Occasional Paper No. 10 POVERTY RELEVANT ENVIRONMENTAL INDICATORS FOR UGANDA By Godfrey Bahiigwa Economic Policy Research Centre Makerere, Kampala Telly Eugene Muramira National Environ. Mgt. Authority Kampala, Uganda March 2001 POVERTY RELEVANT ENVIRONMENTAL INDICATORS FOR UGANDA 1.1. Background and Rationale The contribution of the environment to human well-being in Uganda, like in many other developing countries, is now explicitly recognized. This is partly due to research and documentation by Ugandan scholars to the effect that environmental and natural resource inputs significantly contribute to human well-being (NEMA, 1998). On the converse, the deterioration of the quality and quantity of environmental resources worsens the condition of poor people. The relationship between poverty and environment in Uganda is best understood in the context of people’s livelihoods, especially the poor who constitute 35 percent of the population (Appleton, 2001). Over 85% of Uganda’s population live in rural areas and are employed in natural resourcebased activities, especially agriculture (GoU, 2000). The activities of the rural poor have significant implications for the environment. The poor generally live off the land on which they grow crops for subsistence and sale, graze their livestock, and obtain wood for cooking, lighting and construction of houses. Since they depend on the land for most of their needs, they tend to use the land intensively, leading to degradation. As the land deteriorates, the poor become poorer (MFPED, 1999). This leads to the well known vicious circle of poverty. Over time, much of the land under utilization has been degraded either due to overuse or soil erosion (NEMA, 1998). Increasing rural populations have exerted pressure on protected areas – game parks, game reserves, forest reserves and wetlands. The protected areas are intended to preserve the environment, for both the present and future generations. However, the present generations must survive, yet the land on which they currently live is under stress. Additionally, the rural poor depend on natural resources such as forests for fuel wood and charcoal burning to supply ever increasing urban 1 populations. Furthermore, there is increasing search for land that provides natural water for agricultural production and such areas are wetlands. The dilemma facing government and policy makers is how to strike a balance between survival of the people and stricter environmental regulation. In spite of the above, Uganda still lacks a systematic framework for tracking the relationship between poverty and environmental degradation (Driver and Moyini, 2001). Overall, therefore, there is little understanding of the true cost to the economy of environmental degradation and the depletion of the stock of natural resources (Slade and Weitz, 1991). This lack of information makes it difficult for policy makers to fully appreciate environmental concerns and give them the weight they otherwise deserve. In fact environmental considerations are not adequately addressed in government’s overall planning framework, the Poverty Eradication Action Plan (PEAP) (Driver and Moyini, 2001). This brief report includes proposed indicators to help monitor the impact of poverty on the environment and the effects of environmental degradation on the wellbeing of poor people. 1.2. Description of the Study This report was commissioned by the UK-Department for International Development through the School of Public Policy of the University of Birmingham. The broad aim of the report is to provide generic and country indicators that relate environmental change to the conditions of poor people in Uganda. The report addressed the following terms of reference: (i) review of relevant documents on poverty and environment issues pertinent to Uganda including background documents to Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSPs), Participatory Poverty Assessment Reports and the State of the Environment Reports; (ii) identification of the most pertinent environmental issues arising from poverty assessments and, where possible, discussion of the relative significance of environmental issues for the poor in relation to other issues; 2 (iii) engaging in discussions with relevant DFID in-country staff regarding potential data sources; (iv) reviewing lists of generic indicators with reference to the most pertinent environmental issues of relevance to the poor in Uganda (particularly identifying environmental improvements that will make the most difference in the short to medium term); (v) suggesting alternative and additional poverty-environment indicators; (vi) assessing potential data sources in terms of reliability, frequency at which the data is generated and its relevance (these may include national household surveys, PPAs, etc.); (vii) preparing values for each indicator (noting data sources, year of data, methodology used, type of indicators (%, index, how calculated) etc.), where possible; (viii) recommending revised generic indicators and methodologies based on the above exercise. 