%
63%
59%
63%
170
151
20
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
14%
8%
10%
12%
16%
14%
60%
66%
261
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
15%
1%
10%
10%
15%
20%
60%
69%
296
61
Union household
Non-union
14%
12%
7%
10%
17%
16%
62%
61%
67
277
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
27%
19%
13%
11%
17%
5%
13%
12%
7%
16%
19%
20%
16%
15%
17%
48%
48%
58%
66%
50%
63
72
142
177
190
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
3%
16%
15%
18%
15%
11%
6%
10%
3%
15%
23%
21%
80%
59%
56%
51%
86
92
92
76
Male
Female
15%
10%
15%
7%
19%
14%
51%
69%
147
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
0%
11%
18%
11%
15%
11%
9%
9%
13%
20%
12%
19%
72%
58%
61%
61%
37
70
140
110
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
13%
18%
9%
12%
10%
14%
6%
13%
11%
11%
19%
16%
66%
57%
66%
59%
59
35
98
158
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
26%
12%
7%
21%
11%
6%
3%
6%
22%
8%
11%
4%
21%
14%
18%
17%
14%
13%
51%
69%
54%
53%
63%
76%
24
62
76
71
70
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
11%
14%
9%
12%
15%
17%
66%
58%
169
188
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
Favorability Rating – Hillary Clinton
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable
74%
Neutral
5%
Unfavorable
19%
Don’t Know
2%
(N)
357
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
81%
67%
5%
4%
14%
24%
0%
4%
174
158
Democrat
Independent
Republican
78%
56%
15%
5%
4%
0%
15%
40%
85%
2%
0%
0%
310
31
13
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
87%
63%
60%
4%
7%
0%
9%
26%
29%
0%
3%
12%
170
151
20
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
77%
63%
6%
2%
14%
33%
2%
2%
261
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
76%
64%
6%
2%
17%
30%
2%
4%
296
61
Union household
Non-union
73%
76%
5%
5%
18%
17%
3%
2%
67
277
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
79%
78%
75%
77%
72%
2%
4%
7%
8%
2%
19%
17%
18%
15%
22%
0%
1%
0%
1%
4%
63
72
142
177
190
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
66%
68%
79%
83%
3%
3%
9%
6%
31%
23%
12%
10%
0%
7%
0%
1%
86
92
92
76
Male
Female
67%
78%
5%
5%
23%
17%
5%
0%
147
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
80%
62%
71%
83%
7%
5%
6%
4%
13%
29%
21%
13%
0%
3%
3%
0%
37
70
140
110
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
72%
78%
70%
75%
4%
2%
4%
8%
18%
20%
25%
16%
6%
0%
1%
1%
59
35
98
158
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
66%
81%
68%
75%
69%
80%
0%
5%
3%
6%
7%
8%
34%
14%
29%
19%
19%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
5%
7%
24
62
76
71
70
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
76%
71%
5%
6%
15%
23%
4%
0%
169
188
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
Favorability Rating – Martin O’Malley
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable
16%
Neutral
11%
Unfavorable
12%
Don’t Know
61%
(N)
357
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
20%
13%
5%
17%
15%
11%
60%
58%
174
158
Democrat
Independent
Republican
18%
9%
0%
10%
27%
0%
12%
9%
25%
61%
55%
75%
310
31
13
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
18%
15%
9%
14%
9%
3%
10%
11%
29%
58%
65%
59%
170
151
20
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
19%
8%
10%
12%
13%
10%
57%
70%
261
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
19%
4%
12%
4%
13%
9%
56%
83%
296
61
Union household
Non-union
23%
15%
8%
10%
11%
13%
58%
61%
67
277
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
30%
21%
22%
16%
22%
12%
14%
16%
11%
15%
17%
8%
14%
15%
14%
41%
57%
48%
58%
50%
63
72
142
177
190
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
8%
21%
17%
20%
12%
13%
6%
14%
7%
11%
16%
15%
73%
55%
61%
50%
86
92
92
76
Male
Female
17%
16%
16%
7%
16%
9%
50%
68%
147
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
15%
8%
18%
20%
3%
16%
7%
15%
6%
20%
13%
8%
76%
57%
62%
57%
37
70
140
110
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
24%
6%
12%
17%
6%
8%
10%
14%
17%
13%
10%
11%
53%
73%
68%
57%
59
35
98
158
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
16%
20%
13%
17%
18%
14%
14%
6%
19%
8%
7%
12%
11%
14%
9%
11%
17%
9%
60%
60%
59%
64%
58%
65%
24
62
76
71
70
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
17%
15%
10%
12%
12%
12%
61%
61%
169
188
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
Favorability Rating – Bernie Sanders
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable
66%
Neutral
8%
Unfavorable
11%
Don’t Know
16%
(N)
357
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
67%
65%
5%
11%
13%
9%
14%
14%
174
158
Democrat
Independent
Republican
67%
57%
65%
6%
31%
0%
11%
2%
19%
16%
11%
16%
310
31
13
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
77%
62%
21%
6%
10%
9%
7%
11%
36%
10%
16%
33%
170
151
20
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
70%
55%
5%
16%
11%
10%
14%
18%
261
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
69%
50%
6%
15%
10%
16%
15%
19%
296
61
Union household
Non-union
70%
66%
10%
8%
12%
11%
8%
15%
67
277
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
60%
79%
66%
60%
75%
12%
5%
8%
10%
7%
12%
6%
13%
16%
11%
16%
9%
13%
14%
7%
63
72
142
177
190
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
65%
67%
64%
72%
13%
7%
6%
7%
8%
9%
13%
11%
14%
17%
18%
10%
86
92
92
76
Male
Female
70%
63%
8%
8%
14%
9%
9%
20%
147
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
40%
61%
67%
76%
17%
8%
6%
7%
4%
15%
13%
8%
39%
15%
14%
10%
37
70
140
110
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
54%
62%
66%
70%
4%
18%
7%
7%
15%
12%
8%
11%
27%
8%
18%
12%
59
35
98
158
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
75%
67%
84%
52%
72%
45%
3%
7%
7%
6%
8%
13%
10%
8%
4%
15%
14%
15%
12%
17%
5%
28%
6%
27%
24
62
76
71
70
