WOODLAND CARIBOU ASSESSMENTS WOODLAND CARIBOU ASSESSMENTS Richard Farnell SELWYN PROJECT MINERAL EXPLORATION MVEIRB ‐‐ PUBLIC HEARING ‐ MVEIRB PUBLIC HEARING ‐TULITA TULITA, NWT , NWT ‐‐ APRIL 7, 2009 Outline of Talk Outline of Talk Finlayson Herd Nahanni Herd Selwyn’s Studies Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Status of North American Caribou – COSEWIC Boreal are extirpating from much of their range NMP are Special Concern p Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). WINTER RANGE IS CRITICAL HABITAT !!! Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). INTENSIVE MANAGEMENT Fall Calf/100 Cow Ratios in the Finlayson Caribou Herd 1982‐2006 ll lf/ h l b d 70 62 60 26ca/100 cows is generally stable Wolf Control Period 55 50 50 Calf/100 Co ow Ratio 45 42 47 44 40 34 32 31 29 30 25 21 20 28 26 24 20 17 21 19 18 16 18 13 9 10 0 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Population Size Estimates of the Finlayson Caribou Herd 1982‐2007 7000 5,950 +/‐ 17.7% 6000 5000 Numb ber of Caribou 4 537 +/‐ 11.9% 4,537 +/ 11 9% 4,130 +/‐ 16.9% 4000 3,067 +/‐ 13.5% 3,077 +/‐ 5.6% 3000 2,000 2000 (best guess from limited survey) 1000 0 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Other Research Studies Past – Present – On/Going / g •POPULATION TRENDS (Since 1982) •HARVEST (Since 1982) •PREDATOR/PREY RELATIONSHIPS (1980’s & 90’s) •RANGE USE (Since 1982) •FORAGE QUALITY (1980’s & 90’s) •FORAGE QUALITY (1980’s & 90’s) •BODY CONDITION (1992 & 93) •GENETICS RELATIONSHIPS (1990’S) •CLIMATIC AFFECTS (On‐going) •POTENTIAL CONTAMINANTS (On‐going) Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Some Relevant Facts From These Studies • • • • • • • • • The FCH & NCH are Northern Mountain Population herds of caribou. Thi This ecotype differs greatly from Boreal caribou in other parts of Canada. diff l f B l ib i h fC d There is less known about potential adverse affects on NMP caribou from anthropogenic effects. The decades long record of range use and demography of the FCH provide an g g g p y p excellent record for baseline reference as new conditions arise. There are still roughly 3100 caribou in this herd – more than in 1982 when intensive management began. Accordingly their still seems to be good opportunity for wildlife managers and Accordingly their still seems to be good opportunity for wildlife managers and communities to address population decline problems. Bench line data on caribou physical condition provide a rare opportunity to revisit the role of forage/nutrition and possible contaminants on caribou. Climatic analysis suggests that calf recruitment is likely sensitive to late spring Climatic analysis suggests that calf recruitment is likely sensitive to late spring conditions – a natural climatic affect. Finally population size and trend in the FCH seem to be driven more by predation and human harvest than any other limiting factor at present. Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Dose Not Include Satellite Collar Data Dose Not Include Satellite Collar Data Coal River Herd LLa Biche Bi h Herd Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Calf and bull/100 cow ratios and sample sizes for the South Nahanni caribou herd, NWT – Yukon, 1995–2001. D t Date N No. of Groups & fG & C lf/100 Calf/100 cow B ll/100 Bull/100 cow S Source (caribou) ratio ratio 25‐28 Sept 2001 83 (781) 10 40 Gunn et al. 2002 4‐7 Oct 2000 32 (549) 15 33 Gunn et al. 2002 8 Oct 1997 53 (733) 26 32 Gullickson & Manseau 2000 9 Oct 1996 99 (739) 20 47 Gullickson & M Manseau 2000 2000 15‐16 Oct 1995 78 (813) 17 37 Gullickson & Manseau 2000 •Based on annual fall composition surveys calf recruitment was low for the SNH from 1995 to 2001 averaging only 17.6 calves/100 cows. •The bull 100/cow ratio in the SNH averaged 37.8 over this period ‐ substantially below the Yukon wide average of 45/100. •A total count of 781 caribou was observed on the census survey. •A correction factor (6 collars seen/11 available) provided a minimum sightability bias correction of 1.46 to extrapolate a population size estimate of 1140 caribou in the SNH. Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Other On‐going Research Studies Nahanni Caribou h i ib • Range use study with 30 satellite collars Range use study with 30 satellite collars • Fall Composition Counts ll C ii C • Population Estimate Survey in Fall 2009 Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Some Relevant Facts From These Studies • The SNH is a trans‐boundary herd that ranges in the Howard Pass area during summer and to a lesser extent during the rut. • p y The herd winters primarily in Nahanni National Park Reserve. • Demographic data collected between 1995 and 2001 strongly suggest that the SNH is declining and human harvest could be accelerating the decline the SNH is declining and human harvest could be accelerating the decline. • Fall composition counts and the 2001 population estimate provides baseline for further population monitoring and are methods with baseline for further population monitoring and are methods with repeatability. Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Selwyn Resources Wildlife Assessment Studies 2007 & 2008 •Calving •Post‐Calving Post Calving •Rut Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). North Control Calving & Rut Post‐ Calvingg Regional Study Area South Control Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Female woodland caribou disperse in the mountains Female woodland caribou disperse in the mountains during calving to avoid predators. •The calving period for woodland caribou is from May 7 to June 8 with a median peak of calving on May 17. Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Calving Survey 2007 Calving Survey 2007 • We conducted a survey of the RSA on June 14‐15, shortly after y , y the calving season was over. • We assumed that the relative abundance of cow caribou observed at this time would be representative of caribou that b d t thi ti ld b t ti f ib th t calved in the Project Area for that year. • We found a total of 75 caribou in 16 groups ranging in size g p g g from 1 to 11 individuals consisting predominantly of cow caribou (79%). Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). Calving Season – Howard Pass ‐ 2008 •In 2008 we conducted another calving survey of the RSA earlier in the calving period on May 29. •We found a total of 10 caribou comprising 7 cows and 3 calves. •Their wide‐spread spacing strategy during this period not only increases the search intensity of predators – “it also makes it difficult for biologists to find them”. Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). POST‐CALVING PERIOD •Caribou have a limited time span during summer for growth and building new fat C ib h li it d ti d i f th d b ildi f t reserves for coming winter. •Constraints on the ability of caribou to feed optimally during this period of high f forage quality and availability could have a negative affect on their body condition. lit d il bilit ld h ti ff t th i b d diti •Caribou make use of high elevation slopes and ridge tops to avoid insects. •Caribou also make use of snow patches on warm days to avoid insects and thermo C ib l k f t h d t id i t d th regulate Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). RSA POST‐CALVING RSA POST CALVING SURVEY JUNE 27, 2007 SURVEY JUNE 27, 2007 TOTAL CARIBOU = 200 34 GROUPS (1‐48) Χ=6 CARIBOU CARIBOU WERE STARTING TO AGGREGATE Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). POST CALVING SURVEY JULY 15 2007 POST‐CALVING SURVEY JULY 15, 2007 N=127 21% .26 /KM² 486 KM² N=223 37% .13/KM² 1770 KM² 1770 KM² N=253 42% .29KM² 883 KM² TOTAL CARIBOU = 603 105 GROUPS (1‐52) Χ=6 CARIBOU 44 CALVES/100 COWS Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). N=67 10% .14KM² POST‐CALVING SURVEY JULY 13‐14, POST CALVING SURVEY JULY 13 14 2008 486 KM² N=361 54% .20KM² 1770 KM² 1770 KM² N=237 36% .27/KM² 883 KM² TOTAL CARIBOU = 665 89 GROUPS (1‐55) Χ=7 CARIBOU 25 CALVES/100 COWS Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). FALL RUT COUNTS 2007 & 2008 FALL RUT COUNTS 2007 & 2008 ¾We worked collaboratively with the Yukon Department of Environment Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). RUT COUNT 2007 Finlayson Caribou Herd • We counted a total of 1061 caribou most of which (94%) were found in the Pelly Mountains south of the Robert Campbell Highway. • The calf/100 cow ratio was 30.5/100 The calf/100 cow ratio was 30.5/100 ‐ since 1999 FCH calf recruitment has averaged only 17.3 since 1999 FCH calf recruitment has averaged only 17.3 calves/100 cows Nahanni Caribou Herd • We counted a total of 389 caribou south of the Project Area. The calf/100 cow ratio was 17.1/100. Project Area Project Area • A total of 57 (5%) caribou ranging in group sizes of 1‐15 animals were found in the Project Area suggesting that most caribou had already moved out of the Project Area since post‐ calving presumably to rutting grounds in closer juxtaposition to winter range. Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). RUT COUNT 2008 Finlayson Caribou Herd • A total of 712 caribou were tallied most of these caribou (69%) were found in the Pelly Mountains south of the Robert Campbell Highway. • The calf/100 cow ratio decreased from 2007and was 16.0 . Nahanni Caribou Herd (Southern Range Area) Nahanni Caribou Herd (Southern Range Area) • A total of 245 caribou in 24 groups were classified yielding a calf/100 cow ratio of 9.5 Project Area • We found a total of 151 caribou in 14 groups ranging in size from 1 to 40 individuals, with a mean groups size of 11 caribou – a large variation from 2007. • The calf/100 cow ratio was 21.4/100. • Subsequent relocations found that caribou captured in and near the Project Area moved southeast onto the traditional winter range of the Nahanni herd. southeast onto the traditional winter range of the Nahanni herd. Combined Survey Results (range‐wide area) • When we combine results found for caribou surveyed range‐wide and in the Project Area we find a total count of 396 ‐ similar to that found in 2007 (N=390). The combined ratios from b th both surveys were 13.9 calves/100 cows. 13 9 l /100 Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). CONCLUSIONS • • • • • • • • • • There are good baseline data that are representative of conditions prior to development. S Surveys making use of established protocols can be carried to examine conditions during and after ki f bli h d l b i d i di i d i d f development. We have acquired comparative baseline data on the distribution, relative abundance, group dynamics and population characteristics of caribou inhabiting the Project Area. Elements of the FCH and NCH clearly make seasonal use of the area Elements of the FCH and NCH clearly make seasonal use of the area. The post‐calving period is when caribou make extensive use of the area. There appears to be alternate high‐quality habitat during the post‐calving period should some displacement occur. Spatial models (‘Zone Spatial models ( Zone of Influence of Influence’)) can be developed to evaluate this and provide a predictive tool for can be developed to evaluate this and provide a predictive tool for decision makers. Radio‐telemtry study of the NCH presently being carried out over the next four years will provide a more comprehensive understanding of landscape use of this herd – information to better mitigate potential impacts from development. p p The long term recruitment rate for the both the FCH and NCH is consistent with that of herds in slow decline (Yukon Caribou Management Guidelines 1986). The present status of these herds therefore requires the focus of responsible management authorities to continue to monitor and manage these populations so that they do not become threatened. Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s). QUESTIONS? THE END Property of Richard Farnell and Selwyn Resources. No component of this product is to be used or reproduced without the expressed written consent of the authors(s).