Slide 1 Slide 2 Chapter Objectives Fin5413 Chapter 20 THE SECONDARY MARKET: CMO’S AND DERIVATIVE SECURITIES McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Differentiate between MPTs and MPTBs Collateralized Mortgage Obligation (CMO) designed to mitigate some prepayment risk CMO vs. REMIC McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Slide 3 Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (REMICS) Mortgage Pay-Through Bonds Hybrid securities Issued against mortgage pools Cash flows are passed to security holders A bond A debt obligation of the issuer, who retains ownership - Unlike a MPT which represents a undivided equity ownership Over collateralized like MBBs McGraw-Hill/Irwin Slide 4 © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved The secondary mortgage industry wanted a way to mitigate the effect of the uncertain timing of mortgage payoffs of a pass through The solution was the creation of the CMO However, there was a potential tax problem A REMIC is a tax status for a pool of mortgages REMICs are only taxed at the CMO level and not at the entity (pool) level Must follow rules (as do mutual funds) to get this special tax status McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Slide 5 Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (REMICS) Limited life and self liquidating with minimal management No taxation at the entity level REMIC assets consist only of: Qualified mortgages property only Short term, passive, or interest bearing assets used to reinvest funds not yet paid to out to investors Qualified reserve fund (more important if assets are not backed by GNMA, FNMA, or FHMLC) Foreclosure McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Slide 6 Idea behind CMO’s A pool of mortgages can be seen as a set of cash flows, that can be spit into pieces and sold as pieces rather than as an undivided fraction of the pool Like the Seinfeld episode where the muffin tops were being sold separately from the less desirable muffin bottom McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved 1 Slide 7 Slide 8 Collateralized Mortgage Obligation (CMOs) Continued Collateralized Mortgage Obligation (CMOs) All payments flow through to the bond holders Security holder assumes prepayment risk Multiple classes of security (maturities) are issued Payment prioritization established by using Tranches of different maturity dates Mitigates some prepayment risk CMOs are debt instruments Pool of mortgages comprise the collateral Issuer retains ownership of the mortgages and issue various classes of bonds against the pool Tranche McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved is a French word meaning slice McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Slide 9 CMO - example CMO - example Mortgage Pool Consists of 102,000,000 of mortgages Tranche A is 20,000,000 of (short term) bonds which gets interest payments plus all of the principal payments until this class is paid off Tranche B is 30,000,000 of medium term bonds which receive interest only until Tranche A is fully paid off, and then receives all principal payments McGraw-Hill/Irwin Slide 10 © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Tranche Z is 50,000,000 of zero coupon like bonds which get no payment (though they accrue interest) until the first 2 Tranches are paid off, at which time they get all the money paid into the pool until they are paid off If the average interest rate on the mortgages was 6%, Tranche A might earn 4.75%, Tranche B 5.25% and Tranche Z 5.75% The residual cash goes to the Equity, which began with $2,000,000, and represents the over collateralization of the pool Recall that the servicer and guarantor also get a cut of the mortgage interest McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Slide 11 Weighted Average Coupon (WAC) If the average interest rate on the mortgages was 6%, Tranche A might earn 4.75%, Tranche B 5.25% and Tranche Z 5.75% WAC = 0.2*4.75% + 0.3*5.25% + 0.5*5.75% = 5.40% The rest of the coupon payment from the underlying mortgages would go to pay the servicing and guarantee fees and to pay the equity portion of the pool McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Slide 12 CMO’s Prepayment risk is now somewhat mitigated as Tranche A absorbs the earliest repayment, followed by Tranche B. Tranche Z keeps its money invested in the pool longer (Sequential Tranches) When putting together CMO’s the sponsor attempts to match investors with the expected cash flow of the Tranche McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved 2 Slide 13 CMO’s Slide 14 CMO’s Te reduce prepayment risk further, some Tranches were set up as PAC’s (planned amortization classes, and TAC’s, targeted amortization classes) for which the structure tried to keep the cash timing as close as possible to projections To take up the slack, companions were also issued which took the prepayments if they deviated from the expected pool prepayment As the CMO market grew, so did the number of Tranches It became increasingly common to sell investors the type of Tranche the investor desired When all the desirable Tranches were sold off, what was left were dubbed “kitchen sink” bonds because the originator had sold off everything but the kitchen sink © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin Slide 15 Slide 16 IO’s and PO’s CMO’s Another way to slice up the mortgage