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
65%
67%
8%
8%
13%
9%
15%
16%
169
188
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
Favorability Rating – Jim Webb
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable
13%
Neutral
9%
Unfavorable
11%
Don’t Know
68%
(N)
357
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
13%
12%
7%
12%
14%
8%
65%
68%
174
158
Democrat
Independent
Republican
13%
15%
6%
8%
19%
0%
11%
1%
25%
68%
65%
69%
310
31
13
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
9%
19%
0%
12%
6%
11%
8%
11%
23%
71%
64%
66%
170
151
20
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
13%
12%
8%
10%
12%
6%
66%
73%
261
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
14%
8%
10%
4%
11%
7%
65%
80%
296
61
Union household
Non-union
9%
14%
5%
9%
9%
12%
77%
66%
67
277
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
22%
11%
10%
10%
15%
19%
6%
14%
10%
10%
13%
15%
9%
13%
13%
45%
68%
67%
68%
62%
63
72
142
177
190
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
14%
13%
11%
15%
10%
8%
10%
10%
3%
8%
16%
16%
73%
71%
63%
59%
86
92
92
76
Male
Female
15%
12%
14%
5%
12%
10%
60%
73%
147
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
11%
12%
13%
14%
3%
9%
11%
8%
12%
14%
11%
7%
74%
65%
65%
70%
37
70
140
110
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
19%
17%
8%
11%
12%
6%
7%
10%
8%
9%
12%
10%
60%
68%
72%
69%
59
35
98
158
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
16%
11%
11%
18%
11%
13%
20%
3%
10%
10%
7%
12%
14%
15%
6%
12%
12%
6%
51%
71%
74%
60%
70%
69%
24
62
76
71
70
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
13%
12%
11%
8%
10%
11%
66%
69%
169
188
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
Decided 2016 DEM Primary Vote
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Def.
Decided
20%
Leaning
Towards Someone
26%
Still Trying
To Decide
54%
(N)
359
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
24%
14%
28%
26%
49%
60%
172
161
Democrat
Independent
Republican
21%
0%
22%
28%
10%
32%
51%
90%
46%
312
31
13
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
23%
18%
11%
32%
23%
16%
45%
59%
74%
169
151
19
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
23%
26%
0%
14%
0%
28%
39%
2%
12%
1%
49%
35%
98%
74%
99%
150
125
29
16
32
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
18%
24%
27%
23%
55%
52%
263
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
20%
18%
26%
26%
54%
56%
298
61
Union household
Non-union
20%
18%
20%
28%
59%
54%
66
279
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
15%
19%
24%
19%
21%
29%
24%
27%
25%
22%
56%
56%
49%
56%
56%
63
72
142
176
189
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
26%
12%
16%
25%
24%
29%
24%
31%
50%
59%
60%
44%
90
92
91
75
Male
Female
17%
21%
29%
24%
54%
54%
147
212
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
12%
24%
22%
17%
37%
24%
24%
28%
51%
52%
55%
56%
36
73
140
109
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
16%
14%
21%
21%
23%
19%
24%
30%
61%
66%
55%
49%
59
34
98
161
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
9%
13%
29%
12%
25%
23%
38%
36%
20%
23%
26%
24%
53%
51%
52%
66%
49%
53%
24
66
76
71
69
53
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
20%
19%
29%
24%
51%
57%
167
192
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
DEM 2016 Primary Support
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary
Clinton
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
43%
Bernie
Sanders
35%
Joe
Biden
8%
Martin
O’Malley
2%
Jim
Webb
1%
Lincoln
Chafee
0%
Someone
Else
2%
Undecided
9%
(N=)
353
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
52%
37%
30%
41%
4%
10%
2%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%
8%
11%
171
156
Democrat
Independent
Republican
44%
42%
23%
36%
32%
22%
9%
6%
0%
2%
0%
0%
1%
1%
6%
0%
0%
2%
1%
3%
20%
8%
16%
26%
307
31
11
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
41%
46%
50%
48%
28%
0%
4%
7%
24%
1%
3%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
2%
6%
11%
23%
170
147
19
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
48%
29%
34%
39%
5%
17%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
8%
12%
260
91
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
47%
25%
34%
41%
5%
22%
2%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
9%
10%
293
60
Union household
Non-union
37%
45%
34%
36%
6%
7%
4%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
5%
1%
15%
8%
67
272
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
57%
49%
51%
53%
37%
23%
35%
31%
26%
41%
9%
6%
10%
5%
7%
5%
0%
1%
1%
2%
3%
2%
1%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
3%
0%
4%
8%
6%
12%
11%
63
72
142
173
187
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
37%
37%
51%
46%
47%
31%
32%
35%
9%
9%
7%
6%
0%
5%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
2%
1%
7%
14%
8%
8%
83
92
92
75
Male
Female
32%
51%
42%
30%
10%
7%
3%
1%
3%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
10%
9%
147
206
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
60%
36%
38%
49%
21%
38%
39%
34%
2%
8%
13%
5%
0%
0%
3%
2%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
6%
1%
0%
16%
11%
6%
8%
37
70
137
108
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
34%
49%
45%
45%
26%
23%
34%
41%
12%
5%
11%
6%
6%
0%
1%
1%
2%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
2%
17%
23%
7%
5%
58
33
98
157
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
33%
50%
37%
47%
36%
50%
50%
36%
45%
24%
40%
24%
8%
3%
6%
17%
3%
11%
0%
2%
0%
1%
3%
5%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
2%
3%
1%
0%
3%
6%
5%
8%
11%
15%
6%
23
62
74
71
68
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
43%
43%
34%
36%
6%
10%
3%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
2%
10%
8%
166
186
