Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems: Results from an Expert Survey Thomas Buchholz*, Valerie A. Luzadis, Timothy A. Volk State University of New York, College of Environmental Sciences and Forestry (SUNY-ESF), Department of Forest and Natural Resource Management, 346 Illick Hall, One Forestry Drive, Syracuse NY 13210, USA Draft version 2008/07/25 Manuscript submitted on July 25th 2008 upon pending invitation for a special issue on International Trade in Biofuels (ITIB) of the Journal of Cleaner Production Abstract: Environmental impacts associated with the use of fossil fuels, rising prices, potential limitations in supply and concerns about regional and national security are driving the development and use of biomass for bioenergy, biofuels and bioproducts. However, the use of biomass does not automatically imply that its production, conversion and use is sustainable. In order to operationalize sustainability assessments of biomass systems, it is crucial to identify critical criteria, but keep them at a manageable level. The selection of these criteria can vary depending on individual’s expertise, geographical region, and attribute on spatial scale. No clear consensus has yet emerged as to what experts consider critical indicators of sustainability. Objectives of this paper were to analyze how experts score sustainability criteria and to identify levels of agreement and uncertainty. Input on sustainability criteria for bioenergy systems was based on ratings and rankings from 46 international experts from academia, business and NGOs. The experts completed a survey ranking a suite of 35 criteria found in emerging sustainability assessment frameworks for the attributes of relevance, practicality, reliability, and importance. Energy balance and greenhouse gas balance were perceived as especially critical. Social criteria and locally applied ones ranked generally low in all four attributes. Ten of the 12 most important criteria based on average scores also lead the list of the most critical criteria for inclusion. The majority of these 12 criteria were focused on environmental issues, four were social and only one was economic. Although being perceived as important, food security ranked very low in both practicality and reliability. Scale of operation and profession of experts explained most of the ranking differences between experts rather than regions. Low ranking criteria, especially in the attribute importance, were characterized by a low consensus suggesting the need for further debate regarding their inclusion in sustainability assessments. Outcomes of the survey provide a foundation for sustainability assessments such as certification of international biomass trade and are also applicable to assessing individual bioenergy projects within their specific geographic, ecological, societal, and technological context and scale. Keywords: Bioenergy; sustainability criteria; expert survey; international biomass trade; certification * Corresponding author. Email: tsbuchho@syr.edu, phone: +1 315 470 4850, fax: +1 315 470 6934 Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Buchholz, Luzadis, Volk (SUNY-ESF) - Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 1 1 INTRODUCTION Environmental impacts associated with the use of fossil fuels, rising prices, potential limitations in supply and concerns about regional and national security are driving the development and use of biomass for bioenergy, biofuels and bioproducts. At the same time, cheaper biomass production capacities in developing countries are increasingly being linked with the energy demand in industrialized nations, forming a rapidly expanding international biofuels trade. The use of bioenergy does not automatically imply that its production, conversion and distribution are sustainable. The network of interconnected supply chains associated with international biofuels makes ensuring sustainability more challenging than biomass that is produced and used locally, but the assessment framework could be similar at either scale. A sustainability assessment of bioenergy systems needs to include the whole production cycle including biomass production and transportation, conversion technology, and energy allocation. In order to operationalize sustainability assessments of bioenergy systems, it is crucial to identify critical criteria, keep their numbers at a manageable level, and remain responsive to the local context. Certification is one mechanism for conducting criteria based assessments and is currently driven by international and national efforts related to global biomass trade such as Roundtable on Sustainable Biofuels (RSB) Lausanne, or the Cramer Commission (2006). While there has been a great deal of discussion about sustainability through these efforts and other forums (van Dam et al. 2008), no clear consensus has yet emerged on which indicators are critical and which framework should be become standard practice. Goals and Objectives Like any standard, sustainability standards are based on human values and it takes time and debate to reach consensus. To contribute to this effort, we surveyed and analyzed experts’ opinions on bioenergy sustainability criteria and frameworks currently under discussion around the world to identify the criteria that are viewed as most important, relevant, practical, and reliable. The goal was to identify areas of agreements and uncertainty among international experts on what to include and how to organize the assessment of sustainability of bioenergy. Similar survey efforts are being pursued on national levels (e.g. Wellisch (2008) performed an expert survey focusing on Canada) but to date, none measure and analyze consensus at an international level. Specifically, the study objectives were to: ¾ Analyze how currently discussed sustainability criteria are perceived in their application value and importance by bioenergy experts around the world; ¾ Identify levels of agreement and uncertainty amongst experts on criteria; ¾ Explore which frameworks are preferred for sustainability assessments of bioenergy systems; 2 METHODS 2.1 Study population We identified a population of 137 bioenergy experts as key participants in the current bioenergy debate with specific attention to range of experience in regions, types of bioenergy systems, scale of operations, and professions. Experts were identified through the bioenergy literature, conference participation lists, and members of international bioenergy organizations such as the International Energy Agency (IEA) Bioenergy. Each expert was identified as having a considerable influence in the discussion of sustainability assessment of bioenergy systems. Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Buchholz, Luzadis, Volk (SUNY-ESF) - Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 2 2.2 Survey Design Criteria identification and scoring Through a literature review, we identified 35 sustainability criteria which are regularly discussed in the context of bioenergy (see Appendix 1). Sources for criteria identification included Cramer et al. (2006), van Dam et al. (2006), Fritsche et al. (2006), Jürgens and Best (2005), Lewandowski and Faaji (2006), Modi et al. (2006), Reijnders (2006), Five Winds International (2006), Smeets et al. (2005), the Sustainable Bioenergy Wiki (2006) of the Roundtable on Sustainable Biofuels (RSB) Lausanne, Upreti (2004), and the World Energy Council (1999). Criteria were grouped into the broad categories of social (15 criteria), economic (4 criteria) and environmental (16 criteria). Participants were asked to score each of these 35 sustainability criteria on four attributes including relevance, practicality, reliability, and importance using the following definitions: ¾ Relevance: How relevant is the criterion to the concept of sustainable bioenergy systems? Does its assessment contribute to a better understanding of the sustainability of the bioenergy system? ¾ Practicality: Are there existing scales and/or measurement units? Are there measurable threshold values? How easily can data be obtained? Is measuring the indicator cost, time and/or resource effective? ¾ Reliability: How reliable is the result of assessing the criterion? Is there a high degree of uncertainty attached to the criterion? Are results reproducible? How easily can consensus be achieved? ¾ Importance: How important is the criterion for assessing the sustainability of the bioenergy system? Is it critical, i.e. is it according to your opinion mandatory to include it in a sustainability assessment of bioenergy systems? The attributes relevance, practicality, and reliability were scored using the same scale (Low, Medium, High, No Opinion). The importance attribute was measured using a slightly different scale (Low, Medium, High, Critical, No Opinion) where ‘critical’ was meant to be chosen by participants for a criterion which needs to be included in any bioenergy sustainability assessment. The goal here was to identify criteria that should be included in any sustainability assessment of bioenergy or those that would be specific to a certain project and could be added on a case by case basis. Respondents were also given the opportunity to comment or add missing criteria and score them in a special section of the survey. Evaluation of assessment frameworks In the third portion of the survey, respondents evaluated five different frameworks for organizing criteria in sustainability assessments. The frameworks were rated using the following scale (No Opinion, Poor, Fair, Good, Very Good, Excellent) and respondents were asked to reveal their preferred framework. Respondents also were given the opportunity to comment or add missing frameworks and score them. The following sustainability assessment frameworks were included in the survey: ¾ Social, Economic, Environmental; abbreviated in the following as SEE; ¾ Benefits, Opportunities, Costs, Risks; abbreviated in the following as BOCR; ¾ Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats; abbreviated in the following as SWOT; Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Buchholz, Luzadis, Volk (SUNY-ESF) - Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 3 ¾ (Driving force), Pressure, State, (Impact), Response; abbreviated in the following as (D)PS(I)R; ¾ Greenhouse Gas Balance, Competition for Land, Biodiversity, Economic prosperity, Social Well-Being, Environment based on Cramer et al. (2006); abbreviated in the following as Cramer. Respondent demographics Respondents were asked to provide information about their professional background, geographical expertise, and the scale of bioenergy projects they are familiar with. This information was used to assess if there were large differences of opinion between groups of respondents based on these characteristics. 2.3 Survey implementation In May 2007, 137 experts were asked by email to participate in the study. Participants received a survey and explanatory cover letter and a maximum of two follow up emails spaced two weeks apart to encourage participation. 46 individuals agreed to participate within the study time frame. A telephone follow up with 10% of those who did not participate revealed no significant differences from respondents and no one specifically refused for reasons other than workload and timing. As such, the results of this study represent the opinions of 46 key bioenergy experts from all over the world. 2.4 Survey analysis Overall approach Results were analyzed using SPSS 16.0 and Microsoft Excel software. Scores from respondents who consistently scored criteria with ‘no opinion’ within one attribute (relevance, practicality, reliability, importance) were not considered. As a means to compare scoring between criteria but within attributes, an average score was calculated for each criterion and attribute. While ‘no opinion’ received no ranking, scores were counted as Low = 1, Medium = 2, High = 3, Critical2 = 4 and the resulting mean was taken as the average score. The magnitude for each attribute was calculated by the using the mean of all average scores within one attribute. The magnitude therefore allowed comparing the weight of attributes. In order to make statements on the homogeneity of scores given by respondents for each criterion, a ‘consensus score’ was calculated using the standard deviation of counts within the response categories (low, medium, high). Criteria with a strong tendency towards one extreme or the middle in scorings received a high consensus score compared to those criteria with greater variation and scorings evenly distributed across the three response categories (and therefore having a low standard variation) over the complete scale. For further analysis, respondents were divided in groups according to their demographic characteristics. Groups were aggregated when necessary for analysis (results in those cases are so noted). Fisher’s Exact Test (Fisher 1967) was used for small group responses to detect significant scoring differences between groups of respondents based on contingency tables. 2 ‘Critical’ only applicable for attribute ‘Importance’. Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Buchholz, Luzadis, Volk (SUNY-ESF) - Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 4 3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 3.1 Demographic characteristics of respondents Over half of the respondents had a professional focus on biomass production (Figure 1). The representation of primary scales of operation was more evenly distributed, but the focus was a national scale (Figure 2). Respondents had experience in all continents except Antarctica but most of the respondents had experience in Europe and North America (Figure 3). Most respondents worked for government agencies or in academia (Figure 4). For demographic analysis the following groups were aggregated to increase group size: ¾ Professional expertise: ‘Liquid transport fuels’ and ‘Other’; ‘Electricity generation’ and ‘Heat generation’; ¾ Regional expertise ‘Africa’, ‘Asia’, ‘Australia’, ‘South America’; ¾ Professional occupation: ‘Industry’ and ‘Consulting’; ‘Nonprofit Organization’ and ‘Other’. 35 35 31 30 30 30 Biomass production 20 Liquid transport fuels N Electricity generation 15 10 7 3 5 25 Local 20 Heat generation 15 Other 10 Global 7 0 Figure 1: Primary expertise of respondents, N=45. ‘Other’ included expertise in air emissions and overall project designs. Figure 2: Primary scale of operation of respondents, N=46. 30 20 20 15 10 6 3 4 Africa 16 Asia 14 Australia 12 Europe 10 N 22 5 18 18 18 24 25 N 10 5 0 5 Supranational 10 3 1 National N 25 North America 8 South America 6 Anywhere 4 2 0 Government/policy Industry Academia 6 Consulting 7 Nonprofit Organisation 4 4 Other 2 0 Figure 3: Primary regions of expertise of respondents, multiple answers accepted, N=46. Figure 4: Primary segments of profession of respondents, multiple answers accepted, N=44. ‘Other’ included independent research and UN. 3.2 Criteria scoring Table 1 shows the average score for each criterion on each of the four attributes (relevance, practicality, reliability, and importance) as rated by all 46 experts. Further analysis was based on these average scores and in particular for the top third highest ranked criteria in importance. Differences in importance between social, economic, and environmental criteria The 35 criteria included in the survey were in a ratio of about 4:1:4 (social, economic, environmental) however the experts rated more environmental criteria as important than social Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Buchholz, Luzadis, Volk (SUNY-ESF) - Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 5 or environmental criteria. The majority of the 12 criteria with the highest importance values were focused on environmental (7) issues followed by social (4) and economic (1). One interpretation of this result might be that it reflects a normative weight on these criteria. Alternatively, it could simply reflect a weight in terms of effort already spent to design and evaluate those criteria. It could also reflect the biophysical science disciplines often associated with bioenergy professionals. The outcome of even a few social criteria could be weighted more than many environmental or economic criteria in a sustainability assessment. However, developing more elaborate assessment systems (measured in the numbers of criteria considered important) for environmental considerations suggests otherwise. Based on the average score of each criterion for the four attributes, taken all together environmental criteria were highest in both importance and relevance, followed by economics, then social criteria. Social criteria as a group were rated higher in practicality than environment and economic criteria groups and economic criteria as a group were rated as most reliable followed by environmental then social criteria groups. In summary, environmental criteria were rated as more important and relevant, social criteria as more practical, and economic criteria as more reliable. The suggestion of social criteria as being perceived as less important is further supported by the fact that 8 out of the 12 criteria with the lowest average score in importance are of a social nature (see Table 1) as for instance Respect for human rights (no. 7) or Cultural acceptability (no. 5). Furthermore, Employment generation (no. 16), a criterion often discussed in sustainability forums like the RSB or the IEA Bioenergy Tasks 29 and 40, did consistently rank in the middle third for all four attributes relevance, practicality, reliability, and importance. One reason for this ordering may be due to experts giving higher ratings to those areas they know best. It is highly likely that most experts in bioenergy have biophysical science as their primary disciplinary strength. Sustainability assessments may be improved by ensuring the breadth of disciplinary foundations of participants across appropriate biophysical and social sciences. Another surprising observation was that the criterion Macroeconomic sustainability (no.18), which could indicate if a bioenergy system can be run profitably in absence of subsidies, was ranked in the low third for relevance, practicality, and importance. This notion could be interpreted as a general agreement that government support is going to be required, especially in the near term, to develop bioenergy systems to the point that they can be profitable. Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Buchholz, Luzadis, Volk (SUNY-ESF) - Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 6 Table 1: Average scores of criteria for all attributes, sorted by the importance score. For criteria names see Appendix 1. A high average score indicates a more relevant, practical, reliable, or important criterion. CRIT. NO. CRITRION NAME RELIABILITY IMPORTANCE NATURE OF RELEVANCE PRACTI- CRITERION SCORE CALITY SCORE SCORE SCORE 34 Greenhouse gas balance Environmental 2.84 2.33 2.17 21 Energy balance Environmental 2.87 2.51 2.39 3.44 30 Soil protection Environmental 2.85 2.23 2.07 3.27 4 Participation Social 2.80 1.98 1.95 3.16 32 Water management Environmental 2.74 2.12 2.00 3.14 22 Natural resource efficiency Environmental 2.78 2.02 1.86 17 Microeconomic sustainability Economic 2.74 2.46 2.30 1 Compliance with laws Social 2.46 2.13 1.95 3.09 24 Ecosystems protection Environmental 2.87 1.98 1.95 3.07 13 Monitoring of criteria performance Social 2.73 2.12 2.02 2 Food security Social 2.53 1.91 1.79 2.95 33 Waste management Environmental 2.70 2.39 2.23 2.93 20 Adaptation capacity to environmental hazards and climate change Environmental 2.63 2.05 1.80 26 Crop diversity Environmental 2.48 2.10 1.95 8 Working conditions of workers Social 2.65 2.27 1.98 12 Planning Social 2.47 2.22 2.03 2.79 19 Economic stability Economic 2.51 1.98 1.79 2.79 3.55 3.11 3.10 3.02 2.90 2.86 2.83 Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Buchholz, Luzadis, Volk (SUNY-ESF) - Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 7 Table 1, continued. CRIT. NO. CRITRION NAME RELIABILITY IMPORTANCE NATURE OF RELEVANCE PRACTI- CRITERION SCORE CALITY