1.3. Country Profile Uganda is a landlocked country of a total of about 236,000 km2. The country borders with Sudan in the North, the Democratic Republic of Congo in the West, Rwanda in the South-West, Tanzania in the South and Kenya in the East. The country’s total area of 236,000 km2 comprises of 194,000 km2 of dry land; 33,926 km2 of open water and 7,674 km2 of permanent swamp (Langdale-Brown et al., 1964). The country lies on the African plateau at altitudes ranging on average, between 900-1,500 m above sea level. In the south of the country, the characteristic scenery consists of flat-topped mesalike hills and broad intervening valleys frequently containing swamps; towards the north, the landscape is more subdued consisting of gently rolling open plains interrupted by occasional hills, mountains and inselbergs. Southwestwards, broken hill country characteristically encircling lowland embankments forms the transition to the deeply incised plateau that reaches its greatest heights of over 2,000 m above sea level in Kabale district. Table 1 gives a summary of more aspects on Uganda, beyond natural resources 3 Some 18 million hectares of arable land is available for cultivation, less than one third of which is currently under cultivation. The country is well endowed with abundant water resources both in the form of surface and ground water. Surface water resources consist of numerous rivers, swamps and lakes. There are eight river systems exceeding 100km in length and six major lakes covering 34,814 km2. The whole of the country lies within the Upper Nile catchment area but nationally, this is sub-divided into ten smaller catchments (Atlas of Uganda, 1967). Regional differences exist in terms of ethnicity, culture, topography (from mountains to semi-arid low land conditions), livelihood systems (fishing, various crop systems and livestock keeping), infrastructure, service delivery and governance. Poverty eradication is a fundamental objective of Uganda’s development strategy for the next two decades, and the Government has resolved to reduce the proportion of the population living in absolute poverty to 10 percent and in relative poverty to 30 percent by the year 2017. The Poverty Eradication Action Plan (PEAP) forms the framework for poverty eradication in Uganda. It adopts a multi-sectoral approach, recognising the multidimensional nature of poverty and the inter-linkages between influencing factors. The priorities for poverty eradication set by the PEAP are primary health care, rural feeder roads, education, water, and the modernisation of agriculture, especially through research and extension. 4 Table 1: Uganda at a Glance POVERTY and SOCIAL Uganda SubSaharan Africa Lowincome Population, mid-year (millions) GNP per capita (Atlas method, US$) GNP (Atlas method, US$ billions) 21.5 320 6.8 642 500 321 2,417 410 988 Average annual growth, 1993-99 Population (%) Labour force(%) 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.6 1.9 2.3 Most recent estimate (latest year available, 1993-2000) Poverty (% of population below national poverty line Urban population (% of total population) Life expectancy at birth (years) Infant mortality (per 1,000 live births) Child malnutrition (% of children under 5) Access to improved water source (% of population) Illiteracy (% of population age 15+) Gross primary enrolment (% of school-age population) Male Female 35 13 42 97 26 41 38 122 129 114 .. 34 50 92 32 43 39 78 85 71 .. 31 60 77 43 64 39 96 102 86 1999 KEY EONOMIC RATIOS and LONG-TERM TRENDS GDP (US$ billions) Gross domestic investment/GDP Export of goods and service/GDP Gross domestic savings/GDP Gross national savings/GDP 1979 .. .. .. .. .. 1989 5.3 11.1 8.0 1.0 1.9 1998 6.8 15.0 10.3 5.6 13.4 1999 6.4 16.4 11.3 4.9 10.5 Current account balance/GDP Interest payments/GDP Total debt/GDP Total debt service/exports Present value of debt/GDP Present value of debt/export .. .. .. .. .. .. -6.9 .. 36.2 .. .. .. -10.4 0.6 53.6 25.5 35.0 350.6 -11.6 0.6 54.3 23.1 27.3 225.3 (average annual growth) GDP GNP per capita Exports of goods and services 1979-89 1989-99 1998 1999 1999-03 3.4 0.9 1.2 7.1 4.1 14.8 5.6 2.8 -14.9 7.4 4.3 33.0 6.3 3.3 6.4 STRUCTURE of the ECONOMY 1979 1989 1998 1999 (% of GDP) Agriculture Industry Manufacturing Services .. .. .. .. 56.8 10.7 5.9 32.5 44.6 17.6 8.9 37.8 44.4 17.8 8.7 37.8 Private consumption General government consumption Imports of goods and services .. .. .. 92.0 7.0 18.1 84.8 9.6 19.7 85.2 9.9 22.9 1979-89 1989-99 1998 1999 (average annual growth) Agriculture Industry Manufacturing Services 2.7 6.4 3.6 3.2 3.7 12.1 13.5 8.1 1.9 11.5 14.4 6.6 6.9 9.1 11.3 7.1 Private consumption General government consumption Gross domestic investment Imports of goods and services Gross national product 3.3 0.6 13.1 7.3 3.5 6.3 8.2 8.2 9.0 7.3 8.6 8.0 3.7 3.1 5.8 0.8 17.4 9.0 2.8 7.3 5 1.4 Conceptual Background and Definition of Indicators The Government of Uganda in 1997 adopted a focused definition of poverty emphasizing basic needs and provision of services. Government defined poverty as lack of access to basic necessities of life including food, shelter, clothing and other needs like education and health. Government further calibrated measurements of poverty based on consumption expenditure as a proxy for income in line with data generated from annual household surveys conducted by the then Statistics Department since 1992. In the Ugandan context, poverty is measured against an absolute poverty line which reflects the monetary cost of meeting certain basic requirements of life. The approach focuses on defining food-related needs and only indirectly estimates non-food requirements. The measurement of food related needs was based on the WHO recommended calorific requirement of 3000 calories for adult men (18-30 years of age) engaged in moderate work and eating a typical diet of poor Ugandans and was found to be Ushs 11,500 per month (USD 0.33 a day). The USD 0.33 a day (which is less than the generally quoted US $1 per day) is therefore the food poverty line (also called the hard core poor). The cost of non-food requirements was also estimated for those not in hard core poverty and