DEM 2016 Primary – Second Choice
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary
Clinton
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
25%
Joe
Biden
20%
Bernie
Martin
Sanders O’Malley
18%
3%
Lincoln
Chafee
2%
Someone
Else
4%
No Second
Choice
2%
Undecided
26%
(N=)
322
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
25%
27%
22%
17%
19%
20%
5%
1%
1%
4%
4%
5%
3%
0%
20%
26%
158
140
Democrat
Independent
Republican
27%
13%
0%
22%
2%
26%
17%
34%
27%
4%
1%
0%
2%
8%
0%
4%
0%
25%
1%
1%
14%
24%
41%
8%
284
26
9
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
35%
17%
15%
22%
20%
12%
18%
21%
1%
3%
3%
3%
1%
2%
5%
2%
5%
19%
0%
3%
7%
19%
30%
38%
160
131
16
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
0%
52%
37%
35%
30%
13%
0%
12%
31%
0%
21%
37%
3%
5%
0%
0%
2%
1%
8%
0%
4%
4%
0%
0%
3%
1%
0%
0%
27%
23%
34%
16%
151
125
29
16
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
26%
23%
21%
18%
20%
12%
4%
2%
0%
8%
5%
1%
2%
1%
22%
36%
241
80
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
25%
27%
22%
11%
19%
14%
4%
0%
2%
5%
4%
1%
1%
3%
23%
40%
269
53
Union household
Non-union
27%
26%
18%
18%
19%
19%
8%
2%
6%
2%
3%
4%
1%
2%
19%
27%
58
251
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
20%
30%
23%
19%
29%
21%
18%
23%
21%
16%
23%
20%
19%
16%
20%
6%
2%
5%
5%
4%
4%
2%
2%
1%
4%
7%
7%
4%
7%
3%
1%
1%
1%
3%
1%
19%
22%
24%
28%
23%
62
67
133
154
166
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
17%
25%
33%
29%
22%
22%
15%
22%
20%
21%
15%
19%
4%
3%
3%
5%
3%
3%
1%
2%
3%
5%
3%
3%
2%
1%
4%
0%
29%
22%
26%
19%
77
79
87
69
Male
Female
27%
24%
22%
18%
18%
19%
4%
3%
4%
1%
4%
4%
1%
2%
20%
29%
134
188
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
14%
16%
33%
25%
34%
27%
16%
16%
11%
21%
15%
22%
2%
5%
2%
4%
1%
4%
3%
1%
4%
9%
3%
2%
5%
4%
1%
0%
29%
15%
26%
30%
31
63
128
100
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
26%
24%
17%
29%
30%
19%
14%
21%
12%
24%
18%
20%
3%
3%
5%
3%
1%
3%
3%
2%
2%
7%
2%
5%
1%
6%
2%
1%
24%
15%
40%
19%
48
25
94
150
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
23%
22%
34%
26%
18%
26%
15%
28%
16%
20%
17%
22%
14%
14%
27%
10%
18%
23%
5%
5%
0%
1%
10%
1%
0%
0%
0%
6%
5%
0%
7%
4%
2%
3%
5%
6%
0%
0%
0%
4%
1%
5%
36%
27%
21%
31%
27%
17%
23
59
68
64
58
50
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
22%
28%
20%
20%
21%
15%
5%
2%
2%
2%
5%
3%
2%
2%
24%
27%
149
173
DEM 2016 Primary – Would NOT Support
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary
Clinton
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
11%
Joe
Biden
6%
Bernie
Sanders
6%
Lincoln
Chafee
4%
Jim
Webb
3%
Someone
Else
4%
All
Acceptable
35%
Don’t
Know
30%
(N=)
355
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
7%
15%
7%
6%
8%
3%
7%
2%
3%
3%
4%
5%
35%
33%
29%
32%
172
157
Democrat
Independent
Republican
9%
22%
59%
5%
15%
11%
7%
1%
0%
5%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
5%
0%
9%
35%
40%
15%
31%
21%
7%
309
31
12
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
6%
14%
18%
6%
6%
16%
7%
6%
0%
5%
4%
0%
4%
1%
4%
4%
3%
14%
40%
36%
4%
28%
28%
45%
170
149
20
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
0%
15%
38%
26%
24%
7%
7%
0%
0%
7%
11%
0%
0%
20%
3%
5%
5%
0%
7%
2%
1%
3%
4%
0%
8%
5%
5%
0%
0%
0%
35%
42%
28%
39%
19%
35%
23%
30%
7%
38%
151
124
29
16
32
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
7%
23%
7%
5%
8%
0%
5%
3%
3%
3%
4%
6%
37%
32%
30%
28%
259
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
10%
18%
5%
10%
7%
0%
4%
4%
3%
1%
4%
5%
36%
34%
30%
28%
294
61
Union household
Non-union
8%
9%
10%
6%
9%
6%
4%
5%
0%
4%
1%
5%
32%
38%
37%
28%
67
275
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
12%
10%
12%
9%
11%
9%
5%
5%
3%
9%
17%
4%
9%
8%
5%
5%
4%
4%
6%
4%
5%
2%
3%
2%
3%
2%
5%
2%
6%
4%
33%
44%
36%
29%
39%
18%
27%
28%
36%
24%
63
72
140
176
189
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
24%
7%
7%
5%
6%
6%
9%
4%
4%
5%
9%
6%
2%
5%
7%
3%
1%
0%
6%
3%
5%
4%
7%
1%
41%
39%
24%
42%
17%
34%
30%
36%
86
92
91
75
Male
Female
11%
12%
8%
5%
10%
3%
3%
5%
4%
2%
2%
6%
39%
33%
23%
34%
147
208
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
11%
24%
11%
5%
0%
7%
4%
10%
6%
2%
9%
5%
7%
6%
3%
5%
6%
3%
2%
2%
13%
2%
5%
2%
23%
23%
39%
43%
34%
32%
28%
28%
37
70
139
109
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
14%
10%
14%
10%
1%
2%
6%
9%
14%
2%
5%
5%
7%
0%
1%
6%
2%
2%
2%
4%
0%
11%
3%
6%
42%
38%
33%
33%
21%
35%
35%
28%
58
35
98
158
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
12%
9%
19%
13%
8%
6%
20%
2%
1%
5%
9%
9%
6%
5%
2%
3%
6%
17%
1%
6%
4%
7%
3%
3%
5%
4%
4%
1%
3%
1%
6%
4%
6%
1%
3%
7%
34%
38%
33%
25%
50%
31%
15%
32%
31%
45%
18%
26%
23
62
76
70
70
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
6%
16%
9%
4%
8%
4%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
5%
40%
31%
25%
34%
168
187
Most Important To Your Vote In Presidential Primary?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Jobs/
Economy
24%
Health
Care
8%
Education
6%
Income
Inequality
4%
Other/
DK
22%
(N=)
351
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
28%
23%
10%
7%
15%
18%
11%
6%
5%
6%
4%
3%
7%
10%
3%
1%
17%
26%
170
156
Democrat
Independent
Republican
26%
15%
18%
8%
12%
18%
15%
26%
31%
9%
2%
0%
6%
5%
0%
4%
3%
6%
6%
20%
18%
4%
0%
0%
23%
16%
9%
304
31
13
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
22%
30%
19%
9%
7%
21%
14%
21%
7%
13%
4%
0%
7%
5%
0%
3%
6%
0%
9%
7%
12%
5%
1%
0%
18%
20%
40%
167
147
18
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
29%
20%
42%
7%
13%
13%
4%
7%
18%
0%
15%
17%
11%
11%
26%
9%
9%
0%
11%
6%
7%
8%
0%
0%
1%
3%
3%
3%
19%
8%
9%
12%
0%
0%
0%
0%
9%
0%
0%
0%
14%
18%
37%
34%
46%
148
124
28
16
30
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
25%
21%
10%
4%
17%
13%
10%
3%
6%
7%
5%
1%
5%
17%
2%