SCORE SCORE SCORE 23 Species protection Environmental 2.51 1.74 1.68 2.76 29 Use of chemicals, pest control, and fertilizer Environmental 2.53 2.23 2.07 2.72 35 Potentially hazardous atmospheric emissions other than greenhouse gases Environmental 2.57 2.26 2.17 2.72 16 Employment generation Economic 2.51 2.33 2.15 2.69 11 Property rights and rights of use Social 2.55 2.00 1.76 2.68 31 Land use change Environmental 2.40 1.79 1.64 2.68 28 Use of genetically modified organisms Environmental 2.44 2.07 1.85 2.64 25 Ecosystems connectivity Environmental 2.44 1.91 1.71 2.57 7 Respect for human rights Social 2.28 1.55 1.50 2.48 18 Macroeconomic sustainability Economic 2.30 1.83 1.89 2.39 5 Cultural acceptability Social 2.23 1.58 1.45 2.37 9 Respecting minorities Social 2.20 1.62 1.45 2.35 27 Exotic species applications Environmental 2.18 1.88 1.69 2.33 6 Social cohesion Social 2.16 1.62 1.46 2.26 3 Land availability for other human activities than food production Social 2.18 1.70 1.63 2.25 10 Standard of living Social 2.14 1.77 1.67 2.14 15 Noise impacts Social 2.00 2.05 2.02 2.10 14 Visual impacts Social 2.02 1.81 1.55 1.98 Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Buchholz, Luzadis, Volk (SUNY-ESF) - Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 8 3.2.1 Relations between attributes High average scores for relevance and practicality correlated strongly with high average scores in importance and reliability, respectively (Figure 5). Therefore, firstly, highly relevant criteria were in general also perceived as highly important, and secondly, very practical criteria were also perceived as very reliable. However, no connection could be found between the two pairs of attributes relevance-importance and practicality-reliability. Figure 5: Correlation of scores from all respondents for different attributes for the 35 critiera. The x-axis represents the mean average scores of the first mentioned attribute, while the y-axis represents the mean average score of the second attribute. Each dot represents one of the 35 criteria. A high average score indicates a high score in the respective attribute. 3.2.2 Critical criteria The importance attribute of each criterion was scored as critical (i.e. participants thought the criterion would need to be mandatory in any bioenergy sustainability assessment) by at least by one respondent (Figure 6). There is limited agreement between respondents which criteria should be critical ones. Only the criteria Energy balance (no. 21) and Greenhouse gas balance (no. 34) were scored as critical by more than half of the respondents. This is an interesting outcome in the light of the dispute on how ‘net energy’ balance should be considered in bioenergy systems (Dale 2007, Hall et al. in press). 10 out of the 12 most important criteria (~top third) based on average importance scores (Table 1) also lead the list of the most critical criteria, i.e. those criteria that had the top critical scores among all respondents (Figure 6). Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Buchholz, Luzadis, Volk (SUNY-ESF) - Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 9 Figure 6: Proportion of survey respondents scoring the attribute of importance as critical (N=36-45). For criteria names and descriptions Table 1 and Appendix 1. 3.2.3 Criteria Importance Ratings A number of criteria were scored as having high importance. The top 12 (~top third) criteria in the importance attribute had an average score > 2.9 (Table 2) (marked with an X in the column ‘All respondents’, namely Compliance with laws (no. 1), Food security (no. 2), Participation (no. 4), Monitoring of criteria performance (no. 13), Microeconomic sustainability (no. 17), Energy balance (no. 21), Natural resource efficiency (no. 22), Ecosystems protection (no. 24), Soil protection (no. 30), Water management (no. 32), Waste management (no. 33), and Greenhouse gas balance (no. 34). When the importance attribute is examined by subgroups, twenty three of the 35 criterion were rated in the top third by at least one subgroup and 12 criteria were not included in the top third criteria list for any of the subgroups. All groups have at least 8 criteria in common among the top third of the scores3 suggesting that there is a fairly stable consensus on many of the most important criteria. The groups ‘National’, ‘Supranational’, ‘Europe’, and ‘Academia’, shared 11 of the 12 top ranked criteria with the scores for all respondents. The groups ‘North America’, ‘Government/Policy’, and ‘Industry + Consulting’ had 10 top of the 12 top third criteria in common with all respondents. 3 The groups sharing only 8 of their top third criteria with the complete sample were the group comprised of all other regions than Europe and North America, the groups ‘Local, ‘Global’, the group lumping nonprofit organizations and others than government/policy, academia, and industry + consulting. Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production 10 Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems Table 2: Top third criteria according to average score for importance for all respondents and subgroups. Only criteria occurring in one of the groups in the top third are listed. Groups are listed in a descending order from left to right in how many criteria they shared in their top third’ scoring with the complete sample population, i.e. NGO/Others diverged the most in their top third scoring compared to the complete group. Numbers of respondents vary within each group as respondents scoring with ‘No opinion’ were not included. 1 Compliance with laws X 2 Food security X 3 Land availability for other human activities than food production 4 Participation 7 Rspct for human rights X 8 Workng cond. for lab. X 11 Property rights and rights of use N 36-45 6-10 23-30 8-9 X X X X X X X X X X X X 13 Monitorg. of crit. perf. X 17 Microecon. sustainblty X X X X X 19 Economic stability X Adaption capacity to 20 environ. hazards & climate change X X X X X X X X X X X X 22 Nat. res. efficiency X X X 23 Species protection X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Ecosystems connectivity X X 26 Crop diversity 30 Soil protection X X 21 Energy balance 25 X 7-8 X 12 Planning 24 Ecosystems protection 5-6 19-23 15-21 14-17 14-18 15-18 10-12 OTHERS* CRIT. NAME NGO / IND./ CONSLTG.* ACADEMIA MENT GOVERN- OTHER BY PROFESSION REGIONS.