was found to be equal to Ushs 16,400 per month or USD 0.47 per day (called the absolute poverty line). A number of factors besides the absolute measures of poverty were found to be responsible for the condition of the poor. They included productivity of land, access to education, access to credit, access to agricultural inputs, access to land, access to important natural resources including forest products, access to safe water and access to sanitation facilities among others. The Uganda Participatory Poverty Assessment Project (UPPAP, 2000) report quoted land, water and forests as the principal natural resources discussed by local people. Lack of access to land in particular, was a frequently mentioned constraint to improving productivity and securing livelihoods. Natural resource degradation particularly with regard to the soils 6 ability to produce food, was actually quoted as the most central constraint to increasing production and securing livelihoods. The above information indicates that environmental and natural resource factors are increasingly appreciated as significant determinants of the wellbeing of poor people. No framework however, exists to track the relationship between environmental conditions and access to important natural resources and poverty. The poverty-relevant environmental indicators proposed below are expected to provide the much needed information in developing a monitoring mechanism. 7 1.5 List of Proposed Poverty and Environment Indicators Generic Indicator(s) ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Proportion of the poor with secure use rights to land for farming Percentage of poor farmers with access to x hectares to grow food for household consumption Proportion of the poor living in ecologically fragile areas Proportion of the poor living in ecologically fragile areas whose main source of livelihood is agriculture (either subsistence agriculture or farm labouring?) Access to non-farm sources of livelihoods for the poor living in ecologically fragile areas Percentage of poor farmers with access to sustainable irrigation facilities Hours spent per day collecting water by women and children living in rural areas (noting seasonal Country Indicator(s) ? ? ? ? ? ? Percentage of the poor living on marginal land such as fragile highland areas Percentage of the poor living on marginal land such wetlands Percentage of the poor living on agriculturally unproductive land Percentage of the poor with access to safe drinking water Percentage of the poor with adequate water for livestock Amount of time spent by Rationale for country indicator(s) ? Uganda has a Land Act (1998), but has no Land Use policy. So the poor who have no means of acquiring productive land tend to move to marginal land such as wetlands and fragile hillsides. ? Highly densely populated areas also tend to have these characteristics, although not necessarily the poor alone. ? Water provision by the major water public utility – the National Water and Sewerage Corporation is only limited to major urban centers leaving rural communities 8 Data Source ? ? ? ? ? ? Uganda Bureau of Statistics Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries Ministry of Water, Lands and Environment Ministry of Health Ministry of Water, Lands and Environment (MWLE) Rural Water and Sanitation Project Value (Level) of Indicator National level figures are non-existent ? ? Percentage of rural population with access to safe water – 41% (1998), 50% (2000) Percentage of rural population with ? variations) Access to sanitation facilities by women ? the poor collecting water Distance traveled by the poor to collect water depending on localized water sources including protected and unprotected springs, ponds, dams and open rivers. This leaves many communities in rural areas to depend on rather unsafe, longdistance and seasonal sources of water. ? The sewerage service is likewise limited to a few urban centres. Even there, the service is very old and inefficient. Many people, therefore, depend on household based sewerage management units including pit latrines and septic tanks. (42% of the rural population, and about 26% of the urban population, lack adequate sanitation. These figures and the gravity of the situation in urban areas where many latrines are overused, poorly maintained and 9 ? ? ? ? (MWLE) Uganda Bureau of Statistics Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development Economic Policy Research Centre “Partnerships for the Participatory Poverty Assessment Process”. Policy Briefing Paper No. 2. Water, Sanitation and Health: Learning From the Poor (MFPED) access to sanitation – 45% (1998), 65% (target 2005) ? ? Distance to water source for rural households – 1km Distance for water for livestock – 1km ? ? ? ? Area of forests co-managed by user groups with representatives of the poor Hours spent per day/week collecting fuel wood by women and children in rural areas Percentage of common property land available to women for collecting fuel wood and non-timber products ? Percentage of poor fisherfolk with access to adequate fish catches ? ? ? Percentage of the poor using firewood and charcoal as major source of energy Time spent collecting firewood by the poor Percentage of poor women with access to common property land for collecting fuel wood and other non-timber products ? Amount of fish catch per day per fisherman ? due to population density, the risk of infectious diseases is exponentially high). Up to 90 percent of Uganda’s population depend on firewood as a source of cooking and heating energy. The growing short supply of firewood in many areas in the country is, therefore, a critical factor to livelihoods and the general well-being of poor people. In drier parts of the country, many poor households depend on tree cutting to burn charcoal, sell and earn a living. This leads to further environmental degradation, and more poverty. The fisheries sector is increasingly becoming an important contributor to foreign exchange earnings and employment. Fisheries resources are however, rapidly running out in the 10 ? ? ? ? Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development Uganda Bureau of Statistics Ministry of Energy and Minerals ? “Capacity Building for Integrating Environmental Considerations in Development Planning and Decision-Making with Reference to National fish catch declined by 22 percent between 1993 and 1994 and catches have not recovered to date. 97% of the population ? Proportion of the health burden of the poor related to environmental factors - disease incidence related to environmental factors disaggregated by age (vulnerability of children under 5, for example) ? ? ? Percentage of people living in substandard housing (rural and urban figures) ? ? ? ? Percentage of the population living in areas ? Incidence of malaria among the poor Incidence of cholera among the poor Incidence of typhoid fever among the poor ? Percentage of poor people living in temporary shacks without adequate ventilation Percentage of poor people sharing the same place of abode with livestock ? Percentage of poor people living in flood ? face of fishing pressure, implying a loss of important sources of livelihood for poor fisherfolk who have no opportunity to move to other more gainful employment. Although not backed by solid figures, the link between environmental sanitation and the incidence of diseases in Uganda is strong. Yet illhealth is the main cause of poverty, denying poor people the opportunity to eke out a living in addition to imposing on them the direct cost of health care. Many housing units in Uganda are owner constructed and of very poor standard. the Fishing Industry in Uganda" (EPRC, 1999). ? Ministry of Health Ministry of Disaster Preparedness and 11 prone to flooding ? Number of poor people killed by environmentallyrelated disasters ? Number of poor people made homeless by environmentally-related disasters ? ? prone areas Number of the poor displaced by land slides Number of the poor displaced by earthquakes Refugees Notes: The last column of the table provides general data that relate to country specific indicators. However, the data are general and not specific to the poor, although where the data are provided for rural areas, they are close estimates since most rural people are poor. For many of the indicators, data are not available. Much more effort, beyond this review, is needed to identify and measure these indicators. 12 1.6 Conclusion and Recommendation for Further Work Not much work has been put into developing indicators that relate poverty and the environment in Uganda. However, the demand for these indicators is very high. Poverty-environment indicators are needed to monitor the impact of the economic, social and cultural activities of the poor on the environment. They are also needed to monitor the impact of environmental conditions on the activities of the poor. The recognised need for poverty environment indicators has led to the formation of a working group composed of the Poverty Monitoring and Analysis Unit (PMAU) in the Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development; Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBoS); National Environment Management Authority (NEMA) and the Economic Policy Research Centre (EPRC) to jointly develop these indicators. The purpose of this exercise is to incorporate these indicators in the framework for monitoring the impact of economic policies on poverty and the environment. This report is an important contribution to the ongoing debate on identifying and measuring monitorable indicators. Whereas a good number of indicators have been identified, they are yet to be measured and tested at national, district and sub-county levels where monitoring exercises will be taking place. Implementation of poverty reduction programs is taking place at local government level (sub-counties and districts), Therefore, for the indicators to be relevant, they should be easy to measure and monitor at these levels of local government. As suggested earlier, much more work is needed to identify and measure poverty-environment indicators. This can be done through research conducted in collaboration with the PMAU and UBoS. The latter is responsible for collecting and compiling national household data, and is the best entry for getting data to measure these indicators. 13 BIBLIOGRAPHY Appleton, Simon (2001). Poverty in Uganda, 1999/2000: Preliminary estimates from the Uganda National household Survey. University of Nottingham. Economic Policy Research Center (2001). Indicators of Success and Sustainability of Farming Systems in Uganda. Preliminary Report on Indicators. GoU - Government of Uganda (2000). Plan for Modernization of Agriculture: Eradicating Poverty in Uganda. Government Strategy and Operational Framework. Langdale-Brown et al. (1964). The Vegetation of Uganda and Its Bearing on Landuse. Entebbe, Government of Uganda. MFPED - Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development (2000). Uganda Participatory Poverty Assessment Report. Learning from the Poor. A Summary of Key Findings and Policy Messages. MFPED - Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development (1998). 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