6%
19%
30%
262
89
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
25%
21%
10%
0%
16%
14%
9%
3%
5%
9%
5%
1%
7%
13%
2%
8%
20%
31%
292
59
Union household
Non-union
20%
26%
5%
10%
18%
16%
8%
9%
3%
6%
7%
3%
7%
9%
3%
4%
29%
18%
65
273
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
35%
25%
26%
29%
21%
7%
6%
9%
14%
7%
15%
20%
12%
17%
20%
4%
13%
11%
4%
12%
9%
4%
8%
7%
4%
7%
5%
3%
2%
5%
7%
5%
6%
5%
7%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
14%
22%
21%
20%
22%
63
72
139
171
189
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
11%
28%
29%
28%
3%
10%
12%
10%
7%
23%
17%
17%
8%
5%
9%
10%
14%
8%
2%
0%
0%
3%
9%
4%
19%
8%
4%
2%
7%
1%
1%
4%
32%
15%
16%
25%
87
89
89
74
Male
Female
21%
26%
2%
13%
15%
17%
10%
7%
7%
5%
7%
2%
4%
10%
4%
3%
30%
16%
142
208
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
29%
19%
24%
26%
14%
12%
7%
6%
16%
10%
16%
20%
4%
4%
6%
15%
3%
7%
4%
8%
1%
1%
4%
7%
12%
11%
8%
5%
0%
1%
6%
2%
20%
35%
24%
11%
35
71
136
108
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
26%
22%
23%
24%
10%
4%
9%
9%
11%
26%
20%
14%
9%
0%
6%
11%
12%
8%
5%
3%
6%
2%
5%
3%
6%
16%
4%
10%
2%
0%
5%
4%
19%
22%
22%
24%
57
34
97
155
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
15%
27%
20%
24%
19%
36%
8%
12%
10%
4%
6%
10%
19%
8%
28%
16%
14%
10%
14%
8%
7%
3%
12%
10%
12%
11%
0%
10%
1%
7%
3%
7%
4%
2%
4%
5%
8%
10%
8%
11%
5%
5%
6%
2%
0%
2%
11%
0%
16%
16%
22%
27%
28%
17%
22
63
76
71
66
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
25%
23%
7%
9%
16%
16%
10%
6%
6%
6%
5%
3%
5%
10%
6%
1%
19%
25%
162
189
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
Foreign EnviroPolicy nment
16%
8%
Social Campaign
Issues Finance
8%
3%
Who is the Strongest Leader?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary
Clinton
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
56%
Bernie
Sanders
13%
Joe
Biden
8%
Martin
O’Malley
1%
Jim
Webb
0%
Someone
Else
1%
Don’t
Know
21%
(N=)
358
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
62%
52%
9%
17%
7%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
20%
22%
173
160
Democrat
Independent
Republican
59%
40%
24%
13%
10%
23%
8%
15%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
6%
1%
1%
6%
18%
33%
38%
313
30
12
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
62%
53%
51%
17%
10%
4%
5%
7%
17%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
11%
15%
27%
18%
170
149
20
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
86%
41%
30%
8%
25%
2%
33%
1%
4%
2%
2%
3%
53%
26%
5%
0%
1%
0%
18%
0%
0%
0%
0%
5%
0%
0%
1%
0%
3%
10%
10%
21%
16%
37%
58%
151
123
29
16
32
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
59%
48%
12%
14%
6%
13%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
19%
25%
263
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
56%
54%
14%
5%
6%
16%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
20%
23%
297
61
Union household
Non-union
42%
61%
17%
10%
6%
7%
4%
0%
0%
0%
3%
1%
28%
20%
65
279
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
54%
63%
57%
62%
55%
9%
17%
15%
7%
18%
7%
6%
11%
9%
8%
5%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
4%
3%
2%
0%
22%
10%
13%
20%
18%
63
72
141
177
188
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
53%
52%
62%
56%
15%
14%
12%
11%
10%
5%
9%
10%
0%
3%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
2%
3%
21%
27%
15%
18%
90
90
92
75
Male
Female
51%
59%
17%
10%
8%
8%
2%
0%
1%
0%
2%
1%
19%
22%
146
212
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
64%
38%
54%
68%
5%
24%
15%
5%
2%
11%
8%
7%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
3%
29%
22%
21%
17%
37
72
140
109
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
55%
66%
57%
54%
12%
0%
5%
19%
7%
5%
15%
5%
4%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
3%
0%
18%
29%
18%
22%
58
35
98
160
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
43%
64%
52%
53%
53%
65%
9%
11%
21%
12%
13%
5%
4%
7%
4%
16%
9%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
4%
1%
0%
2%
0%
5%
40%
17%
23%
18%
23%
15%
23
65
76
71
69
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
61%
52%
9%
16%
5%
10%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
22%
20%
167
192
Who is the Least Honest?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary
Clinton
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
28%
Joe
Biden
5%
Lincoln
Chafee
3%
Bernie
Sanders
2%
Martin
O’Malley
2%
Jim
Webb
0%
Someone
Else
1%
Don’t
Know
60%
(N=)
346
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
20%
34%
3%
6%
2%
4%
2%
2%
0%
3%
1%
0%
1%
1%
70%
50%
163
157
Democrat
Independent
Republican
26%
37%
87%
4%
13%
0%
3%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
14%
11%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
64%
36%
2%
305
28
10
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
21%
34%
34%
2%
7%
6%
2%
3%
0%
2%
2%
3%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
5%
72%
49%
51%
167
141
19
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
6%
44%
73%
54%
27%
5%
2%
0%
0%
11%
4%
2%
0%
7%
0%
2%
1%
2%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
77%
50%
25%
39%
60%
146
121
28
14
31
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
24%
41%
2%
12%
2%
3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
66%
44%
254
91
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
26%
41%
3%
11%
3%
0%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
63%
48%
289
57
Union household
Non-union
29%
26%
5%
5%
3%
3%
1%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
61%
62%
64
268
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
33%
32%
31%
20%
32%
2%
4%
2%
5%
5%
2%
5%
4%
3%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
8%
3%
0%
2%
0%
1%
1%
0%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
