M A R K E T B E AT REVIEW OF NEW LIGHT-VEHICLE SALES 1 January 2015 Produced by NADA’s Industry Analysis Division • Steven Szakaly, Chief Economist • Angela Lisulo, Economist OVERALL There were 1.1 million light-vehicle sales in January 2015 in the U.S. Light-vehicle sales for the month were down 23.5 percent from December 2014 but up 13.7 percent from January 2014. The Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (SAAR) for light-vehicle sales for January 2015 was 16.6 million units. Car sales were up 7.8 percent from January 2014; cars held a market share of 44.9 percent of light-vehicle sales in January 2015 down from a share of 47.3 percent last year. Light-truck sales were up 19.0 percent from January 2014; light trucks held a share of 55.1 percent of light-vehicle sales up from a share of 52.7 percent a year ago. See Figure 1. Figure 1 FIGURE 1 U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (In Millions) Jan 2015 Dec 2014 Total Car 7.32 7.90 7.09 7.32 7.09 Domestic Car 5.41 5.82 5.05 5.41 5.05 Import Car 1.91 2.08 2.04 1.91 2.04 Total Light Truck 9.24 8.90 8.10 9.24 8.10 Domestic Light Truck 7.90 7.62 6.92 7.90 6.92 Import Light Truck 1.34 1.29 1.19 1.34 1.19 13.31 13.43 11.96 13.31 11.96 Domestic Light Vehicle Import Light Vehicle Total Light Vehicle SAAR Jan 2014 Jan - Jan 2015 Jan - Jan 2014 3.24 3.37 3.23 3.24 3.23 16.56 16.80 15.20 16.56 15.20 Data source: WardsAuto, February 2015 Companies/Brands Figure 2 The company with the leading market share in January 2015 light-vehicle sales in the U.S. was General Motors with a share of 17.7 percent up from a share of 17.0 percent in January 2014. Sales for the company were up 18.3 percent compared to January 2014 with each brand experiencing sales growth except Buick; GMC was the leading brand under General Motors in terms of sales growth at 28.6 percent over this period. In descending order of company market share of sales, Ford company held second place with 15.2 percent of the market up from a share of 14.9 percent in January 2014. Sales were up 15.8 percent from the prior year. The Ford brand dominated sales for the company holding 96.2 percent of the company’s sales in January 2015 up from a share of 96.0 percent in January 2014. Toyota company was in third place with 14.8 percent of the market up from a share of 14.5 percent in January 2014. Lightvehicle sales for the company were up 15.6 percent over the prior year with the Toyota brand taking the largest share of the FIGURE 2 Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA) 12.6% U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales, market share (%) by company, January 2015 YTD Nissan 9.1% Honda 8.9% Hyundai Kia Motors Volkswagen 3.9% 3.3% 2.1% BMW 1.9% Daimler 2.3% Other 8.2% Toyota 14.8% General Motors 17.7% Ford 15.2% Note: ‘Other’ category includes Audi, Isuzu, Jaguar Land Rover, Mazda, Mitsubishi, Porsche, Subaru, Tesla Motors, Volvo Data source: WardsAuto, February 2015 1 Note: Please note that reported light-vehicle sales exclude certain F-Series and Ram pickups. MAR K ET B EAT http://www.nada.org | industryanalysis@nada.org All data from WardsAuto Segments2 Chevrolet Toyota (excl. Lexus and Scion) Honda (excl. Acura) Nissan (excl. Infiniti) Dodge Total FIGURE 3 U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales, % change by company (January 2014 YTD-January 2015 YTD) General Motors Ford Toyota Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA) Honda Company company’s January 2015 sales at 84.1 percent down fromFigure a 3 share of 85.2 percent in January 2014. Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA) was in fourth place with a share of 12.6 percent of the January 2015 market unchanged from its share in January 2014. Sales were up 13.7 percent in January 2015 compared to the prior year. The Jeep brand held the leading share of the company’s sales at 35.7 percent up from 33.1 percent a year ago. Nissan company held fifth place with a share of 9.1 percent of January 2015 light-vehicle sales up from a share of 9.0 percent from the prior year with sales up 15.1 percent from January 2014. The Nissan brand held the leading share of the sales for the company at 90.7 percent up from 90.1 percent a year ago. The ‘Other’ category comprises of sales from 9 companies. Collectively, these companies held a share of 8.2 percent of light-vehicle sales across the U.S., in January 2015, up from a share of 8.0 percent in January 2014. This category experienced sales growth of 16.5 percent from Figure 4 growth January 2014 with all companies undergoing sales except for Isuzu which had a contraction of sales by 58.0 percent. Isuzu was the only company FIGURE 4 that had a contraction in light-vehicle sales out of all 21 companies listed in January 2015 light-vehicle sales compared to the prior year. See Ford (excl. Lincoln) Figures 2, 3 and 4. Nissan Hyundai Kia Motors Volkswagen BMW Daimler Other 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 % change Note: ‘Other’ category includes Audi, Isuzu, Jaguar Land Rover, Mazda, Mitsubishi, Porsche, Subaru, Tesla Motors, Volvo Data source: WardsAuto, February 2015 U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales, by major brands January 2015 market share (%) 14.6 12.5 12.4 Month January 2014 market share (%) 14.3 11.8 12.4 7.9 8.0 16.0 20.0 14.2 January 2015 YTD market share (%) 14.6 12.5 12.4 