* NORTH AMERICA EUROPE GLOBAL SUPRA- NATIONAL NATIONAL LOCAL PONDENTS BY REGION CRIT.NO. ALL RES- GROUPING BY SCALE X X X X X X 31 Land use change X X X X 32 Water management X 33 Waste management X 34 GHG balance X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production X X X X X Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 11 Scoring of the top third important criteria in other attributes Table 3 lists all criteria ranked in the top third in the importance category and compares the ranking for respondent scores for the categories of relevance, practicality and reliability. Seven of the top 12 criteria (Participation (no. 4), Water management (no. 32), Natural resource efficiency (no. 22), Compliance with laws (no. 1), Ecosystem protection (no. 24), Monitoring of criteria performance (no. 13), and Food security (no. 2)) were not ranked in the top third for either practicality or reliability. While these criteria are seen as important, respondents were not confident that they could be measured with the current suite of tools that are available. This suggests that methods to assess these criteria need to be developed and/or refined so they can be included in sustainability assessments based on information that can be collected and summarized using commonly accepted methods and techniques and agreed on by diverse groups of stakeholders. This seems to be especially true for the criterion Food security (no. 2), which was the only criterion scored in the top third in terms of importance and ranked in the bottom third in practicality (see Table 3). At this point in time the impact of bioenergy on food security is seen as an important issue, but since there are a number of complex factors influencing food security, the connections between the two issues are not clear (e.g. The Guardian 2008, Mathews 2008). These criteria will be a challenge moving forward because even if there is agreement on the issue of what criteria should be included, there may still be disagreement on how to measure them or the accuracy of the outcomes from the measurements. Assessment techniques that are agreed upon and seen as reliable need to be developed (see also van Dam et al. 2008) along with some agreement on the criteria. Stakeholder consultations such as in the FSC process for standard development to certify sustainable forest management (Forest Stewardship Council 2008) can greatly help in attaining such goals. The criteria Compliance with laws (no 1) and Food security (no. 2) were also ranked in the top third in importance but were not in the top third in terms of relevance. This may be an indication that these are issues that are seen as important but are difficult to link directly to bioenergy systems. Another interpretation for this observation is the dominance of respondents from developed countries where both, compliance with laws and food security are commonly perceived as problems of less developed countries. Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production 12 Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems Table 3: The position and rank of criteria ranked in the top third for importance in other attributes. Numbers indicate position of the respective criterion in the top third (1), second third (2), and low third (3) based on the average score for each attribute. Numbers in brackets indicate the exact position of the respective criterion. CRIT. NO. NATURE OF CRITERION NAME RELEVANCE RANK PRACTICALITY RANK RELIABILITY RANK 1 Social Compliance with laws 2 (22) 1 (11) 2 (14) 2 Social Food security 2 (15) 3 (23) 2 (22) 4 Social Participation 1 (5) 2 (21) 2 (16) 13 Social Monitoring of criteria performance 1 (9) 2 (12) 2 (15) 17 Economic Microeconomic sustainability 1 (8) 1 (2) 1 (2) 21 Environmental Energy balance 1 (1) 1 (1) 1 (1) 22 Environmental Natural resource efficiency 1 (6) 2 (18) 2 (19) 24 Environmental Ecosystems protection 1 (2) 2 (20) 2 (11) 30 Environmental Soil protection 1 (3) 1 (9) 1 (7) 32 Environmental Water management 1 (7) 2 (13) 2 (12) 33 Environmental Waste management 1 (10) 1 (3) 1 (3) 34 Environmental GHG balance 1 (4) 1 (5) 1 (5) 3.2.4 Magnitude and consensus within attributes Looking at the magnitude4 of an attribute revealed, that the attributes relevance and importance5 had the highest magnitude (2.5) across all the criteria followed by the attributes practicality (2.0) and reliability (1.9). Therefore, most criteria were more likely to be perceived as relevant and important than necessarily practical or reliable. Figure 7 shows all criteria sorted according to their consensus score for the attribute importance: criteria are sorted from a high to low consensus score from left to right, i.e. from a high standard deviation to a low consensus score. Using the standard deviation as consensus score was possible as there was no occurrence where criteria were scored on both extremes but little in the medium scale. Therefore, a high consensus score indicated a high consensus in scoring among respondents. 4 Or the mean average score for all criteria within an attribute. 5 To make numbers comparable, criteria scores as ‘critical’ were counted as ‘high’ as ‘critical’ does not exist for other attributes than ‘importance. Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 13 Figure 7: Respondents’ consensus on criteria for the attribute importance. Criteria are sorted along a gradient from high Consensus scores and therefore from a high consensus (left) towards low Consensus scores and a low consensus amongst respondents (right). Consensus may also be interpreted by the proportion of respondents who rated a criterion as critical or high importance. Energy balance (no. 21), Greenhouse gas balance (no. 34), Participation (no. 4), Soil protection (no. 30), Ecosystems protection (no 24), Water management (no. 32), Natural resource efficiency (no. 22), and Microeconomic sustainability (no. 17) were rated as critical or high importance by over 75 % of respondents. Ten criteria had fewer than 50% of the respondents rate them as critical or of high importance. Of them, eight were social criteria (no. 5, no. 7,no. 9, no. 14, no. 6, no. 15, no. 10, no. 3), one environmental (Exotic species applications, no. 27) and one economic (Macroeconomic sustainability, no. 18). Looking at consensus scores for all four attributes, the highest consensus was reached on importance (overall average standard deviation: 0.28) followed by relevance (0.27). The weakest consensus was observed in the attributes practicality and reliability. Criteria with low scores in importance also had the highest amount of disagreement. All criteria scored in the top third for importance ranked also in the top third in consensus on importance except for Waste management (no. 33). Vice versa, the criteria ranked in the low third in the attribute importance except for Ecosystem connectivity (no. 25) also ranked low third in consensus on importance. This observation carries an important implication: low ranking criteria might be scored low because they are heavily disputed. Figure 8 shows the relationship between average criteria scores in the four attributes and the level of consensus for each criterion. While criteria scoring high in relevance also showed a high consensus rating (R2=0.95) this tendency was less observable for importance (R2=0.65) and reliability (R2=0.47), and absent for practicality. Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 14 Figure 8: Correlations between consensus data (using the standard deviation of the average scores) and criteria scores for different attributes. High average scores indicate a high score in the respective attribute. 3.2.5 Group differences in importance ratings Only 8 criteria (criteria no. 4, 14, 25, 28, 29, 30, 32, 35) showed significant scoring differences among groups which indicates that there is fairly broad consensus on scoring despite the respondents varying professional backgrounds, region, and scale of operations (see Table 4). However, within these 8 criteria, there was broader disagreement on how to score them. Except for the criterion Use of genetically modified organisms (no. 28), each criterion listed in Table 4 was ranked significantly different by more than two groups. One general finding was that the experts with a Government/Policy background (in the category ‘Segment of profession’) scored criteria more often in a significantly different pattern and higher in importance than the other groups. On a broader scale, it was noted that most criteria affected by significant scoring differences amongst groups were of an environmental nature. There seemed to be wider agreement for social criteria and especially economic criteria. Social criteria showed only significant scoring differences between regions which might suggest that cultural differences are influencing these patterns. However, no such pattern could be detected in the consensus analysis (Figure 7). While the category ‘Scale of operation’ revealed four pairs of groups differing significantly in scoring, ‘Region of expertise’ and ‘Segment of profession’ had five and eight such pairs, respectively. The ‘Segment of profession’ might therefore divide bioenergy experts the most in as how important they perceive a given criterion rather than ‘Scale of operation’ or ‘Region of expertise’. Comparing the top third most important criteria with results on significant differences in scoring amongst groups, it becomes apparent that the criteria Participation (no. 4), Energy balance (no. 21), and Soil protection (no. 30) are ranked high in importance but also show significant scoring differences between various groups. To advance overall acceptance of a sustainability assessment scheme for bioenergy systems, it might be advisable to streamline research efforts into these three criteria which are commonly perceived as important but are controversially discussed, dividing experts, and might hamper overall progress in developing assessment frameworks. Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production 15 Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems These significant differences also indicate that sustainability assessments might need to be fine-tuned for each project, i.e. criteria used might need to vary how they are scored or even which ones need to be included in assessments from case to case in order to achieve a wide ranging support basis and therefore sustainability rather than scoring against specified thresholds. Such a structure or process rather than goal oriented systems approach for certification is already used by the ISO 14001 standard (e.g. Hayward & Vertinski 1999), the ISO BS7750, or the European Union's EcoManagement and Audit Scheme (EMAS) (Germain et al. 2002) which are offering frameworks for certification of environmental management systems but do not specify standards or goals. In such an approach, the process itself gets certified rather than the outcome. However, although such approaches can embrace different scales, number of stakeholders involved, project boundaries, and conditions to a better extent, there is a risk of low-aiming and unmotivated outcomes. Table 4: Significant differences in scoring criteria by respondents’ professional background. Groups with significant differences printed in black, indifferent groups printed in gray. Those groups scoring a given criterion as more important are listed above other groups. The symbols and symbolize a significant scoring difference between groups on an alpha level of 0.1 and 0.05, respectively, using the Fisher’s Exact Test (chapter 2.4). For content of aggregated groups (‘All other regions’, ‘NGO/Others’) see chapter 3.1. CRIT. NO. 4 CRITERION NAME SCALE OF OPERATION REGION OF EXPERTISE Participation 25 Ecosystems connectivity 28 Use of genetically modified organisms North America >> Use of chemicals, 29 pest control, and fertilizer Europe? 14 Visual impacts All other regions 30 Soil protection 32 Water management Potentially hazardous atmospheric 35 emissions other than greenhouse gases Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production SEGMENT OF PROFESSION 16 Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 3.3 Preference of frameworks The classic Social-Economic-Environmental (SEE) framework for sustainability was the most frequently selected assessment framework (Figure 9) followed by the one developed by Cramer et al. (2006) which is an effort to formulate a set of sustainability criteria for the production and conversion of biomass for energy, fuels and chemistry commissioned by the Dutch government. This effort is the most holistic framework to date developed specifically for biomass trade. For the purpose of this study we used the most widely familiar framework – SEE – to organize the criteria for presentation in the questionnaire. This pre-determined structure might have influenced the framework preference choice of respondents. Over a quarter of the respondents had no preference for a particular framework Preferred framework 20 18 18 16 14 N 12 13 SEE 10 BOCR 10 SOWT 8 6 4 no preference (D)PS(I)R 3 2 Cramer 2 0 0 Figure 9: Number of survey respondents preferring a given sustainability assessment framework for bioenergy systems, population N=36. Group analysis revealed significant differences between professions. While respondents from the government/policy group were mainly in favor of the SEE framework and significantly differed on an alpha level of 0.05 from all other groups with this ranking, there was a support for the Cramer (2006) framework by respondents with a background in nonprofit organizations. Academia, industry, and consulting showed a split support for the Cramer framework as well as the SEE framework. Support for the other frameworks suggested was negligible. 