56%
48%
56%
68%
56%
62
70
136
168
182
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
35%
36%
23%
17%
11%
3%
4%
0%
0%
5%
5%
0%
0%
0%
4%
3%
4%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
50%
55%
60%
77%
88
88
88
70
Male
Female
37%
22%
2%
6%
3%
3%
1%
2%
3%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
53%
65%
140
206
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
7%
42%
30%
25%
15%
0%
3%
6%
0%
2%
1%
6%
0%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
77%
47%
62%
61%
36
68
135
105
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
28%
21%
37%
23%
2%
18%
5%
2%
1%
7%
4%
1%
3%
2%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
0%
1%
64%
48%
51%
68%
56
35
93
158
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
43%
23%
31%
27%
34%
20%
7%
2%
10%
7%
0%
1%
0%
4%
4%
5%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
4%
1%
1%
0%
0%
7%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
50%
68%
46%
56%
64%
77%
22
64
75
68
64
52
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
26%
30%
1%
8%
1%
4%
1%
2%
0%
3%
1%
0%
0%
1%
70%
51%
160
186
Who Best Represents Democrats Like Yourself?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Bernie
Sanders
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
41%
Hillary
Clinton
30%
Joe
Biden
7%
Martin
O’Malley
1%
Jim
Webb
1%
Lincoln
Chafee
1%
Someone
Else
1%
Don’t
Know
19%
(N=)
356
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
38%
45%
38%
22%
7%
8%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
15%
22%
172
160
Democrat
Independent
Republican
41%
49%
24%
31%
16%
12%
7%
8%
6%
1%
0%
0%
1%
2%
6%
0%
7%
0%
0%
1%
6%
18%
18%
45%
313
30
11
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
56%
33%
2%
31%
29%
39%
4%
10%
16%
0%
2%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
8%
23%
43%
170
147
19
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
13%
93%
5%
16%
21%
66%
3%
0%
8%
8%
5%
1%
47%
6%
5%
0%
0%
0%
21%
0%
0%
0%
0%
18%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
5%
15%
3%
48%
30%
61%
150
123
29
16
31
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
41%
43%
34%
19%
8%
4%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
14%
32%
260
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
41%
43%
32%
17%
9%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
15%
39%
295
61
Union household
Non-union
38%
42%
28%
31%
5%
8%
4%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
25%
16%
67
276
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
29%
46%
39%
29%
54%
44%
31%
33%
41%
22%
5%
10%
8%
8%
7%
5%
0%
1%
0%
0%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
11%
11%
15%
19%
14%
63
71
140
175
188
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
54%
38%
36%
39%
19%
28%
39%
33%
0%
9%
9%
12%
0%
3%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
27%
20%
14%
13%
88
92
90
75
Male
Female
48%
36%
21%
36%
11%
5%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
15%
22%
145
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
22%
40%
44%
44%
40%
26%
24%
36%
5%
5%
9%
8%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
33%
26%
19%
10%
37
72
138
109
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
31%
21%
44%
47%
32%
46%
34%
23%
14%
7%
4%
7%
4%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
15%
26%
17%
21%
57
35
98
160
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
68%
39%
57%
26%
45%
24%
11%
35%
21%
36%
25%
42%
7%
8%
5%
6%
7%
12%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
5%
0%
2%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
14%
16%
17%
30%
18%
16%
23
65
75
71
68
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
41%
41%
32%
28%
9%
6%
2%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
14%
24%
166
190
Who Cares the Most About People Like You?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Bernie
Sanders
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
45%
Hillary
Clinton
24%
Joe
Biden
8%
Martin
O’Malley
1%
Jim
Webb
1%
Someone
Else
1%
Don’t
Know
21%
(N=)
355
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
41%
50%
31%
19%
7%
5%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
1%
16%
25%
170
160
Democrat
Independent
Republican
44%
61%
24%
27%
3%
3%
7%
14%
9%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
6%
1%
1%
6%
19%
21%
51%
310
30
11
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
58%
39%
9%
23%
24%
41%
4%
8%
13%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
5%
14%
24%
32%
167
149
19
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
16%
92%
8%
26%
45%
54%
1%
2%
18%
5%
7%
2%
48%
6%
2%
0%
0%
0%
18%
0%
1%
0%
0%
5%
0%
2%
0%
0%
3%
7%
21%
5%
42%
26%
41%
147
125
29
16
32
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
44%
47%
28%
12%
7%
11%
1%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
17%
30%
259
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
44%
51%
27%
8%
7%
11%
1%
0%
1%
0%
2%
1%
19%
29%
294
61
Union household
Non-union
44%
45%
17%
26%
2%
8%
4%
0%
0%
1%
2%
1%
32%
18%
67
274
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
29%
51%
41%
37%
57%
32%
22%
30%
32%
16%
8%
8%
13%
8%
6%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
0%
2%
1%
1%
2%
3%
2%
3%
1%
21%
16%
12%
18%
19%
63
71
140
172
184
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
53%
42%
41%
46%
11%
26%
31%
27%
7%
7%
8%
10%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%
4%
2%
29%
21%
15%
14%
90
92
90
74
Male
Female
52%
40%
15%
30%
8%
8%
2%
0%
0%
1%
2%
1%
20%
21%
147
208
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
38%
44%
47%
45%
40%
18%
21%
27%
2%
6%
11%
7%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
3%
0%
2%
20%
27%
18%
20%
37
72
136
109
