13 June 2003 Mr Alan Hamilton Commerce Commission PO Box 2351 WELLINGTON Email: alan.hamilton@comcom.govt.nz Dear Alan Commerce Commission TSO Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Federated Farmers of New Zealand (Inc) welcomes the opportunity to comment on the Commerce Commission TSO discussion paper on the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC). As the Commission will be aware, the Federation submitted on the Commission’s earlier TSO Model Documentation (Submitted 7 May 2003). Federated Farmers is a primary sector organisation that represents approximately 18,000 farmers and various other rural businesses. Federated Farmers has a long history of representing the needs and interests of New Zealand’s farming communities, primary producers and agricultural exporters. The Federation aims to add value to its members’ farming businesses. Our key strategic outcomes include the need for New Zealand to provide an economic and social environment within which: • Our members may operate their business in a fair and flexible commercial environment; • Our member’s families and their staff have access to services essential to the needs of the rural community; and • Our members adopt responsible management and environmental practices. The Federation’s previous submission to the Commerce Commission (7 May 2003) outlined the crucial importance of efficient and reliable telecommunications services to the rural community. 2 While the Federation is supportive of the principle that any net losses associated with the Telecommunications Service Obligations (TSO) Deed 2001 are independently costed, failure to adequately compensate Telecom for services provided under the TSO agreement will impact adversely on Telecom’s decision to invest further in upgrading the rural network. The Commerce Commission discussion paper proposes that the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) be 6.0% for the purposes of estimating the net cost of the TSO in its draft determination. While the Federation accepts that the TSO is not as risky as many other investments, using a WACC of 6.0% is just over 1 percentage point above the risk free rate of return on capital, and much lower than the WACC proposed by the Commission for many other utility services such as airports and electricity lines businesses. The Federation considers that Telecom’s rate of return should at least be in line with other regulated industries such as the 8.4% the Commission used as an appropriate return on assets for Auckland International Airport, and the 6-8% for Electricity Lines Businesses. In saying this, the Commission would seem to have placed some considerable weight on likening Telecom’s TSO business to an electricity lines business. This would appear to be a dangerous simplification and one that flies in the face of technology and policy changes happening in the telecommunications sector. No serious alternative to transporting electricity other than the current technology exists today. Compare this with telecommunications where wireless, satellite and cellular technologies are increasingly viable technology alternatives. Not only are such networks being built, the Government is actively subsidising through Project PROBE such technologies. In order to meet its TSO obligations, Telecom has to invest in long term assets – measured in decades. The probability of technology change making these assets either redundant or less than fully utilised in the next 5 years or so would seem to be very high. The Federation would therefore recommend that the Commission treat with caution any comparisons between the electricity and telecommunications industry. The Federation strongly agrees with the Commission discussion paper (p.4) where it states that the appropriate cost of capital is the opportunity cost of the funds in the market. “If the Commission sets a cost of capital below this return, then investors will prefer to invest in other assets. As the TSO provider will not achieve the return it could achieve in the market, its incentives to invest in assets to provide TSO services will be undermined.” As with any major investment in infrastructure, companies will only invest if they can obtain an adequate rate of return on their investment, taking into account the inherent risk of investment in the rapidly changing telecommunications market. Telecom will be no different in this regard and we consider that no company would seriously consider investing in the high-risk telecommunications market for a 6% annual return on its investment. 3 Given the Government negotiated the TSO with Telecom, the Government obviously placed importance on the delivery of TSO services on an ongoing basis (the TSO deed having no end date). On this basis it would seem to the Federation that an underlying principle of the Commission should be to ensure that the TSO provider is adequately compensated for the services it delivers. As an organisation representing a significant part of the rural community, the Federation regards a low WACC as damaging to New Zealand’s future infrastructure development and not an outcome consistent with the Government’s TSO policy or its commitment to economic growth through investment in innovation. In conclusion, we wish to ensure that the Commission, in its TSO costing decision, results in an acceptable return on investment for Telecom and that the long-term risks to rural customers of the TSO becoming financially unsustainable be factored into the final decision of the Commission. As our concerns expressed above are self-explanatory we do not deem it necessary to appear before the Commission to speak to our submission. Yours sincerely John Paskohn Pask Deputy Director, Policy