YTD January 2014 YTD market share (%) 14.3 11.8 12.4 11.6 7.9 8.0 % change (sales) % change (sales) 16.0 20.0 14.2 11.6 Segment 8.2 8.1 15.9 8.2 8.1 15.9 The cross utility vehicle (CUV) 3.1 3.5 1.3 3.1 3.5 1.3 58.7 58.1 58.7 58.1 segment was the leading segment in January 2015 holding a share of 28.8 Data source: WardsAuto, February 2015 percent of light-vehicle sales which was up from a share of 28.0 percent in January 2014. Within the CUV segment, the middle CUV sub-segment Figure 5 FIGURE 5 U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales, market share (%) was the largest sub-segment holding 64.5 percent of January by segment (January 2014 YTD, January 2015 YTD) 2015 CUV sales. Although it was also the leading subsegment of CUV sales in January 2014, it held a larger share Small car January 2014 YTD in January 2014 CUV sales at 64.7 percent. Middle car January 2015 YTD The CUV segment was not the only segment that had a Large car rise in its share of sales in January 2015 compared to the Luxury car prior year – the sport utility vehicle (SUV) and pickup segments also experienced increases in their respective Cross utility vehicle (CUV) market shares. The leading sub-segment of SUV sales was Sport utility vehicle (SUV) the middle SUV sub-segment with a share of 49.2 percent of Van January 2015 SUV sales while the leading sub-segment of Pickup pickup sales was the large pickup sub-segment with a share of 84.2 percent of January 2015 pickup sales. 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 % The other segments – the small car, middle car, large car, Note: This figure excludes the Comm. Chassis segment. luxury car and van segments – each experienced reductions Data source: WardsAuto, February 2015 in their respective shares of light-vehicle sales compared to January 2014. 2 Note: This section excludes the Comm. Chassis segment. 2 MARKE T BE AT January 2015 Figure 6 All the segments except for the large car segment experienced growth in sales since last year; the SUV segment had the most growth in light-vehicle sales, since January 2014, with a figure of 29.5 percent. See Figures 5 and 6. FIGURE 6 U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales, by segment Small car Middle car Large car Luxury car Cross utility vehicle (CUV) Sport utility vehicle (SUV) Van Pickup January 2015 Sales (units) Market share (%) 212,388 18.5 200,462 17.5 22,561 2.0 78,827 6.9 329,695 28.8 84,339 7.4 55,445 4.8 161,938 14.1 Sales (units) January 2015 YTD Market share (%) 212,388 18.5 200,462 17.5 22,561 2.0 78,827 6.9 329,695 28.8 84,339 7.4 55,445 4.8 161,938 14.1 Note: This figure excludes the Comm. Chassis segment. Data source: WardsAuto, February 2015 Power source Figure 7 FIGURE 7 U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales, by power source Gasoline-powered light Monthly sales (units) YTD sales (units) January 2015 January 2014 % change January 2015 YTD January 2014 YTD % change vehicles held a share of 94.8 Gasoline 1,086,488 947,543 14.7 1,086,488 947,543 14.7 percent of light-vehicle sales for Diesel 27,831 26,145 6.4 27,831 26,145 6.4 January 2015 up from a share of Unspecified 269 618 -56.5 269 618 -56.5 Gasoline/Diesel 94.0 percent in January 2014. Electric 3,820 2,892 32.1 3,820 2,892 32.1 Diesel-powered light vehicles Fuel cell 0 0 0 0 Hybrid 25,384 27,512 -7.7 25,384 27,512 -7.7 held 2.4 percent of the January Natural gas 50 66 -24.2 50 66 -24.2 2015 market down from a share Plug-in hybrid 2,082 2,934 -29.0 2,082 2,934 -29.0 of 2.6 percent in January 2014. Non31,336 33,404 -6.2 31,336 33,404 -6.2 In the alternative power ‘Gasoline/Diesel’ category, only electric light Total 1,145,924 1,007,710 1,145,924 1,007,710 vehicles experienced an increase Data source: WardsAuto, February 2015 in share of January 2015 sales compared to the prior year. The shares held by hybrids, plug-in hybrids and vehicles powered by natural gas declined over the same period while there were no vehicles powered by fuel cell technology sold in either January 2014 or January 2015. The following light vehicles were sold in the alternative power category in January 2015: 3,820 electrics, no units powered by fuel cell technology, 25,384 hybrids, 50 units powered by natural gas and 2,082 plug-in hybrids amounting to 31,336 light-vehicle sales. In this category of light-vehicle sales, only electric light vehicles experienced sales growth since January 2014. See Figure 7. Figure 8 Models In January 2015, light trucks occupied the highest 3 ranks on the list of 15 best-selling light vehicles in the U.S. with the Ford F-Series in the lead position directly followed by Chevrolet Silverado and then the Ram pickup. Toyota secured fourth and fifth place with 2 of its car models: Toyota Corolla and the Toyota Camry, respectively. Cars outnumbered light trucks slightly on the list of 15 best-selling light vehicles for the month: 8 cars to 7 light trucks. See Figure 8. FIGURE 8 U.S. Top 15 Light Vehicles January 2015 (YTD) F SERIES SILVERADO RAM PICKUP COROLLA CAMRY ALTIMA CR-V ACCORD ESCAPE RAV4 FUSION EQUINOX CIVIC CRUZE FOCUS © 2015 WardsAuto Ford Chevrolet Ram Toyota Toyota Nissan Honda Honda Ford Toyota Ford Chevrolet Honda Chevrolet Ford YTD 50,854 36,106 27,746 27,357 26,763 26,408 23,211 21,011 20,054 19,824 19,694 19,555 18,699 18,693 18,478 374,453 Data source: WardsAuto, February 2015 January 2015 3