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
31%
42%
47%
48%
32%
34%
26%
18%
7%
2%
10%
8%
4%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
3%
3%
0%
24%
18%
14%
24%
57
35
98
159
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
61%
37%
61%
40%
46%
30%
16%
31%
16%
29%
18%
32%
5%
8%
7%
12%
9%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
5%
4%
1%
0%
2%
2%
1%
15%
23%
16%
18%
24%
26%
23
66
73
70
69
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
42%
48%
25%
23%
6%
9%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
2%
23%
18%
167
188
Who Has the Characteristics and Qualities You Think a President Should Have?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary
Clinton
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
38%
Bernie
Sanders
27%
Joe
Biden
12%
Martin
O’Malley
2%
Jim
Webb
1%
Lincoln
Chafee
0%
Someone
Else
1%
Don’t
Know
19%
(N=)
351
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
46%
33%
24%
29%
8%
13%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
2%
18%
22%
166
160
Democrat
Independent
Republican
39%
42%
14%
27%
21%
22%
12%
13%
11%
2%
0%
0%
1%
1%
6%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
6%
18%
23%
40%
306
31
11
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
39%
38%
38%
38%
21%
1%
6%
14%
19%
1%
3%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
11%
13%
22%
31%
165
148
19
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
78%
12%
0%
13%
5%
1%
74%
4%
4%
5%
6%
5%
75%
17%
8%
0%
0%
0%
34%
2%
1%
0%
0%
13%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
10%
14%
7%
21%
18%
70%
149
121
29
15
32
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
41%
29%
28%
25%
9%
18%
2%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
16%
26%
257
93
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
39%
31%
27%
29%
11%
13%
2%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
18%
25%
292
59
Union household
Non-union
32%
41%
27%
26%
6%
11%
4%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
3%
1%
27%
18%
67
271
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
48%
42%
48%
44%
31%
21%
23%
20%
22%
33%
10%
8%
13%
9%
11%
5%
0%
1%
1%
1%
4%
2%
2%
2%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
2%
4%
3%
2%
0%
11%
21%
14%
20%
21%
63
69
140
173
183
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
32%
33%
47%
40%
35%
26%
22%
26%
14%
13%
11%
9%
0%
5%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
3%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
2%
17%
20%
16%
20%
90
91
88
75
Male
Female
30%
44%
36%
21%
14%
10%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
13%
23%
145
207
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
42%
32%
34%
46%
18%
32%
29%
25%
7%
11%
15%
9%
2%
0%
3%
1%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
3%
32%
21%
16%
16%
37
71
135
108
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
35%
51%
40%
35%
22%
9%
30%
30%
14%
6%
16%
10%
6%
0%
1%
0%
2%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
3%
0%
18%
33%
8%
23%
58
33
97
158
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
21%
43%
37%
40%
33%
45%
53%
25%
35%
15%
33%
16%
8%
11%
6%
19%
10%
13%
0%
2%
1%
0%
2%
5%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
5%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
1%
0%
5%
13%
16%
21%
25%
20%
12%
23
64
72
71
69
53
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
38%
38%
29%
26%
10%
13%
2%
1%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
2%
17%
20%
166
185
Who Will Best Handle the Economy?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary
Clinton
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
37%
Bernie
Sanders
28%
Joe
Biden
6%
Martin
O’Malley
2%
Jim
Webb
2%
Lincoln
Chafee
1%
Someone
Else
2%
Don’t
Know
22%
(N=)
357
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
44%
34%
26%
28%
8%
5%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0%
2%
2%
3%
18%
26%
172
159
Democrat
Independent
Republican
39%
30%
23%
27%
34%
31%
6%
6%
0%
2%
0%
0%
1%
1%
6%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
20%
22%
29%
20%
311
31
11
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
38%
38%
49%
38%
22%
1%
5%
8%
13%
1%
3%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
2%
5%
15%
26%
31%
170
149
19
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
73%
13%
11%
9%
10%
4%
69%
3%
12%
17%
6%
2%
29%
6%
4%
0%
0%
0%
32%
3%
1%
2%
0%
8%
0%
0%
0%
8%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
15%
8%
17%
11%
50%
19%
58%
151
125
29
16
32
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
41%
26%
28%
28%
5%
9%
2%
1%
1%
3%
0%
3%
3%
0%
19%
31%
263
93
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
39%
28%
27%
31%
7%
2%
2%
2%
2%
0%
0%
4%
3%
0%
20%
32%
296
60
Union household
Non-union
29%
40%
20%
29%
3%
7%
4%
1%
0%
2%
4%
0%
10%
1%
30%
20%
67
276
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
41%
45%
48%
44%
34%
27%
25%
23%
22%
34%
5%
6%
6%
8%
4%
5%
0%
1%
1%
2%
4%
0%
2%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
6%
4%
3%
2%
17%
17%
16%
22%
19%
63
72
141
174
187
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
31%
35%
42%
43%
33%
34%
26%
22%
6%
4%
7%
9%
0%
6%
0%
0%
3%
2%
0%
1%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
5%
2%
25%
17%
19%
23%
88
92
92
75
Male
Female
31%
42%
38%
21%
7%
6%
3%
1%
1%
2%
2%
0%
2%
3%
17%
26%
147
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
50%
31%
33%
43%
11%
33%
29%
30%
4%
5%
5%
9%
0%
0%
3%
2%
0%
1%
3%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
5%
2%
1%
35%
21%
26%
14%
37
73
137
110
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
33%
50%
42%
34%
17%
9%
27%
35%
5%
4%
9%
5%
6%
0%
1%
1%
5%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
4%
30%
37%