3.4 Respondent comments Many comments from respondents focused on the applied side of bioenergy sustainability assessments – several respondents suggested criteria with focus on government policies on a national and global level (taxes, subsidies, market mechanisms, incentives, regulations), long term planning, (scientific) capacities of institutions, public awareness/education, but also the impact and use of technology for poorer countries. Several comments also specifically mentioned the problem that all criteria are relevant and important but hamper in practicality and reliability, a comment supported by the findings of the study. Few comments mentioned that it would be unnecessary to include criteria that would prevent project implementation anyway such as (micro)economic sustainability, as the project wouldn’t go ahead anyway in case of non-compliance. Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 17 Respondents frequently mentioned the need for flexibility of frameworks and use of criteria for specific projects, regions, scales, or for specific focus groups (business, practitioners, etc.), e.g. suggesting that the SEE as the as most widely recognized (SEE) and the Cramer framework as a well developed (Cramer) framework should be used as an overarching framework while the other frameworks could serve as sub-frameworks for individual projects or parts of a sustainability assessment (e.g. just the economic perspectives). But there was also a notion amongst respondents that the whole bioenergy sustainability discussion misses an overarching systems approach and that focusing on bioenergy itself might miss the final goal of sustaining human life and standard of living. 4 CONCLUSIONS This study provided an overview on how bioenergy experts rated criteria currently under discussion for sustainability assessments of bioenergy systems and measured the level of consensus among them. To our knowledge this is the first attempt to look into differences in scoring criteria amongst experts according to their backgrounds at an international scale. We conclude that the majority of criteria currently under discussion are valid for serious consideration due to the high level of respondent importance scores. Similarly, we find that the ten criteria that rated lowest in importance had much less consensus on their value indicating a need for further deliberation. The top third of criteria ranked as critical or highly important focused more on environmental and economic criteria than social. Greenhouse gas balance, energy balance, soil protection, participation, and water management are seen as the five most important criteria. Energy balance (no. 21) and Greenhouse gas balance (no. 34) and received the highest scores on all four attributes. Social criteria and especially locally applied criteria such as visual impact, standard of living, or social cohesion – though perceived as relevant – ranked low in reliability, practicality, and importance. Criteria which where belonging to the top third in terms of importance did often not score high in reliability and practicality. This was especially true for Food security (no. 2) which ranked very low in both practicality and reliability. The greatest differences on which criteria are critical was based on the scale (namely experts working on a ‘Supranational’ or ‘Global’ scale) and profession (namely experts with a ‘Government/Policy’ and ‘NGO/Others’ background) indicating the need to retain local context flexibility with any bioenergy sustainability criteria and indicators approach. Sustainability assessments need to be fine-tuned for each project, i.e. criteria used might need to vary how they are scored or even which ones need to be included in assessments from case to case in order to achieve a wide ranging support basis. There are indications that experts working at the implementation level for bioenergy systems, namely on the local level and in biomass exporting countries, tend to score criteria differently. These voices need to be considered in future research and sustainability assessments. Looking into significant differences between groups also indicated that lowest consensus exists between different professions rather than regions, scales of operation, or primary area of expertise. This might be interpreted as a need to strengthen interdisciplinary exchange as disciplines divide scorings rather than continents. Furthermore, there was a relation between consensus on criteria scoring and how criteria were ranked within the attributes except for the attribute practicality. Low ranking criteria, especially in the attribute importance, were characterized by a low consensus and their rank can therefore be expected to be highly disputed. At the same time, all criteria were perceived as relevant and important and therefore all criteria deserve further attention to make them more practical and reliable, this is especially true for the criterion Food security (no. 2). To move forward, Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems 18 discussion on how to measure criteria is equally important (see also van Dam et al. 2008). In order to get expert consensus on key criteria (top third, critical ones, etc.) more exchange is needed between disciplines and scales, even when expert input can only be received from a few regions. Outcomes of this survey provide a foundation for further deliberation of sustainability assessment such as certification of international biomass trade and are also applicable to criteria selection to assess individual bioenergy projects within their specific geographic, environmental, societal, and technological contexts and scales. 4.1 Framework discussion There was a strong support for the SEE framework from experts working in government differing from the support for the Cramer framework from nonprofit organizations, while industry, academia, and consulting experts were split between the two frameworks. 4.2 Future research focus Results suggest further research on the following points: ¾ Research focus should be on criteria ranking high in importance but low in reliability and practicality, namely Food security (no. 2) but also to some extent Participation (no. 4), Water management (no. 32), Natural resource efficiency (no. 22), Compliance with laws (no. 1), Ecosystem protection (no. 24), Monitoring of criteria performance (no. 13). ¾ The general survey approach proved to be valuable to measure the current level of consensus and uncertainty in the debate on bioenergy sustainabilty approaches. Periodic efforts to gather input of and exchange among experts with a wide range in professional backgrounds would be extremely valuable. Special effort should be made to include experts with a local focus and working outside of Europe and North America. ¾ For further refinement of sustainability criteria especially at the project level, multi-criteria analysis is a promising implementation tool, integrating various stakeholders’ voices and values while acknowledging each project’s unique characteristics (Buchholz et al. 2007, Buchholz et al 2008). ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We gratefully acknowledge the time and efforts that the responding bioenergy experts invested in returning the surveys. Without their selfless support this research would not have been possible. We also thankfully recognize support by Stephen Stehman, and the Physics Department of the College of Saint Benedict / Saint John's University for making their statistical tools freely available online. 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CETC Ottawa / Industrial Innovations, Group Natural Resources Canada, The Agricola Group, 42 p. World Energy Council 1999. The Challenge of Rural Energy Poverty in Developing Countries. World Energy Council and Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production 21 Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems APPENDIX Appendix 1: Sustainability criteria used in the survey with explanations and categories. CRIT. NO. NATURE OF CRITRION NAME CRITERION CRITERION EXPLANATION Compliance with laws Social criterion Complying with regulations like bribery 2 Food security Social criterion Enough land locally available for food production including agricultural set aside land, preference of marginal sites for energy crops 3 Land availability for other human activities than food production Social criterion Enough land locally available for housing, energy (e.g. firewood), recreation, and other resource supply 4 Participation Social criterion Inclusion of stakeholders in decision making; facilitation of self determination of stakeholders 5 Cultural acceptability Social criterion Consideration of spiritual values, handling of local knowledge 6 Social cohesion Social criterion Migration and resettlement, wealth distribution, fair wages, intergenerational equity, charity 7 Respect for human rights Social criterion Health services, liberty rights, security, education 8 Working conditions of workers Social criterion Worker health, work hours, safety, liability regulations, exclusion of child labor 9 Respecting minorities Social criterion Recognition of indigenous peoples’ rights, gender issues 10 Standard of living Social criterion Public service support, access to energy services (e.g. electricity lifeline tariffs) 11 Property rights and rights of use Social criterion Land and resource tenure, dependencies on foreign sources (e.g. financial investments, knowledge) fair and equal division of proceeds, customary rights 12 Planning Social criterion Stating clear objectives, a management plan is written, implemented, and updated as necessary 13 Monitoring of criteria performance Social criterion Monitoring systems in place for all criteria (e.g. leakage or additionality in GHG accounting) 14 Visual impacts Social criterion Visual effects of construction and feedstocks on landscape 15 Noise impacts Social criterion Noise from production, transportation and conversion processes 16 Employment generation Economic criterion Number jobs created, quality of jobs created 17 Microeconomic sustainability Economic criterion Cost-efficiency incl. startup costs, internal rate of return, net present value, payback period 1 all applicable laws and internal certification principles, countering Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production 22 Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems Appendix 1, continued. CRIT. NO. NATURE OF CRITRION NAME CRITERION CRITERION EXPLANATION Macroeconomic sustainability Economic criterion Trade balances, foreign investments, financial flows across project boundary, changes in overall productivity, ‘economic development’ 19 Economic stability Economic criterion Project lifetime, degree to which applied technology and operational aspects are proven, flexibility to changes in demand and supply, product diversification 20 Adaptation capacity to environmental hazards and climate change Environment al criterion Diversification of feedstocks, available knowledge on site demand of feedstocks 21 Energy balance Environment al criterion Conversion efficiencies, energy return on investment, energy return per hectare 22 Natural resource efficiency Environment al criterion Efficient use of resources at all stages of the system 23 Species protection Environment al criterion Protection of rare, threatened, or endangered species 24 Ecosystems protection Environment al criterion Safeguarding protected, threatened, representative, or other valuable ecosystems (e.g. forests), protecting internal energy fluxes / metabolism 25 Ecosystems connectivity Environment al criterion Preventing land fragmentation, e.g. presence of wildlife corridors etc. 26 Crop diversity Environment al criterion E.g. impacts and risks associated with monocultures like its impacts on landscape and wildlife, and its susceptability to catastrophic failure 27 Exotic species applications Environment al criterion Invasiveness, risks to other species and land uses 28 Use of genetically modified organisms Environment al criterion Appliance with law, risk to other land uses 29 Use of chemicals, pest control, and fertilizer Environment al criterion Insecticides, herbicides, chemicals in the conversion process, impacts on surrounding environment 30 Soil protection Environment al criterion Impacts on soil fertility like. changes in nutrient cycling, rooting depth, organic matter, water holding capacity, erosion 31 Land use change Environment al criterion Impacts of land conversion on energy fluxes, radiation balance, roughness of land cover, biochemical fluxes, hydrological cycles which eventually affect ecological balances 32 Water management Environment al criterion Surface and groundwater impacts, riparian buffers, irrigation and cooling cycles and waste water management 33 Waste management Environment al criterion Disposal of ashes, sewage, hazardous/contaminated solid and liquid material 18 Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production 23 Survey on Sustainability Criteria for Bioenergy Systems Appendix 1, continued. CRIT. NO. NATURE OF CRITRION NAME CRITERION CRITERION EXPLANATION 34 Greenhouse gas balance Environment al criterion GHG balance of system covering CO2, CH4, O3, NO2, H2O 35 Potentially hazardous atmospheric emissions other than greenhouse gases Environment al criterion Emissions of SOx, CO, NOx, and particulates Submitted to the Journal of Cleaner Production