cash flows is to separate the principal and interest part of the cash flows IO is an interest only strip PO is a principal only strip © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin An investor who buys a PO know for sure the amount she will receive in cash payments (the note amount). This investor does not know the timing of these cash flows An investor that buys an IO knows neither the amount nor the timing of the cash flows (it depends on the prepayment). IO’s are thus very risky as if interest rates decline, refinancing will rise, cutting off the future interest payments. High prepayment is bad for IO holders and good for PO © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin Slide 17 The PSA Assumption Slide 18 Interest, Principal, CF 100% PSA and Principle Balance (30 year term at 6%) Cash Flow for 0% PSA 100% 6% 90% $600 80% $500 4% 60% 50% 3% 40% Rate Balance 2% 1% 30% $400 $300 $200 $100 20% 10% 0% $0 1 0% 0 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Month 70% Balance AnnualRate 5% 0% PSA CF Interest Principle $700 12 24 36 48 60 72 Month 84 96 108 © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved 13 25 37 49 61 73 85 97 109 121 133 145 157 169 Monthly Cash Flow 120 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved 3 Slide 19 Interest, Principal, CF Cash Flow for 100% PSA Slide 20 Interest, Principal, CF Cash Flow for 200% PSA 100% PSA CF Interest Principle $1,200 200% PSA CF Interest $1,600 Principle $1,400 $1,000 $1,200 Month Month $800 $600 $1,000 $400 $800 $600 $400 $200 $200 $0 $0 1 1 13 25 37 49 61 73 85 97 109 121 133 145 157 169 13 25 37 49 61 73 85 97 109 121 133 145 157 169 Monthly Cash Flow Monthly Cash Flow © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin Slide 21 PV of IO/PO by PSA Slide 22 Floating Tranches $80,000 PV Interest PV Principle $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 0% PSA McGraw-Hill/Irwin 100%PSA 200%PSA © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Slide 23 Derivative Security Derives its value from another security index, or financial claim MPTs and CMOs are based on pools of mortgages Derivatives may be purchased to protect the yield on another portfolio of mortgages or bonds Some Tranches have variable interest rates May be from ARM mortgages Fixed rate mortgages may also be used as a pool for creating floater Inverse floaters are used to balance off floaters if fixed rates mortgages back up the pool If interest rates increase, the payments to floaters increases, and the payments to inverse floaters decrease Investment Characteristics of Mortgage Related Securities © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Slide 24 MBB MPT MPTB CMO Type of security interest acquired Debt Equity Debt Debt # of security classes One One One Multiple Pass-through of principal None Direct Direct Prioritized Party bearing prepayment risk Issuer Investor Investor Overcollateralization McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin McGraw-Hill/Irwin No Yes No Investor Yes © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved 4 Slide 25 Slide 26 Investment Characteristics of Mortgage Related Securities Continued MBB MPT MPTB CMO Overcollateral marked to market Yes NA No Price No (Pts-32ds) Credit Yes enhancements used? No Maturity period Yes known? No Call provisions Cleanup Possibly Off- balance No sheet financing possible? McGraw-Hill/Irwin CMO data, WSJ, April 10, 2008 Yes Yes No Possibly No No No Calamity and nuisance yes © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved PSA Yield (Prepay to Spread) Maturity * FMAC GOLD 5.50% 101-03 273 5.28 FMAC GOLD 6.00% 102-24 691 4.93 FMAC GOLD 6.50% 103-28 642 4.81 FNMA 5.50% 101-02 273 5.25 FNMA 6.00% 102-20 664 4.95 FNMA 6.50% 103-25 707 4.64 GNMA ** 5.50% 102-02 259 5.07 GNMA ** 6.00% 103-09 555 4.78 GNMA ** 6.50% 103-31 831 4.08 © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin Slide 27 Slide 28 Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities CMBS CMO data, WSJ, April 10, 2008 Spreads in bp from Treasury with corresponding maturity Maturity Spread Spread 2-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year SEQUENTIALS 185 183 170 168 132 PACs 160 156 156 156 120 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Take the form of MBB, MPT, or CMO Default risk is greater Secured by income properties Non-recourse loans must look to security to satisfy loan Shorter maturities Senior and subordinated Tranches In other words, in the case of defaults some Tranches absorb more of the defaults than others © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin Slide 29 Slide 30 CMBS General Bond Risk Conditions Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities CMBSs Continued Rating Prepayment risk mitigated by “lockouts” or other forms of prepayment penalties Extension risk McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved Subordinati on DSCR LTV Price AAA 30% 2.00 52.50% AA 24% 1.84 57.00% 102 101 A 18% 1.71 61.50% 100 BBB 11% 1.57% 66.75% 98 BB 6% 1.49 70.50% 75 B 3% 1.44 72.75% 65 NR 0% 1.40 75.00% 35 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved 5 Slide 31 Slide 32 CMBS- Enhancements Third party guarantees Surety bonds, LC’s Advance payment guarantees Repurchase agreements Lease assignments Overcollateralization Cross default provisions McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved 6