16%
20%
58
33
98
162
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
30%
47%
36%
37%
29%
43%
53%
30%
26%
20%
38%
15%
5%
9%
5%
6%
6%
5%
0%
3%
0%
0%
2%
5%
0%
1%
0%
3%
0%
5%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
4%
0%
7%
1%
2%
0%
7%
10%
26%
29%
23%
28%
23
65
74
71
69
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
36%
39%
33%
23%
6%
6%
2%
1%
1%
2%
0%
1%
1%
4%
20%
24%
167
189
Who Will Best Handle Terrorism?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary
Clinton
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
45%
Joe
Biden
12%
Bernie
Sanders
11%
Jim
Webb
1%
Martin
O’Malley
1%
Lincoln
Chafee
0%
Someone
Else
3%
Don’t
Know
25%
(N=)
357
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
54%
39%
10%
15%
8%
14%
2%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
4%
24%
26%
171
161
Democrat
Independent
Republican
48%
33%
20%
12%
11%
8%
11%
13%
20%
1%
1%
6%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
6%
3%
0%
20%
24%
42%
19%
312
31
11
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
52%
41%
42%
7%
16%
13%
17%
8%
1%
2%
1%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
4%
5%
19%
27%
38%
169
150
19
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
69%
36%
4%
16%
30%
6%
10%
49%
15%
12%
0%
30%
1%
4%
7%
1%
1%
0%
14%
0%
0%
1%
0%
18%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
3%
7%
15%
5%
23%
19%
38%
19%
42%
151
125
29
16
31
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
49%
35%
10%
15%
10%
15%
2%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
4%
2%
23%
32%
262
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
48%
34%
12%
10%
10%
16%
2%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
4%
23%
36%
297
60
Union household
Non-union
37%
48%
8%
13%
3%
12%
0%
2%
6%
0%
0%
0%
10%
2%
36%
22%
66
278
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
51%
51%
46%
51%
44%
15%
7%
9%
9%
15%
5%
7%
10%
8%
15%
6%
0%
3%
2%
2%
5%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
6%
10%
4%
3%
2%
12%
25%
27%
26%
22%
63
71
140
175
188
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
37%
40%
55%
49%
10%
21%
8%
9%
19%
12%
7%
8%
0%
3%
0%
3%
1%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
7%
1%
33%
19%
21%
31%
90
92
92
73
Male
Female
38%
51%
18%
7%
18%
7%
2%
1%
3%
0%
0%
0%
2%
4%
19%
30%
147
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
51%
32%
42%
58%
6%
13%
14%
10%
3%
20%
11%
9%
0%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
5%
2%
4%
39%
28%
27%
17%
37
73
139
109
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
43%
53%
47%
44%
18%
1%
11%
11%
10%
7%
12%
12%
1%
1%
1%
2%
4%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
4%
1%
3%
3%
18%
37%
25%
27%
58
35
98
161
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
51%
53%
40%
45%
37%
52%
9%
7%
7%
15%
14%
18%
20%
13%
14%
7%
14%
3%
0%
3%
1%
0%
1%
5%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
5%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%
10%
1%
2%
1%
15%
24%
27%
32%
30%
16%
23
64
76
71
69
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
48%
43%
14%
10%
13%
10%
2%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
5%
20%
31%
167
190
Who Will Best Handle International Trade Policy?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary
Clinton
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
55%
Bernie
Sanders
14%
Joe
Biden
11%
Martin
O’Malley
1%
Jim
Webb
0%
Lincoln
Chafee
0%
Someone
Else
1%
Don’t
Know
17%
(N=)
357
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
61%
55%
13%
16%
8%
12%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
15%
15%
170
161
Democrat
Independent
Republican
56%
54%
39%
14%
12%
19%
12%
1%
10%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%
0%
6%
1%
0%
19%
16%
32%
0%
311
31
12
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
55%
58%
64%
21%
8%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
2%
15%
18%
15%
167
151
20
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
83%
38%
19%
26%
42%
0%
36%
1%
0%
14%
2%
11%
59%
12%
7%
0%
0%
0%
25%
0%
0%
0%
0%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
18%
0%
13%
13%
21%
15%
35%
149
125
29
16
32
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
60%
42%
13%
16%
10%
14%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
13%
28%
261
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
58%
43%
13%
17%
10%
17%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
16%
23%
296
60
Union household
Non-union
62%
55%
12%
13%
11%
10%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
1%
7%
20%
67
276
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
60%
66%
59%
64%
50%
10%
11%
9%
12%
20%
11%
15%
13%
6%
15%
6%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
2%
2%
0%
11%
7%
15%
15%
14%
63
72
141
174
187
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
43%
53%
60%
63%
19%
17%
12%
10%
11%
13%
12%
7%
0%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
2%
2%
27%
10%
14%
17%
90
92
92
75
Male
Female
51%
58%
22%
8%
13%
9%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
9%
23%
147
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
64%
40%
51%
68%
6%
24%
13%
12%
3%
11%
16%
6%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
3%
0%
2%
26%
20%
18%
10%
37
73
137
110
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
49%
76%
53%
55%
14%
1%
14%
17%
18%
5%
14%
6%
4%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
1%
13%
18%
15%
20%
58
35
98
159
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
46%
58%
64%
51%
46%
62%
33%
17%
17%
11%
13%
4%
13%
4%
8%
25%
9%
8%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
1%
2%
3%
7%
20%
9%
12%
30%
17%
23
65
74
71
70
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
56%
55%
14%
14%
9%
12%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
17%
16%
168
189
Who Will Best Handle Health Care Policy?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary
Clinton
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
43%
Bernie
Sanders
27%
Joe
Biden
6%
Martin
O’Malley
1%
Jim
Webb
1%
Lincoln
Chafee
1%
Someone
Else
1%
Don’t
Know
20%
(N=)
357
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
52%
38%
23%
30%
5%
8%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
18%
19%
172
159
Democrat
Independent
Republican
45%
37%
23%
25%
45%
27%
6%
7%
0%
2%
0%
0%
1%
0%
6%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
20%
11%
44%
311
31
11
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
42%
46%
52%
38%
20%
1%
4%
7%
10%
0%
3%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
1%
0%
5%
15%
21%
28%
170
149
19
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
74%
19%
33%
24%
16%
9%
58%
7%
7%
23%
5%
5%
21%
6%
0%
0%
0%
0%
31%
0%
1%
2%
0%
5%
0%
0%
0%
8%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
11%
16%
30%
27%
57%
151
125
29
16
32
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
48%
30%
25%
31%
5%
7%
2%
0%
1%
3%
0%
3%
1%
0%
18%
26%
263
93
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
46%
31%
25%
36%
6%
4%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%
4%
1%
0%
19%
26%
296
60
Union household
Non-union
43%
46%
16%
29%
4%
6%
4%
1%
0%
2%
5%
0%
2%
0%
27%
17%
67
276
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
58%
52%
47%
49%
40%
16%
25%
27%
19%
35%
7%
11%
4%
7%
6%
6%
0%
1%
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
1%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
0%
8%
9%
18%
21%
15%
63
72
141
174
187
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
29%
43%
53%
51%
38%
25%
26%
21%
1%
5%
7%
7%
0%
5%
0%
0%
3%
0%
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
26%
23%
12%
18%
88
92
92
75
Male
Female
40%
46%
31%
24%
8%
4%
3%
0%
0%
2%
2%
0%
1%
0%
15%
24%
147
210
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
48%
41%
37%
51%
33%
25%
27%
25%
1%
5%
7%
6%
0%
0%
3%
1%
0%
1%
2%
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
18%
21%
24%
16%
37
73
137
110
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
53%
52%
46%
36%
14%
27%
27%
31%
7%
4%
4%
7%
4%
0%
1%
1%
7%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
13%
15%
18%
26%
58
33
98
162
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
42%
44%
31%
47%
48%
49%
32%
20%
46%
17%
25%
21%
16%
11%
5%
2%
5%
3%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
5%
0%
2%
0%
3%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
6%
20%
18%
26%
22%
21%
23
65
74
71
69
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
50%
37%
26%
27%
6%
6%
2%
1%
0%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
16%
24%
167
189
Who Will Best Deal With Big Banks and Corporations?
(Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Bernie
Sanders
LIKELY NH DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
36%
Hillary
Clinton
31%
Joe
Biden
11%
Martin
O’Malley
2%
Jim
Webb
1%
Lincoln
Chafee
1%
Someone
Else
2%
Don’t
Know
16%
(N=)
358
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
37%
36%
36%
27%
5%
15%
1%
2%
1%
2%
0%
2%
4%
1%
16%
17%
172
161
Democrat
Independent
Republican
35%
47%
27%
33%
9%
21%
10%
20%
0%
2%
0%
0%
1%
0%
7%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
20%
15%
25%
25%
313
31
11
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
47%
32%
0%
29%
31%
50%
8%
10%
15%
0%
4%
12%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
4%
5%
14%
17%
18%
170
150
19
Clinton Supporter
Sanders Supporter
Biden Supporter
Other Supporter
Undecided
14%
74%
8%
26%
35%
56%
10%
19%
4%
15%
10%
5%
46%
14%
4%
1%
0%
0%
18%
10%
0%
2%
0%
9%
0%
0%
0%
8%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
15%
6%
18%
8%
19%
14%
30%
151
125
29
16
32
Voted in 2008 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2008 NH Primary
37%
35%
34%
20%
9%
16%
2%
2%
1%
3%
0%
3%
3%
0%
15%
21%
263
95
Voted in 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in 2012 NH Primary
35%
40%
34%
14%
10%
15%
2%
4%
1%
0%
0%
4%
3%
0%
15%
22%
298
60
Union household
Non-union
39%
35%
23%
34%
9%
8%
7%
1%
0%
1%
4%
0%
7%
1%
11%
18%
66
278
Read Union Leader
Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
32%
42%
35%
27%
46%
32%
33%
28%
38%
28%
9%
7%
16%
10%
8%
6%
1%
2%
1%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
3%
3%
5%
1%
17%
13%
15%
18%
12%
63
72
141
176
188
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
46%
37%
33%
30%
21%
29%
40%
32%
11%
17%
6%
9%
0%
7%
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
2%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
3%
2%
16%
6%
16%
23%
90
92
92
74
Male
Female
47%
29%
26%
34%
10%
11%
5%
0%
1%
1%
2%
0%
3%
2%
7%
23%
147
212
High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
27%
36%
39%
35%
38%
26%
32%
30%
15%
6%
12%
10%
0%
3%
3%
2%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
5%
0%
4%
20%
19%
12%
19%
37
72
139
110
Attend services 1 or more a week
1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
24%
20%
38%
42%
31%
55%
31%
25%
8%
9%
17%
8%
4%
2%
1%
2%
7%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
3%
1%
3%
2%
23%
12%
8%
20%
58
35
98
162
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
58%
44%
48%
20%
43%
14%
19%
24%
26%
45%
22%
42%
7%
11%
9%
15%
7%
12%
0%
3%
0%
0%
4%
6%
0%
0%
0%
3%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
5%
2%
3%
0%
5%
1%
11%
16%
14%
13%
18%
23%
23
65
76
71
69
54
First Cong. Dist
Second Cong. Dist
37%
36%
33%
29%
8%
13%
3%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
2%
2%
17%
16%
167
191
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